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1933-34 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

8.01 points above expected

46 points · 37.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Coleraine

7.57 points below expected

17 points · 24.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 22 2 2 46 88 21 +67 37.99 +8.01
2 Belfast Celtic 26 17 3 6 37 74 42 +32 34.85 +2.15
3 Glentoran 26 16 3 7 35 59 36 +23 30.74 +4.26
4 Lisburn Distillery 26 14 3 9 31 61 41 +20 33.27 -2.27
5 Ballymena 26 12 6 8 30 59 46 +13 28.50 +1.50
6 Ards 26 11 5 10 27 47 46 +1 22.96 +4.04
7 Portadown 26 10 5 11 25 41 52 -11 22.59 +2.41
8 Glenavon 26 10 4 12 24 45 54 -9 21.99 +2.01
9 Derry City 26 8 7 11 23 37 38 -1 29.04 -6.04
10 Cliftonville 26 11 0 15 22 50 78 -28 19.72 +2.28
11 Bangor 26 7 4 15 18 43 58 -15 24.07 -6.07
12 Coleraine 26 7 3 16 17 40 61 -21 24.57 -7.57
13 Newry Town 26 5 6 15 16 37 71 -34 16.72 -0.72
14 Larne 26 4 5 17 13 37 74 -37 16.99 -3.99

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 46 37.99 +8.01
2 Glentoran 35 30.74 +4.26
3 Ards 27 22.96 +4.04
4 Portadown 25 22.59 +2.41
5 Cliftonville 22 19.72 +2.28

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Coleraine 17 24.57 -7.57
2 Bangor 18 24.07 -6.07
3 Derry City 23 29.04 -6.04
4 Larne 13 16.99 -3.99
5 Lisburn Distillery 31 33.27 -2.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 15 Oct 21 – Jan 27 1 in 800
2 Glentoran 3 Sep 16 – Oct 7 1 in 60
3 Cliftonville 3 Jan 20 – Feb 3 1 in 58
4 Portadown 4 Aug 24 – Sep 9 1 in 50
5 Ballymena 5 Sep 16 – Oct 21 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 6 Aug 23 – Sep 23 1 in 87
2 Bangor 6 Sep 9 – Oct 21 1 in 86
3 Coleraine 3 Sep 23 – Oct 18 1 in 47
4 Ballymena 2 Dec 25 – Dec 26 1 in 38
5 Glenavon 4 Oct 18 – Nov 11 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 10 Aug 26 – Nov 11 1 in 76
2 Ballymena 10 Sep 16 – Dec 2 1 in 47
3 Linfield 19 Oct 7 – Feb 14 1 in 45
4 Cliftonville 3 Jan 20 – Feb 3 1 in 10
5 Glenavon 4 Dec 26 – Jan 20 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 8 Dec 25 – Feb 14 1 in 93
2 Bangor 9 Dec 16 – Feb 3 1 in 51
3 Lisburn Distillery 4 Dec 30 – Jan 27 1 in 41
4 Larne 10 Aug 21 – Oct 21 1 in 22
5 Ballymena 3 Oct 28 – Nov 18 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1826 46 +13 9 8.7 +0.3
Belfast Celtic 1689 37 +13 8 6.5 +1.5
Glentoran 1615 35 +0 6 6.3 -0.3
Lisburn Distillery 1626 31 -19 4 6.5 -2.5
Ballymena 1535 30 -11 4 5.1 -1.1
Ards 1472 27 +19 7 5.4 +1.6
Portadown 1400 25 -30 4 5.2 -1.2
Glenavon 1442 24 +26 5 3.5 +1.5
Derry City 1519 23 -30 2 4.2 -2.2
Cliftonville 1416 22 +26 6 4.3 +1.7
Bangor 1429 18 -6 4 3.0 +1.0
Coleraine 1403 17 -32 3 4.4 -1.4
Newry Town 1313 16 +7 3 3.0 +0.0
Larne 1314 13 +23 5 3.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAL BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
1.56
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.60
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.71
Ballymena
0-1-1
3.58
 —
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
3.82
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
4.15
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.70
Bangor
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.30
 —
1-1-0
1.57
0-0-2
3.62
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
3.85
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.71
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.93
Belfast Celtic
0-2-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.46
0-1-1
4.12
 —
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
4.20
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
4.44
0-0-2
2.41
2-0-0
2.93
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.02
Cliftonville
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
1.72
2-0-0
2.06
0-0-2
1.19
 —
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
1.83
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
1.33
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
2.38
Coleraine
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.37
2-0-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
3.55
 —
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
3.28
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
0.91
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.83
0-0-2
3.34
Derry City
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.57
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.40
 —
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
4.24
0-1-1
3.56
Glenavon
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
1.49
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
2.40
0-1-1
1.91
 —
1-0-1
1.64
1-1-0
3.32
0-0-2
1.05
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
2.76
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.72
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
4.36
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
4.04
 —
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
1.83
2-0-0
2.45
1-1-0
4.27
1-1-0
3.93
Larne
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.27
 —
0-1-1
0.84
0-0-2
1.14
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.23
Linfield
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
4.79
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
4.65
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
4.88
 —
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
4.39
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
2.74
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
4.06
0-0-2
3.22
2-0-0
4.55
0-0-2
2.14
 —
1-1-0
4.68
1-0-1
3.94
Newry Town
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
1.11
2-0-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.85
1-1-0
1.45
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
0.65
0-1-1
1.02
 —
0-1-1
2.14
Portadown
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
1.75
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
1.74
1-1-0
3.54
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +5.6
Allowed 0.73 -4.9
Differential 0.94 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%5.77%4.12%3.85%1.37%1.65%18.41%
15.77%3.30%7.14%2.20%1.92%3.57%23.90%
24.12%7.14%6.59%4.40%3.30%1.92%27.47%
33.85%2.20%4.40%3.85%0.55%0.55%15.38%
41.37%1.92%3.30%0.55%——7.14%
5+1.65%3.57%1.92%0.55%——7.69%
