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2001-02 Irish League Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Portadown

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portadown

13.86 points above expected

74 points · 60.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Glenavon

12.22 points below expected

36 points · 48.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Portadown 36 22 8 6 74 76 36 +40 60.14 +13.86
2 Glentoran 36 21 11 4 74 63 23 +40 64.55 +9.45
3 Linfield 36 18 10 8 64 66 36 +30 67.94 -3.94
4 Coleraine 36 19 2 15 59 64 58 +6 56.39 +2.61
5 Omagh Town 36 15 9 12 54 55 55 0 45.30 +8.70
6 Cliftonville 36 9 11 16 38 37 46 -9 45.90 -7.90
7 Glenavon 36 9 9 18 36 37 57 -20 48.22 -12.22
8 Newry City 36 8 12 16 36 40 62 -22 40.20 -4.20
9 Crusaders 36 9 7 20 34 41 65 -24 36.42 -2.42
10 Ards 36 6 9 21 27 30 71 -41 31.56 -4.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 74 60.14 +13.86
2 Glentoran 74 64.55 +9.45
3 Omagh Town 54 45.30 +8.70
4 Coleraine 59 56.39 +2.61
5 Crusaders 34 36.42 -2.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glenavon 36 48.22 -12.22
2 Cliftonville 38 45.90 -7.90
3 Ards 27 31.56 -4.56
4 Newry City 36 40.20 -4.20
5 Linfield 64 67.94 -3.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 3 Jan 5 – Jan 12 1 in 72
2 Portadown 5 Jan 26 – Mar 16 1 in 32
3 Coleraine 4 Oct 20 – Nov 9 1 in 27
4 Glentoran 5 Oct 13 – Nov 10 1 in 22
5 Glenavon 3 Sep 22 – Oct 6 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 4 Sep 8 – Sep 28 1 in 118
2 Crusaders 5 Aug 11 – Sep 8 1 in 71
3 Ards 6 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 51
4 Glentoran 3 Jan 12 – Feb 9 1 in 44
5 Newry City 5 Mar 2 – Apr 2 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 15 Oct 13 – Jan 8 1 in 44
2 Ards 4 Dec 8 – Dec 26 1 in 34
3 Omagh Town 6 Nov 3 – Dec 8 1 in 30
4 Linfield 13 Dec 15 – Mar 26 1 in 25
5 Portadown 11 Dec 15 – Mar 16 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 18 Sep 29 – Jan 12 1 in 85
2 Glentoran 5 Jan 5 – Feb 9 1 in 63
3 Glenavon 8 Jan 5 – Mar 16 1 in 30
4 Crusaders 10 Sep 22 – Nov 24 1 in 18
5 Cliftonville 7 Sep 8 – Oct 20 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1186 74 +29 15 9.6 +5.4
Portadown 1160 74 +14 10 9.3 +0.7
Linfield 1159 64 -34 7 10.3 -3.3
Coleraine 1045 59 -12 6 7.6 -1.6
Omagh Town 1012 54 +8 6 6.2 -0.2
Cliftonville 958 38 -12 4 5.7 -1.7
Newry City 922 36 -4 6 4.8 +1.2
Glenavon 943 36 -2 6 5.7 +0.3
Crusaders 928 34 +12 8 5.8 +2.2
Ards 824 27 -25 1 4.1 -3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LIN NC OT POR
Ards —
1-1-2
3.81
1-0-3
3.01
1-2-1
4.72
1-1-2
3.64
0-2-2
2.12
0-1-3
2.60
2-1-1
4.34
0-1-3
4.05
0-0-4
2.70
Cliftonville
2-1-1
7.21
 —
0-1-3
4.46
3-1-0
6.41
2-0-2
5.02
0-1-3
3.30
1-1-2
3.34
0-1-3
6.28
1-2-1
5.29
0-3-1
3.23
Coleraine
3-0-1
8.08
3-1-0
6.53
 —
2-0-2
7.55
3-0-1
6.51
2-0-2
4.26
1-0-3
4.34
2-0-2
7.10
2-1-1
6.58
1-0-3
5.36
Crusaders
1-2-1
6.26
0-1-3
4.57
2-0-2
3.49
 —
3-0-1
4.33
0-0-4
3.28
0-1-3
2.69
2-2-0
5.06
1-1-2
4.13
0-0-4
3.54
Glenavon
2-1-1
7.38
2-0-2
5.96
1-0-3
4.47
1-0-3
6.66
 —
0-2-2
4.25
2-1-1
3.18
0-3-1
6.41
1-1-2
5.25
0-1-3
4.36
Glentoran
2-2-0
9.11
3-1-0
7.75
2-0-2
6.74
4-0-0
7.78
2-2-0
6.77
 —
1-3-0
5.16
3-1-0
7.99
2-1-1
7.36
2-1-1
5.84
Linfield
3-1-0
8.56
2-1-1
7.71
3-0-1
6.64
3-1-0
8.45
1-1-2
7.90
0-3-1
5.81
 —
3-1-0
7.88
1-1-2
7.67
2-1-1
6.22
Newry City
1-1-2
6.65
3-1-0
4.69
2-0-2
3.91
0-2-2
5.91
1-3-0
4.57
0-1-3
3.09
0-1-3
3.18
 —
1-1-2
4.94
0-2-2
3.31
Omagh Town
3-1-0
6.96
1-2-1
5.68
1-1-2
4.40
2-1-1
6.86
2-1-1
5.72
1-1-2
3.67
2-1-1
3.37
2-1-1
6.03
 —
1-0-3
3.75
Portadown
4-0-0
8.43
1-3-0
7.83
3-0-1
5.61
4-0-0
7.52
3-1-0
6.65
1-1-2
5.12
1-1-2
4.76
2-2-0
7.75
3-0-1
7.27
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +10.7
Allowed 0.71 -9.8
Differential 0.96 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%9.17%6.11%1.67%2.50%0.56%27.78%
19.17%10.00%6.94%3.61%1.94%1.11%32.78%
26.11%6.94%6.11%1.39%1.39%0.28%22.22%
31.67%3.61%1.39%0.56%1.11%—8.33%
42.50%1.94%1.39%1.11%——6.94%
5+0.56%1.11%0.28%———1.94%
Total27.78%32.78%22.22%8.33%6.94%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.93
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%38.89%
15.56%11.11%13.89%5.56%8.33%—44.44%
2—8.33%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
3———————
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%27.78%8.33%19.44%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.97 -1.14
SD 0.88 1.44 1.71
CV 1.05 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%11.11%—2.78%—38.89%
18.33%8.33%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%—5.56%5.56%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%27.78%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.28 -0.25
SD 1.03 1.19 1.50
CV 1.00 0.93 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
111.11%—13.89%8.33%—2.78%36.11%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
3——5.56%———5.56%
42.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%25.00%27.78%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.61 +0.17
SD 1.33 1.46 2.10
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%38.89%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
32.78%———2.78%—5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total19.44%25.00%27.78%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.81 -0.67
SD 1.44 1.41 2.04
CV 1.26 0.78 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%11.11%—5.56%—41.67%
15.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%33.33%
22.78%8.33%—2.78%——13.89%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%41.67%16.67%8.33%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.58 -0.56
SD 1.23 1.36 1.73
CV 1.20 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
125.00%5.56%2.78%———33.33%
28.33%5.56%11.11%———25.00%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total58.33%22.22%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.64 +1.11
SD 1.52 0.87 1.72
CV 0.87 1.36 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
1—8.33%—5.56%——13.89%
216.67%11.11%8.33%———36.11%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
48.33%—2.78%———11.11%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%41.67%16.67%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.00 +0.83
SD 1.56 0.93 1.83
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%5.56%2.78%5.56%—30.56%
111.11%22.22%——2.78%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%11.11%—5.56%—22.22%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%47.22%16.67%2.78%16.67%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.72 -0.61
SD 1.01 1.47 1.74
CV 0.91 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
111.11%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%41.67%
28.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%27.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.54 1.80
CV 0.69 1.01 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%—2.78%——16.67%
18.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
32.78%13.89%2.78%—2.78%—22.22%
45.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%47.22%16.67%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.00 +1.11
SD 1.51 0.93 1.70
CV 0.71 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1186 74 64.55 +9.45 89.0% 44 52 59 65 70 77 81
Portadown 1160 74 60.14 +13.86 93.0% 39 48 55 60 64 75 79
Linfield 1159 64 67.94 -3.94 30.0% 52 55 63 67 74 79 83
Coleraine 1045 59 56.39 +2.61 66.0% 39 44 52 56 61 69 70
Omagh Town 1012 54 45.30 +8.70 85.0% 27 32 38 45 51 58 63
Cliftonville 958 38 45.90 -7.90 13.0% 31 35 41 45 51 57 70
Glenavon 943 36 48.22 -12.22 5.0% 33 36 42 48 53 60 64
Crusaders 928 34 36.42 -2.42 43.0% 19 26 31 35 42 48 51
Newry City 922 36 40.20 -4.20 31.0% 16 27 34 41 45 52 62
Ards 824 27 31.56 -4.56 30.0% 17 21 26 31 36 44 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.67%
No Edge
41.11%24.44%34.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.20 Elo pts.
