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1971-72 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portadown

7.72 points above expected

30 points · 22.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bangor

4.60 points below expected

9 points · 13.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 14 5 3 33 50 17 +33 30.11 +2.89
2 Portadown 22 13 4 5 30 49 25 +24 22.28 +7.72
3 Ards 22 12 5 5 29 49 30 +19 23.99 +5.01
4 Linfield 22 10 7 5 27 48 29 +19 31.29 -4.29
5 Coleraine 22 9 7 6 25 51 40 +11 24.74 +0.26
6 Crusaders 22 10 5 7 25 36 35 +1 19.04 +5.96
7 Ballymena United 22 8 5 9 21 34 34 0 24.01 -3.01
8 Lisburn Distillery 22 7 7 8 21 34 44 -10 23.46 -2.46
9 Glenavon 22 7 6 9 20 36 40 -4 19.44 +0.56
10 Derry City 22 4 8 10 16 41 55 -14 19.86 -3.86
11 Bangor 22 2 5 15 9 28 62 -34 13.60 -4.60
12 Cliftonville 22 2 4 16 8 19 64 -45 12.18 -4.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 30 22.28 +7.72
2 Crusaders 25 19.04 +5.96
3 Ards 29 23.99 +5.01
4 Glentoran 33 30.11 +2.89
5 Glenavon 20 19.44 +0.56

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bangor 9 13.60 -4.60
2 Linfield 27 31.29 -4.29
3 Cliftonville 8 12.18 -4.18
4 Derry City 16 19.86 -3.86
5 Ballymena United 21 24.01 -3.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 3 Jan 22 – Feb 12 1 in 34
2 Derry City 2 Mar 25 – Apr 1 1 in 28
3 Glentoran 6 Mar 11 – Apr 29 1 in 27
4 Ards 4 Feb 19 – Mar 25 1 in 19
5 Crusaders 3 Feb 12 – Mar 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 3 Mar 25 – Apr 3 1 in 181
2 Ballymena United 4 Jan 22 – Feb 19 1 in 67
3 Bangor 5 Jan 8 – Feb 12 1 in 21
4 Coleraine 2 Dec 27 – Jan 1 1 in 13
5 Cliftonville 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 7 Dec 4 – Jan 8 1 in 61
2 Portadown 8 Jan 8 – Mar 11 1 in 25
3 Coleraine 7 Nov 6 – Dec 25 1 in 12
4 Ards 5 Jan 1 – Jan 29 1 in 10
5 Ballymena United 5 Dec 25 – Jan 15 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 11 Dec 25 – Mar 11 1 in 60
2 Bangor 17 Nov 27 – Apr 1 1 in 42
3 Lisburn Distillery 6 Feb 19 – Apr 15 1 in 19
4 Ballymena United 5 Jan 15 – Feb 19 1 in 14
5 Glenavon 8 Dec 4 – Jan 15 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1475 33 +58 10 7.6 +2.4
Portadown 1346 30 +63 6 5.9 +0.1
Ards 1296 29 -45 6 6.1 -0.1
Linfield 1349 27 -78 4 6.9 -2.9
Crusaders 1252 25 +75 6 4.5 +1.5
Coleraine 1256 25 +0 5 5.2 -0.2
Lisburn Distillery 1150 21 -104 3 4.5 -1.5
Ballymena United 1202 21 -26 3 4.5 -1.5
Glenavon 1172 20 +38 6 4.4 +1.6
Derry City 1062 16 -39 5 5.2 -0.2
Bangor 954 9 +16 3 2.1 +0.9
Cliftonville 906 8 -36 1 2.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.12
0-2-0
1.61
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.03
Ballymena United
0-1-1
2.06
—
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
1.45
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
3.14
Bangor
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
1.63
—
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
1.21
0-1-1
1.67
0-2-0
1.61
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
0.92
0-0-2
0.89
1-0-1
1.39
1-0-1
1.94
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.39
—
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
0.81
1-1-0
1.11
0-0-2
1.34
Coleraine
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
4.28
2-0-0
3.98
—
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
1.63
0-2-0
1.67
0-1-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.17
Crusaders
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
2.07
—
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.41
1-0-1
1.26
1-1-0
1.73
0-0-2
2.37
Derry City
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.94
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.60
—
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.46
1-0-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.43
Glenavon
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.93
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.52
—
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.14
1-1-0
2.15
0-2-0
2.27
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.61
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
4.22
—
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.96
Linfield
0-2-0
3.86
0-1-1
4.02
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.73
0-2-0
3.79
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
4.09
2-0-0
4.35
0-1-1
2.73
—
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.87
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
4.09
0-1-1
4.39
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.31
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.66
—
1-0-1
2.43
Portadown
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
4.16
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.04
0-2-0
3.19
1-1-0
1.51
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +6.8
Allowed 0.94 -5.2
Differential 0.97 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%5.30%4.55%2.65%3.03%2.27%23.11%
15.30%7.58%7.20%1.89%2.27%1.14%25.38%
24.55%7.20%7.58%2.27%3.41%—25.00%
32.65%1.89%2.27%2.27%0.76%—9.85%
43.03%2.27%3.41%0.76%2.27%0.38%12.12%
5+2.27%1.14%——0.38%0.76%4.55%
Total23.11%25.38%25.00%9.85%12.12%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.28
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
113.64%18.18%13.64%———45.45%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.36 +0.86
SD 1.82 1.22 2.23
CV 0.82 0.89 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%31.82%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.05
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%13.64%4.55%40.91%
1——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
3———————
4——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%27.27%18.18%31.82%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.82 -1.55
SD 1.39 1.53 2.02
CV 1.09 0.54 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%54.55%
1——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3———————
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%31.82%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.91 -2.05
SD 1.13 1.82 2.17
CV 1.30 0.63 —
Max 4 8 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.82 +0.50
SD 1.36 1.44 1.90
CV 0.59 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
113.64%4.55%——4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%————4.55%9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total40.91%27.27%9.09%—9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.59 +0.05
SD 1.50 2.06 1.99
CV 0.92 1.30 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%—13.64%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%27.27%22.73%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.50 -0.64
SD 1.78 1.37 1.87
CV 0.96 0.55 —
Max 7 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
1—18.18%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 1.40 1.30 2.06
CV 0.85 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
118.18%—4.55%———22.73%
24.55%13.64%13.64%—4.55%—36.36%
3———————
413.64%—————13.64%
5+13.64%—————13.64%
Total59.09%13.64%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.77 +1.50
SD 1.80 1.11 2.35
CV 0.79 1.44 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
1—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
24.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.32 +0.86
SD 1.62 1.04 2.38
CV 0.74 0.79 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%22.73%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.00 -0.45
SD 1.47 1.72 2.22
CV 0.95 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.14 +1.09
SD 1.51 1.08 1.72
CV 0.68 0.95 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1475 33 30.11 +2.89 83.0% 19 24 28 30 33 36 40
Linfield 1349 27 31.29 -4.29 8.0% 20 25 29 31 33 36 38
Portadown 1346 30 22.28 +7.72 100.0% 15 17 19 22 25 28 30
Ards 1296 29 23.99 +5.01 96.0% 12 18 22 24 27 29 32
Coleraine 1256 25 24.74 +0.26 60.0% 16 19 22 25 27 31 33
Crusaders 1252 25 19.04 +5.96 94.0% 9 11 16 19 22 26 29
Ballymena United 1202 21 24.01 -3.01 21.0% 15 17 22 24 26 30 32
Glenavon 1172 20 19.44 +0.56 61.0% 10 13 17 19 22 26 28
Lisburn Distillery 1150 21 23.46 -2.46 29.0% 12 17 21 24 26 30 34
Derry City 1062 16 19.86 -3.86 20.0% 9 13 17 20 22 25 28
Bangor 954 9 13.60 -4.60 11.0% 7 9 11 14 16 19 21
Cliftonville 906 8 12.18 -4.18 12.0% 3 7 10 12 14 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.64%
Clear Edge
43.94%25.76%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 47.67 Elo pts.
