2008-09 IFA Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

4.59 points above expected

83 points · 78.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

4.23 points below expected

55 points · 59.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	33	21	7	5	70	53	30	+23	63.84	+6.16
2	Linfield	33	21	6	6	69	57	24	+33	66.98	+2.02
3	Crusaders	33	15	12	6	57	61	38	+23	50.81	+6.19
4	Lisburn Distillery	33	15	8	10	53	47	33	+14	52.27	+0.73
5	Coleraine	33	14	5	14	47	43	46	-3	42.31	+4.69
6	Cliftonville	33	12	10	11	46	48	41	+7	52.08	-6.08
7	Institute Drumahoe	33	11	8	14	41	40	50	-10	33.25	+7.75
8	Ballymena United	33	10	7	16	37	33	46	-13	38.69	-1.69
9	Bangor	33	9	7	17	34	38	56	-18	37.05	-3.05
10	Glenavon	33	9	6	18	33	41	57	-16	33.29	-0.29
11	Newry City	33	7	10	16	31	34	52	-18	36.20	-5.20
12	Dungannon Swifts	33	6	10	17	28	39	61	-22	37.30	-9.30

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	38	25	8	5	83	64	36	+28	78.41	+4.59
2	Linfield	38	24	8	6	80	69	28	+41	78.18	+1.82
3	Crusaders	38	16	14	8	62	63	45	+18	63.42	-1.42
4	Lisburn Distillery	38	15	10	13	55	52	42	+10	59.23	-4.23
5	Coleraine	38	15	6	17	51	46	51	-5	51.53	-0.53
6	Cliftonville	38	12	14	12	50	52	47	+5	52.36	-2.36

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Institute Drumahoe	38	12	10	16	46	46	55	-9	48.35	-2.35
2	Newry City	38	11	11	16	44	47	57	-10	43.00	+1.00
3	Glenavon	38	11	8	19	41	49	63	-14	40.63	+0.37
4	Ballymena United	38	11	8	19	41	39	57	-18	41.09	-0.09
5	Dungannon Swifts	38	8	12	18	36	49	70	-21	37.18	-1.18
6	Bangor	38	9	9	20	36	42	67	-25	34.70	+1.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glentoran	83	78.41	+4.59
2	Linfield	80	78.18	+1.82
3	Bangor	36	34.70	+1.30
4	Newry City	44	43.00	+1.00
5	Glenavon	41	40.63	+0.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lisburn Distillery	55	59.23	-4.23
2	Cliftonville	50	52.36	-2.36
3	Institute Drumahoe	46	48.35	-2.35
4	Crusaders	62	63.42	-1.42
5	Dungannon Swifts	36	37.18	-1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	5	Nov 29 – Dec 26	1 in 829
2	Newry City	4	Apr 14 – May 2	1 in 91
3	Bangor	3	Sep 27 – Oct 4	1 in 41
4	Crusaders	3	Sep 20 – Oct 4	1 in 18
5	Glentoran	5	Nov 17 – Dec 6	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newry City	5	Dec 13 – Jan 3	1 in 144
2	Lisburn Distillery	4	Sep 23 – Oct 11	1 in 102
3	Glenavon	5	Sep 30 – Oct 25	1 in 81
4	Ballymena United	5	Sep 13 – Sep 27	1 in 63
5	Coleraine	5	Nov 29 – Dec 26	1 in 50

