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1929-30 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

5.20 points above expected

42 points · 36.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Belfast Celtic

8.73 points below expected

30 points · 38.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 19 4 3 42 94 46 +48 36.80 +5.20
2 Glentoran 26 16 4 6 36 79 53 +26 31.98 +4.02
3 Coleraine 26 14 4 8 32 66 47 +19 28.61 +3.39
4 Belfast Celtic 26 13 4 9 30 68 57 +11 38.73 -8.73
5 Ballymena 26 13 3 10 29 65 46 +19 26.63 +2.37
6 Bangor 26 12 5 9 29 61 58 +3 23.99 +5.01
7 Derry City 26 12 5 9 29 52 55 -3 26.60 +2.40
8 Glenavon 26 12 3 11 27 70 63 +7 24.65 +2.35
9 Lisburn Distillery 26 12 3 11 27 65 61 +4 26.93 +0.07
10 Portadown 26 7 7 12 21 68 90 -22 20.14 +0.86
11 Newry Town 26 9 1 16 19 51 66 -15 22.53 -3.53
12 Ards 26 6 6 14 18 47 77 -30 21.74 -3.74
13 Larne 26 5 3 18 13 47 77 -30 19.82 -6.82
14 Cliftonville 26 5 2 19 12 40 77 -37 14.85 -2.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 42 36.80 +5.20
2 Bangor 29 23.99 +5.01
3 Glentoran 36 31.98 +4.02
4 Coleraine 32 28.61 +3.39
5 Derry City 29 26.60 +2.40

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 30 38.73 -8.73
2 Larne 13 19.82 -6.82
3 Ards 18 21.74 -3.74
4 Newry Town 19 22.53 -3.53
5 Cliftonville 12 14.85 -2.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newry Town 3 Dec 25 – Dec 28 1 in 68
2 Glenavon 4 Jan 25 – Feb 15 1 in 61
3 Derry City 4 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 37
4 Cliftonville 2 Nov 23 – Dec 7 1 in 28
5 Bangor 2 Aug 20 – Aug 24 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Larne 9 Sep 28 – Dec 7 1 in 589
2 Belfast Celtic 2 Aug 20 – Aug 24 1 in 49
3 Cliftonville 8 Aug 20 – Oct 5 1 in 46
4 Portadown 6 Dec 7 – Jan 4 1 in 27
5 Newry Town 5 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 8 Nov 23 – Jan 4 1 in 182
2 Linfield 15 Aug 21 – Dec 7 1 in 88
3 Derry City 6 Oct 5 – Nov 16 1 in 29
4 Glentoran 7 Aug 22 – Sep 28 1 in 27
5 Glenavon 4 Dec 25 – Jan 18 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Larne 13 Sep 28 – Dec 26 1 in 161
2 Glentoran 4 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 78
3 Ards 9 Aug 20 – Oct 12 1 in 41
4 Lisburn Distillery 5 Dec 28 – Jan 25 1 in 23
5 Portadown 8 Dec 7 – Jan 23 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1694 42 -25 8 8.0 +0.0
Glentoran 1632 36 +12 7 6.5 +0.5
Coleraine 1543 32 -1 5 5.1 -0.1
Belfast Celtic 1640 30 -21 7 7.4 -0.4
Ballymena 1544 29 -3 6 5.9 +0.1
Derry City 1506 29 +4 6 5.7 +0.3
Bangor 1511 29 +2 4 4.8 -0.8
Glenavon 1521 27 +71 8 4.3 +3.7
Lisburn Distillery 1550 27 +30 5 4.4 +0.6
Portadown 1376 21 +5 5 3.4 +1.6
Newry Town 1454 19 -23 2 4.5 -2.5
Ards 1405 18 -18 3 4.6 -1.6
Larne 1349 13 -13 1 2.3 -1.3
Cliftonville 1275 12 -39 0 3.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAL BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.16
2-0-0
3.73
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
1.13
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.01
Ballymena
1-0-1
3.27
—
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
1.41
2-0-0
4.18
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.57
Bangor
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.62
—
2-0-0
1.14
1-1-0
4.07
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
1.44
2-0-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.69
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
4.29
0-0-2
4.56
—
1-1-0
5.00
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
4.26
1-1-0
4.34
0-0-2
4.01
2-0-0
4.65
0-0-2
2.94
1-0-1
4.13
1-0-1
4.56
2-0-0
4.63
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
1.62
0-1-1
0.72
—
1-0-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
1.04
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
0.70
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.13
Coleraine
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
4.34
—
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
3.78
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.82
Derry City
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
1.44
1-0-1
4.21
1-1-0
2.43
—
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
3.59
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.36
Glenavon
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.36
2-0-0
4.22
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
2.62
—
1-0-1
1.74
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
1.22
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.22
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.76
0-0-2
3.48
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
1.68
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.95
—
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
4.03
0-2-0
4.25
Larne
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
1.54
—
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
1.95
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.77
Linfield
1-1-0
4.57
1-0-1
4.03
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
2.75
2-0-0
5.02
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
4.48
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
4.67
—
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-0
4.69
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
3.25
1-0-1
1.56
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
3.74
0-0-2
1.94
—
1-0-1
3.49
0-1-1
3.69
Newry Town
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
1.14
1-0-1
3.87
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
2.20
—
1-0-1
3.24
Portadown
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
1.45
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.01
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.45
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +5.3
Allowed 0.68 -5.2
Differential 0.94 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%1.65%4.40%1.37%1.10%0.82%10.99%
11.65%4.40%5.77%6.32%1.37%4.40%23.90%
24.40%5.77%3.30%3.85%2.20%3.30%22.80%
31.37%6.32%3.85%3.30%2.47%2.75%20.05%
41.10%1.37%2.20%2.47%1.65%0.27%9.07%
5+0.82%4.40%3.30%2.75%0.27%1.65%13.19%
Total10.99%23.90%22.80%20.05%9.07%13.19%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.40 2.40 +0.00
SD 1.70 1.70 2.45
CV 0.71 0.71 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%———7.69%
