‹ ›

1934-35 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Larne

8.06 points above expected

27 points · 18.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ards

6.00 points below expected

13 points · 19.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 21 4 1 46 76 19 +57 39.06 +6.94
2 Derry City 26 18 4 4 40 64 32 +32 32.10 +7.90
3 Belfast Celtic 26 17 3 6 37 96 36 +60 38.20 -1.20
4 Glentoran 26 16 4 6 36 70 42 +28 32.51 +3.49
5 Portadown 26 14 5 7 33 56 38 +18 26.73 +6.27
6 Lisburn Distillery 26 11 5 10 27 47 44 +3 30.35 -3.35
7 Larne 26 11 5 10 27 48 52 -4 18.94 +8.06
8 Glenavon 26 7 7 12 21 43 55 -12 23.20 -2.20
9 Newry Town 26 9 1 16 19 63 73 -10 21.23 -2.23
10 Ballymena United 26 7 5 14 19 48 65 -17 24.53 -5.53
11 Cliftonville 26 8 3 15 19 45 69 -24 22.21 -3.21
12 Coleraine 26 7 2 17 16 43 66 -23 20.36 -4.36
13 Ards 26 5 3 18 13 45 91 -46 19.00 -6.00
14 Bangor 26 2 7 17 11 36 98 -62 15.58 -4.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Larne 27 18.94 +8.06
2 Derry City 40 32.10 +7.90
3 Linfield 46 39.06 +6.94
4 Portadown 33 26.73 +6.27
5 Glentoran 36 32.51 +3.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 13 19.00 -6.00
2 Ballymena United 19 24.53 -5.53
3 Bangor 11 15.58 -4.58
4 Coleraine 16 20.36 -4.36
5 Lisburn Distillery 27 30.35 -3.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 5 Dec 8 – Dec 26 1 in 142
2 Larne 3 Dec 15 – Dec 25 1 in 57
3 Cliftonville 3 Nov 24 – Dec 8 1 in 22
4 Derry City 6 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 18
5 Glenavon 3 Sep 8 – Sep 22 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Belfast Celtic 2 Dec 15 – Dec 22 1 in 124
2 Ards 5 Aug 18 – Sep 8 1 in 71
3 Newry Town 5 Dec 29 – Feb 2 1 in 68
4 Glenavon 4 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 23
5 Ballymena United 5 Dec 29 – Feb 2 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 8 Dec 1 – Jan 5 1 in 39
2 Linfield 19 Aug 18 – Dec 22 1 in 32
3 Larne 3 Sep 8 – Sep 22 1 in 22
4 Bangor 2 Dec 1 – Dec 8 1 in 10
5 Derry City 7 Dec 25 – Feb 2 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 22 Aug 18 – Dec 29 1 in 291
2 Cliftonville 8 Dec 15 – Jan 26 1 in 28
3 Glenavon 9 Dec 1 – Jan 12 1 in 26
4 Belfast Celtic 3 Sep 1 – Sep 15 1 in 24
5 Ards 10 Nov 10 – Dec 29 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1839 46 +38 9 7.1 +1.9
Derry City 1692 40 +26 8 6.5 +1.5
Belfast Celtic 1741 37 +13 7 7.3 -0.3
Glentoran 1661 36 +17 8 7.1 +0.9
Portadown 1639 33 +23 7 6.1 +0.9
Larne 1476 27 +78 8 4.8 +3.2
Lisburn Distillery 1556 27 -7 5 5.9 -0.9
Glenavon 1370 21 -13 4 3.5 +0.5
Cliftonville 1336 19 -12 3 4.6 -1.6
Newry Town 1423 19 -65 0 4.0 -4.0
Ballymena United 1377 19 -114 0 3.6 -3.6
Coleraine 1332 16 -66 2 4.0 -2.0
Ards 1317 13 +30 4 2.4 +1.6
Bangor 1241 11 +52 5 2.8 +2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
3.35
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
1.36
2-0-0
1.98
0-1-1
2.67
Ballymena United
1-1-0
3.66
—
1-1-0
4.13
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
3.26
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.09
Bangor
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
1.54
—
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
1.88
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
0.58
1-1-0
0.94
0-0-2
1.62
0-1-1
2.10
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.81
—
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
4.79
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
4.77
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.53
0-1-1
4.52
Cliftonville
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
3.78
0-0-2
0.96
—
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
1.53
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
1.14
1-1-0
1.93
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.42
Coleraine
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
4.05
0-0-2
0.89
2-0-0
2.58
—
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
3.02
0-1-1
1.07
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
1.68
Derry City
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.17
—
2-0-0
4.14
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
4.30
0-1-1
1.88
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.81
Glenavon
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
1.02
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.53
—
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
1.12
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.35
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.46
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.69
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
4.14
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
4.11
—
2-0-0
4.25
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
3.34
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
3.35
Larne
2-0-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
0.91
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
1.37
2-0-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.42
—
0-0-2
0.80
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.13
Linfield
2-0-0
5.07
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
4.61
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.55
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.89
—
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-1
4.80
2-0-0
4.20
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
4.74
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
3.92
2-0-0
2.33
2-0-0
4.11
0-1-1
1.63
—
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
2.93
Newry Town
0-0-2
3.69
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
4.05
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
0.88
1-0-1
1.94
—
0-1-1
2.02
Portadown
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
1.15
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
3.99
0-0-2
1.85
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
1.47
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.64
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +5.1
Allowed 0.90 -4.6
Differential 0.92 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.75%2.47%3.02%3.30%1.37%2.75%15.66%
12.47%6.59%6.87%5.22%3.57%2.75%27.47%
23.02%6.87%4.95%3.02%1.92%3.57%23.35%
33.30%5.22%3.02%0.55%0.82%1.10%14.01%
41.37%3.57%1.92%0.82%1.10%0.27%9.07%
