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1951-52 Irish League Season

132 games · 3 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Glenavon

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ballymena United

5.62 points above expected

22 points · 16.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Linfield

7.36 points below expected

17 points · 24.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glenavon 22 17 3 2 37 67 19 +48 33.80 +3.20
2 Glentoran 22 12 3 7 27 57 39 +18 31.83 -4.83
3 Coleraine 22 11 5 6 27 44 33 +11 25.41 +1.59
4 Lisburn Distillery 22 9 9 4 27 35 28 +7 24.91 +2.09
5 Ballymena United 22 7 8 7 22 41 44 -3 16.38 +5.62
6 Portadown 22 8 5 9 21 43 39 +4 26.77 -5.77
7 Ards 22 8 4 10 20 43 49 -6 16.64 +3.36
8 Derry City 22 7 5 10 19 33 44 -11 16.57 +2.43
9 Crusaders 22 7 4 11 18 32 51 -19 18.86 -0.86
10 Linfield 22 5 7 10 17 29 34 -5 24.36 -7.36
11 Bangor 22 6 5 11 17 27 51 -24 14.29 +2.71
12 Cliftonville 22 4 4 14 12 27 47 -20 14.18 -2.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ballymena United 22 16.38 +5.62
2 Ards 20 16.64 +3.36
3 Glenavon 37 33.80 +3.20
4 Bangor 17 14.29 +2.71
5 Derry City 19 16.57 +2.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 17 24.36 -7.36
2 Portadown 21 26.77 -5.77
3 Glentoran 27 31.83 -4.83
4 Cliftonville 12 14.18 -2.18
5 Crusaders 18 18.86 -0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena United 2 Feb 23 – Mar 1 1 in 107
2 Glenavon 9 Nov 10 – Dec 26 1 in 77
3 Lisburn Distillery 6 Nov 17 – Dec 22 1 in 72
4 Bangor 2 Nov 17 – Nov 24 1 in 53
5 Derry City 2 Apr 5 – Apr 12 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 4 Mar 22 – Apr 12 1 in 167
2 Cliftonville 8 Nov 10 – Dec 25 1 in 69
3 Portadown 3 Dec 22 – Dec 26 1 in 40
4 Ards 5 Dec 8 – Dec 26 1 in 33
5 Crusaders 5 Nov 10 – Dec 8 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 8 Jan 26 – Mar 29 1 in 219
2 Coleraine 10 Dec 8 – Feb 2 1 in 67
3 Ballymena United 5 Jan 26 – Mar 1 1 in 42
4 Lisburn Distillery 10 Nov 10 – Dec 29 1 in 41
5 Bangor 4 Nov 10 – Dec 1 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 10 Jan 5 – Mar 29 1 in 1,288
2 Linfield 9 Nov 10 – Dec 26 1 in 1,176
3 Portadown 5 Dec 22 – Jan 5 1 in 32
4 Crusaders 6 Dec 26 – Feb 9 1 in 14
5 Glentoran 4 Mar 22 – Apr 12 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glenavon 1891 37 +26 7 7.4 -0.4
Coleraine 1616 27 +35 7 7.1 -0.1
Lisburn Distillery 1607 27 +70 5 4.2 +0.8
Glentoran 1537 27 -180 2 6.2 -4.2
Ballymena United 1489 22 -15 5 4.6 +0.4
Portadown 1461 21 -48 4 5.9 -1.9
Ards 1517 20 +19 7 6.9 +0.1
Derry City 1451 19 +102 6 2.7 +3.3
Crusaders 1317 18 -144 4 5.2 -1.2
Linfield 1585 17 +107 6 4.5 +1.5
Bangor 1211 17 -21 2 2.3 -0.3
Cliftonville 1317 12 +50 5 3.1 +1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
1.73
2-0-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
0.73
0-0-2
0.83
1-1-0
1.38
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
1.26
Ballymena United
1-0-1
3.38
—
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.23
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
0.88
1-1-0
0.87
1-1-0
1.55
0-2-0
1.74
0-0-2
1.28
Bangor
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.93
—
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.06
0-0-2
2.06
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
0.61
0-1-1
0.78
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.16
1-1-0
1.06
Cliftonville
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.70
—
0-0-2
1.24
1-0-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
0.71
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.15
Coleraine
1-0-1
3.77
1-1-0
3.89
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.27
—
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
4.15
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.50
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.70
Crusaders
0-0-2
2.86
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
4.04
0-1-1
1.87
—
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.56
1-1-0
1.59
Derry City
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
2.79
—
0-0-2
0.77
1-0-1
1.05
1-1-0
1.23
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
1.67
Glenavon
1-1-0
4.81
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.76
—
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
4.12
0-0-2
4.37
1-1-0
3.93
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.70
0-1-1
4.66
1-1-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.84
1-0-1
4.01
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
4.47
0-0-2
1.83
—
1-0-1
4.21
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.75
Linfield
0-1-1
4.13
0-1-1
3.96
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
4.28
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
4.28
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
1.30
—
0-2-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.38
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
4.06
0-2-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.16
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
1.16
1-0-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.33
—
1-0-1
2.49
Portadown
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
4.23
0-1-1
4.46
1-0-1
4.36
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.92
0-0-2
3.83
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
1.75
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +4.7
Allowed 0.66 -5.4
Differential 0.89 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%1.89%3.41%1.14%2.65%17.80%
15.68%9.85%9.09%4.55%1.52%1.14%31.82%
21.89%9.09%9.09%3.03%0.38%1.14%24.62%
33.41%4.55%3.03%0.76%1.52%0.76%14.02%
41.14%1.52%0.38%1.52%—0.38%4.92%
5+2.65%1.14%1.14%0.76%0.38%0.76%6.82%
Total17.80%31.82%24.62%14.02%4.92%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.81 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.21
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%———4.55%—13.64%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%4.55%36.36%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%9.09%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.23 -0.27
SD 1.29 2.00 2.37
CV 0.66 0.90 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%22.73%———36.36%
3—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%————4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%31.82%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.00 -0.14
SD 1.17 1.51 2.08
CV 0.63 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
14.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%9.09%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.32 -1.09
SD 1.27 1.81 2.07
CV 1.03 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%31.82%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.14 -0.91
SD 0.97 1.39 1.38
CV 0.79 0.65 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%——31.82%
2—13.64%—9.09%——22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%54.55%9.09%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.50 +0.50
SD 1.85 1.22 2.06
CV 0.93 0.82 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%—9.09%27.27%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.32 -0.86
SD 1.47 1.91 2.42
CV 1.01 0.82 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.00 -0.50
SD 1.22 1.27 2.22
CV 0.82 0.64 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
318.18%—————18.18%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+18.18%—4.55%4.55%——27.27%
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 0.86 +2.18
SD 2.01 0.99 2.06
CV 0.66 1.15 —
Max 8 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
2——9.09%———9.09%
34.55%13.64%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.77 +0.82
SD 1.92 1.72 2.81
CV 0.74 0.97 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
113.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%——50.00%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.55 -0.23
SD 1.55 1.34 2.18
CV 1.18 0.86 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
29.09%13.64%18.18%———40.91%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%31.82%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.27 +0.32
SD 1.01 1.08 1.25
CV 0.63 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%4.55%27.27%4.55%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%——40.91%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%————4.55%9.09%
Total13.64%22.73%45.45%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.77 +0.18
SD 1.17 1.15 1.53
CV 0.60 0.65 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glenavon 1891 37 33.80 +3.20 87.0% 27 29 32 34 36 39 41
Lisburn Distillery 1627 27 24.91 +2.09 80.0% 15 20 22 25 27 30 33
Coleraine 1617 27 25.41 +1.59 75.0% 16 20 23 26 27 30 36
Linfield 1585 17 24.36 -7.36 4.0% 15 18 22 24 27 30 34
Glentoran 1517 27 31.83 -4.83 10.0% 25 27 30 32 34 36 38
Ards 1517 20 16.64 +3.36 90.0% 9 12 15 16 19 22 25
Ballymena United 1489 22 16.38 +5.62 97.0% 9 10 14 16 18 21 23
Portadown 1461 21 26.77 -5.77 4.0% 19 22 24 27 29 32 36
Derry City 1451 19 16.57 +2.43 77.0% 9 11 14 16 19 23 24
Cliftonville 1317 12 14.18 -2.18 31.0% 6 9 12 14 16 20 22
Crusaders 1317 18 18.86 -0.86 48.0% 8 14 17 19 21 25 28
Bangor 1211 17 14.29 +2.71 83.0% 6 9 12 14 16 20 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.94%
Clear Edge
47.73%23.48%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 66.61 Elo pts.
