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1988-89 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

65 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

11.04 points above expected

65 points · 53.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ards

9.72 points below expected

18 points · 27.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 21 2 3 65 58 19 +39 53.96 +11.04
2 Glentoran 26 17 4 5 55 60 29 +31 52.94 +2.06
3 Coleraine 26 15 5 6 50 42 23 +19 47.90 +2.10
4 Bangor 26 12 9 5 45 42 30 +12 35.64 +9.36
5 Glenavon 26 13 5 8 44 47 34 +13 38.48 +5.52
6 Portadown 26 10 9 7 39 29 19 +10 38.08 +0.92
7 Cliftonville 26 9 9 8 36 42 30 +12 35.56 +0.44
8 Carrick Rangers 26 11 3 12 36 29 40 -11 25.78 +10.22
9 Ballymena United 26 6 11 9 29 33 41 -8 35.09 -6.09
10 Larne 26 6 10 10 28 38 38 0 37.19 -9.19
11 Newry City 26 7 5 14 26 33 43 -10 31.72 -5.72
12 Crusaders 26 5 5 16 20 22 47 -25 25.98 -5.98
13 Ards 26 4 6 16 18 25 54 -29 27.72 -9.72
14 Lisburn Distillery 26 3 3 20 12 20 73 -53 17.48 -5.48

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 65 53.96 +11.04
2 Carrick Rangers 36 25.78 +10.22
3 Bangor 45 35.64 +9.36
4 Glenavon 44 38.48 +5.52
5 Coleraine 50 47.90 +2.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 18 27.72 -9.72
2 Larne 28 37.19 -9.19
3 Ballymena United 29 35.09 -6.09
4 Crusaders 20 25.98 -5.98
5 Newry City 26 31.72 -5.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 7 Jan 14 – Mar 18 1 in 321
2 Glentoran 8 Nov 19 – Dec 31 1 in 41
3 Linfield 8 Dec 26 – Feb 25 1 in 38
4 Carrick Rangers 3 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 23
5 Ballymena United 3 Jan 2 – Jan 10 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newry City 7 Dec 31 – Mar 1 1 in 274
2 Ards 8 Jan 10 – Mar 18 1 in 169
3 Glenavon 4 Dec 26 – Jan 7 1 in 37
4 Crusaders 5 Nov 12 – Dec 10 1 in 35
5 Glentoran 2 Jan 2 – Jan 7 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 9 Oct 29 – Dec 24 1 in 213
2 Newry City 6 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 84
3 Carrick Rangers 6 Mar 28 – Apr 29 1 in 34
4 Portadown 7 Mar 4 – Apr 22 1 in 15
5 Glenavon 7 Jan 14 – Mar 18 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena United 8 Nov 12 – Dec 31 1 in 130
2 Larne 8 Mar 4 – Apr 29 1 in 37
3 Portadown 7 Nov 19 – Dec 26 1 in 23
4 Ards 11 Jan 10 – Apr 1 1 in 18
5 Newry City 8 Dec 31 – Mar 4 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1456 65 +16 12 11.2 +0.8
Glentoran 1366 55 +4 8 8.9 -0.9
Coleraine 1330 50 -6 8 9.2 -1.2
Bangor 1217 45 -10 7 8.7 -1.7
Glenavon 1252 44 +19 8 6.2 +1.8
Portadown 1246 39 -10 6 8.9 -2.9
Carrick Rangers 1129 36 +71 13 6.4 +6.6
Cliftonville 1211 36 +20 8 7.0 +1.0
Ballymena United 1129 29 +2 6 5.4 +0.6
Larne 1117 28 -16 4 7.5 -3.5
Newry City 1116 26 +17 5 5.4 -0.4
Crusaders 1012 20 -67 2 5.6 -3.6
Ards 983 18 -7 5 4.5 +0.5
Lisburn Distillery 878 12 -34 0 1.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CR CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NC POR
Ards —
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.52
2-0-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
1.67
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.86
Ballymena United
1-1-0
3.68
 —
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
1.49
0-2-0
2.40
0-0-2
1.36
1-1-0
4.25
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.06
Bangor
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.82
 —
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.93
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.48
0-2-0
3.07
1-1-0
1.37
2-0-0
4.51
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
2.68
Carrick Rangers
2-0-0
2.85
1-1-0
1.95
0-1-1
1.96
 —
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
1.28
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.02
2-0-0
2.03
0-0-2
0.99
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.69
Cliftonville
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
3.59
 —
0-2-0
1.64
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
2.60
0-2-0
1.50
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
2.41
Coleraine
1-1-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
4.27
0-2-0
3.89
 —
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
3.73
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.52
Crusaders
0-0-2
3.04
0-2-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
1.51
 —
1-1-0
1.54
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.17
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.16
Glenavon
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
1.79
0-1-1
3.99
 —
1-0-1
1.63
1-1-0
2.32
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
4.26
0-1-1
3.57
0-1-1
2.89
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.57
0-2-0
4.04
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
3.90
 —
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.19
2-0-0
4.79
1-1-0
4.37
0-0-2
3.95
Larne
0-1-1
3.85
0-2-0
3.10
0-2-0
2.43
0-0-2
3.47
0-2-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.18
0-0-2
1.76
 —
1-1-0
1.39
2-0-0
4.19
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.72
Linfield
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.19
0-1-1
4.18
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.20
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
4.16
 —
2-0-0
5.09
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.99
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
1.82
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
0.76
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
1.30
0-0-2
0.83
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
0.60
 —
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
1.12
Newry City
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
3.41
1-1-0
1.94
0-1-1
1.19
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
3.91
 —
0-1-1
2.44
Portadown
1-1-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.45
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
1.58
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
4.46
1-1-0
3.07
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +10.9
Allowed 0.74 -8.8