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Portadown, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6 * Some Luck: 6 to 9 * Lucky: 9 to 11.99 * Wild Swing: 11.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.38 * Off: 1.38 to 1.84 * Way Off: 1.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.97 points
Some Luck
07.5019
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.152.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Portadown
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Glenavon
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 121.50
2.21
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.07
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Portadown14.00%30.00%21.00%20.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—
Glentoran29.00%31.00%18.00%15.00%5.00%2.00%————
Linfield52.00%24.00%14.00%9.00%1.00%—————
Coleraine5.00%9.00%27.00%26.00%18.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Omagh Town——7.00%12.00%18.00%15.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%3.00%
Cliftonville—3.00%3.00%5.00%23.00%18.00%27.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%
Glenavon—2.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%28.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%1.00%
Newry City—1.00%—2.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%24.00%19.00%14.00%
Crusaders————3.00%9.00%13.00%21.00%35.00%19.00%
Ards——1.00%—1.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%20.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Newry City 100%
Omagh Town 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-08-10 Cliftonville D 0-048.5 1049 991 48.42% 25.25% 26.33%+0.52 -1.1 1
2001-08-10 @ Coleraine D 0-048.5 991 1049 26.33% 25.25% 48.42%-0.52 +1.1 1
2001-08-11 Ards W 1-039.4 970 939 44.90% 25.61% 29.49%+0.35 +7.1 3
2001-08-11 @ Omagh Town L 0-139.4 939 970 29.49% 25.61% 44.90%-0.35 -7.0 0
2001-08-11 Newry City D 1-153.2 1107 982 56.54% 23.81% 19.65%+0.95 -1.8 1
2001-08-11 @ Linfield D 1-153.2 982 1107 19.65% 23.81% 56.54%-0.95 +1.8 1
2001-08-11 Portadown L 0-141.9 980 1003 37.49% 25.92% 36.59%+0.01 -8.5 0
2001-08-11 @ Crusaders W 1-041.9 1003 980 36.59% 25.92% 37.49%-0.01 +8.5 3
2001-08-14 Glentoran D 0-048.3 1067 1050 43.00% 25.75% 31.25%+0.26 -0.6 1
2001-08-14 @ Glenavon D 0-048.3 1050 1067 31.25% 25.75% 43.00%-0.26 +0.6 1
2001-08-18 Coleraine L 3-454.0 1011 1048 35.44% 25.91% 38.65%-0.09 -7.1 3
2001-08-18 @ Portadown W 4-354.0 1048 1011 38.65% 25.91% 35.44%+0.09 +7.1 4
2001-08-18 Crusaders W 1-037.5 1051 972 51.04% 24.89% 24.07%+0.65 +6.0 4
2001-08-18 @ Glentoran L 0-137.5 972 1051 24.07% 24.89% 51.04%-0.65 -6.0 0
2001-08-18 Glenavon D 1-152.7 983 1067 29.29% 25.59% 45.12%-0.39 +0.7 2
2001-08-18 @ Newry City D 1-152.7 1067 983 45.12% 25.59% 29.29%+0.39 -0.7 2
2001-08-18 Linfield L 2-441.9 932 1105 19.89% 23.88% 56.24%-0.96 -7.3 0
2001-08-18 @ Ards W 4-241.9 1105 932 56.24% 23.88% 19.89%+0.96 +7.3 4
2001-08-18 Omagh Town L 0-240.1 992 977 42.72% 25.76% 31.52%+0.25 -17.7 1
2001-08-18 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.1 977 992 31.52% 25.76% 42.72%-0.25 +17.7 6
2001-08-25 Coleraine L 0-235.8 966 1055 28.62% 25.53% 45.85%-0.42 -13.0 0
2001-08-25 @ Crusaders W 2-035.8 1055 966 45.85% 25.53% 28.62%+0.42 +13.0 7
2001-08-25 Newry City W 4-246.1 995 984 42.12% 25.80% 32.08%+0.22 +11.0 9
2001-08-25 @ Omagh Town L 2-446.1 984 995 32.08% 25.80% 42.12%-0.22 -11.0 2
2001-08-25 Portadown L 0-146.5 1113 1004 54.62% 24.23% 21.15%+0.85 -11.5 4
2001-08-25 @ Linfield W 1-046.5 1004 1113 21.15% 24.23% 54.62%-0.85 +11.5 6
2001-08-28 Cliftonville L 1-348.0 1066 974 52.59% 24.62% 22.78%+0.74 -18.2 2
2001-08-28 @ Glenavon W 3-148.0 974 1066 22.78% 24.62% 52.59%-0.74 +18.2 4
2001-08-31 Cliftonville L 0-237.8 953 993 35.02% 25.90% 39.08%-0.10 -15.2 0
2001-08-31 @ Crusaders W 2-037.8 993 953 39.08% 25.90% 35.02%+0.10 +15.2 7
2001-08-31 Glenavon W 4-035.9 1015 1048 36.05% 25.92% 38.03%-0.06 +30.7 9
2001-08-31 @ Portadown L 0-435.9 1048 1015 38.03% 25.92% 36.05%+0.06 -30.7 2
2001-08-31 Omagh Town W 2-143.3 1068 1006 48.94% 25.19% 25.87%+0.55 +6.0 10
2001-08-31 @ Coleraine L 1-243.3 1006 1068 25.87% 25.19% 48.94%-0.55 -6.0 9
2001-09-01 Ards L 0-144.6 973 925 47.20% 25.39% 27.41%+0.46 -10.2 2
2001-09-01 @ Newry City W 1-044.6 925 973 27.41% 25.39% 47.20%-0.46 +10.2 3
2001-09-01 Linfield W 1-042.6 1057 1101 34.33% 25.89% 39.78%-0.14 +8.9 7
2001-09-01 @ Glentoran L 0-142.6 1101 1057 39.78% 25.89% 34.33%+0.14 -8.9 4
2001-09-08 Ards W 2-141.5 1046 935 54.93% 24.17% 20.90%+0.86 +5.0 12
2001-09-08 @ Portadown L 1-241.5 935 1046 20.90% 24.17% 54.93%-0.86 -5.0 3
2001-09-08 Cliftonville D 2-258.2 1092 1008 51.75% 24.77% 23.48%+0.69 -1.0 5
2001-09-08 @ Linfield D 2-258.2 1008 1092 23.48% 24.77% 51.75%-0.69 +1.0 8
2001-09-08 Coleraine W 1-043.1 1017 1074 32.69% 25.83% 41.48%-0.21 +9.2 5
2001-09-08 @ Glenavon L 0-143.1 1074 1017 41.48% 25.83% 32.69%+0.21 -9.2 10
2001-09-08 Newry City W 3-031.2 1066 963 53.92% 24.38% 21.71%+0.81 +14.9 10
2001-09-08 @ Glentoran L 0-331.2 963 1066 21.71% 24.38% 53.92%-0.81 -14.9 2
2001-09-08 Omagh Town L 1-245.3 938 1000 31.99% 25.79% 42.22%-0.25 -7.1 0
