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1949-50 Irish League Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Glentoran

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

6.61 points above expected

38 points · 31.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

7.67 points below expected

10 points · 17.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 18 2 2 38 70 25 +45 31.39 +6.61
2 Linfield 22 17 4 1 38 64 27 +37 32.41 +5.59
3 Lisburn Distillery 22 13 3 6 29 48 31 +17 26.20 +2.80
4 Derry City 22 12 5 5 29 44 29 +15 23.95 +5.05
5 Glenavon 22 10 4 8 24 51 38 +13 25.79 -1.79
6 Ards 22 7 6 9 20 34 38 -4 18.89 +1.11
7 Bangor 22 8 3 11 19 38 36 +2 21.49 -2.49
8 Portadown 22 3 9 10 15 33 52 -19 18.46 -3.46
9 Ballymena United 22 5 5 12 15 29 49 -20 17.89 -2.89
10 Coleraine 22 5 4 13 14 38 61 -23 15.55 -1.55
11 Crusaders 22 4 5 13 13 37 69 -32 14.31 -1.31
12 Cliftonville 22 3 4 15 10 34 65 -31 17.67 -7.67

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 38 31.39 +6.61
2 Linfield 38 32.41 +5.59
3 Derry City 29 23.95 +5.05
4 Lisburn Distillery 29 26.20 +2.80
5 Ards 20 18.89 +1.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 10 17.67 -7.67
2 Portadown 15 18.46 -3.46
3 Ballymena United 15 17.89 -2.89
4 Bangor 19 21.49 -2.49
5 Glenavon 24 25.79 -1.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 9 Dec 10 – Jan 28 1 in 68
2 Glentoran 10 Jan 14 – Apr 8 1 in 48
3 Crusaders 2 Mar 18 – Apr 1 1 in 34
4 Derry City 5 Dec 26 – Jan 14 1 in 30
5 Coleraine 2 Apr 8 – Apr 11 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 3 Apr 1 – Apr 11 1 in 132
2 Crusaders 6 Dec 17 – Jan 7 1 in 65
3 Cliftonville 4 Dec 28 – Jan 14 1 in 46
4 Bangor 4 Jan 14 – Feb 18 1 in 19
5 Ballymena United 4 Dec 10 – Dec 26 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 4 Mar 4 – Apr 1 1 in 61
2 Derry City 9 Dec 24 – Feb 18 1 in 56
3 Ballymena United 5 Jan 14 – Feb 25 1 in 29
4 Ards 4 Feb 4 – Mar 4 1 in 13
5 Glenavon 6 Dec 3 – Dec 27 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 17 Dec 26 – Apr 29 1 in 613
2 Linfield 3 Feb 4 – Feb 25 1 in 45
3 Glenavon 4 Mar 18 – Apr 11 1 in 36
4 Ards 7 Dec 3 – Dec 31 1 in 20
5 Derry City 5 Feb 25 – Apr 1 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1808 38 +15 9 7.8 +1.2
Linfield 1801 38 +35 9 7.0 +2.0
Lisburn Distillery 1641 29 +61 8 6.1 +1.9
Derry City 1559 29 +31 7 6.7 +0.3
Glenavon 1524 24 -120 2 5.8 -3.8
Ards 1484 20 +40 5 4.1 +0.9
Bangor 1527 19 +84 6 4.6 +1.4
Ballymena United 1401 15 -64 2 4.4 -2.4
Portadown 1313 15 -91 2 3.2 -1.2
Coleraine 1365 14 +44 6 4.4 +1.6
Crusaders 1342 13 +10 3 3.1 -0.1
Cliftonville 1234 10 -45 1 2.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
0.90
1-1-0
1.91
1-1-0
2.76
Ballymena United
0-2-0
2.86
—
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.32
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.46
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.59
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.69
Bangor
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.41
—
1-0-1
4.04
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
1.16
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
3.03
Cliftonville
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
3.25
1-0-1
1.55
—
0-0-2
3.35
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.69
Coleraine
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
2.23
—
0-2-0
3.30
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.31
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
2.71
Crusaders
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.27
—
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
0.64
0-1-1
1.13
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
2.40
Derry City
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.96
—
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
1.36
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.31
Glenavon
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.99
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
4.27
1-0-1
4.35
2-0-0
2.96
—
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
3.91
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
4.98
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
3.43
—
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
4.74
Linfield
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.70
1-1-0
4.47
0-1-1
4.22
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
2.87
—
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
4.49
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
3.94
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-2
1.51
—
2-0-0
4.04
Portadown
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.26
0-2-0
1.66
0-0-2
0.86
0-1-1
1.11
0-0-2
1.54
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +6.8
Allowed 0.79 -5.5
Differential 0.96 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%4.17%3.79%2.27%1.89%3.03%17.42%
14.17%9.09%6.44%4.55%2.65%1.52%28.41%
23.79%6.44%6.82%3.41%2.65%1.89%25.00%
32.27%4.55%3.41%1.52%0.38%0.76%12.88%
41.89%2.65%2.65%0.38%0.76%0.38%8.71%
5+3.03%1.52%1.89%0.76%0.38%—7.58%
Total17.42%28.41%25.00%12.88%8.71%7.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.97 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.54
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
3—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.68 1.39 2.17
CV 1.09 0.80 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%—4.55%18.18%
19.09%13.64%13.64%13.64%—13.64%63.64%
2——4.55%———4.55%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%18.18%22.73%—18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.23 -0.91
SD 1.39 1.80 2.65
CV 1.06 0.81 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
2—13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.64 +0.09
SD 1.67 1.22 2.39
CV 0.97 0.74 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%—9.09%27.27%
1——13.64%4.55%13.64%—31.82%
2——9.09%—9.09%4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total13.64%4.55%22.73%22.73%22.73%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.95 -1.41
SD 1.60 1.89 2.99
CV 1.03 0.64 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
14.55%—9.09%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%9.09%22.73%22.73%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.77 -1.05
SD 1.42 1.85 2.17
CV 0.82 0.67 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—13.64%9.09%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total—22.73%27.27%4.55%27.27%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 3.14 -1.45
SD 1.73 2.01 3.02
CV 1.03 0.64 —
Max 7 9 +5
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.32 +0.68
SD 1.54 1.55 2.08
CV 0.77 1.18 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.73 +0.59
SD 2.12 1.67 2.84
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 9 6 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
24.55%13.64%—9.09%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
49.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total31.82%36.36%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.18 1.14 +2.05
SD 1.47 1.04 1.94
CV 0.46 0.91 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
218.18%9.09%13.64%———40.91%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total22.73%36.36%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 1.23 +1.68
SD 1.66 0.87 1.52
CV 0.57 0.71 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%45.45%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.41 +0.77
SD 1.37 0.96 1.80
CV 0.63 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
1—22.73%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3——4.55%9.09%—4.55%18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total—40.91%22.73%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.36 -0.86
SD 1.19 1.68 1.75
CV 0.79 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1830 38 32.41 +5.59 98.0% 23 26 31 32 34 37 40
Glentoran 1779 38 31.39 +6.61 97.0% 24 26 29 31 34 38 40
Lisburn Distillery 1641 29 26.20 +2.80 83.0% 18 21 23 26 28 33 35
Derry City 1559 29 23.95 +5.05 95.0% 17 17 21 24 26 29 32
Bangor 1527 19 21.49 -2.49 31.0% 14 15 19 22 24 27 29
Glenavon 1524 24 25.79 -1.79 38.0% 18 20 23 26 28 32 34
Ards 1484 20 18.89 +1.11 66.0% 7 12 16 19 22 26 28
Ballymena United 1401 15 17.89 -2.89 29.0% 6 12 15 18 21 24 27
Coleraine 1365 14 15.55 -1.55 34.0% 8 10 13 16 17 20 26
Crusaders 1342 13 14.31 -1.31 41.0% 6 9 12 14 16 20 26
Portadown 1313 15 18.46 -3.46 25.0% 7 11 15 19 21 25 28
Cliftonville 1234 10 17.67 -7.67 4.0% 7 11 15 18 20 25 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-6.82%
No Edge
36.36%20.45%43.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -23.73 Elo pts.