Differential 0.90 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%7.14%6.32%4.40%1.92%0.27%26.65%
17.14%12.09%7.14%3.85%0.82%1.65%32.69%
26.32%7.14%3.85%3.85%—0.27%21.43%
34.40%3.85%3.85%1.10%0.55%—13.74%
41.92%0.82%—0.55%——3.30%
5+0.27%1.65%0.27%———2.20%
Total26.65%32.69%21.43%13.74%3.30%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.96
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%—11.54%38.46%
23.85%—3.85%7.69%——15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%23.08%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.08 -1.12
SD 1.04 1.62 1.82
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
1—11.54%11.54%—7.69%—30.77%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%23.08%26.92%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.58 -0.31
SD 1.12 1.33 1.62
CV 0.88 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
111.54%34.62%11.54%———57.69%
27.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%50.00%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.15 +0.46
SD 0.80 0.97 1.07
CV 0.50 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
119.23%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%50.00%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%26.92%15.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.54 -0.42
SD 0.86 1.48 1.90
CV 0.77 0.96 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
411.54%3.85%————15.38%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%30.77%19.23%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.15 +0.46
SD 1.58 1.08 1.96
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
13.85%11.54%————15.38%
223.08%7.69%—3.85%——34.62%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.88 +0.73
SD 1.27 0.95 1.56
CV 0.78 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%23.08%3.85%—50.00%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%15.38%34.62%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.81 -0.96
SD 1.05 1.20 1.82
CV 1.24 0.66 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
17.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
37.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%38.46%34.62%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.31 +0.50
SD 1.33 0.88 1.48
CV 0.73 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
17.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
23.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
311.54%7.69%11.54%———30.77%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total30.77%34.62%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.12 +1.19
SD 1.69 0.95 1.86
CV 0.73 0.85 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
13.85%19.23%7.69%15.38%——46.15%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%30.77%26.92%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.77 1.14 2.33
CV 1.21 0.78 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
115.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
315.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total46.15%38.46%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.73 +1.50
SD 1.14 0.83 1.42
CV 0.51 1.13 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%15.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%46.15%
13.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%—7.69%30.77%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%11.54%34.62%23.08%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.81 -2.04
SD 0.82 1.94 2.16
CV 1.06 0.69 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%——34.62%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
23.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.65 -0.38
SD 1.37 1.13 1.86
CV 1.08 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
17.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
219.23%3.85%————23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total42.31%46.15%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.73 +0.38
SD 1.03 0.78 1.44
CV 0.93 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1456 65 53.96 +11.04 97.0% 39 44 50 53 58 63 70
Glentoran 1366 55 52.94 +2.06 69.0% 38 43 49 53 56 62 67
Coleraine 1330 50 47.90 +2.10 66.0% 32 36 43 48 52 57 64
Glenavon 1252 44 38.48 +5.52 83.0% 25 27 34 38 43 49 58
Portadown 1246 39 38.08 +0.92 61.0% 19 28 33 38 43 50 54
Bangor 1217 45 35.64 +9.36 94.0% 25 27 31 35 40 46 51
Cliftonville 1211 36 35.56 +0.44 62.0% 22 26 32 35 39 46 51
Ballymena United 1129 29 35.09 -6.09 21.0% 22 25 31 35 39 45 48
Carrick Rangers 1129 36 25.78 +10.22 93.0% 11 16 21 25 31 37 44
Larne 1117 28 37.19 -9.19 7.0% 18 26 33 36 41 48 53
Newry City 1116 26 31.72 -5.72 24.0% 16 19 27 31 37 43 53
Crusaders 1012 20 25.98 -5.98 16.0% 10 16 22 27 30 34 43
Ards 983 18 27.72 -9.72 8.0% 11 17 24 28 31 37 42
Lisburn Distillery 878 12 17.48 -5.48 19.0% 5 8 14 18 22 27 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+2.75%
No Edge
39.56%23.63%36.81%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 9.55 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Linfield, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.38/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.01 * Some Luck: 5.01 to 7.52 * Lucky: 7.52 to 10.03 * Wild Swing: 10.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.83 * Way Off: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.91 points
Some Luck
06.2716
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
7.00%
Larne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 156.05
2.21
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.070
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield47.00%31.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%————————
Glentoran35.00%37.00%18.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%————————
Coleraine15.00%17.00%39.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Bangor——5.00%14.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%3.00%——
Glenavon1.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%19.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—
Portadown1.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%
Cliftonville——4.00%10.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%—
