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1930-31 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

47 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

9.55 points above expected

47 points · 37.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newry Town

7.53 points below expected

10 points · 17.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 26 22 3 1 47 96 39 +57 37.45 +9.55
2 Linfield 26 16 6 4 38 73 42 +31 35.07 +2.93
3 Belfast Celtic 26 16 4 6 36 75 52 +23 34.43 +1.57
4 Lisburn Distillery 26 15 4 7 34 82 46 +36 32.11 +1.89
5 Ballymena 26 13 5 8 31 75 50 +25 31.66 -0.66
6 Ards 26 11 5 10 27 68 69 -1 23.63 +3.37
7 Derry City 26 10 4 12 24 50 61 -11 25.17 -1.17
8 Cliftonville 26 11 2 13 24 54 70 -16 19.65 +4.35
9 Portadown 26 7 5 14 19 63 73 -10 20.50 -1.50
10 Bangor 26 7 5 14 19 62 75 -13 20.22 -1.22
11 Glenavon 26 8 3 15 19 47 75 -28 23.94 -4.94
12 Coleraine 26 6 6 14 18 48 56 -8 23.62 -5.62
13 Larne 26 6 6 14 18 44 74 -30 19.02 -1.02
14 Newry Town 26 4 2 20 10 45 100 -55 17.53 -7.53

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 47 37.45 +9.55
2 Cliftonville 24 19.65 +4.35
3 Ards 27 23.63 +3.37
4 Linfield 38 35.07 +2.93
5 Lisburn Distillery 34 32.11 +1.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newry Town 10 17.53 -7.53
2 Coleraine 18 23.62 -5.62
3 Glenavon 19 23.94 -4.94
4 Portadown 19 20.50 -1.50
5 Bangor 19 20.22 -1.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 14 Sep 6 – Dec 13 1 in 994
2 Ards 5 Oct 11 – Nov 8 1 in 120
3 Bangor 3 Jan 17 – Jan 24 1 in 103
4 Lisburn Distillery 5 Sep 13 – Oct 11 1 in 19
5 Cliftonville 3 Dec 25 – Dec 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newry Town 9 Sep 13 – Nov 8 1 in 301
2 Ballymena 2 Dec 6 – Dec 13 1 in 97
3 Cliftonville 6 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 40
4 Portadown 5 Oct 4 – Nov 1 1 in 35
5 Coleraine 4 Dec 26 – Jan 22 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 23 Sep 6 – Jan 31 1 in 152
2 Ballymena 10 Sep 20 – Nov 22 1 in 62
3 Bangor 5 Jan 3 – Jan 31 1 in 59
4 Cliftonville 4 Dec 25 – Jan 3 1 in 23
5 Lisburn Distillery 7 Aug 30 – Oct 11 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newry Town 15 Sep 13 – Dec 25 1 in 90
2 Glenavon 9 Dec 13 – Jan 29 1 in 22
3 Bangor 7 Aug 20 – Sep 27 1 in 16
4 Coleraine 5 Aug 20 – Sep 13 1 in 15
5 Ballymena 3 Dec 6 – Dec 20 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1878 47 +26 8 7.8 +0.2
Linfield 1634 38 -27 7 6.3 +0.7
Belfast Celtic 1654 36 -52 5 7.0 -2.0
Lisburn Distillery 1679 34 -25 5 6.9 -1.9
Ballymena 1505 31 -141 4 6.4 -2.4
Ards 1538 27 +15 7 6.3 +0.7
Cliftonville 1385 24 +1 5 3.0 +2.0
Derry City 1438 24 +4 4 3.7 +0.3
Bangor 1474 19 +120 8 3.9 +4.1
Portadown 1447 19 +37 5 4.5 +0.5
Glenavon 1328 19 -50 2 3.6 -1.6
Larne 1378 18 +90 5 3.1 +1.9
Coleraine 1447 18 +37 4 4.9 -0.9
Newry Town 1215 10 +2 2 2.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAL BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
3.68
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
1.31
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
1.28
1-0-1
1.92
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.19
Ballymena
2-0-0
3.57
—
1-0-1
3.92
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
4.02
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
4.61
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
4.20
1-0-1
4.41
Bangor
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
1.73
—
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
0.90
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
1.08
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.67
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
4.58
—
1-1-0
4.10
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
4.02
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
4.21
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
4.61
1-0-1
4.52
Cliftonville
2-0-0
1.97
1-1-0
1.65
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
1.57
—
0-0-2
2.70
1-0-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
0.75
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
1.08
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.52
Coleraine
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
1.25
2-0-0
2.96
—
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
3.54
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
1.74
2-0-0
3.30
0-2-0
3.45
Derry City
0-1-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
2.89
—
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
0.82
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
1.46
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
4.26
1-0-1
3.72
Glenavon
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
3.20
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.94
—
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
3.45
0-0-2
1.58
0-0-2
1.55
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.00
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.36
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.93
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
4.85
2-0-0
4.18
—
2-0-0
4.70
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
4.97
1-0-1
4.33
Larne
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.05
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
1.46
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
2.11
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
0.97
—
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.65
Linfield
1-0-1
4.39
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
4.19
2-0-0
4.08
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
4.30
—
0-2-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.67
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
3.73
0-0-2
2.82
1-1-0
4.59
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
4.58
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
4.10
0-0-2
1.83
2-0-0
4.27
0-2-0
2.02
—
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.18
Newry Town
0-0-2
1.66
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.05
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
0.72
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.50
—
1-0-1
2.28
Portadown
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
1.25
0-0-2
2.98
1-0-1
1.15
1-0-1
3.13
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.34
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.00
