‹ ›

1937-38 Irish League Season

182 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ballymena United

9.40 points above expected

33 points · 23.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Larne

8.47 points below expected

15 points · 23.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 18 5 3 41 88 24 +64 39.73 +1.27
2 Derry City 26 20 1 5 41 81 40 +41 35.19 +5.81
3 Linfield 26 16 5 5 37 78 38 +40 36.13 +0.87
4 Portadown 26 16 5 5 37 67 32 +35 35.87 +1.13
5 Ballymena United 26 14 5 7 33 72 55 +17 23.60 +9.40
6 Glentoran 26 15 2 9 32 64 57 +7 29.13 +2.87
7 Newry Town 26 10 6 10 26 63 49 +14 28.72 -2.72
8 Lisburn Distillery 26 10 6 10 26 51 61 -10 20.35 +5.65
9 Ards 26 7 4 15 18 43 66 -23 20.98 -2.98
10 Glenavon 26 6 5 15 17 36 65 -29 20.39 -3.39
11 Bangor 26 7 2 17 16 39 62 -23 16.94 -0.94
12 Coleraine 26 5 5 16 15 40 75 -35 18.48 -3.48
13 Larne 26 6 3 17 15 48 87 -39 23.47 -8.47
14 Cliftonville 26 2 6 18 10 27 86 -59 15.02 -5.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ballymena United 33 23.60 +9.40
2 Derry City 41 35.19 +5.81
3 Lisburn Distillery 26 20.35 +5.65
4 Glentoran 32 29.13 +2.87
5 Belfast Celtic 41 39.73 +1.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Larne 15 23.47 -8.47
2 Cliftonville 10 15.02 -5.02
3 Coleraine 15 18.48 -3.48
4 Glenavon 17 20.39 -3.39
5 Ards 18 20.98 -2.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 10 Aug 23 – Oct 16 1 in 698
2 Glentoran 7 Dec 4 – Jan 15 1 in 262
3 Ballymena United 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 202
4 Derry City 7 Aug 28 – Oct 9 1 in 36
5 Lisburn Distillery 2 Sep 11 – Sep 18 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 11 Aug 25 – Nov 6 1 in 228
2 Coleraine 9 Nov 27 – Jan 22 1 in 148
3 Glentoran 3 Jan 22 – Feb 5 1 in 107
4 Ards 5 Sep 25 – Oct 30 1 in 52
5 Larne 7 Dec 25 – Feb 5 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena United 9 Sep 25 – Nov 27 1 in 2,127
2 Cliftonville 6 Nov 13 – Dec 18 1 in 589
3 Lisburn Distillery 7 Dec 4 – Jan 15 1 in 163
4 Portadown 17 Aug 23 – Dec 11 1 in 83
5 Ards 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 15 Aug 21 – Nov 20 1 in 69
2 Larne 7 Oct 30 – Dec 11 1 in 60
3 Coleraine 11 Nov 27 – Feb 5 1 in 26
4 Ards 8 Sep 25 – Nov 20 1 in 23
5 Glenavon 6 Oct 16 – Nov 27 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1853 41 +35 10 8.5 +1.5
Derry City 1720 41 +81 10 7.5 +2.5
Linfield 1776 37 +15 7 6.7 +0.3
Portadown 1668 37 -57 5 6.1 -1.1
Ballymena United 1643 33 +15 7 6.5 +0.5
Glentoran 1547 32 -103 4 5.6 -1.6
Lisburn Distillery 1471 26 +33 7 6.0 +1.0
Newry Town 1526 26 +24 6 6.0 +0.0
Ards 1325 18 +4 5 4.7 +0.3
Glenavon 1323 17 +36 5 3.6 +1.4
Bangor 1415 16 +72 2 2.2 -0.2
Coleraine 1247 15 -50 1 2.8 -1.8
Larne 1259 15 -98 0 2.2 -2.2
Cliftonville 1226 10 -8 1 1.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN BC CLI COL DC GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
0.80
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
3.14
0-0-2
2.12
1-1-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.20
Ballymena United
1-0-1
3.22
—
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
1.23
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
1.08
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
1.94
2-0-0
3.13
0-2-0
1.68
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.46
Bangor
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.27
—
0-0-2
0.86
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
1.22
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.61
0-0-2
0.84
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.86
1-0-1
4.43
2-0-0
4.81
—
2-0-0
5.23
2-0-0
5.07
1-0-1
3.74
1-1-0
4.83
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
3.22
0-1-1
4.80
0-2-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.33
Cliftonville
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
0.46
—
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
0.71
0-2-0
2.05
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
0.80
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
0.80
Coleraine
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
3.24
0-0-2
0.60
1-0-1
3.66
—
0-0-2
1.10
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.18
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.02
Derry City
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
4.57
2-0-0
4.50
1-0-1
1.91
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.56
—
2-0-0
4.53
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
2.74
Glenavon
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
0.84
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
1.13
—
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
0.79
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
1.93
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
4.44
0-0-2
1.38
2-0-0
4.76
1-1-0
4.14
0-1-1
1.73
2-0-0
3.48
—
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.05
Larne
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
3.68
0-0-2
0.70
1-0-1
3.85
0-1-1
3.47
0-0-2
1.37
1-1-0
3.20
0-0-2
1.80
—
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.15
Linfield
2-0-0
4.52
0-2-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.72
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
4.87
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
4.28
—
1-1-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.64
0-1-1
3.13
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
0.87
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.07
—
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
1.00
Newry Town
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.04
0-2-0
1.57
1-1-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.17
1-0-1
1.83
2-0-0
3.87
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
3.95
—
0-1-1
1.75
Portadown
1-1-0
4.45
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.82
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
4.51
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
4.65
1-1-0
3.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +5.5
Allowed 0.83 -5.2
Differential 0.95 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.10%1.10%3.85%3.57%2.47%3.57%15.66%
11.10%8.24%6.04%4.67%4.12%2.75%26.92%
23.85%6.04%3.85%3.02%1.65%2.75%21.15%
33.57%4.67%3.02%2.75%1.10%1.10%16.21%
42.47%4.12%1.65%1.10%0.55%—9.89%
5+3.57%2.75%2.75%1.10%——10.16%
Total15.66%26.92%21.15%16.21%9.89%10.16%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.19 +0.00
