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1957-58 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ards

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ballymena United

7.67 points above expected

28 points · 20.33 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Linfield

6.28 points below expected

25 points · 31.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ards 22 16 4 2 36 68 32 +36 30.64 +5.36
2 Glenavon 22 17 0 5 34 67 35 +32 31.20 +2.80
3 Ballymena United 22 13 2 7 28 51 41 +10 20.33 +7.67
4 Linfield 22 11 3 8 25 68 48 +20 31.28 -6.28
5 Glentoran 22 12 1 9 25 50 38 +12 24.78 +0.22
6 Coleraine 22 8 5 9 21 53 59 -6 21.17 -0.17
7 Bangor 22 9 3 10 21 40 48 -8 22.69 -1.69
8 Derry City 22 8 4 10 20 40 44 -4 19.25 +0.75
9 Portadown 22 7 3 12 17 43 48 -5 17.50 -0.50
10 Lisburn Distillery 22 5 6 11 16 36 53 -17 17.04 -1.04
11 Crusaders 22 7 1 14 15 38 57 -19 16.99 -1.99
12 Cliftonville 22 2 2 18 6 35 86 -51 11.13 -5.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ballymena United 28 20.33 +7.67
2 Ards 36 30.64 +5.36
3 Glenavon 34 31.20 +2.80
4 Derry City 20 19.25 +0.75
5 Glentoran 25 24.78 +0.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 25 31.28 -6.28
2 Cliftonville 6 11.13 -5.13
3 Crusaders 15 16.99 -1.99
4 Bangor 21 22.69 -1.69
5 Lisburn Distillery 16 17.04 -1.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 3 Apr 8 – Apr 19 1 in 124
2 Ballymena United 3 Dec 26 – Jan 4 1 in 19
3 Ards 5 Dec 14 – Dec 28 1 in 18
4 Portadown 3 Feb 8 – Feb 22 1 in 14
5 Glentoran 4 Mar 29 – Apr 12 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 5 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 4,342
2 Crusaders 9 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 297
3 Portadown 4 Apr 8 – Apr 21 1 in 27
4 Bangor 3 Feb 8 – Feb 15 1 in 15
5 Cliftonville 6 Dec 21 – Jan 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 4 Apr 5 – Apr 19 1 in 60
2 Ards 15 Dec 14 – Mar 22 1 in 57
3 Portadown 5 Jan 11 – Feb 22 1 in 31
4 Linfield 10 Dec 25 – Feb 22 1 in 21
5 Derry City 3 Mar 8 – Mar 29 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 16 Dec 26 – Apr 12 1 in 489
2 Linfield 5 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 250
3 Crusaders 9 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 36
4 Ards 2 Mar 22 – Mar 29 1 in 10
5 Derry City 5 Dec 28 – Feb 8 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ards 1604 36 +30 8 7.1 +0.9
Glenavon 1578 34 -14 6 7.6 -1.6
Ballymena United 1391 28 +7 5 3.7 +1.3
Glentoran 1438 25 +38 8 6.1 +1.9
Linfield 1498 25 -63 2 7.0 -5.0
Coleraine 1372 21 +44 6 4.1 +1.9
Bangor 1313 21 -44 3 4.8 -1.8
Derry City 1348 20 +26 7 5.9 +1.1
Portadown 1323 17 -31 2 4.3 -2.3
Lisburn Distillery 1219 16 +2 3 2.7 +0.3
Crusaders 1278 15 +29 7 3.7 +3.3
Cliftonville 1093 6 -31 1 2.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-1-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
5.12
1-0-1
3.93
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
4.89
2-0-0
4.32
Ballymena United
0-1-1
1.51
 —
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.95
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.31
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.33
Bangor
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
3.62
 —
1-1-0
4.29
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.68
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.42
Cliftonville
0-0-2
0.63
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
1.44
 —
0-1-1
1.43
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.87
Coleraine
1-0-1
1.80
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
4.30
 —
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
1.46
0-1-1
3.54
0-0-2
3.30
Crusaders
0-0-2
1.34
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
2.00
 —
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
1.01
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
1.26
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.79
Derry City
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
4.42
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.05
 —
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
2.06
2-0-0
1.13
0-2-0
3.35
1-1-0
2.89
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
4.26
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.90
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.73
2-0-0
4.55
 —
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
3.06
2-0-0
4.66
2-0-0
4.51
Glentoran
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
4.51
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.67
0-0-2
1.84
 —
0-0-2
2.16
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.39
Linfield
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
4.42
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.84
0-1-1
4.27
1-0-1
4.47
0-0-2
4.60
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.57
 —
0-1-1
4.64
1-0-1
4.39
