1999-00 Irish League Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

10.19 points above expected

79 points · 68.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

16.90 points below expected

29 points · 45.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	36	24	7	5	79	68	30	+38	68.81	+10.19
2	Coleraine	36	18	7	11	61	64	42	+22	51.22	+9.78
3	Glenavon	36	17	10	9	61	55	34	+21	57.42	+3.58
4	Glentoran	36	18	7	11	61	59	51	+8	53.88	+7.12
5	Portadown	36	15	7	14	52	64	62	+2	46.41	+5.59
6	Newry City	36	11	7	18	40	44	58	-14	47.44	-7.44
7	Crusaders	36	9	13	14	40	41	55	-14	45.63	-5.63
8	Cliftonville	36	8	13	15	37	40	58	-18	39.74	-2.74
9	Ballymena United	36	6	16	14	34	45	62	-17	36.60	-2.60
10	Lisburn Distillery	36	8	5	23	29	37	65	-28	45.90	-16.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Linfield	79	68.81	+10.19
2	Coleraine	61	51.22	+9.78
3	Glentoran	61	53.88	+7.12
4	Portadown	52	46.41	+5.59
5	Glenavon	61	57.42	+3.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lisburn Distillery	29	45.90	-16.90
2	Newry City	40	47.44	-7.44
3	Crusaders	40	45.63	-5.63
4	Cliftonville	37	39.74	-2.74
5	Ballymena United	34	36.60	-2.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	7	Nov 6 – Dec 18	1 in 843
2	Linfield	9	Oct 16 – Dec 11	1 in 206
3	Glentoran	4	Feb 26 – Mar 25	1 in 98
4	Cliftonville	2	Nov 13 – Nov 20	1 in 33
5	Newry City	3	Mar 18 – Apr 1	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	8	Sep 25 – Nov 13	1 in 15,906
2	Glentoran	3	Nov 27 – Dec 11	1 in 47
3	Portadown	3	Apr 22 – Apr 29	1 in 41
4	Crusaders	3	Nov 6 – Nov 20	1 in 32
5	Cliftonville	4	Oct 2 – Oct 23	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	12	Dec 18 – Mar 25	1 in 400
2	Linfield	25	Sep 7 – Feb 26	1 in 286
3	Coleraine	10	Oct 23 – Dec 27	1 in 73
4	Crusaders	7	Sep 11 – Oct 16	1 in 45
5	Cliftonville	6	Aug 14 – Sep 11	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	12	Aug 31 – Nov 13	1 in 1,668
2	Cliftonville	13	Aug 21 – Nov 6	1 in 107
3	Ballymena United	10	Aug 14 – Oct 9	1 in 37
4	Glenavon	6	Dec 11 – Jan 15	1 in 21
5	Crusaders	7	Feb 5 – Apr 1	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1147	79	+15	9	9.6	-0.6
Glenavon	1083	61	+33	13	10.0	+3.0
Coleraine	1073	61	+43	10	7.6	+2.4
Glentoran	1005	61	-18	6	8.7	-2.7
Portadown	945	52	-55	6	8.2	-2.2
Crusaders	843	40	+5	6	4.4	+1.6
Newry City	858	40	-37	3	4.5	-1.5
Cliftonville	840	37	+0	7	5.2	+1.8
Ballymena United	869	34	+34	7	4.8	+2.2
Lisburn Distillery	814	29	-20	6	5.6	+0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	GLE	GLE	LIN	LD	NC	POR
Ballymena United	—	1-2-1 5.36	0-3-1 4.25	0-3-1 4.67	1-1-2 3.68	1-1-2 3.62	0-0-4 2.65	2-1-1 4.27	0-3-1 4.31	1-2-1 4.27
Cliftonville	1-2-1 5.57	—	1-2-1 4.03	0-4-0 4.78	1-1-2 3.74	0-2-2 3.94	1-0-3 2.54	2-1-1 4.89	1-0-3 4.63	1-1-2 4.64
Coleraine	1-3-0 6.74	1-2-1 6.94	—	3-0-1 5.69	2-2-0 4.74	0-0-4 5.35	1-0-3 3.67	4-0-0 6.39	3-0-1 6.26	3-0-1 5.49
Crusaders	1-3-0 6.26	0-4-0 6.15	1-0-3 5.28	—	1-0-3 4.10	2-1-1 4.35	0-3-1 3.25	2-1-1 5.29	2-1-1 5.12	0-0-4 5.15
Glenavon	2-1-1 7.30	2-1-1 7.24	0-2-2 6.22	3-0-1 6.87	—	1-2-1 5.82	1-2-1 4.09	2-1-1 7.05	4-0-0 6.31	2-1-1 6.61
Glentoran	2-1-1 7.35	2-2-0 7.02	4-0-0 5.60	1-1-2 6.62	1-2-1 5.12	—	2-1-1 3.84	2-0-2 6.25	2-0-2 6.02	2-0-2 6.46
Linfield	4-0-0 8.42	3-0-1 8.57	3-0-1 7.29	1-3-0 7.79	1-2-1 6.87	1-1-2 7.14	—	4-0-0 7.49	4-0-0 7.80	3-1-0 7.51
Lisburn Distillery	1-1-2 6.68	1-1-2 6.05	0-0-4 4.62	1-1-2 5.65	1-1-2 3.93	2-0-2 4.71	0-0-4 3.54	—	0-1-3 5.43	2-0-2 5.66
Newry City	1-3-0 6.64	3-0-1 6.30	1-0-3 4.70	1-1-2 5.81	0-0-4 4.63	2-0-2 4.91	0-0-4 3.21	3-1-0 5.54	—	0-2-2 5.49
Portadown	1-2-1 6.68	2-1-1 6.30	1-0-3 5.43	4-0-0 5.78	1-1-2 4.34	2-0-2 4.48	0-1-3 3.51	2-0-2 5.32	2-2-0 5.45	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+12.5
Allowed	0.77	-11.3
Differential	0.96	+7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.11%	7.22%	5.56%	3.89%	1.39%	0.28%	24.44%
1	7.22%	12.22%	8.06%	3.89%	1.39%	—	32.78%
2	5.56%	8.06%	6.11%	3.06%	1.39%	—	24.17%
3	3.89%	3.89%	3.06%	1.11%	0.56%	0.56%	13.06%
4	1.39%	1.39%	1.39%	0.56%	—	—	4.72%
5+	0.28%	—	—	0.56%	—	—	0.83%
Total	24.44%	32.78%	24.17%	13.06%	4.72%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.44	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.69
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	8.33%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	44.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	25.00%	27.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.72	-0.47
SD	0.97	1.14	1.28
CV	0.77	0.66	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	50.00%
2	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	30.56%	27.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.61	-0.50
SD	0.82	1.20	1.42
CV	0.74	0.75	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.17	+0.61
SD	1.51	1.08	1.84
CV	0.85	0.93	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	8.33%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	27.78%	2.78%	13.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.53	-0.39
SD	0.87	1.28	1.54
CV	0.76	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	41.67%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.94	+0.58
SD	1.23	0.92	1.65
CV	0.81	0.98	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	38.89%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.42	+0.22
SD	1.29	1.05	1.53
CV	0.79	0.74	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	36.11%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	0.83	+1.06
SD	1.26	0.85	1.47
CV	0.67	1.01	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	27.78%	19.44%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.81	-0.78
SD	0.84	1.14	1.33
CV	0.82	0.63	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	36.11%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	30.56%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.61	-0.39
SD	1.15	1.32	1.82
CV	0.94	0.82	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	22.22%	36.11%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.72	+0.06
SD	1.42	1.45	2.06
CV	0.80	0.84	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1147	79	68.81	+10.19	97.0%	47	57	65	69	73	78	88
Glenavon	1083	61	57.42	+3.58	70.0%	40	45	51	57	62	69	80
Coleraine	1073	61	51.22	+9.78	89.0%	32	36	46	51	58	63	74
Glentoran	1005	61	53.88	+7.12	93.0%	38	43	49	54	58	63	69
Portadown	945	52	46.41	+5.59	81.0%	27	33	42	46	52	58	60
Ballymena United	869	34	36.60	-2.60	38.0%	20	25	32	36	42	50	53
Newry City	858	40	47.44	-7.44	18.0%	24	37	42	46	53	62	67
Crusaders	843	40	45.63	-5.63	31.0%	28	31	38	46	51	59	66
Cliftonville	840	37	39.74	-2.74	35.0%	19	30	35	40	44	50	56
Lisburn Distillery	814	29	45.90	-16.90	2.0%	27	33	41	46	51	56	62

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.67%

Clear Edge

45.56%25.56%28.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 58.45 Elo pts.