SD 1.80 1.80 2.94
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%7.69%—7.69%23.08%
1—11.54%—15.38%11.54%—38.46%
2—7.69%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total7.69%26.92%15.38%23.08%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 2.54 -0.88
SD 1.67 1.68 2.88
CV 1.01 0.66 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
13.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—7.69%7.69%—3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
Total11.54%34.62%26.92%7.69%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 2.12 +0.65
SD 1.99 1.93 2.94
CV 0.72 0.91 —
Max 7 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———11.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
1—3.85%26.92%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
23.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%19.23%30.77%30.77%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.38 -0.88
SD 1.27 1.17 2.07
CV 0.85 0.49 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%————11.54%
1—7.69%————7.69%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%—11.54%——19.23%
411.54%15.38%————26.92%
5+11.54%11.54%————23.08%
Total30.77%57.69%—11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 0.92 +2.46
SD 2.06 0.89 2.45
CV 0.61 0.97 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%30.77%
1—15.38%3.85%23.08%3.85%—46.15%
2——3.85%7.69%—3.85%15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%15.38%11.54%34.62%7.69%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 3.31 -2.27
SD 1.00 2.31 2.78
CV 0.96 0.70 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%26.92%
1—11.54%11.54%—7.69%—30.77%
23.85%—7.69%—7.69%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total7.69%15.38%30.77%7.69%23.08%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.88 -1.35
SD 1.68 1.95 2.86
CV 1.09 0.67 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————3.85%3.85%
13.85%—3.85%—3.85%7.69%19.23%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
315.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
47.69%7.69%————15.38%
5+—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
Total30.77%38.46%11.54%3.85%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.12 1.54 +1.58
SD 2.08 1.82 3.28
CV 0.67 1.18 —
Max 9 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
1—11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
23.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total3.85%26.92%30.77%11.54%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.50 -1.12
SD 1.13 1.66 2.18
CV 0.82 0.66 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%——3.85%
13.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%34.62%
211.54%————3.85%15.38%
3—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
43.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
5+———7.69%——7.69%
Total19.23%11.54%30.77%23.08%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 2.19 +0.27
SD 1.73 1.63 2.46
CV 0.70 0.74 —
Max 8 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.69%11.54%—19.23%
1—11.54%———7.69%19.23%
2—3.85%—15.38%—7.69%26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%—7.69%7.69%26.92%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total3.85%19.23%7.69%26.92%19.23%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 3.35 -1.50
SD 1.26 2.00 2.40
CV 0.68 0.60 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%———7.69%
1—11.54%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
27.69%3.85%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%7.69%————15.38%
5+7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
Total26.92%34.62%26.92%3.85%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.46 +1.54
SD 2.08 1.61 3.00
CV 0.69 1.10 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
13.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—7.69%26.92%
2—11.54%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
3—11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total7.69%30.77%23.08%15.38%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.35 -0.38
SD 1.37 1.65 2.25
CV 0.70 0.70 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%———11.54%
1—7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
3———3.85%——3.85%
43.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
5+11.54%—3.85%———15.38%
Total19.23%23.08%30.77%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 1.88 +0.54
SD 1.77 1.51 2.75
CV 0.73 0.80 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%——3.85%3.85%—11.54%
1—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
215.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
37.69%——3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
5+11.54%—3.85%———15.38%
Total38.46%23.08%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.58 1.23 +1.35
SD 1.92 1.24 2.62
CV 0.75 1.01 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Belfast Celtic 1869 41 39.73 +1.27 70.0% 30 32 37 40 42 45 49
Linfield 1776 37 36.13 +0.87 63.0% 27 29 34 36 39 42 45
Derry City 1704 41 35.19 +5.81 96.0% 23 29 33 35 38 41 43
Portadown 1668 37 35.87 +1.13 65.0% 28 29 34 36 39 41 43
Ballymena United 1643 33 23.60 +9.40 100.0% 10 16 21 24 26 29 32
Glentoran 1547 32 29.13 +2.87 76.0% 21 22 26 29 32 35 37
Newry Town 1526 26 28.72 -2.72 29.0% 20 22 26 29 32 35 37
Lisburn Distillery 1471 26 20.35 +5.65 97.0% 12 14 18 21 23 26 31
Bangor 1415 16 16.94 -0.94 51.0% 9 11 14 16 19 23 25
Ards 1325 18 20.98 -2.98 25.0% 5 15 18 21 24 27 30
Glenavon 1323 17 20.39 -3.39 20.0% 13 15 18 20 22 26 30
Larne 1259 15 23.47 -8.47 3.0% 15 16 20 23 27 31 36
Coleraine 1247 15 18.48 -3.48 22.0% 9 12 16 18 21 25 27
Cliftonville 1226 10 15.02 -5.02 12.0% 8 9 12 15 17 21 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.18%
Strong Edge
53.85%16.48%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
085.69400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.90 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Belfast Celtic, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.07 * Some Luck: 3.07 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.15 * Wild Swing: 6.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.66 points
Lucky
03.8410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.463
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Ballymena United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Larne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 208.91
2.32
