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1935-36 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Newry Town

6.83 points above expected

33 points · 26.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Portadown

6.78 points below expected

23 points · 29.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 20 3 3 43 66 23 +43 37.26 +5.74
2 Derry City 26 18 5 3 41 71 36 +35 35.02 +5.98
3 Linfield 26 17 4 5 38 72 28 +44 38.97 -0.97
4 Newry Town 26 14 5 7 33 80 50 +30 26.17 +6.83
5 Glentoran 26 12 3 11 27 57 50 +7 33.51 -6.51
6 Lisburn Distillery 26 11 5 10 27 51 52 -1 26.12 +0.88
7 Larne 26 11 4 11 26 49 65 -16 25.80 +0.20
8 Portadown 26 9 5 12 23 53 58 -5 29.78 -6.78
9 Cliftonville 26 9 5 12 23 49 61 -12 20.05 +2.95
10 Ballymena United 26 7 5 14 19 41 59 -18 21.62 -2.62
11 Bangor 26 8 3 15 19 47 72 -25 16.47 +2.53
12 Glenavon 26 6 5 15 17 40 56 -16 19.09 -2.09
13 Coleraine 26 5 5 16 15 28 44 -16 18.29 -3.29
14 Ards 26 5 3 18 13 44 94 -50 15.85 -2.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newry Town 33 26.17 +6.83
2 Derry City 41 35.02 +5.98
3 Belfast Celtic 43 37.26 +5.74
4 Cliftonville 23 20.05 +2.95
5 Bangor 19 16.47 +2.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 23 29.78 -6.78
2 Glentoran 27 33.51 -6.51
3 Coleraine 15 18.29 -3.29
4 Ards 13 15.85 -2.85
5 Ballymena United 19 21.62 -2.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 4 Dec 28 – Jan 25 1 in 146
2 Bangor 3 Dec 26 – Jan 4 1 in 94
3 Glentoran 6 Nov 2 – Dec 7 1 in 45
4 Derry City 7 Aug 21 – Sep 28 1 in 38
5 Larne 3 Sep 7 – Sep 21 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 5 Dec 14 – Dec 28 1 in 341
2 Lisburn Distillery 3 Aug 17 – Aug 24 1 in 65
3 Bangor 7 Aug 21 – Sep 28 1 in 59
4 Glenavon 6 Aug 24 – Sep 28 1 in 24
5 Larne 4 Dec 7 – Dec 25 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 4 Nov 23 – Dec 14 1 in 50
2 Belfast Celtic 14 Nov 2 – Jan 25 1 in 32
3 Derry City 11 Aug 21 – Nov 2 1 in 26
4 Glentoran 8 Oct 12 – Dec 7 1 in 19
5 Coleraine 4 Dec 28 – Jan 25 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 10 Nov 30 – Jan 25 1 in 920
2 Ballymena United 13 Nov 9 – Jan 25 1 in 135
3 Glentoran 6 Dec 14 – Jan 4 1 in 102
4 Coleraine 13 Oct 5 – Dec 26 1 in 70
5 Linfield 3 Nov 16 – Nov 30 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1743 43 +7 7 7.1 -0.1
Derry City 1700 41 -9 7 7.0 -0.0
Linfield 1765 38 +31 10 8.2 +1.8
Newry Town 1593 33 +22 4 4.3 -0.3
Lisburn Distillery 1518 27 +5 4 3.7 +0.3
Glentoran 1572 27 -37 3 7.3 -4.3
Larne 1445 26 -13 4 4.2 -0.2
Cliftonville 1403 23 +3 5 4.4 +0.6
Portadown 1487 23 -26 3 5.0 -2.0
Bangor 1329 19 +4 5 3.1 +1.9
Ballymena United 1385 19 -22 3 4.9 -1.9
Glenavon 1397 17 +0 5 4.3 +0.7
Coleraine 1379 15 +59 8 3.8 +4.2
Ards 1284 13 -23 3 3.0 -0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.58
0-0-2
0.98
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.02
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
0.65
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
1.45
Ballymena United
1-1-0
3.33
—
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
1.22
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
1.55
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
0.95
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
1.94
Bangor
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
2.39
—
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
0.92
2-0-0
2.58
2-0-0
1.13
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
0.73
1-0-1
1.57
0-1-1
1.30
1-0-1
1.27
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.83
—
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.79
0-1-1
3.08
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
4.17
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
4.20
Cliftonville
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.13
0-0-2
1.11
—
0-1-1
3.25
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
2.07
1-1-0
1.67
Coleraine
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
0.89
1-1-0
2.40
—
0-1-1
1.08
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
0.79
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
1.48
Derry City
2-0-0
4.88
1-1-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.76
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.60
—
1-1-0
4.66
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
4.06
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
3.23
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
3.07
0-0-2
0.94
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
1.02
—
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.63
Glentoran
1-0-1
4.66
1-1-0
4.11
0-0-2
4.54
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
4.32
0-0-2
2.38
2-0-0
4.44
—
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.11
Larne
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
1.50
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.73
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.59
0-0-2
2.00
—
1-0-1
1.23
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.58
Linfield
2-0-0
5.05
1-1-0
4.74
1-1-0
4.97
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.90
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
4.81
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
4.44
—
1-1-0
4.41
1-0-1
4.29
2-0-0
4.08
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
4.10
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
1.60
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.25
—
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.28
Newry Town
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
4.37
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
3.58
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
1.79
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
1.97
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
1.38
1-0-1
2.99
—
1-1-0
2.33
Portadown
1-1-0
4.22
1-1-0
3.72
1-0-1
4.40
1-0-1
1.46
0-1-1
3.98
1-0-1
4.18
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
4.03
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
3.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +5.8
Allowed 0.62 -4.2
Differential 0.89 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.30%4.67%4.12%1.92%2.75%2.20%18.96%
14.67%4.95%7.14%2.20%1.65%4.12%24.73%
24.12%7.14%6.59%4.12%3.02%1.65%26.65%