187 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.11 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Glentoran, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.89 * Off: 1.89 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.24 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Portadown
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Linfield
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 166.01
1.95
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
74%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.43
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glentoran39.00%31.00%16.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Portadown—4.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%1.00%—
Ards1.00%6.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%
Linfield50.00%33.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Coleraine3.00%8.00%22.00%18.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Crusaders1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%26.00%9.00%4.00%
Ballymena United1.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Lisburn Distillery5.00%3.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Glenavon—1.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%15.00%19.00%25.00%16.00%5.00%4.00%
Derry City—1.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%13.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%
Bangor———————3.00%11.00%14.00%40.00%32.00%
Cliftonville———————2.00%4.00%6.00%32.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1971-11-06 Crusaders W 1-037.6 1186 1148 50.37% 27.11% 22.52%+0.46 +10.3 2
1971-11-06 @ Ards L 0-137.6 1148 1186 22.52% 27.11% 50.37%-0.46 -10.3 0
1971-11-06 Coleraine L 0-433.1 1090 1223 28.02% 27.11% 44.87%-0.46 -43.5 0
1971-11-06 @ Cliftonville W 4-033.1 1223 1090 44.87% 27.11% 28.02%+0.46 +43.5 2
1971-11-06 Linfield L 1-340.4 1212 1382 23.83% 26.90% 49.27%-0.65 -17.5 0
1971-11-06 @ Derry City W 3-140.4 1382 1212 49.27% 26.90% 23.83%+0.65 +17.5 2
1971-11-06 Bangor W 4-027.4 1321 1121 64.41% 25.61% 9.98%+1.33 +18.3 2
1971-11-06 @ Glentoran L 0-427.4 1121 1321 9.98% 25.61% 64.41%-1.33 -18.3 0
1971-11-06 Glenavon D 1-150.9 1279 1149 59.35% 26.42% 14.23%+0.95 -4.0 1
1971-11-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-150.9 1149 1279 14.23% 26.42% 59.35%-0.95 +4.0 1
1971-11-06 Ballymena United W 2-042.0 1080 1228 26.23% 27.03% 46.74%-0.54 +33.9 2
1971-11-06 @ Portadown L 0-242.0 1228 1080 46.74% 27.03% 26.23%+0.54 -33.9 0
1971-11-13 Lisburn Distillery D 0-047.5 1195 1275 35.02% 27.29% 37.69%-0.18 +0.2 1
1971-11-13 @ Ballymena United D 0-047.5 1275 1195 37.69% 27.29% 35.02%+0.18 -0.2 2
1971-11-13 Portadown L 0-144.2 1103 1114 44.54% 27.29% 28.17%+0.20 -17.3 0
1971-11-13 @ Bangor W 1-044.2 1114 1103 28.17% 27.29% 44.54%-0.20 +17.3 4
1971-11-13 Ards D 1-150.9 1267 1196 53.92% 26.92% 19.16%+0.63 -3.0 3
1971-11-13 @ Coleraine D 1-150.9 1196 1267 19.16% 26.92% 53.92%-0.63 +3.0 3
1971-11-13 Derry City L 4-748.2 1138 1195 38.44% 27.32% 34.23%-0.05 -27.1 0
1971-11-13 @ Crusaders W 7-448.2 1195 1138 34.23% 27.32% 38.44%+0.05 +27.2 2
1971-11-13 Cliftonville W 2-139.5 1153 1046 57.31% 26.64% 16.05%+0.83 +7.4 3
1971-11-13 @ Glenavon L 1-239.5 1046 1153 16.05% 26.64% 57.31%-0.83 -7.3 0
1971-11-13 Glentoran D 2-257.5 1399 1339 52.79% 26.99% 20.22%+0.58 -2.0 3
1971-11-13 @ Linfield D 2-257.5 1339 1399 20.22% 26.99% 52.79%-0.58 +2.0 3
1971-11-20 Ards L 0-235.3 1039 1199 24.88% 26.96% 48.16%-0.60 -20.9 0
1971-11-20 @ Cliftonville W 2-035.3 1199 1039 48.16% 26.96% 24.88%+0.60 +20.9 5
1971-11-20 Glenavon W 2-137.3 1397 1160 66.64% 25.09% 8.27%+1.53 +4.0 5
1971-11-20 @ Linfield L 1-237.3 1160 1397 8.27% 25.09% 66.64%-1.53 -4.0 3
1971-11-20 Bangor L 2-455.4 1275 1085 63.73% 25.74% 10.52%+1.27 -35.3 2
1971-11-20 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-255.4 1085 1275 10.52% 25.74% 63.73%-1.27 +35.3 2
1971-11-27 Linfield D 1-151.7 1220 1401 22.55% 26.81% 50.64%-0.72 +2.3 6
1971-11-27 @ Ards D 1-151.7 1401 1220 50.64% 26.81% 22.55%+0.72 -2.3 6
1971-11-27 Crusaders W 4-242.0 1195 1111 55.20% 26.83% 17.97%+0.70 +12.5 3
1971-11-27 @ Ballymena United L 2-442.0 1111 1195 17.97% 26.83% 55.20%-0.70 -12.5 0
1971-11-27 Glentoran L 0-628.0 1018 1341 11.23% 25.22% 63.54%-1.48 -29.4 0