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newry City	7	Sep 13 – Oct 22	1 in 45
2	Crusaders	10	Dec 20 – Feb 21	1 in 39
3	Glenavon	7	Mar 7 – Apr 25	1 in 32
4	Ballymena United	5	Nov 29 – Dec 26	1 in 26
5	Institute Drumahoe	5	Dec 5 – Jan 10	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	10	Aug 23 – Oct 4	1 in 51
2	Bangor	12	Jan 27 – May 2	1 in 47
3	Cliftonville	7	Oct 18 – Nov 25	1 in 25
4	Coleraine	8	Nov 15 – Dec 26	1 in 24
5	Crusaders	5	Feb 3 – Mar 3	1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Glentoran	1271	83	+20	13	8.7	+4.3
Linfield	1313	80	+29	11	9.2	+1.8
Crusaders	1142	62	-20	5	6.5	-1.5
Lisburn Distillery	1133	55	-19	2	6.0	-4.0
Coleraine	1067	51	-3	4	4.6	-0.6
Cliftonville	1151	50	-7	4	6.3	-2.3
Institute Drumahoe	1028	46	+2	5	7.4	-2.4
Newry City	1023	44	+55	13	6.5	+6.5
Glenavon	1005	41	+11	8	6.5	+1.5
Ballymena United	1017	41	-39	4	7.8	-3.8
Dungannon Swifts	983	36	+9	8	6.2	+1.8
Bangor	963	36	-38	2	6.5	-4.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	BAN	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	ID	LIN	LD	NC
Ballymena United	—	2-1-1 5.64	0-1-2 3.25	2-1-0 3.61	1-1-1 2.74	0-0-4 6.00	1-0-3 6.09	1-1-1 1.99	1-2-1 5.93	1-0-2 1.87	1-0-2 2.75	1-1-2 6.11
Bangor	1-1-2 5.27	—	0-1-2 2.81	1-0-2 3.50	0-1-2 3.31	2-0-2 5.47	2-1-1 6.22	0-0-3 2.10	1-1-2 5.83	0-1-2 1.84	1-1-1 2.76	1-2-1 5.42
Cliftonville	2-1-0 4.95	2-1-0 5.43	—	1-3-0 6.29	0-2-2 5.53	1-2-0 5.30	2-0-1 5.78	0-0-4 4.10	2-1-0 5.51	0-1-3 3.52	1-2-1 5.55	1-1-1 5.35
Coleraine	0-1-2 4.59	2-0-1 4.69	0-3-1 4.64	—	0-0-4 4.39	3-0-0 4.66	2-1-0 5.20	1-0-3 3.10	1-0-2 4.82	1-0-3 2.74	2-1-1 4.30	3-0-0 4.33
Crusaders	1-1-1 5.49	2-1-0 4.90	2-2-0 5.37	4-0-0 6.55	—	1-2-0 5.58	1-2-0 5.56	1-2-1 3.83	1-2-0 5.20	0-1-3 3.55	1-1-2 5.43	2-0-1 5.60
Dungannon Swifts	4-0-0 4.92	2-0-2 5.44	0-2-1 2.93	0-0-3 3.53	0-2-1 2.67	—	1-2-1 5.48	0-1-2 2.12	0-2-2 5.28	0-1-2 1.83	1-0-2 2.90	0-2-2 5.67
Glenavon	3-0-1 4.84	1-1-2 4.69	1-0-2 2.49	0-1-2 3.01	0-2-1 2.69	1-2-1 5.42	—	0-0-3 1.87	0-1-3 5.27	2-0-1 1.56	1-1-1 2.47	2-0-2 5.14
Glentoran	1-1-1 6.36	3-0-0 6.23	4-0-0 6.85	3-0-1 7.96	1-2-1 7.14	2-1-0 6.21	3-0-0 6.51	—	3-0-0 6.42	1-1-2 4.91	2-2-0 6.68	2-1-0 6.31
Institute Drumahoe	1-2-1 4.97	2-1-1 5.08	0-1-2 2.73	2-0-1 3.37	0-2-1 3.02	2-2-0 5.63	3-1-0 5.64	0-0-3 1.94	—	0-0-3 1.66	1-0-2 2.56	1-1-2 5.53
Linfield	2-0-1 6.51	2-1-0 6.55	3-1-0 7.48	3-0-1 8.38	3-1-0 7.46	2-1-0 6.56	1-0-2 6.89	2-1-1 6.00	3-0-0 6.76	—	2-1-1 7.37	1-2-0 6.66
Lisburn Distillery	2-0-1 5.49	1-1-1 5.48	1-2-1 5.36	1-1-2 6.63	2-1-1 5.48	2-0-1 5.33	1-1-1 5.80	0-2-2 4.27	2-0-1 5.70	1-1-2 3.63	—	2-1-0 5.54
Newry City	2-1-1 4.82	1-2-1 5.48	1-1-1 2.88	0-0-3 3.85	1-0-2 2.65	2-2-0 5.25	2-0-2 5.77	0-1-2 2.03	2-1-1 5.39	0-2-1 1.75	0-1-2 2.71	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+15.2
Allowed	0.87	-11.6
Differential	0.93	+7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	9.43%	4.39%	2.63%	1.32%	0.88%	26.54%
1	9.43%	12.28%	8.77%	3.95%	1.10%	0.22%	35.75%
2	4.39%	8.77%	5.26%	1.97%	1.10%	0.66%	22.15%
3	2.63%	3.95%	1.97%	0.44%	0.44%	0.22%	9.65%
4	1.32%	1.10%	1.10%	0.44%	—	—	3.95%
5+	0.88%	0.22%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	1.97%
Total	26.54%	35.75%	22.15%	9.65%	3.95%	1.97%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.23	1.23	1.75
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	47.37%
2	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	23.68%	21.05%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.50	-0.47
SD	0.88	1.41	1.72
CV	0.86	0.94	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	34.21%
1	5.26%	10.53%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	26.32%	23.68%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.76	-0.66
SD	1.13	1.40	1.88
CV	1.03	0.80	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	28.95%	21.05%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.24	+0.13
SD	1.24	1.20	1.77
CV	0.91	0.97	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	5.26%	18.42%	—	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	—	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	15.79%
3	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	34.21%	28.95%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.34	-0.13
SD	1.09	1.21	1.71
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	26.32%
1	7.89%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
Total	28.95%	42.11%	15.79%	10.53%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.18	+0.47
SD	1.56	1.14	1.75
CV	0.94	0.96	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	—	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	13.16%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	31.58%	31.58%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.84	-0.55
SD	1.09	1.22	1.43
CV	0.84	0.66	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	10.53%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	34.21%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.66	-0.37
SD	0.93	1.30	1.60
CV	0.72	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
1	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	23.68%	—	—	—	—	36.84%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	52.63%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	0.95	+0.74
SD	1.09	0.90	1.39
CV	0.65	0.95	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	28.95%
1	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	39.47%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.45	-0.24
SD	1.09	1.46	1.87
CV	0.90	1.01	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	21.05%
1	21.05%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	47.37%	36.84%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	0.74	+1.08
SD	1.66	0.89	1.99
CV	0.91	1.21	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	34.21%
2	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	5.26%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	31.58%	36.84%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.11	+0.26
SD	1.46	1.01	1.59
CV	1.07	0.91	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
2	—	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	28.95%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	47.37%	23.68%	7.89%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.50	-0.26
SD	1.13	1.08	1.50
CV	0.91	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1313	80	66.98	+13.02	66.0%	50	58	63	67	70	77	82
Glentoran	1271	83	63.84	+19.16	83.0%	44	52	59	64	69	74	84
Cliftonville	1151	50	52.08	-2.08	24.0%	33	40	47	52	56	64	70
Crusaders	1142	62	50.81	+11.19	83.0%	37	42	46	50	55	61	67
Lisburn Distillery	1133	55	52.27	+2.73	57.0%	38	39	46	52	57	64	68
Coleraine	1067	51	42.31	+8.69	76.0%	24	33	37	42	47	54	63
Institute Drumahoe	1028	46	33.25	+12.75	88.0%	15	20	27	33	38	44	52
Newry City	1023	44	36.20	+7.80	25.0%	22	24	31	35	41	49	56
Ballymena United	1017	41	38.69	+2.31	41.0%	24	28	34	39	44	49	56
Glenavon	1005	41	33.29	+7.71	57.0%	17	22	28	33	37	45	48
Dungannon Swifts	983	36	37.30	-1.30	13.0%	18	24	33	37	43	47	57
Bangor	963	36	37.05	-1.05	37.0%	17	26	32	36	42	50	54

