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1936-37 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Derry City

4.87 points above expected

43 points · 38.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

10.34 points below expected

14 points · 24.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 20 4 2 44 86 21 +65 39.86 +4.14
2 Derry City 26 20 3 3 43 85 37 +48 38.13 +4.87
3 Linfield 26 20 2 4 42 85 25 +60 40.36 +1.64
4 Portadown 26 14 4 8 32 49 38 +11 27.79 +4.21
5 Larne 26 13 2 11 28 63 57 +6 24.82 +3.18
6 Newry Town 26 12 3 11 27 59 48 +11 28.83 -1.83
7 Glentoran 26 11 3 12 25 65 65 0 26.91 -1.91
8 Cliftonville 26 9 6 11 24 56 64 -8 20.15 +3.85
9 Glenavon 26 10 1 15 21 56 59 -3 21.77 -0.77
10 Bangor 26 8 3 15 19 40 80 -40 17.63 +1.37
11 Ards 26 8 2 16 18 42 73 -31 21.17 -3.17
12 Coleraine 26 6 5 15 17 24 61 -37 17.13 -0.13
13 Lisburn Distillery 26 6 2 18 14 36 65 -29 24.34 -10.34
14 Ballymena United 26 4 2 20 10 34 87 -53 15.11 -5.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Derry City 43 38.13 +4.87
2 Portadown 32 27.79 +4.21
3 Belfast Celtic 44 39.86 +4.14
4 Cliftonville 24 20.15 +3.85
5 Larne 28 24.82 +3.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 14 24.34 -10.34
2 Ballymena United 10 15.11 -5.11
3 Ards 18 21.17 -3.17
4 Glentoran 25 26.91 -1.91
5 Newry Town 27 28.83 -1.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 4 Dec 5 – Dec 25 1 in 121
2 Bangor 3 Sep 26 – Oct 10 1 in 33
3 Larne 4 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 32
4 Cliftonville 4 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 21
5 Belfast Celtic 9 Sep 19 – Nov 21 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 9 Oct 24 – Dec 25 1 in 981
2 Ards 10 Dec 5 – Feb 6 1 in 796
3 Larne 4 Oct 10 – Nov 7 1 in 197
4 Newry Town 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 26
5 Glentoran 5 Dec 5 – Dec 26 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 9 Dec 5 – Jan 30 1 in 165
2 Cliftonville 7 Dec 19 – Feb 6 1 in 75
3 Bangor 5 Sep 12 – Oct 10 1 in 68
4 Belfast Celtic 15 Aug 20 – Nov 28 1 in 29
5 Derry City 9 Aug 15 – Oct 3 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 9 Oct 24 – Dec 25 1 in 102
2 Ards 10 Dec 5 – Feb 6 1 in 78
3 Coleraine 8 Aug 20 – Oct 3 1 in 61
4 Larne 4 Oct 10 – Nov 7 1 in 37
5 Glentoran 5 Aug 29 – Sep 26 1 in 33

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1870 44 +67 10 8.5 +1.5
Derry City 1769 43 +21 9 8.4 +0.6
Linfield 1803 42 +14 8 8.3 -0.3
Portadown 1593 32 +14 8 6.4 +1.6
Larne 1514 28 +46 7 6.2 +0.8
Newry Town 1551 27 +65 6 5.6 +0.4
Glentoran 1466 25 +34 7 5.0 +2.0
Cliftonville 1478 24 +37 6 4.2 +1.8
Glenavon 1508 21 +9 4 3.9 +0.1
Bangor 1359 19 -12 3 3.2 -0.2
Ards 1262 18 -84 0 2.2 -2.2
Coleraine 1301 17 -65 1 3.1 -2.1
Lisburn Distillery 1295 14 -121 0 3.1 -3.1
Ballymena United 1229 10 -26 1 1.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
1-0-1
3.90
0-1-1
3.61
0-0-2
0.72
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
1.89
Ballymena United
1-0-1
1.86
—
0-0-2
2.63
0-0-2
0.50
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.43
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
0.63
1-1-0
1.68
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
1.54
Bangor
1-1-0
2.14
2-0-0
3.13
—
0-0-2
0.62
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
0.92
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
0.67
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.20
0-0-2
1.99
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
5.04
2-0-0
5.27
2-0-0
5.14
—
2-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
4.96
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
4.79
1-1-0
4.17
1-1-0
4.82
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
4.33
Cliftonville
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.61
0-0-2
0.77
—
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.03
2-0-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
0.77
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
1.81
0-2-0
2.41
Coleraine
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
3.33
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
2.82
—
0-1-1
0.79
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
0.60
2-0-0
1.73
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
1.66
Derry City
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
5.22
2-0-0
4.84
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
4.73
1-1-0
4.98
—
1-0-1
4.82
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
4.86
1-0-1
3.99
2-0-0
4.34
Glenavon
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.39
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
0.94
—
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.31
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.22
0-1-1
1.59
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
3.42
—
0-0-2
3.44
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
3.07
2-0-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.92
Larne
1-0-1
3.89
1-0-1
4.48
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
0.94
0-0-2
3.25
1-1-0
3.88
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.31
—
0-0-2
1.42
2-0-0
2.43
2-0-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.49
Linfield
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
5.13
2-0-0
5.09
0-0-2
3.24
2-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
5.16
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.33
—
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
4.26
1-0-1
4.34
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
4.08
1-0-1
3.39
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
4.03
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.68
0-0-2
3.33
0-0-2
0.93
—
0-0-2
2.91
1-0-1
2.58
Newry Town
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.16
1-0-1
4.56
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
4.26
1-0-1
1.77
1-0-1
3.92
0-0-2
3.51
0-0-2
3.52
0-1-1
1.49
2-0-0
2.84
—
0-1-1
2.91
Portadown
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
1.43
0-2-0
3.34
1-0-1
4.10
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.44
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
1.42
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.85
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +5.0
Allowed 0.85 -5.1
Differential 0.95 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%3.57%3.85%1.92%3.30%3.30%18.13%
13.57%4.95%6.04%6.59%3.57%2.75%27.47%