Lisburn Distillery
0-2-0
0.85
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.14
1-1-0
1.09
 —
1-0-1
3.29
Portadown
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.34
1-0-1
2.43
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +5.6
Allowed 0.78 -5.1
Differential 0.94 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.92%2.27%2.65%0.76%1.52%12.12%
14.92%3.79%7.95%2.65%1.52%4.55%25.38%
22.27%7.95%5.30%5.30%2.65%3.41%26.89%
32.65%2.65%5.30%2.27%2.27%1.14%16.29%
40.76%1.52%2.65%2.27%1.52%—8.71%
5+1.52%4.55%3.41%1.14%——10.61%
Total12.12%25.38%26.89%16.29%8.71%10.61%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.23 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.50
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
4—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
5+—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.45 +1.64
SD 1.63 1.30 1.76
CV 0.53 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.86 +0.45
SD 1.39 1.49 2.40
CV 0.60 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
29.09%13.64%———4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.18 -0.36
SD 1.30 1.79 2.52
CV 0.71 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%—4.55%13.64%36.36%
2———4.55%9.09%9.09%22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%
4———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total—9.09%22.73%9.09%27.27%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 3.91 -2.32
SD 1.22 1.95 2.21
CV 0.77 0.50 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%—13.64%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
4——9.09%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%13.64%36.36%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.68 -0.27
SD 1.40 1.70 2.23
CV 0.58 0.63 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 1 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
113.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
2———4.55%13.64%9.09%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%9.09%22.73%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.59 -0.86
SD 1.28 1.84 2.08
CV 0.74 0.71 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
1——13.64%——9.09%22.73%
29.09%9.09%18.18%4.55%——40.91%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%40.91%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.00 -0.18
SD 1.47 1.60 2.42
CV 0.81 0.80 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
113.64%———4.55%—18.18%
2—13.64%—9.09%——22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.59 +1.45
SD 2.21 1.22 2.46
CV 0.73 0.77 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%36.36%
2—4.55%————4.55%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%4.55%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.73 +0.55
SD 2.12 1.55 2.96
CV 0.93 0.90 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
1———4.55%——4.55%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
4—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
5+—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
Total4.55%31.82%18.18%31.82%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 2.18 +0.91
SD 1.95 1.18 2.39
CV 0.63 0.54 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%—9.09%18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2—4.55%18.18%18.18%4.55%—45.45%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%31.82%31.82%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.41 -0.77
SD 1.00 1.44 2.00
CV 0.61 0.60 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%—9.09%31.82%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total9.09%22.73%31.82%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.18 -0.23
SD 1.59 1.44 2.16
CV 0.81 0.66 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ards 1604 36 30.64 +5.36 98.0% 22 25 28 31 33 35 37
Glenavon 1578 34 31.20 +2.80 87.0% 23 26 29 31 34 36 40
Linfield 1498 25 31.28 -6.28 8.0% 23 25 29 31 34 37 39
Glentoran 1438 25 24.78 +0.22 53.0% 12 18 22 24 28 32 35
Ballymena United 1391 28 20.33 +7.67 96.0% 10 13 17 20 23 28 30
Coleraine 1372 21 21.17 -0.17 56.0% 12 13 19 21 23 29 31
Derry City 1348 20 19.25 +0.75 64.0% 10 12 17 19 23 26 30
Portadown 1323 17 17.50 -0.50 52.0% 5 12 15 17 20 24 27
Bangor 1313 21 22.69 -1.69 41.0% 13 17 20 23 25 28 32
Crusaders 1278 15 16.99 -1.99 39.0% 10 10 13 17 20 25 26
Lisburn Distillery 1219 16 17.04 -1.04 50.0% 6 11 15 16 19 24 27
Cliftonville 1093 6 11.13 -5.13 6.0% 4 6 8 11 14 16 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
47.73%12.88%39.39%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Ards, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.1 * Some Luck: 3.1 to 4.65 * Lucky: 4.65 to 6.21 * Wild Swing: 6.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.41 * Way Off: 2.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.76 points
Some Luck
03.8810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Ards