176 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.03 goals
Neutral
-2-0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Glentoran, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3 * Some Luck: 3 to 4.49 * Lucky: 4.49 to 5.99 * Wild Swing: 5.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.43 * Way Off: 2.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.10 points
Some Luck
03.759
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.524
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 183.16
2.30
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Some Drama
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Frequent
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.85
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.088
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Linfield 2
Glentoran 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glentoran40.00%41.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Linfield51.00%37.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Lisburn Distillery5.00%10.00%24.00%20.00%24.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%————
Derry City—4.00%17.00%19.00%19.00%19.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%——
Glenavon4.00%7.00%30.00%21.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%———
Ards—1.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%13.00%20.00%11.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%
Bangor——5.00%14.00%11.00%21.00%19.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Portadown——1.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%5.00%
Ballymena United——1.00%1.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%23.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%
Coleraine————2.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%21.00%21.00%26.00%19.00%
Crusaders——1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%16.00%23.00%41.00%
Cliftonville——2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%19.00%13.00%15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1949-11-26 Derry City L 2-358.4 1480 1434 45.76% 21.50% 32.74%+0.13 -15.2 0
1949-11-26 @ Bangor W 3-258.4 1434 1480 32.74% 21.50% 45.76%-0.13 +15.2 2
1949-11-26 Ballymena United D 2-265.3 1506 1467 44.61% 21.51% 33.88%+0.08 -0.6 1
1949-11-26 @ Cliftonville D 2-265.3 1467 1506 33.88% 21.51% 44.61%-0.08 +0.6 1
1949-11-26 Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.4 1415 1531 24.43% 21.34% 54.23%-0.79 -16.6 0
1949-11-26 @ Coleraine W 3-146.4 1531 1415 54.23% 21.34% 24.43%+0.79 +16.6 2
1949-11-26 Glenavon W 3-152.6 1565 1500 48.22% 21.47% 30.31%+0.24 +19.9 2
1949-11-26 @ Glentoran L 1-352.6 1500 1565 30.31% 21.47% 48.22%-0.24 -19.9 0
1949-11-26 Crusaders W 4-151.0 1649 1509 56.94% 21.26% 21.80%+0.66 +21.4 2
1949-11-26 @ Linfield L 1-451.0 1509 1649 21.80% 21.26% 56.94%-0.66 -21.4 0
1949-11-26 Ards L 0-245.6 1463 1481 36.70% 21.53% 41.77%-0.24 -26.8 0
1949-11-26 @ Portadown W 2-045.6 1481 1463 41.77% 21.53% 36.70%+0.24 +26.8 2
1949-12-03 Ballymena United D 1-160.9 1508 1468 44.83% 21.51% 33.67%+0.09 -0.9 3
1949-12-03 @ Ards D 1-160.9 1468 1508 33.67% 21.51% 44.83%-0.09 +0.9 2
1949-12-03 Portadown L 2-358.9 1488 1436 46.37% 21.49% 32.14%+0.16 -15.4 0
1949-12-03 @ Crusaders W 3-258.9 1436 1488 32.14% 21.49% 46.37%-0.16 +15.4 2
1949-12-03 Linfield D 2-270.7 1449 1670 14.70% 20.85% 64.45%-1.40 +3.2 3
1949-12-03 @ Derry City D 2-270.7 1670 1449 64.45% 20.85% 14.70%+1.40 -3.2 3
1949-12-03 Cliftonville D 2-265.7 1480 1505 35.67% 21.52% 42.81%-0.28 +0.4 1
1949-12-03 @ Glenavon D 2-265.7 1505 1480 42.81% 21.52% 35.67%+0.28 -0.4 2
1949-12-03 Coleraine W 2-147.6 1585 1399 61.45% 21.05% 17.50%+0.92 +7.2 4
1949-12-03 @ Glentoran L 1-247.6 1399 1585 17.50% 21.05% 61.45%-0.92 -7.2 0
1949-12-03 Bangor D 1-162.3 1547 1465 50.31% 21.43% 28.26%+0.33 -1.8 3
1949-12-03 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-162.3 1465 1547 28.26% 21.43% 50.31%-0.33 +1.8 1
1949-12-10 Crusaders L 1-350.6 1469 1472 38.71% 21.53% 39.76%-0.16 -24.2 2
1949-12-10 @ Ballymena United W 3-150.6 1472 1469 39.76% 21.53% 38.71%+0.16 +24.2 2
1949-12-10 Glenavon L 0-148.5 1467 1480 37.36% 21.53% 41.11%-0.21 -14.4 1
1949-12-10 @ Bangor W 1-048.5 1480 1467 41.11% 21.53% 37.36%+0.21 +14.4 3
1949-12-10 Ards W 1-051.9 1392 1507 24.41% 21.34% 54.24%-0.79 +19.8 2