31.92%2.20%4.12%1.65%1.37%0.27%11.54%
42.75%1.65%3.02%1.37%—0.27%9.07%
5+2.20%4.12%1.65%0.27%0.27%0.55%9.07%
Total18.96%24.73%26.65%11.54%9.07%9.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.05 +0.00
SD 1.81 1.81 2.74
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%23.08%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
4———————
5+—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
Total3.85%19.23%11.54%23.08%11.54%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 3.62 -1.92
SD 1.52 2.40 2.91
CV 0.90 0.66 —
Max 6 9 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
17.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%—7.69%34.62%
2—7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%30.77%26.92%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 2.27 -0.69
SD 1.30 1.76 2.02
CV 0.83 0.77 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%3.85%—7.69%15.38%
1—7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%38.46%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%—7.69%—7.69%—19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total3.85%19.23%34.62%15.38%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.77 -0.96
SD 1.67 1.88 2.82
CV 0.93 0.68 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
111.54%—————11.54%
219.23%7.69%7.69%——3.85%38.46%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
411.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total50.00%30.77%11.54%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.54 0.88 +1.65
SD 1.88 1.34 2.35
CV 0.74 1.51 —
Max 9 6 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%——7.69%—23.08%
1——7.69%—7.69%3.85%19.23%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—15.38%—30.77%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
Total19.23%19.23%19.23%3.85%34.62%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.35 -0.46
SD 1.63 1.83 2.56
CV 0.87 0.78 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
17.69%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—26.92%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%—23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%26.92%23.08%11.54%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.69 -0.62
SD 1.35 1.38 1.92
CV 1.26 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%———3.85%—7.69%
17.69%11.54%———3.85%23.08%
27.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—15.38%———19.23%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
Total34.62%26.92%26.92%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.38 +1.35
SD 1.99 1.72 2.83
CV 0.73 1.24 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%—3.85%—3.85%3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%26.92%30.77%15.38%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.15 -0.62
SD 1.53 1.32 2.10
CV 0.99 0.61 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
111.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
2—7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
47.69%—7.69%———15.38%
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total23.08%19.23%26.92%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.92 +0.27
SD 2.02 1.62 2.34
CV 0.92 0.84 —
Max 9 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%————11.54%19.23%
13.85%—11.54%——7.69%23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
43.85%11.54%————15.38%
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%23.08%7.69%3.85%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.50 -0.62
SD 1.37 2.45 3.25
CV 0.72 0.98 —
Max 4 9 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—7.69%11.54%———19.23%
211.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
5+3.85%11.54%————15.38%
Total26.92%42.31%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.08 +1.69
SD 2.08 0.84 2.43
CV 0.75 0.78 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%7.69%——7.69%3.85%23.08%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
3——7.69%——3.85%11.54%
43.85%—7.69%———11.54%
5+3.85%—7.69%———11.54%
Total19.23%23.08%34.62%3.85%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.00 -0.04
SD 2.03 1.74 2.84
CV 1.03 0.87 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——7.69%——7.69%15.38%
23.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
3——7.69%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
Total11.54%26.92%38.46%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.08 1.92 +1.15
SD 1.90 1.32 2.77
CV 0.62 0.69 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
17.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
23.85%—15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
3———————
4——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
5+—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total11.54%15.38%38.46%23.08%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 2.23 -0.19
SD 2.03 1.61 2.53
CV 1.00 0.72 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1765 38 38.97 -0.97 47.0% 32 33 36 39 41 45 49
Belfast Celtic 1743 43 37.26 +5.74 97.0% 29 31 35 37 40 43 44
Derry City 1700 41 35.02 +5.98 96.0% 25 28 32 36 37 40 45
Newry Town 1593 33 26.17 +6.83 96.0% 15 19 24 26 29 32 37
Glentoran 1572 27 33.51 -6.51 3.0% 26 28 31 33 36 40 44
Lisburn Distillery 1518 27 26.12 +0.88 62.0% 14 20 23 26 29 32 36
Portadown 1487 23 29.78 -6.78 6.0% 19 23 27 30 32 36 39
Larne 1445 26 25.80 +0.20 57.0% 14 19 23 25 29 33 35
Cliftonville 1403 23 20.05 +2.95 76.0% 9 12 17 20 23 27 31
Glenavon 1397 17 19.09 -2.09 35.0% 12 13 17 19 22 24 25
Ballymena United 1385 19 21.62 -2.62 33.0% 11 14 18 22 24 28 30
Coleraine 1379 15 18.29 -3.29 24.0% 8 10 16 18 22 24 27
Bangor 1329 19 16.47 +2.53 79.0% 5 11 14 16 19 22 25
Ards 1284 13 15.85 -2.85 29.0% 5 10 13 15 19 23 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.98%
Strong Edge
52.75%16.48%30.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
077.63400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.75 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Belfast Celtic, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.74 * Lucky: 4.74 to 6.33 * Wild Swing: 6.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.32 * Way Off: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.23 points
Some Luck
03.9510
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Belfast Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Glentoran
