‹ ›

1932-33 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lisburn Distillery

10.20 points above expected

39 points · 28.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

6.48 points below expected

16 points · 22.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 19 3 4 41 81 34 +47 34.09 +6.91
2 Lisburn Distillery 26 18 3 5 39 75 47 +28 28.80 +10.20
3 Linfield 26 17 4 5 38 83 34 +49 36.81 +1.19
4 Derry City 26 16 1 9 33 59 39 +20 34.45 -1.45
5 Glentoran 26 14 4 8 32 74 61 +13 30.04 +1.96
6 Bangor 26 13 2 11 28 60 56 +4 22.24 +5.76
7 Coleraine 26 11 5 10 27 69 50 +19 30.82 -3.82
8 Ballymena 26 11 4 11 26 56 58 -2 29.79 -3.79
9 Glenavon 26 7 4 15 18 56 59 -3 18.90 -0.90
10 Portadown 26 8 2 16 18 37 72 -35 21.03 -3.03
11 Ards 26 6 5 15 17 51 83 -32 19.15 -2.15
12 Larne 26 8 1 17 17 55 88 -33 17.04 -0.04
13 Cliftonville 26 5 6 15 16 54 74 -20 22.48 -6.48
14 Newry Town 26 5 4 17 14 47 102 -55 18.36 -4.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 39 28.80 +10.20
2 Belfast Celtic 41 34.09 +6.91
3 Bangor 28 22.24 +5.76
4 Glentoran 32 30.04 +1.96
5 Linfield 38 36.81 +1.19

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 16 22.48 -6.48
2 Newry Town 14 18.36 -4.36
3 Coleraine 27 30.82 -3.82
4 Ballymena 26 29.79 -3.79
5 Portadown 18 21.03 -3.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 9 Oct 29 – Dec 24 1 in 841
2 Bangor 4 Oct 26 – Nov 12 1 in 176
3 Belfast Celtic 7 Sep 10 – Oct 29 1 in 164
4 Newry Town 3 Dec 10 – Dec 24 1 in 124
5 Derry City 7 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 10 Sep 10 – Nov 19 1 in 362
2 Derry City 3 Nov 26 – Dec 15 1 in 58
3 Larne 8 Oct 29 – Dec 17 1 in 50
4 Coleraine 4 Dec 27 – Jan 21 1 in 43
5 Cliftonville 5 Oct 8 – Oct 29 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 16 Oct 29 – Feb 4 1 in 611
2 Belfast Celtic 13 Sep 10 – Dec 10 1 in 135
3 Coleraine 10 Aug 20 – Oct 27 1 in 124
4 Bangor 5 Oct 26 – Nov 19 1 in 41
5 Newry Town 3 Dec 10 – Dec 24 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 4 Dec 3 – Dec 24 1 in 44
2 Ards 10 Sep 10 – Nov 19 1 in 37
3 Newry Town 8 Aug 20 – Oct 15 1 in 24
4 Cliftonville 6 Oct 8 – Nov 5 1 in 19
5 Linfield 3 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1699 41 +56 10 6.9 +3.1
Lisburn Distillery 1652 39 +31 9 6.8 +2.2
Linfield 1733 38 +11 8 8.0 +0.0
Derry City 1606 33 -6 5 6.2 -1.2
Glentoran 1586 32 +18 6 5.3 +0.7
Bangor 1477 28 -13 4 4.1 -0.1
Coleraine 1555 27 -12 4 5.2 -1.2
Ballymena 1526 26 -3 5 5.5 -0.5
Portadown 1383 18 -45 2 3.6 -1.6
Glenavon 1384 18 -14 2 4.1 -2.1
Ards 1370 17 +28 5 3.5 +1.5
Larne 1326 17 +16 4 3.6 +0.4
Cliftonville 1424 16 +3 4 4.2 -0.2
Newry Town 1277 14 -70 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAL BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
0-0-2
1.87
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
1.14
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
3.12
0-1-1
0.92
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.55
Ballymena
2-0-0
3.85
—
0-0-2
3.75
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
3.97
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.84
0-0-2
3.03
1-1-0
4.31
0-0-2
2.23
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.81
Bangor
0-0-2
3.26
2-0-0
1.97
—
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
1.40
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
1.27
0-0-2
2.07
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.86
Belfast Celtic
1-1-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
4.08
—
2-0-0
4.36
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
4.57
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
4.69
1-0-1
4.23
Cliftonville
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
1.75
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
1.36
—
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
3.49
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.98
0-2-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.79
Coleraine
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.65
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.50
—
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
4.13
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
4.46
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
4.18
2-0-0
3.95
Derry City
1-0-1
4.59
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
4.33
0-0-2
3.06
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.20
—
2-0-0
4.52
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
4.36
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
3.63
1-0-1
4.58
2-0-0
4.15
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
1.37
2-0-0
2.23
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
1.21
—
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
1.67
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.89
Glentoran
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
4.14
—
2-0-0
4.20
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.88
Larne
2-0-0
2.60
0-1-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
1.16
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
1.27
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.53
—
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.48
Linfield
1-1-0
4.81
2-0-0
3.49
0-1-1
4.45
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
4.21
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
4.65
—
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.25
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.09
2-0-0
4.06
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
1.85
—
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.48
Newry Town
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.04
0-2-0
2.26
1-1-0
1.54
1-0-1
1.15
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
0.74
0-0-2
2.08
—
1-0-1
2.55
Portadown
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
1.57
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +6.2
Allowed 0.77 -4.1
Differential 0.87 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%2.20%1.10%1.92%2.47%11.26%
13.57%6.59%7.69%4.12%3.30%4.40%29.67%
22.20%7.69%3.85%3.57%1.92%2.47%21.70%
31.10%4.12%3.57%0.55%1.37%1.92%12.64%
41.92%3.30%1.92%1.37%1.65%0.55%10.71%
5+2.47%4.40%2.47%1.92%0.55%2.20%14.01%
Total11.26%29.67%21.70%12.64%10.71%14.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.35 +0.00
SD 1.86 1.86 2.80
