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1961-62 Irish League Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Linfield

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

3.11 points above expected

31 points · 27.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

6.04 points below expected

5 points · 11.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 14 3 5 31 62 32 +30 27.89 +3.11
2 Portadown 22 14 3 5 31 56 32 +24 27.97 +3.03
3 Ballymena United 22 11 7 4 29 47 32 +15 26.01 +2.99
4 Ards 22 11 5 6 27 46 38 +8 25.48 +1.52
5 Glenavon 22 9 8 5 26 62 43 +19 26.07 -0.07
6 Glentoran 22 10 5 7 25 45 35 +10 26.28 -1.28
7 Crusaders 22 11 3 8 25 42 43 -1 22.79 +2.21
8 Lisburn Distillery 22 8 4 10 20 56 62 -6 20.41 -0.41
9 Coleraine 22 7 4 11 18 37 39 -2 18.11 -0.11
10 Derry City 22 3 8 11 14 22 38 -16 15.55 -1.55
11 Bangor 22 5 3 14 13 31 56 -25 16.40 -3.40
12 Cliftonville 22 0 5 17 5 17 73 -56 11.04 -6.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 31 27.89 +3.11
2 Portadown 31 27.97 +3.03
3 Ballymena United 29 26.01 +2.99
4 Crusaders 25 22.79 +2.21
5 Ards 27 25.48 +1.52

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 5 11.04 -6.04
2 Bangor 13 16.40 -3.40
3 Derry City 14 15.55 -1.55
4 Glentoran 25 26.28 -1.28
5 Lisburn Distillery 20 20.41 -0.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 8 Feb 17 – Apr 28 1 in 163
2 Lisburn Distillery 3 Jan 6 – Jan 20 1 in 29
3 Ards 5 Feb 3 – Mar 24 1 in 18
4 Ballymena United 3 Dec 25 – Dec 30 1 in 14
5 Linfield 5 Dec 30 – Jan 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 13 Jan 13 – Apr 27 1 in 139
2 Crusaders 5 Feb 17 – Mar 31 1 in 111
3 Portadown 3 Jan 27 – Feb 10 1 in 33
4 Derry City 6 Mar 24 – Apr 28 1 in 23
5 Glentoran 2 Dec 2 – Dec 9 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena United 15 Dec 25 – Apr 7 1 in 119
2 Crusaders 5 Jan 13 – Feb 10 1 in 26
3 Derry City 5 Jan 6 – Feb 3 1 in 20
4 Portadown 8 Dec 2 – Jan 6 1 in 12
5 Coleraine 3 Mar 24 – Apr 7 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 22 Dec 2 – Apr 30 1 in 46
2 Bangor 9 Dec 16 – Jan 27 1 in 41
3 Glentoran 5 Dec 26 – Jan 20 1 in 19
4 Derry City 10 Dec 9 – Jan 27 1 in 19
5 Crusaders 5 Feb 17 – Mar 31 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1455 31 +38 9 6.8 +2.2
Portadown 1430 31 +20 8 7.5 +0.5
Ballymena United 1373 29 -25 4 5.3 -1.3
Ards 1333 27 -43 2 5.3 -3.3
Glenavon 1377 26 +14 7 6.1 +0.9
Crusaders 1286 25 +8 7 5.7 +1.3
Glentoran 1388 25 +13 7 5.6 +1.4
Lisburn Distillery 1248 20 -2 4 4.6 -0.6
Coleraine 1235 18 +26 7 4.6 +2.4
Derry City 1139 14 -18 1 2.9 -1.9
Bangor 1147 13 +10 4 3.4 +0.6
Cliftonville 990 5 -17 1 2.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
4.13
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
4.03
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
2.42
Ballymena United
0-1-1
2.81
—
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.65
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
4.16
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-2
2.42
Bangor
1-1-0
1.44
0-0-2
1.77
—
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.35
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
0.96
0-1-1
2.05
—
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
2.21
0-2-0
0.91
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
0.80
Coleraine
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
1.83
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
3.78
—
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
1.45
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
1.60
Crusaders
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.50
—
1-1-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.27
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.07
Derry City
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
1.41
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
1.85
—
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.29
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.29
Glenavon
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.01
0-2-0
4.70
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.89
—
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.61
Glentoran
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
4.10
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.03
0-0-2
3.28
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
2.92
—
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
2.51
Linfield
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
4.30
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.25
—
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.09
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.86
—
2-0-0
1.74
Portadown
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.82
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
3.82
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +4.7
