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1955-56 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

9.15 points above expected

40 points · 30.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

6.75 points below expected

14 points · 20.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 19 2 1 40 56 16 +40 30.85 +9.15
2 Glenavon 22 14 1 7 29 77 38 +39 29.54 -0.54
3 Bangor 22 11 5 6 27 69 54 +15 22.24 +4.76
4 Coleraine 22 10 5 7 25 56 46 +10 23.97 +1.03
5 Glentoran 22 10 4 8 24 43 40 +3 24.53 -0.53
6 Lisburn Distillery 22 7 7 8 21 39 40 -1 18.33 +2.67
7 Ards 22 9 2 11 20 44 45 -1 23.47 -3.47
8 Portadown 22 7 4 11 18 43 57 -14 17.89 +0.11
9 Derry City 22 6 4 12 16 42 54 -12 18.64 -2.64
10 Crusaders 22 6 4 12 16 36 53 -17 17.52 -1.52
11 Cliftonville 22 5 4 13 14 33 62 -29 20.75 -6.75
12 Ballymena United 22 7 0 15 14 36 69 -33 16.27 -2.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 40 30.85 +9.15
2 Bangor 27 22.24 +4.76
3 Lisburn Distillery 21 18.33 +2.67
4 Coleraine 25 23.97 +1.03
5 Portadown 18 17.89 +0.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 14 20.75 -6.75
2 Ards 20 23.47 -3.47
3 Derry City 16 18.64 -2.64
4 Ballymena United 14 16.27 -2.27
5 Crusaders 16 17.52 -1.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 8 Dec 27 – Feb 18 1 in 53
2 Crusaders 3 Apr 14 – Apr 30 1 in 39
3 Ballymena United 2 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 23
4 Derry City 3 Dec 10 – Dec 24 1 in 14
5 Cliftonville 2 Mar 3 – Mar 17 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 3 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 52
2 Cliftonville 4 Dec 3 – Dec 24 1 in 45
3 Glenavon 2 Apr 6 – Apr 14 1 in 40
4 Derry City 5 Jan 28 – Mar 3 1 in 23
5 Coleraine 3 Feb 25 – Mar 17 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 8 Dec 3 – Jan 7 1 in 54
2 Coleraine 9 Dec 26 – Feb 18 1 in 36
3 Linfield 13 Dec 3 – Feb 18 1 in 32
4 Lisburn Distillery 5 Mar 17 – Apr 14 1 in 24
5 Glentoran 5 Dec 17 – Dec 31 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 5 Mar 31 – Apr 28 1 in 24
2 Crusaders 9 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 24
3 Ards 5 Mar 17 – Apr 14 1 in 20
4 Cliftonville 5 Dec 3 – Dec 26 1 in 20
5 Lisburn Distillery 7 Dec 26 – Jan 28 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1656 40 +25 10 7.4 +2.6
Glenavon 1600 29 -2 4 6.7 -2.7
Bangor 1444 27 +3 5 5.3 -0.3
Coleraine 1469 25 -15 2 5.3 -3.3
Glentoran 1478 24 +10 7 6.0 +1.0
Lisburn Distillery 1403 21 +7 6 4.1 +1.9
Ards 1432 20 -23 3 5.3 -2.3
Portadown 1348 18 -24 2 4.4 -2.4
Crusaders 1354 16 +18 6 3.5 +2.5
Derry City 1356 16 -6 3 4.1 -1.1
Ballymena United 1301 14 +0 6 3.2 +2.8
Cliftonville 1376 14 -6 4 4.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-0-1
3.83
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.70
0-0-2
3.49
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
1.66
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.37
Ballymena United
1-0-1
1.84
 —
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.29
2-0-0
1.64
1-0-1
1.22
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.57
Bangor
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.58
 —
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.41
0-0-2
1.77
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.56
0-2-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.28
Cliftonville
0-0-2
2.68
2-0-0
3.33
0-0-2
2.43
 —
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
3.37
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.29
Coleraine
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.89
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.13
 —
0-1-1
3.89
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
3.69
Crusaders
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
1.78
 —
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.52
Derry City
2-0-0
2.17
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.97
 —
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.01
Glenavon
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
4.31
2-0-0
4.24
 —
0-1-1
3.67
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
4.23
Glentoran
2-0-0
2.92
0-0-2
4.03
0-0-2
3.29
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
2.00
 —
0-1-1
1.89
0-2-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.67
Linfield
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
4.47
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.78
 —
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.45
Lisburn Distillery
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
1.43
0-2-0
2.18
0-0-2
1.27
 —
0-2-0
3.02
Portadown
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.23
0-2-0
2.65
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.51 +3.9
Allowed 0.77 -4.8
Differential 0.88 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%4.55%0.38%1.89%1.89%1.14%12.12%
14.55%6.06%7.95%4.55%3.79%3.03%29.92%
20.38%7.95%5.30%4.17%3.03%2.65%23.48%