246 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Glenavon, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.150.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.64 * Some Luck: 2.64 to 3.96 * Lucky: 3.96 to 5.28 * Wild Swing: 5.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.97 points
Lucky
03.308
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.293
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Ballymena United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Portadown
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.32
1.61
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
73%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Occasional
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.46
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.37
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.54
Overconfident
0.4013251.001.59868
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.125
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Lisburn Distillery 2
Glentoran 1
Lisburn Distillery 1
Coleraine 1

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glenavon66.00%29.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———————
Glentoran27.00%51.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%——————
Coleraine1.00%3.00%26.00%34.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%————
Lisburn Distillery1.00%8.00%16.00%15.00%25.00%21.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Ballymena United————1.00%5.00%13.00%13.00%29.00%19.00%9.00%11.00%
Portadown5.00%6.00%29.00%22.00%24.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%————
Ards————1.00%6.00%12.00%26.00%15.00%13.00%21.00%6.00%
Derry City————3.00%6.00%13.00%19.00%14.00%21.00%13.00%11.00%
Crusaders——1.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%24.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%3.00%
Linfield—3.00%12.00%21.00%17.00%26.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Bangor————1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%23.00%33.00%
Cliftonville—————2.00%4.00%5.00%14.00%18.00%21.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-11-10 Derry City D 1-153.0 1311 1407 38.57% 25.32% 36.11%-0.12 -0.3 1
1951-11-10 @ Bangor D 1-153.0 1407 1311 36.11% 25.32% 38.57%+0.12 +0.3 1
1951-11-10 Glenavon L 1-447.7 1411 1638 22.05% 25.01% 52.93%-0.65 -40.3 0
1951-11-10 @ Cliftonville W 4-147.7 1638 1411 52.93% 25.01% 22.05%+0.65 +40.3 2
1951-11-10 Crusaders W 7-247.0 1564 1505 57.07% 25.11% 17.82%+0.51 +44.9 2
1951-11-10 @ Coleraine L 2-747.0 1505 1564 17.82% 25.11% 57.07%-0.51 -44.9 0
1951-11-10 Ards W 8-140.9 1732 1364 73.49% 22.99% 3.52%+1.76 +16.2 2
1951-11-10 @ Glentoran L 1-840.9 1364 1732 3.52% 22.99% 73.49%-1.76 -16.2 0
1951-11-10 Linfield D 2-270.8 1477 1680 24.57% 25.10% 50.33%-0.56 +2.8 1
1951-11-10 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-270.8 1680 1477 50.33% 25.10% 24.57%+0.56 -2.8 1
1951-11-10 Ballymena United W 5-032.3 1575 1338 68.79% 24.14% 7.07%+1.23 +28.5 2
1951-11-10 @ Portadown L 0-532.3 1338 1575 7.07% 24.14% 68.79%-1.23 -28.5 0
1951-11-17 Portadown L 1-247.8 1348 1603 19.23% 24.89% 55.89%-0.77 -14.7 0
1951-11-17 @ Ards W 2-147.8 1603 1348 55.89% 24.89% 19.23%+0.77 +14.7 4
1951-11-17 Cliftonville W 2-145.0 1309 1371 43.35% 25.33% 31.32%+0.02 +21.7 2
1951-11-17 @ Ballymena United L 1-245.0 1371 1309 31.32% 25.33% 43.35%-0.02 -21.7 0
1951-11-17 Glentoran L 0-151.1 1460 1748 16.35% 24.72% 58.93%-0.90 -13.6 0
1951-11-17 @ Crusaders W 1-051.1 1748 1460 58.93% 24.72% 16.35%+0.90 +13.6 4
1951-11-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-245.4 1407 1479 41.90% 25.33% 32.77%-0.02 -54.3 1
1951-11-17 @ Derry City W 2-045.4 1479 1407 32.77% 25.33% 41.90%+0.02 +54.2 3
1951-11-17 Coleraine W 5-046.7 1678 1609 57.88% 25.08% 17.04%+0.55 +62.4 4
1951-11-17 @ Glenavon L 0-546.7 1609 1678 17.04% 25.08% 57.88%-0.55 -62.4 2
1951-11-17 Bangor L 1-264.8 1677 1310 73.48% 22.99% 3.53%+1.76 -46.5 1
1951-11-17 @ Linfield W 2-164.8 1310 1677 3.53% 22.99% 73.48%-1.76 +46.5 3
1951-11-24 Ballymena United W 5-452.1 1357 1331 53.72% 25.21% 21.07%+0.37 +14.5 5
1951-11-24 @ Bangor L 4-552.1 1331 1357 21.07% 25.21% 53.72%-0.37 -14.5 2
1951-11-24 Glenavon L 0-345.3 1446 1741 15.84% 24.68% 59.48%-0.92 -36.2 0
1951-11-24 @ Crusaders W 3-045.3 1741 1446 59.48% 24.68% 15.84%+0.92 +36.2 6
1951-11-24 Linfield W 2-160.6 1353 1631 17.20% 24.77% 58.02%-0.86 +36.2 3