23.85%6.04%2.75%1.65%1.92%3.02%19.23%
31.92%6.59%1.65%1.10%0.82%0.82%12.91%
43.30%3.57%1.92%0.82%0.55%1.10%11.26%
5+3.30%2.75%3.02%0.82%1.10%—10.99%
Total18.13%27.47%19.23%12.91%11.26%10.99%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.14 +0.00
SD 1.84 1.84 2.91
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%—3.85%7.69%19.23%
13.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%42.31%
27.69%3.85%——3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total15.38%26.92%11.54%11.54%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.81 -1.19
SD 1.53 2.62 3.43
CV 0.94 0.93 —
Max 6 10 +5
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%11.54%—7.69%3.85%26.92%
13.85%——19.23%11.54%3.85%38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%——11.54%19.23%
3—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total3.85%15.38%15.38%19.23%23.08%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 3.35 -2.04
SD 1.19 1.94 2.29
CV 0.91 0.58 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%———3.85%7.69%15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%15.38%46.15%
27.69%7.69%———7.69%23.08%
3————3.85%—3.85%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total19.23%15.38%11.54%11.54%11.54%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 3.08 -1.54
SD 1.27 2.48 3.08
CV 0.83 0.81 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
3———————
47.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
5+23.08%3.85%————26.92%
Total46.15%30.77%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.31 0.81 +2.50
SD 2.38 0.90 2.80
CV 0.72 1.11 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%15.38%—3.85%—26.92%
1—11.54%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
2——3.85%—3.85%3.85%11.54%
33.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+———3.85%7.69%—11.54%
Total3.85%30.77%23.08%19.23%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.46 -0.31
SD 1.99 1.65 2.36
CV 0.93 0.67 —
Max 7 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%11.54%38.46%
17.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—————3.85%3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%11.54%15.38%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.35 -1.42
SD 0.89 1.96 2.34
CV 0.97 0.83 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
1—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
27.69%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—30.77%
3—7.69%————7.69%
411.54%11.54%————23.08%
5+—7.69%11.54%—7.69%—26.92%
Total19.23%46.15%19.23%3.85%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.27 1.42 +1.85
SD 1.64 1.21 1.93
CV 0.50 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
23.85%——7.69%—7.69%19.23%
3—11.54%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
47.69%3.85%———3.85%15.38%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total15.38%26.92%15.38%19.23%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.27 -0.12
SD 1.59 1.76 2.61
CV 0.74 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
111.54%——3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—7.69%3.85%7.69%11.54%—30.77%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4—3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%15.38%
5+—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
Total11.54%19.23%19.23%19.23%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.50 +0.00
SD 1.98 1.58 2.58
CV 0.79 0.63 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%3.85%—7.69%19.23%
1—3.85%7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
2—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
37.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
43.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%26.92%30.77%7.69%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.19 +0.23
SD 1.96 1.60 2.97
CV 0.81 0.73 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%———3.85%—7.69%
1——11.54%———11.54%
211.54%—3.85%———15.38%
311.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
411.54%3.85%————15.38%
5+7.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
Total46.15%19.23%30.77%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.27 0.96 +2.31
SD 2.01 1.08 2.48
CV 0.62 1.12 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%7.69%3.85%19.23%
17.69%3.85%15.38%19.23%3.85%—50.00%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
3———————
4—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%19.23%19.23%26.92%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.50 -1.12
SD 1.27 1.70 2.23
CV 0.92 0.68 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——3.85%3.85%—19.23%
13.85%—15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%34.62%
23.85%———3.85%—7.69%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
Total26.92%19.23%23.08%11.54%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.85 +0.42
SD 2.18 1.64 3.02
CV 0.96 0.89 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
1—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
3—26.92%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total7.69%57.69%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.46 +0.42
SD 1.42 0.95 1.86
CV 0.76 0.65 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Belfast Celtic 1870 44 39.86 +4.14 90.0% 28 34 38 40 42 45 48
Linfield 1803 42 40.36 +1.64 71.0% 30 35 38 40 43 46 47
Derry City 1769 43 38.13 +4.87 94.0% 30 32 36 38 40 44 47
Portadown 1593 32 27.79 +4.21 89.0% 19 21 26 28 30 34 37
Newry Town 1551 27 28.83 -1.83 37.0% 20 22 26 29 32 36 38
Larne 1514 28 24.82 +3.18 82.0% 17 19 21 25 27 31 41
Glenavon 1508 21 21.77 -0.77 47.0% 10 15 19 22 24 28 35
Cliftonville 1478 24 20.15 +3.85 88.0% 6 13 18 20 22 26 38
Glentoran 1466 25 26.91 -1.91 38.0% 16 18 24 27 30 34 38
Bangor 1359 19 17.63 +1.37 71.0% 8 11 15 18 20 23 28
Coleraine 1301 17 17.13 -0.13 66.0% 9 11 15 17 19 23 29
Lisburn Distillery 1295 14 24.34 -10.34 1.0% 14 18 22 24 27 31 36
Ards 1262 18 21.17 -3.17 25.0% 11 13 18 21 24 29 32
Ballymena United 1229 10 15.11 -5.11 11.0% 5 8 12 14 19 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.33%
Clear Edge
54.40%11.54%34.07%
Elo Value
Home Edge
130 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
071.63400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Belfast Celtic, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.42 * Wild Swing: 6.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.84 * Off: 1.84 to 2.45 * Way Off: 2.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.13 points