1971-11-27 @ Cliftonville W 6-028.0 1341 1018 63.54% 25.22% 11.23%+1.48 +29.4 5
1971-11-27 Portadown W 3-243.5 1264 1131 59.53% 26.40% 14.07%+0.97 +6.2 5
1971-11-27 @ Coleraine L 2-343.5 1131 1264 14.07% 26.40% 59.53%-0.97 -6.2 4
1971-11-27 Bangor W 3-032.6 1156 1121 50.16% 27.12% 22.71%+0.45 +28.4 5
1971-11-27 @ Glenavon L 0-332.6 1121 1156 22.71% 27.12% 50.16%-0.45 -28.4 2
1971-11-27 Derry City W 2-035.6 1240 1222 48.13% 27.20% 24.67%+0.35 +20.8 4
1971-11-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-235.6 1222 1240 24.67% 27.20% 48.13%-0.35 -20.8 2
1971-12-04 Cliftonville D 2-255.1 1092 989 57.05% 26.67% 16.28%+0.81 -2.6 3
1971-12-04 @ Bangor D 2-255.1 989 1092 16.28% 26.67% 57.05%-0.81 +2.6 1
1971-12-04 Lisburn Distillery W 2-042.5 1098 1261 24.63% 26.95% 48.42%-0.61 +35.0 2
1971-12-04 @ Crusaders L 0-242.5 1261 1098 48.42% 26.95% 24.63%+0.61 -35.0 4
1971-12-04 Glenavon D 3-359.3 1201 1185 47.97% 27.20% 24.83%+0.34 -1.2 3
1971-12-04 @ Derry City D 3-359.3 1185 1201 24.83% 27.20% 47.97%-0.34 +1.2 6
1971-12-04 Coleraine D 3-360.9 1399 1270 59.21% 26.44% 14.35%+0.95 -2.5 7
1971-12-04 @ Linfield D 3-360.9 1270 1399 14.35% 26.44% 59.21%-0.95 +2.5 6
1971-12-04 Glentoran W 4-253.9 1125 1371 16.53% 26.21% 57.26%-1.06 +31.6 6
1971-12-04 @ Portadown L 2-453.9 1371 1125 57.26% 26.21% 16.53%+1.06 -31.6 5
1971-12-11 Ballymena United L 0-139.9 1090 1207 30.05% 27.18% 42.77%-0.37 -12.8 3
1971-12-11 @ Bangor W 1-039.9 1207 1090 42.77% 27.18% 30.05%+0.37 +12.8 5
1971-12-11 Crusaders L 0-138.8 991 1133 26.99% 27.07% 45.94%-0.51 -11.8 1
1971-12-11 @ Cliftonville W 1-038.8 1133 991 45.94% 27.07% 26.99%+0.51 +11.8 4
1971-12-11 Portadown L 1-347.8 1200 1157 51.03% 27.08% 21.88%+0.49 -31.8 3
1971-12-11 @ Derry City W 3-147.8 1157 1200 21.88% 27.08% 51.03%-0.49 +31.8 8
1971-12-11 Coleraine L 1-245.4 1186 1273 34.18% 27.28% 38.54%-0.21 -13.3 6
1971-12-11 @ Glenavon W 2-145.4 1273 1186 38.54% 27.28% 34.18%+0.21 +13.3 8
1971-12-11 Ards W 2-139.9 1339 1222 58.23% 26.55% 15.23%+0.88 +7.0 7
1971-12-11 @ Glentoran L 1-239.9 1222 1339 15.23% 26.55% 58.23%-0.88 -7.0 6
1971-12-11 Linfield W 2-150.6 1226 1396 23.70% 26.89% 49.41%-0.66 +17.8 6
1971-12-11 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-250.6 1396 1226 49.41% 26.89% 23.70%+0.66 -17.8 7
1971-12-18 Derry City L 1-250.4 1215 1168 51.44% 27.06% 21.50%+0.51 -18.5 6
1971-12-18 @ Ards W 2-150.4 1168 1215 21.50% 27.06% 51.44%-0.51 +18.5 5
1971-12-18 Glentoran L 1-244.2 1220 1346 28.95% 27.15% 43.91%-0.42 -11.7 5
1971-12-18 @ Ballymena United W 2-144.2 1346 1220 43.91% 27.15% 28.95%+0.42 +11.8 9
1971-12-18 Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.2 979 1244 15.11% 26.00% 58.88%-1.16 +20.9 3
1971-12-18 @ Cliftonville L 1-252.2 1244 979 58.88% 26.00% 15.11%+1.16 -20.9 6
1971-12-18 Bangor W 4-027.1 1286 1077 64.97% 25.49% 9.54%+1.38 +17.5 10
1971-12-18 @ Coleraine L 0-427.1 1077 1286 9.54% 25.49% 64.97%-1.38 -17.5 3
1971-12-18 Glenavon D 1-150.5 1145 1172 42.46% 27.31% 30.23%+0.11 -1.0 5
1971-12-18 @ Crusaders D 1-150.5 1172 1145 30.23% 27.31% 42.46%-0.11 +1.0 7
1971-12-18 Linfield L 1-241.9 1188 1379 21.62% 26.74% 51.64%-0.76 -9.3 8
1971-12-18 @ Portadown W 2-141.9 1379 1188 51.64% 26.74% 21.62%+0.76 +9.3 9
1971-12-25 Bangor W 3-136.4 1197 1059 59.91% 26.35% 13.74%+0.99 +11.1 8
1971-12-25 @ Ards L 1-336.4 1059 1197 13.74% 26.35% 59.91%-0.99 -11.1 3
1971-12-25 Cliftonville W 2-030.3 1208 1000 64.91% 25.50% 9.59%+1.37 +9.3 7
1971-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 0-230.3 1000 1208 9.59% 25.50% 64.91%-1.37 -9.3 3
1971-12-25 Linfield W 2-152.2 1144 1388 16.70% 26.23% 57.06%-1.05 +20.3 7
1971-12-25 @ Crusaders L 1-252.2 1388 1144 57.06% 26.23% 16.70%+1.05 -20.3 9
1971-12-25 Coleraine D 2-255.4 1187 1303 30.15% 27.19% 42.66%-0.37 +0.7 6
1971-12-25 @ Derry City D 2-255.4 1303 1187 42.66% 27.19% 30.15%+0.37 -0.7 11
1971-12-25 Portadown D 1-150.6 1173 1179 45.25% 27.27% 27.47%+0.23 -1.4 8
1971-12-25 @ Glenavon D 1-150.6 1179 1173 27.47% 27.27% 45.25%-0.23 +1.4 9
1971-12-25 Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.0 1358 1223 59.75% 26.37% 13.88%+0.98 -3.0 10
1971-12-25 @ Glentoran D 2-256.0 1223 1358 13.88% 26.37% 59.75%-0.98 +3.0 7
1971-12-27 Crusaders D 0-047.2 1048 1164 30.21% 27.19% 42.60%-0.37 +1.1 4