223 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.36 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

79%

Linfield, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.50/gm

Runaway

00.240.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.97 * Some Luck: 5.97 to 8.96 * Lucky: 8.96 to 11.95 * Wild Swing: 11.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.89 * Off: 1.89 to 2.52 * Way Off: 2.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.25 points

Some Luck

07.4719

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Pinpoint

01.574

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Linfield

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.00%

Lisburn Distillery

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 120.93

2.02

Moderate Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

77%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Even

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.31

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.07

Weak Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.07

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.72

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.124

Well Within Noise

00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Linfield	79.00%	13.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	1.00%	17.00%	18.00%	18.00%	12.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Glenavon	14.00%	29.00%	22.00%	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—
Glentoran	4.00%	19.00%	26.00%	16.00%	16.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Portadown	—	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	17.00%	16.00%	12.00%	13.00%	3.00%
Newry City	1.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	10.00%	20.00%	17.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Crusaders	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	9.00%
Cliftonville	—	2.00%	—	—	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	26.00%	17.00%	28.00%
Ballymena United	—	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	28.00%	43.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	19.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	98.00%	2.00%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Coleraine	93.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Portadown	84.00%	13.00%	3.00%
Newry City	85.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Lisburn Distillery	81.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Crusaders	75.00%	16.00%	9.00%
Cliftonville	55.00%	17.00%	28.00%
Ballymena United	29.00%	28.00%	43.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1999-08-14	Newry City	W 3-2	51.2	897	943	38.26%	27.09%	34.65%	+0.06	+10.9	3
1999-08-14	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	51.2	943	897	34.65%	27.09%	38.26%	-0.06	-10.9	0
1999-08-14	Glentoran	L 1-2	44.1	883	997	28.87%	26.87%	44.27%	-0.25	-10.0	0
1999-08-14	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	44.1	997	883	44.27%	26.87%	28.87%	+0.25	+10.0	3
1999-08-14	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.1	940	909	48.58%	26.50%	24.91%	+0.40	-1.9	1
1999-08-14	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.1	909	940	24.91%	26.50%	48.58%	-0.40	+1.8	1
1999-08-14	Portadown	W 2-1	38.9	1067	915	61.57%	24.03%	14.40%	+0.95	+5.5	3
1999-08-14	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	38.9	915	1067	14.40%	24.03%	61.57%	-0.95	-5.5	0
1999-08-21	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.6	911	1073	23.46%	26.31%	50.23%	-0.46	+1.9	2
1999-08-21	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.6	1073	911	50.23%	26.31%	23.46%	+0.46	-1.9	4
1999-08-21	Glenavon	L 1-2	51.1	1007	939	52.99%	25.92%	21.08%	+0.57	-16.1	3
1999-08-21	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	51.1	939	1007	21.08%	25.92%	52.99%	-0.57	+16.1	4
1999-08-21	Coleraine	W 3-1	36.0	993	873	58.43%	24.86%	16.71%	+0.80	+10.9	3
1999-08-21	@ Linfield	L 1-3	36.0	873	993	16.71%	24.86%	58.43%	-0.80	-10.9	0
1999-08-21	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.4	932	935	44.05%	26.88%	29.07%	+0.25	-1.0	1
1999-08-21	@ Newry City	D 1-1	52.4	935	932	29.07%	26.88%	44.05%	-0.25	+1.0	1
1999-08-21	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.2	909	908	44.72%	26.84%	28.44%	+0.27	-0.8	1
1999-08-21	@ Portadown	D 2-2	58.2	908	909	28.44%	26.84%	44.72%	-0.27	+0.8	4
1999-08-27	Crusaders	L 1-2	45.8	862	936	34.16%	27.08%	38.76%	-0.07	-11.4	0
1999-08-27	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	45.8	936	862	38.76%	27.08%	34.16%	+0.07	+11.4	4
1999-08-28	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.4	909	912	44.02%	26.88%	29.10%	+0.24	-1.0	5
1999-08-28	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.4	912	909	29.10%	26.88%	44.02%	-0.24	+1.0	3
1999-08-28	Glentoran	W 2-0	31.5	1071	991	54.17%	25.73%	20.10%	+0.62	+14.9	7
1999-08-28	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	31.5	991	1071	20.10%	25.73%	54.17%	-0.62	-14.9	3
1999-08-28	Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	931	908	47.42%	26.62%	25.96%	+0.36	-1.5	2
1999-08-28	@ Newry City	D 1-1	52.5	908	931	25.96%	26.62%	47.42%	-0.36	+1.5	2
1999-08-31	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.2	913	850	52.33%	26.03%	21.64%	+0.54	-2.5	4
1999-08-31	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.2	850	913	21.64%	26.03%	52.33%	-0.54	+2.4	1
1999-08-31	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	948	908	49.63%	26.39%	23.99%	+0.44	-1.8	5
1999-08-31	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	908	948	23.99%	26.39%	49.63%	-0.44	+1.8	6
1999-08-31	Linfield	W 1-0	39.7	976	1004	40.89%	27.03%	32.09%	+0.14	+11.5	6
1999-08-31	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	39.7	1004	976	32.09%	27.03%	40.89%	-0.14	-11.5	3
1999-08-31	Newry City	L 0-1	47.7	1086	929	61.93%	23.92%	14.15%	+0.96	-19.6	7
1999-08-31	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	47.7	929	1086	14.15%	23.92%	61.93%	-0.96	+19.6	5
1999-08-31	Glenavon	L 1-3	43.2	910	955	38.39%	27.09%	34.52%	+0.06	-21.5	2
1999-08-31	@ Portadown	W 3-1	43.2	955	910	34.52%	27.09%	38.39%	-0.06	+21.5	7
1999-09-07	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.4	853	976	27.83%	26.79%	45.38%	-0.29	+1.2	2
