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1962-63 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Lisburn Distillery

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lisburn Distillery

6.86 points above expected

31 points · 24.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ards

5.21 points below expected

13 points · 18.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 22 13 5 4 31 57 30 +27 24.14 +6.86
2 Linfield 22 10 9 3 29 40 24 +16 28.88 +0.12
3 Glentoran 22 11 6 5 28 49 27 +22 26.22 +1.78
4 Portadown 22 9 10 3 28 45 25 +20 28.49 -0.49
5 Ballymena United 22 7 11 4 25 41 42 -1 23.83 +1.17
6 Crusaders 22 11 2 9 24 47 42 +5 22.24 +1.76
7 Coleraine 22 8 8 6 24 34 33 +1 21.44 +2.56
8 Glenavon 22 9 5 8 23 44 31 +13 25.98 -2.98
9 Derry City 22 8 5 9 21 34 38 -4 17.61 +3.39
10 Ards 22 5 3 14 13 30 54 -24 18.21 -5.21
11 Cliftonville 22 2 5 15 9 24 56 -32 13.28 -4.28
12 Bangor 22 2 5 15 9 22 65 -43 13.68 -4.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 31 24.14 +6.86
2 Derry City 21 17.61 +3.39
3 Coleraine 24 21.44 +2.56
4 Glentoran 28 26.22 +1.78
5 Crusaders 24 22.24 +1.76

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 13 18.21 -5.21
2 Bangor 9 13.68 -4.68
3 Cliftonville 9 13.28 -4.28
4 Glenavon 23 25.98 -2.98
5 Portadown 28 28.49 -0.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 5 Apr 15 – May 18 1 in 66
2 Coleraine 3 Dec 15 – Dec 25 1 in 42
3 Cliftonville 2 Dec 8 – Dec 15 1 in 23
4 Derry City 2 Apr 16 – Apr 27 1 in 20
5 Glentoran 3 Feb 2 – Feb 16 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 5 Dec 1 – Dec 25 1 in 203
2 Cliftonville 7 Jan 26 – Apr 1 1 in 73
3 Bangor 6 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 30
4 Crusaders 3 Dec 8 – Dec 22 1 in 18
5 Glenavon 2 Jan 5 – Jan 12 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 5 Dec 1 – Dec 25 1 in 73
2 Lisburn Distillery 7 Nov 30 – Dec 29 1 in 23
3 Glentoran 8 Dec 29 – Feb 16 1 in 16
4 Derry City 5 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 14
5 Portadown 9 Dec 8 – Feb 2 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 5 Dec 25 – Jan 26 1 in 41
2 Linfield 6 Jan 12 – Mar 2 1 in 40
3 Cliftonville 19 Dec 22 – Apr 27 1 in 30
4 Glentoran 5 Dec 15 – Dec 29 1 in 24
5 Bangor 10 Dec 1 – Jan 26 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lisburn Distillery 1356 31 +61 10 6.0 +4.0
Linfield 1405 29 +9 6 6.1 -0.1
Glentoran 1390 28 +6 7 6.2 +0.8
Portadown 1380 28 -16 5 5.9 -0.9
Ballymena United 1270 25 +3 7 6.3 +0.7
Crusaders 1273 24 +3 6 5.2 +0.8
Coleraine 1247 24 +2 5 5.5 -0.5
Glenavon 1321 23 -17 3 5.2 -2.2
Derry City 1218 21 +32 7 4.8 +2.2
Ards 1154 13 -11 2 4.1 -2.1
Bangor 1040 9 -1 3 2.3 +0.7
Cliftonville 1007 9 -47 0 2.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-2-0
1.89
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.55
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
1.53
Ballymena United
0-2-0
3.54
 —
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
1.98
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
1.99
Bangor
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
1.56
 —
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
1.43
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
1.12
0-2-0
0.97
Cliftonville
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
2.34
 —
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.24
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.07
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
1.16
Coleraine
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.80
 —
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.06
0-2-0
2.10
2-0-0
1.82
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.68
Crusaders
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
2.84
 —
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.16
Derry City
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
1.85
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.09
 —
1-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.49
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
1.52
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.72
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
4.12
0-2-0
3.31
0-0-2
3.28
1-0-1
3.87
 —
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.46
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
4.31
1-1-0
4.43
0-0-2
3.60
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
2.75
 —
0-2-0
2.30
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.57
Linfield
2-0-0
4.19
0-2-0
3.44
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
4.17
0-0-2
3.14
0-2-0
3.11
 —
0-1-1
3.45
0-2-0
2.95
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
1.97
 —
0-2-0
2.04
Portadown
1-1-0
3.91
0-2-0
3.43
0-2-0
4.55
1-1-0
4.32
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.93
