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1970-71 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

6.85 points above expected

38 points · 31.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Portadown

7.85 points below expected

8 points · 15.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 18 2 2 38 58 16 +42 31.15 +6.85
2 Glentoran 22 16 3 3 35 52 17 +35 29.41 +5.59
3 Lisburn Distillery 22 13 4 5 30 51 29 +22 26.36 +3.64
4 Coleraine 22 12 2 8 26 43 32 +11 26.70 -0.70
5 Ballymena United 22 8 7 7 23 34 28 +6 23.32 -0.32
6 Ards 22 8 5 9 21 30 37 -7 21.83 -0.83
7 Crusaders 22 7 6 9 20 24 45 -21 17.50 +2.50
8 Derry City 22 7 5 10 19 45 46 -1 21.48 -2.48
9 Bangor 22 7 5 10 19 21 34 -13 17.89 +1.11
10 Glenavon 22 5 3 14 13 39 55 -16 17.68 -4.68
11 Cliftonville 22 3 6 13 12 26 53 -27 14.83 -2.83
12 Portadown 22 2 4 16 8 24 55 -31 15.85 -7.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 38 31.15 +6.85
2 Glentoran 35 29.41 +5.59
3 Lisburn Distillery 30 26.36 +3.64
4 Crusaders 20 17.50 +2.50
5 Bangor 19 17.89 +1.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 8 15.85 -7.85
2 Glenavon 13 17.68 -4.68
3 Cliftonville 12 14.83 -2.83
4 Derry City 19 21.48 -2.48
5 Ards 21 21.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 11 Mar 6 – May 1 1 in 163
2 Glentoran 10 Mar 13 – Apr 27 1 in 151
3 Glenavon 3 Jan 30 – Feb 20 1 in 53
4 Coleraine 5 Dec 19 – Jan 9 1 in 32
5 Lisburn Distillery 4 Jan 16 – Feb 6 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 3 Apr 10 – Apr 17 1 in 22
2 Derry City 4 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 19
3 Portadown 5 Apr 17 – Apr 29 1 in 13
4 Glenavon 4 Jan 2 – Jan 23 1 in 12
5 Ards 3 Mar 20 – Apr 8 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 4 Apr 7 – Apr 15 1 in 15
2 Bangor 5 Dec 26 – Jan 16 1 in 15
3 Linfield 14 Jan 30 – May 1 1 in 13
4 Coleraine 6 Dec 12 – Jan 9 1 in 12
5 Lisburn Distillery 7 Jan 16 – Mar 20 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 12 Dec 26 – Mar 27 1 in 46
2 Ballymena United 4 Jan 23 – Feb 20 1 in 35
3 Portadown 10 Dec 28 – Mar 20 1 in 25
4 Glenavon 8 Dec 12 – Jan 23 1 in 20
5 Crusaders 8 Dec 19 – Jan 30 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1728 38 +105 10 7.2 +2.8
Glentoran 1584 35 +3 8 7.7 +0.3
Lisburn Distillery 1504 30 -4 7 7.5 -0.5
Coleraine 1385 26 +40 7 5.6 +1.4
Ballymena United 1388 23 -13 5 5.9 -0.9
Ards 1312 21 +44 6 4.0 +2.0
Crusaders 1235 20 -79 3 3.6 -0.6
Derry City 1352 19 +37 5 5.5 -0.5
Bangor 1176 19 -62 2 3.5 -1.5
Glenavon 1229 13 +28 4 3.6 +0.4
Cliftonville 1108 12 -8 3 3.0 -0.0
Portadown 1079 8 -91 0 2.9 -2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.67
1-1-0
4.00
0-0-2
2.38
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
3.52
Ballymena United
1-0-1
3.18
—
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
3.88
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
3.77
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
1.92
0-2-0
1.89
1-1-0
4.19
Bangor
1-1-0
1.92
0-1-1
2.16
—
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
1.34
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
3.25
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
0.79
0-2-0
2.21
2-0-0
3.24
Cliftonville
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.46
—
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
0.77
1-0-1
1.22
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.66
Coleraine
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
4.25
1-1-0
4.32
—
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
3.98
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
4.36
Crusaders
0-2-0
2.26
1-1-0
1.71
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
1.76
—
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
1.73
1-1-0
3.23
Derry City
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
1.80
1-0-1
3.43
—
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
3.35
Glenavon
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
1.81
2-0-0
2.33
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.11
—
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
3.23
Glentoran
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.84
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
4.24
—
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
4.63
Linfield
1-0-1
4.21
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.81
1-0-1
4.38
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.05
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
2.95
—
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
4.18
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.70
0-2-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
4.20
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.04
—
2-0-0
3.87
Portadown
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.24