Carrick Rangers———1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%19.00%27.00%13.00%
Ballymena United—2.00%1.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%—
Larne—3.00%6.00%7.00%20.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%—1.00%
Newry City1.00%1.00%—7.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%12.00%14.00%4.00%5.00%
Crusaders———1.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%20.00%24.00%20.00%10.00%
Ards————2.00%4.00%1.00%9.00%9.00%15.00%18.00%17.00%20.00%5.00%
Lisburn Distillery——————————6.00%7.00%22.00%65.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Carrick Rangers 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry City 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1988-10-29 Glenavon D 1-152.8 1094 1156 30.57% 24.91% 44.53%-0.33 +0.9 1
1988-10-29 @ Bangor D 1-152.8 1156 1094 44.53% 24.91% 30.57%+0.33 -0.9 1
1988-10-29 Lisburn Distillery W 4-032.2 1117 1042 49.19% 24.61% 26.20%+0.52 +33.7 3
1988-10-29 @ Cliftonville L 0-432.2 1042 1117 26.20% 24.61% 49.19%-0.52 -33.7 0
1988-10-29 Glentoran L 2-352.1 1282 1312 34.94% 25.04% 40.02%-0.12 -10.6 0
1988-10-29 @ Coleraine W 3-252.1 1312 1282 40.02% 25.04% 34.94%+0.12 +10.6 3
1988-10-29 Crusaders W 4-033.6 1187 1146 44.85% 24.89% 30.26%+0.32 +37.9 3
1988-10-29 @ Larne L 0-433.6 1146 1187 30.26% 24.89% 44.85%-0.32 -37.9 0
1988-10-29 Ballymena United W 1-036.4 1322 1188 56.05% 23.83% 20.12%+0.89 +7.5 3
1988-10-29 @ Linfield L 0-136.4 1188 1322 20.12% 23.83% 56.05%-0.89 -7.5 0
1988-10-29 Carrick Rangers W 2-032.9 1211 1081 55.57% 23.90% 20.53%+0.86 +14.4 3
1988-10-29 @ Newry City L 0-232.9 1081 1211 20.53% 23.90% 55.57%-0.86 -14.5 0
1988-10-29 Ards W 2-037.6 1155 1148 40.11% 25.04% 34.86%+0.10 +22.3 3
1988-10-29 @ Portadown L 0-237.6 1148 1155 34.86% 25.04% 40.11%-0.10 -22.3 0
1988-11-05 Linfield L 1-337.3 1126 1330 16.26% 22.97% 60.77%-1.20 -10.1 0
1988-11-05 @ Ards W 3-137.3 1330 1126 60.77% 22.97% 16.26%+1.20 +10.1 6
1988-11-05 Coleraine W 2-041.7 1180 1272 27.03% 24.68% 48.29%-0.50 +28.8 3
1988-11-05 @ Ballymena United L 0-241.7 1272 1180 48.29% 24.68% 27.03%+0.50 -28.8 0
1988-11-05 Glentoran W 2-153.9 1095 1322 14.60% 22.46% 62.94%-1.34 +18.2 4
1988-11-05 @ Bangor L 1-253.9 1322 1095 62.94% 22.46% 14.60%+1.34 -18.2 3
1988-11-05 Portadown L 1-242.9 1067 1177 24.79% 24.48% 50.73%-0.63 -8.5 0
1988-11-05 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-142.9 1177 1067 50.73% 24.48% 24.79%+0.63 +8.5 6
1988-11-05 Newry City W 3-148.1 1108 1225 24.07% 24.40% 51.53%-0.67 +26.4 3
1988-11-05 @ Crusaders L 1-348.1 1225 1108 51.53% 24.40% 24.07%+0.67 -26.4 3
1988-11-05 Cliftonville W 3-251.4 1155 1151 39.76% 25.04% 35.20%+0.09 +10.6 4
1988-11-05 @ Glenavon L 2-351.4 1151 1155 35.20% 25.04% 39.76%-0.09 -10.6 3
1988-11-05 Larne L 1-631.7 1008 1225 15.29% 22.69% 62.02%-1.28 -21.4 0
1988-11-05 @ Lisburn Distillery W 6-131.7 1225 1008 62.02% 22.69% 15.29%+1.28 +21.3 6
1988-11-12 Ballymena United D 1-152.9 1113 1209 26.44% 24.63% 48.93%-0.53 +1.5 5
1988-11-12 @ Bangor D 1-152.9 1209 1113 48.93% 24.63% 26.44%+0.53 -1.5 4
1988-11-12 Glentoran D 0-049.0 1140 1304 19.54% 23.72% 56.74%-0.95 +3.0 4
1988-11-12 @ Cliftonville D 0-049.0 1304 1140 56.74% 23.72% 19.54%+0.95 -3.0 4
1988-11-12 Ards D 1-153.1 1243 1116 55.24% 23.95% 20.81%+0.84 -2.4 1
1988-11-12 @ Coleraine D 1-153.1 1116 1243 20.81% 23.95% 55.24%-0.84 +2.4 1
1988-11-12 Newry City L 1-249.5 1246 1199 45.64% 24.85% 29.51%+0.35 -13.7 6
1988-11-12 @ Larne W 2-149.5 1199 1246 29.51% 24.85% 45.64%-0.35 +13.7 6
1988-11-12 Carrick Rangers W 4-132.0 1340 1058 69.27% 20.54% 10.19%+1.80 +9.0 9
1988-11-12 @ Linfield L 1-432.0 1058 1340 10.19% 20.54% 69.27%-1.80 -9.0 0
1988-11-12 Glenavon W 2-152.6 987 1166 18.22% 23.45% 58.33%-1.05 +17.0 3
1988-11-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-252.6 1166 987 58.33% 23.45% 18.22%+1.05 -17.0 4
1988-11-12 Crusaders W 1-038.9 1186 1134 46.18% 24.82% 29.00%+0.38 +10.2 9
1988-11-12 @ Portadown L 0-138.9 1134 1186 29.00% 24.82% 46.18%-0.38 -10.2 3
1988-11-19 Bangor L 2-352.7 1118 1115 39.63% 25.05% 35.32%+0.08 -11.7 1
1988-11-19 @ Ards W 3-252.7 1115 1118 35.32% 25.05% 39.63%-0.08 +11.6 8
1988-11-19 Cliftonville D 3-362.6 1208 1143 47.87% 24.71% 27.42%+0.46 -0.9 5
1988-11-19 @ Ballymena United D 3-362.6 1143 1208 27.42% 24.71% 47.87%-0.46 +0.9 5
1988-11-19 Coleraine L 0-134.9 1049 1240 17.24% 23.22% 59.53%-1.12 -6.5 0
1988-11-19 @ Carrick Rangers W 1-034.9 1240 1049 59.53% 23.22% 17.24%+1.12 +6.5 4
1988-11-19 Linfield L 1-239.6 1124 1349 14.76% 22.52% 62.72%-1.33 -5.3 3
1988-11-19 @ Crusaders W 2-139.6 1349 1124 62.72% 22.52% 14.76%+1.33 +5.3 12
1988-11-19 Larne D 2-258.6 1149 1233 27.87% 24.75% 47.39%-0.46 +1.0 5
1988-11-19 @ Glenavon D 2-258.6 1233 1149 47.39% 24.75% 27.87%+0.46 -1.0 7
1988-11-19 Lisburn Distillery W 8-229.6 1301 1004 70.40% 20.11% 9.49%+1.89 +12.9 7
1988-11-19 @ Glentoran L 2-829.6 1004 1301 9.49% 20.11% 70.40%-1.89 -12.9 3
1988-11-19 Portadown D 1-152.9 1213 1196 41.44% 25.01% 33.54%+0.16 -0.5 7
1988-11-19 @ Newry City D 1-152.9 1196 1213 33.54% 25.01% 41.44%-0.16 +0.5 10
1988-11-26 Carrick Rangers D 1-152.9 1126 1043 50.23% 24.52% 25.25%+0.58 -1.7 9
1988-11-26 @ Bangor D 1-152.9 1043 1126 25.25% 24.52% 50.23%-0.58 +1.7 1
1988-11-26 Ards D 2-258.4 1144 1107 44.27% 24.92% 30.82%+0.29 -0.7 6
1988-11-26 @ Cliftonville D 2-258.4 1107 1144 30.82% 24.92% 44.27%-0.29 +0.7 2
1988-11-26 Crusaders W 3-138.7 1247 1119 55.37% 23.93% 20.70%+0.85 +12.6 7
1988-11-26 @ Coleraine L 1-338.7 1119 1247 20.70% 23.93% 55.37%-0.85 -12.6 3
1988-11-26 Glentoran L 2-346.5 1150 1314 19.52% 23.72% 56.76%-0.95 -6.6 5
1988-11-26 @ Glenavon W 3-246.5 1314 1150 56.76% 23.72% 19.52%+0.95 +6.5 10
1988-11-26 Portadown W 1-039.8 1232 1197 43.98% 24.93% 31.09%+0.28 +10.8 10
1988-11-26 @ Larne L 0-139.8 1197 1232 31.09% 24.93% 43.98%-0.28 -10.8 10
1988-11-26 Newry City W 1-036.4 1354 1212 56.87% 23.70% 19.43%+0.94 +7.3 15
1988-11-26 @ Linfield L 0-136.4 1212 1354 19.43% 23.70% 56.87%-0.94 -7.3 7
1988-11-26 Ballymena United D 2-259.1 991 1207 15.37% 22.71% 61.92%-1.28 +2.5 4
1988-11-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.1 1207 991 61.92% 22.71% 15.37%+1.28 -2.5 6
1988-12-02 Bangor L 0-336.0 1106 1124 36.49% 25.06% 38.46%-0.05 -33.5 3