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 145.62
1.91
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.74
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ards29.00%32.00%26.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%——————
Glenavon32.00%31.00%24.00%11.00%—2.00%——————
Ballymena United—2.00%2.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%
Linfield34.00%24.00%25.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Glentoran4.00%9.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%—3.00%—
Coleraine1.00%—3.00%11.00%9.00%22.00%21.00%14.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%
Bangor—1.00%4.00%20.00%21.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Derry City—1.00%1.00%4.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%21.00%12.00%10.00%2.00%
Portadown———3.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%22.00%14.00%7.00%
Lisburn Distillery——1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%19.00%10.00%28.00%22.00%5.00%
Crusaders———3.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%19.00%13.00%
Cliftonville————————2.00%10.00%19.00%69.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1957-11-30 Linfield W 3-151.8 1239 1524 15.71% 13.31% 70.98%-1.71 +26.3 2
1957-11-30 @ Ballymena United L 1-351.8 1524 1239 70.98% 13.31% 15.71%+1.71 -26.3 0
1957-11-30 Derry City W 4-030.6 1365 1323 54.80% 13.63% 31.57%+0.47 +27.4 2
1957-11-30 @ Bangor L 0-430.6 1323 1365 31.57% 13.63% 54.80%-0.47 -27.4 0
1957-11-30 Glenavon L 0-133.8 1230 1531 14.46% 13.27% 72.27%-1.82 -3.7 0
1957-11-30 @ Cliftonville W 1-033.8 1531 1230 72.27% 13.27% 14.46%+1.82 +3.7 2
1957-11-30 Lisburn Distillery L 1-249.5 1394 1336 56.87% 13.62% 29.51%+0.58 -12.2 0
1957-11-30 @ Coleraine W 2-149.5 1336 1394 29.51% 13.62% 56.87%-0.58 +12.2 2
1957-11-30 Ards L 0-145.5 1418 1459 43.45% 13.66% 42.89%-0.08 -10.1 0
1957-11-30 @ Glentoran W 1-045.5 1459 1418 42.89% 13.66% 43.45%+0.08 +10.1 2
1957-11-30 Crusaders L 0-141.1 1299 1337 43.87% 13.66% 42.47%-0.06 -10.2 0
1957-11-30 @ Portadown W 1-041.1 1337 1299 42.47% 13.66% 43.87%+0.06 +10.2 2
1957-12-07 Coleraine L 3-461.7 1470 1382 60.35% 13.59% 26.06%+0.78 -12.0 2
1957-12-07 @ Ards W 4-361.7 1382 1470 26.06% 13.59% 60.35%-0.78 +12.0 2
1957-12-07 Bangor L 1-338.7 1266 1392 31.80% 13.61% 54.59%-0.65 -12.6 2
1957-12-07 @ Ballymena United W 3-138.7 1392 1266 54.59% 13.61% 31.80%+0.65 +12.6 4
1957-12-07 Glentoran L 0-141.7 1348 1408 40.82% 13.65% 45.52%-0.21 -9.6 2
1957-12-07 @ Crusaders W 1-041.7 1408 1348 45.52% 13.65% 40.82%+0.21 +9.6 2
1957-12-07 Glenavon L 2-344.8 1296 1535 19.55% 13.43% 67.03%-1.40 -4.4 0
1957-12-07 @ Derry City W 3-244.8 1535 1296 67.03% 13.43% 19.55%+1.40 +4.4 4
1957-12-07 Cliftonville W 4-130.8 1498 1226 75.98% 13.19% 10.83%+2.01 +6.5 2
1957-12-07 @ Linfield L 1-430.8 1226 1498 10.83% 13.19% 75.98%-2.01 -6.5 0
1957-12-07 Lisburn Distillery L 0-334.4 1289 1348 40.88% 13.65% 45.47%-0.20 -26.3 0
1957-12-07 @ Portadown W 3-034.4 1348 1289 45.47% 13.65% 40.88%+0.20 +26.3 4
1957-12-14 Crusaders W 6-133.5 1458 1338 63.81% 13.54% 22.65%+0.99 +20.7 4
1957-12-14 @ Ards L 1-633.5 1338 1458 22.65% 13.54% 63.81%-0.99 -20.7 2
1957-12-14 Bangor D 1-155.1 1219 1405 24.87% 13.53% 61.60%-1.05 +2.0 1
1957-12-14 @ Cliftonville D 1-155.1 1405 1219 61.60% 13.53% 24.87%+1.05 -2.0 5
1957-12-14 Portadown L 2-355.5 1394 1262 65.04% 13.52% 21.44%+1.07 -13.2 2
1957-12-14 @ Coleraine W 3-255.5 1262 1394 21.44% 13.52% 65.04%-1.07 +13.2 2
1957-12-14 Ballymena United L 1-247.1 1292 1253 54.43% 13.63% 31.94%+0.45 -11.7 0
1957-12-14 @ Derry City W 2-147.1 1253 1292 31.94% 13.63% 54.43%-0.45 +11.7 4
1957-12-14 Linfield L 2-362.5 1539 1504 53.99% 13.64% 32.37%+0.43 -11.0 4
1957-12-14 @ Glenavon W 3-262.5 1504 1539 32.37% 13.64% 53.99%-0.43 +11.0 4
1957-12-14 Glentoran L 1-344.2 1374 1417 43.28% 13.66% 43.06%-0.09 -16.5 4
1957-12-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.2 1417 1374 43.06% 13.66% 43.28%+0.09 +16.5 4
1957-12-21 Cliftonville W 4-029.2 1265 1221 55.02% 13.63% 31.35%+0.48 +27.2 6
1957-12-21 @ Ballymena United L 0-429.2 1221 1265 31.35% 13.63% 55.02%-0.48 -27.2 1
1957-12-21 Glenavon L 1-247.2 1403 1528 32.00% 13.61% 54.39%-0.64 -7.3 5
1957-12-21 @ Bangor W 2-147.2 1528 1403 54.39% 13.61% 32.00%+0.64 +7.3 6
1957-12-21 Lisburn Distillery L 2-349.3 1317 1358 43.59% 13.66% 42.75%-0.08 -9.1 2
1957-12-21 @ Crusaders W 3-249.3 1358 1317 42.75% 13.66% 43.59%+0.08 +9.1 6
1957-12-21 Coleraine W 5-136.9 1434 1381 56.25% 13.62% 30.13%+0.55 +21.9 6
1957-12-21 @ Glentoran L 1-536.9 1381 1434 30.13% 13.62% 56.25%-0.55 -21.9 2
1957-12-21 Derry City L 0-249.1 1515 1280 73.68% 13.29% 13.03%+1.77 -31.6 4
1957-12-21 @ Linfield W 2-049.1 1280 1515 13.03% 13.29% 73.68%-1.77 +31.6 2
1957-12-21 Ards L 1-239.7 1275 1478 23.05% 13.50% 63.45%-1.16 -5.4 2
1957-12-21 @ Portadown W 2-139.7 1478 1275 63.45% 13.50% 23.05%+1.16 +5.4 6
1957-12-25 Bangor W 5-243.1 1484 1396 60.40% 13.58% 26.02%+0.78 +12.9 8