1971-12-27 @ Bangor D 0-047.2 1164 1048 42.60% 27.19% 30.21%+0.37 -1.1 8
1971-12-27 Derry City D 2-255.2 991 1187 21.02% 26.69% 52.29%-0.80 +2.0 4
1971-12-27 @ Cliftonville D 2-255.2 1187 991 52.29% 26.69% 21.02%+0.80 -1.9 7
1971-12-27 Lisburn Distillery L 1-447.1 1303 1226 54.54% 26.88% 18.58%+0.67 -47.8 11
1971-12-27 @ Coleraine W 4-147.1 1226 1303 18.58% 26.88% 54.54%-0.67 +47.8 9
1971-12-27 Glenavon W 5-027.9 1355 1172 63.28% 25.83% 10.89%+1.24 +24.4 12
1971-12-27 @ Glentoran L 0-527.9 1172 1355 10.89% 25.83% 63.28%-1.24 -24.4 8
1971-12-27 Ballymena United D 2-256.1 1368 1218 60.90% 26.22% 12.89%+1.06 -3.2 10
1971-12-27 @ Linfield D 2-256.1 1218 1368 12.89% 26.22% 60.90%-1.06 +3.2 8
1971-12-27 Ards W 2-144.1 1180 1208 42.44% 27.31% 30.25%+0.11 +12.2 11
1971-12-27 @ Portadown L 1-244.1 1208 1180 30.25% 27.31% 42.44%-0.11 -12.2 8
1972-01-01 Glenavon W 1-037.3 1196 1148 51.55% 27.06% 21.39%+0.51 +9.9 10
1972-01-01 @ Ards L 0-137.3 1148 1196 21.39% 27.06% 51.55%-0.51 -9.9 8
1972-01-01 Coleraine W 3-249.1 1221 1255 41.56% 27.32% 31.12%+0.07 +11.8 10
1972-01-01 @ Ballymena United L 2-349.1 1255 1221 31.12% 27.32% 41.56%-0.07 -11.8 11
1972-01-01 Glentoran D 0-048.0 1163 1379 19.12% 26.51% 54.37%-0.90 +3.3 9
1972-01-01 @ Crusaders D 0-048.0 1379 1163 54.37% 26.51% 19.12%+0.90 -3.4 13
1972-01-01 Bangor D 4-462.1 1185 1049 59.81% 26.36% 13.83%+0.98 -2.2 8
1972-01-01 @ Derry City D 4-462.1 1049 1185 13.83% 26.36% 59.81%-0.98 +2.2 5
1972-01-01 Cliftonville W 2-134.9 1364 993 73.04% 22.78% 4.18%+2.25 +2.0 12
1972-01-01 @ Linfield L 1-234.9 993 1364 4.18% 22.78% 73.04%-2.25 -2.0 4
1972-01-01 Lisburn Distillery L 0-141.6 1193 1273 35.01% 27.29% 37.69%-0.18 -14.4 11
1972-01-01 @ Portadown W 1-041.6 1273 1193 37.69% 27.29% 35.01%+0.18 +14.4 11
1972-01-08 Linfield L 0-729.0 1051 1366 11.72% 25.34% 62.94%-1.43 -35.4 5
1972-01-08 @ Bangor W 7-029.0 1366 1051 62.94% 25.34% 11.72%+1.43 +35.4 14
1972-01-08 Portadown L 0-234.4 991 1178 21.94% 26.76% 51.29%-0.75 -18.9 4
1972-01-08 @ Cliftonville W 2-034.4 1178 991 51.29% 26.76% 21.94%+0.75 +18.9 13
1972-01-08 Crusaders D 5-563.4 1243 1167 54.46% 26.88% 18.65%+0.66 -1.5 12
1972-01-08 @ Coleraine D 5-563.4 1167 1243 18.65% 26.88% 54.46%-0.66 +1.5 10
1972-01-08 Ballymena United L 1-440.4 1138 1233 33.06% 27.26% 39.68%-0.25 -31.8 8
1972-01-08 @ Glenavon W 4-140.4 1233 1138 39.68% 27.26% 33.06%+0.25 +31.8 12
1972-01-08 Derry City W 1-034.1 1376 1183 63.94% 25.70% 10.36%+1.29 +5.3 15
1972-01-08 @ Glentoran L 0-134.1 1183 1376 10.36% 25.70% 63.94%-1.29 -5.3 8
1972-01-08 Ards L 1-447.1 1288 1206 55.05% 26.84% 18.11%+0.70 -48.3 11
1972-01-08 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-147.1 1206 1288 18.11% 26.84% 55.05%-0.70 +48.3 12
1972-01-15 Cliftonville W 8-128.9 1254 972 69.03% 24.39% 6.58%+1.76 +17.1 14
1972-01-15 @ Ards L 1-828.9 972 1254 6.58% 24.39% 69.03%-1.76 -17.1 4
1972-01-15 Derry City D 1-150.9 1264 1178 55.46% 26.81% 17.73%+0.72 -3.2 13
1972-01-15 @ Ballymena United D 1-150.9 1178 1264 17.73% 26.81% 55.46%-0.72 +3.2 9
1972-01-15 Lisburn Distillery L 2-442.0 1016 1240 18.44% 26.44% 55.11%-0.94 -12.7 5
1972-01-15 @ Bangor W 4-242.0 1240 1016 55.11% 26.44% 18.44%+0.94 +12.7 13
1972-01-15 Glentoran W 2-149.6 1242 1381 27.26% 27.08% 45.66%-0.49 +16.6 14
1972-01-15 @ Coleraine L 1-249.6 1381 1242 45.66% 27.08% 27.26%+0.49 -16.6 15
1972-01-15 Portadown L 1-541.6 1168 1197 42.24% 27.31% 30.44%+0.10 -49.4 10
1972-01-15 @ Crusaders W 5-141.6 1197 1168 30.44% 27.31% 42.24%-0.10 +49.4 15
1972-01-15 Linfield L 0-231.8 1106 1402 12.89% 25.60% 61.51%-1.33 -12.0 8
1972-01-15 @ Glenavon W 2-031.8 1402 1106 61.51% 25.60% 12.89%+1.33 +12.0 16
1972-01-22 Glenavon L 0-434.7 1003 1094 33.68% 27.27% 39.04%-0.23 -49.9 5
1972-01-22 @ Bangor W 4-034.7 1094 1003 39.04% 27.27% 33.68%+0.23 +50.0 10
1972-01-22 Ballymena United W 2-148.7 1119 1261 26.96% 27.07% 45.97%-0.51 +16.7 12
1972-01-22 @ Crusaders L 1-248.7 1261 1119 45.97% 27.07% 26.96%+0.51 -16.7 13
1972-01-22 Lisburn Distillery D 0-047.4 1181 1252 36.40% 27.31% 36.29%-0.13 -0.0 10
1972-01-22 @ Derry City D 0-047.4 1252 1181 36.29% 27.31% 36.40%+0.13 +0.0 14
1972-01-22 Cliftonville W 4-024.2 1365 955 74.52% 22.03% 3.45%+2.45 +6.2 17
1972-01-22 @ Glentoran L 0-424.2 955 1365 3.45% 22.03% 74.52%-2.45 -6.2 4
