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1959-60 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glenavon

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lisburn Distillery

7.48 points above expected

29 points · 21.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

7.40 points below expected

4 points · 11.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glenavon 22 17 1 4 35 67 28 +39 32.25 +2.75
2 Glentoran 22 14 4 4 32 60 31 +29 28.79 +3.21
3 Linfield 22 12 5 5 29 63 46 +17 28.09 +0.91
4 Lisburn Distillery 22 12 5 5 29 55 38 +17 21.52 +7.48
5 Ballymena United 22 10 3 9 23 49 46 +3 20.88 +2.12
6 Crusaders 22 9 5 8 23 43 44 -1 21.13 +1.87
7 Portadown 22 7 8 7 22 35 40 -5 22.77 -0.77
8 Ards 22 8 3 11 19 37 47 -10 21.98 -2.98
9 Bangor 22 7 4 11 18 39 45 -6 20.38 -2.38
10 Derry City 22 6 3 13 15 41 44 -3 18.27 -3.27
11 Coleraine 22 6 3 13 15 35 62 -27 16.54 -1.54
12 Cliftonville 22 2 0 20 4 22 75 -53 11.40 -7.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 29 21.52 +7.48
2 Glentoran 32 28.79 +3.21
3 Glenavon 35 32.25 +2.75
4 Ballymena United 23 20.88 +2.12
5 Crusaders 23 21.13 +1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 4 11.40 -7.40
2 Derry City 15 18.27 -3.27
3 Ards 19 21.98 -2.98
4 Bangor 18 20.38 -2.38
5 Coleraine 15 16.54 -1.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 4 Mar 19 – Apr 16 1 in 75
2 Derry City 3 Jan 9 – Jan 23 1 in 62
3 Glentoran 6 Nov 28 – Dec 26 1 in 42
4 Glenavon 7 Nov 28 – Jan 2 1 in 35
5 Lisburn Distillery 5 Mar 5 – Apr 9 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 14 Jan 16 – Apr 23 1 in 226
2 Bangor 6 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 152
3 Coleraine 5 Dec 26 – Jan 23 1 in 45
4 Ards 4 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 42
5 Glenavon 2 Apr 19 – Apr 20 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 6 Mar 19 – Apr 21 1 in 102
2 Derry City 5 Dec 26 – Jan 23 1 in 77
3 Lisburn Distillery 5 Dec 5 – Dec 26 1 in 20
4 Crusaders 5 Dec 25 – Jan 16 1 in 16
5 Portadown 5 Feb 6 – Mar 12 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 7 Jan 9 – Mar 5 1 in 56
2 Bangor 6 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 19
3 Linfield 3 Jan 9 – Jan 23 1 in 12
4 Cliftonville 14 Jan 16 – Apr 23 1 in 10
5 Derry City 7 Nov 28 – Jan 2 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glenavon 1583 35 -18 6 7.0 -1.0
Glentoran 1535 32 +8 7 6.8 +0.2
Linfield 1505 29 -23 6 7.1 -1.1
Lisburn Distillery 1443 29 +8 5 5.0 -0.0
Ballymena United 1428 23 +52 9 5.9 +3.1
Crusaders 1410 23 +60 9 5.6 +3.4
Portadown 1380 22 -26 5 4.5 +0.5
Ards 1384 19 +21 5 4.0 +1.0
Bangor 1326 18 -43 0 4.5 -4.5
Coleraine 1285 15 +12 6 3.4 +2.6
Derry City 1328 15 -6 4 4.5 -0.5
Cliftonville 1111 4 -32 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
4.26
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
3.16
1-1-0
2.37
Ballymena United
1-1-0
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.77
Bangor
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.73
—
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-2
3.54
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.57
Cliftonville
1-0-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.76
—
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.40
Coleraine
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
3.69
—
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.06
Crusaders
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
3.42
—
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
1.62
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.45
Derry City
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.88
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
2.35
—
1-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
1.45
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.23
Glenavon
1-0-1
4.38
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
4.61
—
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
4.20
2-0-0
3.95
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
4.21
0-1-1
2.22
—
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.73
Linfield
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.91
2-0-0
4.84
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.01
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
3.00
—
0-2-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.39
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
1.45
1-0-1
1.93
0-2-0
2.14
—
1-1-0
2.76
Portadown
0-1-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.88
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +6.0
Allowed 0.79 -6.1
Differential 0.94 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%3.41%5.30%1.52%1.89%1.89%16.29%
13.41%6.06%5.68%4.92%3.41%2.65%26.14%
