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1954-55 Irish League Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Glenavon

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glenavon

7.44 points above expected

36 points · 28.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ballymena United

7.45 points below expected

13 points · 20.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glenavon 22 16 4 2 36 61 27 +34 28.56 +7.44
2 Linfield 22 15 6 1 36 46 21 +25 29.29 +6.71
3 Cliftonville 22 10 4 8 24 50 38 +12 19.68 +4.32
4 Ards 22 9 6 7 24 53 45 +8 21.34 +2.66
5 Coleraine 22 11 2 9 24 46 46 0 23.78 +0.22
6 Glentoran 22 11 1 10 23 54 46 +8 26.09 -3.09
7 Bangor 22 8 4 10 20 43 53 -10 18.55 +1.45
8 Lisburn Distillery 22 7 4 11 18 35 44 -9 22.10 -4.10
9 Crusaders 22 7 2 13 16 29 48 -19 19.93 -3.93
10 Portadown 22 5 5 12 15 39 53 -14 16.94 -1.94
11 Derry City 22 6 3 13 15 31 49 -18 17.29 -2.29
12 Ballymena United 22 4 5 13 13 35 52 -17 20.45 -7.45

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glenavon 36 28.56 +7.44
2 Linfield 36 29.29 +6.71
3 Cliftonville 24 19.68 +4.32
4 Ards 24 21.34 +2.66
5 Bangor 20 18.55 +1.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ballymena United 13 20.45 -7.45
2 Lisburn Distillery 18 22.10 -4.10
3 Crusaders 16 19.93 -3.93
4 Glentoran 23 26.09 -3.09
5 Derry City 15 17.29 -2.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 5 Dec 18 – Jan 8 1 in 63
2 Ards 3 Jan 8 – Jan 22 1 in 24
3 Crusaders 3 Dec 11 – Dec 24 1 in 21
4 Linfield 5 Feb 19 – Mar 26 1 in 15
5 Bangor 2 Apr 12 – Apr 16 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 6 Feb 12 – Apr 2 1 in 86
2 Glentoran 3 Dec 18 – Dec 27 1 in 72
3 Ballymena United 4 Dec 4 – Dec 25 1 in 53
4 Portadown 4 Dec 25 – Jan 8 1 in 29
5 Lisburn Distillery 4 Apr 12 – Apr 30 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 19 Dec 25 – Apr 30 1 in 145
2 Glenavon 16 Dec 18 – Apr 11 1 in 124
3 Cliftonville 3 Dec 4 – Dec 18 1 in 16
4 Ballymena United 4 Jan 15 – Feb 12 1 in 13
5 Lisburn Distillery 4 Dec 25 – Jan 8 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 8 Feb 12 – Apr 11 1 in 34
2 Ballymena United 9 Feb 19 – Apr 16 1 in 25
3 Lisburn Distillery 5 Jan 8 – Feb 19 1 in 21
4 Glentoran 3 Dec 18 – Dec 27 1 in 11
5 Derry City 4 Mar 19 – Apr 11 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1720 36 +31 9 7.2 +1.8
Glenavon 1713 36 +8 7 6.7 +0.3
Coleraine 1523 24 +39 8 5.9 +2.1
Ards 1517 24 +27 6 5.1 +0.9
Cliftonville 1536 24 +58 5 4.1 +0.9
Glentoran 1575 23 -25 4 6.3 -2.3
Bangor 1443 20 -7 6 4.2 +1.8
Lisburn Distillery 1423 18 -72 1 4.0 -3.0
Crusaders 1379 16 +13 5 4.0 +1.0
Portadown 1380 15 -38 3 4.3 -1.3
Derry City 1398 15 -17 3 3.7 -0.7
Ballymena United 1393 13 -40 3 5.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
1.62
2-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
3.49
Ballymena United
0-1-1
2.59
—
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
3.25
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
3.12
Bangor
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.90
—
0-0-2
2.80
1-1-0
2.03
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
1.46
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.89
Cliftonville
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.83
—
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.02
Coleraine
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.42
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.01
—
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.43
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.47
Crusaders
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
2.53
—
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.93
Derry City
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.63
—
0-0-2
1.34
1-0-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.93
Glenavon
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
4.04
2-0-0
4.31
—
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
4.12
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.89
0-0-2
2.38
—
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
4.12
Linfield
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
4.19
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
4.46
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.24
—
0-2-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.43
Lisburn Distillery
0-0-2
3.22
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.35
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
1.76
—
2-0-0
3.41
Portadown
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.70
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
2.23
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +5.9
Allowed 0.83 -6.9
Differential 0.93 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%3.03%4.92%1.89%3.41%0.38%15.15%
13.03%7.58%6.82%5.68%1.89%3.03%28.03%
24.92%6.82%6.06%4.17%1.89%1.52%25.38%
