2002-03 Irish League Premier Division Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

90 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Coleraine

13.21 points above expected

73 points · 59.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Institute Drumahoe

12.23 points below expected

42 points · 54.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	38	28	6	4	90	78	22	+56	80.43	+9.57
2	Portadown	38	24	8	6	80	89	36	+53	75.20	+4.80
3	Coleraine	38	21	10	7	73	66	38	+28	59.79	+13.21
4	Linfield	38	17	12	9	63	70	41	+29	65.23	-2.23
5	Omagh Town	38	15	6	17	51	47	57	-10	50.22	+0.78
6	Ards	38	12	10	16	46	27	39	-12	39.37	+6.63
7	Lisburn Distillery	38	12	6	20	42	39	49	-10	41.27	+0.73
8	Institute Drumahoe	38	12	6	20	42	44	75	-31	54.23	-12.23
9	Cliftonville	38	9	14	15	41	37	43	-6	50.91	-9.91
10	Glenavon	38	8	12	18	36	41	67	-26	42.97	-6.97
11	Crusaders	38	9	9	20	36	26	61	-35	37.10	-1.10
12	Newry City	38	8	7	23	31	33	69	-36	35.38	-4.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Coleraine	73	59.79	+13.21
2	Glentoran	90	80.43	+9.57
3	Ards	46	39.37	+6.63
4	Portadown	80	75.20	+4.80
5	Omagh Town	51	50.22	+0.78

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Institute Drumahoe	42	54.23	-12.23
2	Cliftonville	41	50.91	-9.91
3	Glenavon	36	42.97	-6.97
4	Newry City	31	35.38	-4.38
5	Linfield	63	65.23	-2.23

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	4	Dec 14 – Dec 28	1 in 243
2	Coleraine	5	Jan 28 – Feb 25	1 in 76
3	Glentoran	9	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 62
4	Crusaders	2	Jan 25 – Jan 28	1 in 56
5	Institute Drumahoe	4	Jan 3 – Feb 1	1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Institute Drumahoe	4	Oct 12 – Nov 1	1 in 88
2	Linfield	3	Dec 10 – Dec 21	1 in 58
3	Crusaders	6	Aug 24 – Sep 28	1 in 47
4	Omagh Town	3	Jan 3 – Feb 1	1 in 35
5	Newry City	6	Oct 19 – Nov 23	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	18	Oct 19 – Feb 25	1 in 1,036
2	Linfield	12	Jan 25 – Apr 22	1 in 87
3	Lisburn Distillery	5	Dec 14 – Dec 31	1 in 66
4	Portadown	18	Sep 21 – Jan 14	1 in 64
5	Cliftonville	8	Oct 19 – Dec 14	1 in 49

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	17	Dec 26 – Apr 22	1 in 3,988
2	Omagh Town	10	Nov 29 – Feb 1	1 in 173
3	Linfield	5	Nov 2 – Nov 26	1 in 44
4	Institute Drumahoe	6	Sep 28 – Nov 1	1 in 30
5	Glentoran	4	Apr 19 – Apr 29	1 in 28

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Glentoran	1291	90	-22	6	9.6	-3.6
Portadown	1272	80	+30	9	9.0	+0.0
Coleraine	1209	73	+30	11	7.8	+3.2
Linfield	1197	63	+18	8	7.7	+0.3
Omagh Town	982	51	+9	4	3.7	+0.3
Ards	941	46	+7	8	7.4	+0.6
Lisburn Distillery	952	42	-32	2	7.8	-5.8
Institute Drumahoe	981	42	-64	1	3.9	-2.9
Cliftonville	979	41	+10	8	7.9	+0.1
Glenavon	913	36	+1	7	6.5	+0.5
Crusaders	875	36	-28	5	6.0	-1.0
Newry City	896	31	+41	10	5.7	+4.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	CLI	COL	CRU	GLE	GLE	ID	LIN	LD	NC	OT	POR
Ards	—	0-3-1 4.54	0-0-3 2.34	1-3-0 5.60	1-2-1 5.56	0-0-3 1.42	2-0-1 2.77	0-0-3 2.15	3-0-1 5.51	3-0-1 6.02	2-1-0 2.71	0-1-2 1.72
Cliftonville	1-3-0 6.49	—	0-2-1 3.30	0-1-3 7.13	2-1-1 6.21	0-0-3 1.94	1-1-1 3.69	0-3-0 2.73	2-1-1 6.18	2-2-0 7.05	1-0-2 3.70	0-0-3 2.10
Coleraine	3-0-0 6.00	1-2-0 4.98	—	1-2-0 5.79	2-1-0 5.43	0-2-2 3.39	4-0-0 6.94	2-0-2 5.07	1-1-1 6.08	2-1-0 5.88	2-0-2 6.92	3-1-0 3.90
Crusaders	0-3-1 5.42	3-1-0 3.91	0-2-1 2.53	—	1-1-2 4.98	1-0-2 1.43	1-0-2 2.43	0-0-3 2.12	1-1-2 4.89	1-1-2 5.81	1-0-2 2.86	0-0-3 1.48
Glenavon	1-2-1 5.46	1-1-2 4.81	0-1-2 2.87	2-1-1 6.05	—	0-0-3 1.64	1-1-1 2.92	0-3-0 2.44	1-1-2 5.65	2-2-0 6.34	0-0-3 3.10	0-0-3 1.65
Glentoran	3-0-0 7.04	3-0-0 6.43	2-2-0 7.69	2-0-1 7.03	3-0-0 6.77	—	4-0-0 7.87	1-3-0 7.17	3-0-0 7.02	3-0-0 7.27	3-1-0 8.65	1-0-3 6.44
Institute Drumahoe	1-0-2 5.53	1-1-1 4.58	0-0-4 4.14	2-0-1 5.89	1-1-1 5.37	0-0-4 3.25	—	3-0-1 4.01	1-1-1 5.56	1-0-2 6.15	1-1-2 5.93	1-2-1 3.00
Linfield	3-0-0 6.19	0-3-0 5.57	2-0-2 5.96	3-0-0 6.23	0-3-0 5.88	0-3-1 3.88	1-0-3 7.06	—	2-0-1 6.24	3-0-0 6.71	2-2-0 7.36	1-1-2 4.05
Lisburn Distillery	1-0-3 5.52	1-1-2 4.85	1-1-1 2.26	2-1-1 6.14	2-1-1 5.38	0-0-3 1.43	1-1-1 2.75	1-0-2 2.11	—	2-0-2 6.68	1-0-2 2.71	0-1-2 1.52
Newry City	1-0-3 5.01	0-2-2 4.00	0-1-2 2.46	2-1-1 5.22	0-2-2 4.69	0-0-3 1.23	2-0-1 2.20	0-0-3 1.69	2-0-2 4.36	—	1-0-2 2.53	0-1-2 1.61
Omagh Town	0-1-2 5.60	2-0-1 4.57	2-0-2 4.15	2-0-1 5.44	3-0-0 5.17	0-1-3 2.54	2-1-1 5.10	0-2-2 3.71	2-0-1 5.59	2-0-1 5.79	—	0-1-3 2.98
Portadown	2-1-0 6.68	3-0-0 6.26	0-1-3 7.15	3-0-0 6.97	3-0-0 6.77	3-0-1 4.59	1-2-1 8.16	2-1-1 7.00	2-1-0 6.92	2-1-0 6.83	3-1-0 8.15	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+8.5
Allowed	0.66	-9.8
Differential	0.93	+5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	9.43%	7.89%	4.61%	1.10%	1.32%	33.11%
1	9.43%	9.65%	4.82%	3.95%	1.54%	0.88%	30.26%
2	7.89%	4.82%	3.51%	1.75%	0.66%	—	18.64%
3	4.61%	3.95%	1.75%	1.32%	0.22%	0.22%	12.06%
4	1.10%	1.54%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	3.51%
5+	1.32%	0.88%	—	0.22%	—	—	2.41%
Total	33.11%	30.26%	18.64%	12.06%	3.51%	2.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	2.00
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	47.37%
1	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	26.32%	18.42%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.71	1.03	-0.32
SD	0.84	1.08	1.47
CV	1.18	1.05	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
1	7.89%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	36.84%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.13	-0.16
SD	0.97	1.04	1.41
CV	1.00	0.92	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
2	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	42.11%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.00	+0.74
SD	1.35	0.99	1.61
CV	0.78	0.99	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	2.63%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	52.63%
1	15.79%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	7.89%	31.58%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.68	1.61	-0.92
SD	0.87	1.53	1.91
CV	1.28	0.96	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	—	5.26%	36.84%
1	—	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	23.68%	36.84%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.76	-0.68
SD	1.02	1.36	1.88
CV	0.95	0.77	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
2	21.05%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	57.89%	28.95%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	0.58	+1.47
SD	1.52	0.79	1.72
CV	0.74	1.37	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
1	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	31.58%
2	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	31.58%	10.53%	18.42%	10.53%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.97	-0.82
SD	1.08	1.78	2.18
CV	0.93	0.90	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	5.26%	13.16%	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	39.47%	31.58%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.08	+0.76
SD	1.62	1.15	2.17
CV	0.88	1.06	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
1	7.89%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	44.74%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.29	-0.26
SD	1.08	1.01	1.66
CV	1.05	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	18.42%	18.42%	26.32%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.82	-0.95
SD	0.88	1.50	1.83
CV	1.01	0.83	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	36.84%
1	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	28.95%
2	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	15.79%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	36.84%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.50	-0.26
SD	1.26	1.35	1.97
CV	1.02	0.90	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	26.32%
2	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	13.16%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
Total	44.74%	34.21%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.34	0.95	+1.39
SD	1.66	1.18	2.03
CV	0.71	1.25	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Glentoran	1291	90	80.43	+9.57	91.0%	65	70	75	80	85	92	98
Portadown	1272	80	75.20	+4.80	80.0%	59	64	69	75	79	90	99
Coleraine	1209	73	59.79	+13.21	98.0%	44	48	55	60	64	71	77
Linfield	1197	63	65.23	-2.23	43.0%	48	53	60	65	69	78	90
Omagh Town	982	51	50.22	+0.78	60.0%	36	41	45	50	55	61	69
Institute Drumahoe	981	42	54.23	-12.23	8.0%	35	40	49	54	60	67	73
Cliftonville	979	41	50.91	-9.91	15.0%	31	40	45	52	56	63	69
Lisburn Distillery	952	42	41.27	+0.73	60.0%	27	30	36	41	46	52	63
Ards	941	46	39.37	+6.63	84.0%	20	26	33	40	45	54	60
Glenavon	913	36	42.97	-6.97	20.0%	29	33	37	43	48	53	59
Newry City	896	31	35.38	-4.38	31.0%	14	23	30	36	40	47	51
Crusaders	875	36	37.10	-1.10	48.0%	20	27	33	37	42	48	50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.33%

Slight Edge

42.54%23.25%34.21%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.