25.30%5.68%5.30%2.65%2.65%2.65%24.24%
31.52%4.92%2.65%1.52%1.14%1.52%13.26%
41.89%3.41%2.65%1.14%1.52%0.38%10.98%
5+1.89%2.65%2.65%1.52%0.38%—9.09%
Total16.29%26.14%24.24%13.26%10.98%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 2.07 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.38
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
213.64%4.55%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.14 -0.45
SD 1.39 1.78 2.44
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%18.18%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.09 +0.14
SD 1.63 1.60 2.51
CV 0.73 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%—9.09%9.09%——22.73%
2——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%45.45%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.05 -0.27
SD 1.54 1.17 1.91
CV 0.87 0.57 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%—9.09%9.09%36.36%
14.55%——13.64%9.09%9.09%36.36%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%4.55%18.18%27.27%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 3.41 -2.41
SD 0.98 1.97 1.94
CV 0.98 0.58 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
2—9.09%——9.09%9.09%27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%18.18%18.18%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.82 -1.23
SD 1.26 1.65 2.00
CV 0.79 0.59 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.00 -0.05
SD 1.40 1.57 2.48
CV 0.71 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%18.18%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total13.64%9.09%50.00%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.00 -0.14
SD 1.86 1.11 2.46
CV 1.00 0.56 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
413.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
5+9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
Total40.91%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.27 +1.77
SD 1.84 1.35 2.35
CV 0.60 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
29.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%18.18%——4.55%4.55%31.82%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.41 +1.32
SD 1.52 1.33 1.84
CV 0.56 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—13.64%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 2.09 +0.77
SD 1.75 1.82 2.45
CV 0.61 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.73 +0.77
SD 1.50 1.39 1.51
CV 0.60 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
1—18.18%—9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——13.64%———13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.82 -0.23
SD 1.26 1.33 1.95
CV 0.79 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glenavon 1583 35 32.25 +2.75 82.0% 23 26 30 32 34 37 43
Glentoran 1535 32 28.79 +3.21 85.0% 21 23 26 29 31 35 40
Linfield 1505 29 28.09 +0.91 65.0% 19 22 26 28 31 33 35
Lisburn Distillery 1443 29 21.52 +7.48 98.0% 11 15 19 21 24 27 31
Ballymena United 1428 23 20.88 +2.12 76.0% 12 15 18 21 23 27 32
Crusaders 1410 23 21.13 +1.87 70.0% 13 15 18 21 24 28 33
Ards 1384 19 21.98 -2.98 26.0% 12 15 19 22 25 28 30
Portadown 1380 22 22.77 -0.77 52.0% 15 17 20 22 25 29 33
Derry City 1328 15 18.27 -3.27 24.0% 8 11 16 18 21 24 26
Bangor 1326 18 20.38 -2.38 38.0% 8 14 17 20 23 28 32
Coleraine 1285 15 16.54 -1.54 39.0% 8 10 14 17 19 23 25
Cliftonville 1111 4 11.40 -7.40 1.0% 4 6 9 11 13 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Slight Edge
46.21%16.67%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
136 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Glenavon, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.02 * Wild Swing: 6.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.65 * Way Off: 2.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.71 points
Some Luck
03.769
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Lisburn Distillery
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.28
2.01
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
94%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.85
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glenavon67.00%22.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%——————
Glentoran17.00%31.00%28.00%18.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Linfield12.00%32.00%24.00%15.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%—2.00%———
Lisburn Distillery—2.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%21.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%—
Ballymena United—3.00%4.00%6.00%15.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%3.00%—
Crusaders1.00%6.00%2.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%7.00%—
Portadown2.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%—
Ards——12.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