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
2.45
0-2-0
3.38
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +6.5
Allowed 0.86 -5.3
Differential 0.94 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%4.55%2.65%4.17%1.14%0.76%19.32%
14.55%12.88%4.92%4.17%2.65%3.41%32.58%
22.65%4.92%8.33%3.79%0.76%1.52%21.97%
34.17%4.17%3.79%0.76%1.14%0.38%14.39%
41.14%2.65%0.76%1.14%——5.68%
5+0.76%3.41%1.52%0.38%——6.06%
Total19.32%32.58%21.97%14.39%5.68%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.77 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.26
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%22.73%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.45 -1.09
SD 1.14 1.82 2.09
CV 0.83 0.74 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
14.55%27.27%——4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.91 -0.05
SD 1.46 1.51 2.13
CV 0.78 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%—9.09%31.82%
2—4.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%18.18%22.73%27.27%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.95 -1.95
SD 0.93 2.01 2.28
CV 0.93 0.68 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%—36.36%
1—13.64%9.09%—4.55%9.09%36.36%
2——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%22.73%18.18%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.55 -1.45
SD 1.15 1.60 1.95
CV 1.06 0.63 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%—4.55%——27.27%
1——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
2—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
39.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.50 +0.05
SD 1.14 1.22 1.53
CV 0.74 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
2—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
49.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.91 +0.23
SD 1.64 1.74 2.67
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%45.45%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.14 1.39 1.92
CV 0.74 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
39.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.41 +0.59
SD 1.83 1.14 1.97
CV 0.91 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
113.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%——45.45%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%13.64%————18.18%
Total22.73%50.00%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.23 +1.00
SD 1.72 1.07 2.12
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
19.09%22.73%————31.82%
213.64%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.09 +0.73
SD 1.14 1.19 1.39
CV 0.63 1.09 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
39.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.36 +1.23
SD 2.09 1.26 2.47
CV 0.80 0.92 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%——31.82%
2——18.18%———18.18%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.14 +0.91
SD 1.94 0.94 2.14
CV 0.95 0.83 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1405 29 28.88 +0.12 55.0% 20 22 27 29 31 34 37
Glentoran 1390 28 26.22 +1.78 78.0% 16 21 24 26 28 31 35
Portadown 1380 28 28.49 -0.49 40.0% 18 21 26 29 31 34 38
Lisburn Distillery 1356 31 24.14 +6.86 99.0% 17 19 22 24 26 29 33
Glenavon 1321 23 25.98 -2.98 27.0% 18 20 23 26 29 32 36
Crusaders 1273 24 22.24 +1.76 73.0% 13 16 19 22 25 28 31
Ballymena United 1270 25 23.83 +1.17 69.0% 13 18 21 23 27 30 34
Coleraine 1247 24 21.44 +2.56 80.0% 14 16 18 22 24 27 30
Derry City 1218 21 17.61 +3.39 88.0% 10 12 15 17 20 23 26
Ards 1154 13 18.21 -5.21 10.0% 11 12 15 19 21 23 27
Bangor 1040 9 13.68 -4.68 7.0% 7 9 11 13 15 20 22
Cliftonville 1007 9 13.28 -4.28 13.0% 5 8 11 13 15 19 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
40.15%28.03%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
138 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
4%
Lisburn Distillery, 6th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.28 * Lucky: 4.28 to 5.71 * Wild Swing: 5.71 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.53 points
Some Luck
03.579
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.564
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Lisburn Distillery
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Bangor
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 131.78
1.92
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.075
Well Within Noise
00.1550.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Lisburn Distillery4.00%7.00%17.00%16.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%10.00%———
Linfield31.00%24.00%18.00%13.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%————
Glentoran11.00%17.00%18.00%21.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%———
Portadown38.00%19.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Ballymena United5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Crusaders1.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%