2001-09-08 @ Crusaders W 2-145.3 1000 938 42.22% 25.79% 31.99%+0.25 +7.1 12
2001-09-15 Cliftonville W 2-149.0 930 1009 29.82% 25.64% 44.54%-0.36 +9.1 6
2001-09-15 @ Ards L 1-249.0 1009 930 44.54% 25.64% 29.82%+0.36 -9.1 8
2001-09-15 Coleraine W 3-141.6 1091 1065 44.32% 25.66% 30.02%+0.32 +11.7 8
2001-09-15 @ Linfield L 1-341.6 1065 1091 30.02% 25.66% 44.32%-0.32 -11.7 10
2001-09-15 Crusaders L 0-242.8 1026 931 53.07% 24.54% 22.39%+0.76 -21.1 5
2001-09-15 @ Glenavon W 2-042.8 931 1026 22.39% 24.54% 53.07%-0.76 +21.1 3
2001-09-15 Glentoran D 2-258.0 1007 1080 30.49% 25.69% 43.81%-0.32 +0.5 13
2001-09-15 @ Omagh Town D 2-258.0 1080 1007 43.81% 25.69% 30.49%+0.32 -0.5 11
2001-09-15 Portadown D 2-258.1 948 1051 26.93% 25.33% 47.73%-0.51 +0.7 3
2001-09-15 @ Newry City D 2-258.1 1051 948 47.73% 25.33% 26.93%+0.51 -0.7 13
2001-09-22 Ards L 1-251.7 1053 939 55.22% 24.10% 20.67%+0.88 -10.9 10
2001-09-22 @ Coleraine W 2-151.7 939 1053 20.67% 24.10% 55.22%-0.88 +10.9 9
2001-09-22 Glentoran L 0-141.6 1050 1080 36.42% 25.92% 37.66%-0.04 -8.3 13
2001-09-22 @ Portadown W 1-041.6 1080 1050 37.66% 25.92% 36.42%+0.04 +8.3 14
2001-09-22 Linfield L 0-233.4 952 1103 21.90% 24.42% 53.67%-0.82 -10.4 3
2001-09-22 @ Crusaders W 2-033.4 1103 952 53.67% 24.42% 21.90%+0.82 +10.3 11
2001-09-22 Newry City D 2-258.0 1000 949 47.52% 25.36% 27.12%+0.48 -0.7 9
2001-09-22 @ Cliftonville D 2-258.0 949 1000 27.12% 25.36% 47.52%-0.48 +0.7 4
2001-09-22 Omagh Town W 5-138.5 1005 1007 40.32% 25.87% 33.81%+0.13 +23.4 8
2001-09-22 @ Glenavon L 1-538.5 1007 1005 33.81% 25.87% 40.32%-0.13 -23.4 13
2001-09-28 Cliftonville W 2-033.8 1088 999 52.34% 24.67% 22.99%+0.72 +10.8 17
2001-09-28 @ Glentoran L 0-233.8 999 1088 22.99% 24.67% 52.34%-0.72 -10.8 9
2001-09-28 Coleraine W 3-146.4 949 1042 28.17% 25.48% 46.35%-0.44 +16.3 7
2001-09-28 @ Newry City L 1-346.4 1042 949 46.35% 25.48% 28.17%+0.44 -16.3 10
2001-09-28 Omagh Town W 2-035.0 1042 984 48.46% 25.25% 26.29%+0.52 +12.1 16
2001-09-28 @ Portadown L 0-235.0 984 1042 26.29% 25.25% 48.46%-0.52 -12.1 13
2001-09-29 Crusaders D 0-048.3 950 942 41.80% 25.81% 32.39%+0.20 -0.5 10
2001-09-29 @ Ards D 0-048.3 942 950 32.39% 25.81% 41.80%-0.20 +0.5 4
2001-09-29 Glenavon L 1-347.8 1113 1028 51.79% 24.76% 23.44%+0.69 -17.9 11
2001-09-29 @ Linfield W 3-147.8 1028 1113 23.44% 24.76% 51.79%-0.69 +17.9 11
2001-10-05 Cliftonville D 1-152.8 1054 988 49.47% 25.12% 25.42%+0.57 -1.1 17
2001-10-05 @ Portadown D 1-152.8 988 1054 25.42% 25.12% 49.47%-0.57 +1.1 10
2001-10-06 Ards W 2-142.0 1046 949 53.25% 24.50% 22.25%+0.77 +5.2 14
2001-10-06 @ Glenavon L 1-242.0 949 1046 22.25% 24.50% 53.25%-0.77 -5.2 10
2001-10-06 Glentoran W 2-040.4 1026 1099 30.50% 25.69% 43.80%-0.32 +18.0 13
2001-10-06 @ Coleraine L 0-240.4 1099 1026 43.80% 25.69% 30.50%+0.32 -18.0 17
2001-10-06 Linfield W 1-045.5 972 1095 24.67% 24.99% 50.33%-0.64 +10.7 16
2001-10-06 @ Omagh Town L 0-145.5 1095 972 50.33% 24.99% 24.67%+0.64 -10.7 11
2001-10-06 Newry City D 1-152.5 942 966 37.26% 25.92% 36.82%+0.00 -0.0 5
2001-10-06 @ Crusaders D 1-152.5 966 942 36.82% 25.92% 37.26%+0.00 +0.0 8
2001-10-13 Ards W 4-029.3 1085 944 58.20% 23.39% 18.41%+1.05 +16.7 14
2001-10-13 @ Linfield L 0-429.3 944 1085 18.41% 23.39% 58.20%-1.05 -16.7 10
2001-10-13 Cliftonville D 0-048.3 983 989 39.69% 25.89% 34.42%+0.11 -0.3 17
2001-10-13 @ Omagh Town D 0-048.3 989 983 34.42% 25.89% 39.69%-0.11 +0.3 11
2001-10-13 Glentoran L 0-233.8 942 1081 23.08% 24.69% 52.23%-0.74 -10.8 5
2001-10-13 @ Crusaders W 2-033.8 1081 942 52.23% 24.69% 23.08%+0.74 +10.8 20
2001-10-13 Newry City D 1-152.9 1052 966 51.91% 24.74% 23.34%+0.70 -1.3 15
2001-10-13 @ Glenavon D 1-152.9 966 1052 23.34% 24.74% 51.91%-0.70 +1.3 9
2001-10-13 Portadown L 2-448.3 1044 1053 39.30% 25.90% 34.81%+0.09 -12.8 13
2001-10-13 @ Coleraine W 4-248.3 1053 1044 34.81% 25.90% 39.30%-0.09 +12.8 20
2001-10-20 Cliftonville W 3-248.9 1031 989 46.26% 25.49% 28.25%+0.41 +6.1 16
2001-10-20 @ Coleraine L 2-348.9 989 1031 28.25% 25.49% 46.26%-0.41 -6.1 11
2001-10-20 Crusaders W 4-134.9 1066 931 57.57% 23.55% 18.88%+1.01 +11.0 23
2001-10-20 @ Portadown L 1-434.9 931 1066 18.88% 23.55% 57.57%-1.01 -11.0 5
2001-10-20 Glenavon W 1-039.0 1092 1050 46.30% 25.49% 28.21%+0.42 +6.8 23
2001-10-20 @ Glentoran L 0-139.0 1050 1092 28.21% 25.49% 46.30%-0.42 -6.8 15
2001-10-20 Linfield L 0-234.0 967 1101 23.56% 24.79% 51.65%-0.71 -11.0 9
2001-10-20 @ Newry City W 2-034.0 1101 967 51.65% 24.79% 23.56%+0.71 +11.0 17
2001-10-20 Omagh Town L 1-342.5 927 982 32.94% 25.84% 41.23%-0.20 -12.6 10
2001-10-20 @ Ards W 3-142.5 982 927 41.23% 25.84% 32.94%+0.20 +12.6 20
2001-10-27 Cliftonville L 1-342.1 920 983 31.81% 25.78% 42.40%-0.26 -12.2 5
2001-10-27 @ Crusaders W 3-142.1 983 920 42.40% 25.78% 31.81%+0.26 +12.2 14
2001-10-27 Linfield W 1-043.8 1037 1112 30.24% 25.67% 44.08%-0.34 +9.6 19
2001-10-27 @ Coleraine L 0-143.8 1112 1037 44.08% 25.67% 30.24%+0.34 -9.6 17
2001-10-27 Newry City L 1-440.4 915 956 34.79% 25.90% 39.31%-0.12 -18.5 10
2001-10-27 @ Ards W 4-140.4 956 915 39.31% 25.90% 34.79%+0.12 +18.5 12
2001-10-27 Omagh Town W 4-136.0 1099 995 54.06% 24.35% 21.59%+0.82 +12.5 26