Allowed 0.63 -4.9
Differential 0.93 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%4.55%3.41%1.52%1.89%2.65%17.80%
14.55%8.33%6.06%4.17%1.89%1.52%26.52%
23.41%6.06%6.82%4.17%2.65%1.52%24.62%
31.52%4.17%4.17%2.27%1.89%—14.02%
41.89%1.89%2.65%1.89%0.76%1.14%10.23%
5+2.65%1.52%1.52%—1.14%—6.82%
Total17.80%26.52%24.62%14.02%10.23%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.98 1.98 +0.00
SD 1.61 1.61 2.37
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.73 +0.36
SD 1.44 1.32 1.84
CV 0.69 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%18.18%4.55%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.45 +0.68
SD 1.58 1.41 2.34
CV 0.74 0.97 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%—36.36%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
29.09%————9.09%18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%18.18%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.55 -1.14
SD 1.44 1.74 2.19
CV 1.02 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%45.45%
1—4.55%18.18%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3———————
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%4.55%31.82%13.64%4.55%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 3.32 -2.55
SD 0.97 2.03 2.36
CV 1.26 0.61 —
Max 4 7 +0
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.77 -0.09
SD 1.29 1.69 1.95
CV 0.77 0.95 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————4.55%4.55%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%—45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
39.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%13.64%9.09%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.95 -0.05
SD 1.31 2.15 2.89
CV 0.68 1.10 —
Max 6 9 +6
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%—54.55%
14.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
2——13.64%—4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.73 -0.73
SD 1.38 1.42 1.91
CV 1.38 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
2—9.09%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
Total4.55%31.82%40.91%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.95 +0.86
SD 1.65 1.09 1.91
CV 0.59 0.56 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.59 +0.45
SD 1.53 1.40 2.04
CV 0.75 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.45 +1.36
SD 2.24 1.26 2.59
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1——4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
2—4.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
5+4.55%———9.09%—13.64%
Total4.55%4.55%36.36%27.27%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 2.82 -0.27
SD 1.53 1.33 2.12
CV 0.60 0.47 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
49.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.45 +1.09
SD 1.37 1.14 1.66
CV 0.54 0.79 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1467 31 27.89 +3.11 85.0% 18 21 25 28 30 33 37
Portadown 1418 31 27.97 +3.03 86.0% 19 22 26 28 30 33 38
Glentoran 1388 25 26.28 -1.28 37.0% 16 19 24 27 29 32 36
Glenavon 1377 26 26.07 -0.07 57.0% 18 21 24 26 28 32 35
Ballymena United 1373 29 26.01 +2.99 86.0% 18 20 23 26 28 32 36
Ards 1333 27 25.48 +1.52 72.0% 16 19 23 25 28 31 35
Crusaders 1286 25 22.79 +2.21 76.0% 13 17 20 22 25 30 32
Lisburn Distillery 1248 20 20.41 -0.41 51.0% 10 15 19 20 22 25 31
Coleraine 1235 18 18.11 -0.11 54.0% 9 12 16 18 20 23 31
Bangor 1147 13 16.40 -3.40 20.0% 8 10 14 16 19 22 26
Derry City 1139 14 15.55 -1.55 39.0% 6 10 13 15 18 22 24
Cliftonville 990 5 11.04 -6.04 4.0% 2 6 9 11 13 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.45%
Clear Edge
49.24%21.97%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
128 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
072.08400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.75 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Linfield, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.68 * Wild Swing: 5.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.54 * Way Off: 2.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.70 points
As Expected
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
86.00%
Portadown
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.36
1.96
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Occasional
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.60
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.38
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Linfield 3
Portadown 1

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield28.00%30.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%————
Portadown25.00%18.00%20.00%17.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%————
Ballymena United14.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%7.00%14.00%3.00%2.00%———
Ards6.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%22.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——