Bangor1.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%3.00%
Derry City——1.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%16.00%9.00%22.00%14.00%6.00%
Coleraine———2.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%38.00%10.00%
Cliftonville—————1.00%—1.00%1.00%3.00%14.00%80.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-11-28 Derry City W 2-035.1 1398 1327 56.65% 17.53% 25.83%+0.75 +10.3 2
1959-11-28 @ Ballymena United L 0-235.1 1327 1398 25.83% 17.53% 56.65%-0.75 -10.3 0
1959-11-28 Linfield W 3-257.9 1345 1494 27.80% 17.48% 54.72%-0.86 +9.3 2
1959-11-28 @ Bangor L 2-357.9 1494 1345 54.72% 17.48% 27.80%+0.86 -9.3 0
1959-11-28 Ards W 2-044.5 1243 1434 23.13% 17.32% 59.55%-1.17 +21.3 2
1959-11-28 @ Cliftonville L 0-244.5 1434 1243 59.55% 17.32% 23.13%+1.17 -21.3 0
1959-11-28 Glenavon L 0-637.6 1399 1493 34.72% 17.62% 47.66%-0.46 -37.0 0
1959-11-28 @ Coleraine W 6-037.6 1493 1399 47.66% 17.62% 34.72%+0.46 +37.0 2
1959-11-28 Glentoran L 1-245.5 1338 1440 33.60% 17.60% 48.80%-0.52 -6.5 0
1959-11-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-145.5 1440 1338 48.80% 17.60% 33.60%+0.52 +6.5 2
1959-11-28 Crusaders W 4-246.5 1425 1382 53.35% 17.60% 29.06%+0.55 +8.9 2
1959-11-28 @ Portadown L 2-446.5 1382 1425 29.06% 17.60% 53.35%-0.55 -8.9 0
1959-12-05 Ballymena United D 1-158.0 1413 1408 48.40% 17.66% 33.94%+0.27 -0.6 1
1959-12-05 @ Ards D 1-158.0 1408 1413 33.94% 17.66% 48.40%-0.27 +0.6 3
1959-12-05 Portadown L 2-448.8 1362 1434 37.71% 17.65% 44.64%-0.30 -11.1 0
1959-12-05 @ Coleraine W 4-248.8 1434 1362 44.64% 17.65% 37.71%+0.30 +11.0 4
1959-12-05 Lisburn Distillery D 1-155.8 1373 1331 53.27% 17.60% 29.13%+0.54 -1.1 1
1959-12-05 @ Crusaders D 1-155.8 1331 1373 29.13% 17.60% 53.27%-0.54 +1.1 1
1959-12-05 Cliftonville W 5-131.3 1530 1265 73.36% 16.47% 10.17%+2.19 +6.9 4
1959-12-05 @ Glenavon L 1-531.3 1265 1530 10.17% 16.47% 73.36%-2.19 -6.9 2
1959-12-05 Bangor W 3-140.1 1446 1354 59.07% 17.46% 23.47%+0.91 +8.2 4
1959-12-05 @ Glentoran L 1-340.1 1354 1446 23.47% 17.46% 59.07%-0.91 -8.2 2
1959-12-05 Derry City W 2-033.6 1484 1317 66.33% 17.12% 16.55%+1.46 +6.9 2
1959-12-05 @ Linfield L 0-233.6 1317 1484 16.55% 17.12% 66.33%-1.46 -6.9 0
1959-12-12 Glenavon L 0-437.6 1409 1537 30.33% 17.54% 52.13%-0.71 -22.5 3
1959-12-12 @ Ballymena United W 4-037.6 1537 1409 52.13% 17.54% 30.33%+0.71 +22.5 6
1959-12-12 Cliftonville W 3-245.0 1346 1258 58.67% 17.47% 23.86%+0.88 +4.6 4
1959-12-12 @ Bangor L 2-345.0 1258 1346 23.86% 17.47% 58.67%-0.88 -4.6 2
1959-12-12 Glentoran L 1-344.7 1372 1455 36.28% 17.64% 46.08%-0.37 -12.0 1
1959-12-12 @ Crusaders W 3-144.7 1455 1372 46.08% 17.64% 36.28%+0.37 +12.0 6
1959-12-12 Ards L 1-439.1 1310 1412 33.66% 17.61% 48.74%-0.52 -15.9 0
1959-12-12 @ Derry City W 4-139.1 1412 1310 48.74% 17.61% 33.66%+0.52 +15.9 3
1959-12-12 Coleraine W 5-243.5 1332 1351 45.24% 17.67% 37.09%+0.10 +14.9 3
1959-12-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-543.5 1351 1332 37.09% 17.67% 45.24%-0.10 -14.9 0
1959-12-12 Linfield L 1-349.6 1445 1491 41.35% 17.67% 40.98%-0.11 -13.3 4
1959-12-12 @ Portadown W 3-149.6 1491 1445 40.98% 17.67% 41.35%+0.11 +13.3 4
1959-12-19 Lisburn Distillery L 4-563.5 1428 1347 57.83% 17.50% 24.68%+0.83 -9.5 3
1959-12-19 @ Ards W 5-463.5 1347 1428 24.68% 17.50% 57.83%-0.83 +9.5 5
1959-12-19 Portadown L 0-234.1 1253 1432 24.43% 17.37% 58.20%-1.08 -9.8 2
1959-12-19 @ Cliftonville W 2-034.1 1432 1253 58.20% 17.37% 24.43%+1.08 +9.8 6
1959-12-19 Bangor L 2-447.2 1294 1351 39.91% 17.67% 42.42%-0.18 -11.6 0
1959-12-19 @ Derry City W 4-247.2 1351 1294 42.42% 17.67% 39.91%+0.18 +11.6 6
1959-12-19 Crusaders W 5-031.5 1559 1360 68.88% 16.94% 14.18%+1.70 +14.0 8
1959-12-19 @ Glenavon L 0-531.5 1360 1559 14.18% 16.94% 68.88%-1.70 -14.0 1
1959-12-19 Coleraine W 4-136.3 1467 1336 63.01% 17.30% 19.68%+1.19 +9.9 8
1959-12-19 @ Glentoran L 1-436.3 1336 1467 19.68% 17.30% 63.01%-1.19 -9.9 0
1959-12-19 Ballymena United W 4-139.1 1504 1386 61.80% 17.36% 20.84%+1.10 +10.5 6
1959-12-19 @ Linfield L 1-439.1 1386 1504 20.84% 17.36% 61.80%-1.10 -10.5 3
1959-12-25 Bangor L 1-446.5 1418 1362 54.98% 17.57% 27.46%+0.65 -24.2 3
1959-12-25 @ Ards W 4-146.5 1362 1418 27.46% 17.57% 54.98%-0.65 +24.2 8
1959-12-25 Derry City W 1-038.3 1326 1283 53.41% 17.60% 29.00%+0.55 +6.0 2
1959-12-25 @ Coleraine L 0-138.3 1283 1326 29.00% 17.60% 53.41%-0.55 -6.1 0
1959-12-25 Ballymena United W 3-250.8 1346 1376 43.72% 17.68% 38.60%+0.02 +6.9 3
1959-12-25 @ Crusaders L 2-350.8 1376 1346 38.60% 17.68% 43.72%-0.02 -6.9 3
1959-12-25 Linfield W 7-351.4 1476 1515 42.45% 17.68% 39.87%-0.05 +18.3 10
1959-12-25 @ Glentoran L 3-751.4 1515 1476 39.87% 17.68% 42.45%+0.05 -18.3 6
1959-12-25 Cliftonville W 5-238.0 1357 1243 61.31% 17.38% 21.31%+1.07 +9.2 7
