2000-01 Irish League Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Omagh Town

10.41 points above expected

43 points · 32.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Coleraine

7.99 points below expected

53 points · 60.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	36	22	9	5	75	75	31	+44	73.78	+1.22
2	Glenavon	36	18	8	10	62	56	42	+14	62.95	-0.95
3	Glentoran	36	15	12	9	57	52	37	+15	56.92	+0.08
4	Coleraine	36	14	11	11	53	48	44	+4	60.99	-7.99
5	Cliftonville	36	12	11	13	47	53	57	-4	43.90	+3.10
6	Newry City	36	12	8	16	44	42	55	-13	40.35	+3.65
7	Omagh Town	36	11	10	15	43	48	54	-6	32.59	+10.41
8	Portadown	36	10	11	15	41	48	60	-12	47.57	-6.57
9	Crusaders	36	8	11	17	35	44	59	-15	37.10	-2.10
10	Ballymena United	36	9	7	20	34	41	68	-27	38.93	-4.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Omagh Town	43	32.59	+10.41
2	Newry City	44	40.35	+3.65
3	Cliftonville	47	43.90	+3.10
4	Linfield	75	73.78	+1.22
5	Glentoran	57	56.92	+0.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Coleraine	53	60.99	-7.99
2	Portadown	41	47.57	-6.57
3	Ballymena United	34	38.93	-4.93
4	Crusaders	35	37.10	-2.10
5	Glenavon	62	62.95	-0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newry City	3	Oct 10 – Oct 21	1 in 72
2	Crusaders	3	Mar 17 – Mar 31	1 in 60
3	Linfield	7	Oct 14 – Nov 25	1 in 38
4	Cliftonville	3	Aug 27 – Sep 9	1 in 32
5	Omagh Town	2	Aug 29 – Sep 5	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	4	Mar 31 – Apr 21	1 in 156
2	Ballymena United	6	Jan 27 – Mar 17	1 in 100
3	Portadown	4	Sep 5 – Sep 30	1 in 72
4	Linfield	2	Mar 17 – Mar 31	1 in 50
5	Newry City	5	Aug 29 – Sep 30	1 in 50

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Omagh Town	6	Oct 28 – Dec 2	1 in 75
2	Crusaders	5	Nov 11 – Dec 5	1 in 72
3	Ballymena United	5	Mar 31 – Apr 28	1 in 45
4	Portadown	7	Dec 23 – Feb 10	1 in 37
5	Newry City	5	Mar 13 – Apr 14	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	6	Jan 6 – Feb 24	1 in 51
2	Linfield	3	Feb 24 – Mar 31	1 in 31
3	Cliftonville	7	Oct 14 – Nov 25	1 in 23
4	Glenavon	4	Oct 10 – Oct 28	1 in 17
5	Portadown	8	Oct 28 – Dec 16	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1154	75	-6	8	10.3	-2.3
Glenavon	1080	62	+3	8	9.4	-1.4
Glentoran	1044	57	+12	8	7.2	+0.8
Coleraine	1043	53	-8	6	7.2	-1.2
Cliftonville	923	47	+6	8	5.0	+3.0
Newry City	907	44	-17	2	5.8	-3.8
Omagh Town	876	43	+5	6	5.3	+0.7
Portadown	947	41	-6	4	6.2	-2.2
Crusaders	896	35	+4	6	4.4	+1.6
Ballymena United	882	34	+21	11	4.7	+6.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	GLE	GLE	LIN	NC	OT	POR
Ballymena United	—	1-2-1 4.96	1-0-3 3.22	2-0-2 5.81	1-0-3 3.18	0-1-3 3.74	0-2-2 2.33	2-0-2 5.33	2-0-2 6.18	0-2-2 4.55
Cliftonville	1-2-1 5.91	—	1-2-1 3.54	2-1-1 6.21	2-0-2 3.40	1-1-2 4.10	0-0-4 2.70	2-1-1 5.87	1-2-1 6.76	2-2-0 5.08
Coleraine	3-0-1 7.83	1-2-1 7.44	—	1-2-1 8.07	0-1-3 5.32	2-2-0 5.81	2-1-1 3.94	2-1-1 7.75	1-1-2 8.32	2-1-1 7.06
Crusaders	2-0-2 5.05	1-1-2 4.68	1-2-1 3.01	—	1-1-2 2.93	0-2-2 3.44	0-1-3 2.23	0-1-3 5.13	2-2-0 5.76	1-1-2 4.26
Glenavon	3-0-1 7.87	2-0-2 7.60	3-1-0 5.54	2-1-1 8.17	—	1-3-0 6.16	0-0-4 4.41	3-0-1 7.76	3-1-0 8.49	1-2-1 7.17
Glentoran	3-1-0 7.22	2-1-1 6.81	0-2-2 5.05	2-2-0 7.56	0-3-1 4.71	—	1-1-2 3.70	2-2-0 7.21	2-0-2 7.98	3-0-1 6.47
Linfield	2-2-0 8.92	4-0-0 8.45	1-1-2 7.00	3-1-0 9.05	4-0-0 6.48	2-1-1 7.26	—	2-1-1 8.75	2-2-0 9.40	2-1-1 8.15
Newry City	2-0-2 5.54	1-1-2 4.99	1-1-2 3.28	3-1-0 5.72	1-0-3 3.27	0-2-2 3.74	1-1-2 2.47	—	2-1-1 6.45	1-1-2 4.68
Omagh Town	2-0-2 4.71	1-2-1 4.15	2-1-1 2.80	0-2-2 5.10	0-1-3 2.67	2-0-2 3.09	0-2-2 1.97	1-1-2 4.44	—	3-1-0 3.65
Portadown	2-2-0 6.33	0-2-2 5.77	1-1-2 3.89	2-1-1 6.64	1-2-1 3.78	1-0-3 4.42	1-1-2 2.95	2-1-1 6.19	0-1-3 7.31	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+11.8
Allowed	0.89	-10.4
Differential	0.96	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	8.89%	4.72%	3.06%	1.67%	—	26.11%
1	8.89%	11.11%	6.94%	4.17%	1.94%	0.56%	33.61%
2	4.72%	6.94%	6.67%	1.94%	0.83%	0.83%	21.94%
3	3.06%	4.17%	1.94%	1.67%	0.56%	0.28%	11.67%
4	1.67%	1.94%	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	0.56%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	1.67%
Total	26.11%	33.61%	21.94%	11.67%	5.00%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.23	1.23	1.71
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	33.33%	22.22%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.89	-0.75
SD	0.87	1.39	1.63
CV	0.76	0.74	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	5.56%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	27.78%	27.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.58	-0.11
SD	1.21	1.23	1.75
CV	0.82	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	19.44%	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.22	+0.11
SD	1.26	0.99	1.41
CV	0.95	0.81	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	36.11%	25.00%	22.22%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.64	-0.42
SD	1.02	1.07	1.40
CV	0.83	0.65	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	30.56%
3	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	38.89%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.17	+0.39
SD	1.13	1.30	1.73
CV	0.73	1.11	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	22.22%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	47.22%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.03	+0.42
SD	1.18	1.13	1.73
CV	0.82	1.10	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	41.67%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.86	+1.22
SD	1.59	0.87	1.77
CV	0.76	1.01	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	19.44%	36.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.53	-0.36
SD	1.34	1.30	1.69
CV	1.15	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
2	2.78%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	27.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.50	-0.17
SD	1.15	1.11	1.66
CV	0.86	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	—	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	19.44%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	19.44%	19.44%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.67	-0.33
SD	1.24	1.49	1.66
CV	0.93	0.90	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1154	75	73.78	+1.22	59.0%	56	64	69	74	78	85	90
Glenavon	1080	62	62.95	-0.95	50.0%	44	50	58	62	68	75	78
Glentoran	1044	57	56.92	+0.08	44.0%	30	44	52	58	62	68	75
Coleraine	1043	53	60.99	-7.99	16.0%	38	46	56	62	66	73	79
Portadown	947	41	47.57	-6.57	19.0%	32	36	43	47	52	59	65
Cliftonville	923	47	43.90	+3.10	67.0%	28	31	38	43	49	58	64
Newry City	907	44	40.35	+3.65	65.0%	22	29	34	39	46	53	58
Crusaders	896	35	37.10	-2.10	44.0%	21	25	30	37	43	48	52
Ballymena United	882	34	38.93	-4.93	32.0%	24	26	33	38	44	52	59
Omagh Town	876	43	32.59	+10.41	98.0%	13	22	28	32	37	42	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.22%

Slight Edge

40.00%27.22%32.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 25.14 Elo pts.