5+2.75%2.75%3.57%1.10%0.27%—10.44%
Total15.66%27.47%23.35%14.01%9.07%10.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.14 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.78
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—11.54%3.85%11.54%30.77%
1——7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%23.08%
23.85%—7.69%—3.85%7.69%23.08%
3——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total3.85%11.54%23.08%15.38%19.23%26.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 3.50 -1.77
SD 1.91 2.16 3.37
CV 1.10 0.62 —
Max 8 9 +7
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%26.92%
1—11.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%—30.77%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
3—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
Total3.85%30.77%19.23%23.08%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.50 -0.65
SD 1.80 1.66 2.78
CV 0.98 0.66 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——7.69%3.85%7.69%30.77%
1—3.85%7.69%—7.69%15.38%34.62%
2——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
3——3.85%3.85%—11.54%19.23%
43.85%———3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%3.85%15.38%11.54%15.38%38.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 3.77 -2.38
SD 1.33 2.55 2.80
CV 0.96 0.68 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
1—7.69%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4—11.54%————11.54%
5+7.69%11.54%15.38%———34.62%
Total19.23%38.46%30.77%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.69 1.38 +2.31
SD 2.57 1.02 3.02
CV 0.70 0.74 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%—7.69%19.23%
13.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%38.46%
2—7.69%3.85%—7.69%3.85%23.08%
3——7.69%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total7.69%19.23%26.92%11.54%19.23%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.65 -0.92
SD 1.78 1.65 2.64
CV 1.03 0.62 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%—3.85%—19.23%
1—3.85%7.69%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
2—7.69%—3.85%7.69%11.54%30.77%
33.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%23.08%15.38%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 2.54 -0.88
SD 1.20 1.58 2.07
CV 0.72 0.62 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
17.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
27.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
311.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
Total30.77%30.77%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 1.23 +1.23
SD 1.65 1.11 1.68
CV 0.67 0.90 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
13.85%15.38%7.69%11.54%—3.85%42.31%
2—3.85%11.54%7.69%——23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total7.69%30.77%30.77%23.08%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 2.12 -0.46
SD 1.35 1.63 2.47
CV 0.82 0.77 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—3.85%—11.54%——15.38%
23.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
5+3.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%26.92%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 1.62 +1.08
SD 1.72 1.06 2.13
CV 0.64 0.66 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
2—7.69%7.69%——3.85%19.23%
37.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
43.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%34.62%7.69%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.00 -0.15
SD 1.29 1.47 2.22
CV 0.70 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
17.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
23.85%19.23%3.85%———26.92%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+11.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
Total42.31%42.31%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.92 0.73 +2.19
SD 1.83 0.72 2.00
CV 0.63 0.99 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%————15.38%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%46.15%11.54%11.54%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.69 +0.12
SD 1.33 1.74 2.16
CV 0.73 1.03 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
1——7.69%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
23.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%15.38%46.15%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
Total11.54%11.54%19.23%26.92%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.81 -0.38
SD 1.96 1.83 2.95
CV 0.81 0.65 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
3—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.46 +0.69
SD 1.54 1.14 1.91
CV 0.72 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1839 46 39.06 +6.94 99.0% 31 32 37 39 42 44 47
Belfast Celtic 1741 37 38.20 -1.20 43.0% 30 33 35 38 41 44 49
Derry City 1692 40 32.10 +7.90 99.0% 22 26 30 32 34 38 41
Glentoran 1661 36 32.51 +3.49 90.0% 23 26 31 33 34 37 41
Portadown 1639 33 26.73 +6.27 90.0% 15 21 24 26 29 34 37
Lisburn Distillery 1556 27 30.35 -3.35 28.0% 19 23 27 31 33 37 40
Larne 1476 27 18.94 +8.06 100.0% 10 12 16 19 22 26 27
Newry Town 1423 19 21.23 -2.23 38.0% 11 15 18 21 24 27 34
Ballymena United 1377 19 24.53 -5.53 11.0% 12 17 21 24 27 32 39
Glenavon 1370 21 23.20 -2.20 37.0% 13 17 20 23 26 29 34
Cliftonville 1336 19 22.21 -3.21 23.0% 7 14 20 22 25 28 30
Coleraine 1332 16 20.36 -4.36 18.0% 11 14 18 20 23 27 30
Ards 1317 13 19.00 -6.00 5.0% 10 12 17 19 21 25 32
Bangor 1241 11 15.58 -4.58 15.0% 6 10 13 16 18 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.23%
Clear Edge
51.65%15.93%32.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge
136 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
067.66400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Linfield, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.18 * Some Luck: 3.18 to 4.78 * Lucky: 4.78 to 6.37 * Wild Swing: 6.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.54 * Way Off: 2.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.12 points
Lucky
03.9810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Close
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Larne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.00%
Ards
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 186.55
2.32
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
86%
Wide Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.74
