1998-99 Irish League Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

12.73 points above expected

78 points · 65.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

11.32 points below expected

35 points · 46.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	36	24	6	6	78	74	35	+39	65.27	+12.73
2	Linfield	36	20	10	6	70	68	39	+29	69.38	+0.62
3	Crusaders	36	18	8	10	62	48	39	+9	51.91	+10.09
4	Newry City	36	17	9	10	60	52	46	+6	59.09	+0.91
5	Glenavon	36	13	12	11	51	49	35	+14	47.92	+3.08
6	Ballymena United	36	11	8	17	41	40	42	-2	47.61	-6.61
7	Coleraine	36	10	9	17	39	34	53	-19	35.88	+3.12
8	Portadown	36	9	10	17	37	41	47	-6	43.83	-6.83
9	Cliftonville	36	7	14	15	35	31	47	-16	46.32	-11.32
10	Omagh Town	36	5	6	25	21	25	79	-54	28.43	-7.43

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glentoran	78	65.27	+12.73
2	Crusaders	62	51.91	+10.09
3	Coleraine	39	35.88	+3.12
4	Glenavon	51	47.92	+3.08
5	Newry City	60	59.09	+0.91

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	35	46.32	-11.32
2	Omagh Town	21	28.43	-7.43
3	Portadown	37	43.83	-6.83
4	Ballymena United	41	47.61	-6.61
5	Linfield	70	69.38	+0.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	6	Aug 16 – Sep 15	1 in 75
2	Linfield	7	Aug 22 – Sep 26	1 in 45
3	Omagh Town	2	Oct 3 – Oct 7	1 in 21
4	Newry City	3	Aug 16 – Sep 1	1 in 15
5	Crusaders	4	Dec 12 – Jan 1	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portadown	8	Aug 22 – Oct 3	1 in 1,779
2	Cliftonville	5	Aug 16 – Sep 5	1 in 177
3	Ballymena United	4	Apr 3 – Apr 24	1 in 80
4	Omagh Town	6	Oct 17 – Nov 21	1 in 56
5	Glentoran	2	Nov 14 – Nov 21	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Crusaders	8	Sep 1 – Oct 17	1 in 65
2	Portadown	5	Nov 21 – Dec 18	1 in 30
3	Coleraine	4	Apr 3 – Apr 24	1 in 21
4	Ballymena United	5	Nov 7 – Dec 5	1 in 14
5	Glenavon	6	Jan 26 – Mar 6	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	8	Nov 14 – Jan 1	1 in 75
2	Ballymena United	8	Feb 27 – Apr 24	1 in 70
3	Omagh Town	15	Oct 17 – Jan 29	1 in 32
4	Portadown	8	Aug 22 – Oct 3	1 in 28
5	Newry City	3	Mar 6 – Mar 23	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Glentoran	1112	78	+38	13	10.0	+3.0
Linfield	1097	70	-3	8	10.4	-2.4
Crusaders	974	62	-40	4	6.4	-2.4
Newry City	990	60	-7	9	8.3	+0.7
Glenavon	980	51	+39	11	7.2	+3.8
Ballymena United	910	41	-31	1	7.1	-6.1
Coleraine	857	39	+18	6	4.6	+1.4
Portadown	925	37	+28	10	6.8	+3.2
Cliftonville	885	35	-29	2	4.8	-2.8
Omagh Town	724	21	-12	4	3.5	+0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	GLE	GLE	LIN	NC	OT	POR
Ballymena United	—	1-1-2 5.64	2-0-2 6.92	1-0-3 4.82	1-1-2 5.74	0-1-3 3.42	2-0-2 3.38	0-3-1 4.46	2-1-1 7.34	2-1-1 5.79
Cliftonville	2-1-1 5.29	—	0-3-1 6.73	0-1-3 4.85	1-3-0 5.41	1-2-1 3.69	0-1-3 3.20	0-0-4 4.42	2-2-0 7.44	1-1-2 5.77
Coleraine	2-0-2 4.06	1-3-0 4.24	—	1-0-3 3.92	0-1-3 4.33	0-0-4 2.82	1-2-1 2.44	1-2-1 3.31	2-1-1 6.69	2-0-2 4.67
Crusaders	3-0-1 6.11	3-1-0 6.09	3-0-1 7.07	—	1-1-2 5.91	1-1-2 4.03	1-0-3 3.62	2-1-1 5.13	3-1-0 7.63	1-3-0 6.40
Glenavon	2-1-1 5.19	0-3-1 5.51	3-1-0 6.62	2-1-1 5.03	—	0-0-4 3.76	0-2-2 3.42	1-1-2 4.31	4-0-0 7.49	1-3-0 6.05
Glentoran	3-1-0 7.60	1-2-1 7.33	4-0-0 8.32	2-1-1 6.93	4-0-0 7.24	—	0-2-2 4.99	2-0-2 6.28	4-0-0 8.55	4-0-0 7.70
Linfield	2-0-2 7.65	3-1-0 7.87	1-2-1 8.74	3-0-1 7.39	2-2-0 7.61	2-2-0 5.95	—	1-1-2 6.79	4-0-0 9.19	2-2-0 8.09
Newry City	1-3-0 6.50	4-0-0 6.53	1-2-1 7.74	1-1-2 5.82	2-1-1 6.65	2-0-2 4.66	2-1-1 4.18	—	2-1-1 8.42	2-0-2 6.98
Omagh Town	1-1-2 3.69	0-2-2 3.58	1-1-2 4.27	0-1-3 3.44	0-0-4 3.53	0-0-4 2.62	0-0-4 2.09	1-1-2 2.72	—	2-0-2 3.69
Portadown	1-1-2 5.14	2-1-1 5.16	2-0-2 6.27	0-3-1 4.57	0-3-1 4.88	0-0-4 3.34	0-2-2 3.00	2-0-2 4.00	2-0-2 7.33	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.92	+11.0
Allowed	0.57	-10.5
Differential	0.88	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	10.56%	6.11%	3.06%	—	0.83%	29.44%
1	10.56%	11.11%	7.22%	3.61%	1.67%	0.83%	35.00%
2	6.11%	7.22%	5.56%	1.67%	0.83%	0.28%	21.67%
3	3.06%	3.61%	1.67%	—	—	0.28%	8.61%
4	—	1.67%	0.83%	—	—	0.28%	2.78%
5+	0.83%	0.83%	0.28%	0.28%	0.28%	—	2.50%
Total	29.44%	35.00%	21.67%	8.61%	2.78%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.28	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.71
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	5.56%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	27.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.17	-0.06
SD	1.28	1.25	1.58
CV	1.15	1.07	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	22.22%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.31	-0.44
SD	0.76	1.12	1.11
CV	0.88	0.86	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	38.89%
1	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	38.89%	19.44%	13.89%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.47	-0.53
SD	1.01	1.30	1.58
CV	1.07	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	22.22%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.08	+0.25
SD	1.24	1.23	1.83
CV	0.93	1.13	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	—	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	22.22%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	41.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.97	+0.39
SD	1.36	1.06	1.68
CV	1.00	1.09	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
Total	38.89%	41.67%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.97	+1.08
SD	1.67	1.11	1.68
CV	0.81	1.14	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
3	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	50.00%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.08	+0.81
SD	1.14	0.91	1.37
CV	0.60	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	38.89%
2	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	30.56%	33.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.28	+0.17
SD	1.08	1.11	1.54
CV	0.75	0.87	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	19.44%	11.11%	—	5.56%	44.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	13.89%	33.33%	19.44%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	2.19	-1.50
SD	0.71	1.56	1.83
CV	1.02	0.71	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	—	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
2	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	16.67%	19.44%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.31	-0.17
SD	1.02	1.06	1.52
CV	0.89	0.82	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Glentoran	1112	78	65.27	+12.73	97.0%	45	50	61	66	71	76	85
Linfield	1097	70	69.38	+0.62	54.0%	51	55	63	70	75	81	85
Newry City	990	60	59.09	+0.91	58.0%	35	47	54	59	64	72	76
Glenavon	980	51	47.92	+3.08	62.0%	29	32	42	48	54	60	63
Crusaders	974	62	51.91	+10.09	94.0%	34	40	47	53	57	63	66
Portadown	925	37	43.83	-6.83	22.0%	24	32	38	43	49	58	64
Ballymena United	910	41	47.61	-6.61	24.0%	30	36	42	47	53	60	66
Cliftonville	885	35	46.32	-11.32	8.0%	23	33	42	47	52	58	63
Coleraine	857	39	35.88	+3.12	65.0%	19	23	30	35	41	49	54
Omagh Town	724	21	28.43	-7.43	17.0%	15	18	23	29	33	38	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.33%

Clear Edge

43.89%25.56%30.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.