1957-12-25 @ Ards L 2-543.1 1396 1484 26.02% 13.58% 60.40%-0.78 -12.9 5
1957-12-25 Derry City W 1-037.5 1359 1312 55.51% 13.63% 30.86%+0.51 +7.5 4
1957-12-25 @ Coleraine L 0-137.5 1312 1359 30.86% 13.63% 55.51%-0.51 -7.5 2
1957-12-25 Ballymena United W 5-240.9 1308 1292 51.52% 13.65% 34.84%+0.30 +16.7 4
1957-12-25 @ Crusaders L 2-540.9 1292 1308 34.84% 13.65% 51.52%-0.30 -16.7 6
1957-12-25 Linfield L 0-245.0 1456 1483 45.42% 13.66% 40.92%+0.01 -19.9 6
1957-12-25 @ Glentoran W 2-045.0 1483 1456 40.92% 13.66% 45.42%-0.01 +19.9 6
1957-12-25 Cliftonville W 3-240.6 1367 1194 68.89% 13.44% 17.67%+1.35 +4.0 8
1957-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-340.6 1194 1367 17.67% 13.44% 68.89%-1.35 -4.0 1
1957-12-25 Glenavon L 2-343.5 1270 1536 17.23% 13.36% 69.41%-1.58 -3.9 2
1957-12-25 @ Portadown W 3-243.5 1536 1270 69.41% 13.36% 17.23%+1.58 +3.9 8
1957-12-26 Glentoran W 5-143.6 1275 1436 27.69% 13.57% 58.74%-0.88 +39.8 8
1957-12-26 @ Ballymena United L 1-543.6 1436 1275 58.74% 13.57% 27.69%+0.88 -39.8 6
1957-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 2-143.5 1383 1371 50.89% 13.65% 35.47%+0.27 +8.0 7
1957-12-26 @ Bangor L 1-243.5 1371 1383 35.47% 13.65% 50.89%-0.27 -8.0 8
1957-12-26 Portadown L 1-242.0 1190 1266 38.58% 13.65% 47.78%-0.31 -8.6 1
1957-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 2-142.0 1266 1190 47.78% 13.65% 38.58%+0.31 +8.6 4
1957-12-26 Crusaders W 2-143.3 1304 1325 46.39% 13.66% 39.96%+0.05 +8.9 4
1957-12-26 @ Derry City L 1-243.3 1325 1304 39.96% 13.66% 46.39%-0.05 -8.9 4
1957-12-26 Ards L 0-348.8 1540 1497 54.98% 13.63% 31.39%+0.48 -34.3 8
1957-12-26 @ Glenavon W 3-048.8 1497 1540 31.39% 13.63% 54.98%-0.48 +34.3 10
1957-12-26 Coleraine D 3-368.0 1503 1366 65.58% 13.51% 20.91%+1.11 -1.5 7
1957-12-26 @ Linfield D 3-368.0 1366 1503 20.91% 13.51% 65.58%-1.11 +1.5 5
1957-12-28 Derry City W 2-139.0 1531 1313 72.46% 13.34% 14.20%+1.65 +3.4 12
1957-12-28 @ Ards L 1-239.0 1313 1531 14.20% 13.34% 72.46%-1.65 -3.5 4
1957-12-28 Glenavon L 2-839.5 1368 1505 30.48% 13.60% 55.92%-0.72 -26.5 5
1957-12-28 @ Coleraine W 8-239.5 1505 1368 55.92% 13.60% 30.48%+0.72 +26.5 10
1957-12-28 Bangor L 1-243.7 1316 1391 38.76% 13.65% 47.59%-0.31 -8.7 4
1957-12-28 @ Crusaders W 2-143.7 1391 1316 47.59% 13.65% 38.76%+0.31 +8.7 9
1957-12-28 Cliftonville W 7-025.6 1396 1182 72.21% 13.35% 14.44%+1.63 +22.6 8
1957-12-28 @ Glentoran L 0-725.6 1182 1396 14.44% 13.35% 72.21%-1.63 -22.6 1
1957-12-28 Ballymena United L 0-537.4 1363 1315 55.63% 13.63% 30.75%+0.52 -55.9 8
1957-12-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-037.4 1315 1363 30.75% 13.63% 55.63%-0.52 +55.9 10
1957-12-28 Linfield L 2-636.5 1275 1502 20.65% 13.45% 65.90%-1.32 -13.2 4
1957-12-28 @ Portadown W 6-236.5 1502 1275 65.90% 13.45% 20.65%+1.32 +13.2 9
1958-01-04 Portadown W 1-035.0 1371 1262 62.74% 13.56% 23.70%+0.92 +5.9 12
1958-01-04 @ Ballymena United L 0-135.0 1262 1371 23.70% 13.56% 62.74%-0.92 -5.9 4
1958-01-04 Glentoran W 2-039.6 1399 1419 46.65% 13.66% 39.69%+0.07 +17.7 11
1958-01-04 @ Bangor L 0-239.6 1419 1399 39.69% 13.66% 46.65%-0.07 -17.7 8
1958-01-04 Cliftonville W 2-135.6 1341 1159 69.68% 13.42% 16.90%+1.41 +4.1 7
1958-01-04 @ Coleraine L 1-235.6 1159 1341 16.90% 13.42% 69.68%-1.41 -4.1 1
1958-01-04 Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.1 1309 1307 49.61% 13.65% 36.74%+0.21 -0.5 5
1958-01-04 @ Derry City D 2-259.1 1307 1309 36.74% 13.65% 49.61%-0.21 +0.5 9
1958-01-04 Crusaders W 1-035.4 1532 1307 72.92% 13.32% 13.76%+1.69 +3.5 12
1958-01-04 @ Glenavon L 0-135.4 1307 1532 13.76% 13.32% 72.92%-1.69 -3.5 4
1958-01-04 Ards D 4-477.7 1515 1534 46.60% 13.66% 39.74%+0.06 -0.2 10
1958-01-04 @ Linfield D 4-477.7 1534 1515 39.74% 13.66% 46.60%-0.06 +0.2 13
1958-01-11 Cliftonville W 7-229.1 1535 1155 81.05% 12.80% 6.15%+2.73 +5.0 15
1958-01-11 @ Ards L 2-729.1 1155 1535 6.15% 12.80% 81.05%-2.73 -4.9 1
1958-01-11 Ballymena United W 4-246.9 1345 1377 44.90% 13.66% 41.45%-0.02 +14.2 9
1958-01-11 @ Coleraine L 2-446.9 1377 1345 41.45% 13.66% 44.90%+0.02 -14.2 12
1958-01-11 Linfield L 2-637.9 1304 1515 22.23% 13.48% 64.28%-1.21 -14.1 4
1958-01-11 @ Crusaders W 6-237.9 1515 1304 64.28% 13.48% 22.23%+1.21 +14.1 12
1958-01-11 Derry City W 5-133.6 1401 1309 60.83% 13.58% 25.59%+0.81 +18.9 10
1958-01-11 @ Glentoran L 1-533.6 1309 1401 25.59% 13.58% 60.83%-0.81 -18.9 5
1958-01-11 Glenavon L 2-443.0 1308 1535 20.60% 13.45% 65.95%-1.33 -7.6 9
1958-01-11 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-243.0 1535 1308 65.95% 13.45% 20.60%+1.33 +7.6 14
1958-01-11 Bangor D 3-364.1 1256 1417 27.59% 13.56% 58.84%-0.89 +1.0 5
1958-01-11 @ Portadown D 3-364.1 1417 1256 58.84% 13.56% 27.59%+0.89 -1.1 12
1958-01-18 Ards D 1-160.4 1363 1540 25.83% 13.54% 60.63%-0.99 +1.9 13
1958-01-18 @ Ballymena United D 1-160.4 1540 1363 60.63% 13.54% 25.83%+0.99 -1.9 16
1958-01-18 Coleraine W 2-142.2 1416 1360 56.67% 13.62% 29.71%+0.57 +6.8 14