Total18.41%23.90%27.47%15.38%7.14%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.97 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.45
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%——3.85%15.38%
13.85%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
215.38%3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%38.46%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.77 +0.04
SD 1.23 1.53 2.18
CV 0.68 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
13.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
37.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4——11.54%———11.54%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total23.08%23.08%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.77 +0.50
SD 1.66 1.61 2.50
CV 0.73 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%——3.85%19.23%
13.85%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
2—3.85%11.54%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
37.69%—11.54%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%15.38%42.31%11.54%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 2.23 -0.58
SD 1.09 1.45 1.77
CV 0.66 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
17.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%——26.92%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
Total23.08%23.08%34.62%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.85 1.62 +1.23
SD 1.59 1.30 2.25
CV 0.56 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%23.08%
1—————15.38%15.38%
2—15.38%—7.69%7.69%3.85%34.62%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total—23.08%23.08%19.23%11.54%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 3.00 -1.08
SD 1.52 1.70 2.74
CV 0.79 0.57 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
1——7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%30.77%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
5+———————
Total3.85%23.08%34.62%19.23%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.35 -0.81
SD 1.30 1.29 1.79
CV 0.85 0.55 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
111.54%7.69%15.38%—3.85%—38.46%
211.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
3———7.69%——7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%26.92%23.08%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.46 -0.04
SD 1.14 1.21 1.54
CV 0.80 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
13.85%—15.38%——7.69%26.92%
2—19.23%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total7.69%34.62%34.62%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.08 -0.35
SD 1.64 1.74 2.48
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 7 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
115.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%——3.85%—3.85%15.38%
37.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total38.46%19.23%19.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.38 +0.88
SD 1.56 1.44 2.27
CV 0.69 1.04 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
1——7.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%30.77%
2—3.85%7.69%—15.38%—26.92%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total7.69%15.38%23.08%19.23%23.08%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.85 -1.42
SD 1.30 1.83 2.18
CV 0.91 0.64 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
13.85%—————3.85%
211.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
315.38%3.85%—3.85%——23.08%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+11.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
Total42.31%38.46%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 0.81 +2.58
SD 2.08 0.85 2.27
CV 0.61 1.05 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—11.54%——19.23%
111.54%—7.69%———19.23%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—7.69%———11.54%
5+—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
Total23.08%26.92%23.08%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.58 +0.77
SD 1.87 1.21 2.37
CV 0.80 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%11.54%—7.69%26.92%
1—15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%34.62%
2—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%—3.85%—3.85%3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total3.85%26.92%23.08%19.23%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.73 -1.31
SD 1.39 1.85 2.54
CV 0.98 0.68 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
115.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%19.23%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 2.00 -0.42
SD 1.42 1.65 2.25
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1826 46 37.99 +8.01 99.0% 29 32 35 38 40 44 48
Belfast Celtic 1689 37 34.85 +2.15 78.0% 27 28 32 35 37 41 44
Lisburn Distillery 1626 31 33.27 -2.27 36.0% 23 27 30 34 36 41 43
Glentoran 1615 35 30.74 +4.26 82.0% 21 23 27 31 34 38 41
Ballymena 1535 30 28.50 +1.50 70.0% 21 23 26 28 31 35 38
Derry City 1519 23 29.04 -6.04 9.0% 21 22 26 30 32 35 37
Ards 1472 27 22.96 +4.04 82.0% 9 15 20 23 26 30 32
Glenavon 1442 24 21.99 +2.01 70.0% 11 15 19 22 25 29 32
Bangor 1429 18 24.07 -6.07 12.0% 13 16 21 24 27 30 34
Cliftonville 1416 22 19.72 +2.28 72.0% 7 12 17 19 23 27 29
Coleraine 1403 17 24.57 -7.57 4.0% 17 18 21 24 28 31 38
Portadown 1400 25 22.59 +2.41 82.0% 13 16 20 23 25 28 33
Larne 1314 13 16.99 -3.99 26.0% 9 10 13 17 20 24 27
Newry Town 1313 16 16.72 -0.72 50.0% 8 9 14 16 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.37%
Strong Edge
55.49%15.38%29.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge
145 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
093.85400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.63 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.65+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Linfield, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.35/gm
Runaway
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.34 * Some Luck: 3.34 to 5.01 * Lucky: 5.01 to 6.68 * Wild Swing: 6.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.07 * Off: 2.07 to 2.76 * Way Off: 2.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.41 points
Some Luck
04.1710
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.724
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Coleraine
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 146.19
1.95
