Home / Leagues / Northern Ireland / Irish League / 1958-59
‹ ›

1958-59 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

5.00 points above expected

34 points · 29.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

5.32 points below expected

5 points · 10.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 17 0 5 34 69 27 +42 29.00 +5.00
2 Glenavon 22 14 3 5 31 66 32 +34 30.42 +0.58
3 Glentoran 22 11 5 6 27 56 41 +15 25.52 +1.48
4 Portadown 22 12 2 8 26 60 35 +25 23.96 +2.04
5 Ballymena United 22 12 2 8 26 51 46 +5 22.94 +3.06
6 Crusaders 22 10 5 7 25 46 40 +6 20.06 +4.94
7 Ards 22 10 3 9 23 53 51 +2 26.80 -3.80
8 Coleraine 22 9 4 9 22 47 45 +2 22.89 -0.89
9 Lisburn Distillery 22 5 7 10 17 49 63 -14 16.00 +1.00
10 Bangor 22 6 2 14 14 30 47 -17 18.26 -4.26
11 Derry City 22 6 2 14 14 27 55 -28 17.83 -3.83
12 Cliftonville 22 2 1 19 5 20 92 -72 10.32 -5.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 34 29.00 +5.00
2 Crusaders 25 20.06 +4.94
3 Ballymena United 26 22.94 +3.06
4 Portadown 26 23.96 +2.04
5 Glentoran 27 25.52 +1.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 5 10.32 -5.32
2 Bangor 14 18.26 -4.26
3 Derry City 14 17.83 -3.83
4 Ards 23 26.80 -3.80
5 Coleraine 22 22.89 -0.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 6 Dec 13 – Jan 3 1 in 199
2 Crusaders 5 Mar 7 – Mar 31 1 in 99
3 Linfield 7 Feb 21 – Apr 4 1 in 53
4 Glentoran 6 Jan 3 – Feb 17 1 in 49
5 Ards 4 Feb 7 – Mar 4 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 11 Dec 26 – Mar 18 1 in 56
2 Glenavon 3 Jan 3 – Feb 7 1 in 36
3 Bangor 5 Dec 6 – Dec 26 1 in 28
4 Derry City 4 Dec 27 – Jan 24 1 in 21
5 Ards 3 Dec 26 – Jan 3 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 8 Nov 29 – Jan 3 1 in 118
2 Crusaders 6 Feb 21 – Mar 31 1 in 66
3 Ballymena United 6 Mar 25 – Apr 11 1 in 36
4 Glentoran 7 Dec 30 – Feb 17 1 in 14
5 Lisburn Distillery 3 Dec 26 – Dec 30 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 11 Dec 30 – Mar 28 1 in 19
2 Crusaders 5 Dec 6 – Dec 26 1 in 17
3 Cliftonville 16 Dec 26 – Apr 11 1 in 15
4 Glenavon 3 Jan 3 – Feb 7 1 in 11
5 Glentoran 4 Dec 6 – Dec 25 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1466 34 +21 8 7.2 +0.8
Glenavon 1463 31 +26 9 6.9 +2.1
Glentoran 1374 27 +1 6 6.0 +0.0
Ballymena United 1306 26 +3 7 5.6 +1.4
Portadown 1345 26 -25 2 5.2 -3.2
Crusaders 1277 25 -12 5 5.8 -0.8
Ards 1364 23 -22 5 6.2 -1.2
Coleraine 1302 22 +15 5 5.0 +0.0
Lisburn Distillery 1192 17 +26 7 4.3 +2.7
Derry City 1186 14 -9 3 2.9 +0.1
Bangor 1203 14 -27 1 3.2 -2.2
Cliftonville 1032 5 +3 2 1.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-1-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
3.61
0-0-2
4.01
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
4.27
1-0-1
3.38
Ballymena United
1-1-0
2.38
 —
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
4.63
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.56
Bangor
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
2.36
 —
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.09
Cliftonville
0-0-2
0.93
1-0-1
1.09
0-0-2
1.60
 —
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
0.83
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.25
Coleraine
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
4.56
 —
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.96
0-2-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.86
Crusaders
2-0-0
1.70
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
4.17
0-0-2
2.88
 —
0-0-2
3.04
0-1-1
1.58
1-1-0
2.15
2-0-0
1.68
0-2-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.18
Derry City
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.98
0-0-2
2.33
2-0-0
2.68
 —
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
3.24
1-0-1
1.81
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.90
1-0-1
4.07
1-1-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.24
 —
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
4.50
1-0-1
3.69
Glentoran
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.79
2-0-0
4.73
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
3.56
2-0-0
3.87
0-0-2
2.23
 —
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
4.07
0-1-1
3.18
Linfield
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.90
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
4.03
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.56
 —
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
3.36
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
1.45
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.82
0-2-0
1.97
0-2-0
2.24
2-0-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.29
 —
0-0-2
1.94
Portadown
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
3.77
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +5.1
Allowed 0.81 -4.3
Differential 0.95 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%3.03%4.17%3.79%2.65%3.79%18.18%