1949-12-10 @ Coleraine L 0-151.9 1507 1392 54.24% 21.34% 24.41%+0.79 -19.8 3
1949-12-10 Derry City L 1-258.5 1545 1452 51.70% 21.41% 26.89%+0.40 -17.8 3
1949-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-158.5 1452 1545 26.89% 21.41% 51.70%-0.40 +17.8 5
1949-12-10 Linfield L 3-653.6 1452 1667 15.16% 20.89% 63.95%-1.36 -12.5 2
1949-12-10 @ Portadown W 6-353.6 1667 1452 63.95% 20.89% 15.16%+1.36 +12.4 5
1949-12-17 Lisburn Distillery D 2-266.9 1487 1528 33.59% 21.51% 44.90%-0.37 +0.7 4
1949-12-17 @ Ards D 2-266.9 1528 1487 44.90% 21.51% 33.59%+0.37 -0.7 4
1949-12-17 Bangor L 0-445.0 1497 1453 45.39% 21.50% 33.11%+0.12 -60.3 2
1949-12-17 @ Crusaders W 4-045.0 1453 1497 33.11% 21.50% 45.39%-0.12 +60.4 3
1949-12-17 Glenavon L 0-148.7 1470 1495 35.74% 21.52% 42.74%-0.28 -13.9 5
1949-12-17 @ Derry City W 1-048.7 1495 1470 42.74% 21.52% 35.74%+0.28 +13.9 5
1949-12-17 Ballymena United W 5-040.6 1592 1445 57.74% 21.23% 21.03%+0.71 +39.5 6
1949-12-17 @ Glentoran L 0-540.6 1445 1592 21.03% 21.23% 57.74%-0.71 -39.5 2
1949-12-17 Coleraine W 7-245.4 1680 1411 67.82% 20.55% 11.63%+1.39 +16.1 7
1949-12-17 @ Linfield L 2-745.4 1411 1680 11.63% 20.55% 67.82%-1.39 -16.1 2
1949-12-17 Cliftonville W 2-155.5 1439 1505 30.36% 21.47% 48.17%-0.51 +16.7 4
1949-12-17 @ Portadown L 1-255.5 1505 1439 48.17% 21.47% 30.36%+0.51 -16.7 2
1949-12-24 Portadown L 1-248.0 1405 1456 32.19% 21.49% 46.31%-0.43 -12.1 2
1949-12-24 @ Ballymena United W 2-148.0 1456 1405 46.31% 21.49% 32.19%+0.43 +12.1 6
1949-12-24 Coleraine W 2-147.0 1513 1395 54.50% 21.34% 24.16%+0.53 +9.5 5
1949-12-24 @ Bangor L 1-247.0 1395 1513 24.16% 21.34% 54.50%-0.53 -9.5 2
1949-12-24 Linfield L 1-449.7 1488 1696 15.73% 20.93% 63.33%-1.32 -16.0 2
1949-12-24 @ Cliftonville W 4-149.7 1696 1488 63.33% 20.93% 15.73%+1.32 +16.0 9
1949-12-24 Glentoran D 1-165.2 1456 1632 18.40% 21.10% 60.50%-1.14 +3.6 6
1949-12-24 @ Derry City D 1-165.2 1632 1456 60.50% 21.10% 18.40%+1.14 -3.6 7
1949-12-24 Ards W 3-045.3 1508 1488 42.17% 21.52% 36.31%-0.02 +38.6 7
1949-12-24 @ Glenavon L 0-345.3 1488 1508 36.31% 21.52% 42.17%+0.02 -38.6 4
1949-12-24 Crusaders W 2-149.9 1527 1436 51.36% 21.41% 27.23%+0.38 +10.5 6
1949-12-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-249.9 1436 1527 27.23% 21.41% 51.36%-0.38 -10.5 2
1949-12-26 Bangor D 2-265.3 1449 1522 29.36% 21.45% 49.19%-0.55 +1.2 5
1949-12-26 @ Ards D 2-265.3 1522 1449 49.19% 21.45% 29.36%+0.55 -1.2 6
1949-12-26 Derry City L 3-648.6 1386 1459 29.29% 21.45% 49.26%-0.55 -21.9 2
1949-12-26 @ Coleraine W 6-348.6 1459 1386 49.26% 21.45% 29.29%+0.55 +21.9 8
1949-12-26 Cliftonville L 0-539.2 1426 1472 32.86% 21.50% 45.64%-0.40 -57.4 2
1949-12-26 @ Crusaders W 5-039.2 1472 1426 45.64% 21.50% 32.86%+0.40 +57.4 4
1949-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 2-368.7 1628 1537 51.36% 21.41% 27.22%+0.38 -16.8 7
1949-12-26 @ Glentoran W 3-268.7 1537 1628 27.22% 21.41% 51.36%-0.38 +16.8 8
1949-12-26 Ballymena United W 6-142.8 1712 1393 70.87% 20.16% 8.97%+1.68 +15.1 11
1949-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-642.8 1393 1712 8.97% 20.16% 70.87%-1.68 -15.0 2
1949-12-26 Glenavon D 1-162.4 1468 1547 28.65% 21.44% 49.91%-0.58 +1.7 7
1949-12-26 @ Portadown D 1-162.4 1547 1468 49.91% 21.44% 28.65%+0.58 -1.7 8
1949-12-27 Coleraine W 4-142.9 1378 1364 41.24% 21.53% 37.23%-0.06 +33.2 4
1949-12-27 @ Ballymena United L 1-442.9 1364 1378 37.23% 21.53% 41.24%+0.06 -33.2 2
1949-12-27 Glentoran L 0-446.1 1521 1611 27.29% 21.42% 51.30%-0.65 -40.0 6
1949-12-27 @ Bangor W 4-046.1 1611 1521 51.30% 21.42% 27.29%+0.65 +40.0 9
1949-12-27 Ards W 6-041.2 1529 1450 49.88% 21.44% 28.68%+0.31 +61.0 6
1949-12-27 @ Cliftonville L 0-641.2 1450 1529 28.68% 21.44% 49.88%-0.31 -61.0 5
1949-12-27 Portadown W 1-048.8 1481 1470 40.89% 21.53% 37.58%-0.07 +14.5 10
1949-12-27 @ Derry City L 0-148.8 1470 1481 37.58% 21.53% 40.89%+0.07 -14.5 7
1949-12-27 Crusaders W 9-037.5 1545 1368 60.60% 21.10% 18.31%+0.87 +61.3 10
1949-12-27 @ Glenavon L 0-937.5 1368 1545 18.31% 21.10% 60.60%-0.87 -61.3 2
1949-12-27 Linfield L 0-250.0 1554 1727 18.69% 21.12% 60.19%-1.12 -15.3 8
1949-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-050.0 1727 1554 60.19% 21.12% 18.69%+1.12 +15.3 13
1949-12-28 Glentoran L 0-649.9 1590 1651 30.86% 21.48% 47.67%-0.48 -64.7 6
1949-12-28 @ Cliftonville W 6-049.9 1651 1590 47.67% 21.48% 30.86%+0.48 +64.7 11