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.68
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield51.00%34.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%—————————
Derry City3.00%6.00%27.00%25.00%23.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Belfast Celtic41.00%38.00%13.00%7.00%1.00%—————————
Glentoran4.00%12.00%22.00%32.00%19.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Portadown—4.00%4.00%7.00%15.00%25.00%13.00%18.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%—2.00%—
Lisburn Distillery—6.00%17.00%20.00%23.00%14.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Larne—————3.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%
Glenavon———3.00%4.00%8.00%18.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%2.00%2.00%
Newry Town——2.00%1.00%—6.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%9.00%12.00%4.00%
Ballymena United1.00%—3.00%2.00%5.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%
Cliftonville————6.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%23.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%
Coleraine————3.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%20.00%10.00%8.00%
Ards——1.00%——2.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%16.00%19.00%25.00%13.00%
Bangor———————2.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%22.00%52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1934-08-18 Derry City L 1-550.1 1461 1514 48.44% 16.90% 34.67%+0.11 -44.7 0
1934-08-18 @ Bangor W 5-150.1 1514 1461 34.67% 16.90% 48.44%-0.11 +44.7 2
1934-08-18 Newry Town W 8-239.4 1612 1389 74.15% 16.26% 9.59%+2.15 +12.6 2
1934-08-18 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-839.4 1389 1612 9.59% 16.26% 74.15%-2.15 -12.6 0
1934-08-18 Linfield L 0-150.3 1449 1695 23.29% 16.65% 60.05%-1.32 -8.0 0
1934-08-18 @ Cliftonville W 1-050.3 1695 1449 60.05% 16.65% 23.29%+1.32 +8.0 2
1934-08-18 Glenavon W 2-147.9 1446 1467 52.50% 16.88% 30.62%+0.34 +9.6 2
1934-08-18 @ Coleraine L 1-247.9 1467 1446 30.62% 16.88% 52.50%-0.34 -9.6 0
1934-08-18 Ballymena United D 1-166.0 1570 1502 62.55% 16.75% 20.69%+1.00 -3.1 1
1934-08-18 @ Glentoran D 1-166.0 1502 1570 20.69% 16.75% 62.55%-1.00 +3.1 1
1934-08-18 Lisburn Distillery L 0-539.7 1394 1579 30.22% 16.79% 52.99%-0.87 -44.2 0
1934-08-18 @ Larne W 5-039.7 1579 1394 52.99% 16.79% 30.22%+0.87 +44.2 2
1934-08-18 Ards W 5-143.9 1439 1485 49.26% 16.89% 33.85%+0.16 +33.0 2
1934-08-18 @ Portadown L 1-543.9 1485 1439 33.85% 16.89% 49.26%-0.16 -33.0 0
1934-08-22 Coleraine W 3-145.3 1505 1455 60.68% 16.79% 22.53%+0.87 +12.7 3
1934-08-22 @ Ballymena United L 1-345.3 1455 1505 22.53% 16.79% 60.68%-0.87 -12.7 2
1934-08-22 Bangor D 1-158.9 1457 1417 59.69% 16.81% 23.50%+0.80 -2.6 1
1934-08-22 @ Glenavon D 1-158.9 1417 1457 23.50% 16.81% 59.69%-0.80 +2.6 1
1934-08-22 Glentoran W 1-050.5 1703 1567 68.45% 16.58% 14.97%+1.50 +5.3 4
1934-08-22 @ Linfield L 0-150.5 1567 1703 14.97% 16.58% 68.45%-1.50 -5.4 1
1934-08-22 Cliftonville W 2-146.9 1376 1441 46.76% 16.90% 36.34%+0.02 +11.1 2
1934-08-22 @ Newry Town L 1-246.9 1441 1376 36.34% 16.90% 46.76%-0.02 -11.1 0
1934-08-23 Larne L 1-255.3 1452 1349 65.76% 16.67% 17.57%+1.26 -19.0 0
1934-08-23 @ Ards W 2-155.3 1349 1452 17.57% 16.67% 65.76%-1.26 +18.9 2
1934-08-23 Portadown W 2-042.7 1558 1472 64.25% 16.72% 19.03%+1.13 +12.6 4
1934-08-23 @ Derry City L 0-242.7 1472 1558 19.03% 16.72% 64.25%-1.13 -12.6 2
1934-08-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-758.8 1623 1625 54.95% 16.86% 28.19%+0.49 -72.8 2
1934-08-23 @ Lisburn Distillery W 7-158.8 1625 1623 28.19% 16.86% 54.95%-0.49 +72.8 4
1934-08-25 Portadown L 1-252.7 1419 1460 50.00% 16.89% 33.10%+0.20 -14.5 1
1934-08-25 @ Bangor W 2-152.7 1460 1419 33.10% 16.89% 50.00%-0.20 +14.6 4
1934-08-25 Ards W 9-040.2 1697 1433 76.17% 16.07% 7.75%+2.45 +22.0 6
1934-08-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-940.2 1433 1697 7.75% 16.07% 76.17%-2.45 -22.0 0
1934-08-25 Lisburn Distillery D 1-162.6 1430 1551 38.77% 16.88% 44.36%-0.39 +0.4 1
1934-08-25 @ Cliftonville D 1-162.6 1551 1430 44.36% 16.88% 38.77%+0.39 -0.4 3
1934-08-25 Linfield D 1-168.5 1442 1708 21.33% 16.60% 62.08%-1.46 +3.0 3
1934-08-25 @ Coleraine D 1-168.5 1708 1442 62.08% 16.60% 21.33%+1.46 -3.0 5
1934-08-25 Ballymena United D 1-162.2 1454 1518 46.95% 16.90% 36.16%+0.03 -0.7 2
1934-08-25 @ Glenavon D 1-162.2 1518 1454 36.16% 16.90% 46.95%-0.03 +0.8 4
1934-08-25 Newry Town W 4-351.9 1562 1387 71.22% 16.45% 12.33%+1.79 +3.9 3
1934-08-25 @ Glentoran L 3-451.9 1387 1562 12.33% 16.45% 71.22%-1.79 -3.9 2
1934-08-25 Derry City D 1-161.1 1368 1571 28.16% 16.76% 55.08%-0.99 +1.9 3
1934-08-25 @ Larne D 1-161.1 1571 1368 55.08% 16.76% 28.16%+0.99 -1.9 5
1934-09-01 Cliftonville L 2-552.5 1411 1430 52.80% 16.88% 30.32%+0.36 -32.5 0
1934-09-01 @ Ards W 5-252.5 1430 1411 30.32% 16.88% 52.80%-0.36 +32.4 3
1934-09-01 Bangor W 4-140.2 1518 1405 66.68% 16.65% 16.68%+1.34 +13.7 6
1934-09-01 @ Ballymena United L 1-440.2 1405 1518 16.68% 16.65% 66.68%-1.34 -13.7 1
1934-09-01 Belfast Celtic W 2-164.4 1569 1719 34.74% 16.84% 48.42%-0.61 +14.1 7
1934-09-01 @ Derry City L 1-264.4 1719 1569 48.42% 16.84% 34.74%+0.61 -14.1 6
1934-09-01 Glenavon W 3-041.3 1705 1454 75.57% 16.13% 8.30%+2.35 +8.4 7
1934-09-01 @ Linfield L 0-341.3 1454 1705 8.30% 16.13% 75.57%-2.35 -8.4 2
1934-09-01 Glentoran W 2-049.0 1550 1565 53.23% 16.88% 29.89%+0.39 +18.8 5
1934-09-01 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-249.0 1565 1550 29.89% 16.88% 53.23%-0.39 -18.8 3
1934-09-01 Coleraine W 5-247.1 1383 1445 47.08% 16.90% 36.03%+0.04 +23.3 4
1934-09-01 @ Newry Town L 2-547.1 1445 1383 36.03% 16.90% 47.08%-0.04 -23.3 3
1934-09-01 Larne W 3-140.0 1474 1370 65.85% 16.67% 17.48%+1.27 +10.1 6
1934-09-01 @ Portadown L 1-340.0 1370 1474 17.48% 16.67% 65.85%-1.27 -10.1 3
1934-09-08 Linfield L 1-356.5 1532 1713 30.74% 16.80% 52.46%-0.84 -16.6 6
1934-09-08 @ Ballymena United W 3-156.5 1713 1532 52.46% 16.80% 30.74%+0.84 +16.6 9
1934-09-08 Larne D 2-260.1 1391 1360 58.65% 16.82% 24.53%+0.73 -1.8 2
1934-09-08 @ Bangor D 2-260.1 1360 1391 24.53% 16.82% 58.65%-0.73 +1.8 4
1934-09-08 Portadown D 1-169.6 1705 1484 74.02% 16.27% 9.71%+2.13 -5.0 7
1934-09-08 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-169.6 1484 1705 9.71% 16.27% 74.02%-2.13 +5.0 7
1934-09-08 Derry City W 2-156.9 1462 1583 38.83% 16.88% 44.29%-0.39 +13.1 5