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—7.69%11.54%23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
3——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
4—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
5+3.85%————7.69%11.54%
Total7.69%19.23%19.23%11.54%15.38%26.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 3.19 -1.23
SD 1.78 2.21 2.79
CV 0.91 0.69 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
13.85%7.69%—7.69%—7.69%26.92%
2—11.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
3—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total7.69%42.31%15.38%19.23%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.23 -0.08
SD 1.87 1.88 2.80
CV 0.87 0.84 —
Max 8 7 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%—38.46%
2—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
3—7.69%11.54%——3.85%23.08%
4———————
5+—3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
Total7.69%30.77%26.92%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 2.15 +0.15
SD 1.91 1.41 2.15
CV 0.83 0.65 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
2—7.69%————7.69%
33.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
43.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
5+—11.54%11.54%———23.08%
Total7.69%57.69%30.77%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.12 1.31 +1.81
SD 1.90 0.68 2.02
CV 0.61 0.52 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————11.54%—11.54%
1—7.69%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%42.31%
2——7.69%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+—7.69%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
Total—15.38%30.77%23.08%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 2.85 -0.77
SD 1.74 1.35 2.47
CV 0.84 0.47 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
1—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
23.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%19.23%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total11.54%30.77%30.77%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.65 1.92 +0.73
SD 2.19 1.32 2.60
CV 0.83 0.69 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%————7.69%
115.38%—7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
211.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total42.31%15.38%19.23%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.50 +0.77
SD 1.89 1.82 2.72
CV 0.83 1.21 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
1—11.54%19.23%3.85%——34.62%
2—7.69%—15.38%3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%—7.69%—15.38%
4—7.69%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total—38.46%23.08%19.23%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.27 -0.12
SD 1.29 1.34 1.61
CV 0.60 0.59 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
1—7.69%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
2—19.23%3.85%—7.69%7.69%38.46%
33.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
43.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
5+3.85%7.69%———3.85%15.38%
Total11.54%34.62%15.38%3.85%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.85 2.35 +0.50
SD 1.83 1.79 2.67
CV 0.64 0.76 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%—3.85%11.54%23.08%
1——3.85%7.69%11.54%—23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
4———7.69%——7.69%
5+——3.85%3.85%—3.85%11.54%
Total—11.54%23.08%23.08%23.08%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 3.38 -1.27
SD 2.14 1.81 3.09
CV 1.01 0.54 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
13.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
23.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
3———————
47.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
5+11.54%11.54%——3.85%—26.92%
Total26.92%34.62%26.92%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.19 1.31 +1.88
SD 2.14 1.16 2.69
CV 0.67 0.89 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
17.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
27.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
3—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%—11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
Total19.23%34.62%15.38%11.54%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 1.81 +1.08
SD 2.03 1.50 2.12
CV 0.70 0.83 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%—7.69%11.54%
13.85%—7.69%—3.85%23.08%38.46%
2—7.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
3—3.85%—3.85%—7.69%15.38%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total3.85%15.38%11.54%15.38%7.69%46.15%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 3.92 -2.12
SD 1.30 2.33 2.92
CV 0.72 0.59 —
Max 5 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%———3.85%15.38%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%50.00%
23.85%11.54%———7.69%23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%34.62%15.38%3.85%3.85%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.77 -1.35
SD 1.17 2.60 3.07
CV 0.82 0.94 —
Max 5 11 +5
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1733 38 36.81 +1.19 63.0% 29 30 34 37 40 43 45
Belfast Celtic 1699 41 34.09 +6.91 97.0% 25 26 31 34 37 41 46
Lisburn Distillery 1652 39 28.80 +10.20 99.0% 19 21 26 29 32 35 40
Derry City 1606 33 34.45 -1.45 40.0% 21 27 32 34 37 41 44
Glentoran 1586 32 30.04 +1.96 71.0% 20 22 28 30 33 37 42
Coleraine 1555 27 30.82 -3.82 21.0% 13 22 28 31 33 38 41
Ballymena 1526 26 29.79 -3.79 21.0% 21 24 27 29 32 37 40
Bangor 1477 28 22.24 +5.76 92.0% 13 16 19 22 25 29 31
Cliftonville 1424 16 22.48 -6.48 8.0% 11 15 19 22 26 31 32
Glenavon 1384 18 18.90 -0.90 45.0% 8 11 17 19 21 25 28
Portadown 1383 18 21.03 -3.03 31.0% 13 14 18 20 24 29 31
Ards 1370 17 19.15 -2.15 34.0% 9 12 17 19 21 25 28
Larne 1326 17 17.04 -0.04 53.0% 9 10 13 17 20 24 26
Newry Town 1277 14 18.36 -4.36 17.0% 8 11 16 19 21 26 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.68%
Clear Edge
52.75%13.19%34.07%
Elo Value
Home Edge
116 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
065.68300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.82 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Belfast Celtic, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.41 * Some Luck: 3.41 to 5.11 * Lucky: 5.11 to 6.81 * Wild Swing: 6.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.13 * Off: 2.13 to 2.84 * Way Off: 2.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.61 points