179 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.08 goals

Neutral

-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

64%

Glentoran, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.26/gm

Comfortable

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.8 * Some Luck: 5.8 to 8.69 * Lucky: 8.69 to 11.59 * Wild Swing: 11.59 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.98 * Close: 0.98 to 1.47 * Off: 1.47 to 1.96 * Way Off: 1.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.39 points

Some Luck

07.2518

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Off

01.232.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Coleraine

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

Institute Drumahoe

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Even

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 154.24

2.35

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

82%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

92%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.05

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.63

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.27

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.102

Well Within Noise

00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Glentoran	64.00%	30.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	30.00%	48.00%	17.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	1.00%	3.00%	23.00%	37.00%	19.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Linfield	5.00%	18.00%	37.00%	21.00%	11.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Omagh Town	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	15.00%	12.00%	31.00%	18.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Ards	—	—	—	—	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	14.00%	18.00%	23.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	14.00%	14.00%	16.00%	21.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Institute Drumahoe	—	1.00%	10.00%	20.00%	19.00%	26.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Cliftonville	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	22.00%	25.00%	15.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	20.00%	21.00%	15.00%	16.00%	4.00%
Crusaders	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	19.00%	22.00%	19.00%	27.00%
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	11.00%	9.00%	16.00%	26.00%	36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final
Ards	78.00%	22.00%
Cliftonville	99.00%	1.00%
Coleraine	100%	—
Crusaders	72.00%	28.00%
Glenavon	94.00%	6.00%
Glentoran	100%	—
Institute Drumahoe	100%	—
Linfield	100%	—
Lisburn Distillery	92.00%	8.00%
Newry City	65.00%	35.00%
Omagh Town	100%	—
Portadown	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2002-08-10	Crusaders	D 2-2	59.4	908	981	31.80%	24.52%	43.68%	-0.25	+0.4	1
2002-08-10	@ Ards	D 2-2	59.4	981	908	43.68%	24.52%	31.80%	+0.25	-0.4	1
2002-08-10	Glenavon	W 3-2	48.7	1061	991	51.19%	23.89%	24.91%	+0.55	+5.9	3
2002-08-10	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	48.7	991	1061	24.91%	23.89%	51.19%	-0.55	-5.9	0
2002-08-10	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	40.7	1166	1163	42.35%	24.57%	33.07%	+0.18	+19.3	3
2002-08-10	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	40.7	1163	1166	33.07%	24.57%	42.35%	-0.18	-19.3	0
2002-08-10	Linfield	D 1-1	53.8	1038	1146	27.50%	24.20%	48.30%	-0.44	+1.0	1
2002-08-10	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	53.8	1146	1038	48.30%	24.20%	27.50%	+0.44	-1.0	1
2002-08-10	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	28.0	1143	910	67.90%	20.00%	12.10%	+1.46	+9.1	3
2002-08-10	@ Portadown	L 0-3	28.0	910	1143	12.10%	20.00%	67.90%	-1.46	-9.1	0
2002-08-10	Newry City	W 1-0	39.8	1003	977	45.61%	24.41%	29.98%	+0.31	+7.7	3
2002-08-10	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	39.8	977	1003	29.98%	24.41%	45.61%	-0.31	-7.7	0
2002-08-16	Omagh Town	D 0-0	49.4	1144	1039	55.37%	23.29%	21.34%	+0.75	-2.0	1
2002-08-16	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	49.4	1039	1144	21.34%	23.29%	55.37%	-0.75	+2.0	2
2002-08-17	Ards	W 1-0	41.2	901	908	41.05%	24.61%	34.34%	+0.12	+8.6	3
2002-08-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	41.2	908	901	34.34%	24.61%	41.05%	-0.12	-8.6	1
2002-08-17	Coleraine	D 0-0	49.1	981	1067	30.16%	24.42%	45.42%	-0.32	+0.9	2
2002-08-17	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	49.1	1067	981	45.42%	24.42%	30.16%	+0.32	-0.8	4
2002-08-17	Portadown	D 0-0	49.5	969	1152	19.86%	22.95%	57.19%	-0.86	+2.2	1
2002-08-17	@ Newry City	D 0-0	49.5	1152	969	57.19%	22.95%	19.86%	+0.86	-2.2	4
2002-08-24	Cliftonville	W 1-0	35.8	1150	1011	59.05%	22.57%	18.38%	+0.94	+5.0	7
2002-08-24	@ Portadown	L 0-1	35.8	1011	1150	18.38%	22.57%	59.05%	-0.94	-5.1	3
2002-08-24	Crusaders	W 4-0	28.2	1185	982	65.33%	20.88%	13.79%	+1.30	+13.7	6
2002-08-24	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	28.2	982	1185	13.79%	20.88%	65.33%	-1.30	-13.7	2
2002-08-24	Glenavon	W 3-1	41.3	1041	985	49.38%	24.09%	26.52%	+0.47	+11.4	5
2002-08-24	@ Omagh Town	L 1-3	41.3	985	1041	26.52%	24.09%	49.38%	-0.47	-11.4	0
2002-08-24	Linfield	W 1-0	41.1	1142	1145	41.62%	24.60%	33.79%	+0.15	+8.5	4
2002-08-24	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	41.1	1145	1142	33.79%	24.60%	41.62%	-0.15	-8.5	1
2002-08-24	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	48.2	1066	910	60.84%	22.15%	17.02%	+1.04	-31.9	4
2002-08-24	@ Coleraine	W 4-1	48.2	910	1066	17.02%	22.15%	60.84%	-1.04	+31.9	6
2002-08-24	Newry City	W 2-1	49.4	900	971	32.02%	24.53%	43.45%	-0.24	+9.7	4
2002-08-24	@ Ards	L 1-2	49.4	971	900	43.45%	24.53%	32.02%	+0.24	-9.8	1
2002-08-30	Ards	D 0-0	49.3	1006	909	54.37%	23.45%	22.18%	+0.70	-1.9	4
2002-08-30	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.3	909	1006	22.18%	23.45%	54.37%	-0.70	+1.9	5
2002-08-31	Coleraine	L 0-2	37.3	962	1034	31.89%	24.52%	43.59%	-0.24	-15.3	1
2002-08-31	@ Newry City	W 2-0	37.3	1034	962	43.59%	24.52%	31.89%	+0.24	+15.3	7
2002-08-31	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	50.0	974	1151	20.43%	23.09%	56.49%	-0.82	+21.1	3
2002-08-31	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	50.0	1151	974	56.49%	23.09%	20.43%	+0.82	-21.1	4
2002-08-31	Omagh Town	L 0-3	34.8	968	1052	30.44%	24.44%	45.12%	-0.31	-21.5	2
2002-08-31	@ Crusaders	W 3-0	34.8	1052	968	45.12%	24.44%	30.44%	+0.31	+21.5	8
2002-09-07	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.8	1050	1004	48.14%	24.21%	27.65%	+0.42	-1.0	8
2002-09-07	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.8	1004	1050	27.65%	24.21%	48.14%	-0.42	+1.0	5
2002-09-07	Crusaders	W 2-0	31.4	1129	947	63.43%	21.45%	15.12%	+1.18	+7.9	7
2002-09-07	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	31.4	947	1129	15.12%	21.45%	63.43%	-1.18	-7.9	2
2002-09-07	Linfield	D 0-0	49.3	995	1136	23.84%	23.74%	52.42%	-0.63	+1.6	4
2002-09-07	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	49.3	1136	995	52.42%	23.74%	23.84%	+0.63	-1.7	2
2002-09-07	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	30.9	1074	942	58.29%	22.73%	18.98%	+0.90	+14.3	11
2002-09-07	@ Omagh Town	L 0-3	30.9	942	1074	18.98%	22.73%	58.29%	-0.90	-14.3	6
2002-09-07	Newry City	W 3-1	35.3	1199	946	69.54%	19.39%	11.08%	+1.57	+5.0	9
2002-09-07	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	35.3	946	1199	11.08%	19.39%	69.54%	-1.57	-5.0	1
2002-09-07	Portadown	L 0-2	31.4	911	1155	15.14%	21.46%	63.39%	-1.20	-7.9	5