1958-01-18 @ Bangor L 1-242.2 1360 1416 29.71% 13.62% 56.67%-0.57 -6.8 9
1958-01-18 Crusaders W 4-355.9 1150 1290 30.17% 13.59% 56.23%-0.74 +11.2 3
1958-01-18 @ Cliftonville L 3-455.9 1290 1150 56.23% 13.59% 30.17%+0.74 -11.2 4
1958-01-18 Portadown D 2-258.7 1290 1257 53.75% 13.64% 32.62%+0.42 -0.8 6
1958-01-18 @ Derry City D 2-258.7 1257 1290 32.62% 13.64% 53.75%-0.42 +0.8 6
1958-01-18 Glentoran W 5-139.2 1543 1420 64.19% 13.53% 22.28%+1.02 +16.6 16
1958-01-18 @ Glenavon L 1-539.2 1420 1543 22.28% 13.53% 64.19%-1.02 -16.6 10
1958-01-18 Lisburn Distillery D 3-367.0 1529 1300 73.23% 13.31% 13.46%+1.72 -2.1 13
1958-01-18 @ Linfield D 3-367.0 1300 1529 13.46% 13.31% 73.23%-1.72 +2.1 10
1958-02-08 Ballymena United L 0-244.0 1423 1364 56.90% 13.62% 29.48%+0.58 -24.4 14
1958-02-08 @ Bangor W 2-044.0 1364 1423 29.48% 13.62% 56.90%-0.58 +24.4 15
1958-02-08 Linfield L 1-727.7 1161 1527 10.48% 13.07% 76.45%-2.25 -11.8 3
1958-02-08 @ Cliftonville W 7-127.7 1527 1161 76.45% 13.07% 10.48%+2.25 +11.8 15
1958-02-08 Ards L 1-341.3 1353 1538 24.95% 13.53% 61.52%-1.04 -10.1 9
1958-02-08 @ Coleraine W 3-141.3 1538 1353 61.52% 13.53% 24.95%+1.04 +10.1 18
1958-02-08 Derry City W 7-131.0 1560 1289 75.90% 13.19% 10.91%+2.00 +12.3 18
1958-02-08 @ Glenavon L 1-731.0 1289 1560 10.91% 13.19% 75.90%-2.00 -12.3 6
1958-02-08 Crusaders W 5-237.8 1403 1279 64.32% 13.53% 22.14%+1.03 +11.1 12
1958-02-08 @ Glentoran L 2-537.8 1279 1403 22.14% 13.53% 64.32%-1.03 -11.1 4
1958-02-08 Portadown L 0-636.9 1302 1258 55.19% 13.63% 31.18%+0.49 -65.9 10
1958-02-08 @ Lisburn Distillery W 6-036.9 1258 1302 31.18% 13.63% 55.19%-0.49 +65.9 8
1958-02-11 Bangor W 5-349.4 1539 1398 65.87% 13.51% 20.62%+1.13 +7.2 17
1958-02-11 @ Linfield L 3-549.4 1398 1539 20.62% 13.51% 65.87%-1.13 -7.2 14
1958-02-15 Glentoran W 5-138.8 1548 1414 65.23% 13.52% 21.26%+1.09 +16.0 20
1958-02-15 @ Ards L 1-538.8 1414 1548 21.26% 13.52% 65.23%-1.09 -15.9 12
1958-02-15 Portadown L 0-334.2 1268 1323 41.40% 13.65% 44.95%-0.18 -26.6 4
1958-02-15 @ Crusaders W 3-034.2 1323 1268 44.95% 13.65% 41.40%+0.18 +26.6 10
1958-02-15 Bangor W 4-142.9 1277 1391 33.41% 13.62% 52.97%-0.57 +28.0 8
1958-02-15 @ Derry City L 1-442.9 1391 1277 52.97% 13.62% 33.41%+0.57 -28.0 14
1958-02-15 Cliftonville W 6-335.4 1572 1149 82.49% 12.62% 4.89%+3.02 +2.4 20
1958-02-15 @ Glenavon L 3-635.4 1149 1572 4.89% 12.62% 82.49%-3.02 -2.4 3
1958-02-15 Ballymena United W 5-137.2 1546 1389 67.45% 13.48% 19.08%+1.24 +14.4 19
1958-02-15 @ Linfield L 1-537.2 1389 1546 19.08% 13.48% 67.45%-1.24 -14.4 15
1958-02-15 Coleraine D 2-258.8 1236 1343 34.47% 13.63% 51.90%-0.52 +0.7 11
1958-02-15 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.8 1343 1236 51.90% 13.63% 34.47%+0.52 -0.7 10
1958-02-17 Ards D 1-157.7 1237 1564 12.77% 13.20% 74.03%-1.99 +3.5 12
1958-02-17 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-157.7 1564 1237 74.03% 13.20% 12.77%+1.99 -3.5 21
1958-02-22 Derry City W 2-140.2 1375 1305 58.25% 13.61% 28.14%+0.66 +6.5 17
1958-02-22 @ Ballymena United L 1-240.2 1305 1375 28.14% 13.61% 58.25%-0.66 -6.5 8
1958-02-22 Cliftonville W 5-128.6 1363 1147 72.35% 13.34% 14.31%+1.64 +11.0 16
1958-02-22 @ Bangor L 1-528.6 1147 1363 14.31% 13.34% 72.35%-1.64 -11.0 3
1958-02-22 Ards L 1-433.0 1241 1560 13.25% 13.22% 73.53%-1.94 -7.9 4
1958-02-22 @ Crusaders W 4-133.0 1560 1241 73.53% 13.22% 13.25%+1.94 +7.9 23
1958-02-22 Lisburn Distillery W 3-241.5 1398 1241 67.54% 13.47% 18.99%+1.25 +4.3 14
1958-02-22 @ Glentoran L 2-341.5 1241 1398 18.99% 13.47% 67.54%-1.25 -4.3 12
1958-02-22 Glenavon W 4-151.8 1560 1574 47.35% 13.66% 39.00%+0.10 +21.3 21
1958-02-22 @ Linfield L 1-451.8 1574 1560 39.00% 13.66% 47.35%-0.10 -21.3 20
1958-02-22 Coleraine W 5-348.1 1350 1342 50.42% 13.65% 35.93%+0.25 +11.9 12
1958-02-22 @ Portadown L 3-548.1 1342 1350 35.93% 13.65% 50.42%-0.25 -11.9 10
1958-03-01 Coleraine L 2-443.6 1233 1330 35.70% 13.63% 50.66%-0.45 -12.5 4
1958-03-01 @ Crusaders W 4-243.6 1330 1233 50.66% 13.63% 35.70%+0.45 +12.5 12
1958-03-08 Portadown W 3-246.5 1568 1362 71.58% 13.37% 15.05%+1.57 +3.5 25
1958-03-08 @ Ards L 2-346.5 1362 1568 15.05% 13.37% 71.58%-1.57 -3.5 12
1958-03-08 Ballymena United L 2-438.4 1136 1381 18.99% 13.41% 67.60%-1.44 -7.0 3
1958-03-08 @ Cliftonville W 4-238.4 1381 1136 67.60% 13.41% 18.99%+1.44 +7.0 19
1958-03-08 Glentoran W 2-146.4 1343 1403 40.81% 13.65% 45.54%-0.21 +10.0 14
1958-03-08 @ Coleraine L 1-246.4 1403 1343 45.54% 13.65% 40.81%+0.21 -10.0 14
1958-03-08 Linfield W 3-261.6 1298 1581 15.84% 13.32% 70.84%-1.70 +14.4 10
1958-03-08 @ Derry City L 2-361.6 1581 1298 70.84% 13.32% 15.84%+1.70 -14.4 21
1958-03-08 Bangor W 5-031.5 1553 1374 69.37% 13.43% 17.20%+1.39 +19.4 22
1958-03-08 @ Glenavon L 0-531.5 1374 1553 17.20% 13.43% 69.37%-1.39 -19.4 16
1958-03-08 Crusaders L 0-142.5 1236 1221 51.42% 13.65% 34.93%+0.30 -11.8 12
1958-03-08 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-042.5 1221 1236 34.93% 13.65% 51.42%-0.30 +11.8 6
