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1956-57 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glenavon

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glenavon

5.41 points above expected

35 points · 29.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

10.01 points below expected

6 points · 16.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glenavon 22 16 3 3 35 71 22 +49 29.59 +5.41
2 Linfield 22 14 6 2 34 67 32 +35 32.09 +1.91
3 Glentoran 22 13 4 5 30 56 39 +17 24.59 +5.41
4 Ards 22 12 4 6 28 65 34 +31 25.16 +2.84
5 Coleraine 22 11 3 8 25 54 51 +3 23.09 +1.91
6 Lisburn Distillery 22 9 4 9 22 47 62 -15 21.49 +0.51
7 Bangor 22 7 6 9 20 47 44 +3 22.10 -2.10
8 Crusaders 22 9 2 11 20 38 46 -8 17.86 +2.14
9 Derry City 22 8 3 11 19 41 52 -11 19.22 -0.22
10 Portadown 22 5 6 11 16 47 66 -19 17.73 -1.73
11 Ballymena United 22 3 3 16 9 35 72 -37 15.07 -6.07
12 Cliftonville 22 2 2 18 6 31 79 -48 16.01 -10.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glenavon 35 29.59 +5.41
2 Glentoran 30 24.59 +5.41
3 Ards 28 25.16 +2.84
4 Crusaders 20 17.86 +2.14
5 Coleraine 25 23.09 +1.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 6 16.01 -10.01
2 Ballymena United 9 15.07 -6.07
3 Bangor 20 22.10 -2.10
4 Portadown 16 17.73 -1.73
5 Derry City 19 19.22 -0.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 6 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 146
2 Crusaders 4 Jan 19 – Feb 16 1 in 54
3 Lisburn Distillery 4 Dec 22 – Jan 7 1 in 22
4 Derry City 2 Jan 12 – Jan 19 1 in 12
5 Glenavon 5 Nov 3 – Dec 1 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 8 Oct 13 – Dec 1 1 in 633
2 Crusaders 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 30
3 Coleraine 2 Jan 26 – Feb 9 1 in 13
4 Bangor 2 Dec 22 – Dec 25 1 in 10
5 Ballymena United 5 Jan 19 – Feb 23 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 8 Nov 24 – Jan 5 1 in 37
2 Lisburn Distillery 6 Dec 8 – Jan 7 1 in 30
3 Coleraine 6 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 16
4 Portadown 3 Nov 10 – Nov 24 1 in 13
5 Ards 7 Dec 15 – Jan 19 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 18 Oct 13 – Jan 26 1 in 365
2 Bangor 7 Dec 22 – Jan 19 1 in 66
3 Coleraine 5 Dec 22 – Jan 12 1 in 21
4 Portadown 6 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 9
5 Lisburn Distillery 5 Nov 3 – Dec 1 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glenavon 1576 35 +16 9 7.7 +1.3
Linfield 1578 34 -7 7 7.9 -0.9
Glentoran 1410 30 +7 7 6.1 +0.9
Ards 1467 28 -14 5 6.9 -1.9
Coleraine 1371 25 -7 4 5.5 -1.5
Lisburn Distillery 1287 22 -47 3 5.1 -2.1
Bangor 1323 20 +29 7 4.4 +2.6
Crusaders 1285 20 +8 7 5.4 +1.6
Derry City 1263 19 +14 5 4.8 +0.2
Portadown 1221 16 -8 2 2.4 -0.4
Ballymena United 1120 9 -11 2 2.7 -0.7
Cliftonville 1101 6 +22 4 2.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
3.06
0-2-0
2.06
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.97
Ballymena United
0-0-2
1.82
—
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
2.03
1-1-0
2.42
Bangor
0-0-2
2.65
1-1-0
3.76
—
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.32
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
3.48
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.76
—
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.73
Coleraine
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.70
—
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.81
Crusaders
1-0-1
1.67
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
1.93
—
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.14
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.00
Derry City
0-0-2
2.05
2-0-0
3.49
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.77
—
0-1-1
1.31
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.01
Glenavon
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
3.75
1-1-0
4.64
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
4.51
1-1-0
4.34
—
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.07
Glentoran
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.84
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
2.04
—
0-1-1
2.08
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.74
Linfield
0-2-0
3.58
2-0-0
4.91
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
4.71
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.44
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.56
—
1-1-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.19
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
1.93
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
1.52
—
0-1-1
3.39
Portadown
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.16
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.47
1-1-0
2.25
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +6.5
Allowed 0.86 -4.9
Differential 0.93 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—1.52%2.65%1.89%2.27%2.27%10.61%