1951-11-24 @ Derry City L 1-260.6 1631 1353 58.02% 24.77% 17.20%+0.86 -36.2 1
1951-11-24 Coleraine W 3-258.9 1761 1547 67.73% 24.30% 7.97%+1.14 +6.5 6
1951-11-24 @ Glentoran L 2-358.9 1547 1761 7.97% 24.30% 67.73%-1.14 -6.5 2
1951-11-24 Ards W 4-349.9 1534 1333 67.01% 24.40% 8.59%+1.08 +6.8 5
1951-11-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-449.9 1333 1534 8.59% 24.40% 67.01%-1.08 -6.8 0
1951-11-24 Cliftonville W 3-248.8 1618 1349 70.14% 23.89% 5.96%+1.36 +4.9 6
1951-11-24 @ Portadown L 2-348.8 1349 1618 5.96% 23.89% 70.14%-1.36 -4.9 0
1951-12-01 Crusaders W 3-144.5 1317 1410 38.98% 25.32% 35.69%-0.11 +41.5 4
1951-12-01 @ Ballymena United L 1-344.5 1410 1317 35.69% 25.32% 38.98%+0.11 -41.5 0
1951-12-01 Glentoran D 1-166.0 1371 1768 9.36% 23.99% 66.65%-1.34 +9.3 6
1951-12-01 @ Bangor D 1-166.0 1768 1371 66.65% 23.99% 9.36%+1.34 -9.3 7
1951-12-01 Lisburn Distillery L 1-247.5 1344 1540 25.42% 25.12% 49.46%-0.53 -18.4 0
1951-12-01 @ Cliftonville W 2-147.5 1540 1344 49.46% 25.12% 25.42%+0.53 +18.4 7
1951-12-01 Portadown L 1-359.1 1540 1623 40.51% 25.33% 34.16%-0.06 -45.7 2
1951-12-01 @ Coleraine W 3-159.1 1623 1540 34.16% 25.33% 40.51%+0.06 +45.7 8
1951-12-01 Derry City W 5-039.4 1777 1389 74.06% 22.78% 3.16%+1.84 +12.9 8
1951-12-01 @ Glenavon L 0-539.4 1389 1777 3.16% 22.78% 74.06%-1.84 -12.9 3
1951-12-01 Ards D 0-055.1 1595 1326 70.12% 23.90% 5.98%+1.36 -12.0 2
1951-12-01 @ Linfield D 0-055.1 1326 1595 5.98% 23.90% 70.12%-1.36 +12.0 1
1951-12-08 Coleraine L 3-552.0 1338 1495 30.31% 25.23% 44.46%-0.36 -31.0 1
1951-12-08 @ Ards W 5-352.0 1495 1338 44.46% 25.23% 30.31%+0.36 +31.0 4
1951-12-08 Lisburn Distillery L 0-145.0 1368 1559 26.08% 25.14% 48.78%-0.50 -20.0 0
1951-12-08 @ Crusaders W 1-045.0 1559 1368 48.78% 25.14% 26.08%+0.50 +20.0 9
1951-12-08 Cliftonville W 3-032.1 1376 1326 56.19% 25.14% 18.67%+0.48 +41.8 5
1951-12-08 @ Derry City L 0-332.1 1326 1376 18.67% 25.14% 56.19%-0.48 -41.8 0
1951-12-08 Bangor W 1-045.5 1790 1381 74.62% 22.56% 2.82%+1.93 +2.6 10
1951-12-08 @ Glenavon L 0-145.5 1381 1790 2.82% 22.56% 74.62%-1.93 -2.6 6
1951-12-08 Portadown D 2-274.8 1759 1669 59.70% 25.00% 15.30%+0.64 -5.1 8
1951-12-08 @ Glentoran D 2-274.8 1669 1759 15.30% 25.00% 59.70%-0.64 +5.2 9
1951-12-08 Ballymena United D 2-263.6 1583 1358 68.21% 24.23% 7.56%+1.18 -7.5 3
1951-12-08 @ Linfield D 2-263.6 1358 1583 7.56% 24.23% 68.21%-1.18 +7.5 5
1951-12-15 Glenavon L 3-456.9 1307 1792 5.88% 23.21% 70.91%-1.70 -4.6 1
1951-12-15 @ Ards W 4-356.9 1792 1307 70.91% 23.21% 5.88%+1.70 +4.6 12
1951-12-15 Glentoran D 2-270.0 1366 1753 9.80% 24.06% 66.14%-1.30 +6.8 6
1951-12-15 @ Ballymena United D 2-270.0 1753 1366 66.14% 24.06% 9.80%+1.30 -6.8 9
1951-12-15 Cliftonville W 3-137.1 1526 1284 69.00% 24.10% 6.89%+1.25 +10.3 6
1951-12-15 @ Coleraine L 1-337.1 1284 1526 6.89% 24.10% 69.00%-1.25 -10.3 0
1951-12-15 Derry City W 3-037.3 1348 1418 42.24% 25.33% 32.43%-0.01 +64.8 2
1951-12-15 @ Crusaders L 0-337.3 1418 1348 32.43% 25.33% 42.24%+0.01 -64.8 5
1951-12-15 Bangor W 2-037.6 1579 1378 67.03% 24.40% 8.58%+1.08 +14.6 11
1951-12-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-237.6 1378 1579 8.58% 24.40% 67.03%-1.08 -14.6 6
1951-12-15 Linfield W 2-155.6 1674 1575 60.39% 24.96% 14.65%+0.67 +11.7 11
1951-12-15 @ Portadown L 1-255.6 1575 1674 14.65% 24.96% 60.39%-0.67 -11.7 3
1951-12-22 Crusaders L 0-243.5 1363 1413 44.89% 25.32% 29.79%+0.07 -57.4 6
1951-12-22 @ Bangor W 2-043.5 1413 1363 29.79% 25.32% 44.89%-0.07 +57.4 4
1951-12-22 Glentoran L 2-350.7 1274 1747 6.26% 23.32% 70.42%-1.65 -5.0 0
1951-12-22 @ Cliftonville W 3-250.7 1747 1274 70.42% 23.32% 6.26%+1.65 +5.1 11
1951-12-22 Ards W 4-030.6 1353 1303 56.19% 25.14% 18.67%+0.48 +54.7 7
1951-12-22 @ Derry City L 0-430.6 1303 1353 18.67% 25.14% 56.19%-0.48 -54.7 1
1951-12-22 Ballymena United W 2-149.5 1797 1372 75.01% 22.39% 2.60%+1.99 +2.2 14
1951-12-22 @ Glenavon L 1-249.5 1372 1797 2.60% 22.39% 75.01%-1.99 -2.2 6
1951-12-22 Coleraine L 0-159.5 1563 1536 53.89% 25.21% 20.90%+0.38 -35.9 3
1951-12-22 @ Linfield W 1-059.5 1536 1563 20.90% 25.21% 53.89%-0.38 +35.9 8
1951-12-22 Portadown W 2-162.4 1593 1685 39.15% 25.32% 35.52%-0.10 +23.9 13
1951-12-22 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-262.4 1685 1593 35.52% 25.32% 39.15%+0.10 -23.9 11
1951-12-25 Bangor L 1-247.8 1248 1306 43.82% 25.33% 30.85%+0.04 -28.1 1
1951-12-25 @ Ards W 2-147.8 1306 1248 30.85% 25.33% 43.82%-0.04 +28.1 8