173 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.19 goals

Neutral

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.3

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

36%

Glentoran, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Comfortable

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.15 * Some Luck: 6.15 to 9.22 * Lucky: 9.22 to 12.29 * Wild Swing: 12.29 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.9 * Way Off: 1.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.47 points

Some Luck

07.6819

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.192.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Glentoran

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Cliftonville

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Even

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 113.99

2.26

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

64%

Even

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.98

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.64

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.74

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.21

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Glentoran	36.00%	35.00%	17.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Linfield	54.00%	28.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	1.00%	5.00%	19.00%	26.00%	15.00%	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—
Newry City	7.00%	22.00%	27.00%	19.00%	16.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Glenavon	—	3.00%	7.00%	13.00%	24.00%	16.00%	17.00%	15.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Ballymena United	—	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	20.00%	21.00%	15.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Coleraine	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	40.00%	22.00%
Portadown	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	17.00%	19.00%	22.00%	16.00%	4.00%
Cliftonville	—	2.00%	4.00%	15.00%	13.00%	17.00%	18.00%	18.00%	12.00%	1.00%
Omagh Town	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	6.00%	23.00%	70.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Crusaders	99.00%	1.00%	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Newry City	100%	—	—
Ballymena United	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Cliftonville	87.00%	12.00%	1.00%
Glenavon	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Portadown	80.00%	16.00%	4.00%
Coleraine	38.00%	40.00%	22.00%
Omagh Town	7.00%	23.00%	70.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1998-08-16	Glenavon	W 1-0	39.2	915	901	44.94%	26.61%	28.45%	+0.35	+5.8	3
1998-08-16	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	39.2	901	915	28.45%	26.61%	44.94%	-0.35	-5.8	0
1998-08-16	Portadown	L 0-2	40.7	968	941	46.56%	26.40%	27.04%	+0.42	-15.9	0
1998-08-16	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	40.7	941	968	27.04%	26.40%	46.56%	-0.42	+15.9	3
1998-08-16	Coleraine	L 0-1	45.3	932	884	49.38%	25.93%	24.69%	+0.54	-8.9	0
1998-08-16	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	45.3	884	932	24.69%	25.93%	49.38%	-0.54	+8.9	3
1998-08-16	Omagh Town	W 2-0	30.1	1012	854	62.31%	22.14%	15.55%	+1.18	+6.2	3
1998-08-16	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	30.1	854	1012	15.55%	22.14%	62.31%	-1.18	-6.2	0
1998-08-16	Linfield	W 2-1	47.8	993	1054	34.46%	27.08%	38.47%	-0.08	+6.9	3
1998-08-16	@ Newry City	L 1-2	47.8	1054	993	38.47%	27.08%	34.46%	+0.08	-6.9	0
1998-08-22	Glentoran	L 2-4	46.2	952	1018	33.64%	27.05%	39.31%	-0.12	-9.6	0
1998-08-22	@ Cliftonville	W 4-2	46.2	1018	952	39.31%	27.05%	33.64%	+0.12	+9.7	6
1998-08-22	Portadown	W 1-0	42.5	893	957	33.97%	27.06%	38.97%	-0.10	+7.4	6
1998-08-22	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	42.5	957	893	38.97%	27.06%	33.97%	+0.10	-7.4	3
1998-08-22	Crusaders	W 3-0	34.9	895	923	39.11%	27.06%	33.84%	+0.11	+18.2	3
1998-08-22	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	34.9	923	895	33.84%	27.06%	39.11%	-0.11	-18.2	0
1998-08-22	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.0	1047	921	58.79%	23.44%	17.77%	+1.00	+3.8	3
1998-08-22	@ Linfield	L 0-1	35.0	921	1047	17.77%	23.44%	58.79%	-1.00	-3.8	3
1998-08-28	Omagh Town	D 0-0	48.9	917	847	52.12%	25.36%	22.52%	+0.67	-1.3	4
1998-08-28	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.9	847	917	22.52%	25.36%	52.12%	-0.67	+1.3	1
1998-08-28	Linfield	L 1-4	36.5	905	1051	24.20%	25.82%	49.98%	-0.57	-11.7	0
1998-08-28	@ Crusaders	W 4-1	36.5	1051	905	49.98%	25.82%	24.20%	+0.57	+11.7	6
1998-08-28	Coleraine	W 3-1	40.9	913	900	44.78%	26.63%	28.59%	+0.34	+9.5	6
1998-08-28	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	40.9	900	913	28.59%	26.63%	44.78%	-0.34	-9.5	6
1998-08-28	Cliftonville	W 2-1	43.0	1000	942	50.67%	25.68%	23.65%	+0.60	+4.7	6
1998-08-28	@ Newry City	L 1-2	43.0	942	1000	23.65%	25.68%	50.67%	-0.60	-4.7	0
1998-09-01	Ballymena United	L 0-1	44.4	937	916	45.95%	26.48%	27.56%	+0.39	-8.4	0
1998-09-01	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	44.4	916	937	27.56%	26.48%	45.95%	-0.39	+8.4	7
1998-09-01	Glentoran	L 1-3	39.7	891	1028	25.11%	26.03%	48.86%	-0.52	-8.5	6
1998-09-01	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	39.7	1028	891	48.86%	26.03%	25.11%	+0.52	+8.5	9
1998-09-01	Glenavon	W 2-0	30.7	1062	923	60.28%	22.92%	16.80%	+1.07	+6.8	9
1998-09-01	@ Linfield	L 0-2	30.7	923	1062	16.80%	22.92%	60.28%	-1.07	-6.8	6
1998-09-01	Crusaders	D 0-0	48.3	849	893	36.75%	27.10%	36.15%	+0.01	-0.0	2
1998-09-01	@ Omagh Town	D 0-0	48.3	893	849	36.15%	27.10%	36.75%	-0.01	+0.0	1
1998-09-01	Newry City	L 2-3	51.7	950	1005	35.30%	27.09%	37.60%	-0.05	-6.1	3
1998-09-01	@ Portadown	W 3-2	51.7	1005	950	37.60%	27.09%	35.30%	+0.05	+6.1	9
1998-09-05	Portadown	W 1-0	40.6	924	944	40.27%	27.01%	32.72%	+0.15	+6.5	10
1998-09-05	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	40.6	944	924	32.72%	27.01%	40.27%	-0.15	-6.5	3
1998-09-05	Cliftonville	W 2-1	46.8	893	929	38.02%	27.09%	34.89%	+0.06	+6.4	4