1959-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-538.0 1243 1357 21.31% 17.38% 61.31%-1.07 -9.2 2
1959-12-25 Glenavon L 0-440.0 1441 1573 29.85% 17.53% 52.62%-0.74 -22.2 6
1959-12-25 @ Portadown W 4-040.0 1573 1441 52.62% 17.53% 29.85%+0.74 +22.2 10
1959-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.4 1369 1366 48.22% 17.66% 34.12%+0.26 -15.2 3
1959-12-26 @ Ballymena United W 3-146.4 1366 1369 34.12% 17.66% 48.22%-0.26 +15.2 9
1959-12-26 Crusaders D 2-260.7 1386 1353 52.14% 17.62% 30.24%+0.48 -0.7 9
1959-12-26 @ Bangor D 2-260.7 1353 1386 30.24% 17.62% 52.14%-0.48 +0.7 4
1959-12-26 Glentoran L 0-527.5 1234 1495 16.72% 16.94% 66.33%-1.69 -16.3 2
1959-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 5-027.5 1495 1234 66.33% 16.94% 16.72%+1.69 +16.3 12
1959-12-26 Portadown D 2-260.1 1277 1419 28.53% 17.50% 53.97%-0.82 +0.8 1
1959-12-26 @ Derry City D 2-260.1 1419 1277 53.97% 17.50% 28.53%+0.82 -0.8 7
1959-12-26 Ards W 4-034.2 1595 1394 69.06% 16.92% 14.02%+1.71 +11.2 12
1959-12-26 @ Glenavon L 0-434.2 1394 1595 14.02% 16.92% 69.06%-1.71 -11.2 3
1959-12-26 Coleraine W 2-141.5 1497 1332 66.11% 17.14% 16.76%+1.44 +3.5 8
1959-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-241.5 1332 1497 16.76% 17.14% 66.11%-1.44 -3.5 2
1960-01-02 Linfield L 2-546.1 1383 1500 31.66% 17.57% 50.77%-0.63 -13.0 3
1960-01-02 @ Ards W 5-246.1 1500 1383 50.77% 17.57% 31.66%+0.63 +13.1 10
1960-01-02 Ballymena United L 2-545.7 1329 1354 44.34% 17.68% 37.98%+0.05 -17.3 2
1960-01-02 @ Coleraine W 5-245.7 1354 1329 37.98% 17.68% 44.34%-0.05 +17.3 5
1960-01-02 Cliftonville W 4-133.2 1354 1218 63.56% 17.28% 19.17%+1.24 +9.7 6
1960-01-02 @ Crusaders L 1-433.2 1218 1354 19.17% 17.28% 63.56%-1.24 -9.7 2
1960-01-02 Derry City D 2-261.9 1511 1278 71.36% 16.71% 11.94%+1.95 -2.1 13
1960-01-02 @ Glentoran D 2-261.9 1278 1511 11.94% 16.71% 71.36%-1.95 +2.1 2
1960-01-02 Glenavon L 3-552.4 1381 1607 19.75% 17.15% 63.10%-1.43 -5.9 9
1960-01-02 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-352.4 1607 1381 63.10% 17.15% 19.75%+1.43 +5.9 14
1960-01-02 Bangor W 3-035.0 1418 1386 52.08% 17.62% 30.31%+0.47 +17.2 9
1960-01-02 @ Portadown L 0-335.0 1386 1418 30.31% 17.62% 52.08%-0.47 -17.2 9
1960-01-09 Portadown W 2-042.1 1370 1436 38.57% 17.66% 43.77%-0.25 +16.1 5
1960-01-09 @ Ards L 0-242.1 1436 1370 43.77% 17.66% 38.57%+0.25 -16.2 9
1960-01-09 Glentoran W 5-358.8 1371 1509 29.09% 17.52% 53.39%-0.78 +14.1 7
1960-01-09 @ Ballymena United L 3-558.8 1509 1371 53.39% 17.52% 29.09%+0.78 -14.1 13
1960-01-09 Coleraine W 1-043.8 1208 1311 33.47% 17.60% 48.93%-0.53 +9.4 4
1960-01-09 @ Cliftonville L 0-143.8 1311 1208 48.93% 17.60% 33.47%+0.53 -9.4 2
1960-01-09 Derry City L 2-462.7 1612 1280 76.91% 15.90% 7.19%+2.68 -21.4 14
1960-01-09 @ Glenavon W 4-262.7 1280 1612 7.19% 15.90% 76.91%-2.68 +21.4 4
1960-01-09 Crusaders D 1-159.6 1513 1364 64.79% 17.21% 18.00%+1.33 -2.2 11
1960-01-09 @ Linfield D 1-159.6 1364 1513 18.00% 17.21% 64.79%-1.33 +2.2 7
1960-01-09 Bangor D 0-053.5 1375 1368 48.69% 17.65% 33.66%+0.28 -0.7 10
1960-01-09 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-053.5 1368 1375 33.66% 17.65% 48.69%-0.28 +0.7 10
1960-01-16 Ballymena United W 1-042.4 1369 1385 45.62% 17.67% 36.70%+0.12 +7.4 12
1960-01-16 @ Bangor L 0-142.4 1385 1369 36.70% 17.67% 45.62%-0.12 -7.4 7
1960-01-16 Coleraine W 5-029.8 1366 1302 55.89% 17.55% 26.56%+0.70 +24.8 9
1960-01-16 @ Crusaders L 0-529.8 1302 1366 26.56% 17.55% 55.89%-0.70 -24.8 2
1960-01-16 Cliftonville W 5-028.2 1301 1217 58.13% 17.49% 24.38%+0.85 +23.0 6
1960-01-16 @ Derry City L 0-528.2 1217 1301 24.38% 17.49% 58.13%-0.85 -23.0 4
1960-01-16 Ards W 5-137.3 1495 1386 60.84% 17.40% 21.76%+1.03 +14.0 15
1960-01-16 @ Glentoran L 1-537.3 1386 1495 21.76% 17.40% 60.84%-1.03 -14.0 5
1960-01-16 Glenavon L 2-555.3 1511 1591 36.58% 17.64% 45.77%-0.36 -14.8 11
1960-01-16 @ Linfield W 5-255.3 1591 1511 45.77% 17.64% 36.58%+0.36 +14.8 16
1960-01-16 Lisburn Distillery D 2-261.7 1419 1374 53.63% 17.59% 28.78%+0.57 -0.8 10
1960-01-16 @ Portadown D 2-261.7 1374 1419 28.78% 17.59% 53.63%-0.57 +0.8 11
1960-01-23 Glenavon L 1-344.5 1377 1606 19.41% 17.13% 63.46%-1.45 -6.9 12
1960-01-23 @ Bangor W 3-144.5 1606 1377 63.46% 17.13% 19.41%+1.45 +6.9 18
1960-01-23 Ballymena United L 0-428.4 1195 1378 23.93% 17.35% 58.72%-1.12 -18.3 4
1960-01-23 @ Cliftonville W 4-028.4 1378 1195 58.72% 17.35% 23.93%+1.12 +18.3 9
1960-01-23 Ards L 1-341.2 1277 1372 34.57% 17.62% 47.81%-0.47 -11.5 2
1960-01-23 @ Coleraine W 3-141.2 1372 1277 47.81% 17.62% 34.57%+0.47 +11.5 7
1960-01-23 Crusaders W 5-246.0 1324 1391 38.45% 17.66% 43.89%-0.26 +17.2 8
1960-01-23 @ Derry City L 2-546.0 1391 1324 43.89% 17.66% 38.45%+0.26 -17.2 9
1960-01-23 Lisburn Distillery D 3-368.2 1496 1375 62.09% 17.35% 20.57%+1.12 -1.2 12