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
1.72
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +5.7
Allowed 0.90 -6.3
Differential 0.93 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%5.30%6.06%4.17%2.27%1.52%23.11%
15.30%8.33%6.44%5.30%2.65%0.38%28.41%
26.06%6.44%4.55%1.14%2.65%0.76%21.59%
34.17%5.30%1.14%3.03%0.76%0.76%15.15%
42.27%2.65%2.65%0.76%——8.33%
5+1.52%0.38%0.76%0.76%——3.41%
Total23.11%28.41%21.59%15.15%8.33%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.69 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.19
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%36.36%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.22 1.25 1.70
CV 0.89 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%18.18%13.64%———36.36%
29.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.18 0.83 1.61
CV 0.77 0.65 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%4.55%13.64%4.55%—54.55%
14.55%4.55%————9.09%
24.55%18.18%————22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.55 -0.59
SD 1.17 1.53 1.76
CV 1.23 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%40.91%
2——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.41 -1.23
SD 1.18 1.47 1.93
CV 1.00 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
213.64%9.09%——9.09%—31.82%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%36.36%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.45 +0.50
SD 1.46 1.22 2.02
CV 0.75 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%9.09%45.45%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%4.55%4.55%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.05 -0.95
SD 1.27 2.10 2.84
CV 1.16 1.03 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%——31.82%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%31.82%36.36%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.09 -0.05
SD 1.50 1.06 1.91
CV 0.73 0.51 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%—13.64%—22.73%
34.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total4.55%18.18%22.73%31.82%22.73%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.50 -0.73
SD 1.57 1.19 1.78
CV 0.89 0.47 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
19.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
313.64%—————13.64%
49.09%9.09%————18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total50.00%31.82%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.77 +1.59
SD 1.50 0.97 2.13
CV 0.63 1.26 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
218.18%13.64%————31.82%
313.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total54.55%27.27%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 0.73 +1.91
SD 1.53 0.98 1.95
CV 0.58 1.35 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
44.55%13.64%————18.18%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.32 +1.00
SD 1.55 1.39 2.09
CV 0.67 1.06 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%—45.45%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.50 -1.41
SD 0.92 1.47 1.56
CV 0.84 0.59 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1728 38 31.15 +6.85 97.0% 22 24 29 31 34 38 40
Glentoran 1584 35 29.41 +5.59 95.0% 22 24 27 30 31 35 38
Lisburn Distillery 1504 30 26.36 +3.64 89.0% 14 19 24 27 29 32 37
Ballymena United 1388 23 23.32 -0.32 49.0% 13 16 21 24 26 29 32
Coleraine 1385 26 26.70 -0.70 42.0% 14 20 24 27 29 32 35
Derry City 1352 19 21.48 -2.48 30.0% 13 15 19 22 24 28 33
Ards 1312 21 21.83 -0.83 44.0% 10 15 19 22 24 28 31
Crusaders 1235 20 17.50 +2.50 82.0% 10 11 15 17 20 23 24
Glenavon 1229 13 17.68 -4.68 15.0% 8 12 15 17 20 24 26
Bangor 1176 19 17.89 +1.11 68.0% 9 12 16 17 20 24 27
Cliftonville 1108 12 14.83 -2.83 29.0% 5 9 12 15 17 20 23
Portadown 1079 8 15.85 -7.85 1.0% 7 10 13 16 18 22 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
Clear Edge
49.24%19.70%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
063.88500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Linfield, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.04 * Wild Swing: 6.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.06 points
Some Luck
03.789
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Portadown
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 194.29
2.16
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
47%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.077
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield55.00%21.00%7.00%13.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Glentoran28.00%31.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Lisburn Distillery4.00%21.00%33.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Coleraine9.00%18.00%19.00%26.00%10.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Ballymena United2.00%3.00%8.00%19.00%20.00%20.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Ards1.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%16.00%24.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Crusaders————4.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%20.00%17.00%9.00%