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.82%

No Edge

39.47%25.88%34.65%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 16.78 Elo pts.

214 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.01 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

Glentoran, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.08/gm

Photo Finish

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.56 * Some Luck: 5.56 to 8.33 * Lucky: 8.33 to 11.11 * Wild Swing: 11.11 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.21 points

As Expected

06.9417

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.17

Off

01.574

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

88.00%

Institute Drumahoe

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

13.00%

Dungannon Swifts

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 107.97

1.94

Moderate Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

72%

Slight Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.53

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.69

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.91

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1160.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Glentoran	33.00%	41.00%	19.00%	6.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	64.00%	31.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	1.00%	6.00%	20.00%	27.00%	26.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Lisburn Distillery	2.00%	11.00%	27.00%	20.00%	20.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	17.00%	20.00%	15.00%	13.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Cliftonville	—	10.00%	22.00%	30.00%	13.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	12.00%	15.00%	14.00%	21.00%	25.00%
Newry City	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	19.00%	18.00%	14.00%
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	10.00%	18.00%	19.00%	27.00%
Ballymena United	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	13.00%	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	6.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	15.00%	13.00%	16.00%	11.00%	7.00%	17.00%
Bangor	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	17.00%	13.00%	18.00%	16.00%	10.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Glentoran	55.66%	44.32%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	44.34%	55.64%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	0.04%	83.66%	15.87%	0.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	16.03%	75.78%	7.57%	0.62%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	0.10%	2.97%	43.56%	53.37%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	—	0.17%	5.38%	48.44%	46.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	—	—	—	83.80%	12.73%	2.95%	0.50%	0.02%	—
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.92%	44.27%	26.85%	14.44%	4.20%	0.32%
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.90%	19.06%	29.16%	30.28%	14.97%	3.63%
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.13%	20.42%	30.51%	29.20%	13.37%	3.37%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.24%	3.04%	8.03%	18.61%	45.35%	24.73%
Bangor	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.48%	2.50%	6.97%	22.09%	67.95%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Lisburn Distillery	100%	—	—
Coleraine	92.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Ballymena United	82.00%	13.00%	5.00%
Bangor	73.00%	18.00%	9.00%
Dungannon Swifts	76.00%	7.00%	17.00%
Newry City	65.00%	16.00%	19.00%
Glenavon	57.00%	21.00%	22.00%
Institute Drumahoe	55.00%	18.00%	27.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Institute Drumahoe	99.98%	0.02%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Lisburn Distillery	100%	—	—
Newry City	95.48%	4.20%	0.32%
Ballymena United	83.26%	13.37%	3.37%
Glenavon	81.40%	14.97%	3.63%
Dungannon Swifts	29.92%	45.35%	24.73%
Bangor	9.96%	22.09%	67.95%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2008-08-16	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	1003	1063	30.59%	27.18%	42.23%	-0.20	+0.4	1
2008-08-16	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.5	1063	1003	42.23%	27.18%	30.59%	+0.20	-0.4	1
2008-08-23	Cliftonville	L 1-5	37.3	1080	1146	29.80%	27.10%	43.10%	-0.23	-17.1	0
2008-08-23	@ Ballymena United	W 5-1	37.3	1146	1080	43.10%	27.10%	29.80%	+0.23	+17.1	3
2008-08-23	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	40.3	1063	1052	40.47%	27.31%	32.22%	+0.13	+6.1	3