1949-12-31 Glentoran L 3-457.5 1389 1716 8.62% 20.10% 71.29%-1.99 -3.5 5
1949-12-31 @ Ards W 4-357.5 1716 1389 71.29% 20.10% 8.62%+1.99 +3.5 13
1949-12-31 Lisburn Distillery L 0-339.5 1411 1539 23.05% 21.30% 55.65%-0.86 -26.6 4
1949-12-31 @ Ballymena United W 3-039.5 1539 1411 55.65% 21.30% 23.05%+0.86 +26.6 10
1949-12-31 Cliftonville W 3-048.1 1331 1525 16.80% 21.01% 62.19%-1.24 +61.9 4
1949-12-31 @ Coleraine L 0-348.1 1525 1331 62.19% 21.01% 16.80%+1.24 -61.9 6
1949-12-31 Derry City L 0-432.1 1307 1496 17.29% 21.04% 61.68%-1.21 -27.0 2
1949-12-31 @ Crusaders W 4-032.1 1496 1307 61.68% 21.04% 17.29%+1.21 +27.0 12
1949-12-31 Glenavon W 2-051.9 1742 1607 56.47% 21.27% 22.25%+0.64 +17.8 15
1949-12-31 @ Linfield L 0-251.9 1607 1742 22.25% 21.27% 56.47%-0.64 -17.8 10
1949-12-31 Bangor D 1-159.5 1455 1481 35.58% 21.52% 42.90%-0.28 +0.6 8
1949-12-31 @ Portadown D 1-159.5 1481 1455 42.90% 21.52% 35.58%+0.28 -0.6 7
1950-01-07 Ballymena United W 3-037.8 1481 1385 52.01% 21.40% 26.59%+0.41 +29.9 9
1950-01-07 @ Bangor L 0-337.8 1385 1481 26.59% 21.40% 52.01%-0.41 -30.0 4
1950-01-07 Ards L 2-639.7 1280 1386 25.46% 21.37% 53.16%-0.74 -26.7 2
1950-01-07 @ Crusaders W 6-239.7 1386 1280 53.16% 21.37% 25.46%+0.74 +26.7 7
1950-01-07 Cliftonville W 3-043.3 1523 1463 47.43% 21.48% 31.09%+0.20 +34.1 14
1950-01-07 @ Derry City L 0-343.3 1463 1523 31.09% 21.48% 47.43%-0.20 -34.1 6
1950-01-07 Coleraine W 4-037.4 1589 1393 62.34% 21.00% 16.67%+0.98 +26.2 12
1950-01-07 @ Glenavon L 0-437.4 1393 1589 16.67% 21.00% 62.34%-0.98 -26.2 4
1950-01-07 Linfield L 2-367.4 1720 1760 33.61% 21.51% 44.88%-0.36 -11.8 13
1950-01-07 @ Glentoran W 3-267.4 1760 1720 44.88% 21.51% 33.61%+0.36 +11.8 17
1950-01-07 Portadown W 1-047.6 1566 1456 53.60% 21.36% 25.04%+0.49 +10.4 12
1950-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-147.6 1456 1566 25.04% 21.36% 53.60%-0.49 -10.4 8
1950-01-14 Derry City L 0-144.5 1413 1557 21.37% 21.24% 57.39%-0.96 -9.1 7
1950-01-14 @ Ards W 1-044.5 1557 1413 57.39% 21.24% 21.37%+0.96 +9.1 16
1950-01-14 Glenavon D 1-161.0 1355 1615 12.11% 20.60% 67.29%-1.62 +4.9 5
1950-01-14 @ Ballymena United D 1-161.0 1615 1355 67.29% 20.60% 12.11%+1.62 -4.9 13
1950-01-14 Lisburn Distillery L 1-445.6 1429 1576 21.14% 21.23% 57.63%-0.97 -20.8 6
1950-01-14 @ Cliftonville W 4-145.6 1576 1429 57.63% 21.23% 21.14%+0.97 +20.8 14
1950-01-14 Crusaders D 2-257.5 1366 1253 53.98% 21.35% 24.67%+0.51 -1.8 5
1950-01-14 @ Coleraine D 2-257.5 1253 1366 24.67% 21.35% 53.98%-0.51 +1.8 3
1950-01-14 Bangor W 4-256.7 1772 1511 67.34% 20.60% 12.06%+1.35 +8.0 19
1950-01-14 @ Linfield L 2-456.7 1511 1772 12.06% 20.60% 67.34%-1.35 -8.0 9
1950-01-14 Glentoran L 2-454.0 1446 1708 12.00% 20.59% 67.41%-1.63 -7.9 8
1950-01-14 @ Portadown W 4-254.0 1708 1446 67.41% 20.59% 12.00%+1.63 +7.9 15
1950-01-28 Derry City D 1-159.3 1359 1566 15.84% 20.94% 63.21%-1.31 +4.1 6
1950-01-28 @ Ballymena United D 1-159.3 1566 1359 63.21% 20.94% 15.84%+1.31 -4.1 17
1950-01-28 Cliftonville L 1-353.4 1503 1409 51.76% 21.41% 26.83%+0.40 -30.9 9
1950-01-28 @ Bangor W 3-153.4 1409 1503 26.83% 21.41% 51.76%-0.40 +30.9 8
1950-01-28 Portadown W 3-256.2 1365 1438 29.37% 21.45% 49.17%-0.55 +16.2 7
1950-01-28 @ Coleraine L 2-356.2 1438 1365 49.17% 21.45% 29.37%+0.55 -16.2 8
1950-01-28 Lisburn Distillery W 3-265.5 1610 1597 41.13% 21.53% 37.34%-0.06 +12.9 15
1950-01-28 @ Glenavon L 2-365.5 1597 1610 37.34% 21.53% 41.13%+0.06 -12.9 14
1950-01-28 Crusaders W 4-244.9 1716 1255 76.92% 18.80% 4.28%+2.48 +2.9 17
1950-01-28 @ Glentoran L 2-444.9 1255 1716 4.28% 18.80% 76.92%-2.48 -2.9 3
1950-01-28 Ards W 3-148.5 1780 1404 73.68% 19.66% 6.66%+2.00 +5.0 21
1950-01-28 @ Linfield L 1-348.5 1404 1780 6.66% 19.66% 73.68%-2.00 -5.0 7
1950-02-04 Portadown D 1-156.0 1399 1421 36.00% 21.52% 42.48%-0.27 +0.5 8
1950-02-04 @ Ards D 1-156.0 1421 1399 42.48% 21.52% 36.00%+0.27 -0.5 9
1950-02-04 Linfield D 2-268.8 1252 1785 2.93% 17.99% 79.09%-3.16 +5.2 4
1950-02-04 @ Crusaders D 2-268.8 1785 1252 79.09% 17.99% 2.93%+3.16 -5.2 22
1950-02-04 Bangor W 2-046.1 1562 1472 51.30% 21.42% 27.28%+0.38 +21.1 19
1950-02-04 @ Derry City L 0-246.1 1472 1562 27.28% 21.42% 51.30%-0.38 -21.1 9
1950-02-04 Glentoran L 2-364.3 1623 1719 26.65% 21.40% 51.95%-0.68 -9.8 15
1950-02-04 @ Glenavon W 3-264.3 1719 1623 51.95% 21.40% 26.65%+0.68 +9.8 19