Some Luck
04.0110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Close
01.534
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.00%
Derry City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Lisburn Distillery
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 205.06
2.27
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
37%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.64
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic40.00%38.00%18.00%3.00%1.00%—————————
Derry City19.00%25.00%48.00%7.00%—1.00%————————
Linfield41.00%35.00%22.00%2.00%——————————
Portadown——2.00%25.00%25.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%———
Larne—1.00%1.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%7.00%21.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Newry Town—1.00%4.00%28.00%26.00%19.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%————
Glentoran——4.00%18.00%18.00%18.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%—
Cliftonville———2.00%—2.00%7.00%7.00%18.00%24.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%
Glenavon———2.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%23.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%
Bangor————1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%26.00%21.00%19.00%
Ards———2.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%22.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%
Coleraine—————2.00%2.00%—4.00%9.00%10.00%24.00%30.00%19.00%
Lisburn Distillery——1.00%3.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%
Ballymena United——————1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%11.00%20.00%49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1936-08-15 Linfield L 2-645.3 1351 1690 16.86% 12.06% 71.08%-2.06 -16.2 0
1936-08-15 @ Ards W 6-245.3 1690 1351 71.08% 12.06% 16.86%+2.06 +16.2 2
1936-08-15 Newry Town L 1-350.4 1421 1565 38.74% 12.22% 49.04%-0.56 -22.5 0
1936-08-15 @ Ballymena United W 3-150.4 1565 1421 49.04% 12.22% 38.74%+0.56 +22.5 2
1936-08-15 Larne L 1-348.4 1381 1459 47.98% 12.24% 39.79%-0.05 -27.2 0
1936-08-15 @ Bangor W 3-148.4 1459 1381 39.79% 12.24% 47.98%+0.05 +27.2 2
1936-08-15 Portadown D 3-370.8 1432 1491 50.71% 12.24% 37.06%+0.10 -0.7 1
1936-08-15 @ Cliftonville D 3-370.8 1491 1432 37.06% 12.24% 50.71%-0.10 +0.7 1
1936-08-15 Belfast Celtic W 2-159.4 1631 1666 53.92% 12.23% 33.85%+0.28 +11.5 2
1936-08-15 @ Derry City L 1-259.4 1666 1631 33.85% 12.23% 53.92%-0.28 -11.5 0
1936-08-15 Glentoran L 0-149.7 1431 1551 42.20% 12.23% 45.57%-0.37 -14.9 0
1936-08-15 @ Glenavon W 1-049.7 1551 1431 45.57% 12.23% 42.20%+0.37 +14.9 2
1936-08-15 Coleraine L 1-259.2 1512 1419 68.26% 12.17% 19.57%+1.26 -22.1 0
1936-08-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-159.2 1419 1512 19.57% 12.17% 68.26%-1.26 +22.1 2
1936-08-18 Derry City L 0-250.9 1487 1642 37.08% 12.22% 50.70%-0.65 -25.0 2
1936-08-18 @ Larne W 2-050.9 1642 1487 50.70% 12.22% 37.08%+0.65 +25.0 4
1936-08-19 Cliftonville W 1-042.4 1565 1431 71.80% 12.13% 16.06%+1.58 +6.1 4
1936-08-19 @ Glentoran L 0-142.4 1431 1565 16.06% 12.13% 71.80%-1.58 -6.1 1
1936-08-19 Ballymena United W 4-036.9 1707 1398 81.58% 11.88% 6.54%+2.92 +9.2 4
1936-08-19 @ Linfield L 0-436.9 1398 1707 6.54% 11.88% 81.58%-2.92 -9.2 0
1936-08-19 Glenavon W 3-249.7 1587 1416 74.50% 12.09% 13.41%+1.86 +4.6 4
1936-08-19 @ Newry Town L 2-349.7 1416 1587 13.41% 12.09% 74.50%-1.86 -4.6 0
1936-08-19 Bangor W 2-140.7 1492 1353 72.13% 12.13% 15.74%+1.61 +5.7 3
1936-08-19 @ Portadown L 1-240.7 1353 1492 15.74% 12.13% 72.13%-1.61 -5.7 0
1936-08-20 Lisburn Distillery W 2-150.3 1654 1490 74.05% 12.10% 13.85%+1.81 +5.0 2
1936-08-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-250.3 1490 1654 13.85% 12.10% 74.05%-1.81 -5.0 0
1936-08-20 Ards L 0-249.3 1442 1335 69.52% 12.16% 18.32%+1.37 -45.0 2
1936-08-20 @ Coleraine W 2-049.3 1335 1442 18.32% 12.16% 69.52%-1.37 +45.0 2
1936-08-22 Coleraine W 1-040.2 1389 1397 57.40% 12.23% 30.38%+0.49 +11.1 2
1936-08-22 @ Ballymena United L 0-140.2 1397 1389 30.38% 12.23% 57.40%-0.49 -11.1 2
1936-08-22 Glentoran L 1-442.9 1348 1572 28.40% 12.18% 59.42%-1.17 -24.1 0
1936-08-22 @ Bangor W 4-142.9 1572 1348 59.42% 12.18% 28.40%+1.17 +24.1 6
1936-08-22 Larne W 2-148.9 1659 1462 76.25% 12.06% 11.69%+2.07 +4.3 4
1936-08-22 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-248.9 1462 1659 11.69% 12.06% 76.25%-2.07 -4.3 2
1936-08-22 Newry Town L 2-650.1 1425 1592 35.64% 12.21% 52.14%-0.73 -32.4 1
1936-08-22 @ Cliftonville W 6-250.1 1592 1425 52.14% 12.21% 35.64%+0.73 +32.4 6
1936-08-22 Portadown W 4-040.8 1667 1497 74.47% 12.09% 13.44%+1.86 +18.5 6
1936-08-22 @ Derry City L 0-440.8 1497 1667 13.44% 12.09% 74.47%-1.86 -18.5 3
1936-08-22 Linfield L 2-356.0 1412 1716 19.92% 12.10% 67.98%-1.79 -6.7 0
1936-08-22 @ Glenavon W 3-256.0 1716 1412 67.98% 12.10% 19.92%+1.79 +6.7 6
1936-08-22 Ards W 2-142.0 1485 1380 69.39% 12.16% 18.45%+1.36 +6.6 2
1936-08-22 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-242.0 1380 1485 18.45% 12.16% 69.39%-1.36 -6.6 2
1936-08-29 Ballymena United W 6-137.4 1373 1400 54.96% 12.23% 32.81%+0.34 +43.4 4
1936-08-29 @ Ards L 1-637.4 1400 1373 32.81% 12.23% 54.96%-0.34 -43.4 2
1936-08-29 Glenavon D 1-158.7 1385 1405 55.89% 12.23% 31.88%+0.40 -2.0 3
1936-08-29 @ Coleraine D 1-158.7 1405 1385 31.88% 12.23% 55.89%-0.40 +2.0 1
1936-08-29 Derry City L 4-573.5 1596 1686 46.32% 12.24% 41.44%-0.14 -13.9 6
1936-08-29 @ Glentoran W 5-473.5 1686 1596 41.44% 12.24% 46.32%+0.14 +13.9 8
1936-08-29 Lisburn Distillery W 2-149.4 1457 1492 53.98% 12.23% 33.78%+0.29 +11.5 4
1936-08-29 @ Larne L 1-249.4 1492 1457 33.78% 12.23% 53.98%-0.29 -11.5 2
1936-08-29 Cliftonville W 2-041.0 1723 1393 82.33% 11.84% 5.83%+3.09 +4.3 8
1936-08-29 @ Linfield L 0-241.0 1393 1723 5.83% 11.84% 82.33%-3.09 -4.3 1
1936-08-29 Bangor W 5-135.6 1624 1324 81.28% 11.90% 6.83%+2.86 +8.0 8
1936-08-29 @ Newry Town L 1-535.6 1324 1624 6.83% 11.90% 81.28%-2.86 -8.0 0
1936-08-29 Belfast Celtic D 1-170.1 1479 1664 33.24% 12.21% 54.56%-0.87 +1.7 4
1936-08-29 @ Portadown D 1-170.1 1664 1479 54.56% 12.21% 33.24%+0.87 -1.7 5
1936-09-05 Linfield L 1-738.8 1316 1727 11.80% 11.95% 76.25%-2.61 -19.7 0
1936-09-05 @ Bangor W 7-138.8 1727 1316 76.25% 11.95% 11.80%+2.61 +19.7 10
1936-09-05 Glentoran D 2-276.6 1662 1582 67.07% 12.18% 20.75%+1.17 -2.9 6
1936-09-05 @ Belfast Celtic D 2-276.6 1582 1662 20.75% 12.18% 67.07%-1.17 +2.9 7