1972-01-22 Ards D 1-152.4 1414 1271 60.35% 26.29% 13.36%+1.02 -4.2 17
1972-01-22 @ Linfield D 1-152.4 1271 1414 13.36% 26.29% 60.35%-1.02 +4.2 15
1972-01-22 Coleraine W 3-141.4 1247 1258 44.49% 27.29% 28.22%+0.19 +20.0 17
1972-01-22 @ Portadown L 1-341.4 1258 1247 28.22% 27.29% 44.49%-0.19 -20.0 14
1972-01-29 Ballymena United W 1-038.2 1275 1244 49.61% 27.15% 23.25%+0.42 +10.5 17
1972-01-29 @ Ards L 0-138.2 1244 1275 23.25% 27.15% 49.61%-0.42 -10.5 13
1972-01-29 Bangor W 2-143.0 949 953 45.38% 27.27% 27.35%+0.23 +11.3 6
1972-01-29 @ Cliftonville L 1-243.0 953 949 27.35% 27.27% 45.38%-0.23 -11.3 5
1972-01-29 Linfield D 1-151.9 1238 1410 23.61% 26.88% 49.51%-0.66 +2.1 15
1972-01-29 @ Coleraine D 1-151.9 1410 1238 49.51% 26.88% 23.61%+0.66 -2.1 18
1972-01-29 Derry City W 4-352.4 1144 1181 41.11% 27.32% 31.57%+0.06 +11.6 12
1972-01-29 @ Glenavon L 3-452.4 1181 1144 31.57% 27.32% 41.11%-0.06 -11.6 10
1972-01-29 Portadown D 0-048.5 1371 1267 57.12% 26.66% 16.22%+0.82 -4.0 18
1972-01-29 @ Glentoran D 0-048.5 1267 1371 16.22% 26.66% 57.12%-0.82 +4.0 18
1972-01-29 Crusaders D 0-047.5 1252 1136 58.19% 26.55% 15.26%+0.88 -4.2 15
1972-01-29 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-047.5 1136 1252 15.26% 26.55% 58.19%-0.88 +4.2 13
1972-02-12 Lisburn Distillery L 2-452.3 1286 1248 50.39% 27.11% 22.50%+0.46 -28.1 17
1972-02-12 @ Ards W 4-252.3 1248 1286 22.50% 27.11% 50.39%-0.46 +28.1 17
1972-02-12 Glenavon L 2-355.9 1234 1155 54.68% 26.87% 18.45%+0.68 -18.6 13
1972-02-12 @ Ballymena United W 3-255.9 1155 1234 18.45% 26.87% 54.68%-0.68 +18.6 14
1972-02-12 Coleraine W 1-043.1 1140 1240 32.31% 27.24% 40.45%-0.28 +16.0 15
1972-02-12 @ Crusaders L 0-143.1 1240 1140 40.45% 27.24% 32.31%+0.28 -16.0 15
1972-02-12 Glentoran D 2-255.7 1170 1367 20.89% 26.68% 52.43%-0.80 +2.0 11
1972-02-12 @ Derry City D 2-255.7 1367 1170 52.43% 26.68% 20.89%+0.80 -2.0 19
1972-02-12 Bangor W 3-024.7 1408 942 76.50% 20.89% 2.61%+2.75 +3.5 20
1972-02-12 @ Linfield L 0-324.7 942 1408 2.61% 20.89% 76.50%-2.75 -3.5 5
1972-02-12 Cliftonville W 3-026.5 1270 960 70.41% 23.90% 5.69%+1.92 +8.1 20
1972-02-12 @ Portadown L 0-326.5 960 1270 5.69% 23.90% 70.41%-1.92 -8.1 6
1972-02-19 Coleraine D 2-255.4 939 1224 13.58% 25.74% 60.69%-1.28 +3.1 6
1972-02-19 @ Bangor D 2-255.4 1224 939 60.69% 25.74% 13.58%+1.28 -3.1 16
1972-02-19 Ards L 0-435.2 1171 1257 34.30% 27.28% 38.42%-0.21 -50.6 11
1972-02-19 @ Derry City W 4-035.2 1257 1171 38.42% 27.28% 34.30%+0.21 +50.6 19
1972-02-19 Crusaders L 0-145.3 1174 1156 48.16% 27.20% 24.64%+0.35 -18.5 14
1972-02-19 @ Glenavon W 1-045.3 1156 1174 24.64% 27.20% 48.16%-0.35 +18.5 17
1972-02-19 Ballymena United W 1-035.1 1365 1215 60.87% 26.22% 12.91%+1.06 +6.5 21
1972-02-19 @ Glentoran L 0-135.1 1215 1365 12.91% 26.22% 60.87%-1.06 -6.5 13
1972-02-19 Portadown D 2-257.0 1411 1279 59.51% 26.40% 14.09%+0.97 -3.0 21
1972-02-19 @ Linfield D 2-257.0 1279 1411 14.09% 26.40% 59.51%-0.97 +3.0 21
1972-02-19 Cliftonville D 4-462.9 1276 952 71.03% 23.66% 5.31%+1.99 -3.4 18
1972-02-19 @ Lisburn Distillery D 4-462.9 952 1276 5.31% 23.66% 71.03%-1.99 +3.4 7
1972-02-26 Bangor W 2-136.2 1209 942 68.28% 24.63% 7.09%+1.69 +3.5 15
1972-02-26 @ Ballymena United L 1-236.2 942 1209 7.09% 24.63% 68.28%-1.69 -3.5 6
1972-03-04 Glentoran W 2-040.1 1308 1371 37.50% 27.32% 35.18%-0.08 +27.2 21
1972-03-04 @ Ards L 0-240.1 1371 1308 35.18% 27.32% 37.50%+0.08 -27.2 21
1972-03-04 Glenavon W 4-136.3 1221 1156 53.40% 26.95% 19.65%+0.61 +21.3 18
1972-03-04 @ Coleraine L 1-436.3 1156 1221 19.65% 26.95% 53.40%-0.61 -21.3 14
1972-03-04 Cliftonville W 3-027.9 1174 955 65.58% 25.35% 9.07%+1.43 +12.8 19
1972-03-04 @ Crusaders L 0-327.9 955 1174 9.07% 25.35% 65.58%-1.43 -12.8 7
1972-03-04 Lisburn Distillery W 3-031.3 1408 1273 59.74% 26.37% 13.89%+0.98 +18.9 23
1972-03-04 @ Linfield L 0-331.3 1273 1408 13.89% 26.37% 59.74%-0.98 -18.9 18
1972-03-04 Derry City W 3-242.9 1282 1121 61.70% 26.10% 12.20%+1.12 +5.5 23
1972-03-04 @ Portadown L 2-342.9 1121 1282 12.20% 26.10% 61.70%-1.12 -5.5 11
1972-03-11 Ards L 2-438.0 938 1335 7.76% 24.05% 68.19%-1.87 -5.8 6
1972-03-11 @ Bangor W 4-238.0 1335 938 68.19% 24.05% 7.76%+1.87 +5.7 23
1972-03-11 Ballymena United D 0-047.6 943 1212 14.70% 25.94% 59.37%-1.19 +4.4 8
1972-03-11 @ Cliftonville D 0-047.6 1212 943 59.37% 25.94% 14.70%+1.19 -4.4 16