Coleraine1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%16.00%18.00%11.00%3.00%—
Glenavon9.00%21.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Derry City——1.00%—2.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%24.00%29.00%13.00%5.00%
Ards———1.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%21.00%19.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%
Cliftonville——————1.00%3.00%6.00%18.00%35.00%37.00%
Bangor—————1.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%33.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1962-11-30 Lisburn Distillery D 2-255.8 1366 1234 56.59% 28.09% 15.32%+1.17 -1.6 1
1962-11-30 @ Linfield D 2-255.8 1234 1366 15.32% 28.09% 56.59%-1.17 +1.6 1
1962-12-01 Ballymena United D 2-255.0 1173 1307 24.19% 29.08% 46.72%-0.76 +0.8 1
1962-12-01 @ Bangor D 2-255.0 1307 1173 46.72% 29.08% 24.19%+0.76 -0.8 1
1962-12-01 Ards W 4-141.4 1255 1283 37.93% 29.73% 32.34%+0.01 +19.1 2
1962-12-01 @ Crusaders L 1-441.4 1283 1255 32.34% 29.73% 37.93%-0.01 -19.1 0
1962-12-01 Portadown W 3-148.6 1168 1336 20.72% 28.60% 50.68%-1.00 +19.1 2
1962-12-01 @ Derry City L 1-348.6 1336 1168 50.68% 28.60% 20.72%+1.00 -19.1 0
1962-12-01 Coleraine D 3-359.5 1314 1227 52.11% 28.85% 19.04%+0.84 -1.0 1
1962-12-01 @ Glenavon D 3-359.5 1227 1314 19.04% 28.85% 52.11%-0.84 +1.0 1
1962-12-01 Cliftonville D 1-151.2 1319 1078 65.40% 25.48% 9.11%+1.96 -3.1 1
1962-12-01 @ Glentoran D 1-151.2 1078 1319 9.11% 25.48% 65.40%-1.96 +3.1 1
1962-12-08 Glentoran L 1-640.1 1264 1316 34.55% 29.70% 35.74%-0.17 -31.7 0
1962-12-08 @ Ards W 6-140.1 1316 1264 35.74% 29.70% 34.55%+0.17 +31.7 3
1962-12-08 Glenavon D 1-150.8 1306 1313 40.88% 29.69% 29.43%+0.16 -0.5 2
1962-12-08 @ Ballymena United D 1-150.8 1313 1306 29.43% 29.69% 40.88%-0.16 +0.5 2
1962-12-08 Bangor W 3-145.7 1081 1174 29.08% 29.50% 41.42%-0.46 +16.2 3
1962-12-08 @ Cliftonville L 1-345.7 1174 1081 41.42% 29.50% 29.08%+0.46 -16.2 1
1962-12-08 Linfield L 0-334.3 1228 1364 23.88% 29.05% 47.08%-0.78 -18.0 1
1962-12-08 @ Coleraine W 3-034.3 1364 1228 47.08% 29.05% 23.88%+0.78 +18.0 3
1962-12-08 Derry City W 3-140.3 1235 1187 47.75% 29.33% 22.93%+0.56 +10.5 3
1962-12-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-340.3 1187 1235 22.93% 29.33% 47.75%-0.56 -10.5 2
1962-12-08 Crusaders W 8-237.7 1316 1274 47.04% 29.38% 23.58%+0.52 +23.5 2
1962-12-08 @ Portadown L 2-837.7 1274 1316 23.58% 29.38% 47.04%-0.52 -23.5 2
1962-12-15 Cliftonville L 1-447.8 1232 1098 56.83% 28.04% 15.13%+1.19 -30.1 0
1962-12-15 @ Ards W 4-147.8 1098 1232 15.13% 28.04% 56.83%-1.19 +30.1 5
1962-12-15 Lisburn Distillery L 0-339.5 1251 1246 42.38% 29.64% 27.98%+0.25 -27.7 2
1962-12-15 @ Crusaders W 3-039.5 1246 1251 27.98% 29.64% 42.38%-0.25 +27.7 5
1962-12-15 Coleraine L 1-247.0 1177 1210 37.27% 29.73% 33.00%-0.03 -8.6 2
1962-12-15 @ Derry City W 2-147.0 1210 1177 33.00% 29.73% 37.27%+0.03 +8.6 3
1962-12-15 Bangor W 6-132.7 1313 1158 58.68% 27.62% 13.70%+1.34 +15.2 4
1962-12-15 @ Glenavon L 1-632.7 1158 1313 13.70% 27.62% 58.68%-1.34 -15.2 1
1962-12-15 Portadown L 1-347.8 1348 1340 42.77% 29.63% 27.60%+0.27 -16.6 3
1962-12-15 @ Glentoran W 3-147.8 1340 1348 27.60% 29.63% 42.77%-0.27 +16.6 4
1962-12-15 Ballymena United D 1-151.7 1382 1306 50.98% 29.00% 20.02%+0.77 -1.6 4
1962-12-15 @ Linfield D 1-151.7 1306 1382 20.02% 29.00% 50.98%-0.77 +1.6 3
1962-12-22 Derry City W 5-238.9 1307 1168 57.23% 27.95% 14.82%+1.22 +8.9 5
1962-12-22 @ Ballymena United L 2-538.9 1168 1307 14.82% 27.95% 57.23%-1.22 -8.9 2
1962-12-22 Linfield L 2-538.8 1143 1381 14.85% 27.20% 57.96%-1.52 -8.8 1
1962-12-22 @ Bangor W 5-238.8 1381 1143 57.96% 27.20% 14.85%+1.52 +8.8 6
1962-12-22 Glenavon D 0-047.1 1128 1328 17.71% 28.00% 54.29%-1.25 +2.1 6
1962-12-22 @ Cliftonville D 0-047.1 1328 1128 54.29% 28.00% 17.71%+1.25 -2.1 5
1962-12-22 Crusaders W 3-249.4 1218 1223 41.10% 29.68% 29.22%+0.18 +6.9 5
1962-12-22 @ Coleraine L 2-349.4 1223 1218 29.22% 29.68% 41.10%-0.18 -6.9 2
1962-12-22 Glentoran D 1-150.7 1274 1331 33.77% 29.69% 36.54%-0.21 +0.1 6
1962-12-22 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-150.7 1331 1274 36.54% 29.69% 33.77%+0.21 -0.1 4
1962-12-22 Ards W 5-029.6 1357 1202 58.58% 27.64% 13.78%+1.33 +18.5 6
1962-12-22 @ Portadown L 0-529.6 1202 1357 13.78% 27.64% 58.58%-1.33 -18.4 0
1962-12-25 Lisburn Distillery L 2-349.4 1184 1274 29.44% 29.52% 41.04%-0.44 -6.9 0
1962-12-25 @ Ards W 3-249.4 1274 1184 41.04% 29.52% 29.44%+0.44 +6.9 8
1962-12-25 Ballymena United W 4-144.4 1216 1316 28.16% 29.44% 42.40%-0.52 +23.3 4
1962-12-25 @ Crusaders L 1-444.4 1316 1216 42.40% 29.44% 28.16%+0.52 -23.3 5
1962-12-25 Bangor W 2-036.2 1159 1134 44.98% 29.52% 25.50%+0.39 +13.1 4
1962-12-25 @ Derry City L 0-236.2 1134 1159 25.50% 29.52% 44.98%-0.39 -13.1 1