2008-08-23	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	40.3	1052	1063	32.22%	27.31%	40.47%	-0.13	-6.1	0
2008-08-23	Glenavon	W 2-0	34.4	1063	999	47.66%	26.47%	25.87%	+0.38	+9.7	4
2008-08-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	34.4	999	1063	25.87%	26.47%	47.66%	-0.38	-9.7	0
2008-08-23	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.8	1128	1215	27.47%	26.77%	45.76%	-0.32	+0.7	1
2008-08-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.8	1215	1128	45.76%	26.77%	27.47%	+0.32	-0.7	1
2008-08-23	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	49.1	1055	1003	46.13%	26.72%	27.16%	+0.32	+4.8	3
2008-08-23	@ Bangor	L 2-3	49.1	1003	1055	27.16%	26.72%	46.13%	-0.32	-4.8	1
2008-08-23	Newry City	W 1-0	32.7	1257	1036	65.95%	20.49%	13.56%	+1.11	+2.7	3
2008-08-23	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.7	1036	1257	13.56%	20.49%	65.95%	-1.11	-2.7	0
2008-08-26	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.1	1034	1062	34.80%	27.42%	37.78%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2008-08-26	@ Newry City	D 2-2	58.1	1062	1034	37.78%	27.42%	34.80%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2008-08-26	Bangor	L 0-1	39.3	989	1060	29.30%	27.04%	43.67%	-0.25	-5.7	0
2008-08-26	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	39.3	1060	989	43.67%	27.04%	29.30%	+0.25	+5.7	6
2008-08-26	Coleraine	W 2-1	49.1	998	1069	29.30%	27.04%	43.67%	-0.25	+7.2	4
2008-08-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	49.1	1069	998	43.67%	27.04%	29.30%	+0.25	-7.2	3
2008-08-26	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.5	1214	1072	57.31%	23.99%	18.70%	+0.74	-1.5	2
2008-08-26	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.5	1072	1214	18.70%	23.99%	57.31%	-0.74	+1.5	5
2008-08-26	Linfield	D 1-1	54.0	1046	1260	16.17%	22.50%	61.33%	-0.92	+1.8	1
2008-08-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.0	1260	1046	61.33%	22.50%	16.17%	+0.92	-1.8	4
2008-08-26	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	45.7	1163	1129	43.72%	27.03%	29.25%	+0.24	-12.5	3
2008-08-26	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	45.7	1129	1163	29.25%	27.03%	43.72%	-0.24	+12.5	4
2008-08-29	Institute Drumahoe	W 7-0	28.1	1258	1005	69.12%	18.95%	11.93%	+1.26	+14.0	7
2008-08-29	@ Linfield	L 0-7	28.1	1005	1258	11.93%	18.95%	69.12%	-1.26	-14.0	4
2008-08-30	Cliftonville	W 2-1	43.8	1212	1151	47.36%	26.52%	26.12%	+0.37	+4.9	5
2008-08-30	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	43.8	1151	1212	26.12%	26.52%	47.36%	-0.37	-4.9	3
2008-08-30	Crusaders	L 0-5	36.7	1066	1074	37.76%	27.42%	34.82%	+0.04	-30.3	6
2008-08-30	@ Bangor	W 5-0	36.7	1074	1066	34.82%	27.42%	37.76%	-0.04	+30.3	8
2008-08-30	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-3	37.1	1062	1048	41.01%	27.28%	31.72%	+0.15	-20.0	1
2008-08-30	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	37.1	1048	1062	31.72%	27.28%	41.01%	-0.15	+20.0	4
2008-08-30	Glenavon	W 3-2	48.0	1062	983	49.55%	26.11%	24.34%	+0.44	+4.3	6
2008-08-30	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	48.0	983	1062	24.34%	26.11%	49.55%	-0.44	-4.3	0
2008-08-30	Newry City	D 1-1	53.1	1142	1034	53.26%	25.22%	21.52%	+0.58	-1.2	5
2008-08-30	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.1	1034	1142	21.52%	25.22%	53.26%	-0.58	+1.2	2
2008-09-06	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.5	991	1042	31.80%	27.28%	40.92%	-0.16	+0.3	5
2008-09-06	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.5	1042	991	40.92%	27.28%	31.80%	+0.16	-0.3	2
2008-09-06	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.0	1035	1146	24.75%	26.21%	49.04%	-0.44	+8.4	5
2008-09-06	@ Newry City	L 0-1	45.0	1146	1035	49.04%	26.21%	24.75%	+0.44	-8.4	3
2008-09-06	Coleraine	W 2-1	44.7	1104	1066	44.19%	26.98%	28.84%	+0.26	+5.3	11
2008-09-06	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	44.7	1066	1104	28.84%	26.98%	44.19%	-0.26	-5.3	6
2008-09-06	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	39.3	1068	1140	29.06%	27.01%	43.94%	-0.26	-5.6	4
2008-09-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	39.3	1140	1068	43.94%	27.01%	29.06%	+0.26	+5.6	8
2008-09-07	Bangor	W 1-0	33.9	1217	1035	61.85%	22.29%	15.86%	+0.93	+3.2	8
2008-09-07	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	33.9	1035	1217	15.86%	22.29%	61.85%	-0.93	-3.2	6
2008-09-09	Coleraine	L 0-3	35.8	1043	1061	36.40%	27.44%	36.16%	+0.00	-18.3	5
2008-09-09	@ Newry City	W 3-0	35.8	1061	1043	36.16%	27.44%	36.40%	+0.00	+18.3	9
