Home / Leagues / Northern Ireland / Irish League Premier Division / 1997-98
‹ ›

1997-98 Irish League Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Cliftonville

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cliftonville

16.51 points above expected

68 points · 51.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Omagh Town

10.23 points below expected

31 points · 41.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cliftonville 36 20 8 8 68 49 37 +12 51.49 +16.51
2 Linfield 36 17 13 6 64 50 19 +31 58.64 +5.36
3 Glentoran 36 18 8 10 62 54 33 +21 54.99 +7.01
4 Portadown 36 16 9 11 57 49 40 +9 54.64 +2.36
5 Crusaders 36 13 12 11 51 51 51 0 47.59 +3.41
6 Ballymena United 36 14 9 13 51 54 55 -1 51.57 -0.57
7 Coleraine 36 11 11 14 44 44 49 -5 50.90 -6.90
8 Glenavon 36 8 13 15 37 49 59 -10 44.49 -7.49
9 Omagh Town 36 7 10 19 31 43 68 -25 41.23 -10.23
10 Ards 36 4 11 21 23 31 63 -32 31.49 -8.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 68 51.49 +16.51
2 Glentoran 62 54.99 +7.01
3 Linfield 64 58.64 +5.36
4 Crusaders 51 47.59 +3.41
5 Portadown 57 54.64 +2.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Omagh Town 31 41.23 -10.23
2 Ards 23 31.49 -8.49
3 Glenavon 37 44.49 -7.49
4 Coleraine 44 50.90 -6.90
5 Ballymena United 51 51.57 -0.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 8 Jan 1 – Feb 28 1 in 328
2 Cliftonville 4 Sep 20 – Oct 11 1 in 249
3 Linfield 6 Jan 17 – Mar 7 1 in 77
4 Ards 2 Nov 29 – Dec 6 1 in 33
5 Coleraine 3 Oct 11 – Oct 25 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Omagh Town 7 Oct 30 – Dec 6 1 in 663
2 Ballymena United 4 Jan 3 – Jan 31 1 in 106
3 Ards 5 Sep 28 – Oct 25 1 in 19
4 Coleraine 3 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 18
5 Linfield 2 Sep 20 – Sep 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 4 Nov 22 – Dec 6 1 in 22
2 Crusaders 6 Mar 21 – Apr 25 1 in 18
3 Linfield 12 Jan 17 – Apr 25 1 in 13
4 Glentoran 9 Dec 26 – Feb 28 1 in 12
5 Cliftonville 6 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 15 Dec 26 – Apr 18 1 in 555
2 Ballymena United 8 Dec 26 – Feb 14 1 in 59
3 Linfield 6 Nov 8 – Dec 6 1 in 23
4 Glenavon 9 Dec 26 – Feb 28 1 in 18
5 Glentoran 7 Oct 18 – Nov 22 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cliftonville 1074 68 -11 8 7.3 +0.7
Linfield 1189 64 +34 11 10.1 +0.9
Glentoran 1137 62 +10 9 9.5 -0.5
Portadown 1019 57 +15 9 7.4 +1.6
Ballymena United 973 51 +10 7 6.1 +0.9
Crusaders 1003 51 +28 7 6.3 +0.7
Coleraine 917 44 -20 6 6.4 -0.4
Glenavon 948 37 +9 5 5.9 -0.9
Omagh Town 857 31 -25 4 5.7 -1.7
Ards 800 23 -26 2 4.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LIN OT POR
Ards —
1-1-2
3.38
0-2-2
3.56
1-2-1
3.25
0-1-3
3.75
1-2-1
3.47
0-1-3
3.03
0-0-4
3.44
1-1-2
4.01
0-1-3
2.91
Ballymena United
2-1-1
7.48
 —
3-0-1
5.19
2-2-0
5.57
2-0-2
5.93
2-2-0
6.12
1-1-2
5.03
0-2-2
4.76
2-0-2
6.70
0-1-3
4.83
Cliftonville
2-2-0
7.31
1-0-3
5.60
 —
3-0-1
5.47
1-2-1
5.79
1-3-0
6.11
1-1-2
5.15
3-0-1
4.29
4-0-0
6.50
4-0-0
5.09
Coleraine
1-2-1
7.63
0-2-2
5.21
1-0-3
5.35
 —
2-1-1
5.41
0-2-2
5.84
1-0-3
5.12
1-2-1
4.15
3-1-0
6.44
2-1-1
4.83
Crusaders
3-1-0
7.08
2-0-2
4.86
1-2-1
5.01
1-1-2
5.38
 —
2-1-1
5.64
0-2-2
4.54
1-2-1
4.13
2-2-0
6.49
1-1-2
4.71
Glenavon
1-2-1
7.38
0-2-2
4.67
0-3-1
4.71
2-2-0
4.94
1-1-2
5.13
 —
3-0-1
4.37
0-1-3
4.08
0-2-2
5.88
1-0-3
4.57
Glentoran
3-1-0
7.92
2-1-1
5.80
2-1-1
5.65
3-0-1
5.68
2-2-0
6.27
1-0-3
6.47
 —
0-1-3
5.26
3-1-0
6.76
2-1-1
5.44
Linfield
4-0-0
7.46
2-2-0
6.07
1-0-3
6.51
1-2-1
6.71
1-2-1
6.70
3-1-0
6.78
3-1-0
5.52
 —
1-2-1
6.68
1-3-0
5.89
Omagh Town
2-1-1
6.81
2-0-2
4.12
0-0-4
4.34
0-1-3
4.37
0-2-2
4.32
2-2-0
4.91
0-1-3
4.07
1-2-1
4.15
 —
0-1-3
4.17
Portadown
3-1-0
8.01
3-1-0
5.96
0-0-4
5.69
1-1-2
5.97
2-1-1
6.08
3-0-1
6.23
1-1-2
5.36
0-3-1
4.91
3-1-0
6.66
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +16.7
Allowed 0.77 -8.6
Differential 0.89 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%9.72%6.11%2.78%1.94%0.28%28.61%
19.72%13.89%6.67%2.22%0.28%1.11%33.89%
26.11%6.67%6.11%1.94%1.39%0.28%22.50%
32.78%2.22%1.94%1.11%0.83%—8.89%
41.94%0.28%1.39%0.83%——4.44%
5+0.28%1.11%0.28%———1.67%
Total28.61%33.89%22.50%8.89%4.44%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.70
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%11.11%2.78%5.56%—44.44%
12.78%16.67%8.33%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
2—5.56%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total8.33%41.67%30.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.75 -0.89
SD 0.99 1.18 1.39
CV 1.15 0.67 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
18.33%8.33%11.11%———27.78%
28.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%36.11%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%25.00%25.00%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.53 -0.03
SD 1.16 1.34 1.66
CV 0.77 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
125.00%8.33%———2.78%36.11%
211.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total44.44%25.00%22.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.03 +0.33
SD 1.20 1.23 1.79
CV 0.88 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%2.78%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
22.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
3—8.33%—2.78%——11.11%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total22.22%47.22%11.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.36 -0.14
SD 1.40 1.22 1.84
CV 1.14 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
113.89%13.89%2.78%5.56%——36.11%
2—5.56%11.11%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%—5.56%—2.78%—11.11%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%25.00%30.56%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.18 1.66
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
18.33%11.11%13.89%—2.78%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%8.33%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
32.78%——5.56%——8.33%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%19.44%27.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.64 -0.28
SD 1.10 1.40 1.52
CV 0.81 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
111.11%19.44%5.56%———36.11%
216.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total38.89%38.89%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.92 +0.58
SD 1.23 0.94 1.84
CV 0.82 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%13.89%————33.33%
18.33%16.67%2.78%———27.78%
213.89%2.78%————16.67%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total55.56%36.11%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.53 +0.86
SD 1.38 0.65 1.48
CV 0.99 1.24 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
12.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
2—8.33%11.11%—5.56%—25.00%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total8.33%36.11%30.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.89 -0.69
SD 1.06 1.24 1.58
CV 0.89 0.65 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
111.11%19.44%11.11%2.78%——44.44%
25.56%11.11%————16.67%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%44.44%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.11 +0.25
SD 1.20 0.85 1.57
CV 0.88 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1189 64 58.64 +5.36 82.0% 35 46 55 59 63 69 78
Glentoran 1137 62 54.99 +7.01 84.0% 39 42 50 55 59 65 68
Cliftonville 1074 68 51.49 +16.51 100.0% 35 39 47 52 56 62 68
Portadown 1019 57 54.64 +2.36 58.0% 39 43 50 55 60 66 69
Crusaders 1003 51 47.59 +3.41 68.0% 33 35 43 48 53 58 61
Ballymena United 973 51 51.57 -0.57 53.0% 34 40 46 51 56 65 73
Glenavon 948 37 44.49 -7.49 23.0% 28 32 38 45 50 58 64
Coleraine 917 44 50.90 -6.90 21.0% 34 40 45 51 56 61 74
Omagh Town 857 31 41.23 -10.23 8.0% 24 28 36 42 46 53 55
Ards 800 23 31.49 -8.49 14.0% 17 21 26 31 36 43 52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.67%
No Edge
38.89%28.89%32.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.20 Elo pts.