249 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.12 goals

Neutral

-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

80%

Linfield, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.36/gm

Runaway

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6 * Some Luck: 6 to 9 * Lucky: 9 to 12 * Wild Swing: 12 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.9 * Close: 0.9 to 1.35 * Off: 1.35 to 1.8 * Way Off: 1.8 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.17 points

As Expected

07.5019

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.132.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

Omagh Town

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

16.00%

Coleraine

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 97.53

1.64

Coin-Flip Parity

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

70%

Even

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.54

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.67

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.73

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.79

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.116

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Linfield	80.00%	13.00%	7.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	8.00%	37.00%	29.00%	20.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Glentoran	2.00%	20.00%	23.00%	34.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Coleraine	10.00%	27.00%	32.00%	18.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—
Cliftonville	—	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	18.00%	20.00%	15.00%	18.00%	14.00%	3.00%
Newry City	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	13.00%	15.00%	16.00%	15.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Omagh Town	—	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	12.00%	23.00%	22.00%	38.00%
Portadown	—	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	35.00%	22.00%	15.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Crusaders	—	—	—	—	6.00%	15.00%	19.00%	13.00%	23.00%	24.00%
Ballymena United	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	9.00%	14.00%	18.00%	20.00%	18.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Glentoran	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Cliftonville	83.00%	14.00%	3.00%
Portadown	94.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Newry City	68.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Ballymena United	64.00%	18.00%	18.00%
Crusaders	53.00%	23.00%	24.00%
Omagh Town	40.00%	22.00%	38.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2000-08-12	Cliftonville	D 2-2	57.6	929	907	42.49%	28.37%	29.13%	+0.19	-0.2	1
2000-08-12	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.6	907	929	29.13%	28.37%	42.49%	-0.19	+0.2	1
2000-08-12	Linfield	L 0-1	41.0	1076	1117	33.64%	28.83%	37.54%	-0.06	-3.9	0
2000-08-12	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	41.0	1117	1076	37.54%	28.83%	33.64%	+0.06	+3.9	3
2000-08-12	Newry City	L 1-3	43.7	909	920	37.95%	28.81%	33.25%	+0.06	-6.9	0
2000-08-12	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	43.7	920	909	33.25%	28.81%	37.95%	-0.06	+6.9	3
2000-08-12	Portadown	D 0-0	48.3	833	977	22.09%	26.17%	51.74%	-0.48	+0.8	1
2000-08-12	@ Omagh Town	D 0-0	48.3	977	833	51.74%	26.17%	22.09%	+0.48	-0.8	1
2000-08-14	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.9	1120	1018	53.46%	25.58%	20.96%	+0.51	-0.7	4
2000-08-14	@ Linfield	D 1-1	52.9	1018	1120	20.96%	25.58%	53.46%	-0.51	+0.8	1
2000-08-19	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.7	1018	929	51.76%	26.17%	22.07%	+0.46	-0.7	2
2000-08-19	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.7	929	1018	22.07%	26.17%	51.76%	-0.46	+0.7	2
2000-08-19	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.9	908	1067	20.76%	25.46%	53.78%	-0.54	+0.8	2
2000-08-19	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.9	1067	908	53.78%	25.46%	20.76%	+0.54	-0.8	1
2000-08-19	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	977	902	49.76%	26.79%	23.45%	+0.40	-0.6	2
2000-08-19	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	902	977	23.45%	26.79%	49.76%	-0.40	+0.6	1
2000-08-19	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.9	926	1072	21.98%	26.12%	51.90%	-0.48	-2.6	3
2000-08-19	@ Newry City	W 2-1	41.9	1072	926	51.90%	26.12%	21.98%	+0.48	+2.6	3
2000-08-19	Omagh Town	D 1-1	56.0	1120	834	74.35%	15.17%	10.48%	+1.25	-1.5	5
2000-08-19	@ Linfield	D 1-1	56.0	834	1120	10.48%	15.17%	74.35%	-1.25	+1.5	2
2000-08-26	Portadown	L 1-2	51.1	1074	976	52.88%	25.78%	21.33%	+0.50	-5.1	3
2000-08-26	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	51.1	976	1074	21.33%	25.78%	52.88%	-0.50	+5.1	5
2000-08-27	Cliftonville	L 0-4	35.9	903	908	38.63%	28.77%	32.60%	+0.08	-15.4	1
2000-08-27	@ Crusaders	W 4-0	35.9	908	903	32.60%	28.77%	38.63%	-0.08	+15.4	5
2000-08-27	Newry City	D 2-2	57.7	836	924	27.67%	28.09%	44.24%	-0.25	+0.3	3
2000-08-27	@ Omagh Town	D 2-2	57.7	924	836	44.24%	28.09%	27.67%	+0.25	-0.3	4
2000-08-28	Ballymena United	L 0-2	42.6	1067	929	57.82%	23.83%	18.34%	+0.65	-11.0	1
2000-08-28	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	42.6	929	1067	18.34%	23.83%	57.82%	-0.65	+11.0	5
2000-08-29	Newry City	W 2-0	33.9	981	924	47.46%	27.41%	25.13%	+0.33	+5.8	8
2000-08-29	@ Portadown	L 0-2	33.9	924	981	25.13%	27.41%	47.46%	-0.33	-5.8	4
2000-08-29	Omagh Town	L 1-2	51.2	940	836	53.68%	25.50%	20.82%	+0.52	-5.2	5
2000-08-29	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	51.2	836	940	20.82%	25.50%	53.68%	-0.52	+5.2	6
2000-09-05	Coleraine	D 1-1	51.9	1018	1056	34.04%	28.84%	37.12%	-0.05	+0.1	3
2000-09-05	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	51.9	1056	1018	37.12%	28.84%	34.04%	+0.05	-0.1	2
2000-09-05	Crusaders	W 2-1	43.6	935	887	46.17%	27.71%	26.13%	+0.29	+3.0	8