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 154.57
2.06
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.084
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic30.00%32.00%26.00%6.00%6.00%—————————
Derry City10.00%25.00%27.00%22.00%9.00%6.00%—1.00%——————
Linfield53.00%28.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%—————————
Newry Town—2.00%3.00%3.00%17.00%18.00%24.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%
Glentoran6.00%8.00%23.00%36.00%12.00%13.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Lisburn Distillery—1.00%1.00%7.00%10.00%23.00%15.00%21.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%—
Larne——2.00%6.00%11.00%16.00%18.00%20.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Portadown1.00%4.00%5.00%16.00%28.00%18.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%———
Cliftonville————2.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%
Ballymena United————3.00%3.00%16.00%8.00%20.00%8.00%20.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%
Bangor——————1.00%3.00%3.00%13.00%11.00%22.00%23.00%24.00%
Glenavon——————1.00%5.00%16.00%21.00%17.00%19.00%10.00%11.00%
Coleraine——————3.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%15.00%19.00%13.00%16.00%
Ards——————1.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%13.00%12.00%27.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1935-08-17 Glenavon W 3-142.6 1375 1411 52.27% 17.46% 30.28%+0.26 +9.8 2
1935-08-17 @ Ards L 1-342.6 1411 1375 30.28% 17.46% 52.27%-0.26 -9.9 0
1935-08-17 Belfast Celtic L 1-350.3 1417 1675 23.39% 17.02% 59.59%-1.13 -7.8 0
1935-08-17 @ Ballymena United W 3-150.3 1675 1417 59.59% 17.02% 23.39%+1.13 +7.8 2
1935-08-17 Larne D 0-055.7 1386 1482 44.14% 17.48% 38.38%-0.12 -0.3 1
1935-08-17 @ Cliftonville D 0-055.7 1482 1386 38.38% 17.48% 44.14%+0.12 +0.3 1
1935-08-17 Glentoran L 0-146.6 1388 1608 27.59% 17.19% 55.22%-0.89 -5.5 0
1935-08-17 @ Coleraine W 1-046.6 1608 1388 55.22% 17.19% 27.59%+0.89 +5.5 2
1935-08-17 Derry City W 8-148.3 1730 1627 66.83% 17.02% 16.15%+1.13 +17.2 2
1935-08-17 @ Linfield L 1-848.3 1627 1730 16.15% 17.02% 66.83%-1.13 -17.2 0
1935-08-17 Bangor L 0-351.2 1538 1320 74.61% 16.28% 9.11%+1.85 -37.4 0
1935-08-17 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-051.2 1320 1538 9.11% 16.28% 74.61%-1.85 +37.4 2
1935-08-17 Newry Town D 2-269.0 1594 1450 70.01% 16.79% 13.20%+1.39 -1.9 1
1935-08-17 @ Portadown D 2-269.0 1450 1594 13.20% 16.79% 70.01%-1.39 +1.9 1
1935-08-20 Cliftonville W 4-247.9 1683 1385 78.36% 15.60% 6.04%+2.34 +1.9 4
1935-08-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-447.9 1385 1683 6.04% 15.60% 78.36%-2.34 -1.9 1
1935-08-20 Ards W 3-246.5 1482 1385 66.27% 17.05% 16.68%+1.09 +3.2 3
1935-08-20 @ Larne L 2-346.5 1385 1482 16.68% 17.05% 66.27%-1.09 -3.2 2
1935-08-21 Bangor W 5-032.6 1610 1357 76.37% 16.00% 7.63%+2.06 +7.4 2
1935-08-21 @ Derry City L 0-532.6 1357 1610 7.63% 16.00% 76.37%-2.06 -7.4 2
1935-08-21 Coleraine W 1-039.0 1401 1382 58.70% 17.35% 23.96%+0.60 +4.9 2
1935-08-21 @ Glenavon L 0-139.0 1382 1401 23.96% 17.35% 58.70%-0.60 -4.9 0
1935-08-21 Linfield L 1-262.4 1614 1748 38.79% 17.44% 43.77%-0.35 -7.0 2
1935-08-21 @ Glentoran W 2-162.4 1748 1614 43.77% 17.44% 38.79%+0.35 +7.0 4
1935-08-21 Portadown L 3-563.9 1500 1593 44.68% 17.48% 37.84%-0.09 -11.5 0
1935-08-21 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-363.9 1593 1500 37.84% 17.48% 44.68%+0.09 +11.6 3
1935-08-21 Ballymena United W 5-138.2 1452 1409 61.24% 17.27% 21.49%+0.75 +13.3 3
1935-08-21 @ Newry Town L 1-538.2 1409 1452 21.49% 17.27% 61.24%-0.75 -13.3 0
1935-08-24 Belfast Celtic L 0-342.0 1382 1685 19.13% 16.77% 64.09%-1.41 -10.9 2
1935-08-24 @ Ards W 3-042.0 1685 1382 64.09% 16.77% 19.13%+1.41 +10.9 6
1935-08-24 Lisburn Distillery W 1-045.9 1395 1489 44.55% 17.48% 37.97%-0.10 +7.3 2
1935-08-24 @ Ballymena United L 0-145.9 1489 1395 37.97% 17.48% 44.55%+0.10 -7.3 0
1935-08-24 Newry Town W 5-142.4 1384 1465 46.18% 17.48% 36.34%-0.02 +21.0 3
1935-08-24 @ Cliftonville L 1-542.4 1465 1384 36.34% 17.48% 46.18%+0.02 -21.0 3
1935-08-24 Larne D 0-055.6 1377 1485 42.44% 17.47% 40.10%-0.19 -0.1 1
1935-08-24 @ Coleraine D 0-055.6 1485 1377 40.10% 17.47% 42.44%+0.19 +0.1 4
1935-08-24 Glenavon W 1-041.7 1607 1406 73.63% 16.41% 9.96%+1.74 +2.2 4
1935-08-24 @ Glentoran L 0-141.7 1406 1607 9.96% 16.41% 73.63%-1.74 -2.2 2
1935-08-24 Bangor W 7-036.4 1755 1350 82.06% 14.51% 3.43%+3.02 +4.5 6
1935-08-24 @ Linfield L 0-736.4 1350 1755 3.43% 14.51% 82.06%-3.02 -4.5 2
1935-08-24 Derry City L 1-265.4 1604 1617 55.04% 17.42% 27.54%+0.40 -9.5 3
1935-08-24 @ Portadown W 2-165.4 1617 1604 27.54% 17.42% 55.04%-0.40 +9.5 4
1935-08-29 Bangor W 4-349.5 1595 1345 76.22% 16.03% 7.75%+2.04 +1.5 5
1935-08-29 @ Portadown L 3-449.5 1345 1595 7.75% 16.03% 76.22%-2.04 -1.5 2
1935-08-31 Coleraine W 1-042.3 1696 1377 79.20% 15.40% 5.40%+2.48 +1.2 8
1935-08-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-142.3 1377 1696 5.40% 15.40% 79.20%-2.48 -1.2 1
1935-08-31 Ballymena United W 1-042.0 1627 1403 74.92% 16.23% 8.84%+1.88 +1.9 6
1935-08-31 @ Derry City L 0-142.0 1403 1627 8.84% 16.23% 74.92%-1.88 -1.9 2
1935-08-31 Linfield L 0-343.6 1404 1759 14.90% 16.42% 68.68%-1.74 -8.7 2
1935-08-31 @ Glenavon W 3-043.6 1759 1404 68.68% 16.42% 14.90%+1.74 +8.7 8
1935-08-31 Glentoran L 1-257.5 1485 1609 40.29% 17.45% 42.26%-0.29 -7.2 4
1935-08-31 @ Larne W 2-157.5 1609 1485 42.26% 17.45% 40.29%+0.29 +7.2 6
1935-08-31 Cliftonville W 4-245.6 1481 1405 64.50% 17.14% 18.36%+0.97 +5.7 2
1935-08-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-445.6 1405 1481 18.36% 17.14% 64.50%-0.97 -5.6 3
1935-08-31 Ards W 7-134.6 1444 1371 64.13% 17.16% 18.71%+0.94 +17.0 5
1935-08-31 @ Newry Town L 1-734.6 1371 1444 18.71% 17.16% 64.13%-0.94 -17.0 2
1935-09-07 Lisburn Distillery L 2-744.3 1354 1487 38.95% 17.44% 43.62%-0.35 -22.8 2
1935-09-07 @ Ards W 7-244.3 1487 1354 43.62% 17.44% 38.95%+0.35 +22.8 4
1935-09-07 Bangor W 4-348.4 1401 1344 62.63% 17.22% 20.15%+0.84 +3.7 4
1935-09-07 @ Ballymena United L 3-448.4 1344 1401 20.15% 17.22% 62.63%-0.84 -3.7 2
1935-09-07 Derry City L 2-453.1 1399 1628 26.54% 17.15% 56.30%-0.95 -7.8 3
1935-09-07 @ Cliftonville W 4-253.1 1628 1399 56.30% 17.15% 26.54%+0.95 +7.8 8