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
88%
Wide Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
39%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
40%
Very Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Belfast Celtic 5
Derry City 3

Leg 1: Belfast Celtic 2-2 Derry City

Leg 2: Belfast Celtic 3-1 Derry City

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic66.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%—————————
Derry City8.00%25.00%23.00%28.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%——————
Linfield13.00%30.00%27.00%20.00%7.00%3.00%————————
Portadown13.00%25.00%24.00%25.00%7.00%6.00%————————
Ballymena United———1.00%10.00%20.00%18.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
Glentoran—2.00%5.00%13.00%25.00%26.00%16.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%————
Newry Town—3.00%8.00%7.00%32.00%25.00%11.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%———
Lisburn Distillery————1.00%—11.00%12.00%15.00%19.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%
Ards—————4.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%19.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%
Glenavon————1.00%—6.00%14.00%17.00%15.00%20.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%
Bangor——————1.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%26.00%21.00%
Coleraine—————1.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%16.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%12.00%
Larne——1.00%—6.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%
Cliftonville——————1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%27.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1937-08-21 Cliftonville W 6-039.8 1358 1488 40.95% 17.86% 41.19%-0.29 +92.9 2
1937-08-21 @ Ards L 0-639.8 1488 1358 41.19% 17.86% 40.95%+0.29 -92.9 0
1937-08-21 Glentoran L 0-145.0 1346 1481 40.19% 17.86% 41.95%-0.33 -17.4 0
1937-08-21 @ Ballymena United W 1-045.0 1481 1346 41.95% 17.86% 40.19%+0.33 +17.4 2
1937-08-21 Portadown W 4-043.8 1721 1554 71.69% 17.45% 10.87%+1.69 +19.5 2
1937-08-21 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-443.8 1554 1721 10.87% 17.45% 71.69%-1.69 -19.5 0
1937-08-21 Linfield L 0-440.8 1374 1682 19.45% 17.54% 63.01%-1.48 -33.2 0
1937-08-21 @ Coleraine W 4-040.8 1682 1374 63.01% 17.54% 19.45%+1.48 +33.2 2
1937-08-21 Larne L 3-468.8 1506 1509 57.32% 17.83% 24.85%+0.55 -20.8 0
1937-08-21 @ Glenavon W 4-368.8 1509 1506 24.85% 17.83% 57.32%-0.55 +20.8 2
1937-08-21 Derry City L 1-349.0 1386 1648 23.97% 17.66% 58.36%-1.18 -18.3 0
1937-08-21 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-149.0 1648 1386 58.36% 17.66% 23.97%+1.18 +18.3 2
1937-08-21 Bangor W 5-034.5 1532 1413 68.56% 17.59% 13.85%+1.37 +30.2 2
1937-08-21 @ Newry Town L 0-534.5 1413 1532 13.85% 17.59% 68.56%-1.37 -30.2 0
1937-08-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-251.0 1383 1741 15.29% 17.38% 67.34%-1.82 -7.0 0
1937-08-23 @ Bangor W 2-151.0 1741 1383 67.34% 17.38% 15.29%+1.82 +7.0 4
1937-08-23 Glenavon D 1-158.5 1395 1485 46.40% 17.87% 35.73%-0.03 -1.0 1
1937-08-23 @ Cliftonville D 1-158.5 1485 1395 35.73% 17.87% 46.40%+0.03 +1.0 1
1937-08-23 Ballymena United W 9-136.2 1666 1329 78.89% 16.71% 4.40%+2.82 +12.8 4
1937-08-23 @ Derry City L 1-936.2 1329 1666 4.40% 16.71% 78.89%-2.82 -12.8 0
1937-08-23 Newry Town W 4-257.2 1498 1563 49.93% 17.87% 32.20%+0.14 +21.1 4
1937-08-23 @ Glentoran L 2-457.2 1563 1498 32.20% 17.87% 49.93%-0.14 -21.1 2
1937-08-23 Coleraine D 1-158.4 1530 1341 72.94% 17.37% 9.70%+1.83 -6.6 3
1937-08-23 @ Larne D 1-158.4 1341 1530 9.70% 17.37% 72.94%-1.83 +6.6 1
1937-08-23 Lisburn Distillery D 2-270.4 1716 1367 79.20% 16.65% 4.15%+2.90 -6.0 3
1937-08-23 @ Linfield D 2-270.4 1367 1716 4.15% 16.65% 79.20%-2.90 +6.0 1
1937-08-23 Ards W 2-040.7 1534 1451 65.72% 17.68% 16.60%+1.13 +15.2 2
1937-08-23 @ Portadown L 0-240.7 1451 1534 16.60% 17.68% 65.72%-1.13 -15.2 2
1937-08-25 Cliftonville W 8-239.1 1348 1394 52.21% 17.86% 29.93%+0.26 +48.6 3
1937-08-25 @ Coleraine L 2-839.1 1394 1348 29.93% 17.86% 52.21%-0.26 -48.6 1
1937-08-25 Portadown L 0-252.7 1486 1550 50.04% 17.87% 32.09%+0.15 -39.6 1
1937-08-25 @ Glenavon W 2-052.7 1550 1486 32.09% 17.87% 50.04%-0.15 +39.6 4
1937-08-25 Larne W 6-355.4 1710 1524 72.76% 17.38% 9.86%+1.81 +9.2 5
1937-08-25 @ Linfield L 3-655.4 1524 1710 9.86% 17.38% 72.76%-1.81 -9.2 3
1937-08-25 Ballymena United D 4-466.8 1373 1316 63.44% 17.74% 18.82%+0.95 -2.4 2
1937-08-25 @ Lisburn Distillery D 4-466.8 1316 1373 18.82% 17.74% 63.44%-0.95 +2.4 1
1937-08-25 Derry City W 4-158.5 1542 1679 39.76% 17.86% 42.38%-0.35 +42.0 4
1937-08-25 @ Newry Town L 1-458.5 1679 1542 42.38% 17.86% 39.76%+0.35 -42.0 4
1937-08-26 Bangor W 2-141.6 1436 1376 63.76% 17.73% 18.51%+0.98 +8.4 4
1937-08-26 @ Ards L 1-241.6 1376 1436 18.51% 17.73% 63.76%-0.98 -8.4 0
1937-08-26 Glentoran W 6-146.4 1748 1520 74.88% 17.22% 7.90%+2.09 +14.7 6
1937-08-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-646.4 1520 1748 7.90% 17.22% 74.88%-2.09 -14.7 4
1937-08-28 Newry Town D 2-263.6 1319 1583 23.73% 17.66% 58.61%-1.20 +2.5 2
1937-08-28 @ Ballymena United D 2-263.6 1583 1319 58.61% 17.66% 23.73%+1.20 -2.5 5
1937-08-28 Glenavon L 1-250.5 1367 1447 47.88% 17.87% 34.25%+0.04 -19.0 0
1937-08-28 @ Bangor W 2-150.5 1447 1367 34.25% 17.87% 47.88%-0.04 +19.0 3
1937-08-28 Linfield L 0-242.8 1345 1719 14.15% 17.32% 68.53%-1.92 -13.1 1
1937-08-28 @ Cliftonville W 2-042.8 1719 1345 68.53% 17.32% 14.15%+1.92 +13.1 7
1937-08-28 Belfast Celtic W 1-059.9 1637 1762 41.55% 17.86% 40.59%-0.26 +17.5 6
1937-08-28 @ Derry City L 0-159.9 1762 1637 40.59% 17.86% 41.55%+0.26 -17.5 6
1937-08-28 Ards W 2-040.0 1505 1445 63.74% 17.73% 18.53%+0.97 +16.8 6
1937-08-28 @ Glentoran L 0-240.0 1445 1505 18.53% 17.73% 63.74%-0.97 -16.8 4
1937-08-28 Lisburn Distillery W 4-244.8 1514 1371 70.21% 17.52% 12.27%+1.53 +8.9 5
1937-08-28 @ Larne L 2-444.8 1371 1514 12.27% 17.52% 70.21%-1.53 -8.9 2
1937-08-28 Coleraine W 4-247.4 1589 1396 73.14% 17.36% 9.50%+1.86 +7.0 6
1937-08-28 @ Portadown L 2-447.4 1396 1589 9.50% 17.36% 73.14%-1.86 -7.0 3
1937-09-04 Derry City L 2-554.5 1428 1655 28.00% 17.74% 54.26%-0.94 -25.6 4
1937-09-04 @ Ards W 5-254.5 1655 1428 54.26% 17.74% 28.00%+0.94 +25.6 8
1937-09-04 Ballymena United W 3-143.4 1745 1321 81.03% 16.22% 2.75%+3.40 +2.3 8
1937-09-04 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-343.4 1321 1745 2.75% 16.22% 81.03%-3.40 -2.3 2
1937-09-04 Bangor D 1-155.2 1389 1348 61.93% 17.76% 20.31%+0.85 -4.1 4