31.89%4.55%4.17%0.76%1.52%0.76%13.64%
41.89%3.79%3.03%1.52%1.52%0.38%12.12%
5+1.14%3.03%2.65%0.76%0.38%0.76%8.71%
Total12.12%29.92%23.48%13.64%12.12%8.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 2.17 +0.00
SD 1.67 1.67 2.39
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 9 9 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%—9.09%4.55%—18.18%
3——9.09%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.05 -0.05
SD 1.72 1.36 2.38
CV 0.86 0.67 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%4.55%9.09%
1——4.55%18.18%9.09%13.64%45.45%
2—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total—22.73%13.64%22.73%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 3.14 -1.50
SD 1.05 1.64 2.41
CV 0.64 0.52 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
3——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
5+——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
Total4.55%13.64%40.91%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.14 2.45 +0.68
SD 2.05 1.30 2.17
CV 0.65 0.53 —
Max 8 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%—13.64%9.09%36.36%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%27.27%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%4.55%13.64%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.82 -1.32
SD 1.10 2.06 2.34
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
44.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 2.09 +0.45
SD 1.50 2.02 1.90
CV 0.59 0.97 —
Max 6 9 +4
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
34.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%18.18%18.18%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.41 -0.77
SD 1.33 2.02 2.49
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—4.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total—27.27%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.45 -0.55
SD 1.11 1.30 1.97
CV 0.58 0.53 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 1 1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
1——13.64%———13.64%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
5+4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
Total9.09%54.55%18.18%—13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 1.73 +1.77
SD 2.52 1.49 2.52
CV 0.72 0.86 —
Max 9 6 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
14.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
2—13.64%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
3——13.64%—4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.82 +0.14
SD 1.43 1.33 1.42
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
118.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
39.09%13.64%————22.73%
49.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total45.45%40.91%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 0.73 +1.82
SD 1.37 0.83 1.47
CV 0.54 1.14 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%—9.09%13.64%——27.27%
2—9.09%22.73%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%18.18%36.36%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.82 -0.05
SD 1.45 1.26 2.13
CV 0.82 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
14.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
2——9.09%—13.64%—22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%4.55%27.27%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.59 -0.64
SD 1.81 1.97 2.87
CV 0.93 0.76 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1656 40 30.85 +9.15 100.0% 21 26 28 30 33 36 39
Glenavon 1600 29 29.54 -0.54 48.0% 21 23 27 30 33 35 37
Glentoran 1478 24 24.53 -0.53 46.0% 15 17 22 25 27 31 33
Coleraine 1469 25 23.97 +1.03 63.0% 15 17 21 24 27 30 34
Bangor 1444 27 22.24 +4.76 89.0% 11 15 19 22 25 29 32
Ards 1432 20 23.47 -3.47 28.0% 12 16 20 24 26 30 32
Lisburn Distillery 1403 21 18.33 +2.67 79.0% 7 12 16 19 21 23 28
Cliftonville 1376 14 20.75 -6.75 7.0% 8 13 18 20 24 28 31
Derry City 1356 16 18.64 -2.64 31.0% 11 14 16 18 21 24 27
Crusaders 1354 16 17.52 -1.52 33.0% 8 11 15 18 20 24 26
Portadown 1348 18 17.89 +0.11 54.0% 7 10 15 18 21 24 29
Ballymena United 1301 14 16.27 -2.27 40.0% 8 11 13 16 19 23 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.85%
Slight Edge
46.97%15.91%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge
111 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
034.33300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Linfield, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.140.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.42 * Wild Swing: 6.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.54 * Close: 1.54 to 2.31 * Off: 2.31 to 3.08 * Way Off: 3.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.95 points
Some Luck
04.0110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.934
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.38
1.76
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.45