13.03%6.06%4.92%3.79%2.27%3.41%23.48%
24.17%4.92%2.27%5.68%1.52%1.14%19.70%
33.79%3.79%5.68%3.03%1.14%1.89%19.32%
42.65%2.27%1.52%1.14%1.52%—9.09%
5+3.79%3.41%1.14%1.89%——10.23%
Total18.18%23.48%19.70%19.32%9.09%10.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 2.17 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.87
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%13.64%40.91%
2—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
4———————
5+9.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%22.73%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.32 +0.09
SD 1.87 1.84 3.05
CV 0.78 0.79 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———9.09%4.55%18.18%
1———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
213.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—13.64%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%9.09%31.82%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 2.09 +0.23
SD 1.62 1.57 2.67
CV 0.70 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2———9.09%——9.09%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%13.64%31.82%31.82%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.14 -0.77
SD 1.62 1.28 2.31
CV 1.19 0.60 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%18.18%50.00%
1—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%27.27%
2————4.55%4.55%9.09%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total—18.18%9.09%18.18%9.09%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 4.18 -3.27
SD 1.19 2.44 2.83
CV 1.31 0.58 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%—9.09%13.64%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%——4.55%—4.55%13.64%
413.64%———4.55%—18.18%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%13.64%13.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.05 +0.09
SD 1.58 1.91 2.88
CV 0.74 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
313.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.82 +0.27
SD 1.31 1.44 2.12
CV 0.62 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%4.55%—13.64%9.09%4.55%36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.50 -1.27
SD 1.27 1.63 2.35
CV 1.03 0.65 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.45 +1.55
SD 2.05 1.37 2.67
CV 0.68 0.94 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%13.64%9.09%——27.27%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.86 +0.68
SD 1.82 1.61 2.42
CV 0.71 0.87 —
Max 8 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
14.55%—13.64%———18.18%
29.09%——4.55%——13.64%
39.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+9.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
Total40.91%13.64%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.14 1.23 +1.91
SD 2.01 1.23 2.67
CV 0.64 1.00 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%—4.55%13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
4————9.09%—9.09%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total4.55%22.73%13.64%27.27%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.86 -0.64
SD 1.48 1.75 2.40
CV 0.66 0.61 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—27.27%
4———————
5+9.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
Total22.73%36.36%13.64%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.59 +1.14
SD 2.12 1.37 2.68
CV 0.78 0.86 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1466 34 29.00 +5.00 92.0% 20 22 27 29 31 35 38
Glenavon 1463 31 30.42 +0.58 65.0% 23 25 28 30 33 37 41
Glentoran 1374 27 25.52 +1.48 63.0% 15 17 23 26 29 31 33
Ards 1364 23 26.80 -3.80 20.0% 16 20 24 27 29 33 34
Portadown 1345 26 23.96 +2.04 76.0% 17 19 21 23 26 30 33
Ballymena United 1306 26 22.94 +3.06 81.0% 14 16 20 23 26 29 32
Coleraine 1302 22 22.89 -0.89 41.0% 12 15 21 23 25 29 35
Crusaders 1277 25 20.06 +4.94 95.0% 10 15 18 20 22 25 30
Bangor 1203 14 18.26 -4.26 15.0% 8 12 16 18 21 24 31
Lisburn Distillery 1192 17 16.00 +1.00 65.0% 8 10 13 15 19 22 26
Derry City 1186 14 17.83 -3.83 20.0% 8 11 15 18 20 26 29
Cliftonville 1032 5 10.32 -5.32 8.0% 2 4 8 10 13 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
Slight Edge
48.48%13.64%37.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge
102 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
036.99300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.56 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
Linfield, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.11 * Some Luck: 3.11 to 4.67 * Lucky: 4.67 to 6.23 * Wild Swing: 6.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.45 points
Some Luck
03.8910
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.564
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Crusaders
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 124.85
1.87
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield37.00%20.00%18.00%15.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%————
