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1960-61 Irish League Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Linfield

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portadown

6.59 points above expected

32 points · 25.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

5.70 points below expected

6 points · 11.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 14 4 4 32 65 34 +31 28.43 +3.57
2 Portadown 22 12 8 2 32 56 31 +25 25.41 +6.59
3 Ards 22 14 3 5 31 66 39 +27 24.96 +6.04
4 Glentoran 22 13 2 7 28 58 26 +32 28.87 -0.87
5 Ballymena United 22 11 5 6 27 51 38 +13 24.06 +2.94
6 Glenavon 22 10 5 7 25 51 42 +9 26.68 -1.68
7 Crusaders 22 8 7 7 23 30 29 +1 21.20 +1.80
8 Lisburn Distillery 22 10 2 10 22 63 61 +2 23.05 -1.05
9 Bangor 22 4 5 13 13 48 69 -21 18.08 -5.08
10 Coleraine 22 5 3 14 13 46 68 -22 16.57 -3.57
11 Derry City 22 5 2 15 12 31 68 -37 14.99 -2.99
12 Cliftonville 22 3 0 19 6 33 93 -60 11.70 -5.70

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 32 25.41 +6.59
2 Ards 31 24.96 +6.04
3 Linfield 32 28.43 +3.57
4 Ballymena United 27 24.06 +2.94
5 Crusaders 23 21.20 +1.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 6 11.70 -5.70
2 Bangor 13 18.08 -5.08
3 Coleraine 13 16.57 -3.57
4 Derry City 12 14.99 -2.99
5 Glenavon 25 26.68 -1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 7 Dec 10 – Jan 7 1 in 81
2 Portadown 5 Jan 7 – Feb 4 1 in 65
3 Derry City 2 Apr 1 – Apr 4 1 in 35
4 Ards 4 Dec 10 – Dec 26 1 in 23
5 Cliftonville 2 Mar 4 – Mar 18 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 13 Dec 10 – Feb 18 1 in 353
2 Glenavon 3 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 82
3 Bangor 5 Feb 18 – Apr 4 1 in 66
4 Derry City 5 Dec 3 – Dec 26 1 in 48
5 Linfield 3 Mar 18 – Apr 4 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 19 Dec 24 – May 16 1 in 2,110
2 Ballymena United 6 Dec 3 – Dec 27 1 in 35
3 Derry City 3 Apr 1 – Apr 8 1 in 24
4 Ards 6 Dec 3 – Dec 27 1 in 19
5 Crusaders 5 Dec 10 – Dec 27 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 9 Jan 21 – Apr 4 1 in 52
2 Linfield 4 Mar 18 – Apr 8 1 in 28
3 Ballymena United 4 Dec 26 – Jan 7 1 in 15
4 Cliftonville 13 Dec 10 – Feb 18 1 in 14
5 Derry City 7 Dec 3 – Dec 31 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Portadown 1470 32 +44 9 6.3 +2.7
Linfield 1478 32 +14 6 6.1 -0.1
Ards 1418 31 -8 6 6.5 -0.5
Glentoran 1495 28 +14 6 6.9 -0.9
Ballymena United 1397 27 +33 6 5.9 +0.1
Glenavon 1410 25 -27 7 6.2 +0.8
Crusaders 1349 23 +21 7 5.6 +1.4
Lisburn Distillery 1335 22 -7 5 6.1 -1.1
Bangor 1223 13 -4 3 3.2 -0.2
Coleraine 1213 13 -24 1 2.6 -1.6
Derry City 1173 12 +9 5 2.6 +2.4
Cliftonville 1065 6 -37 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-2-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.86
Ballymena United
0-2-0
2.64
—
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
3.80
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.14
2-0-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.63
Bangor
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
1.90
—
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.06
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
1.74
—
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
1.26
Coleraine
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.35
—
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
1.18
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.71
Crusaders
0-0-2
2.25
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
3.53
—
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.08
0-0-2
1.94
0-2-0
1.75
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-2
2.16
Derry City
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.43
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.09
—
1-1-0
1.17
1-0-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
1.62
Glenavon
0-0-2
3.01
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.08
0-1-1
3.55
0-1-1
4.48
—
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.10
0-2-0
3.08
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.50
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.75
1-1-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.70
1-0-1
4.69
1-0-1
2.91
—
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.30
Linfield
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
3.68
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.75
—
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
3.07
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.95
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
1.88
—
0-0-2
2.64
Portadown
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.01
0-2-0
3.58
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
4.02
0-2-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.99
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.52 +5.0
Allowed 0.84 -3.8
Differential 0.95 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%2.65%3.03%3.03%1.14%1.52%12.88%
