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1987-88 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

62 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

12.62 points above expected

62 points · 49.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ards

14.79 points below expected

25 points · 39.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 26 19 5 2 62 48 15 +33 49.38 +12.62
2 Linfield 26 19 3 4 60 51 15 +36 53.82 +6.18
3 Coleraine 26 16 4 6 52 53 28 +25 51.65 +0.35
4 Newry City 26 15 5 6 50 34 22 +12 38.13 +11.87
5 Larne 26 12 4 10 40 35 35 0 42.65 -2.65
6 Glenavon 26 11 5 10 38 28 27 +1 37.47 +0.53
7 Ballymena United 26 9 9 8 36 34 34 0 38.89 -2.89
8 Portadown 26 10 5 11 35 31 27 +4 31.65 +3.35
9 Crusaders 26 8 6 12 30 29 35 -6 28.80 +1.20
10 Cliftonville 26 6 8 12 26 18 38 -20 31.09 -5.09
11 Ards 26 6 7 13 25 29 38 -9 39.79 -14.79
12 Bangor 26 7 4 15 25 24 47 -23 23.10 +1.90
13 Carrick Rangers 26 5 5 16 20 25 44 -19 24.88 -4.88
14 Lisburn Distillery 26 3 2 21 11 19 53 -34 18.98 -7.98

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 62 49.38 +12.62
2 Newry City 50 38.13 +11.87
3 Linfield 60 53.82 +6.18
4 Portadown 35 31.65 +3.35
5 Bangor 25 23.10 +1.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 25 39.79 -14.79
2 Lisburn Distillery 11 18.98 -7.98
3 Cliftonville 26 31.09 -5.09
4 Carrick Rangers 20 24.88 -4.88
5 Ballymena United 36 38.89 -2.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 4 Oct 31 – Dec 5 1 in 84
2 Glentoran 7 Feb 2 – Mar 19 1 in 54
3 Linfield 7 Dec 19 – Jan 30 1 in 29
4 Coleraine 7 Mar 5 – Apr 4 1 in 26
5 Newry City 5 Apr 5 – Apr 23 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 6 Dec 28 – Jan 30 1 in 1,185
2 Coleraine 3 Apr 16 – Apr 23 1 in 80
3 Cliftonville 3 Dec 5 – Dec 19 1 in 30
4 Lisburn Distillery 7 Oct 24 – Dec 19 1 in 24
5 Larne 3 Dec 5 – Dec 19 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 17 Dec 26 – Apr 5 1 in 43
2 Cliftonville 5 Jan 30 – Mar 5 1 in 39
3 Portadown 5 Oct 31 – Dec 12 1 in 31
4 Newry City 6 Dec 5 – Jan 1 1 in 26
5 Lisburn Distillery 3 Feb 27 – Mar 5 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 12 Dec 19 – Mar 2 1 in 3,446
2 Linfield 4 Nov 7 – Dec 12 1 in 82
3 Ballymena United 4 Jan 2 – Feb 6 1 in 28
4 Larne 4 Feb 13 – Mar 5 1 in 13
5 Carrick Rangers 9 Jan 30 – Mar 26 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1364 62 +13 12 9.7 +2.3
Linfield 1377 60 +40 15 10.6 +4.4
Coleraine 1313 52 -29 6 10.4 -4.4
Newry City 1192 50 +57 15 9.1 +5.9
Larne 1151 40 -7 7 9.3 -2.3
Glenavon 1094 38 -53 4 7.0 -3.0
Ballymena United 1151 36 +4 7 6.1 +0.9
Portadown 1087 35 -5 6 6.4 -0.4
Crusaders 1073 30 +47 12 7.0 +5.0
Cliftonville 1034 26 -12 6 5.6 +0.4
Bangor 991 25 +42 9 4.9 +4.1
Ards 1074 25 -44 4 7.1 -3.1
Carrick Rangers 950 20 -19 2 4.7 -2.7
Lisburn Distillery 877 11 -48 0 3.9 -3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CR CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NC POR
Ards —
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
4.15
0-0-2
3.98
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
3.73
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.92
0-0-2
1.73
1-1-0
4.44
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.24
Ballymena United
1-1-0
2.77
 —
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
3.36
1-1-0
1.63
0-2-0
3.87
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
4.26
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
3.29
Bangor
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
1.58
 —
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
1.33
0-0-2
0.88
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.02
Carrick Rangers
2-0-0
1.62
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
2.89
 —
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.02
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
0.92
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.44
Cliftonville
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.41
 —
0-0-2
1.13
0-1-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
1.65
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.21
2-0-0
3.92
0-1-1
2.15
2-0-0
2.53
Coleraine
1-1-0
3.64
0-1-1
3.97
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.51
 —
1-1-0
4.56
1-0-1
4.16
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
5.00
0-0-2
4.03
2-0-0
4.08
Crusaders
2-0-0
1.87
0-2-0
1.73
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.08
 —
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.03
1-0-1
3.84
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
2.61
Glenavon
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
1.45
2-0-0
3.70
 —
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.50
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.31
Glentoran
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
4.43
1-1-0
4.64
0-2-0
3.95
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
3.66
 —
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.33
Larne
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
4.29
1-1-0
4.12
1-1-0
3.72
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.19
0-0-2
2.33
 —
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
4.44
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-1
3.83
Linfield
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.78
1-0-1
4.74
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.77
 —
2-0-0
5.01
1-0-1
4.13
0-2-0
4.26
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
0.70
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
1.18
0-0-2
0.68
 —
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.72
Newry City
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
1.57
2-0-0
3.33
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.48
2-0-0
4.33
 —
1-0-1
3.34
Portadown
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
3.06
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
1.76
0-2-0
1.36
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
2.24
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +12.4
Allowed 0.88 -12.7
Differential 0.95 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%11.81%5.49%4.95%1.92%0.55%31.32%
111.81%10.99%7.97%2.47%1.10%0.55%34.89%
25.49%7.97%1.65%2.20%0.82%—18.13%
34.95%2.47%2.20%—0.27%—9.89%
41.92%1.10%0.82%0.27%——4.12%
5+0.55%0.55%———0.55%1.65%
Total31.32%34.89%18.13%9.89%4.12%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.83
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
17.69%19.23%15.38%———42.31%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%34.62%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.46 -0.35
SD 1.07 0.99 1.29
CV 0.96 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%—3.85%——30.77%
111.54%19.23%—3.85%3.85%—38.46%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total26.92%50.00%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.38 1.55
CV 1.08 1.05 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%—34.62%
17.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%42.31%
23.85%11.54%——3.85%—19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%11.54%11.54%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.81 -0.88
SD 0.84 1.60 1.95
CV 0.92 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
13.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%30.77%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.69 -0.73
SD 0.77 1.16 1.37
CV 0.80 0.68 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%50.00%
17.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.46 -0.77
SD 0.79 1.39 1.82
CV 1.14 0.95 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
119.23%7.69%11.54%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
311.54%7.69%————19.23%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total42.31%26.92%19.23%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.08 +0.96
SD 1.28 1.26 1.64
CV 0.63 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
1—11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
23.85%15.38%—3.85%——23.08%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%15.38%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.35 -0.23
SD 1.14 1.13 1.77
CV 1.02 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%—11.54%——42.31%
119.23%7.69%7.69%———34.62%
2—3.85%————3.85%
3——11.54%———11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%30.77%19.23%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.04 +0.04
SD 1.29 1.04 1.73
CV 1.20 1.00 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
123.08%11.54%————34.62%
219.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
315.38%—3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total61.54%23.08%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.58 +1.27
SD 0.92 0.86 1.28
CV 0.50 1.48 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——11.54%7.69%—30.77%
115.38%—19.23%———34.62%
211.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%15.38%26.92%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.32 2.15
CV 1.03 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
119.23%11.54%————30.77%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
311.54%11.54%————23.08%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%50.00%3.85%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.58 +1.38
SD 1.43 0.58 1.72
CV 0.73 1.00 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%53.85%
1—7.69%19.23%7.69%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%30.77%34.62%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.04 -1.31
SD 1.25 1.11 1.95
CV 1.71 0.55 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
126.92%7.69%———3.85%38.46%
23.85%—————3.85%
311.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total53.85%26.92%7.69%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.85 +0.46
SD 1.26 1.26 1.73
CV 0.96 1.48 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%7.69%———42.31%
13.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
23.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%50.00%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.04 +0.15
SD 1.23 0.87 1.43
CV 1.03 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1377 60 53.82 +6.18 86.0% 36 44 49 54 58 65 70
Glentoran 1364 62 49.38 +12.62 97.0% 36 40 45 50 54 59 66
Coleraine 1313 52 51.65 +0.35 44.0% 35 40 47 53 56 59 65
Newry City 1192 50 38.13 +11.87 97.0% 23 28 33 38 43 48 53
Larne 1151 40 42.65 -2.65 38.0% 23 30 39 42 48 53 58
Ballymena United 1151 36 38.89 -2.89 35.0% 25 30 35 39 42 49 55
Glenavon 1094 38 37.47 +0.53 57.0% 26 28 33 37 41 47 57
Portadown 1087 35 31.65 +3.35 79.0% 17 22 28 31 35 41 50
Ards 1074 25 39.79 -14.79 1.0% 24 27 35 40 44 52 55
Crusaders 1073 30 28.80 +1.20 63.0% 16 17 24 29 33 39 45
Cliftonville 1034 26 31.09 -5.09 16.0% 17 23 28 31 34 40 45
Bangor 991 25 23.10 +1.90 64.0% 5 14 19 23 27 33 42
Carrick Rangers 950 20 24.88 -4.88 18.0% 8 14 21 25 29 34 43
Lisburn Distillery 877 11 18.98 -7.98 9.0% 8 9 14 19 23 28 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.40%
No Edge
42.31%19.78%37.91%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.28 Elo pts.