1962-12-25 Coleraine L 2-356.9 1331 1225 54.04% 28.56% 17.40%+0.98 -11.1 4
1962-12-25 @ Glentoran W 3-256.9 1225 1331 17.40% 28.56% 54.04%-0.98 +11.1 7
1962-12-25 Glenavon L 2-357.1 1390 1326 49.50% 29.16% 21.34%+0.67 -10.3 6
1962-12-25 @ Linfield W 3-257.1 1326 1390 21.34% 29.16% 49.50%-0.67 +10.3 7
1962-12-25 Cliftonville D 1-151.5 1375 1130 65.71% 25.36% 8.93%+1.99 -3.1 7
1962-12-25 @ Portadown D 1-151.5 1130 1375 8.93% 25.36% 65.71%-1.99 +3.1 7
1962-12-26 Glentoran W 4-354.5 1293 1320 38.08% 29.73% 32.19%+0.01 +7.2 7
1962-12-26 @ Ballymena United L 3-454.5 1320 1293 32.19% 29.73% 38.08%-0.01 -7.2 4
1962-12-26 Crusaders L 0-334.2 1121 1240 25.90% 29.26% 44.84%-0.65 -19.2 1
1962-12-26 @ Bangor W 3-034.2 1240 1121 44.84% 29.26% 25.90%+0.65 +19.2 6
1962-12-26 Linfield L 0-232.5 1133 1379 14.27% 27.00% 58.72%-1.58 -8.0 7
1962-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 2-032.5 1379 1133 58.72% 27.00% 14.27%+1.58 +8.0 8
1962-12-26 Ards L 1-250.4 1236 1177 49.05% 29.21% 21.74%+0.64 -10.8 7
1962-12-26 @ Coleraine W 2-150.4 1177 1236 21.74% 29.21% 49.05%-0.64 +10.8 2
1962-12-26 Derry City W 4-134.9 1337 1172 59.45% 27.42% 13.12%+1.40 +9.2 9
1962-12-26 @ Glenavon L 1-434.9 1172 1337 13.12% 27.42% 59.45%-1.40 -9.2 4
1962-12-26 Portadown D 2-255.8 1281 1372 29.27% 29.51% 41.23%-0.45 +0.4 9
1962-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-255.8 1372 1281 41.23% 29.51% 29.27%+0.45 -0.4 8
1962-12-29 Ballymena United D 2-254.9 1188 1300 26.65% 29.32% 44.03%-0.61 +0.6 3
1962-12-29 @ Ards D 2-254.9 1300 1188 44.03% 29.32% 26.65%+0.61 -0.6 8
1962-12-29 Bangor D 2-255.7 1313 1102 63.22% 26.29% 10.49%+1.74 -2.1 5
1962-12-29 @ Glentoran D 2-255.7 1102 1313 10.49% 26.29% 63.22%-1.74 +2.1 2
1962-12-29 Cliftonville W 4-134.8 1281 1125 58.75% 27.60% 13.65%+1.34 +9.6 11
1962-12-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-434.8 1125 1281 13.65% 27.60% 58.75%-1.34 -9.6 7
1963-01-05 Portadown D 2-256.0 1300 1371 31.80% 29.63% 38.57%-0.31 +0.2 9
1963-01-05 @ Ballymena United D 2-256.0 1371 1300 38.57% 29.63% 31.80%+0.31 -0.2 9
1963-01-05 Ards L 1-342.3 1104 1188 30.12% 29.55% 40.33%-0.40 -12.8 2
1963-01-05 @ Bangor W 3-142.3 1188 1104 40.33% 29.55% 30.12%+0.40 +12.8 5
1963-01-05 Derry City L 1-246.2 1115 1163 35.16% 29.71% 35.13%-0.14 -8.3 7
1963-01-05 @ Cliftonville W 2-146.2 1163 1115 35.13% 29.71% 35.16%+0.14 +8.3 6
1963-01-05 Lisburn Distillery W 2-147.4 1226 1291 32.73% 29.66% 37.61%-0.26 +8.7 9
1963-01-05 @ Coleraine L 1-247.4 1291 1226 37.61% 29.66% 32.73%+0.26 -8.7 11
1963-01-05 Glentoran L 0-146.6 1346 1311 46.21% 29.44% 24.34%+0.47 -10.9 9
1963-01-05 @ Glenavon W 1-046.6 1311 1346 24.34% 29.44% 46.21%-0.47 +10.9 7
1963-01-05 Crusaders W 2-034.1 1387 1259 56.25% 28.16% 15.59%+1.14 +8.8 10
1963-01-05 @ Linfield L 0-234.1 1259 1387 15.59% 28.16% 56.25%-1.14 -8.8 6
1963-01-12 Glenavon W 1-045.8 1201 1335 24.19% 29.08% 46.73%-0.76 +10.9 7
1963-01-12 @ Ards L 0-145.8 1335 1201 46.73% 29.08% 24.19%+0.76 -10.9 9
1963-01-12 Cliftonville D 2-255.0 1234 1107 56.12% 28.18% 15.70%+1.13 -1.6 10
1963-01-12 @ Coleraine D 2-255.0 1107 1234 15.70% 28.18% 56.12%-1.13 +1.6 8
1963-01-12 Derry City W 4-031.4 1250 1171 51.19% 28.97% 19.84%+0.78 +20.5 8
1963-01-12 @ Crusaders L 0-431.4 1171 1250 19.84% 28.97% 51.19%-0.78 -20.5 6
1963-01-12 Linfield D 1-151.9 1321 1396 31.42% 29.61% 38.97%-0.33 +0.3 8
1963-01-12 @ Glentoran D 1-151.9 1396 1321 38.97% 29.61% 31.42%+0.33 -0.3 11
1963-01-12 Ballymena United W 6-139.0 1282 1300 39.35% 29.71% 30.94%+0.08 +29.3 13
1963-01-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-639.0 1300 1282 30.94% 29.71% 39.35%-0.08 -29.3 9
1963-01-12 Bangor D 1-151.7 1371 1091 68.09% 24.33% 7.58%+2.25 -3.3 10
1963-01-12 @ Portadown D 1-151.7 1091 1371 7.58% 24.33% 68.09%-2.25 +3.3 3
1963-01-15 Linfield D 1-151.1 1151 1396 14.38% 27.04% 58.58%-1.57 +2.3 7
1963-01-15 @ Derry City D 1-151.1 1396 1151 58.58% 27.04% 14.38%+1.57 -2.3 12
1963-01-19 Glentoran L 0-137.6 1153 1322 20.61% 28.58% 50.81%-1.01 -5.8 7
1963-01-19 @ Derry City W 1-037.6 1322 1153 50.81% 28.58% 20.61%+1.01 +5.9 10
1963-01-26 Derry City L 1-544.6 1212 1147 49.65% 29.15% 21.20%+0.68 -34.4 7
1963-01-26 @ Ards W 5-144.6 1147 1212 21.20% 29.15% 49.65%-0.68 +34.4 9
1963-01-26 Ballymena United L 0-137.7 1109 1270 21.26% 28.69% 50.05%-0.96 -6.0 8
1963-01-26 @ Cliftonville W 1-037.7 1270 1109 50.05% 28.69% 21.26%+0.96 +6.0 11
1963-01-26 Bangor D 0-047.0 1233 1094 57.17% 27.97% 14.87%+1.22 -2.5 11
1963-01-26 @ Coleraine D 0-047.0 1094 1233 14.87% 27.97% 57.17%-1.22 +2.5 4
1963-01-26 Crusaders D 1-150.8 1328 1270 48.80% 29.23% 21.97%+0.63 -1.3 11
1963-01-26 @ Glentoran D 1-150.8 1270 1328 21.97% 29.23% 48.80%-0.63 +1.3 9
1963-01-26 Glenavon L 1-248.8 1311 1324 40.02% 29.70% 30.28%+0.12 -9.1 13