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
3.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +5.7
Allowed 0.79 -5.4
Differential 0.91 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%2.75%3.57%1.37%0.55%2.47%12.91%
12.75%3.85%4.67%3.85%4.12%5.22%24.45%
23.57%4.67%4.40%3.30%2.20%3.57%21.70%
31.37%3.85%3.30%3.30%2.20%0.82%14.84%
40.55%4.12%2.20%2.20%2.20%1.10%12.36%
5+2.47%5.22%3.57%0.82%1.10%0.55%13.74%
Total12.91%24.45%21.70%14.84%12.36%13.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.42 +0.00
SD 1.86 1.86 2.86
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
17.69%——3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
2—3.85%—7.69%3.85%7.69%23.08%
3—3.85%—7.69%—3.85%15.38%
4—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
5+—7.69%3.85%—7.69%—19.23%
Total15.38%23.08%3.85%23.08%19.23%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 2.65 -0.04
SD 1.81 1.96 2.49
CV 0.69 0.74 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.85%—3.85%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+—15.38%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
Total7.69%42.31%19.23%11.54%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 1.92 +0.96
SD 2.03 1.29 2.75
CV 0.70 0.67 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
1——11.54%11.54%—7.69%30.77%
2—3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%15.38%
3——7.69%11.54%3.85%—23.08%
4—3.85%——3.85%3.85%11.54%
5+3.85%—7.69%———11.54%
Total3.85%7.69%34.62%26.92%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 2.88 -0.50
SD 1.60 1.48 2.42
CV 0.67 0.51 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
13.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
3—11.54%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
4—7.69%—7.69%3.85%—19.23%
5+7.69%—3.85%——3.85%15.38%
Total15.38%30.77%19.23%11.54%19.23%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 2.00 +0.88
SD 1.48 1.50 2.18
CV 0.51 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——11.54%19.23%
1—3.85%11.54%—11.54%—26.92%
23.85%—3.85%——7.69%15.38%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
4——7.69%7.69%——15.38%
5+——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
Total7.69%11.54%38.46%7.69%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 2.69 -0.62
SD 1.70 1.57 2.53
CV 0.82 0.58 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%19.23%3.85%——30.77%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
23.85%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%—23.08%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%——3.85%——7.69%
Total11.54%19.23%30.77%23.08%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.15 -0.31
SD 1.78 1.32 2.20
CV 0.97 0.61 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
17.69%—7.69%—7.69%3.85%26.92%
27.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4————7.69%—7.69%
5+3.85%—7.69%———11.54%
Total26.92%11.54%19.23%15.38%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.35 -0.42
SD 1.74 2.24 3.06
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 6 9 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
13.85%7.69%—7.69%7.69%15.38%42.31%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total7.69%30.77%7.69%11.54%19.23%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.88 -1.08
SD 1.50 2.03 2.83
CV 0.83 0.70 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
215.38%—3.85%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
4—7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
5+7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
Total26.92%23.08%30.77%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.69 1.50 +2.19
SD 1.72 1.24 2.14
CV 0.46 0.83 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%3.85%—7.69%23.08%
1——7.69%11.54%—3.85%23.08%
23.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%3.85%38.46%19.23%3.85%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.85 -1.15
SD 1.41 2.27 2.87
CV 0.83 0.80 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
17.69%7.69%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
2—11.54%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
37.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
4—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
5+—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
Total15.38%46.15%23.08%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 1.62 +1.19
SD 1.86 1.47 2.47
CV 0.66 0.91 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
3—7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—26.92%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+7.69%11.54%————19.23%
Total15.38%34.62%15.38%26.92%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.15 1.77 +1.38
SD 2.44 1.24 3.14
CV 0.78 0.70 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%———3.85%19.23%
1——3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%7.69%23.08%
3—————7.69%7.69%
4—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
5+—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
Total3.85%26.92%7.69%3.85%7.69%50.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 3.85 -2.12
SD 1.48 2.56 2.86
CV 0.86 0.66 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
1—7.69%3.85%——11.54%23.08%
2——3.85%11.54%—7.69%23.08%
3—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
4—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
5+—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
Total7.69%30.77%15.38%11.54%7.69%26.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.81 -0.38
SD 2.28 2.12 3.25
CV 0.94 0.75 —
Max 8 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1878 47 37.45 +9.55 100.0% 28 31 35 37 39 43 46
Lisburn Distillery 1679 34 32.11 +1.89 70.0% 24 25 29 32 35 38 39
Belfast Celtic 1654 36 34.43 +1.57 72.0% 26 28 32 35 37 40 41
Linfield 1634 38 35.07 +2.93 82.0% 27 29 33 35 38 41 45
Ards 1538 27 23.63 +3.37 79.0% 12 15 21 23 27 31 35
Ballymena 1505 31 31.66 -0.66 49.0% 25 26 29 32 34 38 40
Bangor 1474 19 20.22 -1.22 48.0% 9 13 17 20 24 27 32
Coleraine 1447 18 23.62 -5.62 10.0% 15 17 21 23 27 30 36
Portadown 1447 19 20.50 -1.50 35.0% 10 13 18 21 23 26 32
Derry City 1438 24 25.17 -1.17 43.0% 16 19 23 25 27 31 34
Cliftonville 1385 24 19.65 +4.35 90.0% 11 13 17 20 22 26 29
Larne 1378 18 19.02 -1.02 46.0% 7 12 17 19 22 24 27
Glenavon 1328 19 23.94 -4.94 13.0% 15 17 21 24 27 30 34