12.65%9.85%5.30%4.92%2.65%4.55%29.92%
23.03%5.30%3.79%3.79%1.52%2.65%20.08%
33.03%4.92%3.79%1.52%1.14%2.27%16.67%
41.14%2.65%1.52%1.14%—1.14%7.58%
5+1.52%4.55%2.65%2.27%1.14%0.76%12.88%
Total12.88%29.92%20.08%16.67%7.58%12.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.27 +0.00
SD 1.85 1.85 2.73
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.77 +1.23
SD 2.09 1.07 2.33
CV 0.70 0.60 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
14.55%18.18%—4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%————13.64%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—9.09%———13.64%
Total13.64%45.45%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.73 +0.59
SD 2.03 1.39 2.56
CV 0.88 0.80 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———13.64%——13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%—13.64%4.55%27.27%
24.55%—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%36.36%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%———9.09%4.55%18.18%
Total9.09%4.55%13.64%27.27%31.82%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 3.14 -0.95
SD 1.92 1.52 2.40
CV 0.88 0.48 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%—9.09%22.73%
1——9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%31.82%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%27.27%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%13.64%22.73%9.09%40.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 4.23 -2.73
SD 1.22 2.67 2.83
CV 0.82 0.63 —
Max 4 10 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%——13.64%22.73%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+4.55%————4.55%9.09%
Total4.55%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 3.09 -1.00
SD 1.54 2.04 2.31
CV 0.74 0.66 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%22.73%9.09%9.09%——50.00%
2—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%50.00%13.64%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.32 +0.05
SD 1.14 0.99 1.56
CV 0.83 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%50.00%
2—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%13.64%18.18%9.09%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 3.09 -1.68
SD 0.96 2.00 2.10
CV 0.68 0.65 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3——18.18%—4.55%—22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total13.64%22.73%40.91%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.91 +0.41
SD 2.21 1.38 2.67
CV 0.95 0.72 —
Max 10 6 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
313.64%—————13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.18 +1.45
SD 1.89 1.14 2.42
CV 0.72 0.96 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
2——4.55%———4.55%
313.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
4—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
5+—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.55 +1.41
SD 1.89 1.44 2.26
CV 0.64 0.93 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%———13.64%18.18%
2——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
Total—36.36%22.73%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 2.77 +0.09
SD 2.59 2.05 3.73
CV 0.90 0.74 —
Max 9 8 +7
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
3—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
49.09%——4.55%——13.64%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.41 +1.14
SD 1.34 0.96 1.70
CV 0.52 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1495 28 28.87 -0.87 44.0% 18 22 26 29 32 35 37
Linfield 1485 32 28.43 +3.57 85.0% 16 22 25 29 31 35 38
Portadown 1462 32 25.41 +6.59 99.0% 18 19 23 25 28 31 33
Ards 1418 31 24.96 +6.04 97.0% 17 19 23 25 27 30 34
Glenavon 1410 25 26.68 -1.68 39.0% 19 20 24 27 29 32 34
Ballymena United 1397 27 24.06 +2.94 81.0% 16 16 21 24 27 30 33
Crusaders 1349 23 21.20 +1.80 74.0% 13 15 19 21 24 27 30
Lisburn Distillery 1335 22 23.05 -1.05 41.0% 14 17 20 23 26 29 31
Bangor 1223 13 18.08 -5.08 11.0% 10 11 15 18 21 25 28
Coleraine 1213 13 16.57 -3.57 24.0% 8 10 14 17 19 23 25
Derry City 1173 12 14.99 -2.99 26.0% 6 10 12 15 17 21 25
Cliftonville 1065 6 11.70 -5.70 6.0% 5 6 9 12 13 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.85%
Slight Edge
46.21%17.42%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge
105 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
034.33300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Linfield, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.98 * Some Luck: 2.98 to 4.47 * Lucky: 4.47 to 5.96 * Wild Swing: 5.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.97 points
Some Luck
03.729
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Portadown
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 137.25
2.09
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Few
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.051
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Linfield 3