11.52%7.58%4.92%6.06%3.79%4.55%28.41%
22.65%4.92%6.82%3.79%3.03%1.89%23.11%
31.89%6.06%3.79%2.27%1.52%0.38%15.91%
42.27%3.79%3.03%1.52%0.76%0.76%12.12%
5+2.27%4.55%1.89%0.38%0.76%—9.85%
Total10.61%28.41%23.11%15.91%12.12%9.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.27 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.70
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
5+9.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
Total18.18%40.91%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.55 +1.41
SD 2.21 1.22 2.56
CV 0.75 0.79 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%50.00%
2———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total—13.64%18.18%31.82%13.64%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 3.27 -1.68
SD 1.59 1.61 2.61
CV 1.00 0.49 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
14.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.00 +0.14
SD 1.83 1.38 2.46
CV 0.86 0.69 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%13.64%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
3————13.64%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total—13.64%18.18%9.09%36.36%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 3.59 -2.18
SD 1.10 1.74 2.20
CV 0.78 0.48 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total—27.27%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.32 +0.14
SD 1.47 1.21 2.21
CV 0.60 0.52 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%27.27%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.09 -0.36
SD 1.45 1.44 2.34
CV 0.84 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
4—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%9.09%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.36 -0.50
SD 1.36 1.73 2.63
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+9.09%13.64%————22.73%
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 1.00 +2.23
SD 2.00 1.15 2.56
CV 0.62 1.15 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%——31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%31.82%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.77 +0.77
SD 1.53 1.11 1.90
CV 0.60 0.63 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—13.64%————13.64%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
49.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.45 +1.59
SD 1.36 1.06 1.97
CV 0.45 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1—4.55%—4.55%9.09%18.18%36.36%
213.64%—13.64%———27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.82 -0.68
SD 1.46 2.36 3.29
CV 0.68 0.84 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%4.55%9.09%
1—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
2—9.09%13.64%9.09%13.64%—45.45%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total—22.73%13.64%22.73%27.27%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 3.00 -0.86
SD 1.28 1.48 2.14
CV 0.60 0.49 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1578 34 32.09 +1.91 72.0% 21 25 30 32 35 38 40
Glenavon 1576 35 29.59 +5.41 97.0% 22 24 27 30 32 35 38
Ards 1467 28 25.16 +2.84 81.0% 16 18 23 25 28 31 33
Glentoran 1410 30 24.59 +5.41 94.0% 14 18 22 25 27 31 33
Coleraine 1371 25 23.09 +1.91 78.0% 14 17 21 23 25 28 30
Bangor 1323 20 22.10 -2.10 33.0% 15 16 20 22 24 28 32
Lisburn Distillery 1287 22 21.49 +0.51 60.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 30
Crusaders 1285 20 17.86 +2.14 77.0% 10 12 16 18 20 23 25
Derry City 1263 19 19.22 -0.22 54.0% 8 13 16 19 22 26 29
Portadown 1221 16 17.73 -1.73 34.0% 10 11 15 18 20 25 26
Ballymena United 1120 9 15.07 -6.07 4.0% 8 10 12 15 18 20 23
Cliftonville 1101 6 16.01 -10.01 0.0% 8 10 14 16 18 22 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.55%
Strong Edge
56.06%17.42%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
131 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0105.81400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.72 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.81+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Glenavon, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.9 * Some Luck: 2.9 to 4.35 * Lucky: 4.35 to 5.81 * Wild Swing: 5.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.31 points
Some Luck
03.639
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Glenavon
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.36
2.12
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
73%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Few
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.46
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.41
Very Underconfident
0.466671.001.53333
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glenavon29.00%43.00%14.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Linfield64.00%25.00%4.00%5.00%—2.00%——————