Newry Town 1215 10 17.53 -7.53 2.0% 8 11 15 17 20 24 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.57%
Strong Edge
56.04%16.48%27.47%
Elo Value
Home Edge
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0102.11500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.95 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.62+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Glentoran, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.35/gm
Runaway
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.39 * Close: 1.39 to 2.09 * Off: 2.09 to 2.79 * Way Off: 2.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.27 points
Some Luck
03.9310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.744
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
2.00%
Newry Town
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 168.16
2.16
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Glentoran59.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%—————————
Linfield19.00%29.00%18.00%16.00%16.00%2.00%————————
Belfast Celtic12.00%27.00%27.00%18.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Lisburn Distillery5.00%15.00%24.00%23.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Ballymena5.00%9.00%15.00%26.00%30.00%11.00%4.00%———————
Ards—1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%
Derry City——1.00%4.00%5.00%21.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%
Cliftonville—————4.00%2.00%12.00%13.00%6.00%19.00%17.00%15.00%12.00%
Portadown————3.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%18.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%
Bangor————2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%19.00%16.00%13.00%
Glenavon———3.00%5.00%8.00%18.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%
Coleraine—1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%19.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%
Larne—————1.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%22.00%8.00%20.00%18.00%
Newry Town————1.00%1.00%—4.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%21.00%22.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1930-08-20 Linfield L 1-653.4 1506 1608 48.36% 17.48% 34.16%+0.00 -67.8 0
1930-08-20 @ Bangor W 6-153.4 1608 1506 34.16% 17.48% 48.36%+0.00 +67.8 2
1930-08-20 Ballymena W 4-358.0 1372 1527 41.03% 17.46% 41.50%-0.32 +14.2 2
1930-08-20 @ Cliftonville L 3-458.0 1527 1372 41.50% 17.46% 41.03%+0.32 -14.2 0
1930-08-20 Glentoran L 0-255.7 1525 1573 55.11% 17.46% 27.42%+0.32 -39.5 0
1930-08-20 @ Coleraine W 2-055.7 1573 1525 27.42% 17.46% 55.11%-0.32 +39.5 2
1930-08-20 Derry City W 4-250.6 1512 1507 61.02% 17.40% 21.58%+0.65 +13.6 2
1930-08-20 @ Glenavon L 2-450.6 1507 1512 21.58% 17.40% 61.02%-0.65 -13.6 0
1930-08-20 Newry Town W 2-145.9 1417 1474 54.07% 17.47% 28.46%+0.27 +11.2 2
1930-08-20 @ Larne L 1-245.9 1474 1417 28.46% 17.47% 54.07%-0.27 -11.2 0
1930-08-20 Portadown W 5-033.3 1529 1427 69.28% 17.20% 13.53%+1.23 +26.8 2
1930-08-20 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-533.3 1427 1529 13.53% 17.20% 69.28%-1.23 -26.8 0
1930-08-21 Ards W 3-249.3 1580 1443 71.66% 17.09% 11.26%+1.45 +4.6 2
1930-08-21 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-349.3 1443 1580 11.26% 17.09% 71.66%-1.45 -4.6 0
1930-08-22 Glenavon W 3-254.3 1613 1526 68.26% 17.23% 14.51%+1.15 +5.8 4
1930-08-22 @ Glentoran L 2-354.3 1526 1613 14.51% 17.23% 68.26%-1.15 -5.8 2
1930-08-23 Cliftonville L 2-359.0 1438 1387 65.38% 17.32% 17.31%+0.93 -22.2 0
1930-08-23 @ Ards W 3-259.0 1387 1438 17.31% 17.32% 65.38%-0.93 +22.2 4
1930-08-23 Lisburn Distillery W 4-042.1 1513 1555 55.86% 17.46% 26.69%+0.36 +40.1 2
1930-08-23 @ Ballymena L 0-442.1 1555 1513 26.69% 17.46% 55.86%-0.36 -40.1 2
1930-08-23 Larne D 0-057.2 1493 1428 66.56% 17.29% 16.15%+1.02 -5.2 1
1930-08-23 @ Derry City D 0-057.2 1428 1493 16.15% 17.29% 66.56%-1.02 +5.2 3
1930-08-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-269.2 1676 1585 68.55% 17.22% 14.23%+1.17 -24.5 2
1930-08-23 @ Linfield W 2-169.2 1585 1676 14.23% 17.22% 68.55%-1.17 +24.5 4
1930-08-23 Bangor W 5-138.1 1463 1438 62.96% 17.37% 19.67%+0.77 +25.5 2
1930-08-23 @ Newry Town L 1-538.1 1438 1463 19.67% 17.37% 62.96%-0.77 -25.5 0
1930-08-23 Coleraine D 0-056.0 1400 1485 50.65% 17.48% 31.87%+0.11 -1.8 1
1930-08-23 @ Portadown D 0-056.0 1485 1400 31.87% 17.48% 50.65%-0.11 +1.8 1
1930-08-30 Derry City L 1-253.2 1413 1488 51.82% 17.48% 30.71%+0.16 -18.6 0
1930-08-30 @ Bangor W 2-153.2 1488 1413 30.71% 17.48% 51.82%-0.16 +18.6 3
1930-08-30 Newry Town W 5-248.3 1609 1488 70.60% 17.14% 12.26%+1.35 +11.1 6
1930-08-30 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-548.3 1488 1609 12.26% 17.14% 70.60%-1.35 -11.1 2
1930-08-30 Linfield L 0-149.2 1409 1651 29.28% 17.35% 53.38%-0.85 -12.1 4
1930-08-30 @ Cliftonville W 1-049.2 1651 1409 53.38% 17.35% 29.28%+0.85 +12.1 4
1930-08-30 Ballymena D 1-163.9 1487 1553 53.01% 17.47% 29.51%+0.22 -2.1 2
1930-08-30 @ Coleraine D 1-163.9 1553 1487 29.51% 17.47% 53.01%-0.22 +2.1 3
1930-08-30 Glenavon W 4-251.3 1433 1520 50.40% 17.48% 32.12%+0.09 +19.2 5
1930-08-30 @ Larne L 2-451.3 1520 1433 32.12% 17.48% 50.40%-0.09 -19.2 2
1930-08-30 Ards W 1-039.7 1515 1416 69.14% 17.20% 13.66%+1.22 +6.1 4
1930-08-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-139.7 1416 1515 13.66% 17.20% 69.14%-1.22 -6.1 0
1930-08-30 Glentoran W 4-153.1 1399 1619 32.11% 17.39% 50.51%-0.71 +44.6 3
1930-08-30 @ Portadown L 1-453.1 1619 1399 50.51% 17.39% 32.11%+0.71 -44.6 4
1930-09-06 Coleraine W 4-142.7 1410 1485 51.87% 17.48% 30.65%+0.16 +29.2 2
1930-09-06 @ Ards L 1-442.7 1485 1410 30.65% 17.48% 51.87%-0.16 -29.2 2
1930-09-06 Portadown W 7-138.1 1555 1443 70.01% 17.17% 12.82%+1.30 +25.0 5
1930-09-06 @ Ballymena L 1-738.1 1443 1555 12.82% 17.17% 70.01%-1.30 -25.0 3
1930-09-06 Belfast Celtic W 3-154.4 1507 1620 46.84% 17.48% 35.68%-0.07 +23.5 5
1930-09-06 @ Derry City L 1-354.4 1620 1507 35.68% 17.48% 46.84%+0.07 -23.4 6
1930-09-06 Bangor W 2-141.3 1501 1394 69.64% 17.18% 13.17%+1.26 +5.6 4
1930-09-06 @ Glenavon L 1-241.3 1394 1501 13.17% 17.18% 69.64%-1.26 -5.6 0
1930-09-06 Larne W 9-037.5 1574 1452 70.68% 17.14% 12.19%+1.36 +42.5 6
1930-09-06 @ Glentoran L 0-937.5 1452 1574 12.19% 17.14% 70.68%-1.36 -42.5 5
1930-09-06 Lisburn Distillery D 3-376.3 1664 1521 71.94% 17.07% 10.99%+1.48 -3.6 5
1930-09-06 @ Linfield D 3-376.3 1521 1664 10.99% 17.07% 71.94%-1.48 +3.6 5