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
75%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.42
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield63.00%22.00%7.00%7.00%—1.00%————————
Belfast Celtic20.00%38.00%22.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%———————
Glentoran4.00%9.00%17.00%28.00%16.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%———
Lisburn Distillery9.00%24.00%26.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%————
Ballymena—3.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%21.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%—3.00%1.00%——
Ards——1.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%
Portadown———3.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%13.00%19.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%
Glenavon———3.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%19.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%
Derry City3.00%3.00%13.00%14.00%19.00%17.00%16.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%———
Cliftonville————1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%20.00%17.00%13.00%
Bangor—1.00%—4.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
Coleraine1.00%—2.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
Newry Town———————3.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%12.00%28.00%39.00%
Larne—————1.00%1.00%1.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%17.00%25.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1933-08-21 Belfast Celtic D 2-269.9 1419 1622 33.88% 16.20% 49.92%-0.75 +0.5 1
1933-08-21 @ Ards D 2-269.9 1622 1419 49.92% 16.20% 33.88%+0.75 -0.5 1
1933-08-21 Lisburn Distillery L 2-464.7 1537 1588 54.46% 16.29% 29.24%+0.30 -15.9 0
1933-08-21 @ Coleraine W 4-264.7 1588 1537 29.24% 16.29% 54.46%-0.30 +15.9 2
1933-08-21 Derry City L 0-151.1 1435 1566 43.82% 16.30% 39.87%-0.26 -9.0 0
1933-08-21 @ Glenavon W 1-051.1 1566 1435 39.87% 16.30% 43.82%+0.26 +9.0 2
1933-08-21 Bangor W 5-247.6 1551 1485 66.72% 16.04% 17.24%+1.11 +7.9 2
1933-08-21 @ Glentoran L 2-547.6 1485 1551 17.24% 16.04% 66.72%-1.11 -7.9 0
1933-08-21 Cliftonville L 2-454.8 1393 1456 52.98% 16.30% 30.71%+0.21 -15.5 0
1933-08-21 @ Larne W 4-254.8 1456 1393 30.71% 16.30% 52.98%-0.21 +15.5 2
1933-08-21 Portadown W 5-035.7 1650 1423 77.10% 15.25% 7.65%+2.22 +8.0 2
1933-08-21 @ Linfield L 0-535.7 1423 1650 7.65% 15.25% 77.10%-2.22 -8.0 0
1933-08-21 Ballymena D 2-264.0 1359 1516 40.20% 16.28% 43.53%-0.43 +0.1 1
1933-08-21 @ Newry Town D 2-264.0 1516 1359 43.53% 16.28% 40.20%+0.43 -0.1 1
1933-08-23 Larne W 4-243.7 1515 1377 72.16% 15.75% 12.09%+1.60 +4.1 3
1933-08-23 @ Ballymena L 2-443.7 1377 1515 12.09% 15.75% 72.16%-1.60 -4.1 0
1933-08-23 Glenavon W 2-143.8 1477 1426 65.37% 16.09% 18.54%+1.00 +4.0 2
1933-08-23 @ Bangor L 1-243.8 1426 1477 18.54% 16.09% 65.37%-1.00 -4.0 0
1933-08-23 Linfield L 0-646.8 1471 1658 35.95% 16.23% 47.82%-0.64 -39.8 2
1933-08-23 @ Cliftonville W 6-046.8 1658 1471 47.82% 16.23% 35.95%+0.64 +39.8 4
1933-08-23 Ards W 2-145.3 1604 1420 74.90% 15.51% 9.59%+1.92 +2.1 4
1933-08-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-245.3 1420 1604 9.59% 15.51% 74.90%-1.92 -2.1 1
1933-08-24 Glentoran W 4-042.3 1621 1559 66.36% 16.05% 17.59%+1.08 +14.4 3
1933-08-24 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-442.3 1559 1621 17.59% 16.05% 66.36%-1.08 -14.4 2
1933-08-24 Newry Town L 1-262.0 1575 1359 76.57% 15.32% 8.11%+2.14 -14.5 2
1933-08-24 @ Derry City W 2-162.0 1359 1575 8.11% 15.32% 76.57%-2.14 +14.5 3
1933-08-24 Coleraine W 2-043.4 1415 1521 47.32% 16.32% 36.37%-0.08 +14.5 2
1933-08-24 @ Portadown L 0-243.4 1521 1415 36.37% 16.32% 47.32%+0.08 -14.5 0
1933-08-26 Glentoran L 0-246.8 1418 1545 44.36% 16.31% 39.34%-0.23 -17.1 1
1933-08-26 @ Ards W 2-046.8 1545 1418 39.34% 16.31% 44.36%+0.23 +17.1 4
1933-08-26 Cliftonville W 4-246.6 1506 1431 67.46% 16.01% 16.53%+1.17 +5.6 2
1933-08-26 @ Coleraine L 2-446.6 1431 1506 16.53% 16.01% 67.46%-1.17 -5.6 2
1933-08-26 Belfast Celtic W 3-264.1 1422 1636 32.48% 16.17% 51.35%-0.83 +9.2 2
1933-08-26 @ Glenavon L 2-364.1 1636 1422 51.35% 16.17% 32.48%+0.83 -9.2 3
1933-08-26 Derry City D 0-058.3 1373 1561 35.86% 16.23% 47.91%-0.65 +0.6 1
1933-08-26 @ Larne D 0-058.3 1561 1373 47.91% 16.23% 35.86%+0.65 -0.6 3
1933-08-26 Ballymena W 3-041.9 1698 1520 74.61% 15.54% 9.85%+1.88 +6.4 6
1933-08-26 @ Linfield L 0-341.9 1520 1698 9.85% 15.54% 74.61%-1.88 -6.4 3
1933-08-26 Portadown L 0-161.3 1606 1429 74.49% 15.55% 9.96%+1.87 -14.9 4
1933-08-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-061.3 1429 1606 9.96% 15.55% 74.49%-1.87 +14.9 4
1933-08-26 Bangor L 0-341.6 1374 1481 47.07% 16.32% 36.61%-0.09 -26.2 3
1933-08-26 @ Newry Town W 3-041.6 1481 1374 36.61% 16.32% 47.07%+0.09 +26.2 4
1933-09-02 Coleraine W 4-252.0 1513 1512 60.48% 16.22% 23.31%+0.66 +7.6 5
1933-09-02 @ Ballymena L 2-452.0 1512 1513 23.31% 16.22% 60.48%-0.66 -7.6 2
1933-09-02 Larne D 2-264.4 1508 1374 71.87% 15.77% 12.36%+1.57 -2.2 5
1933-09-02 @ Bangor D 2-264.4 1374 1508 12.36% 15.77% 71.87%-1.57 +2.2 2
1933-09-02 Newry Town W 3-247.0 1626 1348 79.26% 14.91% 5.83%+2.58 +1.2 5
1933-09-02 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-347.0 1348 1626 5.83% 14.91% 79.26%-2.58 -1.2 3
1933-09-02 Lisburn Distillery L 0-443.5 1426 1591 39.00% 16.27% 44.74%-0.49 -29.1 2
1933-09-02 @ Cliftonville W 4-043.5 1591 1426 44.74% 16.27% 39.00%+0.49 +29.1 6
1933-09-02 Linfield W 2-055.0 1560 1704 41.94% 16.29% 41.76%-0.35 +16.3 5
1933-09-02 @ Derry City L 0-255.0 1704 1560 41.76% 16.29% 41.94%+0.35 -16.2 6
1933-09-02 Glenavon W 1-041.2 1562 1432 71.64% 15.78% 12.58%+1.55 +3.0 6
1933-09-02 @ Glentoran L 0-141.2 1432 1562 12.58% 15.78% 71.64%-1.55 -3.0 2
1933-09-02 Ards W 1-038.3 1444 1401 64.70% 16.11% 19.19%+0.95 +4.4 6
1933-09-02 @ Portadown L 0-138.3 1401 1444 19.19% 16.11% 64.70%-0.95 -4.4 1
1933-09-09 Glenavon W 4-033.5 1396 1429 56.69% 16.27% 27.04%+0.42 +21.2 3
1933-09-09 @ Ards L 0-433.5 1429 1396 27.04% 16.27% 56.69%-0.42 -21.2 2
1933-09-09 Derry City W 2-154.3 1504 1576 51.78% 16.31% 31.91%+0.15 +6.5 4
1933-09-09 @ Coleraine L 1-254.3 1576 1504 31.91% 16.31% 51.78%-0.15 -6.5 5
1933-09-09 Belfast Celtic L 1-544.1 1376 1628 27.75% 16.06% 56.18%-1.09 -18.1 2
1933-09-09 @ Larne W 5-144.1 1628 1376 56.18% 16.06% 27.75%+1.09 +18.1 7