2001-10-27 @ Glentoran L 1-436.0 995 1099 21.59% 24.35% 54.06%-0.82 -12.5 20
2001-10-27 Portadown L 1-440.7 1043 1077 35.87% 25.92% 38.22%-0.07 -18.9 15
2001-10-27 @ Glenavon W 4-140.7 1077 1043 38.22% 25.92% 35.87%+0.07 +18.9 26
2001-11-03 Ards W 4-027.0 1111 896 65.68% 20.98% 13.34%+1.53 +12.1 29
2001-11-03 @ Glentoran L 0-427.0 896 1111 13.34% 20.98% 65.68%-1.53 -12.1 10
2001-11-03 Crusaders W 1-035.4 1046 908 57.99% 23.45% 18.56%+1.04 +4.7 22
2001-11-03 @ Coleraine L 0-135.4 908 1046 18.56% 23.45% 57.99%-1.04 -4.7 5
2001-11-03 Glenavon W 1-041.9 996 1025 36.52% 25.92% 37.56%-0.04 +8.5 17
2001-11-03 @ Cliftonville L 0-141.9 1025 996 37.56% 25.92% 36.52%+0.04 -8.5 15
2001-11-03 Linfield L 1-247.6 1096 1103 39.66% 25.89% 34.45%+0.10 -8.3 26
2001-11-03 @ Portadown W 2-147.6 1103 1096 34.45% 25.89% 39.66%-0.10 +8.3 20
2001-11-03 Omagh Town D 1-152.6 975 982 39.55% 25.89% 34.56%+0.10 -0.2 13
2001-11-03 @ Newry City D 1-152.6 982 975 34.56% 25.89% 39.55%-0.10 +0.2 21
2001-11-09 Glenavon W 2-144.3 1051 1016 45.45% 25.57% 28.99%+0.37 +6.5 25
2001-11-09 @ Coleraine L 1-244.3 1016 1051 28.99% 25.57% 45.45%-0.37 -6.6 15
2001-11-10 Cliftonville W 2-033.2 1111 1004 54.43% 24.27% 21.29%+0.84 +10.1 23
2001-11-10 @ Linfield L 0-233.2 1004 1111 21.29% 24.27% 54.43%-0.84 -10.1 17
2001-11-10 Crusaders D 2-258.2 983 903 51.12% 24.87% 24.01%+0.66 -0.9 22
2001-11-10 @ Omagh Town D 2-258.2 903 983 24.01% 24.87% 51.12%-0.66 +0.9 6
2001-11-10 Glentoran L 0-136.8 974 1123 22.12% 24.47% 53.41%-0.81 -5.5 13
2001-11-10 @ Newry City W 1-036.8 1123 974 53.41% 24.47% 22.12%+0.81 +5.5 32
2001-11-10 Portadown L 1-434.3 884 1088 17.46% 23.04% 59.50%-1.16 -10.3 10
2001-11-10 @ Ards W 4-134.3 1088 884 59.50% 23.04% 17.46%+1.16 +10.3 29
2001-11-16 Coleraine D 2-258.0 982 1058 30.17% 25.67% 44.16%-0.34 +0.5 23
2001-11-16 @ Omagh Town D 2-258.0 1058 982 44.16% 25.67% 30.17%+0.34 -0.5 26
2001-11-16 Newry City W 4-029.6 1098 969 56.93% 23.71% 19.36%+0.98 +17.5 32
2001-11-16 @ Portadown L 0-429.6 969 1098 19.36% 23.71% 56.93%-0.98 -17.5 13
2001-11-17 Cliftonville D 0-048.5 874 994 25.06% 25.06% 49.88%-0.62 +1.3 11
2001-11-17 @ Ards D 0-048.5 994 874 49.88% 25.06% 25.06%+0.62 -1.3 18
2001-11-17 Glenavon L 3-451.2 904 1009 26.67% 25.30% 48.03%-0.53 -5.7 6
2001-11-17 @ Crusaders W 4-351.2 1009 904 48.03% 25.30% 26.67%+0.53 +5.7 18
2001-11-17 Glentoran D 0-048.3 1121 1129 39.57% 25.89% 34.54%+0.10 -0.2 24
2001-11-17 @ Linfield D 0-048.3 1129 1121 34.54% 25.89% 39.57%-0.10 +0.2 33
2001-11-23 Cliftonville W 1-042.4 951 993 34.76% 25.90% 39.34%-0.12 +8.8 16
2001-11-23 @ Newry City L 0-142.4 993 951 39.34% 25.90% 34.76%+0.12 -8.8 18
2001-11-24 Coleraine L 1-240.8 875 1057 19.16% 23.65% 57.19%-1.02 -4.6 11
2001-11-24 @ Ards W 2-140.8 1057 875 57.19% 23.65% 19.16%+1.02 +4.6 29
2001-11-24 Crusaders W 4-026.8 1121 898 66.40% 20.70% 12.90%+1.58 +11.6 27
2001-11-24 @ Linfield L 0-426.8 898 1121 12.90% 20.70% 66.40%-1.58 -11.6 6
2001-11-24 Glenavon D 1-152.5 982 1015 35.93% 25.92% 38.16%-0.06 +0.1 24
2001-11-24 @ Omagh Town D 1-152.5 1015 982 38.16% 25.92% 35.93%+0.06 -0.1 19
2001-11-24 Portadown D 2-258.0 1129 1115 42.54% 25.77% 31.69%+0.24 -0.4 34
2001-11-24 @ Glentoran D 2-258.0 1115 1129 31.69% 25.77% 42.54%-0.24 +0.4 33
2001-11-30 Newry City W 1-036.7 1062 960 53.81% 24.40% 21.79%+0.80 +5.5 32
2001-11-30 @ Coleraine L 0-136.7 960 1062 21.79% 24.40% 53.81%-0.80 -5.5 16
2001-11-30 Portadown W 3-040.3 982 1116 23.64% 24.80% 51.56%-0.71 +30.0 27
2001-11-30 @ Omagh Town L 0-340.3 1116 982 51.56% 24.80% 23.64%+0.71 -30.0 33
2001-12-01 Ards W 3-034.5 887 871 42.86% 25.75% 31.39%+0.25 +20.3 9
2001-12-01 @ Crusaders L 0-334.5 871 887 31.39% 25.75% 42.86%-0.25 -20.3 11
2001-12-01 Cliftonville D 0-049.1 1129 984 58.65% 23.27% 18.07%+1.08 -2.2 35
2001-12-01 @ Glentoran D 0-049.1 984 1129 18.07% 23.27% 58.65%-1.08 +2.2 19
2001-12-01 Linfield L 0-234.7 1015 1133 25.32% 25.10% 49.58%-0.61 -11.7 19
2001-12-01 @ Glenavon W 2-034.7 1133 1015 49.58% 25.10% 25.32%+0.61 +11.7 30
2001-12-08 Coleraine W 1-038.3 1126 1067 48.59% 25.23% 26.18%+0.53 +6.4 38
2001-12-08 @ Glentoran L 0-138.3 1067 1126 26.18% 25.23% 48.59%-0.53 -6.4 32
2001-12-08 Crusaders D 2-258.0 955 907 47.09% 25.41% 27.51%+0.45 -0.7 17
2001-12-08 @ Newry City D 2-258.0 907 955 27.51% 25.41% 47.09%-0.45 +0.7 10
2001-12-08 Glenavon D 0-048.7 851 1003 21.74% 24.38% 53.87%-0.83 +1.7 12
2001-12-08 @ Ards D 0-048.7 1003 851 53.87% 24.38% 21.74%+0.83 -1.7 20
2001-12-08 Omagh Town L 0-147.1 1144 1012 57.29% 23.62% 19.08%+1.00 -12.0 30
2001-12-08 @ Linfield W 1-047.1 1012 1144 19.08% 23.62% 57.29%-1.00 +12.0 30
2001-12-14 Glenavon D 1-152.6 954 1002 33.90% 25.87% 40.22%-0.16 +0.3 18
2001-12-14 @ Newry City D 1-152.6 1002 954 40.22% 25.87% 33.90%+0.16 -0.3 21
2001-12-15 Coleraine W 3-034.1 1086 1061 44.06% 25.68% 30.26%+0.31 +19.7 36
2001-12-15 @ Portadown L 0-334.1 1061 1086 30.26% 25.68% 44.06%-0.31 -19.7 32
2001-12-15 Crusaders W 6-027.9 1133 908 66.63% 20.61% 12.76%+1.59 +16.8 41
2001-12-15 @ Glentoran L 0-627.9 908 1133 12.76% 20.61% 66.63%-1.59 -16.8 10
2001-12-15 Linfield D 2-259.5 852 1132 12.51% 20.45% 67.04%-1.65 +2.0 13