229 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Cliftonville, 5th of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.79 * Some Luck: 5.79 to 8.69 * Lucky: 8.69 to 11.59 * Wild Swing: 11.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.06 * Off: 2.06 to 2.75 * Way Off: 2.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.05 points
Some Luck
07.2418
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.724
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Cliftonville
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.00%
Omagh Town
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.37
1.93
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.28
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Cliftonville7.00%11.00%13.00%20.00%10.00%17.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%—
Linfield36.00%24.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%—2.00%1.00%
Glentoran17.00%21.00%16.00%16.00%16.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%
Portadown20.00%15.00%17.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%—
Crusaders1.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%10.00%2.00%
Ballymena United11.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%—
Coleraine6.00%11.00%17.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%
Glenavon2.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%21.00%15.00%9.00%
Omagh Town——2.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%16.00%15.00%33.00%14.00%
Ards————1.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%16.00%72.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ballymena United 95.00% 5.00% —
Cliftonville 91.00% 9.00% —
Portadown 99.00% 1.00% —
Coleraine 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Glentoran 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Linfield 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Crusaders 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
Glenavon 76.00% 15.00% 9.00%
Omagh Town 53.00% 33.00% 14.00%
Ards 12.00% 16.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1997-08-16 Linfield L 0-141.2 945 979 33.09% 30.63% 36.28%-0.05 -11.7 0
1997-08-16 @ Ards W 1-041.2 979 945 36.28% 30.63% 33.09%+0.05 +11.7 3
1997-08-16 Ballymena United L 0-236.2 944 1011 28.79% 30.43% 40.78%-0.19 -20.0 0
1997-08-16 @ Cliftonville W 2-036.2 1011 944 40.78% 30.43% 28.79%+0.19 +20.0 3
1997-08-16 Coleraine W 1-040.6 1002 999 38.35% 30.57% 31.08%+0.11 +11.2 3
1997-08-16 @ Glentoran L 0-140.6 999 1002 31.08% 30.57% 38.35%-0.11 -11.2 0
1997-08-16 Glenavon D 2-257.2 1037 998 43.30% 30.21% 26.50%+0.27 -0.8 1
1997-08-16 @ Omagh Town D 2-257.2 998 1037 26.50% 30.21% 43.30%-0.27 +0.8 1
1997-08-16 Crusaders D 1-151.4 999 1004 37.24% 30.60% 32.16%+0.08 -0.3 1
1997-08-16 @ Portadown D 1-151.4 1004 999 32.16% 30.60% 37.24%-0.08 +0.3 1
1997-08-23 Ards W 1-041.1 924 933 36.71% 30.62% 32.67%+0.06 +11.6 3
1997-08-23 @ Cliftonville L 0-141.1 933 924 32.67% 30.62% 36.71%-0.06 -11.6 0
1997-08-23 Portadown L 0-142.2 988 998 36.53% 30.62% 32.85%+0.06 -12.6 0
1997-08-23 @ Coleraine W 1-042.2 998 988 32.85% 30.62% 36.53%-0.06 +12.6 4
1997-08-23 Ballymena United W 4-247.6 1004 1031 34.22% 30.64% 35.14%-0.01 +17.9 4
1997-08-23 @ Crusaders L 2-447.6 1031 1004 35.14% 30.64% 34.22%+0.01 -17.9 3
1997-08-23 Glentoran W 1-041.3 998 1013 35.88% 30.63% 33.49%+0.04 +11.8 4
1997-08-23 @ Glenavon L 0-141.3 1013 998 33.49% 30.63% 35.88%-0.04 -11.8 3
1997-08-23 Omagh Town D 1-151.4 991 1036 31.61% 30.59% 37.80%-0.10 +0.4 4
1997-08-23 @ Linfield D 1-151.4 1036 991 37.80% 30.59% 31.61%+0.10 -0.4 2
1997-08-30 Omagh Town D 2-257.3 921 1035 23.30% 29.72% 46.97%-0.40 +1.2 1
1997-08-30 @ Ards D 2-257.3 1035 921 46.97% 29.72% 23.30%+0.40 -1.2 3
1997-08-30 Coleraine W 1-039.2 1013 975 43.05% 30.23% 26.72%+0.26 +10.0 6
1997-08-30 @ Ballymena United L 0-139.2 975 1013 26.72% 30.23% 43.05%-0.26 -10.0 0
1997-08-30 Crusaders D 2-257.2 935 1022 26.37% 30.19% 43.43%-0.28 +0.8 4
1997-08-30 @ Cliftonville D 2-257.2 1022 935 43.43% 30.19% 26.37%+0.28 -0.8 5
1997-08-30 Linfield L 0-337.4 1001 991 39.40% 30.51% 30.08%+0.15 -36.4 3
1997-08-30 @ Glentoran W 3-037.4 991 1001 30.08% 30.51% 39.40%-0.15 +36.4 7
1997-09-10 Cliftonville W 5-137.5 965 936 41.97% 30.33% 27.70%+0.23 +30.8 3
1997-09-10 @ Coleraine L 1-537.5 936 965 27.70% 30.33% 41.97%-0.23 -30.7 4
1997-09-10 Ards W 4-031.1 1021 922 50.71% 29.02% 20.27%+0.53 +28.7 8
1997-09-10 @ Crusaders L 0-431.1 922 1021 20.27% 29.02% 50.71%-0.53 -28.7 1
1997-09-10 Ballymena United L 1-247.7 1010 1023 36.20% 30.63% 33.17%+0.05 -11.8 4
1997-09-10 @ Glenavon W 2-147.7 1023 1010 33.17% 30.63% 36.20%-0.05 +11.8 9
1997-09-13 Glenavon D 1-151.5 906 998 25.65% 30.10% 44.25%-0.30 +1.2 5
1997-09-13 @ Cliftonville D 1-151.5 998 906 44.25% 30.10% 25.65%+0.30 -1.2 5
1997-09-13 Coleraine L 1-346.7 1050 996 45.20% 29.98% 24.82%+0.34 -24.1 8
1997-09-13 @ Crusaders W 3-146.7 996 1050 24.82% 29.98% 45.20%-0.34 +24.1 6
1997-09-13 Ards W 3-032.2 965 894 47.40% 29.66% 22.94%+0.41 +24.4 6
1997-09-13 @ Glentoran L 0-332.2 894 965 22.94% 29.66% 47.40%-0.41 -24.4 1
1997-09-13 Ballymena United D 0-046.7 1027 1035 36.98% 30.61% 32.41%+0.07 -0.3 8
1997-09-13 @ Linfield D 0-046.7 1035 1027 32.41% 30.61% 36.98%-0.07 +0.3 10