1963-01-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-148.8 1324 1311 30.28% 29.70% 40.02%-0.12 +9.1 11
1963-01-26 Linfield D 0-049.2 1368 1394 38.27% 29.72% 32.00%+0.02 -0.3 11
1963-01-26 @ Portadown D 0-049.2 1394 1368 32.00% 29.72% 38.27%-0.02 +0.3 13
1963-02-02 Cliftonville W 2-144.4 1097 1103 40.95% 29.68% 29.36%+0.17 +7.3 6
1963-02-02 @ Bangor L 1-244.4 1103 1097 29.36% 29.68% 40.95%-0.17 -7.3 8
1963-02-02 Portadown L 0-141.2 1272 1368 28.69% 29.47% 41.84%-0.48 -7.6 9
1963-02-02 @ Crusaders W 1-041.2 1368 1272 41.84% 29.47% 28.69%+0.48 +7.6 13
1963-02-02 Lisburn Distillery L 0-139.4 1182 1302 25.72% 29.24% 45.04%-0.66 -7.0 9
1963-02-02 @ Derry City W 1-039.4 1302 1182 45.04% 29.24% 25.72%+0.66 +7.0 15
1963-02-02 Ballymena United D 1-150.9 1333 1276 48.76% 29.24% 22.01%+0.62 -1.3 12
1963-02-02 @ Glenavon D 1-150.9 1276 1333 22.01% 29.24% 48.76%-0.62 +1.3 12
1963-02-02 Ards W 2-139.7 1326 1178 58.08% 27.76% 14.15%+1.29 +4.1 13
1963-02-02 @ Glentoran L 1-239.7 1178 1326 14.15% 27.76% 58.08%-1.29 -4.0 7
1963-02-02 Coleraine D 0-048.1 1394 1230 59.40% 27.44% 13.16%+1.40 -2.8 14
1963-02-02 @ Linfield D 0-048.1 1230 1394 13.16% 27.44% 59.40%-1.40 +2.8 12
1963-02-09 Linfield D 1-151.4 1278 1391 26.54% 29.31% 44.14%-0.61 +0.8 13
1963-02-09 @ Ballymena United D 1-151.4 1391 1278 44.14% 29.31% 26.54%+0.61 -0.8 15
1963-02-09 Glentoran L 0-147.5 1375 1330 47.35% 29.36% 23.29%+0.54 -11.1 13
1963-02-09 @ Portadown W 1-047.5 1330 1375 23.29% 29.36% 47.35%-0.54 +11.1 15
1963-02-16 Portadown D 0-047.4 1174 1364 18.60% 28.20% 53.21%-1.17 +2.0 8
1963-02-16 @ Ards D 0-047.4 1364 1174 53.21% 28.20% 18.60%+1.17 -2.0 14
1963-02-16 Coleraine W 3-248.1 1264 1233 45.72% 29.48% 24.81%+0.44 +6.1 11
1963-02-16 @ Crusaders L 2-348.1 1233 1264 24.81% 29.48% 45.72%-0.44 -6.1 12
1963-02-16 Ballymena United D 1-150.1 1175 1279 27.70% 29.40% 42.90%-0.54 +0.7 10
1963-02-16 @ Derry City D 1-150.1 1279 1175 42.90% 29.40% 27.70%+0.54 -0.7 14
1963-02-16 Cliftonville W 6-234.1 1332 1095 65.10% 25.60% 9.30%+1.93 +7.2 14
1963-02-16 @ Glenavon L 2-634.1 1095 1332 9.30% 25.60% 65.10%-1.93 -7.2 8
1963-02-16 Lisburn Distillery W 5-138.4 1341 1309 45.85% 29.47% 24.68%+0.45 +20.3 17
1963-02-16 @ Glentoran L 1-538.4 1309 1341 24.68% 29.47% 45.85%-0.45 -20.3 15
1963-03-02 Crusaders W 2-144.5 1278 1270 42.73% 29.63% 27.64%+0.27 +7.0 16
1963-03-02 @ Ballymena United L 1-244.5 1270 1278 27.64% 29.63% 42.73%-0.27 -7.0 11
1963-03-02 Derry City L 1-245.2 1104 1176 31.85% 29.63% 38.52%-0.31 -7.7 6
1963-03-02 @ Bangor W 2-145.2 1176 1104 38.52% 29.63% 31.85%+0.31 +7.7 12
1963-03-02 Portadown L 0-428.5 1088 1362 12.54% 26.31% 61.15%-1.78 -13.4 8
1963-03-02 @ Cliftonville W 4-028.5 1362 1088 61.15% 26.31% 12.54%+1.78 +13.5 16
1963-03-02 Glentoran W 2-150.3 1227 1362 24.08% 29.07% 46.85%-0.77 +10.3 14
1963-03-02 @ Coleraine L 1-250.3 1362 1227 46.85% 29.07% 24.08%+0.77 -10.3 17
1963-03-02 Linfield W 3-253.3 1339 1390 34.69% 29.70% 35.61%-0.16 +7.9 16
1963-03-02 @ Glenavon L 2-353.3 1390 1339 35.61% 29.70% 34.69%+0.16 -7.9 15
1963-03-02 Ards W 5-345.1 1289 1176 54.77% 28.44% 16.79%+1.03 +6.9 17
1963-03-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-545.1 1176 1289 16.79% 28.44% 54.77%-1.03 -6.9 8
1963-03-09 Derry City W 3-136.5 1376 1183 61.76% 26.77% 11.48%+1.61 +5.8 18
1963-03-09 @ Portadown L 1-336.5 1183 1376 11.48% 26.77% 61.76%-1.61 -5.8 12
1963-03-11 Ards W 3-136.0 1382 1169 63.40% 26.23% 10.37%+1.76 +5.2 17
1963-03-11 @ Linfield L 1-336.0 1169 1382 10.37% 26.23% 63.40%-1.76 -5.2 8
1963-03-16 Coleraine L 1-245.3 1164 1237 31.57% 29.62% 38.81%-0.32 -7.7 8
1963-03-16 @ Ards W 2-145.3 1237 1164 38.81% 29.62% 31.57%+0.32 +7.7 16
1963-03-16 Bangor W 4-028.8 1263 1096 59.69% 27.36% 12.95%+1.42 +14.1 13
1963-03-16 @ Crusaders L 0-428.8 1096 1263 12.95% 27.36% 59.69%-1.42 -14.1 6
1963-03-16 Glenavon W 1-046.9 1178 1347 20.51% 28.56% 50.93%-1.02 +11.7 14
1963-03-16 @ Derry City L 0-146.9 1347 1178 50.93% 28.56% 20.51%+1.02 -11.8 16
1963-03-16 Ballymena United W 5-137.0 1351 1285 49.86% 29.12% 21.02%+0.69 +17.9 19
1963-03-16 @ Glentoran L 1-537.0 1285 1351 21.02% 29.12% 49.86%-0.69 -17.9 16
1963-03-16 Cliftonville W 2-028.9 1388 1075 70.15% 23.33% 6.52%+2.48 +3.7 19
1963-03-16 @ Linfield L 0-228.9 1075 1388 6.52% 23.33% 70.15%-2.48 -3.7 8
1963-03-16 Lisburn Distillery D 1-151.6 1381 1296 51.94% 28.87% 19.19%+0.83 -1.7 19
1963-03-16 @ Portadown D 1-151.6 1296 1381 19.19% 28.87% 51.94%-0.83 +1.7 18
1963-03-23 Glenavon L 0-329.9 1082 1335 13.83% 26.84% 59.33%-1.63 -11.3 6
1963-03-23 @ Bangor W 3-029.9 1335 1082 59.33% 26.84% 13.83%+1.63 +11.3 18
1963-03-23 Coleraine W 4-136.3 1380 1245 56.83% 28.04% 15.13%+1.19 +10.5 21
1963-03-23 @ Portadown L 1-436.3 1245 1380 15.13% 28.04% 56.83%-1.19 -10.5 16
1963-03-26 Bangor W 1-031.6 1391 1071 70.61% 23.09% 6.30%+2.54 +1.9 21