1972-03-11 Derry City W 2-032.2 1242 1115 59.07% 26.45% 14.47%+0.94 +13.5 20
1972-03-11 @ Coleraine L 0-232.2 1115 1242 14.47% 26.45% 59.07%-0.94 -13.5 11
1972-03-11 Crusaders W 4-133.1 1427 1187 66.80% 25.05% 8.15%+1.54 +9.7 25
1972-03-11 @ Linfield L 1-433.1 1187 1427 8.15% 25.05% 66.80%-1.54 -9.7 19
1972-03-11 Glentoran L 0-636.1 1254 1344 33.69% 27.27% 39.03%-0.23 -73.1 18
1972-03-11 @ Lisburn Distillery W 6-036.1 1344 1254 39.03% 27.27% 33.69%+0.23 +73.1 23
1972-03-11 Glenavon D 1-151.0 1287 1134 61.11% 26.18% 12.70%+1.07 -4.3 24
1972-03-11 @ Portadown D 1-151.0 1134 1287 12.70% 26.18% 61.11%-1.07 +4.3 15
1972-03-25 Portadown W 4-350.0 1341 1283 52.64% 27.00% 20.37%+0.57 +8.3 25
1972-03-25 @ Ards L 3-450.0 1283 1341 20.37% 27.00% 52.64%-0.57 -8.3 24
1972-03-25 Linfield W 2-152.5 1208 1437 17.98% 26.39% 55.63%-0.97 +19.8 18
1972-03-25 @ Ballymena United L 1-252.5 1437 1208 55.63% 26.39% 17.98%+0.97 -19.8 25
1972-03-25 Bangor W 3-241.1 1177 933 67.08% 24.97% 7.95%+1.57 +3.7 21
1972-03-25 @ Crusaders L 2-341.1 933 1177 7.95% 24.97% 67.08%-1.57 -3.7 6
1972-03-25 Cliftonville W 4-240.1 1102 947 61.26% 26.16% 12.57%+1.09 +9.2 13
1972-03-25 @ Derry City L 2-440.1 947 1102 12.57% 26.16% 61.26%-1.09 -9.2 8
1972-03-25 Glentoran L 0-135.2 1139 1417 14.04% 25.82% 60.14%-1.24 -6.9 15
1972-03-25 @ Glenavon W 1-035.2 1417 1139 60.14% 25.82% 14.04%+1.24 +6.9 25
1972-03-25 Coleraine D 3-359.4 1181 1256 35.83% 27.30% 36.87%-0.15 +0.0 19
1972-03-25 @ Lisburn Distillery D 3-359.4 1256 1181 36.87% 27.30% 35.83%+0.15 -0.0 21
1972-04-01 Portadown L 1-640.4 1228 1274 39.83% 27.32% 32.84%+0.01 -57.8 18
1972-04-01 @ Ballymena United W 6-140.4 1274 1228 32.84% 27.32% 39.83%-0.01 +57.8 26
1972-04-01 Glentoran L 1-234.9 929 1424 4.74% 22.22% 73.04%-2.40 -2.2 6
1972-04-01 @ Bangor W 2-134.9 1424 929 73.04% 22.22% 4.74%+2.40 +2.2 27
1972-04-01 Cliftonville W 3-026.3 1256 938 70.76% 23.77% 5.47%+1.96 +7.8 23
1972-04-01 @ Coleraine L 0-326.3 938 1256 5.47% 23.77% 70.76%-1.96 -7.8 8
1972-04-01 Ards W 4-039.8 1181 1349 23.96% 26.90% 49.14%-0.65 +67.2 23
1972-04-01 @ Crusaders L 0-439.8 1349 1181 49.14% 26.90% 23.96%+0.65 -67.2 25
1972-04-01 Lisburn Distillery W 4-140.4 1132 1181 39.49% 27.32% 33.19%-0.01 +31.9 17
1972-04-01 @ Glenavon L 1-440.4 1181 1132 33.19% 27.32% 39.49%+0.01 -31.9 19
1972-04-01 Derry City L 0-248.5 1417 1111 70.19% 23.98% 5.83%+1.89 -50.0 25
1972-04-01 @ Linfield W 2-048.5 1111 1417 5.83% 23.98% 70.19%-1.89 +50.0 15
1972-04-03 Glenavon L 2-344.4 930 1164 17.56% 26.34% 56.10%-1.00 -7.4 8
1972-04-03 @ Cliftonville W 3-244.4 1164 930 56.10% 26.34% 17.56%+1.00 +7.5 19
1972-04-03 Crusaders L 1-342.9 1161 1248 34.15% 27.28% 38.57%-0.21 -23.0 15
1972-04-03 @ Derry City W 3-142.9 1248 1161 38.57% 27.28% 34.15%+0.21 +23.0 25
1972-04-03 Linfield W 4-034.1 1427 1367 52.78% 26.99% 20.23%+0.58 +33.8 29
1972-04-03 @ Glentoran L 0-434.1 1367 1427 20.23% 26.99% 52.78%-0.58 -33.8 25
1972-04-03 Bangor L 1-255.6 1332 927 74.36% 22.11% 3.52%+2.43 -26.2 26
1972-04-03 @ Portadown W 2-155.6 927 1332 3.52% 22.11% 74.36%-2.43 +26.2 8
1972-04-04 Coleraine W 4-244.6 1282 1264 48.20% 27.20% 24.60%+0.35 +16.1 27
1972-04-04 @ Ards L 2-444.6 1264 1282 24.60% 27.20% 48.20%-0.35 -16.1 23
1972-04-15 Derry City D 4-461.9 953 1138 22.14% 26.78% 51.08%-0.74 +1.3 9
1972-04-15 @ Bangor D 4-461.9 1138 953 51.08% 26.78% 22.14%+0.74 -1.3 16
1972-04-15 Linfield L 0-525.8 923 1333 7.25% 23.82% 68.93%-1.94 -16.2 8
1972-04-15 @ Cliftonville W 5-025.8 1333 923 68.93% 23.82% 7.25%+1.94 +16.2 27
1972-04-15 Ballymena United W 4-242.3 1248 1170 54.59% 26.87% 18.54%+0.67 +12.8 25
1972-04-15 @ Coleraine L 2-442.3 1170 1248 18.54% 26.87% 54.59%-0.67 -12.8 18
1972-04-15 Ards D 2-255.3 1171 1298 28.82% 27.14% 44.03%-0.43 +0.9 20
1972-04-15 @ Glenavon D 2-255.3 1298 1171 44.03% 27.14% 28.82%+0.43 -0.9 28
1972-04-15 Crusaders W 2-033.0 1460 1271 63.69% 25.75% 10.56%+1.27 +10.2 31
1972-04-15 @ Glentoran L 0-233.0 1271 1460 10.56% 25.75% 63.69%-1.27 -10.2 25
1972-04-15 Portadown L 0-333.5 1149 1306 25.22% 26.98% 47.80%-0.59 -30.7 19
1972-04-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-033.5 1306 1149 47.80% 26.98% 25.22%+0.59 +30.7 28
1972-04-19 Ards D 1-150.8 1157 1297 27.22% 27.08% 45.70%-0.50 +1.5 19