Glenavon40.00%28.00%19.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%——————
Glentoran7.00%14.00%21.00%13.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Portadown2.00%9.00%6.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%19.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%——
Ballymena United1.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%5.00%10.00%2.00%—
Crusaders—1.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%22.00%21.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%
Ards10.00%17.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Coleraine2.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%13.00%22.00%10.00%17.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Lisburn Distillery————2.00%7.00%1.00%5.00%21.00%22.00%31.00%11.00%
Bangor1.00%——2.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%25.00%16.00%5.00%
Derry City——4.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%22.00%22.00%6.00%
Cliftonville—————1.00%1.00%—2.00%4.00%17.00%75.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-11-29 Linfield W 2-146.4 1302 1375 40.21% 14.45% 45.34%-0.36 +6.0 2
1958-11-29 @ Ballymena United L 1-246.4 1375 1302 45.34% 14.45% 40.21%+0.36 -6.0 0
1958-11-29 Derry City W 3-035.1 1257 1278 47.59% 14.46% 37.95%+0.15 +14.8 2
1958-11-29 @ Bangor L 0-335.1 1278 1257 37.95% 14.46% 47.59%-0.15 -14.8 0
1958-11-29 Portadown L 1-248.0 1292 1265 54.06% 14.42% 31.52%+0.63 -7.0 0
1958-11-29 @ Coleraine W 2-148.0 1265 1292 31.52% 14.42% 54.06%-0.63 +7.0 2
1958-11-29 Ards W 5-145.7 1237 1425 25.64% 14.22% 60.14%-1.47 +24.4 2
1958-11-29 @ Crusaders L 1-545.7 1425 1237 60.14% 14.22% 25.64%+1.47 -24.4 0
1958-11-29 Cliftonville W 6-024.6 1412 1131 76.91% 13.44% 9.65%+3.10 +7.9 2
1958-11-29 @ Glenavon L 0-624.6 1131 1412 9.65% 13.44% 76.91%-3.10 -7.9 0
1958-12-06 Ballymena United L 0-239.7 1272 1308 45.53% 14.46% 40.01%+0.01 -12.0 2
1958-12-06 @ Bangor W 2-039.7 1308 1272 40.01% 14.46% 45.53%-0.01 +11.9 4
1958-12-06 Coleraine L 0-142.4 1261 1285 47.26% 14.46% 38.28%+0.13 -6.5 2
1958-12-06 @ Crusaders W 1-042.4 1285 1261 38.28% 14.46% 47.26%-0.13 +6.5 2
1958-12-06 Glenavon L 1-635.7 1263 1420 29.26% 14.31% 56.43%-1.17 -15.7 0
1958-12-06 @ Derry City W 6-135.7 1420 1263 56.43% 14.31% 29.26%+1.17 +15.7 4
1958-12-06 Cliftonville W 9-026.7 1369 1123 74.84% 13.65% 11.52%+2.76 +13.9 2
1958-12-06 @ Linfield L 0-926.7 1123 1369 11.52% 13.65% 74.84%-2.76 -13.9 0
1958-12-06 Ards D 1-154.9 1201 1400 24.42% 14.19% 61.39%-1.58 +1.2 1
1958-12-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-154.9 1400 1201 61.39% 14.19% 24.42%+1.58 -1.2 1
1958-12-06 Glentoran D 1-154.8 1272 1335 41.65% 14.46% 43.89%-0.26 +0.1 3
1958-12-06 @ Portadown D 1-154.8 1335 1272 43.89% 14.46% 41.65%+0.26 -0.1 1
1958-12-12 Bangor W 4-029.1 1383 1260 65.01% 14.19% 20.80%+1.57 +11.3 4
1958-12-12 @ Linfield L 0-429.1 1260 1383 20.80% 14.19% 65.01%-1.57 -11.3 2
1958-12-13 Coleraine W 5-345.7 1399 1291 63.40% 14.24% 22.36%+1.41 +4.7 3
1958-12-13 @ Ards L 3-545.7 1291 1399 22.36% 14.24% 63.40%-1.41 -4.6 2
1958-12-13 Derry City L 0-332.7 1110 1248 31.55% 14.36% 54.10%-0.99 -12.6 0
1958-12-13 @ Cliftonville W 3-032.7 1248 1110 54.10% 14.36% 31.55%+0.99 +12.6 2
1958-12-13 Ballymena United W 3-138.6 1436 1320 64.26% 14.22% 21.52%+1.49 +5.3 6
1958-12-13 @ Glenavon L 1-338.6 1320 1436 21.52% 14.22% 64.26%-1.49 -5.3 4
1958-12-13 Crusaders D 3-363.6 1335 1254 60.47% 14.32% 25.22%+1.15 -0.7 2
1958-12-13 @ Glentoran D 3-363.6 1254 1335 25.22% 14.32% 60.47%-1.15 +0.7 3
1958-12-13 Portadown L 0-335.7 1202 1272 40.77% 14.45% 44.78%-0.32 -15.8 1
1958-12-13 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-035.7 1272 1202 44.78% 14.45% 40.77%+0.32 +15.8 5
1958-12-20 Cliftonville W 5-025.2 1314 1097 72.93% 13.80% 13.28%+2.48 +9.1 6
1958-12-20 @ Ballymena United L 0-525.2 1097 1314 13.28% 13.80% 72.93%-2.48 -9.1 0
1958-12-20 Glenavon L 0-234.4 1248 1441 25.12% 14.21% 60.67%-1.52 -7.1 2
1958-12-20 @ Bangor W 2-034.4 1441 1248 60.67% 14.21% 25.12%+1.52 +7.1 8
1958-12-20 Glentoran D 1-154.9 1287 1334 43.92% 14.46% 41.62%-0.10 -0.1 3
1958-12-20 @ Coleraine D 1-154.9 1334 1287 41.62% 14.46% 43.92%+0.10 +0.1 3
1958-12-20 Lisburn Distillery D 4-466.2 1255 1186 59.14% 14.35% 26.52%+1.03 -0.6 4
1958-12-20 @ Crusaders D 4-466.2 1186 1255 26.52% 14.35% 59.14%-1.03 +0.6 2
1958-12-20 Linfield L 1-438.7 1260 1395 32.03% 14.36% 53.61%-0.95 -10.8 2
1958-12-20 @ Derry City W 4-138.7 1395 1260 53.61% 14.36% 32.03%+0.95 +10.8 6
1958-12-20 Ards W 6-142.4 1288 1404 34.38% 14.40% 51.22%-0.77 +25.7 7
1958-12-20 @ Portadown L 1-642.4 1404 1288 51.22% 14.40% 34.38%+0.77 -25.7 3
1958-12-25 Crusaders W 4-136.4 1324 1255 59.15% 14.35% 26.50%+1.03 +9.1 8
1958-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 1-436.4 1255 1324 26.50% 14.35% 59.15%-1.03 -9.1 4
1958-12-25 Ards L 2-346.4 1241 1378 31.73% 14.36% 53.91%-0.97 -4.1 2