Portadown 2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield34.00%25.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Portadown4.00%13.00%16.00%19.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%——
Ards7.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%———
Glentoran39.00%20.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%———
Ballymena United3.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%20.00%12.00%2.00%7.00%——
Glenavon11.00%17.00%16.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%———
Crusaders——4.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%22.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%
Lisburn Distillery2.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%—
Bangor——2.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%7.00%15.00%27.00%19.00%12.00%6.00%
Coleraine————3.00%4.00%3.00%14.00%12.00%33.00%23.00%8.00%
Derry City—————3.00%1.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%44.00%17.00%
Cliftonville————————7.00%11.00%16.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1960-12-03 Lisburn Distillery L 1-440.7 1297 1363 38.83% 18.33% 42.84%-0.30 -19.4 0
1960-12-03 @ Bangor W 4-140.7 1363 1297 42.84% 18.33% 38.83%+0.30 +19.4 2
1960-12-03 Crusaders W 3-147.0 1179 1344 26.08% 18.09% 55.83%-1.25 +18.8 2
1960-12-03 @ Cliftonville L 1-347.0 1344 1179 55.83% 18.09% 26.08%+1.25 -18.8 0
1960-12-03 Ballymena United L 1-343.3 1299 1356 40.10% 18.33% 41.57%-0.21 -14.1 0
1960-12-03 @ Derry City W 3-143.3 1356 1299 41.57% 18.33% 40.10%+0.21 +14.1 2
1960-12-03 Glenavon W 2-042.6 1417 1444 44.38% 18.34% 37.28%+0.08 +15.3 2
1960-12-03 @ Glentoran L 0-242.6 1444 1417 37.28% 18.34% 44.38%-0.08 -15.3 0
1960-12-03 Ards D 2-258.8 1396 1330 56.27% 18.19% 25.54%+0.96 -1.1 1
1960-12-03 @ Linfield D 2-258.8 1330 1396 25.54% 18.19% 56.27%-0.96 +1.1 1
1960-12-03 Coleraine W 4-031.0 1327 1273 54.86% 18.23% 26.91%+0.85 +22.1 2
1960-12-03 @ Portadown L 0-431.0 1273 1327 26.91% 18.23% 54.86%-0.85 -22.1 0
1960-12-10 Cliftonville W 6-339.9 1331 1198 63.23% 17.93% 18.83%+1.60 +8.3 3
1960-12-10 @ Ards L 3-639.9 1198 1331 18.83% 17.93% 63.23%-1.60 -8.3 2
1960-12-10 Linfield L 3-546.7 1251 1395 28.49% 18.16% 53.35%-1.05 -9.0 0
1960-12-10 @ Coleraine W 5-346.7 1395 1251 53.35% 18.16% 28.49%+1.05 +8.9 3
1960-12-10 Bangor D 1-153.8 1325 1278 54.01% 18.24% 27.75%+0.78 -1.2 1
1960-12-10 @ Crusaders D 1-153.8 1278 1325 27.75% 18.24% 54.01%-0.78 +1.2 1
1960-12-10 Ballymena United D 1-156.5 1429 1370 55.39% 18.21% 26.40%+0.89 -1.4 1
1960-12-10 @ Glenavon D 1-156.5 1370 1429 26.40% 18.21% 55.39%-0.89 +1.4 3
1960-12-10 Portadown W 1-039.2 1433 1349 58.20% 18.14% 23.67%+1.12 +5.5 4
1960-12-10 @ Glentoran L 0-139.2 1349 1433 23.67% 18.14% 58.20%-1.12 -5.5 2
1960-12-10 Derry City W 7-235.5 1382 1285 59.69% 18.09% 22.22%+1.26 +16.0 4
1960-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-735.5 1285 1382 22.22% 18.09% 59.69%-1.26 -16.0 0
1960-12-17 Glentoran W 2-148.8 1371 1438 38.60% 18.33% 43.07%-0.31 +8.6 5
1960-12-17 @ Ballymena United L 1-248.8 1438 1371 43.07% 18.33% 38.60%+0.31 -8.6 4
1960-12-17 Ards L 1-637.8 1279 1339 39.60% 18.33% 42.06%-0.25 -31.2 1
1960-12-17 @ Bangor W 6-137.8 1339 1279 42.06% 18.33% 39.60%+0.25 +31.2 5
1960-12-17 Coleraine L 2-446.3 1190 1242 40.72% 18.34% 40.95%-0.17 -12.8 2
1960-12-17 @ Cliftonville W 4-246.3 1242 1190 40.95% 18.34% 40.72%+0.17 +12.8 2
1960-12-17 Crusaders L 1-342.8 1269 1324 40.34% 18.34% 41.33%-0.20 -14.2 0
1960-12-17 @ Derry City W 3-142.8 1324 1269 41.33% 18.34% 40.34%+0.20 +14.2 3
1960-12-17 Lisburn Distillery W 5-244.5 1427 1398 51.74% 18.28% 29.98%+0.60 +13.5 3
1960-12-17 @ Glenavon L 2-544.5 1398 1427 29.98% 18.28% 51.74%-0.60 -13.5 4
1960-12-17 Portadown W 3-140.3 1404 1344 55.57% 18.21% 26.22%+0.90 +9.9 5
1960-12-17 @ Linfield L 1-340.3 1344 1404 26.22% 18.21% 55.57%-0.90 -9.9 2
1960-12-23 Ballymena United L 3-457.1 1385 1380 48.66% 18.32% 33.02%+0.38 -8.9 4
1960-12-23 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-357.1 1380 1385 33.02% 18.32% 48.66%-0.38 +8.9 7
1960-12-24 Derry City W 5-133.1 1371 1255 61.56% 18.01% 20.43%+1.43 +14.5 7
1960-12-24 @ Ards L 1-533.1 1255 1371 20.43% 18.01% 61.56%-1.43 -14.5 0
1960-12-24 Bangor L 4-750.4 1255 1248 48.87% 18.32% 32.81%+0.39 -18.0 2
1960-12-24 @ Coleraine W 7-450.4 1248 1255 32.81% 18.32% 48.87%-0.39 +18.0 3
1960-12-24 Glenavon D 0-053.5 1338 1441 33.76% 18.27% 47.97%-0.65 +0.7 4
1960-12-24 @ Crusaders D 0-053.5 1441 1338 47.97% 18.27% 33.76%+0.65 -0.7 4
1960-12-24 Linfield L 0-148.7 1430 1414 50.07% 18.30% 31.62%+0.48 -10.5 4
1960-12-24 @ Glentoran W 1-048.7 1414 1430 31.62% 18.30% 50.07%-0.48 +10.4 7
1960-12-24 Cliftonville W 2-137.4 1334 1177 65.39% 17.81% 16.80%+1.83 +3.8 4
1960-12-24 @ Portadown L 1-237.4 1177 1334 16.80% 17.81% 65.39%-1.83 -3.8 2
1960-12-26 Crusaders D 1-155.2 1389 1339 54.33% 18.24% 27.43%+0.80 -1.3 8
1960-12-26 @ Ballymena United D 1-155.2 1339 1389 27.43% 18.24% 54.33%-0.80 +1.3 5