1937-09-04 @ Coleraine D 1-155.2 1348 1389 20.31% 17.76% 61.93%-0.85 +4.1 1
1937-09-04 Glentoran L 0-447.8 1466 1522 51.00% 17.87% 31.14%+0.20 -76.4 3
1937-09-04 @ Glenavon W 4-047.8 1522 1466 31.14% 17.87% 51.00%-0.20 +76.4 8
1937-09-04 Cliftonville W 3-138.4 1523 1332 73.04% 17.36% 9.60%+1.85 +7.9 7
1937-09-04 @ Larne L 1-338.4 1332 1523 9.60% 17.36% 73.04%-1.85 -7.9 1
1937-09-04 Portadown L 2-572.4 1732 1596 69.68% 17.54% 12.77%+1.48 -58.1 7
1937-09-04 @ Linfield W 5-272.4 1596 1732 12.77% 17.54% 69.68%-1.48 +58.1 8
1937-09-04 Newry Town L 1-248.7 1362 1581 28.96% 17.75% 53.29%-0.89 -12.4 2
1937-09-04 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-148.7 1581 1362 53.29% 17.75% 28.96%+0.89 +12.4 7
1937-09-11 Ards L 1-445.4 1319 1402 47.40% 17.87% 34.73%+0.02 -46.2 2
1937-09-11 @ Ballymena United W 4-145.4 1402 1319 34.73% 17.87% 47.40%-0.02 +46.2 6
1937-09-11 Linfield L 1-248.5 1352 1674 18.25% 17.50% 64.25%-1.57 -8.3 1
1937-09-11 @ Bangor W 2-148.5 1674 1352 64.25% 17.50% 18.25%+1.57 +8.3 9
1937-09-11 Lisburn Distillery L 1-348.6 1324 1349 54.78% 17.85% 27.37%+0.40 -37.3 1
1937-09-11 @ Cliftonville W 3-148.6 1349 1324 27.37% 17.85% 54.78%-0.40 +37.3 4
1937-09-11 Glenavon W 2-040.3 1680 1389 77.40% 16.94% 5.65%+2.51 +5.5 10
1937-09-11 @ Derry City L 0-240.3 1389 1680 5.65% 16.94% 77.40%-2.51 -5.5 3
1937-09-11 Coleraine D 1-162.3 1598 1385 74.16% 17.28% 8.56%+1.99 -6.9 9
1937-09-11 @ Glentoran D 1-162.3 1385 1598 8.56% 17.28% 74.16%-1.99 +6.9 5
1937-09-11 Belfast Celtic D 3-380.3 1593 1747 37.49% 17.84% 44.66%-0.45 +0.4 8
1937-09-11 @ Newry Town D 3-380.3 1747 1593 44.66% 17.84% 37.49%+0.45 -0.4 9
1937-09-11 Larne W 3-044.3 1654 1531 68.82% 17.58% 13.60%+1.39 +18.4 10
1937-09-11 @ Portadown L 0-344.3 1531 1654 13.60% 17.58% 68.82%-1.39 -18.4 7
1937-09-18 Newry Town W 6-255.5 1448 1594 38.66% 17.85% 43.50%-0.40 +47.0 8
1937-09-18 @ Ards L 2-655.5 1594 1448 43.50% 17.85% 38.66%+0.40 -47.0 8
1937-09-18 Portadown L 0-836.0 1287 1673 13.31% 17.27% 69.42%-2.00 -45.2 1
1937-09-18 @ Cliftonville W 8-036.0 1673 1287 69.42% 17.27% 13.31%+2.00 +45.2 12
1937-09-18 Derry City L 1-251.2 1392 1686 20.78% 17.58% 61.64%-1.39 -9.3 5
1937-09-18 @ Coleraine W 2-151.2 1686 1392 61.64% 17.58% 20.78%+1.39 +9.3 12
1937-09-18 Ballymena United W 2-032.0 1384 1273 67.95% 17.61% 14.43%+1.31 +13.4 5
1937-09-18 @ Glenavon L 0-232.0 1273 1384 14.43% 17.61% 67.95%-1.31 -13.4 2
1937-09-18 Bangor W 3-032.5 1513 1344 71.78% 17.44% 10.78%+1.70 +14.8 9
1937-09-18 @ Larne L 0-332.5 1344 1513 10.78% 17.44% 71.78%-1.70 -14.8 1
1937-09-18 Glentoran W 5-255.6 1682 1591 66.36% 17.66% 15.98%+1.18 +15.6 11
1937-09-18 @ Linfield L 2-555.6 1591 1682 15.98% 17.66% 66.36%-1.18 -15.6 9
1937-09-18 Belfast Celtic W 1-063.4 1387 1747 15.13% 17.37% 67.50%-1.83 +28.0 6
1937-09-18 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-163.4 1747 1387 67.50% 17.37% 15.13%+1.83 -28.0 9
1937-09-25 Coleraine W 6-244.3 1259 1383 41.80% 17.86% 40.33%-0.25 +44.1 4
1937-09-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-644.3 1383 1259 40.33% 17.86% 41.80%+0.25 -44.1 5
1937-09-25 Cliftonville W 3-242.5 1329 1242 66.08% 17.67% 16.25%+1.15 +7.1 3
1937-09-25 @ Bangor L 2-342.5 1242 1329 16.25% 17.67% 66.08%-1.15 -7.1 1
1937-09-25 Ards W 6-041.5 1719 1495 74.66% 17.24% 8.10%+2.06 +21.6 11
1937-09-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-641.5 1495 1719 8.10% 17.24% 74.66%-2.06 -21.6 8
1937-09-25 Linfield W 7-152.4 1695 1698 57.39% 17.83% 24.78%+0.55 +49.9 14
1937-09-25 @ Derry City L 1-752.4 1698 1695 24.78% 17.83% 57.39%-0.55 -49.9 11
1937-09-25 Larne W 3-256.5 1576 1528 62.60% 17.75% 19.65%+0.89 +8.4 11
1937-09-25 @ Glentoran L 2-356.5 1528 1576 19.65% 17.75% 62.60%-0.89 -8.4 9
1937-09-25 Glenavon W 4-140.4 1547 1397 70.59% 17.50% 11.91%+1.57 +13.7 10
1937-09-25 @ Newry Town L 1-440.4 1397 1547 11.91% 17.50% 70.59%-1.57 -13.7 5
1937-09-25 Lisburn Distillery W 6-038.5 1718 1415 77.83% 16.88% 5.29%+2.60 +14.3 14
1937-09-25 @ Portadown L 0-638.5 1415 1718 5.29% 16.88% 77.83%-2.60 -14.2 6
1937-10-02 Glentoran L 1-339.4 1235 1584 15.95% 17.41% 66.64%-1.76 -12.7 1
1937-10-02 @ Cliftonville W 3-139.4 1584 1235 66.64% 17.41% 15.95%+1.76 +12.7 13
1937-10-02 Newry Town D 2-263.5 1339 1561 28.60% 17.75% 53.65%-0.91 +1.8 6
1937-10-02 @ Coleraine D 2-263.5 1561 1339 53.65% 17.75% 28.60%+0.91 -1.8 11
1937-10-02 Belfast Celtic D 1-167.2 1384 1740 15.39% 17.38% 67.23%-1.81 +5.3 6
1937-10-02 @ Glenavon D 1-167.2 1740 1384 67.23% 17.38% 15.39%+1.81 -5.3 12
1937-10-02 Derry City L 2-362.9 1519 1745 28.14% 17.74% 54.12%-0.94 -11.5 9
1937-10-02 @ Larne W 3-262.9 1745 1519 54.12% 17.74% 28.14%+0.94 +11.5 16
1937-10-02 Ballymena United D 1-161.3 1648 1303 79.09% 16.67% 4.24%+2.87 -8.0 12
1937-10-02 @ Linfield D 1-161.3 1303 1648 4.24% 16.67% 79.09%-2.87 +8.0 5
1937-10-02 Ards W 3-146.2 1400 1474 48.74% 17.87% 33.39%+0.08 +24.3 8
1937-10-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.2 1474 1400 33.39% 17.87% 48.74%-0.08 -24.4 8
1937-10-02 Bangor W 3-037.3 1732 1336 80.41% 16.38% 3.20%+3.21 +4.5 16
1937-10-02 @ Portadown L 0-337.3 1336 1732 3.20% 16.38% 80.41%-3.21 -4.5 3
1937-10-09 Glenavon L 1-354.3 1449 1389 63.75% 17.73% 18.52%+0.97 -43.2 8
1937-10-09 @ Ards W 3-154.3 1389 1449 18.52% 17.73% 63.75%-0.97 +43.2 8
1937-10-09 Larne W 3-256.1 1311 1508 31.81% 17.79% 50.40%-0.74 +18.9 7
1937-10-09 @ Ballymena United L 2-356.1 1508 1311 50.40% 17.79% 31.81%+0.74 -18.9 9
1937-10-09 Lisburn Distillery D 3-364.5 1332 1425 46.07% 17.87% 36.06%-0.05 -0.6 4
1937-10-09 @ Bangor D 3-364.5 1425 1332 36.06% 17.87% 46.07%+0.05 +0.6 9
1937-10-09 Coleraine W 4-142.3 1735 1340 80.39% 16.39% 3.22%+3.21 +3.8 14
1937-10-09 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-442.3 1340 1735 3.22% 16.39% 80.39%-3.21 -3.8 6
1937-10-09 Cliftonville W 4-031.9 1757 1222 83.01% 15.49% 1.50%+4.14 +2.7 18
1937-10-09 @ Derry City L 0-431.9 1222 1757 1.50% 15.49% 83.01%-4.14 -2.7 1
1937-10-09 Portadown L 1-262.5 1597 1737 39.43% 17.85% 42.72%-0.36 -16.1 13
1937-10-09 @ Glentoran W 2-162.5 1737 1597 42.72% 17.85% 39.43%+0.36 +16.1 18
1937-10-09 Linfield L 0-257.0 1559 1640 47.69% 17.87% 34.43%+0.03 -37.9 11
1937-10-09 @ Newry Town W 2-057.0 1640 1559 34.43% 17.87% 47.69%-0.03 +37.9 14
1937-10-16 Glentoran W 2-156.0 1331 1581 25.43% 17.69% 56.88%-1.09 +22.3 6
1937-10-16 @ Bangor L 1-256.0 1581 1331 56.88% 17.69% 25.43%+1.09 -22.3 13
1937-10-16 Ballymena United L 1-344.4 1219 1330 43.57% 17.87% 38.56%-0.17 -30.4 1