1958-12-25 @ Bangor W 3-246.4 1378 1241 53.91% 14.36% 31.73%+0.97 +4.1 5
1958-12-25 Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.2 1088 1187 36.65% 14.42% 48.93%-0.61 +11.0 2
1958-12-25 @ Cliftonville L 1-344.2 1187 1088 48.93% 14.42% 36.65%+0.61 -11.0 2
1958-12-25 Coleraine L 0-141.8 1250 1287 45.38% 14.46% 40.15%+0.00 -6.3 2
1958-12-25 @ Derry City W 1-041.8 1287 1250 40.15% 14.46% 45.38%+0.00 +6.3 5
1958-12-25 Portadown L 2-358.4 1448 1313 66.11% 14.15% 19.73%+1.68 -8.0 8
1958-12-25 @ Glenavon W 3-258.4 1313 1448 19.73% 14.15% 66.11%-1.68 +8.0 9
1958-12-25 Glentoran W 4-244.3 1405 1334 59.40% 14.34% 26.26%+1.05 +5.7 8
1958-12-25 @ Linfield L 2-444.3 1334 1405 26.26% 14.34% 59.40%-1.05 -5.7 3
1958-12-26 Glenavon L 2-352.7 1382 1440 42.41% 14.46% 43.13%-0.21 -5.3 5
1958-12-26 @ Ards W 3-252.7 1440 1382 43.13% 14.46% 42.41%+0.21 +5.3 10
1958-12-26 Linfield W 4-039.1 1293 1411 34.12% 14.40% 51.48%-0.79 +25.3 7
1958-12-26 @ Coleraine L 0-439.1 1411 1293 51.48% 14.40% 34.12%+0.79 -25.3 8
1958-12-26 Derry City L 2-547.4 1246 1243 50.83% 14.45% 34.72%+0.38 -14.0 4
1958-12-26 @ Crusaders W 5-247.4 1243 1246 34.72% 14.45% 50.83%-0.38 +14.0 4
1958-12-26 Ballymena United W 4-033.8 1329 1333 49.97% 14.45% 35.58%+0.32 +18.3 5
1958-12-26 @ Glentoran L 0-433.8 1333 1329 35.58% 14.45% 49.97%-0.32 -18.3 8
1958-12-26 Bangor W 2-038.5 1176 1237 41.95% 14.46% 43.59%-0.24 +11.5 4
1958-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-238.5 1237 1176 43.59% 14.46% 41.95%+0.24 -11.5 2
1958-12-26 Cliftonville W 2-029.1 1321 1099 73.27% 13.77% 12.96%+2.53 +3.8 11
1958-12-26 @ Portadown L 0-229.1 1099 1321 12.96% 13.77% 73.27%-2.53 -3.8 2
1958-12-27 Portadown L 1-345.4 1314 1325 49.05% 14.46% 36.49%+0.26 -11.0 8
1958-12-27 @ Ballymena United W 3-145.4 1325 1314 36.49% 14.46% 49.05%-0.26 +11.0 13
1958-12-27 Coleraine W 5-036.2 1226 1318 37.55% 14.43% 48.02%-0.54 +29.3 4
1958-12-27 @ Bangor L 0-536.2 1318 1226 48.02% 14.43% 37.55%+0.54 -29.3 7
1958-12-27 Crusaders L 1-339.1 1095 1232 31.75% 14.36% 53.89%-0.97 -7.5 2
1958-12-27 @ Cliftonville W 3-139.1 1232 1095 53.89% 14.36% 31.75%+0.97 +7.6 6
1958-12-27 Lisburn Distillery L 1-347.5 1257 1188 59.24% 14.34% 26.42%+1.04 -13.2 4
1958-12-27 @ Derry City W 3-147.5 1188 1257 26.42% 14.34% 59.24%-1.04 +13.2 6
1958-12-27 Glentoran W 7-135.1 1445 1347 62.45% 14.27% 23.28%+1.32 +15.1 12
1958-12-27 @ Glenavon L 1-735.1 1347 1445 23.28% 14.27% 62.45%-1.32 -15.1 5
1958-12-27 Ards W 5-139.3 1386 1377 51.71% 14.44% 33.85%+0.45 +14.6 10
1958-12-27 @ Linfield L 1-539.3 1377 1386 33.85% 14.44% 51.71%-0.45 -14.6 5
1958-12-30 Lisburn Distillery D 3-363.3 1332 1201 65.74% 14.17% 20.09%+1.64 -0.9 6
1958-12-30 @ Glentoran D 3-363.3 1201 1332 20.09% 14.17% 65.74%-1.64 +0.9 7
1959-01-03 Ballymena United L 1-446.6 1362 1303 57.98% 14.37% 27.65%+0.94 -18.3 5
1959-01-03 @ Ards W 4-146.6 1303 1362 27.65% 14.37% 57.98%-0.94 +18.3 10
1959-01-03 Glenavon W 2-151.2 1289 1461 27.49% 14.27% 58.23%-1.31 +7.5 9
1959-01-03 @ Coleraine L 1-251.2 1461 1289 58.23% 14.27% 27.49%+1.31 -7.5 12
1959-01-03 Bangor W 3-034.7 1239 1255 48.35% 14.46% 37.19%+0.21 +14.6 8
1959-01-03 @ Crusaders L 0-334.7 1255 1239 37.19% 14.46% 48.35%-0.21 -14.6 4
1959-01-03 Cliftonville W 8-332.4 1331 1088 74.67% 13.66% 11.67%+2.74 +5.0 8
1959-01-03 @ Glentoran L 3-832.4 1088 1331 11.67% 13.66% 74.67%-2.74 -5.0 2
1959-01-03 Linfield L 2-344.0 1202 1400 24.47% 14.19% 61.34%-1.58 -3.3 7
1959-01-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-244.0 1400 1202 61.34% 14.19% 24.47%+1.58 +3.3 12
1959-01-03 Derry City W 3-243.7 1336 1244 61.76% 14.29% 23.95%+1.26 +3.2 15
1959-01-03 @ Portadown L 2-343.7 1244 1336 23.95% 14.29% 61.76%-1.26 -3.2 4
1959-01-10 Portadown W 4-355.3 1240 1339 36.68% 14.42% 48.90%-0.60 +5.9 6
1959-01-10 @ Bangor L 3-455.3 1339 1240 48.90% 14.42% 36.68%+0.60 -5.9 15
1959-01-17 Derry City W 3-137.1 1344 1241 62.93% 14.26% 22.81%+1.37 +5.6 7
1959-01-17 @ Ards L 1-337.1 1241 1344 22.81% 14.26% 62.93%-1.37 -5.6 4
1959-01-17 Bangor W 3-137.5 1336 1246 61.48% 14.30% 24.23%+1.24 +5.9 10
1959-01-17 @ Glentoran L 1-337.5 1246 1336 24.23% 14.30% 61.48%-1.24 -5.9 6
1959-01-24 Glentoran L 2-353.0 1349 1342 51.54% 14.44% 34.01%+0.44 -6.3 7
1959-01-24 @ Ards W 3-253.0 1342 1349 34.01% 14.44% 51.54%-0.44 +6.3 12
1959-01-24 Bangor L 2-442.8 1083 1240 29.11% 14.31% 56.58%-1.18 -6.2 2
1959-01-24 @ Cliftonville W 4-242.8 1240 1083 56.58% 14.31% 29.11%+1.18 +6.3 8
1959-01-24 Ballymena United L 1-439.9 1235 1322 38.41% 14.44% 47.15%-0.48 -12.6 4
1959-01-24 @ Derry City W 4-139.9 1322 1235 47.15% 14.44% 38.41%+0.48 +12.6 12
1959-01-24 Glenavon W 2-042.9 1404 1453 43.63% 14.46% 41.90%-0.12 +11.1 14
1959-01-24 @ Linfield L 0-242.9 1453 1404 41.90% 14.46% 43.63%+0.12 -11.1 12
1959-01-24 Coleraine D 4-466.4 1198 1296 36.79% 14.43% 48.78%-0.60 +0.2 8
1959-01-24 @ Lisburn Distillery D 4-466.4 1296 1198 48.78% 14.43% 36.79%+0.60 -0.2 10