Glenavon13.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%20.00%17.00%3.00%5.00%——1.00%—
Glentoran10.00%13.00%22.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%——
Crusaders3.00%5.00%2.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%5.00%——
Lisburn Distillery1.00%—2.00%1.00%5.00%11.00%21.00%17.00%27.00%8.00%7.00%—
Coleraine——2.00%1.00%—2.00%9.00%24.00%26.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%
Derry City————1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%13.00%25.00%36.00%13.00%
Bangor———1.00%—4.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%32.00%28.00%8.00%
Cliftonville———————1.00%1.00%9.00%15.00%74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1961-12-02 Cliftonville W 5-129.0 1339 1098 72.19% 20.18% 7.63%+2.44 +5.6 2
1961-12-02 @ Ards L 1-529.0 1098 1339 7.63% 20.18% 72.19%-2.44 -5.6 0
1961-12-02 Portadown D 1-151.8 1199 1370 29.99% 22.81% 47.21%-0.77 +0.7 1
1961-12-02 @ Coleraine D 1-151.8 1370 1199 47.21% 22.81% 29.99%+0.77 -0.7 1
1961-12-02 Bangor W 3-029.2 1291 1206 61.31% 22.32% 16.37%+1.23 +10.7 2
1961-12-02 @ Crusaders L 0-329.2 1206 1291 16.37% 22.32% 61.31%-1.23 -10.7 0
1961-12-02 Linfield W 2-144.3 1334 1385 46.30% 23.11% 30.58%+0.17 +6.2 2
1961-12-02 @ Glenavon L 1-244.3 1385 1334 30.58% 23.11% 46.30%-0.17 -6.2 0
1961-12-02 Ballymena United L 1-253.2 1404 1325 60.73% 22.39% 16.89%+1.18 -11.1 0
1961-12-02 @ Glentoran W 2-153.2 1325 1404 16.89% 22.39% 60.73%-1.18 +11.1 2
1961-12-02 Derry City L 2-356.6 1282 1167 63.79% 22.01% 14.20%+1.46 -11.1 0
1961-12-02 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-256.6 1167 1282 14.20% 22.01% 63.79%-1.46 +11.1 2
1961-12-09 Ards L 1-250.0 1336 1344 51.61% 22.99% 25.39%+0.50 -9.5 2
1961-12-09 @ Ballymena United W 2-150.0 1344 1336 25.39% 22.99% 51.61%-0.50 +9.5 4
1961-12-09 Glentoran W 4-144.6 1195 1393 26.72% 22.61% 50.67%-0.99 +22.9 2
1961-12-09 @ Bangor L 1-444.6 1393 1195 50.67% 22.61% 26.72%+0.99 -22.9 0
1961-12-09 Lisburn Distillery L 4-552.1 1093 1271 29.10% 22.76% 48.14%-0.83 -5.5 0
1961-12-09 @ Cliftonville W 5-452.1 1271 1093 48.14% 22.76% 29.10%+0.83 +5.5 2
1961-12-09 Glenavon D 2-255.9 1178 1340 31.11% 22.86% 46.03%-0.71 +0.5 3
1961-12-09 @ Derry City D 2-255.9 1340 1178 46.03% 22.86% 31.11%+0.71 -0.5 3
1961-12-09 Coleraine W 4-344.5 1379 1200 68.48% 21.16% 10.36%+1.96 +2.2 2
1961-12-09 @ Linfield L 3-444.5 1200 1379 10.36% 21.16% 68.48%-1.96 -2.2 1
1961-12-09 Crusaders W 4-241.7 1369 1302 59.59% 22.50% 17.91%+1.09 +6.2 3
1961-12-09 @ Portadown L 2-441.7 1302 1369 17.91% 22.50% 59.59%-1.09 -6.2 2
1961-12-16 Glenavon W 4-349.8 1354 1340 54.13% 22.88% 22.98%+0.67 +4.6 6
1961-12-16 @ Ards L 3-449.8 1340 1354 22.98% 22.88% 54.13%-0.67 -4.6 3
1961-12-16 Ballymena United L 0-140.3 1197 1327 35.48% 23.02% 41.50%-0.45 -7.4 1
1961-12-16 @ Coleraine W 1-040.3 1327 1197 41.50% 23.02% 35.48%+0.45 +7.4 4
1961-12-16 Cliftonville W 6-025.5 1296 1087 70.36% 20.71% 8.93%+2.20 +11.5 4
1961-12-16 @ Crusaders L 0-625.5 1087 1296 8.93% 20.71% 70.36%-2.20 -11.5 0
1961-12-16 Derry City W 5-130.2 1370 1178 69.31% 20.97% 9.72%+2.06 +7.1 2
1961-12-16 @ Glentoran L 1-530.2 1178 1370 9.72% 20.97% 69.31%-2.06 -7.1 3
1961-12-16 Lisburn Distillery D 2-257.0 1381 1276 62.93% 22.13% 14.95%+1.38 -1.7 3
1961-12-16 @ Linfield D 2-257.0 1276 1381 14.95% 22.13% 62.93%-1.38 +1.7 3
1961-12-16 Bangor W 4-026.8 1375 1218 67.01% 21.47% 11.52%+1.79 +10.1 5
1961-12-16 @ Portadown L 0-426.8 1218 1375 11.52% 21.47% 67.01%-1.79 -10.1 2
1961-12-23 Portadown L 1-346.7 1334 1386 46.23% 23.11% 30.66%+0.16 -15.0 4
1961-12-23 @ Ballymena United W 3-146.7 1386 1334 30.66% 23.11% 46.23%-0.16 +15.0 7
1961-12-23 Linfield L 0-138.9 1208 1379 29.95% 22.80% 47.25%-0.78 -6.5 2
1961-12-23 @ Bangor W 1-038.9 1379 1208 47.25% 22.80% 29.95%+0.78 +6.5 5
1961-12-23 Coleraine D 0-048.1 1076 1190 37.57% 23.07% 39.36%-0.33 +0.1 1
1961-12-23 @ Cliftonville D 0-048.1 1190 1076 39.36% 23.07% 37.57%+0.33 -0.1 2
1961-12-23 Crusaders D 1-151.4 1171 1307 34.56% 22.99% 42.45%-0.50 +0.3 4
1961-12-23 @ Derry City D 1-151.4 1307 1171 42.45% 22.99% 34.56%+0.50 -0.3 5
1961-12-23 Glentoran L 2-353.8 1335 1378 47.41% 23.10% 29.49%+0.23 -8.4 3
1961-12-23 @ Glenavon W 3-253.8 1378 1335 29.49% 23.10% 47.41%-0.23 +8.4 4
1961-12-23 Ards D 2-256.5 1278 1358 42.34% 23.12% 34.53%-0.07 -0.2 4
1961-12-23 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.5 1358 1278 34.53% 23.12% 42.34%+0.07 +0.2 7
1961-12-25 Ballymena United L 0-434.6 1201 1319 37.09% 23.06% 39.86%-0.36 -27.5 2
1961-12-25 @ Bangor W 4-034.6 1319 1201 39.86% 23.06% 37.09%+0.36 +27.5 6
1961-12-25 Derry City W 4-241.8 1190 1172 54.59% 22.86% 22.55%+0.70 +7.5 4
1961-12-25 @ Coleraine L 2-441.8 1172 1190 22.55% 22.86% 54.59%-0.70 -7.5 4
1961-12-25 Glenavon L 1-346.9 1307 1327 50.22% 23.04% 26.75%+0.41 -16.1 5
1961-12-25 @ Crusaders W 3-146.9 1327 1307 26.75% 23.04% 50.22%-0.41 +16.1 5