1950-02-04 Coleraine W 3-144.5 1584 1381 62.93% 20.96% 16.11%+1.02 +11.6 16
1950-02-04 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-344.5 1381 1584 16.11% 20.96% 62.93%-1.02 -11.6 7
1950-02-11 Cliftonville W 6-042.0 1364 1440 29.02% 21.45% 49.53%-0.57 +95.3 8
1950-02-11 @ Ballymena United L 0-642.0 1440 1364 49.53% 21.45% 29.02%+0.57 -95.3 8
1950-02-18 Ards D 0-054.0 1459 1399 47.48% 21.48% 31.04%+0.21 -1.5 9
1950-02-18 @ Ballymena United D 0-054.0 1399 1459 31.04% 21.48% 47.48%-0.21 +1.5 9
1950-02-18 Lisburn Distillery L 2-355.8 1451 1596 21.32% 21.24% 57.45%-0.96 -8.1 9
1950-02-18 @ Bangor W 3-255.8 1596 1451 57.45% 21.24% 21.32%+0.96 +8.1 18
1950-02-18 Glenavon L 2-447.1 1344 1613 11.59% 20.54% 67.86%-1.67 -7.7 8
1950-02-18 @ Cliftonville W 4-247.1 1613 1344 67.86% 20.54% 11.59%+1.67 +7.7 17
1950-02-18 Glentoran L 0-538.2 1369 1728 7.28% 19.81% 72.91%-2.18 -14.8 7
1950-02-18 @ Coleraine W 5-038.2 1728 1369 72.91% 19.81% 7.28%+2.18 +14.8 21
1950-02-18 Derry City L 1-270.4 1779 1583 62.35% 21.00% 16.65%+0.98 -21.3 22
1950-02-18 @ Linfield W 2-170.4 1583 1779 16.65% 21.00% 62.35%-0.98 +21.4 21
1950-02-18 Crusaders D 4-465.4 1421 1258 59.30% 21.16% 19.54%+0.79 -1.8 10
1950-02-18 @ Portadown D 4-465.4 1258 1421 19.54% 21.16% 59.30%-0.79 +1.8 5
1950-02-25 Coleraine W 3-143.7 1401 1354 45.68% 21.50% 32.82%+0.13 +21.2 11
1950-02-25 @ Ards L 1-343.7 1354 1401 32.82% 21.50% 45.68%-0.13 -21.2 7
1950-02-25 Ballymena United L 0-136.2 1259 1457 16.53% 20.99% 62.49%-1.26 -7.3 5
1950-02-25 @ Crusaders W 1-036.2 1457 1259 62.49% 20.99% 16.53%+1.26 +7.2 11
1950-02-25 Lisburn Distillery L 2-463.9 1604 1604 39.35% 21.53% 39.12%-0.13 -21.9 21
1950-02-25 @ Derry City W 4-263.9 1604 1604 39.12% 21.53% 39.35%+0.13 +21.9 20
1950-02-25 Bangor L 0-159.7 1621 1443 60.72% 21.09% 18.19%+0.88 -22.0 17
1950-02-25 @ Glenavon W 1-059.7 1443 1621 18.19% 21.09% 60.72%-0.88 +22.1 11
1950-02-25 Cliftonville W 4-249.5 1743 1337 74.96% 19.36% 5.68%+2.18 +3.8 23
1950-02-25 @ Glentoran L 2-449.5 1337 1743 5.68% 19.36% 74.96%-2.18 -3.8 8
1950-02-25 Portadown D 2-272.6 1758 1419 71.93% 19.99% 8.08%+1.79 -4.3 23
1950-02-25 @ Linfield D 2-272.6 1419 1758 8.08% 19.99% 71.93%-1.79 +4.3 11
1950-03-04 Glentoran L 1-547.2 1465 1747 10.83% 20.45% 68.72%-1.74 -14.7 11
1950-03-04 @ Ballymena United W 5-147.2 1747 1465 68.72% 20.45% 10.83%+1.74 +14.7 25
1950-03-04 Crusaders L 1-254.2 1465 1252 63.70% 20.91% 15.40%+1.07 -21.8 11
1950-03-04 @ Bangor W 2-154.2 1252 1465 15.40% 20.91% 63.70%-1.07 +21.8 7
1950-03-04 Portadown D 3-363.5 1333 1423 27.22% 21.41% 51.36%-0.65 +1.2 9
1950-03-04 @ Cliftonville D 3-363.5 1423 1333 51.36% 21.41% 27.22%+0.65 -1.2 12
1950-03-04 Linfield L 2-351.8 1333 1754 5.27% 19.22% 75.51%-2.53 -2.2 7
1950-03-04 @ Coleraine W 3-251.8 1754 1333 75.51% 19.22% 5.27%+2.53 +2.2 25
1950-03-04 Derry City W 6-257.6 1599 1582 41.56% 21.53% 36.92%-0.04 +36.1 19
1950-03-04 @ Glenavon L 2-657.6 1582 1599 36.92% 21.53% 41.56%+0.04 -36.1 21
1950-03-04 Ards L 1-263.6 1626 1422 62.98% 20.96% 16.07%+1.02 -21.6 20
1950-03-04 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-163.6 1422 1626 16.07% 20.96% 62.98%-1.02 +21.6 13
1950-03-11 Glenavon L 0-244.5 1443 1635 17.06% 21.02% 61.92%-1.22 -14.1 13
1950-03-11 @ Ards W 2-044.5 1635 1443 61.92% 21.02% 17.06%+1.22 +14.1 21
1950-03-11 Bangor L 2-446.0 1331 1443 24.79% 21.35% 53.86%-0.77 -15.1 7
1950-03-11 @ Coleraine W 4-246.0 1443 1331 53.86% 21.35% 24.79%+0.77 +15.1 13
1950-03-11 Lisburn Distillery D 1-158.0 1274 1604 8.47% 20.07% 71.46%-2.01 +5.7 8
1950-03-11 @ Crusaders D 1-158.0 1604 1274 71.46% 20.07% 8.47%+2.01 -5.7 21
1950-03-11 Derry City W 2-049.2 1762 1546 63.93% 20.89% 15.18%+1.09 +12.7 27
1950-03-11 @ Glentoran L 0-249.2 1546 1762 15.18% 20.89% 63.93%-1.09 -12.7 21
1950-03-11 Cliftonville W 2-147.3 1756 1334 75.56% 19.21% 5.24%+2.27 +2.3 27
1950-03-11 @ Linfield L 1-247.3 1334 1756 5.24% 19.21% 75.56%-2.27 -2.3 9
1950-03-11 Ballymena United L 1-347.3 1422 1450 35.31% 21.52% 43.17%-0.29 -22.5 12
1950-03-11 @ Portadown W 3-147.3 1450 1422 43.17% 21.52% 35.31%+0.29 +22.5 13
1950-03-18 Linfield L 1-351.0 1473 1758 10.64% 20.42% 68.94%-1.76 -7.9 13
1950-03-18 @ Ballymena United W 3-151.0 1758 1473 68.94% 20.42% 10.64%+1.76 +7.9 29
1950-03-18 Ards L 1-252.1 1458 1429 43.27% 21.52% 35.21%+0.03 -15.3 13
1950-03-18 @ Bangor W 2-152.1 1429 1458 35.21% 21.52% 43.27%-0.03 +15.3 15