1958-03-15 Crusaders W 4-239.0 1388 1232 67.35% 13.48% 19.17%+1.23 +7.1 21
1958-03-15 @ Ballymena United L 2-439.0 1232 1388 19.17% 13.48% 67.35%-1.23 -7.1 6
1958-03-15 Ards L 1-243.9 1355 1572 21.67% 13.47% 64.86%-1.25 -5.1 16
1958-03-15 @ Bangor W 2-143.9 1572 1355 64.86% 13.47% 21.67%+1.25 +5.1 27
1958-03-15 Lisburn Distillery W 3-249.9 1129 1224 35.90% 13.63% 50.46%-0.44 +10.3 5
1958-03-15 @ Cliftonville L 2-349.9 1224 1129 50.46% 13.63% 35.90%+0.44 -10.4 12
1958-03-15 Coleraine D 2-259.5 1313 1352 43.73% 13.66% 42.62%-0.07 -0.0 11
1958-03-15 @ Derry City D 2-259.5 1352 1313 42.62% 13.66% 43.73%+0.07 +0.0 15
1958-03-15 Portadown W 5-241.2 1572 1358 72.16% 13.35% 14.49%+1.62 +7.5 24
1958-03-15 @ Glenavon L 2-541.2 1358 1572 14.49% 13.35% 72.16%-1.62 -7.5 12
1958-03-15 Glentoran W 3-141.4 1567 1393 69.01% 13.44% 17.55%+1.36 +7.3 23
1958-03-15 @ Linfield L 1-341.4 1393 1567 17.55% 13.44% 69.01%-1.36 -7.3 14
1958-03-22 Lisburn Distillery D 2-261.7 1577 1214 80.39% 12.87% 6.74%+2.62 -3.2 28
1958-03-22 @ Ards D 2-261.7 1214 1577 6.74% 12.87% 80.39%-2.62 +3.2 13
1958-03-22 Crusaders L 1-347.9 1353 1225 64.61% 13.53% 21.86%+1.04 -24.0 15
1958-03-22 @ Coleraine W 3-147.9 1225 1353 21.86% 13.53% 64.61%-1.04 +24.0 8
1958-03-22 Glentoran D 1-156.3 1351 1385 44.49% 13.66% 41.85%-0.04 -0.1 13
1958-03-22 @ Portadown D 1-156.3 1385 1351 41.85% 13.66% 44.49%+0.04 +0.1 15
1958-03-29 Glenavon L 3-468.4 1573 1580 48.43% 13.65% 37.91%+0.15 -9.7 28
1958-03-29 @ Ards W 4-368.4 1580 1573 37.91% 13.65% 48.43%-0.15 +9.7 26
1958-03-29 Linfield W 4-365.4 1329 1574 18.93% 13.41% 67.66%-1.45 +13.4 17
1958-03-29 @ Coleraine L 3-465.4 1574 1329 67.66% 13.41% 18.93%+1.45 -13.4 23
1958-03-29 Derry City L 2-445.0 1249 1313 40.32% 13.65% 46.03%-0.23 -13.9 8
1958-03-29 @ Crusaders W 4-245.0 1313 1249 46.03% 13.65% 40.32%+0.23 +13.9 13
1958-03-29 Ballymena United W 3-142.4 1385 1395 47.97% 13.66% 38.38%+0.13 +14.9 17
1958-03-29 @ Glentoran L 1-342.4 1395 1385 38.38% 13.66% 47.97%-0.13 -14.9 21
1958-03-29 Bangor L 2-344.7 1217 1350 31.09% 13.60% 55.31%-0.69 -6.8 13
1958-03-29 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-244.7 1350 1217 55.31% 13.60% 31.09%+0.69 +6.8 18
1958-03-29 Cliftonville W 2-134.9 1351 1139 72.00% 13.35% 14.65%+1.61 +3.5 15
1958-03-29 @ Portadown L 1-234.9 1139 1351 14.65% 13.35% 72.00%-1.61 -3.5 5
1958-04-05 Lisburn Distillery W 3-240.9 1380 1211 68.61% 13.45% 17.94%+1.33 +4.1 23
1958-04-05 @ Ballymena United L 2-340.9 1211 1380 17.94% 13.45% 68.61%-1.33 -4.1 13
1958-04-05 Crusaders D 1-154.8 1357 1235 64.00% 13.54% 22.46%+1.00 -2.3 19
1958-04-05 @ Bangor D 1-154.8 1235 1357 22.46% 13.54% 64.00%-1.00 +2.3 9
1958-04-05 Glentoran L 2-632.9 1136 1400 17.31% 13.37% 69.33%-1.57 -11.2 5
1958-04-05 @ Cliftonville W 6-232.9 1400 1136 69.33% 13.37% 17.31%+1.57 +11.2 19
1958-04-05 Ards L 0-138.7 1327 1564 19.71% 13.43% 66.86%-1.39 -5.0 13
1958-04-05 @ Derry City W 1-038.7 1564 1327 66.86% 13.43% 19.71%+1.39 +5.0 30
1958-04-05 Coleraine W 2-141.2 1589 1342 74.49% 13.26% 12.25%+1.85 +3.0 28
1958-04-05 @ Glenavon L 1-241.2 1342 1589 12.25% 13.26% 74.49%-1.85 -3.0 17
1958-04-05 Portadown L 3-467.0 1561 1354 71.61% 13.37% 15.03%+1.57 -14.2 23
1958-04-05 @ Linfield W 4-367.0 1354 1561 15.03% 13.37% 71.61%-1.57 +14.2 17
1958-04-08 Linfield W 3-045.2 1569 1547 52.26% 13.64% 34.10%+0.34 +22.5 32
1958-04-08 @ Ards L 0-345.2 1547 1569 34.10% 13.64% 52.26%-0.34 -22.5 23
1958-04-08 Coleraine D 4-466.3 1125 1339 21.87% 13.48% 64.65%-1.24 +1.3 6
1958-04-08 @ Cliftonville D 4-466.3 1339 1125 64.65% 13.48% 21.87%+1.24 -1.3 18
1958-04-08 Glenavon W 1-053.7 1238 1592 11.07% 13.11% 75.82%-2.18 +17.3 11
1958-04-08 @ Crusaders L 0-153.7 1592 1238 75.82% 13.11% 11.07%+2.18 -17.3 28
1958-04-08 Bangor W 3-032.7 1412 1354 56.75% 13.62% 29.63%+0.58 +19.8 21
1958-04-08 @ Glentoran L 0-332.7 1354 1412 29.63% 13.62% 56.75%-0.58 -19.8 19
1958-04-08 Derry City D 2-258.6 1206 1322 33.30% 13.62% 53.08%-0.58 +0.8 14
1958-04-08 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.6 1322 1206 53.08% 13.62% 33.30%+0.58 -0.8 14
1958-04-08 Ballymena United L 1-247.0 1369 1384 47.12% 13.66% 39.22%+0.09 -10.3 17
1958-04-08 @ Portadown W 2-147.0 1384 1369 39.22% 13.66% 47.12%-0.09 +10.3 25
1958-04-12 Coleraine D 2-260.4 1395 1338 56.72% 13.62% 29.66%+0.57 -1.1 26
1958-04-12 @ Ballymena United D 2-260.4 1338 1395 29.66% 13.62% 56.72%-0.57 +1.1 19
1958-04-12 Portadown W 2-037.5 1334 1358 45.97% 13.66% 40.37%+0.03 +17.9 21
1958-04-12 @ Bangor L 0-237.5 1358 1334 40.37% 13.66% 45.97%-0.03 -17.9 17
1958-04-12 Ards L 3-442.4 1126 1591 6.21% 12.69% 81.09%-2.92 -1.4 6
1958-04-12 @ Cliftonville W 4-342.4 1591 1126 81.09% 12.69% 6.21%+2.92 +1.4 34
1958-04-12 Glentoran L 0-139.6 1321 1431 33.92% 13.62% 52.46%-0.54 -8.2 14
1958-04-12 @ Derry City W 1-039.6 1431 1321 52.46% 13.62% 33.92%+0.54 +8.2 23