1961-12-25 Lisburn Distillery W 3-029.7 1386 1278 63.23% 22.09% 14.69%+1.41 +9.7 6
1961-12-25 @ Glentoran L 0-329.7 1278 1386 14.69% 22.09% 63.23%-1.41 -9.7 4
1961-12-25 Ards W 3-246.4 1386 1359 55.56% 22.81% 21.63%+0.77 +4.5 7
1961-12-25 @ Linfield L 2-346.4 1359 1386 21.63% 22.81% 55.56%-0.77 -4.5 7
1961-12-25 Cliftonville W 2-133.5 1401 1076 76.37% 18.62% 5.01%+3.10 +1.1 9
1961-12-25 @ Portadown L 1-233.5 1076 1401 5.01% 18.62% 76.37%-3.10 -1.1 1
1961-12-26 Glentoran W 4-246.4 1354 1396 47.52% 23.10% 29.39%+0.24 +9.4 9
1961-12-26 @ Ards L 2-446.4 1396 1354 29.39% 23.10% 47.52%-0.24 -9.4 6
1961-12-26 Linfield W 4-246.3 1347 1390 47.24% 23.10% 29.66%+0.22 +9.4 8
1961-12-26 @ Ballymena United L 2-446.3 1390 1347 29.66% 23.10% 47.24%-0.22 -9.4 7
1961-12-26 Bangor D 0-048.1 1075 1174 39.72% 23.10% 37.18%-0.21 -0.1 2
1961-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 0-048.1 1174 1075 37.18% 23.10% 39.72%+0.21 +0.1 3
1961-12-26 Portadown L 0-136.4 1164 1402 22.48% 22.25% 55.27%-1.29 -5.1 4
1961-12-26 @ Derry City W 1-036.4 1402 1164 55.27% 22.25% 22.48%+1.29 +5.1 11
1961-12-26 Coleraine W 7-232.5 1343 1197 66.15% 21.63% 12.22%+1.70 +9.1 7
1961-12-26 @ Glenavon L 2-732.5 1197 1343 12.22% 21.63% 66.15%-1.70 -9.1 4
1961-12-26 Crusaders L 2-353.1 1268 1291 49.83% 23.05% 27.12%+0.38 -8.8 4
1961-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-253.1 1291 1268 27.12% 23.05% 49.83%-0.38 +8.8 7
1961-12-30 Bangor D 1-152.2 1364 1174 69.17% 21.01% 9.83%+2.05 -2.8 10
1961-12-30 @ Ards D 1-152.2 1174 1364 9.83% 21.01% 69.17%-2.05 +2.8 4
1961-12-30 Coleraine W 3-135.1 1300 1188 63.50% 22.05% 14.45%+1.43 +5.7 9
1961-12-30 @ Crusaders L 1-335.1 1188 1300 14.45% 22.05% 63.50%-1.43 -5.7 4
1961-12-30 Linfield L 0-234.0 1159 1381 24.13% 22.40% 53.47%-1.17 -10.2 4
1961-12-30 @ Derry City W 2-034.0 1381 1159 53.47% 22.40% 24.13%+1.17 +10.2 9
1961-12-30 Cliftonville D 2-256.7 1352 1074 74.14% 19.52% 6.34%+2.73 -2.5 8
1961-12-30 @ Glenavon D 2-256.7 1074 1352 6.34% 19.52% 74.14%-2.73 +2.4 3
1961-12-30 Portadown D 2-258.8 1386 1407 50.13% 23.04% 26.83%+0.40 -0.8 7
1961-12-30 @ Glentoran D 2-258.8 1407 1386 26.83% 23.04% 50.13%-0.40 +0.8 12
1961-12-30 Ballymena United L 1-441.7 1259 1356 40.07% 23.11% 36.82%-0.19 -18.9 4
1961-12-30 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-141.7 1356 1259 36.82% 23.11% 40.07%+0.19 +18.9 10
1962-01-06 Glenavon D 3-361.9 1375 1350 55.36% 22.82% 21.82%+0.76 -0.9 11
1962-01-06 @ Ballymena United D 3-361.9 1350 1375 21.82% 22.82% 55.36%-0.76 +0.9 9
1962-01-06 Lisburn Distillery L 4-557.0 1177 1240 44.61% 23.12% 32.27%+0.07 -7.7 4
1962-01-06 @ Bangor W 5-457.0 1240 1177 32.27% 23.12% 44.61%-0.07 +7.7 6
1962-01-06 Derry City D 2-255.4 1077 1149 43.49% 23.13% 33.38%+0.00 -0.3 4
1962-01-06 @ Cliftonville D 2-255.4 1149 1077 33.38% 23.13% 43.49%+0.00 +0.3 5
1962-01-06 Glentoran D 1-151.9 1183 1386 26.20% 22.57% 51.23%-1.02 +1.1 5
1962-01-06 @ Coleraine D 1-151.9 1386 1183 51.23% 22.57% 26.20%+1.02 -1.1 8
1962-01-06 Crusaders W 9-032.0 1391 1305 61.28% 22.33% 16.40%+1.23 +30.1 11
1962-01-06 @ Linfield L 0-932.0 1305 1391 16.40% 22.33% 61.28%-1.23 -30.1 9
1962-01-06 Ards D 3-362.7 1408 1361 57.61% 22.67% 19.73%+0.93 -1.1 13
1962-01-06 @ Portadown D 3-362.7 1361 1408 19.73% 22.67% 57.61%-0.93 +1.1 11
1962-01-13 Coleraine W 3-240.6 1362 1184 68.42% 21.18% 10.41%+1.95 +2.3 13
1962-01-13 @ Ards L 2-340.6 1184 1362 10.41% 21.18% 68.42%-1.95 -2.3 5
1962-01-13 Linfield L 0-526.7 1077 1421 13.64% 20.84% 65.52%-2.13 -14.2 4
1962-01-13 @ Cliftonville W 5-026.7 1421 1077 65.52% 20.84% 13.64%+2.13 +14.2 13
1962-01-13 Ballymena United D 0-048.8 1149 1374 23.80% 22.37% 53.83%-1.19 +1.5 6
1962-01-13 @ Derry City D 0-048.8 1374 1149 53.83% 22.37% 23.80%+1.19 -1.5 12
1962-01-13 Bangor W 5-235.4 1351 1169 68.64% 21.13% 10.23%+1.98 +5.0 11
1962-01-13 @ Glenavon L 2-535.4 1169 1351 10.23% 21.13% 68.64%-1.98 -5.0 4
1962-01-13 Crusaders L 0-149.3 1384 1275 63.30% 22.08% 14.62%+1.42 -12.3 8
1962-01-13 @ Glentoran W 1-049.3 1275 1384 14.62% 22.08% 63.30%-1.42 +12.3 11
1962-01-13 Portadown W 2-147.9 1248 1406 31.61% 22.88% 45.50%-0.67 +8.5 8
1962-01-13 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-247.9 1406 1248 45.50% 22.88% 31.61%+0.67 -8.5 13
1962-01-20 Cliftonville W 7-024.8 1373 1062 75.71% 18.90% 5.39%+2.99 +7.9 14
1962-01-20 @ Ballymena United L 0-724.8 1062 1373 5.39% 18.90% 75.71%-2.99 -7.9 4
1962-01-20 Derry City D 3-359.8 1164 1151 54.07% 22.89% 23.04%+0.67 -0.8 5
1962-01-20 @ Bangor D 3-359.8 1151 1164 23.04% 22.89% 54.07%-0.67 +0.8 7
1962-01-20 Lisburn Distillery L 2-350.7 1181 1257 43.05% 23.13% 33.82%-0.02 -7.7 5
1962-01-20 @ Coleraine W 3-250.7 1257 1181 33.82% 23.13% 43.05%+0.02 +7.7 10
1962-01-20 Ards W 3-035.7 1288 1364 42.89% 23.13% 33.98%-0.03 +19.7 13
1962-01-20 @ Crusaders L 0-335.7 1364 1288 33.98% 23.13% 42.89%+0.03 -19.7 13