1951-12-25 Lisburn Distillery D 3-369.4 1370 1617 20.01% 24.92% 55.06%-0.73 +3.3 7
1951-12-25 @ Ballymena United D 3-369.4 1617 1370 55.06% 24.92% 20.01%+0.73 -3.3 14
1951-12-25 Derry City W 2-146.1 1572 1408 64.94% 24.63% 10.43%+0.94 +8.7 10
1951-12-25 @ Coleraine L 1-246.1 1408 1572 10.43% 24.63% 64.94%-0.94 -8.7 7
1951-12-25 Cliftonville W 1-034.6 1471 1269 67.09% 24.39% 8.52%+1.09 +7.7 6
1951-12-25 @ Crusaders L 0-134.6 1269 1471 8.52% 24.39% 67.09%-1.09 -7.7 0
1951-12-25 Linfield W 4-361.9 1752 1527 68.20% 24.23% 7.57%+1.18 +6.0 13
1951-12-25 @ Glentoran L 3-461.9 1527 1752 7.57% 24.23% 68.20%-1.18 -6.0 3
1951-12-25 Glenavon L 1-263.2 1662 1799 32.77% 25.27% 41.96%-0.29 -22.5 11
1951-12-25 @ Portadown W 2-163.2 1799 1662 41.96% 25.27% 32.77%+0.29 +22.5 16
1951-12-26 Portadown W 3-265.6 1334 1639 15.03% 24.62% 60.35%-0.97 +35.8 10
1951-12-26 @ Bangor L 2-365.6 1639 1334 60.35% 24.62% 15.03%+0.97 -35.8 11
1951-12-26 Ards W 4-348.4 1261 1220 55.26% 25.17% 19.57%+0.44 +13.9 2
1951-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 3-448.4 1220 1261 19.57% 25.17% 55.26%-0.44 -13.9 1
1951-12-26 Ballymena United D 2-258.6 1399 1373 53.73% 25.21% 21.06%+0.38 -3.6 8
1951-12-26 @ Derry City D 2-258.6 1373 1399 21.06% 25.21% 53.73%-0.38 +3.6 8
1951-12-26 Glentoran W 8-354.9 1822 1758 57.44% 25.10% 17.46%+0.53 +39.9 18
1951-12-26 @ Glenavon L 3-854.9 1758 1822 17.46% 25.10% 57.44%-0.53 -39.9 13
1951-12-26 Crusaders D 1-160.9 1521 1478 55.48% 25.16% 19.35%+0.45 -5.5 4
1951-12-26 @ Linfield D 1-160.9 1478 1521 19.35% 25.16% 55.48%-0.45 +5.5 7
1951-12-26 Coleraine D 0-063.8 1614 1581 54.51% 25.19% 20.30%+0.41 -5.8 15
1951-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-063.8 1581 1614 20.30% 25.19% 54.51%-0.41 +5.7 11
1951-12-29 Ballymena United W 4-144.1 1206 1377 28.45% 25.20% 46.35%-0.42 +72.2 3
1951-12-29 @ Ards L 1-444.1 1377 1206 46.35% 25.20% 28.45%+0.42 -72.2 8
1951-12-29 Linfield L 0-139.4 1275 1516 20.59% 24.95% 54.46%-0.71 -16.5 2
1951-12-29 @ Cliftonville W 1-039.4 1516 1275 54.46% 24.95% 20.59%+0.71 +16.5 6
1951-12-29 Bangor W 4-246.2 1586 1370 67.82% 24.29% 7.89%+1.15 +10.5 13
1951-12-29 @ Coleraine L 2-446.2 1370 1586 7.89% 24.29% 67.82%-1.15 -10.5 10
1951-12-29 Derry City W 4-038.5 1718 1396 72.09% 23.43% 4.48%+1.58 +14.8 15
1951-12-29 @ Glentoran L 0-438.5 1396 1718 4.48% 23.43% 72.09%-1.58 -14.8 8
1951-12-29 Glenavon W 1-065.9 1608 1861 19.42% 24.90% 55.68%-0.76 +36.9 17
1951-12-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-165.9 1861 1608 55.68% 24.90% 19.42%+0.76 -36.9 18
1951-12-29 Crusaders D 5-577.0 1603 1484 61.99% 24.87% 13.15%+0.76 -3.8 12
1951-12-29 @ Portadown D 5-577.0 1484 1603 13.15% 24.87% 61.99%-0.76 +3.8 8
1952-01-05 Coleraine D 1-157.5 1305 1597 16.05% 24.70% 59.25%-0.91 +6.7 9
1952-01-05 @ Ballymena United D 1-157.5 1597 1305 59.25% 24.70% 16.05%+0.91 -6.7 14
1952-01-05 Cliftonville W 2-139.3 1359 1258 60.59% 24.95% 14.45%+0.68 +11.6 12
1952-01-05 @ Bangor L 1-239.3 1258 1359 14.45% 24.95% 60.59%-0.68 -11.6 2
1952-01-05 Ards L 1-354.4 1487 1278 67.46% 24.34% 8.20%+1.12 -73.8 8
1952-01-05 @ Crusaders W 3-154.4 1278 1487 8.20% 24.34% 67.46%-1.12 +73.8 5
1952-01-05 Portadown W 2-158.8 1381 1600 22.90% 25.04% 52.06%-0.62 +32.7 10
1952-01-05 @ Derry City L 1-258.8 1600 1381 52.06% 25.04% 22.90%+0.62 -32.7 12
1952-01-05 Linfield W 5-043.5 1825 1532 71.04% 23.70% 5.26%+1.46 +21.4 20
1952-01-05 @ Glenavon L 0-543.5 1532 1825 5.26% 23.70% 71.04%-1.46 -21.4 6
1952-01-05 Lisburn Distillery W 3-048.1 1733 1645 59.49% 25.01% 15.50%+0.63 +35.8 17
1952-01-05 @ Glentoran L 0-348.1 1645 1733 15.50% 25.01% 59.49%-0.63 -35.8 17
1952-01-12 Glentoran L 1-347.8 1352 1768 8.44% 23.83% 67.73%-1.42 -12.3 5
1952-01-12 @ Ards W 3-147.8 1768 1352 67.73% 23.83% 8.44%+1.42 +12.3 19
1952-01-12 Portadown L 0-238.2 1312 1567 19.23% 24.89% 55.88%-0.77 -29.4 9
1952-01-12 @ Ballymena United W 2-038.2 1567 1312 55.88% 24.89% 19.23%+0.77 +29.4 14
1952-01-12 Coleraine D 1-161.0 1414 1590 27.77% 25.18% 47.04%-0.45 +2.8 9
1952-01-12 @ Crusaders D 1-161.0 1590 1414 47.04% 25.18% 27.77%+0.45 -2.8 15
1952-01-12 Bangor L 0-149.7 1413 1371 55.40% 25.17% 19.44%+0.44 -36.8 10
1952-01-12 @ Derry City W 1-049.7 1371 1413 19.44% 25.17% 55.40%-0.44 +36.8 14
1952-01-12 Cliftonville W 6-242.7 1846 1247 78.69% 20.28% 1.03%+2.70 +2.3 22
1952-01-12 @ Glenavon L 2-642.7 1247 1846 1.03% 20.28% 78.69%-2.70 -2.3 2
1952-01-12 Lisburn Distillery D 1-165.1 1511 1609 38.27% 25.32% 36.41%-0.13 -0.2 7