1937-10-16 @ Cliftonville W 3-144.4 1330 1219 38.56% 17.87% 43.57%+0.17 +30.4 9
1937-10-16 Ards W 3-143.0 1336 1406 49.22% 17.87% 32.91%+0.11 +24.0 8
1937-10-16 @ Coleraine L 1-343.0 1406 1336 32.91% 17.87% 49.22%-0.11 -24.0 8
1937-10-16 Newry Town W 2-151.0 1489 1521 53.96% 17.85% 28.19%+0.36 +12.2 11
1937-10-16 @ Larne L 1-251.0 1521 1489 28.19% 17.85% 53.96%-0.36 -12.2 11
1937-10-16 Belfast Celtic L 0-260.6 1678 1739 50.30% 17.87% 31.83%+0.16 -39.8 14
1937-10-16 @ Linfield W 2-060.6 1739 1678 31.83% 17.87% 50.30%-0.16 +39.8 16
1937-10-16 Glenavon W 2-144.9 1425 1432 56.91% 17.83% 25.26%+0.53 +11.1 11
1937-10-16 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-244.9 1432 1425 25.26% 17.83% 56.91%-0.53 -11.1 8
1937-10-16 Derry City W 2-159.3 1753 1759 56.95% 17.83% 25.22%+0.53 +11.1 20
1937-10-16 @ Portadown L 1-259.3 1759 1753 25.22% 17.83% 56.95%-0.53 -11.0 18
1937-10-30 Linfield L 0-342.4 1382 1638 24.70% 17.68% 57.62%-1.14 -31.5 8
1937-10-30 @ Ards W 3-042.4 1638 1382 57.62% 17.68% 24.70%+1.14 +31.5 16
1937-10-30 Portadown D 1-167.3 1361 1764 12.19% 17.20% 70.61%-2.12 +6.0 10
1937-10-30 @ Ballymena United D 1-167.3 1764 1361 70.61% 17.20% 12.19%+2.12 -6.0 21
1937-10-30 Larne W 5-147.0 1779 1501 76.93% 17.00% 6.07%+2.42 +9.3 18
1937-10-30 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-547.0 1501 1779 6.07% 17.00% 76.93%-2.42 -9.3 11
1937-10-30 Bangor W 4-143.2 1748 1354 80.39% 16.39% 3.22%+3.21 +3.8 20
1937-10-30 @ Derry City L 1-443.2 1354 1748 3.22% 16.39% 80.39%-3.21 -3.8 6
1937-10-30 Coleraine L 0-346.6 1421 1361 63.76% 17.73% 18.51%+0.98 -72.5 8
1937-10-30 @ Glenavon W 3-046.6 1361 1421 18.51% 17.73% 63.76%-0.98 +72.5 10
1937-10-30 Lisburn Distillery W 5-352.4 1558 1436 68.72% 17.58% 13.69%+1.38 +9.4 15
1937-10-30 @ Glentoran L 3-552.4 1436 1558 13.69% 17.58% 68.72%-1.38 -9.4 11
1937-10-30 Cliftonville W 6-025.6 1509 1189 78.36% 16.80% 4.84%+2.70 +13.1 13
1937-10-30 @ Newry Town L 0-625.6 1189 1509 4.84% 16.80% 78.36%-2.70 -13.1 1
1937-11-06 Ballymena United L 0-343.1 1350 1367 55.74% 17.84% 26.42%+0.46 -63.5 6
1937-11-06 @ Bangor W 3-043.1 1367 1350 26.42% 17.84% 55.74%-0.46 +63.5 12
1937-11-06 Belfast Celtic L 1-438.3 1176 1788 4.06% 16.11% 79.83%-3.51 -4.8 1
1937-11-06 @ Cliftonville W 4-138.3 1788 1176 79.83% 16.11% 4.06%+3.51 +4.8 20
1937-11-06 Lisburn Distillery W 2-038.7 1433 1427 58.33% 17.82% 23.86%+0.61 +21.1 12
1937-11-06 @ Coleraine L 0-238.7 1427 1433 23.86% 17.82% 58.33%-0.61 -21.1 11
1937-11-06 Derry City D 3-380.0 1568 1752 33.35% 17.81% 48.85%-0.66 +0.9 16
1937-11-06 @ Glentoran D 3-380.0 1752 1568 48.85% 17.81% 33.35%+0.66 -0.9 21
1937-11-06 Ards D 1-157.5 1492 1351 70.05% 17.53% 12.42%+1.51 -6.0 12
1937-11-06 @ Larne D 1-157.5 1351 1492 12.42% 17.53% 70.05%-1.51 +6.0 9
1937-11-06 Glenavon W 3-248.7 1669 1349 78.39% 16.79% 4.81%+2.71 +2.2 18
1937-11-06 @ Linfield L 2-348.7 1349 1669 4.81% 16.79% 78.39%-2.71 -2.2 8
1937-11-06 Newry Town W 4-148.9 1758 1522 75.24% 17.19% 7.57%+2.15 +8.9 23
1937-11-06 @ Portadown L 1-448.9 1522 1758 7.57% 17.19% 75.24%-2.15 -8.9 13
1937-11-13 Newry Town W 2-046.2 1286 1513 28.04% 17.74% 54.22%-0.94 +42.6 8
1937-11-13 @ Bangor L 0-246.2 1513 1286 54.22% 17.74% 28.04%+0.94 -42.6 13
1937-11-13 Ards D 1-153.3 1171 1356 33.23% 17.81% 48.97%-0.66 +1.5 2
1937-11-13 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.3 1356 1171 48.97% 17.81% 33.23%+0.66 -1.5 10
1937-11-13 Lisburn Distillery W 3-040.5 1751 1406 79.11% 16.67% 4.22%+2.87 +6.0 23
1937-11-13 @ Derry City L 0-340.5 1406 1751 4.22% 16.67% 79.11%-2.87 -6.0 11
1937-11-13 Ballymena United L 1-263.0 1569 1430 69.87% 17.54% 12.60%+1.49 -27.5 16
1937-11-13 @ Glentoran W 2-163.0 1430 1569 12.60% 17.54% 69.87%-1.49 +27.5 14
1937-11-13 Glenavon D 1-157.3 1486 1346 69.94% 17.53% 12.53%+1.50 -5.9 13
1937-11-13 @ Larne D 1-157.3 1346 1486 12.53% 17.53% 69.94%-1.50 +5.9 9
1937-11-13 Coleraine W 8-040.4 1672 1454 74.38% 17.26% 8.36%+2.02 +29.3 20
1937-11-13 @ Linfield L 0-840.4 1454 1672 8.36% 17.26% 74.38%-2.02 -29.3 12
1937-11-13 Belfast Celtic D 3-381.4 1767 1793 54.70% 17.85% 27.45%+0.40 -1.6 24
1937-11-13 @ Portadown D 3-381.4 1793 1767 27.45% 17.85% 54.70%-0.40 +1.6 21
1937-11-20 Portadown D 2-271.5 1355 1765 11.77% 17.18% 71.06%-2.17 +4.6 11
1937-11-20 @ Ards D 2-271.5 1765 1355 71.06% 17.18% 11.77%+2.17 -4.6 25
1937-11-20 Derry City W 5-057.7 1458 1757 20.25% 17.57% 62.18%-1.43 +113.6 16
1937-11-20 @ Ballymena United L 0-557.7 1757 1458 62.18% 17.57% 20.25%+1.43 -113.6 23
1937-11-20 Bangor W 4-037.3 1794 1329 81.86% 15.95% 2.19%+3.68 +4.0 23
1937-11-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-437.3 1329 1794 2.19% 15.95% 81.86%-3.68 -4.0 8
1937-11-20 Larne W 3-252.8 1425 1480 51.11% 17.87% 31.02%+0.21 +12.5 14
1937-11-20 @ Coleraine L 2-352.8 1480 1425 31.02% 17.87% 51.11%-0.21 -12.5 13
1937-11-20 Cliftonville D 2-257.7 1352 1173 72.41% 17.40% 10.19%+1.77 -4.8 10
1937-11-20 @ Glenavon D 2-257.7 1173 1352 10.19% 17.40% 72.41%-1.77 +4.8 3
1937-11-20 Linfield L 1-547.2 1400 1701 20.13% 17.56% 62.31%-1.44 -28.6 11
1937-11-20 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-147.2 1701 1400 62.31% 17.56% 20.13%+1.44 +28.6 22
1937-11-20 Glentoran L 2-362.1 1470 1541 49.05% 17.87% 33.08%+0.10 -18.4 13
1937-11-20 @ Newry Town W 3-262.1 1541 1470 33.08% 17.87% 49.05%-0.10 +18.4 18
1937-11-27 Lisburn Distillery W 5-138.1 1571 1372 73.50% 17.33% 9.17%+1.90 +13.9 18
1937-11-27 @ Ballymena United L 1-538.1 1372 1571 9.17% 17.33% 73.50%-1.90 -13.8 11
1937-11-27 Ards L 1-348.4 1325 1360 53.61% 17.86% 28.53%+0.34 -36.5 8
1937-11-27 @ Bangor W 3-148.4 1360 1325 28.53% 17.86% 53.61%-0.34 +36.5 13
1937-11-27 Coleraine W 3-042.7 1177 1437 24.26% 17.67% 58.07%-1.16 +66.0 5
1937-11-27 @ Cliftonville L 0-342.7 1437 1177 58.07% 17.67% 24.26%+1.16 -66.0 14
1937-11-27 Newry Town W 3-146.8 1644 1452 73.07% 17.36% 9.57%+1.85 +7.9 25
1937-11-27 @ Derry City L 1-346.8 1452 1644 9.57% 17.36% 73.07%-1.85 -7.9 13
1937-11-27 Belfast Celtic L 1-455.7 1560 1798 26.61% 17.71% 55.67%-1.02 -28.3 18
1937-11-27 @ Glentoran W 4-155.7 1798 1560 55.67% 17.71% 26.61%+1.02 +28.3 25
1937-11-27 Linfield L 0-446.3 1467 1729 24.02% 17.66% 58.32%-1.18 -40.1 13
1937-11-27 @ Larne W 4-046.3 1729 1467 58.32% 17.66% 24.02%+1.18 +40.1 24
1937-11-27 Glenavon W 2-040.6 1761 1347 80.81% 16.28% 2.91%+3.33 +2.8 27
1937-11-27 @ Portadown L 0-240.6 1347 1761 2.91% 16.28% 80.81%-3.33 -2.8 10