1935-09-07 Newry Town L 1-250.3 1376 1461 45.66% 17.48% 36.86%-0.05 -8.0 1
1935-09-07 @ Coleraine W 2-150.3 1461 1376 36.86% 17.48% 45.66%+0.05 +8.0 7
1935-09-07 Larne L 0-442.0 1395 1478 45.96% 17.48% 36.56%-0.03 -30.7 2
1935-09-07 @ Glenavon W 4-042.0 1478 1395 36.56% 17.48% 45.96%+0.03 +30.7 6
1935-09-07 Belfast Celtic L 0-160.7 1616 1697 46.27% 17.48% 36.25%-0.02 -8.6 6
1935-09-07 @ Glentoran W 1-060.7 1697 1616 36.25% 17.48% 46.27%+0.02 +8.6 10
1935-09-07 Portadown W 2-048.2 1768 1596 71.85% 16.62% 11.54%+1.56 +4.7 10
1935-09-07 @ Linfield L 0-248.2 1596 1768 11.54% 16.62% 71.85%-1.56 -4.7 5
1935-09-14 Cliftonville L 1-249.5 1340 1391 50.27% 17.47% 32.26%+0.17 -8.8 2
1935-09-14 @ Bangor W 2-149.5 1391 1340 32.26% 17.47% 50.27%-0.17 +8.8 5
1935-09-14 Glenavon W 2-039.5 1706 1364 80.02% 15.18% 4.80%+2.62 +2.0 12
1935-09-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-239.5 1364 1706 4.80% 15.18% 80.02%-2.62 -2.0 2
1935-09-14 Ards W 8-134.8 1636 1331 78.66% 15.53% 5.81%+2.39 +6.3 10
1935-09-14 @ Derry City L 1-834.8 1331 1636 5.81% 15.53% 78.66%-2.39 -6.4 2
1935-09-14 Linfield W 2-167.8 1509 1772 22.88% 16.99% 60.13%-1.16 +10.3 8
1935-09-14 @ Larne L 1-267.8 1772 1509 60.13% 16.99% 22.88%+1.16 -10.3 10
1935-09-14 Coleraine W 3-245.8 1510 1368 69.82% 16.80% 13.37%+1.37 +2.6 6
1935-09-14 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-345.8 1368 1510 13.37% 16.80% 69.82%-1.37 -2.6 1
1935-09-14 Glentoran L 2-360.5 1469 1607 38.18% 17.43% 44.39%-0.38 -6.6 7
1935-09-14 @ Newry Town W 3-260.5 1607 1469 44.39% 17.43% 38.18%+0.38 +6.6 8
1935-09-14 Ballymena United W 8-137.6 1591 1404 72.82% 16.51% 10.67%+1.65 +11.6 7
1935-09-14 @ Portadown L 1-837.6 1404 1591 10.67% 16.51% 72.82%-1.65 -11.6 4
1935-09-21 Bangor W 5-136.1 1325 1331 55.82% 17.41% 26.77%+0.45 +16.2 4
1935-09-21 @ Ards L 1-536.1 1331 1325 26.77% 17.41% 55.82%-0.45 -16.2 2
1935-09-21 Portadown W 2-052.1 1400 1603 29.66% 17.26% 53.08%-0.78 +18.4 7
1935-09-21 @ Cliftonville L 0-252.1 1603 1400 53.08% 17.26% 29.66%+0.78 -18.4 7
1935-09-21 Derry City L 2-450.8 1365 1643 21.48% 16.92% 61.60%-1.25 -6.5 1
1935-09-21 @ Coleraine W 4-250.8 1643 1365 61.60% 16.92% 21.48%+1.25 +6.5 12
1935-09-21 Newry Town L 0-243.5 1362 1463 43.60% 17.47% 38.93%-0.14 -15.5 2
1935-09-21 @ Glenavon W 2-043.5 1463 1362 38.93% 17.47% 43.60%+0.14 +15.5 9
1935-09-21 Lisburn Distillery D 1-167.7 1614 1512 66.67% 17.03% 16.31%+1.12 -2.2 9
1935-09-21 @ Glentoran D 1-167.7 1512 1614 16.31% 17.03% 66.67%-1.12 +2.2 7
1935-09-21 Belfast Celtic W 3-056.3 1519 1707 31.52% 17.31% 51.18%-0.69 +25.8 10
1935-09-21 @ Larne L 0-356.3 1707 1519 51.18% 17.31% 31.52%+0.69 -25.8 12
1935-09-21 Ballymena United W 3-251.9 1762 1393 80.97% 14.89% 4.14%+2.79 +0.8 12
1935-09-21 @ Linfield L 2-351.9 1393 1762 4.14% 14.89% 80.97%-2.79 -0.8 4
1935-09-28 Cliftonville W 2-144.7 1392 1418 53.42% 17.44% 29.13%+0.32 +5.5 6
1935-09-28 @ Ballymena United L 1-244.7 1418 1392 29.13% 17.44% 53.42%-0.32 -5.5 7
1935-09-28 Coleraine L 1-249.0 1315 1359 51.23% 17.47% 31.30%+0.21 -8.9 2
1935-09-28 @ Bangor W 2-149.0 1359 1315 31.30% 17.47% 51.23%-0.21 +8.9 3
1935-09-28 Linfield W 2-162.3 1682 1763 46.23% 17.48% 36.29%-0.02 +6.6 14
1935-09-28 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-262.3 1763 1682 36.29% 17.48% 46.23%+0.02 -6.6 12
1935-09-28 Glentoran W 3-048.1 1649 1612 60.66% 17.29% 22.05%+0.72 +12.5 14
1935-09-28 @ Derry City L 0-348.1 1612 1649 22.05% 17.29% 60.66%-0.72 -12.5 9
1935-09-28 Glenavon W 5-240.3 1515 1347 71.59% 16.64% 11.77%+1.53 +5.1 9
1935-09-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-540.3 1347 1515 11.77% 16.64% 71.59%-1.53 -5.1 2
1935-09-28 Larne W 5-043.2 1478 1545 48.15% 17.48% 34.37%+0.07 +29.6 11
1935-09-28 @ Newry Town L 0-543.2 1545 1478 34.37% 17.48% 48.15%-0.07 -29.6 10
1935-09-28 Ards W 4-349.1 1585 1341 75.93% 16.08% 8.00%+2.01 +1.5 9
1935-09-28 @ Portadown L 3-449.1 1341 1585 8.00% 16.08% 75.93%-2.01 -1.5 4
1935-10-05 Ballymena United L 1-543.9 1340 1398 49.38% 17.48% 33.15%+0.12 -27.2 4
1935-10-05 @ Ards W 5-143.9 1398 1340 33.15% 17.48% 49.38%-0.12 +27.2 8
1935-10-05 Newry Town W 5-146.0 1688 1508 72.43% 16.55% 11.02%+1.61 +7.1 16
1935-10-05 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-546.0 1508 1688 11.02% 16.55% 72.43%-1.61 -7.1 11
1935-10-05 Portadown L 2-450.7 1368 1586 27.82% 17.20% 54.98%-0.88 -8.2 3
1935-10-05 @ Coleraine W 4-250.7 1586 1368 54.98% 17.20% 27.82%+0.88 +8.2 11
1935-10-05 Derry City D 1-163.5 1342 1662 17.66% 16.66% 65.68%-1.51 +2.1 3
1935-10-05 @ Glenavon D 1-163.5 1662 1342 65.68% 16.66% 17.66%+1.51 -2.1 15
1935-10-05 Bangor L 1-261.6 1599 1306 78.18% 15.64% 6.18%+2.32 -13.5 9
1935-10-05 @ Glentoran W 2-161.6 1306 1599 6.18% 15.64% 78.18%-2.32 +13.5 4
1935-10-05 Lisburn Distillery W 4-147.5 1515 1520 56.05% 17.40% 26.55%+0.46 +12.4 12
1935-10-05 @ Larne L 1-447.5 1520 1515 26.55% 17.40% 56.05%-0.46 -12.4 9
1935-10-05 Cliftonville W 2-148.4 1756 1413 80.11% 15.16% 4.74%+2.63 +1.0 14
1935-10-05 @ Linfield L 1-248.4 1413 1756 4.74% 15.16% 80.11%-2.63 -1.0 7
1935-10-12 Coleraine W 1-037.6 1425 1359 63.43% 17.19% 19.38%+0.89 +4.1 10
1935-10-12 @ Ballymena United L 0-137.6 1359 1425 19.38% 17.19% 63.43%-0.89 -4.1 3
1935-10-12 Glenavon W 2-142.2 1320 1344 53.65% 17.44% 28.91%+0.33 +5.5 6
1935-10-12 @ Bangor L 1-242.2 1344 1320 28.91% 17.44% 53.65%-0.33 -5.5 3
1935-10-12 Ards W 6-029.2 1412 1312 66.47% 17.04% 16.49%+1.11 +18.4 9
1935-10-12 @ Cliftonville L 0-629.2 1312 1412 16.49% 17.04% 66.47%-1.11 -18.4 4
1935-10-12 Larne W 2-152.2 1660 1528 69.06% 16.87% 14.08%+1.31 +2.9 17
1935-10-12 @ Derry City L 1-252.2 1528 1660 14.08% 16.87% 69.06%-1.31 -2.8 12
1935-10-12 Belfast Celtic L 0-154.4 1507 1695 31.53% 17.31% 51.16%-0.69 -6.2 9
1935-10-12 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-054.4 1695 1507 51.16% 17.31% 31.53%+0.69 +6.2 18
1935-10-12 Linfield W 2-167.2 1500 1757 23.58% 17.03% 59.39%-1.12 +10.2 13
1935-10-12 @ Newry Town L 1-267.2 1757 1500 59.39% 17.03% 23.58%+1.12 -10.2 14
1935-10-12 Glentoran L 0-455.7 1594 1586 57.53% 17.38% 25.09%+0.54 -37.7 11
1935-10-12 @ Portadown W 4-055.7 1586 1594 25.09% 17.38% 57.53%-0.54 +37.7 11
1935-10-26 Derry City L 2-666.6 1702 1662 60.86% 17.29% 21.86%+0.73 -28.1 18
1935-10-26 @ Belfast Celtic W 6-266.6 1662 1702 21.86% 17.29% 60.86%-0.73 +28.1 19