1952-01-12 @ Linfield D 1-165.1 1609 1511 36.41% 25.32% 38.27%+0.13 +0.2 18
1952-01-26 Linfield L 1-645.6 1408 1511 37.62% 25.32% 37.06%-0.15 -96.6 14
1952-01-26 @ Bangor W 6-145.6 1511 1408 37.06% 25.32% 37.62%+0.15 +96.6 9
1952-01-26 Ballymena United D 2-256.0 1244 1282 46.41% 25.32% 28.27%+0.12 -1.9 3
1952-01-26 @ Cliftonville D 2-256.0 1282 1244 28.27% 25.32% 46.41%-0.12 +1.9 10
1952-01-26 Glenavon D 1-170.2 1587 1848 18.70% 24.86% 56.44%-0.79 +5.7 16
1952-01-26 @ Coleraine D 1-170.2 1848 1587 56.44% 24.86% 18.70%+0.79 -5.7 23
1952-01-26 Crusaders W 4-146.0 1781 1416 73.40% 23.02% 3.58%+1.75 +7.6 21
1952-01-26 @ Glentoran L 1-446.0 1416 1781 3.58% 23.02% 73.40%-1.75 -7.7 9
1952-01-26 Derry City D 2-265.3 1610 1377 68.61% 24.17% 7.22%+1.22 -7.6 19
1952-01-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-265.3 1377 1610 7.22% 24.17% 68.61%-1.22 +7.6 11
1952-01-26 Ards L 1-262.1 1596 1340 69.63% 23.99% 6.38%+1.31 -44.1 14
1952-01-26 @ Portadown W 2-162.1 1340 1596 6.38% 23.99% 69.63%-1.31 +44.1 7
1952-02-02 Lisburn Distillery D 2-265.0 1384 1602 22.98% 25.05% 51.97%-0.61 +3.2 8
1952-02-02 @ Ards D 2-265.0 1602 1384 51.97% 25.05% 22.98%+0.61 -3.2 20
1952-02-02 Bangor W 4-032.7 1284 1311 47.73% 25.31% 26.97%+0.16 +73.5 12
1952-02-02 @ Ballymena United L 0-432.7 1311 1284 26.97% 25.31% 47.73%-0.16 -73.5 14
1952-02-02 Glentoran W 2-167.6 1593 1788 25.51% 25.13% 49.36%-0.52 +31.1 18
1952-02-02 @ Coleraine L 1-267.6 1788 1593 49.36% 25.13% 25.51%+0.52 -31.1 21
1952-02-02 Derry City D 1-160.8 1607 1384 68.15% 24.24% 7.61%+1.18 -10.0 10
1952-02-02 @ Linfield D 1-160.8 1384 1607 7.61% 24.24% 68.15%-1.18 +10.0 12
1952-02-09 Linfield W 3-156.2 1387 1597 23.83% 25.07% 51.09%-0.58 +55.6 10
1952-02-09 @ Ards L 1-356.2 1597 1387 51.09% 25.07% 23.83%+0.58 -55.6 10
1952-02-09 Ballymena United D 1-153.8 1409 1358 56.26% 25.14% 18.60%+0.48 -5.7 10
1952-02-09 @ Crusaders D 1-153.8 1358 1409 18.60% 25.14% 56.26%-0.48 +5.7 13
1952-02-09 Glenavon L 0-343.4 1394 1843 7.13% 23.55% 69.32%-1.55 -17.5 12
1952-02-09 @ Derry City W 3-043.4 1843 1394 69.32% 23.55% 7.13%+1.55 +17.5 25
1952-02-09 Bangor W 6-033.5 1757 1238 77.14% 21.29% 1.57%+2.38 +7.4 23
1952-02-09 @ Glentoran L 0-633.5 1238 1757 1.57% 21.29% 77.14%-2.38 -7.4 14
1952-02-09 Cliftonville D 1-156.2 1599 1242 73.16% 23.10% 3.73%+1.72 -11.8 21
1952-02-09 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-156.2 1242 1599 3.73% 23.10% 73.16%-1.72 +11.8 4
1952-02-09 Coleraine W 1-055.5 1552 1624 41.93% 25.33% 32.74%-0.02 +23.8 16
1952-02-09 @ Portadown L 0-155.5 1624 1552 32.74% 25.33% 41.93%+0.02 -23.8 18
1952-02-23 Linfield W 2-047.6 1363 1542 27.51% 25.18% 47.31%-0.45 +60.0 15
1952-02-23 @ Ballymena United L 0-247.6 1542 1363 47.31% 25.18% 27.51%+0.45 -60.0 10
1952-02-23 Glenavon L 0-337.6 1230 1860 2.73% 21.65% 75.62%-2.28 -6.7 14
1952-02-23 @ Bangor W 3-037.6 1860 1230 75.62% 21.65% 2.73%+2.28 +6.7 27
1952-02-23 Derry City D 2-256.7 1254 1377 34.86% 25.29% 39.85%-0.23 +0.5 5
1952-02-23 @ Cliftonville D 2-256.7 1377 1254 39.85% 25.29% 34.86%+0.23 -0.5 13
1952-02-23 Ards L 0-160.6 1600 1443 64.55% 24.67% 10.78%+0.91 -43.1 18
1952-02-23 @ Coleraine W 1-060.6 1443 1600 10.78% 24.67% 64.55%-0.91 +43.1 12
1952-02-23 Crusaders L 1-263.2 1587 1403 66.12% 24.51% 9.38%+1.02 -41.7 21
1952-02-23 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-163.2 1403 1587 9.38% 24.51% 66.12%-1.02 +41.7 12
1952-02-23 Glentoran L 1-357.9 1576 1765 26.30% 25.15% 48.56%-0.50 -32.8 16
1952-02-23 @ Portadown W 3-157.9 1765 1576 48.56% 25.15% 26.30%+0.50 +32.8 25
1952-02-27 Portadown W 2-155.1 1255 1543 16.33% 24.72% 58.95%-0.90 +36.8 7
1952-02-27 @ Cliftonville L 1-255.1 1543 1255 58.95% 24.72% 16.33%+0.90 -36.8 16
1952-02-27 Crusaders W 5-041.9 1867 1445 74.95% 22.42% 2.63%+1.98 +10.7 29
1952-02-27 @ Glenavon L 0-541.9 1445 1867 2.63% 22.42% 74.95%-1.98 -10.7 12
1952-03-01 Lisburn Distillery D 0-050.8 1224 1545 13.81% 24.52% 61.67%-1.03 +8.4 15
1952-03-01 @ Bangor D 0-050.8 1545 1224 61.67% 24.52% 13.81%+1.03 -8.4 22
1952-03-01 Coleraine L 1-341.7 1292 1557 18.29% 24.84% 56.88%-0.81 -24.4 7
1952-03-01 @ Cliftonville W 3-141.7 1557 1292 56.88% 24.84% 18.29%+0.81 +24.4 20
1952-03-01 Crusaders L 2-355.7 1376 1434 43.81% 25.33% 30.86%+0.04 -26.7 13
1952-03-01 @ Derry City W 3-255.7 1434 1376 30.86% 25.33% 43.81%-0.04 +26.7 14
1952-03-01 Ards D 1-170.4 1877 1486 74.16% 22.74% 3.09%+1.86 -12.1 30