1960-01-23 @ Linfield D 3-368.2 1375 1496 20.57% 17.35% 62.09%-1.12 +1.2 12
1960-01-23 Glentoran L 1-347.4 1419 1509 35.21% 17.63% 47.17%-0.43 -11.7 10
1960-01-23 @ Portadown W 3-147.4 1509 1419 47.17% 17.63% 35.21%+0.43 +11.7 17
1960-02-06 Crusaders W 4-139.6 1384 1373 49.15% 17.65% 33.20%+0.31 +15.7 9
1960-02-06 @ Ards L 1-439.6 1373 1384 33.20% 17.65% 49.15%-0.31 -15.7 9
1960-02-06 Portadown D 2-261.9 1396 1407 46.31% 17.67% 36.02%+0.15 -0.3 10
1960-02-06 @ Ballymena United D 2-261.9 1407 1396 36.02% 17.67% 46.31%-0.15 +0.3 11
1960-02-06 Linfield L 3-734.7 1176 1495 12.59% 16.54% 70.86%-2.11 -6.5 4
1960-02-06 @ Cliftonville W 7-334.7 1495 1176 70.86% 16.54% 12.59%+2.11 +6.5 14
1960-02-06 Bangor W 4-356.7 1266 1370 33.36% 17.60% 49.04%-0.53 +8.2 4
1960-02-06 @ Coleraine L 3-456.7 1370 1266 49.04% 17.60% 33.36%+0.53 -8.2 12
1960-02-06 Derry City W 3-248.1 1376 1341 52.40% 17.61% 29.99%+0.49 +5.6 14
1960-02-06 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-348.1 1341 1376 29.99% 17.61% 52.40%-0.49 -5.6 8
1960-02-12 Bangor W 2-036.0 1502 1361 63.93% 17.26% 18.81%+1.27 +7.8 16
1960-02-12 @ Linfield L 0-236.0 1361 1502 18.81% 17.26% 63.93%-1.27 -7.8 12
1960-02-13 Cliftonville W 4-131.0 1399 1170 71.09% 16.73% 12.18%+1.92 +6.3 11
1960-02-13 @ Ards L 1-431.0 1170 1399 12.18% 16.73% 71.09%-1.92 -6.3 4
1960-02-13 Portadown D 1-156.8 1358 1407 40.86% 17.67% 41.47%-0.13 +0.0 10
1960-02-13 @ Crusaders D 1-156.8 1407 1358 41.47% 17.67% 40.86%+0.13 -0.0 12
1960-02-13 Ballymena United W 6-139.5 1336 1396 39.36% 17.66% 42.98%-0.21 +30.8 10
1960-02-13 @ Derry City L 1-639.5 1396 1336 42.98% 17.66% 39.36%+0.21 -30.8 10
1960-02-13 Coleraine W 4-241.5 1613 1274 77.19% 15.85% 6.97%+2.73 +2.3 20
1960-02-13 @ Glenavon L 2-441.5 1274 1613 6.97% 15.85% 77.19%-2.73 -2.3 4
1960-02-13 Lisburn Distillery L 1-257.8 1521 1382 63.78% 17.27% 18.96%+1.25 -11.4 17
1960-02-13 @ Glentoran W 2-157.8 1382 1521 18.96% 17.27% 63.78%-1.25 +11.4 16
1960-02-20 Glentoran D 2-263.5 1354 1509 27.01% 17.46% 55.53%-0.91 +0.9 13
1960-02-20 @ Bangor D 2-263.5 1509 1354 55.53% 17.46% 27.01%+0.91 -0.9 18
1960-02-20 Coleraine D 1-155.6 1407 1272 63.51% 17.28% 19.21%+1.23 -2.0 13
1960-02-20 @ Portadown D 1-155.6 1272 1407 19.21% 17.28% 63.51%-1.23 +2.0 5
1960-03-01 Crusaders L 2-355.4 1393 1358 52.46% 17.61% 29.93%+0.50 -9.0 16
1960-03-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-255.4 1358 1393 29.93% 17.61% 52.46%-0.50 +9.0 12
1960-03-02 Ards W 2-147.4 1365 1406 42.15% 17.67% 40.18%-0.07 +7.5 12
1960-03-02 @ Ballymena United L 1-247.4 1406 1365 40.18% 17.67% 42.15%+0.07 -7.5 11
1960-03-05 Derry City W 2-144.3 1398 1366 51.95% 17.62% 30.43%+0.47 +6.0 13
1960-03-05 @ Ards L 1-244.3 1366 1398 30.43% 17.62% 51.95%-0.47 -6.0 10
1960-03-05 Bangor L 1-336.8 1163 1355 23.09% 17.32% 59.60%-1.17 -8.1 4
1960-03-05 @ Cliftonville W 3-136.8 1355 1163 59.60% 17.32% 23.09%+1.17 +8.1 15
1960-03-05 Lisburn Distillery L 1-340.6 1274 1384 32.48% 17.59% 49.93%-0.58 -10.9 5
1960-03-05 @ Coleraine W 3-140.6 1384 1274 49.93% 17.59% 32.48%+0.58 +10.9 18
1960-03-05 Ballymena United L 1-457.6 1615 1372 71.96% 16.64% 11.40%+2.02 -31.6 20
1960-03-05 @ Glenavon W 4-157.6 1372 1615 11.40% 16.64% 71.96%-2.02 +31.6 14
1960-03-05 Crusaders W 3-033.3 1508 1367 64.05% 17.25% 18.70%+1.27 +11.2 20
1960-03-05 @ Glentoran L 0-333.3 1367 1508 18.70% 17.25% 64.05%-1.27 -11.2 12
1960-03-05 Portadown D 1-160.8 1509 1405 60.36% 17.41% 22.23%+1.00 -1.7 17
1960-03-05 @ Linfield D 1-160.8 1405 1509 22.23% 17.41% 60.36%-1.00 +1.7 14
1960-03-09 Glenavon L 0-132.7 1155 1583 7.23% 15.60% 77.17%-2.92 -1.6 4
1960-03-09 @ Cliftonville W 1-032.7 1583 1155 77.17% 15.60% 7.23%+2.92 +1.6 22
1960-03-12 Linfield L 2-450.8 1404 1508 33.42% 17.60% 48.98%-0.53 -10.0 14
1960-03-12 @ Ballymena United W 4-250.8 1508 1404 48.98% 17.60% 33.42%+0.53 +10.0 19
1960-03-12 Derry City D 3-364.9 1363 1360 48.11% 17.66% 34.23%+0.25 -0.4 16
1960-03-12 @ Bangor D 3-364.9 1360 1363 34.23% 17.66% 48.11%-0.25 +0.4 11
1960-03-12 Glentoran L 1-240.5 1263 1519 17.05% 16.97% 65.98%-1.66 -3.5 5
1960-03-12 @ Coleraine W 2-140.5 1519 1263 65.98% 16.97% 17.05%+1.66 +3.5 22
1960-03-12 Glenavon L 1-343.0 1355 1585 19.37% 17.13% 63.50%-1.46 -6.9 12
1960-03-12 @ Crusaders W 3-143.0 1585 1355 63.50% 17.13% 19.37%+1.46 +6.9 24
1960-03-12 Ards W 3-036.5 1395 1404 46.62% 17.67% 35.71%+0.17 +19.8 20
1960-03-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-336.5 1404 1395 35.71% 17.67% 46.62%-0.17 -19.8 13
1960-03-12 Cliftonville W 4-237.6 1407 1154 72.63% 16.56% 10.80%+2.10 +3.6 16
1960-03-12 @ Portadown L 2-437.6 1154 1407 10.80% 16.56% 72.63%-2.10 -3.6 4
1960-03-17 Linfield L 1-343.2 1361 1518 26.84% 17.45% 55.70%-0.92 -9.2 11
1960-03-17 @ Derry City W 3-143.2 1518 1361 55.70% 17.45% 26.84%+0.92 +9.2 21