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield47.00%30.00%15.00%6.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Glenavon42.00%28.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%—————
Bangor1.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%17.00%13.00%8.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%
Coleraine3.00%9.00%16.00%20.00%13.00%15.00%3.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%—
Glentoran5.00%11.00%16.00%22.00%18.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Lisburn Distillery——1.00%5.00%1.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%
Ards1.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Portadown—1.00%3.00%1.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%24.00%
Derry City——1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%19.00%14.00%9.00%
Crusaders———2.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%23.00%16.00%13.00%
Cliftonville1.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%17.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%
Ballymena United——1.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%26.00%32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1955-12-03 Cliftonville W 3-253.2 1446 1460 46.84% 16.87% 36.29%+0.18 +4.1 2
1955-12-03 @ Ards L 2-353.2 1460 1446 36.29% 16.87% 46.84%-0.18 -4.1 0
1955-12-03 Linfield L 1-343.2 1370 1577 22.32% 16.30% 61.38%-1.55 -4.9 0
1955-12-03 @ Ballymena United W 3-143.2 1577 1370 61.38% 16.30% 22.32%+1.55 +4.8 2
1955-12-03 Lisburn Distillery W 2-144.0 1447 1388 56.30% 16.70% 26.99%+0.85 +3.3 2
1955-12-03 @ Coleraine L 1-244.0 1388 1447 26.99% 16.70% 56.30%-0.85 -3.3 0
1955-12-03 Glenavon W 2-156.0 1359 1550 23.92% 16.40% 59.68%-1.41 +6.7 2
1955-12-03 @ Crusaders L 1-256.0 1550 1359 59.68% 16.40% 23.92%+1.41 -6.7 0
1955-12-03 Derry City W 4-244.2 1484 1372 62.09% 16.46% 21.45%+1.32 +4.2 2
1955-12-03 @ Glentoran L 2-444.2 1372 1484 21.45% 16.46% 62.09%-1.32 -4.2 0
1955-12-03 Bangor L 3-745.2 1363 1400 43.63% 16.88% 39.49%-0.02 -12.3 0
1955-12-03 @ Portadown W 7-345.2 1400 1363 39.49% 16.88% 43.63%+0.02 +12.3 2
1955-12-10 Glentoran W 4-252.7 1412 1488 38.09% 16.84% 45.07%-0.38 +8.0 4
1955-12-10 @ Bangor L 2-452.7 1488 1412 45.07% 16.84% 38.09%+0.38 -8.0 2
1955-12-10 Coleraine L 1-253.0 1456 1450 49.55% 16.84% 33.61%+0.36 -5.6 0
1955-12-10 @ Cliftonville W 2-153.0 1450 1456 33.61% 16.84% 49.55%-0.36 +5.6 4
1955-12-10 Crusaders W 4-138.6 1368 1366 49.03% 16.85% 34.12%+0.33 +10.0 2
1955-12-10 @ Derry City L 1-438.6 1366 1368 34.12% 16.85% 49.03%-0.33 -10.0 2
1955-12-10 Ballymena United W 3-139.8 1544 1366 68.24% 16.01% 15.75%+1.91 +3.5 2
1955-12-10 @ Glenavon L 1-339.8 1366 1544 15.75% 16.01% 68.24%-1.91 -3.5 0
1955-12-10 Ards W 2-148.4 1582 1450 64.07% 16.34% 19.59%+1.50 +2.5 4
1955-12-10 @ Linfield L 1-248.4 1450 1582 19.59% 16.34% 64.07%-1.50 -2.5 2
1955-12-10 Portadown D 2-259.9 1384 1350 53.17% 16.78% 30.05%+0.62 -0.5 1
1955-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.9 1350 1384 30.05% 16.78% 53.17%-0.62 +0.5 1
1955-12-17 Glenavon W 1-052.4 1448 1547 34.96% 16.79% 48.25%-0.58 +5.8 4
1955-12-17 @ Ards L 0-152.4 1547 1448 48.25% 16.79% 34.96%+0.58 -5.8 2
1955-12-17 Derry City L 1-345.1 1362 1378 46.60% 16.87% 36.53%+0.17 -9.2 0
1955-12-17 @ Ballymena United W 3-145.1 1378 1362 36.53% 16.87% 46.60%-0.17 +9.2 4
1955-12-17 Linfield D 1-165.2 1456 1584 31.14% 16.70% 52.16%-0.85 +0.6 5
1955-12-17 @ Coleraine D 1-165.2 1584 1456 52.16% 16.70% 31.14%+0.85 -0.6 5
1955-12-17 Bangor D 1-156.7 1356 1420 39.76% 16.86% 43.38%-0.27 +0.1 3
1955-12-17 @ Crusaders D 1-156.7 1420 1356 43.38% 16.86% 39.76%+0.27 -0.1 5
1955-12-17 Lisburn Distillery D 0-056.3 1480 1384 60.47% 16.54% 22.99%+1.18 -1.2 3
1955-12-17 @ Glentoran D 0-056.3 1384 1480 22.99% 16.54% 60.47%-1.18 +1.2 2
1955-12-17 Cliftonville W 6-245.6 1351 1451 34.83% 16.79% 48.38%-0.59 +14.7 3
1955-12-17 @ Portadown L 2-645.6 1451 1351 48.38% 16.79% 34.83%+0.59 -14.7 0
1955-12-24 Ballymena United W 6-238.3 1420 1353 57.18% 16.67% 26.15%+0.91 +8.7 7
1955-12-24 @ Bangor L 2-638.3 1353 1420 26.15% 16.67% 57.18%-0.91 -8.7 0
1955-12-24 Glentoran L 0-147.9 1436 1479 42.81% 16.87% 40.32%-0.08 -5.2 0
1955-12-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-047.9 1479 1436 40.32% 16.87% 42.81%+0.08 +5.2 5
1955-12-24 Ards W 3-146.4 1387 1454 39.40% 16.85% 43.75%-0.29 +8.7 6
1955-12-24 @ Derry City L 1-346.4 1454 1387 43.75% 16.85% 39.40%+0.29 -8.7 4
1955-12-24 Coleraine W 9-651.5 1541 1457 59.20% 16.60% 24.21%+1.07 +5.3 4
1955-12-24 @ Glenavon L 6-951.5 1457 1541 24.21% 16.60% 59.20%-1.07 -5.3 5
1955-12-24 Portadown W 2-036.4 1584 1366 71.39% 15.67% 12.94%+2.28 +3.4 7
1955-12-24 @ Linfield L 0-236.4 1366 1584 12.94% 15.67% 71.39%-2.28 -3.4 3
1955-12-24 Crusaders W 3-033.5 1385 1356 52.56% 16.80% 30.65%+0.57 +10.8 4
1955-12-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-333.5 1356 1385 30.65% 16.80% 52.56%-0.57 -10.8 3
1955-12-26 Bangor L 2-453.6 1445 1428 50.95% 16.82% 32.23%+0.46 -8.9 4