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Glentoran, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.92 * Some Luck: 4.92 to 7.38 * Lucky: 7.38 to 9.84 * Wild Swing: 9.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.08 points
Some Luck
06.1515
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Close
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Ards
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.74
2.19
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Glentoran19.00%23.00%26.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%—1.00%—1.00%————
Linfield47.00%23.00%15.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%————————
Coleraine32.00%32.00%17.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Newry City—4.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%—
Larne1.00%9.00%11.00%21.00%19.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%1.00%—
Glenavon——2.00%10.00%15.00%18.00%19.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%———
Ballymena United—3.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%18.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%—2.00%——
Portadown——1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%2.00%5.00%
Crusaders——1.00%—2.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%17.00%19.00%18.00%13.00%11.00%4.00%
Cliftonville—1.00%——2.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%24.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%
Ards1.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Bangor———1.00%——1.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%21.00%29.00%24.00%
Carrick Rangers——1.00%———1.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%18.00%26.00%20.00%15.00%
Lisburn Distillery————————1.00%—7.00%10.00%31.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Carrick Rangers 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry City 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1987-10-24 Portadown W 2-031.2 1195 1029 61.83% 19.64% 18.53%+0.93 +10.1 3
1987-10-24 @ Ards L 0-231.2 1029 1195 18.53% 19.64% 61.83%-0.93 -10.1 0
1987-10-24 Linfield L 1-436.9 1161 1279 26.23% 20.53% 53.23%-0.53 -17.0 0
1987-10-24 @ Ballymena United W 4-136.9 1279 1161 53.23% 20.53% 26.23%+0.53 +17.0 3
1987-10-24 Newry City D 1-155.4 1000 1107 27.43% 20.62% 51.95%-0.47 +1.4 1
1987-10-24 @ Carrick Rangers D 1-155.4 1107 1000 51.95% 20.62% 27.43%+0.47 -1.4 1
1987-10-24 Larne L 1-436.8 1072 1187 26.53% 20.55% 52.92%-0.51 -17.1 0
1987-10-24 @ Crusaders W 4-136.8 1187 1072 52.92% 20.55% 26.53%+0.51 +17.1 3
1987-10-24 Bangor W 1-037.7 1105 1027 52.07% 20.61% 27.32%+0.48 +7.6 3
1987-10-24 @ Glenavon L 0-137.7 1027 1105 27.32% 20.61% 52.07%-0.48 -7.6 0
1987-10-24 Coleraine D 2-261.6 1198 1268 31.92% 20.84% 47.24%-0.28 +0.6 1
1987-10-24 @ Glentoran D 2-261.6 1268 1198 47.24% 20.84% 31.92%+0.28 -0.6 1
1987-10-24 Cliftonville L 1-241.5 968 1134 21.15% 20.03% 58.82%-0.78 -5.7 0
1987-10-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-141.5 1134 968 58.82% 20.03% 21.15%+0.78 +5.7 3
1987-10-31 Glentoran L 0-135.3 1020 1198 20.05% 19.88% 60.07%-0.84 -5.8 0
1987-10-31 @ Bangor W 1-035.3 1198 1020 60.07% 19.88% 20.05%+0.84 +5.8 4
1987-10-31 Glenavon L 2-354.2 1140 1112 45.55% 20.90% 33.55%+0.22 -10.3 3
1987-10-31 @ Cliftonville W 3-254.2 1112 1140 33.55% 20.90% 45.55%-0.22 +10.3 6
1987-10-31 Ballymena United D 5-567.2 1268 1144 57.48% 20.17% 22.35%+0.71 -1.0 2
1987-10-31 @ Coleraine D 5-567.2 1144 1268 22.35% 20.17% 57.48%-0.71 +1.0 1
1987-10-31 Lisburn Distillery W 2-138.6 1204 962 68.64% 18.39% 12.97%+1.32 +3.6 6
1987-10-31 @ Larne L 1-238.6 962 1204 12.97% 18.39% 68.64%-1.32 -3.6 0
1987-10-31 Ards W 1-037.7 1296 1205 53.62% 20.51% 25.87%+0.54 +7.3 6
1987-10-31 @ Linfield L 0-137.7 1205 1296 25.87% 20.51% 53.62%-0.54 -7.2 3
1987-10-31 Crusaders W 3-033.0 1106 1055 48.71% 20.79% 30.50%+0.34 +22.8 4
1987-10-31 @ Newry City L 0-333.0 1055 1106 30.50% 20.79% 48.71%-0.34 -22.8 0
1987-10-31 Carrick Rangers W 4-246.0 1019 1001 44.21% 20.93% 34.86%+0.17 +13.6 3
1987-10-31 @ Portadown L 2-446.0 1001 1019 34.86% 20.93% 44.21%-0.17 -13.6 1
1987-11-07 Coleraine D 1-155.7 1198 1267 32.16% 20.85% 46.98%-0.27 +0.8 4
1987-11-07 @ Ards D 1-155.7 1267 1198 46.98% 20.85% 32.16%+0.27 -0.8 3
1987-11-07 Bangor W 1-035.8 1145 1014 58.26% 20.09% 21.65%+0.75 +6.2 4
1987-11-07 @ Ballymena United L 0-135.8 1014 1145 21.65% 20.09% 58.26%-0.75 -6.2 0
1987-11-07 Linfield W 1-050.2 988 1303 10.61% 17.57% 71.83%-1.54 +17.5 4
1987-11-07 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-150.2 1303 988 71.83% 17.57% 10.61%+1.54 -17.5 6
1987-11-07 Portadown L 1-247.9 1032 1033 41.52% 20.97% 37.51%+0.07 -10.1 0
1987-11-07 @ Crusaders W 2-147.9 1033 1032 37.51% 20.97% 41.52%-0.07 +10.1 6
1987-11-07 Lisburn Distillery W 4-028.7 1123 958 61.73% 19.66% 18.61%+0.92 +19.3 9
1987-11-07 @ Glenavon L 0-428.7 958 1123 18.61% 19.66% 61.73%-0.92 -19.3 0
1987-11-07 Cliftonville D 1-155.5 1204 1130 51.61% 20.64% 27.75%+0.46 -1.3 5
1987-11-07 @ Glentoran D 1-155.5 1130 1204 27.75% 20.64% 51.61%-0.46 +1.3 4
1987-11-07 Larne D 0-050.5 1129 1208 30.89% 20.80% 48.30%-0.33 +1.1 5
1987-11-07 @ Newry City D 0-050.5 1208 1129 48.30% 20.80% 30.89%+0.33 -1.1 7
1987-11-20 Carrick Rangers W 3-134.7 1266 1005 70.08% 18.04% 11.88%+1.41 +5.7 6
1987-11-20 @ Coleraine L 1-334.7 1005 1266 11.88% 18.04% 70.08%-1.41 -5.7 4
1987-11-21 Ards L 2-440.9 1008 1199 18.95% 19.71% 61.34%-0.90 -8.0 0