1—7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%15.38%42.31%
2—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%—7.69%23.08%
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total—19.23%34.62%15.38%7.69%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.96 -1.15
SD 1.13 1.73 2.09
CV 0.63 0.58 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—7.69%3.85%15.38%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
Total23.08%30.77%11.54%19.23%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.77 +0.73
SD 1.96 1.50 2.51
CV 0.79 0.85 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
13.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
211.54%7.69%—11.54%—3.85%34.62%
3—11.54%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
4———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
5+——3.85%3.85%—3.85%11.54%
Total19.23%23.08%7.69%30.77%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.23 +0.12
SD 1.67 1.73 1.95
CV 0.71 0.77 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.85%—3.85%
1—11.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%38.46%
23.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%—19.23%
5+—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
Total7.69%34.62%15.38%23.08%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 2.19 +0.42
SD 1.86 1.44 2.61
CV 0.71 0.66 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
1—3.85%11.54%3.85%—7.69%26.92%
2—3.85%—7.69%—11.54%23.08%
3——3.85%—3.85%3.85%11.54%
4——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
5+———————
Total3.85%15.38%30.77%23.08%3.85%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.96 -1.42
SD 1.33 1.87 2.00
CV 0.87 0.63 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
33.85%7.69%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%———3.85%15.38%
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%—3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.54 1.81 +0.73
SD 2.14 1.88 2.78
CV 0.84 1.04 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%—7.69%—19.23%
1—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
27.69%11.54%7.69%—7.69%3.85%38.46%
33.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
Total15.38%23.08%34.62%3.85%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.12 -0.12
SD 1.41 1.68 2.03
CV 0.71 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%——3.85%11.54%
13.85%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
2—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
3—7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
4—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
5+—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
Total3.85%26.92%23.08%26.92%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 2.42 +0.27
SD 1.89 1.39 2.59
CV 0.70 0.57 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
13.85%—11.54%3.85%——19.23%
23.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
3——7.69%7.69%——15.38%
43.85%——7.69%3.85%—15.38%
5+—7.69%11.54%——3.85%23.08%
Total11.54%23.08%30.77%26.92%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.04 2.04 +1.00
SD 1.61 1.34 1.79
CV 0.53 0.66 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
1——19.23%11.54%3.85%7.69%42.31%
2—3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
4———————
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total—19.23%30.77%19.23%11.54%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.96 -1.15
SD 1.17 1.73 1.89
CV 0.65 0.58 —
Max 5 7 +2
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
13.85%————3.85%7.69%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
33.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
4—3.85%7.69%——3.85%15.38%
5+—19.23%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
Total15.38%42.31%23.08%11.54%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.62 1.77 +1.85
SD 1.92 1.77 2.62
CV 0.53 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%———7.69%
1—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
27.69%3.85%—3.85%7.69%7.69%30.77%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total11.54%23.08%23.08%19.23%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.35 +0.15
SD 1.48 1.62 2.15
CV 0.59 0.69 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.54%3.85%——15.38%
13.85%——7.69%3.85%7.69%23.08%
27.69%—3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
3—7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total15.38%15.38%19.23%23.08%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.54 -0.58
SD 1.40 1.79 2.59
CV 0.71 0.71 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————7.69%7.69%
1—3.85%—11.54%—7.69%23.08%
23.85%—7.69%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3———11.54%11.54%—23.08%
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+———15.38%—3.85%19.23%
Total3.85%3.85%11.54%38.46%19.23%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 3.46 -0.85
SD 1.68 1.56 2.49
CV 0.64 0.45 —
Max 6 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1694 42 36.80 +5.20 90.0% 25 30 34 37 39 44 46
Belfast Celtic 1640 30 38.73 -8.73 1.0% 29 33 36 38 41 44 48
Glentoran 1632 36 31.98 +4.02 79.0% 20 24 28 32 36 39 42
Lisburn Distillery 1550 27 26.93 +0.07 55.0% 16 19 24 27 30 33 39
Ballymena 1544 29 26.63 +2.37 78.0% 16 20 24 26 29 34 39
Coleraine 1543 32 28.61 +3.39 86.0% 20 21 26 29 31 35 39
Glenavon 1521 27 24.65 +2.35 70.0% 13 17 21 25 28 32 34
Bangor 1511 29 23.99 +5.01 89.0% 13 16 21 24 27 31 38
Derry City 1506 29 26.60 +2.40 74.0% 18 19 23 27 30 34 36
Newry Town 1454 19 22.53 -3.53 28.0% 12 15 19 23 25 30 34
Ards 1405 18 21.74 -3.74 26.0% 12 14 18 22 25 29 31
Portadown 1376 21 20.14 +0.86 62.0% 10 14 18 20 23 27 31
Larne 1349 13 19.82 -6.82 4.0% 12 14 17 20 23 25 31
Cliftonville 1275 12 14.85 -2.85 31.0% 6 9 12 14 17 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.23%
Clear Edge
52.20%14.84%32.97%
Elo Value
Home Edge
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
067.66400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Linfield, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.37 * Some Luck: 3.37 to 5.05 * Lucky: 5.05 to 6.73 * Wild Swing: 6.73 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.21 * Off: 2.21 to 2.95 * Way Off: 2.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.27 points
Some Luck
04.2111
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