1935-10-26 Cliftonville D 0-053.7 1355 1430 47.11% 17.48% 35.41%+0.02 -0.5 4
1935-10-26 @ Coleraine D 0-053.7 1430 1355 35.41% 17.48% 47.11%-0.02 +0.5 10
1935-10-26 Portadown L 0-143.1 1339 1557 27.88% 17.20% 54.92%-0.88 -5.6 3
1935-10-26 @ Glenavon W 1-043.1 1557 1339 54.92% 17.20% 27.88%+0.88 +5.6 13
1935-10-26 Ballymena United D 2-269.3 1623 1429 73.27% 16.46% 10.27%+1.70 -2.1 12
1935-10-26 @ Glentoran D 2-269.3 1429 1623 10.27% 16.46% 73.27%-1.70 +2.2 11
1935-10-26 Bangor W 3-243.8 1525 1325 73.58% 16.42% 10.00%+1.73 +2.0 14
1935-10-26 @ Larne L 2-343.8 1325 1525 10.00% 16.42% 73.58%-1.73 -2.0 6
1935-10-26 Ards W 5-137.9 1747 1294 83.36% 13.98% 2.66%+3.32 +1.7 16
1935-10-26 @ Linfield L 1-537.9 1294 1747 2.66% 13.98% 83.36%-3.32 -1.7 4
1935-10-26 Lisburn Distillery W 6-143.5 1511 1501 57.65% 17.37% 24.98%+0.55 +18.6 15
1935-10-26 @ Newry Town L 1-643.5 1501 1511 24.98% 17.37% 57.65%-0.55 -18.6 9
1935-11-02 Coleraine W 2-143.5 1292 1355 48.77% 17.48% 33.76%+0.10 +6.2 6
1935-11-02 @ Ards L 1-243.5 1355 1292 33.76% 17.48% 48.77%-0.10 -6.2 4
1935-11-02 Glenavon W 2-139.8 1431 1333 66.37% 17.05% 16.59%+1.10 +3.3 13
1935-11-02 @ Ballymena United L 1-239.8 1333 1431 16.59% 17.05% 66.37%-1.10 -3.3 3
1935-11-02 Belfast Celtic L 1-344.3 1323 1674 15.25% 16.45% 68.29%-1.70 -5.3 6
1935-11-02 @ Bangor W 3-144.3 1674 1323 68.29% 16.45% 15.25%+1.70 +5.3 20
1935-11-02 Glentoran L 2-455.4 1431 1621 31.22% 17.30% 51.48%-0.71 -9.0 10
1935-11-02 @ Cliftonville W 4-255.4 1621 1431 51.48% 17.30% 31.22%+0.71 +9.0 14
1935-11-02 Newry Town W 2-152.3 1690 1529 71.16% 16.69% 12.16%+1.49 +2.5 21
1935-11-02 @ Derry City L 1-252.3 1529 1690 12.16% 16.69% 71.16%-1.49 -2.5 15
1935-11-02 Linfield D 2-274.3 1482 1749 22.59% 16.98% 60.43%-1.18 +1.2 10
1935-11-02 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-274.3 1749 1482 60.43% 16.98% 22.59%+1.18 -1.2 17
1935-11-02 Larne W 6-249.5 1562 1527 60.44% 17.30% 22.26%+0.71 +11.7 15
1935-11-02 @ Portadown L 2-649.5 1527 1562 22.26% 17.30% 60.44%-0.71 -11.7 14
1935-11-09 Portadown W 2-048.2 1679 1574 66.95% 17.01% 16.04%+1.14 +6.5 22
1935-11-09 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-248.2 1574 1679 16.04% 17.01% 66.95%-1.14 -6.5 15
1935-11-09 Linfield L 0-242.8 1349 1747 12.02% 16.08% 71.90%-2.01 -4.8 4
1935-11-09 @ Coleraine W 2-042.8 1747 1349 71.90% 16.08% 12.02%+2.01 +4.9 19
1935-11-09 Cliftonville W 4-142.2 1330 1422 44.74% 17.48% 37.78%-0.09 +16.8 5
1935-11-09 @ Glenavon L 1-442.2 1422 1330 37.78% 17.48% 44.74%+0.09 -16.8 10
1935-11-09 Ards W 9-644.4 1630 1299 79.68% 15.27% 5.05%+2.56 +1.8 16
1935-11-09 @ Glentoran L 6-944.4 1299 1630 5.05% 15.27% 79.68%-2.56 -1.8 6
1935-11-09 Ballymena United W 3-143.6 1515 1434 64.88% 17.12% 18.00%+0.99 +6.2 16
1935-11-09 @ Larne L 1-343.6 1434 1515 18.00% 17.12% 64.88%-0.99 -6.2 13
1935-11-09 Derry City W 3-268.1 1484 1693 28.92% 17.23% 53.85%-0.82 +8.8 12
1935-11-09 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-368.1 1693 1484 53.85% 17.23% 28.92%+0.82 -8.8 21
1935-11-09 Bangor W 8-132.1 1527 1318 74.10% 16.35% 9.55%+1.79 +10.4 17
1935-11-09 @ Newry Town L 1-832.1 1318 1527 9.55% 16.35% 74.10%-1.79 -10.4 6
1935-11-16 Lisburn Distillery L 1-245.3 1308 1492 31.94% 17.32% 50.74%-0.67 -5.9 6
1935-11-16 @ Bangor W 2-145.3 1492 1308 50.74% 17.32% 31.94%+0.67 +5.9 14
1935-11-16 Ballymena United W 2-042.0 1685 1428 76.60% 15.96% 7.44%+2.09 +3.1 24
1935-11-16 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-242.0 1428 1685 7.44% 15.96% 76.60%-2.09 -3.1 13
1935-11-16 Linfield W 2-055.8 1684 1752 47.99% 17.48% 34.53%+0.06 +12.7 23
1935-11-16 @ Derry City L 0-255.8 1752 1684 34.53% 17.48% 47.99%-0.06 -12.7 19
1935-11-16 Ards W 3-137.6 1346 1297 61.90% 17.25% 20.85%+0.80 +7.1 7
1935-11-16 @ Glenavon L 1-337.6 1297 1346 20.85% 17.25% 61.90%-0.80 -7.1 6
1935-11-16 Coleraine W 4-033.1 1632 1344 77.98% 15.69% 6.33%+2.29 +5.0 18
1935-11-16 @ Glentoran L 0-433.1 1344 1632 6.33% 15.69% 77.98%-2.29 -5.0 4
1935-11-16 Cliftonville W 4-139.9 1521 1405 67.90% 16.95% 15.15%+1.21 +7.5 18
1935-11-16 @ Larne L 1-439.9 1405 1521 15.15% 16.95% 67.90%-1.21 -7.5 10
1935-11-16 Portadown W 4-256.8 1537 1567 52.92% 17.45% 29.63%+0.30 +8.7 19
1935-11-16 @ Newry Town L 2-456.8 1567 1537 29.63% 17.45% 52.92%-0.30 -8.7 15
1935-11-23 Larne D 3-365.3 1290 1529 25.46% 17.11% 57.43%-1.01 +0.8 7
1935-11-23 @ Ards D 3-365.3 1529 1290 57.43% 17.11% 25.46%+1.01 -0.8 19
1935-11-23 Newry Town L 2-357.3 1425 1546 40.63% 17.46% 41.91%-0.27 -6.9 13
1935-11-23 @ Ballymena United W 3-257.3 1546 1425 41.91% 17.46% 40.63%+0.27 +6.9 21
1935-11-23 Derry City D 1-163.5 1302 1697 12.24% 16.11% 71.65%-1.99 +2.7 7
1935-11-23 @ Bangor D 1-163.5 1697 1302 71.65% 16.11% 12.24%+1.99 -2.7 24
1935-11-23 Belfast Celtic L 0-441.6 1397 1688 20.18% 16.84% 62.98%-1.33 -15.0 10
1935-11-23 @ Cliftonville W 4-041.6 1688 1397 62.98% 16.84% 20.18%+1.33 +15.0 26
1935-11-23 Glenavon D 2-258.9 1339 1354 54.81% 17.43% 27.77%+0.39 -0.8 5
1935-11-23 @ Coleraine D 2-258.9 1354 1339 27.77% 17.43% 54.81%-0.39 +0.9 8
1935-11-23 Glentoran L 0-167.4 1740 1637 66.75% 17.02% 16.23%+1.13 -12.2 19
1935-11-23 @ Linfield W 1-067.4 1637 1740 16.23% 17.02% 66.75%-1.13 +12.2 20
1935-11-23 Lisburn Distillery W 2-044.2 1559 1498 62.96% 17.21% 19.83%+0.86 +7.8 17
1935-11-23 @ Portadown L 0-244.2 1498 1559 19.83% 17.21% 62.96%-0.86 -7.8 14
1935-11-30 Linfield D 1-164.8 1304 1727 10.65% 15.87% 73.48%-2.16 +2.9 8
1935-11-30 @ Bangor D 1-164.8 1727 1304 73.48% 15.87% 10.65%+2.16 -2.9 20
1935-11-30 Ards W 2-141.9 1703 1291 82.29% 14.43% 3.29%+3.07 +0.7 28
1935-11-30 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-241.9 1291 1703 3.29% 14.43% 82.29%-3.07 -0.7 7
1935-11-30 Portadown W 1-050.3 1694 1567 68.75% 16.89% 14.37%+1.28 +3.1 26
1935-11-30 @ Derry City L 0-150.3 1567 1694 14.37% 16.89% 68.75%-1.28 -3.1 17
1935-11-30 Glentoran L 1-248.0 1354 1649 19.84% 16.82% 63.34%-1.36 -3.9 8
1935-11-30 @ Glenavon W 2-148.0 1649 1354 63.34% 16.82% 19.84%+1.36 +3.9 22
1935-11-30 Coleraine W 4-136.4 1528 1338 73.01% 16.49% 10.50%+1.67 +5.3 21
1935-11-30 @ Larne L 1-436.4 1338 1528 10.50% 16.49% 73.01%-1.67 -5.3 5
1935-11-30 Ballymena United W 1-040.8 1491 1418 64.10% 17.16% 18.74%+0.94 +3.9 16
1935-11-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-140.8 1418 1491 18.74% 17.16% 64.10%-0.94 -3.9 13