1960-12-26 Portadown D 3-361.4 1266 1338 37.97% 18.32% 43.71%-0.36 +0.2 4
1960-12-26 @ Bangor D 3-361.4 1338 1266 43.71% 18.32% 37.97%+0.36 -0.2 5
1960-12-26 Linfield L 1-433.6 1173 1424 17.58% 17.66% 64.76%-2.07 -9.7 2
1960-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 4-133.6 1424 1173 64.76% 17.66% 17.58%+2.07 +9.7 9
1960-12-26 Coleraine L 2-350.9 1240 1237 48.50% 18.32% 33.18%+0.36 -9.1 0
1960-12-26 @ Derry City W 3-250.9 1237 1240 33.18% 18.32% 48.50%-0.36 +9.1 4
1960-12-26 Ards L 3-460.3 1440 1385 54.94% 18.22% 26.83%+0.85 -9.9 4
1960-12-26 @ Glenavon W 4-360.3 1385 1440 26.83% 18.22% 54.94%-0.85 +9.9 9
1960-12-26 Glentoran L 1-740.6 1376 1419 42.00% 18.34% 39.66%-0.09 -38.8 4
1960-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 7-140.6 1419 1376 39.66% 18.34% 42.00%+0.09 +38.8 6
1960-12-27 Ballymena United D 1-156.1 1395 1387 49.00% 18.32% 32.69%+0.40 -0.8 10
1960-12-27 @ Ards D 1-156.1 1387 1395 32.69% 18.32% 49.00%-0.40 +0.8 9
1960-12-27 Glenavon L 2-344.7 1246 1430 23.95% 18.01% 58.04%-1.43 -5.0 4
1960-12-27 @ Coleraine W 3-244.7 1430 1246 58.04% 18.01% 23.95%+1.43 +5.0 6
1960-12-27 Lisburn Distillery W 1-040.5 1340 1337 48.40% 18.32% 33.28%+0.36 +7.4 7
1960-12-27 @ Crusaders L 0-140.5 1337 1340 33.28% 18.32% 48.40%-0.36 -7.4 4
1960-12-27 Cliftonville W 7-025.0 1458 1163 74.74% 16.82% 8.44%+3.14 +12.8 8
1960-12-27 @ Glentoran L 0-725.0 1163 1458 8.44% 16.82% 74.74%-3.14 -12.8 2
1960-12-27 Bangor W 3-030.2 1434 1266 66.30% 17.75% 15.95%+1.93 +10.6 11
1960-12-27 @ Linfield L 0-330.2 1266 1434 15.95% 17.75% 66.30%-1.93 -10.6 4
1960-12-27 Derry City D 1-153.7 1338 1231 60.60% 18.05% 21.34%+1.34 -1.9 6
1960-12-27 @ Portadown D 1-153.7 1231 1338 21.34% 18.05% 60.60%-1.34 +1.9 1
1960-12-31 Coleraine L 1-350.2 1388 1241 64.55% 17.86% 17.59%+1.73 -21.7 9
1960-12-31 @ Ballymena United W 3-150.2 1241 1388 17.59% 17.86% 64.55%-1.73 +21.7 6
1960-12-31 Cliftonville W 6-445.5 1256 1150 60.49% 18.06% 21.45%+1.33 +6.8 6
1960-12-31 @ Bangor L 4-645.5 1150 1256 21.45% 18.06% 60.49%-1.33 -6.8 2
1960-12-31 Glentoran L 1-245.4 1348 1471 31.09% 18.23% 50.69%-0.85 -6.6 7
1960-12-31 @ Crusaders W 2-145.4 1471 1348 50.69% 18.23% 31.09%+0.85 +6.6 10
1960-12-31 Linfield L 2-441.6 1233 1445 21.19% 17.88% 60.92%-1.69 -7.3 1
1960-12-31 @ Derry City W 4-241.6 1445 1233 60.92% 17.88% 21.19%+1.69 +7.3 13
1960-12-31 Portadown D 1-156.0 1435 1336 59.90% 18.08% 22.03%+1.28 -1.8 7
1960-12-31 @ Glenavon D 1-156.0 1336 1435 22.03% 18.08% 59.90%-1.28 +1.9 7
1960-12-31 Ards W 3-251.0 1330 1394 38.99% 18.33% 42.69%-0.29 +8.1 6
1960-12-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-351.0 1394 1330 42.69% 18.33% 38.99%+0.29 -8.1 10
1961-01-07 Crusaders W 2-036.9 1386 1341 53.76% 18.25% 27.99%+0.76 +12.0 12
1961-01-07 @ Ards L 0-236.9 1341 1386 27.99% 18.25% 53.76%-0.76 -12.1 7
1961-01-07 Derry City L 0-140.0 1144 1226 36.51% 18.31% 45.18%-0.46 -8.0 2
1961-01-07 @ Cliftonville W 1-040.0 1226 1144 45.18% 18.31% 36.51%+0.46 +8.0 3
1961-01-07 Lisburn Distillery L 1-538.1 1262 1338 37.44% 18.32% 44.24%-0.39 -24.3 6
1961-01-07 @ Coleraine W 5-138.1 1338 1262 44.24% 18.32% 37.44%+0.39 +24.3 8
1961-01-07 Bangor W 3-029.7 1477 1262 69.90% 17.45% 12.65%+2.38 +8.5 12
1961-01-07 @ Glentoran L 0-329.7 1262 1477 12.65% 17.45% 69.90%-2.38 -8.5 6
1961-01-07 Glenavon W 3-145.1 1452 1433 50.47% 18.30% 31.23%+0.51 +11.5 15
1961-01-07 @ Linfield L 1-345.1 1433 1452 31.23% 18.30% 50.47%-0.51 -11.5 7
1961-01-07 Ballymena United W 4-352.9 1337 1366 44.03% 18.34% 37.63%+0.05 +7.2 9
1961-01-07 @ Portadown L 3-452.9 1366 1337 37.63% 18.34% 44.03%-0.05 -7.2 9
1961-01-14 Glentoran W 2-151.7 1398 1486 35.75% 18.30% 45.95%-0.51 +9.1 14
1961-01-14 @ Ards L 1-251.7 1486 1398 45.95% 18.30% 35.75%+0.51 -9.1 12
1961-01-14 Linfield W 2-150.7 1359 1463 33.55% 18.27% 48.18%-0.67 +9.5 11
1961-01-14 @ Ballymena United L 1-250.7 1463 1359 48.18% 18.27% 33.55%+0.67 -9.5 15
1961-01-14 Coleraine W 2-139.6 1329 1238 58.99% 18.11% 22.90%+1.19 +5.1 9
1961-01-14 @ Crusaders L 1-239.6 1238 1329 22.90% 18.11% 58.99%-1.19 -5.1 6
1961-01-14 Bangor L 0-535.2 1234 1254 45.28% 18.34% 36.38%+0.14 -42.2 3
1961-01-14 @ Derry City W 5-035.2 1254 1234 36.38% 18.34% 45.28%-0.14 +42.2 8
1961-01-14 Cliftonville W 10-228.5 1422 1136 74.27% 16.90% 8.83%+3.06 +10.1 9
1961-01-14 @ Glenavon L 2-1028.5 1136 1422 8.83% 16.90% 74.27%-3.06 -10.2 2
1961-01-14 Portadown L 0-439.0 1362 1345 50.31% 18.30% 31.39%+0.50 -37.5 8
1961-01-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-039.0 1345 1362 31.39% 18.30% 50.31%-0.50 +37.5 11
1961-01-21 Glenavon L 1-243.2 1296 1432 29.52% 18.19% 52.29%-0.97 -6.3 8
1961-01-21 @ Bangor W 2-143.2 1432 1296 52.29% 18.19% 29.52%+0.97 +6.3 11
1961-01-21 Ballymena United L 1-335.6 1126 1369 18.28% 17.71% 64.01%-1.99 -7.1 2
1961-01-21 @ Cliftonville W 3-135.6 1369 1126 64.01% 17.71% 18.28%+1.99 +7.1 13
1961-01-21 Ards L 1-338.5 1233 1407 25.05% 18.05% 56.90%-1.33 -9.5 6
1961-01-21 @ Coleraine W 3-138.5 1407 1233 56.90% 18.05% 25.05%+1.33 +9.5 16