1936-09-05 Coleraine W 3-141.1 1388 1384 58.93% 12.22% 28.85%+0.59 +17.3 3
1936-09-05 @ Cliftonville L 1-341.1 1384 1388 28.85% 12.22% 58.93%-0.59 -17.3 3
1936-09-05 Newry Town W 6-149.5 1700 1632 65.86% 12.19% 21.95%+1.07 +30.1 10
1936-09-05 @ Derry City L 1-649.5 1632 1700 21.95% 12.19% 65.86%-1.07 -30.1 8
1936-09-05 Ards L 1-252.6 1407 1417 57.14% 12.23% 30.63%+0.48 -18.5 1
1936-09-05 @ Glenavon W 2-152.6 1417 1407 30.63% 12.23% 57.14%-0.48 +18.5 6
1936-09-05 Portadown W 3-040.4 1469 1480 56.88% 12.23% 30.89%+0.46 +30.9 6
1936-09-05 @ Larne L 0-340.4 1480 1469 30.89% 12.23% 56.88%-0.46 -30.9 4
1936-09-05 Ballymena United D 2-263.9 1480 1357 70.95% 12.14% 16.91%+1.50 -3.4 3
1936-09-05 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-263.9 1357 1480 16.91% 12.14% 70.95%-1.50 +3.4 3
1936-09-12 Cliftonville W 3-141.8 1435 1406 61.77% 12.21% 26.01%+0.78 +15.7 8
1936-09-12 @ Ards L 1-341.8 1406 1435 26.01% 12.21% 61.77%-0.78 -15.7 3
1936-09-12 Glenavon L 1-348.4 1360 1389 54.75% 12.23% 33.01%+0.33 -30.8 3
1936-09-12 @ Ballymena United W 3-148.4 1389 1360 33.01% 12.23% 54.75%-0.33 +30.8 3
1936-09-12 Bangor D 0-054.0 1366 1296 66.11% 12.19% 21.70%+1.09 -4.2 4
1936-09-12 @ Coleraine D 0-054.0 1296 1366 21.70% 12.19% 66.11%-1.09 +4.2 1
1936-09-12 Larne L 2-466.9 1585 1500 67.55% 12.18% 20.28%+1.20 -33.8 7
1936-09-12 @ Glentoran W 4-266.9 1500 1585 20.28% 12.18% 67.55%-1.20 +33.8 8
1936-09-12 Derry City D 2-278.8 1747 1730 60.31% 12.22% 27.47%+0.68 -2.0 11
1936-09-12 @ Linfield D 2-278.8 1730 1747 27.47% 12.22% 60.31%-0.68 +2.0 11
1936-09-12 Belfast Celtic D 0-070.1 1602 1659 50.99% 12.24% 36.77%+0.11 -1.3 9
1936-09-12 @ Newry Town D 0-070.1 1659 1602 36.77% 12.24% 50.99%-0.11 +1.3 7
1936-09-12 Lisburn Distillery L 0-151.5 1450 1477 54.94% 12.23% 32.83%+0.34 -18.9 4
1936-09-12 @ Portadown W 1-051.5 1477 1450 32.83% 12.23% 54.94%-0.34 +18.9 5
1936-09-19 Ards D 1-157.9 1300 1451 37.78% 12.22% 50.00%-0.61 +1.0 2
1936-09-19 @ Bangor D 1-157.9 1451 1300 50.00% 12.22% 37.78%+0.61 -1.0 9
1936-09-19 Linfield W 4-052.6 1660 1745 47.16% 12.24% 40.60%-0.10 +51.5 9
1936-09-19 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-452.6 1745 1660 40.60% 12.24% 47.16%+0.10 -51.5 11
1936-09-19 Ballymena United W 4-136.3 1390 1329 65.14% 12.19% 22.66%+1.02 +19.6 5
1936-09-19 @ Cliftonville L 1-436.3 1329 1390 22.66% 12.19% 65.14%-1.02 -19.6 3
1936-09-19 Coleraine W 4-036.0 1732 1362 83.55% 11.76% 4.69%+3.40 +6.6 13
1936-09-19 @ Derry City L 0-436.0 1362 1732 4.69% 11.76% 83.55%-3.40 -6.6 4
1936-09-19 Newry Town W 4-153.5 1533 1601 49.54% 12.24% 38.22%+0.03 +31.5 10
1936-09-19 @ Larne L 1-453.5 1601 1533 38.22% 12.24% 49.54%-0.03 -31.5 9
1936-09-19 Glenavon W 4-140.6 1496 1419 66.70% 12.18% 21.12%+1.14 +18.4 7
1936-09-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-440.6 1419 1496 21.12% 12.18% 66.70%-1.14 -18.3 3
1936-09-19 Glentoran W 3-152.4 1431 1551 42.07% 12.23% 45.70%-0.37 +26.1 6
1936-09-19 @ Portadown L 1-352.4 1551 1431 45.70% 12.23% 42.07%+0.37 -26.1 7
1936-09-26 Derry City L 4-564.3 1450 1739 21.38% 12.12% 66.50%-1.67 -6.9 9
1936-09-26 @ Ards W 5-464.3 1739 1450 66.50% 12.12% 21.38%+1.67 +6.9 15
1936-09-26 Bangor L 2-550.0 1310 1301 59.36% 12.22% 28.41%+0.62 -40.8 3
1936-09-26 @ Ballymena United W 5-250.0 1301 1310 28.41% 12.22% 59.36%-0.62 +40.8 4
1936-09-26 Belfast Celtic L 0-637.7 1355 1712 15.53% 12.04% 72.44%-2.19 -31.1 4
1936-09-26 @ Coleraine W 6-037.7 1712 1355 72.44% 12.04% 15.53%+2.19 +31.1 11
1936-09-26 Cliftonville L 4-659.6 1401 1410 57.27% 12.23% 30.51%+0.48 -26.2 3
1936-09-26 @ Glenavon W 6-459.6 1410 1401 30.51% 12.23% 57.27%-0.48 +26.2 7
1936-09-26 Lisburn Distillery L 0-549.9 1525 1514 59.63% 12.22% 28.15%+0.63 -90.2 7
1936-09-26 @ Glentoran W 5-049.9 1514 1525 28.15% 12.22% 59.63%-0.63 +90.2 9
1936-09-26 Larne W 2-047.7 1693 1565 71.33% 12.14% 16.53%+1.54 +11.9 13
1936-09-26 @ Linfield L 0-247.7 1565 1693 16.53% 12.14% 71.33%-1.54 -11.9 10
1936-09-26 Portadown L 1-263.2 1569 1457 70.03% 12.15% 17.82%+1.42 -22.7 9
1936-09-26 @ Newry Town W 2-163.2 1457 1569 17.82% 12.15% 70.03%-1.42 +22.7 8
1936-10-03 Glenavon W 4-351.6 1342 1375 54.17% 12.23% 33.59%+0.30 +10.6 6
1936-10-03 @ Bangor L 3-451.6 1375 1342 33.59% 12.23% 54.17%-0.30 -10.6 3
1936-10-03 Ards W 10-040.6 1743 1443 81.25% 11.90% 6.85%+2.85 +23.0 13
1936-10-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-1040.6 1443 1743 6.85% 11.90% 81.25%-2.85 -23.0 9
1936-10-03 Ballymena United W 2-036.4 1746 1269 85.88% 11.51% 2.60%+4.21 +1.9 17
1936-10-03 @ Derry City L 0-236.4 1269 1746 2.60% 11.51% 85.88%-4.21 -1.9 3
1936-10-03 Newry Town W 4-256.3 1435 1547 43.21% 12.23% 44.55%-0.31 +22.8 9
1936-10-03 @ Glentoran L 2-456.3 1547 1435 44.55% 12.23% 43.21%+0.31 -22.8 9
1936-10-03 Coleraine W 4-030.0 1553 1324 78.02% 12.01% 9.97%+2.31 +13.9 12
1936-10-03 @ Larne L 0-430.0 1324 1553 9.97% 12.01% 78.02%-2.31 -13.9 4
1936-10-03 Cliftonville D 1-166.8 1604 1436 74.34% 12.09% 13.57%+1.84 -5.3 10
1936-10-03 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-166.8 1436 1604 13.57% 12.09% 74.34%-1.84 +5.3 8
1936-10-03 Linfield L 1-353.8 1479 1705 28.19% 12.18% 59.63%-1.18 -16.9 8
1936-10-03 @ Portadown W 3-153.8 1705 1479 59.63% 12.18% 28.19%+1.18 +16.9 15
1936-10-10 Larne W 5-045.0 1420 1567 38.31% 12.22% 49.47%-0.58 +75.6 11
1936-10-10 @ Ards L 0-545.0 1567 1420 49.47% 12.22% 38.31%+0.58 -75.6 12
1936-10-10 Belfast Celtic L 0-238.6 1267 1766 7.48% 11.79% 80.73%-3.28 -5.5 3
1936-10-10 @ Ballymena United W 2-038.6 1766 1267 80.73% 11.79% 7.48%+3.28 +5.5 15
1936-10-10 Bangor L 0-249.1 1441 1352 67.89% 12.17% 19.94%+1.23 -43.9 8
1936-10-10 @ Cliftonville W 2-049.1 1352 1441 19.94% 12.17% 67.89%-1.23 +43.9 8
1936-10-10 Portadown W 2-149.3 1310 1463 37.59% 12.22% 50.19%-0.62 +16.4 6
1936-10-10 @ Coleraine L 1-249.3 1463 1310 50.19% 12.22% 37.59%+0.62 -16.4 8
1936-10-10 Derry City W 3-165.6 1364 1748 13.58% 12.00% 74.42%-2.40 +41.8 5
1936-10-10 @ Glenavon L 1-365.6 1748 1364 74.42% 12.00% 13.58%+2.40 -41.8 17
1936-10-10 Glentoran W 5-143.9 1722 1457 79.78% 11.96% 8.26%+2.58 +9.6 17
1936-10-10 @ Linfield L 1-543.9 1457 1722 8.26% 11.96% 79.78%-2.58 -9.7 9
1936-10-10 Lisburn Distillery W 3-155.4 1524 1599 48.48% 12.24% 39.28%-0.03 +22.8 11
1936-10-10 @ Newry Town L 1-355.4 1599 1524 39.28% 12.24% 48.48%+0.03 -22.8 10
1936-10-17 Glenavon W 1-044.9 1771 1406 83.42% 11.77% 4.81%+3.36 +1.9 17