1997-09-13 Omagh Town W 3-143.7 1011 1034 34.65% 30.64% 34.71%+0.00 +19.8 7
1997-09-13 @ Portadown L 1-343.7 1034 1011 34.71% 30.64% 34.65%+0.00 -19.8 3
1997-09-20 Coleraine D 0-047.2 869 1020 19.75% 28.87% 51.38%-0.56 +2.5 2
1997-09-20 @ Ards D 0-047.2 1020 869 51.38% 28.87% 19.75%+0.56 -2.5 7
1997-09-20 Crusaders W 2-038.2 997 1026 33.90% 30.64% 35.46%-0.02 +23.2 8
1997-09-20 @ Glenavon L 0-238.2 1026 997 35.46% 30.64% 33.90%+0.02 -23.2 8
1997-09-20 Portadown D 1-151.4 989 1031 32.13% 30.60% 37.26%-0.08 +0.3 7
1997-09-20 @ Glentoran D 1-151.4 1031 989 37.26% 30.60% 32.13%+0.08 -0.3 8
1997-09-20 Cliftonville L 0-146.6 1027 907 53.17% 28.43% 18.40%+0.63 -16.9 8
1997-09-20 @ Linfield W 1-046.6 907 1027 18.40% 28.43% 53.17%-0.63 +16.9 8
1997-09-20 Ballymena United W 3-252.1 1014 1035 35.08% 30.64% 34.28%+0.01 +10.8 6
1997-09-20 @ Omagh Town L 2-352.1 1035 1014 34.28% 30.64% 35.08%-0.01 -10.8 10
1997-09-28 Glentoran L 0-240.3 1024 990 42.68% 30.27% 27.05%+0.25 -26.6 10
1997-09-28 @ Ballymena United W 2-040.3 990 1024 27.05% 30.27% 42.68%-0.25 +26.6 10
1997-09-28 Omagh Town W 4-039.0 924 1025 24.67% 29.96% 45.37%-0.34 +53.0 11
1997-09-28 @ Cliftonville L 0-439.0 1025 924 45.37% 29.96% 24.67%+0.34 -53.0 6
1997-09-28 Glenavon L 1-248.1 1018 1020 37.61% 30.59% 31.79%+0.09 -12.1 7
1997-09-28 @ Coleraine W 2-148.1 1020 1018 31.79% 30.59% 37.61%-0.09 +12.1 11
1997-09-28 Linfield W 1-041.0 1003 1010 36.90% 30.61% 32.49%+0.07 +11.6 11
1997-09-28 @ Crusaders L 0-141.0 1010 1003 32.49% 30.61% 36.90%-0.07 -11.6 8
1997-09-28 Ards W 1-034.9 1030 872 57.28% 27.20% 15.52%+0.79 +6.3 11
1997-09-28 @ Portadown L 0-134.9 872 1030 15.52% 27.20% 57.28%-0.79 -6.3 2
1997-10-04 Glenavon L 3-449.2 865 1033 18.37% 28.42% 53.21%-0.63 -6.4 2
1997-10-04 @ Ards W 4-349.2 1033 865 53.21% 28.42% 18.37%+0.63 +6.4 14
1997-10-04 Cliftonville L 0-240.5 1016 977 43.36% 30.20% 26.44%+0.27 -27.0 10
1997-10-04 @ Glentoran W 2-040.5 977 1016 26.44% 30.20% 43.36%-0.27 +26.9 14
1997-10-04 Coleraine D 1-151.4 999 1006 36.99% 30.61% 32.40%+0.07 -0.3 9
1997-10-04 @ Linfield D 1-151.4 1006 999 32.40% 30.61% 36.99%-0.07 +0.3 8
1997-10-04 Crusaders D 1-151.4 972 1014 32.04% 30.60% 37.36%-0.08 +0.3 7
1997-10-04 @ Omagh Town D 1-151.4 1014 972 37.36% 30.60% 32.04%+0.08 -0.3 12
1997-10-04 Ballymena United D 1-151.5 1037 998 43.30% 30.21% 26.49%+0.27 -1.1 12
1997-10-04 @ Portadown D 1-151.5 998 1037 26.49% 30.21% 43.30%-0.27 +1.1 11
1997-10-11 Ards W 3-137.5 999 859 55.28% 27.84% 16.89%+0.71 +11.1 14
1997-10-11 @ Ballymena United L 1-337.5 859 999 16.89% 27.84% 55.28%-0.71 -11.1 2
1997-10-11 Portadown W 3-144.1 1004 1036 33.44% 30.63% 35.93%-0.04 +20.3 17
1997-10-11 @ Cliftonville L 1-344.1 1036 1004 35.93% 30.63% 33.44%+0.04 -20.3 12
1997-10-11 Omagh Town W 4-352.4 1006 973 42.55% 30.28% 27.17%+0.25 +8.9 11
1997-10-11 @ Coleraine L 3-452.4 973 1006 27.17% 30.28% 42.55%-0.25 -8.9 7
1997-10-11 Glentoran L 0-239.9 1014 989 41.35% 30.39% 28.26%+0.21 -26.0 12
1997-10-11 @ Crusaders W 2-039.9 989 1014 28.26% 30.39% 41.35%-0.21 +26.0 13
1997-10-11 Linfield L 2-354.7 1039 998 43.48% 30.19% 26.33%+0.28 -12.8 14
1997-10-11 @ Glenavon W 3-254.7 998 1039 26.33% 30.19% 43.48%-0.28 +12.8 12
1997-10-18 Cliftonville W 2-037.6 1010 1024 35.97% 30.63% 33.40%+0.04 +22.3 17
1997-10-18 @ Ballymena United L 0-237.6 1024 1010 33.40% 30.63% 35.97%-0.04 -22.3 17
1997-10-18 Glentoran W 2-146.3 1015 1015 37.91% 30.58% 31.50%+0.10 +10.7 14
1997-10-18 @ Coleraine L 1-246.3 1015 1015 31.50% 30.58% 37.91%-0.10 -10.7 13
1997-10-18 Portadown L 1-343.5 988 1015 34.08% 30.64% 35.28%-0.02 -19.6 12
1997-10-18 @ Crusaders W 3-143.5 1015 988 35.28% 30.64% 34.08%+0.02 +19.6 15
1997-10-18 Omagh Town D 2-257.3 1026 964 46.30% 29.83% 23.87%+0.37 -1.1 15
1997-10-18 @ Glenavon D 2-257.3 964 1026 23.87% 29.83% 46.30%-0.37 +1.1 8
1997-10-18 Ards W 4-029.0 1011 848 57.77% 27.03% 15.20%+0.82 +22.1 15
1997-10-18 @ Linfield L 0-429.0 848 1011 15.20% 27.03% 57.77%-0.82 -22.1 2
1997-10-21 Glentoran D 1-151.4 965 1005 32.34% 30.61% 37.05%-0.07 +0.3 9
1997-10-21 @ Omagh Town D 1-151.4 1005 965 37.05% 30.61% 32.34%+0.07 -0.3 14
1997-10-21 Glenavon W 2-145.9 1035 1025 39.34% 30.52% 30.14%+0.14 +10.4 18
1997-10-21 @ Portadown L 1-245.9 1025 1035 30.14% 30.52% 39.34%-0.14 -10.4 15
1997-10-25 Cliftonville L 2-346.4 826 1002 17.66% 28.16% 54.18%-0.67 -6.4 2
1997-10-25 @ Ards W 3-246.4 1002 826 54.18% 28.16% 17.66%+0.67 +6.4 20
1997-10-25 Crusaders L 2-355.5 1032 968 46.45% 29.81% 23.74%+0.38 -13.5 17
1997-10-25 @ Ballymena United W 3-255.5 968 1032 23.74% 29.81% 46.45%-0.38 +13.5 15
1997-10-25 Glenavon L 0-142.2 1004 1015 36.52% 30.62% 32.86%+0.06 -12.6 14
1997-10-25 @ Glentoran W 1-042.2 1015 1004 32.86% 30.62% 36.52%-0.06 +12.6 18
1997-10-25 Linfield W 1-043.5 965 1033 28.60% 30.41% 40.98%-0.20 +13.7 12
1997-10-25 @ Omagh Town L 0-143.5 1033 965 40.98% 30.41% 28.60%+0.20 -13.7 15
1997-10-25 Coleraine L 0-143.4 1045 1026 40.68% 30.44% 28.88%+0.19 -13.6 18
1997-10-25 @ Portadown W 1-043.4 1026 1045 28.88% 30.44% 40.68%-0.19 +13.6 17
1997-10-30 Cliftonville D 2-257.0 982 1008 34.25% 30.64% 35.11%-0.01 +0.0 16
1997-10-30 @ Crusaders D 2-257.0 1008 982 35.11% 30.64% 34.25%+0.01 -0.0 21
1997-10-30 Portadown L 1-540.5 1027 1032 37.37% 30.60% 32.03%+0.08 -38.1 18