1961-01-21 Derry City W 5-340.7 1477 1192 74.22% 16.91% 8.87%+3.05 +3.0 14
1961-01-21 @ Glentoran L 3-540.7 1192 1477 8.87% 16.91% 74.22%-3.05 -3.0 3
1961-01-21 Lisburn Distillery W 8-133.2 1454 1325 62.87% 17.95% 19.18%+1.56 +22.8 17
1961-01-21 @ Linfield L 1-833.2 1325 1454 19.18% 17.95% 62.87%-1.56 -22.8 8
1961-01-21 Crusaders W 3-246.4 1382 1334 54.13% 18.24% 27.62%+0.79 +5.6 13
1961-01-21 @ Portadown L 2-346.4 1334 1382 27.62% 18.24% 54.13%-0.79 -5.7 9
1961-01-27 Cliftonville W 9-230.3 1302 1118 67.56% 17.66% 14.78%+2.08 +14.8 10
1961-01-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-930.3 1118 1302 14.78% 17.66% 67.56%-2.08 -14.8 2
1961-01-28 Portadown L 0-245.5 1417 1388 51.75% 18.28% 29.97%+0.60 -20.3 16
1961-01-28 @ Ards W 2-045.5 1388 1417 29.97% 18.28% 51.75%-0.60 +20.3 15
1961-01-28 Bangor W 5-239.7 1376 1290 58.49% 18.13% 23.38%+1.15 +10.9 15
1961-01-28 @ Ballymena United L 2-539.7 1290 1376 23.38% 18.13% 58.49%-1.15 -10.9 8
1961-01-28 Glentoran D 1-155.0 1224 1480 17.19% 17.63% 65.18%-2.12 +2.4 7
1961-01-28 @ Coleraine D 1-155.0 1480 1224 65.18% 17.63% 17.19%+2.12 -2.4 15
1961-01-28 Linfield D 0-054.1 1328 1477 27.99% 18.15% 53.86%-1.09 +1.4 10
1961-01-28 @ Crusaders D 0-054.1 1477 1328 53.86% 18.15% 27.99%+1.09 -1.4 18
1961-01-28 Derry City L 1-352.3 1438 1189 72.17% 17.20% 10.63%+2.71 -24.3 11
1961-01-28 @ Glenavon W 3-152.3 1189 1438 10.63% 17.20% 72.17%-2.71 +24.3 5
1961-02-04 Coleraine D 5-566.1 1279 1226 54.69% 18.23% 27.08%+0.83 -0.6 9
1961-02-04 @ Bangor D 5-566.1 1226 1279 27.08% 18.23% 54.69%-0.83 +0.6 8
1961-02-04 Portadown L 1-334.1 1104 1408 13.60% 17.30% 69.10%-2.58 -5.4 2
1961-02-04 @ Cliftonville W 3-134.1 1408 1104 69.10% 17.30% 13.60%+2.58 +5.4 17
1961-02-04 Ards L 3-642.0 1213 1396 24.06% 18.02% 57.93%-1.42 -10.4 5
1961-02-04 @ Derry City W 6-342.0 1396 1213 57.93% 18.02% 24.06%+1.42 +10.4 18
1961-02-04 Crusaders L 1-252.0 1414 1330 58.26% 18.14% 23.60%+1.13 -11.3 11
1961-02-04 @ Glenavon W 2-152.0 1330 1414 23.60% 18.14% 58.26%-1.13 +11.3 12
1961-02-04 Glentoran W 3-254.4 1475 1477 47.73% 18.33% 33.94%+0.31 +6.7 20
1961-02-04 @ Linfield L 2-354.4 1477 1475 33.94% 18.33% 47.73%-0.31 -6.7 15
1961-02-11 Glenavon W 3-249.8 1407 1402 48.56% 18.32% 33.12%+0.37 +6.6 20
1961-02-11 @ Ards L 2-349.8 1402 1407 33.12% 18.32% 48.56%-0.37 -6.6 11
1961-02-11 Derry City W 2-141.5 1227 1203 51.12% 18.29% 30.59%+0.56 +6.5 10
1961-02-11 @ Coleraine L 1-241.5 1203 1227 30.59% 18.29% 51.12%-0.56 -6.5 5
1961-02-11 Ballymena United W 1-043.2 1341 1387 41.64% 18.34% 40.02%-0.11 +8.6 14
1961-02-11 @ Crusaders L 0-143.2 1387 1341 40.02% 18.34% 41.64%+0.11 -8.6 15
1961-02-11 Lisburn Distillery L 1-352.6 1471 1317 65.13% 17.82% 17.05%+1.80 -21.9 15
1961-02-11 @ Glentoran W 3-152.6 1317 1471 17.05% 17.82% 65.13%-1.80 +21.9 12
1961-02-11 Cliftonville W 3-025.4 1482 1098 78.71% 15.97% 5.31%+3.99 +3.6 22
1961-02-11 @ Linfield L 0-325.4 1098 1482 5.31% 15.97% 78.71%-3.99 -3.6 2
1961-02-11 Bangor D 2-258.4 1413 1278 63.44% 17.92% 18.64%+1.62 -1.7 18
1961-02-11 @ Portadown D 2-258.4 1278 1413 18.64% 17.92% 63.44%-1.62 +1.7 10
1961-02-18 Ards D 1-156.3 1378 1413 43.16% 18.34% 38.49%-0.01 -0.2 16
1961-02-18 @ Ballymena United D 1-156.3 1413 1378 38.49% 18.34% 43.16%+0.01 +0.2 21
1961-02-18 Linfield L 0-333.0 1280 1486 21.74% 17.91% 60.35%-1.64 -14.0 10
1961-02-18 @ Bangor W 3-033.0 1486 1280 60.35% 17.91% 21.74%+1.64 +14.0 24
1961-02-18 Glentoran L 0-327.1 1095 1449 10.62% 16.90% 72.48%-3.05 -7.2 2
1961-02-18 @ Cliftonville W 3-027.1 1449 1095 72.48% 16.90% 10.62%+3.05 +7.2 17
1961-02-18 Portadown L 1-533.0 1196 1412 20.78% 17.86% 61.35%-1.73 -14.6 5
1961-02-18 @ Derry City W 5-133.0 1412 1196 61.35% 17.86% 20.78%+1.73 +14.6 20
1961-02-18 Coleraine W 2-032.1 1396 1233 65.88% 17.78% 16.34%+1.88 +7.5 13
1961-02-18 @ Glenavon L 0-232.1 1233 1396 16.34% 17.78% 65.88%-1.88 -7.5 10
1961-02-18 Crusaders D 1-154.6 1339 1350 46.50% 18.33% 35.17%+0.22 -0.5 13
1961-02-18 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-154.6 1350 1339 35.17% 18.33% 46.50%-0.22 +0.5 15
1961-03-01 Lisburn Distillery L 1-544.0 1378 1338 53.14% 18.26% 28.60%+0.71 -32.9 16
1961-03-01 @ Ballymena United W 5-144.0 1338 1378 28.60% 18.26% 53.14%-0.71 +32.9 15
1961-03-04 Lisburn Distillery W 3-035.5 1414 1371 53.46% 18.25% 28.28%+0.73 +17.7 23
1961-03-04 @ Ards L 0-335.5 1371 1414 28.28% 18.25% 53.46%-0.73 -17.7 15
1961-03-04 Bangor W 4-251.0 1087 1266 24.60% 18.04% 57.37%-1.37 +17.3 4
1961-03-04 @ Cliftonville L 2-451.0 1266 1087 57.37% 18.04% 24.60%+1.37 -17.3 10
1961-03-04 Ballymena United L 0-139.1 1226 1345 31.56% 18.23% 50.21%-0.81 -7.1 10
1961-03-04 @ Coleraine W 1-039.1 1345 1226 50.21% 18.23% 31.56%+0.81 +7.1 18
1961-03-04 Crusaders W 3-033.8 1456 1350 60.55% 18.05% 21.40%+1.34 +13.8 19
1961-03-04 @ Glentoran L 0-333.8 1350 1456 21.40% 18.05% 60.55%-1.34 -13.8 15
1961-03-04 Derry City W 5-129.3 1500 1182 75.91% 16.61% 7.48%+3.36 +5.6 26