31.89%5.68%4.17%2.27%0.38%1.14%15.53%
43.41%1.89%1.89%0.38%—1.14%8.71%
5+0.38%3.03%1.52%1.14%1.14%—7.20%
Total15.15%28.03%25.38%15.53%8.71%7.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.98 1.98 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.20
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
2——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
49.09%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.05 +0.36
SD 1.71 1.43 2.48
CV 0.71 0.70 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%——36.36%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%18.18%27.27%36.36%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.36 -0.77
SD 1.10 1.09 1.63
CV 0.69 0.46 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————4.55%4.55%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
29.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
3—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%31.82%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.41 -0.45
SD 1.05 1.62 2.20
CV 0.53 0.67 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
14.55%13.64%18.18%———36.36%
24.55%——4.55%——9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%——9.09%—22.73%
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.73 +0.55
SD 1.83 1.24 2.15
CV 0.81 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%9.09%36.36%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.85 2.51
CV 0.53 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
213.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%9.09%13.64%27.27%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.18 -0.86
SD 1.21 1.71 2.27
CV 0.92 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%9.09%18.18%——9.09%40.91%
2—13.64%——9.09%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%27.27%—13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.23 -0.82
SD 1.30 1.95 2.08
CV 0.92 0.88 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
413.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
5+——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.23 +1.55
SD 1.80 1.02 1.63
CV 0.65 0.83 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1—4.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
Total4.55%31.82%27.27%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.09 +0.36
SD 1.65 1.19 2.44
CV 0.67 0.57 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
218.18%13.64%9.09%———40.91%
39.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%31.82%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.95 +1.14
SD 1.06 0.84 1.13
CV 0.51 0.88 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.00 -0.41
SD 1.47 1.38 2.28
CV 0.92 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——27.27%4.55%——31.82%
1—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
2—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%13.64%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%————4.55%9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%22.73%31.82%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.41 -0.64
SD 1.57 1.40 1.97
CV 0.89 0.58 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1741 36 29.29 +6.71 98.0% 21 23 27 29 32 35 38
Glenavon 1692 36 28.56 +7.44 100.0% 18 22 26 29 31 35 36
Glentoran 1575 23 26.09 -3.09 30.0% 16 19 23 26 29 33 36
Cliftonville 1536 24 19.68 +4.32 88.0% 10 14 17 20 21 27 28
Coleraine 1523 24 23.78 +0.22 53.0% 13 16 21 24 27 29 34
Ards 1517 24 21.34 +2.66 81.0% 11 15 19 21 24 27 33
Bangor 1443 20 18.55 +1.45 70.0% 10 13 16 18 21 25 28
Lisburn Distillery 1423 18 22.10 -4.10 20.0% 11 15 19 23 25 28 31
Derry City 1398 15 17.29 -2.29 29.0% 9 11 15 17 19 23 26
Ballymena United 1393 13 20.45 -7.45 3.0% 12 14 18 20 22 26 30
Portadown 1380 15 16.94 -1.94 34.0% 8 11 14 17 19 24 26
Crusaders 1379 16 19.93 -3.93 21.0% 8 13 17 19 23 27 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Clear Edge
50.00%17.42%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
174 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
061.16500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.50 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Glenavon, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.63 * Close: 1.63 to 2.44 * Off: 2.44 to 3.26 * Way Off: 3.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.42 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Close
02.035
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Glenavon
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Ballymena United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 121.29
1.79
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.39
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.37
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Linfield 2
Glenavon 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glenavon40.00%28.00%12.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Linfield36.00%33.00%18.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Cliftonville—3.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%