1997-10-30 @ Glenavon W 5-140.5 1032 1027 32.03% 30.60% 37.37%-0.08 +38.1 21
1997-10-30 Glentoran W 2-035.9 1020 992 41.80% 30.35% 27.85%+0.22 +19.5 18
1997-10-30 @ Linfield L 0-235.9 992 1020 27.85% 30.35% 41.80%-0.22 -19.5 14
1997-10-30 Ards L 2-453.2 979 819 57.36% 27.17% 15.47%+0.80 -26.2 12
1997-10-30 @ Omagh Town W 4-253.2 819 979 15.47% 27.17% 57.36%-0.80 +26.2 5
1997-11-01 Ballymena United L 0-143.5 1039 1019 40.83% 30.43% 28.75%+0.19 -13.7 17
1997-11-01 @ Coleraine W 1-043.5 1019 1039 28.75% 30.43% 40.83%-0.19 +13.6 20
1997-11-04 Glenavon D 0-046.8 1032 989 43.81% 30.15% 26.04%+0.29 -1.3 21
1997-11-04 @ Ballymena United D 0-046.8 989 1032 26.04% 30.15% 43.81%-0.29 +1.3 19
1997-11-04 Coleraine W 3-143.5 1008 1026 35.49% 30.64% 33.87%+0.02 +19.5 24
1997-11-04 @ Cliftonville L 1-343.5 1026 1008 33.87% 30.64% 35.49%-0.02 -19.5 17
1997-11-04 Linfield L 0-240.2 1070 1039 42.15% 30.32% 27.53%+0.23 -26.4 21
1997-11-04 @ Portadown W 2-040.2 1039 1070 27.53% 30.32% 42.15%-0.23 +26.4 21
1997-11-08 Glentoran D 1-151.7 846 972 22.04% 29.47% 48.49%-0.45 +1.8 6
1997-11-08 @ Ards D 1-151.7 972 846 48.49% 29.47% 22.04%+0.45 -1.8 15
1997-11-08 Linfield D 1-151.4 1031 1066 33.05% 30.63% 36.32%-0.05 +0.2 22
1997-11-08 @ Ballymena United D 1-151.4 1066 1031 36.32% 30.63% 33.05%+0.05 -0.2 22
1997-11-08 Crusaders W 4-034.0 1006 982 41.30% 30.39% 28.31%+0.21 +37.5 20
1997-11-08 @ Coleraine L 0-434.0 982 1006 28.31% 30.39% 41.30%-0.21 -37.5 16
1997-11-08 Cliftonville D 0-046.7 990 1027 32.73% 30.62% 36.65%-0.06 +0.3 20
1997-11-08 @ Glenavon D 0-046.7 1027 990 36.65% 30.62% 32.73%+0.06 -0.3 25
1997-11-08 Portadown L 1-244.5 953 1043 25.89% 30.13% 43.98%-0.30 -9.2 12
1997-11-08 @ Omagh Town W 2-144.5 1043 953 43.98% 30.13% 25.89%+0.30 +9.2 24
1997-11-15 Omagh Town W 4-243.0 1031 943 49.40% 29.29% 21.30%+0.49 +12.2 25
1997-11-15 @ Ballymena United L 2-443.0 943 1031 21.30% 29.29% 49.40%-0.49 -12.2 12
1997-11-15 Linfield W 2-147.9 1027 1065 32.57% 30.62% 36.81%-0.07 +11.9 28
1997-11-15 @ Cliftonville L 1-247.9 1065 1027 36.81% 30.62% 32.57%+0.07 -11.9 22
1997-11-15 Ards W 2-139.4 1044 847 61.01% 25.80% 13.18%+0.96 +5.0 23
1997-11-15 @ Coleraine L 1-239.4 847 1044 13.18% 25.80% 61.01%-0.96 -5.0 6
1997-11-15 Glenavon W 3-253.2 944 991 31.45% 30.58% 37.97%-0.10 +11.6 19
1997-11-15 @ Crusaders L 2-353.2 991 944 37.97% 30.58% 31.45%+0.10 -11.6 20
1997-11-15 Glentoran W 3-248.0 1053 970 48.72% 29.42% 21.85%+0.46 +7.7 27
1997-11-15 @ Portadown L 2-348.0 970 1053 21.85% 29.42% 48.72%-0.46 -7.7 15
1997-11-22 Portadown D 1-152.5 842 1060 14.68% 26.74% 58.58%-0.85 +3.2 7
1997-11-22 @ Ards D 1-152.5 1060 842 58.58% 26.74% 14.68%+0.85 -3.2 28
1997-11-22 Coleraine D 1-151.4 979 1049 28.45% 30.40% 41.15%-0.20 +0.8 21
1997-11-22 @ Glenavon D 1-151.4 1049 979 41.15% 30.40% 28.45%+0.20 -0.8 24
1997-11-22 Ballymena United L 1-244.9 963 1043 27.09% 30.27% 42.63%-0.25 -9.6 15
1997-11-22 @ Glentoran W 2-144.9 1043 963 42.63% 30.27% 27.09%+0.25 +9.6 28
1997-11-22 Crusaders D 0-047.2 1053 956 50.55% 29.06% 20.39%+0.53 -2.3 23
1997-11-22 @ Linfield D 0-047.2 956 1053 20.39% 29.06% 50.55%-0.53 +2.3 20
1997-11-22 Cliftonville L 0-138.2 931 1039 23.96% 29.84% 46.19%-0.37 -9.2 12
1997-11-22 @ Omagh Town W 1-038.2 1039 931 46.19% 29.84% 23.96%+0.37 +9.2 31
1997-11-25 Crusaders D 1-151.6 846 958 23.47% 29.76% 46.78%-0.39 +1.6 8
1997-11-25 @ Ards D 1-151.6 958 846 46.78% 29.76% 23.47%+0.39 -1.6 21
1997-11-25 Omagh Town W 1-039.4 953 922 42.27% 30.31% 27.42%+0.24 +10.2 18
1997-11-25 @ Glentoran L 0-139.4 922 953 27.42% 30.31% 42.27%-0.24 -10.2 12
1997-11-25 Portadown D 0-046.7 1051 1057 37.14% 30.61% 32.25%+0.08 -0.3 24
1997-11-25 @ Linfield D 0-046.7 1057 1051 32.25% 30.61% 37.14%-0.08 +0.3 29
1997-11-29 Portadown L 1-248.1 1053 1057 37.35% 30.60% 32.05%+0.08 -12.0 28
1997-11-29 @ Ballymena United W 2-148.1 1057 1053 32.05% 30.60% 37.35%-0.08 +12.1 32
1997-11-29 Glentoran L 0-241.9 1048 963 49.06% 29.36% 21.58%+0.47 -29.8 31
1997-11-29 @ Cliftonville W 2-041.9 963 1048 21.58% 29.36% 49.06%-0.47 +29.8 21
1997-11-29 Linfield W 1-040.8 1048 1051 37.56% 30.59% 31.84%+0.09 +11.4 27
1997-11-29 @ Coleraine L 0-140.8 1051 1048 31.84% 30.59% 37.56%-0.09 -11.4 24
1997-11-29 Omagh Town W 1-038.9 957 912 44.07% 30.12% 25.80%+0.30 +9.8 24
1997-11-29 @ Crusaders L 0-138.9 912 957 25.80% 30.12% 44.07%-0.30 -9.8 12
1997-11-29 Ards L 1-252.4 980 847 54.54% 28.05% 17.40%+0.68 -16.2 21
1997-11-29 @ Glenavon W 2-152.4 847 980 17.40% 28.05% 54.54%-0.68 +16.2 11
1997-12-06 Ballymena United W 2-152.4 863 1041 17.55% 28.11% 54.35%-0.67 +16.2 14
1997-12-06 @ Ards L 1-252.4 1041 863 54.35% 28.11% 17.55%+0.67 -16.2 28
1997-12-06 Crusaders D 1-151.4 993 966 41.65% 30.36% 27.99%+0.22 -0.9 22
1997-12-06 @ Glentoran D 1-151.4 966 993 27.99% 30.36% 41.65%-0.22 +0.9 25
1997-12-06 Glenavon D 1-151.7 1039 964 47.93% 29.57% 22.51%+0.43 -1.7 25
1997-12-06 @ Linfield D 1-151.7 964 1039 22.51% 29.57% 47.93%-0.43 +1.7 22
1997-12-06 Coleraine L 1-338.5 902 1059 19.19% 28.70% 52.11%-0.59 -12.5 12
1997-12-06 @ Omagh Town W 3-138.5 1059 902 52.11% 28.70% 19.19%+0.59 +12.5 30
1997-12-06 Cliftonville L 0-240.9 1069 1019 44.82% 30.03% 25.15%+0.32 -27.7 32
1997-12-06 @ Portadown W 2-040.9 1019 1069 25.15% 30.03% 44.82%-0.32 +27.7 34