1998-09-05	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	46.8	929	893	34.89%	27.09%	38.02%	-0.06	-6.4	0
1998-09-05	Omagh Town	W 2-0	33.2	916	849	51.85%	25.42%	22.73%	+0.66	+9.0	9
1998-09-05	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	33.2	849	916	22.73%	25.42%	51.85%	-0.66	-9.0	2
1998-09-05	Coleraine	W 2-1	38.6	1069	882	65.25%	20.91%	13.84%	+1.34	+2.7	12
1998-09-05	@ Linfield	L 1-2	38.6	882	1069	13.84%	20.91%	65.25%	-1.34	-2.7	6
1998-09-05	Glentoran	L 1-2	48.1	1011	1036	39.43%	27.04%	33.52%	+0.12	-7.0	9
1998-09-05	@ Newry City	W 2-1	48.1	1036	1011	33.52%	27.04%	39.43%	-0.12	+7.0	12
1998-09-12	Glenavon	D 2-2	58.7	923	925	42.67%	26.84%	30.49%	+0.25	-0.3	1
1998-09-12	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.7	925	923	30.49%	26.84%	42.67%	-0.25	+0.3	10
1998-09-12	Newry City	D 2-2	58.8	880	1004	26.52%	26.31%	47.17%	-0.45	+0.6	7
1998-09-12	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	58.8	1004	880	47.17%	26.31%	26.52%	+0.45	-0.6	10
1998-09-12	Ballymena United	W 2-1	41.0	1043	931	57.29%	23.94%	18.77%	+0.92	+3.8	15
1998-09-12	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.0	931	1043	18.77%	23.94%	57.29%	-0.92	-3.8	10
1998-09-12	Linfield	L 1-3	36.3	840	1072	16.85%	22.94%	60.21%	-1.07	-5.9	2
1998-09-12	@ Omagh Town	W 3-1	36.3	1072	840	60.21%	22.94%	16.85%	+1.07	+5.9	15
1998-09-12	Crusaders	L 0-1	44.9	937	900	48.07%	26.17%	25.77%	+0.49	-8.7	3
1998-09-12	@ Portadown	W 1-0	44.9	900	937	25.77%	26.17%	48.07%	-0.49	+8.7	7
1998-09-15	Portadown	W 1-0	35.3	1047	929	57.93%	23.73%	18.34%	+0.95	+3.9	18
1998-09-15	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.3	929	1047	18.34%	23.73%	57.93%	-0.95	-3.9	3
1998-09-15	Newry City	L 1-3	38.5	834	1003	21.91%	25.17%	52.92%	-0.71	-7.6	2
1998-09-15	@ Omagh Town	W 3-1	38.5	1003	834	52.92%	25.17%	21.91%	+0.71	+7.6	13
1998-09-19	Newry City	D 1-1	53.1	927	1011	31.34%	26.91%	41.74%	-0.22	+0.4	11
1998-09-19	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.1	1011	927	41.74%	26.91%	31.34%	+0.22	-0.4	14
1998-09-19	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.7	908	1051	24.51%	25.89%	49.60%	-0.55	+1.1	8
1998-09-19	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	48.7	1051	908	49.60%	25.89%	24.51%	+0.55	-1.1	19
1998-09-19	Portadown	W 1-0	39.7	925	925	43.11%	26.80%	30.08%	+0.27	+6.1	13
1998-09-19	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	39.7	925	925	30.08%	26.80%	43.11%	-0.27	-6.1	3
1998-09-19	Cliftonville	W 1-0	34.1	1078	922	62.01%	22.26%	15.73%	+1.16	+3.3	18
1998-09-19	@ Linfield	L 0-1	34.1	922	1078	15.73%	22.26%	62.01%	-1.16	-3.3	1
1998-09-19	Coleraine	W 2-0	38.2	826	880	35.40%	27.09%	37.51%	-0.04	+13.5	5
1998-09-19	@ Omagh Town	L 0-2	38.2	880	826	37.51%	27.09%	35.40%	+0.04	-13.5	7
1998-09-26	Omagh Town	W 2-1	42.2	919	840	53.29%	25.08%	21.63%	+0.72	+4.3	4
1998-09-26	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	42.2	840	919	21.63%	25.08%	53.29%	-0.72	-4.3	5
1998-09-26	Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.8	867	927	34.51%	27.08%	38.42%	-0.08	+6.9	10
1998-09-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	47.8	927	867	38.42%	27.08%	34.51%	+0.08	-6.9	11
1998-09-26	Glenavon	W 5-2	36.6	1050	932	57.93%	23.73%	18.34%	+0.95	+7.8	22
1998-09-26	@ Glentoran	L 2-5	36.6	932	1050	18.34%	23.73%	57.93%	-0.95	-7.8	13
1998-09-26	Crusaders	D 0-0	49.2	1010	910	55.89%	24.37%	19.74%	+0.85	-1.6	15
1998-09-26	@ Newry City	D 0-0	49.2	910	1010	19.74%	24.37%	55.89%	-0.85	+1.6	9
1998-09-26	Linfield	L 0-2	33.2	919	1081	22.56%	25.37%	52.06%	-0.67	-9.0	3
1998-09-26	@ Portadown	W 2-0	33.2	1081	919	52.06%	25.37%	22.56%	+0.67	+9.0	21
1998-10-03	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.0	874	923	36.03%	27.10%	36.87%	-0.02	+0.0	11
1998-10-03	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.0	923	874	36.87%	27.10%	36.03%	+0.02	-0.0	5
1998-10-03	Ballymena United	W 2-0	36.3	911	920	41.75%	26.91%	31.33%	+0.22	+11.8	12
1998-10-03	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	36.3	920	911	31.33%	26.91%	41.75%	-0.22	-11.8	11
1998-10-03	Newry City	L 1-2	45.6	924	1009	31.21%	26.90%	41.89%	-0.22	-5.9	13
1998-10-03	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.6	1009	924	41.89%	26.90%	31.21%	+0.22	+5.9	18
1998-10-03	Glentoran	D 1-1	53.3	1090	1058	47.35%	26.28%	26.37%	+0.45	-0.8	22
1998-10-03	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.3	1058	1090	26.37%	26.28%	47.35%	-0.45	+0.8	23
1998-10-03	Portadown	W 1-0	42.9	836	910	32.61%	27.00%	40.39%	-0.16	+7.6	8
1998-10-03	@ Omagh Town	L 0-1	42.9	910	836	40.39%	27.00%	32.61%	+0.16	-7.6	3
1998-10-06	Linfield	W 1-0	46.4	908	1089	20.88%	24.81%	54.31%	-0.77	+9.6	14
1998-10-06	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	46.4	1089	908	54.31%	24.81%	20.88%	+0.77	-9.6	22
1998-10-06	Glenavon	W 1-0	39.6	923	918	43.72%	26.74%	29.54%	+0.30	+6.0	15
1998-10-06	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	39.6	918	923	29.54%	26.74%	43.72%	-0.30	-6.0	13
1998-10-06	Cliftonville	L 0-1	47.6	1059	923	59.83%	23.08%	17.09%	+1.05	-10.4	23
1998-10-06	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	47.6	923	1059	17.09%	23.08%	59.83%	-1.05	+10.4	8
1998-10-06	Coleraine	W 3-0	32.6	902	874	46.87%	26.35%	26.78%	+0.43	+15.1	6
1998-10-06	@ Portadown	L 0-3	32.6	874	902	26.78%	26.35%	46.87%	-0.43	-15.1	11
1998-10-07	Omagh Town	L 0-2	44.4	1015	843	63.70%	21.57%	14.73%	+1.26	-20.6	18
1998-10-07	@ Newry City	W 2-0	44.4	843	1015	14.73%	21.57%	63.70%	-1.26	+20.6	11
1998-10-17	Portadown	D 0-0	48.5	934	917	45.23%	26.58%	28.19%	+0.36	-0.7	9
1998-10-17	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.5	917	934	28.19%	26.58%	45.23%	-0.36	+0.7	7
1998-10-17	Crusaders	L 0-2	36.8	859	929	33.15%	27.03%	39.83%	-0.14	-12.3	11
1998-10-17	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	36.8	929	859	39.83%	27.03%	33.15%	+0.14	+12.3	18
1998-10-17	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.4	912	918	42.16%	26.88%	30.95%	+0.23	-0.5	14
1998-10-17	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.4	918	912	30.95%	26.88%	42.16%	-0.23	+0.5	15