1960-03-19 Crusaders L 1-250.9 1394 1349 53.68% 17.59% 28.73%+0.57 -9.7 14
1960-03-19 @ Ballymena United W 2-150.9 1349 1394 28.73% 17.59% 53.68%-0.57 +9.7 14
1960-03-19 Ards W 5-138.9 1362 1384 44.80% 17.67% 37.52%+0.07 +22.5 18
1960-03-19 @ Bangor L 1-538.9 1384 1362 37.52% 17.67% 44.80%-0.07 -22.5 13
1960-03-19 Lisburn Distillery L 0-134.1 1150 1415 16.38% 16.92% 66.70%-1.72 -3.6 4
1960-03-19 @ Cliftonville W 1-034.1 1415 1150 66.70% 16.92% 16.38%+1.72 +3.6 22
1960-03-19 Coleraine L 1-251.0 1352 1259 59.11% 17.46% 23.44%+0.91 -10.6 11
1960-03-19 @ Derry City W 2-151.0 1259 1352 23.44% 17.46% 59.11%-0.91 +10.6 7
1960-03-19 Portadown W 1-043.2 1592 1411 67.52% 17.04% 15.44%+1.57 +3.4 26
1960-03-19 @ Glenavon L 0-143.2 1411 1592 15.44% 17.04% 67.52%-1.57 -3.4 16
1960-03-19 Glentoran W 3-259.0 1527 1523 48.33% 17.66% 34.01%+0.26 +6.2 23
1960-03-19 @ Linfield L 2-359.0 1523 1527 34.01% 17.66% 48.33%-0.26 -6.2 22
1960-03-26 Glentoran D 0-065.0 1595 1517 57.59% 17.50% 24.91%+0.81 -1.6 27
1960-03-26 @ Glenavon D 0-065.0 1517 1595 24.91% 17.50% 57.59%-0.81 +1.6 23
1960-04-02 Lisburn Distillery L 0-241.8 1385 1419 43.10% 17.68% 39.22%-0.02 -16.0 18
1960-04-02 @ Bangor W 2-041.8 1419 1385 39.22% 17.68% 43.10%+0.02 +15.9 24
1960-04-02 Cliftonville W 4-347.1 1270 1146 62.31% 17.34% 20.36%+1.14 +3.9 9
1960-04-02 @ Coleraine L 3-447.1 1146 1270 20.36% 17.34% 62.31%-1.14 -3.9 4
1960-04-02 Glenavon L 0-237.8 1341 1594 17.36% 16.99% 65.64%-1.63 -7.2 11
1960-04-02 @ Derry City W 2-037.8 1594 1341 65.64% 16.99% 17.36%+1.63 +7.2 29
1960-04-02 Ballymena United W 2-037.4 1518 1384 63.34% 17.29% 19.37%+1.22 +8.0 25
1960-04-02 @ Glentoran L 0-237.4 1384 1518 19.37% 17.29% 63.34%-1.22 -8.0 14
1960-04-02 Ards D 0-054.0 1407 1362 53.67% 17.59% 28.74%+0.57 -1.2 17
1960-04-02 @ Portadown D 0-054.0 1362 1407 28.74% 17.59% 53.67%-0.57 +1.2 14
1960-04-09 Glentoran L 1-246.1 1363 1526 26.10% 17.43% 56.47%-0.97 -5.2 14
1960-04-09 @ Ards W 2-146.1 1526 1363 56.47% 17.43% 26.10%+0.97 +5.2 27
1960-04-09 Bangor W 2-037.8 1376 1369 48.81% 17.65% 33.53%+0.29 +12.9 16
1960-04-09 @ Ballymena United L 0-237.8 1369 1376 33.53% 17.65% 48.81%-0.29 -12.9 18
1960-04-09 Derry City L 0-427.8 1143 1334 23.10% 17.32% 59.58%-1.17 -17.7 4
1960-04-09 @ Cliftonville W 4-027.8 1334 1143 59.58% 17.32% 23.10%+1.17 +17.7 13
1960-04-09 Crusaders W 3-252.1 1274 1358 35.96% 17.64% 46.40%-0.39 +8.0 11
1960-04-09 @ Coleraine L 2-352.1 1358 1274 46.40% 17.64% 35.96%+0.39 -8.0 14
1960-04-09 Linfield W 2-154.8 1601 1533 56.35% 17.53% 26.11%+0.73 +5.2 31
1960-04-09 @ Glenavon L 1-254.8 1533 1601 26.11% 17.53% 56.35%-0.73 -5.2 23
1960-04-09 Portadown W 4-140.7 1435 1406 51.58% 17.62% 30.80%+0.44 +14.7 26
1960-04-09 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-440.7 1406 1435 30.80% 17.62% 51.58%-0.44 -14.7 17
1960-04-16 Coleraine L 1-250.6 1356 1282 57.09% 17.52% 25.40%+0.78 -10.3 18
1960-04-16 @ Bangor W 2-150.6 1282 1356 25.40% 17.52% 57.09%-0.78 +10.3 13
1960-04-16 Ards D 2-260.2 1350 1358 46.78% 17.67% 35.56%+0.18 -0.4 15
1960-04-16 @ Crusaders D 2-260.2 1358 1350 35.56% 17.67% 46.78%-0.18 +0.4 15
1960-04-16 Lisburn Distillery W 1-046.8 1351 1449 34.17% 17.61% 48.22%-0.49 +9.3 15
1960-04-16 @ Derry City L 0-146.8 1449 1351 48.22% 17.61% 34.17%+0.49 -9.3 26
1960-04-16 Glenavon L 3-466.8 1532 1606 37.33% 17.65% 45.02%-0.32 -6.5 27
1960-04-16 @ Glentoran W 4-366.8 1606 1532 45.02% 17.65% 37.33%+0.32 +6.5 33
1960-04-16 Cliftonville W 7-126.3 1528 1125 79.79% 15.22% 4.99%+3.20 +4.9 25
1960-04-16 @ Linfield L 1-726.3 1125 1528 4.99% 15.22% 79.79%-3.20 -4.9 4
1960-04-16 Ballymena United L 1-542.7 1391 1389 48.05% 17.66% 34.29%+0.25 -27.7 17
1960-04-16 @ Portadown W 5-142.7 1389 1391 34.29% 17.66% 48.05%-0.25 +27.7 18
1960-04-19 Glenavon W 2-053.6 1358 1613 17.21% 16.98% 65.80%-1.64 +23.6 17
1960-04-19 @ Ards L 0-253.6 1613 1358 65.80% 16.98% 17.21%+1.64 -23.5 33
1960-04-19 Linfield D 1-158.2 1292 1533 18.38% 17.06% 64.56%-1.54 +2.1 14
1960-04-19 @ Coleraine D 1-158.2 1533 1292 64.56% 17.06% 18.38%+1.54 -2.1 26
1960-04-19 Bangor W 1-040.7 1350 1346 48.36% 17.66% 33.98%+0.26 +6.9 17
1960-04-19 @ Crusaders L 0-140.7 1346 1350 33.98% 17.66% 48.36%-0.26 -6.9 18
1960-04-19 Cliftonville W 3-131.5 1525 1120 79.86% 15.20% 4.93%+3.22 +1.8 29
1960-04-19 @ Glentoran L 1-331.5 1120 1525 4.93% 15.20% 79.86%-3.22 -1.8 4
1960-04-19 Ballymena United L 1-252.7 1440 1417 50.85% 17.63% 31.52%+0.40 -9.2 26
1960-04-19 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.7 1417 1440 31.52% 17.63% 50.85%-0.40 +9.2 20
1960-04-19 Derry City W 2-144.8 1363 1361 48.17% 17.66% 34.17%+0.25 +6.6 19
1960-04-19 @ Portadown L 1-244.8 1361 1363 34.17% 17.66% 48.17%-0.25 -6.6 15
1960-04-20 Portadown L 1-247.4 1339 1370 43.47% 17.68% 38.85%+0.00 -8.0 18