1997-12-13 Linfield L 1-534.5 880 1038 19.14% 28.68% 52.18%-0.59 -22.8 14
1997-12-13 @ Ards W 5-134.5 1038 880 52.18% 28.68% 19.14%+0.59 +22.8 28
1997-12-13 Cliftonville W 4-035.9 1025 1046 34.91% 30.64% 34.45%+0.01 +43.2 31
1997-12-13 @ Ballymena United L 0-435.9 1046 1025 34.45% 30.64% 34.91%-0.01 -43.2 34
1997-12-13 Coleraine W 3-038.3 992 1072 27.23% 30.29% 42.48%-0.25 +38.5 25
1997-12-13 @ Glentoran L 0-338.3 1072 992 42.48% 30.29% 27.23%+0.25 -38.5 30
1997-12-13 Glenavon W 2-149.4 889 965 27.62% 30.33% 42.05%-0.23 +13.2 15
1997-12-13 @ Omagh Town L 1-249.4 965 889 42.05% 30.33% 27.62%+0.23 -13.2 22
1997-12-13 Crusaders W 3-248.3 1042 967 47.78% 29.59% 22.63%+0.43 +7.9 35
1997-12-13 @ Portadown L 2-348.3 967 1042 22.63% 29.59% 47.78%-0.43 -7.9 25
1997-12-20 Ards D 2-257.9 1003 857 55.98% 27.62% 16.40%+0.74 -2.1 35
1997-12-20 @ Cliftonville D 2-257.9 857 1003 16.40% 27.62% 55.98%-0.74 +2.1 15
1997-12-20 Portadown W 2-037.7 1033 1050 35.65% 30.64% 33.72%+0.03 +22.4 33
1997-12-20 @ Coleraine L 0-237.7 1050 1033 33.72% 30.64% 35.65%-0.03 -22.4 35
1997-12-20 Ballymena United L 3-451.3 959 1068 23.93% 29.84% 46.23%-0.37 -8.0 25
1997-12-20 @ Crusaders W 4-351.3 1068 959 46.23% 29.84% 23.93%+0.37 +8.0 34
1997-12-20 Glentoran W 1-043.9 952 1031 27.33% 30.30% 42.37%-0.24 +14.0 25
1997-12-20 @ Glenavon L 0-143.9 1031 952 42.37% 30.30% 27.33%+0.24 -14.0 25
1997-12-20 Omagh Town D 0-047.7 1060 902 57.20% 27.22% 15.58%+0.79 -3.3 29
1997-12-20 @ Linfield D 0-047.7 902 1060 15.58% 27.22% 57.20%-0.79 +3.4 16
1997-12-26 Omagh Town L 1-246.3 859 906 31.37% 30.58% 38.05%-0.10 -10.6 15
1997-12-26 @ Ards W 2-146.3 906 859 38.05% 30.58% 31.37%+0.10 +10.7 19
1997-12-26 Coleraine D 2-257.1 1076 1056 40.77% 30.43% 28.80%+0.19 -0.6 35
1997-12-26 @ Ballymena United D 2-257.1 1056 1076 28.80% 30.43% 40.77%-0.19 +0.6 34
1997-12-26 Linfield D 1-151.4 1017 1057 32.29% 30.61% 37.10%-0.07 +0.3 26
1997-12-26 @ Glentoran D 1-151.4 1057 1017 37.10% 30.61% 32.29%+0.07 -0.3 30
1997-12-26 Glenavon W 2-034.6 1027 966 46.10% 29.86% 24.05%+0.37 +17.4 38
1997-12-26 @ Portadown L 0-234.6 966 1027 24.05% 29.86% 46.10%-0.37 -17.4 25
1998-01-01 Cliftonville L 0-241.0 1056 1001 45.38% 29.96% 24.66%+0.34 -27.9 34
1998-01-01 @ Coleraine W 2-041.0 1001 1056 24.66% 29.96% 45.38%-0.34 +27.9 38
1998-01-01 Ards W 1-036.7 951 848 51.21% 28.91% 19.88%+0.55 +7.9 28
1998-01-01 @ Crusaders L 0-136.7 848 951 19.88% 28.91% 51.21%-0.55 -7.9 15
1998-01-01 Ballymena United D 3-361.2 949 1075 22.07% 29.47% 48.46%-0.45 +1.1 26
1998-01-01 @ Glenavon D 3-361.2 1075 949 48.46% 29.47% 22.07%+0.45 -1.1 36
1998-01-01 Portadown D 1-151.4 1057 1045 39.65% 30.50% 29.85%+0.15 -0.6 31
1998-01-01 @ Linfield D 1-151.4 1045 1057 29.85% 30.50% 39.65%-0.15 +0.6 39
1998-01-01 Glentoran L 0-533.6 916 1017 24.77% 29.98% 45.25%-0.34 -41.8 19
1998-01-01 @ Omagh Town W 5-033.6 1017 916 45.25% 29.98% 24.77%+0.34 +41.7 29
1998-01-03 Linfield L 0-239.7 1074 1056 40.48% 30.45% 29.08%+0.18 -25.6 36
1998-01-03 @ Ballymena United W 2-039.7 1056 1074 29.08% 30.45% 40.48%-0.18 +25.6 34
1998-01-03 Coleraine W 3-037.9 959 1028 28.52% 30.41% 41.07%-0.20 +37.5 31
1998-01-03 @ Crusaders L 0-337.9 1028 959 41.07% 30.41% 28.52%+0.20 -37.5 34
1998-01-03 Omagh Town D 1-152.5 1045 875 58.49% 26.77% 14.73%+0.85 -3.2 40
1998-01-03 @ Portadown D 1-152.5 875 1045 14.73% 26.77% 58.49%-0.85 +3.2 20
1998-01-10 Coleraine W 1-046.2 840 991 19.81% 28.89% 51.30%-0.56 +16.4 18
1998-01-10 @ Ards L 0-146.2 991 840 51.30% 28.89% 19.81%+0.56 -16.4 34
1998-01-10 Crusaders D 2-257.1 950 997 31.38% 30.58% 38.04%-0.10 +0.3 27
1998-01-10 @ Glenavon D 2-257.1 997 950 38.04% 30.58% 31.38%+0.10 -0.3 32
1998-01-10 Portadown W 2-145.6 1059 1042 40.29% 30.46% 29.24%+0.17 +10.1 32
1998-01-10 @ Glentoran L 1-245.6 1042 1059 29.24% 30.46% 40.29%-0.17 -10.1 40
1998-01-10 Cliftonville L 0-144.6 1082 1029 45.06% 30.00% 24.94%+0.33 -14.7 34
1998-01-10 @ Linfield W 1-044.6 1029 1082 24.94% 30.00% 45.06%-0.33 +14.7 41
1998-01-10 Ballymena United W 3-041.0 878 1049 18.08% 28.31% 53.60%-0.64 +46.5 23
1998-01-10 @ Omagh Town L 0-341.0 1049 878 53.60% 28.31% 18.08%+0.64 -46.5 36
1998-01-17 Glentoran L 1-245.4 1002 1069 28.77% 30.43% 40.81%-0.19 -10.0 36
1998-01-17 @ Ballymena United W 2-145.4 1069 1002 40.81% 30.43% 28.77%+0.19 +10.0 35
1998-01-17 Omagh Town W 1-036.2 1044 924 53.04% 28.46% 18.50%+0.62 +7.4 44
1998-01-17 @ Cliftonville L 0-136.2 924 1044 18.50% 28.46% 53.04%-0.62 -7.4 23
1998-01-17 Glenavon D 3-360.9 974 950 41.27% 30.39% 28.33%+0.21 -0.5 35
1998-01-17 @ Coleraine D 3-360.9 950 974 28.33% 30.39% 41.27%-0.21 +0.5 28
1998-01-17 Linfield L 1-245.3 997 1067 28.34% 30.39% 41.27%-0.21 -9.9 32
1998-01-17 @ Crusaders W 2-145.3 1067 997 41.27% 30.39% 28.34%+0.21 +9.9 37
1998-01-17 Ards W 1-034.4 1032 857 58.97% 26.60% 14.43%+0.87 +5.9 43
1998-01-17 @ Portadown L 0-134.4 857 1032 14.43% 26.60% 58.97%-0.87 -5.9 18
1998-01-28 Glenavon W 1-036.8 1051 951 50.86% 28.99% 20.15%+0.54 +8.0 47
1998-01-28 @ Cliftonville L 0-136.8 951 1051 20.15% 28.99% 50.86%-0.54 -8.0 28
1998-01-31 Glenavon D 1-151.5 851 943 25.74% 30.11% 44.14%-0.30 +1.2 19
1998-01-31 @ Ards D 1-151.5 943 851 44.14% 30.11% 25.74%+0.30 -1.2 29