1935-11-30 Cliftonville L 2-365.1 1553 1382 71.78% 16.62% 11.60%+1.55 -11.8 21
1935-11-30 @ Newry Town W 3-265.1 1382 1553 11.60% 16.62% 71.78%-1.55 +11.8 12
1935-12-07 Newry Town L 2-347.8 1290 1541 24.16% 17.06% 58.78%-1.08 -4.4 7
1935-12-07 @ Ards W 3-247.8 1541 1290 58.78% 17.06% 24.16%+1.08 +4.4 23
1935-12-07 Derry City D 2-271.2 1414 1697 20.94% 16.89% 62.18%-1.28 +1.3 14
1935-12-07 @ Ballymena United D 2-271.2 1697 1414 62.18% 16.89% 20.94%+1.28 -1.3 27
1935-12-07 Portadown W 8-250.0 1307 1564 23.61% 17.03% 59.36%-1.12 +38.7 10
1935-12-07 @ Bangor L 2-850.0 1564 1307 59.36% 17.03% 23.61%+1.12 -38.7 17
1935-12-07 Lisburn Distillery D 0-056.4 1394 1495 43.54% 17.47% 38.99%-0.14 -0.2 13
1935-12-07 @ Cliftonville D 0-056.4 1495 1394 38.99% 17.47% 43.54%+0.14 +0.2 17
1935-12-07 Belfast Celtic L 0-241.3 1333 1704 13.77% 16.29% 69.94%-1.84 -5.5 5
1935-12-07 @ Coleraine W 2-041.3 1704 1333 69.94% 16.29% 13.77%+1.84 +5.5 30
1935-12-07 Larne W 6-042.5 1653 1533 68.14% 16.93% 14.93%+1.23 +16.8 24
1935-12-07 @ Glentoran L 0-642.5 1533 1653 14.93% 16.93% 68.14%-1.23 -16.8 21
1935-12-07 Glenavon W 2-039.3 1725 1351 81.12% 14.84% 4.04%+2.82 +1.7 22
1935-12-07 @ Linfield L 0-239.3 1351 1725 4.04% 14.84% 81.12%-2.82 -1.7 8
1935-12-14 Ballymena United W 2-145.3 1346 1416 47.80% 17.48% 34.72%+0.05 +6.4 12
1935-12-14 @ Bangor L 1-245.3 1416 1346 34.72% 17.48% 47.80%-0.05 -6.4 14
1935-12-14 Glentoran W 4-048.0 1710 1670 60.89% 17.29% 21.82%+0.73 +16.2 32
1935-12-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-448.0 1670 1710 21.82% 17.29% 60.89%-0.73 -16.2 24
1935-12-14 Cliftonville W 4-037.1 1696 1394 78.55% 15.56% 5.89%+2.37 +4.6 29
1935-12-14 @ Derry City L 0-437.1 1394 1696 5.89% 15.56% 78.55%-2.37 -4.6 13
1935-12-14 Glenavon L 1-652.2 1517 1349 71.60% 16.64% 11.76%+1.53 -47.8 21
1935-12-14 @ Larne W 6-152.2 1349 1517 11.76% 16.64% 71.60%-1.53 +47.8 10
1935-12-14 Ards W 4-028.4 1495 1285 74.12% 16.35% 9.53%+1.79 +7.4 19
1935-12-14 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-428.4 1285 1495 9.53% 16.35% 74.12%-1.79 -7.5 7
1935-12-14 Coleraine W 2-140.0 1545 1327 74.63% 16.28% 9.09%+1.85 +1.9 25
1935-12-14 @ Newry Town L 1-240.0 1327 1545 9.09% 16.28% 74.63%-1.85 -1.9 5
1935-12-14 Linfield L 1-356.4 1525 1726 29.88% 17.26% 52.86%-0.77 -9.7 17
1935-12-14 @ Portadown W 3-156.4 1726 1525 52.86% 17.26% 29.88%+0.77 +9.7 24
1935-12-21 Derry City L 0-238.1 1278 1701 10.69% 15.87% 73.44%-2.16 -4.3 7
1935-12-21 @ Ards W 2-038.1 1701 1278 73.44% 15.87% 10.69%+2.16 +4.3 31
1935-12-21 Portadown D 2-264.3 1409 1515 42.76% 17.47% 39.77%-0.18 -0.1 15
1935-12-21 @ Ballymena United D 2-264.3 1515 1409 39.77% 17.47% 42.76%+0.18 +0.1 18
1935-12-21 Bangor W 2-141.2 1389 1352 60.61% 17.29% 22.10%+0.72 +4.3 15
1935-12-21 @ Cliftonville L 1-241.2 1352 1389 22.10% 17.29% 60.61%-0.72 -4.3 12
1935-12-21 Lisburn Distillery D 0-054.7 1325 1502 32.97% 17.34% 49.69%-0.62 +0.8 6
1935-12-21 @ Coleraine D 0-054.7 1502 1325 49.69% 17.34% 32.97%+0.62 -0.8 20
1935-12-21 Newry Town L 2-568.2 1654 1547 67.06% 17.00% 15.93%+1.15 -24.5 24
1935-12-21 @ Glentoran W 5-268.2 1547 1654 15.93% 17.00% 67.06%-1.15 +24.5 27
1935-12-21 Larne W 2-150.2 1736 1469 77.05% 15.88% 7.07%+2.16 +1.5 26
1935-12-21 @ Linfield L 1-250.2 1469 1736 7.07% 15.88% 77.05%-2.16 -1.5 21
1935-12-25 Linfield D 1-168.4 1409 1737 16.95% 16.61% 66.44%-1.57 +2.2 16
1935-12-25 @ Ballymena United D 1-168.4 1737 1409 66.44% 16.61% 16.95%+1.57 -2.2 27
1935-12-25 Ards L 0-344.3 1348 1274 64.26% 17.15% 18.58%+0.95 -32.1 12
1935-12-25 @ Bangor W 3-044.3 1274 1348 18.58% 17.15% 64.26%-0.95 +32.1 9
1935-12-25 Larne W 9-142.8 1726 1467 76.65% 15.95% 7.40%+2.10 +9.2 34
1935-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-942.8 1467 1726 7.40% 15.95% 76.65%-2.10 -9.2 21
1935-12-25 Coleraine D 1-165.1 1705 1326 81.27% 14.79% 3.93%+2.85 -3.6 32
1935-12-25 @ Derry City D 1-165.1 1326 1705 3.93% 14.79% 81.27%-2.85 +3.6 7
1935-12-25 Glentoran W 4-261.6 1501 1629 39.66% 17.45% 42.90%-0.31 +11.8 22
1935-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-461.6 1629 1501 42.90% 17.45% 39.66%+0.31 -11.8 24
1935-12-25 Glenavon D 3-370.2 1572 1397 72.08% 16.59% 11.33%+1.58 -1.7 28
1935-12-25 @ Newry Town D 3-370.2 1397 1572 11.33% 16.59% 72.08%-1.58 +1.7 11
1935-12-25 Cliftonville D 2-264.0 1515 1394 68.29% 16.92% 14.78%+1.25 -1.8 19
1935-12-25 @ Portadown D 2-264.0 1394 1515 14.78% 16.92% 68.29%-1.25 +1.8 16
1935-12-26 Portadown D 2-261.3 1306 1513 29.12% 17.24% 53.63%-0.81 +0.8 10
1935-12-26 @ Ards D 2-261.3 1513 1306 53.63% 17.24% 29.12%+0.81 -0.8 20
1935-12-26 Ballymena United W 5-454.3 1395 1411 54.67% 17.43% 27.90%+0.39 +4.8 18
1935-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 4-554.3 1411 1395 27.90% 17.43% 54.67%-0.39 -4.8 16
1935-12-26 Bangor L 2-355.0 1330 1316 58.12% 17.36% 24.52%+0.57 -9.5 7
1935-12-26 @ Coleraine W 3-255.0 1316 1330 24.52% 17.36% 58.12%-0.57 +9.5 14
1935-12-26 Lisburn Distillery D 1-160.0 1398 1513 41.51% 17.46% 41.03%-0.23 -0.0 12
1935-12-26 @ Glenavon D 1-160.0 1513 1398 41.03% 17.46% 41.51%+0.23 +0.0 23
1935-12-26 Derry City L 2-368.3 1617 1701 45.85% 17.48% 36.66%-0.04 -7.6 24
1935-12-26 @ Glentoran W 3-268.3 1701 1617 36.66% 17.48% 45.85%+0.04 +7.7 34
1935-12-26 Newry Town D 2-268.2 1458 1570 41.91% 17.47% 40.62%-0.21 -0.0 22
1935-12-26 @ Larne D 2-268.2 1570 1458 40.62% 17.47% 41.91%+0.21 +0.0 29
1935-12-26 Belfast Celtic D 2-276.6 1735 1735 56.58% 17.40% 26.03%+0.49 -1.0 28
1935-12-26 @ Linfield D 2-276.6 1735 1735 26.03% 17.40% 56.58%-0.49 +1.0 35
1935-12-28 Ards D 1-155.4 1406 1307 66.51% 17.04% 16.45%+1.11 -2.2 17
1935-12-28 @ Ballymena United D 1-155.4 1307 1406 16.45% 17.04% 66.51%-1.11 +2.2 11
1935-12-28 Glentoran W 3-262.4 1325 1610 20.81% 16.88% 62.31%-1.29 +10.1 16
1935-12-28 @ Bangor L 2-362.4 1610 1325 62.31% 16.88% 20.81%+1.29 -10.2 24
1935-12-28 Linfield L 1-744.4 1400 1734 16.50% 16.57% 66.94%-1.60 -15.0 18
1935-12-28 @ Cliftonville W 7-144.4 1734 1400 66.94% 16.57% 16.50%+1.60 +15.0 30
1935-12-28 Glenavon W 4-249.1 1709 1398 78.88% 15.48% 5.64%+2.43 +1.8 36
1935-12-28 @ Derry City L 2-449.1 1398 1709 5.64% 15.48% 78.88%-2.43 -1.8 12
1935-12-28 Larne W 6-037.1 1513 1458 62.44% 17.23% 20.33%+0.83 +22.2 25