1936-10-17 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-144.9 1406 1771 4.81% 11.77% 83.42%-3.36 -1.9 5
1936-10-17 Cliftonville W 4-036.9 1706 1397 81.58% 11.88% 6.54%+2.92 +9.2 19
1936-10-17 @ Derry City L 0-436.9 1397 1706 6.54% 11.88% 81.58%-2.92 -9.2 8
1936-10-17 Coleraine W 5-345.0 1448 1327 70.74% 12.14% 17.12%+1.48 +9.0 11
1936-10-17 @ Glentoran L 3-545.0 1327 1448 17.12% 12.14% 70.74%-1.48 -9.0 6
1936-10-17 Ballymena United L 1-257.3 1491 1262 78.08% 12.01% 9.91%+2.32 -25.4 12
1936-10-17 @ Larne W 2-157.3 1262 1491 9.91% 12.01% 78.08%-2.32 +25.4 5
1936-10-17 Bangor W 2-144.0 1576 1396 75.11% 12.08% 12.81%+1.93 +4.7 12
1936-10-17 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-244.0 1396 1576 12.81% 12.08% 75.11%-1.93 -4.7 8
1936-10-17 Linfield D 0-070.3 1547 1732 33.22% 12.21% 54.58%-0.87 +1.9 12
1936-10-17 @ Newry Town D 0-070.3 1732 1547 54.58% 12.21% 33.22%+0.87 -1.9 18
1936-10-17 Ards L 0-151.2 1446 1496 51.98% 12.24% 35.78%+0.17 -18.0 8
1936-10-17 @ Portadown W 1-051.2 1496 1446 35.78% 12.24% 51.98%-0.17 +17.9 13
1936-10-24 Glentoran W 2-041.1 1514 1457 64.75% 12.20% 23.05%+0.99 +16.2 15
1936-10-24 @ Ards L 0-241.1 1457 1514 23.05% 12.20% 64.75%-0.99 -16.2 11
1936-10-24 Portadown L 1-343.2 1287 1428 39.09% 12.23% 48.69%-0.54 -22.7 5
1936-10-24 @ Ballymena United W 3-143.2 1428 1287 48.69% 12.23% 39.09%+0.54 +22.7 10
1936-10-24 Derry City L 1-643.6 1392 1715 18.20% 12.08% 69.72%-1.93 -25.2 8
1936-10-24 @ Bangor W 6-143.6 1715 1392 69.72% 12.08% 18.20%+1.93 +25.2 21
1936-10-24 Belfast Celtic L 0-147.1 1388 1773 13.46% 11.99% 74.55%-2.41 -5.2 8
1936-10-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-047.1 1773 1388 74.55% 11.99% 13.46%+2.41 +5.2 19
1936-10-24 Newry Town W 2-154.6 1318 1549 27.57% 12.17% 60.26%-1.22 +19.5 8
1936-10-24 @ Coleraine L 1-254.6 1549 1318 60.26% 12.17% 27.57%+1.22 -19.5 12
1936-10-24 Larne W 5-037.3 1404 1466 50.30% 12.24% 37.47%+0.07 +59.1 7
1936-10-24 @ Glenavon L 0-537.3 1466 1404 37.47% 12.24% 50.30%-0.07 -59.1 12
1936-10-24 Lisburn Distillery W 5-043.3 1730 1581 72.95% 12.12% 14.94%+1.70 +25.3 20
1936-10-24 @ Linfield L 0-543.3 1581 1730 14.94% 12.12% 72.95%-1.70 -25.3 12
1936-11-07 Bangor W 5-036.5 1778 1366 84.61% 11.67% 3.73%+3.72 +6.5 21
1936-11-07 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-536.5 1366 1778 3.73% 11.67% 84.61%-3.72 -6.5 8
1936-11-07 Lisburn Distillery W 5-252.9 1740 1555 75.43% 12.07% 12.49%+1.97 +9.7 23
1936-11-07 @ Derry City L 2-552.9 1555 1740 12.49% 12.07% 75.43%-1.97 -9.7 12
1936-11-07 Ballymena United W 8-231.3 1440 1264 74.88% 12.08% 13.04%+1.91 +18.0 13
1936-11-07 @ Glentoran L 2-831.3 1264 1440 13.04% 12.08% 74.88%-1.91 -18.0 5
1936-11-07 Cliftonville L 3-461.1 1407 1383 61.16% 12.21% 26.62%+0.74 -18.3 12
1936-11-07 @ Larne W 4-361.1 1383 1407 26.62% 12.21% 61.16%-0.74 +18.3 10
1936-11-07 Coleraine W 4-141.6 1755 1337 84.74% 11.66% 3.61%+3.76 +3.3 22
1936-11-07 @ Linfield L 1-441.6 1337 1755 3.61% 11.66% 84.74%-3.76 -3.3 8
1936-11-07 Ards W 4-148.4 1529 1530 58.24% 12.22% 29.54%+0.55 +25.0 14
1936-11-07 @ Newry Town L 1-448.4 1530 1529 29.54% 12.22% 58.24%-0.55 -25.0 15
1936-11-07 Glenavon W 2-041.5 1451 1463 56.82% 12.23% 30.95%+0.46 +21.3 12
1936-11-07 @ Portadown L 0-241.5 1463 1451 30.95% 12.23% 56.82%-0.46 -21.3 7
1936-11-14 Derry City W 4-260.9 1785 1750 62.40% 12.21% 25.39%+0.82 +13.8 23
1936-11-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-460.9 1750 1785 25.39% 12.21% 62.40%-0.82 -13.8 23
1936-11-14 Lisburn Distillery W 1-050.9 1334 1546 29.84% 12.19% 57.98%-1.08 +19.9 10
1936-11-14 @ Coleraine L 0-150.9 1546 1334 57.98% 12.19% 29.84%+1.08 -19.9 12
1936-11-14 Glenavon W 5-245.8 1458 1442 60.31% 12.22% 27.48%+0.68 +20.3 15
1936-11-14 @ Glentoran L 2-545.8 1442 1458 27.48% 12.22% 60.31%-0.68 -20.3 7
1936-11-14 Bangor W 4-349.8 1389 1360 61.68% 12.21% 26.11%+0.77 +8.4 14
1936-11-14 @ Larne L 3-449.8 1360 1389 26.11% 12.21% 61.68%-0.77 -8.4 8
1936-11-14 Ards W 3-149.5 1758 1505 79.26% 11.98% 8.76%+2.50 +5.6 24
1936-11-14 @ Linfield L 1-349.5 1505 1758 8.76% 11.98% 79.26%-2.50 -5.6 15
1936-11-14 Ballymena United W 5-342.3 1554 1246 81.56% 11.88% 6.56%+2.92 +3.6 16
1936-11-14 @ Newry Town L 3-542.3 1246 1554 6.56% 11.88% 81.56%-2.92 -3.6 5
1936-11-14 Cliftonville D 1-160.9 1472 1401 66.19% 12.19% 21.62%+1.10 -3.8 13
1936-11-14 @ Portadown D 1-160.9 1401 1472 21.62% 12.19% 66.19%-1.10 +3.8 11
1936-11-21 Coleraine D 1-160.3 1499 1354 72.68% 12.12% 15.20%+1.67 -5.0 16
1936-11-21 @ Ards D 1-160.3 1354 1499 15.20% 12.12% 72.68%-1.67 +4.9 11
1936-11-21 Linfield L 0-733.1 1243 1764 6.64% 11.74% 81.62%-3.46 -15.8 5
1936-11-21 @ Ballymena United W 7-033.1 1764 1243 81.62% 11.74% 6.64%+3.46 +15.8 26
1936-11-21 Portadown L 1-346.2 1352 1468 42.53% 12.23% 45.24%-0.35 -24.5 8
1936-11-21 @ Bangor W 3-146.2 1468 1352 45.24% 12.23% 42.53%+0.35 +24.5 15
1936-11-21 Glentoran D 3-369.5 1405 1479 48.65% 12.24% 39.12%-0.02 -0.5 12
1936-11-21 @ Cliftonville D 3-369.5 1479 1405 39.12% 12.24% 48.65%+0.02 +0.5 16
1936-11-21 Larne W 4-143.5 1736 1397 82.63% 11.82% 5.54%+3.16 +5.1 25
1936-11-21 @ Derry City L 1-443.5 1397 1736 5.54% 11.82% 82.63%-3.16 -5.1 14
1936-11-21 Newry Town W 3-153.0 1422 1558 39.81% 12.23% 47.96%-0.50 +27.2 9
1936-11-21 @ Glenavon L 1-353.0 1558 1422 47.96% 12.23% 39.81%+0.50 -27.2 16
1936-11-21 Belfast Celtic L 1-256.5 1526 1799 22.98% 12.14% 64.89%-1.55 -8.1 12
1936-11-21 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-156.5 1799 1526 64.89% 12.14% 22.98%+1.55 +8.1 25
1936-11-28 Lisburn Distillery W 3-149.5 1494 1518 55.40% 12.23% 32.37%+0.37 +19.2 18
1936-11-28 @ Ards L 1-349.5 1518 1494 32.37% 12.23% 55.40%-0.37 -19.2 12
1936-11-28 Ballymena United W 1-033.4 1359 1227 71.64% 12.13% 16.23%+1.57 +6.2 13
1936-11-28 @ Coleraine L 0-133.4 1227 1359 16.23% 12.13% 71.64%-1.57 -6.2 5
1936-11-28 Bangor W 6-132.6 1479 1327 73.19% 12.11% 14.70%+1.72 +20.6 18
1936-11-28 @ Glentoran L 1-632.6 1327 1479 14.70% 12.11% 73.19%-1.72 -20.6 8
1936-11-28 Belfast Celtic D 1-171.7 1392 1807 11.59% 11.95% 76.46%-2.64 +5.6 15
1936-11-28 @ Larne D 1-171.7 1807 1392 76.46% 11.95% 11.59%+2.64 -5.6 26
1936-11-28 Glenavon W 3-041.6 1780 1449 82.36% 11.84% 5.80%+3.09 +6.3 28
1936-11-28 @ Linfield L 0-341.6 1449 1780 5.80% 11.84% 82.36%-3.09 -6.3 9
1936-11-28 Cliftonville W 7-136.3 1530 1404 71.16% 12.14% 16.70%+1.52 +27.5 18
1936-11-28 @ Newry Town L 1-736.3 1404 1530 16.70% 12.14% 71.16%-1.52 -27.5 12