Glentoran2.00%10.00%20.00%21.00%20.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Ards3.00%13.00%30.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—
Coleraine1.00%2.00%12.00%20.00%19.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Lisburn Distillery—1.00%8.00%5.00%13.00%21.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%
Bangor1.00%4.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%19.00%13.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%—
Crusaders———2.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%20.00%23.00%9.00%10.00%
Derry City—2.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%
Portadown——3.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%13.00%11.00%19.00%19.00%14.00%14.00%
Ballymena United————1.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%28.00%37.00%
Cliftonville———1.00%4.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%23.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1956-10-13 Bangor W 5-451.5 1334 1338 60.09% 18.34% 21.57%+0.78 +4.8 2
1956-10-13 @ Ards L 4-551.5 1338 1334 21.57% 18.34% 60.09%-0.78 -4.8 0
1956-10-13 Derry City W 2-136.9 1357 1281 67.30% 18.03% 14.68%+1.39 +3.7 2
1956-10-13 @ Coleraine L 1-236.9 1281 1357 14.68% 18.03% 67.30%-1.39 -3.7 0
1956-10-13 Ballymena United W 3-135.4 1279 1242 64.02% 18.20% 17.78%+1.09 +7.7 2
1956-10-13 @ Crusaders L 1-335.4 1242 1279 17.78% 18.20% 64.02%-1.09 -7.7 0
1956-10-13 Linfield L 1-348.3 1362 1474 47.27% 18.48% 34.26%-0.05 -17.8 0
1956-10-13 @ Glentoran W 3-148.3 1474 1362 34.26% 18.48% 47.27%+0.05 +17.8 2
1956-10-13 Cliftonville W 2-031.8 1313 1293 62.46% 18.26% 19.28%+0.96 +9.6 2
1956-10-13 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-231.8 1293 1313 19.28% 18.26% 62.46%-0.96 -9.6 0
1956-10-13 Glenavon L 1-343.2 1275 1455 37.84% 18.40% 43.75%-0.56 -14.8 0
1956-10-13 @ Portadown W 3-143.2 1455 1275 43.75% 18.40% 37.84%+0.56 +14.8 2
1956-10-20 Glentoran L 1-344.7 1235 1344 47.68% 18.48% 33.84%-0.02 -18.0 0
1956-10-20 @ Ballymena United W 3-144.7 1344 1235 33.84% 18.48% 47.68%+0.02 +18.0 2
1956-10-20 Lisburn Distillery W 6-133.2 1333 1323 61.61% 18.29% 20.10%+0.89 +19.2 2
1956-10-20 @ Bangor L 1-633.2 1323 1333 20.10% 18.29% 61.61%-0.89 -19.2 2
1956-10-20 Portadown L 1-349.0 1284 1260 62.80% 18.25% 18.95%+0.99 -23.3 0
1956-10-20 @ Cliftonville W 3-149.0 1260 1284 18.95% 18.25% 62.80%-0.99 +23.3 2
1956-10-20 Crusaders W 4-135.2 1277 1287 59.53% 18.35% 22.12%+0.73 +13.2 2
1956-10-20 @ Derry City L 1-435.2 1287 1277 22.12% 18.35% 59.53%-0.73 -13.2 2
1956-10-20 Ards W 1-034.9 1469 1339 71.13% 17.72% 11.15%+1.81 +3.1 4
1956-10-20 @ Glenavon L 0-134.9 1339 1469 11.15% 17.72% 71.13%-1.81 -3.1 2
1956-10-20 Coleraine W 3-137.6 1491 1360 71.14% 17.72% 11.13%+1.81 +5.0 4
1956-10-20 @ Linfield L 1-337.6 1360 1491 11.13% 17.72% 71.14%-1.81 -5.0 2
1956-10-27 Derry City W 4-240.8 1336 1290 64.79% 18.17% 17.04%+1.16 +6.6 4
1956-10-27 @ Ards L 2-440.8 1290 1336 17.04% 18.17% 64.79%-1.16 -6.6 2
1956-10-27 Glenavon W 5-247.1 1355 1473 46.59% 18.48% 34.94%-0.09 +17.0 4
1956-10-27 @ Coleraine L 2-547.1 1473 1355 34.94% 18.48% 46.59%+0.09 -17.0 4
1956-10-27 Bangor L 0-144.6 1274 1353 51.56% 18.47% 29.97%+0.20 -11.8 2
1956-10-27 @ Crusaders W 1-044.6 1353 1274 29.97% 18.47% 51.56%-0.20 +11.8 4
1956-10-27 Cliftonville W 2-136.2 1362 1260 69.16% 17.90% 12.94%+1.58 +3.3 4
1956-10-27 @ Glentoran L 1-236.2 1260 1362 12.94% 17.90% 69.16%-1.58 -3.3 0
1956-10-27 Ballymena United W 5-131.1 1303 1217 68.09% 17.98% 13.93%+1.47 +11.2 4
1956-10-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-531.1 1217 1303 13.93% 17.98% 68.09%-1.47 -11.2 0
1956-10-27 Linfield L 0-434.7 1284 1496 33.34% 18.32% 48.34%-0.82 -29.1 2
1956-10-27 @ Portadown W 4-034.7 1496 1284 48.34% 18.32% 33.34%+0.82 +29.1 6
1956-11-03 Portadown W 6-134.0 1206 1255 55.21% 18.43% 26.36%+0.43 +24.4 2
1956-11-03 @ Ballymena United L 1-634.0 1255 1206 26.36% 18.43% 55.21%-0.43 -24.4 2
1956-11-03 Glentoran D 1-154.3 1364 1365 60.47% 18.33% 21.20%+0.80 -2.1 5
1956-11-03 @ Bangor D 1-154.3 1365 1364 21.20% 18.33% 60.47%-0.80 +2.1 5
1956-11-03 Coleraine L 3-456.2 1257 1372 46.84% 18.48% 34.68%-0.07 -9.4 0
1956-11-03 @ Cliftonville W 4-356.2 1372 1257 34.68% 18.48% 46.84%+0.07 +9.5 6
1956-11-03 Lisburn Distillery W 4-136.1 1284 1315 57.25% 18.40% 24.35%+0.57 +14.4 4
1956-11-03 @ Derry City L 1-436.1 1315 1284 24.35% 18.40% 57.25%-0.57 -14.4 4
1956-11-03 Crusaders W 2-029.3 1456 1262 74.65% 17.29% 8.06%+2.29 +4.2 6
1956-11-03 @ Glenavon L 0-229.3 1262 1456 8.06% 17.29% 74.65%-2.29 -4.2 2
1956-11-03 Ards D 2-262.1 1526 1342 74.12% 17.37% 8.51%+2.21 -2.8 7
1956-11-03 @ Linfield D 2-262.1 1342 1526 8.51% 17.37% 74.12%-2.21 +2.8 5
1956-11-10 Cliftonville W 4-345.7 1345 1248 68.88% 17.92% 13.20%+1.55 +3.1 7
1956-11-10 @ Ards L 3-445.7 1248 1345 13.20% 17.92% 68.88%-1.55 -3.1 0
1956-11-10 Ballymena United W 4-131.6 1382 1230 72.40% 17.59% 10.01%+1.97 +6.4 8