1950-03-18 Crusaders L 2-743.9 1332 1280 46.43% 21.49% 32.07%+0.16 -52.5 9
1950-03-18 @ Cliftonville W 7-243.9 1280 1332 32.07% 21.49% 46.43%-0.16 +52.5 10
1950-03-18 Coleraine D 0-053.9 1534 1316 64.14% 20.88% 14.99%+1.10 -4.8 22
1950-03-18 @ Derry City D 0-053.9 1316 1534 14.99% 20.88% 64.14%-1.10 +4.8 8
1950-03-18 Portadown D 1-163.9 1649 1400 66.51% 20.68% 12.81%+1.28 -4.8 22
1950-03-18 @ Glenavon D 1-163.9 1400 1649 12.81% 20.68% 66.51%-1.28 +4.8 13
1950-03-18 Glentoran L 1-453.4 1598 1774 18.38% 21.10% 60.52%-1.14 -18.4 21
1950-03-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-153.4 1774 1598 60.52% 21.10% 18.38%+1.14 +18.4 29
1950-04-01 Cliftonville D 0-051.2 1445 1279 59.51% 21.15% 19.34%+0.81 -3.8 16
1950-04-01 @ Ards D 0-051.2 1279 1445 19.34% 21.15% 59.51%-0.81 +3.8 10
1950-04-01 Ballymena United L 0-139.0 1321 1465 21.40% 21.24% 57.36%-0.95 -9.1 8
1950-04-01 @ Coleraine W 1-039.0 1465 1321 57.36% 21.24% 21.40%+0.95 +9.1 15
1950-04-01 Glenavon W 4-159.1 1332 1644 9.30% 20.22% 70.48%-1.91 +59.3 12
1950-04-01 @ Crusaders L 1-459.1 1644 1332 70.48% 20.22% 9.30%+1.91 -59.3 22
1950-04-01 Bangor W 1-048.2 1793 1443 72.48% 19.89% 7.63%+1.86 +3.5 31
1950-04-01 @ Glentoran L 0-148.2 1443 1793 7.63% 19.89% 72.48%-1.86 -3.5 13
1950-04-01 Lisburn Distillery W 1-053.0 1766 1580 61.46% 21.05% 17.49%+0.93 +7.6 31
1950-04-01 @ Linfield L 0-153.0 1580 1766 17.49% 21.05% 61.46%-0.93 -7.6 21
1950-04-01 Derry City D 1-159.5 1404 1529 23.42% 21.31% 55.26%-0.84 +2.7 14
1950-04-01 @ Portadown D 1-159.5 1529 1404 55.26% 21.31% 23.42%+0.84 -2.6 23
1950-04-08 Portadown W 7-039.3 1439 1407 43.74% 21.52% 34.75%+0.05 +82.5 15
1950-04-08 @ Bangor L 0-739.3 1407 1439 34.75% 21.52% 43.74%-0.05 -82.5 14
1950-04-08 Coleraine L 1-342.6 1283 1312 35.20% 21.52% 43.28%-0.30 -22.5 10
1950-04-08 @ Cliftonville W 3-142.6 1312 1283 43.28% 21.52% 35.20%+0.30 +22.5 10
1950-04-08 Crusaders W 2-040.3 1526 1392 56.37% 21.28% 22.35%+0.63 +17.8 25
1950-04-08 @ Derry City L 0-240.3 1392 1526 22.35% 21.28% 56.37%-0.63 -17.8 12
1950-04-08 Linfield L 1-256.9 1585 1774 17.27% 21.04% 61.69%-1.21 -7.1 22
1950-04-08 @ Glenavon W 2-156.9 1774 1585 61.69% 21.04% 17.27%+1.21 +7.1 33
1950-04-08 Ards W 2-152.0 1796 1441 72.74% 19.84% 7.41%+1.89 +3.2 33
1950-04-08 @ Glentoran L 1-252.0 1441 1796 7.41% 19.84% 72.74%-1.89 -3.2 16
1950-04-08 Ballymena United W 2-152.7 1572 1474 52.29% 21.39% 26.31%+0.43 +10.2 23
1950-04-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-252.7 1474 1572 26.31% 21.39% 52.29%-0.43 -10.2 15
1950-04-11 Crusaders W 5-246.0 1437 1374 47.98% 21.47% 30.55%+0.23 +24.5 18
1950-04-11 @ Ards L 2-546.0 1374 1437 30.55% 21.47% 47.98%-0.23 -24.5 12
1950-04-11 Bangor L 1-251.9 1463 1522 31.28% 21.48% 47.24%-0.47 -11.8 15
1950-04-11 @ Ballymena United W 2-151.9 1522 1463 47.24% 21.48% 31.28%+0.47 +11.8 17
1950-04-11 Derry City L 0-331.2 1260 1544 10.76% 20.44% 68.80%-1.75 -13.4 10
1950-04-11 @ Cliftonville W 3-031.2 1544 1260 68.80% 20.44% 10.76%+1.75 +13.4 27
1950-04-11 Glenavon W 6-466.3 1334 1578 13.17% 20.71% 66.12%-1.52 +32.1 12
1950-04-11 @ Coleraine L 4-666.3 1578 1334 66.12% 20.71% 13.17%+1.52 -32.1 22
1950-04-11 Glentoran D 1-171.6 1781 1800 36.59% 21.52% 41.88%-0.24 +0.4 34
1950-04-11 @ Linfield D 1-171.6 1800 1781 41.88% 21.52% 36.59%+0.24 -0.4 34
1950-04-11 Lisburn Distillery L 0-236.7 1325 1582 12.27% 20.62% 67.11%-1.60 -10.4 14
1950-04-11 @ Portadown W 2-036.7 1582 1325 67.11% 20.62% 12.27%+1.60 +10.4 25
1950-04-15 Linfield L 0-248.6 1533 1781 12.89% 20.69% 66.43%-1.55 -10.9 17
1950-04-15 @ Bangor W 2-048.6 1781 1533 66.43% 20.69% 12.89%+1.55 +10.9 36
1950-04-15 Coleraine D 2-258.4 1349 1366 36.85% 21.53% 41.63%-0.23 +0.3 13
1950-04-15 @ Crusaders D 2-258.4 1366 1349 41.63% 21.53% 36.85%+0.23 -0.3 13
1950-04-15 Ards L 1-357.4 1557 1462 51.93% 21.40% 26.67%+0.41 -31.0 27
1950-04-15 @ Derry City W 3-157.4 1462 1557 26.67% 21.40% 51.93%-0.41 +31.0 20
1950-04-15 Ballymena United W 3-149.0 1546 1452 51.76% 21.41% 26.84%+0.40 +18.0 24
1950-04-15 @ Glenavon L 1-349.0 1452 1546 26.84% 21.41% 51.76%-0.40 -18.0 15
1950-04-15 Portadown W 2-147.4 1799 1314 77.71% 18.53% 3.76%+2.62 +1.6 36
1950-04-15 @ Glentoran L 1-247.4 1314 1799 3.76% 18.53% 77.71%-2.62 -1.6 14
1950-04-15 Cliftonville W 4-135.7 1593 1247 72.27% 19.93% 7.80%+1.83 +8.3 27