Ards3.00%—8.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%
Coleraine3.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%19.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%
Glentoran16.00%14.00%17.00%23.00%13.00%4.00%7.00%—4.00%—1.00%1.00%
Bangor—1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%
Lisburn Distillery1.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%2.00%
Crusaders1.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%
Portadown——1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%28.00%
Derry City——1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%23.00%
Ballymena United—3.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%18.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%6.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1954-12-04 Portadown D 3-369.2 1447 1442 54.31% 18.29% 27.40%+0.38 -1.1 1
1954-12-04 @ Ards D 3-369.2 1442 1447 27.40% 18.29% 54.31%-0.38 +1.1 1
1954-12-04 Cliftonville L 2-363.9 1519 1389 66.76% 17.92% 15.31%+1.10 -16.4 0
1954-12-04 @ Ballymena United W 3-263.9 1389 1519 15.31% 17.92% 66.76%-1.10 +16.4 2
1954-12-04 Linfield L 2-363.8 1509 1598 42.00% 18.34% 39.67%-0.16 -10.7 0
1954-12-04 @ Crusaders W 3-263.8 1598 1509 39.67% 18.34% 42.00%+0.16 +10.7 2
1954-12-04 Bangor W 2-147.8 1458 1459 53.59% 18.30% 28.11%+0.35 +8.0 2
1954-12-04 @ Derry City L 1-247.8 1459 1458 28.11% 18.30% 53.59%-0.35 -8.0 0
1954-12-04 Lisburn Distillery W 3-148.7 1545 1514 57.33% 18.24% 24.43%+0.53 +12.3 2
1954-12-04 @ Glenavon L 1-348.7 1514 1545 24.43% 18.24% 57.33%-0.53 -12.3 0
1954-12-04 Coleraine W 3-149.9 1589 1531 60.23% 18.17% 21.59%+0.69 +11.0 2
1954-12-04 @ Glentoran L 1-349.9 1531 1589 21.59% 18.17% 60.23%-0.69 -11.0 0
1954-12-11 Glentoran L 2-359.3 1451 1600 33.58% 18.26% 48.16%-0.51 -8.8 0
1954-12-11 @ Bangor W 3-259.3 1600 1451 48.16% 18.26% 33.58%+0.51 +8.8 4
1954-12-11 Ards D 1-158.6 1405 1446 48.57% 18.34% 33.09%+0.12 -1.0 3
1954-12-11 @ Cliftonville D 1-158.6 1446 1405 33.09% 18.34% 48.57%-0.12 +1.0 2
1954-12-11 Portadown W 2-039.0 1520 1443 62.12% 18.12% 19.76%+0.80 +11.8 2
1954-12-11 @ Coleraine L 0-239.0 1443 1520 19.76% 18.12% 62.12%-0.80 -11.8 1
1954-12-11 Crusaders L 0-158.4 1557 1499 60.23% 18.17% 21.60%+0.69 -16.5 2
1954-12-11 @ Glenavon W 1-058.4 1499 1557 21.60% 18.17% 60.23%-0.69 +16.5 2
1954-12-11 Ballymena United W 2-043.5 1608 1502 64.76% 18.02% 17.22%+0.96 +10.4 4
1954-12-11 @ Linfield L 0-243.5 1502 1608 17.22% 18.02% 64.76%-0.96 -10.4 0
1954-12-11 Derry City W 4-036.2 1501 1466 57.76% 18.23% 24.00%+0.55 +26.6 2
1954-12-11 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-436.2 1466 1501 24.00% 18.23% 57.76%-0.55 -26.6 2
1954-12-18 Derry City W 4-248.0 1447 1440 54.54% 18.29% 27.17%+0.39 +12.1 4
1954-12-18 @ Ards L 2-448.0 1440 1447 27.17% 18.29% 54.54%-0.39 -12.1 2
1954-12-18 Glenavon L 2-362.8 1492 1540 47.53% 18.34% 34.13%+0.07 -11.8 0
1954-12-18 @ Ballymena United W 3-262.8 1540 1492 34.13% 18.34% 47.53%-0.07 +11.8 4
1954-12-18 Linfield W 2-159.3 1532 1619 42.21% 18.34% 39.45%-0.15 +10.7 4
1954-12-18 @ Coleraine L 1-259.3 1619 1532 39.45% 18.34% 42.21%+0.15 -10.7 4
1954-12-18 Lisburn Distillery W 5-145.3 1515 1528 52.18% 18.31% 29.51%+0.28 +26.5 4
1954-12-18 @ Crusaders L 1-545.3 1528 1515 29.51% 18.31% 52.18%-0.28 -26.5 2
1954-12-18 Cliftonville L 1-361.1 1609 1404 71.96% 17.55% 10.49%+1.53 -32.3 4
1954-12-18 @ Glentoran W 3-161.1 1404 1609 10.49% 17.55% 71.96%-1.53 +32.3 5
1954-12-18 Bangor W 2-146.7 1431 1443 52.33% 18.31% 29.36%+0.29 +8.3 3
1954-12-18 @ Portadown L 1-246.7 1443 1431 29.36% 18.31% 52.33%-0.29 -8.3 0
1954-12-24 Crusaders L 0-149.4 1436 1542 39.57% 18.32% 42.11%-0.25 -11.3 5
1954-12-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-049.4 1542 1436 42.11% 18.32% 39.57%+0.25 +11.3 6
1954-12-25 Ards D 1-159.8 1434 1459 50.69% 18.32% 30.98%+0.21 -1.2 1
1954-12-25 @ Bangor D 1-159.8 1459 1434 30.98% 18.32% 50.69%-0.21 +1.2 5
1954-12-25 Coleraine W 5-252.3 1428 1543 38.23% 18.31% 43.46%-0.31 +24.5 4
1954-12-25 @ Derry City L 2-552.3 1543 1428 43.46% 18.31% 38.23%+0.31 -24.5 4
1954-12-25 Portadown W 5-351.5 1552 1439 65.34% 17.99% 16.67%+1.00 +7.4 6
1954-12-25 @ Glenavon L 3-551.5 1439 1552 16.67% 17.99% 65.34%-1.00 -7.4 3
1954-12-25 Glentoran W 3-044.8 1608 1577 57.35% 18.24% 24.41%+0.53 +20.6 6
1954-12-25 @ Linfield L 0-344.8 1577 1608 24.41% 18.24% 57.35%-0.53 -20.6 4
1954-12-25 Ballymena United W 3-146.2 1501 1480 56.23% 18.26% 25.51%+0.47 +12.8 4
1954-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-346.2 1480 1501 25.51% 18.26% 56.23%-0.47 -12.8 0
1954-12-27 Linfield L 1-351.7 1460 1629 31.00% 18.22% 50.78%-0.62 -15.1 5
1954-12-27 @ Ards W 3-151.7 1629 1460 50.78% 18.22% 31.00%+0.62 +15.1 8
1954-12-27 Derry City W 2-147.2 1467 1452 55.53% 18.27% 26.20%+0.44 +7.6 2
1954-12-27 @ Ballymena United L 1-247.2 1452 1467 26.20% 18.27% 55.53%-0.44 -7.6 4