1999-09-07	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.4	976	853	45.38%	26.79%	27.83%	+0.29	-1.2	8
1999-09-07	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.7	988	909	54.08%	25.74%	20.17%	+0.61	-2.5	7
1999-09-07	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.7	909	988	20.17%	25.74%	54.08%	-0.61	+2.5	7
1999-09-07	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	52.4	992	1066	34.25%	27.08%	38.67%	-0.07	+11.8	6
1999-09-07	@ Linfield	L 2-3	52.4	1066	992	38.67%	27.08%	34.25%	+0.07	-11.8	7
1999-09-07	Ballymena United	W 3-1	38.8	949	911	49.33%	26.42%	24.25%	+0.43	+15.1	8
1999-09-07	@ Newry City	L 1-3	38.8	911	949	24.25%	26.42%	49.33%	-0.43	-15.1	4
1999-09-07	Crusaders	W 2-1	46.4	888	946	36.56%	27.10%	36.33%	+0.00	+11.9	5
1999-09-07	@ Portadown	L 1-2	46.4	946	888	36.33%	27.10%	36.56%	+0.00	-11.9	5
1999-09-11	Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.1	912	1054	25.60%	26.58%	47.81%	-0.38	+1.7	8
1999-09-11	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.1	1054	912	47.81%	26.58%	25.60%	+0.38	-1.7	8
1999-09-11	Portadown	W 4-1	39.3	854	900	38.20%	27.09%	34.71%	+0.05	+28.2	5
1999-09-11	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	39.3	900	854	34.71%	27.09%	38.20%	-0.05	-28.2	5
1999-09-11	Glentoran	W 1-0	40.7	934	986	37.44%	27.10%	35.46%	+0.03	+12.4	8
1999-09-11	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	40.7	986	934	35.46%	27.10%	37.44%	-0.03	-12.4	7
1999-09-11	Newry City	W 2-1	43.6	975	964	45.98%	26.74%	27.28%	+0.31	+9.6	11
1999-09-11	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	43.6	964	975	27.28%	26.74%	45.98%	-0.31	-9.6	8
1999-09-11	Ballymena United	W 3-0	28.4	1004	896	57.21%	25.14%	17.66%	+0.75	+19.2	9
1999-09-11	@ Linfield	L 0-3	28.4	896	1004	17.66%	25.14%	57.21%	-0.75	-19.2	4
1999-09-18	Glentoran	D 0-0	47.9	877	973	31.22%	26.99%	41.79%	-0.17	+0.8	5
1999-09-18	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	47.9	973	877	41.79%	26.99%	31.22%	+0.17	-0.8	8
1999-09-18	Glenavon	L 1-2	45.9	914	984	34.67%	27.09%	38.24%	-0.06	-11.5	8
1999-09-18	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	45.9	984	914	38.24%	27.09%	34.67%	+0.06	+11.5	14
1999-09-18	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.8	1052	946	57.01%	25.18%	17.81%	+0.74	-2.2	9
1999-09-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.8	946	1052	17.81%	25.18%	57.01%	-0.74	+2.1	9
1999-09-18	Coleraine	W 3-0	29.5	954	882	53.35%	25.87%	20.78%	+0.59	+22.2	11
1999-09-18	@ Newry City	L 0-3	29.5	882	954	20.78%	25.87%	53.35%	-0.59	-22.2	5
1999-09-18	Linfield	D 1-1	52.5	872	1023	24.64%	26.47%	48.89%	-0.42	+1.7	6
1999-09-18	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	1023	872	48.89%	26.47%	24.64%	+0.42	-1.7	10
1999-09-21	Linfield	D 1-1	52.3	949	1021	34.42%	27.09%	38.49%	-0.06	+0.3	10
1999-09-21	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.3	1021	949	38.49%	27.09%	34.42%	+0.06	-0.3	11
1999-09-25	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.3	877	949	34.62%	27.09%	38.30%	-0.06	+0.2	6
1999-09-25	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.3	949	877	38.30%	27.09%	34.62%	+0.06	-0.2	11
1999-09-25	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.3	860	902	38.79%	27.08%	34.13%	+0.07	-0.3	6
1999-09-25	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.3	902	860	34.13%	27.08%	38.79%	-0.07	+0.3	9
1999-09-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	36.6	996	1050	37.04%	27.10%	35.86%	+0.02	+23.6	17
1999-09-25	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	36.6	1050	996	35.86%	27.10%	37.04%	-0.02	-23.6	9
1999-09-25	Portadown	W 5-3	42.5	972	874	56.24%	25.34%	18.42%	+0.70	+10.1	11
1999-09-25	@ Glentoran	L 3-5	42.5	874	972	18.42%	25.34%	56.24%	-0.70	-10.1	6
1999-09-25	Newry City	W 3-1	38.5	1021	977	50.15%	26.32%	23.52%	+0.46	+14.7	14
1999-09-25	@ Linfield	L 1-3	38.5	977	1021	23.52%	26.32%	50.15%	-0.46	-14.7	11
1999-10-02	Linfield	L 0-1	37.9	902	1036	26.63%	26.69%	46.69%	-0.34	-10.0	9
1999-10-02	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	37.9	1036	902	46.69%	26.69%	26.63%	+0.34	+10.0	17
1999-10-02	Glenavon	W 3-1	43.2	949	1020	34.67%	27.09%	38.24%	-0.06	+21.4	14
1999-10-02	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	43.2	1020	949	38.24%	27.09%	34.67%	+0.06	-21.4	17
1999-10-02	Coleraine	L 1-3	49.5	1027	860	62.88%	23.63%	13.48%	+1.01	-32.5	9
1999-10-02	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	49.5	860	1027	13.48%	23.63%	62.88%	-1.01	+32.5	9
1999-10-02	Glentoran	W 1-0	39.4	962	982	41.77%	27.00%	31.24%	+0.17	+11.3	14
1999-10-02	@ Newry City	L 0-1	39.4	982	962	31.24%	27.00%	41.77%	-0.17	-11.3	11
1999-10-02	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.2	864	878	42.65%	26.96%	30.39%	+0.20	-0.6	7
1999-10-02	@ Portadown	D 2-2	58.2	878	864	30.39%	26.96%	42.65%	-0.20	+0.6	7
1999-10-05	Linfield	D 0-0	47.9	998	1046	38.00%	27.09%	34.91%	+0.05	-0.2	18
1999-10-05	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	47.9	1046	998	34.91%	27.09%	38.00%	-0.05	+0.2	18
1999-10-09	Glenavon	L 0-3	32.1	878	998	28.29%	26.82%	44.89%	-0.27	-28.6	7
1999-10-09	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	32.1	998	878	44.89%	26.82%	28.29%	+0.27	+28.6	21
1999-10-09	Coleraine	W 3-2	46.4	971	892	54.12%	25.74%	20.14%	+0.62	+7.1	14
1999-10-09	@ Glentoran	L 2-3	46.4	892	971	20.14%	25.74%	54.12%	-0.62	-7.1	9
1999-10-09	Crusaders	D 0-0	48.3	1046	970	53.78%	25.80%	20.42%	+0.60	-2.7	19
1999-10-09	@ Linfield	D 0-0	48.3	970	1046	20.42%	25.80%	53.78%	-0.60	+2.7	15
1999-10-09	Cliftonville	W 3-1	37.3	973	892	54.31%	25.71%	19.99%	+0.62	+12.8	17
1999-10-09	@ Newry City	L 1-3	37.3	892	973	19.99%	25.71%	54.31%	-0.62	-12.8	9
1999-10-09	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	42.7	863	994	26.89%	26.71%	46.40%	-0.33	+35.3	10
1999-10-09	@ Portadown	L 1-4	42.7	994	863	46.40%	26.71%	26.89%	+0.33	-35.3	9
1999-10-16	Portadown	L 1-2	48.1	880	898	42.02%	26.98%	30.99%	+0.18	-13.3	9
1999-10-16	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	48.1	898	880	30.99%	26.98%	42.02%	-0.18	+13.3	13
1999-10-16	Linfield	L 0-1	37.0	885	1043	23.87%	26.37%	49.76%	-0.45	-9.1	9
1999-10-16	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	37.0	1043	885	49.76%	26.37%	23.87%	+0.45	+9.1	22
1999-10-16	Newry City	W 1-0	39.1	973	986	42.78%	26.95%	30.27%	+0.20	+11.0	18