1998-01-31 Cliftonville W 1-039.9 1079 1059 40.73% 30.43% 28.84%+0.19 +10.6 38
1998-01-31 @ Glentoran L 0-139.9 1059 1079 28.84% 30.43% 40.73%-0.19 -10.6 47
1998-01-31 Coleraine W 1-036.8 1077 974 51.19% 28.91% 19.89%+0.55 +7.9 40
1998-01-31 @ Linfield L 0-136.8 974 1077 19.89% 28.91% 51.19%-0.55 -7.9 35
1998-01-31 Crusaders L 1-245.3 917 987 28.42% 30.40% 41.18%-0.20 -9.9 23
1998-01-31 @ Omagh Town W 2-145.3 987 917 41.18% 30.40% 28.42%+0.20 +9.9 35
1998-01-31 Ballymena United W 4-033.1 1038 992 44.16% 30.11% 25.72%+0.30 +34.9 46
1998-01-31 @ Portadown L 0-433.1 992 1038 25.72% 30.11% 44.16%-0.30 -34.9 36
1998-02-07 Ards D 1-151.9 957 852 51.44% 28.86% 19.71%+0.56 -2.2 37
1998-02-07 @ Ballymena United D 1-151.9 852 957 19.71% 28.86% 51.44%-0.56 +2.2 20
1998-02-07 Portadown W 1-041.8 1048 1073 34.52% 30.64% 34.84%+0.00 +12.2 50
1998-02-07 @ Cliftonville L 0-141.8 1073 1048 34.84% 30.64% 34.52%+0.00 -12.2 46
1998-02-07 Omagh Town D 1-151.6 966 907 45.83% 29.90% 24.27%+0.36 -1.4 36
1998-02-07 @ Coleraine D 1-151.6 907 966 24.27% 29.90% 45.83%-0.36 +1.4 24
1998-02-07 Glentoran L 0-333.2 997 1090 25.63% 30.10% 44.27%-0.31 -26.6 35
1998-02-07 @ Crusaders W 3-033.2 1090 997 44.27% 30.10% 25.63%+0.31 +26.6 41
1998-02-07 Linfield L 2-442.7 942 1085 20.47% 29.08% 50.45%-0.52 -11.8 29
1998-02-07 @ Glenavon W 4-242.7 1085 942 50.45% 29.08% 20.47%+0.52 +11.8 43
1998-02-11 Crusaders L 0-145.8 1061 970 49.74% 29.23% 21.03%+0.50 -16.0 50
1998-02-11 @ Cliftonville W 1-045.8 970 1061 21.03% 29.23% 49.74%-0.50 +16.0 38
1998-02-11 Ards W 2-028.3 1116 854 67.00% 23.04% 9.97%+1.25 +7.4 44
1998-02-11 @ Glentoran L 0-228.3 854 1116 9.97% 23.04% 67.00%-1.25 -7.4 20
1998-02-14 Ballymena United W 5-239.1 1045 955 49.62% 29.25% 21.13%+0.49 +16.6 53
1998-02-14 @ Cliftonville L 2-539.1 955 1045 21.13% 29.25% 49.62%-0.49 -16.6 37
1998-02-14 Glentoran L 1-534.4 964 1124 19.03% 28.65% 52.32%-0.59 -22.7 36
1998-02-14 @ Coleraine W 5-134.4 1124 964 52.32% 28.65% 19.03%+0.59 +22.7 47
1998-02-14 Portadown W 2-149.3 986 1061 27.81% 30.34% 41.85%-0.22 +13.1 41
1998-02-14 @ Crusaders L 1-249.3 1061 986 41.85% 30.34% 27.81%+0.22 -13.1 46
1998-02-14 Omagh Town L 2-449.3 930 909 40.91% 30.42% 28.67%+0.19 -20.0 29
1998-02-14 @ Glenavon W 4-249.3 909 930 28.67% 30.42% 40.91%-0.19 +20.0 27
1998-02-14 Ards W 2-028.6 1097 847 65.93% 23.58% 10.49%+1.19 +7.9 46
1998-02-14 @ Linfield L 0-228.6 847 1097 10.49% 23.58% 65.93%-1.19 -7.9 20
1998-02-28 Cliftonville D 1-152.6 839 1061 14.40% 26.58% 59.03%-0.87 +3.2 21
1998-02-28 @ Ards D 1-152.6 1061 839 59.03% 26.58% 14.40%+0.87 -3.2 54
1998-02-28 Crusaders W 1-043.2 938 999 29.56% 30.48% 39.96%-0.16 +13.4 40
1998-02-28 @ Ballymena United L 0-143.2 999 938 39.96% 30.48% 29.56%+0.16 -13.4 41
1998-02-28 Glenavon W 1-032.7 1146 910 64.76% 24.14% 11.10%+1.14 +4.5 50
1998-02-28 @ Glentoran L 0-132.7 910 1146 11.10% 24.14% 64.76%-1.14 -4.5 29
1998-02-28 Linfield L 0-330.2 929 1104 17.67% 28.16% 54.18%-0.67 -19.5 27
1998-02-28 @ Omagh Town W 3-030.2 1104 929 54.18% 28.16% 17.67%+0.67 +19.5 49
1998-02-28 Coleraine D 1-151.9 1047 942 51.51% 28.84% 19.65%+0.56 -2.2 47
1998-02-28 @ Portadown D 1-151.9 942 1047 19.65% 28.84% 51.51%-0.56 +2.2 37
1998-03-07 Ballymena United D 0-046.7 944 952 36.88% 30.61% 32.51%+0.07 -0.3 38
1998-03-07 @ Coleraine D 0-046.7 952 944 32.51% 30.61% 36.88%-0.07 +0.3 41
1998-03-07 Cliftonville L 0-236.0 986 1058 28.08% 30.37% 41.55%-0.22 -19.6 41
1998-03-07 @ Crusaders W 2-036.0 1058 986 41.55% 30.37% 28.08%+0.22 +19.7 57
1998-03-07 Portadown W 3-040.2 905 1045 20.77% 29.16% 50.07%-0.51 +44.0 32
1998-03-07 @ Glenavon L 0-340.2 1045 905 50.07% 29.16% 20.77%+0.51 -44.0 47
1998-03-07 Glentoran W 3-036.3 1124 1151 34.15% 30.64% 35.21%-0.02 +33.6 52
1998-03-07 @ Linfield L 0-336.3 1151 1124 35.21% 30.64% 34.15%+0.02 -33.6 50
1998-03-21 Crusaders L 0-137.7 842 966 22.33% 29.53% 48.14%-0.44 -8.7 21
1998-03-21 @ Ards W 1-037.7 966 842 48.14% 29.53% 22.33%+0.44 +8.7 44
1998-03-21 Glenavon W 2-146.2 952 949 38.35% 30.57% 31.08%+0.11 +10.6 44
1998-03-21 @ Ballymena United L 1-246.2 949 952 31.08% 30.57% 38.35%-0.11 -10.6 32
1998-03-21 Coleraine W 1-035.7 1078 944 54.67% 28.02% 17.31%+0.69 +7.0 60
1998-03-21 @ Cliftonville L 0-135.7 944 1078 17.31% 28.02% 54.67%-0.69 -7.0 38
1998-03-21 Omagh Town W 2-029.8 1117 909 62.16% 25.32% 12.52%+1.01 +9.5 53
1998-03-21 @ Glentoran L 0-229.8 909 1117 12.52% 25.32% 62.16%-1.01 -9.5 27
1998-03-21 Linfield D 0-047.3 1001 1157 19.30% 28.73% 51.97%-0.58 +2.6 48
1998-03-21 @ Portadown D 0-047.3 1157 1001 51.97% 28.73% 19.30%+0.58 -2.6 53
1998-03-28 Glentoran L 0-228.7 834 1127 10.62% 23.70% 65.68%-1.18 -8.0 21
1998-03-28 @ Ards W 2-028.7 1127 834 65.68% 23.70% 10.62%+1.18 +8.0 56
1998-03-28 Crusaders D 0-046.7 937 975 32.59% 30.62% 36.79%-0.06 +0.3 39
1998-03-28 @ Coleraine D 0-046.7 975 937 36.79% 30.62% 32.59%+0.06 -0.3 45
1998-03-28 Cliftonville D 0-047.2 939 1085 20.21% 29.01% 50.78%-0.54 +2.4 33
1998-03-28 @ Glenavon D 0-047.2 1085 939 50.78% 29.01% 20.21%+0.54 -2.4 61
1998-03-28 Ballymena United W 1-033.9 1155 963 60.64% 25.95% 13.41%+0.94 +5.4 56
1998-03-28 @ Linfield L 0-133.9 963 1155 13.41% 25.95% 60.64%-0.94 -5.4 44
1998-03-28 Portadown L 0-234.7 899 1004 24.36% 29.91% 45.73%-0.35 -17.6 27