1956-11-10 @ Coleraine L 1-431.6 1230 1382 10.01% 17.59% 72.40%-1.97 -6.4 2
1956-11-10 Linfield L 0-532.5 1257 1523 26.86% 18.13% 55.01%-1.22 -29.8 2
1956-11-10 @ Crusaders W 5-032.5 1523 1257 55.01% 18.13% 26.86%+1.22 +29.8 9
1956-11-10 Derry City W 4-027.4 1367 1298 66.76% 18.06% 15.18%+1.34 +14.6 7
1956-11-10 @ Glentoran L 0-427.4 1298 1367 15.18% 18.06% 66.76%-1.34 -14.6 4
1956-11-10 Glenavon L 1-344.6 1300 1460 40.65% 18.44% 40.92%-0.41 -15.7 4
1956-11-10 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.6 1460 1300 40.92% 18.44% 40.65%+0.41 +15.7 8
1956-11-10 Bangor D 2-257.2 1230 1362 44.53% 18.47% 37.00%-0.20 -0.3 3
1956-11-10 @ Portadown D 2-257.2 1362 1230 37.00% 18.47% 44.53%+0.20 +0.3 6
1956-11-17 Ards L 0-535.8 1224 1348 45.57% 18.47% 35.95%-0.14 -46.6 2
1956-11-17 @ Ballymena United W 5-035.8 1348 1224 35.95% 18.47% 45.57%+0.14 +46.6 9
1956-11-17 Coleraine L 2-356.5 1363 1388 57.85% 18.39% 23.76%+0.61 -11.8 6
1956-11-17 @ Bangor W 3-256.5 1388 1363 23.76% 18.39% 57.85%-0.61 +11.8 10
1956-11-17 Crusaders L 0-244.1 1244 1228 62.19% 18.27% 19.54%+0.94 -26.6 0
1956-11-17 @ Cliftonville W 2-044.1 1228 1244 19.54% 18.27% 62.19%-0.94 +26.6 4
1956-11-17 Portadown D 2-256.9 1283 1230 65.48% 18.13% 16.39%+1.22 -2.0 5
1956-11-17 @ Derry City D 2-256.9 1230 1283 16.39% 18.13% 65.48%-1.22 +2.0 4
1956-11-17 Glentoran W 3-138.5 1475 1382 68.62% 17.94% 13.44%+1.52 +6.0 10
1956-11-17 @ Glenavon L 1-338.5 1382 1475 13.44% 17.94% 68.62%-1.52 -6.0 7
1956-11-17 Lisburn Distillery D 1-157.0 1553 1284 77.86% 16.67% 5.47%+2.86 -4.2 10
1956-11-17 @ Linfield D 1-157.0 1284 1553 5.47% 16.67% 77.86%-2.86 +4.2 5
1956-11-24 Ballymena United D 1-152.8 1351 1177 73.62% 17.44% 8.94%+2.14 -3.7 7
1956-11-24 @ Bangor D 1-152.8 1177 1351 8.94% 17.44% 73.62%-2.14 +3.7 3
1956-11-24 Linfield L 1-436.6 1218 1548 20.08% 17.80% 62.13%-1.72 -12.1 0
1956-11-24 @ Cliftonville W 4-136.6 1548 1218 62.13% 17.80% 20.08%+1.72 +12.0 12
1956-11-24 Ards W 2-141.1 1400 1395 61.06% 18.31% 20.64%+0.85 +5.1 12
1956-11-24 @ Coleraine L 1-241.1 1395 1400 20.64% 18.31% 61.06%-0.85 -5.1 9
1956-11-24 Derry City W 7-130.3 1481 1281 74.95% 17.24% 7.81%+2.34 +9.4 12
1956-11-24 @ Glenavon L 1-730.3 1281 1481 7.81% 17.24% 74.95%-2.34 -9.4 5
1956-11-24 Crusaders W 3-134.0 1376 1254 70.53% 17.78% 11.69%+1.74 +5.2 9
1956-11-24 @ Glentoran L 1-334.0 1254 1376 11.69% 17.78% 70.53%-1.74 -5.2 4
1956-11-24 Portadown D 2-257.0 1289 1232 65.75% 18.12% 16.13%+1.24 -2.0 6
1956-11-24 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-257.0 1232 1289 16.13% 18.12% 65.75%-1.24 +2.0 5
1956-12-01 Lisburn Distillery W 8-130.7 1390 1287 69.29% 17.89% 12.83%+1.60 +17.4 11
1956-12-01 @ Ards L 1-830.7 1287 1390 12.83% 17.89% 69.29%-1.60 -17.4 6
1956-12-01 Glenavon L 0-429.5 1181 1491 22.04% 17.91% 60.04%-1.56 -20.3 3
1956-12-01 @ Ballymena United W 4-029.5 1491 1181 60.04% 17.91% 22.04%+1.56 +20.3 14
1956-12-01 Coleraine L 2-350.2 1249 1405 41.18% 18.44% 40.38%-0.38 -8.7 4
1956-12-01 @ Crusaders W 3-250.2 1405 1249 40.38% 18.44% 41.18%+0.38 +8.7 14
1956-12-01 Cliftonville W 4-132.7 1272 1206 66.51% 18.08% 15.41%+1.31 +9.6 7
1956-12-01 @ Derry City L 1-432.7 1206 1272 15.41% 18.08% 66.51%-1.31 -9.6 0
1956-12-01 Bangor W 2-139.9 1560 1347 75.58% 17.14% 7.29%+2.44 +1.9 14
1956-12-01 @ Linfield L 1-239.9 1347 1560 7.29% 17.14% 75.58%-2.44 -1.9 7
1956-12-01 Glentoran L 2-350.3 1234 1381 42.43% 18.45% 39.11%-0.32 -8.9 5
1956-12-01 @ Portadown W 3-250.3 1381 1234 39.11% 18.45% 42.43%+0.32 +8.9 11
1956-12-08 Derry City W 5-027.0 1345 1282 66.32% 18.09% 15.59%+1.30 +18.5 9
1956-12-08 @ Bangor L 0-527.0 1282 1345 15.59% 18.09% 66.32%-1.30 -18.5 7
1956-12-08 Glenavon D 1-154.1 1196 1511 21.58% 17.89% 60.53%-1.60 +2.1 1
1956-12-08 @ Cliftonville D 1-154.1 1511 1196 60.53% 17.89% 21.58%+1.60 -2.1 15
1956-12-08 Lisburn Distillery L 2-359.5 1414 1269 71.97% 17.64% 10.40%+1.91 -14.7 14
1956-12-08 @ Coleraine W 3-259.5 1269 1414 10.40% 17.64% 71.97%-1.91 +14.7 8
1956-12-08 Ards W 1-038.4 1390 1407 58.76% 18.37% 22.87%+0.68 +5.9 13
1956-12-08 @ Glentoran L 0-138.4 1407 1390 22.87% 18.37% 58.76%-0.68 -5.9 11
1956-12-08 Ballymena United W 3-131.7 1562 1160 81.99% 15.32% 2.69%+3.88 +1.2 16
1956-12-08 @ Linfield L 1-331.7 1160 1562 2.69% 15.32% 81.99%-3.88 -1.2 3
1956-12-08 Crusaders W 2-138.5 1225 1240 58.95% 18.37% 22.69%+0.69 +5.5 7
1956-12-08 @ Portadown L 1-238.5 1240 1225 22.69% 18.37% 58.95%-0.69 -5.5 4
1956-12-15 Crusaders W 3-133.3 1401 1235 73.21% 17.49% 9.30%+2.08 +4.2 13
1956-12-15 @ Ards L 1-333.3 1235 1401 9.30% 17.49% 73.21%-2.08 -4.2 4
1956-12-15 Derry City L 1-246.2 1159 1263 48.36% 18.48% 33.16%+0.01 -10.5 3
1956-12-15 @ Ballymena United W 2-146.2 1263 1159 33.16% 18.48% 48.36%-0.01 +10.5 9
1956-12-15 Bangor L 2-642.8 1198 1364 39.84% 18.43% 41.73%-0.45 -23.9 1
1956-12-15 @ Cliftonville W 6-242.8 1364 1198 41.73% 18.43% 39.84%+0.45 +23.9 11