1930-09-06 Cliftonville W 4-137.3 1477 1397 67.76% 17.25% 14.99%+1.11 +15.5 4
1930-09-06 @ Newry Town L 1-437.3 1397 1477 14.99% 17.25% 67.76%-1.11 -15.5 4
1930-09-13 Glentoran L 2-466.6 1580 1617 56.54% 17.45% 26.01%+0.40 -31.3 5
1930-09-13 @ Ballymena W 4-266.6 1617 1580 26.01% 17.45% 56.54%-0.40 +31.3 8
1930-09-13 Larne D 2-259.6 1388 1410 58.25% 17.44% 24.31%+0.49 -2.3 1
1930-09-13 @ Bangor D 2-259.6 1410 1388 24.31% 17.44% 58.25%-0.49 +2.3 6
1930-09-13 Glenavon W 4-145.2 1597 1506 68.51% 17.23% 14.26%+1.17 +14.8 8
1930-09-13 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-445.2 1506 1597 14.26% 17.23% 68.51%-1.17 -14.8 4
1930-09-13 Derry City W 3-042.3 1381 1530 41.84% 17.47% 40.70%-0.28 +43.9 6
1930-09-13 @ Cliftonville L 0-342.3 1530 1381 40.70% 17.47% 41.84%+0.28 -43.9 5
1930-09-13 Linfield L 1-255.5 1456 1660 34.19% 17.41% 48.40%-0.62 -13.0 2
1930-09-13 @ Coleraine W 2-155.5 1660 1456 48.40% 17.41% 34.19%+0.62 +13.0 7
1930-09-13 Newry Town W 9-140.7 1525 1493 63.66% 17.36% 18.99%+0.81 +46.9 7
1930-09-13 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-940.7 1493 1525 18.99% 17.36% 63.66%-0.81 -47.0 4
1930-09-13 Ards D 0-055.2 1418 1439 58.31% 17.44% 24.25%+0.49 -3.4 4
1930-09-13 @ Portadown D 0-055.2 1439 1418 24.25% 17.44% 58.31%-0.49 +3.4 3
1930-09-20 Ballymena L 3-658.0 1442 1549 47.78% 17.48% 34.73%-0.03 -34.0 3
1930-09-20 @ Ards W 6-358.0 1549 1442 34.73% 17.48% 47.78%+0.03 +34.0 7
1930-09-20 Lisburn Distillery L 2-362.6 1486 1572 50.56% 17.48% 31.96%+0.10 -17.3 5
1930-09-20 @ Derry City W 3-262.6 1572 1486 31.96% 17.48% 50.56%-0.10 +17.3 9
1930-09-20 Cliftonville W 2-142.9 1491 1425 66.62% 17.29% 16.10%+1.02 +6.7 6
1930-09-20 @ Glenavon L 1-242.9 1425 1491 16.10% 17.29% 66.62%-1.02 -6.7 6
1930-09-20 Bangor W 3-142.0 1648 1386 77.56% 16.59% 5.85%+2.20 +4.4 10
1930-09-20 @ Glentoran L 1-342.0 1386 1648 5.85% 16.59% 77.56%-2.20 -4.5 1
1930-09-20 Belfast Celtic D 2-266.9 1412 1612 34.79% 17.42% 47.80%-0.59 +0.8 7
1930-09-20 @ Larne D 2-266.9 1612 1412 47.80% 17.42% 34.79%+0.59 -0.8 9
1930-09-20 Portadown W 7-139.1 1673 1415 77.43% 16.61% 5.96%+2.18 +12.0 9
1930-09-20 @ Linfield L 1-739.1 1415 1673 5.96% 16.61% 77.43%-2.18 -12.0 4
1930-09-20 Coleraine L 1-353.5 1446 1443 60.84% 17.41% 21.75%+0.64 -37.6 4
1930-09-20 @ Newry Town W 3-153.5 1443 1446 21.75% 17.41% 60.84%-0.64 +37.6 4
1930-09-27 Glentoran L 1-448.2 1408 1652 29.09% 17.34% 53.57%-0.86 -27.8 3
1930-09-27 @ Ards W 4-148.2 1652 1408 53.57% 17.34% 29.09%+0.86 +27.8 12
1930-09-27 Linfield D 2-273.6 1583 1685 48.36% 17.48% 34.16%+0.00 -0.9 8
1930-09-27 @ Ballymena D 2-273.6 1685 1583 34.16% 17.48% 48.36%+0.00 +0.9 10
1930-09-27 Bangor W 3-140.8 1611 1382 76.30% 16.74% 6.96%+2.00 +5.3 11
1930-09-27 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-340.8 1382 1611 6.96% 16.74% 76.30%-2.00 -5.3 1
1930-09-27 Larne W 2-036.5 1418 1413 61.08% 17.40% 21.52%+0.65 +17.5 8
1930-09-27 @ Cliftonville L 0-236.5 1413 1418 21.52% 17.40% 61.08%-0.65 -17.5 7
1930-09-27 Derry City L 0-252.2 1480 1469 61.64% 17.39% 20.96%+0.69 -44.0 4
1930-09-27 @ Coleraine W 2-052.2 1469 1480 20.96% 17.39% 61.64%-0.69 +44.0 7
1930-09-27 Glenavon W 5-143.1 1589 1498 68.54% 17.22% 14.24%+1.17 +19.0 11
1930-09-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-543.1 1498 1589 14.24% 17.22% 68.54%-1.17 -19.0 6
1930-09-27 Newry Town W 8-443.1 1403 1408 59.95% 17.42% 22.63%+0.58 +21.1 6
1930-09-27 @ Portadown L 4-843.1 1408 1403 22.63% 17.42% 59.95%-0.58 -21.1 4
1930-10-04 Cliftonville W 2-143.7 1376 1436 53.83% 17.47% 28.70%+0.26 +11.3 3
1930-10-04 @ Bangor L 1-243.7 1436 1376 28.70% 17.47% 53.83%-0.26 -11.2 8
1930-10-04 Portadown W 1-040.1 1513 1424 68.41% 17.23% 14.36%+1.16 +6.4 9
1930-10-04 @ Derry City L 0-140.1 1424 1513 14.36% 17.23% 68.41%-1.16 -6.4 6
1930-10-04 Coleraine W 2-037.9 1479 1436 64.61% 17.34% 18.05%+0.88 +15.0 8
1930-10-04 @ Glenavon L 0-237.9 1436 1479 18.05% 17.34% 64.61%-0.88 -15.0 4
1930-10-04 Belfast Celtic W 4-362.0 1680 1616 66.45% 17.29% 16.26%+1.01 +6.3 14
1930-10-04 @ Glentoran L 3-462.0 1616 1680 16.26% 17.29% 66.45%-1.01 -6.3 11
1930-10-04 Lisburn Distillery L 2-453.4 1395 1608 33.03% 17.40% 49.57%-0.67 -19.6 7
1930-10-04 @ Larne W 4-253.4 1608 1395 49.57% 17.40% 33.03%+0.67 +19.6 13
1930-10-04 Ards W 7-241.1 1686 1380 79.00% 16.38% 4.62%+2.47 +6.6 12
1930-10-04 @ Linfield L 2-741.1 1380 1686 4.62% 16.38% 79.00%-2.47 -6.6 3
1930-10-04 Ballymena L 0-147.7 1387 1582 35.45% 17.42% 47.13%-0.56 -14.3 4
1930-10-04 @ Newry Town W 1-047.7 1582 1387 47.13% 17.42% 35.45%+0.56 +14.3 10
1930-10-11 Newry Town W 6-238.4 1374 1373 60.62% 17.41% 21.97%+0.62 +23.9 5
1930-10-11 @ Ards L 2-638.4 1373 1374 21.97% 17.41% 60.62%-0.62 -23.9 4
1930-10-11 Derry City W 4-145.9 1596 1520 67.43% 17.26% 15.31%+1.08 +15.8 12
1930-10-11 @ Ballymena L 1-445.9 1520 1596 15.31% 17.26% 67.43%-1.08 -15.8 9
1930-10-11 Belfast Celtic L 0-543.2 1425 1610 36.75% 17.43% 45.81%-0.50 -64.9 8
1930-10-11 @ Cliftonville W 5-043.2 1610 1425 45.81% 17.43% 36.75%+0.50 +64.9 13
1930-10-11 Larne D 2-259.6 1421 1376 64.87% 17.33% 17.79%+0.89 -3.2 5
1930-10-11 @ Coleraine D 2-259.6 1376 1421 17.79% 17.33% 64.87%-0.89 +3.2 8
1930-10-11 Glentoran L 0-262.8 1692 1687 61.12% 17.40% 21.48%+0.65 -43.7 12
1930-10-11 @ Linfield W 2-062.8 1687 1692 21.48% 17.40% 61.12%-0.65 +43.7 16
1930-10-11 Bangor W 3-141.6 1628 1388 76.74% 16.69% 6.56%+2.07 +5.0 15
1930-10-11 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-341.6 1388 1628 6.56% 16.69% 76.74%-2.07 -5.0 3
1930-10-11 Glenavon L 1-548.1 1417 1494 51.70% 17.48% 30.83%+0.15 -58.8 6
1930-10-11 @ Portadown W 5-148.1 1494 1417 30.83% 17.48% 51.70%-0.15 +58.8 10
1930-10-18 Coleraine W 3-246.7 1383 1418 56.67% 17.45% 25.88%+0.40 +9.8 5
1930-10-18 @ Bangor L 2-346.7 1418 1383 25.88% 17.45% 56.67%-0.40 -9.8 5
1930-10-18 Lisburn Distillery W 3-152.8 1675 1633 64.53% 17.34% 18.13%+0.87 +13.0 15
1930-10-18 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-352.8 1633 1675 18.13% 17.34% 64.53%-0.87 -13.0 15
1930-10-18 Ards L 0-155.5 1504 1398 69.61% 17.18% 13.20%+1.26 -26.5 9
1930-10-18 @ Derry City W 1-055.5 1398 1504 13.20% 17.18% 69.61%-1.26 +26.5 7
1930-10-18 Ballymena D 1-167.9 1553 1612 53.87% 17.47% 28.66%+0.26 -2.2 11
1930-10-18 @ Glenavon D 1-167.9 1612 1553 28.66% 17.47% 53.87%-0.26 +2.2 13
1930-10-18 Cliftonville W 5-245.0 1730 1360 80.74% 16.01% 3.25%+2.86 +3.0 18
1930-10-18 @ Glentoran L 2-545.0 1360 1730 3.25% 16.01% 80.74%-2.86 -3.0 8