90.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Belfast Celtic
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 118.17
1.81
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.18
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield38.00%35.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Glentoran9.00%18.00%24.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———
Coleraine1.00%5.00%15.00%17.00%15.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%——
Belfast Celtic49.00%35.00%13.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Ballymena2.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%1.00%4.00%——
Bangor——4.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%
Derry City——11.00%14.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%15.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—
Glenavon——3.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%16.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%1.00%4.00%
Lisburn Distillery1.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%—
Portadown———1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%14.00%22.00%12.00%
Newry Town—1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%4.00%
Ards——1.00%—2.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%15.00%18.00%4.00%
Larne———1.00%—1.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%27.00%12.00%
Cliftonville———————1.00%1.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1929-08-20 Lisburn Distillery D 1-164.8 1492 1541 50.04% 15.73% 34.22%+0.12 -0.6 1
1929-08-20 @ Ards D 1-164.8 1541 1492 34.22% 15.73% 50.04%-0.12 +0.6 1
1929-08-20 Bangor L 1-271.1 1766 1483 78.42% 14.41% 7.17%+2.20 -12.4 0
1929-08-20 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-171.1 1483 1766 7.17% 14.41% 78.42%-2.20 +12.4 2
1929-08-20 Larne L 1-246.2 1322 1419 43.41% 15.73% 40.86%-0.18 -7.0 0
1929-08-20 @ Cliftonville W 2-146.2 1419 1322 40.86% 15.73% 43.41%+0.18 +7.0 2
1929-08-21 Portadown D 2-263.8 1482 1421 62.89% 15.55% 21.57%+0.81 -1.2 1
1929-08-21 @ Ballymena D 2-263.8 1421 1482 21.57% 15.55% 62.89%-0.81 +1.2 1
1929-08-21 Newry Town W 6-138.9 1462 1473 54.82% 15.70% 29.48%+0.36 +19.5 2
1929-08-21 @ Glenavon L 1-638.9 1473 1462 29.48% 15.70% 54.82%-0.36 -19.5 0
1929-08-21 Coleraine W 7-140.9 1626 1489 69.74% 15.26% 15.00%+1.29 +12.5 2
1929-08-21 @ Linfield L 1-740.9 1489 1626 15.00% 15.26% 69.74%-1.29 -12.5 0
1929-08-22 Glentoran L 1-256.4 1485 1538 49.46% 15.73% 34.81%+0.10 -7.9 0
1929-08-22 @ Derry City W 2-156.4 1538 1485 34.81% 15.73% 49.46%-0.10 +7.9 2
1929-08-24 Ards W 2-041.9 1496 1492 56.60% 15.68% 27.72%+0.45 +9.6 4
1929-08-24 @ Bangor L 0-241.9 1492 1496 27.72% 15.68% 56.60%-0.45 -9.6 1
1929-08-24 Cliftonville W 3-028.2 1476 1315 71.50% 15.15% 13.35%+1.44 +7.1 2
1929-08-24 @ Coleraine L 0-328.2 1315 1476 13.35% 15.15% 71.50%-1.44 -7.1 0
1929-08-24 Belfast Celtic W 4-053.9 1546 1753 28.52% 15.52% 55.96%-0.88 +33.5 4
1929-08-24 @ Glentoran L 0-453.9 1753 1546 55.96% 15.52% 28.52%+0.88 -33.5 0
1929-08-24 Glenavon L 1-252.0 1426 1482 48.97% 15.74% 35.29%+0.07 -7.8 2
1929-08-24 @ Larne W 2-152.0 1482 1426 35.29% 15.74% 48.97%-0.07 +7.8 4
1929-08-24 Linfield L 2-557.8 1541 1639 43.24% 15.73% 41.03%-0.19 -14.9 1
1929-08-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-257.8 1639 1541 41.03% 15.73% 43.24%+0.19 +14.9 4
1929-08-24 Ballymena W 2-041.1 1454 1481 52.82% 15.72% 31.46%+0.26 +10.7 2
1929-08-24 @ Newry Town L 0-241.1 1481 1454 31.46% 15.72% 52.82%-0.26 -10.7 1
1929-08-24 Derry City W 6-559.9 1422 1477 49.14% 15.73% 35.13%+0.08 +5.3 3
1929-08-24 @ Portadown L 5-659.9 1477 1422 35.13% 15.73% 49.14%-0.08 -5.3 0
1929-08-31 Glentoran L 1-548.5 1482 1579 43.31% 15.73% 40.96%-0.18 -22.2 1
1929-08-31 @ Ards W 5-148.5 1579 1482 40.96% 15.73% 43.31%+0.18 +22.2 6
1929-08-31 Portadown W 5-139.9 1720 1428 78.84% 14.34% 6.82%+2.26 +4.0 2
1929-08-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-539.9 1428 1720 6.82% 14.34% 78.84%-2.26 -4.0 3
1929-08-31 Lisburn Distillery L 1-243.3 1308 1526 27.31% 15.49% 57.20%-0.95 -4.7 0
1929-08-31 @ Cliftonville W 2-143.3 1526 1308 57.20% 15.49% 27.31%+0.95 +4.7 3
1929-08-31 Ballymena D 1-161.4 1472 1470 56.41% 15.68% 27.91%+0.44 -1.1 1
1929-08-31 @ Derry City D 1-161.4 1470 1472 27.91% 15.68% 56.41%-0.44 +1.1 2
1929-08-31 Coleraine L 1-353.8 1490 1483 56.90% 15.67% 27.43%+0.46 -15.6 4
1929-08-31 @ Glenavon W 3-153.8 1483 1490 27.43% 15.67% 56.90%-0.46 +15.5 4
1929-08-31 Newry Town W 3-143.8 1418 1464 50.26% 15.73% 34.01%+0.13 +9.9 4
1929-08-31 @ Larne L 1-343.8 1464 1418 34.01% 15.73% 50.26%-0.13 -9.9 2
1929-08-31 Bangor W 3-147.2 1653 1505 70.58% 15.21% 14.21%+1.36 +4.5 6
1929-08-31 @ Linfield L 1-347.2 1505 1653 14.21% 15.21% 70.58%-1.36 -4.5 4
1929-09-07 Belfast Celtic D 1-169.9 1471 1724 23.48% 15.36% 61.15%-1.16 +1.5 3
1929-09-07 @ Ballymena D 1-169.9 1724 1471 61.15% 15.36% 23.48%+1.16 -1.5 3
1929-09-07 Cliftonville W 6-338.6 1501 1304 73.90% 14.96% 11.14%+1.66 +4.0 6
1929-09-07 @ Bangor L 3-638.6 1304 1501 11.14% 14.96% 73.90%-1.66 -4.0 0
1929-09-07 Larne W 7-551.9 1499 1428 63.94% 15.51% 20.55%+0.87 +5.0 6
1929-09-07 @ Coleraine L 5-751.9 1428 1499 20.55% 15.51% 63.94%-0.87 -5.0 4
1929-09-07 Linfield D 3-378.9 1601 1658 48.92% 15.74% 35.35%+0.07 -0.3 7
1929-09-07 @ Glentoran D 3-378.9 1658 1601 35.35% 15.74% 48.92%-0.07 +0.3 7
1929-09-07 Glenavon W 2-040.8 1531 1474 62.51% 15.56% 21.93%+0.78 +7.7 5
1929-09-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.8 1474 1531 21.93% 15.56% 62.51%-0.78 -7.7 4
1929-09-07 Derry City L 2-358.3 1455 1471 54.14% 15.70% 30.15%+0.32 -8.1 2
1929-09-07 @ Newry Town W 3-258.3 1471 1455 30.15% 15.70% 54.14%-0.32 +8.1 3
1929-09-07 Ards D 1-159.5 1424 1460 51.60% 15.72% 32.68%+0.20 -0.7 4
1929-09-07 @ Portadown D 1-159.5 1460 1424 32.68% 15.72% 51.60%-0.20 +0.7 2
1929-09-14 Ballymena L 0-248.1 1461 1473 54.73% 15.70% 29.57%+0.35 -17.3 2
1929-09-14 @ Ards W 2-048.1 1473 1461 29.57% 15.70% 54.73%-0.35 +17.3 5
1929-09-14 Derry City W 4-037.8 1722 1479 76.53% 14.68% 8.79%+1.96 +6.2 5
1929-09-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-437.8 1479 1722 8.79% 14.68% 76.53%-1.96 -6.2 3
1929-09-14 Glentoran L 2-346.6 1300 1601 18.82% 15.15% 66.03%-1.47 -3.2 0
1929-09-14 @ Cliftonville W 3-246.6 1601 1300 66.03% 15.15% 18.82%+1.47 +3.2 9