Derry City1.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%20.00%13.00%19.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%
Bangor———3.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%
Glenavon———1.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%
Cliftonville—————1.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%21.00%33.00%
Portadown———2.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%17.00%15.00%20.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-12-12 Lisburn Distillery D 3-364.1 1289 1289 52.82% 20.84% 26.33%+0.39 -1.8 1
1970-12-12 @ Bangor D 3-364.1 1289 1289 26.33% 20.84% 52.82%-0.39 +1.8 1
1970-12-12 Cliftonville W 4-135.2 1316 1247 60.11% 20.71% 19.17%+0.81 +25.4 2
1970-12-12 @ Crusaders L 1-435.2 1247 1316 19.17% 20.71% 60.11%-0.81 -25.4 0
1970-12-12 Ballymena United D 2-260.6 1367 1316 58.42% 20.75% 20.82%+0.70 -3.2 1
1970-12-12 @ Derry City D 2-260.6 1316 1367 20.82% 20.75% 58.42%-0.70 +3.2 1
1970-12-12 Ards L 1-347.2 1327 1381 46.12% 20.89% 32.99%+0.06 -37.2 0
1970-12-12 @ Glenavon W 3-147.2 1381 1327 32.99% 20.89% 46.12%-0.06 +37.2 2
1970-12-12 Coleraine D 1-157.9 1425 1401 55.64% 20.81% 23.55%+0.54 -3.6 1
1970-12-12 @ Glentoran D 1-157.9 1401 1425 23.55% 20.81% 55.64%-0.54 +3.6 1
1970-12-12 Portadown W 5-030.7 1396 1327 60.18% 20.71% 19.11%+0.81 +48.4 2
1970-12-12 @ Linfield L 0-530.7 1327 1396 19.11% 20.71% 60.18%-0.81 -48.4 0
1970-12-19 Glentoran D 2-263.5 1418 1422 52.39% 20.85% 26.76%+0.37 -2.1 3
1970-12-19 @ Ards D 2-263.5 1422 1418 26.76% 20.85% 52.39%-0.37 +2.1 2
1970-12-19 Bangor W 4-030.4 1319 1287 56.42% 20.79% 22.79%+0.58 +45.7 3
1970-12-19 @ Ballymena United L 0-430.4 1287 1319 22.79% 20.79% 56.42%-0.58 -45.7 1
1970-12-19 Linfield W 3-149.4 1222 1444 23.99% 20.66% 55.35%-0.97 +43.8 2
1970-12-19 @ Cliftonville L 1-349.4 1444 1222 55.35% 20.66% 23.99%+0.97 -43.8 2
1970-12-19 Glenavon W 4-242.1 1404 1290 64.11% 20.57% 15.31%+1.09 +13.2 3
1970-12-19 @ Coleraine L 2-442.1 1290 1404 15.31% 20.57% 64.11%-1.09 -13.2 0
1970-12-19 Derry City W 2-146.2 1291 1364 43.51% 20.89% 35.61%-0.05 +17.4 3
1970-12-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-246.2 1364 1291 35.61% 20.89% 43.51%+0.05 -17.4 1
1970-12-19 Crusaders D 1-154.7 1278 1341 44.90% 20.89% 34.22%+0.01 -1.1 1
1970-12-19 @ Portadown D 1-154.7 1341 1278 34.22% 20.89% 44.90%-0.01 +1.1 3
1970-12-26 Ards D 0-051.4 1242 1416 29.65% 20.78% 49.57%-0.67 +2.4 2
1970-12-26 @ Bangor D 0-051.4 1416 1242 49.57% 20.78% 29.65%+0.67 -2.4 4
1970-12-26 Ballymena United D 2-260.0 1266 1365 39.77% 20.88% 39.35%-0.22 -0.0 3
1970-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 2-260.0 1365 1266 39.35% 20.88% 39.77%+0.22 +0.0 4
1970-12-26 Derry City W 4-244.3 1417 1346 60.36% 20.71% 18.94%+0.82 +15.9 5
1970-12-26 @ Coleraine L 2-444.3 1346 1417 18.94% 20.71% 60.36%-0.82 -15.9 1
1970-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 4-135.6 1424 1309 64.19% 20.57% 15.24%+1.09 +20.8 4
1970-12-26 @ Glentoran L 1-435.6 1309 1424 15.24% 20.57% 64.19%-1.09 -20.8 3
1970-12-26 Crusaders W 7-032.9 1401 1342 59.15% 20.74% 20.12%+0.75 +69.5 4
1970-12-26 @ Linfield L 0-732.9 1342 1401 20.12% 20.74% 59.15%-0.75 -69.5 3
1970-12-26 Glenavon W 1-038.0 1277 1277 52.91% 20.84% 26.25%+0.39 +14.4 3
1970-12-26 @ Portadown L 0-138.0 1277 1277 26.25% 20.84% 52.91%-0.39 -14.4 0
1970-12-28 Coleraine L 0-246.1 1413 1433 50.43% 20.87% 28.71%+0.27 -46.5 4
1970-12-28 @ Ards W 2-046.1 1433 1413 28.71% 20.87% 50.43%-0.27 +46.5 7
1970-12-28 Linfield L 1-250.3 1365 1470 38.91% 20.87% 40.22%-0.25 -18.7 4
1970-12-28 @ Ballymena United W 2-150.3 1470 1365 40.22% 20.87% 38.91%+0.25 +18.7 6
1970-12-28 Bangor D 0-050.5 1273 1244 56.07% 20.80% 23.13%+0.56 -4.1 4
1970-12-28 @ Crusaders D 0-050.5 1244 1273 23.13% 20.80% 56.07%-0.56 +4.1 3
1970-12-28 Glentoran L 0-338.0 1331 1445 37.67% 20.87% 41.47%-0.31 -52.8 1
1970-12-28 @ Derry City W 3-038.0 1445 1331 41.47% 20.87% 37.67%+0.31 +52.9 6
1970-12-28 Cliftonville D 1-154.2 1262 1266 52.48% 20.85% 26.67%+0.37 -2.8 1
1970-12-28 @ Glenavon D 1-154.2 1266 1262 26.67% 20.85% 52.48%-0.37 +2.8 4
1970-12-28 Portadown W 6-342.5 1288 1292 52.39% 20.85% 26.76%+0.37 +27.1 5
1970-12-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-642.5 1292 1288 26.76% 20.85% 52.39%-0.37 -27.1 3
1971-01-02 Derry City W 2-143.7 1248 1278 49.24% 20.87% 29.89%+0.21 +15.1 5
1971-01-02 @ Bangor L 1-243.7 1278 1248 29.89% 20.87% 49.24%-0.21 -15.1 1
1971-01-02 Lisburn Distillery L 1-443.7 1268 1315 47.05% 20.88% 32.07%+0.11 -53.5 4
1971-01-02 @ Cliftonville W 4-143.7 1315 1268 32.07% 20.88% 47.05%-0.11 +53.5 7
1971-01-02 Crusaders W 6-028.8 1480 1268 70.53% 20.16% 9.31%+1.68 +29.9 9