1954-12-27 Glenavon L 1-356.6 1518 1560 48.46% 18.34% 33.20%+0.11 -22.0 4
1954-12-27 @ Coleraine W 3-156.6 1560 1518 33.20% 18.34% 48.46%-0.11 +22.0 8
1954-12-27 Bangor L 2-366.5 1553 1433 65.94% 17.97% 16.10%+1.04 -16.2 6
1954-12-27 @ Crusaders W 3-266.5 1433 1553 16.10% 17.97% 65.94%-1.04 +16.2 3
1954-12-27 Lisburn Distillery L 1-456.6 1556 1514 58.55% 18.22% 23.23%+0.59 -37.0 4
1954-12-27 @ Glentoran W 4-156.6 1514 1556 23.23% 18.22% 58.55%-0.59 +37.0 6
1954-12-27 Cliftonville L 4-564.8 1432 1425 54.59% 18.28% 27.13%+0.39 -12.9 3
1954-12-27 @ Portadown W 5-464.8 1425 1432 27.13% 18.28% 54.59%-0.39 +12.9 7
1955-01-01 Glentoran L 0-444.4 1475 1519 48.07% 18.34% 33.59%+0.10 -47.8 2
1955-01-01 @ Ballymena United W 4-044.4 1519 1475 33.59% 18.34% 48.07%-0.10 +47.8 6
1955-01-01 Linfield D 2-271.8 1449 1644 27.85% 18.15% 54.00%-0.77 +1.2 4
1955-01-01 @ Bangor D 2-271.8 1644 1449 54.00% 18.15% 27.85%+0.77 -1.2 9
1955-01-01 Coleraine L 1-253.8 1438 1496 46.20% 18.34% 35.46%+0.02 -12.2 7
1955-01-01 @ Cliftonville W 2-153.8 1496 1438 35.46% 18.34% 46.20%-0.02 +12.2 6
1955-01-01 Crusaders L 0-246.2 1445 1537 41.46% 18.33% 40.21%-0.18 -22.2 4
1955-01-01 @ Derry City W 2-046.2 1537 1445 40.21% 18.33% 41.46%+0.18 +22.2 8
1955-01-01 Ards W 4-035.5 1582 1445 67.29% 17.90% 14.82%+1.14 +17.2 10
1955-01-01 @ Glenavon L 0-435.5 1445 1582 14.82% 17.90% 67.29%-1.14 -17.2 5
1955-01-01 Portadown W 3-142.6 1551 1419 66.91% 17.92% 15.17%+1.11 +8.0 8
1955-01-01 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-342.6 1419 1551 15.17% 17.92% 66.91%-1.11 -8.0 3
1955-01-08 Ballymena United W 4-354.7 1428 1427 53.79% 18.30% 27.92%+0.35 +7.4 7
1955-01-08 @ Ards L 3-454.7 1427 1428 27.92% 18.30% 53.79%-0.35 -7.4 2
1955-01-08 Bangor W 5-139.9 1426 1450 50.65% 18.32% 31.03%+0.21 +27.6 9
1955-01-08 @ Cliftonville L 1-539.9 1450 1426 31.03% 18.32% 50.65%-0.21 -27.6 4
1955-01-08 Crusaders W 3-044.3 1508 1559 47.23% 18.34% 34.43%+0.06 +27.7 8
1955-01-08 @ Coleraine L 0-344.3 1559 1508 34.43% 18.34% 47.23%-0.06 -27.7 8
1955-01-08 Glenavon L 2-560.9 1567 1599 49.75% 18.33% 31.92%+0.17 -27.6 6
1955-01-08 @ Glentoran W 5-260.9 1599 1567 31.92% 18.33% 49.75%-0.17 +27.5 12
1955-01-08 Lisburn Distillery D 0-067.1 1643 1559 62.71% 18.10% 19.19%+0.83 -3.2 10
1955-01-08 @ Linfield D 0-067.1 1559 1643 19.19% 18.10% 62.71%-0.83 +3.2 9
1955-01-08 Derry City L 0-341.6 1411 1422 52.34% 18.31% 29.35%+0.29 -39.5 3
1955-01-08 @ Portadown W 3-041.6 1422 1411 29.35% 18.31% 52.34%-0.29 +39.5 6
1955-01-15 Portadown D 3-366.6 1420 1372 59.18% 18.20% 22.62%+0.63 -1.5 3
1955-01-15 @ Ballymena United D 3-366.6 1372 1420 22.62% 18.20% 59.18%-0.63 +1.5 4
1955-01-15 Coleraine D 2-266.9 1423 1536 38.47% 18.32% 43.21%-0.30 +0.2 5
1955-01-15 @ Bangor D 2-266.9 1536 1423 43.21% 18.32% 38.47%+0.30 -0.2 9
1955-01-15 Glentoran L 1-553.3 1531 1540 52.73% 18.31% 28.96%+0.30 -43.3 8
1955-01-15 @ Crusaders W 5-153.3 1540 1531 28.96% 18.31% 52.73%-0.30 +43.3 8
1955-01-15 Linfield D 1-171.3 1626 1640 52.12% 18.31% 29.57%+0.28 -1.4 13
1955-01-15 @ Glenavon D 1-171.3 1640 1626 29.57% 18.31% 52.12%-0.28 +1.4 11
1955-01-15 Ards L 2-367.1 1562 1435 66.55% 17.94% 15.52%+1.09 -16.3 9
1955-01-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-267.1 1435 1562 15.52% 17.94% 66.55%-1.09 +16.3 9
1955-01-22 Crusaders W 4-037.7 1451 1488 49.08% 18.33% 32.58%+0.14 +34.5 11
1955-01-22 @ Ards L 0-437.7 1488 1451 32.58% 18.33% 49.08%-0.14 -34.5 8
1955-01-22 Coleraine W 4-255.4 1418 1536 37.86% 18.31% 43.83%-0.32 +18.0 5
1955-01-22 @ Ballymena United L 2-455.4 1536 1418 43.83% 18.31% 37.86%+0.32 -18.0 9
1955-01-22 Derry City W 7-450.2 1625 1462 69.22% 17.77% 13.00%+1.29 +7.5 15
1955-01-22 @ Glenavon L 4-750.2 1462 1625 13.00% 17.77% 69.22%-1.29 -7.5 6
1955-01-22 Bangor L 0-253.1 1546 1423 66.19% 17.95% 15.85%+1.06 -34.2 9
1955-01-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-053.1 1423 1546 15.85% 17.95% 66.19%-1.06 +34.2 7
1955-01-22 Glentoran W 3-262.4 1373 1583 26.10% 18.11% 55.79%-0.85 +13.7 6
1955-01-22 @ Portadown L 2-362.4 1583 1373 55.79% 18.11% 26.10%+0.85 -13.7 8
1955-01-29 Ballymena United D 2-264.6 1457 1436 56.20% 18.26% 25.54%+0.47 -1.5 8
1955-01-29 @ Bangor D 2-264.6 1436 1457 25.54% 18.26% 56.20%-0.47 +1.5 6
1955-01-29 Glenavon L 0-442.2 1453 1633 29.72% 18.20% 52.08%-0.68 -31.9 9
1955-01-29 @ Cliftonville W 4-042.2 1633 1453 52.08% 18.20% 29.72%+0.68 +31.9 17
1955-01-29 Lisburn Distillery W 4-039.5 1518 1512 54.43% 18.29% 27.28%+0.39 +29.7 11
1955-01-29 @ Coleraine L 0-439.5 1512 1518 27.28% 18.29% 54.43%-0.39 -29.7 9
1955-01-29 Ards W 3-255.1 1569 1486 62.71% 18.10% 19.19%+0.83 +5.4 10
1955-01-29 @ Glentoran L 2-355.1 1486 1569 19.19% 18.10% 62.71%-0.83 -5.5 11
1955-01-29 Derry City W 1-045.0 1641 1454 70.79% 17.65% 11.55%+1.42 +3.8 13
1955-01-29 @ Linfield L 0-145.0 1454 1641 11.55% 17.65% 70.79%-1.42 -3.8 6
1955-01-29 Crusaders L 0-242.6 1387 1454 45.03% 18.34% 36.62%-0.03 -23.8 6