1988-12-02 @ Crusaders W 3-036.0 1124 1106 38.46% 25.06% 36.49%+0.05 +33.5 12
1988-12-03 Lisburn Distillery D 1-153.0 1107 993 53.80% 24.14% 22.06%+0.76 -2.2 3
1988-12-03 @ Ards D 1-153.0 993 1107 22.06% 24.14% 53.80%-0.76 +2.2 5
1988-12-03 Glenavon L 0-339.3 1204 1143 47.40% 24.75% 27.85%+0.44 -41.2 6
1988-12-03 @ Ballymena United W 3-039.3 1143 1204 27.85% 24.75% 47.40%-0.44 +41.2 8
1988-12-03 Cliftonville W 2-150.3 1044 1143 26.13% 24.61% 49.26%-0.55 +14.7 4
1988-12-03 @ Carrick Rangers L 1-250.3 1143 1044 49.26% 24.61% 26.13%+0.55 -14.7 6
1988-12-03 Larne W 3-141.0 1320 1243 49.50% 24.59% 25.91%+0.54 +15.2 13
1988-12-03 @ Glentoran L 1-341.0 1243 1320 25.91% 24.59% 49.50%-0.54 -15.2 10
1988-12-03 Coleraine L 0-236.8 1205 1259 31.56% 24.95% 43.49%-0.28 -20.6 7
1988-12-03 @ Newry City W 2-036.8 1259 1205 43.49% 24.95% 31.56%+0.28 +20.6 10
1988-12-03 Linfield L 0-135.9 1186 1362 18.51% 23.51% 57.98%-1.03 -7.0 10
1988-12-03 @ Portadown W 1-035.9 1362 1186 57.98% 23.51% 18.51%+1.03 +7.0 18
1988-12-10 Newry City W 2-039.0 1158 1184 35.38% 25.05% 39.58%-0.10 +24.5 15
1988-12-10 @ Bangor L 0-239.0 1184 1158 39.58% 25.05% 35.38%+0.10 -24.5 7
1988-12-10 Crusaders W 1-038.7 1128 1073 46.73% 24.79% 28.48%+0.40 +10.1 9
1988-12-10 @ Cliftonville L 0-138.7 1073 1128 28.48% 24.79% 46.73%-0.40 -10.1 3
1988-12-10 Portadown W 2-034.1 1280 1179 52.32% 24.31% 23.37%+0.68 +16.2 13
1988-12-10 @ Coleraine L 0-234.1 1179 1280 23.37% 24.31% 52.32%-0.68 -16.1 10
1988-12-10 Ards W 3-032.7 1184 1105 49.70% 24.57% 25.73%+0.55 +25.4 11
1988-12-10 @ Glenavon L 0-332.7 1105 1184 25.73% 24.57% 49.70%-0.55 -25.4 3
1988-12-10 Ballymena United W 3-245.6 1336 1163 59.97% 23.13% 16.90%+1.12 +5.8 16
1988-12-10 @ Glentoran L 2-345.6 1163 1336 16.90% 23.13% 59.97%-1.12 -5.7 6
1988-12-10 Linfield W 3-257.6 1227 1368 21.65% 24.08% 54.27%-0.81 +15.1 13
1988-12-10 @ Larne L 2-357.6 1368 1227 54.27% 24.08% 21.65%+0.81 -15.1 18
1988-12-10 Carrick Rangers L 0-236.1 996 1059 30.41% 24.90% 44.69%-0.33 -20.0 5
1988-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-036.1 1059 996 44.69% 24.90% 30.41%+0.33 +20.0 7
1988-12-17 Glentoran L 1-531.5 1080 1341 12.44% 21.65% 65.90%-1.56 -14.2 3
1988-12-17 @ Ards W 5-131.5 1341 1080 65.90% 21.65% 12.44%+1.56 +14.2 19
1988-12-17 Larne D 0-048.6 1157 1242 27.73% 24.74% 47.53%-0.47 +1.5 7
1988-12-17 @ Ballymena United D 0-048.6 1242 1157 47.53% 24.74% 27.73%+0.47 -1.5 14
1988-12-17 Glenavon L 1-339.3 1079 1210 22.69% 24.23% 53.09%-0.75 -13.6 7
1988-12-17 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-139.3 1210 1079 53.09% 24.23% 22.69%+0.75 +13.6 14
1988-12-17 Lisburn Distillery W 2-142.9 1063 975 50.64% 24.49% 24.87%+0.60 +8.5 6
1988-12-17 @ Crusaders L 1-242.9 975 1063 24.87% 24.49% 50.64%-0.60 -8.5 5
1988-12-17 Coleraine W 2-036.8 1353 1296 46.90% 24.78% 28.32%+0.41 +18.9 21
1988-12-17 @ Linfield L 0-236.8 1296 1353 28.32% 24.78% 46.90%-0.41 -18.9 13
1988-12-17 Cliftonville L 1-345.4 1160 1139 42.09% 25.00% 32.92%+0.19 -22.3 7
1988-12-17 @ Newry City W 3-145.4 1139 1160 32.92% 25.00% 42.09%-0.19 +22.3 12
1988-12-17 Bangor D 1-152.8 1163 1182 36.29% 25.06% 38.66%-0.06 +0.2 11
1988-12-17 @ Portadown D 1-152.8 1182 1163 38.66% 25.06% 36.29%+0.06 -0.2 16
1988-12-22 Coleraine L 0-237.7 1241 1277 33.99% 25.02% 40.98%-0.17 -21.8 14
1988-12-22 @ Larne W 2-037.7 1277 1241 40.98% 25.02% 33.99%+0.17 +21.8 16
1988-12-22 Newry City L 1-240.8 967 1137 18.96% 23.60% 57.44%-0.99 -6.7 5
1988-12-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-140.8 1137 967 57.44% 23.60% 18.96%+0.99 +6.7 10
1988-12-23 Crusaders D 3-362.9 1223 1071 57.95% 23.52% 18.53%+1.00 -1.8 15
1988-12-23 @ Glenavon D 3-362.9 1071 1223 18.53% 23.52% 57.95%-1.00 +1.8 7
1988-12-24 Linfield D 1-153.9 1182 1372 17.34% 23.24% 59.42%-1.11 +3.1 17
1988-12-24 @ Bangor D 1-153.9 1372 1182 59.42% 23.24% 17.34%+1.11 -3.0 22
1988-12-24 Portadown D 1-152.8 1161 1163 38.83% 25.05% 36.12%+0.05 -0.2 13
1988-12-24 @ Cliftonville D 1-152.8 1163 1161 36.12% 25.05% 38.83%-0.05 +0.2 12
1988-12-24 Carrick Rangers W 4-026.3 1356 1065 69.89% 20.31% 9.80%+1.85 +13.4 22
1988-12-24 @ Glentoran L 0-426.3 1065 1356 9.80% 20.31% 69.89%-1.85 -13.4 7
1988-12-26 Larne W 3-149.1 1065 1219 20.46% 23.88% 55.66%-0.89 +28.3 6
1988-12-26 @ Ards L 1-349.1 1219 1065 55.66% 23.88% 20.46%+0.89 -28.3 14
1988-12-26 Ballymena United D 0-048.5 1052 1159 25.23% 24.52% 50.25%-0.60 +1.9 8
1988-12-26 @ Carrick Rangers D 0-048.5 1159 1052 50.25% 24.52% 25.23%+0.60 -1.9 8
1988-12-26 Bangor W 2-142.3 1299 1185 53.76% 24.14% 22.09%+0.76 +7.7 19
1988-12-26 @ Coleraine L 1-242.3 1185 1299 22.09% 24.14% 53.76%-0.76 -7.7 17
1988-12-26 Cliftonville W 2-031.1 1369 1161 63.33% 22.37% 14.31%+1.35 +10.3 25
1988-12-26 @ Linfield L 0-231.1 1161 1369 14.31% 22.37% 63.33%-1.35 -10.3 13
1988-12-26 Glenavon W 1-044.2 1144 1222 28.66% 24.80% 46.54%-0.42 +14.8 13
1988-12-26 @ Newry City L 0-144.2 1222 1144 46.54% 24.80% 28.66%+0.42 -14.8 15
1988-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 0-148.3 1163 960 62.81% 22.50% 14.69%+1.31 -19.3 12
1988-12-26 @ Portadown W 1-048.3 960 1163 14.69% 22.50% 62.81%-1.31 +19.3 8
1988-12-27 Glentoran L 0-327.2 1073 1369 10.61% 20.77% 68.62%-1.77 -11.1 7
1988-12-27 @ Crusaders W 3-027.2 1369 1073 68.62% 20.77% 10.61%+1.77 +11.1 25
1988-12-30 Portadown L 0-241.4 1207 1144 47.66% 24.73% 27.61%+0.45 -28.5 15
1988-12-30 @ Glenavon W 2-041.4 1144 1207 27.61% 24.73% 47.66%-0.45 +28.5 15
1988-12-31 Carrick Rangers L 0-143.6 1094 1054 44.60% 24.90% 30.50%+0.30 -14.3 6
1988-12-31 @ Ards W 1-043.6 1054 1094 30.50% 24.90% 44.60%-0.30 +14.3 11
1988-12-31 Crusaders D 1-152.9 1157 1062 51.62% 24.39% 23.99%+0.65 -1.9 9
1988-12-31 @ Ballymena United D 1-152.9 1062 1157 23.99% 24.39% 51.62%-0.65 +1.9 8
1988-12-31 Coleraine D 1-153.4 1150 1307 20.21% 23.84% 55.95%-0.91 +2.5 14
1988-12-31 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.4 1307 1150 55.95% 23.84% 20.21%+0.91 -2.5 20
1988-12-31 Newry City W 2-030.8 1380 1159 64.42% 22.08% 13.51%+1.42 +9.8 28
1988-12-31 @ Glentoran L 0-230.8 1159 1380 13.51% 22.08% 64.42%-1.42 -9.8 13
1988-12-31 Bangor D 1-152.8 1191 1178 40.97% 25.02% 34.01%+0.14 -0.4 15