1961-03-04 @ Linfield L 1-529.3 1182 1500 7.48% 16.61% 75.91%-3.36 -5.6 5
1961-03-04 Glenavon D 2-260.9 1426 1403 51.02% 18.29% 30.68%+0.55 -0.7 21
1961-03-04 @ Portadown D 2-260.9 1403 1426 30.68% 18.29% 51.02%-0.55 +0.7 14
1961-03-11 Glentoran D 2-262.7 1426 1470 41.91% 18.34% 39.75%-0.09 -0.1 22
1961-03-11 @ Portadown D 2-262.7 1470 1426 39.75% 18.34% 41.91%+0.09 +0.1 20
1961-03-18 Portadown D 3-363.6 1352 1426 37.72% 18.32% 43.97%-0.37 +0.2 19
1961-03-18 @ Ballymena United D 3-363.6 1426 1352 43.97% 18.32% 37.72%+0.37 -0.2 23
1961-03-18 Glentoran L 1-435.7 1248 1470 20.26% 17.83% 61.91%-1.78 -11.1 10
1961-03-18 @ Bangor W 4-135.7 1470 1248 61.91% 17.83% 20.26%+1.78 +11.1 22
1961-03-18 Ards L 1-245.4 1336 1431 34.79% 18.29% 46.93%-0.58 -7.2 15
1961-03-18 @ Crusaders W 2-145.4 1431 1336 46.93% 18.29% 34.79%+0.58 +7.2 25
1961-03-18 Cliftonville L 0-243.3 1176 1105 56.83% 18.18% 25.00%+1.01 -22.2 5
1961-03-18 @ Derry City W 2-043.3 1105 1176 25.00% 18.18% 56.83%-1.01 +22.1 6
1961-03-18 Linfield W 5-146.9 1404 1505 33.94% 18.28% 47.79%-0.64 +29.9 16
1961-03-18 @ Glenavon L 1-546.9 1505 1404 47.79% 18.28% 33.94%+0.64 -29.9 26
1961-03-18 Coleraine W 5-343.2 1353 1219 63.38% 17.92% 18.70%+1.61 +6.2 17
1961-03-18 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-543.2 1219 1353 18.70% 17.92% 63.38%-1.61 -6.2 10
1961-03-25 Cliftonville W 5-028.3 1212 1127 58.41% 18.13% 23.46%+1.14 +24.2 12
1961-03-25 @ Coleraine L 0-528.3 1127 1212 23.46% 18.13% 58.41%-1.14 -24.2 6
1961-04-01 Derry City L 2-353.6 1237 1154 58.21% 18.14% 23.65%+1.13 -10.8 10
1961-04-01 @ Bangor W 3-253.6 1154 1237 23.65% 18.14% 58.21%-1.13 +10.8 7
1961-04-01 Glenavon L 2-339.8 1103 1434 11.91% 17.09% 71.00%-2.83 -2.6 6
1961-04-01 @ Cliftonville W 3-239.8 1434 1103 71.00% 17.09% 11.91%+2.83 +2.6 18
1961-04-01 Crusaders D 1-153.6 1237 1329 35.10% 18.29% 46.61%-0.56 +0.5 13
1961-04-01 @ Coleraine D 1-153.6 1329 1237 46.61% 18.29% 35.10%+0.56 -0.5 16
1961-04-01 Ards W 2-041.7 1481 1438 53.43% 18.25% 28.31%+0.73 +12.2 24
1961-04-01 @ Glentoran L 0-241.7 1438 1481 28.31% 18.25% 53.43%-0.73 -12.2 25
1961-04-01 Ballymena United L 1-254.9 1475 1352 62.27% 17.98% 19.75%+1.50 -12.1 26
1961-04-01 @ Linfield W 2-154.9 1352 1475 19.75% 17.98% 62.27%-1.50 +12.1 21
1961-04-01 Lisburn Distillery W 5-136.9 1426 1359 56.24% 18.19% 25.56%+0.96 +17.6 25
1961-04-01 @ Portadown L 1-536.9 1359 1426 25.56% 18.19% 56.24%-0.96 -17.6 17
1961-04-04 Coleraine W 7-233.0 1426 1237 68.01% 17.62% 14.37%+2.13 +10.7 27
1961-04-04 @ Ards L 2-733.0 1237 1426 14.37% 17.62% 68.01%-2.13 -10.7 13
1961-04-04 Cliftonville W 8-229.3 1364 1100 73.06% 17.08% 9.86%+2.85 +8.8 23
1961-04-04 @ Ballymena United L 2-829.3 1100 1364 9.86% 17.08% 73.06%-2.85 -8.8 6
1961-04-04 Portadown L 1-342.5 1329 1443 32.19% 18.25% 49.56%-0.77 -11.8 16
1961-04-04 @ Crusaders W 3-142.5 1443 1329 49.56% 18.25% 32.19%+0.77 +11.7 27
1961-04-04 Glentoran W 2-154.4 1165 1493 12.08% 17.11% 70.81%-2.81 +13.8 9
1961-04-04 @ Derry City L 1-254.4 1493 1165 70.81% 17.11% 12.08%+2.81 -13.8 24
1961-04-04 Bangor W 3-241.1 1437 1227 69.54% 17.48% 12.98%+2.33 +2.8 20
1961-04-04 @ Glenavon L 2-341.1 1227 1437 12.98% 17.48% 69.54%-2.33 -2.9 10
1961-04-04 Linfield W 5-461.1 1342 1463 31.30% 18.23% 50.47%-0.83 +9.0 19
1961-04-04 @ Lisburn Distillery L 4-561.1 1463 1342 50.47% 18.23% 31.30%+0.83 -9.0 26
1961-04-08 Ballymena United W 2-043.3 1224 1373 27.88% 18.15% 53.97%-1.10 +21.1 12
1961-04-08 @ Bangor L 0-243.3 1373 1224 53.97% 18.15% 27.88%+1.10 -21.1 23
1961-04-08 Lisburn Distillery L 1-630.0 1091 1351 16.92% 17.61% 65.47%-2.15 -14.8 6
1961-04-08 @ Cliftonville W 6-130.0 1351 1091 65.47% 17.61% 16.92%+2.15 +14.9 21
1961-04-08 Glenavon D 1-154.1 1178 1439 16.79% 17.60% 65.61%-2.16 +2.4 10
1961-04-08 @ Derry City D 1-154.1 1439 1178 65.61% 17.60% 16.79%+2.16 -2.4 21
1961-04-08 Coleraine W 4-132.4 1479 1226 72.38% 17.17% 10.45%+2.74 +6.0 26
1961-04-08 @ Glentoran L 1-432.4 1226 1479 10.45% 17.17% 72.38%-2.74 -6.0 13
1961-04-08 Crusaders D 1-156.0 1454 1317 63.64% 17.91% 18.45%+1.64 -2.2 27
1961-04-08 @ Linfield D 1-156.0 1317 1454 18.45% 17.91% 63.64%-1.64 +2.2 17
1961-04-08 Ards W 3-145.4 1455 1437 50.35% 18.30% 31.35%+0.50 +11.5 29
1961-04-08 @ Portadown L 1-345.4 1437 1455 31.35% 18.30% 50.35%-0.50 -11.5 27
1961-04-15 Linfield L 1-446.6 1425 1452 44.37% 18.34% 37.29%+0.07 -21.7 27
1961-04-15 @ Ards W 4-146.6 1452 1425 37.29% 18.34% 44.37%-0.07 +21.7 29
1961-04-15 Derry City W 3-028.8 1352 1181 66.60% 17.73% 15.68%+1.96 +10.4 25
1961-04-15 @ Ballymena United L 0-328.8 1181 1352 15.68% 17.73% 66.60%-1.96 -10.4 10
1961-04-15 Portadown L 1-239.0 1220 1466 18.04% 17.69% 64.27%-2.02 -4.1 13
1961-04-15 @ Coleraine W 2-139.0 1466 1220 64.27% 17.69% 18.04%+2.02 +4.1 31
1961-04-15 Cliftonville W 2-135.2 1319 1076 71.74% 17.25% 11.01%+2.64 +2.6 19
1961-04-15 @ Crusaders L 1-235.2 1076 1319 11.01% 17.25% 71.74%-2.64 -2.6 6
1961-04-15 Glentoran W 3-255.3 1437 1485 41.29% 18.34% 40.38%-0.13 +7.8 23