1936-11-28 Derry City L 1-255.9 1493 1741 25.60% 12.16% 62.24%-1.36 -8.9 15
1936-11-28 @ Portadown W 2-155.9 1741 1493 62.24% 12.16% 25.60%+1.36 +8.9 27
1936-12-05 Ards W 4-149.8 1221 1514 20.97% 12.12% 66.91%-1.70 +53.0 7
1936-12-05 @ Ballymena United L 1-449.8 1514 1221 66.91% 12.12% 20.97%+1.70 -53.0 18
1936-12-05 Newry Town W 2-155.3 1306 1558 25.23% 12.16% 62.61%-1.38 +20.2 10
1936-12-05 @ Bangor L 1-255.3 1558 1306 62.61% 12.16% 25.23%+1.38 -20.2 18
1936-12-05 Portadown L 1-371.7 1801 1484 81.89% 11.87% 6.24%+2.99 -46.3 26
1936-12-05 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-171.7 1484 1801 6.24% 11.87% 81.89%-2.99 +46.3 17
1936-12-05 Linfield L 0-244.2 1377 1786 11.93% 11.96% 76.11%-2.59 -8.7 12
1936-12-05 @ Cliftonville W 2-044.2 1786 1377 76.11% 11.96% 11.93%+2.59 +8.7 30
1936-12-05 Glentoran W 4-147.3 1750 1500 79.11% 11.98% 8.91%+2.47 +8.1 29
1936-12-05 @ Derry City L 1-447.3 1500 1750 8.91% 11.98% 79.11%-2.47 -8.0 18
1936-12-05 Coleraine W 3-245.7 1443 1365 66.83% 12.18% 20.99%+1.15 +7.1 11
1936-12-05 @ Glenavon L 2-345.7 1365 1443 20.99% 12.18% 66.83%-1.15 -7.1 13
1936-12-05 Larne L 2-362.5 1499 1398 69.02% 12.16% 18.82%+1.33 -21.2 12
1936-12-05 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-262.5 1398 1499 18.82% 12.16% 69.02%-1.33 +21.2 17
1936-12-12 Glenavon L 0-446.0 1461 1450 59.64% 12.22% 28.14%+0.63 -73.2 18
1936-12-12 @ Ards W 4-046.0 1450 1461 28.14% 12.22% 59.64%-0.63 +73.2 13
1936-12-12 Lisburn Distillery W 3-149.1 1274 1477 30.82% 12.19% 56.98%-1.02 +32.0 9
1936-12-12 @ Ballymena United L 1-349.1 1477 1274 56.98% 12.19% 30.82%+1.02 -32.0 12
1936-12-12 Cliftonville W 2-036.8 1358 1368 57.07% 12.23% 30.71%+0.47 +21.1 15
1936-12-12 @ Coleraine L 0-236.8 1368 1358 30.71% 12.23% 57.07%-0.47 -21.1 12
1936-12-12 Belfast Celtic L 2-458.1 1492 1755 23.99% 12.15% 63.86%-1.47 -13.0 18
1936-12-12 @ Glentoran W 4-258.1 1755 1492 63.86% 12.15% 23.99%+1.47 +13.0 28
1936-12-12 Bangor W 7-241.7 1795 1327 85.73% 11.53% 2.73%+4.15 +3.3 32
1936-12-12 @ Linfield L 2-741.7 1327 1795 2.73% 11.53% 85.73%-4.15 -3.3 10
1936-12-12 Derry City W 1-063.5 1538 1758 28.81% 12.18% 59.01%-1.14 +20.2 20
1936-12-12 @ Newry Town L 0-163.5 1758 1538 59.01% 12.18% 28.81%+1.14 -20.2 29
1936-12-12 Larne W 5-244.6 1530 1419 69.94% 12.15% 17.90%+1.41 +13.6 19
1936-12-12 @ Portadown L 2-544.6 1419 1530 17.90% 12.15% 69.94%-1.41 -13.6 17
1936-12-19 Coleraine W 2-144.1 1323 1379 51.14% 12.24% 36.62%+0.12 +12.4 12
1936-12-19 @ Bangor L 1-244.1 1379 1323 36.62% 12.24% 51.14%-0.12 -12.4 15
1936-12-19 Newry Town W 4-149.0 1768 1558 76.97% 12.04% 10.99%+2.16 +9.9 30
1936-12-19 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-449.0 1558 1768 10.99% 12.04% 76.97%-2.16 -9.9 20
1936-12-19 Ards W 4-246.4 1347 1387 53.20% 12.24% 34.56%+0.24 +18.2 14
1936-12-19 @ Cliftonville L 2-446.4 1387 1347 34.56% 12.24% 53.20%-0.24 -18.2 18
1936-12-19 Linfield W 2-162.0 1738 1798 50.55% 12.24% 37.22%+0.09 +12.6 31
1936-12-19 @ Derry City L 1-262.0 1798 1738 37.22% 12.24% 50.55%-0.09 -12.6 32
1936-12-19 Ballymena United W 5-238.6 1523 1306 77.39% 12.03% 10.58%+2.22 +8.2 15
1936-12-19 @ Glenavon L 2-538.6 1306 1523 10.58% 12.03% 77.39%-2.22 -8.2 9
1936-12-19 Glentoran W 4-251.2 1405 1479 48.68% 12.24% 39.08%-0.02 +20.3 19
1936-12-19 @ Larne L 2-451.2 1479 1405 39.08% 12.24% 48.68%+0.02 -20.3 18
1936-12-19 Portadown L 1-352.5 1445 1544 45.17% 12.24% 42.59%-0.21 -25.8 12
1936-12-19 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-152.5 1544 1445 42.59% 12.24% 45.17%+0.21 +25.8 21
1936-12-25 Bangor L 0-148.4 1369 1336 62.22% 12.21% 25.57%+0.81 -21.3 18
1936-12-25 @ Ards W 1-048.4 1336 1369 25.57% 12.21% 62.22%-0.81 +21.3 14
1936-12-25 Cliftonville L 1-345.7 1297 1365 49.46% 12.24% 38.30%+0.03 -28.0 9
1936-12-25 @ Ballymena United W 3-145.7 1365 1297 38.30% 12.24% 49.46%-0.03 +28.0 16
1936-12-25 Derry City D 1-169.5 1367 1750 13.56% 12.00% 74.45%-2.40 +5.3 16
1936-12-25 @ Coleraine D 1-169.5 1750 1367 74.45% 12.00% 13.56%+2.40 -5.3 32
1936-12-25 Lisburn Distillery W 4-140.9 1531 1420 69.93% 12.15% 17.91%+1.41 +15.7 17
1936-12-25 @ Glenavon L 1-440.9 1420 1531 17.91% 12.15% 69.93%-1.41 -15.7 12
1936-12-25 Portadown L 2-359.6 1458 1570 43.33% 12.23% 44.44%-0.30 -13.6 18
1936-12-25 @ Glentoran W 3-259.6 1570 1458 44.44% 12.23% 43.33%+0.30 +13.6 23
1936-12-25 Belfast Celtic L 1-268.7 1785 1778 59.25% 12.22% 28.53%+0.61 -19.2 32
1936-12-25 @ Linfield W 2-168.7 1778 1785 28.53% 12.22% 59.25%-0.61 +19.2 32
1936-12-25 Larne L 0-353.2 1548 1425 70.88% 12.14% 16.97%+1.49 -66.7 20
1936-12-25 @ Newry Town W 3-053.2 1425 1548 16.97% 12.14% 70.88%-1.49 +66.7 21
1936-12-26 Ballymena United W 2-032.4 1357 1269 67.80% 12.17% 20.02%+1.23 +14.2 16
1936-12-26 @ Bangor L 0-232.4 1269 1357 20.02% 12.17% 67.80%-1.23 -14.3 9
1936-12-26 Coleraine W 5-037.1 1797 1372 84.89% 11.64% 3.47%+3.82 +6.0 34
1936-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-537.1 1372 1797 3.47% 11.64% 84.89%-3.82 -6.0 16
1936-12-26 Glenavon W 3-045.9 1393 1547 37.40% 12.22% 50.38%-0.63 +47.8 18
1936-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 0-345.9 1547 1393 50.38% 12.22% 37.40%+0.63 -47.8 17
1936-12-26 Ards W 3-143.7 1745 1348 84.26% 11.70% 4.04%+3.61 +2.6 34
1936-12-26 @ Derry City L 1-343.7 1348 1745 4.04% 11.70% 84.26%-3.61 -2.6 18
1936-12-26 Linfield L 0-347.3 1492 1766 22.84% 12.14% 65.02%-1.56 -23.4 21
1936-12-26 @ Larne W 3-047.3 1766 1492 65.02% 12.14% 22.84%+1.56 +23.4 34
1936-12-26 Glentoran W 1-043.0 1404 1445 53.13% 12.24% 34.64%+0.24 +12.5 14
1936-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-143.0 1445 1404 34.64% 12.24% 53.13%-0.24 -12.5 18
1936-12-26 Newry Town D 0-064.9 1583 1481 69.09% 12.16% 18.75%+1.33 -4.8 24
1936-12-26 @ Portadown D 0-064.9 1481 1583 18.75% 12.16% 69.09%-1.33 +4.8 21
1937-01-02 Belfast Celtic L 0-538.3 1345 1803 9.29% 11.87% 78.84%-2.97 -16.0 18
1937-01-02 @ Ards W 5-038.3 1803 1345 78.84% 11.87% 9.29%+2.97 +16.0 36
1937-01-02 Derry City L 1-439.6 1255 1748 7.73% 11.80% 80.47%-3.24 -7.0 9
1937-01-02 @ Ballymena United W 4-139.6 1748 1255 80.47% 11.80% 7.73%+3.24 +7.0 36
1937-01-02 Lisburn Distillery W 7-447.9 1441 1416 61.23% 12.21% 26.56%+0.74 +17.3 20
1937-01-02 @ Cliftonville L 4-747.9 1416 1441 26.56% 12.21% 61.23%-0.74 -17.3 14
1937-01-02 Larne D 2-263.8 1366 1469 44.54% 12.24% 43.22%-0.24 -0.1 17
1937-01-02 @ Coleraine D 2-263.8 1469 1366 43.22% 12.24% 44.54%+0.24 +0.1 22
1937-01-02 Bangor W 4-031.8 1499 1371 71.29% 12.14% 16.57%+1.53 +22.6 19