1955-01-29 @ Portadown W 2-042.6 1454 1387 36.62% 18.34% 45.03%+0.03 +23.8 10
1955-02-09 Derry City W 5-139.9 1421 1451 50.07% 18.33% 31.60%+0.18 +28.0 11
1955-02-09 @ Cliftonville L 1-539.9 1451 1421 31.60% 18.33% 50.07%-0.18 -28.0 6
1955-02-12 Coleraine W 6-146.4 1480 1547 44.99% 18.34% 36.67%-0.03 +38.9 13
1955-02-12 @ Ards L 1-646.4 1547 1480 36.67% 18.34% 44.99%+0.03 -38.9 11
1955-02-12 Ballymena United L 1-353.6 1477 1438 58.28% 18.22% 23.50%+0.58 -26.1 10
1955-02-12 @ Crusaders W 3-153.6 1438 1477 23.50% 18.22% 58.28%-0.58 +26.1 8
1955-02-12 Glentoran W 2-156.8 1423 1575 33.18% 18.26% 48.56%-0.52 +12.7 8
1955-02-12 @ Derry City L 1-256.8 1575 1423 48.56% 18.26% 33.18%+0.52 -12.7 10
1955-02-12 Bangor W 4-251.0 1664 1456 72.15% 17.53% 10.32%+1.55 +5.0 19
1955-02-12 @ Glenavon L 2-451.0 1456 1664 10.32% 17.53% 72.15%-1.55 -5.0 8
1955-02-12 Portadown W 5-242.4 1645 1363 75.88% 17.06% 7.06%+1.97 +4.7 15
1955-02-12 @ Linfield L 2-542.4 1363 1645 7.06% 17.06% 75.88%-1.97 -4.7 6
1955-02-16 Linfield D 1-167.3 1449 1650 27.22% 18.14% 54.64%-0.80 +1.7 12
1955-02-16 @ Cliftonville D 1-167.3 1650 1449 54.64% 18.14% 27.22%+0.80 -1.7 16
1955-02-19 Derry City W 2-146.1 1451 1435 55.57% 18.27% 26.16%+0.44 +7.5 10
1955-02-19 @ Bangor L 1-246.1 1435 1451 26.16% 18.27% 55.57%-0.44 -7.5 8
1955-02-19 Ballymena United W 1-044.1 1451 1464 52.18% 18.31% 29.51%+0.28 +8.9 14
1955-02-19 @ Cliftonville L 0-144.1 1464 1451 29.51% 18.31% 52.18%-0.28 -8.9 8
1955-02-19 Glentoran D 1-166.2 1509 1562 46.88% 18.34% 34.78%+0.04 -0.7 12
1955-02-19 @ Coleraine D 1-166.2 1562 1509 34.78% 18.34% 46.88%-0.04 +0.8 11
1955-02-19 Crusaders W 3-038.1 1648 1451 71.42% 17.60% 10.98%+1.48 +10.0 18
1955-02-19 @ Linfield L 0-338.1 1451 1648 10.98% 17.60% 71.42%-1.48 -10.0 10
1955-02-19 Glenavon D 2-273.6 1482 1669 28.76% 18.17% 53.07%-0.72 +1.1 10
1955-02-19 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-273.6 1669 1482 53.07% 18.17% 28.76%+0.72 -1.2 20
1955-02-19 Ards W 4-040.8 1358 1519 32.02% 18.24% 49.74%-0.57 +49.2 8
1955-02-19 @ Portadown L 0-440.8 1519 1358 49.74% 18.24% 32.02%+0.57 -49.2 13
1955-02-23 Cliftonville W 2-147.8 1483 1460 56.47% 18.26% 25.27%+0.49 +7.3 12
1955-02-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-247.8 1460 1483 25.27% 18.26% 56.47%-0.49 -7.3 14
1955-02-26 Cliftonville L 4-567.2 1470 1453 55.77% 18.27% 25.96%+0.45 -13.2 13
1955-02-26 @ Ards W 5-467.2 1453 1470 25.96% 18.27% 55.77%-0.45 +13.2 16
1955-02-26 Bangor W 5-352.8 1563 1458 64.61% 18.03% 17.36%+0.95 +7.7 13
1955-02-26 @ Glentoran L 3-552.8 1458 1563 17.36% 18.03% 64.61%-0.95 -7.7 10
1955-02-26 Coleraine W 5-144.2 1407 1508 40.29% 18.33% 41.39%-0.23 +35.0 10
1955-02-26 @ Portadown L 1-544.2 1508 1407 41.39% 18.33% 40.29%+0.23 -35.1 12
1955-03-12 Portadown W 2-038.8 1451 1443 54.70% 18.28% 27.01%+0.40 +15.5 12
1955-03-12 @ Bangor L 0-238.8 1443 1451 27.01% 18.28% 54.70%-0.40 -15.5 10
1955-03-12 Glentoran L 1-255.6 1466 1570 39.70% 18.32% 41.97%-0.25 -10.7 16
1955-03-12 @ Cliftonville W 2-155.6 1570 1466 41.97% 18.32% 39.70%+0.25 +10.7 15
1955-03-12 Ards L 0-149.3 1428 1457 50.09% 18.33% 31.58%+0.18 -13.9 8
1955-03-12 @ Derry City W 1-049.3 1457 1428 31.58% 18.33% 50.09%-0.18 +13.9 15
1955-03-12 Ballymena United W 3-146.3 1668 1455 72.43% 17.50% 10.07%+1.58 +5.5 22
1955-03-12 @ Glenavon L 1-346.3 1455 1668 10.07% 17.50% 72.43%-1.58 -5.5 8
1955-03-12 Coleraine W 2-150.2 1658 1473 70.69% 17.66% 11.65%+1.42 +3.6 20
1955-03-12 @ Linfield L 1-250.2 1473 1658 11.65% 17.66% 70.69%-1.42 -3.6 12
1955-03-12 Crusaders W 5-351.1 1491 1441 59.32% 18.20% 22.49%+0.64 +9.7 14
1955-03-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-551.1 1441 1491 22.49% 18.20% 59.32%-0.64 -9.7 10
1955-03-17 Lisburn Distillery W 1-047.0 1414 1500 42.27% 18.34% 39.39%-0.15 +11.3 10
1955-03-17 @ Derry City L 0-147.0 1500 1414 39.39% 18.34% 42.27%+0.15 -11.3 14
1955-03-19 Bangor W 5-140.8 1471 1466 54.27% 18.29% 27.44%+0.38 +24.8 17
1955-03-19 @ Ards L 1-540.8 1466 1471 27.44% 18.29% 54.27%-0.38 -24.9 12
1955-03-19 Lisburn Distillery D 2-266.1 1449 1489 48.71% 18.34% 32.96%+0.12 -0.7 9
1955-03-19 @ Ballymena United D 2-266.1 1489 1449 32.96% 18.34% 48.71%-0.12 +0.7 15
1955-03-19 Derry City W 4-247.0 1469 1425 58.75% 18.21% 23.04%+0.60 +10.5 14
1955-03-19 @ Coleraine L 2-447.0 1425 1469 23.04% 18.21% 58.75%-0.60 -10.5 10
1955-03-19 Cliftonville L 1-447.7 1432 1455 50.81% 18.32% 30.87%+0.22 -32.4 10
1955-03-19 @ Crusaders W 4-147.7 1455 1432 30.87% 18.32% 50.81%-0.22 +32.4 18
1955-03-19 Linfield L 1-262.5 1581 1661 43.16% 18.34% 38.50%-0.11 -11.5 15
1955-03-19 @ Glentoran W 2-162.5 1661 1581 38.50% 18.34% 43.16%+0.11 +11.5 22
1955-03-19 Glenavon D 1-167.4 1427 1674 22.15% 17.97% 59.88%-1.07 +2.5 11
1955-03-19 @ Portadown D 1-167.4 1674 1427 59.88% 17.97% 22.15%+1.07 -2.5 23
1955-03-23 Linfield L 2-358.9 1449 1673 24.52% 18.06% 57.42%-0.94 -6.7 9