2002-09-07	@ Ards	W 2-0	31.4	1155	911	63.39%	21.46%	15.14%	+1.20	+7.9	10
2002-09-13	Omagh Town	L 1-4	37.4	941	1088	23.32%	23.65%	53.02%	-0.66	-14.5	1
2002-09-13	@ Newry City	W 4-1	37.4	1088	941	53.02%	23.65%	23.32%	+0.66	+14.5	14
2002-09-14	Ards	W 3-1	35.8	1135	903	67.79%	20.04%	12.17%	+1.45	+5.5	5
2002-09-14	@ Linfield	L 1-3	35.8	903	1135	12.17%	20.04%	67.79%	-1.45	-5.5	5
2002-09-14	Coleraine	L 1-2	52.9	1163	1049	56.38%	23.11%	20.52%	+0.80	-12.2	10
2002-09-14	@ Portadown	W 2-1	52.9	1049	1163	20.52%	23.11%	56.38%	-0.80	+12.2	11
2002-09-14	Glenavon	L 0-2	38.0	939	997	33.86%	24.60%	41.54%	-0.16	-16.1	2
2002-09-14	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	38.0	997	939	41.54%	24.60%	33.86%	+0.16	+16.1	7
2002-09-14	Glentoran	L 0-1	35.9	1005	1204	18.54%	22.61%	58.86%	-0.95	-5.1	5
2002-09-14	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	35.9	1204	1005	58.86%	22.61%	18.54%	+0.95	+5.1	12
2002-09-14	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	41.1	928	1137	17.63%	22.34%	60.03%	-1.01	-4.6	6
2002-09-14	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	41.1	1137	928	60.03%	22.34%	17.63%	+1.01	+4.6	10
2002-09-20	Cliftonville	W 2-1	42.6	1102	1000	55.03%	23.34%	21.63%	+0.73	+5.5	17
2002-09-20	@ Omagh Town	L 1-2	42.6	1000	1102	21.63%	23.34%	55.03%	-0.73	-5.5	5
2002-09-20	Newry City	W 3-2	44.1	1142	927	66.37%	20.54%	13.09%	+1.36	+3.2	13
2002-09-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 2-3	44.1	927	1142	13.09%	20.54%	66.37%	-1.36	-3.2	1
2002-09-21	Ards	W 2-0	32.0	1061	898	61.50%	21.98%	16.52%	+1.07	+8.6	14
2002-09-21	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	32.0	898	1061	16.52%	21.98%	61.50%	-1.07	-8.6	5
2002-09-21	Linfield	L 1-3	37.9	923	1140	17.03%	22.15%	60.82%	-1.05	-7.7	2
2002-09-21	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	37.9	1140	923	60.82%	22.15%	17.03%	+1.05	+7.7	8
2002-09-21	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	52.2	1013	923	53.58%	23.57%	22.85%	+0.66	-11.6	7
2002-09-21	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	52.2	923	1013	22.85%	23.57%	53.58%	-0.66	+11.6	9
2002-09-21	Portadown	L 0-1	45.8	1209	1151	49.70%	24.06%	26.23%	+0.49	-11.6	12
2002-09-21	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	45.8	1151	1209	26.23%	24.06%	49.70%	-0.49	+11.6	13
2002-09-27	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.4	924	1001	31.29%	24.49%	44.22%	-0.27	+0.5	2
2002-09-27	@ Newry City	D 2-2	59.4	1001	924	44.22%	24.49%	31.29%	+0.27	-0.5	8
2002-09-28	Coleraine	W 2-0	34.8	1148	1070	52.22%	23.76%	24.01%	+0.60	+12.1	11
2002-09-28	@ Linfield	L 0-2	34.8	1070	1148	24.01%	23.76%	52.22%	-0.60	-12.1	14
2002-09-28	Crusaders	W 2-1	45.6	935	915	44.70%	24.46%	30.83%	+0.27	+7.5	12
2002-09-28	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	45.6	915	935	30.83%	24.46%	44.70%	-0.27	-7.5	2
2002-09-28	Glentoran	L 1-2	38.4	889	1197	11.37%	19.57%	69.06%	-1.56	-2.9	5
2002-09-28	@ Ards	W 2-1	38.4	1197	889	69.06%	19.57%	11.37%	+1.56	+2.9	15
2002-09-28	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	43.6	995	1145	22.90%	23.58%	53.52%	-0.68	+23.2	8
2002-09-28	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	43.6	1145	995	53.52%	23.58%	22.90%	+0.68	-23.2	13
2002-09-28	Omagh Town	W 3-1	41.4	1162	1108	49.27%	24.11%	26.62%	+0.47	+11.5	16
2002-09-28	@ Portadown	L 1-3	41.4	1108	1162	26.62%	24.11%	49.27%	-0.47	-11.5	17
2002-10-05	Ards	L 0-1	49.5	1096	886	65.93%	20.68%	13.38%	+1.34	-14.8	17
2002-10-05	@ Omagh Town	W 1-0	49.5	886	1096	13.38%	20.68%	65.93%	-1.34	+14.8	8
2002-10-05	Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.2	1001	1018	39.61%	24.64%	35.75%	+0.07	+8.4	11
2002-10-05	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	47.2	1018	1001	35.75%	24.64%	39.61%	-0.07	-8.4	8
2002-10-05	Coleraine	W 2-0	32.7	1200	1057	59.45%	22.48%	18.08%	+0.96	+9.4	18
2002-10-05	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	32.7	1057	1200	18.08%	22.48%	59.45%	-0.96	-9.4	14
2002-10-05	Linfield	L 0-2	32.2	942	1160	16.99%	22.14%	60.87%	-1.06	-8.9	12
2002-10-05	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.2	1160	942	60.87%	22.14%	16.99%	+1.06	+8.9	14
2002-10-05	Newry City	D 0-0	49.0	907	924	39.68%	24.64%	35.68%	+0.07	-0.2	3
2002-10-05	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	49.0	924	907	35.68%	24.64%	39.68%	-0.07	+0.2	3
2002-10-05	Portadown	D 3-3	63.2	1122	1174	34.68%	24.62%	40.70%	-0.13	+0.2	14
2002-10-05	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 3-3	63.2	1174	1122	40.70%	24.62%	34.68%	+0.13	-0.2	17
2002-10-12	Crusaders	L 0-1	47.0	1009	907	55.01%	23.35%	21.65%	+0.73	-12.6	8
2002-10-12	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	47.0	907	1009	21.65%	23.35%	55.01%	-0.73	+12.6	6
2002-10-12	Glenavon	W 6-0	30.1	1174	1009	61.67%	21.94%	16.39%	+1.08	+23.7	20
2002-10-12	@ Portadown	L 0-6	30.1	1009	1174	16.39%	21.94%	61.67%	-1.08	-23.7	11
2002-10-12	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	43.4	901	1122	16.77%	22.07%	61.16%	-1.07	+38.0	11
2002-10-12	@ Ards	L 0-3	43.4	1122	901	61.16%	22.07%	16.77%	+1.07	-37.9	14
2002-10-12	Linfield	W 3-2	49.9	1210	1169	47.49%	24.27%	28.24%	+0.39	+6.6	21
2002-10-12	@ Glentoran	L 2-3	49.9	1169	1210	28.24%	24.27%	47.49%	-0.39	-6.6	14
2002-10-12	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	41.2	924	933	40.79%	24.62%	34.59%	+0.11	+8.7	6
2002-10-12	@ Newry City	L 0-1	41.2	933	924	34.59%	24.62%	40.79%	-0.11	-8.7	12
2002-10-12	Omagh Town	L 0-1	42.1	1048	1082	37.25%	24.66%	38.10%	-0.03	-9.2	14
2002-10-12	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	42.1	1082	1048	38.10%	24.66%	37.25%	+0.03	+9.2	20
2002-10-19	Ards	D 1-1	53.8	985	939	48.21%	24.21%	27.59%	+0.42	-1.0	12
2002-10-19	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.8	939	985	27.59%	24.21%	48.21%	-0.42	+1.0	12
2002-10-19	Cliftonville	L 0-3	35.3	925	997	31.96%	24.52%	43.52%	-0.24	-22.3	12
2002-10-19	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	35.3	997	925	43.52%	24.52%	31.96%	+0.24	+22.3	11
2002-10-19	Coleraine	L 1-3	47.8	1084	1039	48.10%	24.22%	27.68%	+0.42	-18.4	14
2002-10-19	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	47.8	1039	1084	27.68%	24.22%	48.10%	-0.42	+18.4	17
2002-10-19	Glentoran	L 0-2	35.4	1091	1216	25.56%	23.98%	50.46%	-0.54	-12.8	20
2002-10-19	@ Omagh Town	W 2-0	35.4	1216	1091	50.46%	23.98%	25.56%	+0.54	+12.8	24
2002-10-19	Newry City	W 3-0	28.1	1162	933	67.61%	20.11%	12.28%	+1.44	+9.3	17
2002-10-19	@ Linfield	L 0-3	28.1	933	1162	12.28%	20.11%	67.61%	-1.44	-9.3	6
2002-10-19	Portadown	L 0-4	27.8	920	1197	13.03%	20.50%	66.47%	-1.39	-12.9	6
2002-10-19	@ Crusaders	W 4-0	27.8	1197	920	66.47%	20.50%	13.03%	+1.39	+12.9	23
2002-10-25	Cliftonville	L 0-3	34.4	924	1019	29.05%	24.34%	46.61%	-0.37	-20.7	6
2002-10-25	@ Newry City	W 3-0	34.4	1019	924	46.61%	24.34%	29.05%	+0.37	+20.7	14
2002-10-26	Ards	L 0-2	39.0	907	940	37.33%	24.66%	38.02%	-0.02	-17.3	6
2002-10-26	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	39.0	940	907	38.02%	24.66%	37.33%	+0.02	+17.3	15
2002-10-26	Coleraine	D 2-2	59.4	984	1057	31.87%	24.52%	43.62%	-0.25	+0.4	13
2002-10-26	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	59.4	1057	984	43.62%	24.52%	31.87%	+0.25	-0.4	18
2002-10-26	Glentoran	L 1-5	35.1	1066	1229	21.68%	23.35%	54.97%	-0.75	-17.5	14
2002-10-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 5-1	35.1	1229	1066	54.97%	23.35%	21.68%	+0.75	+17.5	27
2002-10-26	Omagh Town	W 3-1	40.0	1172	1078	54.02%	23.50%	22.47%	+0.68	+9.9	20
2002-10-26	@ Linfield	L 1-3	40.0	1078	1172	22.47%	23.50%	54.02%	-0.68	-9.9	20