1972-04-19 @ Ballymena United D 1-150.8 1297 1157 45.70% 27.08% 27.22%+0.50 -1.5 29
1972-04-21 Ballymena United L 0-537.6 1137 1159 43.16% 27.31% 29.53%+0.14 -74.3 16
1972-04-21 @ Derry City W 5-037.6 1159 1137 29.53% 27.31% 43.16%-0.14 +74.3 21
1972-04-27 Ballymena United W 2-040.8 1118 1233 30.43% 27.19% 42.38%-0.36 +31.3 21
1972-04-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.8 1233 1118 42.38% 27.19% 30.43%+0.36 -31.3 21
1972-04-29 Coleraine W 1-035.4 1470 1260 65.04% 25.47% 9.49%+1.38 +4.9 33
1972-04-29 @ Glentoran L 0-135.4 1260 1470 9.49% 25.47% 65.04%-1.38 -4.9 25
1972-05-02 Crusaders W 1-037.2 1337 1261 54.40% 26.89% 18.71%+0.66 +8.8 30
1972-05-02 @ Portadown L 0-137.2 1261 1337 18.71% 26.89% 54.40%-0.66 -8.9 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1972-04-03 3.52% Bangor 927 2 @ Portadown 1332 1
2 1972-04-01 5.83% Derry City 1111 2 @ Linfield 1417 0
3 1971-11-20 10.52% Bangor 1085 4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1275 2
4 1971-12-18 15.11% @ Cliftonville 979 2 Lisburn Distillery 1244 1
5 1971-12-04 16.53% @ Portadown 1125 4 Glentoran 1371 2
6 1971-12-25 16.70% @ Crusaders 1144 2 Linfield 1388 1
7 1972-03-25 17.98% @ Ballymena United 1208 2 Linfield 1437 1
8 1972-01-08 18.11% Ards 1206 4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1288 1
9 1972-02-12 18.45% Glenavon 1155 3 @ Ballymena United 1234 2
10 1971-12-27 18.58% Lisburn Distillery 1226 4 @ Coleraine 1303 1
11 1971-12-18 21.50% Derry City 1168 2 @ Ards 1215 1
12 1971-12-11 21.88% Portadown 1157 3 @ Derry City 1200 1
13 1972-02-12 22.50% Lisburn Distillery 1248 4 @ Ards 1286 2
14 1971-12-11 23.70% @ Lisburn Distillery 1226 2 Linfield 1396 1
15 1972-04-01 23.96% @ Crusaders 1181 4 Ards 1349 0
16 1971-12-04 24.63% @ Crusaders 1098 2 Lisburn Distillery 1261 0
17 1972-02-19 24.64% Crusaders 1156 1 @ Glenavon 1174 0
18 1971-11-06 26.23% @ Portadown 1080 2 Ballymena United 1228 0
19 1972-01-22 26.96% @ Crusaders 1119 2 Ballymena United 1261 1
20 1972-01-15 27.26% @ Coleraine 1242 2 Glentoran 1381 1
21 1971-11-13 28.17% Portadown 1114 1 @ Bangor 1103 0
22 1972-04-21 29.53% Ballymena United 1159 5 @ Derry City 1137 0
23 1972-04-27 30.43% @ Lisburn Distillery 1118 2 Ballymena United 1233 0
24 1972-01-15 30.44% Portadown 1197 5 @ Crusaders 1168 1
25 1972-02-12 32.31% @ Crusaders 1140 1 Coleraine 1240 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-04-21 74.34 Ballymena United 5 1159 29.53% @ Derry City 0 1137 43.16% 27.31%
2 1972-03-11 73.13 Glentoran 6 1344 39.03% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1254 33.69% 27.27%
3 1972-04-01 67.17 @ Crusaders 4 1181 23.96% Ards 0 1349 49.14% 26.90%
4 1972-04-01 57.76 Portadown 6 1274 32.84% @ Ballymena United 1 1228 39.83% 27.32%
5 1972-02-19 50.62 Ards 4 1257 38.42% @ Derry City 0 1171 34.30% 27.28%
6 1972-04-01 49.98 Derry City 2 1111 5.83% @ Linfield 0 1417 70.19% 23.98%
7 1972-01-22 49.95 Glenavon 4 1094 39.04% @ Bangor 0 1003 33.68% 27.27%
8 1972-01-15 49.40 Portadown 5 1197 30.44% @ Crusaders 1 1168 42.24% 27.31%
9 1972-01-08 48.28 Ards 4 1206 18.11% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1288 55.05% 26.84%
10 1971-12-27 47.85 Lisburn Distillery 4 1226 18.58% @ Coleraine 1 1303 54.54% 26.88%
11 1971-11-06 43.48 Coleraine 4 1223 44.87% @ Cliftonville 0 1090 28.02% 27.11%
12 1972-01-08 35.37 Linfield 7 1366 62.94% @ Bangor 0 1051 11.72% 25.34%
13 1971-11-20 35.29 Bangor 4 1085 10.52% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1275 63.73% 25.74%
14 1971-12-04 34.96 @ Crusaders 2 1098 24.63% Lisburn Distillery 0 1261 48.42% 26.95%
15 1971-11-06 33.91 @ Portadown 2 1080 26.23% Ballymena United 0 1228 46.74% 27.03%
16 1972-04-03 33.77 @ Glentoran 4 1427 52.78% Linfield 0 1367 20.23% 26.99%
17 1972-04-01 31.91 @ Glenavon 4 1132 39.49% Lisburn Distillery 1 1181 33.19% 27.32%
18 1971-12-11 31.81 Portadown 3 1157 21.88% @ Derry City 1 1200 51.03% 27.08%
19 1972-01-08 31.80 Ballymena United 4 1233 39.68% @ Glenavon 1 1138 33.06% 27.26%
20 1971-12-04 31.57 @ Portadown 4 1125 16.53% Glentoran 2 1371 57.26% 26.21%
21 1972-04-27 31.29 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1118 30.43% Ballymena United 0 1233 42.38% 27.19%
22 1972-04-15 30.67 Portadown 3 1306 47.80% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1149 25.22% 26.98%