1971-01-02 @ Coleraine L 0-628.8 1268 1480 9.31% 20.16% 70.53%-1.68 -29.9 4
1971-01-02 Ballymena United L 0-250.8 1497 1346 66.86% 20.44% 12.70%+1.31 -61.3 6
1971-01-02 @ Glentoran W 2-050.8 1346 1497 12.70% 20.44% 66.86%-1.31 +61.3 6
1971-01-02 Glenavon W 2-031.1 1489 1260 71.45% 20.07% 8.48%+1.79 +9.9 8
1971-01-02 @ Linfield L 0-231.1 1260 1489 8.48% 20.07% 71.45%-1.79 -9.9 1
1971-01-02 Ards L 0-142.5 1265 1367 39.34% 20.88% 39.78%-0.23 -20.0 3
1971-01-02 @ Portadown W 1-042.5 1367 1265 39.78% 20.88% 39.34%+0.23 +20.0 6
1971-01-09 Coleraine L 1-252.9 1407 1510 39.33% 20.88% 39.79%-0.23 -18.8 6
1971-01-09 @ Ballymena United W 2-152.9 1510 1407 39.79% 20.88% 39.33%+0.23 +18.8 11
1971-01-09 Cliftonville W 1-036.2 1263 1215 58.15% 20.76% 21.09%+0.69 +11.9 7
1971-01-09 @ Bangor L 0-136.2 1215 1263 21.09% 20.76% 58.15%-0.69 -11.9 4
1971-01-09 Ards D 0-051.1 1239 1387 32.98% 20.82% 46.20%-0.51 +1.6 5
1971-01-09 @ Crusaders D 0-051.1 1387 1239 46.20% 20.82% 32.98%+0.51 -1.6 7
1971-01-09 Portadown W 4-136.5 1263 1245 54.91% 20.82% 24.27%+0.50 +31.1 3
1971-01-09 @ Derry City L 1-436.5 1245 1263 24.27% 20.82% 54.91%-0.50 -31.1 3
1971-01-09 Glentoran L 1-244.3 1250 1436 28.14% 20.75% 51.11%-0.75 -14.4 1
1971-01-09 @ Glenavon W 2-144.3 1436 1250 51.11% 20.75% 28.14%+0.75 +14.4 8
1971-01-09 Linfield L 2-548.1 1368 1499 35.41% 20.85% 43.74%-0.40 -36.7 7
1971-01-09 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-248.1 1499 1368 43.74% 20.85% 35.41%+0.40 +36.7 10
1971-01-16 Ballymena United L 0-148.3 1385 1389 52.45% 20.85% 26.70%+0.37 -25.5 7
1971-01-16 @ Ards W 1-048.3 1389 1385 26.70% 20.85% 52.45%-0.37 +25.6 8
1971-01-16 Derry City D 1-154.1 1203 1294 40.97% 20.88% 38.14%-0.16 -0.3 5
1971-01-16 @ Cliftonville D 1-154.1 1294 1203 38.14% 20.88% 40.97%+0.16 +0.3 4
1971-01-16 Crusaders W 1-033.9 1450 1240 70.47% 20.17% 9.36%+1.67 +5.7 10
1971-01-16 @ Glentoran L 0-133.9 1240 1450 9.36% 20.17% 70.47%-1.67 -5.7 5
1971-01-16 Coleraine W 2-154.1 1535 1529 53.63% 20.83% 25.53%+0.43 +13.2 12
1971-01-16 @ Linfield L 1-254.1 1529 1535 25.53% 20.83% 53.63%-0.43 -13.2 11
1971-01-16 Glenavon W 3-029.3 1332 1235 62.62% 20.63% 16.75%+0.98 +26.8 9
1971-01-16 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-329.3 1235 1332 16.75% 20.63% 62.62%-0.98 -26.8 1
1971-01-16 Bangor L 1-248.1 1214 1275 45.02% 20.89% 34.10%+0.01 -21.0 3
1971-01-16 @ Portadown W 2-148.1 1275 1214 34.10% 20.89% 45.02%-0.01 +21.0 9
1971-01-23 Linfield W 2-156.2 1360 1549 27.84% 20.75% 51.41%-0.76 +23.6 9
1971-01-23 @ Ards L 1-256.2 1549 1360 51.41% 20.75% 27.84%+0.76 -23.6 12
1971-01-23 Portadown D 1-154.8 1414 1192 71.07% 20.11% 8.82%+1.74 -7.6 9
1971-01-23 @ Ballymena United D 1-154.8 1192 1414 8.82% 20.11% 71.07%-1.74 +7.6 4
1971-01-23 Cliftonville W 3-134.7 1515 1203 75.00% 19.56% 5.44%+2.30 +5.6 13
1971-01-23 @ Coleraine L 1-334.7 1203 1515 5.44% 19.56% 75.00%-2.30 -5.5 5
1971-01-23 Lisburn Distillery L 0-434.3 1234 1358 36.27% 20.86% 42.87%-0.37 -67.0 5
1971-01-23 @ Crusaders W 4-034.3 1358 1234 42.87% 20.86% 36.27%+0.37 +67.0 11
1971-01-23 Derry City L 3-455.7 1209 1294 41.74% 20.88% 37.38%-0.13 -18.3 1
1971-01-23 @ Glenavon W 4-355.7 1294 1209 37.38% 20.88% 41.74%+0.13 +18.3 6
1971-01-23 Bangor W 1-035.7 1456 1296 67.45% 20.40% 12.15%+1.37 +7.3 12
1971-01-23 @ Glentoran L 0-135.7 1296 1456 12.15% 20.40% 67.45%-1.37 -7.3 9
1971-01-30 Crusaders D 1-154.7 1407 1167 71.95% 20.01% 8.04%+1.85 -7.8 10
1971-01-30 @ Ballymena United D 1-154.7 1167 1407 8.04% 20.01% 71.95%-1.85 +7.8 6
1971-01-30 Glenavon L 3-652.9 1289 1190 62.82% 20.63% 16.55%+0.99 -56.4 9
1971-01-30 @ Bangor W 6-352.9 1190 1289 16.55% 20.63% 62.82%-0.99 +56.4 3
1971-01-30 Ards D 3-364.2 1197 1383 28.16% 20.75% 51.09%-0.75 +1.5 6
1971-01-30 @ Cliftonville D 3-364.2 1383 1197 51.09% 20.75% 28.16%+0.75 -1.5 10
1971-01-30 Linfield D 3-367.9 1312 1525 25.08% 20.69% 54.23%-0.91 +2.0 7
1971-01-30 @ Derry City D 3-367.9 1525 1312 54.23% 20.69% 25.08%+0.91 -2.0 13
1971-01-30 Coleraine W 2-045.8 1425 1521 40.31% 20.88% 38.82%-0.19 +37.3 13
1971-01-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-245.8 1521 1425 38.82% 20.88% 40.31%+0.19 -37.3 13
1971-02-06 Lisburn Distillery L 1-446.2 1382 1463 42.37% 20.89% 36.74%-0.10 -49.0 10
1971-02-06 @ Ards W 4-146.2 1463 1382 36.74% 20.89% 42.37%+0.10 +49.0 15
1971-02-06 Portadown W 3-242.6 1484 1200 73.89% 19.75% 6.36%+2.12 +3.5 15
1971-02-06 @ Coleraine L 2-342.6 1200 1484 6.36% 19.75% 73.89%-2.12 -3.5 4
1971-02-06 Derry City W 1-043.4 1175 1314 34.20% 20.84% 44.96%-0.46 +22.3 8
1971-02-06 @ Crusaders L 0-143.4 1314 1175 44.96% 20.84% 34.20%+0.46 -22.3 7
1971-02-06 Ballymena United W 2-149.4 1247 1399 32.47% 20.82% 46.71%-0.54 +21.7 5
1971-02-06 @ Glenavon L 1-249.4 1399 1247 46.71% 20.82% 32.47%+0.54 -21.7 10
1971-02-06 Cliftonville W 5-026.0 1464 1199 73.12% 19.86% 7.02%+2.01 +19.2 14