1987-11-21 @ Bangor W 4-240.9 1199 1008 61.34% 19.71% 18.95%+0.90 +8.0 7
1987-11-21 Ballymena United D 1-155.4 1131 1151 38.87% 20.97% 40.16%-0.02 +0.1 5
1987-11-21 @ Cliftonville D 1-155.4 1151 1131 40.16% 20.97% 38.87%+0.02 -0.1 5
1987-11-21 Glenavon W 1-038.3 1207 1142 50.39% 20.71% 28.90%+0.41 +8.0 10
1987-11-21 @ Larne L 0-138.3 1142 1207 28.90% 20.71% 50.39%-0.41 -8.0 9
1987-11-21 Crusaders D 1-156.3 1285 1022 70.31% 17.98% 11.71%+1.43 -3.5 7
1987-11-21 @ Linfield D 1-156.3 1022 1285 11.71% 17.98% 70.31%-1.43 +3.5 1
1987-11-21 Glentoran L 0-327.3 939 1203 13.54% 18.55% 67.91%-1.27 -10.9 0
1987-11-21 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-027.3 1203 939 67.91% 18.55% 13.54%+1.27 +10.9 8
1987-11-21 Newry City W 3-038.7 1043 1130 29.89% 20.76% 49.35%-0.37 +33.9 9
1987-11-21 @ Portadown L 0-338.7 1130 1043 49.35% 20.76% 29.89%+0.37 -33.9 5
1987-12-05 Cliftonville W 1-037.9 1207 1131 51.77% 20.63% 27.60%+0.46 +7.7 10
1987-12-05 @ Ards L 0-137.9 1131 1207 27.60% 20.63% 51.77%-0.46 -7.7 5
1987-12-05 Lisburn Distillery W 2-139.1 1151 928 67.06% 18.74% 14.20%+1.22 +3.9 8
1987-12-05 @ Ballymena United L 1-239.1 928 1151 14.20% 18.74% 67.06%-1.22 -3.9 0
1987-12-05 Bangor L 0-238.5 1000 1000 41.69% 20.96% 37.34%+0.08 -20.3 4
1987-12-05 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-038.5 1000 1000 37.34% 20.96% 41.69%-0.08 +20.3 3
1987-12-05 Coleraine L 0-133.4 1025 1272 14.67% 18.85% 66.48%-1.19 -4.3 1
1987-12-05 @ Crusaders W 1-033.4 1272 1025 66.48% 18.85% 14.67%+1.19 +4.3 9
1987-12-05 Glenavon W 1-037.7 1213 1134 52.26% 20.60% 27.14%+0.49 +7.6 11
1987-12-05 @ Glentoran L 0-137.7 1134 1213 27.14% 20.60% 52.26%-0.49 -7.6 9
1987-12-05 Linfield W 1-047.6 1096 1282 19.41% 19.78% 60.81%-0.87 +15.0 8
1987-12-05 @ Newry City L 0-147.6 1282 1096 60.81% 19.78% 19.41%+0.87 -15.0 7
1987-12-05 Larne W 2-152.0 1077 1215 24.08% 20.35% 55.57%-0.63 +13.0 12
1987-12-05 @ Portadown L 1-252.0 1215 1077 55.57% 20.35% 24.08%+0.63 -13.0 10
1987-12-12 Crusaders D 1-155.3 1020 1021 41.55% 20.97% 37.49%+0.07 -0.2 4
1987-12-12 @ Bangor D 1-155.3 1021 1020 37.49% 20.97% 41.55%-0.07 +0.2 2
1987-12-12 Carrick Rangers L 0-243.6 1124 979 59.68% 19.93% 20.39%+0.82 -27.8 5
1987-12-12 @ Cliftonville W 2-043.6 979 1124 20.39% 19.93% 59.68%-0.82 +27.8 7
1987-12-12 Newry City L 1-350.3 1276 1111 61.78% 19.65% 18.57%+0.92 -24.8 9
1987-12-12 @ Coleraine W 3-150.3 1111 1276 18.57% 19.65% 61.78%-0.92 +24.8 11
1987-12-12 Ballymena United W 1-042.1 1127 1155 37.67% 20.97% 41.37%-0.07 +10.7 12
1987-12-12 @ Glenavon L 0-142.1 1155 1127 41.37% 20.97% 37.67%+0.07 -10.7 8
1987-12-12 Glentoran L 0-335.8 1202 1221 38.91% 20.97% 40.12%-0.02 -27.8 10
1987-12-12 @ Larne W 3-035.8 1221 1202 40.12% 20.97% 38.91%+0.02 +27.9 14
1987-12-12 Portadown D 1-155.9 1267 1090 62.94% 19.48% 17.58%+0.99 -2.7 8
1987-12-12 @ Linfield D 1-155.9 1090 1267 17.58% 19.48% 62.94%-0.99 +2.7 13
1987-12-12 Ards L 1-334.7 924 1214 11.94% 18.06% 70.00%-1.41 -5.7 0
1987-12-12 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-134.7 1214 924 70.00% 18.06% 11.94%+1.41 +5.7 13
1987-12-19 Glenavon D 1-155.6 1220 1137 52.68% 20.57% 26.75%+0.50 -1.5 14
1987-12-19 @ Ards D 1-155.6 1137 1220 26.75% 20.57% 52.68%-0.50 +1.5 13
1987-12-19 Glentoran W 3-256.0 1144 1249 27.74% 20.64% 51.62%-0.46 +11.5 11
1987-12-19 @ Ballymena United L 2-356.0 1249 1144 51.62% 20.64% 27.74%+0.46 -11.5 14
1987-12-19 Lisburn Distillery W 2-033.7 1007 918 53.38% 20.52% 26.09%+0.53 +13.8 10
1987-12-19 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-233.7 918 1007 26.09% 20.52% 53.38%-0.53 -13.8 0
1987-12-19 Cliftonville W 2-040.3 1021 1096 31.40% 20.82% 47.77%-0.31 +22.7 5
1987-12-19 @ Crusaders L 0-240.3 1096 1021 47.77% 20.82% 31.40%+0.31 -22.7 5
1987-12-19 Larne W 3-031.8 1264 1174 53.62% 20.51% 25.88%+0.54 +19.9 11
1987-12-19 @ Linfield L 0-331.8 1174 1264 25.88% 20.51% 53.62%-0.54 -19.9 10
1987-12-19 Bangor W 1-036.3 1136 1020 56.61% 20.26% 23.13%+0.67 +6.6 14
1987-12-19 @ Newry City L 0-136.3 1020 1136 23.13% 20.26% 56.61%-0.67 -6.6 4
1987-12-19 Coleraine L 0-136.0 1093 1251 21.95% 20.13% 57.92%-0.73 -6.3 13
1987-12-19 @ Portadown W 1-036.0 1251 1093 57.92% 20.13% 21.95%+0.73 +6.3 12
1987-12-26 Portadown D 0-050.4 1013 1086 31.59% 20.83% 47.57%-0.30 +1.0 5
1987-12-26 @ Bangor D 0-050.4 1086 1013 47.57% 20.83% 31.59%+0.30 -1.0 14
1987-12-26 Newry City D 1-155.4 1073 1142 32.13% 20.85% 47.02%-0.28 +0.8 6
1987-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 1-155.4 1142 1073 47.02% 20.85% 32.13%+0.28 -0.8 15
1987-12-26 Linfield L 1-247.4 1257 1284 37.89% 20.97% 41.14%-0.06 -9.4 12
1987-12-26 @ Coleraine W 2-147.4 1284 1257 41.14% 20.97% 37.89%+0.06 +9.4 14
1987-12-26 Carrick Rangers W 3-247.2 1139 1021 56.82% 20.24% 22.95%+0.68 +5.8 16
1987-12-26 @ Glenavon L 2-347.2 1021 1139 22.95% 20.24% 56.82%-0.68 -5.8 10
1987-12-26 Ards D 2-261.6 1237 1219 44.33% 20.93% 34.75%+0.17 -0.4 15
1987-12-26 @ Glentoran D 2-261.6 1219 1237 34.75% 20.93% 44.33%-0.17 +0.4 15
1987-12-26 Ballymena United W 1-041.0 1154 1156 41.43% 20.97% 37.60%+0.07 +9.9 13
1987-12-26 @ Larne L 0-141.0 1156 1154 37.60% 20.97% 41.43%-0.07 -9.9 11
1987-12-26 Crusaders W 2-042.5 905 1044 23.92% 20.34% 55.74%-0.63 +26.0 3
1987-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-242.5 1044 905 55.74% 20.34% 23.92%+0.63 -26.0 5
1987-12-28 Ballymena United L 0-145.1 1219 1146 51.50% 20.65% 27.86%+0.45 -12.9 15
1987-12-28 @ Ards W 1-045.1 1146 1219 27.86% 20.65% 51.50%-0.45 +12.9 14