1960-04-20 @ Bangor W 2-147.4 1370 1339 38.85% 17.68% 43.47%+0.00 +8.0 21
1960-04-20 Crusaders L 0-134.4 1118 1357 18.57% 17.08% 64.35%-1.52 -4.1 4
1960-04-20 @ Cliftonville W 1-034.4 1357 1118 64.35% 17.08% 18.57%+1.52 +4.1 19
1960-04-20 Glentoran L 0-238.4 1354 1527 25.07% 17.39% 57.53%-1.04 -10.0 15
1960-04-20 @ Derry City W 2-038.4 1527 1354 57.53% 17.39% 25.07%+1.04 +10.1 31
1960-04-20 Lisburn Distillery L 1-262.6 1589 1431 65.57% 17.17% 17.26%+1.40 -11.8 33
1960-04-20 @ Glenavon W 2-162.6 1431 1589 17.26% 17.17% 65.57%-1.40 +11.8 28
1960-04-20 Ards W 2-037.3 1531 1382 64.74% 17.22% 18.04%+1.33 +7.5 28
1960-04-20 @ Linfield L 0-237.3 1382 1531 18.04% 17.22% 64.74%-1.33 -7.5 17
1960-04-21 Coleraine D 4-468.0 1426 1294 63.17% 17.30% 19.53%+1.21 -1.1 21
1960-04-21 @ Ballymena United D 4-468.0 1294 1426 19.53% 17.30% 63.17%-1.21 +1.1 15
1960-04-21 Linfield W 5-148.8 1361 1538 24.56% 17.38% 58.06%-1.07 +32.9 21
1960-04-21 @ Crusaders L 1-548.8 1538 1361 58.06% 17.38% 24.56%+1.07 -32.9 28
1960-04-23 Coleraine W 2-034.1 1374 1295 57.63% 17.50% 24.87%+0.81 +10.0 19
1960-04-23 @ Ards L 0-234.1 1295 1374 24.87% 17.50% 57.63%-0.81 -10.0 15
1960-04-23 Cliftonville W 3-132.1 1425 1114 75.86% 16.09% 8.05%+2.52 +3.0 23
1960-04-23 @ Ballymena United L 1-332.1 1114 1425 8.05% 16.09% 75.86%-2.52 -3.0 4
1960-04-23 Derry City W 3-033.1 1394 1344 54.18% 17.58% 28.24%+0.60 +16.2 23
1960-04-23 @ Crusaders L 0-333.1 1344 1394 28.24% 17.58% 54.18%-0.60 -16.2 15
1960-04-23 Bangor W 5-240.4 1577 1331 72.22% 16.61% 11.17%+2.05 +5.1 35
1960-04-23 @ Glenavon L 2-540.4 1331 1577 11.17% 16.61% 72.22%-2.05 -5.0 18
1960-04-23 Portadown D 1-160.9 1537 1378 65.61% 17.17% 17.22%+1.40 -2.2 32
1960-04-23 @ Glentoran D 1-160.9 1378 1537 17.22% 17.17% 65.61%-1.40 +2.2 22
1960-04-23 Linfield D 4-473.8 1443 1505 39.02% 17.66% 43.32%-0.23 +0.1 29
1960-04-23 @ Lisburn Distillery D 4-473.8 1505 1443 43.32% 17.66% 39.02%+0.23 -0.1 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-01-09 7.19% Derry City 1280 4 @ Glenavon 1612 2
2 1960-03-05 11.40% Ballymena United 1372 4 @ Glenavon 1615 1
3 1960-04-19 17.21% @ Ards 1358 2 Glenavon 1613 0
4 1960-04-20 17.26% Lisburn Distillery 1431 2 @ Glenavon 1589 1
5 1960-02-13 18.96% Lisburn Distillery 1382 2 @ Glentoran 1521 1
6 1959-11-28 23.13% @ Cliftonville 1243 2 Ards 1434 0
7 1960-03-19 23.44% Coleraine 1259 2 @ Derry City 1352 1
8 1960-04-21 24.56% @ Crusaders 1361 5 Linfield 1538 1
9 1959-12-19 24.68% Lisburn Distillery 1347 5 @ Ards 1428 4
10 1960-04-16 25.40% Coleraine 1282 2 @ Bangor 1356 1
11 1959-12-25 27.46% Bangor 1362 4 @ Ards 1418 1
12 1959-11-28 27.80% @ Bangor 1345 3 Linfield 1494 2
13 1960-03-19 28.73% Crusaders 1349 2 @ Ballymena United 1394 1
14 1960-01-09 29.09% @ Ballymena United 1371 5 Glentoran 1509 3
15 1960-03-01 29.93% Crusaders 1358 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1393 2
16 1960-04-19 31.52% Ballymena United 1417 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1440 1
17 1960-02-06 33.36% @ Coleraine 1266 4 Bangor 1370 3
18 1960-01-09 33.47% @ Cliftonville 1208 1 Coleraine 1311 0
19 1959-12-26 34.12% Lisburn Distillery 1366 3 @ Ballymena United 1369 1
20 1960-04-16 34.17% @ Derry City 1351 1 Lisburn Distillery 1449 0
21 1960-04-16 34.29% Ballymena United 1389 5 @ Portadown 1391 1
22 1960-04-09 35.96% @ Coleraine 1274 3 Crusaders 1358 2
23 1960-01-02 37.98% Ballymena United 1354 5 @ Coleraine 1329 2
24 1960-01-23 38.45% @ Derry City 1324 5 Crusaders 1391 2
25 1960-01-09 38.57% @ Ards 1370 2 Portadown 1436 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-11-28 36.98 Glenavon 6 1493 47.66% @ Coleraine 0 1399 34.72% 17.62%
2 1960-04-21 32.93 @ Crusaders 5 1361 24.56% Linfield 1 1538 58.06% 17.38%
3 1960-03-05 31.63 Ballymena United 4 1372 11.40% @ Glenavon 1 1615 71.96% 16.64%
4 1960-02-13 30.80 @ Derry City 6 1336 39.36% Ballymena United 1 1396 42.98% 17.66%
5 1960-04-16 27.69 Ballymena United 5 1389 34.29% @ Portadown 1 1391 48.05% 17.66%
6 1960-01-16 24.76 @ Crusaders 5 1366 55.89% Coleraine 0 1302 26.56% 17.55%
7 1959-12-25 24.24 Bangor 4 1362 27.46% @ Ards 1 1418 54.98% 17.57%
8 1960-04-19 23.55 @ Ards 2 1358 17.21% Glenavon 0 1613 65.80% 16.98%
9 1960-01-16 22.96 @ Derry City 5 1301 58.13% Cliftonville 0 1217 24.38% 17.49%
10 1959-12-12 22.50 Glenavon 4 1537 52.13% @ Ballymena United 0 1409 30.33% 17.54%
11 1960-03-19 22.47 @ Bangor 5 1362 44.80% Ards 1 1384 37.52% 17.67%
12 1959-12-25 22.20 Glenavon 4 1573 52.62% @ Portadown 0 1441 29.85% 17.53%
13 1960-01-09 21.38 Derry City 4 1280 7.19% @ Glenavon 2 1612 76.91% 15.90%
14 1959-11-28 21.34 @ Cliftonville 2 1243 23.13% Ards 0 1434 59.55% 17.32%
15 1960-03-12 19.81 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1395 46.62% Ards 0 1404 35.71% 17.67%