1971-02-06 @ Glentoran L 0-526.0 1199 1464 7.02% 19.86% 73.12%-2.01 -19.2 6
1971-02-06 Bangor W 1-033.7 1523 1233 74.17% 19.71% 6.13%+2.16 +3.8 15
1971-02-06 @ Linfield L 0-133.7 1233 1523 6.13% 19.71% 74.17%-2.16 -3.8 9
1971-02-20 Lisburn Distillery D 2-264.9 1377 1512 34.82% 20.84% 44.33%-0.43 +0.8 11
1971-02-20 @ Ballymena United D 2-264.9 1512 1377 44.33% 20.84% 34.82%+0.43 -0.8 16
1971-02-20 Coleraine W 2-153.9 1229 1487 20.33% 20.54% 59.13%-1.19 +27.0 11
1971-02-20 @ Bangor L 1-253.9 1487 1229 59.13% 20.54% 20.33%+1.19 -27.0 15
1971-02-20 Glenavon L 3-456.2 1197 1268 43.75% 20.89% 35.36%-0.04 -19.0 8
1971-02-20 @ Crusaders W 4-356.2 1268 1197 35.36% 20.89% 43.75%+0.04 +19.0 7
1971-02-20 Glentoran D 1-164.0 1527 1483 57.70% 20.77% 21.53%+0.66 -4.1 16
1971-02-20 @ Linfield D 1-164.0 1483 1527 21.53% 20.77% 57.70%-0.66 +4.1 15
1971-02-20 Cliftonville D 1-153.8 1197 1179 54.82% 20.82% 24.37%+0.49 -3.4 5
1971-02-20 @ Portadown D 1-153.8 1179 1197 24.37% 20.82% 54.82%-0.49 +3.4 7
1971-03-06 Glenavon W 4-243.3 1333 1287 57.84% 20.77% 21.39%+0.67 +17.7 12
1971-03-06 @ Ards L 2-443.3 1287 1333 21.39% 20.77% 57.84%-0.67 -17.7 7
1971-03-06 Derry City W 3-138.1 1378 1292 61.71% 20.66% 17.62%+0.91 +16.7 13
1971-03-06 @ Ballymena United L 1-338.1 1292 1378 17.62% 20.66% 61.71%-0.91 -16.7 7
1971-03-06 Crusaders L 0-242.3 1183 1178 53.35% 20.84% 25.81%+0.42 -48.9 7
1971-03-06 @ Cliftonville W 2-042.3 1178 1183 25.81% 20.84% 53.35%-0.42 +48.9 10
1971-03-06 Glentoran W 3-148.2 1460 1487 49.60% 20.87% 29.53%+0.23 +25.9 17
1971-03-06 @ Coleraine L 1-348.2 1487 1460 29.53% 20.87% 49.60%-0.23 -25.9 15
1971-03-06 Bangor D 0-053.2 1511 1256 72.69% 19.92% 7.39%+1.95 -8.9 17
1971-03-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-053.2 1256 1511 7.39% 19.92% 72.69%-1.95 +8.9 12
1971-03-06 Linfield L 1-240.4 1193 1523 14.38% 20.24% 65.38%-1.62 -8.0 5
1971-03-06 @ Portadown W 2-140.4 1523 1193 65.38% 20.24% 14.38%+1.62 +8.0 18
1971-03-13 Glentoran L 0-232.9 1185 1461 18.72% 20.48% 60.81%-1.29 -20.2 5
1971-03-13 @ Portadown W 2-032.9 1461 1185 60.81% 20.48% 18.72%+1.29 +20.2 17
1971-03-20 Ballymena United D 1-155.1 1265 1395 35.45% 20.85% 43.70%-0.40 +0.9 13
1971-03-20 @ Bangor D 1-155.1 1395 1265 43.70% 20.85% 35.45%+0.40 -0.9 14
1971-03-20 Portadown W 3-137.4 1227 1165 59.55% 20.73% 19.73%+0.77 +18.4 12
1971-03-20 @ Crusaders L 1-337.4 1165 1227 19.73% 20.73% 59.55%-0.77 -18.4 5
1971-03-20 Lisburn Distillery L 1-341.5 1275 1502 23.55% 20.65% 55.80%-0.99 -21.4 7
1971-03-20 @ Derry City W 3-141.5 1502 1275 55.80% 20.65% 23.55%+0.99 +21.4 19
1971-03-20 Coleraine W 4-254.9 1270 1486 24.68% 20.68% 54.65%-0.93 +38.7 9
1971-03-20 @ Glenavon L 2-454.9 1486 1270 54.65% 20.68% 24.68%+0.93 -38.7 17
1971-03-20 Ards W 4-031.1 1481 1350 65.38% 20.52% 14.10%+1.19 +30.0 19
1971-03-20 @ Glentoran L 0-431.1 1350 1481 14.10% 20.52% 65.38%-1.19 -30.0 12
1971-03-20 Cliftonville W 2-028.1 1531 1134 77.59% 18.95% 3.46%+2.81 +4.1 20
1971-03-20 @ Linfield L 0-228.1 1134 1531 3.46% 18.95% 77.59%-2.81 -4.1 7
1971-03-27 Bangor L 1-252.6 1320 1265 58.81% 20.74% 20.44%+0.73 -26.9 12
1971-03-27 @ Ards W 2-152.6 1265 1320 20.44% 20.74% 58.81%-0.73 +26.9 15
1971-03-27 Cliftonville W 2-136.5 1394 1130 73.08% 19.87% 7.05%+2.00 +4.1 16
1971-03-27 @ Ballymena United L 1-236.5 1130 1394 7.05% 19.87% 73.08%-2.00 -4.1 7
1971-03-27 Linfield L 0-430.9 1246 1535 17.57% 20.42% 62.01%-1.37 -36.3 12
1971-03-27 @ Crusaders W 4-030.9 1535 1246 62.01% 20.42% 17.57%+1.37 +36.3 22
1971-03-27 Coleraine W 4-253.3 1254 1447 27.30% 20.73% 51.96%-0.79 +37.0 9
1971-03-27 @ Derry City L 2-453.3 1447 1254 51.96% 20.73% 27.30%+0.79 -37.0 17
1971-03-27 Portadown L 1-351.8 1308 1146 67.58% 20.39% 12.03%+1.38 -53.7 9
1971-03-27 @ Glenavon W 3-151.8 1146 1308 12.03% 20.39% 67.58%-1.38 +53.7 7
1971-03-27 Glentoran L 1-261.7 1523 1511 54.26% 20.83% 24.92%+0.46 -24.9 19
1971-03-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-161.7 1511 1523 24.92% 20.83% 54.26%-0.46 +24.9 21
1971-04-06 Glenavon W 3-144.6 1126 1255 35.56% 20.85% 43.59%-0.40 +35.5 9
1971-04-06 @ Cliftonville L 1-344.6 1255 1126 43.59% 20.85% 35.56%+0.40 -35.5 9
1971-04-07 Crusaders L 0-342.4 1292 1210 61.44% 20.67% 17.88%+0.90 -81.6 15
1971-04-07 @ Bangor W 3-042.4 1210 1292 17.88% 20.67% 61.44%-0.90 +81.6 14
1971-04-07 Derry City W 2-032.5 1536 1291 72.23% 19.98% 7.79%+1.89 +9.1 23
1971-04-07 @ Glentoran L 0-232.5 1291 1536 7.79% 19.98% 72.23%-1.89 -9.1 9
1971-04-07 Ballymena United W 3-035.7 1571 1398 68.31% 20.34% 11.35%+1.45 +18.8 24
1971-04-07 @ Linfield L 0-335.7 1398 1571 11.35% 20.34% 68.31%-1.45 -18.8 16
1971-04-08 Ards W 2-140.5 1410 1294 64.31% 20.57% 15.12%+1.10 +8.4 19
1971-04-08 @ Coleraine L 1-240.5 1294 1410 15.12% 20.57% 64.31%-1.10 -8.4 12
1971-04-08 Lisburn Distillery L 1-435.5 1200 1498 16.78% 20.38% 62.83%-1.43 -22.5 7