2000-09-05	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	43.6	887	935	26.13%	27.71%	46.17%	-0.29	-3.0	1
2000-09-05	Glenavon	W 4-2	51.1	924	1069	21.97%	26.11%	51.92%	-0.48	+7.8	8
2000-09-05	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	51.1	1069	924	51.92%	26.11%	21.97%	+0.48	-7.8	3
2000-09-05	Linfield	L 0-2	30.5	918	1118	17.76%	23.37%	58.87%	-0.70	-4.1	4
2000-09-05	@ Newry City	W 2-0	30.5	1118	918	58.87%	23.37%	17.76%	+0.70	+4.1	8
2000-09-05	Omagh Town	L 1-2	52.2	987	841	58.87%	23.37%	17.76%	+0.69	-5.6	8
2000-09-05	@ Portadown	W 2-1	52.2	841	987	17.76%	23.37%	58.87%	-0.69	+5.6	9
2000-09-09	Ballymena United	W 2-1	40.7	1061	938	56.06%	24.58%	19.37%	+0.60	+2.2	6
2000-09-09	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	40.7	938	1061	19.37%	24.58%	56.06%	-0.60	-2.3	8
2000-09-09	Cliftonville	L 0-1	39.1	847	932	28.05%	28.17%	43.78%	-0.24	-3.4	9
2000-09-09	@ Omagh Town	W 1-0	39.1	932	847	43.78%	28.17%	28.05%	+0.24	+3.4	11
2000-09-09	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.1	884	1056	19.84%	24.89%	55.27%	-0.59	+0.8	2
2000-09-09	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.1	1056	884	55.27%	24.89%	19.84%	+0.59	-0.8	3
2000-09-09	Glentoran	L 1-3	39.8	914	1018	25.95%	27.66%	46.39%	-0.32	-5.2	4
2000-09-09	@ Newry City	W 3-1	39.8	1018	914	46.39%	27.66%	25.95%	+0.32	+5.2	6
2000-09-09	Portadown	W 4-1	33.4	1122	981	58.27%	23.64%	18.09%	+0.67	+5.1	11
2000-09-09	@ Linfield	L 1-4	33.4	981	1122	18.09%	23.64%	58.27%	-0.67	-5.1	8
2000-09-16	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.4	1023	885	57.89%	23.80%	18.31%	+0.65	-0.9	7
2000-09-16	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.4	885	1023	18.31%	23.80%	57.89%	-0.65	+0.9	3
2000-09-16	Glenavon	L 0-1	42.3	1055	1064	38.22%	28.80%	32.98%	+0.07	-4.2	3
2000-09-16	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	42.3	1064	1055	32.98%	28.80%	38.22%	-0.07	+4.3	9
2000-09-16	Linfield	L 1-3	36.3	935	1127	18.30%	23.80%	57.90%	-0.67	-3.7	11
2000-09-16	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	36.3	1127	935	57.90%	23.80%	18.30%	+0.67	+3.7	14
2000-09-19	Glentoran	W 5-2	40.7	1051	1022	43.50%	28.22%	28.28%	+0.22	+6.8	6
2000-09-19	@ Coleraine	L 2-5	40.7	1022	1051	28.28%	28.22%	43.50%	-0.22	-6.8	7
2000-09-23	Ballymena United	W 4-1	31.5	1131	936	64.72%	20.51%	14.76%	+0.88	+4.1	17
2000-09-23	@ Linfield	L 1-4	31.5	936	1131	14.76%	20.51%	64.72%	-0.88	-4.1	8
2000-09-23	Cliftonville	L 0-3	35.4	909	931	36.21%	28.86%	34.93%	+0.01	-11.2	4
2000-09-23	@ Newry City	W 3-0	35.4	931	909	34.93%	28.86%	36.21%	-0.01	+11.2	14
2000-09-23	Coleraine	L 1-2	39.3	843	1057	16.86%	22.59%	60.55%	-0.76	-1.9	9
2000-09-23	@ Omagh Town	W 2-1	39.3	1057	843	60.55%	22.59%	16.86%	+0.76	+1.9	9
2000-09-23	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.1	1068	886	63.18%	21.31%	15.52%	+0.83	-1.1	10
2000-09-23	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.1	886	1068	15.52%	21.31%	63.18%	-0.83	+1.1	4
2000-09-23	Glentoran	L 0-3	34.7	976	1015	33.90%	28.84%	37.26%	-0.06	-10.7	8
2000-09-23	@ Portadown	W 3-0	34.7	1015	976	37.26%	28.84%	33.90%	+0.06	+10.7	10
2000-09-30	Glentoran	W 3-0	32.4	1067	1026	45.19%	27.91%	26.90%	+0.26	+8.9	13
2000-09-30	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	32.4	1026	1067	26.90%	27.91%	45.19%	-0.26	-8.9	10
2000-09-30	Linfield	W 1-0	43.5	1059	1135	29.13%	28.37%	42.49%	-0.20	+4.6	12
2000-09-30	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	43.5	1135	1059	42.49%	28.37%	29.13%	+0.20	-4.6	17
2000-09-30	Newry City	W 1-0	38.9	932	897	44.31%	28.08%	27.61%	+0.24	+3.3	11
2000-09-30	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	38.9	897	932	27.61%	28.08%	44.31%	-0.24	-3.3	4
2000-09-30	Omagh Town	W 2-1	43.7	887	841	45.88%	27.77%	26.35%	+0.28	+3.0	7
2000-09-30	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	43.7	841	887	26.35%	27.77%	45.88%	-0.28	-3.0	9
2000-09-30	Portadown	W 5-3	48.6	943	966	36.18%	28.86%	34.95%	+0.01	+5.5	17
2000-09-30	@ Cliftonville	L 3-5	48.6	966	943	34.95%	28.86%	36.18%	-0.01	-5.5	8
2000-10-10	Ballymena United	W 1-0	39.3	960	935	42.97%	28.30%	28.73%	+0.20	+3.4	11
2000-10-10	@ Portadown	L 0-1	39.3	935	960	28.73%	28.30%	42.97%	-0.20	-3.4	11
2000-10-10	Coleraine	W 2-0	42.1	894	1064	19.96%	24.97%	55.08%	-0.58	+10.6	7
2000-10-10	@ Newry City	L 0-2	42.1	1064	894	55.08%	24.97%	19.96%	+0.58	-10.6	12
2000-10-10	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.2	838	1076	15.45%	21.24%	63.30%	-0.85	+1.1	10
2000-10-10	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	54.2	1076	838	63.30%	21.24%	15.45%	+0.85	-1.1	14
2000-10-14	Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.5	948	932	41.78%	28.47%	29.75%	+0.17	-0.2	18
2000-10-14	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	57.5	932	948	29.75%	28.47%	41.78%	-0.17	+0.2	12
2000-10-14	Coleraine	L 0-1	38.9	963	1053	27.50%	28.05%	44.45%	-0.26	-3.3	11
2000-10-14	@ Portadown	W 1-0	38.9	1053	963	44.45%	28.05%	27.50%	+0.26	+3.3	15
2000-10-14	Crusaders	W 3-2	50.0	905	890	41.52%	28.50%	29.98%	+0.16	+3.2	10
2000-10-14	@ Newry City	L 2-3	50.0	890	905	29.98%	28.50%	41.52%	-0.16	-3.2	7
2000-10-14	Glenavon	W 4-2	43.5	1131	1075	47.28%	27.45%	25.27%	+0.33	+4.5	20
2000-10-14	@ Linfield	L 2-4	43.5	1075	1131	25.27%	27.45%	47.28%	-0.33	-4.5	14
2000-10-14	Omagh Town	W 2-0	29.3	1017	839	62.68%	21.56%	15.77%	+0.81	+3.6	13
2000-10-14	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.3	839	1017	15.77%	21.56%	62.68%	-0.81	-3.6	10
2000-10-21	Cliftonville	W 3-1	37.4	1057	948	54.23%	25.29%	20.48%	+0.54	+4.1	18
2000-10-21	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	37.4	948	1057	20.48%	25.29%	54.23%	-0.54	-4.1	18
2000-10-21	Glentoran	L 0-3	32.6	932	1021	27.64%	28.09%	44.27%	-0.25	-9.1	12
2000-10-21	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	32.6	1021	932	44.27%	28.09%	27.64%	+0.25	+9.1	16