1959-01-24 Crusaders D 1-154.7 1333 1254 60.39% 14.32% 25.29%+1.14 -1.2 16
1959-01-24 @ Portadown D 1-154.7 1254 1333 25.29% 14.32% 60.39%-1.14 +1.1 9
1959-01-26 Crusaders L 1-253.1 1415 1255 68.39% 14.06% 17.55%+1.92 -8.8 14
1959-01-26 @ Linfield W 2-153.1 1255 1415 17.55% 14.06% 68.39%-1.92 +8.8 11
1959-02-02 Linfield L 2-350.3 1332 1406 40.18% 14.45% 45.36%-0.36 -5.1 16
1959-02-02 @ Portadown W 3-250.3 1406 1332 45.36% 14.45% 40.18%+0.36 +5.1 16
1959-02-07 Glentoran L 2-352.1 1334 1348 48.62% 14.46% 36.93%+0.22 -6.0 12
1959-02-07 @ Ballymena United W 3-252.1 1348 1334 36.93% 14.46% 48.62%-0.22 +6.0 14
1959-02-07 Lisburn Distillery D 1-154.1 1247 1199 56.68% 14.39% 28.94%+0.83 -0.9 9
1959-02-07 @ Bangor D 1-154.1 1199 1247 28.94% 14.39% 56.68%-0.83 +0.9 9
1959-02-07 Portadown L 1-830.3 1076 1327 19.33% 13.99% 66.68%-2.09 -14.7 2
1959-02-07 @ Cliftonville W 8-130.3 1327 1076 66.68% 13.99% 19.33%+2.09 +14.7 18
1959-02-07 Crusaders W 2-143.8 1223 1264 44.83% 14.46% 40.71%-0.04 +5.4 6
1959-02-07 @ Derry City L 1-243.8 1264 1223 40.71% 14.46% 44.83%+0.04 -5.4 11
1959-02-07 Ards L 2-357.8 1442 1343 62.47% 14.27% 23.26%+1.33 -7.6 12
1959-02-07 @ Glenavon W 3-257.8 1343 1442 23.26% 14.27% 62.47%-1.33 +7.6 9
1959-02-07 Coleraine W 3-137.9 1411 1296 64.13% 14.22% 21.64%+1.48 +5.3 18
1959-02-07 @ Linfield L 1-337.9 1296 1411 21.64% 14.22% 64.13%-1.48 -5.3 10
1959-02-09 Ballymena United L 3-450.2 1199 1328 32.74% 14.38% 52.88%-0.90 -4.2 9
1959-02-09 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-350.2 1328 1199 52.88% 14.38% 32.74%+0.90 +4.1 14
1959-02-14 Cliftonville W 7-024.6 1351 1062 77.37% 13.39% 9.24%+3.18 +8.8 11
1959-02-14 @ Ards L 0-724.6 1062 1351 9.24% 13.39% 77.37%-3.18 -8.8 2
1959-02-14 Ballymena United W 4-035.0 1291 1332 44.79% 14.46% 40.75%-0.04 +20.6 12
1959-02-14 @ Coleraine L 0-435.0 1332 1291 40.75% 14.46% 44.79%+0.04 -20.6 14
1959-02-14 Linfield W 3-254.3 1258 1416 29.07% 14.31% 56.62%-1.18 +6.9 13
1959-02-14 @ Crusaders L 2-354.3 1416 1258 56.62% 14.31% 29.07%+1.18 -6.9 18
1959-02-14 Derry City W 2-032.1 1354 1228 65.27% 14.19% 20.55%+1.59 +5.9 16
1959-02-14 @ Glentoran L 0-232.1 1228 1354 20.55% 14.19% 65.27%-1.59 -5.9 6
1959-02-14 Glenavon L 1-238.3 1195 1434 20.42% 14.04% 65.54%-1.97 -2.9 9
1959-02-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-138.3 1434 1195 65.54% 14.04% 20.42%+1.97 +2.9 14
1959-02-14 Bangor W 5-029.1 1342 1246 62.19% 14.28% 23.53%+1.30 +15.6 20
1959-02-14 @ Portadown L 0-529.1 1246 1342 23.53% 14.28% 62.19%-1.30 -15.6 9
1959-02-17 Glentoran L 0-432.0 1222 1360 31.56% 14.36% 54.08%-0.99 -16.5 6
1959-02-17 @ Derry City W 4-032.0 1360 1222 54.08% 14.36% 31.56%+0.99 +16.5 18
1959-02-18 Glenavon L 2-345.9 1265 1437 27.42% 14.27% 58.30%-1.32 -3.6 13
1959-02-18 @ Crusaders W 3-245.9 1437 1265 58.30% 14.27% 27.42%+1.32 +3.6 16
1959-02-21 Lisburn Distillery W 4-240.8 1312 1192 64.59% 14.21% 21.20%+1.53 +4.7 16
1959-02-21 @ Ballymena United L 2-440.8 1192 1312 21.20% 14.21% 64.59%-1.53 -4.7 9
1959-02-21 Glentoran W 3-253.3 1230 1376 30.52% 14.34% 55.15%-1.07 +6.7 11
1959-02-21 @ Bangor L 2-353.3 1376 1230 55.15% 14.34% 30.52%+1.07 -6.7 18
1959-02-21 Ards L 0-631.0 1206 1360 29.58% 14.32% 56.10%-1.14 -22.8 6
1959-02-21 @ Derry City W 6-031.0 1360 1206 56.10% 14.32% 29.58%+1.14 +22.8 13
1959-02-21 Crusaders D 1-155.9 1441 1261 70.04% 13.98% 15.99%+2.11 -1.8 17
1959-02-21 @ Glenavon D 1-155.9 1261 1441 15.99% 13.98% 70.04%-2.11 +1.8 14
1959-02-21 Portadown W 1-039.1 1409 1357 57.15% 14.38% 28.46%+0.87 +4.2 20
1959-02-21 @ Linfield L 0-139.1 1357 1409 28.46% 14.38% 57.15%-0.87 -4.2 20
1959-02-28 Cliftonville W 6-128.4 1312 1053 75.63% 13.57% 10.80%+2.89 +6.2 14
1959-02-28 @ Coleraine L 1-628.4 1053 1312 10.80% 13.57% 75.63%-2.89 -6.2 2
1959-03-04 Ards L 1-530.1 1047 1382 12.86% 13.56% 73.58%-2.92 -5.9 2
1959-03-04 @ Cliftonville W 5-130.1 1382 1047 73.58% 13.56% 12.86%+2.92 +5.9 15
1959-03-04 Lisburn Distillery W 7-026.2 1439 1188 75.18% 13.61% 11.21%+2.82 +10.6 19
1959-03-04 @ Glenavon L 0-726.2 1188 1439 11.21% 13.61% 75.18%-2.82 -10.6 9
1959-03-07 Derry City L 2-355.9 1316 1183 65.98% 14.16% 19.86%+1.67 -8.0 16
1959-03-07 @ Ballymena United W 3-255.9 1183 1316 19.86% 14.16% 65.98%-1.67 +8.0 8
1959-03-07 Cliftonville W 1-032.0 1237 1041 71.36% 13.90% 14.74%+2.28 +2.3 13
1959-03-07 @ Bangor L 0-132.0 1041 1237 14.74% 13.90% 71.36%-2.28 -2.3 2
1959-03-07 Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.6 1318 1177 66.65% 14.13% 19.22%+1.73 -1.2 15
1959-03-07 @ Coleraine D 2-258.6 1177 1318 19.22% 14.13% 66.65%-1.73 +1.2 10
1959-03-07 Portadown W 3-144.8 1263 1353 37.90% 14.44% 47.66%-0.52 +10.8 16
1959-03-07 @ Crusaders L 1-344.8 1353 1263 47.66% 14.44% 37.90%+0.52 -10.8 20
1959-03-07 Linfield L 3-656.0 1450 1414 55.19% 14.41% 30.40%+0.71 -14.0 19
1959-03-07 @ Glenavon W 6-356.0 1414 1450 30.40% 14.41% 55.19%-0.71 +14.0 22