1998-10-17	Newry City	D 2-2	59.3	1080	994	54.08%	24.87%	21.05%	+0.76	-1.0	23
1998-10-17	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.3	994	1080	21.05%	24.87%	54.08%	-0.76	+1.0	19
1998-10-17	Glentoran	L 0-2	32.3	864	1048	20.54%	24.68%	54.78%	-0.80	-8.2	11
1998-10-17	@ Omagh Town	W 2-0	32.3	1048	864	54.78%	24.68%	20.54%	+0.80	+8.2	26
1998-10-24	Newry City	L 1-4	39.8	933	995	34.25%	27.07%	38.68%	-0.09	-15.5	9
1998-10-24	@ Cliftonville	W 4-1	39.8	995	933	38.68%	27.07%	34.25%	+0.09	+15.5	22
1998-10-24	Glenavon	L 1-3	42.6	846	911	33.85%	27.06%	39.09%	-0.11	-10.8	11
1998-10-24	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	42.6	911	846	39.09%	27.06%	33.85%	+0.11	+10.8	17
1998-10-24	Crusaders	W 2-1	40.2	1079	941	60.05%	23.00%	16.95%	+1.06	+3.4	26
1998-10-24	@ Linfield	L 1-2	40.2	941	1079	16.95%	23.00%	60.05%	-1.06	-3.4	18
1998-10-24	Ballymena United	L 1-4	39.8	855	919	34.12%	27.07%	38.82%	-0.10	-15.4	11
1998-10-24	@ Omagh Town	W 4-1	39.8	919	855	38.82%	27.07%	34.12%	+0.10	+15.4	18
1998-10-24	Glentoran	L 0-3	31.9	918	1056	24.95%	25.99%	49.05%	-0.53	-14.2	7
1998-10-24	@ Portadown	W 3-0	31.9	1056	918	49.05%	25.99%	24.95%	+0.53	+14.2	29
1998-10-31	Cliftonville	L 1-2	49.7	934	917	45.28%	26.57%	28.15%	+0.36	-7.8	18
1998-10-31	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	49.7	917	934	28.15%	26.57%	45.28%	-0.36	+7.8	12
1998-10-31	Omagh Town	W 5-0	30.5	938	840	55.53%	24.47%	19.99%	+0.83	+18.7	21
1998-10-31	@ Crusaders	L 0-5	30.5	840	938	19.99%	24.47%	55.53%	-0.83	-18.8	11
1998-10-31	Linfield	D 1-1	53.5	922	1082	22.80%	25.44%	51.76%	-0.65	+1.1	18
1998-10-31	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.5	1082	922	51.76%	25.44%	22.80%	+0.65	-1.1	27
1998-10-31	Coleraine	W 5-4	45.5	1071	835	69.98%	18.68%	11.34%	+1.62	+2.0	32
1998-10-31	@ Glentoran	L 4-5	45.5	835	1071	11.34%	18.68%	69.98%	-1.62	-2.0	11
1998-10-31	Portadown	W 3-2	46.0	1010	904	56.57%	24.16%	19.27%	+0.88	+3.7	25
1998-10-31	@ Newry City	L 2-3	46.0	904	1010	19.27%	24.16%	56.57%	-0.88	-3.7	7
1998-11-07	Glentoran	D 1-1	53.4	926	1073	24.11%	25.80%	50.09%	-0.58	+1.0	19
1998-11-07	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.4	1073	926	50.09%	25.80%	24.11%	+0.58	-1.0	33
1998-11-07	Portadown	D 1-1	53.4	957	900	50.48%	25.72%	23.80%	+0.59	-1.0	22
1998-11-07	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.4	900	957	23.80%	25.72%	50.48%	-0.59	+1.0	8
1998-11-07	Cliftonville	L 0-1	43.6	923	925	42.77%	26.83%	30.39%	+0.26	-7.9	18
1998-11-07	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	43.6	925	923	30.39%	26.83%	42.77%	-0.26	+7.9	15
1998-11-07	Omagh Town	W 2-0	27.1	1081	821	72.20%	17.55%	10.26%	+1.77	+3.9	30
1998-11-07	@ Linfield	L 0-2	27.1	821	1081	10.26%	17.55%	72.20%	-1.77	-3.9	11
1998-11-07	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.8	1014	833	64.64%	21.17%	14.19%	+1.31	-2.1	26
1998-11-07	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.8	833	1014	14.19%	21.17%	64.64%	-1.31	+2.1	12
1998-11-14	Crusaders	L 2-3	53.1	933	956	39.90%	27.02%	33.08%	+0.14	-6.7	15
1998-11-14	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	53.1	956	933	33.08%	27.02%	39.90%	-0.14	+6.7	25
1998-11-14	Linfield	D 0-0	49.8	836	1085	15.70%	22.24%	62.06%	-1.17	+2.1	13
1998-11-14	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.8	1085	836	62.06%	22.24%	15.70%	+1.17	-2.1	31
1998-11-14	Newry City	L 1-3	47.3	1072	1012	50.89%	25.63%	23.48%	+0.61	-14.8	33
1998-11-14	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	47.3	1012	1072	23.48%	25.63%	50.89%	-0.61	+14.8	29
1998-11-14	Glenavon	L 0-3	33.5	817	915	29.56%	26.75%	43.69%	-0.30	-16.4	11
1998-11-14	@ Omagh Town	W 3-0	33.5	915	817	43.69%	26.75%	29.56%	+0.30	+16.4	21
1998-11-14	Ballymena United	L 1-3	44.3	901	927	39.39%	27.04%	33.56%	+0.12	-12.1	8
1998-11-14	@ Portadown	W 3-1	44.3	927	901	33.56%	27.04%	39.39%	-0.12	+12.1	22
1998-11-21	Linfield	D 1-1	53.5	926	1083	23.14%	25.54%	51.32%	-0.63	+1.1	16
1998-11-21	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.5	1083	926	51.32%	25.54%	23.14%	+0.63	-1.1	32
1998-11-21	Omagh Town	W 2-1	43.8	838	801	47.94%	26.19%	25.87%	+0.48	+5.1	16
1998-11-21	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	43.8	801	838	25.87%	26.19%	47.94%	-0.48	-5.0	11
1998-11-21	Crusaders	L 1-4	45.4	1057	962	55.16%	24.58%	20.26%	+0.81	-22.4	33
1998-11-21	@ Glentoran	W 4-1	45.4	962	1057	20.26%	24.58%	55.16%	-0.81	+22.4	28
1998-11-21	Ballymena United	D 0-0	49.0	1027	939	54.32%	24.81%	20.87%	+0.77	-1.5	30
1998-11-21	@ Newry City	D 0-0	49.0	939	1027	20.87%	24.81%	54.32%	-0.77	+1.5	23
1998-11-21	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.0	889	932	37.00%	27.10%	35.90%	+0.02	-0.0	9
1998-11-21	@ Portadown	D 1-1	53.0	932	889	35.90%	27.10%	37.00%	-0.02	+0.0	22
1998-11-28	Coleraine	W 1-0	36.0	941	843	55.56%	24.46%	19.97%	+0.83	+4.2	26
1998-11-28	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	36.0	843	941	19.97%	24.46%	55.56%	-0.83	-4.2	16
1998-11-28	Newry City	W 2-0	37.6	985	1025	37.29%	27.10%	35.62%	+0.03	+13.0	31
1998-11-28	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	37.6	1025	985	35.62%	27.10%	37.29%	-0.03	-13.0	30
1998-11-28	Glentoran	L 0-1	39.4	932	1034	29.01%	26.68%	44.30%	-0.32	-5.9	22
1998-11-28	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	39.4	1034	932	44.30%	26.68%	29.01%	+0.32	+5.9	36
1998-11-28	Portadown	D 2-2	60.5	1082	889	65.84%	20.64%	13.51%	+1.38	-1.6	33
1998-11-28	@ Linfield	D 2-2	60.5	889	1082	13.51%	20.64%	65.84%	-1.38	+1.6	10
1998-11-28	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.9	796	927	25.69%	26.15%	48.15%	-0.49	+0.6	12
1998-11-28	@ Omagh Town	D 2-2	58.9	927	796	48.15%	26.15%	25.69%	+0.49	-0.6	17
1998-12-05	Crusaders	W 2-0	38.1	945	998	35.60%	27.10%	37.31%	-0.03	+13.4	29
1998-12-05	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	38.1	998	945	37.31%	27.10%	35.60%	+0.03	-13.4	31
1998-12-05	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.7	927	838	54.41%	24.79%	20.80%	+0.78	-1.3	18