1933-09-09 Bangor W 2-150.6 1688 1505 74.85% 15.52% 9.63%+1.91 +2.2 8
1933-09-09 @ Linfield L 1-250.6 1505 1688 9.63% 15.52% 74.85%-1.91 -2.1 5
1933-09-09 Ballymena W 1-047.0 1620 1521 69.39% 15.92% 14.69%+1.33 +3.4 8
1933-09-09 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-147.0 1521 1620 14.69% 15.92% 69.39%-1.33 -3.4 5
1933-09-09 Glentoran D 1-160.6 1346 1565 31.80% 16.16% 52.04%-0.86 +0.9 4
1933-09-09 @ Newry Town D 1-160.6 1565 1346 52.04% 16.16% 31.80%+0.86 -0.9 7
1933-09-09 Cliftonville W 6-135.1 1449 1397 65.46% 16.09% 18.45%+1.01 +15.4 8
1933-09-09 @ Portadown L 1-635.1 1397 1449 18.45% 16.09% 65.46%-1.01 -15.4 2
1933-09-16 Portadown W 1-042.6 1517 1464 65.59% 16.08% 18.33%+1.02 +4.2 7
1933-09-16 @ Ballymena L 0-142.6 1464 1517 18.33% 16.08% 65.59%-1.02 -4.2 8
1933-09-16 Coleraine L 1-260.1 1503 1511 59.51% 16.23% 24.25%+0.60 -11.2 5
1933-09-16 @ Bangor W 2-160.1 1511 1503 24.25% 16.23% 59.51%-0.60 +11.2 6
1933-09-16 Ards L 0-245.4 1381 1418 56.24% 16.28% 27.48%+0.40 -21.2 2
1933-09-16 @ Cliftonville W 2-045.4 1418 1381 27.48% 16.28% 56.24%-0.40 +21.2 5
1933-09-16 Lisburn Distillery L 0-160.3 1570 1623 54.17% 16.30% 29.53%+0.28 -10.9 5
1933-09-16 @ Derry City W 1-060.3 1623 1570 29.53% 16.30% 54.17%-0.28 +10.9 10
1933-09-16 Newry Town W 3-137.5 1407 1347 66.20% 16.06% 17.74%+1.07 +6.6 4
1933-09-16 @ Glenavon L 1-337.5 1347 1407 17.74% 16.06% 66.20%-1.07 -6.6 4
1933-09-16 Larne W 4-030.6 1564 1358 76.08% 15.38% 8.54%+2.07 +7.2 9
1933-09-16 @ Glentoran L 0-430.6 1358 1564 8.54% 15.38% 76.08%-2.07 -7.2 2
1933-09-21 Linfield L 2-566.2 1646 1690 55.26% 16.29% 28.45%+0.34 -22.1 7
1933-09-21 @ Belfast Celtic W 5-266.2 1690 1646 28.45% 16.29% 55.26%-0.34 +22.1 10
1933-09-23 Newry Town W 5-133.2 1439 1341 69.32% 15.92% 14.76%+1.33 +10.2 7
1933-09-23 @ Ards L 1-533.2 1341 1439 14.76% 15.92% 69.32%-1.33 -10.2 4
1933-09-23 Ballymena L 0-340.1 1360 1522 39.48% 16.27% 44.24%-0.47 -22.5 2
1933-09-23 @ Cliftonville W 3-040.1 1522 1360 44.24% 16.27% 39.48%+0.47 +22.5 9
1933-09-23 Belfast Celtic L 2-366.0 1522 1624 47.86% 16.32% 35.82%-0.05 -8.7 6
1933-09-23 @ Coleraine W 3-266.0 1624 1522 35.82% 16.32% 47.86%+0.05 +8.7 9
1933-09-23 Glenavon L 1-250.6 1351 1414 52.90% 16.31% 30.79%+0.21 -10.0 2
1933-09-23 @ Larne W 2-150.6 1414 1351 30.79% 16.31% 52.90%-0.21 +10.0 6
1933-09-23 Glentoran L 0-167.2 1712 1571 72.35% 15.73% 11.91%+1.63 -14.5 10
1933-09-23 @ Linfield W 1-067.2 1571 1712 11.91% 15.73% 72.35%-1.63 +14.5 11
1933-09-23 Bangor W 1-045.6 1634 1492 72.42% 15.73% 11.85%+1.63 +2.8 12
1933-09-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-145.6 1492 1634 11.85% 15.73% 72.42%-1.63 -2.8 5
1933-09-23 Derry City D 3-373.6 1460 1559 48.21% 16.32% 35.48%-0.04 -0.4 9
1933-09-23 @ Portadown D 3-373.6 1559 1460 35.48% 16.32% 48.21%+0.04 +0.4 6
1933-10-07 Larne W 1-035.4 1449 1341 70.08% 15.88% 14.04%+1.40 +3.3 9
1933-10-07 @ Ards L 0-135.4 1341 1449 14.04% 15.88% 70.08%-1.40 -3.3 2
1933-10-07 Derry City W 2-153.0 1544 1559 58.64% 16.25% 25.11%+0.54 +5.2 11
1933-10-07 @ Ballymena L 1-253.0 1559 1544 25.11% 16.25% 58.64%-0.54 -5.2 6
1933-10-07 Bangor W 2-148.9 1338 1489 40.88% 16.28% 42.84%-0.40 +8.3 4
1933-10-07 @ Cliftonville L 1-248.9 1489 1338 42.84% 16.28% 40.88%+0.40 -8.3 5
1933-10-07 Glenavon L 1-259.9 1513 1424 68.62% 15.96% 15.43%+1.27 -12.9 6
1933-10-07 @ Coleraine W 2-159.9 1424 1513 15.43% 15.96% 68.62%-1.27 +12.9 8
1933-10-07 Newry Town W 1-039.4 1698 1330 82.13% 14.23% 3.64%+3.19 +0.9 12
1933-10-07 @ Linfield L 0-139.4 1330 1698 3.64% 14.23% 82.13%-3.19 -0.9 4
1933-10-07 Glentoran L 0-164.2 1637 1586 65.39% 16.09% 18.52%+1.00 -13.0 12
1933-10-07 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-064.2 1586 1637 18.52% 16.09% 65.39%-1.00 +13.0 13
1933-10-07 Belfast Celtic L 0-152.5 1460 1632 37.89% 16.25% 45.86%-0.55 -7.9 9
1933-10-07 @ Portadown W 1-052.5 1632 1460 45.86% 16.25% 37.89%+0.55 +7.9 11
1933-10-17 Linfield D 3-374.5 1337 1699 16.92% 15.59% 67.48%-1.85 +1.5 3
1933-10-17 @ Larne D 3-374.5 1699 1337 67.48% 15.59% 16.92%+1.85 -1.5 13
1933-10-18 Cliftonville W 5-136.4 1640 1346 79.83% 14.80% 5.37%+2.69 +3.8 13
1933-10-18 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-536.4 1346 1640 5.37% 14.80% 79.83%-2.69 -3.8 4
1933-10-18 Lisburn Distillery L 1-647.9 1437 1624 35.98% 16.23% 47.79%-0.64 -27.7 8
1933-10-18 @ Glenavon W 6-147.9 1624 1437 47.79% 16.23% 35.98%+0.64 +27.7 14
1933-10-18 Portadown D 3-375.0 1599 1452 72.75% 15.70% 11.55%+1.67 -1.9 14
1933-10-18 @ Glentoran D 3-375.0 1452 1599 11.55% 15.70% 72.75%-1.67 +1.9 10
1933-10-18 Coleraine W 3-040.5 1330 1500 38.18% 16.26% 45.56%-0.53 +25.4 6
1933-10-18 @ Newry Town L 0-340.5 1500 1330 45.56% 16.26% 38.18%+0.53 -25.4 6
1933-10-19 Ballymena L 2-363.4 1481 1549 52.27% 16.31% 31.42%+0.18 -9.4 5
1933-10-19 @ Bangor W 3-263.4 1549 1481 31.42% 16.31% 52.27%-0.18 +9.4 13
1933-10-19 Ards W 2-039.3 1554 1452 69.62% 15.91% 14.48%+1.35 +6.3 8
1933-10-19 @ Derry City L 0-239.3 1452 1554 14.48% 15.91% 69.62%-1.35 -6.3 9
1933-10-21 Linfield L 1-450.5 1446 1697 27.81% 16.06% 56.12%-1.09 -14.0 9
1933-10-21 @ Ards W 4-150.5 1697 1446 56.12% 16.06% 27.81%+1.09 +14.0 15
1933-10-21 Belfast Celtic W 2-158.3 1559 1644 50.07% 16.32% 33.62%+0.06 +6.8 15
1933-10-21 @ Ballymena L 1-258.3 1644 1559 33.62% 16.32% 50.07%-0.06 -6.8 13
1933-10-21 Glentoran L 0-240.8 1342 1597 27.41% 16.05% 56.54%-1.11 -11.3 4
1933-10-21 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.8 1597 1342 56.54% 16.05% 27.41%+1.11 +11.3 16
1933-10-21 Larne W 4-241.5 1475 1339 72.02% 15.76% 12.23%+1.59 +4.2 8
1933-10-21 @ Coleraine L 2-441.5 1339 1475 12.23% 15.76% 72.02%-1.59 -4.2 3
1933-10-21 Bangor W 2-040.6 1561 1471 68.62% 15.96% 15.43%+1.27 +6.7 10
1933-10-21 @ Derry City L 0-240.6 1471 1561 15.43% 15.96% 68.62%-1.27 -6.7 5
1933-10-21 Newry Town W 6-136.2 1652 1355 79.91% 14.78% 5.31%+2.70 +4.6 16
1933-10-21 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-636.2 1355 1652 5.31% 14.78% 79.91%-2.70 -4.6 6
1933-10-21 Glenavon W 2-142.7 1453 1409 64.75% 16.11% 19.14%+0.95 +4.1 12
1933-10-21 @ Portadown L 1-242.7 1409 1453 19.14% 16.11% 64.75%-0.95 -4.1 8
1933-10-28 Ards D 2-268.4 1565 1432 71.86% 15.77% 12.37%+1.57 -2.2 16
1933-10-28 @ Ballymena D 2-268.4 1432 1565 12.37% 15.77% 71.86%-1.57 +2.2 10
1933-10-28 Portadown W 3-250.6 1465 1458 61.09% 16.20% 22.70%+0.70 +4.5 7