1962-01-20 Glentoran W 3-139.8 1435 1372 59.22% 22.53% 18.25%+1.06 +7.0 15
1962-01-20 @ Linfield L 1-339.8 1372 1435 18.25% 22.53% 59.22%-1.06 -7.0 8
1962-01-20 Glenavon W 2-141.6 1398 1356 57.15% 22.70% 20.15%+0.89 +4.4 15
1962-01-20 @ Portadown L 1-241.6 1356 1398 20.15% 22.70% 57.15%-0.89 -4.4 11
1962-01-27 Crusaders D 1-152.9 1380 1307 60.15% 22.45% 17.41%+1.13 -2.0 15
1962-01-27 @ Ballymena United D 1-152.9 1307 1380 17.41% 22.45% 60.15%-1.13 +2.0 14
1962-01-27 Coleraine L 1-346.2 1163 1174 51.33% 23.00% 25.67%+0.48 -16.5 5
1962-01-27 @ Bangor W 3-146.2 1174 1163 25.67% 23.00% 51.33%-0.48 +16.5 7
1962-01-27 Glentoran L 1-237.4 1054 1365 16.02% 21.34% 62.64%-1.86 -3.6 4
1962-01-27 @ Cliftonville W 2-137.4 1365 1054 62.64% 21.34% 16.02%+1.86 +3.5 10
1962-01-27 Ards D 0-048.6 1152 1344 27.36% 22.65% 49.99%-0.94 +1.1 8
1962-01-27 @ Derry City D 0-048.6 1344 1152 49.99% 22.65% 27.36%+0.94 -1.1 14
1962-01-27 Lisburn Distillery W 5-133.0 1351 1264 61.40% 22.31% 16.29%+1.24 +11.6 13
1962-01-27 @ Glenavon L 1-533.0 1264 1351 16.29% 22.31% 61.40%-1.24 -11.6 10
1962-01-27 Portadown W 2-143.7 1442 1402 56.92% 22.72% 20.37%+0.88 +4.4 17
1962-01-27 @ Linfield L 1-243.7 1402 1442 20.37% 22.72% 56.92%-0.88 -4.5 15
1962-02-03 Portadown W 2-144.8 1343 1398 45.81% 23.12% 31.07%+0.14 +6.3 16
1962-02-03 @ Ards L 1-244.8 1398 1343 31.07% 23.12% 45.81%-0.14 -6.3 15
1962-02-03 Linfield W 3-253.0 1309 1447 34.37% 22.99% 42.64%-0.51 +7.7 16
1962-02-03 @ Crusaders L 2-353.0 1447 1309 42.64% 22.99% 34.37%+0.51 -7.7 17
1962-02-03 Cliftonville W 5-027.1 1153 1051 62.69% 22.16% 15.15%+1.36 +16.0 10
1962-02-03 @ Derry City L 0-527.1 1051 1153 15.15% 22.16% 62.69%-1.36 -16.0 4
1962-02-03 Ballymena United D 2-257.9 1363 1378 50.71% 23.02% 26.27%+0.44 -0.8 14
1962-02-03 @ Glenavon D 2-257.9 1378 1363 26.27% 23.02% 50.71%-0.44 +0.8 16
1962-02-03 Coleraine W 2-136.2 1369 1190 68.44% 21.17% 10.38%+1.96 +2.4 12
1962-02-03 @ Glentoran L 1-236.2 1190 1369 10.38% 21.17% 68.44%-1.96 -2.4 7
1962-02-03 Bangor L 2-453.8 1253 1147 63.05% 22.11% 14.84%+1.39 -17.9 10
1962-02-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-253.8 1147 1253 14.84% 22.11% 63.05%-1.39 +17.9 7
1962-02-10 Derry City W 2-028.9 1379 1169 70.46% 20.68% 8.86%+2.21 +4.1 18
1962-02-10 @ Ballymena United L 0-228.9 1169 1379 8.86% 20.68% 70.46%-2.21 -4.1 10
1962-02-10 Glenavon L 1-339.1 1165 1362 26.83% 22.62% 50.55%-0.98 -9.7 7
1962-02-10 @ Bangor W 3-139.1 1362 1165 50.55% 22.62% 26.83%+0.98 +9.7 16
1962-02-10 Ards L 0-139.0 1188 1350 31.16% 22.86% 45.98%-0.70 -6.7 7
1962-02-10 @ Coleraine W 1-039.0 1350 1188 45.98% 22.86% 31.16%+0.70 +6.7 18
1962-02-10 Glentoran W 1-040.2 1317 1371 45.88% 23.12% 31.00%+0.14 +6.7 18
1962-02-10 @ Crusaders L 0-140.2 1371 1317 31.00% 23.12% 45.88%-0.14 -6.7 12
1962-02-10 Cliftonville W 3-130.2 1439 1035 79.63% 17.00% 3.37%+3.72 +1.3 19
1962-02-10 @ Linfield L 1-330.2 1035 1439 3.37% 17.00% 79.63%-3.72 -1.3 4
1962-02-10 Lisburn Distillery L 2-358.2 1392 1235 66.94% 21.48% 11.57%+1.79 -11.6 15
1962-02-10 @ Portadown W 3-258.2 1235 1392 11.57% 21.48% 66.94%-1.79 +11.6 12
1962-02-17 Crusaders W 4-136.5 1356 1324 56.15% 22.77% 21.08%+0.82 +11.2 20
1962-02-17 @ Ards L 1-436.5 1324 1356 21.08% 22.77% 56.15%-0.82 -11.2 18
1962-02-17 Ballymena United L 1-334.2 1034 1383 13.29% 20.76% 65.95%-2.17 -5.2 4
1962-02-17 @ Cliftonville W 3-134.2 1383 1034 65.95% 20.76% 13.29%+2.17 +5.1 20
1962-02-17 Bangor W 1-036.3 1165 1155 53.65% 22.91% 23.44%+0.64 +5.3 12
1962-02-17 @ Derry City L 0-136.3 1155 1165 23.44% 22.91% 53.65%-0.64 -5.3 7
1962-02-17 Portadown L 3-459.3 1372 1380 51.59% 22.99% 25.42%+0.50 -8.8 16
1962-02-17 @ Glenavon W 4-359.3 1380 1372 25.42% 22.99% 51.59%-0.50 +8.8 17
1962-02-17 Linfield D 1-154.7 1364 1440 42.94% 23.13% 33.93%-0.03 -0.4 13
1962-02-17 @ Glentoran D 1-154.7 1440 1364 33.93% 23.13% 42.94%+0.03 +0.4 20
1962-02-17 Coleraine W 4-240.5 1247 1181 59.44% 22.51% 18.05%+1.08 +6.2 14
1962-02-17 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-440.5 1181 1247 18.05% 22.51% 59.44%-1.08 -6.2 7
1962-03-03 Bangor W 4-029.5 1175 1150 55.36% 22.82% 21.83%+0.76 +18.0 9
1962-03-03 @ Coleraine L 0-429.5 1150 1175 21.83% 22.82% 55.36%-0.76 -18.0 7
1962-03-03 Ballymena United L 1-247.7 1312 1389 42.93% 23.13% 33.94%-0.03 -8.2 18
1962-03-03 @ Crusaders W 2-147.7 1389 1312 33.94% 23.13% 42.93%+0.03 +8.2 22
1962-03-03 Cliftonville W 6-023.6 1364 1028 76.85% 18.40% 4.75%+3.19 +6.0 15
1962-03-03 @ Glentoran L 0-623.6 1028 1364 4.75% 18.40% 76.85%-3.19 -6.0 4
1962-03-03 Glenavon D 2-256.4 1253 1363 38.17% 23.08% 38.75%-0.30 +0.0 15
1962-03-03 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.4 1363 1253 38.75% 23.08% 38.17%+0.30 -0.0 17
1962-03-03 Linfield W 2-039.9 1389 1441 46.15% 23.11% 30.73%+0.16 +12.5 19
1962-03-03 @ Portadown L 0-239.9 1441 1389 30.73% 23.11% 46.15%-0.16 -12.5 20