2000-10-21	Linfield	L 1-5	28.6	836	1135	12.26%	17.54%	70.20%	-1.10	-4.2	10
2000-10-21	@ Omagh Town	W 5-1	28.6	1135	836	70.20%	17.54%	12.26%	+1.10	+4.2	23
2000-10-21	Newry City	L 0-1	47.2	1070	908	60.85%	22.45%	16.70%	+0.75	-6.0	14
2000-10-21	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	47.2	908	1070	16.70%	22.45%	60.85%	-0.75	+6.1	13
2000-10-21	Portadown	L 0-1	39.6	887	960	29.46%	28.43%	42.11%	-0.19	-3.5	7
2000-10-21	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	39.6	960	887	42.11%	28.43%	29.46%	+0.19	+3.5	14
2000-10-28	Coleraine	L 0-1	36.9	923	1061	22.62%	26.43%	50.95%	-0.45	-2.8	12
2000-10-28	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	36.9	1061	923	50.95%	26.43%	22.62%	+0.45	+2.8	21
2000-10-28	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.3	944	883	47.85%	27.31%	24.84%	+0.34	-0.5	19
2000-10-28	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.3	883	944	24.84%	27.31%	47.85%	-0.34	+0.5	8
2000-10-28	Glenavon	D 0-0	47.8	964	1064	26.34%	27.77%	45.89%	-0.30	+0.5	15
2000-10-28	@ Portadown	D 0-0	47.8	1064	964	45.89%	27.77%	26.34%	+0.30	-0.5	15
2000-10-28	Linfield	L 0-1	38.1	1030	1139	25.37%	27.48%	47.15%	-0.34	-3.1	16
2000-10-28	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	38.1	1139	1030	47.15%	27.48%	25.37%	+0.34	+3.1	26
2000-10-28	Omagh Town	L 0-2	41.3	914	832	50.78%	26.48%	22.74%	+0.43	-10.0	13
2000-10-28	@ Newry City	W 2-0	41.3	832	914	22.74%	26.48%	50.78%	-0.43	+10.0	13
2000-11-04	Ballymena United	L 2-3	51.5	884	920	34.32%	28.85%	36.83%	-0.04	-3.5	8
2000-11-04	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	51.5	920	884	36.83%	28.85%	34.32%	+0.04	+3.5	15
2000-11-04	Cliftonville	W 1-0	35.5	1063	943	55.69%	24.73%	19.59%	+0.58	+2.4	18
2000-11-04	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	35.5	943	1063	19.59%	24.73%	55.69%	-0.58	-2.4	19
2000-11-04	Glentoran	W 2-1	51.8	842	1027	18.83%	24.19%	56.98%	-0.64	+5.4	16
2000-11-04	@ Omagh Town	L 1-2	51.8	1027	842	56.98%	24.19%	18.83%	+0.64	-5.4	16
2000-11-04	Newry City	W 2-0	27.3	1142	904	69.51%	17.92%	12.56%	+1.06	+2.7	29
2000-11-04	@ Linfield	L 0-2	27.3	904	1142	12.56%	17.92%	69.51%	-1.06	-2.7	13
2000-11-04	Portadown	D 3-3	62.3	1064	964	53.03%	25.73%	21.24%	+0.50	-0.4	22
2000-11-04	@ Coleraine	D 3-3	62.3	964	1064	21.24%	25.73%	53.03%	-0.50	+0.4	16
2000-11-11	Crusaders	D 2-2	59.7	1063	880	63.28%	21.26%	15.47%	+0.83	-0.8	23
2000-11-11	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	59.7	880	1063	15.47%	21.26%	63.28%	-0.83	+0.8	9
2000-11-11	Glenavon	L 1-2	42.0	924	1066	22.23%	26.24%	51.53%	-0.47	-2.6	15
2000-11-11	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	42.0	1066	924	51.53%	26.24%	22.23%	+0.47	+2.6	21
2000-11-11	Linfield	L 0-3	29.0	965	1145	19.15%	24.43%	56.42%	-0.62	-6.5	16
2000-11-11	@ Portadown	W 3-0	29.0	1145	965	56.42%	24.43%	19.15%	+0.62	+6.5	32
2000-11-11	Newry City	W 1-0	35.5	1021	901	55.65%	24.74%	19.61%	+0.58	+2.4	19
2000-11-11	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.5	901	1021	19.61%	24.74%	55.65%	-0.58	-2.4	13
2000-11-11	Omagh Town	D 2-2	58.3	941	847	52.29%	25.99%	21.72%	+0.48	-0.5	20
2000-11-11	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.3	847	941	21.72%	25.99%	52.29%	-0.48	+0.5	17
2000-11-17	Portadown	W 4-3	55.9	899	958	31.19%	28.65%	40.16%	-0.14	+3.9	16
2000-11-17	@ Newry City	L 3-4	55.9	958	899	40.16%	28.65%	31.19%	+0.14	-3.9	16
2000-11-18	Ballymena United	W 4-0	36.9	848	921	29.43%	28.42%	42.15%	-0.19	+16.4	20
2000-11-18	@ Omagh Town	L 0-4	36.9	921	848	42.15%	28.42%	29.43%	+0.19	-16.4	15
2000-11-18	Cliftonville	W 4-2	37.7	1152	940	66.54%	19.55%	13.91%	+0.95	+2.4	35
2000-11-18	@ Linfield	L 2-4	37.7	940	1152	13.91%	19.55%	66.54%	-0.95	-2.4	20
2000-11-18	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.0	1068	1062	40.35%	28.63%	31.02%	+0.13	-0.2	22
2000-11-18	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.0	1062	1068	31.02%	28.63%	40.35%	-0.13	+0.2	24
2000-11-18	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.7	881	1024	22.24%	26.25%	51.52%	-0.47	+0.7	10
2000-11-18	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.7	1024	881	51.52%	26.25%	22.24%	+0.47	-0.7	20
2000-11-25	Glenavon	W 4-3	59.7	882	1068	18.73%	24.12%	57.15%	-0.65	+5.0	13
2000-11-25	@ Crusaders	L 3-4	59.7	1068	882	57.15%	24.12%	18.73%	+0.65	-5.0	22
2000-11-25	Linfield	L 1-5	30.3	905	1154	14.78%	20.53%	64.69%	-0.90	-5.2	15
2000-11-25	@ Ballymena United	W 5-1	30.3	1154	905	64.69%	20.53%	14.78%	+0.90	+5.2	38
2000-11-25	Newry City	D 2-2	57.7	938	903	44.42%	28.06%	27.52%	+0.24	-0.3	21
2000-11-25	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	57.7	903	938	27.52%	28.06%	44.42%	-0.24	+0.3	17
2000-11-25	Omagh Town	D 0-0	50.1	1063	864	65.11%	20.31%	14.58%	+0.90	-1.3	25
2000-11-25	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	50.1	864	1063	14.58%	20.31%	65.11%	-0.90	+1.3	21
2000-11-25	Portadown	W 3-1	39.0	1023	954	48.98%	27.01%	24.01%	+0.38	+4.8	23
2000-11-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	39.0	954	1023	24.01%	27.01%	48.98%	-0.38	-4.8	16
2000-12-02	Ballymena United	W 5-2	41.7	903	899	39.98%	28.67%	31.35%	+0.12	+7.4	20
2000-12-02	@ Newry City	L 2-5	41.7	899	903	31.35%	28.67%	39.98%	-0.12	-7.4	15
2000-12-02	Cliftonville	L 0-2	39.0	949	938	41.14%	28.55%	30.31%	+0.15	-8.5	16
2000-12-02	@ Portadown	W 2-0	39.0	938	949	30.31%	28.55%	41.14%	-0.15	+8.5	24
2000-12-02	Coleraine	L 0-3	39.5	1159	1061	52.84%	25.80%	21.36%	+0.49	-14.9	38
2000-12-02	@ Linfield	W 3-0	39.5	1061	1159	21.36%	25.80%	52.84%	-0.49	+14.9	28
2000-12-02	Crusaders	D 2-2	57.4	865	887	36.35%	28.86%	34.79%	+0.01	-0.0	22
2000-12-02	@ Omagh Town	D 2-2	57.4	887	865	34.79%	28.86%	36.35%	-0.01	+0.0	14
2000-12-02	Glenavon	D 1-1	51.9	1028	1063	34.39%	28.85%	36.76%	-0.04	+0.0	24
2000-12-02	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	51.9	1063	1028	36.76%	28.85%	34.39%	+0.04	-0.0	23