1955-12-26 @ Ards W 4-253.6 1428 1445 32.23% 16.82% 50.95%-0.46 +8.9 9
1955-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 3-143.6 1344 1396 41.56% 16.87% 41.57%-0.16 +8.3 2
1955-12-26 @ Ballymena United L 1-343.6 1396 1344 41.57% 16.87% 41.56%+0.16 -8.4 4
1955-12-26 Derry City W 3-141.6 1451 1396 55.82% 16.72% 27.46%+0.81 +5.9 7
1955-12-26 @ Coleraine L 1-341.6 1396 1451 27.46% 16.72% 55.82%-0.81 -5.9 6
1955-12-26 Cliftonville D 1-156.8 1345 1431 36.76% 16.82% 46.42%-0.46 +0.3 4
1955-12-26 @ Crusaders D 1-156.8 1431 1345 46.42% 16.82% 36.76%+0.46 -0.3 1
1955-12-26 Linfield D 1-166.2 1484 1587 34.40% 16.78% 48.81%-0.62 +0.4 6
1955-12-26 @ Glentoran D 1-166.2 1587 1484 48.81% 16.78% 34.40%+0.62 -0.4 8
1955-12-26 Glenavon L 1-737.3 1362 1547 24.63% 16.44% 58.93%-1.35 -14.0 3
1955-12-26 @ Portadown W 7-137.3 1547 1362 58.93% 16.44% 24.63%+1.35 +14.0 6
1955-12-27 Coleraine D 4-471.0 1437 1457 46.06% 16.87% 37.07%+0.13 -0.1 10
1955-12-27 @ Bangor D 4-471.0 1457 1437 37.07% 16.87% 46.06%-0.13 +0.1 8
1955-12-27 Ballymena United W 3-139.3 1431 1353 58.45% 16.63% 24.93%+1.01 +5.4 3
1955-12-27 @ Cliftonville L 1-339.3 1353 1431 24.93% 16.63% 58.45%-1.01 -5.4 2
1955-12-27 Portadown D 1-156.1 1390 1348 54.16% 16.76% 29.08%+0.69 -0.7 7
1955-12-27 @ Derry City D 1-156.1 1348 1390 29.08% 16.76% 54.16%-0.69 +0.7 4
1955-12-27 Glentoran D 4-476.5 1561 1484 58.24% 16.64% 25.13%+1.00 -0.5 7
1955-12-27 @ Glenavon D 4-476.5 1484 1561 25.13% 16.64% 58.24%-1.00 +0.5 7
1955-12-27 Crusaders W 3-032.3 1587 1345 73.01% 15.45% 11.54%+2.49 +4.4 10
1955-12-27 @ Linfield L 0-332.3 1345 1587 11.54% 15.45% 73.01%-2.49 -4.4 4
1955-12-27 Ards L 1-248.3 1387 1436 41.95% 16.87% 41.18%-0.13 -4.9 4
1955-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-148.3 1436 1387 41.18% 16.87% 41.95%+0.13 +4.9 6
1955-12-31 Portadown L 1-442.4 1347 1349 48.53% 16.85% 34.62%+0.29 -13.5 2
1955-12-31 @ Ballymena United W 4-142.4 1349 1347 34.62% 16.85% 48.53%-0.29 +13.5 6
1955-12-31 Derry City W 4-138.7 1437 1389 54.92% 16.74% 28.34%+0.74 +8.5 12
1955-12-31 @ Bangor L 1-438.7 1389 1437 28.34% 16.74% 54.92%-0.74 -8.5 7
1955-12-31 Ards W 1-044.2 1457 1441 50.89% 16.83% 32.28%+0.46 +4.1 10
1955-12-31 @ Coleraine L 0-144.2 1441 1457 32.28% 16.83% 50.89%-0.46 -4.1 6
1955-12-31 Glentoran L 2-348.6 1341 1485 29.23% 16.64% 54.13%-0.99 -3.4 4
1955-12-31 @ Crusaders W 3-248.6 1485 1341 54.13% 16.64% 29.23%+0.99 +3.4 9
1955-12-31 Lisburn Distillery W 3-141.0 1560 1383 68.21% 16.02% 15.77%+1.91 +3.5 9
1955-12-31 @ Glenavon L 1-341.0 1383 1560 15.77% 16.02% 68.21%-1.91 -3.5 4
1955-12-31 Cliftonville W 4-142.1 1591 1436 66.29% 16.18% 17.53%+1.71 +5.5 12
1955-12-31 @ Linfield L 1-442.1 1436 1591 17.53% 16.18% 66.29%-1.71 -5.5 3
1956-01-07 Ballymena United W 4-349.0 1437 1334 61.21% 16.51% 22.29%+1.24 +2.6 8
1956-01-07 @ Ards L 3-449.0 1334 1437 22.29% 16.51% 61.21%-1.24 -2.6 2
1956-01-07 Glenavon L 1-742.3 1430 1564 30.56% 16.68% 52.76%-0.89 -17.0 3
1956-01-07 @ Cliftonville W 7-142.3 1564 1430 52.76% 16.68% 30.56%+0.89 +17.0 11
1956-01-07 Linfield L 1-246.9 1381 1597 21.41% 16.24% 62.36%-1.64 -2.7 7
1956-01-07 @ Derry City W 2-146.9 1597 1381 62.36% 16.24% 21.41%+1.64 +2.7 14
1956-01-07 Coleraine L 0-151.9 1488 1461 52.29% 16.80% 30.91%+0.55 -6.2 9
1956-01-07 @ Glentoran W 1-051.9 1461 1488 30.91% 16.80% 52.29%-0.55 +6.2 12
1956-01-07 Bangor D 2-261.8 1379 1446 39.39% 16.85% 43.76%-0.29 +0.1 5
1956-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-261.8 1446 1379 43.76% 16.85% 39.39%+0.29 -0.1 13
1956-01-07 Crusaders W 3-139.9 1362 1338 52.01% 16.81% 31.19%+0.53 +6.5 8
1956-01-07 @ Portadown L 1-339.9 1338 1362 31.19% 16.81% 52.01%-0.53 -6.5 4
1956-01-14 Glentoran W 4-146.4 1331 1482 28.40% 16.61% 54.99%-1.05 +15.1 4
1956-01-14 @ Ballymena United L 1-446.4 1482 1331 54.99% 16.61% 28.40%+1.05 -15.1 9
1956-01-14 Glenavon L 4-657.8 1446 1581 30.35% 16.68% 52.98%-0.91 -5.2 13
1956-01-14 @ Bangor W 6-457.8 1581 1446 52.98% 16.68% 30.35%+0.91 +5.2 13
1956-01-14 Coleraine D 2-261.2 1331 1468 30.14% 16.67% 53.19%-0.92 +0.5 5
1956-01-14 @ Crusaders D 2-261.2 1468 1331 53.19% 16.67% 30.14%+0.92 -0.5 13
1956-01-14 Cliftonville W 5-245.0 1378 1413 43.86% 16.88% 39.26%-0.01 +9.8 9
1956-01-14 @ Derry City L 2-545.0 1413 1378 39.26% 16.88% 43.86%+0.01 -9.8 3
1956-01-14 Lisburn Distillery W 5-032.4 1599 1379 71.53% 15.65% 12.82%+2.30 +7.8 16
1956-01-14 @ Linfield L 0-532.4 1379 1599 12.82% 15.65% 71.53%-2.30 -7.8 5
1956-01-14 Ards L 2-448.3 1369 1440 38.85% 16.85% 44.30%-0.33 -7.1 8
1956-01-14 @ Portadown W 4-248.3 1440 1369 44.30% 16.85% 38.85%+0.33 +7.0 10
1956-01-21 Crusaders W 5-239.1 1447 1331 62.44% 16.44% 21.12%+1.35 +5.7 12
1956-01-21 @ Ards L 2-539.1 1331 1447 21.12% 16.44% 62.44%-1.35 -5.7 5
1956-01-21 Cliftonville W 4-246.4 1440 1404 53.54% 16.78% 29.69%+0.64 +5.6 15
1956-01-21 @ Bangor L 2-446.4 1404 1440 29.69% 16.78% 53.54%-0.64 -5.6 3
1956-01-21 Ballymena United W 5-134.2 1467 1346 63.03% 16.41% 20.57%+1.40 +8.2 15