Some Luck
04.2611
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.14
Off
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Lisburn Distillery
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
8.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 143.94
1.99
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
47%
Some Drama
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Very Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.084
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic23.00%22.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%——————
Lisburn Distillery—5.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%19.00%15.00%9.00%2.00%9.00%2.00%———
Linfield46.00%27.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%————————
Derry City22.00%22.00%18.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%———
Glentoran1.00%10.00%11.00%19.00%22.00%9.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%———
Bangor———2.00%1.00%3.00%15.00%21.00%14.00%5.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%—
Coleraine4.00%9.00%19.00%17.00%18.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%—1.00%—1.00%—
Ballymena4.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%24.00%17.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%———
Glenavon————1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%20.00%16.00%12.00%
Portadown———1.00%—5.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%
Ards————1.00%—5.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%16.00%
Larne——————1.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%11.00%23.00%32.00%
Cliftonville——1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%
Newry Town———1.00%——1.00%3.00%11.00%19.00%7.00%19.00%13.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1932-08-20 Portadown D 1-159.8 1423 1466 51.20% 13.98% 34.82%+0.19 -0.8 1
1932-08-20 @ Ards D 1-159.8 1466 1423 34.82% 13.98% 51.20%-0.19 +0.8 1
1932-08-20 Belfast Celtic D 1-167.2 1537 1560 53.73% 13.98% 32.30%+0.36 -1.1 1
1932-08-20 @ Coleraine D 1-167.2 1560 1537 32.30% 13.98% 53.73%-0.36 +1.1 1
1932-08-20 Bangor W 3-141.7 1365 1405 51.59% 13.98% 34.43%+0.22 +12.8 2
1932-08-20 @ Glenavon L 1-341.7 1405 1365 34.43% 13.98% 51.59%-0.22 -12.8 0
1932-08-20 Cliftonville W 4-040.0 1575 1505 64.51% 13.87% 21.62%+1.17 +18.5 2
1932-08-20 @ Glentoran L 0-440.0 1505 1575 21.62% 13.87% 64.51%-1.17 -18.5 0
1932-08-20 Derry City L 0-145.7 1392 1592 29.86% 13.88% 56.26%-1.16 -6.9 0
1932-08-20 @ Larne W 1-045.7 1592 1392 56.26% 13.88% 29.86%+1.16 +6.9 2
1932-08-20 Lisburn Distillery W 4-040.0 1616 1503 68.53% 13.79% 17.67%+1.55 +15.3 2
1932-08-20 @ Linfield L 0-440.0 1503 1616 17.67% 13.79% 68.53%-1.55 -15.3 0
1932-08-20 Ballymena L 3-558.8 1456 1604 36.53% 13.95% 49.52%-0.72 -11.4 0
1932-08-20 @ Newry Town W 5-358.8 1604 1456 49.52% 13.95% 36.53%+0.72 +11.4 2
1932-08-24 Glentoran L 2-368.7 1616 1594 59.37% 13.94% 26.69%+0.76 -11.4 2
1932-08-24 @ Ballymena W 3-268.7 1594 1616 26.69% 13.94% 59.37%-0.76 +11.4 4
1932-08-24 Coleraine D 2-268.2 1487 1535 50.48% 13.99% 35.54%+0.15 -0.6 1
1932-08-24 @ Cliftonville D 2-268.2 1535 1487 35.54% 13.99% 50.48%-0.15 +0.6 2
1932-08-24 Linfield W 2-051.7 1599 1631 52.65% 13.98% 33.37%+0.29 +14.4 4
1932-08-24 @ Derry City L 0-251.7 1631 1599 33.37% 13.98% 52.65%-0.29 -14.4 2
1932-08-24 Newry Town W 5-350.5 1487 1445 61.65% 13.91% 24.43%+0.94 +8.0 2
1932-08-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-550.5 1445 1487 24.43% 13.91% 61.65%-0.94 -8.0 0
1932-08-25 Ards L 1-446.1 1393 1422 52.99% 13.98% 33.03%+0.31 -26.5 0
1932-08-25 @ Bangor W 4-146.1 1422 1393 33.03% 13.98% 52.99%-0.31 +26.5 3
1932-08-25 Glenavon W 2-141.8 1562 1378 73.90% 13.61% 12.49%+2.16 +2.9 3
1932-08-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-241.8 1378 1562 12.49% 13.61% 73.90%-2.16 -2.9 2
1932-08-25 Larne L 1-255.1 1467 1385 65.72% 13.85% 20.43%+1.28 -13.3 1
1932-08-25 @ Portadown W 2-155.1 1385 1467 20.43% 13.85% 65.72%-1.28 +13.3 2
1932-08-27 Belfast Celtic D 1-164.3 1449 1564 41.06% 13.97% 44.97%-0.43 +0.2 4
1932-08-27 @ Ards D 1-164.3 1564 1449 44.97% 13.97% 41.06%+0.43 -0.2 4
1932-08-27 Ballymena W 3-048.6 1536 1604 47.77% 13.99% 38.24%-0.02 +23.6 4
1932-08-27 @ Coleraine L 0-348.6 1604 1536 38.24% 13.99% 47.77%+0.02 -23.6 2
1932-08-27 Cliftonville W 4-144.8 1375 1486 41.69% 13.98% 44.33%-0.39 +22.6 4
1932-08-27 @ Glenavon L 1-444.8 1486 1375 44.33% 13.98% 41.69%+0.39 -22.6 1
1932-08-27 Bangor L 5-663.4 1398 1366 60.51% 13.93% 25.57%+0.85 -11.1 2
1932-08-27 @ Larne W 6-563.4 1366 1398 25.57% 13.93% 60.51%-0.85 +11.1 2
1932-08-27 Portadown W 5-036.5 1617 1454 72.47% 13.67% 13.86%+1.98 +15.0 4
1932-08-27 @ Linfield L 0-536.5 1454 1617 13.86% 13.67% 72.47%-1.98 -15.0 1
1932-08-27 Derry City W 2-157.9 1495 1613 40.76% 13.97% 45.26%-0.45 +9.4 4
1932-08-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-257.9 1613 1495 45.26% 13.97% 40.76%+0.45 -9.4 4
1932-08-27 Glentoran L 1-252.1 1437 1605 33.87% 13.93% 52.21%-0.89 -7.3 0
1932-08-27 @ Newry Town W 2-152.1 1605 1437 52.21% 13.93% 33.87%+0.89 +7.3 6
1932-09-03 Glenavon W 3-141.2 1581 1398 73.87% 13.61% 12.52%+2.15 +5.0 4
1932-09-03 @ Ballymena L 1-341.2 1398 1581 12.52% 13.61% 73.87%-2.15 -5.0 4
1932-09-03 Linfield D 1-164.2 1377 1632 23.66% 13.78% 62.56%-1.63 +2.0 3
1932-09-03 @ Bangor D 1-164.2 1632 1377 62.56% 13.78% 23.66%+1.63 -2.0 5
1932-09-03 Larne L 1-358.5 1564 1387 73.46% 13.63% 12.91%+2.10 -25.9 4
1932-09-03 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-158.5 1387 1564 12.91% 13.63% 73.46%-2.10 +25.9 4
1932-09-03 Ards L 3-462.5 1464 1449 58.50% 13.95% 27.55%+0.70 -11.0 1
1932-09-03 @ Cliftonville W 4-362.5 1449 1464 27.55% 13.95% 58.50%-0.70 +11.0 6
1932-09-03 Newry Town W 8-036.2 1604 1430 73.27% 13.64% 13.10%+2.08 +22.2 6
1932-09-03 @ Derry City L 0-836.2 1430 1604 13.10% 13.64% 73.27%-2.08 -22.2 0
1932-09-03 Coleraine L 0-259.2 1612 1560 62.75% 13.90% 23.35%+1.03 -25.5 6
1932-09-03 @ Glentoran W 2-059.2 1560 1612 23.35% 13.90% 62.75%-1.03 +25.5 6
1932-09-03 Lisburn Distillery W 2-044.0 1439 1505 48.11% 13.99% 37.90%+0.00 +16.1 3
1932-09-03 @ Portadown L 0-244.0 1505 1439 37.90% 13.99% 48.11%+0.00 -16.1 4
1932-09-10 Ballymena L 0-444.2 1460 1586 39.61% 13.97% 46.42%-0.52 -31.7 6
1932-09-10 @ Ards W 4-044.2 1586 1460 46.42% 13.97% 39.61%+0.52 +31.7 6