2008-09-13	Bangor	W 3-1	40.7	1079	1032	45.43%	26.82%	27.75%	+0.30	+8.9	12
2008-09-13	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	40.7	1032	1079	27.75%	26.82%	45.43%	-0.30	-8.9	6
2008-09-13	Crusaders	W 1-0	34.7	1272	1109	59.73%	23.12%	17.15%	+0.84	+3.5	10
2008-09-13	@ Linfield	L 0-1	34.7	1109	1272	17.15%	23.12%	59.73%	-0.84	-3.5	11
2008-09-13	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.5	1138	1062	49.22%	26.17%	24.61%	+0.43	-0.7	4
2008-09-13	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.5	1062	1138	24.61%	26.17%	49.22%	-0.43	+0.7	5
2008-09-13	Glenavon	L 0-3	38.8	1042	979	47.55%	26.49%	25.97%	+0.37	-22.5	2
2008-09-13	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	38.8	979	1042	25.97%	26.49%	47.55%	-0.37	+22.5	3
2008-09-13	Glentoran	D 0-0	49.2	1025	1220	17.44%	23.30%	59.27%	-0.84	+1.8	6
2008-09-13	@ Newry City	D 0-0	49.2	1220	1025	59.27%	23.30%	17.44%	+0.84	-1.8	9
2008-09-13	Institute Drumahoe	W 5-2	36.6	1146	992	58.76%	23.48%	17.76%	+0.80	+7.2	11
2008-09-13	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 2-5	36.6	992	1146	17.76%	23.48%	58.76%	-0.80	-7.2	5
2008-09-16	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	42.4	1020	1153	22.53%	25.57%	51.90%	-0.55	-4.3	2
2008-09-16	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	42.4	1153	1020	51.90%	25.57%	22.53%	+0.55	+4.3	14
2008-09-19	Newry City	D 2-2	58.2	1063	1027	43.90%	27.01%	29.09%	+0.25	-0.4	6
2008-09-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.2	1027	1063	29.09%	27.01%	43.90%	-0.25	+0.4	7
2008-09-20	Ballymena United	W 2-0	33.4	1106	1015	51.10%	25.77%	23.13%	+0.50	+8.8	14
2008-09-20	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	33.4	1015	1106	23.13%	25.77%	51.10%	-0.50	-8.8	2
2008-09-20	Cliftonville	L 0-1	36.2	985	1137	20.82%	24.96%	54.22%	-0.63	-4.2	5
2008-09-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	36.2	1137	985	54.22%	24.96%	20.82%	+0.63	+4.2	7
2008-09-20	Coleraine	W 2-1	41.2	1219	1088	56.02%	24.41%	19.57%	+0.69	+3.7	12
2008-09-20	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.2	1088	1219	19.57%	24.41%	56.02%	-0.69	-3.7	12
2008-09-20	Linfield	L 0-5	27.6	1023	1276	13.85%	20.74%	65.41%	-1.10	-12.1	6
2008-09-20	@ Bangor	W 5-0	27.6	1276	1023	65.41%	20.74%	13.85%	+1.10	+12.1	13
2008-09-20	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.9	1002	1157	20.53%	24.84%	54.63%	-0.65	+1.0	4
2008-09-20	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.9	1157	1002	54.63%	24.84%	20.53%	+0.65	-1.0	15
2008-09-23	Ballymena United	W 4-1	32.0	1222	1007	65.45%	20.72%	13.83%	+1.09	+6.3	15
2008-09-23	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	32.0	1007	1222	13.83%	20.72%	65.45%	-1.09	-6.3	2
2008-09-23	Linfield	L 1-2	42.7	1156	1288	22.75%	25.65%	51.60%	-0.53	-4.3	15
2008-09-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.7	1288	1156	51.60%	25.65%	22.75%	+0.53	+4.3	16
2008-09-27	Bangor	L 1-2	47.3	1000	1011	37.35%	27.43%	35.22%	+0.03	-6.4	2
2008-09-27	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.3	1011	1000	35.22%	27.43%	37.35%	-0.03	+6.4	9
2008-09-27	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.8	1003	1141	22.06%	25.42%	52.52%	-0.57	+8.9	7
2008-09-27	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	45.8	1141	1003	52.52%	25.42%	22.06%	+0.57	-8.9	7
2008-09-27	Coleraine	W 1-0	33.2	1292	1084	64.60%	21.11%	14.30%	+1.05	+2.8	19
2008-09-27	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.2	1084	1292	14.30%	21.11%	64.60%	-1.05	-2.8	12
2008-09-27	Crusaders	L 1-2	49.3	1152	1115	44.15%	26.98%	28.87%	+0.25	-7.3	15
2008-09-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	49.3	1115	1152	28.87%	26.98%	44.15%	-0.25	+7.3	17
2008-09-27	Glentoran	L 1-2	41.2	1062	1229	19.63%	24.44%	55.92%	-0.70	-3.8	6
2008-09-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	41.2	1229	1062	55.92%	24.44%	19.63%	+0.70	+3.8	18
2008-09-27	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.6	1027	980	45.41%	26.82%	27.77%	+0.30	-0.6	8
2008-09-27	@ Newry City	D 1-1	52.6	980	1027	27.77%	26.82%	45.41%	-0.30	+0.6	6
2008-09-30	Bangor	L 0-2	40.2	1058	1018	44.59%	26.93%	28.48%	+0.27	-14.7	6
2008-09-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	40.2	1018	1058	28.48%	26.93%	44.59%	-0.27	+14.7	12
2008-09-30	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	43.5	1011	981	43.18%	27.09%	29.73%	+0.22	-7.6	7
2008-09-30	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	43.5	981	1011	29.73%	27.09%	43.18%	-0.22	+7.6	9
2008-10-04	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.9	1081	994	50.75%	25.85%	23.41%	+0.49	-1.0	13