1934-09-08 @ Cliftonville L 1-256.9 1583 1462 44.29% 16.88% 38.83%+0.39 -13.1 7
1934-09-08 Lisburn Distillery L 0-246.1 1422 1569 35.22% 16.85% 47.93%-0.58 -21.6 3
1934-09-08 @ Coleraine W 2-046.1 1569 1422 47.93% 16.85% 35.22%+0.58 +21.6 7
1934-09-08 Newry Town W 4-246.4 1445 1407 59.51% 16.81% 23.68%+0.78 +11.9 4
1934-09-08 @ Glenavon L 2-446.4 1407 1445 23.68% 16.81% 59.51%-0.78 -11.9 4
1934-09-08 Ards W 6-032.8 1547 1379 70.78% 16.47% 12.74%+1.74 +24.1 5
1934-09-08 @ Glentoran L 0-632.8 1379 1547 12.74% 16.47% 70.78%-1.74 -24.1 0
1934-09-15 Coleraine W 2-038.8 1355 1401 49.28% 16.89% 33.83%+0.16 +20.9 2
1934-09-15 @ Ards L 0-238.8 1401 1355 33.83% 16.89% 49.28%-0.16 -20.8 3
1934-09-15 Glentoran D 2-272.3 1570 1571 54.99% 16.86% 28.15%+0.49 -1.4 8
1934-09-15 @ Derry City D 2-272.3 1571 1570 28.15% 16.86% 54.99%-0.49 +1.4 6
1934-09-15 Belfast Celtic D 0-063.0 1362 1700 15.07% 16.34% 68.58%-2.00 +4.5 5
1934-09-15 @ Larne D 0-063.0 1700 1362 68.58% 16.34% 15.07%+2.00 -4.5 8
1934-09-15 Bangor W 7-140.3 1730 1389 79.17% 15.67% 5.16%+3.01 +8.3 11
1934-09-15 @ Linfield L 1-740.3 1389 1730 5.16% 15.67% 79.17%-3.01 -8.3 2
1934-09-15 Glenavon L 1-362.2 1591 1457 68.28% 16.59% 15.13%+1.48 -34.1 7
1934-09-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-162.2 1457 1591 15.13% 16.59% 68.28%-1.48 +34.1 6
1934-09-15 Ballymena United W 2-045.9 1395 1515 38.85% 16.88% 44.28%-0.39 +26.2 6
1934-09-15 @ Newry Town L 0-245.9 1515 1395 44.28% 16.88% 38.85%+0.39 -26.1 6
1934-09-15 Cliftonville W 4-251.0 1489 1475 56.72% 16.85% 26.43%+0.60 +13.1 9
1934-09-15 @ Portadown L 2-451.0 1475 1489 26.43% 16.85% 56.72%-0.60 -13.1 5
1934-09-22 Lisburn Distillery L 1-453.7 1489 1556 46.37% 16.90% 36.73%+0.00 -33.4 6
1934-09-22 @ Ballymena United W 4-153.7 1556 1489 36.73% 16.90% 46.37%+0.00 +33.3 9
1934-09-22 Belfast Celtic L 0-740.1 1381 1696 16.89% 16.43% 66.68%-1.82 -36.1 2
1934-09-22 @ Bangor W 7-040.1 1696 1381 66.68% 16.43% 16.89%+1.82 +36.1 10
1934-09-22 Larne D 2-261.8 1462 1367 65.14% 16.69% 18.17%+1.21 -2.6 6
1934-09-22 @ Cliftonville D 2-261.8 1367 1462 18.17% 16.69% 65.14%-1.21 +2.6 6
1934-09-22 Derry City L 1-347.0 1380 1569 29.81% 16.78% 53.41%-0.89 -16.2 3
1934-09-22 @ Coleraine W 3-147.0 1569 1380 53.41% 16.78% 29.81%+0.89 +16.2 10
1934-09-22 Ards W 1-038.7 1491 1376 66.86% 16.64% 16.51%+1.35 +5.9 8
1934-09-22 @ Glenavon L 0-138.7 1376 1491 16.51% 16.64% 66.86%-1.35 -5.9 2
1934-09-22 Portadown W 2-150.8 1572 1502 62.72% 16.75% 20.53%+1.02 +6.7 8
1934-09-22 @ Glentoran L 1-250.8 1502 1572 20.53% 16.75% 62.72%-1.02 -6.7 9
1934-09-22 Newry Town W 3-040.4 1738 1421 78.35% 15.80% 5.85%+2.84 +5.9 13
1934-09-22 @ Linfield L 0-340.4 1421 1738 5.85% 15.80% 78.35%-2.84 -5.9 6
1934-09-29 Ballymena United D 2-261.7 1370 1456 43.75% 16.89% 39.36%-0.14 -0.2 3
1934-09-29 @ Ards D 2-261.7 1456 1370 39.36% 16.89% 43.75%+0.14 +0.2 7
1934-09-29 Cliftonville W 6-247.8 1732 1460 76.54% 16.03% 7.43%+2.51 +6.9 12
1934-09-29 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-647.8 1460 1732 7.43% 16.03% 76.54%-2.51 -6.9 6
1934-09-29 Glenavon W 2-150.5 1585 1497 64.39% 16.71% 18.89%+1.15 +6.2 12
1934-09-29 @ Derry City L 1-250.5 1497 1585 18.89% 16.71% 64.39%-1.15 -6.2 8
1934-09-29 Glentoran L 0-438.4 1369 1579 27.29% 16.74% 55.97%-1.05 -32.8 6
1934-09-29 @ Larne W 4-038.4 1579 1369 55.97% 16.74% 27.29%+1.05 +32.8 10
1934-09-29 Linfield D 1-171.8 1590 1744 34.24% 16.84% 48.92%-0.64 +1.0 10
1934-09-29 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-171.8 1744 1590 48.92% 16.84% 34.24%+0.64 -1.0 14
1934-09-29 Bangor W 7-340.4 1415 1345 62.74% 16.75% 20.51%+1.02 +16.5 8
1934-09-29 @ Newry Town L 3-740.4 1345 1415 20.51% 16.75% 62.74%-1.02 -16.5 2
1934-09-29 Coleraine L 2-459.9 1496 1364 68.17% 16.59% 15.24%+1.47 -30.5 9
1934-09-29 @ Portadown W 4-259.9 1364 1496 15.24% 16.59% 68.17%-1.47 +30.5 5
1934-10-06 Derry City L 0-248.7 1456 1591 36.85% 16.86% 46.28%-0.50 -22.4 7
1934-10-06 @ Ballymena United W 2-048.7 1591 1456 46.28% 16.86% 36.85%+0.50 +22.4 14
1934-10-06 Cliftonville L 1-246.7 1328 1453 38.30% 16.87% 44.83%-0.42 -11.6 2
1934-10-06 @ Bangor W 2-146.7 1453 1328 44.83% 16.87% 38.30%+0.42 +11.6 8
1934-10-06 Larne L 3-461.0 1394 1336 61.50% 16.78% 21.73%+0.92 -16.4 5
1934-10-06 @ Coleraine W 4-361.0 1336 1394 21.73% 16.78% 61.50%-0.92 +16.4 8
1934-10-06 Portadown L 0-251.7 1491 1465 58.09% 16.83% 25.08%+0.69 -33.5 8
1934-10-06 @ Glenavon W 2-051.7 1465 1491 25.08% 16.83% 58.09%-0.69 +33.5 11
1934-10-06 Belfast Celtic W 3-268.6 1612 1739 37.94% 16.87% 45.19%-0.44 +12.6 12
1934-10-06 @ Glentoran L 2-368.6 1739 1612 45.19% 16.87% 37.94%+0.44 -12.6 12
1934-10-06 Ards W 6-036.7 1743 1369 80.20% 15.47% 4.32%+3.25 +8.4 16
1934-10-06 @ Linfield L 0-636.7 1369 1743 4.32% 15.47% 80.20%-3.25 -8.4 3
1934-10-06 Lisburn Distillery W 5-468.3 1431 1591 33.56% 16.83% 49.61%-0.68 +13.2 10
1934-10-06 @ Newry Town L 4-568.3 1591 1431 49.61% 16.83% 33.56%+0.68 -13.2 10
1934-10-13 Newry Town W 5-247.5 1361 1445 44.11% 16.90% 39.00%-0.12 +24.9 5
1934-10-13 @ Ards L 2-547.5 1445 1361 39.00% 16.90% 44.11%+0.12 -24.9 10
1934-10-13 Coleraine W 5-141.4 1726 1378 79.43% 15.62% 4.95%+3.07 +5.5 14
1934-10-13 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-541.4 1378 1726 4.95% 15.62% 79.43%-3.07 -5.5 5
1934-10-13 Glentoran W 3-264.5 1464 1624 33.48% 16.83% 49.69%-0.68 +13.7 10
1934-10-13 @ Cliftonville L 2-364.5 1624 1464 49.69% 16.83% 33.48%+0.68 -13.7 12
1934-10-13 Linfield L 1-261.6 1613 1751 36.42% 16.86% 46.72%-0.52 -11.1 14
1934-10-13 @ Derry City W 2-161.6 1751 1613 46.72% 16.86% 36.42%+0.52 +11.1 18
1934-10-13 Glenavon W 3-252.8 1353 1457 41.10% 16.89% 42.01%-0.27 +11.9 10
1934-10-13 @ Larne L 2-352.8 1457 1353 42.01% 16.89% 41.10%+0.27 -11.9 8
1934-10-13 Bangor D 0-057.0 1578 1317 76.03% 16.09% 7.89%+2.42 -5.9 11
1934-10-13 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-057.0 1317 1578 7.89% 16.09% 76.03%-2.42 +5.9 3
1934-10-13 Ballymena United L 0-252.1 1499 1434 62.23% 16.76% 21.01%+0.98 -35.8 11
1934-10-13 @ Portadown W 2-052.1 1434 1499 21.01% 16.76% 62.23%-0.98 +35.8 9
1934-10-27 Larne D 1-157.8 1469 1365 65.94% 16.67% 17.39%+1.27 -3.6 10
1934-10-27 @ Ballymena United D 1-157.8 1365 1469 17.39% 16.67% 65.94%-1.27 +3.6 11
1934-10-27 Glentoran L 2-741.1 1323 1611 19.20% 16.53% 64.28%-1.63 -20.5 3
1934-10-27 @ Bangor W 7-241.1 1611 1323 64.28% 16.53% 19.20%+1.63 +20.5 14