1999-10-16	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	39.1	986	973	30.27%	26.95%	42.78%	-0.20	-11.0	17
1999-10-16	Glentoran	D 3-3	62.5	1027	978	50.61%	26.27%	23.13%	+0.48	-1.2	22
1999-10-16	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	62.5	978	1027	23.13%	26.27%	50.61%	-0.48	+1.2	15
1999-10-16	Ballymena United	L 3-4	60.2	959	850	57.34%	25.10%	17.55%	+0.75	-16.0	9
1999-10-16	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-3	60.2	850	959	17.55%	25.10%	57.34%	-0.75	+16.0	10
1999-10-23	Cliftonville	W 2-1	44.1	866	866	44.47%	26.85%	28.68%	+0.26	+10.0	13
1999-10-23	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.1	866	866	28.68%	26.85%	44.47%	-0.26	-10.0	9
1999-10-23	Coleraine	L 1-3	48.3	984	876	57.19%	25.14%	17.67%	+0.75	-29.9	18
1999-10-23	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	48.3	876	984	17.67%	25.14%	57.19%	-0.75	+29.9	12
1999-10-23	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	38.8	979	943	49.16%	26.44%	24.40%	+0.43	+15.2	18
1999-10-23	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	38.8	943	979	24.40%	26.44%	49.16%	-0.43	-15.2	9
1999-10-23	Glenavon	W 1-0	37.5	1052	1025	48.01%	26.56%	25.43%	+0.38	+9.6	25
1999-10-23	@ Linfield	L 0-1	37.5	1025	1052	25.43%	26.56%	48.01%	-0.38	-9.6	22
1999-10-23	Newry City	D 0-0	47.9	912	975	35.75%	27.10%	37.14%	-0.02	+0.1	14
1999-10-23	@ Portadown	D 0-0	47.9	975	912	37.14%	27.10%	35.75%	+0.02	-0.1	18
1999-10-30	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.4	856	954	31.07%	26.99%	41.94%	-0.18	+0.7	10
1999-10-30	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.4	954	856	41.94%	26.99%	31.07%	+0.18	-0.7	19
1999-10-30	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.5	906	876	48.39%	26.52%	25.08%	+0.40	-1.6	13
1999-10-30	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.5	876	906	25.08%	26.52%	48.39%	-0.40	+1.6	14
1999-10-30	Portadown	W 3-1	36.5	1016	912	56.81%	25.22%	17.97%	+0.73	+11.7	25
1999-10-30	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	36.5	912	1016	17.97%	25.22%	56.81%	-0.73	-11.6	14
1999-10-30	Glentoran	W 2-0	31.9	1062	995	52.83%	25.95%	21.22%	+0.56	+15.6	28
1999-10-30	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.9	995	1062	21.22%	25.95%	52.83%	-0.56	-15.6	18
1999-10-30	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.3	975	928	50.44%	26.29%	23.28%	+0.47	+8.4	21
1999-10-30	@ Newry City	L 1-2	42.3	928	975	23.28%	26.29%	50.44%	-0.47	-8.4	9
1999-11-06	Newry City	D 2-2	58.2	877	983	30.00%	26.93%	43.07%	-0.21	+0.7	15
1999-11-06	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.2	983	877	43.07%	26.93%	30.00%	+0.21	-0.7	22
1999-11-06	Glentoran	L 1-2	43.9	857	979	28.00%	26.80%	45.20%	-0.28	-9.8	10
1999-11-06	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	43.9	979	857	45.20%	26.80%	28.00%	+0.28	+9.8	21
1999-11-06	Portadown	L 2-4	50.9	953	900	51.17%	26.19%	22.64%	+0.50	-24.2	19
1999-11-06	@ Crusaders	W 4-2	50.9	900	953	22.64%	26.19%	51.17%	-0.50	+24.2	17
1999-11-06	Coleraine	L 0-1	47.0	1027	904	58.75%	24.78%	16.47%	+0.81	-18.7	25
1999-11-06	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	47.0	904	1027	16.47%	24.78%	58.75%	-0.81	+18.7	16
1999-11-06	Linfield	L 1-2	42.5	919	1078	23.87%	26.37%	49.76%	-0.45	-8.6	9
1999-11-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.5	1078	919	49.76%	26.37%	23.87%	+0.45	+8.6	31
1999-11-12	Linfield	L 1-3	36.9	878	1086	19.05%	25.49%	55.46%	-0.67	-12.3	15
1999-11-12	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	36.9	1086	878	55.46%	25.49%	19.05%	+0.67	+12.3	34
1999-11-12	Glenavon	L 0-1	42.3	983	1009	41.01%	27.02%	31.97%	+0.14	-13.8	22
1999-11-12	@ Newry City	W 1-0	42.3	1009	983	31.97%	27.02%	41.01%	-0.14	+13.8	28
1999-11-12	Coleraine	L 3-6	46.1	924	923	44.71%	26.84%	28.45%	+0.27	-27.4	17
1999-11-12	@ Portadown	W 6-3	46.1	923	924	28.45%	26.84%	44.71%	-0.27	+27.4	19
1999-11-13	Crusaders	W 2-0	32.1	989	929	51.95%	26.08%	21.96%	+0.53	+16.0	24
1999-11-13	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	32.1	929	989	21.96%	26.08%	51.95%	-0.53	-16.0	19
1999-11-13	Cliftonville	L 0-1	45.4	911	847	52.38%	26.02%	21.60%	+0.55	-16.9	9
1999-11-13	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	45.4	847	911	21.60%	26.02%	52.38%	-0.55	+16.9	13
1999-11-20	Newry City	W 2-0	35.1	950	969	42.08%	26.98%	30.94%	+0.18	+21.1	22
1999-11-20	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	35.1	969	950	30.94%	26.98%	42.08%	-0.18	-21.1	22
1999-11-20	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	49.5	913	894	46.99%	26.66%	26.35%	+0.35	-14.5	19
1999-11-20	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	49.5	894	913	26.35%	26.66%	46.99%	-0.35	+14.5	12
1999-11-20	Cliftonville	L 0-1	47.7	1022	864	62.09%	23.87%	14.03%	+0.97	-19.7	28
1999-11-20	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	47.7	864	1022	14.03%	23.87%	62.09%	-0.97	+19.7	16
1999-11-20	Ballymena United	W 3-1	35.5	1005	866	60.30%	24.38%	15.32%	+0.89	+10.0	27
1999-11-20	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	35.5	866	1005	15.32%	24.38%	60.30%	-0.89	-10.0	15
1999-11-20	Portadown	W 3-1	33.8	1098	897	65.86%	22.62%	11.53%	+1.17	+7.6	37
1999-11-20	@ Linfield	L 1-3	33.8	897	1098	11.53%	22.62%	65.86%	-1.17	-7.6	17
1999-11-27	Coleraine	L 1-4	38.6	884	971	32.39%	27.04%	40.58%	-0.13	-26.8	16
1999-11-27	@ Cliftonville	W 4-1	38.6	971	884	40.58%	27.04%	32.39%	+0.13	+26.8	25
1999-11-27	Ballymena United	W 3-0	30.6	898	856	49.92%	26.35%	23.73%	+0.45	+24.8	22
1999-11-27	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	30.6	856	898	23.73%	26.35%	49.92%	-0.45	-24.8	15
1999-11-27	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.4	908	1003	31.48%	27.01%	41.51%	-0.16	+0.7	13
1999-11-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.4	1003	908	41.51%	27.01%	31.48%	+0.16	-0.7	29
1999-11-27	Linfield	L 0-3	30.6	948	1106	23.84%	26.37%	49.79%	-0.45	-25.0	22
1999-11-27	@ Newry City	W 3-0	30.6	1106	948	49.79%	26.37%	23.84%	+0.45	+25.0	40
1999-11-27	Glentoran	W 1-0	43.7	889	1015	27.56%	26.77%	45.67%	-0.30	+15.1	20
1999-11-27	@ Portadown	L 0-1	43.7	1015	889	45.67%	26.77%	27.56%	+0.30	-15.1	27
1999-12-04	Portadown	D 1-1	52.3	831	904	34.31%	27.09%	38.60%	-0.07	+0.3	16
1999-12-04	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.3	904	831	38.60%	27.09%	34.31%	+0.07	-0.3	21