1929-09-14 Newry Town W 4-139.7 1504 1446 62.58% 15.55% 21.87%+0.79 +9.5 8
1929-09-14 @ Coleraine L 1-439.7 1446 1504 21.87% 15.55% 62.58%-0.79 -9.5 2
1929-09-14 Bangor W 5-247.7 1466 1505 51.34% 15.73% 32.93%+0.18 +11.8 6
1929-09-14 @ Glenavon L 2-547.7 1505 1466 32.93% 15.73% 51.34%-0.18 -11.8 6
1929-09-14 Lisburn Distillery W 3-149.4 1423 1539 40.56% 15.71% 43.72%-0.30 +12.2 6
1929-09-14 @ Larne L 1-349.4 1539 1423 43.72% 15.71% 40.56%+0.30 -12.2 5
1929-09-14 Portadown D 3-374.6 1658 1423 76.10% 14.73% 9.17%+1.90 -1.8 8
1929-09-14 @ Linfield D 3-374.6 1423 1658 9.17% 14.73% 76.10%-1.90 +1.8 5
1929-09-21 Linfield L 1-450.1 1490 1656 33.66% 15.63% 50.71%-0.62 -13.8 5
1929-09-21 @ Ballymena W 4-150.1 1656 1490 50.71% 15.63% 33.66%+0.62 +13.8 10
1929-09-21 Larne L 2-360.8 1493 1435 62.61% 15.55% 21.84%+0.79 -9.3 6
1929-09-21 @ Bangor W 3-260.8 1435 1493 21.84% 15.55% 62.61%-0.79 +9.3 8
1929-09-21 Ards D 2-264.2 1473 1444 59.56% 15.63% 24.82%+0.61 -1.0 4
1929-09-21 @ Derry City D 2-264.2 1444 1473 24.82% 15.63% 59.56%-0.61 +1.0 3
1929-09-21 Glenavon W 2-148.3 1604 1478 68.85% 15.31% 15.84%+1.22 +2.9 11
1929-09-21 @ Glentoran L 1-248.3 1478 1604 15.84% 15.31% 68.85%-1.22 -2.9 6
1929-09-21 Coleraine W 2-043.6 1527 1513 57.71% 15.66% 26.63%+0.51 +9.2 7
1929-09-21 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-243.6 1513 1527 26.63% 15.66% 57.71%-0.51 -9.2 8
1929-09-21 Belfast Celtic L 0-245.4 1437 1729 19.69% 15.19% 65.11%-1.41 -7.0 2
1929-09-21 @ Newry Town W 2-045.4 1729 1437 65.11% 15.19% 19.69%+1.41 +7.0 7
1929-09-21 Cliftonville W 2-030.9 1425 1296 69.03% 15.30% 15.67%+1.23 +5.7 7
1929-09-21 @ Portadown L 0-230.9 1296 1425 15.67% 15.30% 69.03%-1.23 -5.7 0
1929-09-28 Belfast Celtic L 1-252.3 1445 1736 19.75% 15.20% 65.05%-1.40 -3.5 3
1929-09-28 @ Ards W 2-152.3 1736 1445 65.05% 15.20% 19.75%+1.40 +3.5 9
1929-09-28 Ballymena L 0-236.4 1291 1476 31.26% 15.59% 53.15%-0.74 -10.6 0
1929-09-28 @ Cliftonville W 2-036.4 1476 1291 53.15% 15.59% 31.26%+0.74 +10.6 7
1929-09-28 Bangor W 2-041.3 1504 1484 58.58% 15.64% 25.77%+0.56 +9.0 10
1929-09-28 @ Coleraine L 0-241.3 1484 1504 25.77% 15.64% 58.58%-0.56 -9.0 6
1929-09-28 Glentoran L 0-149.8 1444 1607 34.16% 15.64% 50.20%-0.60 -6.1 8
1929-09-28 @ Larne W 1-049.8 1607 1444 50.20% 15.64% 34.16%+0.60 +6.1 13
1929-09-28 Derry City W 6-244.6 1670 1472 73.99% 14.95% 11.06%+1.67 +5.5 12
1929-09-28 @ Linfield L 2-644.6 1472 1670 11.06% 14.95% 73.99%-1.67 -5.5 4
1929-09-28 Newry Town W 4-352.5 1536 1430 67.14% 15.39% 17.47%+1.09 +2.9 9
1929-09-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-452.5 1430 1536 17.47% 15.39% 67.14%-1.09 -2.9 2
1929-09-28 Glenavon D 2-263.8 1430 1475 50.49% 15.73% 33.78%+0.14 -0.5 8
1929-09-28 @ Portadown D 2-263.8 1475 1430 33.78% 15.73% 50.49%-0.14 +0.5 7
1929-10-05 Glenavon W 5-035.2 1487 1476 57.45% 15.66% 26.88%+0.49 +21.7 9
1929-10-05 @ Ballymena L 0-535.2 1476 1487 26.88% 15.66% 57.45%-0.49 -21.7 7
1929-10-05 Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.1 1475 1539 47.89% 15.74% 36.37%+0.02 +6.1 8
1929-10-05 @ Bangor L 1-252.1 1539 1475 36.37% 15.74% 47.89%-0.02 -6.0 9
1929-10-05 Linfield L 1-365.8 1739 1676 63.15% 15.54% 21.31%+0.82 -17.2 9
1929-10-05 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-165.8 1676 1739 21.31% 15.54% 63.15%-0.82 +17.2 14
1929-10-05 Cliftonville W 4-344.6 1466 1280 73.22% 15.02% 11.76%+1.60 +2.0 6
1929-10-05 @ Derry City L 3-444.6 1280 1466 11.76% 15.02% 73.22%-1.60 -2.0 0
1929-10-05 Coleraine L 2-369.0 1613 1513 66.62% 15.41% 17.96%+1.05 -9.9 13
1929-10-05 @ Glentoran W 3-269.0 1513 1613 17.96% 15.41% 66.62%-1.05 +9.9 12
1929-10-05 Ards W 3-142.1 1427 1441 54.44% 15.70% 29.86%+0.34 +8.8 4
1929-10-05 @ Newry Town L 1-342.1 1441 1427 29.86% 15.70% 54.44%-0.34 -8.8 3
1929-10-05 Larne W 5-349.5 1430 1438 55.16% 15.69% 29.15%+0.37 +7.3 10
1929-10-05 @ Portadown L 3-549.5 1438 1430 29.15% 15.69% 55.16%-0.37 -7.3 8
1929-10-12 Newry Town W 2-038.0 1481 1436 61.23% 15.59% 23.18%+0.71 +8.1 10
1929-10-12 @ Bangor L 0-238.0 1436 1481 23.18% 15.59% 61.23%-0.71 -8.1 4
1929-10-12 Belfast Celtic D 1-164.0 1278 1722 9.35% 14.26% 76.39%-2.36 +2.8 1
1929-10-12 @ Cliftonville D 1-164.0 1722 1278 76.39% 14.26% 9.35%+2.36 -2.8 10
1929-10-12 Portadown W 8-035.3 1523 1437 65.34% 15.47% 19.19%+0.97 +25.0 14
1929-10-12 @ Coleraine L 0-835.3 1437 1523 19.19% 15.47% 65.34%-0.97 -25.0 10
1929-10-12 Derry City L 2-358.2 1454 1468 54.39% 15.70% 29.91%+0.33 -8.2 7
1929-10-12 @ Glenavon W 3-258.2 1468 1454 29.91% 15.70% 54.39%-0.33 +8.2 8
1929-10-12 Ballymena L 1-252.2 1431 1508 46.04% 15.74% 38.22%-0.06 -7.4 8
1929-10-12 @ Larne W 2-152.2 1508 1431 38.22% 15.74% 46.04%+0.06 +7.4 11
1929-10-12 Ards D 2-271.9 1693 1432 77.40% 14.56% 8.04%+2.07 -2.2 15
1929-10-12 @ Linfield D 2-271.9 1432 1693 8.04% 14.56% 77.40%-2.07 +2.2 4
1929-10-12 Glentoran L 2-557.7 1533 1603 47.00% 15.74% 37.26%-0.02 -16.0 9
1929-10-12 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-257.7 1603 1533 37.26% 15.74% 47.00%+0.02 +16.0 15
1929-10-26 Cliftonville W 2-136.8 1434 1281 70.96% 15.19% 13.86%+1.39 +2.5 6
1929-10-26 @ Ards L 1-236.8 1281 1434 13.86% 15.19% 70.96%-1.39 -2.5 1
1929-10-26 Coleraine L 0-155.6 1516 1548 52.11% 15.72% 32.16%+0.22 -8.8 11
1929-10-26 @ Ballymena W 1-055.6 1548 1516 32.16% 15.72% 52.11%-0.22 +8.8 16
1929-10-26 Glenavon W 4-356.1 1719 1446 77.99% 14.48% 7.53%+2.14 +1.3 12
1929-10-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 3-456.1 1446 1719 7.53% 14.48% 77.99%-2.14 -1.3 7
1929-10-26 Larne W 2-143.7 1477 1424 62.11% 15.57% 22.32%+0.76 +3.9 10
1929-10-26 @ Derry City L 1-243.7 1424 1477 22.32% 15.57% 62.11%-0.76 -3.9 8
1929-10-26 Bangor D 6-682.0 1619 1489 69.19% 15.29% 15.52%+1.25 -1.0 16
1929-10-26 @ Glentoran D 6-682.0 1489 1619 15.52% 15.29% 69.19%-1.25 +1.0 11
1929-10-26 Linfield L 2-452.7 1428 1691 22.44% 15.32% 62.24%-1.23 -6.1 4
1929-10-26 @ Newry Town W 4-252.7 1691 1428 62.24% 15.32% 22.44%+1.23 +6.1 17
1929-10-26 Lisburn Distillery W 4-251.9 1412 1517 42.23% 15.72% 42.04%-0.23 +10.6 12
1929-10-26 @ Portadown L 2-451.9 1517 1412 42.04% 15.72% 42.23%+0.23 -10.6 9
1929-11-02 Portadown W 4-351.7 1490 1423 63.51% 15.53% 20.96%+0.85 +3.4 13
1929-11-02 @ Bangor L 3-451.7 1423 1490 20.96% 15.53% 63.51%-0.85 -3.4 12
1929-11-02 Linfield L 0-332.8 1278 1697 10.63% 14.44% 74.93%-2.21 -5.6 1