1962-03-17 Glentoran D 1-154.0 1397 1370 55.52% 22.81% 21.67%+0.77 -1.5 23
1962-03-17 @ Ballymena United D 1-154.0 1370 1397 21.67% 22.81% 55.52%-0.77 +1.5 16
1962-03-17 Crusaders W 3-251.9 1132 1304 29.81% 22.80% 47.39%-0.79 +8.4 9
1962-03-17 @ Bangor L 2-351.9 1304 1132 47.39% 22.80% 29.81%+0.79 -8.4 18
1962-03-17 Ards L 1-334.3 1022 1368 13.60% 20.83% 65.57%-2.13 -5.3 4
1962-03-17 @ Cliftonville W 3-134.3 1368 1022 65.57% 20.83% 13.60%+2.13 +5.3 22
1962-03-17 Lisburn Distillery D 2-255.6 1170 1253 42.00% 23.12% 34.87%-0.08 -0.2 13
1962-03-17 @ Derry City D 2-255.6 1253 1170 34.87% 23.12% 42.00%+0.08 +0.2 16
1962-03-17 Glenavon W 2-035.0 1428 1363 59.43% 22.51% 18.05%+1.07 +8.0 22
1962-03-17 @ Linfield L 0-235.0 1363 1428 18.05% 22.51% 59.43%-1.07 -8.0 17
1962-03-17 Coleraine W 1-032.0 1401 1193 70.34% 20.71% 8.95%+2.19 +2.2 21
1962-03-17 @ Portadown L 0-132.0 1193 1401 8.95% 20.71% 70.34%-2.19 -2.2 9
1962-03-24 Derry City W 2-029.0 1373 1170 70.01% 20.80% 9.19%+2.15 +4.3 24
1962-03-24 @ Ards L 0-229.0 1170 1373 9.19% 20.80% 70.01%-2.15 -4.3 13
1962-03-24 Lisburn Distillery W 3-242.1 1395 1253 65.89% 21.68% 12.43%+1.67 +2.7 25
1962-03-24 @ Ballymena United L 2-342.1 1253 1395 12.43% 21.68% 65.89%-1.67 -2.7 16
1962-03-24 Crusaders W 4-140.5 1191 1296 38.85% 23.09% 38.06%-0.26 +18.1 11
1962-03-24 @ Coleraine L 1-440.5 1296 1191 38.06% 23.09% 38.85%+0.26 -18.1 18
1962-03-31 Ballymena United D 1-154.1 1377 1398 50.09% 23.04% 26.87%+0.40 -1.0 25
1962-03-31 @ Ards D 1-154.1 1398 1377 26.87% 23.04% 50.09%-0.40 +1.0 26
1962-03-31 Linfield W 2-043.7 1209 1436 23.50% 22.35% 54.16%-1.22 +19.9 13
1962-03-31 @ Coleraine L 0-243.7 1436 1209 54.16% 22.35% 23.50%+1.22 -19.9 22
1962-03-31 Portadown L 3-453.6 1278 1404 35.98% 23.03% 40.99%-0.42 -6.6 18
1962-03-31 @ Crusaders W 4-353.6 1404 1278 40.99% 23.03% 35.98%+0.42 +6.6 23
1962-03-31 Derry City W 4-025.8 1355 1165 69.15% 21.01% 9.84%+2.04 +8.7 19
1962-03-31 @ Glenavon L 0-425.8 1165 1355 9.84% 21.01% 69.15%-2.04 -8.7 13
1962-03-31 Bangor W 2-028.4 1372 1140 71.68% 20.33% 7.99%+2.37 +3.7 18
1962-03-31 @ Glentoran L 0-228.4 1140 1372 7.99% 20.33% 71.68%-2.37 -3.7 9
1962-03-31 Cliftonville W 6-025.0 1250 1017 71.78% 20.31% 7.92%+2.38 +10.2 18
1962-03-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-625.0 1017 1250 7.92% 20.31% 71.78%-2.38 -10.2 4
1962-04-07 Coleraine D 1-152.7 1399 1229 67.89% 21.29% 10.82%+1.89 -2.7 27
1962-04-07 @ Ballymena United D 1-152.7 1229 1399 10.82% 21.29% 67.89%-1.89 +2.7 14
1962-04-07 Portadown L 2-636.2 1136 1410 19.05% 21.84% 59.11%-1.58 -11.1 9
1962-04-07 @ Bangor W 6-236.2 1410 1136 59.11% 21.84% 19.05%+1.58 +11.1 25
1962-04-07 Crusaders L 1-238.6 1007 1271 19.90% 21.95% 58.15%-1.50 -4.3 4
1962-04-07 @ Cliftonville W 2-138.6 1271 1007 58.15% 21.95% 19.90%+1.50 +4.3 20
1962-04-07 Glentoran L 0-136.9 1157 1375 24.48% 22.43% 53.09%-1.14 -5.5 13
1962-04-07 @ Derry City W 1-036.9 1375 1157 53.09% 22.43% 24.48%+1.14 +5.5 20
1962-04-07 Ards W 5-242.6 1363 1376 51.08% 23.01% 25.91%+0.46 +11.6 21
1962-04-07 @ Glenavon L 2-542.6 1376 1363 25.91% 23.01% 51.08%-0.46 -11.6 25
1962-04-07 Linfield L 4-650.6 1260 1416 31.92% 22.90% 45.18%-0.66 -9.1 18
1962-04-07 @ Lisburn Distillery W 6-450.6 1416 1260 45.18% 22.90% 31.92%+0.66 +9.1 24
1962-04-21 Cliftonville W 2-030.1 1125 1003 64.39% 21.92% 13.69%+1.52 +6.2 11
1962-04-21 @ Bangor L 0-230.1 1003 1125 13.69% 21.92% 64.39%-1.52 -6.2 4
1962-04-21 Glenavon L 1-243.9 1231 1375 33.52% 22.96% 43.52%-0.56 -6.7 14
1962-04-21 @ Coleraine W 2-143.9 1375 1231 43.52% 22.96% 33.52%+0.56 +6.7 23
1962-04-21 Lisburn Distillery W 2-140.0 1276 1251 55.25% 22.82% 21.92%+0.75 +4.8 22
1962-04-21 @ Crusaders L 1-240.0 1251 1276 21.92% 22.82% 55.25%-0.75 -4.7 18
1962-04-21 Ards W 1-038.5 1381 1364 54.38% 22.87% 22.75%+0.69 +5.2 22
1962-04-21 @ Glentoran L 0-138.5 1364 1381 22.75% 22.87% 54.38%-0.69 -5.2 25
1962-04-21 Ballymena United W 6-137.0 1426 1396 55.81% 22.79% 21.40%+0.79 +18.0 26
1962-04-21 @ Linfield L 1-637.0 1396 1426 21.40% 22.79% 55.81%-0.79 -18.0 27
1962-04-21 Derry City W 3-025.8 1421 1151 73.75% 19.66% 6.59%+2.67 +4.4 27
1962-04-21 @ Portadown L 0-325.8 1151 1421 6.59% 19.66% 73.75%-2.67 -4.4 13
1962-04-23 Bangor W 2-134.7 1378 1131 72.53% 20.07% 7.40%+2.49 +1.7 29
1962-04-23 @ Ballymena United L 1-234.7 1131 1378 7.40% 20.07% 72.53%-2.49 -1.7 11
1962-04-23 Coleraine L 0-142.2 1147 1225 42.72% 23.13% 34.16%-0.04 -8.6 13
1962-04-23 @ Derry City W 1-042.2 1225 1147 34.16% 23.13% 42.72%+0.04 +8.6 16
1962-04-23 Crusaders D 1-152.7 1382 1280 62.66% 22.16% 15.18%+1.36 -2.2 24
1962-04-23 @ Glenavon D 1-152.7 1280 1382 15.18% 22.16% 62.66%-1.36 +2.2 23
1962-04-23 Glentoran W 4-355.2 1247 1386 34.13% 22.98% 42.89%-0.52 +7.5 20
1962-04-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-455.2 1386 1247 42.89% 22.98% 34.13%+0.52 -7.5 22
1962-04-24 Linfield L 2-451.2 1359 1444 41.81% 23.12% 35.07%-0.10 -12.3 25