1934-10-27 Cliftonville W 3-147.6 1372 1478 40.91% 16.89% 42.21%-0.28 +21.8 7
1934-10-27 @ Coleraine L 1-347.6 1478 1372 42.21% 16.89% 40.91%+0.28 -21.8 10
1934-10-27 Belfast Celtic L 2-357.9 1446 1732 19.36% 16.53% 64.10%-1.61 -6.0 8
1934-10-27 @ Glenavon W 3-257.9 1732 1446 64.10% 16.53% 19.36%+1.61 +6.0 16
1934-10-27 Portadown W 3-148.5 1763 1463 77.69% 15.89% 6.42%+2.71 +3.9 20
1934-10-27 @ Linfield L 1-348.5 1463 1763 6.42% 15.89% 77.69%-2.71 -3.9 11
1934-10-27 Ards W 2-143.7 1572 1386 71.95% 16.41% 11.64%+1.87 +4.0 13
1934-10-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-243.7 1386 1572 11.64% 16.41% 71.95%-1.87 -4.0 5
1934-10-27 Derry City L 2-356.3 1420 1602 30.58% 16.80% 52.62%-0.85 -9.1 10
1934-10-27 @ Newry Town W 3-256.3 1602 1420 52.62% 16.80% 30.58%+0.85 +9.1 16
1934-11-03 Bangor W 8-132.3 1382 1302 63.67% 16.73% 19.60%+1.09 +34.2 7
1934-11-03 @ Ards L 1-832.3 1302 1382 19.60% 16.73% 63.67%-1.09 -34.2 3
1934-11-03 Ballymena United W 3-042.1 1738 1466 76.52% 16.03% 7.44%+2.50 +7.5 18
1934-11-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-342.1 1466 1738 7.44% 16.03% 76.52%-2.50 -7.5 10
1934-11-03 Glenavon L 1-451.5 1456 1439 57.08% 16.84% 26.08%+0.62 -40.3 10
1934-11-03 @ Cliftonville W 4-151.5 1439 1456 26.08% 16.84% 57.08%-0.62 +40.3 10
1934-11-03 Lisburn Distillery W 3-153.3 1611 1576 59.17% 16.81% 24.01%+0.76 +13.4 18
1934-11-03 @ Derry City L 1-353.3 1576 1611 24.01% 16.81% 59.17%-0.76 -13.4 13
1934-11-03 Coleraine W 2-145.3 1631 1394 74.88% 16.20% 8.92%+2.25 +3.1 16
1934-11-03 @ Glentoran L 1-245.3 1394 1631 8.92% 16.20% 74.88%-2.25 -3.1 7
1934-11-03 Linfield L 2-549.7 1368 1766 11.17% 16.08% 72.76%-2.44 -8.1 11
1934-11-03 @ Larne W 5-249.7 1766 1368 72.76% 16.08% 11.17%+2.44 +8.1 22
1934-11-03 Newry Town D 2-262.9 1459 1411 60.52% 16.79% 22.69%+0.85 -2.1 12
1934-11-03 @ Portadown D 2-262.9 1411 1459 22.69% 16.79% 60.52%-0.85 +2.0 11
1934-11-10 Derry City L 0-343.4 1416 1625 27.44% 16.74% 55.82%-1.04 -25.2 7
1934-11-10 @ Ards W 3-043.4 1625 1416 55.82% 16.74% 27.44%+1.04 +25.3 20
1934-11-10 Cliftonville W 5-139.1 1458 1416 59.89% 16.80% 23.30%+0.81 +23.9 12
1934-11-10 @ Ballymena United L 1-539.1 1416 1458 23.30% 16.80% 59.89%-0.81 -23.8 10
1934-11-10 Bangor D 0-052.1 1391 1268 67.43% 16.62% 15.95%+1.40 -4.3 8
1934-11-10 @ Coleraine D 0-052.1 1268 1391 15.95% 16.62% 67.43%-1.40 +4.3 4
1934-11-10 Glentoran D 2-271.5 1480 1634 34.21% 16.84% 48.95%-0.64 +0.8 11
1934-11-10 @ Glenavon D 2-271.5 1634 1480 48.95% 16.84% 34.21%+0.64 -0.8 17
1934-11-10 Belfast Celtic W 2-158.9 1774 1745 58.47% 16.82% 24.70%+0.71 +7.9 24
1934-11-10 @ Linfield L 1-258.9 1745 1774 24.70% 16.82% 58.47%-0.71 -7.9 18
1934-11-10 Portadown L 0-158.9 1562 1457 65.99% 16.67% 17.34%+1.28 -20.2 13
1934-11-10 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-058.9 1457 1562 17.34% 16.67% 65.99%-1.28 +20.2 14
1934-11-10 Larne W 4-137.8 1413 1360 60.97% 16.79% 22.24%+0.89 +17.7 13
1934-11-10 @ Newry Town L 1-437.8 1360 1413 22.24% 16.79% 60.97%-0.89 -17.7 11
1934-11-17 Portadown D 4-470.3 1391 1477 43.76% 16.89% 39.34%-0.14 -0.2 8
1934-11-17 @ Ards D 4-470.3 1477 1391 39.34% 16.89% 43.76%+0.14 +0.2 15
1934-11-17 Glentoran L 0-348.1 1482 1633 34.63% 16.84% 48.53%-0.62 -30.9 12
1934-11-17 @ Ballymena United W 3-048.1 1633 1482 48.53% 16.84% 34.63%+0.62 +30.9 19
1934-11-17 Bangor W 5-345.5 1650 1272 80.32% 15.45% 4.23%+3.28 +2.2 22
1934-11-17 @ Derry City L 3-545.5 1272 1650 4.23% 15.45% 80.32%-3.28 -2.2 4
1934-11-17 Coleraine W 4-245.2 1481 1386 64.99% 16.70% 18.32%+1.19 +9.4 13
1934-11-17 @ Glenavon L 2-445.2 1386 1481 18.32% 16.70% 64.99%-1.19 -9.4 8
1934-11-17 Cliftonville W 5-038.1 1782 1392 80.67% 15.37% 3.95%+3.38 +6.5 26
1934-11-17 @ Linfield L 0-538.1 1392 1782 3.95% 15.37% 80.67%-3.38 -6.5 10
1934-11-17 Larne W 1-037.4 1542 1342 72.81% 16.36% 10.84%+1.97 +3.9 15
1934-11-17 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-137.4 1342 1542 10.84% 16.36% 72.81%-1.97 -4.0 11
1934-11-17 Belfast Celtic L 2-552.7 1430 1737 17.55% 16.46% 65.99%-1.76 -12.3 13
1934-11-17 @ Newry Town W 5-252.7 1737 1430 65.99% 16.46% 17.55%+1.76 +12.3 20
1934-11-24 Glenavon L 0-532.3 1270 1490 26.15% 16.72% 57.13%-1.12 -39.0 4
1934-11-24 @ Bangor W 5-032.3 1490 1270 57.13% 16.72% 26.15%+1.12 +39.0 15
1934-11-24 Lisburn Distillery W 5-253.0 1750 1546 73.04% 16.34% 10.62%+2.00 +7.8 22
1934-11-24 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-553.0 1546 1750 10.62% 16.34% 73.04%-2.00 -7.8 15
1934-11-24 Newry Town W 3-249.7 1386 1418 51.06% 16.89% 32.06%+0.26 +9.5 12
1934-11-24 @ Cliftonville L 2-349.7 1418 1386 32.06% 16.89% 51.06%-0.26 -9.4 13
1934-11-24 Ballymena United W 2-147.6 1377 1451 45.42% 16.90% 37.69%-0.05 +11.4 10
1934-11-24 @ Coleraine L 1-247.6 1451 1377 37.69% 16.90% 45.42%+0.05 -11.4 12
1934-11-24 Linfield D 2-276.8 1664 1789 38.29% 16.87% 44.84%-0.42 +0.3 20
1934-11-24 @ Glentoran D 2-276.8 1789 1664 44.84% 16.87% 38.29%+0.42 -0.3 27
1934-11-24 Ards W 3-036.4 1338 1391 48.41% 16.90% 34.69%+0.11 +31.0 13
1934-11-24 @ Larne L 0-336.4 1391 1338 34.69% 16.90% 48.41%-0.11 -30.9 8
1934-11-24 Derry City L 0-152.4 1477 1652 31.53% 16.81% 51.66%-0.79 -10.4 15
1934-11-24 @ Portadown W 1-052.4 1652 1477 51.66% 16.81% 31.53%+0.79 +10.4 24
1934-12-01 Belfast Celtic L 1-445.4 1360 1757 11.20% 16.08% 72.72%-2.43 -9.3 8
1934-12-01 @ Ards W 4-145.4 1757 1360 72.72% 16.08% 11.20%+2.43 +9.3 24
1934-12-01 Glenavon W 5-147.3 1440 1529 43.33% 16.89% 39.78%-0.16 +37.8 14
1934-12-01 @ Ballymena United L 1-547.3 1529 1440 39.78% 16.89% 43.33%+0.16 -37.8 15
1934-12-01 Larne W 2-144.8 1663 1369 77.42% 15.93% 6.65%+2.66 +2.3 26
1934-12-01 @ Derry City L 1-244.8 1369 1663 6.65% 15.93% 77.42%-2.66 -2.3 13
1934-12-01 Coleraine W 5-248.4 1789 1388 80.94% 15.31% 3.75%+3.45 +2.8 29
1934-12-01 @ Linfield L 2-548.4 1388 1789 3.75% 15.31% 80.94%-3.45 -2.8 10
1934-12-01 Cliftonville L 0-156.6 1538 1395 69.02% 16.56% 14.42%+1.55 -21.1 15
1934-12-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-056.6 1395 1538 14.42% 16.56% 69.02%-1.55 +21.1 14
1934-12-01 Glentoran L 1-349.3 1409 1665 22.25% 16.63% 61.12%-1.39 -12.5 13
1934-12-01 @ Newry Town W 3-149.3 1665 1409 61.12% 16.63% 22.25%+1.39 +12.5 22
1934-12-01 Bangor D 3-363.8 1467 1231 74.79% 16.20% 9.01%+2.24 -3.2 16
1934-12-01 @ Portadown D 3-363.8 1231 1467 9.01% 16.20% 74.79%-2.24 +3.2 5