1998-03-28 @ Omagh Town W 2-034.7 1004 899 45.73% 29.91% 24.36%+0.35 +17.6 51
1998-04-08 Ards W 2-144.0 882 826 45.52% 29.94% 24.54%+0.35 +8.9 30
1998-04-08 @ Omagh Town L 1-244.0 826 882 24.54% 29.94% 45.52%-0.35 -8.9 21
1998-04-11 Omagh Town W 2-143.6 957 891 46.80% 29.75% 23.44%+0.39 +8.5 47
1998-04-11 @ Ballymena United L 1-243.6 891 957 23.44% 29.75% 46.80%-0.39 -8.6 30
1998-04-11 Linfield L 0-333.8 1082 1160 27.39% 30.30% 42.31%-0.24 -28.0 61
1998-04-11 @ Cliftonville W 3-033.8 1160 1082 42.31% 30.30% 27.39%+0.24 +28.0 59
1998-04-11 Ards D 2-257.7 937 817 53.16% 28.43% 18.41%+0.63 -1.8 40
1998-04-11 @ Coleraine D 2-257.7 817 937 18.41% 28.43% 53.16%-0.63 +1.8 22
1998-04-11 Glenavon W 4-138.7 974 941 42.51% 30.28% 27.20%+0.25 +23.5 48
1998-04-11 @ Crusaders L 1-438.7 941 974 27.20% 30.28% 42.51%-0.25 -23.5 33
1998-04-11 Glentoran L 1-243.6 1021 1135 23.40% 29.74% 46.85%-0.39 -8.5 51
1998-04-11 @ Portadown W 2-143.6 1135 1021 46.85% 29.74% 23.40%+0.39 +8.5 59
1998-04-14 Portadown L 0-135.2 819 1013 16.27% 27.56% 56.17%-0.75 -6.6 22
1998-04-14 @ Ards W 1-035.2 1013 819 56.17% 27.56% 16.27%+0.75 +6.6 54
1998-04-14 Coleraine W 4-035.7 918 935 35.50% 30.64% 33.86%+0.02 +42.7 36
1998-04-14 @ Glenavon L 0-435.7 935 918 33.86% 30.64% 35.50%-0.02 -42.7 40
1998-04-14 Ballymena United D 2-258.3 1143 966 59.19% 26.51% 14.29%+0.88 -2.4 60
1998-04-14 @ Glentoran D 2-258.3 966 1143 14.29% 26.51% 59.19%-0.88 +2.4 48
1998-04-14 Crusaders D 0-048.1 1188 998 60.47% 26.02% 13.51%+0.93 -3.8 60
1998-04-14 @ Linfield D 0-048.1 998 1188 13.51% 26.02% 60.47%-0.93 +3.8 49
1998-04-14 Cliftonville L 0-136.0 882 1054 17.97% 28.27% 53.76%-0.65 -7.2 30
1998-04-14 @ Omagh Town W 1-036.0 1054 882 53.76% 28.27% 17.97%+0.65 +7.2 64
1998-04-18 Portadown L 1-246.1 968 1020 30.79% 30.55% 38.66%-0.12 -10.5 48
1998-04-18 @ Ballymena United W 2-146.1 1020 968 38.66% 30.55% 30.79%+0.12 +10.5 57
1998-04-18 Glentoran D 1-151.5 1061 1141 27.23% 30.29% 42.48%-0.25 +1.0 65
1998-04-18 @ Cliftonville D 1-151.5 1141 1061 42.48% 30.29% 27.23%+0.25 -1.0 61
1998-04-18 Linfield D 0-048.8 892 1184 10.67% 23.75% 65.58%-1.18 +4.5 41
1998-04-18 @ Coleraine D 0-048.8 1184 892 65.58% 23.75% 10.67%+1.18 -4.5 61
1998-04-18 Omagh Town D 2-257.8 1002 875 53.88% 28.24% 17.88%+0.66 -1.9 50
1998-04-18 @ Crusaders D 2-257.8 875 1002 17.88% 28.24% 53.88%-0.66 +1.9 31
1998-04-18 Ards D 0-047.6 960 812 56.21% 27.55% 16.24%+0.75 -3.2 37
1998-04-18 @ Glenavon D 0-047.6 812 960 16.24% 27.55% 56.21%-0.75 +3.2 23
1998-04-25 Ballymena United L 0-233.3 815 958 20.52% 29.09% 50.39%-0.52 -15.3 23
1998-04-25 @ Ards W 2-033.3 958 815 50.39% 29.09% 20.52%+0.52 +15.3 51
1998-04-25 Crusaders D 1-152.2 1140 1000 55.32% 27.82% 16.86%+0.71 -2.7 62
1998-04-25 @ Glentoran D 1-152.2 1000 1140 16.86% 27.82% 55.32%-0.71 +2.7 51
1998-04-25 Glenavon W 2-029.4 1180 957 63.52% 24.72% 11.76%+1.08 +8.9 64
1998-04-25 @ Linfield L 0-229.4 957 1180 11.76% 24.72% 63.52%-1.08 -8.9 37
1998-04-25 Coleraine L 1-343.8 877 897 35.11% 30.64% 34.25%+0.01 -20.0 31
1998-04-25 @ Omagh Town W 3-143.8 897 877 34.25% 30.64% 35.11%-0.01 +20.0 44
1998-04-25 Cliftonville L 1-246.9 1030 1062 33.36% 30.63% 36.01%-0.04 -11.1 57
1998-04-25 @ Portadown W 2-146.9 1062 1030 36.01% 30.63% 33.36%+0.04 +11.1 68

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-10-30 15.47% Ards 819 4 @ Omagh Town 979 2
2 1997-11-29 17.40% Ards 847 2 @ Glenavon 980 1
3 1997-12-06 17.55% @ Ards 863 2 Ballymena United 1041 1
4 1998-01-10 18.08% @ Omagh Town 878 3 Ballymena United 1049 0
5 1997-09-20 18.40% Cliftonville 907 1 @ Linfield 1027 0
6 1998-01-10 19.81% @ Ards 840 1 Coleraine 991 0
7 1998-03-07 20.77% @ Glenavon 905 3 Portadown 1045 0
8 1998-02-11 21.03% Crusaders 970 1 @ Cliftonville 1061 0
9 1997-11-29 21.58% Glentoran 963 2 @ Cliftonville 1048 0
10 1997-10-25 23.74% Crusaders 968 3 @ Ballymena United 1032 2
11 1998-01-01 24.66% Cliftonville 1001 2 @ Coleraine 1056 0
12 1997-09-28 24.67% @ Cliftonville 924 4 Omagh Town 1025 0
13 1997-09-13 24.82% Coleraine 996 3 @ Crusaders 1050 1
14 1998-01-10 24.94% Cliftonville 1029 1 @ Linfield 1082 0
15 1997-12-06 25.15% Cliftonville 1019 2 @ Portadown 1069 0
16 1997-10-11 26.33% Linfield 998 3 @ Glenavon 1039 2
17 1997-10-04 26.44% Cliftonville 977 2 @ Glentoran 1016 0
18 1997-09-28 27.05% Glentoran 990 2 @ Ballymena United 1024 0
19 1997-12-13 27.23% @ Glentoran 992 3 Coleraine 1072 0
20 1997-12-20 27.33% @ Glenavon 952 1 Glentoran 1031 0
21 1997-11-04 27.53% Linfield 1039 2 @ Portadown 1070 0
22 1997-12-13 27.62% @ Omagh Town 889 2 Glenavon 965 1
23 1998-02-14 27.81% @ Crusaders 986 2 Portadown 1061 1
24 1997-10-11 28.26% Glentoran 989 2 @ Crusaders 1014 0
25 1998-01-03 28.52% @ Crusaders 959 3 Coleraine 1028 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-09-28 53.00 @ Cliftonville 4 924 24.67% Omagh Town 0 1025 45.37% 29.96%
2 1998-01-10 46.51 @ Omagh Town 3 878 18.08% Ballymena United 0 1049 53.60% 28.31%
3 1998-03-07 43.95 @ Glenavon 3 905 20.77% Portadown 0 1045 50.07% 29.16%
4 1997-12-13 43.18 @ Ballymena United 4 1025 34.91% Cliftonville 0 1046 34.45% 30.64%
5 1998-04-14 42.67 @ Glenavon 4 918 35.50% Coleraine 0 935 33.86% 30.64%
6 1998-01-01 41.75 Glentoran 5 1017 45.25% @ Omagh Town 0 916 24.77% 29.98%