1932-09-10 Portadown W 1-044.2 1626 1455 73.05% 13.65% 13.30%+2.05 +3.3 8
1932-09-10 @ Derry City L 0-144.2 1455 1626 13.30% 13.65% 73.05%-2.05 -3.3 3
1932-09-10 Glentoran D 1-163.0 1393 1587 30.55% 13.89% 55.56%-1.11 +1.3 5
1932-09-10 @ Glenavon D 1-163.0 1587 1393 55.56% 13.89% 30.55%+1.11 -1.3 7
1932-09-10 Cliftonville W 3-250.0 1413 1453 51.68% 13.98% 34.34%+0.23 +7.0 6
1932-09-10 @ Larne L 2-350.0 1453 1413 34.34% 13.98% 51.68%-0.23 -7.0 1
1932-09-10 Belfast Celtic L 1-265.9 1630 1538 66.57% 13.84% 19.59%+1.36 -13.5 5
1932-09-10 @ Linfield W 2-165.9 1538 1630 19.59% 13.84% 66.57%-1.36 +13.5 6
1932-09-10 Bangor W 5-346.4 1489 1379 68.22% 13.80% 17.98%+1.51 +6.0 6
1932-09-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-546.4 1379 1489 17.98% 13.80% 68.22%-1.51 -6.0 3
1932-09-10 Coleraine D 4-474.4 1407 1585 32.64% 13.92% 53.44%-0.97 +0.6 1
1932-09-10 @ Newry Town D 4-474.4 1585 1407 53.44% 13.92% 32.64%+0.97 -0.6 7
1932-09-24 Larne W 2-145.2 1618 1420 74.79% 13.57% 11.64%+2.28 +2.7 8
1932-09-24 @ Ballymena L 1-245.2 1420 1618 11.64% 13.57% 74.79%-2.28 -2.7 6
1932-09-24 Derry City L 0-144.5 1373 1629 23.50% 13.78% 62.73%-1.65 -5.6 3
1932-09-24 @ Bangor W 1-044.5 1629 1373 62.73% 13.78% 23.50%+1.65 +5.6 10
1932-09-24 Lisburn Distillery W 4-144.8 1552 1495 63.22% 13.89% 22.88%+1.06 +12.6 8
1932-09-24 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-444.8 1495 1552 22.88% 13.89% 63.22%-1.06 -12.6 6
1932-09-24 Linfield W 4-260.3 1446 1616 33.60% 13.92% 52.47%-0.91 +16.6 3
1932-09-24 @ Cliftonville L 2-460.3 1616 1446 52.47% 13.92% 33.60%+0.91 -16.6 5
1932-09-24 Glenavon W 3-247.1 1584 1394 74.35% 13.59% 12.06%+2.22 +2.7 9
1932-09-24 @ Coleraine L 2-347.1 1394 1584 12.06% 13.59% 74.35%-2.22 -2.7 5
1932-09-24 Ards W 7-553.5 1586 1428 72.08% 13.68% 14.24%+1.93 +4.5 9
1932-09-24 @ Glentoran L 5-753.5 1428 1586 14.24% 13.68% 72.08%-1.93 -4.5 6
1932-09-24 Newry Town W 4-138.7 1452 1408 61.78% 13.91% 24.31%+0.95 +13.3 5
1932-09-24 @ Portadown L 1-438.7 1408 1452 24.31% 13.91% 61.78%-0.95 -13.3 1
1932-10-08 Coleraine L 1-251.2 1424 1587 34.50% 13.93% 51.57%-0.85 -7.4 6
1932-10-08 @ Ards W 2-151.2 1587 1424 51.57% 13.93% 34.50%+0.85 +7.4 11
1932-10-08 Belfast Celtic L 1-364.0 1635 1564 64.56% 13.87% 21.57%+1.18 -22.7 10
1932-10-08 @ Derry City W 3-164.0 1564 1635 21.57% 13.87% 64.56%-1.18 +22.7 10
1932-10-08 Glentoran L 2-452.6 1417 1590 33.28% 13.92% 52.80%-0.93 -11.1 6
1932-10-08 @ Larne W 4-252.6 1590 1417 52.80% 13.92% 33.28%+0.93 +11.1 11
1932-10-08 Ballymena W 2-051.1 1599 1620 54.11% 13.97% 31.91%+0.39 +13.8 7
1932-10-08 @ Linfield L 0-251.1 1620 1599 31.91% 13.97% 54.11%-0.39 -13.8 8
1932-10-08 Cliftonville W 2-146.5 1482 1462 59.08% 13.94% 26.98%+0.74 +6.0 8
1932-10-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-246.5 1462 1482 26.98% 13.94% 59.08%-0.74 -6.0 3
1932-10-08 Glenavon L 2-354.9 1395 1391 57.15% 13.96% 28.90%+0.60 -11.0 1
1932-10-08 @ Newry Town W 3-254.9 1391 1395 28.90% 13.96% 57.15%-0.60 +11.0 7
1932-10-08 Bangor L 0-151.9 1465 1368 67.13% 13.82% 19.05%+1.41 -14.4 5
1932-10-08 @ Portadown W 1-051.9 1368 1465 19.05% 13.82% 67.13%-1.41 +14.5 5
1932-10-15 Lisburn Distillery L 1-362.4 1607 1488 69.01% 13.78% 17.21%+1.59 -24.3 8
1932-10-15 @ Ballymena W 3-162.4 1488 1607 17.21% 13.78% 69.01%-1.59 +24.3 10
1932-10-15 Newry Town W 6-135.4 1382 1384 56.55% 13.96% 29.49%+0.56 +25.0 7
1932-10-15 @ Bangor L 1-635.4 1384 1382 29.49% 13.96% 56.55%-0.56 -25.0 1
1932-10-15 Portadown W 6-244.0 1587 1450 70.50% 13.74% 15.76%+1.75 +9.7 12
1932-10-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-644.0 1450 1587 15.76% 13.74% 70.50%-1.75 -9.7 5
1932-10-15 Derry City L 0-443.8 1456 1612 35.53% 13.94% 50.53%-0.78 -28.8 3
1932-10-15 @ Cliftonville W 4-043.8 1612 1456 50.53% 13.94% 35.53%+0.78 +28.9 12
1932-10-15 Larne W 4-139.8 1595 1406 74.20% 13.60% 12.20%+2.20 +7.0 13
1932-10-15 @ Coleraine L 1-439.8 1406 1595 12.20% 13.60% 74.20%-2.20 -7.0 6
1932-10-15 Ards W 2-143.8 1402 1416 54.99% 13.97% 31.04%+0.45 +6.8 9
1932-10-15 @ Glenavon L 1-243.8 1416 1402 31.04% 13.97% 54.99%-0.45 -6.8 6
1932-10-15 Linfield L 1-557.9 1601 1613 55.25% 13.97% 30.78%+0.46 -35.6 11
1932-10-15 @ Glentoran W 5-157.9 1613 1601 30.78% 13.97% 55.25%-0.46 +35.6 9
1932-10-22 Belfast Celtic L 1-347.8 1407 1597 31.11% 13.90% 54.99%-1.07 -11.7 7
1932-10-22 @ Bangor W 3-147.8 1597 1407 54.99% 13.90% 31.11%+1.07 +11.7 14
1932-10-22 Ballymena W 1-051.0 1641 1582 63.37% 13.89% 22.74%+1.08 +5.4 14
1932-10-22 @ Derry City L 0-151.0 1582 1641 22.74% 13.89% 63.37%-1.08 -5.4 8
1932-10-22 Glenavon W 4-351.1 1399 1409 55.54% 13.97% 30.49%+0.48 +6.2 8
1932-10-22 @ Larne L 3-451.1 1409 1399 30.49% 13.97% 55.54%-0.48 -6.2 9
1932-10-22 Coleraine D 2-274.7 1649 1602 62.17% 13.91% 23.92%+0.98 -1.5 10
1932-10-22 @ Linfield D 2-274.7 1602 1649 23.92% 13.91% 62.17%-0.98 +1.5 14
1932-10-22 Glentoran L 3-465.9 1512 1566 49.83% 13.99% 36.19%+0.11 -9.5 10
1932-10-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-365.9 1566 1512 36.19% 13.99% 49.83%-0.11 +9.5 13
1932-10-22 Ards W 4-140.0 1359 1410 50.17% 13.99% 35.85%+0.13 +18.8 3
1932-10-22 @ Newry Town L 1-440.0 1410 1359 35.85% 13.99% 50.17%-0.13 -18.8 6
1932-10-22 Cliftonville W 2-144.2 1441 1428 58.31% 13.95% 27.74%+0.68 +6.1 7
1932-10-22 @ Portadown L 1-244.2 1428 1441 27.74% 13.95% 58.31%-0.68 -6.1 3
1932-10-25 Newry Town W 5-136.9 1609 1377 76.74% 13.46% 9.80%+2.57 +7.3 16
1932-10-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-536.9 1377 1609 9.80% 13.46% 76.74%-2.57 -7.3 3
1932-10-26 Portadown W 5-140.3 1577 1447 69.97% 13.75% 16.28%+1.69 +11.8 10
1932-10-26 @ Ballymena L 1-540.3 1447 1577 16.28% 13.75% 69.97%-1.69 -11.8 7
1932-10-26 Bangor L 2-649.9 1421 1395 59.81% 13.93% 26.26%+0.79 -32.6 3
1932-10-26 @ Cliftonville W 6-249.9 1395 1421 26.26% 13.93% 59.81%-0.79 +32.6 9
1932-10-26 Linfield L 1-249.6 1403 1647 24.71% 13.80% 61.49%-1.55 -5.5 9
1932-10-26 @ Glenavon W 2-149.6 1647 1403 61.49% 13.80% 24.71%+1.55 +5.5 12
1932-10-26 Derry City L 3-566.7 1575 1646 47.39% 13.99% 38.63%-0.05 -14.3 13
1932-10-26 @ Glentoran W 5-366.7 1646 1575 38.63% 13.99% 47.39%+0.05 +14.3 16
1932-10-27 Larne L 2-354.4 1391 1405 54.90% 13.97% 31.13%+0.44 -10.6 6
1932-10-27 @ Ards W 3-254.4 1405 1391 31.13% 13.97% 54.90%-0.44 +10.6 10
1932-10-27 Lisburn Distillery W 2-149.8 1603 1503 67.40% 13.82% 18.78%+1.44 +4.3 16