1956-01-21 @ Coleraine L 1-534.2 1346 1467 20.57% 16.41% 63.03%-1.40 -8.2 4
1956-01-21 Lisburn Distillery D 2-260.3 1388 1371 50.94% 16.82% 32.24%+0.46 -0.4 10
1956-01-21 @ Derry City D 2-260.3 1371 1388 32.24% 16.82% 50.94%-0.46 +0.4 6
1956-01-21 Linfield L 0-158.1 1586 1607 45.82% 16.87% 37.31%+0.12 -5.5 13
1956-01-21 @ Glenavon W 1-058.1 1607 1586 37.31% 16.87% 45.82%-0.12 +5.5 18
1956-01-21 Portadown L 0-150.8 1467 1362 61.41% 16.50% 22.09%+1.26 -7.3 9
1956-01-21 @ Glentoran W 1-050.8 1362 1467 22.09% 16.50% 61.41%-1.26 +7.3 10
1956-01-28 Linfield L 0-440.1 1446 1613 26.58% 16.53% 56.89%-1.19 -12.4 15
1956-01-28 @ Bangor W 4-040.1 1613 1446 56.89% 16.53% 26.58%+1.19 +12.4 20
1956-01-28 Ballymena United W 6-032.5 1326 1338 47.10% 16.87% 36.04%+0.20 +23.8 7
1956-01-28 @ Crusaders L 0-632.5 1338 1326 36.04% 16.87% 47.10%-0.20 -23.8 4
1956-01-28 Glenavon L 1-441.8 1387 1580 23.74% 16.39% 59.88%-1.43 -7.2 10
1956-01-28 @ Derry City W 4-141.8 1580 1387 59.88% 16.39% 23.74%+1.43 +7.2 15
1956-01-28 Ards W 2-148.3 1460 1452 49.75% 16.84% 33.41%+0.38 +4.0 11
1956-01-28 @ Glentoran L 1-248.3 1452 1460 33.41% 16.84% 49.75%-0.38 -4.0 12
1956-01-28 Cliftonville L 0-338.3 1372 1398 45.13% 16.87% 38.00%+0.07 -15.0 6
1956-01-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-038.3 1398 1372 38.00% 16.87% 45.13%-0.07 +15.0 5
1956-01-28 Coleraine L 2-447.7 1369 1475 34.00% 16.77% 49.23%-0.65 -6.3 10
1956-01-28 @ Portadown W 4-247.7 1475 1369 49.23% 16.77% 34.00%+0.65 +6.3 17
1956-02-11 Glentoran L 2-356.5 1448 1464 46.64% 16.87% 36.49%+0.17 -5.0 12
1956-02-11 @ Ards W 3-256.5 1464 1448 36.49% 16.87% 46.64%-0.17 +5.0 13
1956-02-11 Crusaders W 2-144.7 1314 1350 43.86% 16.88% 39.26%-0.01 +4.6 6
1956-02-11 @ Ballymena United L 1-244.7 1350 1314 39.26% 16.88% 43.86%+0.01 -4.6 7
1956-02-11 Lisburn Distillery L 1-445.7 1413 1357 55.93% 16.71% 27.35%+0.82 -15.4 5
1956-02-11 @ Cliftonville W 4-145.7 1357 1413 27.35% 16.71% 55.93%-0.82 +15.4 8
1956-02-11 Portadown W 4-243.6 1482 1363 62.82% 16.42% 20.76%+1.38 +4.1 19
1956-02-11 @ Coleraine L 2-443.6 1363 1482 20.76% 16.42% 62.82%-1.38 -4.1 10
1956-02-11 Derry City W 5-242.3 1588 1380 70.57% 15.77% 13.66%+2.18 +3.8 17
1956-02-11 @ Glenavon L 2-542.3 1380 1588 13.66% 15.77% 70.57%-2.18 -3.8 10
1956-02-11 Bangor W 4-355.7 1625 1434 69.35% 15.90% 14.74%+2.04 +1.8 22
1956-02-11 @ Linfield L 3-455.7 1434 1625 14.74% 15.90% 69.35%-2.04 -1.8 15
1956-02-18 Linfield L 0-148.0 1443 1627 24.69% 16.44% 58.87%-1.35 -3.2 12
1956-02-18 @ Ards W 1-048.0 1627 1443 58.87% 16.44% 24.69%+1.35 +3.2 24
1956-02-18 Glenavon L 1-437.4 1319 1591 16.49% 15.80% 67.72%-2.15 -5.2 6
1956-02-18 @ Ballymena United W 4-137.4 1591 1319 67.72% 15.80% 16.49%+2.15 +5.2 19
1956-02-18 Cliftonville W 4-139.0 1486 1398 59.57% 16.58% 23.85%+1.10 +7.3 21
1956-02-18 @ Coleraine L 1-439.0 1398 1486 23.85% 16.58% 59.57%-1.10 -7.3 5
1956-02-18 Derry City W 3-249.5 1345 1376 44.42% 16.88% 38.71%+0.03 +4.3 9
1956-02-18 @ Crusaders L 2-349.5 1376 1345 38.71% 16.88% 44.42%-0.03 -4.3 10
1956-02-18 Bangor L 2-358.1 1469 1432 53.54% 16.78% 29.68%+0.64 -5.7 13
1956-02-18 @ Glentoran W 3-258.1 1432 1469 29.68% 16.78% 53.54%-0.64 +5.7 17
1956-02-18 Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.9 1359 1372 46.94% 16.87% 36.20%+0.19 -0.2 11
1956-02-18 @ Portadown D 2-259.9 1372 1359 36.20% 16.87% 46.94%-0.19 +0.2 9
1956-02-25 Portadown L 2-356.7 1438 1358 58.58% 16.62% 24.80%+1.02 -6.2 17
1956-02-25 @ Bangor W 3-256.7 1358 1438 24.80% 16.62% 58.58%-1.02 +6.2 13
1956-02-25 Ards L 1-640.4 1390 1440 41.85% 16.87% 41.28%-0.14 -18.8 5
1956-02-25 @ Cliftonville W 6-140.4 1440 1390 41.28% 16.87% 41.85%+0.14 +18.8 14
1956-02-25 Glentoran L 1-246.8 1372 1463 36.04% 16.81% 47.14%-0.51 -4.3 10
1956-02-25 @ Derry City W 2-146.8 1463 1372 47.14% 16.81% 36.04%+0.51 +4.3 15
1956-02-25 Crusaders W 5-135.2 1596 1349 73.38% 15.40% 11.23%+2.54 +4.6 21
1956-02-25 @ Glenavon L 1-535.2 1349 1596 11.23% 15.40% 73.38%-2.54 -4.6 9
1956-02-25 Ballymena United L 1-262.0 1630 1314 77.43% 14.65% 7.92%+3.16 -8.6 24
1956-02-25 @ Linfield W 2-162.0 1314 1630 7.92% 14.65% 77.43%-3.16 +8.6 8
1956-02-25 Coleraine W 5-250.4 1372 1493 32.11% 16.73% 51.16%-0.78 +12.2 11
1956-02-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-550.4 1493 1372 51.16% 16.73% 32.11%+0.78 -12.2 21
1956-03-03 Lisburn Distillery W 3-247.9 1459 1384 58.02% 16.64% 25.34%+0.98 +3.0 16
1956-03-03 @ Ards L 2-347.9 1384 1459 25.34% 16.64% 58.02%-0.98 -3.0 11
1956-03-03 Cliftonville L 1-245.9 1322 1372 41.87% 16.87% 41.26%-0.14 -4.9 8
1956-03-03 @ Ballymena United W 2-145.9 1372 1322 41.26% 16.87% 41.87%+0.14 +4.9 7
1956-03-03 Bangor L 3-462.7 1481 1431 55.09% 16.74% 28.17%+0.76 -5.7 21
1956-03-03 @ Coleraine W 4-362.7 1431 1481 28.17% 16.74% 55.09%-0.76 +5.7 19
1956-03-03 Linfield L 2-543.0 1345 1622 16.14% 15.76% 68.11%-2.19 -4.4 9
1956-03-03 @ Crusaders W 5-243.0 1622 1345 68.11% 15.76% 16.14%+2.19 +4.4 26