1998-12-05	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	838	927	20.80%	24.79%	54.41%	-0.78	+1.3	17
1998-12-05	Linfield	L 0-1	42.1	1040	1080	37.45%	27.10%	35.45%	+0.04	-7.1	36
1998-12-05	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	42.1	1080	1040	35.45%	27.10%	37.45%	-0.04	+7.1	36
1998-12-05	Glenavon	W 1-0	36.4	1012	926	54.18%	24.85%	20.97%	+0.77	+4.5	33
1998-12-05	@ Newry City	L 0-1	36.4	926	1012	20.97%	24.85%	54.18%	-0.77	-4.4	22
1998-12-05	Omagh Town	W 2-0	32.3	891	797	55.09%	24.60%	20.31%	+0.81	+8.1	13
1998-12-05	@ Portadown	L 0-2	32.3	797	891	20.31%	24.60%	55.09%	-0.81	-8.1	12
1998-12-12	Crusaders	L 0-2	33.8	840	984	24.34%	25.85%	49.81%	-0.56	-9.6	17
1998-12-12	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	33.8	984	840	49.81%	25.85%	24.34%	+0.56	+9.6	34
1998-12-12	Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.4	922	925	42.48%	26.86%	30.67%	+0.25	-0.5	23
1998-12-12	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.4	925	922	30.67%	26.86%	42.48%	-0.25	+0.5	19
1998-12-12	Ballymena United	W 4-1	33.7	1087	958	59.07%	23.35%	17.58%	+1.01	+8.7	39
1998-12-12	@ Linfield	L 1-4	33.7	958	1087	17.58%	23.35%	59.07%	-1.01	-8.6	29
1998-12-12	Portadown	L 1-2	52.7	1017	899	57.88%	23.75%	18.37%	+0.95	-9.5	33
1998-12-12	@ Newry City	W 2-1	52.7	899	1017	18.37%	23.75%	57.88%	-0.95	+9.5	16
1998-12-12	Glentoran	L 1-4	33.0	788	1033	15.99%	22.43%	61.58%	-1.14	-7.8	12
1998-12-12	@ Omagh Town	W 4-1	33.0	1033	788	61.58%	22.43%	15.99%	+1.14	+7.8	39
1998-12-18	Linfield	D 1-1	53.8	908	1096	20.30%	24.59%	55.11%	-0.81	+1.4	17
1998-12-18	@ Portadown	D 1-1	53.8	1096	908	55.11%	24.59%	20.30%	+0.81	-1.4	40
1998-12-19	Glenavon	L 0-1	44.7	950	921	46.91%	26.35%	26.74%	+0.43	-8.5	29
1998-12-19	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	44.7	921	950	26.74%	26.35%	46.91%	-0.43	+8.5	26
1998-12-19	Coleraine	D 0-0	49.1	926	830	55.29%	24.54%	20.17%	+0.82	-1.6	20
1998-12-19	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.1	830	926	20.17%	24.54%	55.29%	-0.82	+1.6	18
1998-12-19	Omagh Town	W 2-0	28.4	994	781	67.87%	19.71%	12.42%	+1.50	+4.8	37
1998-12-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	28.4	781	994	12.42%	19.71%	67.87%	-1.50	-4.8	12
1998-12-19	Newry City	W 5-1	35.8	1041	1007	47.55%	26.25%	26.20%	+0.46	+16.1	42
1998-12-19	@ Glentoran	L 1-5	35.8	1007	1041	26.20%	26.25%	47.55%	-0.46	-16.1	33
1998-12-26	Ballymena United	L 0-1	39.1	832	941	28.18%	26.57%	45.24%	-0.36	-5.8	18
1998-12-26	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	39.1	941	832	45.24%	26.57%	28.18%	+0.36	+5.8	32
1998-12-26	Cliftonville	W 1-0	36.9	999	924	52.69%	25.22%	22.08%	+0.70	+4.7	40
1998-12-26	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	36.9	924	999	22.08%	25.22%	52.69%	-0.70	-4.7	20
1998-12-26	Glentoran	D 1-1	53.3	1094	1057	48.01%	26.18%	25.82%	+0.48	-0.8	41
1998-12-26	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.3	1057	1094	25.82%	26.18%	48.01%	-0.48	+0.9	43
1999-01-01	Crusaders	L 1-2	46.8	947	1003	35.09%	27.09%	37.82%	-0.06	-6.4	32
1999-01-01	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	46.8	1003	947	37.82%	27.09%	35.09%	+0.06	+6.4	43
1999-01-01	Glenavon	W 1-0	35.0	1058	930	59.06%	23.35%	17.59%	+1.01	+3.7	46
1999-01-01	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.0	930	1058	17.59%	23.35%	59.06%	-1.01	-3.8	26
1999-01-01	Linfield	W 2-1	49.5	991	1093	29.05%	26.69%	44.27%	-0.32	+7.7	36
1999-01-01	@ Newry City	L 1-2	49.5	1093	991	44.27%	26.69%	29.05%	+0.32	-7.7	41
1999-01-01	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.4	776	920	24.38%	25.86%	49.76%	-0.56	+1.0	13
1999-01-01	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	53.4	920	776	49.76%	25.86%	24.38%	+0.56	-1.0	21
1999-01-01	Coleraine	L 1-2	51.8	910	826	53.84%	24.94%	21.22%	+0.75	-9.0	17
1999-01-01	@ Portadown	W 2-1	51.8	826	910	21.22%	24.94%	53.84%	-0.75	+9.0	21
1999-01-02	Ballymena United	W 1-0	40.7	919	941	39.97%	27.02%	33.01%	+0.14	+6.5	24
1999-01-02	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.7	941	919	33.01%	27.02%	39.97%	-0.14	-6.5	32
1999-01-02	Glentoran	L 0-1	34.8	835	1062	17.23%	23.15%	59.62%	-1.04	-3.7	21
1999-01-02	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	34.8	1062	835	59.62%	23.15%	17.23%	+1.04	+3.7	49
1999-01-02	Portadown	D 0-0	49.2	1010	901	56.84%	24.08%	19.08%	+0.90	-1.7	44
1999-01-02	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	49.2	901	1010	19.08%	24.08%	56.84%	-0.90	+1.7	18
1999-01-02	Newry City	D 1-1	53.0	926	999	32.78%	27.01%	40.22%	-0.15	+0.3	27
1999-01-02	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.0	999	926	40.22%	27.01%	32.78%	+0.15	-0.3	37
1999-01-02	Omagh Town	W 3-0	23.7	1086	777	76.38%	15.28%	8.34%	+2.05	+4.4	44
1999-01-02	@ Linfield	L 0-3	23.7	777	1086	8.34%	15.28%	76.38%	-2.05	-4.4	13
1999-01-09	Portadown	D 2-2	58.8	934	902	47.29%	26.29%	26.42%	+0.45	-0.6	33
1999-01-09	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.8	902	934	26.42%	26.29%	47.29%	-0.45	+0.6	19
1999-01-09	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.7	925	1065	24.77%	25.95%	49.27%	-0.54	+1.1	25
1999-01-09	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.7	1065	925	49.27%	25.95%	24.77%	+0.54	-1.1	50
1999-01-09	Linfield	W 2-1	53.6	831	1090	15.09%	21.83%	63.09%	-1.22	+10.2	24
1999-01-09	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	53.6	1090	831	63.09%	21.83%	15.09%	+1.22	-10.2	44
1999-01-09	Newry City	W 3-2	49.7	1008	999	44.31%	26.68%	29.01%	+0.32	+5.3	47
1999-01-09	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	49.7	999	1008	29.01%	26.68%	44.31%	-0.32	-5.3	37
1999-01-09	Omagh Town	W 6-1	31.1	926	772	61.81%	22.34%	15.85%	+1.15	+12.3	30
1999-01-09	@ Glenavon	L 1-6	31.1	772	926	15.85%	22.34%	61.81%	-1.15	-12.3	13
1999-01-16	Crusaders	W 2-1	43.2	1064	1013	49.81%	25.85%	24.34%	+0.56	+4.8	53
1999-01-16	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	43.2	1013	1064	24.34%	25.85%	49.81%	-0.56	-4.8	47
1999-01-16	Glenavon	W 3-1	36.2	1080	938	60.51%	22.83%	16.66%	+1.09	+5.8	47
1999-01-16	@ Linfield	L 1-3	36.2	938	1080	16.66%	22.83%	60.51%	-1.09	-5.8	30