2000-12-05	Crusaders	D 0-0	51.1	1144	887	71.50%	16.81%	11.70%	+1.13	-1.6	39
2000-12-05	@ Linfield	D 0-0	51.1	887	1144	11.70%	16.81%	71.50%	-1.13	+1.6	15
2000-12-09	Glentoran	W 1-0	43.7	946	1028	28.44%	28.25%	43.31%	-0.23	+4.7	27
2000-12-09	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	43.7	1028	946	43.31%	28.25%	28.44%	+0.23	-4.7	24
2000-12-09	Linfield	L 0-2	28.6	889	1143	14.52%	20.25%	65.23%	-0.92	-3.2	15
2000-12-09	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	28.6	1143	889	65.23%	20.25%	14.52%	+0.92	+3.2	42
2000-12-09	Newry City	W 2-1	39.1	1076	910	61.28%	22.24%	16.48%	+0.77	+1.9	31
2000-12-09	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	39.1	910	1076	16.48%	22.24%	61.28%	-0.77	-1.9	20
2000-12-09	Omagh Town	W 3-0	26.4	1063	865	65.04%	20.35%	14.61%	+0.90	+4.8	26
2000-12-09	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	26.4	865	1063	14.61%	20.35%	65.04%	-0.90	-4.8	22
2000-12-09	Portadown	D 1-1	51.9	892	941	32.55%	28.77%	38.69%	-0.10	+0.1	16
2000-12-09	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	51.9	941	892	38.69%	28.77%	32.55%	+0.10	-0.1	17
2000-12-16	Cliftonville	W 2-1	48.1	892	951	31.27%	28.66%	40.07%	-0.13	+4.2	19
2000-12-16	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.1	951	892	40.07%	28.66%	31.27%	+0.13	-4.2	27
2000-12-16	Glentoran	L 1-3	37.4	860	1023	20.52%	25.32%	54.16%	-0.55	-4.2	22
2000-12-16	@ Omagh Town	W 3-1	37.4	1023	860	54.16%	25.32%	20.52%	+0.55	+4.1	27
2000-12-16	Linfield	L 0-4	32.9	1068	1146	28.88%	28.33%	42.79%	-0.21	-12.4	26
2000-12-16	@ Glenavon	W 4-0	32.9	1146	1068	42.79%	28.33%	28.88%	+0.21	+12.4	45
2000-12-16	Newry City	D 2-2	57.4	885	908	36.17%	28.86%	34.97%	+0.01	-0.0	16
2000-12-16	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	57.4	908	885	34.97%	28.86%	36.17%	-0.01	+0.0	21
2000-12-16	Portadown	W 1-0	34.9	1078	941	57.80%	23.84%	18.36%	+0.65	+2.3	34
2000-12-16	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	34.9	941	1078	18.36%	23.84%	57.80%	-0.65	-2.3	17
2000-12-21	Glenavon	L 1-4	35.3	908	1056	21.81%	26.03%	52.16%	-0.49	-6.2	21
2000-12-21	@ Newry City	W 4-1	35.3	1056	908	52.16%	26.03%	21.81%	+0.49	+6.2	29
2000-12-23	Ballymena United	W 2-1	40.4	1027	896	57.04%	24.17%	18.79%	+0.63	+2.2	30
2000-12-23	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	40.4	896	1027	18.79%	24.17%	57.04%	-0.63	-2.2	19
2000-12-23	Coleraine	W 1-0	45.3	947	1080	23.02%	26.61%	50.37%	-0.44	+5.2	30
2000-12-23	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	45.3	1080	947	50.37%	26.61%	23.02%	+0.44	-5.2	34
2000-12-23	Crusaders	W 3-2	48.4	939	885	46.89%	27.54%	25.56%	+0.31	+2.8	20
2000-12-23	@ Portadown	L 2-3	48.4	885	939	25.56%	27.54%	46.89%	-0.31	-2.8	16
2000-12-23	Omagh Town	W 3-2	39.7	1158	856	75.92%	14.26%	9.82%	+1.31	+1.0	48
2000-12-23	@ Linfield	L 2-3	39.7	856	1158	9.82%	14.26%	75.92%	-1.31	-0.9	22
2000-12-26	Ballymena United	W 1-0	33.3	1075	894	63.07%	21.36%	15.57%	+0.83	+1.9	37
2000-12-26	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	33.3	894	1075	15.57%	21.36%	63.07%	-0.83	-1.9	19
2000-12-26	Cliftonville	L 1-2	45.0	883	952	29.93%	28.50%	41.57%	-0.18	-3.4	16
2000-12-26	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	45.0	952	883	41.57%	28.50%	29.93%	+0.18	+3.4	33
2000-12-26	Glentoran	W 2-0	31.1	1159	1029	56.89%	24.23%	18.88%	+0.62	+4.4	51
2000-12-26	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.1	1029	1159	18.88%	24.23%	56.89%	-0.62	-4.4	30
2001-01-01	Ballymena United	W 4-0	27.2	1062	892	61.74%	22.02%	16.24%	+0.78	+7.0	32
2001-01-01	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	27.2	892	1062	16.24%	22.02%	61.74%	-0.78	-7.0	19
2001-01-01	Cliftonville	D 2-2	57.7	855	955	26.40%	27.78%	45.82%	-0.30	+0.3	23
2001-01-01	@ Omagh Town	D 2-2	57.7	955	855	45.82%	27.78%	26.40%	+0.30	-0.3	34
2001-01-01	Coleraine	L 2-3	44.9	879	1077	17.94%	23.51%	58.55%	-0.69	-2.0	16
2001-01-01	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	44.9	1077	879	58.55%	23.51%	17.94%	+0.69	+2.0	40
2001-01-01	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.1	902	1025	24.03%	27.02%	48.94%	-0.39	+0.6	22
2001-01-01	@ Newry City	D 0-0	48.1	1025	902	48.94%	27.02%	24.03%	+0.39	-0.6	31
2001-01-01	Portadown	D 0-0	50.5	1164	941	67.77%	18.89%	13.34%	+0.99	-1.4	52
2001-01-01	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.5	941	1164	13.34%	18.89%	67.77%	-0.99	+1.4	21
2001-01-06	Crusaders	W 2-0	30.4	1024	877	59.04%	23.29%	17.67%	+0.69	+4.1	34
2001-01-06	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	30.4	877	1024	17.67%	23.29%	59.04%	-0.69	-4.1	16
2001-01-06	Glenavon	L 0-2	39.0	1079	1069	40.88%	28.58%	30.54%	+0.14	-8.4	40
2001-01-06	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	39.0	1069	1079	30.54%	28.58%	40.88%	-0.14	+8.4	35
2001-01-06	Linfield	L 1-4	33.0	955	1162	17.29%	22.98%	59.73%	-0.73	-4.9	34
2001-01-06	@ Cliftonville	W 4-1	33.0	1162	955	59.73%	22.98%	17.29%	+0.73	+4.9	55
2001-01-06	Newry City	W 4-0	32.2	943	903	45.08%	27.94%	26.99%	+0.26	+11.7	24
2001-01-06	@ Portadown	L 0-4	32.2	903	943	26.99%	27.94%	45.08%	-0.26	-11.7	22
2001-01-06	Omagh Town	W 2-1	44.4	885	856	43.62%	28.20%	28.18%	+0.22	+3.2	22
2001-01-06	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.4	856	885	28.18%	28.20%	43.62%	-0.22	-3.2	23
2001-01-09	Crusaders	L 0-1	43.2	888	873	41.62%	28.49%	29.89%	+0.16	-4.5	22
2001-01-09	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	43.2	873	888	29.89%	28.49%	41.62%	-0.16	+4.5	19
2001-01-13	Ballymena United	D 2-2	61.5	1167	884	74.12%	15.30%	10.58%	+1.24	-1.1	56
2001-01-13	@ Linfield	D 2-2	61.5	884	1167	10.58%	15.30%	74.12%	-1.24	+1.1	23
2001-01-13	Cliftonville	W 2-1	48.1	891	950	31.25%	28.66%	40.10%	-0.14	+4.1	25
2001-01-13	@ Newry City	L 1-2	48.1	950	891	40.10%	28.66%	31.25%	+0.14	-4.2	34
2001-01-13	Coleraine	W 3-1	48.7	852	1070	16.62%	22.38%	61.00%	-0.77	+9.9	26