1956-03-03 Glenavon W 4-261.1 1467 1601 30.49% 16.68% 52.83%-0.90 +9.2 17
1956-03-03 @ Glentoran L 2-461.1 1601 1467 52.83% 16.68% 30.49%+0.90 -9.2 21
1956-03-03 Derry City W 5-137.1 1365 1368 48.33% 16.86% 34.81%+0.28 +13.1 15
1956-03-03 @ Portadown L 1-537.1 1368 1365 34.81% 16.86% 48.33%-0.28 -13.1 10
1956-03-10 Bangor L 2-348.0 1317 1437 32.25% 16.73% 51.02%-0.77 -3.7 8
1956-03-10 @ Ballymena United W 3-248.0 1437 1317 51.02% 16.73% 32.25%+0.77 +3.7 21
1956-03-17 Derry City L 1-253.9 1462 1355 61.61% 16.49% 21.91%+1.27 -6.9 16
1956-03-17 @ Ards W 2-153.9 1355 1462 21.91% 16.49% 61.61%-1.27 +6.9 12
1956-03-17 Glenavon L 1-253.7 1475 1592 32.63% 16.74% 50.63%-0.74 -3.9 21
1956-03-17 @ Coleraine W 2-153.7 1592 1475 50.63% 16.74% 32.63%+0.74 +3.9 23
1956-03-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-143.2 1340 1381 43.03% 16.87% 40.09%-0.06 -5.3 9
1956-03-17 @ Crusaders W 1-043.2 1381 1340 40.09% 16.87% 43.03%+0.06 +5.3 13
1956-03-17 Cliftonville L 3-462.6 1477 1376 60.87% 16.52% 22.60%+1.21 -6.3 17
1956-03-17 @ Glentoran W 4-362.6 1376 1477 22.60% 16.52% 60.87%-1.21 +6.3 9
1956-03-24 Coleraine L 0-431.6 1314 1471 27.64% 16.58% 55.78%-1.11 -12.9 8
1956-03-24 @ Ballymena United W 4-031.6 1471 1314 55.78% 16.58% 27.64%+1.11 +12.9 23
1956-03-31 Ards D 1-159.9 1441 1455 46.84% 16.87% 36.29%+0.18 -0.3 22
1956-03-31 @ Bangor D 1-159.9 1455 1441 36.29% 16.87% 46.84%-0.18 +0.3 17
1956-03-31 Crusaders D 1-155.8 1383 1335 54.89% 16.74% 28.37%+0.74 -0.7 10
1956-03-31 @ Cliftonville D 1-155.8 1335 1383 28.37% 16.74% 54.89%-0.74 +0.7 10
1956-03-31 Coleraine D 2-262.3 1362 1484 31.90% 16.72% 51.38%-0.79 +0.4 13
1956-03-31 @ Derry City D 2-262.3 1484 1362 51.38% 16.72% 31.90%+0.79 -0.4 24
1956-03-31 Portadown W 4-032.6 1596 1378 71.36% 15.67% 12.97%+2.27 +6.4 25
1956-03-31 @ Glenavon L 0-432.6 1378 1596 12.97% 15.67% 71.36%-2.27 -6.4 15
1956-03-31 Glentoran W 1-046.6 1626 1470 66.33% 16.18% 17.49%+1.71 +2.4 28
1956-03-31 @ Linfield L 0-146.6 1470 1626 17.49% 16.18% 66.33%-1.71 -2.4 17
1956-03-31 Ballymena United W 5-133.1 1387 1301 59.34% 16.59% 24.07%+1.08 +9.5 15
1956-03-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-533.1 1301 1387 24.07% 16.59% 59.34%-1.08 -9.5 8
1956-04-03 Crusaders W 8-336.9 1441 1336 61.37% 16.50% 22.13%+1.25 +8.2 24
1956-04-03 @ Bangor L 3-836.9 1336 1441 22.13% 16.50% 61.37%-1.25 -8.2 10
1956-04-03 Portadown D 0-053.7 1382 1371 50.16% 16.84% 33.00%+0.41 -0.5 11
1956-04-03 @ Cliftonville D 0-053.7 1371 1382 33.00% 16.84% 50.16%-0.41 +0.5 16
1956-04-03 Ballymena United L 1-250.1 1362 1291 57.61% 16.66% 25.73%+0.95 -6.5 13
1956-04-03 @ Derry City W 2-150.1 1291 1362 25.73% 16.66% 57.61%-0.95 +6.5 10
1956-04-03 Ards W 6-037.6 1602 1455 65.54% 16.24% 18.22%+1.64 +12.9 27
1956-04-03 @ Glenavon L 0-637.6 1455 1602 18.22% 16.24% 65.54%-1.64 -12.9 17
1956-04-03 Coleraine W 2-150.8 1628 1484 65.33% 16.25% 18.42%+1.61 +2.4 30
1956-04-03 @ Linfield L 1-250.8 1484 1628 18.42% 16.25% 65.33%-1.61 -2.4 24
1956-04-03 Glentoran D 0-056.2 1396 1468 38.71% 16.85% 44.44%-0.34 +0.2 16
1956-04-03 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-056.2 1468 1396 44.44% 16.85% 38.71%+0.34 -0.2 18
1956-04-05 Linfield L 0-336.9 1372 1631 17.58% 15.91% 66.51%-2.02 -6.5 16
1956-04-05 @ Portadown W 3-036.9 1631 1372 66.51% 15.91% 17.58%+2.02 +6.5 32
1956-04-06 Glenavon W 2-160.5 1396 1615 21.15% 16.22% 62.63%-1.66 +7.0 18
1956-04-06 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-260.5 1615 1396 62.63% 16.22% 21.15%+1.66 -7.0 27
1956-04-07 Coleraine D 1-160.8 1442 1481 43.33% 16.88% 39.80%-0.04 -0.1 18
1956-04-07 @ Ards D 1-160.8 1481 1442 39.80% 16.88% 43.33%+0.04 +0.1 25
1956-04-07 Linfield L 0-435.9 1381 1637 17.83% 15.94% 66.23%-2.00 -8.6 11
1956-04-07 @ Cliftonville W 4-035.9 1637 1381 66.23% 15.94% 17.83%+2.00 +8.6 34
1956-04-07 Bangor W 2-149.4 1355 1449 35.74% 16.81% 47.45%-0.53 +5.4 15
1956-04-07 @ Derry City L 1-249.4 1449 1355 47.45% 16.81% 35.74%+0.53 -5.4 24
1956-04-07 Crusaders W 2-140.5 1468 1328 64.89% 16.29% 18.82%+1.57 +2.4 20
1956-04-07 @ Glentoran L 1-240.5 1328 1468 18.82% 16.29% 64.89%-1.57 -2.4 10
1956-04-07 Ballymena United W 5-133.5 1365 1298 57.27% 16.67% 26.06%+0.92 +10.2 18
1956-04-07 @ Portadown L 1-533.5 1298 1365 26.06% 16.67% 57.27%-0.92 -10.2 10
1956-04-14 Ards W 3-254.5 1288 1442 27.99% 16.59% 55.42%-1.08 +5.9 12
1956-04-14 @ Ballymena United L 2-354.5 1442 1288 55.42% 16.59% 27.99%+1.08 -5.9 18
1956-04-14 Lisburn Distillery D 2-262.3 1443 1403 53.92% 16.77% 29.32%+0.67 -0.5 25
1956-04-14 @ Bangor D 2-262.3 1403 1443 29.32% 16.77% 53.92%-0.67 +0.5 19
1956-04-14 Glentoran L 2-358.9 1481 1470 50.25% 16.83% 32.91%+0.41 -5.4 25
1956-04-14 @ Coleraine W 3-258.9 1470 1481 32.91% 16.83% 50.25%-0.41 +5.4 22
1956-04-14 Portadown W 1-042.5 1325 1376 41.71% 16.87% 41.42%-0.15 +5.1 12
1956-04-14 @ Crusaders L 0-142.5 1376 1325 41.42% 16.87% 41.71%+0.15 -5.1 18