1959-03-07 Ards D 1-156.6 1370 1388 47.99% 14.46% 37.55%+0.18 -0.3 19
1959-03-07 @ Glentoran D 1-156.6 1388 1370 37.55% 14.46% 47.99%-0.18 +0.3 16
1959-03-14 Crusaders L 1-251.8 1389 1274 64.11% 14.22% 21.67%+1.48 -8.2 16
1959-03-14 @ Ards W 2-151.8 1274 1389 21.67% 14.22% 64.11%-1.48 +8.2 18
1959-03-14 Glenavon L 2-534.6 1038 1436 9.43% 13.17% 77.40%-3.52 -2.9 2
1959-03-14 @ Cliftonville W 5-234.6 1436 1038 77.40% 13.17% 9.43%+3.52 +2.9 21
1959-03-14 Bangor W 1-040.4 1191 1239 43.80% 14.46% 41.73%-0.11 +5.9 10
1959-03-14 @ Derry City L 0-140.4 1239 1191 41.73% 14.46% 43.80%+0.11 -5.9 13
1959-03-14 Ballymena United W 5-029.9 1428 1308 64.59% 14.21% 21.20%+1.53 +14.2 24
1959-03-14 @ Linfield L 0-529.9 1308 1428 21.20% 14.21% 64.59%-1.53 -14.2 16
1959-03-14 Glentoran L 2-637.7 1178 1369 25.29% 14.21% 60.50%-1.51 -9.5 10
1959-03-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 6-237.7 1369 1178 60.50% 14.21% 25.29%+1.51 +9.5 21
1959-03-14 Coleraine W 6-032.3 1343 1316 53.92% 14.42% 31.65%+0.62 +24.2 22
1959-03-14 @ Portadown L 0-632.3 1316 1343 31.65% 14.42% 53.92%-0.62 -24.2 15
1959-03-18 Coleraine L 0-328.7 1035 1292 18.80% 13.96% 67.23%-2.15 -7.9 2
1959-03-18 @ Cliftonville W 3-028.7 1292 1035 67.23% 13.96% 18.80%+2.15 +7.9 17
1959-03-25 Coleraine W 4-245.7 1294 1300 49.70% 14.45% 35.84%+0.30 +7.5 18
1959-03-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-445.7 1300 1294 35.84% 14.45% 49.70%-0.30 -7.5 17
1959-03-28 Glenavon D 0-053.7 1302 1439 31.69% 14.36% 53.95%-0.98 +0.8 19
1959-03-28 @ Ballymena United D 0-053.7 1439 1302 53.95% 14.36% 31.69%+0.98 -0.8 22
1959-03-28 Linfield L 2-344.3 1233 1442 23.43% 14.16% 62.41%-1.68 -3.1 13
1959-03-28 @ Bangor W 3-244.3 1442 1233 62.41% 14.16% 23.43%+1.68 +3.1 26
1959-03-28 Ards L 1-244.2 1293 1380 38.22% 14.44% 47.35%-0.50 -5.1 17
1959-03-28 @ Coleraine W 2-144.2 1380 1293 47.35% 14.44% 38.22%+0.50 +5.1 18
1959-03-28 Glentoran W 2-147.2 1282 1379 36.99% 14.43% 48.58%-0.58 +6.3 20
1959-03-28 @ Crusaders L 1-247.2 1379 1282 48.58% 14.43% 36.99%+0.58 -6.3 21
1959-03-28 Cliftonville D 1-154.0 1197 1028 69.18% 14.02% 16.79%+2.01 -1.8 11
1959-03-28 @ Derry City D 1-154.0 1028 1197 16.79% 14.02% 69.18%-2.01 +1.8 3
1959-03-28 Lisburn Distillery W 5-342.1 1367 1169 71.50% 13.89% 14.61%+2.29 +3.1 24
1959-03-28 @ Portadown L 3-542.1 1169 1367 14.61% 13.89% 71.50%-2.29 -3.1 10
1959-03-30 Linfield L 0-340.1 1385 1445 42.20% 14.46% 43.34%-0.22 -16.2 18
1959-03-30 @ Ards W 3-040.1 1445 1385 43.34% 14.46% 42.20%+0.22 +16.2 28
1959-03-30 Bangor D 3-363.2 1288 1230 57.80% 14.37% 27.83%+0.92 -0.6 18
1959-03-30 @ Coleraine D 3-363.2 1230 1288 27.83% 14.37% 57.80%-0.92 +0.6 14
1959-03-30 Cliftonville W 3-026.2 1289 1029 75.66% 13.57% 10.77%+2.89 +4.6 22
1959-03-30 @ Crusaders L 0-326.2 1029 1289 10.77% 13.57% 75.66%-2.89 -4.6 3
1959-03-30 Glenavon L 1-247.4 1373 1438 41.37% 14.46% 44.17%-0.28 -5.5 21
1959-03-30 @ Glentoran W 2-147.4 1438 1373 44.17% 14.46% 41.37%+0.28 +5.5 24
1959-03-30 Derry City W 3-141.3 1166 1195 46.48% 14.46% 39.06%+0.07 +9.1 12
1959-03-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-341.3 1195 1166 39.06% 14.46% 46.48%-0.07 -9.1 11
1959-03-30 Ballymena United L 3-459.1 1370 1302 58.97% 14.35% 26.68%+1.02 -7.0 24
1959-03-30 @ Portadown W 4-359.1 1302 1370 26.68% 14.35% 58.97%-1.02 +7.0 21
1959-03-31 Ards D 3-364.3 1310 1369 42.16% 14.46% 43.38%-0.22 +0.0 22
1959-03-31 @ Ballymena United D 3-364.3 1369 1310 43.38% 14.46% 42.16%+0.22 -0.0 19
1959-03-31 Crusaders L 0-336.1 1231 1293 41.77% 14.46% 43.78%-0.25 -16.1 14
1959-03-31 @ Bangor W 3-036.1 1293 1231 43.78% 14.46% 41.77%+0.25 +16.1 24
1959-03-31 Glentoran L 0-228.9 1025 1367 12.44% 13.52% 74.04%-2.98 -3.6 3
1959-03-31 @ Cliftonville W 2-028.9 1367 1025 74.04% 13.52% 12.44%+2.98 +3.6 23
1959-03-31 Portadown W 2-149.4 1186 1363 26.88% 14.26% 58.86%-1.37 +7.5 13
1959-03-31 @ Derry City L 1-249.4 1363 1186 58.86% 14.26% 26.88%+1.37 -7.6 24
1959-03-31 Coleraine W 3-030.6 1443 1287 68.09% 14.07% 17.84%+1.89 +7.5 26
1959-03-31 @ Glenavon L 0-330.6 1287 1443 17.84% 14.07% 68.09%-1.89 -7.5 18
1959-03-31 Lisburn Distillery W 3-026.8 1461 1175 77.23% 13.41% 9.37%+3.16 +4.0 30
1959-03-31 @ Linfield L 0-326.8 1175 1461 9.37% 13.41% 77.23%-3.16 -4.0 12
1959-04-04 Lisburn Distillery L 3-559.2 1369 1171 71.54% 13.89% 14.57%+2.30 -13.5 19
1959-04-04 @ Ards W 5-359.2 1171 1369 14.57% 13.89% 71.54%-2.30 +13.4 14
1959-04-04 Bangor W 2-032.8 1310 1215 62.06% 14.28% 23.66%+1.29 +6.7 24
1959-04-04 @ Ballymena United L 0-232.8 1215 1310 23.66% 14.28% 62.06%-1.29 -6.7 14
1959-04-04 Linfield L 0-423.8 1021 1465 7.41% 12.83% 79.76%-3.98 -4.1 3
1959-04-04 @ Cliftonville W 4-023.8 1465 1021 79.76% 12.83% 7.41%+3.98 +4.1 32
1959-04-04 Crusaders W 4-034.3 1279 1309 46.40% 14.46% 39.13%+0.07 +19.9 20
1959-04-04 @ Coleraine L 0-434.3 1309 1279 39.13% 14.46% 46.40%-0.07 -19.9 24