1952-03-01 @ Glenavon D 1-170.4 1486 1877 3.09% 22.74% 74.16%-1.86 +12.1 13
1952-03-01 Ballymena United L 1-369.7 1797 1423 73.68% 22.92% 3.40%+1.79 -80.8 25
1952-03-01 @ Glentoran W 3-169.7 1423 1797 3.40% 22.92% 73.68%-1.79 +80.8 17
1952-03-01 Portadown D 1-160.4 1482 1506 48.05% 25.30% 26.65%+0.17 -3.1 11
1952-03-01 @ Linfield D 1-160.4 1506 1482 26.65% 25.30% 48.05%-0.17 +3.1 17
1952-03-08 Derry City W 4-137.4 1498 1349 63.98% 24.72% 11.30%+0.87 +22.9 15
1952-03-08 @ Ards L 1-437.4 1349 1498 11.30% 24.72% 63.98%-0.87 -22.9 13
1952-03-08 Glenavon L 0-151.7 1504 1865 11.26% 24.25% 64.49%-1.20 -9.8 17
1952-03-08 @ Ballymena United W 1-051.7 1865 1504 64.49% 24.25% 11.26%+1.20 +9.8 32
1952-03-08 Linfield W 1-046.3 1582 1479 60.73% 24.94% 14.33%+0.69 +12.2 22
1952-03-08 @ Coleraine L 0-146.3 1479 1582 14.33% 24.94% 60.73%-0.69 -12.2 11
1952-03-08 Bangor W 5-236.6 1461 1232 68.40% 24.20% 7.39%+1.20 +13.5 16
1952-03-08 @ Crusaders L 2-536.6 1232 1461 7.39% 24.20% 68.40%-1.20 -13.5 15
1952-03-08 Cliftonville W 3-140.6 1717 1267 75.61% 22.12% 2.27%+2.09 +3.4 27
1952-03-08 @ Glentoran L 1-340.6 1267 1717 2.27% 22.12% 75.61%-2.09 -3.4 7
1952-03-08 Lisburn Distillery W 2-153.8 1509 1537 47.69% 25.31% 27.00%+0.16 +19.4 19
1952-03-08 @ Portadown L 1-253.8 1537 1509 27.00% 25.31% 47.69%-0.16 -19.4 22
1952-03-22 Ards L 2-345.5 1219 1521 15.23% 24.64% 60.13%-0.96 -11.4 15
1952-03-22 @ Bangor W 3-245.5 1521 1219 60.13% 24.64% 15.23%+0.96 +11.4 17
1952-03-22 Crusaders W 2-151.7 1264 1474 23.81% 25.07% 51.12%-0.58 +32.1 9
1952-03-22 @ Cliftonville L 1-251.7 1474 1264 51.12% 25.07% 23.81%+0.58 -32.1 16
1952-03-22 Coleraine W 3-262.7 1326 1594 18.13% 24.83% 57.04%-0.81 +33.8 15
1952-03-22 @ Derry City L 2-362.7 1594 1326 57.04% 24.83% 18.13%+0.81 -33.8 22
1952-03-22 Portadown D 2-275.2 1875 1529 72.86% 23.20% 3.94%+1.68 -8.7 33
1952-03-22 @ Glenavon D 2-275.2 1529 1875 3.94% 23.20% 72.86%-1.68 +8.7 20
1952-03-22 Glentoran W 1-062.5 1466 1720 19.40% 24.90% 55.70%-0.76 +36.9 13
1952-03-22 @ Linfield L 0-162.5 1720 1466 55.70% 24.90% 19.40%+0.76 -36.9 27
1952-03-22 Ballymena United D 2-265.9 1517 1494 53.46% 25.22% 21.32%+0.36 -3.6 23
1952-03-22 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-265.9 1494 1517 21.32% 25.22% 53.46%-0.36 +3.6 18
1952-03-29 Cliftonville D 0-052.2 1532 1296 68.77% 24.14% 7.09%+1.23 -11.4 18
1952-03-29 @ Ards D 0-052.2 1296 1532 7.09% 24.14% 68.77%-1.23 +11.5 10
1952-03-29 Derry City W 2-142.5 1498 1360 63.25% 24.78% 11.97%+0.83 +9.9 20
1952-03-29 @ Ballymena United L 1-242.5 1360 1498 11.97% 24.78% 63.25%-0.83 -9.8 15
1952-03-29 Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.3 1560 1514 55.76% 25.16% 19.08%+0.46 +14.7 24
1952-03-29 @ Coleraine L 1-252.3 1514 1560 19.08% 25.16% 55.76%-0.46 -14.7 23
1952-03-29 Linfield L 0-544.7 1442 1503 43.37% 25.33% 31.30%+0.02 -130.5 16
1952-03-29 @ Crusaders W 5-044.7 1503 1442 31.30% 25.33% 43.37%-0.02 +130.5 15
1952-03-29 Glenavon L 1-261.7 1683 1866 26.93% 25.16% 47.91%-0.47 -19.3 27
1952-03-29 @ Glentoran W 2-161.7 1866 1683 47.91% 25.16% 26.93%+0.47 +19.3 35
1952-03-29 Bangor D 2-258.6 1538 1207 72.36% 23.35% 4.29%+1.61 -8.6 21
1952-03-29 @ Portadown D 2-258.6 1207 1538 4.29% 23.35% 72.36%-1.61 +8.6 16
1952-04-05 Ards W 3-150.2 1508 1521 49.40% 25.29% 25.31%+0.22 +31.9 22
1952-04-05 @ Ballymena United L 1-350.2 1521 1508 25.31% 25.29% 49.40%-0.22 -31.9 18
1952-04-05 Coleraine D 1-154.6 1216 1575 11.40% 24.27% 64.33%-1.19 +8.5 17
1952-04-05 @ Bangor D 1-154.6 1575 1216 64.33% 24.27% 11.40%+1.19 -8.5 25
1952-04-05 Portadown W 2-154.1 1312 1529 23.06% 25.05% 51.89%-0.61 +32.6 18
1952-04-05 @ Crusaders L 1-254.1 1529 1312 51.89% 25.05% 23.06%+0.61 -32.6 21
1952-04-05 Glentoran W 3-160.1 1350 1664 14.40% 24.57% 61.02%-1.00 +66.0 17
1952-04-05 @ Derry City L 1-360.1 1664 1350 61.02% 24.57% 14.40%+1.00 -66.0 27
1952-04-05 Lisburn Distillery L 1-274.4 1886 1499 74.02% 22.80% 3.18%+1.84 -46.8 35
1952-04-05 @ Glenavon W 2-174.4 1499 1886 3.18% 22.80% 74.02%-1.84 +46.8 25
1952-04-05 Cliftonville W 1-038.4 1634 1307 72.23% 23.39% 4.38%+1.60 +4.0 17
1952-04-05 @ Linfield L 0-138.4 1307 1634 4.38% 23.39% 72.23%-1.60 -4.1 10
1952-04-12 Crusaders W 3-032.4 1489 1344 63.74% 24.74% 11.52%+0.86 +27.7 20
1952-04-12 @ Ards L 0-332.4 1344 1489 11.52% 24.74% 63.74%-0.86 -27.7 18
1952-04-12 Ballymena United W 5-148.0 1566 1540 53.81% 25.21% 20.98%+0.38 +50.1 27
1952-04-12 @ Coleraine L 1-548.0 1540 1566 20.98% 25.21% 53.81%-0.38 -50.1 22