1962-04-24 @ Ards W 4-251.2 1444 1359 35.07% 23.12% 41.81%+0.10 +12.4 28
1962-04-24 Portadown L 0-424.8 996 1426 9.05% 19.38% 71.57%-2.79 -7.7 4
1962-04-24 @ Cliftonville W 4-024.8 1426 996 71.57% 19.38% 9.05%+2.79 +7.7 29
1962-04-27 Cliftonville W 2-134.3 1233 989 72.41% 20.11% 7.48%+2.47 +1.7 18
1962-04-27 @ Coleraine L 1-234.3 989 1233 7.48% 20.11% 72.41%-2.47 -1.7 4
1962-04-28 Lisburn Distillery W 3-136.1 1347 1254 61.92% 22.25% 15.83%+1.29 +6.2 27
1962-04-28 @ Ards L 1-336.1 1254 1347 15.83% 22.25% 61.92%-1.29 -6.2 20
1962-04-28 Derry City W 1-032.7 1282 1138 66.05% 21.65% 12.31%+1.69 +3.0 25
1962-04-28 @ Crusaders L 0-132.7 1138 1282 12.31% 21.65% 66.05%-1.69 -3.0 13
1962-04-28 Glenavon D 4-465.4 1378 1380 52.42% 22.96% 24.62%+0.55 -0.7 23
1962-04-28 @ Glentoran D 4-465.4 1380 1378 24.62% 22.96% 52.42%-0.55 +0.7 25
1962-04-28 Bangor W 4-129.6 1456 1130 76.43% 18.59% 4.98%+3.11 +2.8 30
1962-04-28 @ Linfield L 1-429.6 1130 1456 4.98% 18.59% 76.43%-3.11 -2.8 11
1962-04-28 Ballymena United W 3-140.2 1433 1380 58.27% 22.61% 19.11%+0.98 +7.3 31
1962-04-28 @ Portadown L 1-340.2 1380 1433 19.11% 22.61% 58.27%-0.98 -7.3 29
1962-04-30 Ards W 2-042.7 1127 1353 23.65% 22.36% 53.99%-1.20 +19.8 13
1962-04-30 @ Bangor L 0-242.7 1353 1127 53.99% 22.36% 23.65%+1.20 -19.8 27
1962-04-30 Glenavon D 1-152.1 987 1380 10.78% 20.03% 69.19%-2.51 +2.8 5
1962-04-30 @ Cliftonville D 1-152.1 1380 987 69.19% 20.03% 10.78%+2.51 -2.8 26
1962-04-30 Derry City D 0-050.2 1459 1135 76.31% 18.64% 5.05%+3.09 -3.9 31
1962-04-30 @ Linfield D 0-050.2 1135 1459 5.05% 18.64% 76.31%-3.09 +3.9 14
1962-05-01 Glentoran L 2-359.1 1441 1378 59.19% 22.54% 18.27%+1.05 -10.3 31
1962-05-01 @ Portadown W 3-259.1 1378 1441 18.27% 22.54% 59.19%-1.05 +10.3 25

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1962-05-17 Portadown W 3-147.1 1455 1430 41.91% 23.11% 34.98%+0.19 +12.0 1-0
1962-05-17 @ Linfield L 1-347.1 1430 1455 34.98% 23.11% 41.91%-0.19 -12.0 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1962-02-10 11.57% Lisburn Distillery 1235 3 @ Portadown 1392 2
2 1961-12-02 14.20% Derry City 1167 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1282 2
3 1962-01-13 14.62% Crusaders 1275 1 @ Glentoran 1384 0
4 1962-02-03 14.84% Bangor 1147 4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1253 2
5 1961-12-02 16.89% Ballymena United 1325 2 @ Glentoran 1404 1
6 1962-05-01 18.27% Glentoran 1378 3 @ Portadown 1441 2
7 1962-03-31 23.50% @ Coleraine 1209 2 Linfield 1436 0
8 1962-04-30 23.65% @ Bangor 1127 2 Ards 1353 0
9 1961-12-09 25.39% Ards 1344 2 @ Ballymena United 1336 1
10 1962-02-17 25.42% Portadown 1380 4 @ Glenavon 1372 3
11 1962-01-27 25.67% Coleraine 1174 3 @ Bangor 1163 1
12 1961-12-09 26.72% @ Bangor 1195 4 Glentoran 1393 1
13 1961-12-25 26.75% Glenavon 1327 3 @ Crusaders 1307 1
14 1961-12-26 27.12% Crusaders 1291 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1268 2
15 1961-12-23 29.49% Glentoran 1378 3 @ Glenavon 1335 2
16 1962-03-17 29.81% @ Bangor 1132 3 Crusaders 1304 2
17 1961-12-23 30.66% Portadown 1386 3 @ Ballymena United 1334 1
18 1962-01-13 31.61% @ Lisburn Distillery 1248 2 Portadown 1406 1
19 1962-01-06 32.27% Lisburn Distillery 1240 5 @ Bangor 1177 4
20 1962-01-20 33.82% Lisburn Distillery 1257 3 @ Coleraine 1181 2
21 1962-03-03 33.94% Ballymena United 1389 2 @ Crusaders 1312 1
22 1962-04-23 34.13% @ Lisburn Distillery 1247 4 Glentoran 1386 3
23 1962-04-23 34.16% Coleraine 1225 1 @ Derry City 1147 0
24 1962-02-03 34.37% @ Crusaders 1309 3 Linfield 1447 2
25 1962-04-24 35.07% Linfield 1444 4 @ Ards 1359 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-01-06 30.13 @ Linfield 9 1391 61.28% Crusaders 0 1305 16.40% 22.33%
2 1961-12-25 27.52 Ballymena United 4 1319 39.86% @ Bangor 0 1201 37.09% 23.06%
3 1961-12-09 22.92 @ Bangor 4 1195 26.72% Glentoran 1 1393 50.67% 22.61%
4 1962-03-31 19.86 @ Coleraine 2 1209 23.50% Linfield 0 1436 54.16% 22.35%
5 1962-04-30 19.80 @ Bangor 2 1127 23.65% Ards 0 1353 53.99% 22.36%
6 1962-01-20 19.70 @ Crusaders 3 1288 42.89% Ards 0 1364 33.98% 23.13%
7 1961-12-30 18.87 Ballymena United 4 1356 36.82% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1259 40.07% 23.11%
8 1962-03-24 18.13 @ Coleraine 4 1191 38.85% Crusaders 1 1296 38.06% 23.09%
9 1962-04-21 18.02 @ Linfield 6 1426 55.81% Ballymena United 1 1396 21.40% 22.79%
10 1962-03-03 17.95 @ Coleraine 4 1175 55.36% Bangor 0 1150 21.83% 22.82%
11 1962-02-03 17.90 Bangor 4 1147 14.84% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1253 63.05% 22.11%
12 1962-01-27 16.46 Coleraine 3 1174 25.67% @ Bangor 1 1163 51.33% 23.00%
13 1961-12-25 16.14 Glenavon 3 1327 26.75% @ Crusaders 1 1307 50.22% 23.04%
14 1962-02-03 16.05 @ Derry City 5 1153 62.69% Cliftonville 0 1051 15.15% 22.16%
15 1961-12-23 15.01 Portadown 3 1386 30.66% @ Ballymena United 1 1334 46.23% 23.11%
16 1962-01-13 14.24 Linfield 5 1421 65.52% @ Cliftonville 0 1077 13.64% 20.84%