1950-04-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-435.7 1247 1593 7.80% 19.93% 72.27%-1.83 -8.3 10
1950-04-29 Linfield L 0-247.2 1493 1792 9.93% 20.32% 69.76%-1.84 -8.5 20
1950-04-29 @ Ards W 2-047.2 1792 1493 69.76% 20.32% 9.93%+1.84 +8.6 38
1950-04-29 Bangor L 1-238.9 1239 1522 10.76% 20.44% 68.81%-1.75 -4.6 10
1950-04-29 @ Cliftonville W 2-138.9 1522 1239 68.81% 20.44% 10.76%+1.75 +4.6 19
1950-04-29 Glentoran L 0-439.0 1350 1801 4.49% 18.90% 76.61%-2.70 -7.4 13
1950-04-29 @ Crusaders W 4-039.0 1801 1350 76.61% 18.90% 4.49%+2.70 +7.4 38
1950-04-29 Ballymena United W 5-144.3 1526 1434 51.60% 21.41% 26.99%+0.39 +33.0 29
1950-04-29 @ Derry City L 1-544.3 1434 1526 26.99% 21.41% 51.60%-0.39 -33.0 15
1950-04-29 Glenavon W 5-153.4 1601 1564 44.49% 21.51% 34.00%+0.08 +39.9 29
1950-04-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-553.4 1564 1601 34.00% 21.51% 44.49%-0.08 -39.9 24
1950-04-29 Coleraine D 3-362.4 1313 1366 31.90% 21.49% 46.61%-0.44 +0.7 15
1950-04-29 @ Portadown D 3-362.4 1366 1313 46.61% 21.49% 31.90%+0.44 -0.7 14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1950-05-10 Glentoran W 2-058.6 1801 1808 38.18% 21.53% 40.29%-0.04 +28.8 1-0
1950-05-10 @ Linfield L 0-258.6 1808 1801 40.29% 21.53% 38.18%+0.04 -28.8 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-04-01 9.30% @ Crusaders 1332 4 Glenavon 1644 1
2 1950-04-11 13.17% @ Coleraine 1334 6 Glenavon 1578 4
3 1950-03-04 15.40% Crusaders 1252 2 @ Bangor 1465 1
4 1950-03-04 16.07% Ards 1422 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1626 1
5 1950-02-18 16.65% Derry City 1583 2 @ Linfield 1779 1
6 1949-12-31 16.80% @ Coleraine 1331 3 Cliftonville 1525 0
7 1950-02-25 18.19% Bangor 1443 1 @ Glenavon 1621 0
8 1949-12-10 24.41% @ Coleraine 1392 1 Ards 1507 0
9 1950-04-15 26.67% Ards 1462 3 @ Derry City 1557 1
10 1950-01-28 26.83% Cliftonville 1409 3 @ Bangor 1503 1
11 1949-12-10 26.89% Derry City 1452 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1545 1
12 1949-12-26 27.22% Lisburn Distillery 1537 3 @ Glentoran 1628 2
13 1950-02-11 29.02% @ Ballymena United 1364 6 Cliftonville 1440 0
14 1950-01-28 29.37% @ Coleraine 1365 3 Portadown 1438 2
15 1949-12-17 30.36% @ Portadown 1439 2 Cliftonville 1505 1
16 1950-03-18 32.07% Crusaders 1280 7 @ Cliftonville 1332 2
17 1949-12-03 32.14% Portadown 1436 3 @ Crusaders 1488 2
18 1949-11-26 32.74% Derry City 1434 3 @ Bangor 1480 2
19 1949-12-17 33.11% Bangor 1453 4 @ Crusaders 1497 0
20 1950-03-18 35.21% Ards 1429 2 @ Bangor 1458 1
21 1950-05-10 * 38.18% @ Linfield 1801 2 Glentoran 1808 0
22 1950-02-25 39.12% Lisburn Distillery 1604 4 @ Derry City 1604 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-02-11 95.31 @ Ballymena United 6 1364 29.02% Cliftonville 0 1440 49.53% 21.45%
2 1950-04-08 82.48 @ Bangor 7 1439 43.74% Portadown 0 1407 34.75% 21.52%
3 1949-12-28 64.74 Glentoran 6 1651 47.67% @ Cliftonville 0 1590 30.86% 21.48%
4 1949-12-31 61.87 @ Coleraine 3 1331 16.80% Cliftonville 0 1525 62.19% 21.01%
5 1949-12-27 61.26 @ Glenavon 9 1545 60.60% Crusaders 0 1368 18.31% 21.10%
6 1949-12-27 60.98 @ Cliftonville 6 1529 49.88% Ards 0 1450 28.68% 21.44%
7 1949-12-17 60.35 Bangor 4 1453 33.11% @ Crusaders 0 1497 45.39% 21.50%
8 1950-04-01 59.33 @ Crusaders 4 1332 9.30% Glenavon 1 1644 70.48% 20.22%
9 1949-12-26 57.36 Cliftonville 5 1472 45.64% @ Crusaders 0 1426 32.86% 21.50%
10 1950-03-18 52.55 Crusaders 7 1280 32.07% @ Cliftonville 2 1332 46.43% 21.49%
11 1949-12-27 39.99 Glentoran 4 1611 51.30% @ Bangor 0 1521 27.29% 21.42%
12 1950-04-29 39.86 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1601 44.49% Glenavon 1 1564 34.00% 21.51%
13 1949-12-17 39.55 @ Glentoran 5 1592 57.74% Ballymena United 0 1445 21.03% 21.23%
14 1949-12-24 38.59 @ Glenavon 3 1508 42.17% Ards 0 1488 36.31% 21.52%
15 1950-03-04 36.12 @ Glenavon 6 1599 41.56% Derry City 2 1582 36.92% 21.53%
16 1950-01-07 34.07 @ Derry City 3 1523 47.43% Cliftonville 0 1463 31.09% 21.48%
17 1949-12-27 33.20 @ Ballymena United 4 1378 41.24% Coleraine 1 1364 37.23% 21.53%
18 1950-04-29 33.02 @ Derry City 5 1526 51.60% Ballymena United 1 1434 26.99% 21.41%
19 1950-04-11 32.07 @ Coleraine 6 1334 13.17% Glenavon 4 1578 66.12% 20.71%
20 1950-04-15 31.02 Ards 3 1462 26.67% @ Derry City 1 1557 51.93% 21.40%
21 1950-01-28 30.93 Cliftonville 3 1409 26.83% @ Bangor 1 1503 51.76% 21.41%
22 1950-01-07 29.95 @ Bangor 3 1481 52.01% Ballymena United 0 1385 26.59% 21.40%