1952-04-12 Glenavon L 0-351.5 1638 1839 24.88% 25.11% 50.02%-0.54 -52.6 17
1952-04-12 @ Linfield W 3-051.5 1839 1638 50.02% 25.11% 24.88%+0.54 +52.6 37
1952-04-12 Glentoran W 3-048.6 1546 1598 44.65% 25.33% 30.03%+0.06 +61.1 27
1952-04-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-348.6 1598 1546 30.03% 25.33% 44.65%-0.06 -61.1 27
1952-04-12 Derry City L 2-363.1 1496 1416 58.84% 25.04% 16.12%+0.59 -35.0 21
1952-04-12 @ Portadown W 3-263.1 1416 1496 16.12% 25.04% 58.84%-0.59 +35.0 19
1952-04-29 Bangor W 1-035.2 1303 1224 58.77% 25.04% 16.19%+0.59 +13.6 12
1952-04-29 @ Cliftonville L 0-135.2 1224 1303 16.19% 25.04% 58.77%-0.59 -13.6 17

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1952-11-19 Lisburn Distillery L 1-257.2 1537 1607 27.85% 25.26% 46.89%-0.29 -19.8 0-1
1952-11-19 @ Glentoran W 2-157.2 1607 1537 46.89% 25.26% 27.85%+0.29 +19.8 1-0
1952-11-26 Coleraine D 1-168.1 1627 1616 38.87% 25.33% 35.80%+0.04 -0.4 1-0-1
1952-11-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-168.1 1616 1627 35.80% 25.33% 38.87%-0.04 +0.4 0-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-04-05 3.18% Lisburn Distillery 1499 2 @ Glenavon 1886 1
2 1952-03-01 3.40% Ballymena United 1423 3 @ Glentoran 1797 1
3 1951-11-17 3.53% Bangor 1310 2 @ Linfield 1677 1
4 1952-01-26 6.38% Ards 1340 2 @ Portadown 1596 1
5 1952-01-05 8.20% Ards 1278 3 @ Crusaders 1487 1
6 1952-02-23 9.38% Crusaders 1403 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1587 1
7 1952-02-23 10.78% Ards 1443 1 @ Coleraine 1600 0
8 1952-04-05 14.40% @ Derry City 1350 3 Glentoran 1664 1
9 1951-12-26 15.03% @ Bangor 1334 3 Portadown 1639 2
10 1952-04-12 16.12% Derry City 1416 3 @ Portadown 1496 2
11 1952-02-27 16.33% @ Cliftonville 1255 2 Portadown 1543 1
12 1951-11-24 17.20% @ Derry City 1353 2 Linfield 1631 1
13 1952-03-22 18.13% @ Derry City 1326 3 Coleraine 1594 2
14 1952-03-22 19.40% @ Linfield 1466 1 Glentoran 1720 0
15 1951-12-29 19.42% @ Lisburn Distillery 1608 1 Glenavon 1861 0
16 1952-01-12 19.44% Bangor 1371 1 @ Derry City 1413 0
17 1951-12-22 20.90% Coleraine 1536 1 @ Linfield 1563 0
18 1952-01-05 22.90% @ Derry City 1381 2 Portadown 1600 1
19 1952-04-05 23.06% @ Crusaders 1312 2 Portadown 1529 1
20 1952-03-22 23.81% @ Cliftonville 1264 2 Crusaders 1474 1
21 1952-02-09 23.83% @ Ards 1387 3 Linfield 1597 1
22 1952-02-02 25.51% @ Coleraine 1593 2 Glentoran 1788 1
23 1952-02-23 27.51% @ Ballymena United 1363 2 Linfield 1542 0
24 1951-12-29 28.45% @ Ards 1206 4 Ballymena United 1377 1
25 1951-12-22 29.79% Crusaders 1413 2 @ Bangor 1363 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-03-29 130.50 Linfield 5 1503 31.30% @ Crusaders 0 1442 43.37% 25.33%
2 1952-01-26 96.63 Linfield 6 1511 37.06% @ Bangor 1 1408 37.62% 25.32%
3 1952-03-01 80.81 Ballymena United 3 1423 3.40% @ Glentoran 1 1797 73.68% 22.92%
4 1952-01-05 73.83 Ards 3 1278 8.20% @ Crusaders 1 1487 67.46% 24.34%
5 1952-02-02 73.45 @ Ballymena United 4 1284 47.73% Bangor 0 1311 26.97% 25.31%
6 1951-12-29 72.19 @ Ards 4 1206 28.45% Ballymena United 1 1377 46.35% 25.20%
7 1952-04-05 66.05 @ Derry City 3 1350 14.40% Glentoran 1 1664 61.02% 24.57%
8 1951-12-15 64.81 @ Crusaders 3 1348 42.24% Derry City 0 1418 32.43% 25.33%
9 1951-11-17 62.43 @ Glenavon 5 1678 57.88% Coleraine 0 1609 17.04% 25.08%
10 1952-04-12 61.11 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1546 44.65% Glentoran 0 1598 30.03% 25.33%
11 1952-02-23 59.99 @ Ballymena United 2 1363 27.51% Linfield 0 1542 47.31% 25.18%
12 1951-12-22 57.42 Crusaders 2 1413 29.79% @ Bangor 0 1363 44.89% 25.32%
13 1952-02-09 55.62 @ Ards 3 1387 23.83% Linfield 1 1597 51.09% 25.07%
14 1951-12-22 54.67 @ Derry City 4 1353 56.19% Ards 0 1303 18.67% 25.14%
15 1951-11-17 54.26 Lisburn Distillery 2 1479 32.77% @ Derry City 0 1407 41.90% 25.33%
16 1952-04-12 52.63 Glenavon 3 1839 50.02% @ Linfield 0 1638 24.88% 25.11%
17 1952-04-12 50.12 @ Coleraine 5 1566 53.81% Ballymena United 1 1540 20.98% 25.21%
18 1952-04-05 46.84 Lisburn Distillery 2 1499 3.18% @ Glenavon 1 1886 74.02% 22.80%
19 1951-11-17 46.55 Bangor 2 1310 3.53% @ Linfield 1 1677 73.48% 22.99%
20 1951-12-01 45.74 Portadown 3 1623 34.16% @ Coleraine 1 1540 40.51% 25.33%
21 1951-11-10 44.91 @ Coleraine 7 1564 57.07% Crusaders 2 1505 17.82% 25.11%
22 1952-01-26 44.10 Ards 2 1340 6.38% @ Portadown 1 1596 69.63% 23.99%
23 1952-02-23 43.11 Ards 1 1443 10.78% @ Coleraine 0 1600 64.55% 24.67%