1987-12-28 Glentoran L 0-230.5 1015 1237 16.43% 19.25% 64.31%-1.06 -9.0 10
1987-12-28 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-030.5 1237 1015 64.31% 19.25% 16.43%+1.06 +9.1 18
1987-12-28 Larne W 3-032.0 1248 1164 52.86% 20.56% 26.58%+0.51 +20.3 15
1987-12-28 @ Coleraine L 0-332.0 1164 1248 26.58% 20.56% 52.86%-0.51 -20.3 13
1987-12-28 Glenavon L 1-242.9 1018 1145 25.23% 20.45% 54.32%-0.57 -6.7 5
1987-12-28 @ Crusaders W 2-142.9 1145 1018 54.32% 20.45% 25.23%+0.57 +6.7 19
1987-12-28 Bangor W 3-134.3 1293 1014 71.46% 17.67% 10.87%+1.51 +5.2 17
1987-12-28 @ Linfield L 1-334.3 1014 1293 10.87% 17.67% 71.46%-1.51 -5.2 5
1987-12-28 Lisburn Distillery W 3-027.8 1142 931 66.03% 18.94% 15.03%+1.16 +12.1 18
1987-12-28 @ Newry City L 0-327.8 931 1142 15.03% 18.94% 66.03%-1.16 -12.1 3
1987-12-28 Cliftonville L 0-142.6 1085 1074 43.29% 20.94% 35.76%+0.14 -11.1 14
1987-12-28 @ Portadown W 1-042.6 1074 1085 35.76% 20.94% 43.29%-0.14 +11.1 9
1988-01-01 Carrick Rangers W 1-035.1 1159 1006 60.55% 19.82% 19.63%+0.86 +5.7 17
1988-01-01 @ Ballymena United L 0-135.1 1006 1159 19.63% 19.82% 60.55%-0.86 -5.7 10
1988-01-01 Coleraine L 0-427.0 1009 1268 13.80% 18.63% 67.58%-1.25 -14.5 5
1988-01-01 @ Bangor W 4-027.0 1268 1009 67.58% 18.63% 13.80%+1.25 +14.5 18
1988-01-01 Linfield L 0-528.9 1085 1299 17.09% 19.39% 63.52%-1.02 -22.0 9
1988-01-01 @ Cliftonville W 5-028.9 1299 1085 63.52% 19.39% 17.09%+1.02 +22.0 20
1988-01-01 Newry City D 0-050.5 1151 1154 41.37% 20.97% 37.66%+0.07 -0.2 20
1988-01-01 @ Glenavon D 0-050.5 1154 1151 37.66% 20.97% 41.37%-0.07 +0.2 19
1988-01-01 Crusaders W 1-032.9 1246 1011 68.07% 18.52% 13.41%+1.28 +3.9 21
1988-01-01 @ Glentoran L 0-132.9 1011 1246 13.41% 18.52% 68.07%-1.28 -3.9 5
1988-01-01 Ards W 2-040.0 1143 1206 32.97% 20.88% 46.15%-0.24 +22.0 16
1988-01-01 @ Larne L 0-240.0 1206 1143 46.15% 20.88% 32.97%+0.24 -22.0 15
1988-01-01 Portadown L 1-241.9 919 1074 22.24% 20.16% 57.60%-0.72 -6.0 3
1988-01-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-141.9 1074 919 57.60% 20.16% 22.24%+0.72 +6.0 17
1988-01-02 Cliftonville W 3-027.7 1283 1063 66.80% 18.79% 14.41%+1.20 +11.6 21
1988-01-02 @ Coleraine L 0-327.7 1063 1283 14.41% 18.79% 66.80%-1.20 -11.6 9
1988-01-02 Ballymena United D 0-050.6 1007 1164 22.08% 20.14% 57.79%-0.73 +2.3 6
1988-01-02 @ Crusaders D 0-050.6 1164 1007 57.79% 20.14% 22.08%+0.73 -2.3 18
1988-01-02 Lisburn Distillery W 2-026.0 1321 913 79.28% 14.88% 5.85%+2.17 +3.1 23
1988-01-02 @ Linfield L 0-226.0 913 1321 5.85% 14.88% 79.28%-2.17 -3.1 3
1988-01-02 Glentoran L 0-234.8 1154 1250 28.75% 20.70% 50.55%-0.41 -15.0 19
1988-01-02 @ Newry City W 2-034.8 1250 1154 50.55% 20.70% 28.75%+0.41 +15.0 24
1988-01-02 Glenavon L 0-139.2 1080 1151 31.91% 20.84% 47.24%-0.28 -8.7 17
1988-01-02 @ Portadown W 1-039.2 1151 1080 47.24% 20.84% 31.91%+0.28 +8.7 23
1988-01-08 Bangor L 1-250.3 1051 994 49.47% 20.75% 29.78%+0.37 -11.7 9
1988-01-08 @ Cliftonville W 2-150.3 994 1051 29.78% 20.75% 49.47%-0.37 +11.7 8
1988-01-09 Crusaders L 1-253.9 1184 1009 62.73% 19.51% 17.76%+0.97 -14.5 15
1988-01-09 @ Ards W 2-153.9 1009 1184 17.76% 19.51% 62.73%-0.97 +14.5 9
1988-01-09 Newry City L 3-456.4 1162 1139 44.93% 20.91% 34.15%+0.20 -10.0 18
1988-01-09 @ Ballymena United W 4-356.4 1139 1162 34.15% 20.91% 44.93%-0.20 +10.0 22
1988-01-09 Linfield L 0-330.4 1160 1324 21.42% 20.06% 58.52%-0.76 -16.8 23
1988-01-09 @ Glenavon W 3-030.4 1324 1160 58.52% 20.06% 21.42%+0.76 +16.8 26
1988-01-09 Portadown W 1-034.1 1265 1072 64.48% 19.22% 16.29%+1.07 +4.8 27
1988-01-09 @ Glentoran L 0-134.1 1072 1265 16.29% 19.22% 64.48%-1.07 -4.8 17
1988-01-09 Coleraine L 1-236.3 910 1294 7.59% 16.09% 76.32%-1.89 -2.1 3
1988-01-09 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-136.3 1294 910 76.32% 16.09% 7.59%+1.89 +2.1 24
1988-01-16 Lisburn Distillery L 1-642.7 1006 908 54.57% 20.43% 25.00%+0.58 -49.5 8
1988-01-16 @ Bangor W 6-142.7 908 1006 25.00% 20.43% 54.57%-0.58 +49.5 6
1988-01-16 Glenavon W 1-035.4 1296 1143 60.63% 19.81% 19.56%+0.87 +5.7 27
1988-01-16 @ Coleraine L 0-135.4 1143 1296 19.56% 19.81% 60.63%-0.87 -5.7 23
1988-01-16 Cliftonville D 0-050.6 1165 1040 57.67% 20.15% 22.18%+0.72 -2.3 17
1988-01-16 @ Larne D 0-050.6 1040 1165 22.18% 20.15% 57.67%-0.72 +2.3 10
1988-01-16 Ards W 1-041.8 1149 1170 38.73% 20.97% 40.29%-0.03 +10.5 25
1988-01-16 @ Newry City L 0-141.8 1170 1149 40.29% 20.97% 38.73%+0.03 -10.5 15
1988-01-20 Ards W 2-152.6 1000 1159 21.92% 20.12% 57.96%-0.74 +13.5 13
1988-01-20 @ Carrick Rangers L 1-252.6 1159 1000 57.96% 20.12% 21.92%+0.74 -13.5 15
1988-01-23 Cliftonville W 4-031.0 1137 1042 54.18% 20.46% 25.36%+0.57 +25.5 26
1988-01-23 @ Glenavon L 0-431.0 1042 1137 25.36% 20.46% 54.18%-0.57 -25.5 10
1988-01-27 Larne L 0-230.9 956 1163 17.65% 19.49% 62.86%-0.98 -9.7 8
1988-01-27 @ Bangor W 2-030.9 1163 956 62.86% 19.49% 17.65%+0.98 +9.7 20
1988-01-30 Ballymena United D 1-155.8 947 1152 17.76% 19.51% 62.73%-0.97 +2.7 9
1988-01-30 @ Bangor D 1-155.8 1152 947 62.73% 19.51% 17.76%+0.97 -2.6 19
1988-01-30 Glentoran D 1-156.1 1017 1270 14.22% 18.74% 67.04%-1.22 +3.2 11
1988-01-30 @ Cliftonville D 1-156.1 1270 1017 67.04% 18.74% 14.22%+1.22 -3.2 28
1988-01-30 Ards W 4-241.3 1302 1146 60.93% 19.77% 19.30%+0.88 +8.2 30
1988-01-30 @ Coleraine L 2-441.3 1146 1302 19.30% 19.77% 60.93%-0.88 -8.1 15
1988-01-30 Newry City W 5-137.9 1173 1159 43.60% 20.94% 35.46%+0.15 +28.2 23
1988-01-30 @ Larne L 1-537.9 1159 1173 35.46% 20.94% 43.60%-0.15 -28.2 25