1999-01-16	Coleraine	W 1-0	34.2	993	842	61.61%	22.42%	15.98%	+1.14	+3.4	40
1999-01-16	@ Newry City	L 0-1	34.2	842	993	15.98%	22.42%	61.61%	-1.14	-3.4	24
1999-01-16	Ballymena United	L 0-5	31.1	760	934	21.53%	25.04%	53.43%	-0.73	-20.1	13
1999-01-16	@ Omagh Town	W 5-0	31.1	934	760	53.43%	25.04%	21.53%	+0.73	+20.1	36
1999-01-16	Cliftonville	L 0-1	42.7	903	926	39.77%	27.03%	33.20%	+0.13	-7.5	19
1999-01-16	@ Portadown	W 1-0	42.7	926	903	33.20%	27.03%	39.77%	-0.13	+7.5	28
1999-01-26	Portadown	D 2-2	58.9	933	896	47.99%	26.18%	25.83%	+0.48	-0.6	31
1999-01-26	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.9	896	933	25.83%	26.18%	47.99%	-0.48	+0.6	20
1999-01-29	Omagh Town	W 1-0	36.0	838	740	55.57%	24.46%	19.97%	+0.83	+4.2	27
1999-01-29	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	36.0	740	838	19.97%	24.46%	55.57%	-0.83	-4.2	13
1999-01-30	Newry City	D 0-0	48.3	954	997	36.96%	27.10%	35.94%	+0.02	-0.0	37
1999-01-30	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.3	997	954	35.94%	27.10%	36.96%	-0.02	+0.0	41
1999-01-30	Linfield	L 0-1	37.4	934	1086	23.57%	25.66%	50.78%	-0.61	-4.9	28
1999-01-30	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	37.4	1086	934	50.78%	25.66%	23.57%	+0.61	+5.0	50
1999-01-30	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.6	1008	932	52.98%	25.15%	21.87%	+0.71	-1.2	48
1999-01-30	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.6	932	1008	21.87%	25.15%	52.98%	-0.71	+1.2	32
1999-01-30	Glentoran	L 1-3	38.3	896	1069	21.57%	25.06%	53.38%	-0.73	-7.4	20
1999-01-30	@ Portadown	W 3-1	38.3	1069	896	53.38%	25.06%	21.57%	+0.73	+7.4	56
1999-02-06	Coleraine	W 3-1	37.9	933	842	54.70%	24.71%	20.60%	+0.79	+7.1	35
1999-02-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	37.9	842	933	20.60%	24.71%	54.70%	-0.79	-7.1	27
1999-02-06	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.2	1077	954	58.44%	23.56%	17.99%	+0.98	+3.8	59
1999-02-06	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.2	954	1077	17.99%	23.56%	58.44%	-0.98	-3.8	37
1999-02-06	Crusaders	W 4-2	41.9	1091	1007	53.83%	24.94%	21.23%	+0.75	+6.6	53
1999-02-06	@ Linfield	L 2-4	41.9	1007	1091	21.23%	24.94%	53.83%	-0.75	-6.6	48
1999-02-06	Cliftonville	W 1-0	37.1	997	929	51.91%	25.41%	22.68%	+0.66	+4.8	44
1999-02-06	@ Newry City	L 0-1	37.1	929	997	22.68%	25.41%	51.91%	-0.66	-4.8	28
1999-02-06	Portadown	W 1-0	45.6	736	889	23.47%	25.63%	50.90%	-0.61	+9.1	16
1999-02-06	@ Omagh Town	L 0-1	45.6	889	736	50.90%	25.63%	23.47%	+0.61	-9.1	20
1999-02-13	Linfield	W 4-2	50.8	950	1097	24.01%	25.77%	50.22%	-0.58	+13.1	40
1999-02-13	@ Ballymena United	L 2-4	50.8	1097	950	50.22%	25.77%	24.01%	+0.58	-13.1	53
1999-02-13	Glenavon	D 0-0	48.4	924	940	40.77%	26.98%	32.25%	+0.18	-0.4	29
1999-02-13	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.4	940	924	32.25%	26.98%	40.77%	-0.18	+0.4	36
1999-02-13	Coleraine	W 2-0	29.9	1001	835	63.06%	21.84%	15.10%	+1.22	+6.0	51
1999-02-13	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	29.9	835	1001	15.10%	21.84%	63.06%	-1.22	-6.0	27
1999-02-13	Omagh Town	W 2-0	25.2	1080	745	78.46%	14.10%	7.44%	+2.20	+2.6	62
1999-02-13	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	25.2	745	1080	7.44%	14.10%	78.46%	-2.20	-2.6	16
1999-02-13	Newry City	W 2-1	50.1	880	1002	26.76%	26.35%	46.89%	-0.43	+8.0	23
1999-02-13	@ Portadown	L 1-2	50.1	1002	880	46.89%	26.35%	26.76%	+0.43	-8.0	44
1999-02-20	Newry City	L 2-3	44.3	742	993	15.57%	22.15%	62.28%	-1.18	-3.0	16
1999-02-20	@ Omagh Town	W 3-2	44.3	993	742	62.28%	22.15%	15.57%	+1.18	+3.0	47
1999-02-27	Cliftonville	W 3-1	45.3	829	924	30.01%	26.79%	43.20%	-0.28	+13.0	30
1999-02-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	45.3	924	829	43.20%	26.79%	30.01%	+0.28	-13.0	29
1999-02-27	Ballymena United	W 1-0	40.7	941	963	39.92%	27.02%	33.05%	+0.14	+6.5	39
1999-02-27	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	40.7	963	941	33.05%	27.02%	39.92%	-0.14	-6.5	40
1999-02-27	Portadown	W 3-1	34.5	1084	888	66.24%	20.46%	13.29%	+1.40	+4.5	56
1999-02-27	@ Linfield	L 1-3	34.5	888	1084	13.29%	20.46%	66.24%	-1.40	-4.5	23
1999-02-27	Glentoran	W 1-0	43.4	996	1083	31.00%	26.89%	42.12%	-0.23	+7.8	50
1999-02-27	@ Newry City	L 0-1	43.4	1083	996	42.12%	26.89%	31.00%	+0.23	-7.8	62
1999-02-27	Crusaders	L 1-2	39.0	739	1007	14.57%	21.46%	63.98%	-1.27	-2.9	16
1999-02-27	@ Omagh Town	W 2-1	39.0	1007	739	63.98%	21.46%	14.57%	+1.27	+2.9	54
1999-03-06	Coleraine	L 0-1	47.1	956	842	57.43%	23.89%	18.68%	+0.93	-10.0	40
1999-03-06	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	47.1	842	956	18.68%	23.89%	57.43%	-0.93	+10.0	33
1999-03-06	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.1	911	1010	29.47%	26.74%	43.80%	-0.30	+0.5	30
1999-03-06	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.1	1010	911	43.80%	26.74%	29.47%	+0.30	-0.5	55
1999-03-06	Linfield	L 1-2	48.6	1075	1089	41.16%	26.95%	31.89%	+0.19	-7.2	62
1999-03-06	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	48.6	1089	1075	31.89%	26.95%	41.16%	-0.19	+7.2	59
1999-03-06	Omagh Town	D 1-1	56.0	1004	736	72.92%	17.17%	9.91%	+1.81	-2.6	51
1999-03-06	@ Newry City	D 1-1	56.0	736	1004	9.91%	17.17%	72.92%	-1.81	+2.6	17
1999-03-06	Glenavon	D 2-2	58.6	883	947	34.00%	27.06%	38.94%	-0.10	+0.1	24
1999-03-06	@ Portadown	D 2-2	58.6	947	883	38.94%	27.06%	34.00%	+0.10	-0.1	40
1999-03-20	Omagh Town	W 2-1	39.0	911	739	63.78%	21.54%	14.68%	+1.26	+2.9	33
1999-03-20	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.0	739	911	14.68%	21.54%	63.78%	-1.26	-2.9	17
1999-03-20	Portadown	L 0-2	38.5	852	883	38.69%	27.07%	34.24%	+0.09	-13.8	33
1999-03-20	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	38.5	883	852	34.24%	27.07%	38.69%	-0.09	+13.8	27
1999-03-20	Ballymena United	W 1-0	37.3	1009	946	51.27%	25.55%	23.18%	+0.63	+4.9	58
1999-03-20	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	37.3	946	1009	23.18%	25.55%	51.27%	-0.63	-4.9	40
1999-03-20	Glentoran	L 0-1	38.6	947	1068	26.85%	26.37%	46.78%	-0.43	-5.5	40