1999-12-04	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	29.0	998	909	55.23%	25.54%	19.23%	+0.66	+20.8	28
1999-12-04	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	29.0	909	998	19.23%	25.54%	55.23%	-0.66	-20.8	13
1999-12-04	Crusaders	W 2-1	41.2	1002	923	54.12%	25.74%	20.14%	+0.62	+7.5	32
1999-12-04	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	41.2	923	1002	20.14%	25.74%	54.12%	-0.62	-7.4	22
1999-12-04	Newry City	L 0-3	39.4	1000	923	53.91%	25.77%	20.31%	+0.61	-47.5	27
1999-12-04	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	39.4	923	1000	20.31%	25.77%	53.91%	-0.61	+47.5	25
1999-12-04	Cliftonville	W 3-1	32.1	1131	857	71.41%	20.28%	8.32%	+1.49	+5.3	43
1999-12-04	@ Linfield	L 1-3	32.1	857	1131	8.32%	20.28%	71.41%	-1.49	-5.3	16
1999-12-11	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.5	852	1010	23.91%	26.38%	49.72%	-0.45	+1.8	17
1999-12-11	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	1010	852	49.72%	26.38%	23.91%	+0.45	-1.8	33
1999-12-11	Coleraine	L 0-2	34.9	916	1019	30.33%	26.95%	42.72%	-0.20	-20.8	22
1999-12-11	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	34.9	1019	916	42.72%	26.95%	30.33%	+0.20	+20.8	31
1999-12-11	Linfield	L 1-4	33.0	888	1136	15.89%	24.59%	59.52%	-0.85	-14.7	13
1999-12-11	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	33.0	1136	888	59.52%	24.59%	15.89%	+0.85	+14.7	46
1999-12-11	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.0	970	831	60.30%	24.38%	15.32%	+0.89	-2.5	26
1999-12-11	@ Newry City	D 2-2	59.0	831	970	15.32%	24.38%	60.30%	-0.89	+2.5	17
1999-12-11	Glentoran	W 4-0	34.2	904	952	37.92%	27.09%	34.99%	+0.05	+43.9	24
1999-12-11	@ Portadown	L 0-4	34.2	952	904	34.99%	27.09%	37.92%	-0.05	-44.0	27
1999-12-18	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.2	834	895	36.04%	27.10%	36.86%	-0.01	+0.0	18
1999-12-18	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.2	895	834	36.86%	27.10%	36.04%	+0.01	-0.0	23
1999-12-18	Portadown	W 2-0	38.3	854	948	31.48%	27.01%	41.51%	-0.16	+26.3	20
1999-12-18	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	38.3	948	854	41.51%	27.01%	31.48%	+0.16	-26.3	24
1999-12-18	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	26.7	1040	874	62.81%	23.66%	13.54%	+1.01	+14.9	34
1999-12-18	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	26.7	874	1040	13.54%	23.66%	62.81%	-1.01	-14.9	13
1999-12-18	Newry City	W 2-1	46.5	908	968	36.31%	27.10%	36.58%	+0.00	+12.0	30
1999-12-18	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	46.5	968	908	36.58%	27.10%	36.31%	+0.00	-12.0	26
1999-12-18	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.2	1151	1008	60.69%	24.28%	15.03%	+0.90	-3.4	47
1999-12-18	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.2	1008	1151	15.03%	24.28%	60.69%	-0.90	+3.4	34
1999-12-27	Coleraine	D 2-2	58.7	834	1055	17.96%	25.22%	56.82%	-0.73	+2.1	19
1999-12-27	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.7	1055	834	56.82%	25.22%	17.96%	+0.73	-2.1	35
1999-12-27	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.4	880	895	42.53%	26.96%	30.50%	+0.19	-0.8	21
1999-12-27	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.4	895	880	30.50%	26.96%	42.53%	-0.19	+0.8	24
1999-12-27	Linfield	D 1-1	53.0	920	1148	17.46%	25.08%	57.47%	-0.76	+2.9	31
1999-12-27	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.0	1148	920	57.47%	25.08%	17.46%	+0.76	-2.9	48
1999-12-27	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.8	956	859	56.06%	25.37%	18.56%	+0.70	-2.8	27
1999-12-27	@ Newry City	D 1-1	52.8	859	956	18.56%	25.37%	56.06%	-0.70	+2.7	14
1999-12-27	Glenavon	W 2-0	38.1	922	1011	32.13%	27.03%	40.84%	-0.14	+26.0	27
1999-12-27	@ Portadown	L 0-2	38.1	1011	922	40.84%	27.03%	32.13%	+0.14	-26.0	34
2000-01-03	Cliftonville	L 0-1	48.0	1053	879	63.46%	23.45%	13.09%	+1.04	-20.0	35
2000-01-03	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	48.0	879	1053	13.09%	23.45%	63.46%	-1.04	+20.0	24
2000-01-03	Newry City	W 1-0	40.9	896	953	36.62%	27.10%	36.28%	+0.01	+12.6	27
2000-01-03	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	40.9	953	896	36.28%	27.10%	36.62%	-0.01	-12.6	27
2000-01-03	Glentoran	D 3-3	62.6	985	923	52.20%	26.05%	21.75%	+0.54	-1.4	35
2000-01-03	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	62.6	923	985	21.75%	26.05%	52.20%	-0.54	+1.4	32
2000-01-03	Ballymena United	W 3-2	40.5	1145	836	73.82%	19.08%	7.10%	+1.65	+2.4	51
2000-01-03	@ Linfield	L 2-3	40.5	836	1145	7.10%	19.08%	73.82%	-1.65	-2.4	19
2000-01-03	Portadown	W 2-1	47.6	861	948	32.58%	27.04%	40.38%	-0.12	+12.9	17
2000-01-03	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	47.6	948	861	40.38%	27.04%	32.58%	+0.12	-12.9	27
2000-01-08	Glenavon	W 2-0	40.3	833	984	24.70%	26.48%	48.82%	-0.41	+30.0	22
2000-01-08	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	40.3	984	833	48.82%	26.48%	24.70%	+0.41	-30.0	35
2000-01-08	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.5	925	874	50.82%	26.24%	22.94%	+0.49	+16.6	35
2000-01-08	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	32.5	874	925	22.94%	26.24%	50.82%	-0.49	-16.6	17
2000-01-08	Coleraine	W 3-0	28.2	1147	1033	57.88%	24.99%	17.14%	+0.78	+18.7	54
2000-01-08	@ Linfield	L 0-3	28.2	1033	1147	17.14%	24.99%	57.88%	-0.78	-18.7	35
2000-01-08	Cliftonville	W 3-2	47.8	940	899	49.75%	26.37%	23.88%	+0.45	+8.2	30
2000-01-08	@ Newry City	L 2-3	47.8	899	940	23.88%	26.37%	49.75%	-0.45	-8.2	24
2000-01-08	Crusaders	W 4-2	43.3	935	908	47.94%	26.57%	25.49%	+0.38	+14.1	30
2000-01-08	@ Portadown	L 2-4	43.3	908	935	25.49%	26.57%	47.94%	-0.38	-14.1	27
2000-01-15	Glenavon	W 2-0	32.1	1014	954	51.98%	26.08%	21.94%	+0.53	+16.0	38
2000-01-15	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	32.1	954	1014	21.94%	26.08%	51.98%	-0.53	-16.0	35
2000-01-15	Glentoran	D 2-2	58.2	894	941	38.10%	27.09%	34.81%	+0.05	-0.2	28
2000-01-15	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.2	941	894	34.81%	27.09%	38.10%	-0.05	+0.2	36
2000-01-15	Portadown	L 0-1	43.3	948	949	44.49%	26.85%	28.66%	+0.26	-14.8	30
2000-01-15	@ Newry City	W 1-0	43.3	949	948	28.66%	26.85%	44.49%	-0.26	+14.8	33
2000-01-29	Ballymena United	W 3-2	48.3	891	863	48.07%	26.56%	25.37%	+0.39	+8.6	27
2000-01-29	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	48.3	863	891	25.37%	26.56%	48.07%	-0.39	-8.6	22
2000-01-29	Newry City	W 3-0	32.0	938	934	45.07%	26.81%	28.12%	+0.28	+28.5	38