1934-12-08 Ballymena United D 4-467.1 1234 1478 23.58% 16.66% 59.76%-1.30 +1.4 6
1934-12-08 @ Bangor D 4-467.1 1478 1234 59.76% 16.66% 23.58%+1.30 -1.4 15
1934-12-08 Derry City W 4-152.6 1767 1665 65.68% 16.68% 17.65%+1.25 +14.4 26
1934-12-08 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-452.6 1665 1767 17.65% 16.68% 65.68%-1.25 -14.4 26
1934-12-08 Ards W 8-235.9 1416 1351 62.32% 16.76% 20.92%+0.98 +26.0 16
1934-12-08 @ Cliftonville L 2-835.9 1351 1416 20.92% 16.76% 62.32%-0.98 -26.0 8
1934-12-08 Newry Town W 4-140.1 1386 1396 53.83% 16.87% 29.30%+0.42 +22.6 12
1934-12-08 @ Coleraine L 1-440.1 1396 1386 29.30% 16.87% 53.83%-0.42 -22.6 13
1934-12-08 Linfield L 1-353.2 1491 1791 18.12% 16.49% 65.39%-1.72 -10.4 15
1934-12-08 @ Glenavon W 3-153.2 1791 1491 65.39% 16.49% 18.12%+1.72 +10.4 31
1934-12-08 Lisburn Distillery L 1-367.2 1677 1517 70.24% 16.50% 13.26%+1.68 -35.1 22
1934-12-08 @ Glentoran W 3-167.2 1517 1677 13.26% 16.50% 70.24%-1.68 +35.1 17
1934-12-08 Portadown L 1-249.0 1367 1464 42.28% 16.89% 40.83%-0.21 -12.6 13
1934-12-08 @ Larne W 2-149.0 1464 1367 40.83% 16.89% 42.28%+0.21 +12.6 18
1934-12-15 Glentoran L 3-453.9 1325 1642 16.67% 16.42% 66.90%-1.84 -5.1 8
1934-12-15 @ Ards W 4-353.9 1642 1325 66.90% 16.42% 16.67%+1.84 +5.1 24
1934-12-15 Cliftonville W 3-040.0 1651 1442 73.30% 16.32% 10.37%+2.03 +10.4 28
1934-12-15 @ Derry City L 0-340.0 1442 1651 10.37% 16.32% 73.30%-2.03 -10.4 16
1934-12-15 Bangor W 3-029.4 1355 1236 67.10% 16.63% 16.27%+1.37 +15.8 15
1934-12-15 @ Larne L 0-329.4 1236 1355 16.27% 16.63% 67.10%-1.37 -15.8 6
1934-12-15 Ballymena United W 6-040.9 1802 1476 78.65% 15.75% 5.60%+2.90 +10.9 33
1934-12-15 @ Linfield L 0-640.9 1476 1802 5.60% 15.75% 78.65%-2.90 -10.9 15
1934-12-15 Coleraine W 3-142.8 1552 1408 69.09% 16.55% 14.36%+1.56 +8.4 19
1934-12-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-342.8 1408 1552 14.36% 16.55% 69.09%-1.56 -8.4 12
1934-12-15 Glenavon W 8-040.7 1374 1481 40.73% 16.89% 42.38%-0.29 +92.0 15
1934-12-15 @ Newry Town L 0-840.7 1481 1374 42.38% 16.89% 40.73%+0.29 -92.0 15
1934-12-15 Belfast Celtic W 4-165.2 1476 1781 17.71% 16.47% 65.82%-1.75 +46.4 20
1934-12-15 @ Portadown L 1-465.2 1781 1476 65.82% 16.47% 17.71%+1.75 -46.4 26
1934-12-22 Newry Town W 5-247.9 1465 1466 55.07% 16.86% 28.07%+0.50 +18.8 17
1934-12-22 @ Ballymena United L 2-547.9 1466 1465 28.07% 16.86% 55.07%-0.50 -18.8 15
1934-12-22 Linfield L 0-434.0 1220 1813 4.01% 14.93% 81.06%-3.87 -5.3 6
1934-12-22 @ Bangor W 4-034.0 1813 1220 81.06% 14.93% 4.01%+3.87 +5.3 35
1934-12-22 Larne L 2-373.7 1735 1370 79.93% 15.53% 4.54%+3.19 -22.0 26
1934-12-22 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-273.7 1370 1735 4.54% 15.53% 79.93%-3.19 +22.0 17
1934-12-22 Portadown L 0-542.9 1432 1523 43.12% 16.89% 39.99%-0.17 -59.8 16
1934-12-22 @ Cliftonville W 5-042.9 1523 1432 39.99% 16.89% 43.12%+0.17 +59.8 22
1934-12-22 Ards W 3-031.6 1400 1319 63.74% 16.73% 19.53%+1.09 +18.7 14
1934-12-22 @ Coleraine L 0-331.6 1319 1400 19.53% 16.73% 63.74%-1.09 -18.7 8
1934-12-22 Lisburn Distillery D 2-265.6 1389 1561 31.92% 16.81% 51.27%-0.77 +1.0 16
1934-12-22 @ Glenavon D 2-265.6 1561 1389 51.27% 16.81% 31.92%+0.77 -1.0 20
1934-12-22 Derry City W 2-159.0 1647 1661 53.42% 16.87% 29.70%+0.40 +9.3 26
1934-12-22 @ Glentoran L 1-259.0 1661 1647 29.70% 16.87% 53.42%-0.40 -9.3 28
1934-12-25 Glenavon D 2-259.2 1301 1390 43.33% 16.89% 39.78%-0.16 -0.2 9
1934-12-25 @ Ards D 2-259.2 1390 1301 39.78% 16.89% 43.33%+0.16 +0.2 17
1934-12-25 Bangor W 8-132.1 1713 1215 83.16% 14.64% 2.20%+4.17 +4.0 28
1934-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-832.1 1215 1713 2.20% 14.64% 83.16%-4.17 -4.0 6
1934-12-25 Coleraine W 5-247.1 1652 1419 74.66% 16.22% 9.13%+2.22 +6.7 30
1934-12-25 @ Derry City L 2-547.1 1419 1652 9.13% 16.22% 74.66%-2.22 -6.7 14
1934-12-25 Cliftonville W 4-245.0 1392 1372 57.46% 16.84% 25.70%+0.65 +12.7 19
1934-12-25 @ Larne L 2-445.0 1372 1392 25.70% 16.84% 57.46%-0.65 -12.7 16
1934-12-25 Ballymena United W 3-253.9 1560 1484 63.26% 16.74% 20.00%+1.06 +6.2 22
1934-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-353.9 1484 1560 20.00% 16.74% 63.26%-1.06 -6.2 17
1934-12-25 Linfield W 2-170.6 1447 1818 12.81% 16.20% 70.99%-2.24 +20.5 17
1934-12-25 @ Newry Town L 1-270.6 1818 1447 70.99% 16.20% 12.81%+2.24 -20.5 35
1934-12-25 Glentoran W 3-158.5 1582 1657 45.42% 16.90% 37.69%-0.05 +19.8 24
1934-12-25 @ Portadown L 1-358.5 1657 1582 37.69% 16.90% 45.42%+0.05 -19.8 26
1934-12-26 Ards W 5-133.2 1478 1301 71.42% 16.44% 12.14%+1.81 +13.1 19
1934-12-26 @ Ballymena United L 1-533.2 1301 1478 12.14% 16.44% 71.42%-1.81 -13.1 9
1934-12-26 Newry Town L 0-331.9 1211 1467 22.21% 16.62% 61.16%-1.39 -20.9 6
1934-12-26 @ Bangor W 3-031.9 1467 1211 61.16% 16.62% 22.21%+1.39 +20.9 19
1934-12-26 Belfast Celtic L 1-444.8 1359 1717 13.71% 16.26% 70.02%-2.14 -11.3 16
1934-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 4-144.8 1717 1359 70.02% 16.26% 13.71%+2.14 +11.3 30
1934-12-26 Portadown L 2-453.8 1412 1602 29.64% 16.78% 53.58%-0.90 -14.4 14
1934-12-26 @ Coleraine W 4-253.8 1602 1412 53.58% 16.78% 29.64%+0.90 +14.4 26
1934-12-26 Derry City L 0-146.4 1390 1658 21.04% 16.59% 62.37%-1.48 -7.3 17
1934-12-26 @ Glenavon W 1-046.4 1658 1390 62.37% 16.59% 21.04%+1.48 +7.3 32
1934-12-26 Larne W 4-142.2 1637 1405 74.59% 16.22% 9.19%+2.21 +7.8 28
1934-12-26 @ Glentoran L 1-442.2 1405 1637 9.19% 16.22% 74.59%-2.21 -7.8 19
1934-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 2-153.2 1797 1566 74.58% 16.22% 9.20%+2.21 +3.2 37
1934-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-253.2 1566 1797 9.20% 16.22% 74.58%-2.21 -3.2 22
1934-12-29 Linfield L 0-436.8 1287 1801 6.14% 15.45% 78.42%-3.29 -8.0 9
1934-12-29 @ Ards W 4-036.8 1801 1287 78.42% 15.45% 6.14%+3.29 +8.0 39
1934-12-29 Glentoran W 3-154.6 1728 1645 64.03% 16.72% 19.25%+1.12 +11.0 32
1934-12-29 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-354.6 1645 1728 19.25% 16.72% 64.03%-1.12 -11.0 28
1934-12-29 Bangor D 0-051.3 1348 1190 70.12% 16.51% 13.37%+1.67 -4.8 17
1934-12-29 @ Cliftonville D 0-051.3 1190 1348 13.37% 16.51% 70.12%-1.67 +4.8 7
1934-12-29 Ballymena United W 7-350.3 1666 1491 71.22% 16.45% 12.33%+1.79 +10.3 34
1934-12-29 @ Derry City L 3-750.3 1491 1666 12.33% 16.45% 71.22%-1.79 -10.3 19
1934-12-29 Coleraine W 3-248.3 1397 1398 55.07% 16.86% 28.07%+0.50 +8.4 21