2002-10-26	Portadown	L 2-4	39.1	902	1210	11.36%	19.56%	69.07%	-1.56	-4.6	12
2002-10-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-2	39.1	1210	902	69.07%	19.56%	11.36%	+1.56	+4.5	26
2002-11-01	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	50.6	1068	1048	44.73%	24.46%	30.81%	+0.27	+7.1	23
2002-11-01	@ Omagh Town	L 2-3	50.6	1048	1068	30.81%	24.46%	44.73%	-0.27	-7.1	14
2002-11-02	Crusaders	D 3-3	63.9	1057	890	61.90%	21.87%	16.22%	+1.10	-1.5	19
2002-11-02	@ Coleraine	D 3-3	63.9	890	1057	16.22%	21.87%	61.90%	-1.10	+1.5	7
2002-11-02	Glenavon	W 2-0	29.4	1246	985	70.30%	19.08%	10.62%	+1.62	+5.5	30
2002-11-02	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.4	985	1246	10.62%	19.08%	70.30%	-1.62	-5.5	13
2002-11-02	Linfield	D 2-2	59.7	1040	1182	23.81%	23.73%	52.46%	-0.63	+1.1	15
2002-11-02	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.7	1182	1040	52.46%	23.73%	23.81%	+0.63	-1.1	21
2002-11-02	Newry City	W 4-2	37.6	1215	903	74.07%	17.45%	8.48%	+1.90	+3.3	29
2002-11-02	@ Portadown	L 2-4	37.6	903	1215	8.48%	17.45%	74.07%	-1.90	-3.3	6
2002-11-09	Ards	L 1-3	43.6	900	957	33.90%	24.60%	41.50%	-0.16	-13.9	6
2002-11-09	@ Newry City	W 3-1	43.6	957	900	41.50%	24.60%	33.90%	+0.16	+13.9	18
2002-11-09	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.0	898	1055	22.22%	23.46%	54.33%	-0.72	+1.7	13
2002-11-09	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	54.0	1055	898	54.33%	23.46%	22.22%	+0.72	-1.7	20
2002-11-09	Glentoran	L 2-4	37.9	891	1252	8.97%	17.86%	73.17%	-1.85	-3.5	7
2002-11-09	@ Crusaders	W 4-2	37.9	1252	891	73.17%	17.86%	8.97%	+1.85	+3.5	33
2002-11-09	Institute Drumahoe	L 2-3	58.5	1180	1041	59.07%	22.56%	18.37%	+0.94	-12.0	21
2002-11-09	@ Linfield	W 3-2	58.5	1041	1180	18.37%	22.56%	59.07%	-0.94	+12.0	17
2002-11-09	Omagh Town	L 1-3	42.1	979	1075	28.97%	24.33%	46.70%	-0.37	-12.3	13
2002-11-09	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	42.1	1075	979	46.70%	24.33%	28.97%	+0.37	+12.3	26
2002-11-16	Ards	W 1-0	38.1	1041	971	51.14%	23.90%	24.96%	+0.55	+6.7	18
2002-11-16	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.1	971	1041	24.96%	23.90%	51.14%	-0.55	-6.6	18
2002-11-16	Glenavon	D 0-0	49.3	1053	967	53.17%	23.63%	23.20%	+0.64	-1.7	18
2002-11-16	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	49.3	967	1053	23.20%	23.63%	53.17%	-0.64	+1.7	14
2002-11-16	Linfield	W 3-1	41.7	1218	1168	48.67%	24.16%	27.16%	+0.44	+11.7	32
2002-11-16	@ Portadown	L 1-3	41.7	1168	1218	27.16%	24.16%	48.67%	-0.44	-11.7	21
2002-11-16	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	27.3	1255	899	77.11%	15.96%	6.93%	+2.15	+3.4	36
2002-11-16	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	27.3	899	1255	6.93%	15.96%	77.11%	-2.15	-3.4	13
2002-11-16	Newry City	W 3-0	29.8	1054	886	61.96%	21.86%	16.18%	+1.10	+12.2	23
2002-11-16	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	29.8	886	1054	16.18%	21.86%	61.96%	-1.10	-12.2	6
2002-11-23	Ards	D 1-1	55.4	1230	965	70.56%	18.98%	10.46%	+1.64	-3.3	33
2002-11-23	@ Portadown	D 1-1	55.4	965	1230	10.46%	18.98%	70.56%	-1.64	+3.3	19
2002-11-23	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.7	1157	969	63.92%	21.31%	14.77%	+1.21	-2.7	22
2002-11-23	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.7	969	1157	14.77%	21.31%	63.92%	-1.21	+2.7	15
2002-11-23	Glentoran	L 0-2	28.0	874	1259	8.03%	17.04%	74.93%	-1.99	-4.0	6
2002-11-23	@ Newry City	W 2-0	28.0	1259	874	74.93%	17.04%	8.03%	+1.99	+4.0	39
2002-11-23	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	47.0	888	1051	21.62%	23.34%	55.04%	-0.75	+12.6	10
2002-11-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	47.0	1051	888	55.04%	23.34%	21.62%	+0.75	-12.6	18
2002-11-23	Omagh Town	L 1-2	41.6	896	1087	19.12%	22.77%	58.11%	-0.91	-4.9	13
2002-11-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	41.6	1087	896	58.11%	22.77%	19.12%	+0.91	+5.0	29
2002-11-26	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.8	1154	1047	55.51%	23.26%	21.23%	+0.76	-1.3	23
2002-11-26	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.8	1047	1154	21.23%	23.26%	55.51%	-0.76	+1.3	19
2002-11-26	Crusaders	W 2-1	39.8	1092	900	64.29%	21.20%	14.51%	+1.23	+3.8	32
2002-11-26	@ Omagh Town	L 1-2	39.8	900	1092	14.51%	21.20%	64.29%	-1.23	-3.8	10
2002-11-29	Newry City	L 0-2	46.7	1096	870	67.38%	20.19%	12.43%	+1.43	-28.4	32
2002-11-29	@ Omagh Town	W 2-0	46.7	870	1096	12.43%	20.19%	67.38%	-1.43	+28.4	9
2002-11-30	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.9	971	897	51.78%	23.82%	24.40%	+0.58	-1.4	16
2002-11-30	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.9	897	971	24.40%	23.82%	51.78%	-0.58	+1.4	11
2002-11-30	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	48.2	1039	891	59.97%	22.36%	17.67%	+0.99	-13.6	18
2002-11-30	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	48.2	891	1039	17.67%	22.36%	59.97%	-0.99	+13.6	16
2002-12-06	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	45.9	898	1025	25.36%	23.95%	50.69%	-0.55	+11.8	12
2002-12-06	@ Newry City	L 0-1	45.9	1025	898	50.69%	23.95%	25.36%	+0.55	-11.8	18
2002-12-07	Coleraine	L 0-1	39.4	968	1066	28.75%	24.31%	46.94%	-0.38	-7.5	19
2002-12-07	@ Ards	W 1-0	39.4	1066	968	46.94%	24.31%	28.75%	+0.38	+7.5	26
2002-12-07	Crusaders	W 2-0	29.5	1153	898	69.73%	19.31%	10.96%	+1.59	+5.6	26
2002-12-07	@ Linfield	L 0-2	29.5	898	1153	10.96%	19.31%	69.73%	-1.59	-5.7	11
2002-12-07	Glenavon	L 0-2	37.7	905	970	32.88%	24.56%	42.56%	-0.20	-15.7	16
2002-12-07	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	37.7	970	905	42.56%	24.56%	32.88%	+0.20	+15.7	19
2002-12-07	Glentoran	W 2-0	39.8	1227	1263	36.86%	24.65%	38.48%	-0.04	+17.7	36
2002-12-07	@ Portadown	L 0-2	39.8	1263	1227	38.48%	24.65%	36.86%	+0.04	-17.7	39
2002-12-07	Omagh Town	W 2-1	47.3	1049	1068	39.35%	24.65%	36.00%	+0.06	+8.4	22
2002-12-07	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	47.3	1068	1049	36.00%	24.65%	39.35%	-0.06	-8.4	32
2002-12-10	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.7	1057	1073	39.76%	24.64%	35.60%	+0.07	-0.2	23
2002-12-10	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	1073	1057	35.60%	24.64%	39.76%	-0.07	+0.2	27
2002-12-10	Glentoran	L 0-3	29.0	986	1245	14.12%	21.02%	64.86%	-1.29	-10.7	19
2002-12-10	@ Glenavon	W 3-0	29.0	1245	986	64.86%	21.02%	14.12%	+1.29	+10.7	42
2002-12-10	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	38.1	961	889	51.40%	23.87%	24.73%	+0.56	+6.6	22
2002-12-10	@ Ards	L 0-1	38.1	889	961	24.73%	23.87%	51.40%	-0.56	-6.6	16
2002-12-10	Portadown	L 0-1	40.1	1158	1244	30.21%	24.42%	45.36%	-0.32	-7.8	26
2002-12-10	@ Linfield	W 1-0	40.1	1244	1158	45.36%	24.42%	30.21%	+0.32	+7.8	39
2002-12-14	Ards	W 3-0	26.7	1256	967	72.38%	18.21%	9.41%	+1.77	+7.0	45
2002-12-14	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	26.7	967	1256	9.41%	18.21%	72.38%	-1.77	-6.9	22
2002-12-14	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	1013	1057	35.84%	24.64%	39.51%	-0.08	+0.2	19
2002-12-14	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.7	1057	1013	39.51%	24.64%	35.84%	+0.08	-0.2	24
2002-12-14	Linfield	W 3-1	46.8	1074	1151	31.33%	24.49%	44.18%	-0.27	+17.1	30
2002-12-14	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	46.8	1151	1074	44.18%	24.49%	31.33%	+0.27	-17.1	26
2002-12-14	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	40.8	892	882	43.40%	24.53%	32.07%	+0.22	-19.5	11
2002-12-14	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	40.8	882	892	32.07%	24.53%	43.40%	-0.22	+19.5	19
2002-12-14	Newry City	W 3-2	48.8	975	910	50.60%	23.96%	25.44%	+0.53	+6.0	22