1935-12-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-637.1 1458 1513 20.33% 17.23% 62.44%-0.83 -22.2 22
1935-12-28 Belfast Celtic D 2-275.3 1570 1736 34.44% 17.37% 48.19%-0.55 +0.4 30
1935-12-28 @ Newry Town D 2-275.3 1736 1570 48.19% 17.37% 34.44%+0.55 -0.4 36
1935-12-28 Coleraine L 1-356.2 1513 1320 73.15% 16.47% 10.37%+1.69 -21.9 20
1935-12-28 @ Portadown W 3-156.2 1320 1513 10.37% 16.47% 73.15%-1.69 +21.9 9
1936-01-01 Belfast Celtic L 0-441.8 1397 1736 16.12% 16.53% 67.35%-1.63 -12.2 12
1936-01-01 @ Glenavon W 4-041.8 1736 1397 67.35% 16.53% 16.12%+1.63 +12.2 38
1936-01-04 Cliftonville L 2-352.1 1309 1385 46.90% 17.48% 35.62%+0.01 -7.8 11
1936-01-04 @ Ards W 3-252.1 1385 1309 35.62% 17.48% 46.90%-0.01 +7.8 20
1936-01-04 Lisburn Distillery W 2-046.5 1748 1535 74.29% 16.33% 9.39%+1.81 +3.9 40
1936-01-04 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-246.5 1535 1748 9.39% 16.33% 74.29%-1.81 -3.9 25
1936-01-04 Ballymena United W 1-041.3 1342 1404 48.80% 17.48% 33.72%+0.10 +6.6 11
1936-01-04 @ Coleraine L 0-141.3 1404 1342 33.72% 17.48% 48.80%-0.10 -6.6 17
1936-01-04 Bangor L 3-460.5 1384 1335 61.84% 17.25% 20.91%+0.79 -9.9 12
1936-01-04 @ Glenavon W 4-360.5 1335 1384 20.91% 17.25% 61.84%-0.79 +9.9 18
1936-01-04 Portadown D 1-166.6 1600 1491 67.26% 16.99% 15.74%+1.17 -2.3 25
1936-01-04 @ Glentoran D 1-166.6 1491 1600 15.74% 16.99% 67.26%-1.17 +2.3 21
1936-01-04 Derry City L 2-455.5 1436 1711 21.74% 16.93% 61.33%-1.23 -6.6 22
1936-01-04 @ Larne W 4-255.5 1711 1436 61.33% 16.93% 21.74%+1.23 +6.6 38
1936-01-04 Newry Town W 4-361.2 1749 1571 72.30% 16.57% 11.13%+1.60 +2.1 32
1936-01-04 @ Linfield L 3-461.2 1571 1749 11.13% 16.57% 72.30%-1.60 -2.1 30
1936-01-18 Linfield L 0-436.8 1301 1751 9.29% 15.62% 75.09%-2.33 -7.1 11
1936-01-18 @ Ards W 4-036.8 1751 1301 75.09% 15.62% 9.29%+2.33 +7.2 34
1936-01-18 Glentoran L 2-453.0 1398 1597 30.08% 17.27% 52.65%-0.76 -8.7 17
1936-01-18 @ Ballymena United W 4-253.0 1597 1398 52.65% 17.27% 30.08%+0.76 +8.7 27
1936-01-18 Larne L 0-243.0 1345 1429 45.83% 17.48% 36.68%-0.04 -16.1 18
1936-01-18 @ Bangor W 2-043.0 1429 1345 36.68% 17.48% 45.83%+0.04 +16.1 24
1936-01-18 Coleraine L 0-149.5 1393 1349 61.37% 17.27% 21.36%+0.76 -11.2 20
1936-01-18 @ Cliftonville W 1-049.5 1349 1393 21.36% 17.27% 61.37%-0.76 +11.2 13
1936-01-18 Belfast Celtic D 0-069.8 1717 1752 52.41% 17.46% 30.13%+0.27 -1.0 39
1936-01-18 @ Derry City D 0-069.8 1752 1717 30.13% 17.46% 52.41%-0.27 +1.0 41
1936-01-18 Newry Town W 2-154.8 1532 1568 52.08% 17.46% 30.46%+0.25 +5.7 27
1936-01-18 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-254.8 1568 1532 30.46% 17.46% 52.08%-0.25 -5.7 30
1936-01-18 Glenavon L 2-361.9 1493 1375 68.05% 16.94% 15.01%+1.23 -11.1 21
1936-01-18 @ Portadown W 3-261.9 1375 1493 15.01% 16.94% 68.05%-1.23 +11.1 14
1936-01-25 Bangor W 4-141.2 1753 1329 82.58% 14.31% 3.11%+3.13 +1.5 43
1936-01-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-441.2 1329 1753 3.11% 14.31% 82.58%-3.13 -1.5 18
1936-01-25 Ards W 6-029.2 1360 1294 63.48% 17.19% 19.33%+0.90 +21.3 15
1936-01-25 @ Coleraine L 0-629.2 1294 1360 19.33% 17.19% 63.48%-0.90 -21.3 11
1936-01-25 Ballymena United W 2-037.2 1386 1389 56.19% 17.40% 26.41%+0.47 +10.1 16
1936-01-25 @ Glenavon L 0-237.2 1389 1386 26.41% 17.40% 56.19%-0.47 -10.1 17
1936-01-25 Cliftonville L 1-361.8 1606 1382 74.95% 16.23% 8.82%+1.89 -22.4 27
1936-01-25 @ Glentoran W 3-161.8 1382 1606 8.82% 16.23% 74.95%-1.89 +22.4 22
1936-01-25 Portadown W 1-045.1 1445 1482 52.13% 17.46% 30.41%+0.26 +6.0 26
1936-01-25 @ Larne L 0-145.1 1482 1445 30.41% 17.46% 52.13%-0.26 -6.1 21
1936-01-25 Derry City W 4-054.4 1563 1716 36.09% 17.40% 46.51%-0.47 +31.0 32
1936-01-25 @ Newry Town L 0-454.4 1716 1563 46.51% 17.40% 36.09%+0.47 -31.0 39
1936-02-01 Glentoran W 2-156.4 1273 1584 18.40% 16.72% 64.88%-1.46 +11.1 13
1936-02-01 @ Ards L 1-256.4 1584 1273 64.88% 16.72% 18.40%+1.46 -11.1 27
1936-02-01 Larne W 3-251.2 1379 1452 47.36% 17.48% 35.15%+0.03 +6.1 19
1936-02-01 @ Ballymena United L 2-351.2 1452 1379 35.15% 17.48% 47.36%-0.03 -6.1 26
1936-02-01 Newry Town D 2-264.4 1328 1594 22.61% 16.98% 60.41%-1.18 +1.2 19
1936-02-01 @ Bangor D 2-264.4 1594 1328 60.41% 16.98% 22.61%+1.18 -1.2 33
1936-02-01 Glenavon D 3-364.8 1404 1396 57.50% 17.38% 25.12%+0.54 -0.9 23
1936-02-01 @ Cliftonville D 3-364.8 1396 1404 25.12% 17.38% 57.50%-0.54 +0.9 17
1936-02-01 Lisburn Distillery W 6-042.6 1685 1537 70.24% 16.77% 12.99%+1.41 +14.7 41
1936-02-01 @ Derry City L 0-642.6 1537 1685 12.99% 16.77% 70.24%-1.41 -14.7 27
1936-02-01 Coleraine W 3-039.2 1759 1381 81.23% 14.81% 3.96%+2.85 +2.4 36
1936-02-01 @ Linfield L 0-339.2 1381 1759 3.96% 14.81% 81.23%-2.85 -2.4 15
1936-02-01 Belfast Celtic W 1-063.9 1476 1754 21.41% 16.91% 61.68%-1.25 +11.2 23
1936-02-01 @ Portadown L 0-163.9 1754 1476 61.68% 16.91% 21.41%+1.25 -11.2 43
1936-02-06 Lisburn Distillery W 4-148.1 1761 1523 75.67% 16.12% 8.21%+1.97 +4.2 38
1936-02-06 @ Linfield L 1-448.1 1523 1761 8.21% 16.12% 75.67%-1.97 -4.2 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1935-10-05 6.18% Bangor 1306 2 @ Glentoran 1599 1
2 1936-01-25 8.82% Cliftonville 1382 3 @ Glentoran 1606 1
3 1935-08-17 9.11% Bangor 1320 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1538 0
4 1935-12-28 10.37% Coleraine 1320 3 @ Portadown 1513 1
5 1935-11-30 11.60% Cliftonville 1382 3 @ Newry Town 1553 2
6 1935-12-14 11.76% Glenavon 1349 6 @ Larne 1517 1
7 1936-01-18 15.01% Glenavon 1375 3 @ Portadown 1493 2
8 1935-12-21 15.93% Newry Town 1547 5 @ Glentoran 1654 2
9 1935-11-23 16.23% Glentoran 1637 1 @ Linfield 1740 0
10 1936-02-01 18.40% @ Ards 1273 2 Glentoran 1584 1
11 1935-12-25 18.58% Ards 1274 3 @ Bangor 1348 0
12 1935-12-28 20.81% @ Bangor 1325 3 Glentoran 1610 2
13 1936-01-04 20.91% Bangor 1335 4 @ Glenavon 1384 3
14 1936-01-18 21.36% Coleraine 1349 1 @ Cliftonville 1393 0
15 1936-02-01 21.41% @ Portadown 1476 1 Belfast Celtic 1754 0
16 1935-10-26 21.86% Derry City 1662 6 @ Belfast Celtic 1702 2
17 1935-09-14 22.88% @ Larne 1509 2 Linfield 1772 1
18 1935-10-12 23.58% @ Newry Town 1500 2 Linfield 1757 1
19 1935-12-07 23.61% @ Bangor 1307 8 Portadown 1564 2
20 1935-12-26 24.52% Bangor 1316 3 @ Coleraine 1330 2
21 1935-10-12 25.09% Glentoran 1586 4 @ Portadown 1594 0
22 1935-08-24 27.54% Derry City 1617 2 @ Portadown 1604 1
23 1935-11-09 28.92% @ Lisburn Distillery 1484 3 Derry City 1693 2