1932-10-27 @ Coleraine L 1-249.8 1503 1603 18.78% 13.82% 67.40%-1.44 -4.3 10
1932-10-29 Ballymena W 5-361.6 1428 1589 34.87% 13.94% 51.19%-0.82 +15.3 11
1932-10-29 @ Bangor L 3-561.6 1589 1428 51.19% 13.94% 34.87%+0.82 -15.3 10
1932-10-29 Cliftonville W 5-137.7 1616 1389 76.51% 13.47% 10.01%+2.53 +7.4 18
1932-10-29 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-537.7 1389 1616 10.01% 13.47% 76.51%-2.53 -7.4 3
1932-10-29 Coleraine W 3-046.9 1661 1607 62.81% 13.90% 23.29%+1.03 +15.1 18
1932-10-29 @ Derry City L 0-346.9 1607 1661 23.29% 13.90% 62.81%-1.03 -15.1 16
1932-10-29 Ards W 6-033.3 1653 1380 78.80% 13.31% 7.89%+2.93 +10.3 14
1932-10-29 @ Linfield L 0-633.3 1380 1653 7.89% 13.31% 78.80%-2.93 -10.3 6
1932-10-29 Glenavon W 6-449.5 1499 1397 67.50% 13.82% 18.69%+1.44 +6.0 12
1932-10-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 4-649.5 1397 1499 18.69% 13.82% 67.50%-1.44 -6.0 9
1932-10-29 Larne W 3-142.2 1370 1416 50.83% 13.99% 35.18%+0.17 +13.1 5
1932-10-29 @ Newry Town L 1-342.2 1416 1370 35.18% 13.99% 50.83%-0.17 -13.1 10
1932-10-29 Glentoran L 1-252.2 1435 1561 39.62% 13.97% 46.41%-0.52 -8.4 7
1932-10-29 @ Portadown W 2-152.2 1561 1435 46.41% 13.97% 39.62%+0.52 +8.4 15
1932-11-05 Lisburn Distillery L 5-659.5 1370 1505 38.39% 13.96% 47.65%-0.60 -7.3 6
1932-11-05 @ Ards W 6-559.5 1505 1370 47.65% 13.96% 38.39%+0.60 +7.4 14
1932-11-05 Belfast Celtic D 1-170.0 1573 1623 50.30% 13.99% 35.72%+0.14 -0.7 11
1932-11-05 @ Ballymena D 1-170.0 1623 1573 35.72% 13.99% 50.30%-0.14 +0.7 19
1932-11-05 Newry Town D 5-569.7 1381 1383 56.51% 13.96% 29.53%+0.55 -0.7 4
1932-11-05 @ Cliftonville D 5-569.7 1383 1381 29.53% 13.96% 56.51%-0.55 +0.7 6
1932-11-05 Portadown W 11-138.3 1592 1427 72.66% 13.66% 13.68%+2.00 +23.5 18
1932-11-05 @ Coleraine L 1-1138.3 1427 1592 13.68% 13.66% 72.66%-2.00 -23.5 7
1932-11-05 Derry City L 2-353.0 1391 1676 20.66% 13.71% 65.64%-1.89 -4.4 9
1932-11-05 @ Glenavon W 3-253.0 1676 1391 65.64% 13.71% 20.66%+1.89 +4.4 20
1932-11-05 Bangor L 2-561.3 1569 1443 69.63% 13.76% 16.61%+1.66 -30.0 15
1932-11-05 @ Glentoran W 5-261.3 1443 1569 16.61% 13.76% 69.63%-1.66 +30.0 13
1932-11-05 Linfield L 1-445.5 1403 1663 23.06% 13.77% 63.17%-1.68 -12.6 10
1932-11-05 @ Larne W 4-145.5 1663 1403 63.17% 13.77% 23.06%+1.68 +12.6 16
1932-11-12 Coleraine W 3-262.2 1473 1616 37.35% 13.95% 48.70%-0.66 +9.5 15
1932-11-12 @ Bangor L 2-362.2 1616 1473 48.70% 13.95% 37.35%+0.66 -9.5 18
1932-11-12 Glentoran W 4-147.7 1624 1539 65.97% 13.85% 20.18%+1.30 +11.2 21
1932-11-12 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-447.7 1539 1624 20.18% 13.85% 65.97%-1.30 -11.2 15
1932-11-12 Ballymena W 6-148.5 1381 1573 30.85% 13.90% 55.25%-1.09 +43.6 6
1932-11-12 @ Cliftonville L 1-648.5 1573 1381 55.25% 13.90% 30.85%+1.09 -43.6 11
1932-11-12 Ards W 2-037.9 1680 1362 80.66% 13.12% 6.22%+3.32 +2.9 22
1932-11-12 @ Derry City L 0-237.9 1362 1680 6.22% 13.12% 80.66%-3.32 -3.0 6
1932-11-12 Newry Town W 6-137.8 1676 1384 79.64% 13.23% 7.13%+3.10 +6.5 18
1932-11-12 @ Linfield L 1-637.8 1384 1676 7.13% 13.23% 79.64%-3.10 -6.5 6
1932-11-12 Larne W 2-036.3 1512 1390 69.26% 13.77% 16.96%+1.62 +7.8 16
1932-11-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-236.3 1390 1512 16.96% 13.77% 69.26%-1.62 -7.8 10
1932-11-12 Glenavon D 1-157.2 1403 1387 58.67% 13.95% 27.39%+0.71 -1.6 8
1932-11-12 @ Portadown D 1-157.2 1387 1403 27.39% 13.95% 58.67%-0.71 +1.6 10
1932-11-19 Newry Town W 2-141.4 1529 1377 71.65% 13.70% 14.65%+1.88 +3.4 13
1932-11-19 @ Ballymena L 1-241.4 1377 1529 14.65% 13.70% 71.65%-1.88 -3.4 6
1932-11-19 Glenavon D 1-159.3 1483 1388 66.87% 13.83% 19.30%+1.38 -2.5 16
1932-11-19 @ Bangor D 1-159.3 1388 1483 19.30% 13.83% 66.87%-1.38 +2.5 11
1932-11-19 Coleraine W 3-259.3 1635 1606 60.15% 13.93% 25.92%+0.82 +5.5 23
1932-11-19 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-359.3 1606 1635 25.92% 13.93% 60.15%-0.82 -5.4 18
1932-11-19 Glentoran W 5-251.2 1424 1528 42.77% 13.98% 43.25%-0.33 +19.1 8
1932-11-19 @ Cliftonville L 2-551.2 1528 1424 43.25% 13.98% 42.77%+0.33 -19.1 15
1932-11-19 Larne W 4-034.8 1683 1383 79.99% 13.20% 6.81%+3.17 +6.1 24
1932-11-19 @ Derry City L 0-434.8 1383 1683 6.81% 13.20% 79.99%-3.17 -6.1 10
1932-11-19 Linfield W 2-162.2 1520 1682 34.61% 13.93% 51.46%-0.84 +10.5 18
1932-11-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-262.2 1682 1520 51.46% 13.93% 34.61%+0.84 -10.5 18
1932-11-19 Ards W 3-244.6 1401 1359 61.59% 13.91% 24.49%+0.93 +5.2 10
1932-11-19 @ Portadown L 2-344.6 1359 1401 24.49% 13.91% 61.59%-0.93 -5.2 6
1932-11-26 Bangor W 2-148.8 1354 1480 39.61% 13.97% 46.42%-0.52 +9.6 8
1932-11-26 @ Ards L 1-248.8 1480 1354 46.42% 13.97% 39.61%+0.52 -9.6 16
1932-11-26 Cliftonville W 3-144.2 1601 1443 72.07% 13.68% 14.25%+1.93 +5.7 20
1932-11-26 @ Coleraine L 1-344.2 1443 1601 14.25% 13.68% 72.07%-1.93 -5.7 8
1932-11-26 Belfast Celtic L 2-352.8 1391 1641 24.17% 13.79% 62.04%-1.59 -5.1 11
1932-11-26 @ Glenavon W 3-252.8 1641 1391 62.04% 13.79% 24.17%+1.59 +5.1 25
1932-11-26 Ballymena W 6-144.8 1509 1532 53.78% 13.98% 32.24%+0.36 +27.0 17
1932-11-26 @ Glentoran L 1-644.8 1532 1509 32.24% 13.98% 53.78%-0.36 -27.0 13
1932-11-26 Portadown L 0-539.0 1376 1407 52.92% 13.98% 33.10%+0.31 -50.6 10
1932-11-26 @ Larne W 5-039.0 1407 1376 33.10% 13.98% 52.92%-0.31 +50.6 12
1932-11-26 Derry City W 4-154.4 1672 1689 54.56% 13.97% 31.47%+0.42 +16.7 20
1932-11-26 @ Linfield L 1-454.4 1689 1672 31.47% 13.97% 54.56%-0.42 -16.7 24
1932-11-26 Lisburn Distillery L 1-541.8 1374 1530 35.46% 13.94% 50.60%-0.78 -24.0 6
1932-11-26 @ Newry Town W 5-141.8 1530 1374 50.60% 13.94% 35.46%+0.78 +24.0 20
1932-12-03 Coleraine W 2-157.2 1505 1606 43.16% 13.98% 42.86%-0.31 +9.0 15
1932-12-03 @ Ballymena L 1-257.2 1606 1505 42.86% 13.98% 43.16%+0.31 -9.0 20
1932-12-03 Larne W 3-242.4 1471 1326 71.13% 13.72% 15.15%+1.82 +3.3 18
1932-12-03 @ Bangor L 2-342.4 1326 1471 15.15% 13.72% 71.13%-1.82 -3.3 10
1932-12-03 Ards W 4-033.0 1646 1364 79.21% 13.27% 7.52%+3.01 +6.7 27
1932-12-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-433.0 1364 1646 7.52% 13.27% 79.21%-3.01 -6.7 8
1932-12-03 Glenavon L 1-253.4 1438 1386 62.65% 13.90% 23.45%+1.02 -12.7 8
1932-12-03 @ Cliftonville W 2-153.4 1386 1438 23.45% 13.90% 62.65%-1.02 +12.7 13
1932-12-03 Newry Town W 7-132.8 1536 1350 74.05% 13.60% 12.34%+2.18 +13.2 19
1932-12-03 @ Glentoran L 1-732.8 1350 1536 12.34% 13.60% 74.05%-2.18 -13.2 6