2001-01-13	@ Omagh Town	L 1-3	48.7	1070	852	61.00%	22.38%	16.62%	+0.77	-9.9	40
2001-01-13	Crusaders	W 1-0	32.6	1077	878	65.23%	20.25%	14.52%	+0.90	+1.7	38
2001-01-13	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	32.6	878	1077	14.52%	20.25%	65.23%	-0.90	-1.7	19
2001-01-13	Glentoran	W 4-1	42.1	954	1029	29.35%	28.41%	42.24%	-0.20	+10.6	27
2001-01-13	@ Portadown	L 1-4	42.1	1029	954	42.24%	28.41%	29.35%	+0.20	-10.6	34
2001-01-27	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.0	1079	1018	47.96%	27.28%	24.76%	+0.35	-0.6	39
2001-01-27	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.0	1018	1079	24.76%	27.28%	47.96%	-0.35	+0.6	35
2001-01-27	Linfield	D 1-1	52.3	1060	1166	25.79%	27.61%	46.60%	-0.32	+0.5	41
2001-01-27	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.3	1166	1060	46.60%	27.61%	25.79%	+0.32	-0.5	57
2001-01-27	Newry City	L 0-1	42.2	885	895	37.99%	28.81%	33.20%	+0.06	-4.2	23
2001-01-27	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.2	895	885	33.20%	28.81%	37.99%	-0.06	+4.2	28
2001-01-27	Omagh Town	D 0-0	47.6	876	862	41.39%	28.52%	30.09%	+0.16	-0.3	20
2001-01-27	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	47.6	862	876	30.09%	28.52%	41.39%	-0.16	+0.3	27
2001-01-27	Portadown	D 0-0	47.5	946	965	36.72%	28.85%	34.43%	+0.02	-0.1	35
2001-01-27	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	47.5	965	946	34.43%	28.85%	36.72%	-0.02	+0.1	28
2001-01-31	Newry City	L 2-3	51.4	863	899	34.20%	28.85%	36.95%	-0.05	-3.5	27
2001-01-31	@ Omagh Town	W 3-2	51.4	899	863	36.95%	28.85%	34.20%	+0.05	+3.5	31
2001-02-03	Ballymena United	W 3-2	47.2	965	881	51.07%	26.39%	22.54%	+0.44	+2.5	31
2001-02-03	@ Portadown	L 2-3	47.2	881	965	22.54%	26.39%	51.07%	-0.44	-2.5	23
2001-02-03	Cliftonville	W 1-0	37.3	1019	946	49.52%	26.86%	23.62%	+0.39	+2.9	38
2001-02-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	37.3	946	1019	23.62%	26.86%	49.52%	-0.39	-2.9	35
2001-02-03	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.5	903	1061	20.91%	25.54%	53.55%	-0.53	+0.8	32
2001-02-03	@ Newry City	D 0-0	48.5	1061	903	53.55%	25.54%	20.91%	+0.53	-0.8	42
2001-02-03	Crusaders	W 3-1	31.3	1166	876	74.76%	14.93%	10.31%	+1.26	+1.8	60
2001-02-03	@ Linfield	L 1-3	31.3	876	1166	10.31%	14.93%	74.76%	-1.26	-1.8	20
2001-02-03	Glenavon	L 1-2	39.1	859	1078	16.54%	22.30%	61.17%	-0.78	-1.9	27
2001-02-03	@ Omagh Town	W 2-1	39.1	1078	859	61.17%	22.30%	16.54%	+0.78	+1.9	42
2001-02-10	Ballymena United	W 3-1	39.2	943	878	48.44%	27.16%	24.40%	+0.36	+4.9	38
2001-02-10	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	39.2	878	943	24.40%	27.16%	48.44%	-0.36	-4.9	23
2001-02-10	Coleraine	W 1-0	44.0	968	1060	27.20%	27.99%	44.81%	-0.27	+4.8	34
2001-02-10	@ Portadown	L 0-1	44.0	1060	968	44.81%	27.99%	27.20%	+0.27	-4.8	42
2001-02-10	Glenavon	W 3-0	30.5	1167	1080	51.41%	26.28%	22.31%	+0.45	+7.5	63
2001-02-10	@ Linfield	L 0-3	30.5	1080	1167	22.31%	26.28%	51.41%	-0.45	-7.5	42
2001-02-10	Omagh Town	L 1-2	52.5	1021	857	61.09%	22.34%	16.58%	+0.76	-5.7	38
2001-02-10	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	52.5	857	1021	16.58%	22.34%	61.09%	-0.76	+5.7	30
2001-02-20	Cliftonville	W 4-0	31.1	1016	948	48.88%	27.04%	24.08%	+0.37	+10.6	41
2001-02-20	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	31.1	948	1016	24.08%	27.04%	48.88%	-0.37	-10.6	38
2001-02-24	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.6	1055	937	55.42%	24.83%	19.75%	+0.58	-0.6	43
2001-02-24	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	58.6	937	1055	19.75%	24.83%	55.42%	-0.58	+0.6	39
2001-02-24	Glentoran	L 1-3	37.8	873	1026	21.31%	25.77%	52.91%	-0.51	-4.3	23
2001-02-24	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	37.8	1026	873	52.91%	25.77%	21.31%	+0.51	+4.3	44
2001-02-24	Linfield	D 0-0	51.1	863	1175	11.69%	16.80%	71.52%	-1.15	+1.6	31
2001-02-24	@ Omagh Town	D 0-0	51.1	1175	863	71.52%	16.80%	11.69%	+1.15	-1.6	64
2001-02-24	Newry City	W 1-0	33.7	1073	904	61.65%	22.06%	16.28%	+0.78	+2.0	45
2001-02-24	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	33.7	904	1073	16.28%	22.06%	61.65%	-0.78	-2.0	32
2001-02-24	Portadown	W 2-1	49.5	874	972	26.54%	27.82%	45.64%	-0.29	+4.6	23
2001-02-24	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	49.5	972	874	45.64%	27.82%	26.54%	+0.29	-4.6	34
2001-03-13	Coleraine	L 0-1	35.1	869	1055	18.77%	24.16%	57.07%	-0.64	-2.3	23
2001-03-13	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.1	1055	869	57.07%	24.16%	18.77%	+0.64	+2.3	46
2001-03-13	Crusaders	W 2-0	35.3	902	878	42.78%	28.33%	28.89%	+0.20	+6.5	35
2001-03-13	@ Newry City	L 0-2	35.3	878	902	28.89%	28.33%	42.78%	-0.20	-6.5	23
2001-03-17	Ballymena United	W 3-1	41.6	872	867	40.21%	28.65%	31.14%	+0.12	+6.0	26
2001-03-17	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	41.6	867	872	31.14%	28.65%	40.21%	-0.12	-6.0	23
2001-03-17	Cliftonville	W 1-0	34.9	1075	938	57.78%	23.85%	18.37%	+0.65	+2.3	48
2001-03-17	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	34.9	938	1075	18.37%	23.85%	57.78%	-0.65	-2.3	39
2001-03-17	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.1	1057	1031	43.19%	28.27%	28.54%	+0.21	-0.3	47
2001-03-17	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.1	1031	1057	28.54%	28.27%	43.19%	-0.21	+0.3	45
2001-03-17	Newry City	L 1-3	50.3	1173	908	72.28%	16.36%	11.36%	+1.16	-11.1	64
2001-03-17	@ Linfield	W 3-1	50.3	908	1173	11.36%	16.36%	72.28%	-1.16	+11.1	38
2001-03-17	Portadown	W 2-1	49.7	865	968	26.03%	27.68%	46.29%	-0.31	+4.6	34
2001-03-17	@ Omagh Town	L 1-2	49.7	968	865	46.29%	27.68%	26.03%	+0.31	-4.6	34
2001-03-20	Crusaders	L 0-3	38.4	936	878	47.49%	27.40%	25.11%	+0.33	-13.7	39
2001-03-20	@ Cliftonville	W 3-0	38.4	878	936	25.11%	27.40%	47.49%	-0.33	+13.7	29
2001-03-20	Glenavon	L 1-2	43.2	963	1077	24.93%	27.34%	47.73%	-0.36	-2.9	34
2001-03-20	@ Portadown	W 2-1	43.2	1077	963	47.73%	27.34%	24.93%	+0.36	+2.9	51