1956-04-14 Cliftonville L 1-262.1 1608 1373 72.58% 15.51% 11.91%+2.43 -8.1 27
1956-04-14 @ Glenavon W 2-162.1 1373 1608 11.91% 15.51% 72.58%-2.43 +8.1 13
1956-04-14 Derry City W 3-141.1 1646 1361 75.70% 15.00% 9.29%+2.88 +2.1 36
1956-04-14 @ Linfield L 1-341.1 1361 1646 9.29% 15.00% 75.70%-2.88 -2.1 15
1956-04-24 Bangor L 0-144.4 1381 1443 40.09% 16.86% 43.05%-0.25 -5.0 13
1956-04-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-044.4 1443 1381 43.05% 16.86% 40.09%+0.25 +5.0 27
1956-04-27 Linfield L 1-345.9 1404 1648 18.83% 16.03% 65.14%-1.89 -4.1 19
1956-04-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-145.9 1648 1404 65.14% 16.03% 18.83%+1.89 +4.1 38
1956-04-28 Portadown W 4-031.7 1436 1371 57.02% 16.68% 26.30%+0.90 +12.3 20
1956-04-28 @ Ards L 0-431.7 1371 1436 26.30% 16.68% 57.02%-0.90 -12.3 18
1956-04-28 Derry City D 3-364.1 1376 1359 51.03% 16.82% 32.15%+0.46 -0.3 14
1956-04-28 @ Cliftonville D 3-364.1 1359 1376 32.15% 16.82% 51.03%-0.46 +0.3 16
1956-04-28 Crusaders L 1-254.7 1476 1330 65.41% 16.25% 18.34%+1.62 -7.3 25
1956-04-28 @ Coleraine W 2-154.7 1330 1476 18.34% 16.25% 65.41%-1.62 +7.3 14
1956-04-28 Bangor W 3-145.5 1600 1448 66.02% 16.20% 17.78%+1.68 +3.9 29
1956-04-28 @ Glenavon L 1-345.5 1448 1600 17.78% 16.20% 66.02%-1.68 -4.0 27
1956-04-28 Ballymena United L 2-359.0 1475 1293 68.58% 15.98% 15.44%+1.95 -7.2 22
1956-04-28 @ Glentoran W 3-259.0 1293 1475 15.44% 15.98% 68.58%-1.95 +7.3 14
1956-04-30 Ards W 3-040.1 1338 1448 33.39% 16.76% 49.85%-0.69 +16.4 16
1956-04-30 @ Crusaders L 0-340.1 1448 1338 49.85% 16.76% 33.39%+0.69 -16.4 20
1956-05-02 Glenavon W 1-054.0 1652 1604 54.94% 16.74% 28.32%+0.74 +3.7 40
1956-05-02 @ Linfield L 0-154.0 1604 1652 28.32% 16.74% 54.94%-0.74 -3.7 29
1956-05-04 Glentoran L 1-440.3 1358 1468 33.51% 16.76% 49.73%-0.68 -9.8 18
1956-05-04 @ Portadown W 4-140.3 1468 1358 49.73% 16.76% 33.51%+0.68 +9.8 24
1956-05-07 Derry City W 2-143.0 1400 1359 54.01% 16.76% 29.22%+0.68 +3.6 21
1956-05-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-243.0 1359 1400 29.22% 16.76% 54.01%-0.68 -3.6 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1956-02-25 7.92% Ballymena United 1314 2 @ Linfield 1630 1
2 1956-04-14 11.91% Cliftonville 1373 2 @ Glenavon 1608 1
3 1956-04-28 15.44% Ballymena United 1293 3 @ Glentoran 1475 2
4 1956-04-28 18.34% Crusaders 1330 2 @ Coleraine 1476 1
5 1956-04-06 21.15% @ Lisburn Distillery 1396 2 Glenavon 1615 1
6 1956-03-17 21.91% Derry City 1355 2 @ Ards 1462 1
7 1956-01-21 22.09% Portadown 1362 1 @ Glentoran 1467 0
8 1956-03-17 22.60% Cliftonville 1376 4 @ Glentoran 1477 3
9 1955-12-03 23.92% @ Crusaders 1359 2 Glenavon 1550 1
10 1956-02-25 24.80% Portadown 1358 3 @ Bangor 1438 2
11 1956-04-03 25.73% Ballymena United 1291 2 @ Derry City 1362 1
12 1956-02-11 27.35% Lisburn Distillery 1357 4 @ Cliftonville 1413 1
13 1956-04-14 27.99% @ Ballymena United 1288 3 Ards 1442 2
14 1956-03-03 28.17% Bangor 1431 4 @ Coleraine 1481 3
15 1956-01-14 28.40% @ Ballymena United 1331 4 Glentoran 1482 1
16 1956-02-18 29.68% Bangor 1432 3 @ Glentoran 1469 2
17 1956-03-03 30.49% @ Glentoran 1467 4 Glenavon 1601 2
18 1956-01-07 30.91% Coleraine 1461 1 @ Glentoran 1488 0
19 1956-02-25 32.11% @ Lisburn Distillery 1372 5 Coleraine 1493 2
20 1955-12-26 32.23% Bangor 1428 4 @ Ards 1445 2
21 1956-04-14 32.91% Glentoran 1470 3 @ Coleraine 1481 2
22 1956-04-30 33.39% @ Crusaders 1338 3 Ards 1448 0
23 1955-12-10 33.61% Coleraine 1450 2 @ Cliftonville 1456 1
24 1955-12-31 34.62% Portadown 1349 4 @ Ballymena United 1347 1
25 1955-12-17 34.83% @ Portadown 1351 6 Cliftonville 1451 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-01-28 23.76 @ Crusaders 6 1326 47.10% Ballymena United 0 1338 36.04% 16.87%
2 1956-02-25 18.78 Ards 6 1440 41.28% @ Cliftonville 1 1390 41.85% 16.87%
3 1956-01-07 16.99 Glenavon 7 1564 52.76% @ Cliftonville 1 1430 30.56% 16.68%
4 1956-04-30 16.38 @ Crusaders 3 1338 33.39% Ards 0 1448 49.85% 16.76%
5 1956-02-11 15.36 Lisburn Distillery 4 1357 27.35% @ Cliftonville 1 1413 55.93% 16.71%
6 1956-01-14 15.10 @ Ballymena United 4 1331 28.40% Glentoran 1 1482 54.99% 16.61%
7 1956-01-28 15.02 Cliftonville 3 1398 38.00% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1372 45.13% 16.87%
8 1955-12-17 14.73 @ Portadown 6 1351 34.83% Cliftonville 2 1451 48.38% 16.79%
9 1955-12-26 14.03 Glenavon 7 1547 58.93% @ Portadown 1 1362 24.63% 16.44%
10 1955-12-31 13.50 Portadown 4 1349 34.62% @ Ballymena United 1 1347 48.53% 16.85%
11 1956-03-03 13.14 @ Portadown 5 1365 48.33% Derry City 1 1368 34.81% 16.86%
12 1956-04-03 12.95 @ Glenavon 6 1602 65.54% Ards 0 1455 18.22% 16.24%
13 1956-03-24 12.88 Coleraine 4 1471 55.78% @ Ballymena United 0 1314 27.64% 16.58%
14 1956-01-28 12.44 Linfield 4 1613 56.89% @ Bangor 0 1446 26.58% 16.53%
15 1956-04-28 12.35 @ Ards 4 1436 57.02% Portadown 0 1371 26.30% 16.68%
16 1955-12-03 12.30 Bangor 7 1400 39.49% @ Portadown 3 1363 43.63% 16.88%