1932-12-03 Linfield L 1-547.4 1457 1689 26.17% 13.83% 60.00%-1.43 -18.3 12
1932-12-03 @ Portadown W 5-147.4 1689 1457 60.00% 13.83% 26.17%+1.43 +18.3 22
1932-12-10 Cliftonville D 2-260.6 1357 1425 47.85% 13.99% 38.17%-0.02 -0.4 9
1932-12-10 @ Ards D 2-260.6 1425 1357 38.17% 13.99% 47.85%+0.02 +0.4 9
1932-12-10 Glentoran L 1-264.1 1597 1549 62.28% 13.91% 23.82%+0.99 -12.6 20
1932-12-10 @ Coleraine W 2-164.1 1549 1597 23.82% 13.91% 62.28%-0.99 +12.6 21
1932-12-10 Ballymena L 0-146.5 1399 1514 41.06% 13.97% 44.96%-0.43 -9.1 13
1932-12-10 @ Glenavon W 1-046.5 1514 1399 44.96% 13.97% 41.06%+0.43 +9.2 17
1932-12-10 Belfast Celtic L 2-641.9 1323 1652 16.69% 13.58% 69.73%-2.29 -10.2 10
1932-12-10 @ Larne W 6-241.9 1652 1323 69.73% 13.58% 16.69%+2.29 +10.2 29
1932-12-10 Bangor L 1-269.2 1707 1474 76.83% 13.45% 9.72%+2.58 -15.7 22
1932-12-10 @ Linfield W 2-169.2 1474 1707 9.72% 13.45% 76.83%-2.58 +15.7 20
1932-12-10 Portadown W 5-139.6 1554 1439 68.73% 13.79% 17.48%+1.57 +12.6 22
1932-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-539.6 1439 1554 17.48% 13.79% 68.73%-1.57 -12.6 12
1932-12-10 Derry City W 2-161.7 1337 1672 16.22% 13.56% 70.22%-2.34 +14.2 8
1932-12-10 @ Newry Town L 1-261.7 1672 1337 70.22% 13.56% 16.22%+2.34 -14.2 24
1932-12-15 Lisburn Distillery L 3-766.8 1658 1567 66.60% 13.83% 19.57%+1.36 -33.1 24
1932-12-15 @ Derry City W 7-366.8 1567 1658 19.57% 13.83% 66.60%-1.36 +33.1 24
1932-12-17 Ards W 8-235.0 1523 1357 72.74% 13.66% 13.60%+2.01 +12.0 19
1932-12-17 @ Ballymena L 2-835.0 1357 1523 13.60% 13.66% 72.74%-2.01 -12.0 9
1932-12-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-153.2 1490 1600 41.84% 13.98% 44.19%-0.39 -9.3 20
1932-12-17 @ Bangor W 1-053.2 1600 1490 44.19% 13.98% 41.84%+0.39 +9.3 26
1932-12-17 Linfield L 1-265.1 1663 1691 53.14% 13.98% 32.88%+0.32 -10.9 29
1932-12-17 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-165.1 1691 1663 32.88% 13.98% 53.14%-0.32 +10.8 24
1932-12-17 Larne W 4-240.0 1425 1312 68.53% 13.79% 17.68%+1.55 +6.2 11
1932-12-17 @ Cliftonville L 2-440.0 1312 1425 17.68% 13.79% 68.53%-1.55 -6.2 10
1932-12-17 Newry Town L 1-261.0 1585 1351 76.88% 13.45% 9.67%+2.59 -15.7 20
1932-12-17 @ Coleraine W 2-161.0 1351 1585 9.67% 13.45% 76.88%-2.59 +15.7 10
1932-12-17 Glenavon W 2-142.5 1562 1389 73.13% 13.64% 13.23%+2.06 +3.1 23
1932-12-17 @ Glentoran L 1-242.5 1389 1562 13.23% 13.64% 73.13%-2.06 -3.1 13
1932-12-17 Derry City L 2-648.8 1426 1625 29.99% 13.88% 56.13%-1.15 -17.5 12
1932-12-17 @ Portadown W 6-248.8 1625 1426 56.13% 13.88% 29.99%+1.15 +17.5 26
1932-12-24 Glentoran D 4-471.4 1345 1565 27.47% 13.85% 58.68%-1.34 +0.9 10
1932-12-24 @ Ards D 4-471.4 1565 1345 58.68% 13.85% 27.47%+1.34 -0.9 24
1932-12-24 Bangor L 0-163.3 1643 1480 72.43% 13.67% 13.90%+1.97 -15.6 26
1932-12-24 @ Derry City W 1-063.3 1480 1643 13.90% 13.67% 72.43%-1.97 +15.6 22
1932-12-24 Coleraine D 4-473.0 1386 1569 32.00% 13.91% 54.09%-1.01 +0.6 14
1932-12-24 @ Glenavon D 4-473.0 1569 1386 54.09% 13.91% 32.00%+1.01 -0.6 21
1932-12-24 Ballymena D 2-262.1 1306 1535 26.40% 13.83% 59.76%-1.42 +1.3 11
1932-12-24 @ Larne D 2-262.1 1535 1306 59.76% 13.83% 26.40%+1.42 -1.3 20
1932-12-24 Cliftonville W 4-037.4 1702 1432 78.70% 13.32% 7.99%+2.91 +7.2 26
1932-12-24 @ Linfield L 0-437.4 1432 1702 7.99% 13.32% 78.70%-2.91 -7.1 11
1932-12-24 Belfast Celtic W 2-052.7 1609 1652 51.28% 13.98% 34.73%+0.20 +14.9 28
1932-12-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-252.7 1652 1609 34.73% 13.98% 51.28%-0.20 -14.9 29
1932-12-24 Portadown W 1-040.9 1367 1409 51.36% 13.98% 34.66%+0.20 +7.9 12
1932-12-24 @ Newry Town L 0-140.9 1409 1367 34.66% 13.98% 51.36%-0.20 -7.9 12
1932-12-26 Linfield L 0-154.5 1534 1709 32.99% 13.92% 53.09%-0.95 -7.6 20
1932-12-26 @ Ballymena W 1-054.5 1709 1534 53.09% 13.92% 32.99%+0.95 +7.5 28
1932-12-26 Portadown L 1-256.8 1496 1401 66.95% 13.83% 19.23%+1.39 -13.6 22
1932-12-26 @ Bangor W 2-156.8 1401 1496 19.23% 13.83% 66.95%-1.39 +13.6 14
1932-12-26 Derry City W 5-150.6 1637 1627 57.92% 13.95% 28.13%+0.65 +19.5 31
1932-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-550.6 1627 1637 28.13% 13.95% 57.92%-0.65 -19.5 26
1932-12-26 Lisburn Distillery D 1-165.6 1424 1624 29.89% 13.88% 56.23%-1.16 +1.3 12
1932-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 1-165.6 1624 1424 56.23% 13.88% 29.89%+1.16 -1.3 29
1932-12-26 Ards W 5-029.7 1569 1346 76.28% 13.49% 10.23%+2.50 +11.2 23
1932-12-26 @ Coleraine L 0-529.7 1346 1569 10.23% 13.49% 76.28%-2.50 -11.2 10
1932-12-26 Newry Town W 5-135.8 1387 1375 58.22% 13.95% 27.83%+0.68 +19.4 16
1932-12-26 @ Glenavon L 1-535.8 1375 1387 27.83% 13.95% 58.22%-0.68 -19.4 12
1932-12-26 Larne W 5-027.8 1564 1307 78.04% 13.37% 8.59%+2.79 +9.5 26
1932-12-26 @ Glentoran L 0-527.8 1307 1564 8.59% 13.37% 78.04%-2.79 -9.5 11
1932-12-27 Glenavon W 3-248.5 1334 1406 47.29% 13.99% 38.73%-0.05 +7.8 12
1932-12-27 @ Ards L 2-348.5 1406 1334 38.73% 13.99% 47.29%+0.05 -7.8 16
1932-12-27 Cliftonville W 3-143.2 1608 1426 73.77% 13.62% 12.61%+2.14 +5.1 28
1932-12-27 @ Derry City L 1-343.2 1426 1608 12.61% 13.62% 73.77%-2.14 -5.1 12
1932-12-27 Coleraine W 4-363.4 1298 1580 20.92% 13.71% 65.37%-1.87 +12.3 13
1932-12-27 @ Larne L 3-463.4 1580 1298 65.37% 13.71% 20.92%+1.87 -12.3 23
1932-12-27 Glentoran W 4-254.8 1717 1573 71.02% 13.72% 15.26%+1.81 +5.5 30
1932-12-27 @ Linfield L 2-454.8 1573 1717 15.26% 13.72% 71.02%-1.81 -5.4 26
1932-12-27 Ballymena D 2-272.5 1623 1527 67.04% 13.83% 19.13%+1.40 -1.9 30
1932-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-272.5 1527 1623 19.13% 13.83% 67.04%-1.40 +1.9 21
1932-12-27 Bangor L 2-350.8 1355 1482 39.44% 13.97% 46.59%-0.53 -7.9 12
1932-12-27 @ Newry Town W 3-250.8 1482 1355 46.59% 13.97% 39.44%+0.53 +7.9 24
1932-12-27 Belfast Celtic W 1-058.3 1414 1656 24.99% 13.81% 61.21%-1.53 +13.2 16
1932-12-27 @ Portadown L 0-158.3 1656 1414 61.21% 13.81% 24.99%+1.53 -13.2 31
1932-12-31 Newry Town W 6-030.7 1342 1347 56.11% 13.96% 29.93%+0.52 +36.3 14
1932-12-31 @ Ards L 0-630.7 1347 1342 29.93% 13.96% 56.11%-0.52 -36.3 12
1932-12-31 Derry City W 3-155.3 1528 1613 45.57% 13.99% 40.45%-0.16 +14.8 23
1932-12-31 @ Ballymena L 1-355.3 1613 1528 40.45% 13.99% 45.57%+0.16 -14.8 28
1932-12-31 Bangor W 4-145.2 1643 1490 71.75% 13.70% 14.55%+1.89 +8.2 33
1932-12-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-445.2 1490 1643 14.55% 13.70% 71.75%-1.89 -8.2 24