1961-04-15 @ Glenavon L 2-355.3 1485 1437 40.38% 18.34% 41.29%+0.13 -7.8 26
1961-04-15 Bangor D 2-257.6 1366 1245 62.05% 17.99% 19.96%+1.48 -1.6 22
1961-04-15 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-257.6 1245 1366 19.96% 17.99% 62.05%-1.48 +1.5 13
1961-04-20 Derry City W 4-133.1 1322 1170 64.89% 17.84% 17.28%+1.77 +9.6 21
1961-04-20 @ Crusaders L 1-433.1 1170 1322 17.28% 17.84% 64.89%-1.77 -9.6 10
1961-04-21 Ballymena United W 4-032.7 1477 1363 61.47% 18.02% 20.51%+1.42 +17.4 28
1961-04-21 @ Glentoran L 0-432.7 1363 1477 20.51% 18.02% 61.47%-1.42 -17.4 25
1961-04-25 Bangor W 4-240.0 1404 1246 65.41% 17.81% 16.78%+1.83 +5.9 29
1961-04-25 @ Ards L 2-440.0 1246 1404 16.78% 17.81% 65.41%-1.83 -5.9 13
1961-04-29 Glenavon W 6-038.9 1345 1445 34.17% 18.28% 47.56%-0.62 +52.2 27
1961-04-29 @ Ballymena United L 0-638.9 1445 1345 47.56% 18.28% 34.17%+0.62 -52.2 23
1961-04-29 Crusaders L 1-439.0 1241 1331 35.35% 18.30% 46.35%-0.54 -18.0 13
1961-04-29 @ Bangor W 4-139.0 1331 1241 46.35% 18.30% 35.35%+0.54 +18.0 23
1961-04-29 Ards L 1-529.4 1074 1410 11.64% 17.06% 71.30%-2.88 -8.5 6
1961-04-29 @ Cliftonville W 5-129.4 1410 1074 71.30% 17.06% 11.64%+2.88 +8.5 31
1961-04-29 Lisburn Distillery W 1-047.4 1161 1364 21.99% 17.92% 60.09%-1.61 +12.4 12
1961-04-29 @ Derry City L 0-147.4 1364 1161 60.09% 17.92% 21.99%+1.61 -12.4 22
1961-04-29 Coleraine W 5-341.4 1474 1216 72.65% 17.13% 10.21%+2.78 +3.5 31
1961-04-29 @ Linfield L 3-541.4 1216 1474 10.21% 17.13% 72.65%-2.78 -3.5 13
1961-05-15 Glenavon L 0-241.5 1352 1392 42.37% 18.34% 39.29%-0.06 -17.0 22
1961-05-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-041.5 1392 1352 39.29% 18.34% 42.37%+0.06 +17.0 25
1961-05-16 Linfield D 1-160.9 1470 1477 47.08% 18.33% 34.59%+0.26 -0.6 32
1961-05-16 @ Portadown D 1-160.9 1477 1470 34.59% 18.33% 47.08%-0.26 +0.6 32

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1961-05-20 Portadown W 3-255.9 1478 1470 41.97% 18.34% 39.69%+0.08 +7.7 1-0
1961-05-20 @ Linfield L 2-355.9 1470 1478 39.69% 18.34% 41.97%-0.08 -7.7 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-01-28 10.63% Derry City 1189 3 @ Glenavon 1438 1
2 1961-04-04 12.08% @ Derry City 1165 2 Glentoran 1493 1
3 1961-02-11 17.05% Lisburn Distillery 1317 3 @ Glentoran 1471 1
4 1960-12-31 17.59% Coleraine 1241 3 @ Ballymena United 1388 1
5 1961-04-01 19.75% Ballymena United 1352 2 @ Linfield 1475 1
6 1961-04-29 21.99% @ Derry City 1161 1 Lisburn Distillery 1364 0
7 1961-02-04 23.60% Crusaders 1330 2 @ Glenavon 1414 1
8 1961-04-01 23.65% Derry City 1154 3 @ Bangor 1237 2
9 1961-03-04 24.60% @ Cliftonville 1087 4 Bangor 1266 2
10 1961-03-18 25.00% Cliftonville 1105 2 @ Derry City 1176 0
11 1960-12-03 26.08% @ Cliftonville 1179 3 Crusaders 1344 1
12 1960-12-26 26.83% Ards 1385 4 @ Glenavon 1440 3
13 1961-04-08 27.88% @ Bangor 1224 2 Ballymena United 1373 0
14 1961-03-01 28.60% Lisburn Distillery 1338 5 @ Ballymena United 1378 1
15 1961-01-28 29.97% Portadown 1388 2 @ Ards 1417 0
16 1961-04-04 31.30% @ Lisburn Distillery 1342 5 Linfield 1463 4
17 1961-01-14 31.39% Portadown 1345 4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1362 0
18 1960-12-24 31.62% Linfield 1414 1 @ Glentoran 1430 0
19 1960-12-24 32.81% Bangor 1248 7 @ Coleraine 1255 4
20 1960-12-23 33.02% Ballymena United 1380 4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1385 3
21 1960-12-26 33.18% Coleraine 1237 3 @ Derry City 1240 2
22 1961-01-14 33.55% @ Ballymena United 1359 2 Linfield 1463 1
23 1961-03-18 33.94% @ Glenavon 1404 5 Linfield 1505 1
24 1961-04-29 34.17% @ Ballymena United 1345 6 Glenavon 1445 0
25 1961-01-14 35.75% @ Ards 1398 2 Glentoran 1486 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-04-29 52.24 @ Ballymena United 6 1345 34.17% Glenavon 0 1445 47.56% 18.28%
2 1961-01-14 42.17 Bangor 5 1254 36.38% @ Derry City 0 1234 45.28% 18.34%
3 1960-12-26 38.78 Glentoran 7 1419 39.66% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1376 42.00% 18.34%
4 1961-01-14 37.53 Portadown 4 1345 31.39% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1362 50.31% 18.30%
5 1961-03-01 32.88 Lisburn Distillery 5 1338 28.60% @ Ballymena United 1 1378 53.14% 18.26%
6 1960-12-17 31.23 Ards 6 1339 42.06% @ Bangor 1 1279 39.60% 18.33%
7 1961-03-18 29.87 @ Glenavon 5 1404 33.94% Linfield 1 1505 47.79% 18.28%
8 1961-01-07 24.34 Lisburn Distillery 5 1338 44.24% @ Coleraine 1 1262 37.44% 18.32%
9 1961-01-28 24.34 Derry City 3 1189 10.63% @ Glenavon 1 1438 72.17% 17.20%
10 1961-03-25 24.17 @ Coleraine 5 1212 58.41% Cliftonville 0 1127 23.46% 18.13%
11 1961-01-21 22.85 @ Linfield 8 1454 62.87% Lisburn Distillery 1 1325 19.18% 17.95%
12 1961-03-18 22.15 Cliftonville 2 1105 25.00% @ Derry City 0 1176 56.83% 18.18%
13 1960-12-03 22.10 @ Portadown 4 1327 54.86% Coleraine 0 1273 26.91% 18.23%
14 1961-02-11 21.93 Lisburn Distillery 3 1317 17.05% @ Glentoran 1 1471 65.13% 17.82%