1958-04-12 Lisburn Distillery W 3-025.9 1575 1207 80.60% 12.85% 6.55%+2.65 +4.7 30
1958-04-12 @ Glenavon L 0-325.9 1207 1575 6.55% 12.85% 80.60%-2.65 -4.7 14
1958-04-12 Crusaders L 2-360.5 1524 1255 75.84% 13.19% 10.96%+1.99 -15.5 23
1958-04-12 @ Linfield W 3-260.5 1255 1524 10.96% 13.19% 75.84%-1.99 +15.5 13
1958-04-19 Ballymena United W 3-035.0 1593 1394 71.03% 13.38% 15.58%+1.52 +11.0 36
1958-04-19 @ Ards L 0-335.0 1394 1593 15.58% 13.38% 71.03%-1.52 -11.0 26
1958-04-19 Bangor W 6-136.6 1339 1352 47.41% 13.66% 38.93%+0.10 +33.7 21
1958-04-19 @ Coleraine L 1-636.6 1352 1339 38.93% 13.66% 47.41%-0.10 -33.7 21
1958-04-19 Cliftonville W 4-238.4 1270 1124 66.44% 13.50% 20.06%+1.17 +7.4 15
1958-04-19 @ Crusaders L 2-438.4 1124 1270 20.06% 13.50% 66.44%-1.17 -7.4 6
1958-04-19 Glenavon L 0-146.5 1439 1580 30.11% 13.59% 56.30%-0.74 -7.3 23
1958-04-19 @ Glentoran W 1-046.5 1580 1439 56.30% 13.59% 30.11%+0.74 +7.3 32
1958-04-19 Linfield W 1-050.4 1203 1509 14.14% 13.26% 72.61%-1.85 +16.5 16
1958-04-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-150.4 1509 1203 72.61% 13.26% 14.14%+1.85 -16.5 23
1958-04-19 Derry City L 1-247.4 1340 1313 53.02% 13.64% 33.34%+0.38 -11.4 17
1958-04-19 @ Portadown W 2-147.4 1313 1340 33.34% 13.64% 53.02%-0.38 +11.4 16
1958-04-21 Portadown W 2-140.3 1432 1329 62.07% 13.57% 24.36%+0.88 +5.7 25
1958-04-21 @ Glentoran L 1-240.3 1329 1432 24.36% 13.57% 62.07%-0.88 -5.7 17
1958-04-26 Cliftonville W 6-127.9 1324 1117 71.66% 13.36% 14.98%+1.58 +14.1 18
1958-04-26 @ Derry City L 1-627.9 1117 1324 14.98% 13.36% 71.66%-1.58 -14.1 6
1958-04-28 Glenavon W 3-262.6 1383 1587 22.86% 13.49% 63.65%-1.17 +12.9 28
1958-04-28 @ Ballymena United L 2-362.6 1587 1383 63.65% 13.49% 22.86%+1.17 -12.9 32
1958-04-28 Derry City L 0-229.8 1103 1338 19.88% 13.43% 66.69%-1.38 -9.5 6
1958-04-28 @ Cliftonville W 2-029.8 1338 1103 66.69% 13.43% 19.88%+1.38 +9.5 20
1958-04-29 Linfield L 1-241.9 1319 1492 26.22% 13.55% 60.23%-0.97 -6.1 21
1958-04-29 @ Bangor W 2-141.9 1492 1319 60.23% 13.55% 26.22%+0.97 +6.1 25
1958-05-01 Ballymena United W 2-144.1 1574 1396 69.39% 13.43% 17.18%+1.39 +4.1 34
1958-05-01 @ Glenavon L 1-244.1 1396 1574 17.18% 13.43% 69.39%-1.39 -4.1 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-04-12 10.96% Crusaders 1255 3 @ Linfield 1524 2
2 1958-04-08 11.07% @ Crusaders 1238 1 Glenavon 1592 0
3 1957-12-21 13.03% Derry City 1280 2 @ Linfield 1515 0
4 1958-04-19 14.14% @ Lisburn Distillery 1203 1 Linfield 1509 0
5 1958-04-05 15.03% Portadown 1354 4 @ Linfield 1561 3
6 1957-11-30 15.71% @ Ballymena United 1239 3 Linfield 1524 1
7 1958-03-08 15.84% @ Derry City 1298 3 Linfield 1581 2
8 1958-03-29 18.93% @ Coleraine 1329 4 Linfield 1574 3
9 1957-12-14 21.44% Portadown 1262 3 @ Coleraine 1394 2
10 1958-03-22 21.86% Crusaders 1225 3 @ Coleraine 1353 1
11 1958-04-28 22.86% @ Ballymena United 1383 3 Glenavon 1587 2
12 1957-12-07 26.06% Coleraine 1382 4 @ Ards 1470 3
13 1957-12-26 27.69% @ Ballymena United 1275 5 Glentoran 1436 1
14 1958-02-08 29.48% Ballymena United 1364 2 @ Bangor 1423 0
15 1957-11-30 29.51% Lisburn Distillery 1336 2 @ Coleraine 1394 1
16 1958-01-18 30.17% @ Cliftonville 1150 4 Crusaders 1290 3
17 1957-12-28 30.75% Ballymena United 1315 5 @ Lisburn Distillery 1363 0
18 1958-02-08 31.18% Portadown 1258 6 @ Lisburn Distillery 1302 0
19 1957-12-26 31.39% Ards 1497 3 @ Glenavon 1540 0
20 1957-12-14 31.94% Ballymena United 1253 2 @ Derry City 1292 1
21 1957-12-14 32.37% Linfield 1504 3 @ Glenavon 1539 2
22 1958-04-19 33.34% Derry City 1313 2 @ Portadown 1340 1
23 1958-02-15 33.41% @ Derry City 1277 4 Bangor 1391 1
24 1958-03-08 34.93% Crusaders 1221 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1236 0
25 1958-03-15 35.90% @ Cliftonville 1129 3 Lisburn Distillery 1224 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-02-08 65.91 Portadown 6 1258 31.18% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1302 55.19% 13.63%
2 1957-12-28 55.91 Ballymena United 5 1315 30.75% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1363 55.63% 13.63%
3 1957-12-26 39.81 @ Ballymena United 5 1275 27.69% Glentoran 1 1436 58.74% 13.57%
4 1957-12-26 34.34 Ards 3 1497 31.39% @ Glenavon 0 1540 54.98% 13.63%
5 1958-04-19 33.65 @ Coleraine 6 1339 47.41% Bangor 1 1352 38.93% 13.66%
6 1957-12-21 31.65 Derry City 2 1280 13.03% @ Linfield 0 1515 73.68% 13.29%
7 1958-02-15 27.96 @ Derry City 4 1277 33.41% Bangor 1 1391 52.97% 13.62%
8 1957-11-30 27.41 @ Bangor 4 1365 54.80% Derry City 0 1323 31.57% 13.63%
9 1957-12-21 27.24 @ Ballymena United 4 1265 55.02% Cliftonville 0 1221 31.35% 13.63%
10 1958-02-15 26.62 Portadown 3 1323 44.95% @ Crusaders 0 1268 41.40% 13.65%
11 1957-12-28 26.55 Glenavon 8 1505 55.92% @ Coleraine 2 1368 30.48% 13.60%
12 1957-11-30 26.34 @ Ballymena United 3 1239 15.71% Linfield 1 1524 70.98% 13.31%
13 1957-12-07 26.33 Lisburn Distillery 3 1348 45.47% @ Portadown 0 1289 40.88% 13.65%