2002-12-14	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	48.8	910	975	25.44%	23.96%	50.60%	-0.53	-6.0	12
2002-12-14	Portadown	D 1-1	54.3	1059	1252	19.03%	22.74%	58.23%	-0.91	+2.1	33
2002-12-14	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	54.3	1252	1059	58.23%	22.74%	19.03%	+0.91	-2.1	40
2002-12-17	Portadown	L 0-3	31.0	1057	1250	18.99%	22.73%	58.28%	-0.92	-14.3	24
2002-12-17	@ Cliftonville	W 3-0	31.0	1250	1057	58.28%	22.73%	18.99%	+0.92	+14.3	43
2002-12-21	Crusaders	L 0-3	39.5	904	873	46.21%	24.37%	29.42%	+0.33	-29.8	12
2002-12-21	@ Newry City	W 3-0	39.5	873	904	29.42%	24.37%	46.21%	-0.33	+29.8	14
2002-12-21	Glenavon	W 3-1	41.1	1043	981	50.17%	24.01%	25.82%	+0.51	+11.2	27
2002-12-21	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	41.1	981	1043	25.82%	24.01%	50.17%	-0.51	-11.2	22
2002-12-21	Glentoran	D 0-0	49.6	1091	1263	20.83%	23.18%	55.99%	-0.80	+2.1	31
2002-12-21	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.6	1263	1091	55.99%	23.18%	20.83%	+0.80	-2.1	46
2002-12-21	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	32.6	1264	1014	69.39%	19.44%	11.17%	+1.56	+7.1	46
2002-12-21	@ Portadown	L 1-4	32.6	1014	1264	11.17%	19.44%	69.39%	-1.56	-7.1	19
2002-12-21	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	49.7	1133	902	67.82%	20.03%	12.15%	+1.46	-35.0	26
2002-12-21	@ Linfield	W 4-1	49.7	902	1133	12.15%	20.03%	67.82%	-1.46	+35.0	22
2002-12-21	Omagh Town	D 0-0	49.1	960	1061	28.33%	24.28%	47.39%	-0.40	+1.1	23
2002-12-21	@ Ards	D 0-0	49.1	1061	960	47.39%	24.28%	28.33%	+0.40	-1.1	34
2002-12-26	Ards	W 2-0	36.0	1007	961	48.10%	24.22%	27.68%	+0.42	+13.7	22
2002-12-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	36.0	961	1007	27.68%	24.22%	48.10%	-0.42	-13.7	23
2002-12-26	Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.3	903	1054	22.85%	23.57%	53.58%	-0.68	+1.8	15
2002-12-26	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	49.3	1054	903	53.58%	23.57%	22.85%	+0.68	-1.8	28
2002-12-26	Coleraine	L 0-3	37.0	1060	1093	37.44%	24.66%	37.90%	-0.02	-25.2	34
2002-12-26	@ Omagh Town	W 3-0	37.0	1093	1060	37.90%	24.66%	37.44%	+0.02	+25.2	34
2002-12-26	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.2	1098	1261	21.76%	23.37%	54.87%	-0.74	+1.7	27
2002-12-26	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.2	1261	1098	54.87%	23.37%	21.76%	+0.74	-1.7	47
2002-12-26	Newry City	W 2-1	44.0	937	874	50.31%	24.00%	25.69%	+0.51	+6.4	25
2002-12-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	44.0	874	937	25.69%	24.00%	50.31%	-0.51	-6.4	12
2002-12-26	Portadown	L 0-5	27.5	970	1271	11.70%	19.77%	68.53%	-1.52	-14.2	22
2002-12-26	@ Glenavon	W 5-0	27.5	1271	970	68.53%	19.77%	11.70%	+1.52	+14.2	49
2002-12-28	Crusaders	W 1-0	29.9	1285	904	78.69%	15.13%	6.18%	+2.29	+1.6	52
2002-12-28	@ Portadown	L 0-1	29.9	904	1285	6.18%	15.13%	78.69%	-2.29	-1.6	15
2002-12-28	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.7	948	956	40.90%	24.62%	34.48%	+0.12	-0.3	24
2002-12-28	@ Ards	D 1-1	53.7	956	948	34.48%	24.62%	40.90%	-0.12	+0.3	23
2002-12-28	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	32.1	1118	1020	54.49%	23.43%	22.08%	+0.71	+16.4	37
2002-12-28	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	32.1	1020	1118	22.08%	23.43%	54.49%	-0.71	-16.4	22
2002-12-28	Linfield	L 0-6	29.8	868	1100	15.92%	21.76%	62.32%	-1.14	-23.1	12
2002-12-28	@ Newry City	W 6-0	29.8	1100	868	62.32%	21.76%	15.92%	+1.14	+23.1	30
2002-12-28	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	44.1	1052	943	55.77%	23.22%	21.02%	+0.77	-24.1	28
2002-12-28	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	44.1	943	1052	21.02%	23.22%	55.77%	-0.77	+24.1	28
2002-12-28	Omagh Town	W 2-0	30.4	1259	1035	67.14%	20.27%	12.59%	+1.41	+6.5	50
2002-12-28	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	30.4	1035	1259	12.59%	20.27%	67.14%	-1.41	-6.6	34
2002-12-31	Institute Drumahoe	W 6-1	29.5	1266	1004	70.28%	19.09%	10.63%	+1.62	+10.6	53
2002-12-31	@ Glentoran	L 1-6	29.5	1004	1266	10.63%	19.09%	70.28%	-1.62	-10.6	22
2002-12-31	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	56.0	1287	967	74.64%	17.18%	8.18%	+1.95	-3.6	53
2002-12-31	@ Portadown	D 1-1	56.0	967	1287	8.18%	17.18%	74.64%	-1.95	+3.6	29
2003-01-01	Glenavon	W 4-1	34.4	1134	956	63.00%	21.58%	15.43%	+1.16	+9.9	40
2003-01-01	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	34.4	956	1134	15.43%	21.58%	63.00%	-1.16	-9.9	23
2003-01-01	Linfield	D 1-1	53.8	1029	1123	29.13%	24.34%	46.53%	-0.37	+0.9	35
2003-01-01	@ Omagh Town	D 1-1	53.8	1123	1029	46.53%	24.34%	29.13%	+0.37	-0.9	31
2003-01-03	Omagh Town	W 3-1	45.0	993	1029	36.89%	24.65%	38.46%	-0.04	+15.3	25
2003-01-03	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-3	45.0	1029	993	38.46%	24.65%	36.89%	+0.04	-15.3	35
2003-01-04	Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.4	1122	1028	54.13%	23.49%	22.38%	+0.69	-1.8	32
2003-01-04	@ Linfield	D 0-0	49.4	1028	1122	22.38%	23.49%	54.13%	-0.69	+1.8	29
2003-01-04	Glentoran	L 0-1	32.3	946	1276	10.29%	18.86%	70.84%	-1.68	-2.8	23
2003-01-04	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	32.3	1276	946	70.84%	18.86%	10.29%	+1.68	+2.8	56
2003-01-14	Cliftonville	W 2-1	38.3	1283	1030	69.64%	19.35%	11.01%	+1.58	+2.8	56
2003-01-14	@ Portadown	L 1-2	38.3	1030	1283	11.01%	19.35%	69.64%	-1.58	-2.8	29
2003-01-21	Ards	L 0-1	44.4	971	947	45.25%	24.43%	30.32%	+0.29	-10.7	29
2003-01-21	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	44.4	947	971	30.32%	24.43%	45.25%	-0.29	+10.7	27
2003-01-21	Cliftonville	W 3-0	27.6	1279	1027	69.51%	19.40%	11.09%	+1.57	+8.3	59
2003-01-21	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	27.6	1027	1279	11.09%	19.40%	69.51%	-1.57	-8.3	29
2003-01-21	Linfield	W 2-0	42.3	1009	1121	27.08%	24.16%	48.77%	-0.46	+21.4	28
2003-01-21	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	42.3	1121	1009	48.77%	24.16%	27.08%	+0.46	-21.4	32
2003-01-25	Coleraine	D 0-0	50.4	844	1144	11.80%	19.83%	68.37%	-1.51	+3.5	13
2003-01-25	@ Newry City	D 0-0	50.4	1144	844	68.37%	19.83%	11.80%	+1.51	-3.5	41
2003-01-25	Glentoran	L 0-1	32.4	960	1287	10.44%	18.96%	70.60%	-1.66	-2.8	29
2003-01-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	32.4	1287	960	70.60%	18.96%	10.44%	+1.66	+2.8	62
2003-01-25	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	36.8	943	1030	30.09%	24.42%	45.49%	-0.32	-14.6	23
2003-01-25	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	36.8	1030	943	45.49%	24.42%	30.09%	+0.32	+14.6	31
2003-01-25	Omagh Town	W 2-0	42.3	903	1014	27.14%	24.16%	48.69%	-0.46	+21.4	18
2003-01-25	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	42.3	1014	903	48.69%	24.16%	27.14%	+0.46	-21.4	35
2003-01-25	Portadown	W 3-2	58.3	1099	1286	19.50%	22.86%	57.63%	-0.88	+11.8	35
2003-01-25	@ Linfield	L 2-3	58.3	1286	1099	57.63%	22.86%	19.50%	+0.88	-11.8	56
2003-01-28	Crusaders	L 0-1	51.5	1290	924	77.74%	15.63%	6.63%	+2.21	-16.8	62
2003-01-28	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	51.5	924	1290	6.63%	15.63%	77.74%	-2.21	+16.8	21
2003-01-28	Portadown	W 1-0	46.3	1141	1274	24.64%	23.86%	51.50%	-0.59	+11.9	44
2003-01-28	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	46.3	1274	1141	51.50%	23.86%	24.64%	+0.59	-11.9	56
2003-02-01	Cliftonville	W 4-3	49.0	1153	1019	58.52%	22.68%	18.80%	+0.91	+4.5	47
2003-02-01	@ Coleraine	L 3-4	49.0	1019	1153	18.80%	22.68%	58.52%	-0.91	-4.5	29
2003-02-01	Crusaders	W 2-1	42.5	1045	941	55.19%	23.32%	21.49%	+0.74	+5.5	34
2003-02-01	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	42.5	941	1045	21.49%	23.32%	55.19%	-0.74	-5.5	21