1956-12-15 Portadown W 4-238.3 1399 1231 73.33% 17.47% 9.19%+2.10 +3.7 16
1956-12-15 @ Coleraine L 2-438.3 1231 1399 9.19% 17.47% 73.33%-2.10 -3.7 7
1956-12-15 Linfield W 3-257.2 1509 1564 54.55% 18.44% 27.01%+0.39 +6.1 17
1956-12-15 @ Glenavon L 2-357.2 1564 1509 27.01% 18.44% 54.55%-0.39 -6.1 16
1956-12-15 Glentoran D 2-258.0 1284 1396 47.28% 18.48% 34.24%-0.05 -0.5 9
1956-12-15 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.0 1396 1284 34.24% 18.48% 47.28%+0.05 +0.5 14
1956-12-22 Cliftonville W 4-348.2 1149 1174 57.82% 18.39% 23.79%+0.61 +5.3 5
1956-12-22 @ Ballymena United L 3-448.2 1174 1149 23.79% 18.39% 57.82%-0.61 -5.3 1
1956-12-22 Glenavon L 0-441.5 1388 1515 45.17% 18.47% 36.36%-0.17 -37.5 11
1956-12-22 @ Bangor W 4-041.5 1515 1388 36.36% 18.47% 45.17%+0.17 +37.5 19
1956-12-22 Lisburn Distillery L 0-242.1 1231 1283 54.78% 18.44% 26.78%+0.41 -23.5 4
1956-12-22 @ Crusaders W 2-042.1 1283 1231 26.78% 18.44% 54.78%-0.41 +23.5 11
1956-12-22 Linfield L 3-452.7 1274 1557 24.77% 18.05% 57.18%-1.36 -5.5 9
1956-12-22 @ Derry City W 4-352.7 1557 1274 57.18% 18.05% 24.77%+1.36 +5.5 18
1956-12-22 Coleraine W 3-246.6 1396 1403 59.88% 18.34% 21.77%+0.76 +5.1 16
1956-12-22 @ Glentoran L 2-346.6 1403 1396 21.77% 18.34% 59.88%-0.76 -5.1 16
1956-12-22 Ards D 4-466.2 1227 1405 37.98% 18.41% 43.62%-0.56 +0.2 8
1956-12-22 @ Portadown D 4-466.2 1405 1227 43.62% 18.41% 37.98%+0.56 -0.1 14
1956-12-25 Ards L 0-341.9 1350 1405 54.48% 18.44% 27.08%+0.39 -34.0 11
1956-12-25 @ Bangor W 3-041.9 1405 1350 27.08% 18.44% 54.48%-0.39 +34.0 16
1956-12-26 Linfield D 3-370.0 1398 1563 39.84% 18.43% 41.73%-0.45 +0.1 17
1956-12-26 @ Coleraine D 3-370.0 1563 1398 41.73% 18.43% 39.84%+0.45 -0.0 19
1956-12-26 Cliftonville W 4-132.8 1227 1169 65.84% 18.11% 16.05%+1.25 +9.9 10
1956-12-26 @ Portadown L 1-432.8 1169 1227 16.05% 18.11% 65.84%-1.25 -9.9 1
1956-12-29 Lisburn Distillery L 2-447.5 1154 1307 41.62% 18.45% 39.94%-0.36 -14.3 5
1956-12-29 @ Ballymena United W 4-247.5 1307 1154 39.94% 18.45% 41.62%+0.36 +14.3 13
1956-12-29 Crusaders D 1-152.6 1316 1207 69.69% 17.85% 12.46%+1.64 -3.2 12
1956-12-29 @ Bangor D 1-152.6 1207 1316 12.46% 17.85% 69.69%-1.64 +3.2 5
1956-12-29 Glentoran L 2-444.2 1159 1401 29.61% 18.22% 52.17%-1.04 -10.8 1
1956-12-29 @ Cliftonville W 4-244.2 1401 1159 52.17% 18.22% 29.61%+1.04 +10.8 18
1956-12-29 Ards L 0-238.8 1268 1439 39.01% 18.42% 42.57%-0.50 -17.5 9
1956-12-29 @ Derry City W 2-038.8 1439 1268 42.57% 18.42% 39.01%+0.50 +17.5 18
1956-12-29 Coleraine W 4-032.3 1553 1398 72.57% 17.57% 9.86%+1.99 +9.7 21
1956-12-29 @ Glenavon L 0-432.3 1398 1553 9.86% 17.57% 72.57%-1.99 -9.7 17
1956-12-29 Portadown W 3-240.6 1563 1237 79.85% 16.12% 4.03%+3.30 +1.0 21
1956-12-29 @ Linfield L 2-340.6 1237 1563 4.03% 16.12% 79.85%-3.30 -1.0 10
1956-12-31 Glentoran D 2-265.7 1564 1412 72.39% 17.59% 10.02%+1.97 -2.6 22
1956-12-31 @ Linfield D 2-265.7 1412 1564 10.02% 17.59% 72.39%-1.97 +2.6 19
1957-01-05 Linfield D 1-162.6 1457 1561 48.27% 18.48% 33.25%+0.01 -0.8 19
1957-01-05 @ Ards D 1-162.6 1561 1457 33.25% 18.48% 48.27%-0.01 +0.8 23
1957-01-05 Cliftonville D 2-257.4 1388 1148 76.72% 16.92% 6.35%+2.64 -3.0 18
1957-01-05 @ Coleraine D 2-257.4 1148 1388 6.35% 16.92% 76.72%-2.64 +3.0 2
1957-01-05 Glenavon W 2-153.5 1210 1562 18.16% 17.66% 64.17%-1.88 +13.7 7
1957-01-05 @ Crusaders L 1-253.5 1562 1210 64.17% 17.66% 18.16%+1.88 -13.7 21
1957-01-05 Bangor W 3-135.6 1415 1313 69.21% 17.89% 12.90%+1.59 +5.7 21
1957-01-05 @ Glentoran L 1-335.6 1313 1415 12.90% 17.89% 69.21%-1.59 -5.7 12
1957-01-05 Derry City W 2-030.3 1321 1251 66.87% 18.05% 15.07%+1.35 +7.7 15
1957-01-05 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-230.3 1251 1321 15.07% 18.05% 66.87%-1.35 -7.6 9
1957-01-05 Ballymena United D 3-361.8 1236 1140 68.80% 17.92% 13.27%+1.54 -1.9 11
1957-01-05 @ Portadown D 3-361.8 1140 1236 13.27% 17.92% 68.80%-1.54 +1.9 6
1957-01-07 Bangor W 3-243.4 1329 1307 62.65% 18.25% 19.09%+0.97 +4.5 17
1957-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-343.4 1307 1329 19.09% 18.25% 62.65%-0.97 -4.5 12
1957-01-12 Coleraine D 1-152.5 1142 1385 29.46% 18.22% 52.32%-1.05 +1.2 7
1957-01-12 @ Ballymena United D 1-152.5 1385 1142 52.32% 18.22% 29.46%+1.05 -1.2 19
1957-01-12 Portadown D 1-152.6 1303 1234 66.71% 18.06% 15.22%+1.33 -2.8 13
1957-01-12 @ Bangor D 1-152.6 1234 1303 15.22% 18.06% 66.71%-1.33 +2.9 12
1957-01-12 Ards L 0-730.4 1151 1456 22.61% 17.94% 59.44%-1.52 -35.2 2
1957-01-12 @ Cliftonville W 7-030.4 1456 1151 59.44% 17.94% 22.61%+1.52 +35.2 21
1957-01-12 Glentoran W 2-145.9 1243 1420 38.10% 18.41% 43.49%-0.55 +9.6 11
1957-01-12 @ Derry City L 1-245.9 1420 1243 43.49% 18.41% 38.10%+0.55 -9.6 21
1957-01-12 Lisburn Distillery W 8-133.0 1549 1333 75.67% 17.12% 7.21%+2.45 +10.0 23
1957-01-12 @ Glenavon L 1-833.0 1333 1549 7.21% 17.12% 75.67%-2.45 -10.0 17