2008-10-04	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.9	994	1081	23.41%	25.85%	50.75%	-0.49	+1.0	3
2008-10-04	Cliftonville	W 3-1	43.2	1122	1132	37.42%	27.43%	35.15%	+0.03	+10.6	20
2008-10-04	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	43.2	1132	1122	35.15%	27.43%	37.42%	-0.03	-10.6	7
2008-10-04	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	39.3	989	1044	31.26%	27.24%	41.50%	-0.18	+13.9	12
2008-10-04	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	39.3	1044	989	41.50%	27.24%	31.26%	+0.18	-13.9	6
2008-10-04	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	45.1	1032	1145	24.60%	26.17%	49.23%	-0.45	+8.4	15
2008-10-04	@ Bangor	L 0-1	45.1	1145	1032	49.23%	26.17%	24.60%	+0.45	-8.4	15
2008-10-04	Newry City	L 1-2	46.8	1004	1027	35.66%	27.43%	36.90%	-0.03	-6.2	7
2008-10-04	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	46.8	1027	1004	36.90%	27.43%	35.66%	+0.03	+6.2	11
2008-10-07	Newry City	D 1-1	52.5	1041	1033	40.03%	27.34%	32.63%	+0.12	-0.3	16
2008-10-07	@ Bangor	D 1-1	52.5	1033	1041	32.63%	27.34%	40.03%	-0.12	+0.3	12
2008-10-11	Bangor	W 3-2	47.9	1122	1040	49.92%	26.03%	24.05%	+0.46	+4.3	10
2008-10-11	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	47.9	1040	1122	24.05%	26.03%	49.92%	-0.46	-4.3	16
2008-10-11	Coleraine	L 1-2	49.9	1136	1080	46.63%	26.64%	26.73%	+0.34	-7.6	15
2008-10-11	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	49.9	1080	1136	26.73%	26.64%	46.63%	-0.34	+7.6	16
2008-10-11	Glenavon	W 1-0	39.4	1030	998	43.41%	27.06%	29.53%	+0.23	+5.7	9
2008-10-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	39.4	998	1030	29.53%	27.06%	43.41%	-0.23	-5.7	7
2008-10-11	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	32.4	1233	1002	66.90%	20.04%	13.06%	+1.15	+2.6	21
2008-10-11	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	32.4	1002	1233	13.06%	20.04%	66.90%	-1.15	-2.6	12
2008-10-11	Linfield	W 2-0	45.4	995	1295	11.42%	18.42%	70.15%	-1.32	+21.0	6
2008-10-11	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	45.4	1295	995	70.15%	18.42%	11.42%	+1.32	-21.0	19
2008-10-18	Bangor	D 0-0	47.9	1033	1036	38.47%	27.40%	34.13%	+0.06	-0.2	13
2008-10-18	@ Newry City	D 0-0	47.9	1036	1033	34.13%	27.40%	38.47%	-0.06	+0.2	17
2008-10-18	Cliftonville	D 0-0	47.9	1088	1126	33.55%	27.38%	39.07%	-0.10	+0.2	17
2008-10-18	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	47.9	1126	1088	39.07%	27.38%	33.55%	+0.10	-0.2	11
2008-10-18	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.7	1132	1036	51.92%	25.57%	22.51%	+0.53	-0.8	21
2008-10-18	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.7	1036	1132	22.51%	25.57%	51.92%	-0.53	+0.8	10
2008-10-18	Glenavon	W 2-1	45.9	1000	992	40.03%	27.34%	32.63%	+0.12	+5.8	15
2008-10-18	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	45.9	992	1000	32.63%	27.34%	40.03%	-0.12	-5.8	7
2008-10-18	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.0	1016	1235	15.82%	22.26%	61.91%	-0.95	+1.8	7
2008-10-18	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.0	1235	1016	61.91%	22.26%	15.82%	+0.95	-1.8	22
2008-10-18	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	43.4	1274	1129	57.70%	23.86%	18.44%	+0.76	-18.1	19
2008-10-18	@ Linfield	W 2-0	43.4	1129	1274	18.44%	23.86%	57.70%	-0.76	+18.1	18
2008-10-22	Crusaders	W 3-1	46.6	1033	1132	26.06%	26.51%	47.43%	-0.38	+13.4	16
2008-10-22	@ Newry City	L 1-3	46.6	1132	1033	47.43%	26.51%	26.06%	+0.38	-13.4	21
2008-10-25	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.7	1147	1018	55.86%	24.46%	19.68%	+0.68	+4.0	21
2008-10-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	35.7	1018	1147	19.68%	24.46%	55.86%	-0.68	-4.0	7
2008-10-25	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	42.7	1036	1036	38.91%	27.39%	33.71%	+0.08	+10.3	20
2008-10-25	@ Bangor	L 1-3	42.7	1036	1036	33.71%	27.39%	38.91%	-0.08	-10.3	10
2008-10-25	Glentoran	L 1-2	38.5	986	1233	14.14%	20.98%	64.88%	-1.08	-2.6	7
2008-10-25	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	38.5	1233	986	64.88%	20.98%	14.14%	+1.08	+2.7	25
2008-10-25	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	36.3	1118	1006	53.85%	25.06%	21.09%	+0.60	+4.3	24
2008-10-25	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	36.3	1006	1118	21.09%	25.06%	53.85%	-0.60	-4.3	15
2008-10-25	Newry City	W 1-0	39.0	1088	1046	44.75%	26.91%	28.34%	+0.27	+5.5	20
2008-10-25	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	39.0	1046	1088	28.34%	26.91%	44.75%	-0.27	-5.5	16