2001-12-15 @ Ards D 2-259.5 1132 852 67.04% 20.45% 12.51%+1.65 -2.0 31
2001-12-15 Omagh Town W 1-042.3 986 1024 35.24% 25.91% 38.85%-0.09 +8.7 22
2001-12-15 @ Cliftonville L 0-142.3 1024 986 38.85% 25.91% 35.24%+0.09 -8.7 30
2001-12-22 Ards D 1-153.5 1015 854 60.39% 22.78% 16.83%+1.18 -2.1 31
2001-12-22 @ Omagh Town D 1-153.5 854 1015 16.83% 22.78% 60.39%-1.18 +2.1 14
2001-12-22 Coleraine L 2-446.7 995 1041 34.08% 25.88% 40.04%-0.15 -11.5 22
2001-12-22 @ Cliftonville W 4-246.7 1041 995 40.04% 25.88% 34.08%+0.15 +11.5 35
2001-12-22 Glentoran D 1-153.0 1001 1150 22.17% 24.49% 53.35%-0.80 +1.5 22
2001-12-22 @ Glenavon D 1-153.0 1150 1001 53.35% 24.49% 22.17%+0.80 -1.5 42
2001-12-22 Newry City W 4-028.2 1130 954 61.92% 22.31% 15.77%+1.28 +14.4 34
2001-12-22 @ Linfield L 0-428.2 954 1130 15.77% 22.31% 61.92%-1.28 -14.4 18
2001-12-22 Portadown L 1-239.7 891 1105 16.62% 22.69% 60.68%-1.23 -4.0 10
2001-12-22 @ Crusaders W 2-139.7 1105 891 60.68% 22.69% 16.62%+1.23 +4.0 39
2001-12-26 Ards D 1-152.9 940 856 51.63% 24.79% 23.58%+0.69 -1.3 19
2001-12-26 @ Newry City D 1-152.9 856 940 23.58% 24.79% 51.63%-0.69 +1.3 15
2001-12-26 Crusaders D 1-153.0 983 887 53.18% 24.52% 22.30%+0.77 -1.5 23
2001-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.0 887 983 22.30% 24.52% 53.18%-0.77 +1.5 11
2001-12-26 Glenavon D 0-048.8 1109 1003 54.39% 24.28% 21.33%+0.83 -1.8 40
2001-12-26 @ Portadown D 0-048.8 1003 1109 21.33% 24.28% 54.39%-0.83 +1.8 23
2001-12-26 Linfield D 3-361.9 1148 1145 41.13% 25.84% 33.03%+0.17 -0.2 43
2001-12-26 @ Glentoran D 3-361.9 1145 1148 33.03% 25.84% 41.13%-0.17 +0.2 35
2001-12-26 Omagh Town W 2-144.1 1053 1013 46.02% 25.51% 28.47%+0.40 +6.5 38
2001-12-26 @ Coleraine L 1-244.1 1013 1053 28.47% 25.51% 46.02%-0.40 -6.5 31
2001-12-29 Cliftonville W 2-144.8 1005 982 43.77% 25.70% 30.53%+0.29 +6.8 26
2001-12-29 @ Glenavon L 1-244.8 982 1005 30.53% 25.70% 43.77%-0.29 -6.8 23
2001-12-29 Glentoran L 0-426.3 858 1148 11.97% 20.07% 67.96%-1.71 -10.7 15
2001-12-29 @ Ards W 4-026.3 1148 858 67.96% 20.07% 11.97%+1.71 +10.7 46
2001-12-29 Portadown D 1-152.7 1145 1108 45.73% 25.54% 28.73%+0.39 -0.8 36
2001-12-29 @ Linfield D 1-152.7 1108 1145 28.73% 25.54% 45.73%-0.39 +0.8 41
2002-01-05 Ards W 3-133.9 1108 847 69.85% 19.25% 10.90%+1.83 +4.4 44
2002-01-05 @ Portadown L 1-333.9 847 1108 10.90% 19.25% 69.85%-1.83 -4.4 15
2002-01-05 Glenavon W 4-032.6 1059 1011 47.11% 25.40% 27.48%+0.46 +23.8 41
2002-01-05 @ Coleraine L 0-432.6 1011 1059 27.48% 25.40% 47.11%-0.46 -23.8 26
2002-01-05 Linfield L 1-241.2 975 1144 20.25% 23.99% 55.76%-0.94 -4.8 23
2002-01-05 @ Cliftonville W 2-141.2 1144 975 55.76% 23.99% 20.25%+0.94 +4.8 39
2002-01-05 Newry City D 2-259.4 1159 939 66.18% 20.79% 13.03%+1.56 -2.0 47
2002-01-05 @ Glentoran D 2-259.4 939 1159 13.03% 20.79% 66.18%-1.56 +2.0 20
2002-01-05 Omagh Town W 7-243.6 888 1007 25.23% 25.09% 49.69%-0.61 +32.4 14
2002-01-05 @ Crusaders L 2-743.6 1007 888 49.69% 25.09% 25.23%+0.61 -32.4 31
2002-01-08 Coleraine W 2-151.7 921 1083 20.87% 24.16% 54.97%-0.89 +10.9 17
2002-01-08 @ Crusaders L 1-251.7 1083 921 54.97% 24.16% 20.87%+0.89 -10.9 41
2002-01-08 Glentoran D 0-050.3 843 1157 10.79% 19.17% 70.04%-1.87 +3.3 16
2002-01-08 @ Ards D 0-050.3 1157 843 70.04% 19.17% 10.79%+1.87 -3.3 48
2002-01-11 Portadown D 1-153.2 941 1113 19.97% 23.90% 56.12%-0.96 +1.7 21
2002-01-11 @ Newry City D 1-153.2 1113 941 56.12% 23.90% 19.97%+0.96 -1.7 45
2002-01-12 Ards W 2-032.6 970 846 56.42% 23.84% 19.75%+0.95 +9.4 26
2002-01-12 @ Cliftonville L 0-232.6 846 970 19.75% 23.84% 56.42%-0.95 -9.4 16
2002-01-12 Coleraine W 7-134.5 1149 1072 50.81% 24.92% 24.27%+0.64 +25.9 42
2002-01-12 @ Linfield L 1-734.5 1072 1149 24.27% 24.92% 50.81%-0.64 -25.9 41
2002-01-12 Crusaders L 0-144.9 988 932 48.17% 25.28% 26.55%+0.51 -10.3 26
2002-01-12 @ Glenavon W 1-044.9 932 988 26.55% 25.28% 48.17%-0.51 +10.3 20
2002-01-12 Glentoran W 2-152.1 974 1153 19.40% 23.73% 56.88%-1.00 +11.2 34
2002-01-12 @ Omagh Town L 1-252.1 1153 974 56.88% 23.73% 19.40%+1.00 -11.2 48
2002-01-26 Glentoran W 1-042.0 1111 1142 36.20% 25.92% 37.88%-0.05 +8.5 48
2002-01-26 @ Portadown L 0-142.0 1142 1111 37.88% 25.92% 36.20%+0.05 -8.5 48
2002-01-26 Linfield L 1-336.1 942 1175 15.35% 22.10% 62.55%-1.35 -6.4 20
2002-01-26 @ Crusaders W 3-136.1 1175 942 62.55% 22.10% 15.35%+1.35 +6.4 45
2002-01-26 Newry City L 0-240.9 980 942 45.74% 25.54% 28.72%+0.39 -18.7 26
2002-01-26 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.9 942 980 28.72% 25.54% 45.74%-0.39 +18.7 24
2002-01-26 Omagh Town L 3-455.2 977 986 39.45% 25.89% 34.65%+0.10 -7.7 26
2002-01-26 @ Glenavon W 4-355.2 986 977 34.65% 25.89% 39.45%-0.10 +7.7 37
2002-02-02 Coleraine L 1-438.6 961 1046 29.04% 25.57% 45.38%-0.40 -16.1 24
2002-02-02 @ Newry City W 4-138.6 1046 961 45.38% 25.57% 29.04%+0.40 +16.1 44
2002-02-02 Crusaders W 2-149.7 836 936 27.38% 25.39% 47.23%-0.49 +9.6 19
2002-02-02 @ Ards L 1-249.7 936 836 47.23% 25.39% 27.38%+0.49 -9.6 20
2002-02-02 Glenavon D 0-049.8 1181 970 65.39% 21.09% 13.52%+1.51 -2.9 46
2002-02-02 @ Linfield D 0-049.8 970 1181 13.52% 21.09% 65.39%-1.51 +2.9 27