1933-10-28 @ Bangor L 2-350.6 1458 1465 22.70% 16.20% 61.09%-0.70 -4.5 12
1933-10-28 Lisburn Distillery W 3-048.1 1637 1656 58.25% 16.25% 25.50%+0.52 +15.4 15
1933-10-28 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-348.1 1656 1637 25.50% 16.25% 58.25%-0.52 -15.4 16
1933-10-28 Cliftonville W 5-133.9 1567 1331 77.52% 15.19% 7.29%+2.28 +5.2 12
1933-10-28 @ Derry City L 1-533.9 1331 1567 7.29% 15.19% 77.52%-2.28 -5.2 4
1933-10-28 Linfield L 0-245.4 1405 1711 21.89% 15.86% 62.25%-1.47 -9.2 8
1933-10-28 @ Glenavon W 2-045.4 1711 1405 62.25% 15.86% 21.89%+1.47 +9.2 17
1933-10-28 Coleraine W 3-146.3 1608 1479 71.56% 15.79% 12.65%+1.54 +4.8 18
1933-10-28 @ Glentoran L 1-346.3 1479 1608 12.65% 15.79% 71.56%-1.54 -4.8 8
1933-10-28 Larne L 1-252.1 1350 1335 61.97% 16.18% 21.85%+0.76 -11.7 6
1933-10-28 @ Newry Town W 2-152.1 1335 1350 21.85% 16.18% 61.97%-0.76 +11.7 5
1933-11-11 Ards W 3-249.1 1469 1434 63.91% 16.13% 19.96%+0.89 +4.0 9
1933-11-11 @ Bangor L 2-349.1 1434 1469 19.96% 16.13% 63.91%-0.89 -4.0 10
1933-11-11 Derry City W 3-258.2 1653 1572 67.91% 15.99% 16.10%+1.20 +3.3 17
1933-11-11 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-358.2 1572 1653 16.10% 15.99% 67.91%-1.20 -3.3 12
1933-11-11 Cliftonville L 1-254.0 1396 1326 67.07% 16.02% 16.90%+1.14 -12.6 8
1933-11-11 @ Glenavon W 2-154.0 1326 1396 16.90% 16.02% 67.07%-1.14 +12.6 6
1933-11-11 Ballymena D 1-169.6 1613 1563 65.26% 16.09% 18.65%+0.99 -2.3 19
1933-11-11 @ Glentoran D 1-169.6 1563 1613 18.65% 16.09% 65.26%-0.99 +2.3 17
1933-11-11 Lisburn Distillery L 2-450.4 1346 1641 23.06% 15.91% 61.03%-1.39 -7.5 5
1933-11-11 @ Larne W 4-250.4 1641 1346 61.03% 15.91% 23.06%+1.39 +7.5 18
1933-11-11 Coleraine W 2-042.8 1720 1474 77.94% 15.13% 6.93%+2.35 +3.1 19
1933-11-11 @ Linfield L 0-242.8 1474 1720 6.93% 15.13% 77.94%-2.35 -3.1 8
1933-11-11 Portadown D 1-157.2 1339 1453 46.15% 16.31% 37.54%-0.14 -0.4 7
1933-11-11 @ Newry Town D 1-157.2 1453 1339 37.54% 16.31% 46.15%+0.14 +0.4 13
1933-11-18 Glenavon D 3-371.3 1566 1383 74.82% 15.52% 9.66%+1.91 -2.0 18
1933-11-18 @ Ballymena D 3-371.3 1383 1566 9.66% 15.52% 74.82%-1.91 +2.0 9
1933-11-18 Belfast Celtic D 2-272.9 1473 1656 36.53% 16.24% 47.23%-0.61 +0.4 10
1933-11-18 @ Bangor D 2-272.9 1656 1473 47.23% 16.24% 36.53%+0.61 -0.4 18
1933-11-18 Newry Town L 2-356.3 1338 1338 60.33% 16.22% 23.46%+0.65 -10.8 6
1933-11-18 @ Cliftonville W 3-256.3 1338 1338 23.46% 16.22% 60.33%-0.65 +10.8 9
1933-11-18 Ards W 2-144.0 1471 1430 64.46% 16.12% 19.42%+0.93 +4.2 10
1933-11-18 @ Coleraine L 1-244.0 1430 1471 19.42% 16.12% 64.46%-0.93 -4.2 10
1933-11-18 Glentoran W 2-156.1 1569 1611 55.60% 16.28% 28.12%+0.36 +5.8 14
1933-11-18 @ Derry City L 1-256.1 1611 1569 28.12% 16.28% 55.60%-0.36 -5.8 19
1933-11-18 Linfield L 1-266.0 1648 1723 51.39% 16.31% 32.30%+0.13 -9.7 18
1933-11-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-166.0 1723 1648 32.30% 16.31% 51.39%-0.13 +9.7 21
1933-11-18 Larne W 2-032.3 1453 1339 70.54% 15.85% 13.61%+1.44 +6.0 15
1933-11-18 @ Portadown L 0-232.3 1339 1453 13.61% 15.85% 70.54%-1.44 -6.0 5
1933-11-25 Newry Town W 7-031.4 1563 1349 76.49% 15.33% 8.18%+2.13 +11.8 20
1933-11-25 @ Ballymena L 0-731.4 1349 1563 8.18% 15.33% 76.49%-2.13 -11.8 9
1933-11-25 Glentoran W 3-261.5 1474 1605 43.78% 16.30% 39.92%-0.26 +7.4 12
1933-11-25 @ Bangor L 2-361.5 1605 1474 39.92% 16.30% 43.78%+0.26 -7.4 19
1933-11-25 Ards D 3-376.2 1656 1426 77.22% 15.24% 7.54%+2.24 -2.2 19
1933-11-25 @ Belfast Celtic D 3-376.2 1426 1656 7.54% 15.24% 77.22%-2.24 +2.2 11
1933-11-25 Larne W 2-140.4 1328 1333 59.75% 16.23% 24.02%+0.61 +5.0 8
1933-11-25 @ Cliftonville L 1-240.4 1333 1328 24.02% 16.23% 59.75%-0.61 -5.0 5
1933-11-25 Glenavon D 3-371.7 1575 1385 75.22% 15.48% 9.30%+1.96 -2.1 15
1933-11-25 @ Derry City D 3-371.7 1385 1575 9.30% 15.48% 75.22%-1.96 +2.1 10
1933-11-25 Coleraine D 3-377.2 1638 1475 73.73% 15.62% 10.65%+1.78 -2.0 19
1933-11-25 @ Lisburn Distillery D 3-377.2 1475 1638 10.65% 15.62% 73.73%-1.78 +2.0 11
1933-11-25 Linfield L 1-648.5 1459 1733 25.24% 15.99% 58.77%-1.25 -20.3 15
1933-11-25 @ Portadown W 6-148.5 1733 1459 58.77% 15.99% 25.24%+1.25 +20.3 23
1933-12-02 Lisburn Distillery W 3-264.2 1428 1637 33.10% 16.18% 50.71%-0.79 +9.1 13
1933-12-02 @ Ards L 2-364.2 1637 1428 50.71% 16.18% 33.10%+0.79 -9.1 19
1933-12-02 Portadown L 0-154.0 1477 1439 64.19% 16.13% 19.69%+0.91 -12.8 11
1933-12-02 @ Coleraine W 1-054.0 1439 1477 19.69% 16.13% 64.19%-0.91 +12.8 17
1933-12-02 Bangor W 1-043.7 1387 1481 48.96% 16.32% 34.73%+0.00 +7.4 12
1933-12-02 @ Glenavon L 0-143.7 1481 1387 34.73% 16.32% 48.96%+0.00 -7.4 12
1933-12-02 Belfast Celtic W 4-260.4 1597 1654 53.83% 16.30% 29.87%+0.26 +9.5 21
1933-12-02 @ Glentoran L 2-460.4 1654 1597 29.87% 16.30% 53.83%-0.26 -9.5 19
1933-12-02 Ballymena L 0-337.4 1328 1575 28.27% 16.08% 55.66%-1.06 -16.9 5
1933-12-02 @ Larne W 3-037.4 1575 1328 55.66% 16.08% 28.27%+1.06 +16.8 22
1933-12-02 Cliftonville W 3-035.6 1754 1333 83.50% 13.77% 2.73%+3.56 +1.8 25
1933-12-02 @ Linfield L 0-335.6 1333 1754 2.73% 13.77% 83.50%-3.56 -1.8 8
1933-12-02 Derry City D 1-160.6 1337 1573 29.69% 16.11% 54.20%-0.98 +1.1 10
1933-12-02 @ Newry Town D 1-160.6 1573 1337 54.20% 16.11% 29.69%+0.98 -1.1 16
1933-12-09 Linfield L 2-464.4 1592 1755 39.23% 16.27% 44.50%-0.48 -11.9 22
1933-12-09 @ Ballymena W 4-264.4 1755 1592 44.50% 16.27% 39.23%+0.48 +11.9 27
1933-12-09 Newry Town W 3-029.9 1474 1339 71.97% 15.76% 12.27%+1.59 +7.9 14
1933-12-09 @ Bangor L 0-329.9 1339 1474 12.27% 15.76% 71.97%-1.59 -7.9 10
1933-12-09 Glenavon W 2-038.0 1644 1395 78.07% 15.11% 6.82%+2.37 +3.0 21
1933-12-09 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-238.0 1395 1644 6.82% 15.11% 78.07%-2.37 -3.1 12
1933-12-09 Coleraine W 2-147.4 1331 1464 43.44% 16.30% 40.26%-0.27 +7.9 10
1933-12-09 @ Cliftonville L 1-247.4 1464 1331 40.26% 16.30% 43.44%+0.27 -7.9 11
1933-12-09 Larne W 1-035.3 1572 1311 78.55% 15.03% 6.42%+2.45 +1.5 18
1933-12-09 @ Derry City L 0-135.3 1311 1572 6.42% 15.03% 78.55%-2.45 -1.5 5
1933-12-09 Ards W 6-243.2 1607 1437 74.12% 15.59% 10.30%+1.82 +6.1 23
1933-12-09 @ Glentoran L 2-643.2 1437 1607 10.30% 15.59% 74.12%-1.82 -6.1 13
1933-12-09 Lisburn Distillery L 0-346.6 1452 1627 37.51% 16.25% 46.24%-0.56 -21.6 17
1933-12-09 @ Portadown W 3-046.6 1627 1452 46.24% 16.25% 37.51%+0.56 +21.6 21