2000-01-29	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	32.0	934	938	28.12%	26.81%	45.07%	-0.28	-28.5	30
2000-01-29	Coleraine	W 2-0	38.0	941	1030	32.26%	27.03%	40.70%	-0.13	+25.9	39
2000-01-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	38.0	1030	941	40.70%	27.03%	32.26%	+0.13	-25.9	38
2000-01-29	Portadown	W 2-1	37.7	1166	964	65.90%	22.60%	11.50%	+1.17	+4.4	57
2000-01-29	@ Linfield	L 1-2	37.7	964	1166	11.50%	22.60%	65.90%	-1.17	-4.4	33
2000-01-29	Crusaders	L 0-1	41.9	858	894	39.58%	27.07%	33.35%	+0.10	-13.5	17
2000-01-29	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	41.9	894	858	33.35%	27.07%	39.58%	-0.10	+13.5	31
2000-02-05	Glenavon	L 0-4	34.6	908	966	36.41%	27.10%	36.49%	+0.00	-45.2	31
2000-02-05	@ Crusaders	W 4-0	34.6	966	908	36.49%	27.10%	36.41%	+0.00	+45.3	41
2000-02-05	Ballymena United	W 3-2	45.4	967	855	57.67%	25.03%	17.30%	+0.77	+6.2	42
2000-02-05	@ Glentoran	L 2-3	45.4	855	967	17.30%	25.03%	57.67%	-0.77	-6.2	22
2000-02-05	Cliftonville	W 1-0	40.8	844	900	36.90%	27.10%	36.00%	+0.01	+12.5	20
2000-02-05	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	40.8	900	844	36.00%	27.10%	36.90%	-0.01	-12.5	27
2000-02-05	Linfield	L 0-3	27.2	905	1170	14.71%	24.15%	61.14%	-0.93	-16.2	30
2000-02-05	@ Newry City	W 3-0	27.2	1170	905	61.14%	24.15%	14.71%	+0.93	+16.2	60
2000-02-05	Coleraine	W 3-2	51.2	959	1004	38.41%	27.09%	34.50%	+0.06	+10.9	36
2000-02-05	@ Portadown	L 2-3	51.2	1004	959	34.50%	27.09%	38.41%	-0.06	-10.9	38
2000-02-12	Portadown	L 2-4	44.1	849	970	28.06%	26.81%	45.14%	-0.28	-15.2	22
2000-02-12	@ Ballymena United	W 4-2	44.1	970	849	45.14%	26.81%	28.06%	+0.28	+15.2	39
2000-02-12	Glentoran	D 2-2	58.2	887	973	32.55%	27.04%	40.41%	-0.13	+0.4	28
2000-02-12	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.2	973	887	40.41%	27.04%	32.55%	+0.13	-0.4	43
2000-02-12	Newry City	W 4-1	33.8	993	889	56.81%	25.22%	17.97%	+0.73	+16.5	41
2000-02-12	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	33.8	889	993	17.97%	25.22%	56.81%	-0.73	-16.5	30
2000-02-12	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	53.1	1012	857	61.77%	23.97%	14.26%	+0.96	-18.5	41
2000-02-12	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	53.1	857	1012	14.26%	23.97%	61.77%	-0.96	+18.5	23
2000-02-12	Crusaders	D 0-0	50.5	1186	862	74.81%	18.56%	6.63%	+1.71	-5.8	61
2000-02-12	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.5	862	1186	6.63%	18.56%	74.81%	-1.71	+5.9	32
2000-02-26	Newry City	D 0-0	47.9	833	873	39.20%	27.07%	33.72%	+0.09	-0.4	23
2000-02-26	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	47.9	873	833	33.72%	27.07%	39.20%	-0.09	+0.4	31
2000-02-26	Crusaders	W 4-2	39.5	1010	868	60.52%	24.32%	15.16%	+0.90	+8.9	44
2000-02-26	@ Coleraine	L 2-4	39.5	868	1010	15.16%	24.32%	60.52%	-0.90	-8.9	32
2000-02-26	Cliftonville	W 4-0	28.5	993	887	56.97%	25.19%	17.84%	+0.74	+25.3	44
2000-02-26	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	28.5	887	993	17.84%	25.19%	56.97%	-0.74	-25.4	28
2000-02-26	Portadown	W 1-0	39.1	973	985	42.90%	26.94%	30.15%	+0.21	+11.0	46
2000-02-26	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	39.1	985	973	30.15%	26.94%	42.90%	-0.21	-11.0	39
2000-02-26	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	29.9	1180	875	73.57%	19.21%	7.22%	+1.63	+2.8	64
2000-02-26	@ Linfield	L 0-1	29.9	875	1180	7.22%	19.21%	73.57%	-1.63	-2.8	23
2000-03-03	Glentoran	L 3-4	52.4	873	984	29.34%	26.90%	43.76%	-0.24	-9.4	31
2000-03-03	@ Newry City	W 4-3	52.4	984	873	43.76%	26.90%	29.34%	+0.24	+9.4	49
2000-03-04	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.3	859	833	47.90%	26.57%	25.53%	+0.38	-1.2	33
2000-03-04	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.3	833	859	25.53%	26.57%	47.90%	-0.38	+1.2	24
2000-03-04	Linfield	W 3-0	38.6	1018	1183	23.17%	26.27%	50.55%	-0.48	+45.0	47
2000-03-04	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	38.6	1183	1018	50.55%	26.27%	23.17%	+0.48	-45.0	64
2000-03-04	Coleraine	L 1-2	42.9	872	1018	25.20%	26.54%	48.26%	-0.39	-9.0	23
2000-03-04	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.9	1018	872	48.26%	26.54%	25.20%	+0.39	+9.0	47
2000-03-04	Cliftonville	W 3-0	28.2	974	862	57.65%	25.04%	17.31%	+0.77	+18.9	42
2000-03-04	@ Portadown	L 0-3	28.2	862	974	17.31%	25.04%	57.65%	-0.77	-18.9	28
2000-03-11	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	45.2	834	863	40.58%	27.04%	32.38%	+0.13	+10.9	27
2000-03-11	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	45.2	863	834	32.38%	27.04%	40.58%	-0.13	-10.9	23
2000-03-11	Linfield	L 2-4	38.5	843	1138	12.82%	23.31%	63.87%	-1.06	-7.5	28
2000-03-11	@ Cliftonville	W 4-2	38.5	1138	843	63.87%	23.31%	12.82%	+1.06	+7.5	67
2000-03-18	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.7	1027	845	64.22%	23.19%	12.58%	+1.08	+5.1	50
2000-03-18	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	32.7	845	1027	12.58%	23.19%	64.22%	-1.08	-5.1	27
2000-03-18	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	858	836	47.43%	26.62%	25.95%	+0.36	-1.5	34
2000-03-18	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	836	858	25.95%	26.62%	47.43%	-0.36	+1.5	29
2000-03-18	Portadown	D 1-1	52.7	1063	993	53.14%	25.90%	20.96%	+0.58	-2.3	48
2000-03-18	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.7	993	1063	20.96%	25.90%	53.14%	-0.58	+2.3	43
2000-03-18	Glentoran	L 1-2	53.1	1146	993	61.55%	24.03%	14.41%	+0.95	-18.4	67
2000-03-18	@ Linfield	W 2-1	53.1	993	1146	14.41%	24.03%	61.55%	-0.95	+18.4	52
2000-03-18	Newry City	L 2-3	53.7	853	864	43.06%	26.93%	30.00%	+0.21	-12.8	23
2000-03-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	53.7	864	853	30.00%	26.93%	43.06%	-0.21	+12.9	34
2000-03-25	Linfield	L 0-1	33.0	840	1127	13.28%	23.54%	63.18%	-1.03	-5.4	27
2000-03-25	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	33.0	1127	840	63.18%	23.54%	13.28%	+1.03	+5.3	70
2000-03-25	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.3	837	1033	20.19%	25.75%	54.06%	-0.61	+2.7	30
2000-03-25	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.3	1033	837	54.06%	25.75%	20.19%	+0.61	-2.7	51
2000-03-25	Glenavon	W 2-1	46.1	1012	1061	37.77%	27.10%	35.14%	+0.04	+11.6	55
2000-03-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	46.1	1061	1012	35.14%	27.10%	37.77%	-0.04	-11.6	48
2000-03-25	Crusaders	W 2-0	33.6	876	857	47.10%	26.65%	26.25%	+0.35	+18.6	37