1957-01-12 Crusaders W 4-025.2 1562 1224 80.22% 16.00% 3.78%+3.39 +3.7 25
1957-01-12 @ Linfield L 0-425.2 1224 1562 3.78% 16.00% 80.22%-3.39 -3.7 7
1957-01-14 Lisburn Distillery L 1-636.3 1116 1323 34.10% 18.34% 47.57%-0.77 -30.3 2
1957-01-14 @ Cliftonville W 6-136.3 1323 1116 47.57% 18.34% 34.10%+0.77 +30.3 19
1957-01-19 Ballymena United W 2-132.9 1491 1143 80.53% 15.89% 3.58%+3.47 +0.9 23
1957-01-19 @ Ards L 1-232.9 1143 1491 3.58% 15.89% 80.53%-3.47 -0.9 7
1957-01-19 Bangor W 4-240.4 1384 1300 67.91% 17.99% 14.10%+1.45 +5.6 21
1957-01-19 @ Coleraine L 2-440.4 1300 1384 14.10% 17.99% 67.91%-1.45 -5.6 13
1957-01-19 Cliftonville W 4-131.0 1220 1086 71.34% 17.70% 10.95%+1.83 +6.9 9
1957-01-19 @ Crusaders L 1-431.0 1086 1220 10.95% 17.70% 71.34%-1.83 -6.9 2
1957-01-19 Glenavon W 2-152.0 1411 1559 42.34% 18.45% 39.20%-0.32 +8.8 23
1957-01-19 @ Glentoran L 1-252.0 1559 1411 39.20% 18.45% 42.34%+0.32 -8.8 23
1957-01-19 Linfield L 1-444.9 1354 1566 33.42% 18.32% 48.26%-0.81 -18.8 19
1957-01-19 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-144.9 1566 1354 48.26% 18.32% 33.42%+0.81 +18.8 27
1957-01-19 Derry City L 2-452.7 1237 1252 58.92% 18.37% 22.71%+0.69 -19.5 12
1957-01-19 @ Portadown W 4-252.7 1252 1237 22.71% 18.37% 58.92%-0.69 +19.5 13
1957-01-21 Glenavon L 1-259.2 1492 1550 54.17% 18.45% 27.38%+0.37 -11.6 23
1957-01-21 @ Ards W 2-159.2 1550 1492 27.38% 18.45% 54.17%-0.37 +11.6 25
1957-01-26 Coleraine W 5-136.0 1480 1389 68.43% 17.95% 13.62%+1.50 +11.0 25
1957-01-26 @ Ards L 1-536.0 1389 1480 13.62% 17.95% 68.43%-1.50 -11.0 21
1957-01-26 Bangor L 2-349.3 1142 1294 41.70% 18.45% 39.85%-0.36 -8.8 7
1957-01-26 @ Ballymena United W 3-249.3 1294 1142 39.85% 18.45% 41.70%+0.36 +8.8 15
1957-01-26 Glentoran W 3-144.5 1227 1420 36.05% 18.37% 45.57%-0.66 +17.2 11
1957-01-26 @ Crusaders L 1-344.5 1420 1227 45.57% 18.37% 36.05%+0.66 -17.2 23
1957-01-26 Glenavon D 2-260.9 1272 1562 24.17% 18.02% 57.81%-1.40 +1.3 14
1957-01-26 @ Derry City D 2-260.9 1562 1272 57.81% 18.02% 24.17%+1.40 -1.3 26
1957-01-26 Cliftonville W 5-127.2 1585 1079 84.32% 14.14% 1.55%+4.67 +1.2 29
1957-01-26 @ Linfield L 1-527.2 1079 1585 1.55% 14.14% 84.32%-4.67 -1.2 2
1957-01-26 Lisburn Distillery W 5-349.4 1217 1335 46.54% 18.48% 34.98%-0.09 +11.7 14
1957-01-26 @ Portadown L 3-549.4 1335 1217 34.98% 18.48% 46.54%+0.09 -11.7 19
1957-02-09 Linfield W 4-257.7 1303 1586 24.89% 18.05% 57.06%-1.35 +18.9 17
1957-02-09 @ Bangor L 2-457.7 1586 1303 57.06% 18.05% 24.89%+1.35 -18.9 29
1957-02-09 Derry City W 4-141.8 1078 1273 35.64% 18.37% 45.99%-0.69 +24.6 4
1957-02-09 @ Cliftonville L 1-441.8 1273 1078 45.99% 18.37% 35.64%+0.69 -24.6 14
1957-02-09 Crusaders L 2-554.6 1378 1244 71.32% 17.71% 10.98%+1.83 -32.5 21
1957-02-09 @ Coleraine W 5-254.6 1244 1378 10.98% 17.71% 71.32%-1.83 +32.5 13
1957-02-09 Ballymena United W 5-022.8 1560 1133 82.60% 15.05% 2.35%+4.07 +2.8 28
1957-02-09 @ Glenavon L 0-522.8 1133 1560 2.35% 15.05% 82.60%-4.07 -2.8 7
1957-02-09 Portadown W 5-447.1 1402 1229 73.60% 17.44% 8.96%+2.13 +2.1 25
1957-02-09 @ Glentoran L 4-547.1 1229 1402 8.96% 17.44% 73.60%-2.13 -2.1 14
1957-02-09 Ards W 3-146.2 1323 1491 39.40% 18.42% 42.18%-0.48 +16.2 21
1957-02-09 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.2 1491 1323 42.18% 18.42% 39.40%+0.48 -16.2 25
1957-02-16 Glentoran D 3-367.3 1475 1405 66.88% 18.05% 15.07%+1.35 -1.8 26
1957-02-16 @ Ards D 3-367.3 1405 1475 15.07% 18.05% 66.88%-1.35 +1.8 26
1957-02-16 Linfield L 1-630.9 1130 1567 12.03% 17.04% 70.92%-2.53 -11.8 7
1957-02-16 @ Ballymena United W 6-130.9 1567 1130 70.92% 17.04% 12.03%+2.53 +11.8 31
1957-02-16 Portadown W 4-240.0 1277 1227 65.19% 18.15% 16.67%+1.19 +6.5 15
1957-02-16 @ Crusaders L 2-440.0 1227 1277 16.67% 18.15% 65.19%-1.19 -6.5 14
1957-02-16 Bangor D 1-152.7 1249 1322 52.31% 18.46% 29.22%+0.25 -1.2 15
1957-02-16 @ Derry City D 1-152.7 1322 1249 29.22% 18.46% 52.31%-0.25 +1.2 18
1957-02-16 Cliftonville W 6-126.8 1563 1102 83.37% 14.66% 1.97%+4.33 +1.9 30
1957-02-16 @ Glenavon L 1-626.8 1102 1563 1.97% 14.66% 83.37%-4.33 -1.9 4
1957-02-16 Coleraine L 1-546.2 1339 1346 59.86% 18.34% 21.80%+0.76 -40.5 21
1957-02-16 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-146.2 1346 1339 21.80% 18.34% 59.86%-0.76 +40.5 23
1957-02-20 Glenavon D 1-166.9 1579 1565 61.90% 18.28% 19.82%+0.91 -2.3 32
1957-02-20 @ Linfield D 1-166.9 1565 1579 19.82% 18.28% 61.90%-0.91 +2.3 31
1957-02-23 Cliftonville W 3-024.7 1323 1100 75.99% 17.06% 6.94%+2.51 +5.3 20
1957-02-23 @ Bangor L 0-324.7 1100 1323 6.94% 17.06% 75.99%-2.51 -5.3 4
1957-02-23 Ballymena United W 3-026.1 1248 1118 71.02% 17.74% 11.25%+1.79 +8.5 17
1957-02-23 @ Derry City L 0-326.1 1118 1248 11.25% 17.74% 71.02%-1.79 -8.4 7
1957-02-23 Coleraine W 2-144.9 1220 1386 39.74% 18.43% 41.83%-0.46 +9.3 16
1957-02-23 @ Portadown L 1-244.9 1386 1220 41.83% 18.43% 39.74%+0.46 -9.3 23