1933-12-16 Portadown W 2-037.1 1431 1430 60.41% 16.22% 23.37%+0.65 +9.8 15
1933-12-16 @ Ards L 0-237.1 1430 1431 23.37% 16.22% 60.41%-0.65 -9.8 17
1933-12-16 Ballymena D 0-062.1 1457 1580 44.85% 16.31% 38.85%-0.21 -0.3 12
1933-12-16 @ Coleraine D 0-062.1 1580 1457 38.85% 16.31% 44.85%+0.21 +0.3 23
1933-12-16 Glentoran W 2-157.6 1392 1613 31.45% 16.15% 52.39%-0.88 +9.9 14
1933-12-16 @ Glenavon L 1-257.6 1613 1392 52.39% 16.15% 31.45%+0.88 -9.9 23
1933-12-16 Bangor W 3-253.8 1310 1482 37.98% 16.26% 45.76%-0.54 +8.3 7
1933-12-16 @ Larne L 2-353.8 1482 1310 45.76% 16.26% 37.98%+0.54 -8.3 14
1933-12-16 Derry City W 2-152.8 1767 1573 75.46% 15.45% 9.09%+1.99 +2.0 29
1933-12-16 @ Linfield L 1-252.8 1573 1767 9.09% 15.45% 75.46%-1.99 -2.0 18
1933-12-16 Cliftonville W 5-136.3 1649 1339 80.39% 14.68% 4.94%+2.80 +3.5 23
1933-12-16 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-536.3 1339 1649 4.94% 14.68% 80.39%-2.80 -3.5 10
1933-12-16 Belfast Celtic L 0-636.9 1331 1647 20.87% 15.81% 63.32%-1.54 -24.5 10
1933-12-16 @ Newry Town W 6-036.9 1647 1331 63.32% 15.81% 20.87%+1.54 +24.5 23
1933-12-23 Lisburn Distillery W 4-260.6 1580 1652 51.81% 16.31% 31.88%+0.15 +10.0 25
1933-12-23 @ Ballymena L 2-460.6 1652 1580 31.88% 16.31% 51.81%-0.15 -10.0 23
1933-12-23 Linfield L 1-451.3 1473 1769 22.90% 15.90% 61.20%-1.40 -11.8 14
1933-12-23 @ Bangor W 4-151.3 1769 1473 61.20% 15.90% 22.90%+1.40 +11.8 31
1933-12-23 Larne W 6-135.0 1672 1318 81.75% 14.34% 3.91%+3.10 +3.4 25
1933-12-23 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-635.0 1318 1672 3.91% 14.34% 81.75%-3.10 -3.4 7
1933-12-23 Portadown W 4-246.9 1335 1420 50.08% 16.32% 33.60%+0.06 +10.5 12
1933-12-23 @ Cliftonville L 2-446.9 1420 1335 33.60% 16.32% 50.08%-0.06 -10.5 17
1933-12-23 Coleraine W 1-042.8 1571 1456 70.57% 15.85% 13.58%+1.44 +3.2 20
1933-12-23 @ Derry City L 0-142.8 1456 1571 13.58% 15.85% 70.57%-1.44 -3.2 12
1933-12-23 Ards W 2-144.8 1402 1441 55.88% 16.28% 27.83%+0.38 +5.7 16
1933-12-23 @ Glenavon L 1-244.8 1441 1402 27.83% 16.28% 55.88%-0.38 -5.8 15
1933-12-23 Newry Town W 3-030.3 1603 1306 79.93% 14.78% 5.29%+2.70 +3.5 25
1933-12-23 @ Glentoran L 0-330.3 1306 1603 5.29% 14.78% 79.93%-2.70 -3.4 10
1933-12-25 Cliftonville W 3-244.4 1435 1346 68.65% 15.95% 15.40%+1.27 +3.2 17
1933-12-25 @ Ards L 2-344.4 1346 1435 15.40% 15.95% 68.65%-1.27 -3.2 12
1933-12-25 Bangor W 3-250.8 1453 1462 59.41% 16.23% 24.35%+0.59 +4.8 14
1933-12-25 @ Coleraine L 2-350.8 1462 1453 24.35% 16.23% 59.41%-0.59 -4.8 14
1933-12-25 Glentoran L 1-441.3 1314 1607 23.28% 15.92% 60.80%-1.37 -12.0 7
1933-12-25 @ Larne W 4-141.3 1607 1314 60.80% 15.92% 23.28%+1.37 +11.9 27
1933-12-25 Belfast Celtic W 3-153.0 1781 1675 69.92% 15.89% 14.19%+1.38 +5.4 33
1933-12-25 @ Linfield L 1-353.0 1675 1781 14.19% 15.89% 69.92%-1.38 -5.4 25
1933-12-25 Derry City W 3-044.2 1642 1574 66.88% 16.03% 17.09%+1.12 +10.8 25
1933-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-344.2 1574 1642 17.09% 16.03% 66.88%-1.12 -10.7 20
1933-12-25 Glenavon W 2-144.7 1303 1407 47.46% 16.32% 36.23%-0.08 +7.2 12
1933-12-25 @ Newry Town L 1-244.7 1407 1303 36.23% 16.32% 47.46%+0.08 -7.2 16
1933-12-25 Ballymena W 1-051.9 1410 1590 36.83% 16.24% 46.93%-0.60 +9.5 19
1933-12-25 @ Portadown L 0-151.9 1590 1410 46.93% 16.24% 36.83%+0.60 -9.5 25
1933-12-26 Cliftonville L 1-457.5 1581 1343 77.61% 15.18% 7.21%+2.30 -35.9 25
1933-12-26 @ Ballymena W 4-157.5 1343 1581 7.21% 15.18% 77.61%-2.30 +35.9 14
1933-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 3-561.3 1457 1653 34.67% 16.21% 49.11%-0.71 -10.2 14
1933-12-26 @ Bangor W 5-361.3 1653 1457 49.11% 16.21% 34.67%+0.71 +10.1 27
1933-12-26 Coleraine W 5-247.8 1670 1458 76.36% 15.35% 8.29%+2.11 +3.9 27
1933-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-547.8 1458 1670 8.29% 15.35% 76.36%-2.11 -3.9 14
1933-12-26 Portadown L 2-367.6 1564 1420 72.55% 15.72% 11.73%+1.65 -13.0 20
1933-12-26 @ Derry City W 3-267.6 1420 1564 11.73% 15.72% 72.55%-1.65 +13.0 21
1933-12-26 Larne D 0-052.8 1400 1303 69.29% 15.92% 14.79%+1.33 -3.0 17
1933-12-26 @ Glenavon D 0-052.8 1303 1400 14.79% 15.92% 69.29%-1.33 +3.0 8
1933-12-26 Linfield L 0-353.1 1619 1786 38.58% 16.26% 45.16%-0.51 -22.1 27
1933-12-26 @ Glentoran W 3-053.1 1786 1619 45.16% 16.26% 38.58%+0.51 +22.1 35
1933-12-26 Ards D 1-156.4 1310 1438 44.16% 16.31% 39.53%-0.24 -0.2 13
1933-12-26 @ Newry Town D 1-156.4 1438 1310 39.53% 16.31% 44.16%+0.24 +0.2 18
1933-12-30 Cliftonville L 3-464.7 1447 1378 66.89% 16.03% 17.08%+1.12 -11.6 14
1933-12-30 @ Bangor W 4-364.7 1378 1447 17.08% 16.03% 66.89%-1.12 +11.6 16
1933-12-30 Portadown W 3-145.1 1674 1433 77.72% 15.16% 7.11%+2.32 +2.8 29
1933-12-30 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-345.1 1433 1674 7.11% 15.16% 77.72%-2.32 -2.8 21
1933-12-30 Ballymena D 2-271.9 1551 1545 60.93% 16.21% 22.87%+0.69 -1.4 21
1933-12-30 @ Derry City D 2-271.9 1545 1551 22.87% 16.21% 60.93%-0.69 +1.4 26
1933-12-30 Coleraine W 5-139.6 1397 1454 53.74% 16.30% 29.96%+0.26 +19.4 19
1933-12-30 @ Glenavon L 1-539.6 1454 1397 29.96% 16.30% 53.74%-0.26 -19.4 14
1933-12-30 Lisburn Distillery W 3-049.3 1597 1663 52.47% 16.31% 31.22%+0.19 +18.4 29
1933-12-30 @ Glentoran L 0-349.3 1663 1597 31.22% 16.31% 52.47%-0.19 -18.4 27
1933-12-30 Ards L 1-345.1 1306 1439 43.52% 16.30% 40.18%-0.27 -14.6 8
1933-12-30 @ Larne W 3-145.1 1439 1306 40.18% 16.30% 43.52%+0.27 +14.6 20
1933-12-30 Linfield L 0-241.1 1310 1808 8.52% 14.71% 76.77%-2.80 -3.8 13
1933-12-30 @ Newry Town W 2-041.1 1808 1310 76.77% 14.71% 8.52%+2.80 +3.8 37
1934-01-06 Derry City D 2-268.5 1453 1549 48.62% 16.32% 35.06%-0.02 -0.5 21
1934-01-06 @ Ards D 2-268.5 1549 1453 35.06% 16.32% 48.62%+0.02 +0.5 22
1934-01-06 Bangor W 5-034.3 1546 1435 70.32% 15.87% 13.81%+1.42 +14.2 28
1934-01-06 @ Ballymena L 0-534.3 1435 1546 13.81% 15.87% 70.32%-1.42 -14.2 14
1934-01-06 Belfast Celtic L 2-453.6 1390 1676 23.91% 15.94% 60.15%-1.33 -7.7 16
1934-01-06 @ Cliftonville W 4-253.6 1676 1390 60.15% 15.94% 23.91%+1.33 +7.7 31
1934-01-06 Newry Town W 4-133.5 1435 1306 71.53% 15.79% 12.68%+1.54 +6.8 16
1934-01-06 @ Coleraine L 1-433.5 1306 1435 12.68% 15.79% 71.53%-1.54 -6.9 13
1934-01-06 Larne W 8-137.6 1812 1291 85.56% 12.85% 1.58%+4.26 +1.8 39
1934-01-06 @ Linfield L 1-837.6 1291 1812 1.58% 12.85% 85.56%-4.26 -1.8 8