16 1959-12-25 18.31 @ Glentoran 7 1476 42.45% Linfield 3 1515 39.87% 17.68%
17 1960-01-23 18.28 Ballymena United 4 1378 58.72% @ Cliftonville 0 1195 23.93% 17.35%
18 1960-04-09 17.72 Derry City 4 1334 59.58% @ Cliftonville 0 1143 23.10% 17.32%
19 1960-01-02 17.33 Ballymena United 5 1354 37.98% @ Coleraine 2 1329 44.34% 17.68%
20 1960-01-02 17.24 @ Portadown 3 1418 52.08% Bangor 0 1386 30.31% 17.62%
21 1960-01-23 17.17 @ Derry City 5 1324 38.45% Crusaders 2 1391 43.89% 17.66%
22 1959-12-26 16.27 Glentoran 5 1495 66.33% @ Cliftonville 0 1234 16.72% 16.94%
23 1960-04-23 16.22 @ Crusaders 3 1394 54.18% Derry City 0 1344 28.24% 17.58%
24 1960-01-09 16.15 @ Ards 2 1370 38.57% Portadown 0 1436 43.77% 17.66%
25 1960-04-02 15.95 Lisburn Distillery 2 1419 39.22% @ Bangor 0 1385 43.10% 17.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-04-23 73.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1443 39.02% Linfield 4 1505 43.32% 17.66%
2 1960-01-23 68.2 @ Linfield 3 1496 62.09% Lisburn Distillery 3 1375 20.57% 17.35%
3 1960-04-21 68.0 @ Ballymena United 4 1426 63.17% Coleraine 4 1294 19.53% 17.30%
4 1960-04-16 66.8 Glenavon 4 1606 45.02% @ Glentoran 3 1532 37.33% 17.65%
5 1960-03-26 65.0 @ Glenavon 0 1595 57.59% Glentoran 0 1517 24.91% 17.50%
6 1960-03-12 64.9 @ Bangor 3 1363 48.11% Derry City 3 1360 34.23% 17.66%
7 1959-12-19 63.5 Lisburn Distillery 5 1347 24.68% @ Ards 4 1428 57.83% 17.50%
8 1960-02-20 63.5 @ Bangor 2 1354 27.01% Glentoran 2 1509 55.53% 17.46%
9 1960-01-09 62.7 Derry City 4 1280 7.19% @ Glenavon 2 1612 76.91% 15.90%
10 1960-04-20 62.6 Lisburn Distillery 2 1431 17.26% @ Glenavon 1 1589 65.57% 17.17%
11 1960-01-02 61.9 @ Glentoran 2 1511 71.36% Derry City 2 1278 11.94% 16.71%
12 1960-02-06 61.9 @ Ballymena United 2 1396 46.31% Portadown 2 1407 36.02% 17.67%
13 1960-01-16 61.7 @ Portadown 2 1419 53.63% Lisburn Distillery 2 1374 28.78% 17.59%
14 1960-04-23 60.9 @ Glentoran 1 1537 65.61% Portadown 1 1378 17.22% 17.17%
15 1960-03-05 60.8 @ Linfield 1 1509 60.36% Portadown 1 1405 22.23% 17.41%
16 1959-12-26 60.7 @ Bangor 2 1386 52.14% Crusaders 2 1353 30.24% 17.62%
17 1960-04-16 60.2 @ Crusaders 2 1350 46.78% Ards 2 1358 35.56% 17.67%
18 1959-12-26 60.1 @ Derry City 2 1277 28.53% Portadown 2 1419 53.97% 17.50%
19 1960-01-09 59.6 @ Linfield 1 1513 64.79% Crusaders 1 1364 18.00% 17.21%
20 1960-03-19 59.0 @ Linfield 3 1527 48.33% Glentoran 2 1523 34.01% 17.66%
21 1960-01-09 58.8 @ Ballymena United 5 1371 29.09% Glentoran 3 1509 53.39% 17.52%
22 1960-04-19 58.2 @ Coleraine 1 1292 18.38% Linfield 1 1533 64.56% 17.06%
23 1959-12-05 58.0 @ Ards 1 1413 48.40% Ballymena United 1 1408 33.94% 17.66%
24 1959-11-28 57.9 @ Bangor 3 1345 27.80% Linfield 2 1494 54.72% 17.48%
25 1960-02-13 57.8 Lisburn Distillery 2 1382 18.96% @ Glentoran 1 1521 63.78% 17.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-04-16 26.3 @ Linfield 7 1528 79.79% Cliftonville 1 1125 4.99% 15.22%
2 1959-12-26 27.5 Glentoran 5 1495 66.33% @ Cliftonville 0 1234 16.72% 16.94%
3 1960-04-09 27.8 Derry City 4 1334 59.58% @ Cliftonville 0 1143 23.10% 17.32%
4 1960-01-16 28.2 @ Derry City 5 1301 58.13% Cliftonville 0 1217 24.38% 17.49%
5 1960-01-23 28.4 Ballymena United 4 1378 58.72% @ Cliftonville 0 1195 23.93% 17.35%
6 1960-01-16 29.8 @ Crusaders 5 1366 55.89% Coleraine 0 1302 26.56% 17.55%
7 1960-02-13 31.0 @ Ards 4 1399 71.09% Cliftonville 1 1170 12.18% 16.73%
8 1959-12-05 31.3 @ Glenavon 5 1530 73.36% Cliftonville 1 1265 10.17% 16.47%
9 1959-12-19 31.5 @ Glenavon 5 1559 68.88% Crusaders 0 1360 14.18% 16.94%
10 1960-04-19 31.5 @ Glentoran 3 1525 79.86% Cliftonville 1 1120 4.93% 15.20%
11 1960-04-23 32.1 @ Ballymena United 3 1425 75.86% Cliftonville 1 1114 8.05% 16.09%
12 1960-03-09 32.7 Glenavon 1 1583 77.17% @ Cliftonville 0 1155 7.23% 15.60%
13 1960-04-23 33.1 @ Crusaders 3 1394 54.18% Derry City 0 1344 28.24% 17.58%
14 1960-01-02 33.2 @ Crusaders 4 1354 63.56% Cliftonville 1 1218 19.17% 17.28%
15 1960-03-05 33.3 @ Glentoran 3 1508 64.05% Crusaders 0 1367 18.70% 17.25%
16 1959-12-05 33.6 @ Linfield 2 1484 66.33% Derry City 0 1317 16.55% 17.12%
17 1959-12-19 34.1 Portadown 2 1432 58.20% @ Cliftonville 0 1253 24.43% 17.37%
18 1960-03-19 34.1 Lisburn Distillery 1 1415 66.70% @ Cliftonville 0 1150 16.38% 16.92%
19 1960-04-23 34.1 @ Ards 2 1374 57.63% Coleraine 0 1295 24.87% 17.50%
20 1959-12-26 34.2 @ Glenavon 4 1595 69.06% Ards 0 1394 14.02% 16.92%
21 1960-04-20 34.4 Crusaders 1 1357 64.35% @ Cliftonville 0 1118 18.57% 17.08%
22 1960-02-06 34.7 Linfield 7 1495 70.86% @ Cliftonville 3 1176 12.59% 16.54%
23 1960-01-02 35.0 @ Portadown 3 1418 52.08% Bangor 0 1386 30.31% 17.62%
24 1959-11-28 35.1 @ Ballymena United 2 1398 56.65% Derry City 0 1327 25.83% 17.53%
25 1960-02-12 36.0 @ Linfield 2 1502 63.93% Bangor 0 1361 18.81% 17.26%