1934-12-29 @ Larne L 2-348.3 1398 1397 28.07% 16.86% 55.07%-0.50 -8.4 14
1934-12-29 Newry Town W 2-149.8 1563 1488 63.18% 16.74% 20.08%+1.05 +6.6 24
1934-12-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-249.8 1488 1563 20.08% 16.74% 63.18%-1.05 -6.6 19
1934-12-29 Glenavon D 1-163.5 1616 1383 74.70% 16.21% 9.08%+2.22 -5.1 27
1934-12-29 @ Portadown D 1-163.5 1383 1616 9.08% 16.21% 74.70%-2.22 +5.1 18
1935-01-05 Portadown L 1-354.6 1481 1611 37.44% 16.87% 45.69%-0.46 -19.7 19
1935-01-05 @ Ballymena United W 3-154.6 1611 1481 45.69% 16.87% 37.44%+0.46 +19.7 29
1935-01-05 Lisburn Distillery W 3-260.4 1195 1569 12.57% 16.19% 71.24%-2.27 +19.5 9
1935-01-05 @ Bangor L 2-360.4 1569 1195 71.24% 16.19% 12.57%+2.27 -19.5 24
1935-01-05 Belfast Celtic L 1-250.5 1389 1739 14.22% 16.29% 69.48%-2.08 -4.8 14
1935-01-05 @ Coleraine W 2-150.5 1739 1389 69.48% 16.29% 14.22%+2.08 +4.8 34
1935-01-05 Larne L 1-349.4 1388 1406 52.88% 16.88% 30.24%+0.37 -26.5 18
1935-01-05 @ Glenavon W 3-149.4 1406 1388 30.24% 16.88% 52.88%-0.37 +26.5 23
1935-01-05 Cliftonville W 4-139.0 1634 1343 77.30% 15.94% 6.75%+2.64 +5.8 30
1935-01-05 @ Glentoran L 1-439.0 1343 1634 6.75% 15.94% 77.30%-2.64 -5.8 17
1935-01-05 Derry City D 0-070.1 1809 1676 68.23% 16.59% 15.18%+1.48 -4.5 40
1935-01-05 @ Linfield D 0-070.1 1676 1809 15.18% 16.59% 68.23%-1.48 +4.5 35
1935-01-05 Ards L 2-360.9 1482 1279 72.95% 16.35% 10.70%+1.99 -20.0 19
1935-01-05 @ Newry Town W 3-260.9 1279 1482 10.70% 16.35% 72.95%-1.99 +20.0 11
1935-01-12 Lisburn Distillery L 1-341.7 1299 1550 22.82% 16.64% 60.54%-1.35 -12.8 11
1935-01-12 @ Ards W 3-141.7 1550 1299 60.54% 16.64% 22.82%+1.35 +12.8 26
1935-01-12 Glenavon D 1-167.5 1744 1361 80.46% 15.42% 4.12%+3.32 -6.0 35
1935-01-12 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-167.5 1361 1744 4.12% 15.42% 80.46%-3.32 +6.0 19
1935-01-12 Coleraine L 1-347.0 1338 1384 49.16% 16.89% 33.95%+0.15 -24.8 17
1935-01-12 @ Cliftonville W 3-147.0 1384 1338 33.95% 16.89% 49.16%-0.15 +24.8 16
1935-01-12 Newry Town W 3-041.3 1680 1461 73.90% 16.28% 9.82%+2.11 +9.8 37
1935-01-12 @ Derry City L 0-341.3 1461 1680 9.82% 16.28% 73.90%-2.11 -9.8 19
1935-01-12 Bangor W 5-343.0 1639 1214 81.58% 15.15% 3.27%+3.64 +1.7 32
1935-01-12 @ Glentoran L 3-543.0 1214 1639 3.27% 15.15% 81.58%-3.64 -1.7 9
1935-01-12 Ballymena United W 4-037.9 1432 1461 51.50% 16.89% 31.61%+0.29 +37.3 25
1935-01-12 @ Larne L 0-437.9 1461 1432 31.61% 16.89% 51.50%-0.29 -37.3 19
1935-01-12 Linfield L 0-254.7 1631 1804 31.79% 16.81% 51.40%-0.78 -19.8 29
1935-01-12 @ Portadown W 2-054.7 1804 1631 51.40% 16.81% 31.79%+0.78 +19.8 42
1935-01-26 Belfast Celtic L 0-344.0 1424 1738 16.95% 16.44% 66.61%-1.82 -16.4 19
1935-01-26 @ Ballymena United W 3-044.0 1738 1424 66.61% 16.44% 16.95%+1.82 +16.4 37
1935-01-26 Ards L 1-442.2 1212 1287 45.42% 16.90% 37.68%-0.05 -32.8 9
1935-01-26 @ Bangor W 4-142.2 1287 1212 37.68% 16.90% 45.42%+0.05 +32.8 13
1935-01-26 Glentoran L 0-245.1 1409 1641 24.80% 16.69% 58.51%-1.21 -15.9 16
1935-01-26 @ Coleraine W 2-045.1 1641 1409 58.51% 16.69% 24.80%+1.21 +15.9 34
1935-01-26 Cliftonville W 2-140.2 1367 1313 61.18% 16.78% 22.04%+0.90 +7.2 21
1935-01-26 @ Glenavon L 1-240.2 1313 1367 22.04% 16.78% 61.18%-0.90 -7.2 17
1935-01-26 Larne W 2-151.0 1824 1470 79.61% 15.59% 4.80%+3.11 +1.7 44
1935-01-26 @ Linfield L 1-251.0 1470 1824 4.80% 15.59% 79.61%-3.11 -1.7 25
1935-01-26 Derry City D 1-170.7 1563 1690 37.89% 16.87% 45.24%-0.44 +0.5 27
1935-01-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-170.7 1690 1563 45.24% 16.87% 37.89%+0.44 -0.5 38
1935-01-26 Portadown L 0-248.3 1452 1611 33.52% 16.83% 49.65%-0.68 -20.7 19
1935-01-26 @ Newry Town W 2-048.3 1611 1452 49.65% 16.83% 33.52%+0.68 +20.7 31
1935-02-02 Coleraine W 4-039.8 1180 1393 26.86% 16.73% 56.41%-1.08 +61.7 11
1935-02-02 @ Bangor L 0-439.8 1393 1180 56.41% 16.73% 26.86%+1.08 -61.7 16
1935-02-02 Linfield L 1-265.4 1754 1826 45.82% 16.90% 37.28%-0.03 -13.5 37
1935-02-02 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-165.4 1826 1754 37.28% 16.90% 45.82%+0.03 +13.5 46
1935-02-02 Ballymena United W 4-142.7 1306 1407 41.50% 16.89% 41.61%-0.25 +30.4 19
1935-02-02 @ Cliftonville L 1-442.7 1407 1306 41.61% 16.89% 41.50%+0.25 -30.4 19
1935-02-02 Ards W 4-245.6 1690 1319 80.10% 15.49% 4.40%+3.23 +2.4 40
1935-02-02 @ Derry City L 2-445.6 1319 1690 4.40% 15.49% 80.10%-3.23 -2.4 13
1935-02-02 Glenavon W 3-143.0 1657 1374 76.98% 15.98% 7.04%+2.58 +4.2 36
1935-02-02 @ Glentoran L 1-343.0 1374 1657 7.04% 15.98% 76.98%-2.58 -4.2 21
1935-02-02 Newry Town W 2-145.4 1468 1431 59.32% 16.81% 23.87%+0.77 +7.7 27
1935-02-02 @ Larne L 1-245.4 1431 1468 23.87% 16.81% 59.32%-0.77 -7.7 19
1935-02-02 Lisburn Distillery W 1-050.8 1632 1563 62.61% 16.75% 20.63%+1.01 +7.2 33
1935-02-02 @ Portadown L 0-150.8 1563 1632 20.63% 16.75% 62.61%-1.01 -7.2 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1934-12-22 4.54% Larne 1370 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1735 2
2 1935-01-05 10.70% Ards 1279 3 @ Newry Town 1482 2
3 1935-01-05 12.57% @ Bangor 1195 3 Lisburn Distillery 1569 2
4 1934-12-25 12.81% @ Newry Town 1447 2 Linfield 1818 1
5 1934-12-08 13.26% Lisburn Distillery 1517 3 @ Glentoran 1677 1
6 1934-12-01 14.42% Cliftonville 1395 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1538 0
7 1934-09-15 15.13% Glenavon 1457 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1591 1
8 1934-09-29 15.24% Coleraine 1364 4 @ Portadown 1496 2
9 1934-11-10 17.34% Portadown 1457 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1562 0
10 1934-08-23 17.57% Larne 1349 2 @ Ards 1452 1
11 1934-12-15 17.71% @ Portadown 1476 4 Belfast Celtic 1781 1
12 1934-10-13 21.01% Ballymena United 1434 2 @ Portadown 1499 0
13 1934-10-06 21.73% Larne 1336 4 @ Coleraine 1394 3
14 1934-10-06 25.08% Portadown 1465 2 @ Glenavon 1491 0
15 1934-11-03 26.08% Glenavon 1439 4 @ Cliftonville 1456 1
16 1935-02-02 26.86% @ Bangor 1180 4 Coleraine 1393 0
17 1934-08-23 28.19% Belfast Celtic 1625 7 @ Lisburn Distillery 1623 1
18 1935-01-05 30.24% Larne 1406 3 @ Glenavon 1388 1
19 1934-09-01 30.32% Cliftonville 1430 5 @ Ards 1411 2
20 1934-08-25 33.10% Portadown 1460 2 @ Bangor 1419 1
21 1934-10-13 33.48% @ Cliftonville 1464 3 Glentoran 1624 2
22 1934-10-06 33.56% @ Newry Town 1431 5 Lisburn Distillery 1591 4