24 1935-09-21 29.66% @ Cliftonville 1400 2 Portadown 1603 0
25 1935-09-28 31.30% Coleraine 1359 2 @ Bangor 1315 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-12-14 47.84 Glenavon 6 1349 11.76% @ Larne 1 1517 71.60% 16.64%
2 1935-12-07 38.70 @ Bangor 8 1307 23.61% Portadown 2 1564 59.36% 17.03%
3 1935-10-12 37.66 Glentoran 4 1586 25.09% @ Portadown 0 1594 57.53% 17.38%
4 1935-08-17 37.41 Bangor 3 1320 9.11% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1538 74.61% 16.28%
5 1935-12-25 32.15 Ards 3 1274 18.58% @ Bangor 0 1348 64.26% 17.15%
6 1936-01-25 30.97 @ Newry Town 4 1563 36.09% Derry City 0 1716 46.51% 17.40%
7 1935-09-07 30.68 Larne 4 1478 36.56% @ Glenavon 0 1395 45.96% 17.48%
8 1935-09-28 29.64 @ Newry Town 5 1478 48.15% Larne 0 1545 34.37% 17.48%
9 1935-10-26 28.13 Derry City 6 1662 21.86% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1702 60.86% 17.29%
10 1935-10-05 27.24 Ballymena United 5 1398 33.15% @ Ards 1 1340 49.38% 17.48%
11 1935-09-21 25.80 @ Larne 3 1519 31.52% Belfast Celtic 0 1707 51.18% 17.31%
12 1935-12-21 24.51 Newry Town 5 1547 15.93% @ Glentoran 2 1654 67.06% 17.00%
13 1935-09-07 22.78 Lisburn Distillery 7 1487 43.62% @ Ards 2 1354 38.95% 17.44%
14 1936-01-25 22.41 Cliftonville 3 1382 8.82% @ Glentoran 1 1606 74.95% 16.23%
15 1935-12-28 22.25 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1513 62.44% Larne 0 1458 20.33% 17.23%
16 1935-12-28 21.87 Coleraine 3 1320 10.37% @ Portadown 1 1513 73.15% 16.47%
17 1936-01-25 21.26 @ Coleraine 6 1360 63.48% Ards 0 1294 19.33% 17.19%
18 1935-08-24 20.99 @ Cliftonville 5 1384 46.18% Newry Town 1 1465 36.34% 17.48%
19 1935-10-26 18.64 @ Newry Town 6 1511 57.65% Lisburn Distillery 1 1501 24.98% 17.37%
20 1935-10-12 18.38 @ Cliftonville 6 1412 66.47% Ards 0 1312 16.49% 17.04%
21 1935-09-21 18.37 @ Cliftonville 2 1400 29.66% Portadown 0 1603 53.08% 17.26%
22 1935-08-17 17.17 @ Linfield 8 1730 66.83% Derry City 1 1627 16.15% 17.02%
23 1935-08-31 17.02 @ Newry Town 7 1444 64.13% Ards 1 1371 18.71% 17.16%
24 1935-11-09 16.80 @ Glenavon 4 1330 44.74% Cliftonville 1 1422 37.78% 17.48%
25 1935-12-07 16.75 @ Glentoran 6 1653 68.14% Larne 0 1533 14.93% 16.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-12-26 76.6 @ Linfield 2 1735 56.58% Belfast Celtic 2 1735 26.03% 17.40%
2 1935-12-28 75.3 @ Newry Town 2 1570 34.44% Belfast Celtic 2 1736 48.19% 17.37%
3 1935-11-02 74.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1482 22.59% Linfield 2 1749 60.43% 16.98%
4 1935-12-07 71.2 @ Ballymena United 2 1414 20.94% Derry City 2 1697 62.18% 16.89%
5 1935-12-25 70.2 @ Newry Town 3 1572 72.08% Glenavon 3 1397 11.33% 16.59%
6 1936-01-18 69.8 @ Derry City 0 1717 52.41% Belfast Celtic 0 1752 30.13% 17.46%
7 1935-10-26 69.3 @ Glentoran 2 1623 73.27% Ballymena United 2 1429 10.27% 16.46%
8 1935-08-17 69.0 @ Portadown 2 1594 70.01% Newry Town 2 1450 13.20% 16.79%
9 1935-12-25 68.4 @ Ballymena United 1 1409 16.95% Linfield 1 1737 66.44% 16.61%
10 1935-12-26 68.3 Derry City 3 1701 36.66% @ Glentoran 2 1617 45.85% 17.48%
11 1935-12-21 68.2 Newry Town 5 1547 15.93% @ Glentoran 2 1654 67.06% 17.00%
12 1935-12-26 68.2 @ Larne 2 1458 41.91% Newry Town 2 1570 40.62% 17.47%
13 1935-11-09 68.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1484 28.92% Derry City 2 1693 53.85% 17.23%
14 1935-09-14 67.8 @ Larne 2 1509 22.88% Linfield 1 1772 60.13% 16.99%
15 1935-09-21 67.7 @ Glentoran 1 1614 66.67% Lisburn Distillery 1 1512 16.31% 17.03%
16 1935-11-23 67.4 Glentoran 1 1637 16.23% @ Linfield 0 1740 66.75% 17.02%
17 1935-10-12 67.2 @ Newry Town 2 1500 23.58% Linfield 1 1757 59.39% 17.03%
18 1935-10-26 66.6 Derry City 6 1662 21.86% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1702 60.86% 17.29%
19 1936-01-04 66.6 @ Glentoran 1 1600 67.26% Portadown 1 1491 15.74% 16.99%
20 1935-08-24 65.4 Derry City 2 1617 27.54% @ Portadown 1 1604 55.04% 17.42%
21 1935-11-23 65.3 @ Ards 3 1290 25.46% Larne 3 1529 57.43% 17.11%
22 1935-11-30 65.1 Cliftonville 3 1382 11.60% @ Newry Town 2 1553 71.78% 16.62%
23 1935-12-25 65.1 @ Derry City 1 1705 81.27% Coleraine 1 1326 3.93% 14.79%
24 1935-11-30 64.8 @ Bangor 1 1304 10.65% Linfield 1 1727 73.48% 15.87%
25 1936-02-01 64.8 @ Cliftonville 3 1404 57.50% Glenavon 3 1396 25.12% 17.38%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-12-14 28.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1495 74.12% Ards 0 1285 9.53% 16.35%
2 1935-10-12 29.2 @ Cliftonville 6 1412 66.47% Ards 0 1312 16.49% 17.04%
3 1936-01-25 29.2 @ Coleraine 6 1360 63.48% Ards 0 1294 19.33% 17.19%
4 1935-11-09 32.1 @ Newry Town 8 1527 74.10% Bangor 1 1318 9.55% 16.35%
5 1935-08-21 32.6 @ Derry City 5 1610 76.37% Bangor 0 1357 7.63% 16.00%
6 1935-11-16 33.1 @ Glentoran 4 1632 77.98% Coleraine 0 1344 6.33% 15.69%
7 1935-08-31 34.6 @ Newry Town 7 1444 64.13% Ards 1 1371 18.71% 17.16%
8 1935-09-14 34.8 @ Derry City 8 1636 78.66% Ards 1 1331 5.81% 15.53%
9 1935-09-21 36.1 @ Ards 5 1325 55.82% Bangor 1 1331 26.77% 17.41%
10 1935-08-24 36.4 @ Linfield 7 1755 82.06% Bangor 0 1350 3.43% 14.51%
11 1935-11-30 36.4 @ Larne 4 1528 73.01% Coleraine 1 1338 10.50% 16.49%
12 1936-01-18 36.8 Linfield 4 1751 75.09% @ Ards 0 1301 9.29% 15.62%
13 1935-12-14 37.1 @ Derry City 4 1696 78.55% Cliftonville 0 1394 5.89% 15.56%
14 1935-12-28 37.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1513 62.44% Larne 0 1458 20.33% 17.23%
15 1936-01-25 37.2 @ Glenavon 2 1386 56.19% Ballymena United 0 1389 26.41% 17.40%
16 1935-09-14 37.6 @ Portadown 8 1591 72.82% Ballymena United 1 1404 10.67% 16.51%
17 1935-10-12 37.6 @ Ballymena United 1 1425 63.43% Coleraine 0 1359 19.38% 17.19%
18 1935-11-16 37.6 @ Glenavon 3 1346 61.90% Ards 1 1297 20.85% 17.25%
19 1935-10-26 37.9 @ Linfield 5 1747 83.36% Ards 1 1294 2.66% 13.98%
20 1935-12-21 38.1 Derry City 2 1701 73.44% @ Ards 0 1278 10.69% 15.87%
21 1935-08-21 38.2 @ Newry Town 5 1452 61.24% Ballymena United 1 1409 21.49% 17.27%
22 1935-08-21 39.0 @ Glenavon 1 1401 58.70% Coleraine 0 1382 23.96% 17.35%
23 1936-02-01 39.2 @ Linfield 3 1759 81.23% Coleraine 0 1381 3.96% 14.81%
24 1935-12-07 39.3 @ Linfield 2 1725 81.12% Glenavon 0 1351 4.04% 14.84%
25 1935-09-14 39.5 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1706 80.02% Glenavon 0 1364 4.80% 15.18%