23 1950-05-10 * 28.84 @ Linfield 2 1801 38.18% Glentoran 0 1808 40.29% 21.53%
24 1949-12-31 27.04 Derry City 4 1496 61.68% @ Crusaders 0 1307 17.29% 21.04%
25 1949-11-26 26.80 Ards 2 1481 41.77% @ Portadown 0 1463 36.70% 21.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-02-25 72.6 @ Linfield 2 1758 71.93% Portadown 2 1419 8.08% 19.99%
2 1950-04-11 71.6 @ Linfield 1 1781 36.59% Glentoran 1 1800 41.88% 21.52%
3 1949-12-03 70.7 @ Derry City 2 1449 14.70% Linfield 2 1670 64.45% 20.85%
4 1950-02-18 70.4 Derry City 2 1583 16.65% @ Linfield 1 1779 62.35% 21.00%
5 1950-02-04 68.8 @ Crusaders 2 1252 2.93% Linfield 2 1785 79.09% 17.99%
6 1949-12-26 68.7 Lisburn Distillery 3 1537 27.22% @ Glentoran 2 1628 51.36% 21.41%
7 1950-01-07 67.4 Linfield 3 1760 44.88% @ Glentoran 2 1720 33.61% 21.51%
8 1949-12-17 66.9 @ Ards 2 1487 33.59% Lisburn Distillery 2 1528 44.90% 21.51%
9 1950-04-11 66.3 @ Coleraine 6 1334 13.17% Glenavon 4 1578 66.12% 20.71%
10 1949-12-03 65.7 @ Glenavon 2 1480 35.67% Cliftonville 2 1505 42.81% 21.52%
11 1950-01-28 65.5 @ Glenavon 3 1610 41.13% Lisburn Distillery 2 1597 37.34% 21.53%
12 1950-02-18 65.4 @ Portadown 4 1421 59.30% Crusaders 4 1258 19.54% 21.16%
13 1949-11-26 65.3 @ Cliftonville 2 1506 44.61% Ballymena United 2 1467 33.88% 21.51%
14 1949-12-26 65.3 @ Ards 2 1449 29.36% Bangor 2 1522 49.19% 21.45%
15 1949-12-24 65.2 @ Derry City 1 1456 18.40% Glentoran 1 1632 60.50% 21.10%
16 1950-02-04 64.3 Glentoran 3 1719 51.95% @ Glenavon 2 1623 26.65% 21.40%
17 1950-02-25 63.9 Lisburn Distillery 4 1604 39.12% @ Derry City 2 1604 39.35% 21.53%
18 1950-03-18 63.9 @ Glenavon 1 1649 66.51% Portadown 1 1400 12.81% 20.68%
19 1950-03-04 63.6 Ards 2 1422 16.07% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1626 62.98% 20.96%
20 1950-03-04 63.5 @ Cliftonville 3 1333 27.22% Portadown 3 1423 51.36% 21.41%
21 1949-12-26 62.4 @ Portadown 1 1468 28.65% Glenavon 1 1547 49.91% 21.44%
22 1950-04-29 62.4 @ Portadown 3 1313 31.90% Coleraine 3 1366 46.61% 21.49%
23 1949-12-03 62.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1547 50.31% Bangor 1 1465 28.26% 21.43%
24 1950-01-14 61.0 @ Ballymena United 1 1355 12.11% Glenavon 1 1615 67.29% 20.60%
25 1949-12-03 60.9 @ Ards 1 1508 44.83% Ballymena United 1 1468 33.67% 21.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-04-11 31.2 Derry City 3 1544 68.80% @ Cliftonville 0 1260 10.76% 20.44%
2 1949-12-31 32.1 Derry City 4 1496 61.68% @ Crusaders 0 1307 17.29% 21.04%
3 1950-04-15 35.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1593 72.27% Cliftonville 1 1247 7.80% 19.93%
4 1950-02-25 36.2 Ballymena United 1 1457 62.49% @ Crusaders 0 1259 16.53% 20.99%
5 1950-04-11 36.7 Lisburn Distillery 2 1582 67.11% @ Portadown 0 1325 12.27% 20.62%
6 1950-01-07 37.4 @ Glenavon 4 1589 62.34% Coleraine 0 1393 16.67% 21.00%
7 1949-12-27 37.5 @ Glenavon 9 1545 60.60% Crusaders 0 1368 18.31% 21.10%
8 1950-01-07 37.8 @ Bangor 3 1481 52.01% Ballymena United 0 1385 26.59% 21.40%
9 1950-02-18 38.2 Glentoran 5 1728 72.91% @ Coleraine 0 1369 7.28% 19.81%
10 1950-04-29 38.9 Bangor 2 1522 68.81% @ Cliftonville 1 1239 10.76% 20.44%
11 1950-04-01 39.0 Ballymena United 1 1465 57.36% @ Coleraine 0 1321 21.40% 21.24%
12 1950-04-29 39.0 Glentoran 4 1801 76.61% @ Crusaders 0 1350 4.49% 18.90%
13 1949-12-26 39.2 Cliftonville 5 1472 45.64% @ Crusaders 0 1426 32.86% 21.50%
14 1950-04-08 39.3 @ Bangor 7 1439 43.74% Portadown 0 1407 34.75% 21.52%
15 1949-12-31 39.5 Lisburn Distillery 3 1539 55.65% @ Ballymena United 0 1411 23.05% 21.30%
16 1950-01-07 39.7 Ards 6 1386 53.16% @ Crusaders 2 1280 25.46% 21.37%
17 1950-04-08 40.3 @ Derry City 2 1526 56.37% Crusaders 0 1392 22.35% 21.28%
18 1949-12-17 40.6 @ Glentoran 5 1592 57.74% Ballymena United 0 1445 21.03% 21.23%
19 1949-12-27 41.2 @ Cliftonville 6 1529 49.88% Ards 0 1450 28.68% 21.44%
20 1950-02-11 42.0 @ Ballymena United 6 1364 29.02% Cliftonville 0 1440 49.53% 21.45%
21 1950-04-08 42.6 Coleraine 3 1312 43.28% @ Cliftonville 1 1283 35.20% 21.52%
22 1949-12-26 42.8 @ Linfield 6 1712 70.87% Ballymena United 1 1393 8.97% 20.16%
23 1949-12-27 42.9 @ Ballymena United 4 1378 41.24% Coleraine 1 1364 37.23% 21.53%
24 1950-01-07 43.3 @ Derry City 3 1523 47.43% Cliftonville 0 1463 31.09% 21.48%
25 1950-02-25 43.7 @ Ards 3 1401 45.68% Coleraine 1 1354 32.82% 21.50%