1957-03-02 Crusaders W 5-245.4 1110 1283 38.69% 18.42% 42.89%-0.52 +20.1 9
1957-03-02 @ Ballymena United L 2-545.4 1283 1110 42.89% 18.42% 38.69%+0.52 -20.1 15
1957-03-04 Derry City W 3-136.2 1263 1256 61.27% 18.30% 20.42%+0.86 +8.7 17
1957-03-04 @ Crusaders L 1-336.2 1256 1263 20.42% 18.30% 61.27%-0.86 -8.7 17
1957-03-06 Coleraine W 2-037.3 1247 1377 44.84% 18.47% 36.69%-0.18 +16.7 19
1957-03-06 @ Derry City L 0-237.3 1377 1247 36.69% 18.47% 44.84%+0.18 -16.7 23
1957-03-09 Portadown W 4-131.2 1474 1230 76.90% 16.88% 6.21%+2.67 +4.0 28
1957-03-09 @ Ards L 1-431.2 1230 1474 6.21% 16.88% 76.90%-2.67 -4.0 16
1957-03-09 Ballymena United W 2-138.9 1095 1130 56.82% 18.41% 24.78%+0.54 +6.0 6
1957-03-09 @ Cliftonville L 1-238.9 1130 1095 24.78% 18.41% 56.82%-0.54 -6.0 9
1957-03-09 Glentoran W 3-140.3 1360 1406 55.56% 18.43% 26.01%+0.46 +10.8 25
1957-03-09 @ Coleraine L 1-340.3 1406 1360 26.01% 18.43% 55.56%-0.46 -10.8 26
1957-03-09 Bangor W 3-030.5 1567 1328 76.70% 16.93% 6.37%+2.63 +4.8 33
1957-03-09 @ Glenavon L 0-330.5 1328 1567 6.37% 16.93% 76.70%-2.63 -4.8 20
1957-03-09 Derry City W 3-241.7 1576 1264 79.42% 16.25% 4.32%+3.20 +1.1 34
1957-03-09 @ Linfield L 2-341.7 1264 1576 4.32% 16.25% 79.42%-3.20 -1.1 19
1957-03-09 Crusaders D 2-257.2 1299 1272 63.11% 18.24% 18.66%+1.01 -1.8 22
1957-03-09 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-257.2 1272 1299 18.66% 18.24% 63.11%-1.01 +1.8 18
1957-03-13 Portadown W 5-025.2 1572 1226 80.47% 15.91% 3.61%+3.46 +4.4 35
1957-03-13 @ Glenavon L 0-525.2 1226 1572 3.61% 15.91% 80.47%-3.46 -4.4 16
1957-03-13 Ballymena United W 7-230.0 1396 1124 77.99% 16.64% 5.37%+2.88 +4.6 28
1957-03-13 @ Glentoran L 2-730.0 1124 1396 5.37% 16.64% 77.99%-2.88 -4.6 9
1957-03-18 Lisburn Distillery W 3-028.3 1400 1297 69.30% 17.89% 12.81%+1.60 +9.5 30
1957-03-18 @ Glentoran L 0-328.3 1297 1400 12.81% 17.89% 69.30%-1.60 -9.6 22
1957-04-03 Ards W 1-044.7 1274 1478 34.56% 18.35% 47.10%-0.75 +10.9 20
1957-04-03 @ Crusaders L 0-144.7 1478 1274 47.10% 18.35% 34.56%+0.75 -10.9 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1956-12-08 10.40% Lisburn Distillery 1269 3 @ Coleraine 1414 2
2 1957-02-09 10.98% Crusaders 1244 5 @ Coleraine 1378 2
3 1957-01-05 18.16% @ Crusaders 1210 2 Glenavon 1562 1
4 1956-10-20 18.95% Portadown 1260 3 @ Cliftonville 1284 1
5 1956-11-17 19.54% Crusaders 1228 2 @ Cliftonville 1244 0
6 1957-02-16 21.80% Coleraine 1346 5 @ Lisburn Distillery 1339 1
7 1957-01-19 22.71% Derry City 1252 4 @ Portadown 1237 2
8 1956-11-17 23.76% Coleraine 1388 3 @ Bangor 1363 2
9 1957-02-09 24.89% @ Bangor 1303 4 Linfield 1586 2
10 1956-12-22 26.78% Lisburn Distillery 1283 2 @ Crusaders 1231 0
11 1956-12-25 27.08% Ards 1405 3 @ Bangor 1350 0
12 1957-01-21 27.38% Glenavon 1550 2 @ Ards 1492 1
13 1956-10-27 29.97% Bangor 1353 1 @ Crusaders 1274 0
14 1956-12-15 33.16% Derry City 1263 2 @ Ballymena United 1159 1
15 1956-10-20 33.84% Glentoran 1344 3 @ Ballymena United 1235 1
16 1956-10-13 34.26% Linfield 1474 3 @ Glentoran 1362 1
17 1957-04-03 34.56% @ Crusaders 1274 1 Ards 1478 0
18 1956-11-03 34.68% Coleraine 1372 4 @ Cliftonville 1257 3
19 1957-02-09 35.64% @ Cliftonville 1078 4 Derry City 1273 1
20 1956-11-17 35.95% Ards 1348 5 @ Ballymena United 1224 0
21 1957-01-26 36.05% @ Crusaders 1227 3 Glentoran 1420 1
22 1956-12-22 36.36% Glenavon 1515 4 @ Bangor 1388 0
23 1957-01-12 38.10% @ Derry City 1243 2 Glentoran 1420 1
24 1957-03-02 38.69% @ Ballymena United 1110 5 Crusaders 1283 2
25 1956-12-01 39.11% Glentoran 1381 3 @ Portadown 1234 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-11-17 46.61 Ards 5 1348 35.95% @ Ballymena United 0 1224 45.57% 18.47%
2 1957-02-16 40.52 Coleraine 5 1346 21.80% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1339 59.86% 18.34%
3 1956-12-22 37.52 Glenavon 4 1515 36.36% @ Bangor 0 1388 45.17% 18.47%
4 1957-01-12 35.22 Ards 7 1456 59.44% @ Cliftonville 0 1151 22.61% 17.94%
5 1956-12-25 34.00 Ards 3 1405 27.08% @ Bangor 0 1350 54.48% 18.44%
6 1957-02-09 32.48 Crusaders 5 1244 10.98% @ Coleraine 2 1378 71.32% 17.71%
7 1957-01-14 30.30 Lisburn Distillery 6 1323 47.57% @ Cliftonville 1 1116 34.10% 18.34%
8 1956-11-10 29.82 Linfield 5 1523 55.01% @ Crusaders 0 1257 26.86% 18.13%
9 1956-10-27 29.12 Linfield 4 1496 48.34% @ Portadown 0 1284 33.34% 18.32%
10 1956-11-17 26.62 Crusaders 2 1228 19.54% @ Cliftonville 0 1244 62.19% 18.27%
11 1957-02-09 24.58 @ Cliftonville 4 1078 35.64% Derry City 1 1273 45.99% 18.37%
12 1956-11-03 24.41 @ Ballymena United 6 1206 55.21% Portadown 1 1255 26.36% 18.43%
13 1956-12-15 23.89 Bangor 6 1364 41.73% @ Cliftonville 2 1198 39.84% 18.43%
14 1956-12-22 23.53 Lisburn Distillery 2 1283 26.78% @ Crusaders 0 1231 54.78% 18.44%
15 1956-10-20 23.28 Portadown 3 1260 18.95% @ Cliftonville 1 1284 62.80% 18.25%
16 1956-12-01 20.32 Glenavon 4 1491 60.04% @ Ballymena United 0 1181 22.04% 17.91%