2003-02-01	Linfield	D 2-2	59.9	929	1111	19.92%	22.97%	57.11%	-0.86	+1.5	24
2003-02-01	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	59.9	1111	929	57.11%	22.97%	19.92%	+0.86	-1.5	36
2003-02-01	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-3	39.7	993	957	46.80%	24.32%	28.88%	+0.36	-30.1	35
2003-02-01	@ Omagh Town	W 3-0	39.7	957	993	28.88%	24.32%	46.80%	-0.36	+30.1	32
2003-02-01	Newry City	W 2-1	34.7	1273	848	81.30%	13.67%	5.03%	+2.54	+1.2	65
2003-02-01	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	34.7	848	1273	5.03%	13.67%	81.30%	-2.54	-1.2	13
2003-02-01	Portadown	L 0-3	27.8	958	1263	11.54%	19.67%	68.79%	-1.54	-8.7	27
2003-02-01	@ Ards	W 3-0	27.8	1263	958	68.79%	19.67%	11.54%	+1.54	+8.7	59
2003-02-04	Portadown	L 0-3	25.1	847	1271	6.71%	15.73%	77.56%	-2.21	-4.8	13
2003-02-04	@ Newry City	W 3-0	25.1	1271	847	77.56%	15.73%	6.71%	+2.21	+4.8	62
2003-02-07	Omagh Town	L 0-1	38.5	842	963	26.08%	24.04%	49.87%	-0.51	-6.9	13
2003-02-07	@ Newry City	W 1-0	38.5	963	842	49.87%	24.04%	26.08%	+0.51	+6.9	38
2003-02-08	Ards	W 1-0	35.1	1109	949	61.22%	22.05%	16.73%	+1.06	+4.6	39
2003-02-08	@ Linfield	L 0-1	35.1	949	1109	16.73%	22.05%	61.22%	-1.06	-4.6	27
2003-02-08	Coleraine	L 1-5	45.7	1276	1157	56.89%	23.01%	20.10%	+0.83	-38.8	62
2003-02-08	@ Portadown	W 5-1	45.7	1157	1276	20.10%	23.01%	56.89%	-0.83	+38.8	50
2003-02-08	Glenavon	W 2-0	37.6	936	930	42.77%	24.56%	32.67%	+0.19	+15.6	24
2003-02-08	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	37.6	930	936	32.67%	24.56%	42.77%	-0.19	-15.6	24
2003-02-08	Glentoran	L 0-2	31.0	1014	1274	14.06%	21.00%	64.94%	-1.29	-7.3	29
2003-02-08	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	31.0	1274	1014	64.94%	21.00%	14.06%	+1.29	+7.3	68
2003-02-08	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.7	987	1050	33.21%	24.58%	42.21%	-0.19	+0.4	33
2003-02-08	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.7	1050	987	42.21%	24.58%	33.21%	+0.19	-0.4	35
2003-02-15	Newry City	D 1-1	54.5	1007	835	62.35%	21.75%	15.89%	+1.12	-2.5	30
2003-02-15	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.5	835	1007	15.89%	21.75%	62.35%	-1.12	+2.5	14
2003-02-18	Glentoran	L 1-3	35.8	988	1282	12.11%	20.01%	67.89%	-1.48	-5.4	33
2003-02-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	35.8	1282	988	67.89%	20.01%	12.11%	+1.48	+5.4	71
2003-02-18	Linfield	L 1-2	42.4	945	1114	21.09%	23.23%	55.68%	-0.78	-5.4	27
2003-02-18	@ Ards	W 2-1	42.4	1114	945	55.68%	23.23%	21.09%	+0.78	+5.4	42
2003-02-21	Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.9	970	1004	37.10%	24.66%	38.25%	-0.03	+8.8	41
2003-02-21	@ Omagh Town	L 1-2	47.9	1004	970	38.25%	24.66%	37.10%	+0.03	-8.8	30
2003-02-22	Ards	W 3-1	35.2	1196	939	69.88%	19.25%	10.87%	+1.60	+4.9	53
2003-02-22	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	35.2	939	1196	10.87%	19.25%	69.88%	-1.60	-4.9	27
2003-02-22	Linfield	L 0-5	31.3	951	1119	21.19%	23.25%	55.56%	-0.78	-25.4	24
2003-02-22	@ Crusaders	W 5-0	31.3	1119	951	55.56%	23.25%	21.19%	+0.78	+25.4	45
2003-02-22	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	37.5	914	982	32.51%	24.55%	42.94%	-0.22	-15.6	24
2003-02-22	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	37.5	982	914	42.94%	24.55%	32.51%	+0.22	+15.6	36
2003-02-22	Newry City	L 0-1	49.5	1050	838	66.12%	20.62%	13.26%	+1.35	-14.8	35
2003-02-22	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	49.5	838	1050	13.26%	20.62%	66.12%	-1.35	+14.8	17
2003-02-22	Portadown	W 1-0	39.4	1287	1237	48.70%	24.16%	27.13%	+0.44	+7.1	74
2003-02-22	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	39.4	1237	1287	27.13%	24.16%	48.70%	-0.44	-7.1	62
2003-02-25	Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.0	934	995	33.44%	24.59%	41.97%	-0.18	+0.5	28
2003-02-25	@ Ards	D 0-0	49.0	995	934	41.97%	24.59%	33.44%	+0.18	-0.5	31
2003-02-25	Glenavon	W 2-0	34.7	978	899	52.36%	23.74%	23.90%	+0.61	+12.1	44
2003-02-25	@ Omagh Town	L 0-2	34.7	899	978	23.90%	23.74%	52.36%	-0.61	-12.1	24
2003-02-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	39.5	1201	998	65.26%	20.90%	13.84%	+1.29	+3.6	56
2003-02-25	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	39.5	998	1201	13.84%	20.90%	65.26%	-1.29	-3.6	36
2003-03-01	Coleraine	W 2-0	40.5	1145	1204	33.66%	24.59%	41.74%	-0.17	+18.9	48
2003-03-01	@ Linfield	L 0-2	40.5	1204	1145	41.74%	24.59%	33.66%	+0.17	-18.9	56
2003-03-01	Crusaders	L 0-1	46.0	994	926	51.04%	23.91%	25.04%	+0.55	-11.8	36
2003-03-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	46.0	926	994	25.04%	23.91%	51.04%	-0.55	+11.8	27
2003-03-01	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.3	852	887	37.15%	24.66%	38.20%	-0.03	+0.0	18
2003-03-01	@ Newry City	D 2-2	59.3	887	852	38.20%	24.66%	37.15%	+0.03	-0.0	25
2003-03-01	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-3	44.4	995	1035	36.34%	24.65%	39.01%	-0.06	-14.7	31
2003-03-01	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	44.4	1035	995	39.01%	24.65%	36.34%	+0.06	+14.7	38
2003-03-05	Omagh Town	W 5-1	31.0	1230	990	68.49%	19.79%	11.73%	+1.50	+9.6	65
2003-03-05	@ Portadown	L 1-5	31.0	990	1230	11.73%	19.79%	68.49%	-1.50	-9.6	44
2003-03-15	Ards	W 3-0	37.8	887	935	35.21%	24.63%	40.16%	-0.11	+26.6	28
2003-03-15	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	37.8	935	887	40.16%	24.63%	35.21%	+0.11	-26.6	28
2003-03-15	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	983	980	42.34%	24.57%	33.09%	+0.18	-0.5	37
2003-03-15	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.7	980	983	33.09%	24.57%	42.34%	-0.18	+0.5	32
2003-03-15	Coleraine	L 0-1	38.0	1050	1185	24.44%	23.83%	51.73%	-0.60	-6.5	38
2003-03-15	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	38.0	1185	1050	51.73%	23.83%	24.44%	+0.60	+6.5	59
2003-03-15	Glentoran	L 0-4	27.0	981	1294	11.09%	19.39%	69.52%	-1.59	-10.9	44
2003-03-15	@ Omagh Town	W 4-0	27.0	1294	981	69.52%	19.39%	11.09%	+1.59	+10.9	77
2003-03-15	Newry City	W 4-0	25.5	1164	852	74.04%	17.46%	8.50%	+1.90	+8.1	51
2003-03-15	@ Linfield	L 0-4	25.5	852	1164	8.50%	17.46%	74.04%	-1.90	-8.1	18
2003-03-15	Portadown	L 0-5	27.5	938	1240	11.67%	19.75%	68.58%	-1.53	-14.1	27
2003-03-15	@ Crusaders	W 5-0	27.5	1240	938	68.58%	19.75%	11.67%	+1.53	+14.1	68
2003-03-18	Crusaders	D 0-0	49.0	908	923	39.89%	24.64%	35.47%	+0.08	-0.2	29
2003-03-18	@ Ards	D 0-0	49.0	923	908	35.47%	24.64%	39.89%	-0.08	+0.2	28
2003-03-22	Crusaders	L 0-1	45.6	981	924	49.60%	24.07%	26.33%	+0.48	-11.5	32
2003-03-22	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.6	924	981	26.33%	24.07%	49.60%	-0.48	+11.5	31
2003-03-22	Glenavon	W 2-1	36.3	1254	913	76.07%	16.49%	7.44%	+2.06	+1.8	71
2003-03-22	@ Portadown	L 1-2	36.3	913	1254	7.44%	16.49%	76.07%	-2.06	-1.8	28
2003-03-22	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	46.1	908	1043	24.51%	23.84%	51.66%	-0.59	+11.9	32
2003-03-22	@ Ards	L 0-1	46.1	1043	908	51.66%	23.84%	24.51%	+0.59	-12.0	38
2003-03-22	Linfield	D 0-0	50.0	1305	1172	58.46%	22.69%	18.85%	+0.91	-2.3	78
2003-03-22	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.0	1172	1305	18.85%	22.69%	58.46%	-0.91	+2.4	52
2003-03-22	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	37.9	844	982	24.22%	23.79%	51.98%	-0.61	-6.5	18
2003-03-22	@ Newry City	W 1-0	37.9	982	844	51.98%	23.79%	24.22%	+0.61	+6.5	40
2003-03-22	Omagh Town	L 0-1	49.7	1192	970	66.98%	20.33%	12.69%	+1.40	-15.0	59
2003-03-22	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	49.7	970	1192	12.69%	20.33%	66.98%	-1.40	+15.0	47
2003-03-25	Coleraine	L 0-2	31.5	935	1177	15.29%	21.52%	63.19%	-1.19	-8.0	31