1988-01-30 Carrick Rangers W 1-031.0 1341 1014 74.65% 16.69% 8.66%+1.75 +2.5 29
1988-01-30 @ Linfield L 0-131.0 1014 1341 8.66% 16.69% 74.65%-1.75 -2.5 13
1988-01-30 Glenavon L 0-134.5 957 1163 17.72% 19.50% 62.78%-0.98 -5.2 6
1988-01-30 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-034.5 1163 957 62.78% 19.50% 17.72%+0.98 +5.2 29
1988-01-30 Crusaders W 2-035.5 1067 1024 47.59% 20.83% 31.58%+0.30 +16.2 20
1988-01-30 @ Portadown L 0-235.5 1024 1067 31.58% 20.83% 47.59%-0.30 -16.2 9
1988-02-02 Glentoran L 0-242.5 1343 1267 51.91% 20.62% 27.47%+0.47 -24.4 29
1988-02-02 @ Linfield W 2-042.5 1267 1343 27.47% 20.62% 51.91%-0.47 +24.4 31
1988-02-06 Bangor D 1-155.8 1137 949 63.98% 19.31% 16.71%+1.04 -2.8 16
1988-02-06 @ Ards D 1-155.8 949 1137 16.71% 19.31% 63.98%-1.04 +2.8 10
1988-02-06 Cliftonville D 1-155.6 1149 1020 58.11% 20.11% 21.78%+0.74 -2.1 20
1988-02-06 @ Ballymena United D 1-155.6 1020 1149 21.78% 20.11% 58.11%-0.74 +2.1 12
1988-02-06 Linfield L 1-334.3 1008 1319 10.82% 17.65% 71.53%-1.52 -5.2 9
1988-02-06 @ Crusaders W 3-134.3 1319 1008 71.53% 17.65% 10.82%+1.52 +5.2 32
1988-02-06 Larne L 0-140.8 1168 1201 36.99% 20.96% 42.05%-0.09 -9.8 29
1988-02-06 @ Glenavon W 1-040.8 1201 1168 42.05% 20.96% 36.99%+0.09 +9.8 26
1988-02-06 Lisburn Distillery W 1-030.7 1291 952 75.42% 16.42% 8.16%+1.82 +2.4 34
1988-02-06 @ Glentoran L 0-130.7 952 1291 8.16% 16.42% 75.42%-1.82 -2.4 6
1988-02-06 Portadown W 3-249.7 1131 1083 48.28% 20.80% 30.91%+0.33 +7.6 28
1988-02-06 @ Newry City L 2-349.7 1083 1131 30.91% 20.80% 48.28%-0.33 -7.5 20
1988-02-10 Bangor W 3-025.0 1293 952 75.54% 16.38% 8.09%+1.83 +6.4 37
1988-02-10 @ Glentoran L 0-325.0 952 1293 8.09% 16.38% 75.54%-1.83 -6.4 10
1988-02-13 Ards D 0-050.5 1022 1135 26.81% 20.58% 52.62%-0.50 +1.6 13
1988-02-13 @ Cliftonville D 0-050.5 1135 1022 52.62% 20.58% 26.81%+0.50 -1.6 17
1988-02-13 Crusaders D 1-156.6 1310 1003 73.41% 17.09% 9.49%+1.66 -3.9 31
1988-02-13 @ Coleraine D 1-156.6 1003 1310 9.49% 17.09% 73.41%-1.66 +3.9 10
1988-02-13 Glentoran L 1-242.7 1158 1300 23.66% 20.31% 56.03%-0.65 -6.3 29
1988-02-13 @ Glenavon W 2-142.7 1300 1158 56.03% 20.31% 23.66%+0.65 +6.3 40
1988-02-13 Portadown D 0-050.7 1211 1075 58.72% 20.04% 21.24%+0.77 -2.4 27
1988-02-13 @ Larne D 0-050.7 1075 1211 21.24% 20.04% 58.72%-0.77 +2.4 21
1988-02-13 Newry City W 1-034.5 1324 1139 63.72% 19.35% 16.92%+1.03 +4.9 35
1988-02-13 @ Linfield L 0-134.5 1139 1324 16.92% 19.35% 63.72%-1.03 -4.9 28
1988-02-13 Ballymena United L 0-529.2 949 1147 18.37% 19.62% 62.01%-0.94 -23.5 6
1988-02-13 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-029.2 1147 949 62.01% 19.62% 18.37%+0.94 +23.5 23
1988-02-23 Portadown L 0-139.3 1011 1078 32.45% 20.86% 46.69%-0.26 -8.8 13
1988-02-23 @ Carrick Rangers W 1-039.3 1078 1011 46.69% 20.86% 32.45%+0.26 +8.8 24
1988-02-27 Lisburn Distillery D 1-155.9 1133 926 65.71% 19.00% 15.29%+1.14 -3.0 18
1988-02-27 @ Ards D 1-155.9 926 1133 15.29% 19.00% 65.71%-1.14 +3.0 7
1988-02-27 Glenavon D 1-155.4 1171 1152 44.36% 20.92% 34.72%+0.18 -0.5 24
1988-02-27 @ Ballymena United D 1-155.4 1152 1171 34.72% 20.92% 44.36%-0.18 +0.5 30
1988-02-27 Cliftonville L 0-237.6 1002 1023 38.69% 20.97% 40.34%-0.03 -19.1 13
1988-02-27 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-037.6 1023 1002 40.34% 20.97% 38.69%+0.03 +19.1 16
1988-02-27 Bangor W 4-137.6 1006 946 49.90% 20.73% 29.36%+0.39 +18.7 13
1988-02-27 @ Crusaders L 1-437.6 946 1006 29.36% 20.73% 49.90%-0.39 -18.7 10
1988-02-27 Larne W 4-031.4 1306 1208 54.49% 20.44% 25.07%+0.58 +25.2 43
1988-02-27 @ Glentoran L 0-431.4 1208 1306 25.07% 20.44% 54.49%-0.58 -25.2 27
1988-02-27 Coleraine W 1-047.4 1134 1306 20.60% 19.95% 59.44%-0.81 +14.7 31
1988-02-27 @ Newry City L 0-147.4 1306 1134 59.44% 19.95% 20.60%+0.81 -14.7 31
1988-02-27 Linfield D 1-156.2 1087 1329 14.97% 18.93% 66.10%-1.16 +3.0 25
1988-02-27 @ Portadown D 1-156.2 1329 1087 66.10% 18.93% 14.97%+1.16 -3.0 36
1988-03-01 Ballymena United D 0-050.5 1090 1170 30.67% 20.79% 48.53%-0.33 +1.1 26
1988-03-01 @ Portadown D 0-050.5 1170 1090 48.53% 20.79% 30.67%+0.33 -1.1 25
1988-03-02 Linfield L 1-241.0 1130 1326 18.55% 19.65% 61.80%-0.93 -5.1 18
1988-03-02 @ Ards W 2-141.0 1326 1130 61.80% 19.65% 18.55%+0.93 +5.1 39
1988-03-02 Carrick Rangers W 2-144.9 1025 983 47.44% 20.84% 31.72%+0.29 +8.1 16
1988-03-02 @ Crusaders L 1-244.9 983 1025 31.72% 20.84% 47.44%-0.29 -8.1 13
1988-03-02 Larne W 2-154.9 929 1183 14.15% 18.72% 67.13%-1.22 +15.5 10
1988-03-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-254.9 1183 929 67.13% 18.72% 14.15%+1.22 -15.5 27
1988-03-05 Newry City W 1-048.3 927 1148 16.50% 19.27% 64.23%-1.06 +15.8 13
1988-03-05 @ Bangor L 0-148.3 1148 927 64.23% 19.27% 16.50%+1.06 -15.8 31
1988-03-05 Crusaders D 0-050.4 1043 1033 43.01% 20.95% 36.04%+0.13 -0.4 17
1988-03-05 @ Cliftonville D 0-050.4 1033 1043 36.04% 20.95% 43.01%-0.13 +0.4 17
1988-03-05 Portadown W 1-033.9 1292 1091 65.16% 19.10% 15.73%+1.11 +4.6 34
1988-03-05 @ Coleraine L 0-133.9 1091 1292 15.73% 19.10% 65.16%-1.11 -4.6 26
1988-03-05 Ards L 0-143.3 1152 1125 45.51% 20.90% 33.59%+0.22 -11.6 30
1988-03-05 @ Glenavon W 1-043.3 1125 1152 33.59% 20.90% 45.51%-0.22 +11.6 21
1988-03-05 Ballymena United W 3-029.6 1331 1169 61.50% 19.69% 18.81%+0.91 +14.9 46
1988-03-05 @ Glentoran L 0-329.6 1169 1331 18.81% 19.69% 61.50%-0.91 -14.9 25
1988-03-05 Linfield L 1-242.1 1168 1331 21.50% 20.07% 58.43%-0.76 -5.8 27
1988-03-05 @ Larne W 2-142.1 1331 1168 58.43% 20.07% 21.50%+0.76 +5.8 42