7 1997-12-13 38.53 @ Glentoran 3 992 27.23% Coleraine 0 1072 42.48% 30.29%
8 1997-10-30 38.11 Portadown 5 1032 32.03% @ Glenavon 1 1027 37.37% 30.60%
9 1998-01-03 37.55 @ Crusaders 3 959 28.52% Coleraine 0 1028 41.07% 30.41%
10 1997-11-08 37.50 @ Coleraine 4 1006 41.30% Crusaders 0 982 28.31% 30.39%
11 1997-08-30 36.39 Linfield 3 991 30.08% @ Glentoran 0 1001 39.40% 30.51%
12 1998-01-31 34.88 @ Portadown 4 1038 44.16% Ballymena United 0 992 25.72% 30.11%
13 1998-03-07 33.56 @ Linfield 3 1124 34.15% Glentoran 0 1151 35.21% 30.64%
14 1997-09-10 30.75 @ Coleraine 5 965 41.97% Cliftonville 1 936 27.70% 30.33%
15 1997-11-29 29.76 Glentoran 2 963 21.58% @ Cliftonville 0 1048 49.06% 29.36%
16 1997-09-10 28.74 @ Crusaders 4 1021 50.71% Ards 0 922 20.27% 29.02%
17 1998-04-11 28.01 Linfield 3 1160 42.31% @ Cliftonville 0 1082 27.39% 30.30%
18 1998-01-01 27.94 Cliftonville 2 1001 24.66% @ Coleraine 0 1056 45.38% 29.96%
19 1997-12-06 27.67 Cliftonville 2 1019 25.15% @ Portadown 0 1069 44.82% 30.03%
20 1997-10-04 26.96 Cliftonville 2 977 26.44% @ Glentoran 0 1016 43.36% 30.20%
21 1997-09-28 26.63 Glentoran 2 990 27.05% @ Ballymena United 0 1024 42.68% 30.27%
22 1998-02-07 26.62 Glentoran 3 1090 44.27% @ Crusaders 0 997 25.63% 30.10%
23 1997-11-04 26.37 Linfield 2 1039 27.53% @ Portadown 0 1070 42.15% 30.32%
24 1997-10-30 26.25 Ards 4 819 15.47% @ Omagh Town 2 979 57.36% 27.17%
25 1997-10-11 25.99 Glentoran 2 989 28.26% @ Crusaders 0 1014 41.35% 30.39%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-01-01 61.2 @ Glenavon 3 949 22.07% Ballymena United 3 1075 48.46% 29.47%
2 1998-01-17 60.9 @ Coleraine 3 974 41.27% Glenavon 3 950 28.33% 30.39%
3 1998-04-14 58.3 @ Glentoran 2 1143 59.19% Ballymena United 2 966 14.29% 26.51%
4 1997-12-20 57.9 @ Cliftonville 2 1003 55.98% Ards 2 857 16.40% 27.62%
5 1998-04-18 57.8 @ Crusaders 2 1002 53.88% Omagh Town 2 875 17.88% 28.24%
6 1998-04-11 57.7 @ Coleraine 2 937 53.16% Ards 2 817 18.41% 28.43%
7 1997-08-30 57.3 @ Ards 2 921 23.30% Omagh Town 2 1035 46.97% 29.72%
8 1997-10-18 57.3 @ Glenavon 2 1026 46.30% Omagh Town 2 964 23.87% 29.83%
9 1997-08-16 57.2 @ Omagh Town 2 1037 43.30% Glenavon 2 998 26.50% 30.21%
10 1997-08-30 57.2 @ Cliftonville 2 935 26.37% Crusaders 2 1022 43.43% 30.19%
11 1997-12-26 57.1 @ Ballymena United 2 1076 40.77% Coleraine 2 1056 28.80% 30.43%
12 1998-01-10 57.1 @ Glenavon 2 950 31.38% Crusaders 2 997 38.04% 30.58%
13 1997-10-30 57.0 @ Crusaders 2 982 34.25% Cliftonville 2 1008 35.11% 30.64%
14 1997-10-25 55.5 Crusaders 3 968 23.74% @ Ballymena United 2 1032 46.45% 29.81%
15 1997-10-11 54.7 Linfield 3 998 26.33% @ Glenavon 2 1039 43.48% 30.19%
16 1997-10-30 53.2 Ards 4 819 15.47% @ Omagh Town 2 979 57.36% 27.17%
17 1997-11-15 53.2 @ Crusaders 3 944 31.45% Glenavon 2 991 37.97% 30.58%
18 1998-02-28 52.6 @ Ards 1 839 14.40% Cliftonville 1 1061 59.03% 26.58%
19 1997-11-22 52.5 @ Ards 1 842 14.68% Portadown 1 1060 58.58% 26.74%
20 1998-01-03 52.5 @ Portadown 1 1045 58.49% Omagh Town 1 875 14.73% 26.77%
21 1997-10-11 52.4 @ Coleraine 4 1006 42.55% Omagh Town 3 973 27.17% 30.28%
22 1997-11-29 52.4 Ards 2 847 17.40% @ Glenavon 1 980 54.54% 28.05%
23 1997-12-06 52.4 @ Ards 2 863 17.55% Ballymena United 1 1041 54.35% 28.11%
24 1998-04-25 52.2 @ Glentoran 1 1140 55.32% Crusaders 1 1000 16.86% 27.82%
25 1997-09-20 52.1 @ Omagh Town 3 1014 35.08% Ballymena United 2 1035 34.28% 30.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-02-11 28.3 @ Glentoran 2 1116 67.00% Ards 0 854 9.97% 23.04%
2 1998-02-14 28.6 @ Linfield 2 1097 65.93% Ards 0 847 10.49% 23.58%
3 1998-03-28 28.7 Glentoran 2 1127 65.68% @ Ards 0 834 10.62% 23.70%
4 1997-10-18 29.0 @ Linfield 4 1011 57.77% Ards 0 848 15.20% 27.03%
5 1998-04-25 29.4 @ Linfield 2 1180 63.52% Glenavon 0 957 11.76% 24.72%
6 1998-03-21 29.8 @ Glentoran 2 1117 62.16% Omagh Town 0 909 12.52% 25.32%
7 1998-02-28 30.2 Linfield 3 1104 54.18% @ Omagh Town 0 929 17.67% 28.16%
8 1997-09-10 31.1 @ Crusaders 4 1021 50.71% Ards 0 922 20.27% 29.02%
9 1997-09-13 32.2 @ Glentoran 3 965 47.40% Ards 0 894 22.94% 29.66%
10 1998-02-28 32.7 @ Glentoran 1 1146 64.76% Glenavon 0 910 11.10% 24.14%
11 1998-01-31 33.1 @ Portadown 4 1038 44.16% Ballymena United 0 992 25.72% 30.11%
12 1998-02-07 33.2 Glentoran 3 1090 44.27% @ Crusaders 0 997 25.63% 30.10%
13 1998-04-25 33.3 Ballymena United 2 958 50.39% @ Ards 0 815 20.52% 29.09%
14 1998-01-01 33.6 Glentoran 5 1017 45.25% @ Omagh Town 0 916 24.77% 29.98%
15 1998-04-11 33.8 Linfield 3 1160 42.31% @ Cliftonville 0 1082 27.39% 30.30%
16 1998-03-28 33.9 @ Linfield 1 1155 60.64% Ballymena United 0 963 13.41% 25.95%
17 1997-11-08 34.0 @ Coleraine 4 1006 41.30% Crusaders 0 982 28.31% 30.39%
18 1998-01-17 34.4 @ Portadown 1 1032 58.97% Ards 0 857 14.43% 26.60%
19 1998-02-14 34.4 Glentoran 5 1124 52.32% @ Coleraine 1 964 19.03% 28.65%
20 1997-12-13 34.5 Linfield 5 1038 52.18% @ Ards 1 880 19.14% 28.68%
21 1997-12-26 34.6 @ Portadown 2 1027 46.10% Glenavon 0 966 24.05% 29.86%
22 1998-03-28 34.7 Portadown 2 1004 45.73% @ Omagh Town 0 899 24.36% 29.91%
23 1997-09-28 34.9 @ Portadown 1 1030 57.28% Ards 0 872 15.52% 27.20%
24 1998-04-14 35.2 Portadown 1 1013 56.17% @ Ards 0 819 16.27% 27.56%
25 1998-03-21 35.7 @ Cliftonville 1 1078 54.67% Coleraine 0 944 17.31% 28.02%