1929-11-02 @ Cliftonville W 3-032.8 1697 1278 74.93% 14.44% 10.63%+2.21 +5.6 19
1929-11-02 Derry City L 1-261.3 1557 1481 64.44% 15.50% 20.06%+0.91 -10.1 16
1929-11-02 @ Coleraine W 2-161.3 1481 1557 20.06% 15.50% 64.44%-0.91 +10.1 12
1929-11-02 Ards W 4-139.0 1445 1437 57.06% 15.67% 27.27%+0.47 +11.5 9
1929-11-02 @ Glenavon L 1-439.0 1437 1445 27.27% 15.67% 57.06%-0.47 -11.5 6
1929-11-02 Newry Town L 2-368.2 1618 1422 73.87% 14.96% 11.17%+1.66 -11.0 16
1929-11-02 @ Glentoran W 3-268.2 1422 1618 11.17% 14.96% 73.87%-1.66 +11.1 6
1929-11-02 Belfast Celtic L 1-348.0 1420 1720 18.88% 15.15% 65.97%-1.47 -5.8 8
1929-11-02 @ Larne W 3-148.0 1720 1420 65.97% 15.15% 18.88%+1.47 +5.8 14
1929-11-02 Ballymena W 3-146.7 1506 1507 56.04% 15.68% 28.27%+0.42 +8.4 11
1929-11-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.7 1507 1506 28.27% 15.68% 56.04%-0.42 -8.4 11
1929-11-09 Larne W 2-143.3 1425 1414 57.54% 15.66% 26.80%+0.50 +4.6 8
1929-11-09 @ Ards L 1-243.3 1414 1425 26.80% 15.66% 57.54%-0.50 -4.6 8
1929-11-09 Bangor W 4-037.0 1499 1493 56.80% 15.67% 27.52%+0.46 +18.0 13
1929-11-09 @ Ballymena L 0-437.0 1493 1499 27.52% 15.67% 56.80%-0.46 -18.0 13
1929-11-09 Coleraine D 1-171.5 1726 1547 72.77% 15.05% 12.18%+1.55 -2.5 15
1929-11-09 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-171.5 1547 1726 12.18% 15.05% 72.77%-1.55 +2.5 17
1929-11-09 Lisburn Distillery D 1-163.8 1491 1514 53.21% 15.71% 31.08%+0.28 -0.9 13
1929-11-09 @ Derry City D 1-163.8 1514 1491 31.08% 15.71% 53.21%-0.28 +0.9 12
1929-11-09 Glenavon W 5-352.9 1703 1456 76.69% 14.66% 8.65%+1.98 +2.3 21
1929-11-09 @ Linfield L 3-552.9 1456 1703 8.65% 14.66% 76.69%-1.98 -2.3 9
1929-11-09 Cliftonville L 2-358.0 1433 1273 71.42% 15.15% 13.42%+1.43 -10.7 6
1929-11-09 @ Newry Town W 3-258.0 1273 1433 13.42% 15.15% 71.42%-1.43 +10.7 3
1929-11-09 Glentoran D 4-475.8 1419 1607 30.96% 15.58% 53.46%-0.75 +0.5 13
1929-11-09 @ Portadown D 4-475.8 1607 1419 53.46% 15.58% 30.96%+0.75 -0.5 17
1929-11-16 Derry City L 0-345.9 1475 1490 54.37% 15.70% 29.93%+0.33 -25.0 13
1929-11-16 @ Bangor W 3-045.9 1490 1475 29.93% 15.70% 54.37%-0.33 +25.0 15
1929-11-16 Ards W 6-136.5 1549 1430 68.28% 15.34% 16.38%+1.18 +11.5 19
1929-11-16 @ Coleraine L 1-636.5 1430 1549 16.38% 15.34% 68.28%-1.18 -11.4 8
1929-11-16 Cliftonville W 1-033.7 1454 1284 72.15% 15.10% 12.75%+1.50 +2.5 11
1929-11-16 @ Glenavon L 0-133.7 1284 1454 12.75% 15.10% 72.15%-1.50 -2.5 3
1929-11-16 Ballymena L 1-264.6 1607 1517 65.73% 15.45% 18.82%+0.99 -10.3 17
1929-11-16 @ Glentoran W 2-164.6 1517 1607 18.82% 15.45% 65.73%-0.99 +10.4 15
1929-11-16 Linfield L 1-542.9 1409 1705 19.33% 15.17% 65.50%-1.43 -10.9 8
1929-11-16 @ Larne W 5-142.9 1705 1409 65.50% 15.17% 19.33%+1.43 +10.8 23
1929-11-16 Belfast Celtic L 2-360.4 1515 1724 28.45% 15.52% 56.03%-0.88 -4.6 12
1929-11-16 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-260.4 1724 1515 56.03% 15.52% 28.45%+0.88 +4.6 17
1929-11-16 Portadown W 5-031.6 1422 1420 56.41% 15.68% 27.91%+0.44 +22.5 8
1929-11-16 @ Newry Town L 0-531.6 1420 1422 27.91% 15.68% 56.41%-0.44 -22.5 13
1929-11-23 Belfast Celtic W 3-162.6 1450 1728 20.97% 15.26% 63.78%-1.32 +17.3 15
1929-11-23 @ Bangor L 1-362.6 1728 1450 63.78% 15.26% 20.97%+1.32 -17.3 17
1929-11-23 Linfield D 0-069.0 1561 1716 35.20% 15.66% 49.14%-0.55 +0.6 20
1929-11-23 @ Coleraine D 0-069.0 1716 1561 49.14% 15.66% 35.20%+0.55 -0.6 24
1929-11-23 Derry City W 2-043.8 1596 1515 64.93% 15.48% 19.59%+0.94 +7.0 19
1929-11-23 @ Glentoran L 0-243.8 1515 1596 19.59% 15.48% 64.93%-0.94 -7.0 15
1929-11-23 Cliftonville L 1-252.6 1398 1281 68.12% 15.35% 16.53%+1.16 -10.7 8
1929-11-23 @ Larne W 2-152.6 1281 1398 16.53% 15.35% 68.12%-1.16 +10.7 5
1929-11-23 Ards W 6-344.6 1511 1419 65.92% 15.44% 18.64%+1.00 +6.5 14
1929-11-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-644.6 1419 1511 18.64% 15.44% 65.92%-1.00 -6.6 8
1929-11-23 Glenavon W 3-143.0 1445 1456 54.73% 15.70% 29.57%+0.35 +8.8 10
1929-11-23 @ Newry Town L 1-343.0 1456 1445 29.57% 15.70% 54.73%-0.35 -8.8 11
1929-11-23 Ballymena W 5-356.2 1397 1527 38.68% 15.70% 45.62%-0.39 +10.7 15
1929-11-23 @ Portadown L 3-556.2 1527 1397 45.62% 15.70% 38.68%+0.39 -10.7 15
1929-12-07 Bangor D 4-470.6 1412 1468 49.06% 15.73% 35.20%+0.08 -0.3 9
1929-12-07 @ Ards D 4-470.6 1468 1412 35.20% 15.73% 49.06%-0.08 +0.3 16
1929-12-07 Newry Town W 3-036.2 1516 1453 63.12% 15.54% 21.34%+0.82 +11.0 17
1929-12-07 @ Ballymena L 0-336.2 1453 1516 21.34% 15.54% 63.12%-0.82 -11.0 10
1929-12-07 Glentoran L 1-269.0 1711 1603 67.30% 15.39% 17.31%+1.10 -10.6 17
1929-12-07 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-169.0 1603 1711 17.31% 15.39% 67.30%-1.10 +10.6 21
1929-12-07 Coleraine W 4-255.6 1292 1561 21.79% 15.30% 62.92%-1.27 +15.3 7
1929-12-07 @ Cliftonville L 2-455.6 1561 1292 62.92% 15.30% 21.79%+1.27 -15.3 20
1929-12-07 Portadown W 5-241.2 1508 1408 66.60% 15.42% 17.99%+1.05 +6.9 17
1929-12-07 @ Derry City L 2-541.2 1408 1508 17.99% 15.42% 66.60%-1.05 -6.9 15
1929-12-07 Larne W 3-138.7 1447 1388 62.81% 15.55% 21.65%+0.80 +6.6 13
1929-12-07 @ Glenavon L 1-338.7 1388 1447 21.65% 15.55% 62.81%-0.80 -6.6 8
1929-12-07 Lisburn Distillery W 4-252.0 1715 1517 73.95% 14.95% 11.10%+1.67 +3.2 26
1929-12-07 @ Linfield L 2-452.0 1517 1715 11.10% 14.95% 73.95%-1.67 -3.2 14
1929-12-14 Derry City W 4-038.6 1527 1515 57.64% 15.66% 26.70%+0.50 +17.5 19
1929-12-14 @ Ballymena L 0-438.6 1515 1527 26.70% 15.66% 57.64%-0.50 -17.5 17
1929-12-14 Linfield W 1-061.8 1468 1718 23.74% 15.37% 60.89%-1.15 +10.2 18
1929-12-14 @ Bangor L 0-161.8 1718 1468 60.89% 15.37% 23.74%+1.15 -10.1 26
1929-12-14 Glenavon W 5-138.7 1546 1454 65.91% 15.44% 18.65%+1.00 +10.6 22
1929-12-14 @ Coleraine L 1-538.7 1454 1546 18.65% 15.44% 65.91%-1.00 -10.5 13
1929-12-14 Ards W 6-136.5 1614 1412 74.21% 14.93% 10.86%+1.70 +7.7 23
1929-12-14 @ Glentoran L 1-636.5 1412 1614 10.86% 14.93% 74.21%-1.70 -7.7 9
1929-12-14 Cliftonville W 3-134.8 1514 1307 74.51% 14.90% 10.59%+1.73 +3.4 16
1929-12-14 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-334.8 1307 1514 10.59% 14.90% 74.51%-1.73 -3.4 7
1929-12-14 Larne D 2-261.5 1442 1381 62.96% 15.54% 21.50%+0.81 -1.2 11
1929-12-14 @ Newry Town D 2-261.5 1381 1442 21.50% 15.54% 62.96%-0.81 +1.2 9
1929-12-14 Belfast Celtic L 1-346.9 1401 1700 19.03% 15.16% 65.81%-1.45 -5.8 15
1929-12-14 @ Portadown W 3-146.9 1700 1401 65.81% 15.16% 19.03%+1.45 +5.9 19