1930-10-18 Portadown W 3-243.7 1379 1359 62.53% 17.38% 20.09%+0.74 +7.8 10
1930-10-18 @ Larne L 2-343.7 1359 1379 20.09% 17.38% 62.53%-0.74 -7.8 6
1930-10-18 Linfield L 1-542.5 1349 1649 22.81% 17.21% 59.97%-1.20 -29.1 4
1930-10-18 @ Newry Town W 5-142.5 1649 1349 59.97% 17.21% 22.81%+1.20 +29.1 14
1930-10-25 Glenavon W 6-145.1 1424 1551 45.05% 17.48% 37.47%-0.15 +54.6 9
1930-10-25 @ Ards L 1-645.1 1551 1424 37.47% 17.48% 45.05%+0.15 -54.6 11
1930-10-25 Larne W 3-141.2 1614 1387 76.23% 16.75% 7.03%+1.99 +5.3 15
1930-10-25 @ Ballymena L 1-341.2 1387 1614 7.03% 16.75% 76.23%-1.99 -5.3 10
1930-10-25 Belfast Celtic L 0-149.1 1408 1688 25.01% 17.27% 57.72%-1.07 -10.6 5
1930-10-25 @ Coleraine W 1-049.1 1688 1408 57.72% 17.27% 25.01%+1.07 +10.6 17
1930-10-25 Derry City W 3-040.8 1678 1477 75.03% 16.86% 8.11%+1.83 +10.2 16
1930-10-25 @ Linfield L 0-340.8 1477 1678 8.11% 16.86% 75.03%-1.83 -10.3 9
1930-10-25 Cliftonville W 2-141.8 1620 1357 77.61% 16.59% 5.80%+2.21 +2.5 17
1930-10-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-241.8 1357 1620 5.80% 16.59% 77.61%-2.21 -2.6 8
1930-10-25 Glentoran L 1-541.5 1320 1733 13.24% 16.82% 69.93%-1.88 -17.6 4
1930-10-25 @ Newry Town W 5-141.5 1733 1320 69.93% 16.82% 13.24%+1.88 +17.7 20
1930-10-25 Bangor L 2-550.6 1351 1392 55.95% 17.46% 26.59%+0.37 -42.5 6
1930-10-25 @ Portadown W 5-250.6 1392 1351 26.59% 17.46% 55.95%-0.37 +42.5 7
1930-11-01 Ballymena L 2-652.3 1435 1619 36.85% 17.43% 45.71%-0.50 -37.3 7
1930-11-01 @ Bangor W 6-252.3 1619 1435 45.71% 17.43% 36.85%+0.50 +37.3 17
1930-11-01 Portadown W 3-245.9 1698 1308 81.18% 15.90% 2.92%+2.98 +1.2 19
1930-11-01 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-345.9 1308 1698 2.92% 15.90% 81.18%-2.98 -1.2 6
1930-11-01 Coleraine L 1-446.7 1354 1398 55.71% 17.46% 26.83%+0.35 -48.8 8
1930-11-01 @ Cliftonville W 4-146.7 1398 1354 26.83% 17.46% 55.71%-0.35 +48.9 7
1930-11-01 Newry Town W 1-034.0 1467 1302 73.24% 17.00% 9.76%+1.62 +4.5 11
1930-11-01 @ Derry City L 0-134.0 1302 1467 9.76% 17.00% 73.24%-1.62 -4.5 4
1930-11-01 Linfield L 0-154.9 1496 1688 35.81% 17.43% 46.76%-0.54 -14.4 11
1930-11-01 @ Glenavon W 1-054.9 1688 1496 46.76% 17.43% 35.81%+0.54 +14.4 18
1930-11-01 Lisburn Distillery W 2-047.9 1751 1622 71.10% 17.12% 11.78%+1.40 +10.1 22
1930-11-01 @ Glentoran L 0-247.9 1622 1751 11.78% 17.12% 71.10%-1.40 -10.1 17
1930-11-01 Ards L 1-251.1 1381 1479 48.98% 17.48% 33.54%+0.03 -17.7 10
1930-11-01 @ Larne W 2-151.1 1479 1381 33.54% 17.48% 48.98%-0.03 +17.7 11
1930-11-08 Bangor W 5-452.2 1497 1398 69.11% 17.20% 13.69%+1.22 +5.3 13
1930-11-08 @ Ards L 4-552.2 1398 1497 13.69% 17.20% 69.11%-1.22 -5.3 7
1930-11-08 Belfast Celtic W 4-154.0 1657 1699 55.83% 17.46% 26.71%+0.36 +25.9 19
1930-11-08 @ Ballymena L 1-454.0 1699 1657 26.71% 17.46% 55.83%-0.36 -25.9 19
1930-11-08 Lisburn Distillery D 3-372.3 1447 1612 39.48% 17.45% 43.06%-0.38 +0.2 8
1930-11-08 @ Coleraine D 3-372.3 1612 1447 43.06% 17.45% 39.48%+0.38 -0.2 18
1930-11-08 Derry City W 4-145.5 1761 1472 78.50% 16.46% 5.04%+2.37 +5.4 24
1930-11-08 @ Glentoran L 1-445.5 1472 1761 5.04% 16.46% 78.50%-2.37 -5.4 11
1930-11-08 Larne W 3-142.4 1703 1364 79.95% 16.20% 3.86%+2.67 +2.9 20
1930-11-08 @ Linfield L 1-342.4 1364 1703 3.86% 16.20% 79.95%-2.67 -2.9 10
1930-11-08 Glenavon L 0-142.5 1298 1482 36.94% 17.44% 45.62%-0.49 -14.8 4
1930-11-08 @ Newry Town W 1-042.5 1482 1298 45.62% 17.44% 36.94%+0.49 +14.8 13
1930-11-08 Cliftonville W 5-238.8 1307 1305 60.71% 17.41% 21.88%+0.63 +18.8 8
1930-11-08 @ Portadown L 2-538.8 1305 1307 21.88% 17.41% 60.71%-0.63 -18.8 8
1930-11-15 Belfast Celtic L 1-356.6 1502 1674 38.64% 17.45% 43.91%-0.42 -25.1 13
1930-11-15 @ Ards W 3-156.6 1674 1502 43.91% 17.45% 38.64%+0.42 +25.1 21
1930-11-15 Glenavon W 5-247.4 1466 1496 57.27% 17.45% 25.29%+0.44 +21.4 13
1930-11-15 @ Derry City L 2-547.4 1496 1466 25.29% 17.45% 57.27%-0.44 -21.4 13
1930-11-15 Coleraine W 2-043.2 1766 1447 79.42% 16.30% 4.28%+2.55 +3.8 26
1930-11-15 @ Glentoran L 0-243.2 1447 1766 4.28% 16.30% 79.42%-2.55 -3.8 8
1930-11-15 Bangor W 2-145.7 1705 1392 79.23% 16.33% 4.44%+2.51 +2.0 22
1930-11-15 @ Linfield L 1-245.7 1392 1705 4.44% 16.33% 79.23%-2.51 -2.0 7
1930-11-15 Larne D 2-257.3 1283 1361 51.55% 17.48% 30.97%+0.15 -1.3 5
1930-11-15 @ Newry Town D 2-257.3 1361 1283 30.97% 17.48% 51.55%-0.15 +1.3 11
1930-11-15 Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.6 1326 1612 24.27% 17.25% 58.49%-1.11 -19.4 8
1930-11-15 @ Portadown W 2-040.6 1612 1326 58.49% 17.25% 24.27%+1.11 +19.4 20
1930-11-19 Cliftonville D 2-265.3 1683 1286 81.32% 15.86% 2.82%+3.02 -5.7 20
1930-11-19 @ Ballymena D 2-265.3 1286 1683 2.82% 15.86% 81.32%-3.02 +5.7 9
1930-11-22 Newry Town W 5-026.3 1390 1282 69.79% 17.18% 13.03%+1.28 +25.9 9
1930-11-22 @ Bangor L 0-526.3 1282 1390 13.03% 17.18% 69.79%-1.28 -25.9 5
1930-11-22 Linfield D 4-482.7 1699 1707 59.60% 17.42% 22.98%+0.56 -1.8 22
1930-11-22 @ Belfast Celtic D 4-482.7 1707 1699 22.98% 17.42% 59.60%-0.56 +1.8 23
1930-11-22 Ards W 5-247.9 1292 1477 36.83% 17.43% 45.74%-0.50 +35.4 11
1930-11-22 @ Cliftonville L 2-547.9 1477 1292 45.74% 17.43% 36.83%+0.50 -35.3 13
1930-11-22 Portadown D 1-155.1 1443 1307 71.60% 17.09% 11.31%+1.44 -5.7 9
1930-11-22 @ Coleraine D 1-155.1 1307 1443 11.31% 17.09% 71.60%-1.44 +5.7 9
1930-11-22 Glentoran L 1-550.0 1475 1770 23.30% 17.23% 59.48%-1.17 -29.6 13
1930-11-22 @ Glenavon W 5-150.0 1770 1475 59.48% 17.23% 23.30%+1.17 +29.6 28
1930-11-22 Derry City L 0-341.7 1362 1488 45.17% 17.48% 37.36%-0.14 -47.9 11
1930-11-22 @ Larne W 3-041.7 1488 1362 37.36% 17.48% 45.17%+0.14 +47.9 15
1930-11-22 Ballymena L 1-266.1 1632 1677 55.51% 17.46% 27.03%+0.34 -19.9 20
1930-11-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-166.1 1677 1632 27.03% 17.46% 55.51%-0.34 +19.9 22
1930-12-06 Lisburn Distillery W 3-154.3 1441 1612 38.84% 17.45% 43.71%-0.41 +27.8 15
1930-12-06 @ Ards L 1-354.3 1612 1441 43.71% 17.45% 38.84%+0.41 -27.8 20
1930-12-06 Coleraine L 2-372.9 1697 1437 77.48% 16.60% 5.92%+2.19 -26.5 22
1930-12-06 @ Ballymena W 3-272.9 1437 1697 5.92% 16.60% 77.48%-2.19 +26.5 11
1930-12-06 Bangor D 3-368.4 1536 1416 70.50% 17.15% 12.35%+1.34 -3.4 16
1930-12-06 @ Derry City D 3-368.4 1416 1536 12.35% 17.15% 70.50%-1.34 +3.4 10
1930-12-06 Larne W 2-137.4 1445 1314 71.27% 17.11% 11.62%+1.41 +5.0 15
1930-12-06 @ Glenavon L 1-237.4 1314 1445 11.62% 17.11% 71.27%-1.41 -5.0 11