2002-02-05 Ards W 5-027.4 1062 846 65.82% 20.93% 13.25%+1.54 +14.8 47
2002-02-05 @ Coleraine L 0-527.4 846 1062 13.25% 20.93% 65.82%-1.54 -14.8 19
2002-02-09 Ards L 0-147.3 972 831 58.27% 23.37% 18.35%+1.06 -12.2 27
2002-02-09 @ Glenavon W 1-047.3 831 972 18.35% 23.37% 58.27%-1.06 +12.1 22
2002-02-09 Glentoran W 1-043.1 1077 1134 32.69% 25.83% 41.49%-0.21 +9.2 50
2002-02-09 @ Coleraine L 0-143.1 1134 1077 41.49% 25.83% 32.69%+0.21 -9.2 48
2002-02-09 Newry City W 4-354.2 926 945 37.97% 25.92% 36.12%+0.03 +7.2 23
2002-02-09 @ Crusaders L 3-454.2 945 926 36.12% 25.92% 37.97%-0.03 -7.2 24
2002-02-15 Newry City L 0-144.9 993 938 48.13% 25.29% 26.58%+0.51 -10.3 37
2002-02-15 @ Omagh Town W 1-044.9 938 993 26.58% 25.29% 48.13%-0.51 +10.3 27
2002-02-23 Ards W 2-135.2 1178 843 75.68% 16.41% 7.91%+2.30 +1.8 49
2002-02-23 @ Linfield L 1-235.2 843 1178 7.91% 16.41% 75.68%-2.30 -1.8 22
2002-02-23 Glentoran L 0-135.4 933 1125 18.39% 23.39% 58.22%-1.08 -4.7 23
2002-02-23 @ Crusaders W 1-035.4 1125 933 58.22% 23.39% 18.39%+1.08 +4.7 51
2002-02-23 Newry City L 0-143.3 960 948 42.34% 25.78% 31.87%+0.23 -9.3 27
2002-02-23 @ Glenavon W 1-043.3 948 960 31.87% 25.78% 42.34%-0.23 +9.3 30
2002-02-23 Portadown L 1-343.4 1086 1120 35.87% 25.92% 38.21%-0.07 -13.4 50
2002-02-23 @ Coleraine W 3-143.4 1120 1086 38.21% 25.92% 35.87%+0.07 +13.4 51
2002-03-02 Coleraine L 2-348.2 961 1073 25.94% 25.20% 48.86%-0.57 -5.7 26
2002-03-02 @ Cliftonville W 3-248.2 1073 961 48.86% 25.20% 25.94%+0.57 +5.7 53
2002-03-02 Crusaders W 3-135.4 1133 929 64.71% 21.35% 13.94%+1.46 +5.8 54
2002-03-02 @ Portadown L 1-335.4 929 1133 13.94% 21.35% 64.71%-1.46 -5.8 23
2002-03-02 Glenavon W 5-132.0 1129 951 62.14% 22.24% 15.63%+1.29 +11.9 54
2002-03-02 @ Glentoran L 1-532.0 951 1129 15.63% 22.24% 62.14%-1.29 -11.9 27
2002-03-02 Linfield L 0-231.1 957 1180 16.03% 22.43% 61.54%-1.28 -7.7 30
2002-03-02 @ Newry City W 2-031.1 1180 957 61.54% 22.43% 16.03%+1.28 +7.7 52
2002-03-02 Omagh Town L 0-233.7 842 983 22.85% 24.64% 52.51%-0.76 -10.7 22
2002-03-02 @ Ards W 2-033.7 983 842 52.51% 24.64% 22.85%+0.76 +10.7 40
2002-03-05 Omagh Town W 3-137.3 1139 994 58.70% 23.26% 18.04%+1.08 +7.5 57
2002-03-05 @ Portadown L 1-337.3 994 1139 18.04% 23.26% 58.70%-1.08 -7.5 40
2002-03-09 Cliftonville D 1-152.6 986 955 44.89% 25.61% 29.50%+0.35 -0.7 41
2002-03-09 @ Omagh Town D 1-152.6 955 986 29.50% 25.61% 44.89%-0.35 +0.7 27
2002-03-16 Coleraine W 3-254.4 986 1078 28.12% 25.48% 46.41%-0.45 +9.0 44
2002-03-16 @ Omagh Town L 2-354.4 1078 986 46.41% 25.48% 28.12%+0.45 -9.0 53
2002-03-16 Crusaders W 3-033.8 956 923 45.18% 25.59% 29.23%+0.36 +19.2 30
2002-03-16 @ Cliftonville L 0-333.8 923 956 29.23% 25.59% 45.18%-0.36 -19.2 23
2002-03-16 Glentoran D 2-258.1 1188 1141 46.99% 25.42% 27.60%+0.45 -0.7 53
2002-03-16 @ Linfield D 2-258.1 1141 1188 27.60% 25.42% 46.99%-0.45 +0.7 55
2002-03-16 Portadown L 2-344.8 939 1146 17.16% 22.92% 59.92%-1.18 -3.9 27
2002-03-16 @ Glenavon W 3-244.8 1146 939 59.92% 22.92% 17.16%+1.18 +3.9 60
2002-03-19 Glentoran L 0-430.1 975 1142 20.48% 24.05% 55.47%-0.92 -18.5 30
2002-03-19 @ Cliftonville W 4-030.1 1142 975 55.47% 24.05% 20.48%+0.92 +18.5 58
2002-03-19 Newry City W 4-251.2 831 950 25.19% 25.08% 49.73%-0.61 +15.5 25
2002-03-19 @ Ards L 2-451.2 950 831 49.73% 25.08% 25.19%+0.61 -15.5 30
2002-03-22 Omagh Town L 0-140.2 934 995 32.19% 25.80% 42.00%-0.24 -7.5 30
2002-03-22 @ Newry City W 1-040.2 995 934 42.00% 25.80% 32.19%+0.24 +7.6 47
2002-03-23 Ards D 1-155.2 1160 846 74.09% 17.23% 8.68%+2.16 -3.3 59
2002-03-23 @ Glentoran D 1-155.2 846 1160 8.68% 17.23% 74.09%-2.16 +3.3 26
2002-03-23 Crusaders L 1-253.0 1070 904 60.88% 22.63% 16.49%+1.21 -11.9 53
2002-03-23 @ Coleraine W 2-153.0 904 1070 16.49% 22.63% 60.88%-1.21 +11.9 26
2002-03-23 Glenavon L 0-143.6 957 935 43.60% 25.71% 30.69%+0.29 -9.5 30
2002-03-23 @ Cliftonville W 1-043.6 935 957 30.69% 25.71% 43.60%-0.29 +9.5 30
2002-03-23 Linfield L 1-246.5 1150 1187 35.38% 25.91% 38.71%-0.09 -7.7 60
2002-03-23 @ Portadown W 2-146.5 1187 1150 38.71% 25.91% 35.38%+0.09 +7.6 56
2002-03-26 Linfield D 1-153.4 1002 1195 18.27% 23.34% 58.38%-1.09 +1.9 48
2002-03-26 @ Omagh Town D 1-153.4 1195 1002 58.38% 23.34% 18.27%+1.09 -1.9 57
2002-03-26 Portadown D 0-049.1 947 1143 18.06% 23.27% 58.67%-1.11 +2.2 31
2002-03-26 @ Cliftonville D 0-049.1 1143 947 58.67% 23.27% 18.06%+1.11 -2.2 61
2002-03-30 Coleraine L 1-243.2 945 1058 25.83% 25.18% 48.99%-0.58 -6.0 30
2002-03-30 @ Glenavon W 2-143.2 1058 945 48.99% 25.18% 25.83%+0.58 +6.0 56
2002-03-30 Crusaders W 3-031.7 1004 916 52.23% 24.69% 23.08%+0.72 +15.7 51
2002-03-30 @ Omagh Town L 0-331.7 916 1004 23.08% 24.69% 52.23%-0.72 -15.7 26
2002-03-30 Glentoran L 0-134.2 927 1157 15.52% 22.18% 62.30%-1.33 -4.0 30
2002-03-30 @ Newry City W 1-034.2 1157 927 62.30% 22.18% 15.52%+1.33 +4.0 62
2002-03-30 Linfield W 3-150.5 949 1193 14.66% 21.74% 63.60%-1.41 +21.4 34
2002-03-30 @ Cliftonville L 1-350.5 1193 949 63.60% 21.74% 14.66%+1.41 -21.4 57
2002-03-30 Portadown L 0-229.1 850 1140 11.95% 20.06% 68.00%-1.72 -5.6 26
2002-03-30 @ Ards W 2-029.1 1140 850 68.00% 20.06% 11.95%+1.72 +5.6 64
2002-04-02 Ards W 1-035.8 971 844 56.68% 23.77% 19.55%+0.96 +4.9 37