1929-12-21 Portadown W 4-243.7 1404 1395 57.18% 15.67% 27.15%+0.48 +7.3 11
1929-12-21 @ Ards L 2-443.7 1395 1404 27.15% 15.67% 57.18%-0.48 -7.3 15
1929-12-21 Ballymena W 4-359.8 1706 1545 71.54% 15.15% 13.32%+1.44 +2.2 21
1929-12-21 @ Belfast Celtic L 3-459.8 1545 1706 13.32% 15.15% 71.54%-1.44 -2.2 19
1929-12-21 Bangor D 0-054.5 1304 1478 32.66% 15.61% 51.73%-0.67 +0.8 8
1929-12-21 @ Cliftonville D 0-054.5 1478 1304 51.73% 15.61% 32.66%+0.67 -0.8 19
1929-12-21 Newry Town W 2-038.4 1497 1441 62.42% 15.56% 22.02%+0.78 +7.8 19
1929-12-21 @ Derry City L 0-238.4 1441 1497 22.02% 15.56% 62.42%-0.78 -7.8 11
1929-12-21 Lisburn Distillery L 2-357.2 1444 1518 46.53% 15.74% 37.73%-0.04 -7.1 13
1929-12-21 @ Glenavon W 3-257.2 1518 1444 37.73% 15.74% 46.53%+0.04 +7.1 18
1929-12-21 Coleraine L 2-449.4 1382 1557 32.64% 15.61% 51.74%-0.67 -8.5 9
1929-12-21 @ Larne W 4-249.4 1557 1382 51.74% 15.61% 32.64%+0.67 +8.5 24
1929-12-21 Glentoran W 3-151.8 1708 1622 65.40% 15.46% 19.13%+0.97 +5.9 28
1929-12-21 @ Linfield L 1-351.8 1622 1708 19.13% 15.46% 65.40%-0.97 -5.9 23
1929-12-25 Ards L 1-356.7 1542 1411 69.25% 15.29% 15.46%+1.25 -18.9 19
1929-12-25 @ Ballymena W 3-156.7 1411 1542 15.46% 15.29% 69.25%-1.25 +18.9 13
1929-12-25 Glenavon D 3-368.3 1477 1436 60.80% 15.60% 23.60%+0.68 -0.9 20
1929-12-25 @ Bangor D 3-368.3 1436 1477 23.60% 15.60% 60.80%-0.68 +0.9 14
1929-12-25 Belfast Celtic W 3-161.0 1505 1708 29.02% 15.54% 55.45%-0.85 +15.1 21
1929-12-25 @ Derry City L 1-361.0 1708 1505 55.45% 15.54% 29.02%+0.85 -15.1 21
1929-12-25 Cliftonville W 5-237.4 1616 1305 79.63% 14.20% 6.17%+2.38 +2.4 25
1929-12-25 @ Glentoran L 2-537.4 1305 1616 6.17% 14.20% 79.63%-2.38 -2.4 8
1929-12-25 Larne W 3-031.4 1525 1374 70.77% 15.20% 14.03%+1.37 +7.4 20
1929-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-331.4 1374 1525 14.03% 15.20% 70.77%-1.37 -7.4 9
1929-12-25 Coleraine W 1-051.4 1433 1565 38.35% 15.69% 45.96%-0.40 +7.8 13
1929-12-25 @ Newry Town L 0-151.4 1565 1433 45.96% 15.69% 38.35%+0.40 -7.8 24
1929-12-26 Derry City L 1-252.1 1430 1520 44.31% 15.73% 39.96%-0.14 -7.2 13
1929-12-26 @ Ards W 2-152.1 1520 1430 39.96% 15.73% 44.31%+0.14 +7.2 23
1929-12-26 Newry Town L 1-462.4 1693 1441 76.98% 14.62% 8.40%+2.01 -29.8 21
1929-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic W 4-162.4 1441 1693 8.40% 14.62% 76.98%-2.01 +29.8 15
1929-12-26 Portadown W 4-352.3 1302 1388 44.83% 15.73% 39.43%-0.12 +6.0 10
1929-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 3-452.3 1388 1302 39.43% 15.73% 44.83%+0.12 -6.0 15
1929-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 2-559.9 1557 1532 59.11% 15.63% 25.26%+0.58 -19.8 24
1929-12-26 @ Coleraine W 5-259.9 1532 1557 25.26% 15.63% 59.11%-0.58 +19.8 22
1929-12-26 Glentoran W 2-158.5 1437 1618 31.83% 15.60% 52.57%-0.71 +8.3 16
1929-12-26 @ Glenavon L 1-258.5 1618 1437 52.57% 15.60% 31.83%+0.71 -8.3 25
1929-12-26 Bangor L 2-546.1 1366 1476 41.43% 15.72% 42.85%-0.27 -14.3 9
1929-12-26 @ Larne W 5-246.1 1476 1366 42.85% 15.72% 41.43%+0.27 +14.3 22
1929-12-26 Ballymena L 4-772.2 1714 1524 73.49% 14.99% 11.52%+1.62 -21.7 28
1929-12-26 @ Linfield W 7-472.2 1524 1714 11.52% 14.99% 73.49%-1.62 +21.7 21
1929-12-28 Cliftonville W 7-129.9 1545 1308 76.21% 14.72% 9.08%+1.92 +7.7 23
1929-12-28 @ Ballymena L 1-729.9 1308 1545 9.08% 14.72% 76.21%-1.92 -7.7 10
1929-12-28 Coleraine D 1-164.6 1491 1538 50.20% 15.73% 34.07%+0.13 -0.6 23
1929-12-28 @ Bangor D 1-164.6 1538 1491 34.07% 15.73% 50.20%-0.13 +0.6 25
1929-12-28 Ards W 6-138.0 1664 1423 76.38% 14.69% 8.92%+1.94 +6.4 23
1929-12-28 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-638.0 1423 1664 8.92% 14.69% 76.38%-1.94 -6.4 13
1929-12-28 Linfield L 0-251.0 1527 1692 33.84% 15.64% 50.52%-0.61 -11.4 23
1929-12-28 @ Derry City W 2-051.0 1692 1527 50.52% 15.64% 33.84%+0.61 +11.4 30
1929-12-28 Lisburn Distillery W 2-046.5 1471 1552 45.57% 15.74% 38.70%-0.08 +12.8 17
1929-12-28 @ Newry Town L 0-246.5 1552 1471 38.70% 15.74% 45.57%+0.08 -12.8 22
1930-01-01 Portadown W 4-349.3 1446 1382 63.17% 15.54% 21.29%+0.82 +3.5 18
1930-01-01 @ Glenavon L 3-449.3 1382 1446 21.29% 15.54% 63.17%-0.82 -3.5 15
1930-01-04 Newry Town W 3-252.2 1417 1484 47.50% 15.74% 36.76%+0.00 +5.8 15
1930-01-04 @ Ards L 2-352.2 1484 1417 36.76% 15.74% 47.50%+0.00 -5.8 17
1930-01-04 Derry City W 4-252.9 1300 1516 27.61% 15.50% 56.89%-0.93 +13.9 12
1930-01-04 @ Cliftonville L 2-452.9 1516 1300 56.89% 15.50% 27.61%+0.93 -13.9 23
1930-01-04 Portadown W 3-139.5 1352 1379 52.83% 15.72% 31.45%+0.26 +9.2 11
1930-01-04 @ Larne L 1-339.5 1379 1352 31.45% 15.72% 52.83%-0.26 -9.2 15
1930-01-04 Belfast Celtic W 5-255.1 1704 1670 60.05% 15.62% 24.33%+0.64 +9.0 32
1930-01-04 @ Linfield L 2-555.1 1670 1704 24.33% 15.62% 60.05%-0.64 -9.0 23
1930-01-04 Bangor L 0-253.6 1539 1490 61.69% 15.58% 22.74%+0.73 -19.4 22
1930-01-04 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-053.6 1490 1539 22.74% 15.58% 61.69%-0.73 +19.4 25
1930-01-15 Cliftonville W 7-235.3 1661 1314 80.95% 13.92% 5.12%+2.61 +3.1 25
1930-01-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-735.3 1314 1661 5.12% 13.92% 80.95%-2.61 -3.1 12
1930-01-18 Glentoran L 2-361.8 1509 1610 42.80% 15.73% 41.47%-0.21 -6.6 25
1930-01-18 @ Bangor W 3-261.8 1610 1509 41.47% 15.73% 42.80%+0.21 +6.6 27
1930-01-18 Ards L 2-349.5 1311 1422 41.25% 15.72% 43.03%-0.27 -6.4 12
1930-01-18 @ Cliftonville W 3-249.5 1422 1311 43.03% 15.72% 41.25%+0.27 +6.4 17
1930-01-18 Ballymena W 2-152.9 1538 1553 54.35% 15.70% 29.94%+0.33 +5.1 27
1930-01-18 @ Coleraine L 1-252.9 1553 1538 29.94% 15.70% 54.35%-0.33 -5.1 23
1930-01-18 Belfast Celtic D 4-478.9 1449 1664 27.69% 15.50% 56.81%-0.93 +0.6 19
1930-01-18 @ Glenavon D 4-478.9 1664 1449 56.81% 15.50% 27.69%+0.93 -0.6 26
1930-01-18 Derry City D 2-262.5 1361 1502 37.12% 15.68% 47.20%-0.46 +0.3 12
1930-01-18 @ Larne D 2-262.5 1502 1361 47.20% 15.68% 37.12%+0.46 -0.3 24
1930-01-18 Newry Town W 6-141.1 1713 1478 76.09% 14.73% 9.18%+1.90 +6.6 34
1930-01-18 @ Linfield L 1-641.1 1478 1713 9.18% 14.73% 76.09%-1.90 -6.6 17
1930-01-18 Portadown D 3-367.6 1520 1370 70.71% 15.20% 14.09%+1.37 -1.5 23
1930-01-18 @ Lisburn Distillery D 3-367.6 1370 1520 14.09% 15.20% 70.71%-1.37 +1.5 16
1930-01-22 Linfield L 1-348.6 1429 1719 19.80% 15.20% 65.00%-1.40 -6.1 17
1930-01-22 @ Ards W 3-148.6 1719 1429 65.00% 15.20% 19.80%+1.40 +6.1 36