1988-12-31 @ Larne D 1-152.8 1178 1191 34.01% 25.02% 40.97%-0.14 +0.5 18
1988-12-31 Linfield L 1-528.5 980 1380 6.54% 17.82% 75.64%-2.41 -7.2 8
1988-12-31 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-128.5 1380 980 75.64% 17.82% 6.54%+2.41 +7.2 28
1989-01-02 Cliftonville W 3-142.5 1178 1153 42.65% 24.98% 32.37%+0.22 +18.2 21
1989-01-02 @ Bangor L 1-342.5 1153 1178 32.37% 24.98% 42.65%-0.22 -18.2 14
1989-01-02 Larne W 3-148.2 1068 1190 23.58% 24.34% 52.08%-0.70 +26.6 14
1989-01-02 @ Carrick Rangers L 1-348.2 1190 1068 52.08% 24.34% 23.58%+0.70 -26.7 15
1989-01-02 Lisburn Distillery W 2-027.7 1304 972 72.79% 19.14% 8.08%+2.11 +5.7 23
1989-01-02 @ Coleraine L 0-227.7 972 1304 8.08% 19.14% 72.79%-2.11 -5.7 8
1989-01-02 Ards L 0-141.3 1064 1079 36.87% 25.06% 38.07%-0.04 -12.3 8
1989-01-02 @ Crusaders W 1-041.3 1079 1064 38.07% 25.06% 36.87%+0.04 +12.3 9
1989-01-02 Glenavon W 2-139.8 1387 1178 63.31% 22.37% 14.32%+1.35 +5.2 31
1989-01-02 @ Linfield L 1-239.8 1178 1387 14.32% 22.37% 63.31%-1.35 -5.2 15
1989-01-02 Ballymena United L 2-352.3 1149 1155 38.30% 25.06% 36.65%+0.02 -11.3 13
1989-01-02 @ Newry City W 3-252.3 1155 1149 36.65% 25.06% 38.30%-0.02 +11.3 12
1989-01-02 Glentoran W 2-045.6 1172 1390 15.27% 22.68% 62.06%-1.28 +36.0 18
1989-01-02 @ Portadown L 0-245.6 1390 1172 62.06% 22.68% 15.27%+1.28 -36.0 28
1989-01-07 Newry City W 4-356.3 1092 1138 32.65% 24.99% 42.36%-0.23 +12.0 12
1989-01-07 @ Ards L 3-456.3 1138 1092 42.36% 24.99% 32.65%+0.23 -12.0 13
1989-01-07 Portadown W 3-145.4 1166 1208 33.23% 25.00% 41.77%-0.20 +22.1 15
1989-01-07 @ Ballymena United L 1-345.4 1208 1166 41.77% 25.00% 33.23%+0.20 -22.2 18
1989-01-07 Crusaders L 0-240.5 1095 1051 45.12% 24.88% 30.01%+0.33 -27.2 14
1989-01-07 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-040.5 1051 1095 30.01% 24.88% 45.12%-0.33 +27.2 11
1989-01-07 Larne D 0-048.4 1135 1164 34.99% 25.04% 39.97%-0.12 +0.4 15
1989-01-07 @ Cliftonville D 0-048.4 1164 1135 39.97% 25.04% 34.99%+0.12 -0.4 16
1989-01-07 Coleraine L 1-242.3 1173 1310 22.09% 24.14% 53.77%-0.79 -7.7 15
1989-01-07 @ Glenavon W 2-142.3 1310 1173 53.77% 24.14% 22.09%+0.79 +7.7 26
1989-01-07 Linfield L 2-353.4 1354 1392 33.74% 25.02% 41.25%-0.18 -10.3 28
1989-01-07 @ Glentoran W 3-253.4 1392 1354 41.25% 25.02% 33.74%+0.18 +10.3 34
1989-01-07 Bangor L 1-239.1 967 1196 14.43% 22.41% 63.16%-1.36 -5.2 8
1989-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-139.1 1196 967 63.16% 22.41% 14.43%+1.36 +5.2 24
1989-01-10 Ards W 3-248.2 1188 1104 50.37% 24.51% 25.12%+0.58 +8.1 18
1989-01-10 @ Ballymena United L 2-348.2 1104 1188 25.12% 24.51% 50.37%-0.58 -8.1 12
1989-01-14 Glenavon L 0-140.7 1135 1165 34.79% 25.04% 40.17%-0.13 -11.8 15
1989-01-14 @ Cliftonville W 1-040.7 1165 1135 40.17% 25.04% 34.79%+0.13 +11.8 18
1989-01-14 Ballymena United W 4-136.7 1318 1197 54.59% 24.03% 21.37%+0.81 +18.3 29
1989-01-14 @ Coleraine L 1-436.7 1197 1318 21.37% 24.03% 54.59%-0.81 -18.3 18
1989-01-14 Bangor W 2-141.6 1343 1202 56.86% 23.70% 19.44%+0.94 +6.9 31
1989-01-14 @ Glentoran L 1-241.6 1202 1343 19.44% 23.70% 56.86%-0.94 -6.9 24
1989-01-14 Lisburn Distillery W 7-030.0 1163 961 62.73% 22.52% 14.75%+1.31 +34.2 19
1989-01-14 @ Larne L 0-730.0 961 1163 14.75% 22.52% 62.73%-1.31 -34.2 8
1989-01-14 Ards W 2-137.2 1402 1095 71.07% 19.85% 9.08%+1.95 +3.2 37
1989-01-14 @ Linfield L 1-237.2 1095 1402 9.08% 19.85% 71.07%-1.95 -3.2 12
1989-01-14 Crusaders L 0-338.7 1126 1078 45.62% 24.85% 29.52%+0.35 -39.9 13
1989-01-14 @ Newry City W 3-038.7 1078 1126 29.52% 24.85% 45.62%-0.35 +39.9 14
1989-01-17 Ballymena United W 4-143.3 1123 1178 31.48% 24.95% 43.57%-0.28 +32.4 18
1989-01-17 @ Cliftonville L 1-443.3 1178 1123 43.57% 24.95% 31.48%+0.28 -32.4 18
1989-01-17 Carrick Rangers L 0-149.6 1336 1068 68.26% 20.89% 10.85%+1.72 -20.8 29
1989-01-17 @ Coleraine W 1-049.6 1068 1336 10.85% 20.89% 68.26%-1.72 +20.8 17
1989-01-17 Glenavon L 1-345.4 1198 1177 41.97% 25.00% 33.04%+0.18 -22.2 19
1989-01-17 @ Larne W 3-145.4 1177 1198 33.04% 25.00% 41.97%-0.18 +22.2 21
1989-01-17 Crusaders W 3-027.1 1405 1118 69.66% 20.39% 9.94%+1.83 +10.4 40
1989-01-17 @ Linfield L 0-327.1 1118 1405 9.94% 20.39% 69.66%-1.83 -10.4 14
1989-01-17 Newry City W 2-033.9 1186 1086 52.20% 24.33% 23.48%+0.68 +16.2 21
1989-01-17 @ Portadown L 0-233.9 1086 1186 23.48% 24.33% 52.20%-0.68 -16.2 13
1989-01-18 Ards W 2-142.4 1195 1092 52.47% 24.30% 23.23%+0.69 +8.0 27
1989-01-18 @ Bangor L 1-242.4 1092 1195 23.23% 24.30% 52.47%-0.69 -8.0 12
1989-01-18 Glentoran L 1-332.2 927 1350 5.87% 17.13% 77.00%-2.55 -3.5 8
1989-01-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-132.2 1350 927 77.00% 17.13% 5.87%+2.55 +3.5 34
1989-01-21 Coleraine L 0-230.7 1084 1315 14.35% 22.38% 63.27%-1.37 -10.4 12
1989-01-21 @ Ards W 2-030.7 1315 1084 63.27% 22.38% 14.35%+1.37 +10.4 32
1989-01-21 Linfield L 1-334.4 1088 1416 9.18% 19.92% 70.91%-1.96 -5.7 17
1989-01-21 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-134.4 1416 1088 70.91% 19.92% 9.18%+1.96 +5.7 43
1989-01-21 Portadown L 1-340.7 1108 1202 26.65% 24.65% 48.69%-0.52 -15.6 14
1989-01-21 @ Crusaders W 3-140.7 1202 1108 48.69% 24.65% 26.65%+0.52 +15.6 24
1989-01-21 Lisburn Distillery W 3-242.6 1200 924 68.83% 20.70% 10.48%+1.76 +3.6 24
1989-01-21 @ Glenavon L 2-342.6 924 1200 10.48% 20.70% 68.83%-1.76 -3.6 8
1989-01-21 Cliftonville D 2-259.6 1354 1156 62.39% 22.60% 15.01%+1.28 -2.6 35
1989-01-21 @ Glentoran D 2-259.6 1156 1354 15.01% 22.60% 62.39%-1.28 +2.6 19
1989-02-04 Cliftonville L 0-432.8 1074 1158 27.82% 24.74% 47.43%-0.46 -35.4 12
1989-02-04 @ Ards W 4-032.8 1158 1074 47.43% 24.74% 27.82%+0.46 +35.4 22
1989-02-04 Lisburn Distillery W 3-028.0 1146 920 64.82% 21.97% 13.21%+1.45 +13.9 21
1989-02-04 @ Ballymena United L 0-328.0 920 1146 13.21% 21.97% 64.82%-1.45 -13.9 8
1989-02-04 Bangor L 2-347.7 1083 1203 23.81% 24.37% 51.83%-0.68 -7.8 17
1989-02-04 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-247.7 1203 1083 51.83% 24.37% 23.81%+0.68 +7.8 30
1989-02-04 Coleraine L 0-328.7 1092 1326 14.21% 22.33% 63.46%-1.38 -14.9 14
1989-02-04 @ Crusaders W 3-028.7 1326 1092 63.46% 22.33% 14.21%+1.38 +14.9 35
1989-02-04 Glenavon L 2-358.2 1351 1203 57.51% 23.59% 18.90%+0.97 -16.0 35