14 1958-02-08 24.43 Ballymena United 2 1364 29.48% @ Bangor 0 1423 56.90% 13.62%
15 1958-03-22 23.96 Crusaders 3 1225 21.86% @ Coleraine 1 1353 64.61% 13.53%
16 1957-12-28 22.57 @ Glentoran 7 1396 72.21% Cliftonville 0 1182 14.44% 13.35%
17 1958-04-08 22.46 @ Ards 3 1569 52.26% Linfield 0 1547 34.10% 13.64%
18 1957-12-21 21.90 @ Glentoran 5 1434 56.25% Coleraine 1 1381 30.13% 13.62%
19 1958-02-22 21.31 @ Linfield 4 1560 47.35% Glenavon 1 1574 39.00% 13.66%
20 1957-12-14 20.71 @ Ards 6 1458 63.81% Crusaders 1 1338 22.65% 13.54%
21 1957-12-25 19.87 Linfield 2 1483 40.92% @ Glentoran 0 1456 45.42% 13.66%
22 1958-04-08 19.82 @ Glentoran 3 1412 56.75% Bangor 0 1354 29.63% 13.62%
23 1958-03-08 19.36 @ Glenavon 5 1553 69.37% Bangor 0 1374 17.20% 13.43%
24 1958-01-11 18.89 @ Glentoran 5 1401 60.83% Derry City 1 1309 25.59% 13.58%
25 1958-04-12 17.93 @ Bangor 2 1334 45.97% Portadown 0 1358 40.37% 13.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-01-04 77.7 @ Linfield 4 1515 46.60% Ards 4 1534 39.74% 13.66%
2 1958-03-29 68.4 Glenavon 4 1580 37.91% @ Ards 3 1573 48.43% 13.65%
3 1957-12-26 68.0 @ Linfield 3 1503 65.58% Coleraine 3 1366 20.91% 13.51%
4 1958-01-18 67.0 @ Linfield 3 1529 73.23% Lisburn Distillery 3 1300 13.46% 13.31%
5 1958-04-05 67.0 Portadown 4 1354 15.03% @ Linfield 3 1561 71.61% 13.37%
6 1958-04-08 66.3 @ Cliftonville 4 1125 21.87% Coleraine 4 1339 64.65% 13.48%
7 1958-03-29 65.4 @ Coleraine 4 1329 18.93% Linfield 3 1574 67.66% 13.41%
8 1958-01-11 64.1 @ Portadown 3 1256 27.59% Bangor 3 1417 58.84% 13.56%
9 1958-04-28 62.6 @ Ballymena United 3 1383 22.86% Glenavon 2 1587 63.65% 13.49%
10 1957-12-14 62.5 Linfield 3 1504 32.37% @ Glenavon 2 1539 53.99% 13.64%
11 1957-12-07 61.7 Coleraine 4 1382 26.06% @ Ards 3 1470 60.35% 13.59%
12 1958-03-22 61.7 @ Ards 2 1577 80.39% Lisburn Distillery 2 1214 6.74% 12.87%
13 1958-03-08 61.6 @ Derry City 3 1298 15.84% Linfield 2 1581 70.84% 13.32%
14 1958-04-12 60.5 Crusaders 3 1255 10.96% @ Linfield 2 1524 75.84% 13.19%
15 1958-01-18 60.4 @ Ballymena United 1 1363 25.83% Ards 1 1540 60.63% 13.54%
16 1958-04-12 60.4 @ Ballymena United 2 1395 56.72% Coleraine 2 1338 29.66% 13.62%
17 1958-03-15 59.5 @ Derry City 2 1313 43.73% Coleraine 2 1352 42.62% 13.66%
18 1958-01-04 59.1 @ Derry City 2 1309 49.61% Lisburn Distillery 2 1307 36.74% 13.65%
19 1958-02-15 58.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1236 34.47% Coleraine 2 1343 51.90% 13.63%
20 1958-01-18 58.7 @ Derry City 2 1290 53.75% Portadown 2 1257 32.62% 13.64%
21 1958-04-08 58.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1206 33.30% Derry City 2 1322 53.08% 13.62%
22 1958-02-17 57.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1237 12.77% Ards 1 1564 74.03% 13.20%
23 1958-03-22 56.3 @ Portadown 1 1351 44.49% Glentoran 1 1385 41.85% 13.66%
24 1958-01-18 55.9 @ Cliftonville 4 1150 30.17% Crusaders 3 1290 56.23% 13.59%
25 1957-12-14 55.5 Portadown 3 1262 21.44% @ Coleraine 2 1394 65.04% 13.52%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-12-28 25.6 @ Glentoran 7 1396 72.21% Cliftonville 0 1182 14.44% 13.35%
2 1958-04-12 25.9 @ Glenavon 3 1575 80.60% Lisburn Distillery 0 1207 6.55% 12.85%
3 1958-02-08 27.7 Linfield 7 1527 76.45% @ Cliftonville 1 1161 10.48% 13.07%
4 1958-04-26 27.9 @ Derry City 6 1324 71.66% Cliftonville 1 1117 14.98% 13.36%
5 1958-02-22 28.6 @ Bangor 5 1363 72.35% Cliftonville 1 1147 14.31% 13.34%
6 1958-01-11 29.1 @ Ards 7 1535 81.05% Cliftonville 2 1155 6.15% 12.80%
7 1957-12-21 29.2 @ Ballymena United 4 1265 55.02% Cliftonville 0 1221 31.35% 13.63%
8 1958-04-28 29.8 Derry City 2 1338 66.69% @ Cliftonville 0 1103 19.88% 13.43%
9 1957-11-30 30.6 @ Bangor 4 1365 54.80% Derry City 0 1323 31.57% 13.63%
10 1957-12-07 30.8 @ Linfield 4 1498 75.98% Cliftonville 1 1226 10.83% 13.19%
11 1958-02-08 31.0 @ Glenavon 7 1560 75.90% Derry City 1 1289 10.91% 13.19%
12 1958-03-08 31.5 @ Glenavon 5 1553 69.37% Bangor 0 1374 17.20% 13.43%
13 1958-04-08 32.7 @ Glentoran 3 1412 56.75% Bangor 0 1354 29.63% 13.62%
14 1958-04-05 32.9 Glentoran 6 1400 69.33% @ Cliftonville 2 1136 17.31% 13.37%
15 1958-02-22 33.0 Ards 4 1560 73.53% @ Crusaders 1 1241 13.25% 13.22%
16 1957-12-14 33.5 @ Ards 6 1458 63.81% Crusaders 1 1338 22.65% 13.54%
17 1958-01-11 33.6 @ Glentoran 5 1401 60.83% Derry City 1 1309 25.59% 13.58%
18 1957-11-30 33.8 Glenavon 1 1531 72.27% @ Cliftonville 0 1230 14.46% 13.27%
19 1958-02-15 34.2 Portadown 3 1323 44.95% @ Crusaders 0 1268 41.40% 13.65%
20 1957-12-07 34.4 Lisburn Distillery 3 1348 45.47% @ Portadown 0 1289 40.88% 13.65%
21 1958-03-29 34.9 @ Portadown 2 1351 72.00% Cliftonville 1 1139 14.65% 13.35%
22 1958-01-04 35.0 @ Ballymena United 1 1371 62.74% Portadown 0 1262 23.70% 13.56%
23 1958-04-19 35.0 @ Ards 3 1593 71.03% Ballymena United 0 1394 15.58% 13.38%
24 1958-01-04 35.4 @ Glenavon 1 1532 72.92% Crusaders 0 1307 13.76% 13.32%
25 1958-02-15 35.4 @ Glenavon 6 1572 82.49% Cliftonville 3 1149 4.89% 12.62%