1930-12-06 Portadown W 4-353.0 1800 1312 83.02% 15.27% 1.71%+3.57 +0.7 30
1930-12-06 @ Glentoran L 3-453.0 1312 1800 1.71% 15.27% 83.02%-3.57 -0.7 9
1930-12-06 Cliftonville W 4-139.1 1709 1327 80.99% 15.95% 3.06%+2.93 +3.3 25
1930-12-06 @ Linfield L 1-439.1 1327 1709 3.06% 15.95% 80.99%-2.93 -3.3 11
1930-12-06 Belfast Celtic D 5-574.2 1256 1697 11.51% 16.71% 71.78%-2.05 +2.8 6
1930-12-06 @ Newry Town D 5-574.2 1697 1256 71.78% 16.71% 11.51%+2.05 -2.8 23
1930-12-13 Glenavon D 4-469.0 1420 1450 57.21% 17.45% 25.35%+0.43 -1.5 11
1930-12-13 @ Bangor D 4-469.0 1450 1420 25.35% 17.45% 57.21%-0.43 +1.5 16
1930-12-13 Derry City W 2-150.9 1694 1532 73.08% 17.01% 9.92%+1.60 +4.3 25
1930-12-13 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-250.9 1532 1694 9.92% 17.01% 73.08%-1.60 -4.3 16
1930-12-13 Newry Town W 4-239.0 1324 1258 66.57% 17.29% 16.15%+1.02 +10.5 13
1930-12-13 @ Cliftonville L 2-439.0 1258 1324 16.15% 17.29% 66.57%-1.02 -10.5 6
1930-12-13 Ards D 3-367.7 1464 1469 59.96% 17.42% 22.62%+0.59 -2.1 12
1930-12-13 @ Coleraine D 3-367.7 1469 1464 22.62% 17.42% 59.96%-0.59 +2.1 16
1930-12-13 Glentoran L 2-645.5 1309 1801 8.89% 16.47% 74.64%-2.36 -10.2 11
1930-12-13 @ Larne W 6-245.5 1801 1309 74.64% 16.47% 8.89%+2.36 +10.2 32
1930-12-13 Linfield D 1-170.4 1584 1713 44.75% 17.48% 37.78%-0.16 -0.6 21
1930-12-13 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-170.4 1713 1584 37.78% 17.48% 44.75%+0.16 +0.6 26
1930-12-13 Ballymena W 3-158.1 1312 1670 17.33% 17.03% 65.64%-1.55 +40.5 11
1930-12-13 @ Portadown L 1-358.1 1670 1312 65.64% 17.03% 17.33%+1.55 -40.5 22
1930-12-20 Portadown W 5-449.8 1471 1352 70.50% 17.15% 12.36%+1.34 +4.8 18
1930-12-20 @ Ards L 4-549.8 1352 1471 12.36% 17.15% 70.50%-1.34 -4.8 11
1930-12-20 Cliftonville W 5-028.5 1528 1335 74.69% 16.89% 8.42%+1.79 +17.1 18
1930-12-20 @ Derry City L 0-528.5 1335 1528 8.42% 16.89% 74.69%-1.79 -17.1 13
1930-12-20 Belfast Celtic L 0-249.3 1452 1698 28.82% 17.34% 53.85%-0.87 -22.6 16
1930-12-20 @ Glenavon W 2-049.3 1698 1452 53.85% 17.34% 28.82%+0.87 +22.6 27
1930-12-20 Ballymena D 2-275.4 1811 1630 74.08% 16.94% 8.98%+1.71 -4.6 33
1930-12-20 @ Glentoran D 2-275.4 1630 1811 8.98% 16.94% 74.08%-1.71 +4.7 23
1930-12-20 Bangor W 2-038.7 1299 1418 46.04% 17.48% 36.48%-0.10 +27.6 13
1930-12-20 @ Larne L 0-238.7 1418 1299 36.48% 17.48% 46.04%+0.10 -27.6 11
1930-12-20 Coleraine W 3-040.6 1713 1462 77.17% 16.64% 6.19%+2.14 +7.9 28
1930-12-20 @ Linfield L 0-340.6 1462 1713 6.19% 16.64% 77.17%-2.14 -7.9 12
1930-12-20 Lisburn Distillery L 1-834.4 1248 1583 19.38% 17.11% 63.52%-1.41 -42.0 6
1930-12-20 @ Newry Town W 8-134.4 1583 1248 63.52% 17.11% 19.38%+1.41 +42.0 23
1930-12-25 Ards W 5-142.6 1634 1476 72.87% 17.02% 10.11%+1.58 +13.8 25
1930-12-25 @ Ballymena L 1-542.6 1476 1634 10.11% 17.02% 72.87%-1.58 -13.8 18
1930-12-25 Glentoran L 0-343.3 1391 1806 13.10% 16.82% 70.08%-1.90 -16.0 11
1930-12-25 @ Bangor W 3-043.3 1806 1391 70.08% 16.82% 13.10%+1.90 +16.1 35
1930-12-25 Larne W 6-033.1 1721 1326 81.27% 15.87% 2.85%+3.00 +7.0 29
1930-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-633.1 1326 1721 2.85% 15.87% 81.27%-3.00 -7.0 13
1930-12-25 Glenavon W 3-142.5 1318 1429 47.06% 17.48% 35.46%-0.06 +23.3 15
1930-12-25 @ Cliftonville L 1-342.5 1429 1318 35.46% 17.48% 47.06%+0.06 -23.3 16
1930-12-25 Newry Town W 5-339.9 1454 1206 77.04% 16.66% 6.30%+2.12 +4.0 14
1930-12-25 @ Coleraine L 3-539.9 1206 1454 6.30% 16.66% 77.04%-2.12 -4.0 6
1930-12-25 Derry City W 9-043.1 1625 1545 67.72% 17.25% 15.02%+1.10 +51.7 25
1930-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-943.1 1545 1625 15.02% 17.25% 67.72%-1.10 -51.7 18
1930-12-25 Linfield D 2-268.6 1347 1721 16.12% 16.98% 66.90%-1.64 +3.5 12
1930-12-25 @ Portadown D 2-268.6 1721 1347 66.90% 16.98% 16.12%+1.64 -3.5 29
1930-12-26 Belfast Celtic L 3-458.0 1374 1728 17.78% 17.05% 65.17%-1.52 -6.8 11
1930-12-26 @ Bangor W 4-358.0 1728 1374 65.17% 17.05% 17.78%+1.52 +6.8 31
1930-12-26 Coleraine W 2-039.4 1493 1458 63.94% 17.35% 18.70%+0.83 +15.4 20
1930-12-26 @ Derry City L 0-239.4 1458 1493 18.70% 17.35% 63.94%-0.83 -15.4 14
1930-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 1-448.1 1406 1677 25.95% 17.29% 56.77%-1.02 -25.2 16
1930-12-26 @ Glenavon W 4-148.1 1677 1406 56.77% 17.29% 25.95%+1.02 +25.2 27
1930-12-26 Ards W 4-251.9 1822 1462 80.48% 16.08% 3.44%+2.79 +2.3 37
1930-12-26 @ Glentoran L 2-451.9 1462 1822 3.44% 16.08% 80.48%-2.79 -2.3 18
1930-12-26 Cliftonville L 4-657.9 1320 1341 58.25% 17.44% 24.31%+0.49 -29.5 13
1930-12-26 @ Larne W 6-457.9 1341 1320 24.31% 17.44% 58.25%-0.49 +29.4 17
1930-12-26 Ballymena W 2-154.7 1717 1648 66.85% 17.28% 15.87%+1.04 +6.7 31
1930-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-254.7 1648 1717 15.87% 17.28% 66.85%-1.04 -6.7 25
1930-12-26 Portadown W 2-144.1 1202 1351 41.89% 17.47% 40.64%-0.28 +15.1 8
1930-12-26 @ Newry Town L 1-244.1 1351 1202 40.64% 17.47% 41.89%+0.28 -15.1 12
1930-12-27 Linfield W 5-158.5 1460 1724 26.73% 17.30% 55.97%-0.98 +63.3 20
1930-12-27 @ Ards L 1-558.5 1724 1460 55.97% 17.30% 26.73%+0.98 -63.3 31
1930-12-27 Newry Town W 6-130.2 1642 1217 81.89% 15.69% 2.42%+3.19 +4.1 27
1930-12-27 @ Ballymena L 1-630.2 1217 1642 2.42% 15.69% 81.89%-3.19 -4.1 8
1930-12-27 Glentoran L 2-468.1 1735 1825 49.98% 17.48% 32.54%+0.07 -27.9 31
1930-12-27 @ Belfast Celtic W 4-268.1 1825 1735 32.54% 17.48% 49.98%-0.07 +27.9 39
1930-12-27 Bangor W 4-242.4 1370 1368 60.78% 17.41% 21.81%+0.63 +13.7 19
1930-12-27 @ Cliftonville L 2-442.4 1368 1370 21.81% 17.41% 60.78%-0.63 -13.7 11
1930-12-27 Larne W 3-139.2 1702 1290 81.65% 15.76% 2.59%+3.11 +2.0 29
1930-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-339.2 1290 1702 2.59% 15.76% 81.65%-3.11 -2.0 13
1930-12-27 Derry City W 7-142.4 1336 1509 38.45% 17.45% 44.10%-0.43 +74.0 14
1930-12-27 @ Portadown L 1-742.4 1509 1336 44.10% 17.45% 38.45%+0.43 -74.0 20
1931-01-03 Lisburn Distillery D 3-372.4 1354 1704 18.06% 17.06% 64.88%-1.50 +2.7 12
1931-01-03 @ Bangor D 3-372.4 1704 1354 64.88% 17.06% 18.06%+1.50 -2.7 30
1931-01-03 Cliftonville D 1-166.0 1707 1384 79.50% 16.28% 4.21%+2.57 -7.4 32
1931-01-03 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-166.0 1384 1707 4.21% 16.28% 79.50%-2.57 +7.3 20
1931-01-03 Ballymena L 1-254.1 1435 1646 33.29% 17.40% 49.31%-0.66 -12.8 20
1931-01-03 @ Derry City W 2-154.1 1646 1435 49.31% 17.40% 33.29%+0.66 +12.8 29