1937-12-04 Glentoran L 3-460.4 1396 1531 40.13% 17.86% 42.01%-0.33 -15.2 13
1937-12-04 @ Ards W 4-360.4 1531 1396 42.01% 17.86% 40.13%+0.33 +15.2 20
1937-12-04 Derry City W 6-149.0 1827 1651 72.16% 17.42% 10.42%+1.74 +19.2 27
1937-12-04 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-649.0 1651 1827 10.42% 17.42% 72.16%-1.74 -19.2 25
1937-12-04 Portadown L 0-244.7 1371 1763 12.90% 17.25% 69.85%-2.04 -12.0 14
1937-12-04 @ Coleraine W 2-044.7 1763 1371 69.85% 17.25% 12.90%+2.04 +12.0 29
1937-12-04 Bangor W 3-243.7 1345 1288 63.39% 17.74% 18.88%+0.95 +8.1 12
1937-12-04 @ Glenavon L 2-343.7 1288 1345 18.88% 17.74% 63.39%-0.95 -8.1 8
1937-12-04 Cliftonville D 1-163.9 1770 1243 82.88% 15.55% 1.57%+4.08 -8.7 25
1937-12-04 @ Linfield D 1-163.9 1243 1770 1.57% 15.55% 82.88%-4.08 +8.7 6
1937-12-04 Larne W 5-246.3 1358 1427 49.22% 17.87% 32.90%+0.11 +29.4 13
1937-12-04 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-546.3 1427 1358 32.90% 17.87% 49.22%-0.11 -29.5 13
1937-12-04 Ballymena United W 5-257.1 1444 1585 39.25% 17.85% 42.90%-0.37 +36.7 15
1937-12-04 @ Newry Town L 2-557.1 1585 1444 42.90% 17.85% 39.25%+0.37 -36.7 18
1937-12-11 Coleraine W 2-143.7 1280 1359 47.92% 17.87% 34.21%+0.04 +14.3 10
1937-12-11 @ Bangor L 1-243.7 1359 1280 34.21% 17.87% 47.92%-0.04 -14.4 14
1937-12-11 Larne W 4-355.4 1252 1398 38.65% 17.85% 43.50%-0.40 +16.2 8
1937-12-11 @ Cliftonville L 3-455.4 1398 1252 43.50% 17.85% 38.65%+0.40 -16.2 13
1937-12-11 Glenavon W 2-035.4 1546 1353 73.17% 17.35% 9.47%+1.86 +9.0 22
1937-12-11 @ Glentoran L 0-235.4 1353 1546 9.47% 17.35% 73.17%-1.86 -9.0 12
1937-12-11 Lisburn Distillery L 1-257.5 1481 1387 66.57% 17.66% 15.77%+1.20 -26.1 15
1937-12-11 @ Newry Town W 2-157.5 1387 1481 15.77% 17.66% 66.57%-1.20 +26.1 15
1937-12-11 Linfield D 1-172.4 1776 1761 59.26% 17.81% 22.94%+0.67 -3.6 30
1937-12-11 @ Portadown D 1-172.4 1761 1776 22.94% 17.81% 59.26%-0.67 +3.6 26
1937-12-16 Ards W 3-036.6 1632 1381 75.89% 17.12% 6.99%+2.25 +9.8 27
1937-12-16 @ Derry City L 0-336.6 1381 1632 6.99% 17.12% 75.89%-2.25 -9.8 13
1937-12-18 Ballymena United L 1-348.0 1371 1548 34.29% 17.82% 47.89%-0.61 -24.9 13
1937-12-18 @ Ards W 3-148.0 1548 1371 47.89% 17.82% 34.29%+0.61 +24.9 20
1937-12-18 Newry Town D 1-171.3 1846 1454 80.31% 16.41% 3.28%+3.18 -8.3 28
1937-12-18 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-171.3 1454 1846 3.28% 16.41% 80.31%-3.18 +8.3 16
1937-12-18 Glentoran L 2-450.7 1345 1555 30.03% 17.77% 52.20%-0.83 -19.9 14
1937-12-18 @ Coleraine W 4-250.7 1555 1345 52.20% 17.77% 30.03%+0.83 +19.9 24
1937-12-18 Derry City L 1-444.5 1344 1642 20.36% 17.57% 62.07%-1.42 -22.4 12
1937-12-18 @ Glenavon W 4-144.5 1642 1344 62.07% 17.57% 20.36%+1.42 +22.4 29
1937-12-18 Portadown W 3-272.9 1382 1772 13.01% 17.26% 69.74%-2.03 +25.9 15
1937-12-18 @ Larne L 2-372.9 1772 1382 69.74% 17.26% 13.01%+2.03 -25.9 30
1937-12-18 Bangor W 4-141.2 1764 1294 81.94% 15.93% 2.14%+3.71 +2.5 28
1937-12-18 @ Linfield L 1-441.2 1294 1764 2.14% 15.93% 81.94%-3.71 -2.5 10
1937-12-18 Cliftonville D 0-051.9 1413 1268 70.30% 17.52% 12.19%+1.54 -6.7 16
1937-12-18 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-051.9 1268 1413 12.19% 17.52% 70.30%-1.54 +6.7 9
1937-12-25 Glenavon W 7-237.1 1573 1321 75.92% 17.12% 6.96%+2.25 +10.9 22
1937-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-737.1 1321 1573 6.96% 17.12% 75.92%-2.25 -10.9 12
1937-12-25 Larne W 4-354.7 1292 1407 42.92% 17.87% 39.21%-0.20 +14.9 12
1937-12-25 @ Bangor L 3-454.7 1407 1292 39.21% 17.87% 42.92%+0.20 -14.9 15
1937-12-25 Lisburn Distillery D 3-379.4 1838 1406 81.18% 16.17% 2.64%+3.45 -5.2 29
1937-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic D 3-379.4 1406 1838 2.64% 16.17% 81.18%-3.45 +5.2 17
1937-12-25 Coleraine W 4-033.5 1664 1325 78.94% 16.70% 4.36%+2.83 +8.0 31
1937-12-25 @ Derry City L 0-433.5 1325 1664 4.36% 16.70% 78.94%-2.83 -8.0 14
1937-12-25 Linfield W 2-059.8 1575 1767 32.40% 17.80% 49.80%-0.71 +39.4 26
1937-12-25 @ Glentoran L 0-259.8 1767 1575 49.80% 17.80% 32.40%+0.71 -39.4 28
1937-12-25 Ards W 4-137.0 1463 1346 68.34% 17.60% 14.07%+1.35 +16.0 18
1937-12-25 @ Newry Town L 1-437.0 1346 1463 14.07% 17.60% 68.34%-1.35 -16.0 13
1937-12-25 Cliftonville W 5-033.3 1746 1275 81.95% 15.92% 2.13%+3.71 +4.8 32
1937-12-25 @ Portadown L 0-533.3 1275 1746 2.13% 15.92% 81.95%-3.71 -4.8 9
1937-12-27 Belfast Celtic L 1-446.3 1330 1832 7.30% 16.74% 75.96%-2.78 -8.5 13
1937-12-27 @ Ards W 4-146.3 1832 1330 75.96% 16.74% 7.30%+2.78 +8.5 31
1937-12-27 Bangor L 1-347.5 1270 1307 53.42% 17.86% 28.72%+0.33 -36.4 9
1937-12-27 @ Cliftonville W 3-147.5 1307 1270 28.72% 17.86% 53.42%-0.33 +36.4 14
1937-12-27 Ballymena United L 3-649.0 1317 1584 23.50% 17.65% 58.85%-1.21 -20.4 14
1937-12-27 @ Coleraine W 6-349.0 1584 1317 58.85% 17.65% 23.50%+1.21 +20.4 24
1937-12-27 Newry Town L 2-449.3 1310 1479 35.50% 17.83% 46.67%-0.55 -22.9 12
1937-12-27 @ Glenavon W 4-249.3 1479 1310 46.67% 17.83% 35.50%+0.55 +22.9 20
1937-12-27 Glentoran L 3-849.0 1393 1615 28.59% 17.75% 53.66%-0.91 -36.0 15
1937-12-27 @ Larne W 8-349.0 1615 1393 53.66% 17.75% 28.59%+0.91 +36.0 28
1937-12-27 Derry City W 6-151.3 1728 1672 63.27% 17.74% 18.99%+0.94 +33.3 30
1937-12-27 @ Linfield L 1-651.3 1672 1728 18.99% 17.74% 63.27%-0.94 -33.3 31
1937-12-27 Portadown W 2-167.2 1412 1751 16.77% 17.44% 65.79%-1.69 +25.7 19
1937-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-267.2 1751 1412 65.79% 17.44% 16.77%+1.69 -25.7 32
1937-12-29 Belfast Celtic W 1-064.6 1605 1841 26.91% 17.72% 55.37%-1.00 +23.0 26
1937-12-29 @ Ballymena United L 0-164.6 1841 1605 55.37% 17.72% 26.91%+1.00 -23.0 31
1938-01-01 Lisburn Distillery D 1-155.6 1322 1437 42.89% 17.87% 39.24%-0.20 -0.3 14
1938-01-01 @ Ards D 1-155.6 1437 1322 39.24% 17.87% 42.89%+0.20 +0.3 20
1938-01-01 Linfield D 2-276.0 1628 1761 40.39% 17.86% 41.75%-0.32 +0.1 27
1938-01-01 @ Ballymena United D 2-276.0 1761 1628 41.75% 17.86% 40.39%+0.32 -0.1 31
1938-01-01 Portadown L 1-248.6 1343 1725 13.57% 17.29% 69.14%-1.98 -6.3 14
1938-01-01 @ Bangor W 2-148.6 1725 1343 69.14% 17.29% 13.57%+1.98 +6.3 34
1938-01-01 Glenavon W 6-036.1 1818 1288 82.95% 15.52% 1.53%+4.11 +4.1 33
1938-01-01 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-636.1 1288 1818 1.53% 15.52% 82.95%-4.11 -4.1 12
1938-01-01 Larne W 7-137.3 1639 1357 77.10% 16.98% 5.91%+2.46 +13.1 33
1938-01-01 @ Derry City L 1-737.3 1357 1639 5.91% 16.98% 77.10%-2.46 -13.1 15
1938-01-01 Cliftonville W 3-243.2 1651 1234 80.88% 16.26% 2.86%+3.35 +1.3 30