1988-03-05 Carrick Rangers D 1-155.3 944 975 37.31% 20.96% 41.72%-0.08 +0.2 11
1988-03-05 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-155.3 975 944 41.72% 20.96% 37.31%+0.08 -0.2 14
1988-03-08 Carrick Rangers W 4-133.5 1162 975 63.88% 19.33% 16.79%+1.04 +11.3 30
1988-03-08 @ Larne L 1-433.5 975 1162 16.79% 19.33% 63.88%-1.04 -11.3 14
1988-03-11 Coleraine L 0-325.8 964 1296 9.75% 17.21% 73.04%-1.63 -7.8 14
1988-03-11 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-025.8 1296 964 73.04% 17.21% 9.75%+1.63 +7.8 37
1988-03-19 Glentoran L 0-231.2 1136 1346 17.39% 19.44% 63.17%-1.00 -9.6 21
1988-03-19 @ Ards W 2-031.2 1346 1136 63.17% 19.44% 17.39%+1.00 +9.6 49
1988-03-19 Larne L 0-141.4 1154 1173 39.00% 20.97% 40.02%-0.02 -10.2 25
1988-03-19 @ Ballymena United W 1-041.4 1173 1154 40.02% 20.97% 39.00%+0.02 +10.2 33
1988-03-19 Coleraine L 0-144.7 1337 1304 46.19% 20.88% 32.93%+0.24 -11.7 42
1988-03-19 @ Linfield W 1-044.7 1304 1337 32.93% 20.88% 46.19%-0.24 +11.7 40
1988-03-19 Cliftonville W 1-037.2 1133 1042 53.62% 20.51% 25.88%+0.54 +7.3 34
1988-03-19 @ Newry City L 0-137.2 1042 1133 25.88% 20.51% 53.62%-0.54 -7.3 17
1988-03-22 Portadown W 1-043.0 1035 1086 34.48% 20.92% 44.60%-0.18 +11.4 20
1988-03-22 @ Cliftonville L 0-143.0 1086 1035 44.60% 20.92% 34.48%+0.18 -11.4 26
1988-03-22 Crusaders W 1-036.6 1141 1034 55.58% 20.35% 24.07%+0.63 +6.8 33
1988-03-22 @ Glenavon L 0-136.6 1034 1141 24.07% 20.35% 55.58%-0.63 -6.8 17
1988-03-22 Carrick Rangers D 1-157.2 1356 956 78.87% 15.06% 6.08%+2.13 -4.4 50
1988-03-22 @ Glentoran D 1-157.2 956 1356 6.08% 15.06% 78.87%-2.13 +4.4 15
1988-03-22 Coleraine L 0-431.2 1183 1316 24.62% 20.40% 54.98%-0.60 -24.8 33
1988-03-22 @ Larne W 4-031.2 1316 1183 54.98% 20.40% 24.62%+0.60 +24.9 43
1988-03-26 Larne L 2-351.7 1127 1158 37.21% 20.96% 41.83%-0.08 -8.8 21
1988-03-26 @ Ards W 3-251.7 1158 1127 41.83% 20.96% 37.21%+0.08 +8.8 36
1988-03-26 Ballymena United L 1-241.0 960 1144 19.59% 19.81% 60.60%-0.86 -5.3 15
1988-03-26 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-141.0 1144 960 60.60% 19.81% 19.59%+0.86 +5.3 28
1988-03-26 Bangor W 2-135.6 1341 943 78.75% 15.11% 6.14%+2.12 +1.6 46
1988-03-26 @ Coleraine L 1-235.6 943 1341 6.14% 15.11% 78.75%-2.12 -1.7 13
1988-03-26 Glentoran L 2-342.6 1027 1351 10.14% 17.38% 72.49%-1.59 -2.6 17
1988-03-26 @ Crusaders W 3-242.6 1351 1027 72.49% 17.38% 10.14%+1.59 +2.7 53
1988-03-26 Cliftonville W 4-026.0 1325 1046 71.41% 17.69% 10.91%+1.51 +11.5 45
1988-03-26 @ Linfield L 0-426.0 1046 1325 10.91% 17.69% 71.41%-1.51 -11.5 20
1988-03-26 Glenavon D 0-050.4 1140 1148 40.59% 20.97% 38.43%+0.04 -0.1 35
1988-03-26 @ Newry City D 0-050.4 1148 1140 38.43% 20.97% 40.59%-0.04 +0.1 34
1988-03-26 Lisburn Distillery W 3-030.2 1075 945 58.17% 20.10% 21.73%+0.75 +17.0 29
1988-03-26 @ Portadown L 0-330.2 945 1075 21.73% 20.10% 58.17%-0.75 -17.0 11
1988-04-01 Coleraine L 0-228.5 1035 1342 10.99% 17.72% 71.29%-1.50 -6.1 20
1988-04-01 @ Cliftonville W 2-028.5 1342 1035 71.29% 17.72% 10.99%+1.50 +6.1 49
1988-04-02 Carrick Rangers L 1-253.6 1118 955 61.61% 19.67% 18.72%+0.92 -14.3 21
1988-04-02 @ Ards W 2-153.6 955 1118 18.72% 19.67% 61.61%-0.92 +14.3 18
1988-04-02 Crusaders D 0-050.6 1149 1024 57.63% 20.16% 22.22%+0.72 -2.3 29
1988-04-02 @ Ballymena United D 0-050.6 1024 1149 22.22% 20.16% 57.63%-0.72 +2.3 18
1988-04-02 Portadown L 1-250.3 1148 1092 49.29% 20.76% 29.95%+0.36 -11.7 34
1988-04-02 @ Glenavon W 2-150.3 1092 1148 29.95% 20.76% 49.29%-0.36 +11.7 32
1988-04-02 Newry City W 1-033.8 1354 1140 66.34% 18.88% 14.78%+1.18 +4.3 56
1988-04-02 @ Glentoran L 0-133.8 1140 1354 14.78% 18.88% 66.34%-1.18 -4.3 35
1988-04-02 Bangor L 1-255.0 1167 941 67.32% 18.68% 14.00%+1.24 -15.5 36
1988-04-02 @ Larne W 2-155.0 941 1167 14.00% 18.68% 67.32%-1.24 +15.5 16
1988-04-02 Linfield L 0-130.0 928 1336 6.76% 15.55% 77.69%-2.02 -1.9 11
1988-04-02 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-030.0 1336 928 77.69% 15.55% 6.76%+2.02 +1.9 48
1988-04-04 Larne D 2-261.6 969 1152 19.71% 19.83% 60.46%-0.86 +1.8 19
1988-04-04 @ Carrick Rangers D 2-261.6 1152 969 60.46% 19.83% 19.71%+0.86 -1.8 37
1988-04-04 Lisburn Distillery W 3-131.7 1348 926 80.02% 14.54% 5.44%+2.25 +2.5 52
1988-04-04 @ Coleraine L 1-331.7 926 1348 5.44% 14.54% 80.02%-2.25 -2.5 11
1988-04-04 Glenavon W 3-028.4 1338 1136 65.28% 19.08% 15.64%+1.12 +12.5 51
1988-04-04 @ Linfield L 0-328.4 1136 1338 15.64% 19.08% 65.28%-1.12 -12.5 34
1988-04-05 Cliftonville L 1-245.0 957 1029 31.78% 20.84% 47.38%-0.29 -8.1 16
1988-04-05 @ Bangor W 2-145.0 1029 957 47.38% 20.84% 31.78%+0.29 +8.1 23
1988-04-05 Ards W 3-038.3 1026 1104 31.08% 20.81% 48.11%-0.32 +33.2 21
1988-04-05 @ Crusaders L 0-338.3 1104 1026 48.11% 20.81% 31.08%+0.32 -33.2 21
1988-04-05 Ballymena United W 1-041.4 1135 1147 40.02% 20.97% 39.00%+0.02 +10.2 38
1988-04-05 @ Newry City L 0-141.4 1147 1135 39.00% 20.97% 40.02%-0.02 -10.2 29
1988-04-05 Glentoran L 0-229.9 1104 1358 14.10% 18.71% 67.19%-1.23 -7.8 32
1988-04-05 @ Portadown W 2-029.9 1358 1104 67.19% 18.71% 14.10%+1.23 +7.8 59
1988-04-07 Carrick Rangers W 2-147.6 949 971 38.51% 20.97% 40.52%-0.04 +9.9 19
1988-04-07 @ Bangor L 1-247.6 971 949 40.52% 20.97% 38.51%+0.04 -9.9 19
1988-04-11 Linfield L 0-424.3 959 1351 7.32% 15.92% 76.76%-1.93 -7.6 19
1988-04-11 @ Bangor W 4-024.3 1351 959 76.76% 15.92% 7.32%+1.93 +7.5 54
1988-04-12 Ards D 1-155.4 1137 1071 50.63% 20.69% 28.68%+0.42 -1.2 30
1988-04-12 @ Ballymena United D 1-155.4 1071 1137 28.68% 20.69% 50.63%-0.42 +1.2 22