1971-04-08 @ Portadown W 4-135.5 1498 1200 62.83% 20.38% 16.78%+1.43 +22.5 21
1971-04-10 Portadown W 3-244.3 1285 1178 63.56% 20.60% 15.84%+1.05 +8.3 14
1971-04-10 @ Ards L 2-344.3 1178 1285 15.84% 20.60% 63.56%-1.05 -8.3 7
1971-04-10 Glentoran L 0-242.5 1379 1545 30.66% 20.79% 48.55%-0.62 -30.8 16
1971-04-10 @ Ballymena United W 2-042.5 1545 1379 48.55% 20.79% 30.66%+0.62 +30.8 25
1971-04-10 Coleraine W 2-149.2 1291 1419 35.75% 20.85% 43.40%-0.39 +20.4 16
1971-04-10 @ Crusaders L 1-249.2 1419 1291 43.40% 20.85% 35.75%+0.39 -20.4 19
1971-04-10 Bangor W 1-035.6 1282 1211 60.36% 20.71% 18.94%+0.82 +10.9 11
1971-04-10 @ Derry City L 0-135.6 1211 1282 18.94% 20.71% 60.36%-0.82 -10.9 15
1971-04-10 Linfield L 0-233.2 1219 1590 11.69% 20.03% 68.28%-1.87 -13.2 9
1971-04-10 @ Glenavon W 2-033.2 1590 1219 68.28% 20.03% 11.69%+1.87 +13.2 26
1971-04-10 Cliftonville W 3-026.0 1521 1161 76.55% 19.23% 4.22%+2.59 +7.2 23
1971-04-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-326.0 1161 1521 4.22% 19.23% 76.55%-2.59 -7.2 9
1971-04-12 Crusaders D 1-154.6 1294 1311 50.68% 20.86% 28.45%+0.28 -2.4 15
1971-04-12 @ Ards D 1-154.6 1311 1294 28.45% 20.86% 50.68%-0.28 +2.4 17
1971-04-12 Ballymena United L 0-246.2 1398 1348 58.34% 20.76% 20.91%+0.70 -53.3 19
1971-04-12 @ Coleraine W 2-046.2 1348 1398 20.91% 20.76% 58.34%-0.70 +53.3 18
1971-04-12 Glenavon W 4-132.7 1576 1206 76.84% 19.16% 4.00%+2.65 +5.8 27
1971-04-12 @ Glentoran L 1-432.7 1206 1576 4.00% 19.16% 76.84%-2.65 -5.8 9
1971-04-12 Lisburn Distillery W 2-046.2 1603 1528 60.72% 20.69% 18.59%+0.85 +20.2 28
1971-04-12 @ Linfield L 0-246.2 1528 1603 18.59% 20.69% 60.72%-0.85 -20.2 23
1971-04-12 Derry City D 2-259.2 1169 1293 36.36% 20.86% 42.78%-0.36 +0.5 8
1971-04-12 @ Portadown D 2-259.2 1293 1169 42.78% 20.86% 36.36%+0.36 -0.5 12
1971-04-13 Bangor L 1-345.6 1154 1200 47.10% 20.88% 32.02%+0.11 -37.9 9
1971-04-13 @ Cliftonville W 3-145.6 1200 1154 32.02% 20.88% 47.10%-0.11 +37.9 17
1971-04-15 Ards W 3-140.0 1292 1291 52.98% 20.84% 26.18%+0.40 +23.4 14
1971-04-15 @ Derry City L 1-340.0 1291 1292 26.18% 20.84% 52.98%-0.40 -23.4 15
1971-04-15 Crusaders D 2-259.4 1200 1314 37.73% 20.87% 41.40%-0.30 +0.3 10
1971-04-15 @ Glenavon D 2-259.4 1314 1200 41.40% 20.87% 37.73%+0.30 -0.3 18
1971-04-17 Ards L 0-150.6 1402 1268 65.62% 20.50% 13.88%+1.21 -31.9 18
1971-04-17 @ Ballymena United W 1-050.6 1268 1402 13.88% 20.50% 65.62%-1.21 +31.9 17
1971-04-17 Portadown W 2-032.1 1238 1170 60.07% 20.71% 19.22%+0.80 +20.8 19
1971-04-17 @ Bangor L 0-232.1 1170 1238 19.22% 20.71% 60.07%-0.80 -20.8 8
1971-04-17 Linfield L 1-345.6 1345 1623 18.50% 20.47% 61.03%-1.31 -17.3 19
1971-04-17 @ Coleraine W 3-145.6 1623 1345 61.03% 20.47% 18.50%+1.31 +17.4 30
1971-04-17 Glentoran L 0-434.5 1314 1582 19.42% 20.50% 60.08%-1.25 -39.6 18
1971-04-17 @ Crusaders W 4-034.5 1582 1314 60.08% 20.50% 19.42%+1.25 +39.6 29
1971-04-17 Cliftonville W 5-235.2 1316 1116 69.89% 20.22% 9.89%+1.61 +12.1 16
1971-04-17 @ Derry City L 2-535.2 1116 1316 9.89% 20.22% 69.89%-1.61 -12.1 9
1971-04-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-136.2 1201 1508 16.05% 20.34% 63.61%-1.49 -9.4 10
1971-04-17 @ Glenavon W 1-036.2 1508 1201 63.61% 20.34% 16.05%+1.49 +9.4 25
1971-04-20 Derry City W 3-249.4 1300 1328 49.41% 20.87% 29.72%+0.22 +14.3 19
1971-04-20 @ Ards L 2-349.4 1328 1300 29.72% 20.87% 49.41%-0.22 -14.2 16
1971-04-20 Glentoran L 0-332.8 1259 1621 12.16% 20.07% 67.77%-1.82 -19.9 19
1971-04-20 @ Bangor W 3-032.8 1621 1259 67.77% 20.07% 12.16%+1.82 +19.9 31
1971-04-20 Coleraine D 0-050.3 1104 1328 23.85% 20.65% 55.50%-0.98 +4.0 10
1971-04-20 @ Cliftonville D 0-050.3 1328 1104 55.50% 20.65% 23.85%+0.98 -3.9 20
1971-04-20 Crusaders W 3-029.1 1517 1274 72.15% 19.99% 7.86%+1.87 +13.3 27
1971-04-20 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-329.1 1274 1517 7.86% 19.99% 72.15%-1.87 -13.3 18
1971-04-20 Ballymena United L 1-339.1 1149 1370 24.21% 20.66% 55.13%-0.96 -21.9 8
1971-04-20 @ Portadown W 3-139.1 1370 1149 55.13% 20.66% 24.21%+0.96 +21.9 20
1971-04-22 Portadown W 4-244.4 1108 1127 50.51% 20.87% 28.63%+0.27 +22.6 12
1971-04-22 @ Cliftonville L 2-444.4 1127 1108 28.63% 20.87% 50.51%-0.27 -22.6 8
1971-04-22 Glenavon D 3-363.9 1313 1191 64.73% 20.55% 14.72%+1.14 -3.6 17
1971-04-22 @ Derry City D 3-363.9 1191 1313 14.72% 20.55% 64.73%-1.14 +3.6 11
1971-04-22 Ards W 3-033.0 1641 1314 75.49% 19.47% 5.04%+2.38 +8.6 32
1971-04-22 @ Linfield L 0-333.0 1314 1641 5.04% 19.47% 75.49%-2.38 -8.6 19
1971-04-24 Lisburn Distillery W 1-050.5 1324 1531 25.74% 20.70% 53.56%-0.87 +26.0 22
1971-04-24 @ Coleraine L 0-150.5 1531 1324 53.56% 20.70% 25.74%+0.87 -26.0 27
1971-04-24 Ballymena United W 1-044.0 1261 1392 35.32% 20.85% 43.83%-0.41 +21.8 20
1971-04-24 @ Crusaders L 0-144.0 1392 1261 43.83% 20.85% 35.32%+0.41 -21.8 20
1971-04-24 Bangor W 3-033.4 1195 1239 47.40% 20.88% 31.72%+0.12 +46.0 13