1938-01-01 @ Glentoran L 2-343.2 1234 1651 2.86% 16.26% 80.88%-3.35 -1.3 9
1938-01-01 Coleraine W 5-028.6 1502 1297 73.76% 17.31% 8.93%+1.94 +20.0 22
1938-01-01 @ Newry Town L 0-528.6 1297 1502 8.93% 17.31% 73.76%-1.94 -20.0 14
1938-01-15 Derry City L 1-241.3 1233 1652 11.22% 17.14% 71.65%-2.23 -5.3 9
1938-01-15 @ Cliftonville W 2-141.3 1652 1233 71.65% 17.14% 11.22%+2.23 +5.3 35
1938-01-15 Belfast Celtic L 0-339.1 1277 1822 5.81% 16.51% 77.68%-3.07 -8.1 14
1938-01-15 @ Coleraine W 3-039.1 1822 1277 77.68% 16.51% 5.81%+3.07 +8.1 35
1938-01-15 Ards W 4-138.6 1283 1321 53.24% 17.86% 28.90%+0.32 +30.5 14
1938-01-15 @ Glenavon L 1-438.6 1321 1283 28.90% 17.86% 53.24%-0.32 -30.5 14
1938-01-15 Ballymena United L 2-646.3 1343 1628 21.73% 17.61% 60.66%-1.32 -26.0 15
1938-01-15 @ Larne W 6-246.3 1628 1343 60.66% 17.61% 21.73%+1.32 +26.0 29
1938-01-15 Newry Town W 4-148.9 1761 1522 75.37% 17.17% 7.46%+2.17 +8.8 33
1938-01-15 @ Linfield L 1-448.9 1522 1761 7.46% 17.17% 75.37%-2.17 -8.8 22
1938-01-15 Bangor W 3-244.5 1438 1337 67.16% 17.64% 15.20%+1.25 +6.7 22
1938-01-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-344.5 1337 1438 15.20% 17.64% 67.16%-1.25 -6.7 14
1938-01-15 Glentoran L 1-369.1 1731 1652 65.41% 17.69% 16.90%+1.10 -44.4 34
1938-01-15 @ Portadown W 3-169.1 1652 1731 16.90% 17.69% 65.41%-1.10 +44.4 32
1938-01-22 Coleraine W 2-139.5 1291 1269 60.04% 17.79% 22.16%+0.72 +9.9 16
1938-01-22 @ Ards L 1-239.5 1269 1291 22.16% 17.79% 60.04%-0.72 -9.9 14
1938-01-22 Cliftonville W 3-136.8 1654 1227 81.09% 16.20% 2.71%+3.42 +2.3 31
1938-01-22 @ Ballymena United L 1-336.8 1227 1654 2.71% 16.20% 81.09%-3.42 -2.3 9
1938-01-22 Linfield W 2-157.5 1830 1770 63.75% 17.73% 18.52%+0.97 +8.4 37
1938-01-22 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-257.5 1770 1830 18.52% 17.73% 63.75%-0.97 -8.4 33
1938-01-22 Portadown W 3-051.2 1657 1687 54.26% 17.85% 27.88%+0.37 +35.0 37
1938-01-22 @ Derry City L 0-351.2 1687 1657 27.88% 17.85% 54.26%-0.37 -35.0 34
1938-01-22 Lisburn Distillery W 2-147.4 1314 1444 40.78% 17.86% 41.36%-0.30 +16.8 16
1938-01-22 @ Glenavon L 1-247.4 1444 1314 41.36% 17.86% 40.78%+0.30 -16.8 22
1938-01-22 Bangor L 1-562.1 1696 1330 79.68% 16.55% 3.76%+3.02 -99.8 32
1938-01-22 @ Glentoran W 5-162.1 1330 1696 3.76% 16.55% 79.68%-3.02 +99.8 16
1938-01-22 Larne W 4-030.0 1513 1317 73.27% 17.35% 9.38%+1.88 +17.0 24
1938-01-22 @ Newry Town L 0-430.0 1317 1513 9.38% 17.35% 73.27%-1.88 -17.0 15
1938-01-29 Derry City L 1-253.6 1430 1692 23.98% 17.66% 58.36%-1.18 -10.5 16
1938-01-29 @ Bangor W 2-153.6 1692 1430 58.36% 17.66% 23.98%+1.18 +10.5 39
1938-01-29 Newry Town D 1-155.6 1225 1530 19.75% 17.55% 62.70%-1.46 +4.3 10
1938-01-29 @ Cliftonville D 1-155.6 1530 1225 62.70% 17.55% 19.75%+1.46 -4.3 25
1938-01-29 Glenavon D 2-257.9 1259 1331 48.92% 17.87% 33.21%+0.09 -1.1 15
1938-01-29 @ Coleraine D 2-257.9 1331 1259 33.21% 17.87% 48.92%-0.09 +1.1 17
1938-01-29 Belfast Celtic L 0-439.1 1300 1838 6.04% 16.55% 77.41%-3.02 -11.0 15
1938-01-29 @ Larne W 4-039.1 1838 1300 77.41% 16.55% 6.04%+3.02 +11.0 39
1938-01-29 Ards W 6-035.0 1761 1301 81.76% 15.99% 2.25%+3.64 +6.0 35
1938-01-29 @ Linfield L 0-635.0 1301 1761 2.25% 15.99% 81.76%-3.64 -6.0 16
1938-01-29 Glentoran W 3-155.6 1428 1597 35.42% 17.83% 46.75%-0.56 +32.3 24
1938-01-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-355.6 1597 1428 46.75% 17.83% 35.42%+0.56 -32.2 32
1938-01-29 Ballymena United W 4-261.0 1652 1656 57.22% 17.83% 24.95%+0.55 +17.0 36
1938-01-29 @ Portadown L 2-461.0 1656 1652 24.95% 17.83% 57.22%-0.55 -17.0 31
1938-02-05 Larne W 3-032.3 1295 1290 58.24% 17.82% 23.94%+0.61 +30.7 18
1938-02-05 @ Ards L 0-332.3 1290 1295 23.94% 17.82% 58.24%-0.61 -30.7 15
1938-02-05 Bangor W 2-146.6 1639 1419 74.48% 17.25% 8.27%+2.04 +4.0 33
1938-02-05 @ Ballymena United L 1-246.6 1419 1639 8.27% 17.25% 74.48%-2.04 -4.0 16
1938-02-05 Cliftonville W 8-036.0 1849 1229 84.19% 14.87% 0.94%+4.71 +3.2 41
1938-02-05 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-836.0 1229 1849 0.94% 14.87% 84.19%-4.71 -3.2 10
1938-02-05 Glentoran W 3-045.6 1703 1564 69.89% 17.54% 12.57%+1.50 +17.1 41
1938-02-05 @ Derry City L 0-345.6 1564 1703 12.57% 17.54% 69.89%-1.50 -17.1 32
1938-02-05 Linfield L 1-347.0 1332 1767 10.34% 17.07% 72.59%-2.33 -8.4 17
1938-02-05 @ Glenavon W 3-147.0 1767 1332 72.59% 17.07% 10.34%+2.33 +8.4 37
1938-02-05 Coleraine W 4-133.7 1460 1258 73.62% 17.32% 9.06%+1.92 +10.6 26
1938-02-05 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-433.7 1258 1460 9.06% 17.32% 73.62%-1.92 -10.6 15
1938-02-05 Portadown D 0-066.3 1526 1669 38.97% 17.85% 43.18%-0.38 +0.4 26
1938-02-05 @ Newry Town D 0-066.3 1669 1526 43.18% 17.85% 38.97%+0.38 -0.4 37

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1938-02-16 Derry City D 2-276.8 1853 1720 58.13% 17.75% 24.11%+0.88 -2.5 0-0-1
1938-02-16 @ Belfast Celtic D 2-276.8 1720 1853 24.11% 17.75% 58.13%-0.88 +2.5 0-0-1
1938-04-25 Derry City W 3-157.7 1850 1723 57.59% 17.76% 24.65%+0.85 +18.8 1-0-1
1938-04-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-357.7 1723 1850 24.65% 17.76% 57.59%-0.85 -18.8 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1938-01-22 3.76% Bangor 1330 5 @ Glentoran 1696 1
2 1937-11-13 12.60% Ballymena United 1430 2 @ Glentoran 1569 1
3 1937-09-04 12.77% Portadown 1596 5 @ Linfield 1732 2
4 1937-12-18 13.01% @ Larne 1382 3 Portadown 1772 2
5 1937-09-18 15.13% @ Lisburn Distillery 1387 1 Belfast Celtic 1747 0
6 1937-12-11 15.77% Lisburn Distillery 1387 2 @ Newry Town 1481 1
7 1937-12-27 16.77% @ Lisburn Distillery 1412 2 Portadown 1751 1
8 1938-01-15 16.90% Glentoran 1652 3 @ Portadown 1731 1
9 1937-10-30 18.51% Coleraine 1361 3 @ Glenavon 1421 0
10 1937-10-09 18.52% Glenavon 1389 3 @ Ards 1449 1
11 1937-11-20 20.25% @ Ballymena United 1458 5 Derry City 1757 0
12 1937-11-27 24.26% @ Cliftonville 1177 3 Coleraine 1437 0
13 1937-08-21 24.85% Larne 1509 4 @ Glenavon 1506 3
14 1937-10-16 25.43% @ Bangor 1331 2 Glentoran 1581 1
15 1937-11-06 26.42% Ballymena United 1367 3 @ Bangor 1350 0
16 1937-12-29 26.91% @ Ballymena United 1605 1 Belfast Celtic 1841 0
17 1937-09-11 27.37% Lisburn Distillery 1349 3 @ Cliftonville 1324 1
18 1937-11-13 28.04% @ Bangor 1286 2 Newry Town 1513 0
19 1937-11-27 28.53% Ards 1360 3 @ Bangor 1325 1
20 1937-12-27 28.72% Bangor 1307 3 @ Cliftonville 1270 1
21 1937-09-04 31.14% Glentoran 1522 4 @ Glenavon 1466 0
22 1937-10-09 31.81% @ Ballymena United 1311 3 Larne 1508 2