2001-03-31	Crusaders	L 1-2	52.5	1057	892	61.20%	22.28%	16.52%	+0.76	-5.7	47
2001-03-31	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	52.5	892	1057	16.52%	22.28%	61.20%	-0.76	+5.7	32
2001-03-31	Glenavon	W 1-0	47.2	861	1080	16.54%	22.30%	61.16%	-0.78	+6.1	26
2001-03-31	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	47.2	1080	861	61.16%	22.30%	16.54%	+0.78	-6.1	51
2001-03-31	Linfield	W 1-0	46.9	960	1162	17.65%	23.28%	59.07%	-0.71	+5.9	37
2001-03-31	@ Portadown	L 0-1	46.9	1162	960	59.07%	23.28%	17.65%	+0.71	-5.9	64
2001-03-31	Newry City	D 0-0	48.6	1031	920	54.57%	25.17%	20.27%	+0.55	-0.9	46
2001-03-31	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.6	920	1031	20.27%	25.17%	54.57%	-0.55	+0.9	39
2001-03-31	Omagh Town	L 1-2	49.8	922	869	46.81%	27.56%	25.63%	+0.31	-4.7	39
2001-03-31	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	49.8	869	922	25.63%	27.56%	46.81%	-0.31	+4.7	37
2001-04-03	Omagh Town	W 1-0	38.4	920	874	45.98%	27.75%	26.27%	+0.29	+3.2	42
2001-04-03	@ Newry City	L 0-1	38.4	874	920	26.27%	27.75%	45.98%	-0.29	-3.2	37
2001-04-10	Omagh Town	L 1-4	44.4	966	871	52.53%	25.91%	21.57%	+0.48	-12.5	37
2001-04-10	@ Portadown	W 4-1	44.4	871	966	21.57%	25.91%	52.53%	-0.48	+12.5	40
2001-04-14	Ballymena United	L 0-1	43.3	883	867	41.79%	28.47%	29.74%	+0.17	-4.5	40
2001-04-14	@ Omagh Town	W 1-0	43.3	867	883	29.74%	28.47%	41.79%	-0.17	+4.5	29
2001-04-14	Cliftonville	W 3-0	25.0	1156	917	69.59%	17.88%	12.53%	+1.06	+3.9	67
2001-04-14	@ Linfield	L 0-3	25.0	917	1156	12.53%	17.88%	69.59%	-1.06	-3.9	39
2001-04-14	Coleraine	W 2-1	44.7	1074	1051	42.70%	28.34%	28.96%	+0.19	+3.3	54
2001-04-14	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	44.7	1051	1074	28.96%	28.34%	42.70%	-0.19	-3.3	47
2001-04-14	Glentoran	L 0-1	37.1	897	1030	23.10%	26.64%	50.26%	-0.43	-2.9	32
2001-04-14	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	37.1	1030	897	50.26%	26.64%	23.10%	+0.43	+2.9	49
2001-04-14	Portadown	D 0-0	47.5	924	954	35.15%	28.87%	35.98%	-0.02	+0.0	43
2001-04-14	@ Newry City	D 0-0	47.5	954	924	35.98%	28.87%	35.15%	+0.02	-0.0	38
2001-04-17	Glenavon	L 0-2	31.1	894	1077	19.00%	24.32%	56.68%	-0.63	-4.4	32
2001-04-17	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	31.1	1077	894	56.68%	24.32%	19.00%	+0.63	+4.4	57
2001-04-17	Linfield	D 1-1	55.1	871	1160	12.75%	18.16%	69.09%	-1.06	+1.3	30
2001-04-17	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	55.1	1160	871	69.09%	18.16%	12.75%	+1.06	-1.3	68
2001-04-17	Newry City	W 1-0	40.8	913	924	37.98%	28.81%	33.21%	+0.06	+3.8	42
2001-04-17	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.8	924	913	33.21%	28.81%	37.98%	-0.06	-3.9	43
2001-04-17	Omagh Town	L 1-3	48.8	1048	879	61.67%	22.05%	16.27%	+0.78	-10.0	47
2001-04-17	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	48.8	879	1048	16.27%	22.05%	61.67%	-0.78	+10.0	43
2001-04-17	Portadown	W 4-1	35.8	1033	954	50.38%	26.60%	23.02%	+0.42	+6.6	52
2001-04-17	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	35.8	954	1033	23.02%	26.60%	50.38%	-0.42	-6.6	38
2001-04-21	Ballymena United	L 0-2	40.3	920	873	46.06%	27.73%	26.21%	+0.29	-9.2	43
2001-04-21	@ Newry City	W 2-0	40.3	873	920	26.21%	27.73%	46.06%	-0.29	+9.2	33
2001-04-21	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.1	947	917	43.71%	28.19%	28.11%	+0.22	-0.3	39
2001-04-21	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.1	917	947	28.11%	28.19%	43.71%	-0.22	+0.3	43
2001-04-21	Coleraine	W 3-1	37.0	1159	1038	55.80%	24.68%	19.52%	+0.59	+3.9	71
2001-04-21	@ Linfield	L 1-3	37.0	1038	1159	19.52%	24.68%	55.80%	-0.59	-3.9	47
2001-04-21	Crusaders	L 0-2	38.5	889	890	39.26%	28.73%	32.01%	+0.10	-8.2	43
2001-04-21	@ Omagh Town	W 2-0	38.5	890	889	32.01%	28.73%	39.26%	-0.10	+8.2	35
2001-04-21	Glenavon	D 2-2	57.5	1039	1082	33.48%	28.82%	37.70%	-0.07	+0.1	53
2001-04-21	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	57.5	1082	1039	37.70%	28.82%	33.48%	+0.07	-0.1	58
2001-04-25	Linfield	D 0-0	50.1	911	1163	14.62%	20.36%	65.02%	-0.91	+1.3	44
2001-04-25	@ Newry City	D 0-0	50.1	1163	911	65.02%	20.36%	14.62%	+0.91	-1.3	72
2001-04-28	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.4	917	1040	24.11%	27.05%	48.84%	-0.39	+0.6	44
2001-04-28	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.4	1040	917	48.84%	27.05%	24.11%	+0.39	-0.6	54
2001-04-28	Linfield	L 1-3	33.8	898	1162	14.03%	19.70%	66.27%	-0.96	-2.7	35
2001-04-28	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	33.8	1162	898	66.27%	19.70%	14.03%	+0.96	+2.7	75
2001-04-28	Newry City	W 5-2	36.9	1034	912	55.90%	24.64%	19.46%	+0.59	+4.8	50
2001-04-28	@ Coleraine	L 2-5	36.9	912	1034	19.46%	24.64%	55.90%	-0.59	-4.8	44
2001-04-28	Omagh Town	W 3-0	26.3	1081	880	65.39%	20.17%	14.45%	+0.91	+4.7	61
2001-04-28	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	26.3	880	1081	14.45%	20.17%	65.39%	-0.91	-4.7	43
2001-04-28	Portadown	D 3-3	61.5	882	947	30.48%	28.57%	40.96%	-0.16	+0.1	34
2001-04-28	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	61.5	947	882	40.96%	28.57%	30.48%	+0.16	-0.1	40
2001-04-30	Glenavon	W 2-1	51.5	918	1086	20.09%	25.05%	54.86%	-0.57	+5.3	47
2001-04-30	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	51.5	1086	918	54.86%	25.05%	20.09%	+0.57	-5.3	61
2001-05-03	Portadown	D 3-3	62.8	1081	947	57.44%	24.00%	18.56%	+0.64	-0.6	62
2001-05-03	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	62.8	947	1081	18.56%	24.00%	57.44%	-0.64	+0.6	41
2001-05-08	Coleraine	L 0-1	42.7	1039	1039	39.52%	28.71%	31.77%	+0.10	-4.4	54
2001-05-08	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	42.7	1039	1039	31.77%	28.71%	39.52%	-0.10	+4.4	53
2001-05-10	Linfield	W 2-0	41.2	1035	1164	23.39%	26.77%	49.84%	-0.42	+9.8	57
2001-05-10	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	41.2	1164	1035	49.84%	26.77%	23.39%	+0.42	-9.8	75