1930-01-22 Larne W 3-137.8 1548 1361 73.23% 15.02% 11.76%+1.60 +3.7 25
1930-01-22 @ Ballymena L 1-337.8 1361 1548 11.76% 15.02% 73.23%-1.60 -3.7 12
1930-01-22 Lisburn Distillery W 4-358.7 1616 1518 66.48% 15.42% 18.10%+1.04 +3.0 29
1930-01-22 @ Glentoran L 3-458.7 1518 1616 18.10% 15.42% 66.48%-1.04 -3.0 23
1930-01-22 Bangor L 1-352.4 1471 1503 52.22% 15.72% 32.05%+0.23 -14.3 17
1930-01-22 @ Newry Town W 3-152.4 1503 1471 32.05% 15.72% 52.22%-0.23 +14.4 27
1930-01-23 Glenavon W 2-039.0 1502 1450 61.98% 15.57% 22.45%+0.75 +7.9 26
1930-01-23 @ Derry City L 0-239.0 1450 1502 22.45% 15.57% 61.98%-0.75 -7.9 19
1930-01-23 Coleraine L 1-344.5 1371 1543 32.91% 15.62% 51.47%-0.66 -9.6 16
1930-01-23 @ Portadown W 3-144.5 1543 1371 51.47% 15.62% 32.91%+0.66 +9.6 29
1930-01-25 Glenavon L 3-556.8 1423 1442 53.81% 15.71% 30.49%+0.31 -12.5 17
1930-01-25 @ Ards W 5-356.8 1442 1423 30.49% 15.71% 53.81%-0.31 +12.5 21
1930-01-25 Lisburn Distillery W 6-351.3 1552 1515 60.34% 15.61% 24.05%+0.65 +8.3 27
1930-01-25 @ Ballymena L 3-651.3 1515 1552 24.05% 15.61% 60.34%-0.65 -8.3 23
1930-01-25 Larne W 4-137.3 1663 1358 79.40% 14.24% 6.36%+2.35 +2.9 28
1930-01-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-437.3 1358 1663 6.36% 14.24% 79.40%-2.35 -2.9 12
1930-01-25 Coleraine D 0-063.5 1510 1553 50.68% 15.73% 33.59%+0.15 -0.7 27
1930-01-25 @ Derry City D 0-063.5 1553 1510 33.59% 15.73% 50.68%-0.15 +0.7 30
1930-01-25 Cliftonville W 1-039.1 1725 1305 83.25% 13.30% 3.45%+3.07 +0.7 38
1930-01-25 @ Linfield L 0-139.1 1305 1725 3.45% 13.30% 83.25%-3.07 -0.7 12
1930-01-25 Glentoran L 2-552.0 1457 1619 34.20% 15.64% 50.16%-0.60 -12.2 17
1930-01-25 @ Newry Town W 5-252.0 1619 1457 50.16% 15.64% 34.20%+0.60 +12.2 31
1930-01-25 Bangor W 5-355.8 1361 1517 35.09% 15.65% 49.26%-0.55 +11.5 18
1930-01-25 @ Portadown L 3-555.8 1517 1361 49.26% 15.65% 35.09%+0.55 -11.5 27
1930-02-01 Glentoran L 1-260.5 1554 1632 45.98% 15.74% 38.28%-0.06 -7.4 30
1930-02-01 @ Coleraine W 2-160.5 1632 1554 38.28% 15.74% 45.98%+0.06 +7.4 33
1930-02-01 Ballymena W 3-150.9 1454 1560 42.08% 15.72% 42.20%-0.24 +11.9 23
1930-02-01 @ Glenavon L 1-350.9 1560 1454 42.20% 15.72% 42.08%+0.24 -11.9 27
1930-02-03 Linfield L 1-540.9 1373 1726 14.70% 14.86% 70.44%-1.80 -8.4 18
1930-02-03 @ Portadown W 5-140.9 1726 1373 70.44% 14.86% 14.70%+1.80 +8.4 40
1930-02-05 Larne W 4-350.2 1639 1355 78.49% 14.40% 7.12%+2.21 +1.2 35
1930-02-05 @ Glentoran L 3-450.2 1355 1639 7.12% 14.40% 78.49%-2.21 -1.2 12
1930-02-08 Belfast Celtic L 3-563.9 1546 1666 40.01% 15.71% 44.28%-0.33 -9.6 30
1930-02-08 @ Coleraine W 5-363.9 1666 1546 44.28% 15.71% 40.01%+0.33 +9.6 30
1930-02-08 Ards D 3-364.3 1354 1410 48.90% 15.74% 35.37%+0.07 -0.3 13
1930-02-08 @ Larne D 3-364.3 1410 1354 35.37% 15.74% 48.90%-0.07 +0.3 18
1930-02-08 Derry City W 4-251.0 1507 1509 55.92% 15.69% 28.39%+0.41 +7.6 25
1930-02-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-451.0 1509 1507 28.39% 15.69% 55.92%-0.41 -7.6 27
1930-02-12 Newry Town L 1-537.0 1304 1445 37.14% 15.68% 47.18%-0.46 -19.5 12
1930-02-12 @ Cliftonville W 5-137.0 1445 1304 47.18% 15.68% 37.14%+0.46 +19.5 19
1930-02-12 Linfield W 7-157.5 1466 1734 21.92% 15.30% 62.78%-1.26 +45.2 25
1930-02-12 @ Glenavon L 1-757.5 1734 1466 62.78% 15.30% 21.92%+1.26 -45.2 40
1930-02-12 Portadown D 3-371.9 1640 1364 78.11% 14.46% 7.43%+2.16 -1.9 36
1930-02-12 @ Glentoran D 3-371.9 1364 1640 7.43% 14.46% 78.11%-2.16 +1.9 19
1930-02-15 Coleraine L 2-354.5 1411 1537 39.17% 15.70% 45.13%-0.37 -6.1 18
1930-02-15 @ Ards W 3-254.5 1537 1411 45.13% 15.70% 39.17%+0.37 +6.1 32
1930-02-15 Glentoran W 2-158.7 1548 1638 44.23% 15.73% 40.03%-0.14 +6.6 29
1930-02-15 @ Ballymena L 1-258.7 1638 1548 40.03% 15.73% 44.23%+0.14 -6.6 36
1930-02-15 Lisburn Distillery L 1-560.6 1676 1514 71.53% 15.15% 13.32%+1.44 -35.7 30
1930-02-15 @ Belfast Celtic W 5-160.6 1514 1676 13.32% 15.15% 71.53%-1.44 +35.7 27
1930-02-15 Glenavon L 2-540.3 1285 1511 26.32% 15.46% 58.22%-1.00 -9.7 12
1930-02-15 @ Cliftonville W 5-240.3 1511 1285 58.22% 15.46% 26.32%+1.00 +9.6 27
1930-02-15 Bangor W 3-253.6 1501 1506 55.63% 15.69% 28.68%+0.40 +4.7 29
1930-02-15 @ Derry City L 2-353.6 1506 1501 28.68% 15.69% 55.63%-0.40 -4.7 27
1930-02-15 Larne W 7-135.2 1689 1353 80.57% 14.01% 5.42%+2.54 +4.6 42
1930-02-15 @ Linfield L 1-735.2 1353 1689 5.42% 14.01% 80.57%-2.54 -4.6 13
1930-02-15 Newry Town W 5-352.0 1366 1464 43.16% 15.73% 41.11%-0.19 +9.8 21
1930-02-15 @ Portadown L 3-552.0 1464 1366 41.11% 15.73% 43.16%+0.19 -9.8 19
1930-02-19 Ballymena W 3-150.3 1501 1555 49.32% 15.73% 34.94%+0.09 +10.1 29
1930-02-19 @ Bangor L 1-350.3 1555 1501 34.94% 15.73% 49.32%-0.09 -10.1 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1929-08-20 7.17% Bangor 1483 2 @ Belfast Celtic 1766 1
2 1929-12-26 8.40% Newry Town 1441 4 @ Belfast Celtic 1693 1
3 1929-11-02 11.17% Newry Town 1422 3 @ Glentoran 1618 2
4 1929-12-26 11.52% Ballymena 1524 7 @ Linfield 1714 4
5 1930-02-15 13.32% Lisburn Distillery 1514 5 @ Belfast Celtic 1676 1
6 1929-11-09 13.42% Cliftonville 1273 3 @ Newry Town 1433 2
7 1929-12-25 15.46% Ards 1411 3 @ Ballymena 1542 1
8 1929-11-23 16.53% Cliftonville 1281 2 @ Larne 1398 1
9 1929-12-07 17.31% Glentoran 1603 2 @ Belfast Celtic 1711 1
10 1929-10-05 17.96% Coleraine 1513 3 @ Glentoran 1613 2
11 1929-11-16 18.82% Ballymena 1517 2 @ Glentoran 1607 1
12 1929-11-02 20.06% Derry City 1481 2 @ Coleraine 1557 1
13 1929-11-23 20.97% @ Bangor 1450 3 Belfast Celtic 1728 1
14 1929-10-05 21.31% Linfield 1676 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1739 1
15 1929-12-07 21.79% @ Cliftonville 1292 4 Coleraine 1561 2
16 1929-09-21 21.84% Larne 1435 3 @ Bangor 1493 2
17 1930-02-12 21.92% @ Glenavon 1466 7 Linfield 1734 1
18 1930-01-04 22.74% Bangor 1490 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1539 0
19 1929-12-14 23.74% @ Bangor 1468 1 Linfield 1718 0
20 1929-12-26 25.26% Lisburn Distillery 1532 5 @ Coleraine 1557 2
21 1929-08-31 27.43% Coleraine 1483 3 @ Glenavon 1490 1
22 1930-01-04 27.61% @ Cliftonville 1300 4 Derry City 1516 2
23 1929-08-24 28.52% @ Glentoran 1546 4 Belfast Celtic 1753 0
24 1929-12-25 29.02% @ Derry City 1505 3 Belfast Celtic 1708 1
25 1929-09-14 29.57% Ballymena 1473 2 @ Ards 1461 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-02-12 45.16 @ Glenavon 7 1466 21.92% Linfield 1 1734 62.78% 15.30%