23 1971-11-27 29.38 Glentoran 6 1341 63.54% @ Cliftonville 0 1018 11.23% 25.22%
24 1971-11-27 28.36 @ Glenavon 3 1156 50.16% Bangor 0 1121 22.71% 27.12%
25 1972-02-12 28.12 Lisburn Distillery 4 1248 22.50% @ Ards 2 1286 50.39% 27.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-01-08 63.4 @ Coleraine 5 1243 54.46% Crusaders 5 1167 18.65% 26.88%
2 1972-02-19 62.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1276 71.03% Cliftonville 4 952 5.31% 23.66%
3 1972-01-01 62.1 @ Derry City 4 1185 59.81% Bangor 4 1049 13.83% 26.36%
4 1972-04-15 61.9 @ Bangor 4 953 22.14% Derry City 4 1138 51.08% 26.78%
5 1971-12-04 60.9 @ Linfield 3 1399 59.21% Coleraine 3 1270 14.35% 26.44%
6 1972-03-25 59.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1181 35.83% Coleraine 3 1256 36.87% 27.30%
7 1971-12-04 59.3 @ Derry City 3 1201 47.97% Glenavon 3 1185 24.83% 27.20%
8 1971-11-13 57.5 @ Linfield 2 1399 52.79% Glentoran 2 1339 20.22% 26.99%
9 1972-02-19 57.0 @ Linfield 2 1411 59.51% Portadown 2 1279 14.09% 26.40%
10 1971-12-27 56.1 @ Linfield 2 1368 60.90% Ballymena United 2 1218 12.89% 26.22%
11 1971-12-25 56.0 @ Glentoran 2 1358 59.75% Lisburn Distillery 2 1223 13.88% 26.37%
12 1972-02-12 55.9 Glenavon 3 1155 18.45% @ Ballymena United 2 1234 54.68% 26.87%
13 1972-02-12 55.7 @ Derry City 2 1170 20.89% Glentoran 2 1367 52.43% 26.68%
14 1972-04-03 55.6 Bangor 2 927 3.52% @ Portadown 1 1332 74.36% 22.11%
15 1971-11-20 55.4 Bangor 4 1085 10.52% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1275 63.73% 25.74%
16 1971-12-25 55.4 @ Derry City 2 1187 30.15% Coleraine 2 1303 42.66% 27.19%
17 1972-02-19 55.4 @ Bangor 2 939 13.58% Coleraine 2 1224 60.69% 25.74%
18 1972-04-15 55.3 @ Glenavon 2 1171 28.82% Ards 2 1298 44.03% 27.14%
19 1971-12-27 55.2 @ Cliftonville 2 991 21.02% Derry City 2 1187 52.29% 26.69%
20 1971-12-04 55.1 @ Bangor 2 1092 57.05% Cliftonville 2 989 16.28% 26.67%
21 1971-12-04 53.9 @ Portadown 4 1125 16.53% Glentoran 2 1371 57.26% 26.21%
22 1972-03-25 52.5 @ Ballymena United 2 1208 17.98% Linfield 1 1437 55.63% 26.39%
23 1972-01-22 52.4 @ Linfield 1 1414 60.35% Ards 1 1271 13.36% 26.29%
24 1972-01-29 52.4 @ Glenavon 4 1144 41.11% Derry City 3 1181 31.57% 27.32%
25 1972-02-12 52.3 Lisburn Distillery 4 1248 22.50% @ Ards 2 1286 50.39% 27.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-01-22 24.2 @ Glentoran 4 1365 74.52% Cliftonville 0 955 3.45% 22.03%
2 1972-02-12 24.7 @ Linfield 3 1408 76.50% Bangor 0 942 2.61% 20.89%
3 1972-04-15 25.8 Linfield 5 1333 68.93% @ Cliftonville 0 923 7.25% 23.82%
4 1972-04-01 26.3 @ Coleraine 3 1256 70.76% Cliftonville 0 938 5.47% 23.77%
5 1972-02-12 26.5 @ Portadown 3 1270 70.41% Cliftonville 0 960 5.69% 23.90%
6 1971-12-18 27.1 @ Coleraine 4 1286 64.97% Bangor 0 1077 9.54% 25.49%
7 1971-11-06 27.4 @ Glentoran 4 1321 64.41% Bangor 0 1121 9.98% 25.61%
8 1971-12-27 27.9 @ Glentoran 5 1355 63.28% Glenavon 0 1172 10.89% 25.83%
9 1972-03-04 27.9 @ Crusaders 3 1174 65.58% Cliftonville 0 955 9.07% 25.35%
10 1971-11-27 28.0 Glentoran 6 1341 63.54% @ Cliftonville 0 1018 11.23% 25.22%
11 1972-01-15 28.9 @ Ards 8 1254 69.03% Cliftonville 1 972 6.58% 24.39%
12 1972-01-08 29.0 Linfield 7 1366 62.94% @ Bangor 0 1051 11.72% 25.34%
13 1971-12-25 30.3 @ Ballymena United 2 1208 64.91% Cliftonville 0 1000 9.59% 25.50%
14 1972-03-04 31.3 @ Linfield 3 1408 59.74% Lisburn Distillery 0 1273 13.89% 26.37%
15 1972-01-15 31.8 Linfield 2 1402 61.51% @ Glenavon 0 1106 12.89% 25.60%
16 1972-03-11 32.2 @ Coleraine 2 1242 59.07% Derry City 0 1115 14.47% 26.45%
17 1971-11-27 32.6 @ Glenavon 3 1156 50.16% Bangor 0 1121 22.71% 27.12%
18 1972-04-15 33.0 @ Glentoran 2 1460 63.69% Crusaders 0 1271 10.56% 25.75%
19 1971-11-06 33.1 Coleraine 4 1223 44.87% @ Cliftonville 0 1090 28.02% 27.11%
20 1972-03-11 33.1 @ Linfield 4 1427 66.80% Crusaders 1 1187 8.15% 25.05%
21 1972-04-15 33.5 Portadown 3 1306 47.80% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1149 25.22% 26.98%
22 1972-01-08 34.1 @ Glentoran 1 1376 63.94% Derry City 0 1183 10.36% 25.70%
23 1972-04-03 34.1 @ Glentoran 4 1427 52.78% Linfield 0 1367 20.23% 26.99%
24 1972-01-08 34.4 Portadown 2 1178 51.29% @ Cliftonville 0 991 21.94% 26.76%
25 1972-01-22 34.7 Glenavon 4 1094 39.04% @ Bangor 0 1003 33.68% 27.27%