2000-03-25	@ Newry City	L 0-2	33.6	857	876	26.25%	26.65%	47.10%	-0.35	-18.6	34
2000-03-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	44.1	996	840	61.86%	23.94%	14.19%	+0.96	+5.1	46
2000-03-25	@ Portadown	L 2-3	44.1	840	996	14.19%	23.94%	61.86%	-0.96	-5.1	23
2000-04-01	Newry City	L 0-2	36.9	840	895	36.92%	27.10%	35.98%	+0.01	-24.1	30
2000-04-01	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.9	895	840	35.98%	27.10%	36.92%	-0.01	+24.1	40
2000-04-01	Linfield	W 2-1	48.3	1030	1133	30.37%	26.95%	42.68%	-0.20	+13.5	54
2000-04-01	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	48.3	1133	1030	42.68%	26.95%	30.37%	+0.20	-13.5	70
2000-04-01	Portadown	L 0-1	36.8	838	1001	23.41%	26.31%	50.28%	-0.47	-9.0	34
2000-04-01	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	36.8	1001	838	50.28%	26.31%	23.41%	+0.47	+9.0	49
2000-04-01	Ballymena United	W 2-0	27.6	1049	835	66.92%	22.21%	10.86%	+1.22	+8.2	51
2000-04-01	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	27.6	835	1049	10.86%	22.21%	66.92%	-1.22	-8.2	27
2000-04-01	Glentoran	W 1-0	45.7	835	1023	20.80%	25.87%	53.33%	-0.58	+17.2	26
2000-04-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	45.7	1023	835	53.33%	25.87%	20.80%	+0.58	-17.2	55
2000-04-12	Newry City	W 3-2	43.0	1119	919	65.74%	22.66%	11.60%	+1.16	+4.2	73
2000-04-12	@ Linfield	L 2-3	43.0	919	1119	11.60%	22.66%	65.74%	-1.16	-4.2	40
2000-04-15	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.0	1058	1043	46.41%	26.71%	26.88%	+0.33	-1.5	52
2000-04-15	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.0	1043	1058	26.88%	26.71%	46.41%	-0.33	+1.5	55
2000-04-15	Crusaders	L 1-2	53.5	1006	829	63.78%	23.34%	12.88%	+1.06	-19.0	55
2000-04-15	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	53.5	829	1006	12.88%	23.34%	63.78%	-1.06	+19.0	37
2000-04-15	Cliftonville	L 1-2	55.3	1123	816	73.74%	19.12%	7.14%	+1.64	-21.3	73
2000-04-15	@ Linfield	W 2-1	55.3	816	1123	7.14%	19.12%	73.74%	-1.64	+21.3	33
2000-04-15	Newry City	W 5-0	29.9	1010	915	55.81%	25.42%	18.76%	+0.69	+32.7	52
2000-04-15	@ Portadown	L 0-5	29.9	915	1010	18.76%	25.42%	55.81%	-0.69	-32.7	40
2000-04-16	Ballymena United	W 2-1	43.1	852	827	47.78%	26.59%	25.63%	+0.38	+9.1	29
2000-04-16	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	43.1	827	852	25.63%	26.59%	47.78%	-0.38	-9.1	27
2000-04-18	Glentoran	W 2-1	50.6	817	987	22.66%	26.20%	51.14%	-0.50	+15.6	30
2000-04-18	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	50.6	987	817	51.14%	26.20%	22.66%	+0.50	-15.6	55
2000-04-22	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.2	833	837	44.01%	26.88%	29.11%	+0.24	-0.8	31
2000-04-22	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.2	837	833	29.11%	26.88%	44.01%	-0.24	+0.8	34
2000-04-22	Glentoran	L 1-2	51.2	1045	972	53.46%	25.85%	20.69%	+0.59	-16.2	55
2000-04-22	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	51.2	972	1045	20.69%	25.85%	53.46%	-0.59	+16.2	58
2000-04-22	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	34.9	848	861	42.82%	26.95%	30.23%	+0.20	+20.8	40
2000-04-22	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	34.9	861	848	30.23%	26.95%	42.82%	-0.20	-20.8	29
2000-04-22	Glenavon	L 0-2	32.2	882	1056	22.25%	26.13%	51.62%	-0.52	-16.2	40
2000-04-22	@ Newry City	W 2-0	32.2	1056	882	51.62%	26.13%	22.25%	+0.52	+16.2	55
2000-04-22	Linfield	L 0-2	36.7	1042	1102	36.24%	27.10%	36.66%	-0.01	-23.8	52
2000-04-22	@ Portadown	W 2-0	36.7	1102	1042	36.66%	27.10%	36.24%	+0.01	+23.8	76
2000-04-24	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	34.4	838	840	44.23%	26.87%	28.90%	+0.25	+20.1	37
2000-04-24	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	34.4	840	838	28.90%	26.87%	44.23%	-0.25	-20.0	29
2000-04-24	Portadown	W 4-0	31.8	1028	1019	45.84%	26.76%	27.41%	+0.31	+36.5	58
2000-04-24	@ Coleraine	L 0-4	31.8	1019	1028	27.41%	26.76%	45.84%	-0.31	-36.5	52
2000-04-24	Crusaders	W 1-0	32.1	1072	869	66.02%	22.56%	11.43%	+1.17	+4.6	58
2000-04-24	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	32.1	869	1072	11.43%	22.56%	66.02%	-1.17	-4.6	40
2000-04-29	Linfield	L 0-4	27.3	864	1126	14.92%	24.23%	60.85%	-0.91	-21.4	40
2000-04-29	@ Crusaders	W 4-0	27.3	1126	864	60.85%	24.23%	14.92%	+0.91	+21.5	79
2000-04-29	Cliftonville	W 3-0	27.7	988	858	59.42%	24.61%	15.96%	+0.84	+17.5	61
2000-04-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	27.7	858	988	15.96%	24.61%	59.42%	-0.84	-17.5	37
2000-04-29	Glenavon	L 1-2	39.3	820	1077	15.26%	24.36%	60.38%	-0.89	-5.8	29
2000-04-29	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	39.3	1077	820	60.38%	24.36%	15.26%	+0.89	+5.8	61
2000-04-29	Coleraine	L 0-1	35.6	866	1065	19.87%	25.68%	54.45%	-0.63	-7.8	40
2000-04-29	@ Newry City	W 1-0	35.6	1065	866	54.45%	25.68%	19.87%	+0.63	+7.8	61
2000-04-29	Ballymena United	L 0-2	43.3	982	832	61.30%	24.11%	14.59%	+0.93	-36.7	52
2000-04-29	@ Portadown	W 2-0	43.3	832	982	14.59%	24.11%	61.30%	-0.93	+36.7	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2000-04-15	7.14%	Cliftonville	816	2	@ Linfield	1123	1
2	2000-04-15	12.88%	Crusaders	829	2	@ Glentoran	1006	1
3	2000-01-03	13.09%	Cliftonville	879	1	@ Coleraine	1053	0
4	1999-10-02	13.48%	Coleraine	860	3	@ Lisburn Distillery	1027	1
5	1999-11-20	14.03%	Cliftonville	864	1	@ Glenavon	1022	0
6	1999-08-31	14.15%	Newry City	929	1	@ Lisburn Distillery	1086	0
7	2000-02-12	14.26%	Lisburn Distillery	857	2	@ Glenavon	1012	1
8	2000-03-18	14.41%	Glentoran	993	2	@ Linfield	1146	1
9	2000-04-29	14.59%	Ballymena United	832	2	@ Portadown	982	0
10	1999-11-06	16.47%	Coleraine	904	1	@ Glenavon	1027	0
11	1999-10-16	17.55%	Ballymena United	850	4	@ Lisburn Distillery	959	3
12	1999-10-23	17.67%	Coleraine	876	3	@ Crusaders	984	1
13	1999-12-04	20.31%	Newry City	923	3	@ Glentoran	1000	0
14	2000-04-22	20.69%	Glentoran	972	2	@ Coleraine	1045	1
15	2000-04-01	20.80%	@ Lisburn Distillery	835	1	Glentoran	1023	0
16	1999-08-21	21.08%	Glenavon	939	2	@ Glentoran	1007	1
17	1999-11-13	21.60%	Cliftonville	847	1	@ Lisburn Distillery	911	0
18	1999-11-06	22.64%	Portadown	900	4	@ Crusaders	953	2
19	2000-04-18	22.66%	@ Ballymena United	817	2	Glentoran	987	1
20	2000-03-04	23.17%	@ Glenavon	1018	3	Linfield	1183	0
21	2000-01-08	24.70%	@ Ballymena United	833	2	Glenavon	984	0
22	1999-11-20	26.35%	Lisburn Distillery	894	2	@ Crusaders	913	1
23	1999-10-09	26.89%	@ Portadown	863	4	Lisburn Distillery	994	1