2008-10-27	Linfield	L 0-4	31.1	1126	1256	22.86%	25.68%	51.46%	-0.53	-16.4	11
2008-10-27	@ Cliftonville	W 4-0	31.1	1256	1126	51.46%	25.68%	22.86%	+0.53	+16.5	22
2008-11-01	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.4	1109	1014	51.76%	25.61%	22.63%	+0.53	-1.2	12
2008-11-01	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.4	1014	1109	22.63%	25.61%	51.76%	-0.53	+1.2	8
2008-11-01	Bangor	W 1-0	42.7	1001	1047	32.56%	27.33%	40.11%	-0.13	+7.2	18
2008-11-01	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	42.7	1047	1001	40.11%	27.33%	32.56%	+0.13	-7.2	20
2008-11-01	Coleraine	L 0-1	39.5	1026	1094	29.67%	27.08%	43.25%	-0.24	-5.7	10
2008-11-01	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	39.5	1094	1026	43.25%	27.08%	29.67%	+0.24	+5.7	23
2008-11-01	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.1	983	1123	22.01%	25.40%	52.59%	-0.57	+1.1	8
2008-11-01	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.1	1123	983	52.59%	25.40%	22.01%	+0.57	-1.1	25
2008-11-01	Linfield	D 1-1	54.3	1041	1272	15.06%	21.71%	63.23%	-1.00	+1.9	17
2008-11-01	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.3	1272	1041	63.23%	21.71%	15.06%	+1.00	-1.9	23
2008-11-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	33.8	1270	1020	68.87%	19.07%	12.05%	+1.25	+3.8	26
2008-11-08	@ Linfield	L 1-3	33.8	1020	1270	12.05%	19.07%	68.87%	-1.25	-3.8	10
2008-11-08	Glenavon	L 1-2	49.8	1039	985	46.47%	26.66%	26.86%	+0.33	-7.6	20
2008-11-08	@ Bangor	W 2-1	49.8	985	1039	26.86%	26.66%	46.47%	-0.33	+7.6	11
2008-11-08	Glentoran	W 3-0	39.4	1121	1236	24.39%	26.12%	49.48%	-0.46	+23.2	28
2008-11-08	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	39.4	1236	1121	49.48%	26.12%	24.39%	+0.46	-23.2	25
2008-11-08	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	42.6	1099	1009	51.16%	25.75%	23.09%	+0.50	+4.4	26
2008-11-08	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	42.6	1009	1099	23.09%	25.75%	51.16%	-0.50	-4.4	18
2008-11-08	Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.0	1108	1151	32.88%	27.35%	39.77%	-0.12	+0.3	13
2008-11-08	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.0	1151	1108	39.77%	27.35%	32.88%	+0.12	-0.3	22
2008-11-10	Newry City	L 2-3	51.6	1015	1043	34.95%	27.42%	37.63%	-0.05	-5.8	8
2008-11-10	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	51.6	1043	1015	37.63%	27.42%	34.95%	+0.05	+5.8	20
2008-11-15	Ballymena United	W 2-1	45.9	1016	1009	39.97%	27.34%	32.69%	+0.11	+5.8	13
2008-11-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.9	1009	1016	32.69%	27.34%	39.97%	-0.11	-5.8	8
2008-11-15	Bangor	D 0-0	48.6	1145	1032	53.87%	25.06%	21.08%	+0.61	-1.4	29
2008-11-15	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	48.6	1032	1145	21.08%	25.06%	53.87%	-0.61	+1.4	21
2008-11-15	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.2	992	1104	24.69%	26.20%	49.11%	-0.44	+1.0	12
2008-11-15	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.2	1104	992	49.11%	26.20%	24.69%	+0.44	-1.0	27
2008-11-15	Linfield	L 1-2	37.8	1004	1274	12.90%	19.89%	67.21%	-1.18	-2.4	18
2008-11-15	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	37.8	1274	1004	67.21%	19.89%	12.90%	+1.18	+2.4	29
2008-11-15	Lisburn Distillery	L 2-3	48.6	1048	1151	25.69%	26.43%	47.88%	-0.40	-4.6	20
2008-11-15	@ Newry City	W 3-2	48.6	1151	1048	47.88%	26.43%	25.69%	+0.40	+4.6	25
2008-11-17	Glentoran	L 0-2	34.4	1108	1213	25.45%	26.38%	48.17%	-0.41	-9.5	13
2008-11-17	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	34.4	1213	1108	48.17%	26.38%	25.45%	+0.41	+9.5	28
2008-11-22	Crusaders	L 2-5	42.5	1103	1143	33.21%	27.37%	39.42%	-0.11	-12.5	27
2008-11-22	@ Coleraine	W 5-2	42.5	1143	1103	39.42%	27.37%	33.21%	+0.11	+12.5	32
2008-11-22	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	46.6	1155	1022	56.28%	24.33%	19.39%	+0.70	-9.4	25
2008-11-22	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	46.6	1022	1155	19.39%	24.33%	56.28%	-0.70	+9.4	16
2008-11-22	Glenavon	L 2-4	55.1	1277	993	72.02%	17.44%	10.53%	+1.40	-16.6	29
2008-11-22	@ Linfield	W 4-2	55.1	993	1277	10.53%	17.44%	72.02%	-1.40	+16.6	15
2008-11-22	Glentoran	L 1-2	40.4	1033	1222	17.90%	23.56%	58.54%	-0.81	-3.4	21
2008-11-22	@ Bangor	W 2-1	40.4	1222	1033	58.54%	23.56%	17.90%	+0.81	+3.4	31
2008-11-22	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	42.4	1003	1002	39.10%	27.38%	33.52%	+0.08	-7.0	8
2008-11-22	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.4	1002	1003	33.52%	27.38%	39.10%	-0.08	+7.0	21
2008-11-22	Newry City	D 0-0	48.1	1099	1044	46.49%	26.66%	26.85%	+0.34	-0.8	14