17 1957-03-02 20.07 @ Ballymena United 5 1110 38.69% Crusaders 2 1283 42.89% 18.42%
18 1957-01-19 19.55 Derry City 4 1252 22.71% @ Portadown 2 1237 58.92% 18.37%
19 1956-10-20 19.24 @ Bangor 6 1333 61.61% Lisburn Distillery 1 1323 20.10% 18.29%
20 1957-02-09 18.89 @ Bangor 4 1303 24.89% Linfield 2 1586 57.06% 18.05%
21 1957-01-19 18.84 Linfield 4 1566 48.26% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1354 33.42% 18.32%
22 1956-12-08 18.47 @ Bangor 5 1345 66.32% Derry City 0 1282 15.59% 18.09%
23 1956-10-20 17.96 Glentoran 3 1344 33.84% @ Ballymena United 1 1235 47.68% 18.48%
24 1956-10-13 17.82 Linfield 3 1474 34.26% @ Glentoran 1 1362 47.27% 18.48%
25 1956-12-29 17.50 Ards 2 1439 42.57% @ Derry City 0 1268 39.01% 18.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-12-26 70.0 @ Coleraine 3 1398 39.84% Linfield 3 1563 41.73% 18.43%
2 1957-02-16 67.3 @ Ards 3 1475 66.88% Glentoran 3 1405 15.07% 18.05%
3 1957-02-20 66.9 @ Linfield 1 1579 61.90% Glenavon 1 1565 19.82% 18.28%
4 1956-12-22 66.2 @ Portadown 4 1227 37.98% Ards 4 1405 43.62% 18.41%
5 1956-12-31 65.7 @ Linfield 2 1564 72.39% Glentoran 2 1412 10.02% 17.59%
6 1957-01-05 62.6 @ Ards 1 1457 48.27% Linfield 1 1561 33.25% 18.48%
7 1956-11-03 62.1 @ Linfield 2 1526 74.12% Ards 2 1342 8.51% 17.37%
8 1957-01-05 61.8 @ Portadown 3 1236 68.80% Ballymena United 3 1140 13.27% 17.92%
9 1957-01-26 60.9 @ Derry City 2 1272 24.17% Glenavon 2 1562 57.81% 18.02%
10 1956-12-08 59.5 Lisburn Distillery 3 1269 10.40% @ Coleraine 2 1414 71.97% 17.64%
11 1957-01-21 59.2 Glenavon 2 1550 27.38% @ Ards 1 1492 54.17% 18.45%
12 1956-12-15 58.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1284 47.28% Glentoran 2 1396 34.24% 18.48%
13 1957-02-09 57.7 @ Bangor 4 1303 24.89% Linfield 2 1586 57.06% 18.05%
14 1957-01-05 57.4 @ Coleraine 2 1388 76.72% Cliftonville 2 1148 6.35% 16.92%
15 1956-11-10 57.2 @ Portadown 2 1230 44.53% Bangor 2 1362 37.00% 18.47%
16 1956-12-15 57.2 @ Glenavon 3 1509 54.55% Linfield 2 1564 27.01% 18.44%
17 1957-03-09 57.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1299 63.11% Crusaders 2 1272 18.66% 18.24%
18 1956-11-17 57.0 @ Linfield 1 1553 77.86% Lisburn Distillery 1 1284 5.47% 16.67%
19 1956-11-24 57.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1289 65.75% Portadown 2 1232 16.13% 18.12%
20 1956-11-17 56.9 @ Derry City 2 1283 65.48% Portadown 2 1230 16.39% 18.13%
21 1956-11-17 56.5 Coleraine 3 1388 23.76% @ Bangor 2 1363 57.85% 18.39%
22 1956-11-03 56.2 Coleraine 4 1372 34.68% @ Cliftonville 3 1257 46.84% 18.48%
23 1957-02-09 54.6 Crusaders 5 1244 10.98% @ Coleraine 2 1378 71.32% 17.71%
24 1956-11-03 54.3 @ Bangor 1 1364 60.47% Glentoran 1 1365 21.20% 18.33%
25 1956-12-08 54.1 @ Cliftonville 1 1196 21.58% Glenavon 1 1511 60.53% 17.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-02-09 22.8 @ Glenavon 5 1560 82.60% Ballymena United 0 1133 2.35% 15.05%
2 1957-02-23 24.7 @ Bangor 3 1323 75.99% Cliftonville 0 1100 6.94% 17.06%
3 1957-01-12 25.2 @ Linfield 4 1562 80.22% Crusaders 0 1224 3.78% 16.00%
4 1957-03-13 25.2 @ Glenavon 5 1572 80.47% Portadown 0 1226 3.61% 15.91%
5 1957-02-23 26.1 @ Derry City 3 1248 71.02% Ballymena United 0 1118 11.25% 17.74%
6 1957-02-16 26.8 @ Glenavon 6 1563 83.37% Cliftonville 1 1102 1.97% 14.66%
7 1956-12-08 27.0 @ Bangor 5 1345 66.32% Derry City 0 1282 15.59% 18.09%
8 1957-01-26 27.2 @ Linfield 5 1585 84.32% Cliftonville 1 1079 1.55% 14.14%
9 1956-11-10 27.4 @ Glentoran 4 1367 66.76% Derry City 0 1298 15.18% 18.06%
10 1957-03-18 28.3 @ Glentoran 3 1400 69.30% Lisburn Distillery 0 1297 12.81% 17.89%
11 1956-11-03 29.3 @ Glenavon 2 1456 74.65% Crusaders 0 1262 8.06% 17.29%
12 1956-12-01 29.5 Glenavon 4 1491 60.04% @ Ballymena United 0 1181 22.04% 17.91%
13 1957-03-13 30.0 @ Glentoran 7 1396 77.99% Ballymena United 2 1124 5.37% 16.64%
14 1956-11-24 30.3 @ Glenavon 7 1481 74.95% Derry City 1 1281 7.81% 17.24%
15 1957-01-05 30.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1321 66.87% Derry City 0 1251 15.07% 18.05%
16 1957-01-12 30.4 Ards 7 1456 59.44% @ Cliftonville 0 1151 22.61% 17.94%
17 1957-03-09 30.5 @ Glenavon 3 1567 76.70% Bangor 0 1328 6.37% 16.93%
18 1956-12-01 30.7 @ Ards 8 1390 69.29% Lisburn Distillery 1 1287 12.83% 17.89%
19 1957-02-16 30.9 Linfield 6 1567 70.92% @ Ballymena United 1 1130 12.03% 17.04%
20 1957-01-19 31.0 @ Crusaders 4 1220 71.34% Cliftonville 1 1086 10.95% 17.70%
21 1956-10-27 31.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1303 68.09% Ballymena United 1 1217 13.93% 17.98%
22 1957-03-09 31.2 @ Ards 4 1474 76.90% Portadown 1 1230 6.21% 16.88%
23 1956-11-10 31.6 @ Coleraine 4 1382 72.40% Ballymena United 1 1230 10.01% 17.59%
24 1956-12-08 31.7 @ Linfield 3 1562 81.99% Ballymena United 1 1160 2.69% 15.32%
25 1956-10-13 31.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1313 62.46% Cliftonville 0 1293 19.28% 18.26%