1934-01-06 Glenavon D 2-271.0 1645 1417 77.15% 15.25% 7.60%+2.23 -2.6 28
1934-01-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-271.0 1417 1645 7.60% 15.25% 77.15%-2.23 +2.6 20
1934-01-06 Glentoran L 0-443.7 1430 1615 36.19% 16.23% 47.58%-0.63 -27.3 21
1934-01-06 @ Portadown W 4-043.7 1615 1430 47.58% 16.23% 36.19%+0.63 +27.3 31
1934-01-20 Derry City D 1-162.7 1421 1550 44.08% 16.31% 39.62%-0.24 -0.2 15
1934-01-20 @ Bangor D 1-162.7 1550 1421 39.62% 16.31% 44.08%+0.24 +0.2 23
1934-01-20 Ballymena W 3-257.6 1684 1561 71.17% 15.81% 13.01%+1.50 +2.7 33
1934-01-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-357.6 1561 1684 13.01% 15.81% 71.17%-1.50 -2.7 28
1934-01-20 Portadown W 2-142.4 1419 1402 62.08% 16.18% 21.74%+0.77 +4.6 22
1934-01-20 @ Glenavon L 1-242.4 1402 1419 21.74% 16.18% 62.08%-0.77 -4.6 21
1934-01-20 Cliftonville L 2-565.2 1642 1382 78.52% 15.04% 6.44%+2.45 -31.5 31
1934-01-20 @ Glentoran W 5-265.2 1382 1642 6.44% 15.04% 78.52%-2.45 +31.5 18
1934-01-20 Coleraine W 4-142.5 1289 1441 40.76% 16.28% 42.96%-0.40 +20.4 10
1934-01-20 @ Larne L 1-442.5 1441 1289 42.96% 16.28% 40.76%+0.40 -20.4 16
1934-01-20 Ards W 5-039.2 1814 1453 81.97% 14.28% 3.76%+3.15 +3.9 41
1934-01-20 @ Linfield L 0-539.2 1453 1814 3.76% 14.28% 81.97%-3.15 -3.9 21
1934-01-20 Lisburn Distillery D 2-266.4 1299 1642 18.43% 15.69% 65.88%-1.73 +1.7 14
1934-01-20 @ Newry Town D 2-266.4 1642 1299 65.88% 15.69% 18.43%+1.73 -1.7 29
1934-01-27 Ballymena W 2-153.1 1449 1558 46.86% 16.31% 36.83%-0.11 +7.3 23
1934-01-27 @ Ards L 1-253.1 1558 1449 36.83% 16.31% 46.86%+0.11 -7.3 28
1934-01-27 Derry City W 4-148.1 1414 1550 43.07% 16.30% 40.63%-0.29 +19.5 20
1934-01-27 @ Cliftonville L 1-448.1 1550 1414 40.63% 16.30% 43.07%+0.29 -19.5 23
1934-01-27 Glentoran L 1-351.3 1421 1611 35.58% 16.22% 48.19%-0.66 -12.3 16
1934-01-27 @ Coleraine W 3-151.3 1611 1421 48.19% 16.22% 35.58%+0.66 +12.3 33
1934-01-27 Newry Town W 5-344.8 1310 1301 61.25% 16.20% 22.55%+0.71 +7.0 12
1934-01-27 @ Larne L 3-544.8 1301 1310 22.55% 16.20% 61.25%-0.71 -7.0 14
1934-01-27 Glenavon W 8-141.9 1818 1424 82.85% 14.01% 3.15%+3.38 +3.7 43
1934-01-27 @ Linfield L 1-841.9 1424 1818 3.15% 14.01% 82.85%-3.38 -3.7 22
1934-01-27 Belfast Celtic L 1-266.7 1641 1687 55.04% 16.29% 28.67%+0.33 -10.4 29
1934-01-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-166.7 1687 1641 28.67% 16.29% 55.04%-0.33 +10.4 35
1934-01-27 Bangor D 2-262.5 1398 1421 57.82% 16.26% 25.92%+0.49 -1.1 22
1934-01-27 @ Portadown D 2-262.5 1421 1398 25.92% 16.26% 57.82%-0.49 +1.1 16
1934-02-03 Bangor W 2-036.6 1456 1422 63.83% 16.14% 20.03%+0.89 +8.6 25
1934-02-03 @ Ards L 0-236.6 1422 1456 20.03% 16.14% 63.83%-0.89 -8.6 16
1934-02-03 Glentoran W 3-154.8 1551 1623 51.74% 16.31% 31.95%+0.15 +11.2 30
1934-02-03 @ Ballymena L 1-354.8 1623 1551 31.95% 16.31% 51.74%-0.15 -11.2 33
1934-02-03 Glenavon W 3-248.2 1433 1420 61.71% 16.19% 22.10%+0.74 +4.4 22
1934-02-03 @ Cliftonville L 2-348.2 1420 1433 22.10% 16.19% 61.71%-0.74 -4.4 22
1934-02-03 Linfield D 2-275.7 1409 1822 13.16% 15.30% 71.54%-2.21 +2.2 17
1934-02-03 @ Coleraine D 2-275.7 1822 1409 71.54% 15.30% 13.16%+2.21 -2.2 44
1934-02-03 Belfast Celtic L 0-156.4 1531 1697 38.75% 16.26% 44.99%-0.50 -8.1 23
1934-02-03 @ Derry City W 1-056.4 1697 1531 44.99% 16.26% 38.75%+0.50 +8.1 37
1934-02-03 Larne W 3-138.5 1630 1316 80.50% 14.65% 4.85%+2.82 +1.9 31
1934-02-03 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-338.5 1316 1630 4.85% 14.65% 80.50%-2.82 -1.9 12
1934-02-03 Newry Town W 4-346.5 1397 1294 69.68% 15.90% 14.41%+1.36 +2.9 24
1934-02-03 @ Portadown L 3-446.5 1294 1397 14.41% 15.90% 69.68%-1.36 -2.9 14
1934-02-10 Coleraine W 2-036.0 1465 1411 65.62% 16.08% 18.30%+1.02 +7.9 27
1934-02-10 @ Ards L 0-236.0 1411 1465 18.30% 16.08% 65.62%-1.02 -7.9 17
1934-02-13 Portadown D 2-260.5 1315 1400 50.11% 16.32% 33.58%+0.06 -0.6 13
1934-02-13 @ Larne D 2-260.5 1400 1315 33.58% 16.32% 50.11%-0.06 +0.6 25
1934-02-14 Ballymena W 7-248.7 1416 1562 41.66% 16.29% 42.05%-0.36 +26.5 24
1934-02-14 @ Glenavon L 2-748.7 1562 1416 42.05% 16.29% 41.66%+0.36 -26.5 30
1934-02-14 Derry City W 1-047.0 1612 1522 68.64% 15.96% 15.40%+1.27 +3.6 35
1934-02-14 @ Glentoran L 0-147.0 1522 1612 15.40% 15.96% 68.64%-1.27 -3.6 23
1934-02-14 Lisburn Distillery W 3-044.4 1820 1632 75.11% 15.49% 9.40%+1.95 +6.1 46
1934-02-14 @ Linfield L 0-344.4 1632 1820 9.40% 15.49% 75.11%-1.95 -6.1 31
1934-02-14 Cliftonville W 6-243.6 1291 1438 41.55% 16.29% 42.16%-0.37 +22.0 16
1934-02-14 @ Newry Town L 2-643.6 1438 1291 42.16% 16.29% 41.55%+0.37 -22.0 22
1934-02-19 Bangor L 0-165.5 1705 1413 79.76% 14.81% 5.43%+2.67 -16.0 37
1934-02-19 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-065.5 1413 1705 5.43% 14.81% 79.76%-2.67 +16.0 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1934-02-19 5.43% Bangor 1413 1 @ Belfast Celtic 1705 0
2 1934-01-20 6.44% Cliftonville 1382 5 @ Glentoran 1642 2
3 1933-12-26 7.21% Cliftonville 1343 4 @ Ballymena 1581 1
4 1933-08-24 8.11% Newry Town 1359 2 @ Derry City 1575 1
5 1933-08-26 9.96% Portadown 1429 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1606 0
6 1933-12-26 11.73% Portadown 1420 3 @ Derry City 1564 2
7 1933-09-23 11.91% Glentoran 1571 1 @ Linfield 1712 0
8 1933-10-07 15.43% Glenavon 1424 2 @ Coleraine 1513 1
9 1933-11-11 16.90% Cliftonville 1326 2 @ Glenavon 1396 1
10 1933-12-30 17.08% Cliftonville 1378 4 @ Bangor 1447 3
11 1933-10-07 18.52% Glentoran 1586 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1637 0
12 1933-12-02 19.69% Portadown 1439 1 @ Coleraine 1477 0
13 1933-10-28 21.85% Larne 1335 2 @ Newry Town 1350 1
14 1933-11-18 23.46% Newry Town 1338 3 @ Cliftonville 1338 2
15 1933-09-16 24.25% Coleraine 1511 2 @ Bangor 1503 1
16 1933-09-16 27.48% Ards 1418 2 @ Cliftonville 1381 0
17 1933-09-21 28.45% Linfield 1690 5 @ Belfast Celtic 1646 2
18 1934-01-27 28.67% Belfast Celtic 1687 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1641 1
19 1933-08-21 29.24% Lisburn Distillery 1588 4 @ Coleraine 1537 2
20 1933-09-16 29.53% Lisburn Distillery 1623 1 @ Derry City 1570 0
21 1933-08-21 30.71% Cliftonville 1456 4 @ Larne 1393 2
22 1933-09-23 30.79% Glenavon 1414 2 @ Larne 1351 1
23 1933-10-19 31.42% Ballymena 1549 3 @ Bangor 1481 2
24 1933-12-16 31.45% @ Glenavon 1392 2 Glentoran 1613 1