1932-12-31 Portadown W 5-138.5 1421 1428 55.89% 13.97% 30.15%+0.51 +20.8 14
1932-12-31 @ Cliftonville L 1-538.5 1428 1421 30.15% 13.97% 55.89%-0.51 -20.8 16
1932-12-31 Linfield L 4-569.5 1567 1722 35.67% 13.94% 50.39%-0.77 -7.0 23
1932-12-31 @ Coleraine W 5-469.5 1722 1567 50.39% 13.94% 35.67%+0.77 +7.0 32
1932-12-31 Larne W 4-134.2 1399 1310 66.31% 13.84% 19.85%+1.33 +11.0 18
1932-12-31 @ Glenavon L 1-434.2 1310 1399 19.85% 13.84% 66.31%-1.33 -11.0 13
1932-12-31 Lisburn Distillery D 1-169.9 1568 1621 49.89% 13.99% 36.13%+0.11 -0.7 27
1932-12-31 @ Glentoran D 1-169.9 1621 1568 36.13% 13.99% 49.89%-0.11 +0.7 31
1933-01-07 Cliftonville W 3-142.9 1482 1442 61.43% 13.92% 24.65%+0.92 +9.5 26
1933-01-07 @ Bangor L 1-342.9 1442 1482 24.65% 13.92% 61.43%-0.92 -9.5 14
1933-01-07 Glentoran D 2-272.9 1598 1567 60.32% 13.93% 25.75%+0.83 -1.3 29
1933-01-07 @ Derry City D 2-272.9 1567 1598 25.75% 13.93% 60.32%-0.83 +1.3 28
1933-01-07 Ards W 6-346.3 1299 1379 46.24% 13.99% 39.77%-0.12 +16.5 15
1933-01-07 @ Larne L 3-646.3 1379 1299 39.77% 13.99% 46.24%+0.12 -16.5 14
1933-01-07 Glenavon W 4-354.5 1729 1410 80.73% 13.11% 6.16%+3.33 +1.4 34
1933-01-07 @ Linfield L 3-454.5 1410 1729 6.16% 13.11% 80.73%-3.33 -1.3 18
1933-01-07 Coleraine W 1-050.0 1622 1560 63.62% 13.89% 22.49%+1.10 +5.4 33
1933-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-150.0 1560 1622 22.49% 13.89% 63.62%-1.10 -5.4 23
1933-01-07 Belfast Celtic L 0-335.5 1311 1652 15.85% 13.55% 70.60%-2.38 -10.5 12
1933-01-07 @ Newry Town W 3-035.5 1652 1311 70.60% 13.55% 15.85%+2.38 +10.5 35
1933-01-07 Ballymena L 1-445.9 1407 1543 38.16% 13.96% 47.88%-0.61 -19.8 16
1933-01-07 @ Portadown W 4-145.9 1543 1407 47.88% 13.96% 38.16%+0.61 +19.8 25
1933-01-21 Linfield D 1-167.3 1362 1730 13.83% 13.45% 72.72%-2.62 +3.2 15
1933-01-21 @ Ards D 1-167.3 1730 1362 72.72% 13.45% 13.83%+2.62 -3.2 35
1933-01-21 Bangor L 1-359.7 1563 1492 64.67% 13.87% 21.46%+1.19 -22.7 25
1933-01-21 @ Ballymena W 3-159.7 1492 1563 21.46% 13.87% 64.67%-1.19 +22.7 28
1933-01-21 Belfast Celtic L 1-349.6 1432 1662 26.31% 13.83% 59.86%-1.42 -10.1 14
1933-01-21 @ Cliftonville W 3-149.6 1662 1432 59.86% 13.83% 26.31%+1.42 +10.1 37
1933-01-21 Derry City L 0-255.3 1555 1597 51.45% 13.98% 34.57%+0.21 -21.1 23
1933-01-21 @ Coleraine W 2-055.3 1597 1555 34.57% 13.98% 51.45%-0.21 +21.1 31
1933-01-21 Lisburn Distillery L 2-451.9 1408 1627 27.62% 13.85% 58.53%-1.32 -9.4 18
1933-01-21 @ Glenavon W 4-251.9 1627 1408 58.53% 13.85% 27.62%+1.32 +9.4 35
1933-01-21 Portadown W 2-142.5 1569 1387 73.76% 13.62% 12.62%+2.14 +2.9 30
1933-01-21 @ Glentoran L 1-242.5 1387 1569 12.62% 13.62% 73.76%-2.14 -2.9 16
1933-01-21 Newry Town W 9-234.0 1316 1300 58.55% 13.95% 27.50%+0.70 +26.3 17
1933-01-21 @ Larne L 2-934.0 1300 1316 27.50% 13.95% 58.55%-0.70 -26.3 12
1933-01-28 Glentoran L 0-350.2 1514 1572 49.31% 13.99% 36.70%+0.07 -29.4 28
1933-01-28 @ Bangor W 3-050.2 1572 1514 36.70% 13.99% 49.31%-0.07 +29.4 32
1933-01-28 Ballymena W 7-247.7 1672 1540 70.11% 13.75% 16.14%+1.71 +12.0 39
1933-01-28 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-747.7 1540 1672 16.14% 13.75% 70.11%-1.71 -12.0 25
1933-01-28 Glenavon W 2-144.0 1618 1399 76.05% 13.50% 10.45%+2.46 +2.5 33
1933-01-28 @ Derry City L 1-244.0 1399 1618 10.45% 13.50% 76.05%-2.46 -2.4 18
1933-01-28 Larne W 9-035.4 1727 1342 82.86% 12.81% 4.33%+3.90 +8.4 37
1933-01-28 @ Linfield L 0-935.4 1342 1727 4.33% 12.81% 82.86%-3.90 -8.4 17
1933-01-28 Ards W 5-032.1 1636 1365 78.73% 13.31% 7.96%+2.91 +8.8 37
1933-01-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-532.1 1365 1636 7.96% 13.31% 78.73%-2.91 -8.8 15
1933-01-28 Cliftonville D 3-363.2 1274 1422 36.60% 13.95% 49.45%-0.71 +0.4 13
1933-01-28 @ Newry Town D 3-363.2 1422 1274 49.45% 13.95% 36.60%+0.71 -0.4 15
1933-01-28 Coleraine L 1-346.2 1384 1534 36.30% 13.95% 49.76%-0.73 -13.4 16
1933-01-28 @ Portadown W 3-146.2 1534 1384 49.76% 13.95% 36.30%+0.73 +13.4 25
1933-02-04 Derry City W 1-055.5 1356 1620 22.72% 13.76% 63.52%-1.71 +13.7 17
1933-02-04 @ Ards L 0-155.5 1620 1356 63.52% 13.76% 22.72%+1.71 -13.7 33
1933-02-04 Cliftonville D 1-162.0 1528 1422 67.99% 13.80% 18.21%+1.49 -2.6 26
1933-02-04 @ Ballymena D 1-162.0 1422 1528 18.21% 13.80% 67.99%-1.49 +2.6 16
1933-02-04 Bangor W 4-250.2 1548 1485 63.77% 13.89% 22.34%+1.11 +7.8 27
1933-02-04 @ Coleraine L 2-450.2 1485 1548 22.34% 13.89% 63.77%-1.11 -7.8 28
1933-02-04 Portadown L 1-251.3 1396 1371 59.78% 13.93% 26.29%+0.79 -12.1 18
1933-02-04 @ Glenavon W 2-151.3 1371 1396 26.29% 13.93% 59.78%-0.79 +12.1 18
1933-02-04 Belfast Celtic L 2-463.9 1601 1684 45.69% 13.99% 40.32%-0.15 -14.7 32
1933-02-04 @ Glentoran W 4-263.9 1684 1601 40.32% 13.99% 45.69%+0.15 +14.7 41
1933-02-04 Lisburn Distillery L 1-342.9 1334 1645 18.21% 13.63% 68.15%-2.13 -7.2 17
1933-02-04 @ Larne W 3-142.9 1645 1334 68.15% 13.63% 18.21%+2.13 +7.2 39
1933-02-04 Linfield D 2-268.0 1275 1736 8.62% 13.09% 78.28%-3.42 +2.8 14
1933-02-04 @ Newry Town D 2-268.0 1736 1275 78.28% 13.09% 8.62%+3.42 -2.8 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1932-12-17 9.67% Newry Town 1351 2 @ Coleraine 1585 1
2 1932-12-10 9.72% Bangor 1474 2 @ Linfield 1707 1
3 1932-09-03 12.91% Larne 1387 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1564 1
4 1932-12-24 13.90% Bangor 1480 1 @ Derry City 1643 0
5 1932-12-10 16.22% @ Newry Town 1337 2 Derry City 1672 1
6 1932-11-05 16.61% Bangor 1443 5 @ Glentoran 1569 2
7 1932-10-15 17.21% Lisburn Distillery 1488 3 @ Ballymena 1607 1
8 1932-10-08 19.05% Bangor 1368 1 @ Portadown 1465 0
9 1932-12-26 19.23% Portadown 1401 2 @ Bangor 1496 1
10 1932-12-15 19.57% Lisburn Distillery 1567 7 @ Derry City 1658 3
11 1932-09-10 19.59% Belfast Celtic 1538 2 @ Linfield 1630 1
12 1932-08-25 20.43% Larne 1385 2 @ Portadown 1467 1
13 1932-12-27 20.92% @ Larne 1298 4 Coleraine 1580 3
14 1933-01-21 21.46% Bangor 1492 3 @ Ballymena 1563 1
15 1932-10-08 21.57% Belfast Celtic 1564 3 @ Derry City 1635 1
16 1933-02-04 22.72% @ Ards 1356 1 Derry City 1620 0
17 1932-09-03 23.35% Coleraine 1560 2 @ Glentoran 1612 0
18 1932-12-03 23.45% Glenavon 1386 2 @ Cliftonville 1438 1
19 1932-12-10 23.82% Glentoran 1549 2 @ Coleraine 1597 1
20 1932-12-27 24.99% @ Portadown 1414 1 Belfast Celtic 1656 0
21 1932-08-27 25.57% Bangor 1366 6 @ Larne 1398 5
22 1932-10-26 26.26% Bangor 1395 6 @ Cliftonville 1421 2