1937-01-02 @ Glenavon L 0-431.8 1371 1499 16.57% 12.14% 71.29%-1.53 -22.6 16
1937-01-02 Portadown L 1-273.1 1790 1579 77.04% 12.04% 10.92%+2.17 -25.0 34
1937-01-02 @ Linfield W 2-173.1 1579 1790 10.92% 12.04% 77.04%-2.17 +25.0 26
1937-01-02 Glentoran L 1-257.6 1486 1432 64.45% 12.20% 23.36%+0.97 -20.8 21
1937-01-02 @ Newry Town W 2-157.6 1432 1486 23.36% 12.20% 64.45%-0.97 +20.8 20
1937-01-16 Cliftonville D 1-159.1 1349 1458 43.57% 12.23% 44.20%-0.29 +0.0 17
1937-01-16 @ Bangor D 1-159.1 1458 1349 44.20% 12.23% 43.57%+0.29 -0.0 21
1937-01-16 Ballymena United W 4-034.0 1819 1248 87.20% 11.26% 1.54%+4.94 +2.2 38
1937-01-16 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-434.0 1248 1819 1.54% 11.26% 87.20%-4.94 -2.2 9
1937-01-16 Glenavon W 5-251.8 1755 1522 78.25% 12.01% 9.74%+2.34 +7.6 38
1937-01-16 @ Derry City L 2-551.8 1522 1755 9.74% 12.01% 78.25%-2.34 -7.6 19
1937-01-16 Linfield L 2-358.0 1453 1765 19.25% 12.09% 68.66%-1.84 -6.5 20
1937-01-16 @ Glentoran W 3-258.0 1765 1453 68.66% 12.09% 19.25%+1.84 +6.5 36
1937-01-16 Ards W 9-131.6 1469 1329 72.24% 12.13% 15.64%+1.62 +33.9 24
1937-01-16 @ Larne L 1-931.6 1329 1469 15.64% 12.13% 72.24%-1.62 -33.9 18
1937-01-16 Newry Town L 0-343.2 1399 1465 49.68% 12.24% 38.08%+0.04 -47.2 14
1937-01-16 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-043.2 1465 1399 38.08% 12.24% 49.68%-0.04 +47.2 23
1937-01-16 Coleraine W 3-141.0 1604 1366 78.49% 12.00% 9.51%+2.38 +6.1 28
1937-01-16 @ Portadown L 1-341.0 1366 1604 9.51% 12.00% 78.49%-2.38 -6.1 17
1937-01-23 Portadown L 1-341.6 1295 1610 18.99% 12.09% 68.92%-1.87 -11.7 18
1937-01-23 @ Ards W 3-141.6 1610 1295 68.92% 12.09% 18.99%+1.87 +11.7 30
1937-01-23 Larne L 1-339.3 1246 1503 24.66% 12.15% 63.19%-1.42 -15.0 9
1937-01-23 @ Ballymena United W 3-139.3 1503 1246 63.19% 12.15% 24.66%+1.42 +15.0 26
1937-01-23 Lisburn Distillery W 4-032.2 1349 1352 57.94% 12.23% 29.84%+0.53 +39.1 19
1937-01-23 @ Bangor L 0-432.2 1352 1349 29.84% 12.23% 57.94%-0.53 -39.1 14
1937-01-23 Derry City D 2-276.1 1458 1762 19.92% 12.10% 67.98%-1.79 +3.0 22
1937-01-23 @ Cliftonville D 2-276.1 1762 1458 67.98% 12.10% 19.92%+1.79 -3.0 39
1937-01-23 Glentoran L 0-145.6 1360 1447 46.82% 12.24% 40.95%-0.12 -16.3 17
1937-01-23 @ Coleraine W 1-045.6 1447 1360 40.95% 12.24% 46.82%+0.12 +16.3 22
1937-01-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-550.0 1514 1821 19.65% 12.10% 68.25%-1.81 -22.1 19
1937-01-23 @ Glenavon W 5-150.0 1821 1514 68.25% 12.10% 19.65%+1.81 +22.1 40
1937-01-23 Newry Town W 4-041.7 1771 1513 79.50% 11.97% 8.53%+2.54 +12.0 38
1937-01-23 @ Linfield L 0-441.7 1513 1771 8.53% 11.97% 79.50%-2.54 -12.0 23
1937-01-30 Bangor W 5-247.4 1759 1388 83.59% 11.76% 4.65%+3.41 +3.7 41
1937-01-30 @ Derry City L 2-547.4 1388 1759 4.65% 11.76% 83.59%-3.41 -3.7 19
1937-01-30 Ards W 2-137.6 1463 1284 75.08% 12.08% 12.84%+1.93 +4.7 24
1937-01-30 @ Glentoran L 1-237.6 1284 1463 12.84% 12.08% 75.08%-1.93 -4.7 18
1937-01-30 Glenavon W 3-147.6 1518 1492 61.35% 12.21% 26.43%+0.75 +16.0 28
1937-01-30 @ Larne L 1-347.6 1492 1518 26.43% 12.21% 61.35%-0.75 -16.0 19
1937-01-30 Coleraine W 7-030.0 1501 1343 73.56% 12.11% 14.34%+1.76 +33.4 25
1937-01-30 @ Newry Town L 0-730.0 1343 1501 14.34% 12.11% 73.56%-1.76 -33.4 17
1937-01-30 Ballymena United W 4-133.4 1621 1231 84.09% 11.72% 4.19%+3.55 +3.8 32
1937-01-30 @ Portadown L 1-433.4 1231 1621 4.19% 11.72% 84.09%-3.55 -3.8 9
1937-02-06 Newry Town L 0-236.7 1279 1534 24.84% 12.15% 63.00%-1.41 -17.4 18
1937-02-06 @ Ards W 2-036.7 1534 1279 63.00% 12.15% 24.84%+1.41 +17.4 27
1937-02-06 Glentoran D 4-468.6 1227 1468 26.46% 12.17% 61.37%-1.30 +1.6 10
1937-02-06 @ Ballymena United D 4-468.6 1468 1227 61.37% 12.17% 26.46%+1.30 -1.6 25
1937-02-06 Belfast Celtic L 0-841.2 1384 1843 9.22% 11.87% 78.91%-2.98 -24.8 19
1937-02-06 @ Bangor W 8-041.2 1843 1384 78.91% 11.87% 9.22%+2.98 +24.8 42
1937-02-06 Larne W 5-358.2 1461 1534 48.86% 12.24% 38.90%-0.01 +19.1 24
1937-02-06 @ Cliftonville L 3-558.2 1534 1461 38.90% 12.24% 48.86%+0.01 -19.1 28
1937-02-06 Linfield L 0-338.8 1310 1783 8.57% 11.84% 79.59%-3.09 -9.2 17
1937-02-06 @ Coleraine W 3-038.8 1783 1310 79.59% 11.84% 8.57%+3.09 +9.2 40
1937-02-06 Portadown W 2-053.8 1476 1625 37.99% 12.22% 49.79%-0.60 +32.5 21
1937-02-06 @ Glenavon L 0-253.8 1625 1476 49.79% 12.22% 37.99%+0.60 -32.5 32
1937-02-06 Derry City L 1-344.9 1313 1763 9.66% 11.88% 78.45%-2.91 -6.1 14
1937-02-06 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.9 1763 1313 78.45% 11.88% 9.66%+2.91 +6.1 43
1937-02-08 Linfield L 0-437.2 1307 1792 8.03% 11.82% 80.15%-3.18 -11.2 14
1937-02-08 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-037.2 1792 1307 80.15% 11.82% 8.03%+3.18 +11.2 42
1937-02-15 Cliftonville W 4-253.4 1868 1480 84.02% 11.72% 4.26%+3.53 +2.5 44
1937-02-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-453.4 1480 1868 4.26% 11.72% 84.02%-3.53 -2.5 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1936-12-05 6.24% Portadown 1484 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1801 1
2 1936-10-17 9.91% Ballymena United 1262 2 @ Larne 1491 1
3 1937-01-02 10.92% Portadown 1579 2 @ Linfield 1790 1
4 1936-10-10 13.58% @ Glenavon 1364 3 Derry City 1748 1
5 1936-12-25 16.97% Larne 1425 3 @ Newry Town 1548 0
6 1936-09-26 17.82% Portadown 1457 2 @ Newry Town 1569 1
7 1936-08-20 18.32% Ards 1335 2 @ Coleraine 1442 0
8 1936-12-05 18.82% Larne 1398 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1499 2
9 1936-08-15 19.57% Coleraine 1419 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1512 1
10 1936-10-10 19.94% Bangor 1352 2 @ Cliftonville 1441 0
11 1936-09-12 20.28% Larne 1500 4 @ Glentoran 1585 2
12 1936-12-05 20.97% @ Ballymena United 1221 4 Ards 1514 1
13 1937-01-02 23.36% Glentoran 1432 2 @ Newry Town 1486 1
14 1936-12-05 25.23% @ Bangor 1306 2 Newry Town 1558 1
15 1936-12-25 25.57% Bangor 1336 1 @ Ards 1369 0
16 1936-11-07 26.62% Cliftonville 1383 4 @ Larne 1407 3
17 1936-10-24 27.57% @ Coleraine 1318 2 Newry Town 1549 1
18 1936-12-12 28.14% Glenavon 1450 4 @ Ards 1461 0
19 1936-09-26 28.15% Lisburn Distillery 1514 5 @ Glentoran 1525 0
20 1936-09-26 28.41% Bangor 1301 5 @ Ballymena United 1310 2
21 1936-12-25 28.53% Belfast Celtic 1778 2 @ Linfield 1785 1
22 1936-12-12 28.81% @ Newry Town 1538 1 Derry City 1758 0
23 1936-11-14 29.84% @ Coleraine 1334 1 Lisburn Distillery 1546 0
24 1936-09-26 30.51% Cliftonville 1410 6 @ Glenavon 1401 4