1931-01-03 Portadown D 1-155.8 1381 1410 57.40% 17.44% 25.15%+0.44 -2.9 17
1931-01-03 @ Glenavon D 1-155.8 1410 1381 25.15% 17.44% 57.40%-0.44 +2.9 15
1931-01-03 Linfield D 1-172.1 1852 1661 74.61% 16.90% 8.49%+1.78 -6.3 40
1931-01-03 @ Glentoran D 1-172.1 1661 1852 8.49% 16.90% 74.61%-1.78 +6.3 32
1931-01-03 Coleraine W 5-246.0 1288 1443 41.09% 17.46% 41.45%-0.32 +32.5 15
1931-01-03 @ Larne L 2-546.0 1443 1288 41.45% 17.46% 41.09%+0.32 -32.5 14
1931-01-03 Ards L 0-137.1 1213 1523 21.77% 17.18% 61.05%-1.26 -9.3 8
1931-01-03 @ Newry Town W 1-037.1 1523 1213 61.05% 17.18% 21.77%+1.26 +9.3 22
1931-01-10 Larne W 7-131.0 1413 1321 68.60% 17.22% 14.18%+1.17 +27.5 17
1931-01-10 @ Portadown L 1-731.0 1321 1413 14.18% 17.22% 68.60%-1.17 -27.5 15
1931-01-14 Glentoran L 0-541.0 1391 1846 10.74% 16.64% 72.61%-2.13 -21.4 20
1931-01-14 @ Cliftonville W 5-041.0 1846 1391 72.61% 16.64% 10.74%+2.13 +21.4 42
1931-01-14 Belfast Celtic W 2-156.8 1701 1699 60.74% 17.41% 21.86%+0.63 +8.9 32
1931-01-14 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-256.8 1699 1701 21.86% 17.41% 60.74%-0.63 -8.9 32
1931-01-15 Derry City D 4-472.0 1533 1422 69.92% 17.17% 12.90%+1.29 -2.9 23
1931-01-15 @ Ards D 4-472.0 1422 1533 12.90% 17.17% 69.92%-1.29 +2.9 21
1931-01-17 Portadown W 6-242.3 1357 1440 50.82% 17.48% 31.70%+0.11 +32.9 14
1931-01-17 @ Bangor L 2-642.3 1440 1357 31.70% 17.48% 50.82%-0.11 -32.9 17
1931-01-17 Coleraine W 4-354.1 1690 1410 78.21% 16.50% 5.29%+2.31 +2.2 34
1931-01-17 @ Belfast Celtic L 3-454.1 1410 1690 5.29% 16.50% 78.21%-2.31 -2.2 14
1931-01-17 Lisburn Distillery W 4-371.2 1370 1710 18.91% 17.09% 63.99%-1.44 +21.1 22
1931-01-17 @ Cliftonville L 3-471.2 1710 1370 63.99% 17.09% 18.91%+1.44 -21.1 32
1931-01-17 Linfield W 6-258.5 1425 1667 29.31% 17.35% 53.34%-0.85 +51.3 23
1931-01-17 @ Derry City L 2-658.5 1667 1425 53.34% 17.35% 29.31%+0.85 -51.3 32
1931-01-17 Ards L 3-458.3 1378 1530 41.47% 17.46% 41.06%-0.30 -14.2 17
1931-01-17 @ Glenavon W 4-358.3 1530 1378 41.06% 17.46% 41.47%+0.30 +14.2 25
1931-01-17 Newry Town W 5-348.6 1868 1204 85.39% 13.96% 0.65%+4.63 +0.4 44
1931-01-17 @ Glentoran L 3-548.6 1204 1868 0.65% 13.96% 85.39%-4.63 -0.4 8
1931-01-17 Ballymena W 4-049.6 1293 1658 16.79% 17.01% 66.20%-1.59 +89.6 17
1931-01-17 @ Larne L 0-449.6 1658 1293 66.20% 17.01% 16.79%+1.59 -89.6 29
1931-01-19 Newry Town W 4-131.7 1616 1203 81.66% 15.76% 2.58%+3.11 +2.8 34
1931-01-19 @ Linfield L 1-431.7 1203 1616 2.58% 15.76% 81.66%-3.11 -2.8 8
1931-01-21 Glenavon W 6-134.6 1569 1364 75.25% 16.84% 7.91%+1.86 +13.3 31
1931-01-21 @ Ballymena L 1-634.6 1364 1569 7.91% 16.84% 75.25%-1.86 -13.3 17
1931-01-22 Bangor L 2-357.5 1408 1390 62.34% 17.38% 20.27%+0.73 -21.1 14
1931-01-22 @ Coleraine W 3-257.5 1390 1408 20.27% 17.38% 62.34%-0.73 +21.1 16
1931-01-24 Larne D 0-057.5 1544 1383 73.03% 17.01% 9.96%+1.59 -6.7 26
1931-01-24 @ Ards D 0-057.5 1383 1544 9.96% 17.01% 73.03%-1.59 +6.7 18
1931-01-24 Bangor L 1-459.0 1582 1411 73.60% 16.97% 9.43%+1.66 -64.9 31
1931-01-24 @ Ballymena W 4-159.0 1411 1582 9.43% 16.97% 73.60%-1.66 +64.9 18
1931-01-24 Cliftonville W 2-035.5 1387 1391 60.07% 17.42% 22.52%+0.59 +18.2 16
1931-01-24 @ Coleraine L 0-235.5 1391 1387 22.52% 17.42% 60.07%-0.59 -18.2 22
1931-01-24 Glenavon W 3-139.5 1619 1350 77.79% 16.56% 5.65%+2.24 +4.3 36
1931-01-24 @ Linfield L 1-339.5 1350 1619 5.65% 16.56% 77.79%-2.24 -4.3 17
1931-01-24 Glentoran L 2-366.2 1689 1868 37.66% 17.44% 44.90%-0.46 -13.4 32
1931-01-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-266.2 1868 1689 44.90% 17.44% 37.66%+0.46 +13.4 46
1931-01-24 Derry City W 2-044.4 1200 1476 25.42% 17.27% 57.31%-1.05 +40.9 10
1931-01-24 @ Newry Town L 0-244.4 1476 1200 57.31% 17.27% 25.42%+1.05 -40.9 23
1931-01-24 Belfast Celtic W 4-158.3 1407 1693 24.35% 17.25% 58.40%-1.11 +51.0 19
1931-01-24 @ Portadown L 1-458.3 1693 1407 58.40% 17.25% 24.35%+1.11 -51.0 34
1931-01-29 Glenavon W 7-029.2 1405 1346 66.00% 17.30% 16.70%+0.97 +44.8 18
1931-01-29 @ Coleraine L 0-729.2 1346 1405 16.70% 17.30% 66.00%-0.97 -44.8 17
1931-01-31 Ards D 3-370.6 1476 1537 53.56% 17.47% 28.97%+0.24 -1.3 19
1931-01-31 @ Bangor D 3-370.6 1537 1476 28.97% 17.47% 53.56%-0.24 +1.3 27
1931-01-31 Ballymena W 4-146.2 1642 1517 70.83% 17.13% 12.04%+1.37 +12.6 36
1931-01-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-446.2 1517 1642 12.04% 17.13% 70.83%-1.37 -12.6 31
1931-01-31 Portadown W 3-249.2 1373 1458 50.57% 17.48% 31.95%+0.10 +11.7 24
1931-01-31 @ Cliftonville L 2-349.2 1458 1373 31.95% 17.48% 50.57%-0.10 -11.7 19
1931-01-31 Glentoran D 4-482.1 1435 1881 11.22% 16.68% 72.09%-2.08 +3.1 24
1931-01-31 @ Derry City D 4-482.1 1881 1435 72.09% 16.68% 11.22%+2.08 -3.1 47
1931-01-31 Newry Town W 6-130.4 1301 1241 66.09% 17.30% 16.61%+0.98 +26.8 19
1931-01-31 @ Glenavon L 1-630.4 1241 1301 16.61% 17.30% 66.09%-0.98 -26.9 10
1931-01-31 Linfield L 2-354.8 1389 1623 30.41% 17.36% 52.23%-0.79 -11.2 18
1931-01-31 @ Larne W 3-254.8 1623 1389 52.23% 17.36% 30.41%+0.79 +11.2 38
1931-01-31 Coleraine W 4-355.5 1676 1450 76.17% 16.75% 7.08%+1.99 +2.9 34
1931-01-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-455.5 1450 1676 7.08% 16.75% 76.17%-1.99 -2.9 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1930-12-06 5.92% Coleraine 1437 3 @ Ballymena 1697 2
2 1931-01-24 9.43% Bangor 1411 4 @ Ballymena 1582 1
3 1930-10-18 13.20% Ards 1398 1 @ Derry City 1504 0
4 1930-08-23 14.23% Belfast Celtic 1585 2 @ Linfield 1676 1
5 1931-01-17 16.79% @ Larne 1293 4 Ballymena 1658 0
6 1930-08-23 17.31% Cliftonville 1387 3 @ Ards 1438 2
7 1930-12-13 17.33% @ Portadown 1312 3 Ballymena 1670 1
8 1931-01-17 18.91% @ Cliftonville 1370 4 Lisburn Distillery 1710 3
9 1931-01-22 20.27% Bangor 1390 3 @ Coleraine 1408 2
10 1930-09-27 20.96% Derry City 1469 2 @ Coleraine 1480 0
11 1930-10-11 21.48% Glentoran 1687 2 @ Linfield 1692 0
12 1930-09-20 21.75% Coleraine 1443 3 @ Newry Town 1446 1
13 1930-12-26 24.31% Cliftonville 1341 6 @ Larne 1320 4
14 1931-01-24 24.35% @ Portadown 1407 4 Belfast Celtic 1693 1
15 1931-01-24 25.42% @ Newry Town 1200 2 Derry City 1476 0
16 1930-09-13 26.01% Glentoran 1617 4 @ Ballymena 1580 2
17 1930-10-25 26.59% Bangor 1392 5 @ Portadown 1351 2
18 1930-12-27 26.73% @ Ards 1460 5 Linfield 1724 1
19 1930-11-01 26.83% Coleraine 1398 4 @ Cliftonville 1354 1
20 1930-11-22 27.03% Ballymena 1677 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1632 1
21 1930-08-20 27.42% Glentoran 1573 2 @ Coleraine 1525 0