1963-03-26 @ Linfield L 0-131.6 1071 1391 6.30% 23.09% 70.61%-2.54 -1.9 6
1963-03-30 Ards D 0-046.9 1267 1156 54.56% 28.47% 16.97%+1.02 -2.2 17
1963-03-30 @ Ballymena United D 0-046.9 1156 1267 16.97% 28.47% 54.56%-1.02 +2.2 9
1963-03-30 Glentoran L 0-527.8 1069 1369 11.09% 25.61% 63.31%-1.97 -14.7 6
1963-03-30 @ Bangor W 5-027.8 1369 1069 63.31% 25.61% 11.09%+1.97 +14.7 21
1963-03-30 Lisburn Distillery L 0-330.6 1071 1297 15.69% 27.46% 56.85%-1.43 -12.7 8
1963-03-30 @ Cliftonville W 3-030.6 1297 1071 56.85% 27.46% 15.69%+1.43 +12.7 20
1963-03-30 Portadown L 0-138.8 1234 1390 21.86% 28.78% 49.36%-0.92 -6.1 16
1963-03-30 @ Coleraine W 1-038.8 1390 1234 49.36% 28.78% 21.86%+0.92 +6.1 23
1963-03-30 Crusaders L 2-356.3 1347 1277 50.16% 29.09% 20.75%+0.71 -10.4 18
1963-03-30 @ Glenavon W 3-256.3 1277 1347 20.75% 29.09% 50.16%-0.71 +10.4 15
1963-03-30 Derry City W 3-243.4 1393 1189 62.66% 26.48% 10.86%+1.69 +3.0 23
1963-03-30 @ Linfield L 2-343.4 1189 1393 10.86% 26.48% 62.66%-1.69 -3.0 14
1963-04-01 Ards L 3-452.2 1058 1158 28.19% 29.44% 42.37%-0.51 -6.5 8
1963-04-01 @ Cliftonville W 4-352.2 1158 1058 42.37% 29.44% 28.19%+0.51 +6.5 11
1963-04-06 Bangor W 3-031.2 1165 1054 54.48% 28.49% 17.03%+1.01 +13.8 13
1963-04-06 @ Ards L 0-331.2 1054 1165 17.03% 28.49% 54.48%-1.01 -13.8 6
1963-04-06 Linfield L 0-336.2 1288 1396 27.16% 29.36% 43.48%-0.58 -19.9 15
1963-04-06 @ Crusaders W 3-036.2 1396 1288 43.48% 29.36% 27.16%+0.58 +19.9 25
1963-04-06 Cliftonville D 1-150.3 1186 1052 56.81% 28.04% 15.15%+1.19 -2.2 15
1963-04-06 @ Derry City D 1-150.3 1052 1186 15.15% 28.04% 56.81%-1.19 +2.2 9
1963-04-06 Glenavon W 2-144.6 1384 1336 47.70% 29.33% 22.97%+0.56 +6.1 23
1963-04-06 @ Glentoran L 1-244.6 1336 1384 22.97% 29.33% 47.70%-0.56 -6.1 18
1963-04-06 Coleraine D 0-047.1 1310 1228 51.55% 28.92% 19.53%+0.81 -1.8 21
1963-04-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-047.1 1228 1310 19.53% 28.92% 51.55%-0.81 +1.8 17
1963-04-06 Ballymena United D 1-151.6 1396 1265 56.52% 28.10% 15.38%+1.17 -2.2 24
1963-04-06 @ Portadown D 1-151.6 1265 1396 15.38% 28.10% 56.52%-1.17 +2.2 18
1963-04-13 Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.3 1267 1308 36.08% 29.72% 34.20%-0.09 +14.1 20
1963-04-13 @ Ballymena United L 1-344.3 1308 1267 34.20% 29.72% 36.08%+0.09 -14.1 21
1963-04-13 Portadown D 2-256.4 1040 1394 8.65% 24.04% 67.30%-2.36 +2.4 7
1963-04-13 @ Bangor D 2-256.4 1394 1040 67.30% 24.04% 8.65%+2.36 -2.4 25
1963-04-13 Coleraine L 0-332.1 1054 1230 19.89% 28.45% 51.65%-1.07 -15.6 9
1963-04-13 @ Cliftonville W 3-032.1 1230 1054 51.65% 28.45% 19.89%+1.07 +15.6 19
1963-04-13 Crusaders D 1-150.1 1184 1268 30.22% 29.56% 40.22%-0.40 +0.5 16
1963-04-13 @ Derry City D 1-150.1 1268 1184 40.22% 29.56% 30.22%+0.40 -0.5 16
1963-04-13 Ards W 2-032.6 1330 1178 58.37% 27.69% 13.94%+1.31 +8.0 20
1963-04-13 @ Glenavon L 0-232.6 1178 1330 13.94% 27.69% 58.37%-1.31 -8.0 13
1963-04-13 Glentoran D 1-153.5 1416 1390 45.07% 29.52% 25.41%+0.40 -1.0 26
1963-04-13 @ Linfield D 1-153.5 1390 1416 25.41% 29.52% 45.07%-0.40 +1.0 24
1963-04-15 Derry City D 2-254.8 1246 1185 49.24% 29.19% 21.57%+0.65 -1.0 20
1963-04-15 @ Coleraine D 2-254.8 1185 1246 21.57% 29.19% 49.24%-0.65 +1.0 17
1963-04-15 Portadown W 3-039.5 1338 1392 34.33% 29.70% 35.97%-0.18 +24.5 22
1963-04-15 @ Glenavon L 0-339.5 1392 1338 35.97% 29.70% 34.33%+0.18 -24.5 25
1963-04-15 Bangor W 9-130.0 1294 1043 66.14% 25.19% 8.68%+2.04 +15.1 23
1963-04-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-930.0 1043 1294 8.68% 25.19% 66.14%-2.04 -15.1 7
1963-04-16 Linfield L 0-135.8 1170 1415 14.40% 27.04% 58.56%-1.57 -4.3 13
1963-04-16 @ Ards W 1-035.8 1415 1170 58.56% 27.04% 14.40%+1.57 +4.3 28
1963-04-16 Ballymena United W 3-037.0 1245 1281 36.76% 29.73% 33.52%-0.05 +23.3 22
1963-04-16 @ Coleraine L 0-337.0 1281 1245 33.52% 29.73% 36.76%+0.05 -23.3 20
1963-04-16 Cliftonville W 3-242.1 1268 1038 64.56% 25.81% 9.63%+1.88 +2.7 18
1963-04-16 @ Crusaders L 2-342.1 1038 1268 9.63% 25.81% 64.56%-1.88 -2.6 9
1963-04-16 Derry City L 0-247.2 1391 1186 62.78% 26.44% 10.78%+1.70 -26.9 24
1963-04-16 @ Glentoran W 2-047.2 1186 1391 10.78% 26.44% 62.78%-1.70 +26.9 19
1963-04-16 Glenavon W 3-144.0 1367 1363 42.35% 29.64% 28.01%+0.24 +12.2 27
1963-04-16 @ Portadown L 1-344.0 1363 1367 28.01% 29.64% 42.35%-0.24 -12.2 22
1963-04-19 Glentoran L 0-328.1 1036 1364 9.73% 24.80% 65.47%-2.17 -8.0 9
1963-04-19 @ Cliftonville W 3-028.1 1364 1036 65.47% 24.80% 9.73%+2.17 +8.0 26
1963-04-19 Glenavon W 4-356.8 1270 1350 30.69% 29.58% 39.73%-0.37 +8.4 20
1963-04-19 @ Crusaders L 3-456.8 1350 1270 39.73% 29.58% 30.69%+0.37 -8.4 22
1963-04-25 Bangor W 4-239.3 1258 1028 64.62% 25.79% 9.59%+1.88 +4.3 22
1963-04-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-439.3 1028 1258 9.59% 25.79% 64.62%-1.88 -4.3 7
1963-04-25 Crusaders L 1-533.1 1028 1279 13.99% 26.90% 59.12%-1.61 -12.4 9