2003-03-25	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	31.5	1177	935	63.19%	21.52%	15.29%	+1.19	+8.0	62
2003-03-25	Glentoran	L 0-2	28.0	920	1303	8.11%	17.12%	74.77%	-1.98	-4.1	32
2003-03-25	@ Ards	W 2-0	28.0	1303	920	74.77%	17.12%	8.11%	+1.98	+4.1	81
2003-03-27	Newry City	W 1-0	37.8	916	838	52.18%	23.77%	24.05%	+0.60	+6.4	35
2003-03-27	@ Ards	L 0-1	37.8	838	916	24.05%	23.77%	52.18%	-0.60	-6.4	18
2003-03-29	Ards	L 0-1	45.8	985	922	50.29%	24.00%	25.71%	+0.51	-11.7	47
2003-03-29	@ Omagh Town	W 1-0	45.8	922	985	25.71%	24.00%	50.29%	-0.51	+11.7	38
2003-03-29	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	911	969	33.89%	24.60%	41.50%	-0.16	+0.4	29
2003-03-29	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.7	969	911	41.50%	24.60%	33.89%	+0.16	-0.4	33
2003-03-29	Coleraine	W 1-0	36.7	1307	1185	57.23%	22.94%	19.82%	+0.84	+5.4	84
2003-03-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	36.7	1185	1307	19.82%	22.94%	57.23%	-0.84	-5.4	62
2003-03-29	Linfield	L 1-2	41.8	989	1174	19.63%	22.90%	57.47%	-0.87	-5.1	40
2003-03-29	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	41.8	1174	989	57.47%	22.90%	19.63%	+0.87	+5.1	55
2003-03-29	Newry City	L 0-2	43.7	927	831	54.28%	23.46%	22.26%	+0.70	-23.5	31
2003-03-29	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	43.7	831	927	22.26%	23.46%	54.28%	-0.70	+23.5	21
2003-03-29	Portadown	W 1-0	48.6	1031	1256	16.51%	21.98%	61.51%	-1.09	+13.9	41
2003-03-29	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	48.6	1256	1031	61.51%	21.98%	16.51%	+1.09	-13.9	71
2003-04-12	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.8	855	969	26.85%	24.13%	49.02%	-0.47	+1.1	22
2003-04-12	@ Newry City	D 1-1	53.8	969	855	49.02%	24.13%	26.85%	+0.47	-1.1	34
2003-04-12	Crusaders	W 2-0	37.5	912	904	43.15%	24.54%	32.31%	+0.21	+15.5	32
2003-04-12	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	37.5	904	912	32.31%	24.54%	43.15%	-0.21	-15.5	31
2003-04-12	Glentoran	L 0-4	28.2	1045	1312	13.64%	20.80%	65.56%	-1.33	-13.5	41
2003-04-12	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-0	28.2	1312	1045	65.56%	20.80%	13.64%	+1.33	+13.5	87
2003-04-12	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	43.0	934	984	35.01%	24.63%	40.36%	-0.11	+9.8	41
2003-04-12	@ Ards	L 0-1	43.0	984	934	40.36%	24.63%	35.01%	+0.11	-9.8	40
2003-04-12	Omagh Town	W 1-0	33.8	1179	973	65.56%	20.80%	13.64%	+1.31	+3.8	58
2003-04-12	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.8	973	1179	13.64%	20.80%	65.56%	-1.31	-3.8	47
2003-04-12	Portadown	D 1-1	53.9	1180	1242	33.28%	24.58%	42.14%	-0.19	+0.4	63
2003-04-12	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.9	1242	1180	42.14%	24.58%	33.28%	+0.19	-0.4	72
2003-04-18	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	43.3	970	1032	33.31%	24.58%	42.11%	-0.18	+23.3	50
2003-04-18	@ Omagh Town	L 1-4	43.3	1032	970	42.11%	24.58%	33.31%	+0.18	-23.3	41
2003-04-19	Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.0	944	968	38.64%	24.65%	36.70%	+0.03	-0.1	42
2003-04-19	@ Ards	D 0-0	49.0	968	944	36.70%	24.65%	38.64%	-0.03	+0.1	35
2003-04-19	Crusaders	W 3-0	37.1	856	888	37.47%	24.66%	37.88%	-0.02	+25.4	25
2003-04-19	@ Newry City	L 0-3	37.1	888	856	37.88%	24.66%	37.47%	+0.02	-25.4	31
2003-04-19	Glenavon	D 0-0	49.1	974	927	48.24%	24.20%	27.55%	+0.42	-1.2	41
2003-04-19	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	49.1	927	974	27.55%	24.20%	48.24%	-0.42	+1.2	33
2003-04-19	Glentoran	D 2-2	60.1	1180	1326	23.38%	23.66%	52.96%	-0.65	+1.1	64
2003-04-19	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	60.1	1326	1180	52.96%	23.66%	23.38%	+0.65	-1.1	88
2003-04-19	Linfield	D 0-0	49.4	1241	1183	49.74%	24.06%	26.20%	+0.49	-1.3	73
2003-04-19	@ Portadown	D 0-0	49.4	1183	1241	26.20%	24.06%	49.74%	-0.49	+1.3	59
2003-04-22	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.1	863	968	27.88%	24.24%	47.88%	-0.42	+11.2	34
2003-04-22	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	45.1	968	863	47.88%	24.24%	27.88%	+0.42	-11.2	35
2003-04-22	Coleraine	L 0-2	33.1	993	1181	19.40%	22.84%	57.76%	-0.89	-10.0	50
2003-04-22	@ Omagh Town	W 2-0	33.1	1181	993	57.76%	22.84%	19.40%	+0.89	+10.0	67
2003-04-22	Glenavon	W 1-0	40.2	944	929	44.10%	24.50%	31.40%	+0.25	+8.0	45
2003-04-22	@ Ards	L 0-1	40.2	929	944	31.40%	24.50%	44.10%	-0.25	-8.0	33
2003-04-22	Glentoran	W 3-0	40.0	1240	1325	30.35%	24.43%	45.21%	-0.31	+29.2	76
2003-04-22	@ Portadown	L 0-3	40.0	1325	1240	45.21%	24.43%	30.35%	+0.31	-29.2	88
2003-04-22	Institute Drumahoe	W 7-0	30.3	1184	1008	62.78%	21.64%	15.59%	+1.15	+26.1	62
2003-04-22	@ Linfield	L 0-7	30.3	1008	1184	15.59%	21.64%	62.78%	-1.15	-26.1	41
2003-04-22	Newry City	L 1-2	52.2	973	882	53.74%	23.55%	22.71%	+0.67	-11.6	41
2003-04-22	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	52.2	882	973	22.71%	23.55%	53.74%	-0.67	+11.6	28
2003-04-26	Ards	D 0-0	49.0	874	952	31.25%	24.49%	44.27%	-0.27	+0.7	35
2003-04-26	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	49.0	952	874	44.27%	24.49%	31.25%	+0.27	-0.7	46
2003-04-26	Institute Drumahoe	D 3-3	65.1	1269	982	72.25%	18.27%	9.48%	+1.77	-2.1	77
2003-04-26	@ Portadown	D 3-3	65.1	982	1269	9.48%	18.27%	72.25%	-1.77	+2.1	42
2003-04-26	Linfield	W 3-1	44.5	1191	1211	39.28%	24.65%	36.07%	+0.05	+14.6	70
2003-04-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	44.5	1211	1191	36.07%	24.65%	39.28%	-0.05	-14.6	62
2003-04-26	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	41.1	957	961	41.41%	24.60%	33.99%	+0.14	+8.5	38
2003-04-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	41.1	961	957	33.99%	24.60%	41.41%	-0.14	-8.5	41
2003-04-26	Newry City	W 3-2	50.3	920	893	45.74%	24.40%	29.86%	+0.31	+6.9	36
2003-04-26	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	50.3	893	920	29.86%	24.40%	45.74%	-0.31	-6.9	28
2003-04-26	Omagh Town	D 0-0	51.2	1296	983	74.14%	17.42%	8.44%	+1.91	-4.0	89
2003-04-26	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	51.2	983	1296	8.44%	17.42%	74.14%	-1.91	+4.0	51
2003-04-28	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	39.0	1206	984	66.93%	20.35%	12.73%	+1.40	+3.3	73
2003-04-28	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	39.0	984	1206	12.73%	20.35%	66.93%	-1.40	-3.3	42
2003-04-29	Glenavon	W 2-0	36.3	965	927	47.12%	24.30%	28.58%	+0.37	+14.1	41
2003-04-29	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	36.3	927	965	28.58%	24.30%	47.12%	-0.37	-14.0	36
2003-04-29	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.2	1196	1291	29.02%	24.34%	46.65%	-0.37	+0.9	63
2003-04-29	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.2	1291	1196	46.65%	24.34%	29.02%	+0.37	-0.9	90
2003-04-29	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.7	875	952	31.24%	24.49%	44.27%	-0.27	+0.6	36
2003-04-29	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.7	952	875	44.27%	24.49%	31.24%	+0.27	-0.7	42
2003-04-29	Portadown	L 3-5	41.5	987	1267	12.87%	20.42%	66.71%	-1.40	-4.9	51
2003-04-29	@ Omagh Town	W 5-3	41.5	1267	987	66.71%	20.42%	12.87%	+1.40	+4.9	80
2003-05-01	Ards	W 1-0	43.6	886	951	32.95%	24.57%	42.48%	-0.20	+10.1	31
2003-05-01	@ Newry City	L 0-1	43.6	951	886	42.48%	24.57%	32.95%	+0.20	-10.1	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2003-01-28	6.63%	Crusaders	924	1	@ Glentoran	1290	0
2	2002-12-21	12.15%	Lisburn Distillery	902	4	@ Linfield	1133	1
3	2002-11-29	12.43%	Newry City	870	2	@ Omagh Town	1096	0
4	2003-03-22	12.69%	Omagh Town	970	1	@ Coleraine	1192	0
5	2003-02-22	13.26%	Newry City	838	1	@ Institute Drumahoe	1050	0