15 1960-12-31 21.73 Coleraine 3 1241 17.59% @ Ballymena United 1 1388 64.55% 17.86%
16 1961-04-15 21.71 Linfield 4 1452 37.29% @ Ards 1 1425 44.37% 18.34%
17 1961-04-08 21.08 @ Bangor 2 1224 27.88% Ballymena United 0 1373 53.97% 18.15%
18 1961-01-28 20.30 Portadown 2 1388 29.97% @ Ards 0 1417 51.75% 18.28%
19 1960-12-03 19.43 Lisburn Distillery 4 1363 42.84% @ Bangor 1 1297 38.83% 18.33%
20 1960-12-03 18.84 @ Cliftonville 3 1179 26.08% Crusaders 1 1344 55.83% 18.09%
21 1960-12-24 18.03 Bangor 7 1248 32.81% @ Coleraine 4 1255 48.87% 18.32%
22 1961-04-29 17.98 Crusaders 4 1331 46.35% @ Bangor 1 1241 35.35% 18.30%
23 1961-03-04 17.67 @ Ards 3 1414 53.46% Lisburn Distillery 0 1371 28.28% 18.25%
24 1961-04-01 17.62 @ Portadown 5 1426 56.24% Lisburn Distillery 1 1359 25.56% 18.19%
25 1961-04-21 17.40 @ Glentoran 4 1477 61.47% Ballymena United 0 1363 20.51% 18.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-02-04 66.1 @ Bangor 5 1279 54.69% Coleraine 5 1226 27.08% 18.23%
2 1961-03-18 63.6 @ Ballymena United 3 1352 37.72% Portadown 3 1426 43.97% 18.32%
3 1961-03-11 62.7 @ Portadown 2 1426 41.91% Glentoran 2 1470 39.75% 18.34%
4 1960-12-26 61.4 @ Bangor 3 1266 37.97% Portadown 3 1338 43.71% 18.32%
5 1961-04-04 61.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1342 31.30% Linfield 4 1463 50.47% 18.23%
6 1961-03-04 60.9 @ Portadown 2 1426 51.02% Glenavon 2 1403 30.68% 18.29%
7 1961-05-16 60.9 @ Portadown 1 1470 47.08% Linfield 1 1477 34.59% 18.33%
8 1960-12-26 60.3 Ards 4 1385 26.83% @ Glenavon 3 1440 54.94% 18.22%
9 1960-12-03 58.8 @ Linfield 2 1396 56.27% Ards 2 1330 25.54% 18.19%
10 1961-02-11 58.4 @ Portadown 2 1413 63.44% Bangor 2 1278 18.64% 17.92%
11 1961-04-15 57.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1366 62.05% Bangor 2 1245 19.96% 17.99%
12 1960-12-23 57.1 Ballymena United 4 1380 33.02% @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1385 48.66% 18.32%
13 1960-12-10 56.5 @ Glenavon 1 1429 55.39% Ballymena United 1 1370 26.40% 18.21%
14 1961-02-18 56.3 @ Ballymena United 1 1378 43.16% Ards 1 1413 38.49% 18.34%
15 1960-12-27 56.1 @ Ards 1 1395 49.00% Ballymena United 1 1387 32.69% 18.32%
16 1960-12-31 56.0 @ Glenavon 1 1435 59.90% Portadown 1 1336 22.03% 18.08%
17 1961-04-08 56.0 @ Linfield 1 1454 63.64% Crusaders 1 1317 18.45% 17.91%
18 1961-05-20 * 55.9 @ Linfield 3 1478 41.97% Portadown 2 1470 39.69% 18.34%
19 1961-04-15 55.3 @ Glenavon 3 1437 41.29% Glentoran 2 1485 40.38% 18.34%
20 1960-12-26 55.2 @ Ballymena United 1 1389 54.33% Crusaders 1 1339 27.43% 18.24%
21 1961-01-28 55.0 @ Coleraine 1 1224 17.19% Glentoran 1 1480 65.18% 17.63%
22 1961-04-01 54.9 Ballymena United 2 1352 19.75% @ Linfield 1 1475 62.27% 17.98%
23 1961-02-18 54.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1339 46.50% Crusaders 1 1350 35.17% 18.33%
24 1961-02-04 54.4 @ Linfield 3 1475 47.73% Glentoran 2 1477 33.94% 18.33%
25 1961-04-04 54.4 @ Derry City 2 1165 12.08% Glentoran 1 1493 70.81% 17.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-12-27 25.0 @ Glentoran 7 1458 74.74% Cliftonville 0 1163 8.44% 16.82%
2 1961-02-11 25.4 @ Linfield 3 1482 78.71% Cliftonville 0 1098 5.31% 15.97%
3 1961-02-18 27.1 Glentoran 3 1449 72.48% @ Cliftonville 0 1095 10.62% 16.90%
4 1961-03-25 28.3 @ Coleraine 5 1212 58.41% Cliftonville 0 1127 23.46% 18.13%
5 1961-01-14 28.5 @ Glenavon 10 1422 74.27% Cliftonville 2 1136 8.83% 16.90%
6 1961-04-15 28.8 @ Ballymena United 3 1352 66.60% Derry City 0 1181 15.68% 17.73%
7 1961-03-04 29.3 @ Linfield 5 1500 75.91% Derry City 1 1182 7.48% 16.61%
8 1961-04-04 29.3 @ Ballymena United 8 1364 73.06% Cliftonville 2 1100 9.86% 17.08%
9 1961-04-29 29.4 Ards 5 1410 71.30% @ Cliftonville 1 1074 11.64% 17.06%
10 1961-01-07 29.7 @ Glentoran 3 1477 69.90% Bangor 0 1262 12.65% 17.45%
11 1961-04-08 30.0 Lisburn Distillery 6 1351 65.47% @ Cliftonville 1 1091 16.92% 17.61%
12 1960-12-27 30.2 @ Linfield 3 1434 66.30% Bangor 0 1266 15.95% 17.75%
13 1961-01-27 30.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 9 1302 67.56% Cliftonville 2 1118 14.78% 17.66%
14 1960-12-03 31.0 @ Portadown 4 1327 54.86% Coleraine 0 1273 26.91% 18.23%
15 1961-02-18 32.1 @ Glenavon 2 1396 65.88% Coleraine 0 1233 16.34% 17.78%
16 1961-04-08 32.4 @ Glentoran 4 1479 72.38% Coleraine 1 1226 10.45% 17.17%
17 1961-04-21 32.7 @ Glentoran 4 1477 61.47% Ballymena United 0 1363 20.51% 18.02%
18 1961-02-18 33.0 Linfield 3 1486 60.35% @ Bangor 0 1280 21.74% 17.91%
19 1961-02-18 33.0 Portadown 5 1412 61.35% @ Derry City 1 1196 20.78% 17.86%
20 1961-04-04 33.0 @ Ards 7 1426 68.01% Coleraine 2 1237 14.37% 17.62%
21 1960-12-24 33.1 @ Ards 5 1371 61.56% Derry City 1 1255 20.43% 18.01%
22 1961-04-20 33.1 @ Crusaders 4 1322 64.89% Derry City 1 1170 17.28% 17.84%
23 1961-01-21 33.2 @ Linfield 8 1454 62.87% Lisburn Distillery 1 1325 19.18% 17.95%
24 1960-12-26 33.6 Linfield 4 1424 64.76% @ Cliftonville 1 1173 17.58% 17.66%
25 1961-03-04 33.8 @ Glentoran 3 1456 60.55% Crusaders 0 1350 21.40% 18.05%