17 1956-02-25 12.24 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1372 32.11% Coleraine 2 1493 51.16% 16.73%
18 1955-12-24 10.81 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1385 52.56% Crusaders 0 1356 30.65% 16.80%
19 1956-04-07 10.22 @ Portadown 5 1365 57.27% Ballymena United 1 1298 26.06% 16.67%
20 1955-12-10 10.01 @ Derry City 4 1368 49.03% Crusaders 1 1366 34.12% 16.85%
21 1956-05-04 9.84 Glentoran 4 1468 49.73% @ Portadown 1 1358 33.51% 16.76%
22 1956-01-14 9.75 @ Derry City 5 1378 43.86% Cliftonville 2 1413 39.26% 16.88%
23 1956-03-31 9.51 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1387 59.34% Ballymena United 1 1301 24.07% 16.59%
24 1956-03-03 9.21 @ Glentoran 4 1467 30.49% Glenavon 2 1601 52.83% 16.68%
25 1955-12-17 9.20 Derry City 3 1378 36.53% @ Ballymena United 1 1362 46.60% 16.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-12-27 76.5 @ Glenavon 4 1561 58.24% Glentoran 4 1484 25.13% 16.64%
2 1955-12-27 71.0 @ Bangor 4 1437 46.06% Coleraine 4 1457 37.07% 16.87%
3 1955-12-26 66.2 @ Glentoran 1 1484 34.40% Linfield 1 1587 48.81% 16.78%
4 1955-12-17 65.2 @ Coleraine 1 1456 31.14% Linfield 1 1584 52.16% 16.70%
5 1956-04-28 64.1 @ Cliftonville 3 1376 51.03% Derry City 3 1359 32.15% 16.82%
6 1956-03-03 62.7 Bangor 4 1431 28.17% @ Coleraine 3 1481 55.09% 16.74%
7 1956-03-17 62.6 Cliftonville 4 1376 22.60% @ Glentoran 3 1477 60.87% 16.52%
8 1956-03-31 62.3 @ Derry City 2 1362 31.90% Coleraine 2 1484 51.38% 16.72%
9 1956-04-14 62.3 @ Bangor 2 1443 53.92% Lisburn Distillery 2 1403 29.32% 16.77%
10 1956-04-14 62.1 Cliftonville 2 1373 11.91% @ Glenavon 1 1608 72.58% 15.51%
11 1956-02-25 62.0 Ballymena United 2 1314 7.92% @ Linfield 1 1630 77.43% 14.65%
12 1956-01-07 61.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1379 39.39% Bangor 2 1446 43.76% 16.85%
13 1956-01-14 61.2 @ Crusaders 2 1331 30.14% Coleraine 2 1468 53.19% 16.67%
14 1956-03-03 61.1 @ Glentoran 4 1467 30.49% Glenavon 2 1601 52.83% 16.68%
15 1956-04-07 60.8 @ Ards 1 1442 43.33% Coleraine 1 1481 39.80% 16.88%
16 1956-04-06 60.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1396 21.15% Glenavon 1 1615 62.63% 16.22%
17 1956-01-21 60.3 @ Derry City 2 1388 50.94% Lisburn Distillery 2 1371 32.24% 16.82%
18 1955-12-10 59.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1384 53.17% Portadown 2 1350 30.05% 16.78%
19 1956-02-18 59.9 @ Portadown 2 1359 46.94% Lisburn Distillery 2 1372 36.20% 16.87%
20 1956-03-31 59.9 @ Bangor 1 1441 46.84% Ards 1 1455 36.29% 16.87%
21 1956-04-28 59.0 Ballymena United 3 1293 15.44% @ Glentoran 2 1475 68.58% 15.98%
22 1956-04-14 58.9 Glentoran 3 1470 32.91% @ Coleraine 2 1481 50.25% 16.83%
23 1956-01-21 58.1 Linfield 1 1607 37.31% @ Glenavon 0 1586 45.82% 16.87%
24 1956-02-18 58.1 Bangor 3 1432 29.68% @ Glentoran 2 1469 53.54% 16.78%
25 1956-01-14 57.8 Glenavon 6 1581 52.98% @ Bangor 4 1446 30.35% 16.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-03-24 31.6 Coleraine 4 1471 55.78% @ Ballymena United 0 1314 27.64% 16.58%
2 1956-04-28 31.7 @ Ards 4 1436 57.02% Portadown 0 1371 26.30% 16.68%
3 1955-12-27 32.3 @ Linfield 3 1587 73.01% Crusaders 0 1345 11.54% 15.45%
4 1956-01-14 32.4 @ Linfield 5 1599 71.53% Lisburn Distillery 0 1379 12.82% 15.65%
5 1956-01-28 32.5 @ Crusaders 6 1326 47.10% Ballymena United 0 1338 36.04% 16.87%
6 1956-03-31 32.6 @ Glenavon 4 1596 71.36% Portadown 0 1378 12.97% 15.67%
7 1956-03-31 33.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1387 59.34% Ballymena United 1 1301 24.07% 16.59%
8 1955-12-24 33.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1385 52.56% Crusaders 0 1356 30.65% 16.80%
9 1956-04-07 33.5 @ Portadown 5 1365 57.27% Ballymena United 1 1298 26.06% 16.67%
10 1956-01-21 34.2 @ Coleraine 5 1467 63.03% Ballymena United 1 1346 20.57% 16.41%
11 1956-02-25 35.2 @ Glenavon 5 1596 73.38% Crusaders 1 1349 11.23% 15.40%
12 1956-04-07 35.9 Linfield 4 1637 66.23% @ Cliftonville 0 1381 17.83% 15.94%
13 1955-12-24 36.4 @ Linfield 2 1584 71.39% Portadown 0 1366 12.94% 15.67%
14 1956-04-03 36.9 @ Bangor 8 1441 61.37% Crusaders 3 1336 22.13% 16.50%
15 1956-04-05 36.9 Linfield 3 1631 66.51% @ Portadown 0 1372 17.58% 15.91%
16 1956-03-03 37.1 @ Portadown 5 1365 48.33% Derry City 1 1368 34.81% 16.86%
17 1955-12-26 37.3 Glenavon 7 1547 58.93% @ Portadown 1 1362 24.63% 16.44%
18 1956-02-18 37.4 Glenavon 4 1591 67.72% @ Ballymena United 1 1319 16.49% 15.80%
19 1956-04-03 37.6 @ Glenavon 6 1602 65.54% Ards 0 1455 18.22% 16.24%
20 1955-12-24 38.3 @ Bangor 6 1420 57.18% Ballymena United 2 1353 26.15% 16.67%
21 1956-01-28 38.3 Cliftonville 3 1398 38.00% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1372 45.13% 16.87%
22 1955-12-10 38.6 @ Derry City 4 1368 49.03% Crusaders 1 1366 34.12% 16.85%
23 1955-12-31 38.7 @ Bangor 4 1437 54.92% Derry City 1 1389 28.34% 16.74%
24 1956-02-18 39.0 @ Coleraine 4 1486 59.57% Cliftonville 1 1398 23.85% 16.58%
25 1956-01-21 39.1 @ Ards 5 1447 62.44% Crusaders 2 1331 21.12% 16.44%