1959-04-04 Derry City D 2-259.6 1451 1193 75.55% 13.58% 10.87%+2.87 -1.6 27
1959-04-04 @ Glenavon D 2-259.6 1193 1451 10.87% 13.58% 75.55%-2.87 +1.7 14
1959-04-04 Portadown L 0-145.7 1371 1355 52.56% 14.44% 33.00%+0.51 -7.2 23
1959-04-04 @ Glentoran W 1-045.7 1355 1371 33.00% 14.44% 52.56%-0.51 +7.2 26
1959-04-11 Bangor W 1-033.8 1356 1208 67.31% 14.11% 18.58%+1.80 +2.8 21
1959-04-11 @ Ards L 0-133.8 1208 1356 18.58% 14.11% 67.31%-1.80 -2.8 14
1959-04-11 Derry City W 2-032.4 1299 1195 63.04% 14.25% 22.70%+1.38 +6.5 22
1959-04-11 @ Coleraine L 0-232.4 1195 1299 22.70% 14.25% 63.04%-1.38 -6.5 14
1959-04-11 Ballymena United L 0-240.2 1289 1316 46.84% 14.46% 38.70%+0.10 -12.2 24
1959-04-11 @ Crusaders W 2-040.2 1316 1289 38.70% 14.46% 46.84%-0.10 +12.2 26
1959-04-11 Linfield W 2-150.5 1364 1469 35.75% 14.41% 49.84%-0.67 +6.5 25
1959-04-11 @ Glentoran L 1-250.5 1469 1364 49.84% 14.41% 35.75%+0.67 -6.5 32
1959-04-11 Cliftonville W 5-131.3 1184 1017 69.01% 14.03% 16.96%+1.99 +7.8 16
1959-04-11 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-531.3 1017 1184 16.96% 14.03% 69.01%-1.99 -7.8 3
1959-04-11 Glenavon L 1-443.1 1362 1449 38.35% 14.44% 47.21%-0.49 -12.6 26
1959-04-11 @ Portadown W 4-143.1 1449 1362 47.21% 14.44% 38.35%+0.49 +12.6 29
1959-04-25 Portadown W 1-039.8 1359 1350 51.68% 14.44% 33.88%+0.45 +4.9 23
1959-04-25 @ Ards L 0-139.8 1350 1359 33.88% 14.44% 51.68%-0.45 -4.9 26
1959-04-25 Ballymena United W 4-149.3 1009 1328 13.94% 13.65% 72.41%-2.76 +22.7 5
1959-04-25 @ Cliftonville L 1-449.3 1328 1009 72.41% 13.65% 13.94%+2.76 -22.7 26
1959-04-25 Bangor W 2-135.7 1462 1205 75.51% 13.58% 10.91%+2.87 +1.6 31
1959-04-25 @ Glenavon L 1-235.7 1205 1462 10.91% 13.58% 75.51%-2.87 -1.6 14
1959-04-25 Coleraine W 3-245.5 1370 1306 58.61% 14.36% 27.03%+0.99 +3.6 27
1959-04-25 @ Glentoran L 2-345.5 1306 1370 27.03% 14.36% 58.61%-0.99 -3.6 22
1959-04-25 Derry City W 2-029.3 1463 1189 76.54% 13.48% 9.98%+3.04 +2.9 34
1959-04-25 @ Linfield L 0-229.3 1189 1463 9.98% 13.48% 76.54%-3.04 -3.0 14
1959-04-25 Crusaders D 2-258.4 1192 1277 38.55% 14.44% 47.01%-0.47 +0.2 17
1959-04-25 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.4 1277 1192 47.01% 14.44% 38.55%+0.47 -0.2 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-04-25 13.94% @ Cliftonville 1009 4 Ballymena United 1328 1
2 1959-04-04 14.57% Lisburn Distillery 1171 5 @ Ards 1369 3
3 1959-01-26 17.55% Crusaders 1255 2 @ Linfield 1415 1
4 1958-12-25 19.73% Portadown 1313 3 @ Glenavon 1448 2
5 1959-03-07 19.86% Derry City 1183 3 @ Ballymena United 1316 2
6 1959-03-14 21.67% Crusaders 1274 2 @ Ards 1389 1
7 1959-02-07 23.26% Ards 1343 3 @ Glenavon 1442 2
8 1958-11-29 25.64% @ Crusaders 1237 5 Ards 1425 1
9 1958-12-27 26.42% Lisburn Distillery 1188 3 @ Derry City 1257 1
10 1959-03-30 26.68% Ballymena United 1302 4 @ Portadown 1370 3
11 1959-03-31 26.88% @ Derry City 1186 2 Portadown 1363 1
12 1959-01-03 27.49% @ Coleraine 1289 2 Glenavon 1461 1
13 1959-01-03 27.65% Ballymena United 1303 4 @ Ards 1362 1
14 1959-02-14 29.07% @ Crusaders 1258 3 Linfield 1416 2
15 1959-03-07 30.40% Linfield 1414 6 @ Glenavon 1450 3
16 1959-02-21 30.52% @ Bangor 1230 3 Glentoran 1376 2
17 1958-11-29 31.52% Portadown 1265 2 @ Coleraine 1292 1
18 1959-04-04 33.00% Portadown 1355 1 @ Glentoran 1371 0
19 1959-01-24 34.01% Glentoran 1342 3 @ Ards 1349 2
20 1958-12-26 34.12% @ Coleraine 1293 4 Linfield 1411 0
21 1958-12-20 34.38% @ Portadown 1288 6 Ards 1404 1
22 1958-12-26 34.72% Derry City 1243 5 @ Crusaders 1246 2
23 1959-04-11 35.75% @ Glentoran 1364 2 Linfield 1469 1
24 1958-12-27 36.49% Portadown 1325 3 @ Ballymena United 1314 1
25 1958-12-25 36.65% @ Cliftonville 1088 3 Lisburn Distillery 1187 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-12-27 29.28 @ Bangor 5 1226 37.55% Coleraine 0 1318 48.02% 14.43%
2 1958-12-20 25.70 @ Portadown 6 1288 34.38% Ards 1 1404 51.22% 14.40%
3 1958-12-26 25.30 @ Coleraine 4 1293 34.12% Linfield 0 1411 51.48% 14.40%
4 1958-11-29 24.40 @ Crusaders 5 1237 25.64% Ards 1 1425 60.14% 14.22%
5 1959-03-14 24.19 @ Portadown 6 1343 53.92% Coleraine 0 1316 31.65% 14.42%
6 1959-02-21 22.75 Ards 6 1360 56.10% @ Derry City 0 1206 29.58% 14.32%
7 1959-04-25 22.74 @ Cliftonville 4 1009 13.94% Ballymena United 1 1328 72.41% 13.65%
8 1959-02-14 20.60 @ Coleraine 4 1291 44.79% Ballymena United 0 1332 40.75% 14.46%
9 1959-04-04 19.90 @ Coleraine 4 1279 46.40% Crusaders 0 1309 39.13% 14.46%
10 1958-12-26 18.32 @ Glentoran 4 1329 49.97% Ballymena United 0 1333 35.58% 14.45%
11 1959-01-03 18.27 Ballymena United 4 1303 27.65% @ Ards 1 1362 57.98% 14.37%
12 1959-02-17 16.47 Glentoran 4 1360 54.08% @ Derry City 0 1222 31.56% 14.36%
13 1959-03-30 16.25 Linfield 3 1445 43.34% @ Ards 0 1385 42.20% 14.46%
14 1959-03-31 16.11 Crusaders 3 1293 43.78% @ Bangor 0 1231 41.77% 14.46%
15 1958-12-13 15.78 Portadown 3 1272 44.78% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1202 40.77% 14.45%