25 1933-11-18 32.30% Linfield 1723 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1648 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-08-23 39.75 Linfield 6 1658 47.82% @ Cliftonville 0 1471 35.95% 16.23%
2 1933-12-26 35.92 Cliftonville 4 1343 7.21% @ Ballymena 1 1581 77.61% 15.18%
3 1934-01-20 31.47 Cliftonville 5 1382 6.44% @ Glentoran 2 1642 78.52% 15.04%
4 1933-09-02 29.10 Lisburn Distillery 4 1591 44.74% @ Cliftonville 0 1426 39.00% 16.27%
5 1933-10-18 27.73 Lisburn Distillery 6 1624 47.79% @ Glenavon 1 1437 35.98% 16.23%
6 1934-01-06 27.30 Glentoran 4 1615 47.58% @ Portadown 0 1430 36.19% 16.23%
7 1934-02-14 26.48 @ Glenavon 7 1416 41.66% Ballymena 2 1562 42.05% 16.29%
8 1933-08-26 26.16 Bangor 3 1481 36.61% @ Newry Town 0 1374 47.07% 16.32%
9 1933-10-18 25.42 @ Newry Town 3 1330 38.18% Coleraine 0 1500 45.56% 16.26%
10 1933-12-16 24.53 Belfast Celtic 6 1647 63.32% @ Newry Town 0 1331 20.87% 15.81%
11 1933-09-23 22.52 Ballymena 3 1522 44.24% @ Cliftonville 0 1360 39.48% 16.27%
12 1933-09-21 22.12 Linfield 5 1690 28.45% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1646 55.26% 16.29%
13 1933-12-26 22.08 Linfield 3 1786 45.16% @ Glentoran 0 1619 38.58% 16.26%
14 1934-02-14 21.98 @ Newry Town 6 1291 41.55% Cliftonville 2 1438 42.16% 16.29%
15 1933-12-09 21.56 Lisburn Distillery 3 1627 46.24% @ Portadown 0 1452 37.51% 16.25%
16 1933-09-09 21.25 @ Ards 4 1396 56.69% Glenavon 0 1429 27.04% 16.27%
17 1933-09-16 21.21 Ards 2 1418 27.48% @ Cliftonville 0 1381 56.24% 16.28%
18 1934-01-20 20.38 @ Larne 4 1289 40.76% Coleraine 1 1441 42.96% 16.28%
19 1933-11-25 20.32 Linfield 6 1733 58.77% @ Portadown 1 1459 25.24% 15.99%
20 1934-01-27 19.45 @ Cliftonville 4 1414 43.07% Derry City 1 1550 40.63% 16.30%
21 1933-12-30 19.36 @ Glenavon 5 1397 53.74% Coleraine 1 1454 29.96% 16.30%
22 1933-12-30 18.44 @ Glentoran 3 1597 52.47% Lisburn Distillery 0 1663 31.22% 16.31%
23 1933-09-09 18.06 Belfast Celtic 5 1628 56.18% @ Larne 1 1376 27.75% 16.06%
24 1933-08-26 17.11 Glentoran 2 1545 39.34% @ Ards 0 1418 44.36% 16.31%
25 1933-12-02 16.86 Ballymena 3 1575 55.66% @ Larne 0 1328 28.27% 16.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-11-25 77.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1638 73.73% Coleraine 3 1475 10.65% 15.62%
2 1933-11-25 76.2 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1656 77.22% Ards 3 1426 7.54% 15.24%
3 1934-02-03 75.7 @ Coleraine 2 1409 13.16% Linfield 2 1822 71.54% 15.30%
4 1933-10-18 75.0 @ Glentoran 3 1599 72.75% Portadown 3 1452 11.55% 15.70%
5 1933-10-17 74.5 @ Larne 3 1337 16.92% Linfield 3 1699 67.48% 15.59%
6 1933-09-23 73.6 @ Portadown 3 1460 48.21% Derry City 3 1559 35.48% 16.32%
7 1933-11-18 72.9 @ Bangor 2 1473 36.53% Belfast Celtic 2 1656 47.23% 16.24%
8 1933-12-30 71.9 @ Derry City 2 1551 60.93% Ballymena 2 1545 22.87% 16.21%
9 1933-11-25 71.7 @ Derry City 3 1575 75.22% Glenavon 3 1385 9.30% 15.48%
10 1933-11-18 71.3 @ Ballymena 3 1566 74.82% Glenavon 3 1383 9.66% 15.52%
11 1934-01-06 71.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1645 77.15% Glenavon 2 1417 7.60% 15.25%
12 1933-08-21 69.9 @ Ards 2 1419 33.88% Belfast Celtic 2 1622 49.92% 16.20%
13 1933-11-11 69.6 @ Glentoran 1 1613 65.26% Ballymena 1 1563 18.65% 16.09%
14 1934-01-06 68.5 @ Ards 2 1453 48.62% Derry City 2 1549 35.06% 16.32%
15 1933-10-28 68.4 @ Ballymena 2 1565 71.86% Ards 2 1432 12.37% 15.77%
16 1933-12-26 67.6 Portadown 3 1420 11.73% @ Derry City 2 1564 72.55% 15.72%
17 1933-09-23 67.2 Glentoran 1 1571 11.91% @ Linfield 0 1712 72.35% 15.73%
18 1934-01-27 66.7 Belfast Celtic 2 1687 28.67% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1641 55.04% 16.29%
19 1934-01-20 66.4 @ Newry Town 2 1299 18.43% Lisburn Distillery 2 1642 65.88% 15.69%
20 1933-09-21 66.2 Linfield 5 1690 28.45% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1646 55.26% 16.29%
21 1933-09-23 66.0 Belfast Celtic 3 1624 35.82% @ Coleraine 2 1522 47.86% 16.32%
22 1933-11-18 66.0 Linfield 2 1723 32.30% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1648 51.39% 16.31%
23 1934-02-19 65.5 Bangor 1 1413 5.43% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1705 79.76% 14.81%
24 1934-01-20 65.2 Cliftonville 5 1382 6.44% @ Glentoran 2 1642 78.52% 15.04%
25 1933-08-21 64.7 Lisburn Distillery 4 1588 29.24% @ Coleraine 2 1537 54.46% 16.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-12-09 29.9 @ Bangor 3 1474 71.97% Newry Town 0 1339 12.27% 15.76%
2 1933-12-23 30.3 @ Glentoran 3 1603 79.93% Newry Town 0 1306 5.29% 14.78%
3 1933-09-16 30.6 @ Glentoran 4 1564 76.08% Larne 0 1358 8.54% 15.38%
4 1933-11-25 31.4 @ Ballymena 7 1563 76.49% Newry Town 0 1349 8.18% 15.33%
5 1933-11-18 32.3 @ Portadown 2 1453 70.54% Larne 0 1339 13.61% 15.85%
6 1933-09-23 33.2 @ Ards 5 1439 69.32% Newry Town 1 1341 14.76% 15.92%
7 1933-09-09 33.5 @ Ards 4 1396 56.69% Glenavon 0 1429 27.04% 16.27%
8 1934-01-06 33.5 @ Coleraine 4 1435 71.53% Newry Town 1 1306 12.68% 15.79%
9 1933-10-28 33.9 @ Derry City 5 1567 77.52% Cliftonville 1 1331 7.29% 15.19%
10 1934-01-06 34.3 @ Ballymena 5 1546 70.32% Bangor 0 1435 13.81% 15.87%
11 1933-12-23 35.0 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1672 81.75% Larne 1 1318 3.91% 14.34%
12 1933-09-09 35.1 @ Portadown 6 1449 65.46% Cliftonville 1 1397 18.45% 16.09%
13 1933-12-09 35.3 @ Derry City 1 1572 78.55% Larne 0 1311 6.42% 15.03%
14 1933-10-07 35.4 @ Ards 1 1449 70.08% Larne 0 1341 14.04% 15.88%
15 1933-12-02 35.6 @ Linfield 3 1754 83.50% Cliftonville 0 1333 2.73% 13.77%
16 1933-08-21 35.7 @ Linfield 5 1650 77.10% Portadown 0 1423 7.65% 15.25%
17 1934-02-10 36.0 @ Ards 2 1465 65.62% Coleraine 0 1411 18.30% 16.08%
18 1933-10-21 36.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1652 79.91% Newry Town 1 1355 5.31% 14.78%
19 1933-12-16 36.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1649 80.39% Cliftonville 1 1339 4.94% 14.68%
20 1933-10-18 36.4 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1640 79.83% Cliftonville 1 1346 5.37% 14.80%
21 1934-02-03 36.6 @ Ards 2 1456 63.83% Bangor 0 1422 20.03% 16.14%
22 1933-12-16 36.9 Belfast Celtic 6 1647 63.32% @ Newry Town 0 1331 20.87% 15.81%
23 1933-12-16 37.1 @ Ards 2 1431 60.41% Portadown 0 1430 23.37% 16.22%
24 1933-12-02 37.4 Ballymena 3 1575 55.66% @ Larne 0 1328 28.27% 16.08%
25 1933-09-16 37.5 @ Glenavon 3 1407 66.20% Newry Town 1 1347 17.74% 16.06%