1989-02-04 @ Glentoran W 3-258.2 1203 1351 18.90% 23.59% 57.51%-0.97 +16.0 27
1989-02-04 Larne W 4-033.7 1218 1175 44.98% 24.88% 30.13%+0.32 +37.7 27
1989-02-04 @ Portadown L 0-433.7 1175 1218 30.13% 24.88% 44.98%-0.32 -37.7 19
1989-02-23 Ballymena United W 2-144.1 1219 1160 47.17% 24.76% 28.07%+0.42 +9.4 30
1989-02-23 @ Glenavon L 1-244.1 1160 1219 28.07% 24.76% 47.17%-0.42 -9.4 21
1989-02-25 Crusaders W 1-036.0 1211 1077 55.91% 23.85% 20.24%+0.88 +7.6 33
1989-02-25 @ Bangor L 0-136.0 1077 1211 20.24% 23.85% 55.91%-0.88 -7.6 14
1989-02-25 Carrick Rangers W 5-134.8 1194 1075 54.32% 24.07% 21.60%+0.79 +23.9 25
1989-02-25 @ Cliftonville L 1-534.8 1075 1194 21.60% 24.07% 54.32%-0.79 -23.9 17
1989-02-25 Newry City W 3-242.9 1340 1070 68.44% 20.83% 10.73%+1.73 +3.7 38
1989-02-25 @ Coleraine L 2-342.9 1070 1340 10.73% 20.83% 68.44%-1.73 -3.7 13
1989-02-25 Glentoran L 0-135.0 1138 1335 16.74% 23.09% 60.17%-1.16 -6.4 19
1989-02-25 @ Larne W 1-035.0 1335 1138 60.17% 23.09% 16.74%+1.16 +6.4 38
1989-02-25 Portadown W 2-141.9 1422 1256 59.32% 23.26% 17.42%+1.08 +6.2 46
1989-02-25 @ Linfield L 1-241.9 1256 1422 17.42% 23.26% 59.32%-1.08 -6.2 27
1989-02-25 Ards W 2-042.7 906 1038 22.55% 24.21% 53.25%-0.76 +31.4 11
1989-02-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-242.7 1038 906 53.25% 24.21% 22.55%+0.76 -31.4 12
1989-03-01 Larne L 1-244.6 1066 1131 30.19% 24.89% 44.92%-0.34 -10.0 13
1989-03-01 @ Newry City W 2-144.6 1131 1066 44.92% 24.89% 30.19%+0.34 +10.0 22
1989-03-04 Glenavon L 1-532.3 1007 1228 15.00% 22.59% 62.41%-1.31 -17.1 12
1989-03-04 @ Ards W 5-132.3 1228 1007 62.41% 22.59% 15.00%+1.31 +17.1 33
1989-03-04 Glentoran L 1-240.6 1150 1342 17.23% 23.22% 59.55%-1.12 -6.2 21
1989-03-04 @ Ballymena United W 2-140.6 1342 1150 59.55% 23.22% 17.23%+1.12 +6.2 41
1989-03-04 Lisburn Distillery W 1-036.6 1051 938 53.74% 24.15% 22.11%+0.76 +8.2 20
1989-03-04 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-136.6 938 1051 22.11% 24.15% 53.74%-0.76 -8.2 11
1989-03-04 Cliftonville L 1-241.6 1070 1217 21.04% 23.98% 54.98%-0.85 -7.4 14
1989-03-04 @ Crusaders W 2-141.6 1217 1070 54.98% 23.98% 21.04%+0.85 +7.4 28
1989-03-04 Larne D 2-260.5 1428 1141 69.62% 20.41% 9.97%+1.83 -3.3 47
1989-03-04 @ Linfield D 2-260.5 1141 1428 9.97% 20.41% 69.62%-1.83 +3.3 23
1989-03-04 Bangor D 1-153.1 1056 1218 19.71% 23.75% 56.54%-0.94 +2.6 14
1989-03-04 @ Newry City D 1-153.1 1218 1056 56.54% 23.75% 19.71%+0.94 -2.6 34
1989-03-04 Coleraine D 0-049.3 1249 1344 26.61% 24.65% 48.74%-0.53 +1.7 28
1989-03-04 @ Portadown D 0-049.3 1344 1249 48.74% 24.65% 26.61%+0.53 -1.7 39
1989-03-18 Portadown D 1-153.0 1215 1251 34.08% 25.02% 40.90%-0.16 +0.5 35
1989-03-18 @ Bangor D 1-153.0 1251 1215 40.90% 25.02% 34.08%+0.16 -0.5 29
1989-03-18 Newry City L 1-252.9 1225 1059 59.33% 23.26% 17.41%+1.08 -17.3 28
1989-03-18 @ Cliftonville W 2-152.9 1059 1225 17.41% 23.26% 59.33%-1.08 +17.3 17
1989-03-18 Linfield L 0-238.3 1342 1424 28.11% 24.76% 47.13%-0.45 -18.8 39
1989-03-18 @ Coleraine W 2-038.3 1424 1342 47.13% 24.76% 28.11%+0.45 +18.8 50
1989-03-18 Carrick Rangers W 2-139.8 1246 1059 61.29% 22.85% 15.86%+1.21 +5.7 36
1989-03-18 @ Glenavon L 1-239.8 1059 1246 15.86% 22.85% 61.29%-1.21 -5.7 20
1989-03-18 Ards W 1-030.5 1348 990 74.46% 18.38% 7.16%+2.27 +2.7 44
1989-03-18 @ Glentoran L 0-130.5 990 1348 7.16% 18.38% 74.46%-2.27 -2.6 12
1989-03-18 Ballymena United D 1-152.8 1145 1144 39.17% 25.05% 35.78%+0.06 -0.2 24
1989-03-18 @ Larne D 1-152.8 1144 1145 35.78% 25.05% 39.17%-0.06 +0.2 22
1989-03-18 Crusaders D 2-258.6 929 1063 22.45% 24.19% 53.35%-0.76 +1.6 12
1989-03-18 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.6 1063 929 53.35% 24.19% 22.45%+0.76 -1.6 15
1989-03-25 Ballymena United D 0-048.7 987 1144 20.14% 23.83% 56.03%-0.91 +2.9 13
1989-03-25 @ Ards D 0-048.7 1144 987 56.03% 23.83% 20.14%+0.91 -2.9 23
1989-03-25 Glentoran L 0-327.1 1054 1350 10.57% 20.75% 68.68%-1.77 -11.1 20
1989-03-25 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-027.1 1350 1054 68.68% 20.75% 10.57%+1.77 +11.1 47
1989-03-25 Larne W 2-031.7 1324 1144 60.62% 23.00% 16.38%+1.17 +11.8 42
1989-03-25 @ Coleraine L 0-231.7 1144 1324 16.38% 23.00% 60.62%-1.17 -11.8 24
1989-03-25 Glenavon W 1-047.6 1061 1251 17.31% 23.24% 59.45%-1.12 +18.4 18
1989-03-25 @ Crusaders L 0-147.6 1251 1061 59.45% 23.24% 17.31%+1.12 -18.4 36
1989-03-25 Bangor L 0-150.2 1443 1216 64.96% 21.93% 13.12%+1.46 -19.9 50
1989-03-25 @ Linfield W 1-050.2 1216 1443 13.12% 21.93% 64.96%-1.46 +19.9 38
1989-03-25 Lisburn Distillery W 3-030.3 1076 931 57.19% 23.65% 19.17%+0.95 +19.7 20
1989-03-25 @ Newry City L 0-330.3 931 1076 19.17% 23.65% 57.19%-0.95 -19.7 12
1989-03-27 Coleraine L 3-452.0 1236 1335 26.05% 24.60% 49.35%-0.56 -8.2 38
1989-03-27 @ Bangor W 4-352.0 1335 1236 49.35% 24.60% 26.05%+0.56 +8.2 45
1989-03-27 Portadown L 0-228.0 911 1251 8.68% 19.58% 71.74%-2.04 -6.2 12
1989-03-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-028.0 1251 911 71.74% 19.58% 8.68%+2.04 +6.2 32
1989-03-28 Carrick Rangers L 1-251.0 1142 1042 52.08% 24.34% 23.58%+0.67 -15.4 23
1989-03-28 @ Ballymena United W 2-151.0 1042 1142 23.58% 24.34% 52.08%-0.67 +15.4 23
1989-03-28 Linfield L 0-330.1 1208 1423 15.39% 22.72% 61.89%-1.27 -16.1 28
1989-03-28 @ Cliftonville W 3-030.1 1423 1208 61.89% 22.72% 15.39%+1.27 +16.1 53
1989-03-28 Newry City D 0-048.8 1233 1096 56.34% 23.78% 19.88%+0.91 -2.9 37
1989-03-28 @ Glenavon D 0-048.8 1096 1233 19.88% 23.78% 56.34%-0.91 +2.9 21
1989-03-28 Crusaders W 3-027.0 1362 1079 69.31% 20.52% 10.17%+1.80 +10.6 50
1989-03-28 @ Glentoran L 0-327.0 1079 1362 10.17% 20.52% 69.31%-1.80 -10.6 18
1989-03-28 Ards D 1-153.1 1133 990 56.92% 23.69% 19.39%+0.94 -2.7 25
1989-03-28 @ Larne D 1-153.1 990 1133 19.39% 23.69% 56.92%-0.94 +2.7 14
1989-04-01 Larne D 1-153.0 1228 1130 51.92% 24.36% 23.73%+0.66 -2.0 39
1989-04-01 @ Bangor D 1-153.0 1130 1228 23.73% 24.36% 51.92%-0.66 +2.0 26
1989-04-01 Ards W 1-038.3 1058 993 47.91% 24.71% 27.38%+0.46 +9.8 26
1989-04-01 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-138.3 993 1058 27.38% 24.71% 47.91%-0.46 -9.8 14
1989-04-01 Cliftonville D 0-049.3 1344 1191 57.92% 23.52% 18.56%+1.00 -3.2 46