2002-04-02 @ Cliftonville L 0-135.8 844 971 19.55% 23.77% 56.68%-0.96 -4.9 26
2002-04-02 Glenavon W 2-039.0 900 939 35.09% 25.90% 39.00%-0.10 +16.5 29
2002-04-02 @ Crusaders L 0-239.0 939 900 39.00% 25.90% 35.09%+0.10 -16.5 30
2002-04-02 Linfield L 0-235.1 1064 1172 26.38% 25.26% 48.36%-0.54 -12.1 56
2002-04-02 @ Coleraine W 2-035.1 1172 1064 48.36% 25.26% 26.38%+0.54 +12.1 60
2002-04-02 Newry City W 6-130.0 1146 923 66.48% 20.67% 12.85%+1.58 +11.8 67
2002-04-02 @ Portadown L 1-630.0 923 1146 12.85% 20.67% 66.48%-1.58 -11.8 30
2002-04-02 Omagh Town W 2-032.1 1161 1020 58.27% 23.37% 18.36%+1.05 +8.8 65
2002-04-02 @ Glentoran L 0-232.1 1020 1161 18.36% 23.37% 58.27%-1.05 -8.8 51
2002-04-13 Cliftonville W 1-043.4 911 976 31.61% 25.77% 42.62%-0.27 +9.4 33
2002-04-13 @ Newry City L 0-143.4 976 911 42.62% 25.77% 31.61%+0.27 -9.4 37
2002-04-13 Coleraine L 1-434.0 839 1051 16.78% 22.76% 60.47%-1.21 -9.9 26
2002-04-13 @ Ards W 4-134.0 1051 839 60.47% 22.76% 16.78%+1.21 +9.8 59
2002-04-13 Crusaders D 0-050.4 1184 916 70.35% 19.03% 10.62%+1.87 -3.3 61
2002-04-13 @ Linfield D 0-050.4 916 1184 10.62% 19.03% 70.35%-1.87 +3.3 30
2002-04-13 Glenavon W 2-033.8 1011 922 52.25% 24.69% 23.06%+0.72 +10.8 54
2002-04-13 @ Omagh Town L 0-233.8 922 1011 23.06% 24.69% 52.25%-0.72 -10.8 30
2002-04-13 Portadown W 1-040.3 1170 1158 42.28% 25.79% 31.93%+0.22 +7.5 68
2002-04-13 @ Glentoran L 0-140.3 1158 1170 31.93% 25.79% 42.28%-0.22 -7.5 67
2002-04-20 Ards D 1-152.9 920 829 52.46% 24.65% 22.89%+0.73 -1.4 31
2002-04-20 @ Crusaders D 1-152.9 829 920 22.89% 24.65% 52.46%-0.73 +1.4 27
2002-04-20 Glentoran L 1-239.9 966 1177 16.89% 22.81% 60.30%-1.20 -4.0 37
2002-04-20 @ Cliftonville W 2-139.9 1177 966 60.30% 22.81% 16.89%+1.20 +4.1 71
2002-04-20 Linfield W 2-045.6 912 1180 13.14% 20.86% 66.01%-1.58 +25.4 33
2002-04-20 @ Glenavon L 0-245.6 1180 912 66.01% 20.86% 13.14%+1.58 -25.4 61
2002-04-20 Newry City L 1-252.4 1061 920 58.27% 23.37% 18.36%+1.06 -11.4 59
2002-04-20 @ Coleraine W 2-152.4 920 1061 18.36% 23.37% 58.27%-1.06 +11.5 36
2002-04-20 Portadown L 1-242.7 1022 1150 24.15% 24.90% 50.95%-0.68 -5.6 54
2002-04-20 @ Omagh Town W 2-142.7 1150 1022 50.95% 24.90% 24.15%+0.68 +5.6 70
2002-04-23 Portadown D 0-049.1 962 1156 18.20% 23.32% 58.49%-1.09 +2.2 38
2002-04-23 @ Cliftonville D 0-049.1 1156 962 58.49% 23.32% 18.20%+1.09 -2.2 71
2002-04-25 Glenavon L 1-243.5 831 937 26.56% 25.29% 48.15%-0.53 -6.1 27
2002-04-25 @ Ards W 2-143.5 937 831 48.15% 25.29% 26.56%+0.53 +6.1 36
2002-04-27 Cliftonville W 3-135.9 1154 964 63.24% 21.87% 14.89%+1.36 +6.2 74
2002-04-27 @ Portadown L 1-335.9 964 1154 14.89% 21.87% 63.24%-1.36 -6.2 38
2002-04-27 Coleraine W 2-140.8 1181 1050 57.19% 23.65% 19.16%+0.99 +4.6 74
2002-04-27 @ Glentoran L 1-240.8 1050 1181 19.16% 23.65% 57.19%-0.99 -4.6 59
2002-04-27 Crusaders L 0-143.3 932 918 42.50% 25.78% 31.73%+0.23 -9.3 36
2002-04-27 @ Newry City W 1-043.3 918 932 31.73% 25.78% 42.50%-0.23 +9.3 34
2002-04-27 Omagh Town W 3-245.4 1155 1016 58.01% 23.44% 18.55%+1.04 +4.2 64
2002-04-27 @ Linfield L 2-345.4 1016 1155 18.55% 23.44% 58.01%-1.04 -4.2 54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-04-20 13.14% @ Glenavon 912 2 Linfield 1180 0
2 2002-03-30 14.66% @ Cliftonville 949 3 Linfield 1193 1
3 2002-03-23 16.49% Crusaders 904 2 @ Coleraine 1070 1
4 2002-02-09 18.35% Ards 831 1 @ Glenavon 972 0
5 2002-04-20 18.36% Newry City 920 2 @ Coleraine 1061 1
6 2001-12-08 19.08% Omagh Town 1012 1 @ Linfield 1144 0
7 2002-01-12 19.40% @ Omagh Town 974 2 Glentoran 1153 1
8 2001-09-22 20.67% Ards 939 2 @ Coleraine 1053 1
9 2002-01-08 20.87% @ Crusaders 921 2 Coleraine 1083 1
10 2001-08-25 21.15% Portadown 1004 1 @ Linfield 1113 0
11 2001-09-15 22.39% Crusaders 931 2 @ Glenavon 1026 0
12 2001-08-28 22.78% Cliftonville 974 3 @ Glenavon 1066 1
13 2001-09-29 23.44% Glenavon 1028 3 @ Linfield 1113 1
14 2001-11-30 23.64% @ Omagh Town 982 3 Portadown 1116 0
15 2001-10-06 24.67% @ Omagh Town 972 1 Linfield 1095 0
16 2002-03-19 25.19% @ Ards 831 4 Newry City 950 2
17 2002-01-05 25.23% @ Crusaders 888 7 Omagh Town 1007 2
18 2002-01-12 26.55% Crusaders 932 1 @ Glenavon 988 0
19 2002-02-15 26.58% Newry City 938 1 @ Omagh Town 993 0
20 2002-02-02 27.38% @ Ards 836 2 Crusaders 936 1
21 2001-09-01 27.41% Ards 925 1 @ Newry City 973 0
22 2002-03-16 28.12% @ Omagh Town 986 3 Coleraine 1078 2
23 2001-09-28 28.17% @ Newry City 949 3 Coleraine 1042 1
24 2002-01-26 28.72% Newry City 942 2 @ Cliftonville 980 0
25 2001-09-15 29.82% @ Ards 930 2 Cliftonville 1009 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-01-05 32.39 @ Crusaders 7 888 25.23% Omagh Town 2 1007 49.69% 25.09%
2 2001-08-31 30.66 @ Portadown 4 1015 36.05% Glenavon 0 1048 38.03% 25.92%
3 2001-11-30 29.96 @ Omagh Town 3 982 23.64% Portadown 0 1116 51.56% 24.80%
4 2002-01-12 25.93 @ Linfield 7 1149 50.81% Coleraine 1 1072 24.27% 24.92%
5 2002-04-20 25.43 @ Glenavon 2 912 13.14% Linfield 0 1180 66.01% 20.86%
6 2002-01-05 23.83 @ Coleraine 4 1059 47.11% Glenavon 0 1011 27.48% 25.40%
7 2001-09-22 23.40 @ Glenavon 5 1005 40.32% Omagh Town 1 1007 33.81% 25.87%
8 2002-03-30 21.36 @ Cliftonville 3 949 14.66% Linfield 1 1193 63.60% 21.74%