1955-03-23 @ Ballymena United W 3-258.9 1673 1449 57.42% 18.06% 24.52%+0.94 +6.7 24
1955-03-26 Linfield L 0-244.8 1429 1680 21.81% 17.96% 60.23%-1.09 -12.8 11
1955-03-26 @ Portadown W 2-044.8 1680 1429 60.23% 17.96% 21.81%+1.09 +12.8 26
1955-03-30 Glenavon L 0-438.6 1399 1671 19.70% 17.87% 62.43%-1.21 -22.2 10
1955-03-30 @ Crusaders W 4-038.6 1671 1399 62.43% 17.87% 19.70%+1.21 +22.2 25
1955-04-02 Crusaders W 3-139.6 1441 1377 60.85% 18.16% 21.00%+0.72 +10.8 14
1955-04-02 @ Bangor L 1-339.6 1377 1441 21.00% 18.16% 60.85%-0.72 -10.8 10
1955-04-02 Portadown D 3-369.7 1488 1417 61.51% 18.14% 20.35%+0.76 -1.7 19
1955-04-02 @ Cliftonville D 3-369.7 1417 1488 20.35% 18.14% 61.51%-0.76 +1.7 12
1955-04-02 Ballymena United D 1-158.7 1415 1442 50.32% 18.33% 31.35%+0.19 -1.2 11
1955-04-02 @ Derry City D 1-158.7 1442 1415 31.35% 18.33% 50.32%-0.19 +1.2 10
1955-04-02 Coleraine W 1-046.8 1694 1480 72.45% 17.50% 10.04%+1.58 +3.3 27
1955-04-02 @ Glenavon L 0-146.8 1480 1694 10.04% 17.50% 72.45%-1.58 -3.3 14
1955-04-02 Ards D 2-274.7 1692 1496 71.44% 17.60% 10.96%+1.48 -3.1 27
1955-04-02 @ Linfield D 2-274.7 1496 1692 10.96% 17.60% 71.44%-1.48 +3.1 18
1955-04-02 Glentoran L 1-354.4 1490 1570 43.22% 18.34% 38.44%-0.11 -19.9 15
1955-04-02 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-154.4 1570 1490 38.44% 18.34% 43.22%+0.11 +19.9 17
1955-04-09 Glenavon L 0-152.7 1499 1697 27.44% 18.14% 54.42%-0.79 -8.3 18
1955-04-09 @ Ards W 1-052.7 1697 1499 54.42% 18.14% 27.44%+0.79 +8.3 29
1955-04-09 Cliftonville W 3-254.7 1476 1486 52.55% 18.31% 29.14%+0.30 +7.9 16
1955-04-09 @ Coleraine L 2-354.7 1486 1476 29.14% 18.31% 52.55%-0.30 -7.9 19
1955-04-09 Derry City D 0-053.8 1366 1414 47.70% 18.34% 33.96%+0.08 -1.0 11
1955-04-09 @ Crusaders D 0-053.8 1414 1366 33.96% 18.34% 47.70%-0.08 +0.9 12
1955-04-09 Ballymena United W 4-141.8 1590 1443 68.01% 17.85% 14.13%+1.19 +10.6 19
1955-04-09 @ Glentoran L 1-441.8 1443 1590 14.13% 17.85% 68.01%-1.19 -10.6 10
1955-04-09 Bangor W 3-254.6 1689 1452 73.74% 17.36% 8.90%+1.72 +2.7 29
1955-04-09 @ Linfield L 2-354.6 1452 1689 8.90% 17.36% 73.74%-1.72 -2.7 14
1955-04-09 Lisburn Distillery L 0-244.7 1418 1470 47.11% 18.34% 34.55%+0.05 -24.8 12
1955-04-09 @ Portadown W 2-044.7 1470 1418 34.55% 18.34% 47.11%-0.05 +24.8 17
1955-04-11 Ards D 2-265.6 1433 1490 46.28% 18.34% 35.38%+0.02 -0.5 11
1955-04-11 @ Ballymena United D 2-265.6 1490 1433 35.38% 18.34% 46.28%-0.02 +0.5 19
1955-04-11 Cliftonville L 0-542.8 1449 1478 50.15% 18.33% 31.53%+0.19 -61.2 14
1955-04-11 @ Bangor W 5-042.8 1478 1449 31.53% 18.33% 50.15%-0.19 +61.2 21
1955-04-11 Coleraine L 1-248.5 1365 1484 37.68% 18.31% 44.01%-0.33 -10.3 11
1955-04-11 @ Crusaders W 2-148.5 1484 1365 44.01% 18.31% 37.68%+0.33 +10.3 18
1955-04-11 Portadown D 1-157.5 1414 1394 56.19% 18.26% 25.55%+0.47 -2.0 13
1955-04-11 @ Derry City D 1-157.5 1394 1414 25.55% 18.26% 56.19%-0.47 +2.0 13
1955-04-11 Glentoran W 3-152.5 1705 1600 64.66% 18.02% 17.31%+0.96 +9.1 31
1955-04-11 @ Glenavon L 1-352.5 1600 1705 17.31% 18.02% 64.66%-0.96 -9.1 19
1955-04-11 Linfield D 1-169.8 1495 1692 27.55% 18.15% 54.30%-0.78 +1.7 18
1955-04-11 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-169.8 1692 1495 54.30% 18.15% 27.55%+0.78 -1.7 30
1955-04-12 Lisburn Distillery W 4-038.3 1491 1496 53.05% 18.30% 28.65%+0.32 +31.0 21
1955-04-12 @ Ards L 0-438.3 1496 1491 28.65% 18.30% 53.05%-0.32 -31.0 18
1955-04-12 Bangor L 2-555.6 1494 1388 64.77% 18.02% 17.21%+0.96 -35.5 18
1955-04-12 @ Coleraine W 5-255.6 1388 1494 17.21% 18.02% 64.77%-0.96 +35.5 16
1955-04-12 Cliftonville W 2-154.1 1413 1539 36.59% 18.30% 45.11%-0.38 +11.9 15
1955-04-12 @ Derry City L 1-254.1 1539 1413 45.11% 18.30% 36.59%+0.38 -11.9 21
1955-04-12 Crusaders L 1-262.1 1591 1355 73.68% 17.37% 8.96%+1.71 -19.1 19
1955-04-12 @ Glentoran W 2-162.1 1355 1591 8.96% 17.37% 73.68%-1.71 +19.1 13
1955-04-12 Glenavon W 2-052.8 1690 1714 50.75% 18.32% 30.93%+0.21 +17.4 32
1955-04-12 @ Linfield L 0-252.8 1714 1690 30.93% 18.32% 50.75%-0.21 -17.4 31
1955-04-12 Ballymena United W 2-146.4 1396 1432 49.12% 18.33% 32.55%+0.14 +9.1 15
1955-04-12 @ Portadown L 1-246.4 1432 1396 32.55% 18.33% 49.12%-0.14 -9.1 11
1955-04-16 Lisburn Distillery W 2-148.4 1424 1465 48.44% 18.34% 33.23%+0.11 +9.2 18
1955-04-16 @ Bangor L 1-248.4 1465 1424 33.23% 18.34% 48.44%-0.11 -9.2 18
1955-04-16 Ballymena United W 3-034.4 1459 1423 57.88% 18.23% 23.89%+0.56 +20.2 20
1955-04-16 @ Coleraine L 0-334.4 1423 1459 23.89% 18.23% 57.88%-0.56 -20.2 11
1955-04-16 Ards D 2-264.7 1374 1522 33.77% 18.26% 47.96%-0.50 +0.7 14
1955-04-16 @ Crusaders D 2-264.7 1522 1374 47.96% 18.26% 33.77%+0.50 -0.7 22
1955-04-16 Glenavon L 1-252.3 1424 1697 19.67% 17.87% 62.46%-1.21 -5.8 15
1955-04-16 @ Derry City W 2-152.3 1697 1424 62.46% 17.87% 19.67%+1.21 +5.9 33
1955-04-16 Portadown W 4-246.7 1572 1405 69.52% 17.75% 12.72%+1.31 +6.1 21
1955-04-16 @ Glentoran L 2-446.7 1405 1572 12.72% 17.75% 69.52%-1.31 -6.1 15