1971-04-24 @ Glenavon L 0-333.4 1239 1195 31.72% 20.88% 47.40%-0.12 -46.0 19
1971-04-24 Portadown W 3-025.7 1641 1105 80.63% 17.75% 1.63%+3.66 +2.7 33
1971-04-24 @ Glentoran L 0-325.7 1105 1641 1.63% 17.75% 80.63%-3.66 -2.7 8
1971-04-24 Derry City W 3-140.8 1649 1310 75.91% 19.38% 4.71%+2.46 +4.8 34
1971-04-24 @ Linfield L 1-340.8 1310 1649 4.71% 19.38% 75.91%-2.46 -4.8 17
1971-04-27 Glentoran L 1-531.2 1130 1644 5.53% 19.09% 75.39%-2.74 -10.2 12
1971-04-27 @ Cliftonville W 5-131.2 1644 1130 75.39% 19.09% 5.53%+2.74 +10.2 35
1971-04-28 Glenavon W 4-241.0 1370 1241 65.24% 20.52% 14.24%+1.18 +12.3 22
1971-04-28 @ Ballymena United L 2-441.0 1241 1370 14.24% 20.52% 65.24%-1.18 -12.3 13
1971-04-28 Linfield L 0-136.1 1193 1654 7.28% 19.46% 73.25%-2.43 -4.5 19
1971-04-28 @ Bangor W 1-036.1 1654 1193 73.25% 19.46% 7.28%+2.43 +4.5 36
1971-04-28 Ards W 2-140.8 1505 1305 69.88% 20.22% 9.90%+1.61 +5.7 29
1971-04-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-240.8 1305 1505 9.90% 20.22% 69.88%-1.61 -5.7 19
1971-04-29 Cliftonville W 2-029.5 1299 1120 68.68% 20.32% 11.00%+1.48 +12.6 21
1971-04-29 @ Ards L 0-229.5 1120 1299 11.00% 20.32% 68.68%-1.48 -12.6 12
1971-04-29 Crusaders W 4-030.5 1305 1282 55.42% 20.81% 23.77%+0.53 +47.3 19
1971-04-29 @ Derry City L 0-430.5 1282 1305 23.77% 20.81% 55.42%-0.53 -47.4 20
1971-04-29 Coleraine L 0-232.8 1102 1350 21.35% 20.58% 58.07%-1.12 -22.7 8
1971-04-29 @ Portadown W 2-032.8 1350 1102 58.07% 20.58% 21.35%+1.12 +22.7 24
1971-05-01 Bangor W 2-029.9 1373 1188 68.99% 20.29% 10.71%+1.51 +12.3 26
1971-05-01 @ Coleraine L 0-229.9 1188 1373 10.71% 20.29% 68.99%-1.51 -12.3 19
1971-05-01 Linfield L 0-357.5 1654 1659 52.33% 20.85% 26.82%+0.36 -69.8 35
1971-05-01 @ Glentoran W 3-057.5 1659 1654 26.82% 20.85% 52.33%-0.36 +69.8 38
1971-05-01 Ballymena United D 1-159.9 1510 1382 65.20% 20.53% 14.27%+1.17 -6.0 30
1971-05-01 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-159.9 1382 1510 14.27% 20.53% 65.20%-1.17 +6.0 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-03-27 12.03% Portadown 1146 3 @ Glenavon 1308 1
2 1971-01-02 12.70% Ballymena United 1346 2 @ Glentoran 1497 0
3 1971-04-17 13.88% Ards 1268 1 @ Ballymena United 1402 0
4 1971-01-30 16.55% Glenavon 1190 6 @ Bangor 1289 3
5 1971-04-07 17.88% Crusaders 1210 3 @ Bangor 1292 0
6 1971-02-20 20.33% @ Bangor 1229 2 Coleraine 1487 1
7 1971-03-27 20.44% Bangor 1265 2 @ Ards 1320 1
8 1971-04-12 20.91% Ballymena United 1348 2 @ Coleraine 1398 0
9 1970-12-19 23.99% @ Cliftonville 1222 3 Linfield 1444 1
10 1971-03-20 24.68% @ Glenavon 1270 4 Coleraine 1486 2
11 1971-03-27 24.92% Glentoran 1511 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1523 1
12 1971-04-24 25.74% @ Coleraine 1324 1 Lisburn Distillery 1531 0
13 1971-03-06 25.81% Crusaders 1178 2 @ Cliftonville 1183 0
14 1971-01-16 26.70% Ballymena United 1389 1 @ Ards 1385 0
15 1971-05-01 26.82% Linfield 1659 3 @ Glentoran 1654 0
16 1971-03-27 27.30% @ Derry City 1254 4 Coleraine 1447 2
17 1971-01-23 27.84% @ Ards 1360 2 Linfield 1549 1
18 1970-12-28 28.71% Coleraine 1433 2 @ Ards 1413 0
19 1971-04-13 32.02% Bangor 1200 3 @ Cliftonville 1154 1
20 1971-01-02 32.07% Lisburn Distillery 1315 4 @ Cliftonville 1268 1
21 1971-02-06 32.47% @ Glenavon 1247 2 Ballymena United 1399 1
22 1970-12-12 32.99% Ards 1381 3 @ Glenavon 1327 1
23 1971-01-16 34.10% Bangor 1275 2 @ Portadown 1214 1
24 1971-02-06 34.20% @ Crusaders 1175 1 Derry City 1314 0
25 1971-04-24 35.32% @ Crusaders 1261 1 Ballymena United 1392 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-04-07 81.56 Crusaders 3 1210 17.88% @ Bangor 0 1292 61.44% 20.67%
2 1971-05-01 69.81 Linfield 3 1659 26.82% @ Glentoran 0 1654 52.33% 20.85%
3 1970-12-26 69.55 @ Linfield 7 1401 59.15% Crusaders 0 1342 20.12% 20.74%
4 1971-01-23 66.99 Lisburn Distillery 4 1358 42.87% @ Crusaders 0 1234 36.27% 20.86%
5 1971-01-02 61.31 Ballymena United 2 1346 12.70% @ Glentoran 0 1497 66.86% 20.44%
6 1971-01-30 56.41 Glenavon 6 1190 16.55% @ Bangor 3 1289 62.82% 20.63%
7 1971-03-27 53.71 Portadown 3 1146 12.03% @ Glenavon 1 1308 67.58% 20.39%
8 1971-01-02 53.52 Lisburn Distillery 4 1315 32.07% @ Cliftonville 1 1268 47.05% 20.88%
9 1971-04-12 53.32 Ballymena United 2 1348 20.91% @ Coleraine 0 1398 58.34% 20.76%
10 1970-12-28 52.86 Glentoran 3 1445 41.47% @ Derry City 0 1331 37.67% 20.87%
11 1971-02-06 48.99 Lisburn Distillery 4 1463 36.74% @ Ards 1 1382 42.37% 20.89%
12 1971-03-06 48.94 Crusaders 2 1178 25.81% @ Cliftonville 0 1183 53.35% 20.84%
13 1970-12-12 48.38 @ Linfield 5 1396 60.18% Portadown 0 1327 19.11% 20.71%
14 1971-04-29 47.35 @ Derry City 4 1305 55.42% Crusaders 0 1282 23.77% 20.81%
15 1970-12-28 46.47 Coleraine 2 1433 28.71% @ Ards 0 1413 50.43% 20.87%
16 1971-04-24 46.03 @ Glenavon 3 1195 47.40% Bangor 0 1239 31.72% 20.88%