1988-04-12 Lisburn Distillery W 3-030.0 1060 923 58.84% 20.02% 21.13%+0.78 +16.6 24
1988-04-12 @ Crusaders L 0-330.0 923 1060 21.13% 20.02% 58.84%-0.78 -16.6 11
1988-04-13 Glenavon D 0-050.6 961 1124 21.57% 20.08% 58.35%-0.75 +2.4 20
1988-04-13 @ Carrick Rangers D 0-050.6 1124 961 58.35% 20.08% 21.57%+0.75 -2.4 35
1988-04-14 Newry City L 0-230.0 907 1146 15.19% 18.98% 65.83%-1.15 -8.4 11
1988-04-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-030.0 1146 907 65.83% 18.98% 15.19%+1.15 +8.4 41
1988-04-16 Newry City L 0-138.7 1072 1154 30.48% 20.79% 48.73%-0.34 -8.3 22
1988-04-16 @ Ards W 1-038.7 1154 1072 48.73% 20.79% 30.48%+0.34 +8.3 44
1988-04-16 Portadown W 2-145.1 1136 1096 47.20% 20.85% 31.95%+0.28 +8.2 33
1988-04-16 @ Ballymena United L 1-245.1 1096 1136 31.95% 20.85% 47.20%-0.28 -8.2 32
1988-04-16 Crusaders L 1-243.4 963 1076 26.81% 20.58% 52.62%-0.50 -7.1 20
1988-04-16 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-143.4 1076 963 52.62% 20.58% 26.81%+0.50 +7.0 27
1988-04-16 Larne L 0-234.0 1037 1150 26.77% 20.57% 52.65%-0.50 -14.1 23
1988-04-16 @ Cliftonville W 2-034.0 1150 1037 52.65% 20.57% 26.77%+0.50 +14.1 40
1988-04-16 Coleraine W 3-259.8 1121 1351 15.86% 19.13% 65.01%-1.10 +14.3 38
1988-04-16 @ Glenavon L 2-359.8 1351 1121 65.01% 19.13% 15.86%+1.10 -14.3 52
1988-04-16 Linfield L 0-144.6 1366 1358 42.80% 20.95% 36.25%+0.12 -11.0 59
1988-04-16 @ Glentoran W 1-044.6 1358 1366 36.25% 20.95% 42.80%-0.12 +11.0 57
1988-04-16 Bangor L 0-139.8 898 951 34.28% 20.91% 44.81%-0.19 -9.2 11
1988-04-16 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-039.8 951 898 44.81% 20.91% 34.28%+0.19 +9.2 22
1988-04-18 Coleraine W 2-153.9 1144 1337 18.81% 19.69% 61.50%-0.91 +14.3 36
1988-04-18 @ Ballymena United L 1-253.9 1337 1144 61.50% 19.69% 18.81%+0.91 -14.3 52
1988-04-21 Newry City L 0-333.2 1083 1162 30.87% 20.80% 48.33%-0.33 -23.1 27
1988-04-21 @ Crusaders W 3-033.2 1162 1083 48.33% 20.80% 30.87%+0.33 +23.1 47
1988-04-21 Bangor W 3-138.3 1088 960 57.86% 20.13% 22.01%+0.73 +10.3 35
1988-04-21 @ Portadown L 1-338.3 960 1088 22.01% 20.13% 57.86%-0.73 -10.3 22
1988-04-23 Glenavon W 3-041.8 950 1135 19.44% 19.79% 60.77%-0.87 +41.0 25
1988-04-23 @ Bangor L 0-341.8 1135 950 60.77% 19.79% 19.44%+0.87 -41.0 38
1988-04-23 Lisburn Distillery W 2-032.2 1023 889 58.55% 20.06% 21.39%+0.76 +11.6 26
1988-04-23 @ Cliftonville L 0-232.2 889 1023 21.39% 20.06% 58.55%-0.76 -11.6 11
1988-04-23 Glentoran L 1-248.2 1322 1355 37.02% 20.96% 42.02%-0.09 -9.2 52
1988-04-23 @ Coleraine W 2-148.2 1355 1322 42.02% 20.96% 37.02%+0.09 +9.2 62
1988-04-23 Crusaders L 1-251.9 1164 1060 55.19% 20.38% 24.42%+0.61 -12.9 40
1988-04-23 @ Larne W 2-151.9 1060 1164 24.42% 20.38% 55.19%-0.61 +12.9 30
1988-04-23 Ballymena United W 3-136.4 1369 1158 66.07% 18.93% 15.00%+1.16 +7.2 60
1988-04-23 @ Linfield L 1-336.4 1158 1369 15.00% 18.93% 66.07%-1.16 -7.2 36
1988-04-23 Carrick Rangers W 3-135.4 1185 956 67.58% 18.63% 13.80%+1.25 +6.6 50
1988-04-23 @ Newry City L 1-335.4 956 1185 13.80% 18.63% 67.58%-1.25 -6.6 20
1988-04-23 Ards L 2-354.4 1098 1064 46.44% 20.87% 32.69%+0.25 -10.5 35
1988-04-23 @ Portadown W 3-254.4 1064 1098 32.69% 20.87% 46.44%-0.25 +10.5 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-11-07 10.61% @ Carrick Rangers 988 1 Linfield 1303 0
2 1988-04-02 14.00% Bangor 941 2 @ Larne 1167 1
3 1988-03-02 14.15% @ Lisburn Distillery 929 2 Larne 1183 1
4 1988-04-16 15.86% @ Glenavon 1121 3 Coleraine 1351 2
5 1988-03-05 16.50% @ Bangor 927 1 Newry City 1148 0
6 1988-01-09 17.76% Crusaders 1009 2 @ Ards 1184 1
7 1987-12-12 18.57% Newry City 1111 3 @ Coleraine 1276 1
8 1988-04-02 18.72% Carrick Rangers 955 2 @ Ards 1118 1
9 1988-04-18 18.81% @ Ballymena United 1144 2 Coleraine 1337 1
10 1987-12-05 19.41% @ Newry City 1096 1 Linfield 1282 0
11 1988-04-23 19.44% @ Bangor 950 3 Glenavon 1135 0
12 1987-12-12 20.39% Carrick Rangers 979 2 @ Cliftonville 1124 0
13 1988-02-27 20.60% @ Newry City 1134 1 Coleraine 1306 0
14 1988-01-20 21.92% @ Carrick Rangers 1000 2 Ards 1159 1
15 1987-12-26 23.92% @ Lisburn Distillery 905 2 Crusaders 1044 0
16 1987-12-05 24.08% @ Portadown 1077 2 Larne 1215 1
17 1988-04-23 24.42% Crusaders 1060 2 @ Larne 1164 1
18 1988-01-16 25.00% Lisburn Distillery 908 6 @ Bangor 1006 1
19 1988-02-02 27.47% Glentoran 1267 2 @ Linfield 1343 0
20 1987-12-19 27.74% @ Ballymena United 1144 3 Glentoran 1249 2
21 1987-12-28 27.86% Ballymena United 1146 1 @ Ards 1219 0
22 1988-01-08 29.78% Bangor 994 2 @ Cliftonville 1051 1
23 1987-11-21 29.89% @ Portadown 1043 3 Newry City 1130 0
24 1988-04-02 29.95% Portadown 1092 2 @ Glenavon 1148 1
25 1988-04-05 31.08% @ Crusaders 1026 3 Ards 1104 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-01-16 49.48 Lisburn Distillery 6 908 25.00% @ Bangor 1 1006 54.57% 20.43%
2 1988-04-23 40.99 @ Bangor 3 950 19.44% Glenavon 0 1135 60.77% 19.79%
3 1987-11-21 33.92 @ Portadown 3 1043 29.89% Newry City 0 1130 49.35% 20.76%
4 1988-04-05 33.18 @ Crusaders 3 1026 31.08% Ards 0 1104 48.11% 20.81%
5 1988-01-30 28.15 @ Larne 5 1173 43.60% Newry City 1 1159 35.46% 20.94%
6 1987-12-12 27.85 Glentoran 3 1221 40.12% @ Larne 0 1202 38.91% 20.97%
7 1987-12-12 27.76 Carrick Rangers 2 979 20.39% @ Cliftonville 0 1124 59.68% 19.93%
8 1987-12-26 26.05 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 905 23.92% Crusaders 0 1044 55.74% 20.34%
9 1988-01-23 25.50 @ Glenavon 4 1137 54.18% Cliftonville 0 1042 25.36% 20.46%