6	2002-10-05	13.38%	Ards	886	1	@ Omagh Town	1096	0
7	2003-03-29	16.51%	@ Institute Drumahoe	1031	1	Portadown	1256	0
8	2002-10-12	16.77%	@ Ards	901	3	Institute Drumahoe	1122	0
9	2002-08-24	17.02%	Lisburn Distillery	910	4	@ Coleraine	1066	1
10	2002-11-30	17.67%	Lisburn Distillery	891	1	@ Institute Drumahoe	1039	0
11	2002-11-09	18.37%	Institute Drumahoe	1041	3	@ Linfield	1180	2
12	2003-01-25	19.50%	@ Linfield	1099	3	Portadown	1286	2
13	2003-02-08	20.10%	Coleraine	1157	5	@ Portadown	1276	1
14	2002-08-31	20.43%	@ Glenavon	974	3	Institute Drumahoe	1151	1
15	2002-09-14	20.52%	Coleraine	1049	2	@ Portadown	1163	1
16	2002-12-28	21.02%	Lisburn Distillery	943	2	@ Cliftonville	1052	0
17	2002-11-23	21.62%	@ Crusaders	888	1	Institute Drumahoe	1051	0
18	2002-10-12	21.65%	Crusaders	907	1	@ Cliftonville	1009	0
19	2003-03-29	22.26%	Newry City	831	2	@ Crusaders	927	0
20	2003-04-22	22.71%	Newry City	882	2	@ Lisburn Distillery	973	1
21	2002-09-21	22.85%	Lisburn Distillery	923	2	@ Glenavon	1013	1
22	2002-09-28	22.90%	@ Cliftonville	995	2	Institute Drumahoe	1145	0
23	2003-03-22	24.51%	@ Ards	908	1	Institute Drumahoe	1043	0
24	2003-01-28	24.64%	@ Coleraine	1141	1	Portadown	1274	0
25	2003-03-01	25.04%	Crusaders	926	1	@ Lisburn Distillery	994	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-02-08	38.76	Coleraine	5	1157	20.10%	@ Portadown	1	1276	56.89%	23.01%
2	2002-10-12	37.96	@ Ards	3	901	16.77%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1122	61.16%	22.07%
3	2002-12-21	34.99	Lisburn Distillery	4	902	12.15%	@ Linfield	1	1133	67.82%	20.03%
4	2002-08-24	31.86	Lisburn Distillery	4	910	17.02%	@ Coleraine	1	1066	60.84%	22.15%
5	2003-02-01	30.08	Lisburn Distillery	3	957	28.88%	@ Omagh Town	0	993	46.80%	24.32%
6	2002-12-21	29.77	Crusaders	3	873	29.42%	@ Newry City	0	904	46.21%	24.37%
7	2003-04-22	29.24	@ Portadown	3	1240	30.35%	Glentoran	0	1325	45.21%	24.43%
8	2002-11-29	28.41	Newry City	2	870	12.43%	@ Omagh Town	0	1096	67.38%	20.19%
9	2003-03-15	26.59	@ Glenavon	3	887	35.21%	Ards	0	935	40.16%	24.63%
10	2003-04-22	26.15	@ Linfield	7	1184	62.78%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1008	15.59%	21.64%
11	2003-04-19	25.43	@ Newry City	3	856	37.47%	Crusaders	0	888	37.88%	24.66%
12	2003-02-22	25.42	Linfield	5	1119	55.56%	@ Crusaders	0	951	21.19%	23.25%
13	2002-12-26	25.21	Coleraine	3	1093	37.90%	@ Omagh Town	0	1060	37.44%	24.66%
14	2002-12-28	24.09	Lisburn Distillery	2	943	21.02%	@ Cliftonville	0	1052	55.77%	23.22%
15	2002-10-12	23.74	@ Portadown	6	1174	61.67%	Glenavon	0	1009	16.39%	21.94%
16	2003-03-29	23.52	Newry City	2	831	22.26%	@ Crusaders	0	927	54.28%	23.46%
17	2003-04-18	23.28	@ Omagh Town	4	970	33.31%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1032	42.11%	24.58%
18	2002-09-28	23.23	@ Cliftonville	2	995	22.90%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1145	53.52%	23.58%
19	2002-12-28	23.07	Linfield	6	1100	62.32%	@ Newry City	0	868	15.92%	21.76%
20	2002-10-19	22.31	Cliftonville	3	997	43.52%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	925	31.96%	24.52%
21	2002-08-31	21.46	Omagh Town	3	1052	45.12%	@ Crusaders	0	968	30.44%	24.44%
22	2003-01-21	21.44	@ Institute Drumahoe	2	1009	27.08%	Linfield	0	1121	48.77%	24.16%
23	2003-01-25	21.41	@ Crusaders	2	903	27.14%	Omagh Town	0	1014	48.69%	24.16%
24	2002-08-31	21.10	@ Glenavon	3	974	20.43%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1151	56.49%	23.09%
25	2002-10-25	20.67	Cliftonville	3	1019	46.61%	@ Newry City	0	924	29.05%	24.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-04-26	65.1	@ Portadown	3	1269	72.25%	Institute Drumahoe	3	982	9.48%	18.27%
2	2002-11-02	63.9	@ Coleraine	3	1057	61.90%	Crusaders	3	890	16.22%	21.87%
3	2002-10-05	63.2	@ Institute Drumahoe	3	1122	34.68%	Portadown	3	1174	40.70%	24.62%
4	2003-04-19	60.1	@ Coleraine	2	1180	23.38%	Glentoran	2	1326	52.96%	23.66%
5	2003-02-01	59.9	@ Glenavon	2	929	19.92%	Linfield	2	1111	57.11%	22.97%
6	2002-11-26	59.8	@ Linfield	2	1154	55.51%	Cliftonville	2	1047	21.23%	23.26%
7	2002-11-02	59.7	@ Cliftonville	2	1040	23.81%	Linfield	2	1182	52.46%	23.73%
8	2002-08-10	59.4	@ Ards	2	908	31.80%	Crusaders	2	981	43.68%	24.52%
9	2002-09-27	59.4	@ Newry City	2	924	31.29%	Glenavon	2	1001	44.22%	24.49%
10	2002-10-26	59.4	@ Glenavon	2	984	31.87%	Coleraine	2	1057	43.62%	24.52%
11	2003-03-01	59.3	@ Newry City	2	852	37.15%	Glenavon	2	887	38.20%	24.66%
12	2002-11-09	58.5	Institute Drumahoe	3	1041	18.37%	@ Linfield	2	1180	59.07%	22.56%
13	2003-01-25	58.3	@ Linfield	3	1099	19.50%	Portadown	2	1286	57.63%	22.86%
14	2002-12-31	56.0	@ Portadown	1	1287	74.64%	Lisburn Distillery	1	967	8.18%	17.18%
15	2002-11-23	55.4	@ Portadown	1	1230	70.56%	Ards	1	965	10.46%	18.98%
16	2002-11-23	54.7	@ Linfield	1	1157	63.92%	Glenavon	1	969	14.77%	21.31%
17	2003-02-15	54.5	@ Cliftonville	1	1007	62.35%	Newry City	1	835	15.89%	21.75%
18	2002-12-14	54.3	@ Omagh Town	1	1059	19.03%	Portadown	1	1252	58.23%	22.74%
19	2002-12-26	54.2	@ Linfield	1	1098	21.76%	Glentoran	1	1261	54.87%	23.37%
20	2003-04-29	54.2	@ Linfield	1	1196	29.02%	Glentoran	1	1291	46.65%	24.34%
21	2002-11-09	54.0	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	898	22.22%	Coleraine	1	1055	54.33%	23.46%
22	2002-11-30	53.9	@ Glenavon	1	971	51.78%	Crusaders	1	897	24.40%	23.82%
23	2003-04-12	53.9	@ Coleraine	1	1180	33.28%	Portadown	1	1242	42.14%	24.58%
24	2002-08-10	53.8	@ Omagh Town	1	1038	27.50%	Linfield	1	1146	48.30%	24.20%
25	2002-09-07	53.8	@ Coleraine	1	1050	48.14%	Cliftonville	1	1004	27.65%	24.21%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-02-04	25.1	Portadown	3	1271	77.56%	@ Newry City	0	847	6.71%	15.73%
2	2003-03-15	25.5	@ Linfield	4	1164	74.04%	Newry City	0	852	8.50%	17.46%
3	2002-12-14	26.7	@ Glentoran	3	1256	72.38%	Ards	0	967	9.41%	18.21%
4	2003-03-15	27.0	Glentoran	4	1294	69.52%	@ Omagh Town	0	981	11.09%	19.39%
5	2002-11-16	27.3	@ Glentoran	2	1255	77.11%	Lisburn Distillery	0	899	6.93%	15.96%
6	2002-12-26	27.5	Portadown	5	1271	68.53%	@ Glenavon	0	970	11.70%	19.77%
7	2003-03-15	27.5	Portadown	5	1240	68.58%	@ Crusaders	0	938	11.67%	19.75%
8	2003-01-21	27.6	@ Glentoran	3	1279	69.51%	Cliftonville	0	1027	11.09%	19.40%
9	2002-10-19	27.8	Portadown	4	1197	66.47%	@ Crusaders	0	920	13.03%	20.50%
10	2003-02-01	27.8	Portadown	3	1263	68.79%	@ Ards	0	958	11.54%	19.67%
11	2002-08-10	28.0	@ Portadown	3	1143	67.90%	Lisburn Distillery	0	910	12.10%	20.00%
12	2002-11-23	28.0	Glentoran	2	1259	74.93%	@ Newry City	0	874	8.03%	17.04%
13	2003-03-25	28.0	Glentoran	2	1303	74.77%	@ Ards	0	920	8.11%	17.12%
14	2002-10-19	28.1	@ Linfield	3	1162	67.61%	Newry City	0	933	12.28%	20.11%
15	2002-08-24	28.2	@ Glentoran	4	1185	65.33%	Crusaders	0	982	13.79%	20.88%
16	2003-04-12	28.2	Glentoran	4	1312	65.56%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	1045	13.64%	20.80%
17	2002-12-10	29.0	Glentoran	3	1245	64.86%	@ Glenavon	0	986	14.12%	21.02%
18	2002-11-02	29.4	@ Glentoran	2	1246	70.30%	Glenavon	0	985	10.62%	19.08%
19	2002-12-07	29.5	@ Linfield	2	1153	69.73%	Crusaders	0	898	10.96%	19.31%
20	2002-12-31	29.5	@ Glentoran	6	1266	70.28%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1004	10.63%	19.09%
21	2002-11-16	29.8	@ Coleraine	3	1054	61.96%	Newry City	0	886	16.18%	21.86%
22	2002-12-28	29.8	Linfield	6	1100	62.32%	@ Newry City	0	868	15.92%	21.76%
23	2002-12-28	29.9	@ Portadown	1	1285	78.69%	Crusaders	0	904	6.18%	15.13%
24	2002-10-12	30.1	@ Portadown	6	1174	61.67%	Glenavon	0	1009	16.39%	21.94%
25	2003-04-22	30.3	@ Linfield	7	1184	62.78%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1008	15.59%	21.64%