23 1935-01-12 33.95% Coleraine 1384 3 @ Cliftonville 1338 1
24 1934-08-18 34.67% Derry City 1514 5 @ Bangor 1461 1
25 1934-09-01 34.74% @ Derry City 1569 2 Belfast Celtic 1719 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1934-12-15 92.02 @ Newry Town 8 1374 40.73% Glenavon 0 1481 42.38% 16.89%
2 1934-08-23 72.76 Belfast Celtic 7 1625 28.19% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1623 54.95% 16.86%
3 1935-02-02 61.70 @ Bangor 4 1180 26.86% Coleraine 0 1393 56.41% 16.73%
4 1934-12-22 59.80 Portadown 5 1523 39.99% @ Cliftonville 0 1432 43.12% 16.89%
5 1934-12-15 46.36 @ Portadown 4 1476 17.71% Belfast Celtic 1 1781 65.82% 16.47%
6 1934-08-18 44.73 Derry City 5 1514 34.67% @ Bangor 1 1461 48.44% 16.90%
7 1934-08-18 44.23 Lisburn Distillery 5 1579 52.99% @ Larne 0 1394 30.22% 16.79%
8 1934-11-03 40.33 Glenavon 4 1439 26.08% @ Cliftonville 1 1456 57.08% 16.84%
9 1934-11-24 38.97 Glenavon 5 1490 57.13% @ Bangor 0 1270 26.15% 16.72%
10 1934-12-01 37.80 @ Ballymena United 5 1440 43.33% Glenavon 1 1529 39.78% 16.89%
11 1935-01-12 37.34 @ Larne 4 1432 51.50% Ballymena United 0 1461 31.61% 16.89%
12 1934-09-22 36.11 Belfast Celtic 7 1696 66.68% @ Bangor 0 1381 16.89% 16.43%
13 1934-10-13 35.84 Ballymena United 2 1434 21.01% @ Portadown 0 1499 62.23% 16.76%
14 1934-12-08 35.14 Lisburn Distillery 3 1517 13.26% @ Glentoran 1 1677 70.24% 16.50%
15 1934-11-03 34.17 @ Ards 8 1382 63.67% Bangor 1 1302 19.60% 16.73%
16 1934-09-15 34.12 Glenavon 3 1457 15.13% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1591 68.28% 16.59%
17 1934-10-06 33.49 Portadown 2 1465 25.08% @ Glenavon 0 1491 58.09% 16.83%
18 1934-09-22 33.35 Lisburn Distillery 4 1556 36.73% @ Ballymena United 1 1489 46.37% 16.90%
19 1934-08-18 32.99 @ Portadown 5 1439 49.26% Ards 1 1485 33.85% 16.89%
20 1934-09-29 32.84 Glentoran 4 1579 55.97% @ Larne 0 1369 27.29% 16.74%
21 1935-01-26 32.75 Ards 4 1287 37.68% @ Bangor 1 1212 45.42% 16.90%
22 1934-09-01 32.45 Cliftonville 5 1430 30.32% @ Ards 2 1411 52.80% 16.88%
23 1934-11-24 30.95 @ Larne 3 1338 48.41% Ards 0 1391 34.69% 16.90%
24 1934-11-17 30.88 Glentoran 3 1633 48.53% @ Ballymena United 0 1482 34.63% 16.84%
25 1934-09-29 30.47 Coleraine 4 1364 15.24% @ Portadown 2 1496 68.17% 16.59%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1934-11-24 76.8 @ Glentoran 2 1664 38.29% Linfield 2 1789 44.84% 16.87%
2 1934-12-22 73.7 Larne 3 1370 4.54% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1735 79.93% 15.53%
3 1934-09-15 72.3 @ Derry City 2 1570 54.99% Glentoran 2 1571 28.15% 16.86%
4 1934-09-29 71.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1590 34.24% Linfield 1 1744 48.92% 16.84%
5 1934-11-10 71.5 @ Glenavon 2 1480 34.21% Glentoran 2 1634 48.95% 16.84%
6 1935-01-26 70.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1563 37.89% Derry City 1 1690 45.24% 16.87%
7 1934-12-25 70.6 @ Newry Town 2 1447 12.81% Linfield 1 1818 70.99% 16.20%
8 1934-11-17 70.3 @ Ards 4 1391 43.76% Portadown 4 1477 39.34% 16.89%
9 1935-01-05 70.1 @ Linfield 0 1809 68.23% Derry City 0 1676 15.18% 16.59%
10 1934-09-08 69.6 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1705 74.02% Portadown 1 1484 9.71% 16.27%
11 1934-10-06 68.6 @ Glentoran 3 1612 37.94% Belfast Celtic 2 1739 45.19% 16.87%
12 1934-08-25 68.5 @ Coleraine 1 1442 21.33% Linfield 1 1708 62.08% 16.60%
13 1934-10-06 68.3 @ Newry Town 5 1431 33.56% Lisburn Distillery 4 1591 49.61% 16.83%
14 1935-01-12 67.5 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1744 80.46% Glenavon 1 1361 4.12% 15.42%
15 1934-12-08 67.2 Lisburn Distillery 3 1517 13.26% @ Glentoran 1 1677 70.24% 16.50%
16 1934-12-08 67.1 @ Bangor 4 1234 23.58% Ballymena United 4 1478 59.76% 16.66%
17 1934-08-18 66.0 @ Glentoran 1 1570 62.55% Ballymena United 1 1502 20.69% 16.75%
18 1934-12-22 65.6 @ Glenavon 2 1389 31.92% Lisburn Distillery 2 1561 51.27% 16.81%
19 1935-02-02 65.4 Linfield 2 1826 37.28% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1754 45.82% 16.90%
20 1934-12-15 65.2 @ Portadown 4 1476 17.71% Belfast Celtic 1 1781 65.82% 16.47%
21 1934-10-13 64.5 @ Cliftonville 3 1464 33.48% Glentoran 2 1624 49.69% 16.83%
22 1934-09-01 64.4 @ Derry City 2 1569 34.74% Belfast Celtic 1 1719 48.42% 16.84%
23 1934-12-01 63.8 @ Portadown 3 1467 74.79% Bangor 3 1231 9.01% 16.20%
24 1934-12-29 63.5 @ Portadown 1 1616 74.70% Glenavon 1 1383 9.08% 16.21%
25 1934-09-15 63.0 @ Larne 0 1362 15.07% Belfast Celtic 0 1700 68.58% 16.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1934-12-15 29.4 @ Larne 3 1355 67.10% Bangor 0 1236 16.27% 16.63%
2 1934-12-22 31.6 @ Coleraine 3 1400 63.74% Ards 0 1319 19.53% 16.73%
3 1934-12-26 31.9 Newry Town 3 1467 61.16% @ Bangor 0 1211 22.21% 16.62%
4 1934-12-25 32.1 @ Belfast Celtic 8 1713 83.16% Bangor 1 1215 2.20% 14.64%
5 1934-11-03 32.3 @ Ards 8 1382 63.67% Bangor 1 1302 19.60% 16.73%
6 1934-11-24 32.3 Glenavon 5 1490 57.13% @ Bangor 0 1270 26.15% 16.72%
7 1934-09-08 32.8 @ Glentoran 6 1547 70.78% Ards 0 1379 12.74% 16.47%
8 1934-12-26 33.2 @ Ballymena United 5 1478 71.42% Ards 1 1301 12.14% 16.44%
9 1934-12-22 34.0 Linfield 4 1813 81.06% @ Bangor 0 1220 4.01% 14.93%
10 1934-12-08 35.9 @ Cliftonville 8 1416 62.32% Ards 2 1351 20.92% 16.76%
11 1934-11-24 36.4 @ Larne 3 1338 48.41% Ards 0 1391 34.69% 16.90%
12 1934-10-06 36.7 @ Linfield 6 1743 80.20% Ards 0 1369 4.32% 15.47%
13 1934-12-29 36.8 Linfield 4 1801 78.42% @ Ards 0 1287 6.14% 15.45%
14 1934-11-17 37.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1542 72.81% Larne 0 1342 10.84% 16.36%
15 1934-11-10 37.8 @ Newry Town 4 1413 60.97% Larne 1 1360 22.24% 16.79%
16 1935-01-12 37.9 @ Larne 4 1432 51.50% Ballymena United 0 1461 31.61% 16.89%
17 1934-11-17 38.1 @ Linfield 5 1782 80.67% Cliftonville 0 1392 3.95% 15.37%
18 1934-09-29 38.4 Glentoran 4 1579 55.97% @ Larne 0 1369 27.29% 16.74%
19 1934-09-22 38.7 @ Glenavon 1 1491 66.86% Ards 0 1376 16.51% 16.64%
20 1934-09-15 38.8 @ Ards 2 1355 49.28% Coleraine 0 1401 33.83% 16.89%
21 1935-01-05 39.0 @ Glentoran 4 1634 77.30% Cliftonville 1 1343 6.75% 15.94%
22 1934-11-10 39.1 @ Ballymena United 5 1458 59.89% Cliftonville 1 1416 23.30% 16.80%
23 1934-08-18 39.4 @ Belfast Celtic 8 1612 74.15% Newry Town 2 1389 9.59% 16.26%
24 1934-08-18 39.7 Lisburn Distillery 5 1579 52.99% @ Larne 0 1394 30.22% 16.79%
25 1935-02-02 39.8 @ Bangor 4 1180 26.86% Coleraine 0 1393 56.41% 16.73%