23 1937-10-16 31.83% Belfast Celtic 1739 2 @ Linfield 1678 0
24 1937-08-25 32.09% Portadown 1550 2 @ Glenavon 1486 0
25 1937-12-25 32.40% @ Glentoran 1575 2 Linfield 1767 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-11-20 113.65 @ Ballymena United 5 1458 20.25% Derry City 0 1757 62.18% 17.57%
2 1938-01-22 99.78 Bangor 5 1330 3.76% @ Glentoran 1 1696 79.68% 16.55%
3 1937-08-21 92.94 @ Ards 6 1358 40.95% Cliftonville 0 1488 41.19% 17.86%
4 1937-09-04 76.40 Glentoran 4 1522 31.14% @ Glenavon 0 1466 51.00% 17.87%
5 1937-10-30 72.54 Coleraine 3 1361 18.51% @ Glenavon 0 1421 63.76% 17.73%
6 1937-11-27 65.99 @ Cliftonville 3 1177 24.26% Coleraine 0 1437 58.07% 17.67%
7 1937-11-06 63.53 Ballymena United 3 1367 26.42% @ Bangor 0 1350 55.74% 17.84%
8 1937-09-04 58.12 Portadown 5 1596 12.77% @ Linfield 2 1732 69.68% 17.54%
9 1937-09-25 49.90 @ Derry City 7 1695 57.39% Linfield 1 1698 24.78% 17.83%
10 1937-08-25 48.62 @ Coleraine 8 1348 52.21% Cliftonville 2 1394 29.93% 17.86%
11 1937-09-18 46.98 @ Ards 6 1448 38.66% Newry Town 2 1594 43.50% 17.85%
12 1937-09-11 46.18 Ards 4 1402 34.73% @ Ballymena United 1 1319 47.40% 17.87%
13 1937-09-18 45.16 Portadown 8 1673 69.42% @ Cliftonville 0 1287 13.31% 17.27%
14 1938-01-15 44.41 Glentoran 3 1652 16.90% @ Portadown 1 1731 65.41% 17.69%
15 1937-09-25 44.13 @ Ballymena United 6 1259 41.80% Coleraine 2 1383 40.33% 17.86%
16 1937-10-09 43.24 Glenavon 3 1389 18.52% @ Ards 1 1449 63.75% 17.73%
17 1937-11-13 42.57 @ Bangor 2 1286 28.04% Newry Town 0 1513 54.22% 17.74%
18 1937-08-25 41.96 @ Newry Town 4 1542 39.76% Derry City 1 1679 42.38% 17.86%
19 1937-11-27 40.12 Linfield 4 1729 58.32% @ Larne 0 1467 24.02% 17.66%
20 1937-10-16 39.77 Belfast Celtic 2 1739 31.83% @ Linfield 0 1678 50.30% 17.87%
21 1937-08-25 39.59 Portadown 2 1550 32.09% @ Glenavon 0 1486 50.04% 17.87%
22 1937-12-25 39.38 @ Glentoran 2 1575 32.40% Linfield 0 1767 49.80% 17.80%
23 1937-10-09 37.92 Linfield 2 1640 34.43% @ Newry Town 0 1559 47.69% 17.87%
24 1937-09-11 37.27 Lisburn Distillery 3 1349 27.37% @ Cliftonville 1 1324 54.78% 17.85%
25 1937-12-04 36.71 @ Newry Town 5 1444 39.25% Ballymena United 2 1585 42.90% 17.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-11-13 81.4 @ Portadown 3 1767 54.70% Belfast Celtic 3 1793 27.45% 17.85%
2 1937-09-11 80.3 @ Newry Town 3 1593 37.49% Belfast Celtic 3 1747 44.66% 17.84%
3 1937-11-06 80.0 @ Glentoran 3 1568 33.35% Derry City 3 1752 48.85% 17.81%
4 1937-12-25 79.4 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1838 81.18% Lisburn Distillery 3 1406 2.64% 16.17%
5 1938-02-16 * 76.8 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1853 58.13% Derry City 2 1720 24.11% 17.75%
6 1938-01-01 76.0 @ Ballymena United 2 1628 40.39% Linfield 2 1761 41.75% 17.86%
7 1937-12-18 72.9 @ Larne 3 1382 13.01% Portadown 2 1772 69.74% 17.26%
8 1937-09-04 72.4 Portadown 5 1596 12.77% @ Linfield 2 1732 69.68% 17.54%
9 1937-12-11 72.4 @ Portadown 1 1776 59.26% Linfield 1 1761 22.94% 17.81%
10 1937-11-20 71.5 @ Ards 2 1355 11.77% Portadown 2 1765 71.06% 17.18%
11 1937-12-18 71.3 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1846 80.31% Newry Town 1 1454 3.28% 16.41%
12 1937-08-23 70.4 @ Linfield 2 1716 79.20% Lisburn Distillery 2 1367 4.15% 16.65%
13 1938-01-15 69.1 Glentoran 3 1652 16.90% @ Portadown 1 1731 65.41% 17.69%
14 1937-08-21 68.8 Larne 4 1509 24.85% @ Glenavon 3 1506 57.32% 17.83%
15 1937-10-30 67.3 @ Ballymena United 1 1361 12.19% Portadown 1 1764 70.61% 17.20%
16 1937-10-02 67.2 @ Glenavon 1 1384 15.39% Belfast Celtic 1 1740 67.23% 17.38%
17 1937-12-27 67.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1412 16.77% Portadown 1 1751 65.79% 17.44%
18 1937-08-25 66.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1373 63.44% Ballymena United 4 1316 18.82% 17.74%
19 1938-02-05 66.3 @ Newry Town 0 1526 38.97% Portadown 0 1669 43.18% 17.85%
20 1937-12-29 64.6 @ Ballymena United 1 1605 26.91% Belfast Celtic 0 1841 55.37% 17.72%
21 1937-10-09 64.5 @ Bangor 3 1332 46.07% Lisburn Distillery 3 1425 36.06% 17.87%
22 1937-12-04 63.9 @ Linfield 1 1770 82.88% Cliftonville 1 1243 1.57% 15.55%
23 1937-08-28 63.6 @ Ballymena United 2 1319 23.73% Newry Town 2 1583 58.61% 17.66%
24 1937-10-02 63.5 @ Coleraine 2 1339 28.60% Newry Town 2 1561 53.65% 17.75%
25 1937-09-18 63.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1387 15.13% Belfast Celtic 0 1747 67.50% 17.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1937-10-30 25.6 @ Newry Town 6 1509 78.36% Cliftonville 0 1189 4.84% 16.80%
2 1938-01-01 28.6 @ Newry Town 5 1502 73.76% Coleraine 0 1297 8.93% 17.31%
3 1938-01-22 30.0 @ Newry Town 4 1513 73.27% Larne 0 1317 9.38% 17.35%
4 1937-10-09 31.9 @ Derry City 4 1757 83.01% Cliftonville 0 1222 1.50% 15.49%
5 1937-09-18 32.0 @ Glenavon 2 1384 67.95% Ballymena United 0 1273 14.43% 17.61%
6 1938-02-05 32.3 @ Ards 3 1295 58.24% Larne 0 1290 23.94% 17.82%
7 1937-09-18 32.5 @ Larne 3 1513 71.78% Bangor 0 1344 10.78% 17.44%
8 1937-12-25 33.3 @ Portadown 5 1746 81.95% Cliftonville 0 1275 2.13% 15.92%
9 1937-12-25 33.5 @ Derry City 4 1664 78.94% Coleraine 0 1325 4.36% 16.70%
10 1938-02-05 33.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1460 73.62% Coleraine 1 1258 9.06% 17.32%
11 1937-08-21 34.5 @ Newry Town 5 1532 68.56% Bangor 0 1413 13.85% 17.59%
12 1938-01-29 35.0 @ Linfield 6 1761 81.76% Ards 0 1301 2.25% 15.99%
13 1937-12-11 35.4 @ Glentoran 2 1546 73.17% Glenavon 0 1353 9.47% 17.35%
14 1937-09-18 36.0 Portadown 8 1673 69.42% @ Cliftonville 0 1287 13.31% 17.27%
15 1938-02-05 36.0 @ Belfast Celtic 8 1849 84.19% Cliftonville 0 1229 0.94% 14.87%
16 1938-01-01 36.1 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1818 82.95% Glenavon 0 1288 1.53% 15.52%
17 1937-08-23 36.2 @ Derry City 9 1666 78.89% Ballymena United 1 1329 4.40% 16.71%
18 1937-12-16 36.6 @ Derry City 3 1632 75.89% Ards 0 1381 6.99% 17.12%
19 1938-01-22 36.8 @ Ballymena United 3 1654 81.09% Cliftonville 1 1227 2.71% 16.20%
20 1937-12-25 37.0 @ Newry Town 4 1463 68.34% Ards 1 1346 14.07% 17.60%
21 1937-12-25 37.1 @ Ballymena United 7 1573 75.92% Glenavon 2 1321 6.96% 17.12%
22 1937-10-02 37.3 @ Portadown 3 1732 80.41% Bangor 0 1336 3.20% 16.38%
23 1937-11-20 37.3 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1794 81.86% Bangor 0 1329 2.19% 15.95%
24 1938-01-01 37.3 @ Derry City 7 1639 77.10% Larne 1 1357 5.91% 16.98%
25 1937-11-27 38.1 @ Ballymena United 5 1571 73.50% Lisburn Distillery 1 1372 9.17% 17.33%