17 1970-12-19 45.67 @ Ballymena United 4 1319 56.42% Bangor 0 1287 22.79% 20.79%
18 1970-12-19 43.82 @ Cliftonville 3 1222 23.99% Linfield 1 1444 55.35% 20.66%
19 1971-04-17 39.65 Glentoran 4 1582 60.08% @ Crusaders 0 1314 19.42% 20.50%
20 1971-03-20 38.72 @ Glenavon 4 1270 24.68% Coleraine 2 1486 54.65% 20.68%
21 1971-04-13 37.88 Bangor 3 1200 32.02% @ Cliftonville 1 1154 47.10% 20.88%
22 1971-01-30 37.27 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1425 40.31% Coleraine 0 1521 38.82% 20.88%
23 1970-12-12 37.20 Ards 3 1381 32.99% @ Glenavon 1 1327 46.12% 20.89%
24 1971-03-27 36.96 @ Derry City 4 1254 27.30% Coleraine 2 1447 51.96% 20.73%
25 1971-01-09 36.74 Linfield 5 1499 43.74% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1368 35.41% 20.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-01-30 67.9 @ Derry City 3 1312 25.08% Linfield 3 1525 54.23% 20.69%
2 1971-02-20 64.9 @ Ballymena United 2 1377 34.82% Lisburn Distillery 2 1512 44.33% 20.84%
3 1971-01-30 64.2 @ Cliftonville 3 1197 28.16% Ards 3 1383 51.09% 20.75%
4 1970-12-12 64.1 @ Bangor 3 1289 52.82% Lisburn Distillery 3 1289 26.33% 20.84%
5 1971-02-20 64.0 @ Linfield 1 1527 57.70% Glentoran 1 1483 21.53% 20.77%
6 1971-04-22 63.9 @ Derry City 3 1313 64.73% Glenavon 3 1191 14.72% 20.55%
7 1970-12-19 63.5 @ Ards 2 1418 52.39% Glentoran 2 1422 26.76% 20.85%
8 1971-03-27 61.7 Glentoran 2 1511 24.92% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1523 54.26% 20.83%
9 1970-12-12 60.6 @ Derry City 2 1367 58.42% Ballymena United 2 1316 20.82% 20.75%
10 1970-12-26 60.0 @ Cliftonville 2 1266 39.77% Ballymena United 2 1365 39.35% 20.88%
11 1971-05-01 59.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1510 65.20% Ballymena United 1 1382 14.27% 20.53%
12 1971-04-15 59.4 @ Glenavon 2 1200 37.73% Crusaders 2 1314 41.40% 20.87%
13 1971-04-12 59.2 @ Portadown 2 1169 36.36% Derry City 2 1293 42.78% 20.86%
14 1970-12-12 57.9 @ Glentoran 1 1425 55.64% Coleraine 1 1401 23.55% 20.81%
15 1971-05-01 57.5 Linfield 3 1659 26.82% @ Glentoran 0 1654 52.33% 20.85%
16 1971-01-23 56.2 @ Ards 2 1360 27.84% Linfield 1 1549 51.41% 20.75%
17 1971-02-20 56.2 Glenavon 4 1268 35.36% @ Crusaders 3 1197 43.75% 20.89%
18 1971-01-23 55.7 Derry City 4 1294 37.38% @ Glenavon 3 1209 41.74% 20.88%
19 1971-03-20 55.1 @ Bangor 1 1265 35.45% Ballymena United 1 1395 43.70% 20.85%
20 1971-03-20 54.9 @ Glenavon 4 1270 24.68% Coleraine 2 1486 54.65% 20.68%
21 1971-01-23 54.8 @ Ballymena United 1 1414 71.07% Portadown 1 1192 8.82% 20.11%
22 1970-12-19 54.7 @ Portadown 1 1278 44.90% Crusaders 1 1341 34.22% 20.89%
23 1971-01-30 54.7 @ Ballymena United 1 1407 71.95% Crusaders 1 1167 8.04% 20.01%
24 1971-04-12 54.6 @ Ards 1 1294 50.68% Crusaders 1 1311 28.45% 20.86%
25 1970-12-28 54.2 @ Glenavon 1 1262 52.48% Cliftonville 1 1266 26.67% 20.85%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-04-24 25.7 @ Glentoran 3 1641 80.63% Portadown 0 1105 1.63% 17.75%
2 1971-02-06 26.0 @ Glentoran 5 1464 73.12% Cliftonville 0 1199 7.02% 19.86%
3 1971-04-10 26.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1521 76.55% Cliftonville 0 1161 4.22% 19.23%
4 1971-03-20 28.1 @ Linfield 2 1531 77.59% Cliftonville 0 1134 3.46% 18.95%
5 1971-01-02 28.8 @ Coleraine 6 1480 70.53% Crusaders 0 1268 9.31% 20.16%
6 1971-04-20 29.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1517 72.15% Crusaders 0 1274 7.86% 19.99%
7 1971-01-16 29.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1332 62.62% Glenavon 0 1235 16.75% 20.63%
8 1971-04-29 29.5 @ Ards 2 1299 68.68% Cliftonville 0 1120 11.00% 20.32%
9 1971-05-01 29.9 @ Coleraine 2 1373 68.99% Bangor 0 1188 10.71% 20.29%
10 1970-12-19 30.4 @ Ballymena United 4 1319 56.42% Bangor 0 1287 22.79% 20.79%
11 1971-04-29 30.5 @ Derry City 4 1305 55.42% Crusaders 0 1282 23.77% 20.81%
12 1970-12-12 30.7 @ Linfield 5 1396 60.18% Portadown 0 1327 19.11% 20.71%
13 1971-03-27 30.9 Linfield 4 1535 62.01% @ Crusaders 0 1246 17.57% 20.42%
14 1971-01-02 31.1 @ Linfield 2 1489 71.45% Glenavon 0 1260 8.48% 20.07%
15 1971-03-20 31.1 @ Glentoran 4 1481 65.38% Ards 0 1350 14.10% 20.52%
16 1971-04-27 31.2 Glentoran 5 1644 75.39% @ Cliftonville 1 1130 5.53% 19.09%
17 1971-04-17 32.1 @ Bangor 2 1238 60.07% Portadown 0 1170 19.22% 20.71%
18 1971-04-07 32.5 @ Glentoran 2 1536 72.23% Derry City 0 1291 7.79% 19.98%
19 1971-04-12 32.7 @ Glentoran 4 1576 76.84% Glenavon 1 1206 4.00% 19.16%
20 1971-04-20 32.8 Glentoran 3 1621 67.77% @ Bangor 0 1259 12.16% 20.07%
21 1971-04-29 32.8 Coleraine 2 1350 58.07% @ Portadown 0 1102 21.35% 20.58%
22 1970-12-26 32.9 @ Linfield 7 1401 59.15% Crusaders 0 1342 20.12% 20.74%
23 1971-03-13 32.9 Glentoran 2 1461 60.81% @ Portadown 0 1185 18.72% 20.48%
24 1971-04-22 33.0 @ Linfield 3 1641 75.49% Ards 0 1314 5.04% 19.47%
25 1971-04-10 33.2 Linfield 2 1590 68.28% @ Glenavon 0 1219 11.69% 20.03%