23 1933-02-04 26.29% Portadown 1371 2 @ Glenavon 1396 1
24 1932-08-24 26.69% Glentoran 1594 3 @ Ballymena 1616 2
25 1932-09-03 27.55% Ards 1449 4 @ Cliftonville 1464 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-11-26 50.56 Portadown 5 1407 33.10% @ Larne 0 1376 52.92% 13.98%
2 1932-11-12 43.56 @ Cliftonville 6 1381 30.85% Ballymena 1 1573 55.25% 13.90%
3 1932-12-31 36.30 @ Ards 6 1342 56.11% Newry Town 0 1347 29.93% 13.96%
4 1932-10-15 35.59 Linfield 5 1613 30.78% @ Glentoran 1 1601 55.25% 13.97%
5 1932-12-15 33.11 Lisburn Distillery 7 1567 19.57% @ Derry City 3 1658 66.60% 13.83%
6 1932-10-26 32.60 Bangor 6 1395 26.26% @ Cliftonville 2 1421 59.81% 13.93%
7 1932-09-10 31.73 Ballymena 4 1586 46.42% @ Ards 0 1460 39.61% 13.97%
8 1932-11-05 30.02 Bangor 5 1443 16.61% @ Glentoran 2 1569 69.63% 13.76%
9 1933-01-28 29.43 Glentoran 3 1572 36.70% @ Bangor 0 1514 49.31% 13.99%
10 1932-10-15 28.85 Derry City 4 1612 50.53% @ Cliftonville 0 1456 35.53% 13.94%
11 1932-11-26 27.04 @ Glentoran 6 1509 53.78% Ballymena 1 1532 32.24% 13.98%
12 1932-08-25 26.51 Ards 4 1422 33.03% @ Bangor 1 1393 52.99% 13.98%
13 1933-01-21 26.34 @ Larne 9 1316 58.55% Newry Town 2 1300 27.50% 13.95%
14 1932-09-03 25.90 Larne 3 1387 12.91% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1564 73.46% 13.63%
15 1932-09-03 25.47 Coleraine 2 1560 23.35% @ Glentoran 0 1612 62.75% 13.90%
16 1932-10-15 24.97 @ Bangor 6 1382 56.55% Newry Town 1 1384 29.49% 13.96%
17 1932-10-15 24.28 Lisburn Distillery 3 1488 17.21% @ Ballymena 1 1607 69.01% 13.78%
18 1932-11-26 24.00 Lisburn Distillery 5 1530 50.60% @ Newry Town 1 1374 35.46% 13.94%
19 1932-08-27 23.56 @ Coleraine 3 1536 47.77% Ballymena 0 1604 38.24% 13.99%
20 1932-11-05 23.50 @ Coleraine 11 1592 72.66% Portadown 1 1427 13.68% 13.66%
21 1933-01-21 22.73 Bangor 3 1492 21.46% @ Ballymena 1 1563 64.67% 13.87%
22 1932-10-08 22.69 Belfast Celtic 3 1564 21.57% @ Derry City 1 1635 64.56% 13.87%
23 1932-08-27 22.58 @ Glenavon 4 1375 41.69% Cliftonville 1 1486 44.33% 13.98%
24 1932-09-03 22.20 @ Derry City 8 1604 73.27% Newry Town 0 1430 13.10% 13.64%
25 1933-01-21 21.06 Derry City 2 1597 34.57% @ Coleraine 0 1555 51.45% 13.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-10-22 74.7 @ Linfield 2 1649 62.17% Coleraine 2 1602 23.92% 13.91%
2 1932-09-10 74.4 @ Newry Town 4 1407 32.64% Coleraine 4 1585 53.44% 13.92%
3 1932-12-24 73.0 @ Glenavon 4 1386 32.00% Coleraine 4 1569 54.09% 13.91%
4 1933-01-07 72.9 @ Derry City 2 1598 60.32% Glentoran 2 1567 25.75% 13.93%
5 1932-12-27 72.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1623 67.04% Ballymena 2 1527 19.13% 13.83%
6 1932-12-24 71.4 @ Ards 4 1345 27.47% Glentoran 4 1565 58.68% 13.85%
7 1932-11-05 70.0 @ Ballymena 1 1573 50.30% Belfast Celtic 1 1623 35.72% 13.99%
8 1932-12-31 69.9 @ Glentoran 1 1568 49.89% Lisburn Distillery 1 1621 36.13% 13.99%
9 1932-11-05 69.7 @ Cliftonville 5 1381 56.51% Newry Town 5 1383 29.53% 13.96%
10 1932-12-31 69.5 Linfield 5 1722 50.39% @ Coleraine 4 1567 35.67% 13.94%
11 1932-12-10 69.2 Bangor 2 1474 9.72% @ Linfield 1 1707 76.83% 13.45%
12 1932-08-24 68.7 Glentoran 3 1594 26.69% @ Ballymena 2 1616 59.37% 13.94%
13 1932-08-24 68.2 @ Cliftonville 2 1487 50.48% Coleraine 2 1535 35.54% 13.99%
14 1933-02-04 68.0 @ Newry Town 2 1275 8.62% Linfield 2 1736 78.28% 13.09%
15 1933-01-21 67.3 @ Ards 1 1362 13.83% Linfield 1 1730 72.72% 13.45%
16 1932-08-20 67.2 @ Coleraine 1 1537 53.73% Belfast Celtic 1 1560 32.30% 13.98%
17 1932-12-15 66.8 Lisburn Distillery 7 1567 19.57% @ Derry City 3 1658 66.60% 13.83%
18 1932-10-26 66.7 Derry City 5 1646 38.63% @ Glentoran 3 1575 47.39% 13.99%
19 1932-09-10 65.9 Belfast Celtic 2 1538 19.59% @ Linfield 1 1630 66.57% 13.84%
20 1932-10-22 65.9 Glentoran 4 1566 36.19% @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1512 49.83% 13.99%
21 1932-12-26 65.6 @ Cliftonville 1 1424 29.89% Lisburn Distillery 1 1624 56.23% 13.88%
22 1932-12-17 65.1 Linfield 2 1691 32.88% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1663 53.14% 13.98%
23 1932-08-27 64.3 @ Ards 1 1449 41.06% Belfast Celtic 1 1564 44.97% 13.97%
24 1932-09-03 64.2 @ Bangor 1 1377 23.66% Linfield 1 1632 62.56% 13.78%
25 1932-12-10 64.1 Glentoran 2 1549 23.82% @ Coleraine 1 1597 62.28% 13.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-12-26 27.8 @ Glentoran 5 1564 78.04% Larne 0 1307 8.59% 13.37%
2 1932-12-26 29.7 @ Coleraine 5 1569 76.28% Ards 0 1346 10.23% 13.49%
3 1932-12-31 30.7 @ Ards 6 1342 56.11% Newry Town 0 1347 29.93% 13.96%
4 1933-01-28 32.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1636 78.73% Ards 0 1365 7.96% 13.31%
5 1932-12-03 32.8 @ Glentoran 7 1536 74.05% Newry Town 1 1350 12.34% 13.60%
6 1932-12-03 33.0 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1646 79.21% Ards 0 1364 7.52% 13.27%
7 1932-10-29 33.3 @ Linfield 6 1653 78.80% Ards 0 1380 7.89% 13.31%
8 1933-01-21 34.0 @ Larne 9 1316 58.55% Newry Town 2 1300 27.50% 13.95%
9 1932-12-31 34.2 @ Glenavon 4 1399 66.31% Larne 1 1310 19.85% 13.84%
10 1932-11-19 34.8 @ Derry City 4 1683 79.99% Larne 0 1383 6.81% 13.20%
11 1932-12-17 35.0 @ Ballymena 8 1523 72.74% Ards 2 1357 13.60% 13.66%
12 1932-10-15 35.4 @ Bangor 6 1382 56.55% Newry Town 1 1384 29.49% 13.96%
13 1933-01-28 35.4 @ Linfield 9 1727 82.86% Larne 0 1342 4.33% 12.81%
14 1933-01-07 35.5 Belfast Celtic 3 1652 70.60% @ Newry Town 0 1311 15.85% 13.55%
15 1932-12-26 35.8 @ Glenavon 5 1387 58.22% Newry Town 1 1375 27.83% 13.95%
16 1932-09-03 36.2 @ Derry City 8 1604 73.27% Newry Town 0 1430 13.10% 13.64%
17 1932-11-12 36.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1512 69.26% Larne 0 1390 16.96% 13.77%
18 1932-08-27 36.5 @ Linfield 5 1617 72.47% Portadown 0 1454 13.86% 13.67%
19 1932-10-25 36.9 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1609 76.74% Newry Town 1 1377 9.80% 13.46%
20 1932-12-24 37.4 @ Linfield 4 1702 78.70% Cliftonville 0 1432 7.99% 13.32%
21 1932-10-29 37.7 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1616 76.51% Cliftonville 1 1389 10.01% 13.47%
22 1932-11-12 37.8 @ Linfield 6 1676 79.64% Newry Town 1 1384 7.13% 13.23%
23 1932-11-12 37.9 @ Derry City 2 1680 80.66% Ards 0 1362 6.22% 13.12%
24 1932-11-05 38.3 @ Coleraine 11 1592 72.66% Portadown 1 1427 13.68% 13.66%
25 1932-12-31 38.5 @ Cliftonville 5 1421 55.89% Portadown 1 1428 30.15% 13.97%