1955-04-16 Cliftonville W 2-044.9 1708 1527 70.39% 17.69% 11.92%+1.39 +7.4 34
1955-04-16 @ Linfield L 0-244.9 1527 1708 11.92% 17.69% 70.39%-1.39 -7.4 21
1955-04-23 Crusaders W 2-035.1 1403 1375 56.98% 18.25% 24.77%+0.51 +14.4 13
1955-04-23 @ Ballymena United L 0-235.1 1375 1403 24.77% 18.25% 56.98%-0.51 -14.4 14
1955-04-27 Glenavon L 1-447.0 1433 1703 19.92% 17.88% 62.20%-1.20 -14.5 18
1955-04-27 @ Bangor W 4-147.0 1703 1433 62.20% 17.88% 19.92%+1.20 +14.5 35
1955-04-27 Lisburn Distillery W 2-039.9 1520 1456 60.80% 18.16% 21.05%+0.72 +12.5 23
1955-04-27 @ Cliftonville L 0-239.9 1456 1520 21.05% 18.16% 60.80%-0.72 -12.5 18
1955-04-27 Derry City W 6-138.0 1578 1419 68.97% 17.79% 13.24%+1.27 +15.8 23
1955-04-27 @ Glentoran L 1-638.0 1419 1578 13.24% 17.79% 68.97%-1.27 -15.8 15
1955-04-28 Ards W 4-146.5 1479 1521 48.41% 18.34% 33.25%+0.11 +22.7 22
1955-04-28 @ Coleraine L 1-446.5 1521 1479 33.25% 18.34% 48.41%-0.11 -22.7 22
1955-04-30 Glentoran W 3-154.8 1498 1594 40.99% 18.33% 40.68%-0.20 +18.9 24
1955-04-30 @ Ards L 1-354.8 1594 1498 40.68% 18.33% 40.99%+0.20 -18.9 23
1955-04-30 Bangor L 1-349.8 1417 1418 53.56% 18.30% 28.14%+0.34 -24.1 13
1955-04-30 @ Ballymena United W 3-149.8 1418 1417 28.14% 18.30% 53.56%-0.34 +24.1 20
1955-04-30 Portadown W 2-037.1 1360 1399 48.92% 18.33% 32.75%+0.13 +18.3 16
1955-04-30 @ Crusaders L 0-237.1 1399 1360 32.75% 18.33% 48.92%-0.13 -18.3 15
1955-04-30 Linfield L 1-251.2 1403 1715 16.27% 17.67% 66.06%-1.44 -4.9 15
1955-04-30 @ Derry City W 2-151.2 1715 1403 66.06% 17.67% 16.27%+1.44 +4.9 36
1955-04-30 Cliftonville D 1-171.2 1717 1532 70.68% 17.66% 11.66%+1.41 -4.0 36
1955-04-30 @ Glenavon D 1-171.2 1532 1717 11.66% 17.66% 70.68%-1.41 +4.0 24
1955-04-30 Coleraine L 1-351.1 1444 1502 46.22% 18.34% 35.43%+0.02 -21.1 18
1955-04-30 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-151.1 1502 1444 35.43% 18.34% 46.22%-0.02 +21.1 24

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1955-05-25 Glenavon W 2-055.7 1720 1713 41.81% 18.34% 39.84%+0.04 +21.5 1-0
1955-05-25 @ Linfield L 0-255.7 1713 1720 39.84% 18.34% 41.81%-0.04 -21.5 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1955-04-12 8.96% Crusaders 1355 2 @ Glentoran 1591 1
2 1954-12-18 10.49% Cliftonville 1404 3 @ Glentoran 1609 1
3 1954-12-04 15.31% Cliftonville 1389 3 @ Ballymena United 1519 2
4 1955-01-15 15.52% Ards 1435 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1562 2
5 1955-01-22 15.85% Bangor 1423 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1546 0
6 1954-12-27 16.10% Bangor 1433 3 @ Crusaders 1553 2
7 1955-04-12 17.21% Bangor 1388 5 @ Coleraine 1494 2
8 1954-12-11 21.60% Crusaders 1499 1 @ Glenavon 1557 0
9 1954-12-27 23.23% Lisburn Distillery 1514 4 @ Glentoran 1556 1
10 1955-02-12 23.50% Ballymena United 1438 3 @ Crusaders 1477 1
11 1955-02-26 25.96% Cliftonville 1453 5 @ Ards 1470 4
12 1955-01-22 26.10% @ Portadown 1373 3 Glentoran 1583 2
13 1954-12-27 27.13% Cliftonville 1425 5 @ Portadown 1432 4
14 1955-04-30 28.14% Bangor 1418 3 @ Ballymena United 1417 1
15 1955-01-15 28.96% Glentoran 1540 5 @ Crusaders 1531 1
16 1955-01-08 29.35% Derry City 1422 3 @ Portadown 1411 0
17 1955-03-19 30.87% Cliftonville 1455 4 @ Crusaders 1432 1
18 1955-04-11 31.53% Cliftonville 1478 5 @ Bangor 1449 0
19 1955-03-12 31.58% Ards 1457 1 @ Derry City 1428 0
20 1955-01-08 31.92% Glenavon 1599 5 @ Glentoran 1567 2
21 1955-02-19 32.02% @ Portadown 1358 4 Ards 1519 0
22 1955-02-12 33.18% @ Derry City 1423 2 Glentoran 1575 1
23 1954-12-27 33.20% Glenavon 1560 3 @ Coleraine 1518 1
24 1955-01-01 33.59% Glentoran 1519 4 @ Ballymena United 1475 0
25 1954-12-18 34.13% Glenavon 1540 3 @ Ballymena United 1492 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-04-11 61.18 Cliftonville 5 1478 31.53% @ Bangor 0 1449 50.15% 18.33%
2 1955-02-19 49.23 @ Portadown 4 1358 32.02% Ards 0 1519 49.74% 18.24%
3 1955-01-01 47.80 Glentoran 4 1519 33.59% @ Ballymena United 0 1475 48.07% 18.34%
4 1955-01-15 43.30 Glentoran 5 1540 28.96% @ Crusaders 1 1531 52.73% 18.31%
5 1955-01-08 39.51 Derry City 3 1422 29.35% @ Portadown 0 1411 52.34% 18.31%
6 1955-02-12 38.87 @ Ards 6 1480 44.99% Coleraine 1 1547 36.67% 18.34%
7 1954-12-27 37.05 Lisburn Distillery 4 1514 23.23% @ Glentoran 1 1556 58.55% 18.22%
8 1955-04-12 35.48 Bangor 5 1388 17.21% @ Coleraine 2 1494 64.77% 18.02%
9 1955-02-26 35.05 @ Portadown 5 1407 40.29% Coleraine 1 1508 41.39% 18.33%
10 1955-01-22 34.52 @ Ards 4 1451 49.08% Crusaders 0 1488 32.58% 18.33%
11 1955-01-22 34.20 Bangor 2 1423 15.85% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1546 66.19% 17.95%
12 1955-03-19 32.42 Cliftonville 4 1455 30.87% @ Crusaders 1 1432 50.81% 18.32%
13 1954-12-18 32.30 Cliftonville 3 1404 10.49% @ Glentoran 1 1609 71.96% 17.55%
14 1955-01-29 31.89 Glenavon 4 1633 52.08% @ Cliftonville 0 1453 29.72% 18.20%
15 1955-04-12 30.95 @ Ards 4 1491 53.05% Lisburn Distillery 0 1496 28.65% 18.30%