22 1931-01-17 29.31% @ Derry City 1425 6 Linfield 1667 2
23 1930-08-30 30.71% Derry City 1488 2 @ Bangor 1413 1
24 1930-10-11 30.83% Glenavon 1494 5 @ Portadown 1417 1
25 1930-09-20 31.96% Lisburn Distillery 1572 3 @ Derry City 1486 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1931-01-17 89.57 @ Larne 4 1293 16.79% Ballymena 0 1658 66.20% 17.01%
2 1930-12-27 74.03 @ Portadown 7 1336 38.45% Derry City 1 1509 44.10% 17.45%
3 1930-08-20 67.82 Linfield 6 1608 34.16% @ Bangor 1 1506 48.36% 17.48%
4 1930-10-11 64.90 Belfast Celtic 5 1610 45.81% @ Cliftonville 0 1425 36.75% 17.43%
5 1931-01-24 64.86 Bangor 4 1411 9.43% @ Ballymena 1 1582 73.60% 16.97%
6 1930-12-27 63.26 @ Ards 5 1460 26.73% Linfield 1 1724 55.97% 17.30%
7 1930-10-11 58.81 Glenavon 5 1494 30.83% @ Portadown 1 1417 51.70% 17.48%
8 1930-10-25 54.64 @ Ards 6 1424 45.05% Glenavon 1 1551 37.47% 17.48%
9 1930-12-25 51.68 @ Lisburn Distillery 9 1625 67.72% Derry City 0 1545 15.02% 17.25%
10 1931-01-17 51.31 @ Derry City 6 1425 29.31% Linfield 2 1667 53.34% 17.35%
11 1931-01-24 51.04 @ Portadown 4 1407 24.35% Belfast Celtic 1 1693 58.40% 17.25%
12 1930-11-01 48.85 Coleraine 4 1398 26.83% @ Cliftonville 1 1354 55.71% 17.46%
13 1930-11-22 47.91 Derry City 3 1488 37.36% @ Larne 0 1362 45.17% 17.48%
14 1930-09-13 46.95 @ Lisburn Distillery 9 1525 63.66% Newry Town 1 1493 18.99% 17.36%
15 1931-01-29 44.78 @ Coleraine 7 1405 66.00% Glenavon 0 1346 16.70% 17.30%
16 1930-08-30 44.56 @ Portadown 4 1399 32.11% Glentoran 1 1619 50.51% 17.39%
17 1930-09-27 44.03 Derry City 2 1469 20.96% @ Coleraine 0 1480 61.64% 17.39%
18 1930-09-13 43.89 @ Cliftonville 3 1381 41.84% Derry City 0 1530 40.70% 17.47%
19 1930-10-11 43.66 Glentoran 2 1687 21.48% @ Linfield 0 1692 61.12% 17.40%
20 1930-09-06 42.55 @ Glentoran 9 1574 70.68% Larne 0 1452 12.19% 17.14%
21 1930-10-25 42.49 Bangor 5 1392 26.59% @ Portadown 2 1351 55.95% 17.46%
22 1930-12-20 41.97 Lisburn Distillery 8 1583 63.52% @ Newry Town 1 1248 19.38% 17.11%
23 1931-01-24 40.92 @ Newry Town 2 1200 25.42% Derry City 0 1476 57.31% 17.27%
24 1930-12-13 40.53 @ Portadown 3 1312 17.33% Ballymena 1 1670 65.64% 17.03%
25 1930-08-23 40.12 @ Ballymena 4 1513 55.86% Lisburn Distillery 0 1555 26.69% 17.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-11-22 82.7 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1699 59.60% Linfield 4 1707 22.98% 17.42%
2 1931-01-31 82.1 @ Derry City 4 1435 11.22% Glentoran 4 1881 72.09% 16.68%
3 1930-09-06 76.3 @ Linfield 3 1664 71.94% Lisburn Distillery 3 1521 10.99% 17.07%
4 1930-12-20 75.4 @ Glentoran 2 1811 74.08% Ballymena 2 1630 8.98% 16.94%
5 1930-12-06 74.2 @ Newry Town 5 1256 11.51% Belfast Celtic 5 1697 71.78% 16.71%
6 1930-09-27 73.6 @ Ballymena 2 1583 48.36% Linfield 2 1685 34.16% 17.48%
7 1930-12-06 72.9 Coleraine 3 1437 5.92% @ Ballymena 2 1697 77.48% 16.60%
8 1931-01-03 72.4 @ Bangor 3 1354 18.06% Lisburn Distillery 3 1704 64.88% 17.06%
9 1930-11-08 72.3 @ Coleraine 3 1447 39.48% Lisburn Distillery 3 1612 43.06% 17.45%
10 1931-01-03 72.1 @ Glentoran 1 1852 74.61% Linfield 1 1661 8.49% 16.90%
11 1931-01-15 72.0 @ Ards 4 1533 69.92% Derry City 4 1422 12.90% 17.17%
12 1931-01-17 71.2 @ Cliftonville 4 1370 18.91% Lisburn Distillery 3 1710 63.99% 17.09%
13 1931-01-31 70.6 @ Bangor 3 1476 53.56% Ards 3 1537 28.97% 17.47%
14 1930-12-13 70.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1584 44.75% Linfield 1 1713 37.78% 17.48%
15 1930-08-23 69.2 Belfast Celtic 2 1585 14.23% @ Linfield 1 1676 68.55% 17.22%
16 1930-12-13 69.0 @ Bangor 4 1420 57.21% Glenavon 4 1450 25.35% 17.45%
17 1930-12-25 68.6 @ Portadown 2 1347 16.12% Linfield 2 1721 66.90% 16.98%
18 1930-12-06 68.4 @ Derry City 3 1536 70.50% Bangor 3 1416 12.35% 17.15%
19 1930-12-27 68.1 Glentoran 4 1825 32.54% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1735 49.98% 17.48%
20 1930-10-18 67.9 @ Glenavon 1 1553 53.87% Ballymena 1 1612 28.66% 17.47%
21 1930-12-13 67.7 @ Coleraine 3 1464 59.96% Ards 3 1469 22.62% 17.42%
22 1930-09-20 66.9 @ Larne 2 1412 34.79% Belfast Celtic 2 1612 47.80% 17.42%
23 1930-09-13 66.6 Glentoran 4 1617 26.01% @ Ballymena 2 1580 56.54% 17.45%
24 1931-01-24 66.2 Glentoran 3 1868 44.90% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1689 37.66% 17.44%
25 1930-11-22 66.1 Ballymena 2 1677 27.03% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1632 55.51% 17.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-11-22 26.3 @ Bangor 5 1390 69.79% Newry Town 0 1282 13.03% 17.18%
2 1930-12-20 28.5 @ Derry City 5 1528 74.69% Cliftonville 0 1335 8.42% 16.89%
3 1931-01-29 29.2 @ Coleraine 7 1405 66.00% Glenavon 0 1346 16.70% 17.30%
4 1930-12-27 30.2 @ Ballymena 6 1642 81.89% Newry Town 1 1217 2.42% 15.69%
5 1931-01-31 30.4 @ Glenavon 6 1301 66.09% Newry Town 1 1241 16.61% 17.30%
6 1931-01-10 31.0 @ Portadown 7 1413 68.60% Larne 1 1321 14.18% 17.22%
7 1931-01-19 31.7 @ Linfield 4 1616 81.66% Newry Town 1 1203 2.58% 15.76%
8 1930-12-25 33.1 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1721 81.27% Larne 0 1326 2.85% 15.87%
9 1930-08-20 33.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1529 69.28% Portadown 0 1427 13.53% 17.20%
10 1930-11-01 34.0 @ Derry City 1 1467 73.24% Newry Town 0 1302 9.76% 17.00%
11 1930-12-20 34.4 Lisburn Distillery 8 1583 63.52% @ Newry Town 1 1248 19.38% 17.11%
12 1931-01-21 34.6 @ Ballymena 6 1569 75.25% Glenavon 1 1364 7.91% 16.84%
13 1931-01-24 35.5 @ Coleraine 2 1387 60.07% Cliftonville 0 1391 22.52% 17.42%
14 1930-09-27 36.5 @ Cliftonville 2 1418 61.08% Larne 0 1413 21.52% 17.40%
15 1931-01-03 37.1 Ards 1 1523 61.05% @ Newry Town 0 1213 21.77% 17.18%
16 1930-09-06 37.3 @ Newry Town 4 1477 67.76% Cliftonville 1 1397 14.99% 17.25%
17 1930-12-06 37.4 @ Glenavon 2 1445 71.27% Larne 1 1314 11.62% 17.11%
18 1930-09-06 37.5 @ Glentoran 9 1574 70.68% Larne 0 1452 12.19% 17.14%
19 1930-10-04 37.9 @ Glenavon 2 1479 64.61% Coleraine 0 1436 18.05% 17.34%
20 1930-08-23 38.1 @ Newry Town 5 1463 62.96% Bangor 1 1438 19.67% 17.37%
21 1930-09-06 38.1 @ Ballymena 7 1555 70.01% Portadown 1 1443 12.82% 17.17%
22 1930-10-11 38.4 @ Ards 6 1374 60.62% Newry Town 2 1373 21.97% 17.41%
23 1930-12-20 38.7 @ Larne 2 1299 46.04% Bangor 0 1418 36.48% 17.48%
24 1930-11-08 38.8 @ Portadown 5 1307 60.71% Cliftonville 2 1305 21.88% 17.41%
25 1930-12-13 39.0 @ Cliftonville 4 1324 66.57% Newry Town 2 1258 16.15% 17.29%