1963-04-25 @ Cliftonville W 5-133.1 1279 1028 59.12% 26.90% 13.99%+1.61 +12.4 22
1963-04-25 Glenavon D 0-047.4 1268 1342 31.49% 29.61% 38.89%-0.33 +0.4 23
1963-04-25 @ Coleraine D 0-047.4 1342 1268 38.89% 29.61% 31.49%+0.33 -0.4 23
1963-04-27 Cliftonville W 5-131.1 1262 1015 65.82% 25.32% 8.86%+2.00 +8.1 24
1963-04-27 @ Ballymena United L 1-531.1 1015 1262 8.86% 25.32% 65.82%-2.00 -8.1 9
1963-04-27 Coleraine W 3-150.1 1023 1268 14.39% 27.04% 58.56%-1.57 +21.7 9
1963-04-27 @ Bangor L 1-350.1 1268 1023 58.56% 27.04% 14.39%+1.57 -21.7 23
1963-04-27 Glentoran L 1-441.7 1291 1372 30.58% 29.58% 39.85%-0.38 -18.4 22
1963-04-27 @ Crusaders W 4-141.7 1372 1291 39.85% 29.58% 30.58%+0.38 +18.4 28
1963-04-27 Ards W 3-247.3 1212 1166 47.54% 29.34% 23.12%+0.55 +5.8 21
1963-04-27 @ Derry City L 2-347.3 1166 1212 23.12% 29.34% 47.54%-0.55 -5.8 13
1963-04-27 Lisburn Distillery L 0-243.6 1342 1309 45.86% 29.47% 24.68%+0.45 -20.3 23
1963-04-27 @ Glenavon W 2-043.6 1309 1342 24.68% 29.47% 45.86%-0.45 +20.3 25
1963-04-27 Portadown D 2-258.1 1419 1380 46.77% 29.40% 23.83%+0.50 -0.8 29
1963-04-27 @ Linfield D 2-258.1 1380 1419 23.83% 29.40% 46.77%-0.50 +0.8 28
1963-04-29 Crusaders L 1-243.8 1160 1273 26.67% 29.32% 44.00%-0.60 -6.8 13
1963-04-29 @ Ards W 2-143.8 1273 1160 44.00% 29.32% 26.67%+0.60 +6.8 24
1963-04-30 Coleraine D 2-255.0 1270 1247 44.78% 29.53% 25.68%+0.38 -0.7 25
1963-04-30 @ Ballymena United D 2-255.0 1247 1270 25.68% 29.53% 44.78%-0.38 +0.7 24
1963-04-30 Crusaders W 1-039.1 1330 1279 48.00% 29.31% 22.70%+0.58 +6.4 27
1963-04-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-139.1 1279 1330 22.70% 29.31% 48.00%-0.58 -6.4 24
1963-05-14 Lisburn Distillery L 1-335.8 1045 1336 11.59% 25.87% 62.54%-1.90 -5.7 9
1963-05-14 @ Bangor W 3-135.8 1336 1045 62.54% 25.87% 11.59%+1.90 +5.7 29
1963-05-18 Linfield W 4-252.1 1342 1419 31.14% 29.60% 39.26%-0.35 +13.9 31
1963-05-18 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-452.1 1419 1342 39.26% 29.60% 31.14%+0.35 -13.9 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1963-04-16 10.78% Derry City 1186 2 @ Glentoran 1391 0
2 1963-04-27 14.39% @ Bangor 1023 3 Coleraine 1268 1
3 1962-12-15 15.13% Cliftonville 1098 4 @ Ards 1232 1
4 1962-12-25 17.40% Coleraine 1225 3 @ Glentoran 1331 2
5 1963-03-16 20.51% @ Derry City 1178 1 Glenavon 1347 0
6 1962-12-01 20.72% @ Derry City 1168 3 Portadown 1336 1
7 1963-03-30 20.75% Crusaders 1277 3 @ Glenavon 1347 2
8 1963-01-26 21.20% Derry City 1147 5 @ Ards 1212 1
9 1962-12-25 21.34% Glenavon 1326 3 @ Linfield 1390 2
10 1962-12-26 21.74% Ards 1177 2 @ Coleraine 1236 1
11 1963-02-09 23.29% Glentoran 1330 1 @ Portadown 1375 0
12 1963-03-02 24.08% @ Coleraine 1227 2 Glentoran 1362 1
13 1963-01-12 24.19% @ Ards 1201 1 Glenavon 1335 0
14 1963-01-05 24.34% Glentoran 1311 1 @ Glenavon 1346 0
15 1963-04-27 24.68% Lisburn Distillery 1309 2 @ Glenavon 1342 0
16 1962-12-15 27.60% Portadown 1340 3 @ Glentoran 1348 1
17 1962-12-15 27.98% Lisburn Distillery 1246 3 @ Crusaders 1251 0
18 1962-12-25 28.16% @ Crusaders 1216 4 Ballymena United 1316 1
19 1962-12-08 29.08% @ Cliftonville 1081 3 Bangor 1174 1
20 1963-01-26 30.28% Glenavon 1324 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1311 1
21 1963-04-19 30.69% @ Crusaders 1270 4 Glenavon 1350 3
22 1963-05-18 31.14% @ Lisburn Distillery 1342 4 Linfield 1419 2
23 1963-01-05 32.73% @ Coleraine 1226 2 Lisburn Distillery 1291 1
24 1962-12-15 33.00% Coleraine 1210 2 @ Derry City 1177 1
25 1963-04-15 34.33% @ Glenavon 1338 3 Portadown 1392 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-01-26 34.40 Derry City 5 1147 21.20% @ Ards 1 1212 49.65% 29.15%
2 1962-12-08 31.71 Glentoran 6 1316 35.74% @ Ards 1 1264 34.55% 29.70%
3 1962-12-15 30.08 Cliftonville 4 1098 15.13% @ Ards 1 1232 56.83% 28.04%
4 1963-01-12 29.31 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1282 39.35% Ballymena United 1 1300 30.94% 29.71%
5 1962-12-15 27.70 Lisburn Distillery 3 1246 27.98% @ Crusaders 0 1251 42.38% 29.64%
6 1963-04-16 26.89 Derry City 2 1186 10.78% @ Glentoran 0 1391 62.78% 26.44%
7 1963-04-15 24.47 @ Glenavon 3 1338 34.33% Portadown 0 1392 35.97% 29.70%
8 1962-12-08 23.47 @ Portadown 8 1316 47.04% Crusaders 2 1274 23.58% 29.38%
9 1962-12-25 23.32 @ Crusaders 4 1216 28.16% Ballymena United 1 1316 42.40% 29.44%
10 1963-04-16 23.28 @ Coleraine 3 1245 36.76% Ballymena United 0 1281 33.52% 29.73%
11 1963-04-27 21.71 @ Bangor 3 1023 14.39% Coleraine 1 1268 58.56% 27.04%
12 1963-01-12 20.48 @ Crusaders 4 1250 51.19% Derry City 0 1171 19.84% 28.97%
13 1963-04-27 20.34 Lisburn Distillery 2 1309 24.68% @ Glenavon 0 1342 45.86% 29.47%
14 1963-02-16 20.26 @ Glentoran 5 1341 45.85% Lisburn Distillery 1 1309 24.68% 29.47%
15 1963-04-06 19.93 Linfield 3 1396 43.48% @ Crusaders 0 1288 27.16% 29.36%