16 1955-01-29 29.69 @ Coleraine 4 1518 54.43% Lisburn Distillery 0 1512 27.28% 18.29%
17 1955-02-09 28.03 @ Cliftonville 5 1421 50.07% Derry City 1 1451 31.60% 18.33%
18 1955-01-08 27.67 @ Coleraine 3 1508 47.23% Crusaders 0 1559 34.43% 18.34%
19 1955-01-08 27.61 @ Cliftonville 5 1426 50.65% Bangor 1 1450 31.03% 18.32%
20 1955-01-08 27.55 Glenavon 5 1599 31.92% @ Glentoran 2 1567 49.75% 18.33%
21 1954-12-11 26.57 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1501 57.76% Derry City 0 1466 24.00% 18.23%
22 1954-12-18 26.46 @ Crusaders 5 1515 52.18% Lisburn Distillery 1 1528 29.51% 18.31%
23 1955-02-12 26.08 Ballymena United 3 1438 23.50% @ Crusaders 1 1477 58.28% 18.22%
24 1955-03-19 24.86 @ Ards 5 1471 54.27% Bangor 1 1466 27.44% 18.29%
25 1955-04-09 24.75 Lisburn Distillery 2 1470 34.55% @ Portadown 0 1418 47.11% 18.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-04-02 74.7 @ Linfield 2 1692 71.44% Ards 2 1496 10.96% 17.60%
2 1955-02-19 73.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1482 28.76% Glenavon 2 1669 53.07% 18.17%
3 1955-01-01 71.8 @ Bangor 2 1449 27.85% Linfield 2 1644 54.00% 18.15%
4 1955-01-15 71.3 @ Glenavon 1 1626 52.12% Linfield 1 1640 29.57% 18.31%
5 1955-04-30 71.2 @ Glenavon 1 1717 70.68% Cliftonville 1 1532 11.66% 17.66%
6 1955-04-11 69.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1495 27.55% Linfield 1 1692 54.30% 18.15%
7 1955-04-02 69.7 @ Cliftonville 3 1488 61.51% Portadown 3 1417 20.35% 18.14%
8 1954-12-04 69.2 @ Ards 3 1447 54.31% Portadown 3 1442 27.40% 18.29%
9 1955-03-19 67.4 @ Portadown 1 1427 22.15% Glenavon 1 1674 59.88% 17.97%
10 1955-02-16 67.3 @ Cliftonville 1 1449 27.22% Linfield 1 1650 54.64% 18.14%
11 1955-02-26 67.2 Cliftonville 5 1453 25.96% @ Ards 4 1470 55.77% 18.27%
12 1955-01-08 67.1 @ Linfield 0 1643 62.71% Lisburn Distillery 0 1559 19.19% 18.10%
13 1955-01-15 67.1 Ards 3 1435 15.52% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1562 66.55% 17.94%
14 1955-01-15 66.9 @ Bangor 2 1423 38.47% Coleraine 2 1536 43.21% 18.32%
15 1955-01-15 66.6 @ Ballymena United 3 1420 59.18% Portadown 3 1372 22.62% 18.20%
16 1954-12-27 66.5 Bangor 3 1433 16.10% @ Crusaders 2 1553 65.94% 17.97%
17 1955-02-19 66.2 @ Coleraine 1 1509 46.88% Glentoran 1 1562 34.78% 18.34%
18 1955-03-19 66.1 @ Ballymena United 2 1449 48.71% Lisburn Distillery 2 1489 32.96% 18.34%
19 1955-04-11 65.6 @ Ballymena United 2 1433 46.28% Ards 2 1490 35.38% 18.34%
20 1954-12-27 64.8 Cliftonville 5 1425 27.13% @ Portadown 4 1432 54.59% 18.28%
21 1955-04-16 64.7 @ Crusaders 2 1374 33.77% Ards 2 1522 47.96% 18.26%
22 1955-01-29 64.6 @ Bangor 2 1457 56.20% Ballymena United 2 1436 25.54% 18.26%
23 1954-12-04 63.9 Cliftonville 3 1389 15.31% @ Ballymena United 2 1519 66.76% 17.92%
24 1954-12-04 63.8 Linfield 3 1598 39.67% @ Crusaders 2 1509 42.00% 18.34%
25 1954-12-18 62.8 Glenavon 3 1540 34.13% @ Ballymena United 2 1492 47.53% 18.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-04-16 34.4 @ Coleraine 3 1459 57.88% Ballymena United 0 1423 23.89% 18.23%
2 1955-04-23 35.1 @ Ballymena United 2 1403 56.98% Crusaders 0 1375 24.77% 18.25%
3 1955-01-01 35.5 @ Glenavon 4 1582 67.29% Ards 0 1445 14.82% 17.90%
4 1954-12-11 36.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1501 57.76% Derry City 0 1466 24.00% 18.23%
5 1955-04-30 37.1 @ Crusaders 2 1360 48.92% Portadown 0 1399 32.75% 18.33%
6 1955-01-22 37.7 @ Ards 4 1451 49.08% Crusaders 0 1488 32.58% 18.33%
7 1955-04-27 38.0 @ Glentoran 6 1578 68.97% Derry City 1 1419 13.24% 17.79%
8 1955-02-19 38.1 @ Linfield 3 1648 71.42% Crusaders 0 1451 10.98% 17.60%
9 1955-04-12 38.3 @ Ards 4 1491 53.05% Lisburn Distillery 0 1496 28.65% 18.30%
10 1955-03-30 38.6 Glenavon 4 1671 62.43% @ Crusaders 0 1399 19.70% 17.87%
11 1955-03-12 38.8 @ Bangor 2 1451 54.70% Portadown 0 1443 27.01% 18.28%
12 1954-12-11 39.0 @ Coleraine 2 1520 62.12% Portadown 0 1443 19.76% 18.12%
13 1955-01-29 39.5 @ Coleraine 4 1518 54.43% Lisburn Distillery 0 1512 27.28% 18.29%
14 1955-04-02 39.6 @ Bangor 3 1441 60.85% Crusaders 1 1377 21.00% 18.16%
15 1955-01-08 39.9 @ Cliftonville 5 1426 50.65% Bangor 1 1450 31.03% 18.32%
16 1955-02-09 39.9 @ Cliftonville 5 1421 50.07% Derry City 1 1451 31.60% 18.33%
17 1955-04-27 39.9 @ Cliftonville 2 1520 60.80% Lisburn Distillery 0 1456 21.05% 18.16%
18 1955-02-19 40.8 @ Portadown 4 1358 32.02% Ards 0 1519 49.74% 18.24%
19 1955-03-19 40.8 @ Ards 5 1471 54.27% Bangor 1 1466 27.44% 18.29%
20 1955-01-08 41.6 Derry City 3 1422 29.35% @ Portadown 0 1411 52.34% 18.31%
21 1955-04-09 41.8 @ Glentoran 4 1590 68.01% Ballymena United 1 1443 14.13% 17.85%
22 1955-01-29 42.2 Glenavon 4 1633 52.08% @ Cliftonville 0 1453 29.72% 18.20%
23 1955-02-12 42.4 @ Linfield 5 1645 75.88% Portadown 2 1363 7.06% 17.06%
24 1955-01-01 42.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1551 66.91% Portadown 1 1419 15.17% 17.92%
25 1955-01-29 42.6 Crusaders 2 1454 36.62% @ Portadown 0 1387 45.03% 18.34%