24	1999-11-27	27.56%	@ Portadown	889	1	Glentoran	1015	0
25	1999-11-12	28.45%	Coleraine	923	6	@ Portadown	924	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-12-04	47.55	Newry City	3	923	20.31%	@ Glentoran	0	1000	53.91%	25.77%
2	2000-02-05	45.26	Glenavon	4	966	36.49%	@ Crusaders	0	908	36.41%	27.10%
3	2000-03-04	44.96	@ Glenavon	3	1018	23.17%	Linfield	0	1183	50.55%	26.27%
4	1999-12-11	43.95	@ Portadown	4	904	37.92%	Glentoran	0	952	34.99%	27.09%
5	2000-04-29	36.67	Ballymena United	2	832	14.59%	@ Portadown	0	982	61.30%	24.11%
6	2000-04-24	36.48	@ Coleraine	4	1028	45.84%	Portadown	0	1019	27.41%	26.76%
7	1999-10-09	35.27	@ Portadown	4	863	26.89%	Lisburn Distillery	1	994	46.40%	26.71%
8	2000-04-15	32.70	@ Portadown	5	1010	55.81%	Newry City	0	915	18.76%	25.42%
9	1999-10-02	32.47	Coleraine	3	860	13.48%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1027	62.88%	23.63%
10	2000-01-08	30.05	@ Ballymena United	2	833	24.70%	Glenavon	0	984	48.82%	26.48%
11	1999-10-23	29.87	Coleraine	3	876	17.67%	@ Crusaders	1	984	57.19%	25.14%
12	1999-10-09	28.63	Glenavon	3	998	44.89%	@ Ballymena United	0	878	28.29%	26.82%
13	2000-01-29	28.49	@ Glenavon	3	938	45.07%	Newry City	0	934	28.12%	26.81%
14	1999-09-11	28.20	@ Coleraine	4	854	38.20%	Portadown	1	900	34.71%	27.09%
15	1999-11-12	27.44	Coleraine	6	923	28.45%	@ Portadown	3	924	44.71%	26.84%
16	1999-11-27	26.78	Coleraine	4	971	40.58%	@ Cliftonville	1	884	32.39%	27.04%
17	1999-12-18	26.33	@ Cliftonville	2	854	31.48%	Portadown	0	948	41.51%	27.01%
18	1999-12-27	26.00	@ Portadown	2	922	32.13%	Glenavon	0	1011	40.84%	27.03%
19	2000-01-29	25.94	@ Glentoran	2	941	32.26%	Coleraine	0	1030	40.70%	27.03%
20	2000-02-26	25.35	@ Glenavon	4	993	56.97%	Cliftonville	0	887	17.84%	25.19%
21	1999-11-27	24.95	Linfield	3	1106	49.79%	@ Newry City	0	948	23.84%	26.37%
22	1999-11-27	24.85	@ Crusaders	3	898	49.92%	Ballymena United	0	856	23.73%	26.35%
23	1999-11-06	24.23	Portadown	4	900	22.64%	@ Crusaders	2	953	51.17%	26.19%
24	2000-04-01	24.10	Newry City	2	895	35.98%	@ Cliftonville	0	840	36.92%	27.10%
25	2000-04-22	23.76	Linfield	2	1102	36.66%	@ Portadown	0	1042	36.24%	27.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-01-03	62.6	@ Glenavon	3	985	52.20%	Glentoran	3	923	21.75%	26.05%
2	1999-10-16	62.5	@ Glenavon	3	1027	50.61%	Glentoran	3	978	23.13%	26.27%
3	1999-10-16	60.2	Ballymena United	4	850	17.55%	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	959	57.34%	25.10%
4	1999-12-11	59.0	@ Newry City	2	970	60.30%	Ballymena United	2	831	15.32%	24.38%
5	1999-09-18	58.8	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	1052	57.01%	Crusaders	2	946	17.81%	25.18%
6	1999-12-27	58.7	@ Ballymena United	2	834	17.96%	Coleraine	2	1055	56.82%	25.22%
7	2000-03-04	58.3	@ Crusaders	2	859	47.90%	Ballymena United	2	833	25.53%	26.57%
8	1999-08-21	58.2	@ Portadown	2	909	44.72%	Cliftonville	2	908	28.44%	26.84%
9	1999-10-02	58.2	@ Portadown	2	864	42.65%	Ballymena United	2	878	30.39%	26.96%
10	1999-11-06	58.2	@ Ballymena United	2	877	30.00%	Newry City	2	983	43.07%	26.93%
11	1999-12-18	58.2	@ Ballymena United	2	834	36.04%	Crusaders	2	895	36.86%	27.10%
12	2000-01-15	58.2	@ Crusaders	2	894	38.10%	Glentoran	2	941	34.81%	27.09%
13	2000-02-12	58.2	@ Cliftonville	2	887	32.55%	Glentoran	2	973	40.41%	27.04%
14	2000-04-22	58.2	@ Ballymena United	2	833	44.01%	Cliftonville	2	837	29.11%	26.88%
15	2000-04-15	55.3	Cliftonville	2	816	7.14%	@ Linfield	1	1123	73.74%	19.12%
16	2000-03-18	53.7	Newry City	3	864	30.00%	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	853	43.06%	26.93%
17	2000-04-15	53.5	Crusaders	2	829	12.88%	@ Glentoran	1	1006	63.78%	23.34%
18	1999-12-18	53.2	@ Linfield	1	1151	60.69%	Glenavon	1	1008	15.03%	24.28%
19	2000-02-12	53.1	Lisburn Distillery	2	857	14.26%	@ Glenavon	1	1012	61.77%	23.97%
20	2000-03-18	53.1	Glentoran	2	993	14.41%	@ Linfield	1	1146	61.55%	24.03%
21	1999-12-27	53.0	@ Glentoran	1	920	17.46%	Linfield	1	1148	57.47%	25.08%
22	1999-12-27	52.8	@ Newry City	1	956	56.06%	Lisburn Distillery	1	859	18.56%	25.37%
23	1999-09-07	52.7	@ Glentoran	1	988	54.08%	Cliftonville	1	909	20.17%	25.74%
24	2000-03-18	52.7	@ Glenavon	1	1063	53.14%	Portadown	1	993	20.96%	25.90%
25	1999-08-21	52.6	@ Ballymena United	1	911	23.46%	Lisburn Distillery	1	1073	50.23%	26.31%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-12-18	26.7	@ Coleraine	3	1040	62.81%	Lisburn Distillery	0	874	13.54%	23.66%
2	2000-02-05	27.2	Linfield	3	1170	61.14%	@ Newry City	0	905	14.71%	24.15%
3	2000-04-29	27.3	Linfield	4	1126	60.85%	@ Crusaders	0	864	14.92%	24.23%
4	2000-04-01	27.6	@ Glenavon	2	1049	66.92%	Ballymena United	0	835	10.86%	22.21%
5	2000-04-29	27.7	@ Glentoran	3	988	59.42%	Cliftonville	0	858	15.96%	24.61%
6	2000-01-08	28.2	@ Linfield	3	1147	57.88%	Coleraine	0	1033	17.14%	24.99%
7	2000-03-04	28.2	@ Portadown	3	974	57.65%	Cliftonville	0	862	17.31%	25.04%
8	1999-09-11	28.4	@ Linfield	3	1004	57.21%	Ballymena United	0	896	17.66%	25.14%
9	2000-02-26	28.5	@ Glenavon	4	993	56.97%	Cliftonville	0	887	17.84%	25.19%
10	1999-12-04	29.0	@ Coleraine	3	998	55.23%	Lisburn Distillery	0	909	19.23%	25.54%
11	1999-09-18	29.5	@ Newry City	3	954	53.35%	Coleraine	0	882	20.78%	25.87%
12	2000-02-26	29.9	@ Linfield	1	1180	73.57%	Lisburn Distillery	0	875	7.22%	19.21%
13	2000-04-15	29.9	@ Portadown	5	1010	55.81%	Newry City	0	915	18.76%	25.42%
14	1999-11-27	30.6	@ Crusaders	3	898	49.92%	Ballymena United	0	856	23.73%	26.35%
15	1999-11-27	30.6	Linfield	3	1106	49.79%	@ Newry City	0	948	23.84%	26.37%
16	1999-08-28	31.5	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	1071	54.17%	Glentoran	0	991	20.10%	25.73%
17	2000-04-24	31.8	@ Coleraine	4	1028	45.84%	Portadown	0	1019	27.41%	26.76%
18	1999-10-30	31.9	@ Linfield	2	1062	52.83%	Glentoran	0	995	21.22%	25.95%
19	2000-01-29	32.0	@ Glenavon	3	938	45.07%	Newry City	0	934	28.12%	26.81%
20	1999-10-09	32.1	Glenavon	3	998	44.89%	@ Ballymena United	0	878	28.29%	26.82%
21	1999-11-13	32.1	@ Glentoran	2	989	51.95%	Crusaders	0	929	21.96%	26.08%
22	1999-12-04	32.1	@ Linfield	3	1131	71.41%	Cliftonville	1	857	8.32%	20.28%
23	2000-01-15	32.1	@ Coleraine	2	1014	51.98%	Glenavon	0	954	21.94%	26.08%
24	2000-04-24	32.1	@ Glenavon	1	1072	66.02%	Crusaders	0	869	11.43%	22.56%
25	2000-04-22	32.2	Glenavon	2	1056	51.62%	@ Newry City	0	882	22.25%	26.13%