24 1951-12-08 41.84 @ Derry City 3 1376 56.19% Cliftonville 0 1326 18.67% 25.14%
25 1952-02-23 41.71 Crusaders 2 1403 9.38% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1587 66.12% 24.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-12-29 77.0 @ Portadown 5 1603 61.99% Crusaders 5 1484 13.15% 24.87%
2 1952-03-22 75.2 @ Glenavon 2 1875 72.86% Portadown 2 1529 3.94% 23.20%
3 1951-12-08 74.8 @ Glentoran 2 1759 59.70% Portadown 2 1669 15.30% 25.00%
4 1952-04-05 74.4 Lisburn Distillery 2 1499 3.18% @ Glenavon 1 1886 74.02% 22.80%
5 1951-11-10 70.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1477 24.57% Linfield 2 1680 50.33% 25.10%
6 1952-03-01 70.4 @ Glenavon 1 1877 74.16% Ards 1 1486 3.09% 22.74%
7 1952-01-26 70.2 @ Coleraine 1 1587 18.70% Glenavon 1 1848 56.44% 24.86%
8 1951-12-15 70.0 @ Ballymena United 2 1366 9.80% Glentoran 2 1753 66.14% 24.06%
9 1952-03-01 69.7 Ballymena United 3 1423 3.40% @ Glentoran 1 1797 73.68% 22.92%
10 1951-12-25 69.4 @ Ballymena United 3 1370 20.01% Lisburn Distillery 3 1617 55.06% 24.92%
11 1952-11-26 * 68.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1627 38.87% Coleraine 1 1616 35.80% 25.33%
12 1952-02-02 67.6 @ Coleraine 2 1593 25.51% Glentoran 1 1788 49.36% 25.13%
13 1951-12-01 66.0 @ Bangor 1 1371 9.36% Glentoran 1 1768 66.65% 23.99%
14 1951-12-29 65.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1608 19.42% Glenavon 0 1861 55.68% 24.90%
15 1952-03-22 65.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1517 53.46% Ballymena United 2 1494 21.32% 25.22%
16 1951-12-26 65.6 @ Bangor 3 1334 15.03% Portadown 2 1639 60.35% 24.62%
17 1952-01-26 65.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1610 68.61% Derry City 2 1377 7.22% 24.17%
18 1952-01-12 65.1 @ Linfield 1 1511 38.27% Lisburn Distillery 1 1609 36.41% 25.32%
19 1952-02-02 65.0 @ Ards 2 1384 22.98% Lisburn Distillery 2 1602 51.97% 25.05%
20 1951-11-17 64.8 Bangor 2 1310 3.53% @ Linfield 1 1677 73.48% 22.99%
21 1951-12-26 63.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1614 54.51% Coleraine 0 1581 20.30% 25.19%
22 1951-12-08 63.6 @ Linfield 2 1583 68.21% Ballymena United 2 1358 7.56% 24.23%
23 1951-12-25 63.2 Glenavon 2 1799 41.96% @ Portadown 1 1662 32.77% 25.27%
24 1952-02-23 63.2 Crusaders 2 1403 9.38% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1587 66.12% 24.51%
25 1952-04-12 63.1 Derry City 3 1416 16.12% @ Portadown 2 1496 58.84% 25.04%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-12-22 30.6 @ Derry City 4 1353 56.19% Ards 0 1303 18.67% 25.14%
2 1951-12-08 32.1 @ Derry City 3 1376 56.19% Cliftonville 0 1326 18.67% 25.14%
3 1951-11-10 32.3 @ Portadown 5 1575 68.79% Ballymena United 0 1338 7.07% 24.14%
4 1952-04-12 32.4 @ Ards 3 1489 63.74% Crusaders 0 1344 11.52% 24.74%
5 1952-02-02 32.7 @ Ballymena United 4 1284 47.73% Bangor 0 1311 26.97% 25.31%
6 1952-02-09 33.5 @ Glentoran 6 1757 77.14% Bangor 0 1238 1.57% 21.29%
7 1951-12-25 34.6 @ Crusaders 1 1471 67.09% Cliftonville 0 1269 8.52% 24.39%
8 1952-04-29 35.2 @ Cliftonville 1 1303 58.77% Bangor 0 1224 16.19% 25.04%
9 1952-03-08 36.6 @ Crusaders 5 1461 68.40% Bangor 2 1232 7.39% 24.20%
10 1951-12-15 37.1 @ Coleraine 3 1526 69.00% Cliftonville 1 1284 6.89% 24.10%
11 1951-12-15 37.3 @ Crusaders 3 1348 42.24% Derry City 0 1418 32.43% 25.33%
12 1952-03-08 37.4 @ Ards 4 1498 63.98% Derry City 1 1349 11.30% 24.72%
13 1951-12-15 37.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1579 67.03% Bangor 0 1378 8.58% 24.40%
14 1952-02-23 37.6 Glenavon 3 1860 75.62% @ Bangor 0 1230 2.73% 21.65%
15 1952-01-12 38.2 Portadown 2 1567 55.88% @ Ballymena United 0 1312 19.23% 24.89%
16 1952-04-05 38.4 @ Linfield 1 1634 72.23% Cliftonville 0 1307 4.38% 23.39%
17 1951-12-29 38.5 @ Glentoran 4 1718 72.09% Derry City 0 1396 4.48% 23.43%
18 1952-01-05 39.3 @ Bangor 2 1359 60.59% Cliftonville 1 1258 14.45% 24.95%
19 1951-12-01 39.4 @ Glenavon 5 1777 74.06% Derry City 0 1389 3.16% 22.78%
20 1951-12-29 39.4 Linfield 1 1516 54.46% @ Cliftonville 0 1275 20.59% 24.95%
21 1952-03-08 40.6 @ Glentoran 3 1717 75.61% Cliftonville 1 1267 2.27% 22.12%
22 1951-11-10 40.9 @ Glentoran 8 1732 73.49% Ards 1 1364 3.52% 22.99%
23 1952-03-01 41.7 Coleraine 3 1557 56.88% @ Cliftonville 1 1292 18.29% 24.84%
24 1952-02-27 41.9 @ Glenavon 5 1867 74.95% Crusaders 0 1445 2.63% 22.42%
25 1952-03-29 42.5 @ Ballymena United 2 1498 63.25% Derry City 1 1360 11.97% 24.78%