10 1988-02-27 25.25 @ Glentoran 4 1306 54.49% Larne 0 1208 25.07% 20.44%
11 1988-03-22 24.85 Coleraine 4 1316 54.98% @ Larne 0 1183 24.62% 20.40%
12 1987-12-12 24.83 Newry City 3 1111 18.57% @ Coleraine 1 1276 61.78% 19.65%
13 1988-02-02 24.42 Glentoran 2 1267 27.47% @ Linfield 0 1343 51.91% 20.62%
14 1988-02-13 23.51 Ballymena United 5 1147 62.01% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 949 18.37% 19.62%
15 1988-04-21 23.08 Newry City 3 1162 48.33% @ Crusaders 0 1083 30.87% 20.80%
16 1987-10-31 22.85 @ Newry City 3 1106 48.71% Crusaders 0 1055 30.50% 20.79%
17 1987-12-19 22.71 @ Crusaders 2 1021 31.40% Cliftonville 0 1096 47.77% 20.82%
18 1988-01-01 22.05 @ Larne 2 1143 32.97% Ards 0 1206 46.15% 20.88%
19 1988-01-01 21.98 Linfield 5 1299 63.52% @ Cliftonville 0 1085 17.09% 19.39%
20 1987-12-28 20.33 @ Coleraine 3 1248 52.86% Larne 0 1164 26.58% 20.56%
21 1987-12-05 20.27 Bangor 2 1000 37.34% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1000 41.69% 20.96%
22 1987-12-19 19.87 @ Linfield 3 1264 53.62% Larne 0 1174 25.88% 20.51%
23 1987-11-07 19.31 @ Glenavon 4 1123 61.73% Lisburn Distillery 0 958 18.61% 19.66%
24 1988-02-27 19.09 Cliftonville 2 1023 40.34% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1002 38.69% 20.97%
25 1988-02-27 18.66 @ Crusaders 4 1006 49.90% Bangor 1 946 29.36% 20.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-10-31 67.2 @ Coleraine 5 1268 57.48% Ballymena United 5 1144 22.35% 20.17%
2 1987-10-24 61.6 @ Glentoran 2 1198 31.92% Coleraine 2 1268 47.24% 20.84%
3 1987-12-26 61.6 @ Glentoran 2 1237 44.33% Ards 2 1219 34.75% 20.93%
4 1988-04-04 61.6 @ Carrick Rangers 2 969 19.71% Larne 2 1152 60.46% 19.83%
5 1988-04-16 59.8 @ Glenavon 3 1121 15.86% Coleraine 2 1351 65.01% 19.13%
6 1988-03-22 57.2 @ Glentoran 1 1356 78.87% Carrick Rangers 1 956 6.08% 15.06%
7 1988-02-13 56.6 @ Coleraine 1 1310 73.41% Crusaders 1 1003 9.49% 17.09%
8 1988-01-09 56.4 Newry City 4 1139 34.15% @ Ballymena United 3 1162 44.93% 20.91%
9 1987-11-21 56.3 @ Linfield 1 1285 70.31% Crusaders 1 1022 11.71% 17.98%
10 1988-02-27 56.2 @ Portadown 1 1087 14.97% Linfield 1 1329 66.10% 18.93%
11 1988-01-30 56.1 @ Cliftonville 1 1017 14.22% Glentoran 1 1270 67.04% 18.74%
12 1987-12-19 56.0 @ Ballymena United 3 1144 27.74% Glentoran 2 1249 51.62% 20.64%
13 1987-12-12 55.9 @ Linfield 1 1267 62.94% Portadown 1 1090 17.58% 19.48%
14 1988-02-27 55.9 @ Ards 1 1133 65.71% Lisburn Distillery 1 926 15.29% 19.00%
15 1988-01-30 55.8 @ Bangor 1 947 17.76% Ballymena United 1 1152 62.73% 19.51%
16 1988-02-06 55.8 @ Ards 1 1137 63.98% Bangor 1 949 16.71% 19.31%
17 1987-11-07 55.7 @ Ards 1 1198 32.16% Coleraine 1 1267 46.98% 20.85%
18 1987-12-19 55.6 @ Ards 1 1220 52.68% Glenavon 1 1137 26.75% 20.57%
19 1988-02-06 55.6 @ Ballymena United 1 1149 58.11% Cliftonville 1 1020 21.78% 20.11%
20 1987-11-07 55.5 @ Glentoran 1 1204 51.61% Cliftonville 1 1130 27.75% 20.64%
21 1987-10-24 55.4 @ Carrick Rangers 1 1000 27.43% Newry City 1 1107 51.95% 20.62%
22 1987-11-21 55.4 @ Cliftonville 1 1131 38.87% Ballymena United 1 1151 40.16% 20.97%
23 1987-12-26 55.4 @ Cliftonville 1 1073 32.13% Newry City 1 1142 47.02% 20.85%
24 1988-02-27 55.4 @ Ballymena United 1 1171 44.36% Glenavon 1 1152 34.72% 20.92%
25 1988-04-12 55.4 @ Ballymena United 1 1137 50.63% Ards 1 1071 28.68% 20.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-04-11 24.3 Linfield 4 1351 76.76% @ Bangor 0 959 7.32% 15.92%
2 1988-02-10 25.0 @ Glentoran 3 1293 75.54% Bangor 0 952 8.09% 16.38%
3 1988-03-11 25.8 Coleraine 3 1296 73.04% @ Carrick Rangers 0 964 9.75% 17.21%
4 1988-01-02 26.0 @ Linfield 2 1321 79.28% Lisburn Distillery 0 913 5.85% 14.88%
5 1988-03-26 26.0 @ Linfield 4 1325 71.41% Cliftonville 0 1046 10.91% 17.69%
6 1988-01-01 27.0 Coleraine 4 1268 67.58% @ Bangor 0 1009 13.80% 18.63%
7 1987-11-21 27.3 Glentoran 3 1203 67.91% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 939 13.54% 18.55%
8 1988-01-02 27.7 @ Coleraine 3 1283 66.80% Cliftonville 0 1063 14.41% 18.79%
9 1987-12-28 27.8 @ Newry City 3 1142 66.03% Lisburn Distillery 0 931 15.03% 18.94%
10 1988-04-04 28.4 @ Linfield 3 1338 65.28% Glenavon 0 1136 15.64% 19.08%
11 1988-04-01 28.5 Coleraine 2 1342 71.29% @ Cliftonville 0 1035 10.99% 17.72%
12 1987-11-07 28.7 @ Glenavon 4 1123 61.73% Lisburn Distillery 0 958 18.61% 19.66%
13 1988-01-01 28.9 Linfield 5 1299 63.52% @ Cliftonville 0 1085 17.09% 19.39%
14 1988-02-13 29.2 Ballymena United 5 1147 62.01% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 949 18.37% 19.62%
15 1988-03-05 29.6 @ Glentoran 3 1331 61.50% Ballymena United 0 1169 18.81% 19.69%
16 1988-04-05 29.9 Glentoran 2 1358 67.19% @ Portadown 0 1104 14.10% 18.71%
17 1988-04-02 30.0 Linfield 1 1336 77.69% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 928 6.76% 15.55%
18 1988-04-12 30.0 @ Crusaders 3 1060 58.84% Lisburn Distillery 0 923 21.13% 20.02%
19 1988-04-14 30.0 Newry City 2 1146 65.83% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 907 15.19% 18.98%
20 1988-03-26 30.2 @ Portadown 3 1075 58.17% Lisburn Distillery 0 945 21.73% 20.10%
21 1988-01-09 30.4 Linfield 3 1324 58.52% @ Glenavon 0 1160 21.42% 20.06%
22 1987-12-28 30.5 Glentoran 2 1237 64.31% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1015 16.43% 19.25%
23 1988-02-06 30.7 @ Glentoran 1 1291 75.42% Lisburn Distillery 0 952 8.16% 16.42%
24 1988-01-27 30.9 Larne 2 1163 62.86% @ Bangor 0 956 17.65% 19.49%
25 1988-01-23 31.0 @ Glenavon 4 1137 54.18% Cliftonville 0 1042 25.36% 20.46%