1989-04-01 @ Coleraine D 0-049.3 1191 1344 18.56% 23.52% 57.92%-1.00 +3.2 29
1989-04-01 Ballymena United D 0-048.4 1069 1126 31.17% 24.93% 43.90%-0.30 +1.0 19
1989-04-01 @ Crusaders D 0-048.4 1126 1069 43.90% 24.93% 31.17%+0.30 -1.0 24
1989-04-01 Lisburn Distillery W 3-022.5 1439 905 83.71% 13.20% 3.09%+3.36 +2.8 56
1989-04-01 @ Linfield L 0-322.5 905 1439 3.09% 13.20% 83.71%-3.36 -2.8 12
1989-04-01 Glentoran D 1-154.1 1099 1372 11.79% 21.36% 66.86%-1.63 +4.1 22
1989-04-01 @ Newry City D 1-154.1 1372 1099 66.86% 21.36% 11.79%+1.63 -4.1 51
1989-04-01 Glenavon D 1-153.1 1257 1230 42.87% 24.97% 32.16%+0.23 -0.7 33
1989-04-01 @ Portadown D 1-153.1 1230 1257 32.16% 24.97% 42.87%-0.23 +0.7 38
1989-04-06 Carrick Rangers D 1-153.5 1256 1068 61.50% 22.81% 15.70%+1.22 -3.3 34
1989-04-06 @ Portadown D 1-153.5 1068 1256 15.70% 22.81% 61.50%-1.22 +3.3 27
1989-04-15 Crusaders W 2-041.2 983 1070 27.56% 24.72% 47.72%-0.48 +28.5 17
1989-04-15 @ Ards L 0-241.2 1070 983 47.72% 24.72% 27.56%+0.48 -28.5 19
1989-04-15 Newry City D 2-258.4 1125 1103 42.26% 24.99% 32.75%+0.20 -0.5 25
1989-04-15 @ Ballymena United D 2-258.4 1103 1125 32.75% 24.99% 42.26%-0.20 +0.5 23
1989-04-15 Bangor L 0-140.9 1195 1226 34.71% 25.04% 40.25%-0.13 -11.8 29
1989-04-15 @ Cliftonville W 1-040.9 1226 1195 40.25% 25.04% 34.71%+0.13 +11.8 42
1989-04-15 Linfield L 0-135.8 1231 1442 15.69% 22.81% 61.50%-1.25 -6.0 38
1989-04-15 @ Glenavon W 1-035.8 1442 1231 61.50% 22.81% 15.69%+1.25 +6.0 59
1989-04-15 Portadown L 0-147.2 1368 1253 53.94% 24.12% 21.94%+0.77 -16.8 51
1989-04-15 @ Glentoran W 1-047.2 1253 1368 21.94% 24.12% 53.94%-0.77 +16.8 37
1989-04-15 Carrick Rangers L 1-249.7 1132 1071 47.38% 24.75% 27.88%+0.44 -14.2 26
1989-04-15 @ Larne W 2-149.7 1071 1132 27.88% 24.75% 47.38%-0.44 +14.2 30
1989-04-15 Coleraine L 0-324.2 902 1340 5.47% 16.68% 77.84%-2.65 -5.4 12
1989-04-15 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-024.2 1340 902 77.84% 16.68% 5.47%+2.65 +5.4 49
1989-04-18 Linfield L 0-326.5 1103 1448 8.46% 19.42% 72.12%-2.07 -8.7 23
1989-04-18 @ Newry City W 3-026.5 1448 1103 72.12% 19.42% 8.46%+2.07 +8.7 62
1989-04-22 Lisburn Distillery W 2-027.5 1237 897 73.36% 18.89% 7.76%+2.16 +5.5 45
1989-04-22 @ Bangor L 0-227.5 897 1237 7.76% 18.89% 73.36%-2.16 -5.5 12
1989-04-22 Glenavon L 0-147.0 1346 1225 54.60% 24.03% 21.36%+0.81 -17.0 49
1989-04-22 @ Coleraine W 1-047.0 1225 1346 21.36% 24.03% 54.60%-0.81 +17.0 41
1989-04-22 Carrick Rangers L 0-334.9 1041 1085 32.94% 25.00% 42.06%-0.21 -31.0 19
1989-04-22 @ Crusaders W 3-034.9 1085 1041 42.06% 25.00% 32.94%+0.21 +31.0 33
1989-04-22 Cliftonville D 0-048.4 1118 1183 30.19% 24.89% 44.92%-0.34 +1.1 27
1989-04-22 @ Larne D 0-048.4 1183 1118 44.92% 24.89% 30.19%+0.34 -1.1 30
1989-04-22 Glentoran L 1-255.0 1457 1351 52.86% 24.25% 22.89%+0.71 -15.6 62
1989-04-22 @ Linfield W 2-155.0 1351 1457 22.89% 24.25% 52.86%-0.71 +15.6 54
1989-04-22 Ards W 6-135.2 1095 1012 50.14% 24.53% 25.32%+0.57 +33.5 26
1989-04-22 @ Newry City L 1-635.2 1012 1095 25.32% 24.53% 50.14%-0.57 -33.5 17
1989-04-22 Ballymena United D 0-048.9 1270 1125 57.17% 23.65% 19.18%+0.95 -3.0 38
1989-04-22 @ Portadown D 0-048.9 1125 1270 19.18% 23.65% 57.17%-0.95 +3.0 26
1989-04-24 Bangor W 2-150.9 1128 1243 24.33% 24.43% 51.24%-0.65 +15.2 29
1989-04-24 @ Ballymena United L 1-250.9 1243 1128 51.24% 24.43% 24.33%+0.65 -15.2 45
1989-04-27 Cliftonville L 0-145.5 1267 1182 50.38% 24.51% 25.11%+0.58 -15.8 38
1989-04-27 @ Portadown W 1-045.5 1182 1267 25.11% 24.51% 50.38%-0.58 +15.8 33
1989-04-29 Portadown D 0-049.4 978 1251 11.83% 21.38% 66.79%-1.62 +4.6 18
1989-04-29 @ Ards D 0-049.4 1251 978 66.79% 21.38% 11.83%+1.62 -4.6 39
1989-04-29 Linfield L 0-427.2 1143 1441 10.50% 20.71% 68.79%-1.78 -14.4 29
1989-04-29 @ Ballymena United W 4-027.2 1441 1143 68.79% 20.71% 10.50%+1.78 +14.4 65
1989-04-29 Newry City W 1-041.5 1116 1128 37.42% 25.06% 37.52%-0.01 +12.5 36
1989-04-29 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-141.5 1128 1116 37.52% 25.06% 37.42%+0.01 -12.5 26
1989-04-29 Larne D 1-152.9 1010 1119 25.03% 24.50% 50.47%-0.61 +1.8 20
1989-04-29 @ Crusaders D 1-152.9 1119 1010 50.47% 24.50% 25.03%+0.61 -1.8 28
1989-04-29 Bangor W 3-251.2 1242 1228 41.08% 25.02% 33.90%+0.15 +10.3 44
1989-04-29 @ Glenavon L 2-351.2 1228 1242 33.90% 25.02% 41.08%-0.15 -10.3 45
1989-04-29 Coleraine D 1-154.5 1367 1329 44.38% 24.91% 30.71%+0.29 -0.9 55
1989-04-29 @ Glentoran D 1-154.5 1329 1367 30.71% 24.91% 44.38%-0.29 +0.9 50
1989-04-29 Cliftonville L 0-426.2 891 1198 10.13% 20.50% 69.37%-1.83 -13.8 12
1989-04-29 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-026.2 1198 891 69.37% 20.50% 10.13%+1.83 +13.8 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1989-01-17 10.85% Carrick Rangers 1068 1 @ Coleraine 1336 0
2 1989-03-25 13.12% Bangor 1216 1 @ Linfield 1443 0
3 1988-11-05 14.60% @ Bangor 1095 2 Glentoran 1322 1
4 1988-12-26 14.69% Lisburn Distillery 960 1 @ Portadown 1163 0
5 1989-01-02 15.27% @ Portadown 1172 2 Glentoran 1390 0
6 1989-03-25 17.31% @ Crusaders 1061 1 Glenavon 1251 0
7 1989-03-18 17.41% Newry City 1059 2 @ Cliftonville 1225 1
8 1988-11-12 18.22% @ Lisburn Distillery 987 2 Glenavon 1166 1
9 1989-02-04 18.90% Glenavon 1203 3 @ Glentoran 1351 2
10 1988-12-26 20.46% @ Ards 1065 3 Larne 1219 1
11 1989-04-22 21.36% Glenavon 1225 1 @ Coleraine 1346 0
12 1988-12-10 21.65% @ Larne 1227 3 Linfield 1368 2
13 1989-04-15 21.94% Portadown 1253 1 @ Glentoran 1368 0
14 1989-02-25 22.55% @ Lisburn Distillery 906 2 Ards 1038 0
15 1989-04-22 22.89% Glentoran 1351 2 @ Linfield 1457 1
16 1989-01-02 23.58% @ Carrick Rangers 1068 3 Larne 1190 1
17 1989-03-28 23.58% Carrick Rangers 1042 2 @ Ballymena United 1142 1
18 1988-11-05 24.07% @ Crusaders 1108 3 Newry City 1225 1
19 1989-04-24 24.33% @ Ballymena United 1128 2 Bangor 1243 1
20 1989-04-27 25.11% Cliftonville 1182 1 @ Portadown 1267 0
21 1988-12-03 26.13% @ Carrick Rangers 1044 2 Cliftonville 1143 1
22 1988-11-05 27.03% @ Ballymena United 1180 2 Coleraine 1272 0
23 1989-04-15 27.56% @ Ards 983 2 Crusaders 1070 0
24 1988-12-30 27.61% Portadown 1144 2 @ Glenavon 1207 0
25 1988-12-03 27.85% Glenavon 1143 3 @ Ballymena United 1204 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-12-03 41.20 Glenavon 3 1143 27.85% @ Ballymena United 0 1204 47.40% 24.75%