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2001-03-17	11.36%	Newry City	908	3	@ Linfield	1173	1
2	2001-04-17	16.27%	Omagh Town	879	3	@ Coleraine	1048	1
3	2001-03-31	16.52%	Crusaders	892	2	@ Coleraine	1057	1
4	2001-03-31	16.54%	@ Ballymena United	861	1	Glenavon	1080	0
5	2001-02-10	16.58%	Omagh Town	857	2	@ Glentoran	1021	1
6	2001-01-13	16.62%	@ Omagh Town	852	3	Coleraine	1070	1
7	2000-10-21	16.70%	Newry City	908	1	@ Glenavon	1070	0
8	2001-03-31	17.65%	@ Portadown	960	1	Linfield	1162	0
9	2000-09-05	17.76%	Omagh Town	841	2	@ Portadown	987	1
10	2000-08-28	18.34%	Ballymena United	929	2	@ Coleraine	1067	0
11	2000-11-25	18.73%	@ Crusaders	882	4	Glenavon	1068	3
12	2000-11-04	18.83%	@ Omagh Town	842	2	Glentoran	1027	1
13	2000-10-10	19.96%	@ Newry City	894	2	Coleraine	1064	0
14	2001-04-30	20.09%	@ Cliftonville	918	2	Glenavon	1086	1
15	2000-08-29	20.82%	Omagh Town	836	2	@ Ballymena United	940	1
16	2000-08-26	21.33%	Portadown	976	2	@ Glenavon	1074	1
17	2000-12-02	21.36%	Coleraine	1061	3	@ Linfield	1159	0
18	2001-04-10	21.57%	Omagh Town	871	4	@ Portadown	966	1
19	2000-09-05	21.97%	@ Cliftonville	924	4	Glenavon	1069	2
20	2000-10-28	22.74%	Omagh Town	832	2	@ Newry City	914	0
21	2000-12-23	23.02%	@ Cliftonville	947	1	Coleraine	1080	0
22	2001-05-10	23.39%	@ Glentoran	1035	2	Linfield	1164	0
23	2001-03-20	25.11%	Crusaders	878	3	@ Cliftonville	936	0
24	2001-03-31	25.63%	Omagh Town	869	2	@ Cliftonville	922	1
25	2001-03-17	26.03%	@ Omagh Town	865	2	Portadown	968	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2000-11-18	16.37	@ Omagh Town	4	848	29.43%	Ballymena United	0	921	42.15%	28.42%
2	2000-08-27	15.35	Cliftonville	4	908	32.60%	@ Crusaders	0	903	38.63%	28.77%
3	2000-12-02	14.89	Coleraine	3	1061	21.36%	@ Linfield	0	1159	52.84%	25.80%
4	2001-03-20	13.72	Crusaders	3	878	25.11%	@ Cliftonville	0	936	47.49%	27.40%
5	2001-04-10	12.50	Omagh Town	4	871	21.57%	@ Portadown	1	966	52.53%	25.91%
6	2000-12-16	12.36	Linfield	4	1146	42.79%	@ Glenavon	0	1068	28.88%	28.33%
7	2001-01-06	11.70	@ Portadown	4	943	45.08%	Newry City	0	903	26.99%	27.94%
8	2000-09-23	11.21	Cliftonville	3	931	34.93%	@ Newry City	0	909	36.21%	28.86%
9	2001-03-17	11.13	Newry City	3	908	11.36%	@ Linfield	1	1173	72.28%	16.36%
10	2000-08-28	10.99	Ballymena United	2	929	18.34%	@ Coleraine	0	1067	57.82%	23.83%
11	2000-09-23	10.70	Glentoran	3	1015	37.26%	@ Portadown	0	976	33.90%	28.84%
12	2001-02-20	10.59	@ Glentoran	4	1016	48.88%	Cliftonville	0	948	24.08%	27.04%
13	2000-10-10	10.58	@ Newry City	2	894	19.96%	Coleraine	0	1064	55.08%	24.97%
14	2001-01-13	10.58	@ Portadown	4	954	29.35%	Glentoran	1	1029	42.24%	28.41%
15	2001-04-17	9.98	Omagh Town	3	879	16.27%	@ Coleraine	1	1048	61.67%	22.05%
16	2000-10-28	9.95	Omagh Town	2	832	22.74%	@ Newry City	0	914	50.78%	26.48%
17	2001-01-13	9.90	@ Omagh Town	3	852	16.62%	Coleraine	1	1070	61.00%	22.38%
18	2001-05-10	9.81	@ Glentoran	2	1035	23.39%	Linfield	0	1164	49.84%	26.77%
19	2001-04-21	9.23	Ballymena United	2	873	26.21%	@ Newry City	0	920	46.06%	27.73%
20	2000-10-21	9.13	Glentoran	3	1021	44.27%	@ Ballymena United	0	932	27.64%	28.09%
21	2000-09-30	8.93	@ Glenavon	3	1067	45.19%	Glentoran	0	1026	26.90%	27.91%
22	2000-12-02	8.48	Cliftonville	2	938	30.31%	@ Portadown	0	949	41.14%	28.55%
23	2001-01-06	8.44	Glenavon	2	1069	30.54%	@ Coleraine	0	1079	40.88%	28.58%
24	2001-04-21	8.19	Crusaders	2	890	32.01%	@ Omagh Town	0	889	39.26%	28.73%
25	2000-09-05	7.83	@ Cliftonville	4	924	21.97%	Glenavon	2	1069	51.92%	26.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2001-05-03	62.8	@ Glenavon	3	1081	57.44%	Portadown	3	947	18.56%	24.00%
2	2000-11-04	62.3	@ Coleraine	3	1064	53.03%	Portadown	3	964	21.24%	25.73%
3	2001-01-13	61.5	@ Linfield	2	1167	74.12%	Ballymena United	2	884	10.58%	15.30%
4	2001-04-28	61.5	@ Ballymena United	3	882	30.48%	Portadown	3	947	40.96%	28.57%
5	2000-11-11	59.7	@ Coleraine	2	1063	63.28%	Crusaders	2	880	15.47%	21.26%
6	2000-11-25	59.7	@ Crusaders	4	882	18.73%	Glenavon	3	1068	57.15%	24.12%
7	2001-02-24	58.6	@ Coleraine	2	1055	55.42%	Cliftonville	2	937	19.75%	24.83%
8	2000-11-11	58.3	@ Cliftonville	2	941	52.29%	Omagh Town	2	847	21.72%	25.99%
9	2000-08-27	57.7	@ Omagh Town	2	836	27.67%	Newry City	2	924	44.24%	28.09%
10	2000-11-25	57.7	@ Cliftonville	2	938	44.42%	Newry City	2	903	27.52%	28.06%
11	2001-01-01	57.7	@ Omagh Town	2	855	26.40%	Cliftonville	2	955	45.82%	27.78%
12	2000-08-12	57.6	@ Ballymena United	2	929	42.49%	Cliftonville	2	907	29.13%	28.37%
13	2000-10-14	57.5	@ Cliftonville	2	948	41.78%	Ballymena United	2	932	29.75%	28.47%
14	2001-04-21	57.5	@ Glentoran	2	1039	33.48%	Glenavon	2	1082	37.70%	28.82%
15	2000-12-02	57.4	@ Omagh Town	2	865	36.35%	Crusaders	2	887	34.79%	28.86%
16	2000-12-16	57.4	@ Crusaders	2	885	36.17%	Newry City	2	908	34.97%	28.86%
17	2000-08-19	56.0	@ Linfield	1	1120	74.35%	Omagh Town	1	834	10.48%	15.17%
18	2000-11-17	55.9	@ Newry City	4	899	31.19%	Portadown	3	958	40.16%	28.65%
19	2001-04-17	55.1	@ Ballymena United	1	871	12.75%	Linfield	1	1160	69.09%	18.16%
20	2000-10-10	54.2	@ Omagh Town	1	838	15.45%	Glenavon	1	1076	63.30%	21.24%
21	2000-09-23	54.1	@ Glenavon	1	1068	63.18%	Crusaders	1	886	15.52%	21.31%
22	2000-09-16	53.4	@ Glentoran	1	1023	57.89%	Crusaders	1	885	18.31%	23.80%
23	2000-09-09	53.1	@ Crusaders	1	884	19.84%	Coleraine	1	1056	55.27%	24.89%
24	2000-08-14	52.9	@ Linfield	1	1120	53.46%	Glentoran	1	1018	20.96%	25.58%
25	2000-08-19	52.9	@ Cliftonville	1	908	20.76%	Coleraine	1	1067	53.78%	25.46%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2001-04-14	25.0	@ Linfield	3	1156	69.59%	Cliftonville	0	917	12.53%	17.88%
2	2001-04-28	26.3	@ Glenavon	3	1081	65.39%	Omagh Town	0	880	14.45%	20.17%
3	2000-12-09	26.4	@ Glenavon	3	1063	65.04%	Omagh Town	0	865	14.61%	20.35%
4	2001-01-01	27.2	@ Glenavon	4	1062	61.74%	Ballymena United	0	892	16.24%	22.02%
5	2000-11-04	27.3	@ Linfield	2	1142	69.51%	Newry City	0	904	12.56%	17.92%
6	2000-10-21	28.6	Linfield	5	1135	70.20%	@ Omagh Town	1	836	12.26%	17.54%
7	2000-12-09	28.6	Linfield	2	1143	65.23%	@ Crusaders	0	889	14.52%	20.25%
8	2000-11-11	29.0	Linfield	3	1145	56.42%	@ Portadown	0	965	19.15%	24.43%
9	2000-10-14	29.3	@ Glentoran	2	1017	62.68%	Omagh Town	0	839	15.77%	21.56%
10	2000-11-25	30.3	Linfield	5	1154	64.69%	@ Ballymena United	1	905	14.78%	20.53%
11	2001-01-06	30.4	@ Glentoran	2	1024	59.04%	Crusaders	0	877	17.67%	23.29%
12	2000-09-05	30.5	Linfield	2	1118	58.87%	@ Newry City	0	918	17.76%	23.37%
13	2001-02-10	30.5	@ Linfield	3	1167	51.41%	Glenavon	0	1080	22.31%	26.28%
14	2000-12-26	31.1	@ Linfield	2	1159	56.89%	Glentoran	0	1029	18.88%	24.23%
15	2001-02-20	31.1	@ Glentoran	4	1016	48.88%	Cliftonville	0	948	24.08%	27.04%
16	2001-04-17	31.1	Glenavon	2	1077	56.68%	@ Crusaders	0	894	19.00%	24.32%
17	2001-02-03	31.3	@ Linfield	3	1166	74.76%	Crusaders	1	876	10.31%	14.93%
18	2000-09-23	31.5	@ Linfield	4	1131	64.72%	Ballymena United	1	936	14.76%	20.51%
19	2001-01-06	32.2	@ Portadown	4	943	45.08%	Newry City	0	903	26.99%	27.94%
20	2000-09-30	32.4	@ Glenavon	3	1067	45.19%	Glentoran	0	1026	26.90%	27.91%
21	2000-10-21	32.6	Glentoran	3	1021	44.27%	@ Ballymena United	0	932	27.64%	28.09%
22	2001-01-13	32.6	@ Glenavon	1	1077	65.23%	Crusaders	0	878	14.52%	20.25%
23	2000-12-16	32.9	Linfield	4	1146	42.79%	@ Glenavon	0	1068	28.88%	28.33%
24	2001-01-06	33.0	Linfield	4	1162	59.73%	@ Cliftonville	1	955	17.29%	22.98%
25	2000-12-26	33.3	@ Coleraine	1	1075	63.07%	Ballymena United	0	894	15.57%	21.36%