1999-03-20	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	38.6	1068	947	46.78%	26.37%	26.85%	+0.43	+5.5	65
1999-03-20	Newry City	W 2-1	41.7	1096	1002	55.12%	24.59%	20.29%	+0.81	+4.1	62
1999-03-20	@ Linfield	L 1-2	41.7	1002	1096	20.29%	24.59%	55.12%	-0.81	-4.1	51
1999-03-23	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.8	941	914	46.71%	26.38%	26.92%	+0.43	-0.6	41
1999-03-23	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.8	914	941	26.92%	26.38%	46.71%	-0.43	+0.6	34
1999-03-23	Coleraine	W 5-0	26.2	1074	838	69.96%	18.69%	11.35%	+1.62	+10.2	68
1999-03-23	@ Glentoran	L 0-5	26.2	838	1074	11.35%	18.69%	69.96%	-1.62	-10.2	33
1999-03-23	Glenavon	L 0-2	41.6	998	942	50.44%	25.73%	23.84%	+0.59	-17.0	51
1999-03-23	@ Newry City	W 2-0	41.6	942	998	23.84%	25.73%	50.44%	-0.59	+17.0	43
1999-03-23	Linfield	L 1-5	28.1	736	1100	9.80%	17.03%	73.17%	-1.83	-5.8	17
1999-03-23	@ Omagh Town	W 5-1	28.1	1100	736	73.17%	17.03%	9.80%	+1.83	+5.8	65
1999-03-23	Crusaders	D 0-0	48.5	897	1014	27.33%	26.45%	46.22%	-0.40	+0.8	28
1999-03-23	@ Portadown	D 0-0	48.5	1014	897	46.22%	26.45%	27.33%	+0.40	-0.8	59
1999-04-03	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.7	1084	915	63.44%	21.68%	14.88%	+1.24	-2.0	69
1999-04-03	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	54.7	915	1084	14.88%	21.68%	63.44%	-1.24	+2.0	35
1999-04-03	Coleraine	D 1-1	56.1	1106	828	73.76%	16.72%	9.52%	+1.87	-2.6	66
1999-04-03	@ Linfield	D 1-1	56.1	828	1106	9.52%	16.72%	73.76%	-1.87	+2.7	34
1999-04-03	Crusaders	W 3-0	35.1	981	1013	38.47%	27.08%	34.46%	+0.08	+18.4	54
1999-04-03	@ Newry City	L 0-3	35.1	1013	981	34.46%	27.08%	38.47%	-0.08	-18.4	59
1999-04-03	Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.1	898	941	36.96%	27.10%	35.94%	+0.02	+6.5	31
1999-04-03	@ Portadown	L 1-2	47.1	941	898	35.94%	27.10%	36.96%	-0.02	-6.5	41
1999-04-04	Glenavon	L 0-3	28.7	730	958	17.12%	23.10%	59.78%	-1.05	-10.0	17
1999-04-04	@ Omagh Town	W 3-0	28.7	958	730	59.78%	23.10%	17.12%	+1.05	+10.0	46
1999-04-05	Omagh Town	L 1-2	54.5	934	720	67.96%	19.66%	12.37%	+1.50	-10.8	41
1999-04-05	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	54.5	720	934	12.37%	19.66%	67.96%	-1.50	+10.8	20
1999-04-05	Newry City	W 3-0	40.0	831	999	22.02%	25.20%	52.77%	-0.70	+25.6	37
1999-04-05	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	40.0	999	831	52.77%	25.20%	22.02%	+0.70	-25.6	54
1999-04-05	Glentoran	L 0-3	34.0	995	1082	30.94%	26.88%	42.18%	-0.23	-17.0	59
1999-04-05	@ Crusaders	W 3-0	34.0	1082	995	42.18%	26.88%	30.94%	+0.23	+17.0	72
1999-04-05	Linfield	D 2-2	58.9	968	1103	25.35%	26.08%	48.56%	-0.51	+0.7	47
1999-04-05	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.9	1103	968	48.56%	26.08%	25.35%	+0.51	-0.7	67
1999-04-05	Cliftonville	W 3-0	34.2	904	917	41.31%	26.94%	31.74%	+0.20	+17.3	34
1999-04-05	@ Portadown	L 0-3	34.2	917	904	31.74%	26.94%	41.31%	-0.20	-17.3	35
1999-04-17	Crusaders	W 2-0	36.2	969	978	41.84%	26.91%	31.26%	+0.22	+11.8	50
1999-04-17	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	36.2	978	969	31.26%	26.91%	41.84%	-0.22	-11.8	59
1999-04-17	Portadown	W 3-1	35.1	1099	922	64.27%	21.33%	14.40%	+1.29	+4.9	75
1999-04-17	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	35.1	922	1099	14.40%	21.33%	64.27%	-1.29	-5.0	34
1999-04-17	Cliftonville	W 2-1	38.1	1102	899	66.89%	20.17%	12.94%	+1.44	+2.5	70
1999-04-17	@ Linfield	L 1-2	38.1	899	1102	12.94%	20.17%	66.89%	-1.44	-2.5	35
1999-04-17	Ballymena United	W 1-0	37.8	973	924	49.64%	25.89%	24.48%	+0.56	+5.1	57
1999-04-17	@ Newry City	L 0-1	37.8	924	973	24.48%	25.89%	49.64%	-0.56	-5.1	41
1999-04-17	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.3	731	857	26.36%	26.28%	47.37%	-0.45	+0.8	21
1999-04-17	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	53.3	857	731	47.37%	26.28%	26.36%	+0.45	-0.8	38
1999-04-24	Glentoran	L 3-6	38.5	918	1104	20.49%	24.66%	54.85%	-0.80	-8.1	41
1999-04-24	@ Ballymena United	W 6-3	38.5	1104	918	54.85%	24.66%	20.49%	+0.80	+8.1	78
1999-04-24	Newry City	L 0-2	36.4	897	978	31.65%	26.94%	41.41%	-0.20	-11.9	35
1999-04-24	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.4	978	897	41.41%	26.94%	31.65%	+0.20	+11.9	60
1999-04-24	Glenavon	D 0-0	48.6	856	981	26.39%	26.29%	47.32%	-0.45	+0.9	39
1999-04-24	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	48.6	981	856	47.32%	26.29%	26.39%	+0.45	-0.9	51
1999-04-24	Linfield	W 3-2	55.5	966	1105	24.89%	25.98%	49.13%	-0.53	+7.9	62
1999-04-24	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	55.5	1105	966	49.13%	25.98%	24.89%	+0.53	-7.9	70
1999-04-24	Omagh Town	W 3-0	27.1	917	732	65.07%	20.99%	13.94%	+1.33	+8.0	37
1999-04-24	@ Portadown	L 0-3	27.1	732	917	13.94%	20.99%	65.07%	-1.33	-8.0	21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-04-05	12.37%	Omagh Town	720	2	@ Ballymena United	934	1
2	1998-10-07	14.73%	Omagh Town	843	2	@ Newry City	1015	0
3	1999-01-09	15.09%	@ Coleraine	831	2	Linfield	1090	1
4	1998-10-06	17.09%	Cliftonville	923	1	@ Glentoran	1059	0
5	1998-12-12	18.37%	Portadown	899	2	@ Newry City	1017	1
6	1999-03-06	18.68%	Coleraine	842	1	@ Ballymena United	956	0
7	1998-11-21	20.26%	Crusaders	962	4	@ Glentoran	1057	1
8	1998-10-06	20.88%	@ Ballymena United	908	1	Linfield	1089	0
9	1999-01-01	21.22%	Coleraine	826	2	@ Portadown	910	1
10	1999-04-05	22.02%	@ Coleraine	831	3	Newry City	999	0
11	1999-02-06	23.47%	@ Omagh Town	736	1	Portadown	889	0
12	1998-11-14	23.48%	Newry City	1012	3	@ Glentoran	1072	1
13	1999-03-23	23.84%	Glenavon	942	2	@ Newry City	998	0
14	1999-02-13	24.01%	@ Ballymena United	950	4	Linfield	1097	2
15	1998-08-16	24.69%	Coleraine	884	1	@ Crusaders	932	0
16	1999-04-24	24.89%	@ Crusaders	966	3	Linfield	1105	2
17	1998-09-12	25.77%	Crusaders	900	1	@ Portadown	937	0
18	1998-12-19	26.74%	Glenavon	921	1	@ Ballymena United	950	0
19	1999-02-13	26.76%	@ Portadown	880	2	Newry City	1002	1
20	1998-08-16	27.04%	Portadown	941	2	@ Cliftonville	968	0
21	1998-09-01	27.56%	Ballymena United	916	1	@ Cliftonville	937	0
22	1998-10-31	28.15%	Cliftonville	917	2	@ Ballymena United	934	1