16 1958-12-06 15.71 Glenavon 6 1420 56.43% @ Derry City 1 1263 29.26% 14.31%
17 1959-02-14 15.59 @ Portadown 5 1342 62.19% Bangor 0 1246 23.53% 14.28%
18 1958-12-27 15.14 @ Glenavon 7 1445 62.45% Glentoran 1 1347 23.28% 14.27%
19 1958-11-29 14.83 @ Bangor 3 1257 47.59% Derry City 0 1278 37.95% 14.46%
20 1959-02-07 14.68 Portadown 8 1327 66.68% @ Cliftonville 1 1076 19.33% 13.99%
21 1958-12-27 14.61 @ Linfield 5 1386 51.71% Ards 1 1377 33.85% 14.44%
22 1959-01-03 14.57 @ Crusaders 3 1239 48.35% Bangor 0 1255 37.19% 14.46%
23 1959-03-14 14.18 @ Linfield 5 1428 64.59% Ballymena United 0 1308 21.20% 14.21%
24 1958-12-26 13.99 Derry City 5 1243 34.72% @ Crusaders 2 1246 50.83% 14.45%
25 1959-03-07 13.97 Linfield 6 1414 30.40% @ Glenavon 3 1450 55.19% 14.41%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-01-24 66.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1198 36.79% Coleraine 4 1296 48.78% 14.43%
2 1958-12-20 66.2 @ Crusaders 4 1255 59.14% Lisburn Distillery 4 1186 26.52% 14.35%
3 1959-03-31 64.3 @ Ballymena United 3 1310 42.16% Ards 3 1369 43.38% 14.46%
4 1958-12-13 63.6 @ Glentoran 3 1335 60.47% Crusaders 3 1254 25.22% 14.32%
5 1958-12-30 63.3 @ Glentoran 3 1332 65.74% Lisburn Distillery 3 1201 20.09% 14.17%
6 1959-03-30 63.2 @ Coleraine 3 1288 57.80% Bangor 3 1230 27.83% 14.37%
7 1959-04-04 59.6 @ Glenavon 2 1451 75.55% Derry City 2 1193 10.87% 13.58%
8 1959-04-04 59.2 Lisburn Distillery 5 1171 14.57% @ Ards 3 1369 71.54% 13.89%
9 1959-03-30 59.1 Ballymena United 4 1302 26.68% @ Portadown 3 1370 58.97% 14.35%
10 1959-03-07 58.6 @ Coleraine 2 1318 66.65% Lisburn Distillery 2 1177 19.22% 14.13%
11 1958-12-25 58.4 Portadown 3 1313 19.73% @ Glenavon 2 1448 66.11% 14.15%
12 1959-04-25 58.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1192 38.55% Crusaders 2 1277 47.01% 14.44%
13 1959-02-07 57.8 Ards 3 1343 23.26% @ Glenavon 2 1442 62.47% 14.27%
14 1959-03-07 56.6 @ Glentoran 1 1370 47.99% Ards 1 1388 37.55% 14.46%
15 1959-03-07 56.0 Linfield 6 1414 30.40% @ Glenavon 3 1450 55.19% 14.41%
16 1959-02-21 55.9 @ Glenavon 1 1441 70.04% Crusaders 1 1261 15.99% 13.98%
17 1959-03-07 55.9 Derry City 3 1183 19.86% @ Ballymena United 2 1316 65.98% 14.16%
18 1959-01-10 55.3 @ Bangor 4 1240 36.68% Portadown 3 1339 48.90% 14.42%
19 1958-12-06 54.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1201 24.42% Ards 1 1400 61.39% 14.19%
20 1958-12-20 54.9 @ Coleraine 1 1287 43.92% Glentoran 1 1334 41.62% 14.46%
21 1958-12-06 54.8 @ Portadown 1 1272 41.65% Glentoran 1 1335 43.89% 14.46%
22 1959-01-24 54.7 @ Portadown 1 1333 60.39% Crusaders 1 1254 25.29% 14.32%
23 1959-02-14 54.3 @ Crusaders 3 1258 29.07% Linfield 2 1416 56.62% 14.31%
24 1959-02-07 54.1 @ Bangor 1 1247 56.68% Lisburn Distillery 1 1199 28.94% 14.39%
25 1959-03-28 54.0 @ Derry City 1 1197 69.18% Cliftonville 1 1028 16.79% 14.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-04-04 23.8 Linfield 4 1465 79.76% @ Cliftonville 0 1021 7.41% 12.83%
2 1958-11-29 24.6 @ Glenavon 6 1412 76.91% Cliftonville 0 1131 9.65% 13.44%
3 1959-02-14 24.6 @ Ards 7 1351 77.37% Cliftonville 0 1062 9.24% 13.39%
4 1958-12-20 25.2 @ Ballymena United 5 1314 72.93% Cliftonville 0 1097 13.28% 13.80%
5 1959-03-04 26.2 @ Glenavon 7 1439 75.18% Lisburn Distillery 0 1188 11.21% 13.61%
6 1959-03-30 26.2 @ Crusaders 3 1289 75.66% Cliftonville 0 1029 10.77% 13.57%
7 1958-12-06 26.7 @ Linfield 9 1369 74.84% Cliftonville 0 1123 11.52% 13.65%
8 1959-03-31 26.8 @ Linfield 3 1461 77.23% Lisburn Distillery 0 1175 9.37% 13.41%
9 1959-02-28 28.4 @ Coleraine 6 1312 75.63% Cliftonville 1 1053 10.80% 13.57%
10 1959-03-18 28.7 Coleraine 3 1292 67.23% @ Cliftonville 0 1035 18.80% 13.96%
11 1959-03-31 28.9 Glentoran 2 1367 74.04% @ Cliftonville 0 1025 12.44% 13.52%
12 1958-12-12 29.1 @ Linfield 4 1383 65.01% Bangor 0 1260 20.80% 14.19%
13 1958-12-26 29.1 @ Portadown 2 1321 73.27% Cliftonville 0 1099 12.96% 13.77%
14 1959-02-14 29.1 @ Portadown 5 1342 62.19% Bangor 0 1246 23.53% 14.28%
15 1959-04-25 29.3 @ Linfield 2 1463 76.54% Derry City 0 1189 9.98% 13.48%
16 1959-03-14 29.9 @ Linfield 5 1428 64.59% Ballymena United 0 1308 21.20% 14.21%
17 1959-03-04 30.1 Ards 5 1382 73.58% @ Cliftonville 1 1047 12.86% 13.56%
18 1959-02-07 30.3 Portadown 8 1327 66.68% @ Cliftonville 1 1076 19.33% 13.99%
19 1959-03-31 30.6 @ Glenavon 3 1443 68.09% Coleraine 0 1287 17.84% 14.07%
20 1959-02-21 31.0 Ards 6 1360 56.10% @ Derry City 0 1206 29.58% 14.32%
21 1959-04-11 31.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1184 69.01% Cliftonville 1 1017 16.96% 14.03%
22 1959-02-17 32.0 Glentoran 4 1360 54.08% @ Derry City 0 1222 31.56% 14.36%
23 1959-03-07 32.0 @ Bangor 1 1237 71.36% Cliftonville 0 1041 14.74% 13.90%
24 1959-02-14 32.1 @ Glentoran 2 1354 65.27% Derry City 0 1228 20.55% 14.19%
25 1959-03-14 32.3 @ Portadown 6 1343 53.92% Coleraine 0 1316 31.65% 14.42%