16 1962-12-26 19.23 Crusaders 3 1240 44.84% @ Bangor 0 1121 25.90% 29.26%
17 1962-12-01 19.14 @ Crusaders 4 1255 37.93% Ards 1 1283 32.34% 29.73%
18 1962-12-01 19.10 @ Derry City 3 1168 20.72% Portadown 1 1336 50.68% 28.60%
19 1962-12-22 18.45 @ Portadown 5 1357 58.58% Ards 0 1202 13.78% 27.64%
20 1963-04-27 18.36 Glentoran 4 1372 39.85% @ Crusaders 1 1291 30.58% 29.58%
21 1962-12-08 18.05 Linfield 3 1364 47.08% @ Coleraine 0 1228 23.88% 29.05%
22 1963-03-16 17.87 @ Glentoran 5 1351 49.86% Ballymena United 1 1285 21.02% 29.12%
23 1962-12-15 16.64 Portadown 3 1340 27.60% @ Glentoran 1 1348 42.77% 29.63%
24 1962-12-08 16.19 @ Cliftonville 3 1081 29.08% Bangor 1 1174 41.42% 29.50%
25 1963-04-13 15.57 Coleraine 3 1230 51.65% @ Cliftonville 0 1054 19.89% 28.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-12-01 59.5 @ Glenavon 3 1314 52.11% Coleraine 3 1227 19.04% 28.85%
2 1963-04-27 58.1 @ Linfield 2 1419 46.77% Portadown 2 1380 23.83% 29.40%
3 1962-12-25 57.1 Glenavon 3 1326 21.34% @ Linfield 2 1390 49.50% 29.16%
4 1962-12-25 56.9 Coleraine 3 1225 17.40% @ Glentoran 2 1331 54.04% 28.56%
5 1963-04-19 56.8 @ Crusaders 4 1270 30.69% Glenavon 3 1350 39.73% 29.58%
6 1963-04-13 56.4 @ Bangor 2 1040 8.65% Portadown 2 1394 67.30% 24.04%
7 1963-03-30 56.3 Crusaders 3 1277 20.75% @ Glenavon 2 1347 50.16% 29.09%
8 1963-01-05 56.0 @ Ballymena United 2 1300 31.80% Portadown 2 1371 38.57% 29.63%
9 1962-11-30 55.8 @ Linfield 2 1366 56.59% Lisburn Distillery 2 1234 15.32% 28.09%
10 1962-12-26 55.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1281 29.27% Portadown 2 1372 41.23% 29.51%
11 1962-12-29 55.7 @ Glentoran 2 1313 63.22% Bangor 2 1102 10.49% 26.29%
12 1962-12-01 55.0 @ Bangor 2 1173 24.19% Ballymena United 2 1307 46.72% 29.08%
13 1963-01-12 55.0 @ Coleraine 2 1234 56.12% Cliftonville 2 1107 15.70% 28.18%
14 1963-04-30 55.0 @ Ballymena United 2 1270 44.78% Coleraine 2 1247 25.68% 29.53%
15 1962-12-29 54.9 @ Ards 2 1188 26.65% Ballymena United 2 1300 44.03% 29.32%
16 1963-04-15 54.8 @ Coleraine 2 1246 49.24% Derry City 2 1185 21.57% 29.19%
17 1962-12-26 54.5 @ Ballymena United 4 1293 38.08% Glentoran 3 1320 32.19% 29.73%
18 1963-04-13 53.5 @ Linfield 1 1416 45.07% Glentoran 1 1390 25.41% 29.52%
19 1963-03-02 53.3 @ Glenavon 3 1339 34.69% Linfield 2 1390 35.61% 29.70%
20 1963-04-01 52.2 Ards 4 1158 42.37% @ Cliftonville 3 1058 28.19% 29.44%
21 1963-05-18 52.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1342 31.14% Linfield 2 1419 39.26% 29.60%
22 1963-01-12 51.9 @ Glentoran 1 1321 31.42% Linfield 1 1396 38.97% 29.61%
23 1962-12-15 51.7 @ Linfield 1 1382 50.98% Ballymena United 1 1306 20.02% 29.00%
24 1963-01-12 51.7 @ Portadown 1 1371 68.09% Bangor 1 1091 7.58% 24.33%
25 1963-03-16 51.6 @ Portadown 1 1381 51.94% Lisburn Distillery 1 1296 19.19% 28.87%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-03-30 27.8 Glentoran 5 1369 63.31% @ Bangor 0 1069 11.09% 25.61%
2 1963-04-19 28.1 Glentoran 3 1364 65.47% @ Cliftonville 0 1036 9.73% 24.80%
3 1963-03-02 28.5 Portadown 4 1362 61.15% @ Cliftonville 0 1088 12.54% 26.31%
4 1963-03-16 28.8 @ Crusaders 4 1263 59.69% Bangor 0 1096 12.95% 27.36%
5 1963-03-16 28.9 @ Linfield 2 1388 70.15% Cliftonville 0 1075 6.52% 23.33%
6 1962-12-22 29.6 @ Portadown 5 1357 58.58% Ards 0 1202 13.78% 27.64%
7 1963-03-23 29.9 Glenavon 3 1335 59.33% @ Bangor 0 1082 13.83% 26.84%
8 1963-04-15 30.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 9 1294 66.14% Bangor 1 1043 8.68% 25.19%
9 1963-03-30 30.6 Lisburn Distillery 3 1297 56.85% @ Cliftonville 0 1071 15.69% 27.46%
10 1963-04-27 31.1 @ Ballymena United 5 1262 65.82% Cliftonville 1 1015 8.86% 25.32%
11 1963-04-06 31.2 @ Ards 3 1165 54.48% Bangor 0 1054 17.03% 28.49%
12 1963-01-12 31.4 @ Crusaders 4 1250 51.19% Derry City 0 1171 19.84% 28.97%
13 1963-03-26 31.6 @ Linfield 1 1391 70.61% Bangor 0 1071 6.30% 23.09%
14 1963-04-13 32.1 Coleraine 3 1230 51.65% @ Cliftonville 0 1054 19.89% 28.45%
15 1962-12-26 32.5 Linfield 2 1379 58.72% @ Cliftonville 0 1133 14.27% 27.00%
16 1963-04-13 32.6 @ Glenavon 2 1330 58.37% Ards 0 1178 13.94% 27.69%
17 1962-12-15 32.7 @ Glenavon 6 1313 58.68% Bangor 1 1158 13.70% 27.62%
18 1963-04-25 33.1 Crusaders 5 1279 59.12% @ Cliftonville 1 1028 13.99% 26.90%
19 1963-01-05 34.1 @ Linfield 2 1387 56.25% Crusaders 0 1259 15.59% 28.16%
20 1963-02-16 34.1 @ Glenavon 6 1332 65.10% Cliftonville 2 1095 9.30% 25.60%
21 1962-12-26 34.2 Crusaders 3 1240 44.84% @ Bangor 0 1121 25.90% 29.26%
22 1962-12-08 34.3 Linfield 3 1364 47.08% @ Coleraine 0 1228 23.88% 29.05%
23 1962-12-29 34.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1281 58.75% Cliftonville 1 1125 13.65% 27.60%
24 1962-12-26 34.9 @ Glenavon 4 1337 59.45% Derry City 1 1172 13.12% 27.42%
25 1963-04-16 35.8 Linfield 1 1415 58.56% @ Ards 0 1170 14.40% 27.04%