17 1962-03-03 12.53 @ Portadown 2 1389 46.15% Linfield 0 1441 30.73% 23.11%
18 1962-04-24 12.35 Linfield 4 1444 35.07% @ Ards 2 1359 41.81% 23.12%
19 1962-01-13 12.30 Crusaders 1 1275 14.62% @ Glentoran 0 1384 63.30% 22.08%
20 1962-05-17 * 12.01 @ Linfield 3 1455 41.91% Portadown 1 1430 34.98% 23.11%
21 1962-02-10 11.62 Lisburn Distillery 3 1235 11.57% @ Portadown 2 1392 66.94% 21.48%
22 1962-01-27 11.58 @ Glenavon 5 1351 61.40% Lisburn Distillery 1 1264 16.29% 22.31%
23 1962-04-07 11.58 @ Glenavon 5 1363 51.08% Ards 2 1376 25.91% 23.01%
24 1961-12-16 11.51 @ Crusaders 6 1296 70.36% Cliftonville 0 1087 8.93% 20.71%
25 1962-02-17 11.25 @ Ards 4 1356 56.15% Crusaders 1 1324 21.08% 22.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-04-28 65.4 @ Glentoran 4 1378 52.42% Glenavon 4 1380 24.62% 22.96%
2 1962-01-06 62.7 @ Portadown 3 1408 57.61% Ards 3 1361 19.73% 22.67%
3 1962-01-06 61.9 @ Ballymena United 3 1375 55.36% Glenavon 3 1350 21.82% 22.82%
4 1962-01-20 59.8 @ Bangor 3 1164 54.07% Derry City 3 1151 23.04% 22.89%
5 1962-02-17 59.3 Portadown 4 1380 25.42% @ Glenavon 3 1372 51.59% 22.99%
6 1962-05-01 59.1 Glentoran 3 1378 18.27% @ Portadown 2 1441 59.19% 22.54%
7 1961-12-30 58.8 @ Glentoran 2 1386 50.13% Portadown 2 1407 26.83% 23.04%
8 1962-02-10 58.2 Lisburn Distillery 3 1235 11.57% @ Portadown 2 1392 66.94% 21.48%
9 1962-02-03 57.9 @ Glenavon 2 1363 50.71% Ballymena United 2 1378 26.27% 23.02%
10 1961-12-16 57.0 @ Linfield 2 1381 62.93% Lisburn Distillery 2 1276 14.95% 22.13%
11 1962-01-06 57.0 Lisburn Distillery 5 1240 32.27% @ Bangor 4 1177 44.61% 23.12%
12 1961-12-30 56.7 @ Glenavon 2 1352 74.14% Cliftonville 2 1074 6.34% 19.52%
13 1961-12-02 56.6 Derry City 3 1167 14.20% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1282 63.79% 22.01%
14 1961-12-23 56.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1278 42.34% Ards 2 1358 34.53% 23.12%
15 1962-03-03 56.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1253 38.17% Glenavon 2 1363 38.75% 23.08%
16 1961-12-09 55.9 @ Derry City 2 1178 31.11% Glenavon 2 1340 46.03% 22.86%
17 1962-03-17 55.6 @ Derry City 2 1170 42.00% Lisburn Distillery 2 1253 34.87% 23.12%
18 1962-01-06 55.4 @ Cliftonville 2 1077 43.49% Derry City 2 1149 33.38% 23.13%
19 1962-04-23 55.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1247 34.13% Glentoran 3 1386 42.89% 22.98%
20 1962-02-17 54.7 @ Glentoran 1 1364 42.94% Linfield 1 1440 33.93% 23.13%
21 1962-03-31 54.1 @ Ards 1 1377 50.09% Ballymena United 1 1398 26.87% 23.04%
22 1962-03-17 54.0 @ Ballymena United 1 1397 55.52% Glentoran 1 1370 21.67% 22.81%
23 1961-12-23 53.8 Glentoran 3 1378 29.49% @ Glenavon 2 1335 47.41% 23.10%
24 1962-02-03 53.8 Bangor 4 1147 14.84% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1253 63.05% 22.11%
25 1962-03-31 53.6 Portadown 4 1404 40.99% @ Crusaders 3 1278 35.98% 23.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-03-03 23.6 @ Glentoran 6 1364 76.85% Cliftonville 0 1028 4.75% 18.40%
2 1962-01-20 24.8 @ Ballymena United 7 1373 75.71% Cliftonville 0 1062 5.39% 18.90%
3 1962-04-24 24.8 Portadown 4 1426 71.57% @ Cliftonville 0 996 9.05% 19.38%
4 1962-03-31 25.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1250 71.78% Cliftonville 0 1017 7.92% 20.31%
5 1961-12-16 25.5 @ Crusaders 6 1296 70.36% Cliftonville 0 1087 8.93% 20.71%
6 1962-03-31 25.8 @ Glenavon 4 1355 69.15% Derry City 0 1165 9.84% 21.01%
7 1962-04-21 25.8 @ Portadown 3 1421 73.75% Derry City 0 1151 6.59% 19.66%
8 1962-01-13 26.7 Linfield 5 1421 65.52% @ Cliftonville 0 1077 13.64% 20.84%
9 1961-12-16 26.8 @ Portadown 4 1375 67.01% Bangor 0 1218 11.52% 21.47%
10 1962-02-03 27.1 @ Derry City 5 1153 62.69% Cliftonville 0 1051 15.15% 22.16%
11 1962-03-31 28.4 @ Glentoran 2 1372 71.68% Bangor 0 1140 7.99% 20.33%
12 1962-02-10 28.9 @ Ballymena United 2 1379 70.46% Derry City 0 1169 8.86% 20.68%
13 1961-12-02 29.0 @ Ards 5 1339 72.19% Cliftonville 1 1098 7.63% 20.18%
14 1962-03-24 29.0 @ Ards 2 1373 70.01% Derry City 0 1170 9.19% 20.80%
15 1961-12-02 29.2 @ Crusaders 3 1291 61.31% Bangor 0 1206 16.37% 22.32%
16 1962-03-03 29.5 @ Coleraine 4 1175 55.36% Bangor 0 1150 21.83% 22.82%
17 1962-04-28 29.6 @ Linfield 4 1456 76.43% Bangor 1 1130 4.98% 18.59%
18 1961-12-25 29.7 @ Glentoran 3 1386 63.23% Lisburn Distillery 0 1278 14.69% 22.09%
19 1962-04-21 30.1 @ Bangor 2 1125 64.39% Cliftonville 0 1003 13.69% 21.92%
20 1961-12-16 30.2 @ Glentoran 5 1370 69.31% Derry City 1 1178 9.72% 20.97%
21 1962-02-10 30.2 @ Linfield 3 1439 79.63% Cliftonville 1 1035 3.37% 17.00%
22 1962-01-06 32.0 @ Linfield 9 1391 61.28% Crusaders 0 1305 16.40% 22.33%
23 1962-03-17 32.0 @ Portadown 1 1401 70.34% Coleraine 0 1193 8.95% 20.71%
24 1961-12-26 32.5 @ Glenavon 7 1343 66.15% Coleraine 2 1197 12.22% 21.63%
25 1962-04-28 32.7 @ Crusaders 1 1282 66.05% Derry City 0 1138 12.31% 21.65%