9 2001-09-15 21.14 Crusaders 2 931 22.39% @ Glenavon 0 1026 53.07% 24.54%
10 2001-12-01 20.29 @ Crusaders 3 887 42.86% Ards 0 871 31.39% 25.75%
11 2001-12-15 19.71 @ Portadown 3 1086 44.06% Coleraine 0 1061 30.26% 25.68%
12 2002-03-16 19.17 @ Cliftonville 3 956 45.18% Crusaders 0 923 29.23% 25.59%
13 2001-10-27 18.94 Portadown 4 1077 38.22% @ Glenavon 1 1043 35.87% 25.92%
14 2002-01-26 18.67 Newry City 2 942 28.72% @ Cliftonville 0 980 45.74% 25.54%
15 2001-10-27 18.52 Newry City 4 956 39.31% @ Ards 1 915 34.79% 25.90%
16 2002-03-19 18.46 Glentoran 4 1142 55.47% @ Cliftonville 0 975 20.48% 24.05%
17 2001-08-28 18.17 Cliftonville 3 974 22.78% @ Glenavon 1 1066 52.59% 24.62%
18 2001-10-06 18.03 @ Coleraine 2 1026 30.50% Glentoran 0 1099 43.80% 25.69%
19 2001-09-29 17.93 Glenavon 3 1028 23.44% @ Linfield 1 1113 51.79% 24.76%
20 2001-08-18 17.67 Omagh Town 2 977 31.52% @ Cliftonville 0 992 42.72% 25.76%
21 2001-11-16 17.53 @ Portadown 4 1098 56.93% Newry City 0 969 19.36% 23.71%
22 2001-12-15 16.84 @ Glentoran 6 1133 66.63% Crusaders 0 908 12.76% 20.61%
23 2001-10-13 16.72 @ Linfield 4 1085 58.20% Ards 0 944 18.41% 23.39%
24 2002-04-02 16.47 @ Crusaders 2 900 35.09% Glenavon 0 939 39.00% 25.90%
25 2001-09-28 16.34 @ Newry City 3 949 28.17% Coleraine 1 1042 46.35% 25.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-12-26 61.9 @ Glentoran 3 1148 41.13% Linfield 3 1145 33.03% 25.84%
2 2001-12-15 59.5 @ Ards 2 852 12.51% Linfield 2 1132 67.04% 20.45%
3 2002-01-05 59.4 @ Glentoran 2 1159 66.18% Newry City 2 939 13.03% 20.79%
4 2001-09-08 58.2 @ Linfield 2 1092 51.75% Cliftonville 2 1008 23.48% 24.77%
5 2001-11-10 58.2 @ Omagh Town 2 983 51.12% Crusaders 2 903 24.01% 24.87%
6 2001-09-15 58.1 @ Newry City 2 948 26.93% Portadown 2 1051 47.73% 25.33%
7 2002-03-16 58.1 @ Linfield 2 1188 46.99% Glentoran 2 1141 27.60% 25.42%
8 2001-09-15 58.0 @ Omagh Town 2 1007 30.49% Glentoran 2 1080 43.81% 25.69%
9 2001-09-22 58.0 @ Cliftonville 2 1000 47.52% Newry City 2 949 27.12% 25.36%
10 2001-11-16 58.0 @ Omagh Town 2 982 30.17% Coleraine 2 1058 44.16% 25.67%
11 2001-11-24 58.0 @ Glentoran 2 1129 42.54% Portadown 2 1115 31.69% 25.77%
12 2001-12-08 58.0 @ Newry City 2 955 47.09% Crusaders 2 907 27.51% 25.41%
13 2002-01-26 55.2 Omagh Town 4 986 34.65% @ Glenavon 3 977 39.45% 25.89%
14 2002-03-23 55.2 @ Glentoran 1 1160 74.09% Ards 1 846 8.68% 17.23%
15 2002-03-16 54.4 @ Omagh Town 3 986 28.12% Coleraine 2 1078 46.41% 25.48%
16 2002-02-09 54.2 @ Crusaders 4 926 37.97% Newry City 3 945 36.12% 25.92%
17 2001-08-18 54.0 Coleraine 4 1048 38.65% @ Portadown 3 1011 35.44% 25.91%
18 2001-12-22 53.5 @ Omagh Town 1 1015 60.39% Ards 1 854 16.83% 22.78%
19 2002-03-26 53.4 @ Omagh Town 1 1002 18.27% Linfield 1 1195 58.38% 23.34%
20 2001-08-11 53.2 @ Linfield 1 1107 56.54% Newry City 1 982 19.65% 23.81%
21 2002-01-11 53.2 @ Newry City 1 941 19.97% Portadown 1 1113 56.12% 23.90%
22 2001-12-22 53.0 @ Glenavon 1 1001 22.17% Glentoran 1 1150 53.35% 24.49%
23 2001-12-26 53.0 @ Cliftonville 1 983 53.18% Crusaders 1 887 22.30% 24.52%
24 2002-03-23 53.0 Crusaders 2 904 16.49% @ Coleraine 1 1070 60.88% 22.63%
25 2001-10-13 52.9 @ Glenavon 1 1052 51.91% Newry City 1 966 23.34% 24.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-12-29 26.3 Glentoran 4 1148 67.96% @ Ards 0 858 11.97% 20.07%
2 2001-11-24 26.8 @ Linfield 4 1121 66.40% Crusaders 0 898 12.90% 20.70%
3 2001-11-03 27.0 @ Glentoran 4 1111 65.68% Ards 0 896 13.34% 20.98%
4 2002-02-05 27.4 @ Coleraine 5 1062 65.82% Ards 0 846 13.25% 20.93%
5 2001-12-15 27.9 @ Glentoran 6 1133 66.63% Crusaders 0 908 12.76% 20.61%
6 2001-12-22 28.2 @ Linfield 4 1130 61.92% Newry City 0 954 15.77% 22.31%
7 2002-03-30 29.1 Portadown 2 1140 68.00% @ Ards 0 850 11.95% 20.06%
8 2001-10-13 29.3 @ Linfield 4 1085 58.20% Ards 0 944 18.41% 23.39%
9 2001-11-16 29.6 @ Portadown 4 1098 56.93% Newry City 0 969 19.36% 23.71%
10 2002-04-02 30.0 @ Portadown 6 1146 66.48% Newry City 1 923 12.85% 20.67%
11 2002-03-19 30.1 Glentoran 4 1142 55.47% @ Cliftonville 0 975 20.48% 24.05%
12 2002-03-02 31.1 Linfield 2 1180 61.54% @ Newry City 0 957 16.03% 22.43%
13 2001-09-08 31.2 @ Glentoran 3 1066 53.92% Newry City 0 963 21.71% 24.38%
14 2002-03-30 31.7 @ Omagh Town 3 1004 52.23% Crusaders 0 916 23.08% 24.69%
15 2002-03-02 32.0 @ Glentoran 5 1129 62.14% Glenavon 1 951 15.63% 22.24%
16 2002-04-02 32.1 @ Glentoran 2 1161 58.27% Omagh Town 0 1020 18.36% 23.37%
17 2002-01-05 32.6 @ Coleraine 4 1059 47.11% Glenavon 0 1011 27.48% 25.40%
18 2002-01-12 32.6 @ Cliftonville 2 970 56.42% Ards 0 846 19.75% 23.84%
19 2001-11-10 33.2 @ Linfield 2 1111 54.43% Cliftonville 0 1004 21.29% 24.27%
20 2001-09-22 33.4 Linfield 2 1103 53.67% @ Crusaders 0 952 21.90% 24.42%
21 2002-03-02 33.7 Omagh Town 2 983 52.51% @ Ards 0 842 22.85% 24.64%
22 2001-09-28 33.8 @ Glentoran 2 1088 52.34% Cliftonville 0 999 22.99% 24.67%
23 2001-10-13 33.8 Glentoran 2 1081 52.23% @ Crusaders 0 942 23.08% 24.69%
24 2002-03-16 33.8 @ Cliftonville 3 956 45.18% Crusaders 0 923 29.23% 25.59%
25 2002-04-13 33.8 @ Omagh Town 2 1011 52.25% Glenavon 0 922 23.06% 24.69%