2 1989-01-14 39.90 Crusaders 3 1078 29.52% @ Newry City 0 1126 45.62% 24.85%
3 1988-10-29 37.86 @ Larne 4 1187 44.85% Crusaders 0 1146 30.26% 24.89%
4 1989-02-04 37.74 @ Portadown 4 1218 44.98% Larne 0 1175 30.13% 24.88%
5 1989-01-02 36.04 @ Portadown 2 1172 15.27% Glentoran 0 1390 62.06% 22.68%
6 1989-02-04 35.41 Cliftonville 4 1158 47.43% @ Ards 0 1074 27.82% 24.74%
7 1989-01-14 34.25 @ Larne 7 1163 62.73% Lisburn Distillery 0 961 14.75% 22.52%
8 1988-10-29 33.72 @ Cliftonville 4 1117 49.19% Lisburn Distillery 0 1042 26.20% 24.61%
9 1988-12-02 33.49 Bangor 3 1124 38.46% @ Crusaders 0 1106 36.49% 25.06%
10 1989-04-22 33.46 @ Newry City 6 1095 50.14% Ards 1 1012 25.32% 24.53%
11 1989-01-17 32.40 @ Cliftonville 4 1123 31.48% Ballymena United 1 1178 43.57% 24.95%
12 1989-02-25 31.38 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 906 22.55% Ards 0 1038 53.25% 24.21%
13 1989-04-22 30.97 Carrick Rangers 3 1085 42.06% @ Crusaders 0 1041 32.94% 25.00%
14 1988-11-05 28.82 @ Ballymena United 2 1180 27.03% Coleraine 0 1272 48.29% 24.68%
15 1989-04-15 28.53 @ Ards 2 983 27.56% Crusaders 0 1070 47.72% 24.72%
16 1988-12-30 28.50 Portadown 2 1144 27.61% @ Glenavon 0 1207 47.66% 24.73%
17 1988-12-26 28.28 @ Ards 3 1065 20.46% Larne 1 1219 55.66% 23.88%
18 1989-01-07 27.23 Crusaders 2 1051 30.01% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1095 45.12% 24.88%
19 1989-01-02 26.65 @ Carrick Rangers 3 1068 23.58% Larne 1 1190 52.08% 24.34%
20 1988-11-05 26.39 @ Crusaders 3 1108 24.07% Newry City 1 1225 51.53% 24.40%
21 1988-12-10 25.43 @ Glenavon 3 1184 49.70% Ards 0 1105 25.73% 24.57%
22 1988-12-10 24.52 @ Bangor 2 1158 35.38% Newry City 0 1184 39.58% 25.05%
23 1989-02-25 23.88 @ Cliftonville 5 1194 54.32% Carrick Rangers 1 1075 21.60% 24.07%
24 1988-12-17 22.28 Cliftonville 3 1139 32.92% @ Newry City 1 1160 42.09% 25.00%
25 1988-10-29 22.27 @ Portadown 2 1155 40.11% Ards 0 1148 34.86% 25.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-12-23 62.9 @ Glenavon 3 1223 57.95% Crusaders 3 1071 18.53% 23.52%
2 1988-11-19 62.6 @ Ballymena United 3 1208 47.87% Cliftonville 3 1143 27.42% 24.71%
3 1989-03-04 60.5 @ Linfield 2 1428 69.62% Larne 2 1141 9.97% 20.41%
4 1989-01-21 59.6 @ Glentoran 2 1354 62.39% Cliftonville 2 1156 15.01% 22.60%
5 1988-11-26 59.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 991 15.37% Ballymena United 2 1207 61.92% 22.71%
6 1988-11-19 58.6 @ Glenavon 2 1149 27.87% Larne 2 1233 47.39% 24.75%
7 1989-03-18 58.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 929 22.45% Crusaders 2 1063 53.35% 24.19%
8 1988-11-26 58.4 @ Cliftonville 2 1144 44.27% Ards 2 1107 30.82% 24.92%
9 1989-04-15 58.4 @ Ballymena United 2 1125 42.26% Newry City 2 1103 32.75% 24.99%
10 1989-02-04 58.2 Glenavon 3 1203 18.90% @ Glentoran 2 1351 57.51% 23.59%
11 1988-12-10 57.6 @ Larne 3 1227 21.65% Linfield 2 1368 54.27% 24.08%
12 1989-01-07 56.3 @ Ards 4 1092 32.65% Newry City 3 1138 42.36% 24.99%
13 1989-04-22 55.0 Glentoran 2 1351 22.89% @ Linfield 1 1457 52.86% 24.25%
14 1989-04-29 54.5 @ Glentoran 1 1367 44.38% Coleraine 1 1329 30.71% 24.91%
15 1989-04-01 54.1 @ Newry City 1 1099 11.79% Glentoran 1 1372 66.86% 21.36%
16 1988-11-05 53.9 @ Bangor 2 1095 14.60% Glentoran 1 1322 62.94% 22.46%
17 1988-12-24 53.9 @ Bangor 1 1182 17.34% Linfield 1 1372 59.42% 23.24%
18 1989-04-06 53.5 @ Portadown 1 1256 61.50% Carrick Rangers 1 1068 15.70% 22.81%
19 1988-12-31 53.4 @ Cliftonville 1 1150 20.21% Coleraine 1 1307 55.95% 23.84%
20 1989-01-07 53.4 Linfield 3 1392 41.25% @ Glentoran 2 1354 33.74% 25.02%
21 1988-11-12 53.1 @ Coleraine 1 1243 55.24% Ards 1 1116 20.81% 23.95%
22 1989-03-04 53.1 @ Newry City 1 1056 19.71% Bangor 1 1218 56.54% 23.75%
23 1989-03-28 53.1 @ Larne 1 1133 56.92% Ards 1 990 19.39% 23.69%
24 1989-04-01 53.1 @ Portadown 1 1257 42.87% Glenavon 1 1230 32.16% 24.97%
25 1988-12-03 53.0 @ Ards 1 1107 53.80% Lisburn Distillery 1 993 22.06% 24.14%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-04-01 22.5 @ Linfield 3 1439 83.71% Lisburn Distillery 0 905 3.09% 13.20%
2 1989-04-15 24.2 Coleraine 3 1340 77.84% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 902 5.47% 16.68%
3 1989-04-29 26.2 Cliftonville 4 1198 69.37% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 891 10.13% 20.50%
4 1988-12-24 26.3 @ Glentoran 4 1356 69.89% Carrick Rangers 0 1065 9.80% 20.31%
5 1989-04-18 26.5 Linfield 3 1448 72.12% @ Newry City 0 1103 8.46% 19.42%
6 1989-03-28 27.0 @ Glentoran 3 1362 69.31% Crusaders 0 1079 10.17% 20.52%
7 1989-01-17 27.1 @ Linfield 3 1405 69.66% Crusaders 0 1118 9.94% 20.39%
8 1989-03-25 27.1 Glentoran 3 1350 68.68% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1054 10.57% 20.75%
9 1988-12-27 27.2 Glentoran 3 1369 68.62% @ Crusaders 0 1073 10.61% 20.77%
10 1989-04-29 27.2 Linfield 4 1441 68.79% @ Ballymena United 0 1143 10.50% 20.71%
11 1989-04-22 27.5 @ Bangor 2 1237 73.36% Lisburn Distillery 0 897 7.76% 18.89%
12 1989-01-02 27.7 @ Coleraine 2 1304 72.79% Lisburn Distillery 0 972 8.08% 19.14%
13 1989-02-04 28.0 @ Ballymena United 3 1146 64.82% Lisburn Distillery 0 920 13.21% 21.97%
14 1989-03-27 28.0 Portadown 2 1251 71.74% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 911 8.68% 19.58%
15 1988-12-31 28.5 Linfield 5 1380 75.64% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 980 6.54% 17.82%
16 1989-02-04 28.7 Coleraine 3 1326 63.46% @ Crusaders 0 1092 14.21% 22.33%
17 1988-11-19 29.6 @ Glentoran 8 1301 70.40% Lisburn Distillery 2 1004 9.49% 20.11%
18 1989-01-14 30.0 @ Larne 7 1163 62.73% Lisburn Distillery 0 961 14.75% 22.52%
19 1989-03-28 30.1 Linfield 3 1423 61.89% @ Cliftonville 0 1208 15.39% 22.72%
20 1989-03-25 30.3 @ Newry City 3 1076 57.19% Lisburn Distillery 0 931 19.17% 23.65%
21 1989-03-18 30.5 @ Glentoran 1 1348 74.46% Ards 0 990 7.16% 18.38%
22 1989-01-21 30.7 Coleraine 2 1315 63.27% @ Ards 0 1084 14.35% 22.38%
23 1988-12-31 30.8 @ Glentoran 2 1380 64.42% Newry City 0 1159 13.51% 22.08%
24 1988-12-26 31.1 @ Linfield 2 1369 63.33% Cliftonville 0 1161 14.31% 22.37%
25 1988-12-17 31.5 Glentoran 5 1341 65.90% @ Ards 1 1080 12.44% 21.65%