25 1936-09-05 30.63% Ards 1417 2 @ Glenavon 1407 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1936-09-26 90.22 Lisburn Distillery 5 1514 28.15% @ Glentoran 0 1525 59.63% 12.22%
2 1936-10-10 75.63 @ Ards 5 1420 38.31% Larne 0 1567 49.47% 12.22%
3 1936-12-12 73.21 Glenavon 4 1450 28.14% @ Ards 0 1461 59.64% 12.22%
4 1936-12-25 66.67 Larne 3 1425 16.97% @ Newry Town 0 1548 70.88% 12.14%
5 1936-10-24 59.09 @ Glenavon 5 1404 50.30% Larne 0 1466 37.47% 12.24%
6 1936-12-05 52.96 @ Ballymena United 4 1221 20.97% Ards 1 1514 66.91% 12.12%
7 1936-09-19 51.48 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1660 47.16% Linfield 0 1745 40.60% 12.24%
8 1936-12-26 47.76 @ Cliftonville 3 1393 37.40% Glenavon 0 1547 50.38% 12.22%
9 1937-01-16 47.16 Newry Town 3 1465 38.08% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1399 49.68% 12.24%
10 1936-12-05 46.30 Portadown 3 1484 6.24% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1801 81.89% 11.87%
11 1936-08-20 45.00 Ards 2 1335 18.32% @ Coleraine 0 1442 69.52% 12.16%
12 1936-10-10 43.91 Bangor 2 1352 19.94% @ Cliftonville 0 1441 67.89% 12.17%
13 1936-08-29 43.44 @ Ards 6 1373 54.96% Ballymena United 1 1400 32.81% 12.23%
14 1936-10-10 41.79 @ Glenavon 3 1364 13.58% Derry City 1 1748 74.42% 12.00%
15 1936-09-26 40.75 Bangor 5 1301 28.41% @ Ballymena United 2 1310 59.36% 12.22%
16 1937-01-23 39.06 @ Bangor 4 1349 57.94% Lisburn Distillery 0 1352 29.84% 12.23%
17 1937-01-16 33.88 @ Larne 9 1469 72.24% Ards 1 1329 15.64% 12.13%
18 1936-09-12 33.83 Larne 4 1500 20.28% @ Glentoran 2 1585 67.55% 12.18%
19 1937-01-30 33.43 @ Newry Town 7 1501 73.56% Coleraine 0 1343 14.34% 12.11%
20 1937-02-06 32.53 @ Glenavon 2 1476 37.99% Portadown 0 1625 49.79% 12.22%
21 1936-08-22 32.41 Newry Town 6 1592 52.14% @ Cliftonville 2 1425 35.64% 12.21%
22 1936-12-12 31.97 @ Ballymena United 3 1274 30.82% Lisburn Distillery 1 1477 56.98% 12.19%
23 1936-09-19 31.50 @ Larne 4 1533 49.54% Newry Town 1 1601 38.22% 12.24%
24 1936-09-26 31.10 Belfast Celtic 6 1712 72.44% @ Coleraine 0 1355 15.53% 12.04%
25 1936-09-05 30.86 @ Larne 3 1469 56.88% Portadown 0 1480 30.89% 12.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1936-09-12 78.8 @ Linfield 2 1747 60.31% Derry City 2 1730 27.47% 12.22%
2 1936-09-05 76.6 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1662 67.07% Glentoran 2 1582 20.75% 12.18%
3 1937-01-23 76.1 @ Cliftonville 2 1458 19.92% Derry City 2 1762 67.98% 12.10%
4 1936-08-29 73.5 Derry City 5 1686 41.44% @ Glentoran 4 1596 46.32% 12.24%
5 1937-01-02 73.1 Portadown 2 1579 10.92% @ Linfield 1 1790 77.04% 12.04%
6 1936-11-28 71.7 @ Larne 1 1392 11.59% Belfast Celtic 1 1807 76.46% 11.95%
7 1936-12-05 71.7 Portadown 3 1484 6.24% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1801 81.89% 11.87%
8 1936-08-15 70.8 @ Cliftonville 3 1432 50.71% Portadown 3 1491 37.06% 12.24%
9 1936-10-17 70.3 @ Newry Town 0 1547 33.22% Linfield 0 1732 54.58% 12.21%
10 1936-08-29 70.1 @ Portadown 1 1479 33.24% Belfast Celtic 1 1664 54.56% 12.21%
11 1936-09-12 70.1 @ Newry Town 0 1602 50.99% Belfast Celtic 0 1659 36.77% 12.24%
12 1936-11-21 69.5 @ Cliftonville 3 1405 48.65% Glentoran 3 1479 39.12% 12.24%
13 1936-12-25 69.5 @ Coleraine 1 1367 13.56% Derry City 1 1750 74.45% 12.00%
14 1936-12-25 68.7 Belfast Celtic 2 1778 28.53% @ Linfield 1 1785 59.25% 12.22%
15 1937-02-06 68.6 @ Ballymena United 4 1227 26.46% Glentoran 4 1468 61.37% 12.17%
16 1936-09-12 66.9 Larne 4 1500 20.28% @ Glentoran 2 1585 67.55% 12.18%
17 1936-10-03 66.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1604 74.34% Cliftonville 1 1436 13.57% 12.09%
18 1936-10-10 65.6 @ Glenavon 3 1364 13.58% Derry City 1 1748 74.42% 12.00%
19 1936-12-26 64.9 @ Portadown 0 1583 69.09% Newry Town 0 1481 18.75% 12.16%
20 1936-09-26 64.3 Derry City 5 1739 66.50% @ Ards 4 1450 21.38% 12.12%
21 1936-09-05 63.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1480 70.95% Ballymena United 2 1357 16.91% 12.14%
22 1937-01-02 63.8 @ Coleraine 2 1366 44.54% Larne 2 1469 43.22% 12.24%
23 1936-12-12 63.5 @ Newry Town 1 1538 28.81% Derry City 0 1758 59.01% 12.18%
24 1936-09-26 63.2 Portadown 2 1457 17.82% @ Newry Town 1 1569 70.03% 12.15%
25 1936-12-05 62.5 Larne 3 1398 18.82% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1499 69.02% 12.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1936-10-03 30.0 @ Larne 4 1553 78.02% Coleraine 0 1324 9.97% 12.01%
2 1937-01-30 30.0 @ Newry Town 7 1501 73.56% Coleraine 0 1343 14.34% 12.11%
3 1936-11-07 31.3 @ Glentoran 8 1440 74.88% Ballymena United 2 1264 13.04% 12.08%
4 1937-01-16 31.6 @ Larne 9 1469 72.24% Ards 1 1329 15.64% 12.13%
5 1937-01-02 31.8 @ Glenavon 4 1499 71.29% Bangor 0 1371 16.57% 12.14%
6 1937-01-23 32.2 @ Bangor 4 1349 57.94% Lisburn Distillery 0 1352 29.84% 12.23%
7 1936-12-26 32.4 @ Bangor 2 1357 67.80% Ballymena United 0 1269 20.02% 12.17%
8 1936-11-28 32.6 @ Glentoran 6 1479 73.19% Bangor 1 1327 14.70% 12.11%
9 1936-11-21 33.1 Linfield 7 1764 81.62% @ Ballymena United 0 1243 6.64% 11.74%
10 1936-11-28 33.4 @ Coleraine 1 1359 71.64% Ballymena United 0 1227 16.23% 12.13%
11 1937-01-30 33.4 @ Portadown 4 1621 84.09% Ballymena United 1 1231 4.19% 11.72%
12 1937-01-16 34.0 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1819 87.20% Ballymena United 0 1248 1.54% 11.26%
13 1936-08-29 35.6 @ Newry Town 5 1624 81.28% Bangor 1 1324 6.83% 11.90%
14 1936-09-19 36.0 @ Derry City 4 1732 83.55% Coleraine 0 1362 4.69% 11.76%
15 1936-09-19 36.3 @ Cliftonville 4 1390 65.14% Ballymena United 1 1329 22.66% 12.19%
16 1936-11-28 36.3 @ Newry Town 7 1530 71.16% Cliftonville 1 1404 16.70% 12.14%
17 1936-10-03 36.4 @ Derry City 2 1746 85.88% Ballymena United 0 1269 2.60% 11.51%
18 1936-11-07 36.5 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1778 84.61% Bangor 0 1366 3.73% 11.67%
19 1937-02-06 36.7 Newry Town 2 1534 63.00% @ Ards 0 1279 24.84% 12.15%
20 1936-12-12 36.8 @ Coleraine 2 1358 57.07% Cliftonville 0 1368 30.71% 12.23%
21 1936-08-19 36.9 @ Linfield 4 1707 81.58% Ballymena United 0 1398 6.54% 11.88%
22 1936-10-17 36.9 @ Derry City 4 1706 81.58% Cliftonville 0 1397 6.54% 11.88%
23 1936-12-26 37.1 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1797 84.89% Coleraine 0 1372 3.47% 11.64%
24 1937-02-08 37.2 Linfield 4 1792 80.15% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1307 8.03% 11.82%
25 1936-10-24 37.3 @ Glenavon 5 1404 50.30% Larne 0 1466 37.47% 12.24%