2 1930-02-15 35.66 Lisburn Distillery 5 1514 13.32% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1676 71.53% 15.15%
3 1929-08-24 33.47 @ Glentoran 4 1546 28.52% Belfast Celtic 0 1753 55.96% 15.52%
4 1929-12-26 29.77 Newry Town 4 1441 8.40% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1693 76.98% 14.62%
5 1929-10-12 25.02 @ Coleraine 8 1523 65.34% Portadown 0 1437 19.19% 15.47%
6 1929-11-16 24.97 Derry City 3 1490 29.93% @ Bangor 0 1475 54.37% 15.70%
7 1929-11-16 22.47 @ Newry Town 5 1422 56.41% Portadown 0 1420 27.91% 15.68%
8 1929-08-31 22.19 Glentoran 5 1579 40.96% @ Ards 1 1482 43.31% 15.73%
9 1929-10-05 21.74 @ Ballymena 5 1487 57.45% Glenavon 0 1476 26.88% 15.66%
10 1929-12-26 21.69 Ballymena 7 1524 11.52% @ Linfield 4 1714 73.49% 14.99%
11 1929-12-26 19.75 Lisburn Distillery 5 1532 25.26% @ Coleraine 2 1557 59.11% 15.63%
12 1929-08-21 19.53 @ Glenavon 6 1462 54.82% Newry Town 1 1473 29.48% 15.70%
13 1930-02-12 19.46 Newry Town 5 1445 47.18% @ Cliftonville 1 1304 37.14% 15.68%
14 1930-01-04 19.42 Bangor 2 1490 22.74% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1539 61.69% 15.58%
15 1929-12-25 18.89 Ards 3 1411 15.46% @ Ballymena 1 1542 69.25% 15.29%
16 1929-11-09 18.01 @ Ballymena 4 1499 56.80% Bangor 0 1493 27.52% 15.67%
17 1929-12-14 17.53 @ Ballymena 4 1527 57.64% Derry City 0 1515 26.70% 15.66%
18 1929-11-23 17.33 @ Bangor 3 1450 20.97% Belfast Celtic 1 1728 63.78% 15.26%
19 1929-09-14 17.30 Ballymena 2 1473 29.57% @ Ards 0 1461 54.73% 15.70%
20 1929-10-05 17.21 Linfield 3 1676 21.31% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1739 63.15% 15.54%
21 1929-10-12 15.98 Glentoran 5 1603 37.26% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1533 47.00% 15.74%
22 1929-08-31 15.55 Coleraine 3 1483 27.43% @ Glenavon 1 1490 56.90% 15.67%
23 1929-12-07 15.30 @ Cliftonville 4 1292 21.79% Coleraine 2 1561 62.92% 15.30%
24 1929-12-25 15.15 @ Derry City 3 1505 29.02% Belfast Celtic 1 1708 55.45% 15.54%
25 1929-08-24 14.86 Linfield 5 1639 41.03% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1541 43.24% 15.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-10-26 82.0 @ Glentoran 6 1619 69.19% Bangor 6 1489 15.52% 15.29%
2 1929-09-07 78.9 @ Glentoran 3 1601 48.92% Linfield 3 1658 35.35% 15.74%
3 1930-01-18 78.9 @ Glenavon 4 1449 27.69% Belfast Celtic 4 1664 56.81% 15.50%
4 1929-11-09 75.8 @ Portadown 4 1419 30.96% Glentoran 4 1607 53.46% 15.58%
5 1929-09-14 74.6 @ Linfield 3 1658 76.10% Portadown 3 1423 9.17% 14.73%
6 1929-12-26 72.2 Ballymena 7 1524 11.52% @ Linfield 4 1714 73.49% 14.99%
7 1929-10-12 71.9 @ Linfield 2 1693 77.40% Ards 2 1432 8.04% 14.56%
8 1930-02-12 71.9 @ Glentoran 3 1640 78.11% Portadown 3 1364 7.43% 14.46%
9 1929-11-09 71.5 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1726 72.77% Coleraine 1 1547 12.18% 15.05%
10 1929-08-20 71.1 Bangor 2 1483 7.17% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1766 78.42% 14.41%
11 1929-12-07 70.6 @ Ards 4 1412 49.06% Bangor 4 1468 35.20% 15.73%
12 1929-09-07 69.9 @ Ballymena 1 1471 23.48% Belfast Celtic 1 1724 61.15% 15.36%
13 1929-10-05 69.0 Coleraine 3 1513 17.96% @ Glentoran 2 1613 66.62% 15.41%
14 1929-11-23 69.0 @ Coleraine 0 1561 35.20% Linfield 0 1716 49.14% 15.66%
15 1929-12-07 69.0 Glentoran 2 1603 17.31% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1711 67.30% 15.39%
16 1929-12-25 68.3 @ Bangor 3 1477 60.80% Glenavon 3 1436 23.60% 15.60%
17 1929-11-02 68.2 Newry Town 3 1422 11.17% @ Glentoran 2 1618 73.87% 14.96%
18 1930-01-18 67.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1520 70.71% Portadown 3 1370 14.09% 15.20%
19 1929-10-05 65.8 Linfield 3 1676 21.31% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1739 63.15% 15.54%
20 1929-08-20 64.8 @ Ards 1 1492 50.04% Lisburn Distillery 1 1541 34.22% 15.73%
21 1929-11-16 64.6 Ballymena 2 1517 18.82% @ Glentoran 1 1607 65.73% 15.45%
22 1929-12-28 64.6 @ Bangor 1 1491 50.20% Coleraine 1 1538 34.07% 15.73%
23 1930-02-08 64.3 @ Larne 3 1354 48.90% Ards 3 1410 35.37% 15.74%
24 1929-09-21 64.2 @ Derry City 2 1473 59.56% Ards 2 1444 24.82% 15.63%
25 1929-10-12 64.0 @ Cliftonville 1 1278 9.35% Belfast Celtic 1 1722 76.39% 14.26%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-08-24 28.2 @ Coleraine 3 1476 71.50% Cliftonville 0 1315 13.35% 15.15%
2 1929-12-28 29.9 @ Ballymena 7 1545 76.21% Cliftonville 1 1308 9.08% 14.72%
3 1929-09-21 30.9 @ Portadown 2 1425 69.03% Cliftonville 0 1296 15.67% 15.30%
4 1929-12-25 31.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1525 70.77% Larne 0 1374 14.03% 15.20%
5 1929-11-16 31.6 @ Newry Town 5 1422 56.41% Portadown 0 1420 27.91% 15.68%
6 1929-11-02 32.8 Linfield 3 1697 74.93% @ Cliftonville 0 1278 10.63% 14.44%
7 1929-11-16 33.7 @ Glenavon 1 1454 72.15% Cliftonville 0 1284 12.75% 15.10%
8 1929-12-14 34.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1514 74.51% Cliftonville 1 1307 10.59% 14.90%
9 1929-10-05 35.2 @ Ballymena 5 1487 57.45% Glenavon 0 1476 26.88% 15.66%
10 1930-02-15 35.2 @ Linfield 7 1689 80.57% Larne 1 1353 5.42% 14.01%
11 1929-10-12 35.3 @ Coleraine 8 1523 65.34% Portadown 0 1437 19.19% 15.47%
12 1930-01-15 35.3 @ Belfast Celtic 7 1661 80.95% Cliftonville 2 1314 5.12% 13.92%
13 1929-12-07 36.2 @ Ballymena 3 1516 63.12% Newry Town 0 1453 21.34% 15.54%
14 1929-09-28 36.4 Ballymena 2 1476 53.15% @ Cliftonville 0 1291 31.26% 15.59%
15 1929-11-16 36.5 @ Coleraine 6 1549 68.28% Ards 1 1430 16.38% 15.34%
16 1929-12-14 36.5 @ Glentoran 6 1614 74.21% Ards 1 1412 10.86% 14.93%
17 1929-10-26 36.8 @ Ards 2 1434 70.96% Cliftonville 1 1281 13.86% 15.19%
18 1929-11-09 37.0 @ Ballymena 4 1499 56.80% Bangor 0 1493 27.52% 15.67%
19 1930-02-12 37.0 Newry Town 5 1445 47.18% @ Cliftonville 1 1304 37.14% 15.68%
20 1930-01-25 37.3 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1663 79.40% Larne 1 1358 6.36% 14.24%
21 1929-12-25 37.4 @ Glentoran 5 1616 79.63% Cliftonville 2 1305 6.17% 14.20%
22 1929-09-14 37.8 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1722 76.53% Derry City 0 1479 8.79% 14.68%
23 1930-01-22 37.8 @ Ballymena 3 1548 73.23% Larne 1 1361 11.76% 15.02%
24 1929-10-12 38.0 @ Bangor 2 1481 61.23% Newry Town 0 1436 23.18% 15.59%
25 1929-12-28 38.0 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1664 76.38% Ards 1 1423 8.92% 14.69%