23	1999-01-01	29.05%	@ Newry City	991	2	Linfield	1093	1
24	1999-02-27	30.01%	@ Coleraine	829	3	Cliftonville	924	1
25	1998-11-07	30.39%	Cliftonville	925	1	@ Glenavon	923	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-04-05	25.63	@ Coleraine	3	831	22.02%	Newry City	0	999	52.77%	25.20%
2	1998-11-21	22.42	Crusaders	4	962	20.26%	@ Glentoran	1	1057	55.16%	24.58%
3	1998-10-07	20.57	Omagh Town	2	843	14.73%	@ Newry City	0	1015	63.70%	21.57%
4	1999-01-16	20.09	Ballymena United	5	934	53.43%	@ Omagh Town	0	760	21.53%	25.04%
5	1998-10-31	18.75	@ Crusaders	5	938	55.53%	Omagh Town	0	840	19.99%	24.47%
6	1999-04-03	18.41	@ Newry City	3	981	38.47%	Crusaders	0	1013	34.46%	27.08%
7	1998-08-22	18.16	@ Glenavon	3	895	39.11%	Crusaders	0	923	33.84%	27.06%
8	1999-04-05	17.30	@ Portadown	3	904	41.31%	Cliftonville	0	917	31.74%	26.94%
9	1999-03-23	17.00	Glenavon	2	942	23.84%	@ Newry City	0	998	50.44%	25.73%
10	1999-04-05	16.96	Glentoran	3	1082	42.18%	@ Crusaders	0	995	30.94%	26.88%
11	1998-11-14	16.36	Glenavon	3	915	43.69%	@ Omagh Town	0	817	29.56%	26.75%
12	1998-12-19	16.14	@ Glentoran	5	1041	47.55%	Newry City	1	1007	26.20%	26.25%
13	1998-08-16	15.94	Portadown	2	941	27.04%	@ Cliftonville	0	968	46.56%	26.40%
14	1998-10-24	15.46	Newry City	4	995	38.68%	@ Cliftonville	1	933	34.25%	27.07%
15	1998-10-24	15.41	Ballymena United	4	919	38.82%	@ Omagh Town	1	855	34.12%	27.07%
16	1998-10-06	15.10	@ Portadown	3	902	46.87%	Coleraine	0	874	26.78%	26.35%
17	1998-11-14	14.84	Newry City	3	1012	23.48%	@ Glentoran	1	1072	50.89%	25.63%
18	1998-10-24	14.23	Glentoran	3	1056	49.05%	@ Portadown	0	918	24.95%	25.99%
19	1999-03-20	13.81	Portadown	2	883	34.24%	@ Coleraine	0	852	38.69%	27.07%
20	1998-09-19	13.49	@ Omagh Town	2	826	35.40%	Coleraine	0	880	37.51%	27.09%
21	1998-12-05	13.44	@ Ballymena United	2	945	35.60%	Crusaders	0	998	37.31%	27.10%
22	1999-02-13	13.13	@ Ballymena United	4	950	24.01%	Linfield	2	1097	50.22%	25.77%
23	1999-02-27	13.01	@ Coleraine	3	829	30.01%	Cliftonville	1	924	43.20%	26.79%
24	1998-11-28	12.99	@ Crusaders	2	985	37.29%	Newry City	0	1025	35.62%	27.10%
25	1998-10-17	12.31	Crusaders	2	929	39.83%	@ Coleraine	0	859	33.15%	27.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-11-28	60.5	@ Linfield	2	1082	65.84%	Portadown	2	889	13.51%	20.64%
2	1998-10-17	59.3	@ Linfield	2	1080	54.08%	Newry City	2	994	21.05%	24.87%
3	1998-11-28	58.9	@ Omagh Town	2	796	25.69%	Cliftonville	2	927	48.15%	26.15%
4	1999-01-26	58.9	@ Glenavon	2	933	47.99%	Portadown	2	896	25.83%	26.18%
5	1999-04-05	58.9	@ Glenavon	2	968	25.35%	Linfield	2	1103	48.56%	26.08%
6	1998-09-12	58.8	@ Coleraine	2	880	26.52%	Newry City	2	1004	47.17%	26.31%
7	1999-01-09	58.8	@ Ballymena United	2	934	47.29%	Portadown	2	902	26.42%	26.29%
8	1999-03-23	58.8	@ Ballymena United	2	941	46.71%	Cliftonville	2	914	26.92%	26.38%
9	1998-09-12	58.7	@ Cliftonville	2	923	42.67%	Glenavon	2	925	30.49%	26.84%
10	1999-03-06	58.6	@ Portadown	2	883	34.00%	Glenavon	2	947	38.94%	27.06%
11	1999-04-03	56.1	@ Linfield	1	1106	73.76%	Coleraine	1	828	9.52%	16.72%
12	1999-03-06	56.0	@ Newry City	1	1004	72.92%	Omagh Town	1	736	9.91%	17.17%
13	1999-04-24	55.5	@ Crusaders	3	966	24.89%	Linfield	2	1105	49.13%	25.98%
14	1998-11-07	54.8	@ Newry City	1	1014	64.64%	Coleraine	1	833	14.19%	21.17%
15	1999-04-03	54.7	@ Glentoran	1	1084	63.44%	Cliftonville	1	915	14.88%	21.68%
16	1999-04-05	54.5	Omagh Town	2	720	12.37%	@ Ballymena United	1	934	67.96%	19.66%
17	1998-12-18	53.8	@ Portadown	1	908	20.30%	Linfield	1	1096	55.11%	24.59%
18	1998-12-05	53.7	@ Cliftonville	1	927	54.41%	Coleraine	1	838	20.80%	24.79%
19	1999-01-09	53.6	@ Coleraine	2	831	15.09%	Linfield	1	1090	63.09%	21.83%
20	1999-01-30	53.6	@ Crusaders	1	1008	52.98%	Glenavon	1	932	21.87%	25.15%
21	1998-10-31	53.5	@ Glenavon	1	922	22.80%	Linfield	1	1082	51.76%	25.44%
22	1998-11-21	53.5	@ Cliftonville	1	926	23.14%	Linfield	1	1083	51.32%	25.54%
23	1998-11-07	53.4	@ Ballymena United	1	926	24.11%	Glentoran	1	1073	50.09%	25.80%
24	1998-11-07	53.4	@ Crusaders	1	957	50.48%	Portadown	1	900	23.80%	25.72%
25	1999-01-01	53.4	@ Omagh Town	1	776	24.38%	Cliftonville	1	920	49.76%	25.86%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-01-02	23.7	@ Linfield	3	1086	76.38%	Omagh Town	0	777	8.34%	15.28%
2	1999-02-13	25.2	@ Glentoran	2	1080	78.46%	Omagh Town	0	745	7.44%	14.10%
3	1999-03-23	26.2	@ Glentoran	5	1074	69.96%	Coleraine	0	838	11.35%	18.69%
4	1998-11-07	27.1	@ Linfield	2	1081	72.20%	Omagh Town	0	821	10.26%	17.55%
5	1999-04-24	27.1	@ Portadown	3	917	65.07%	Omagh Town	0	732	13.94%	20.99%
6	1999-03-23	28.1	Linfield	5	1100	73.17%	@ Omagh Town	1	736	9.80%	17.03%
7	1998-12-19	28.4	@ Crusaders	2	994	67.87%	Omagh Town	0	781	12.42%	19.71%
8	1999-04-04	28.7	Glenavon	3	958	59.78%	@ Omagh Town	0	730	17.12%	23.10%
9	1999-02-13	29.9	@ Crusaders	2	1001	63.06%	Coleraine	0	835	15.10%	21.84%
10	1998-08-16	30.1	@ Glentoran	2	1012	62.31%	Omagh Town	0	854	15.55%	22.14%
11	1998-10-31	30.5	@ Crusaders	5	938	55.53%	Omagh Town	0	840	19.99%	24.47%
12	1998-09-01	30.7	@ Linfield	2	1062	60.28%	Glenavon	0	923	16.80%	22.92%
13	1999-01-09	31.1	@ Glenavon	6	926	61.81%	Omagh Town	1	772	15.85%	22.34%
14	1999-01-16	31.1	Ballymena United	5	934	53.43%	@ Omagh Town	0	760	21.53%	25.04%
15	1998-10-24	31.9	Glentoran	3	1056	49.05%	@ Portadown	0	918	24.95%	25.99%
16	1998-10-17	32.3	Glentoran	2	1048	54.78%	@ Omagh Town	0	864	20.54%	24.68%
17	1998-12-05	32.3	@ Portadown	2	891	55.09%	Omagh Town	0	797	20.31%	24.60%
18	1998-10-06	32.6	@ Portadown	3	902	46.87%	Coleraine	0	874	26.78%	26.35%
19	1998-12-12	33.0	Glentoran	4	1033	61.58%	@ Omagh Town	1	788	15.99%	22.43%
20	1998-09-05	33.2	@ Glenavon	2	916	51.85%	Omagh Town	0	849	22.73%	25.42%
21	1998-09-26	33.2	Linfield	2	1081	52.06%	@ Portadown	0	919	22.56%	25.37%
22	1998-11-14	33.5	Glenavon	3	915	43.69%	@ Omagh Town	0	817	29.56%	26.75%
23	1998-12-12	33.7	@ Linfield	4	1087	59.07%	Ballymena United	1	958	17.58%	23.35%
24	1998-12-12	33.8	Crusaders	2	984	49.81%	@ Coleraine	0	840	24.34%	25.85%
25	1999-04-05	34.0	Glentoran	3	1082	42.18%	@ Crusaders	0	995	30.94%	26.88%