2008-11-22	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.1	1044	1099	26.85%	26.66%	46.49%	-0.34	+0.8	21
2008-11-25	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.1	1090	1098	37.82%	27.42%	34.76%	+0.04	-0.1	28
2008-11-25	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	58.1	1098	1090	34.76%	27.42%	37.82%	-0.04	+0.1	15
2008-11-25	Glenavon	W 2-1	38.3	1226	1010	65.45%	20.72%	13.83%	+1.09	+2.6	34
2008-11-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	38.3	1010	1226	13.83%	20.72%	65.45%	-1.09	-2.6	15
2008-11-29	Ballymena United	L 1-3	44.7	1007	996	40.47%	27.31%	32.22%	+0.13	-11.8	15
2008-11-29	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	44.7	996	1007	32.22%	27.31%	40.47%	-0.13	+11.8	11
2008-11-29	Cliftonville	L 0-3	33.7	1032	1098	29.84%	27.10%	43.06%	-0.23	-15.8	16
2008-11-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	33.7	1098	1032	43.06%	27.10%	29.84%	+0.23	+15.8	18
2008-11-29	Coleraine	W 4-0	37.2	1030	1090	30.58%	27.18%	42.24%	-0.20	+26.7	24
2008-11-29	@ Bangor	L 0-4	37.2	1090	1030	42.24%	27.18%	30.58%	+0.20	-26.7	28
2008-11-29	Linfield	L 2-3	48.7	1156	1260	25.47%	26.38%	48.15%	-0.41	-4.5	32
2008-11-29	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	48.7	1260	1156	48.15%	26.38%	25.47%	+0.41	+4.5	32
2008-11-29	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	33.0	1009	1146	22.22%	25.47%	52.31%	-0.56	-8.4	21
2008-11-29	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	33.0	1146	1009	52.31%	25.47%	22.22%	+0.56	+8.4	28
2008-11-29	Newry City	W 2-1	39.4	1228	1045	62.04%	22.21%	15.75%	+0.94	+3.0	37
2008-11-29	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	39.4	1045	1228	15.75%	22.21%	62.04%	-0.94	-3.0	21
2008-12-05	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	50.1	1042	1016	42.52%	27.15%	30.33%	+0.20	+5.2	24
2008-12-05	@ Newry City	L 2-3	50.1	1016	1042	30.33%	27.15%	42.52%	-0.20	-5.2	16
2008-12-05	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.2	1114	1000	53.95%	25.03%	21.02%	+0.61	-1.2	19
2008-12-05	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.2	1000	1114	21.02%	25.03%	53.95%	-0.61	+1.2	22
2008-12-06	Bangor	D 0-0	49.9	1264	1057	64.63%	21.09%	14.28%	+1.05	-2.2	33
2008-12-06	@ Linfield	D 0-0	49.9	1057	1264	14.28%	21.09%	64.63%	-1.05	+2.2	25
2008-12-06	Glenavon	W 6-2	34.1	1154	995	59.28%	23.29%	17.43%	+0.82	+8.9	31
2008-12-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 2-6	34.1	995	1154	17.43%	23.29%	59.28%	-0.82	-8.9	15
2008-12-06	Glentoran	L 1-2	41.2	1064	1231	19.54%	24.40%	56.06%	-0.71	-3.7	28
2008-12-06	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	41.2	1231	1064	56.06%	24.40%	19.54%	+0.71	+3.7	40
2008-12-09	Crusaders	W 1-0	46.0	1008	1151	21.64%	25.27%	53.10%	-0.59	+9.0	14
2008-12-09	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	46.0	1151	1008	53.10%	25.27%	21.64%	+0.59	-9.0	32
2008-12-09	Linfield	W 1-0	48.7	986	1262	12.60%	19.60%	67.80%	-1.21	+10.9	18
2008-12-09	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	48.7	1262	986	67.80%	19.60%	12.60%	+1.21	-10.9	33
2008-12-09	Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.4	1235	1163	48.72%	26.27%	25.01%	+0.41	-1.0	41
2008-12-09	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.4	1163	1235	25.01%	26.27%	48.72%	-0.41	+1.0	32
2008-12-13	Ballymena United	L 0-3	38.1	1059	1017	44.73%	26.91%	28.36%	+0.27	-21.4	25
2008-12-13	@ Bangor	W 3-0	38.1	1017	1059	28.36%	26.91%	44.73%	-0.27	+21.4	17
2008-12-13	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.6	1234	1011	66.21%	20.36%	13.42%	+1.12	-2.1	42
2008-12-13	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	54.6	1011	1234	13.42%	20.36%	66.21%	-1.12	+2.1	17
2008-12-13	Glenavon	W 4-0	30.1	1113	997	54.17%	24.97%	20.86%	+0.62	+15.1	22
2008-12-13	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	30.1	997	1113	20.86%	24.97%	54.17%	-0.62	-15.1	18
2008-12-13	Linfield	L 1-4	34.0	1060	1251	17.71%	23.46%	58.83%	-0.82	-8.3	28
2008-12-13	@ Coleraine	W 4-1	34.0	1251	1060	58.83%	23.46%	17.71%	+0.82	+8.3	36
2008-12-13	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	41.5	1142	1164	35.78%	27.44%	36.79%	-0.02	-6.6	32
2008-12-13	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	41.5	1164	1142	36.79%	27.44%	35.78%	+0.02	+6.6	35
2008-12-13	Newry City	W 4-2	48.4	1002	1047	32.57%	27.33%	40.10%	-0.13	+10.5	25
2008-12-13	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 2-4	48.4	1047	1002	40.10%	27.33%	32.57%	+0.13	-10.5	24
2008-12-20	Ballymena United	L 1-2	53.4	1232	1038	63.12%	21.76%	15.13%	+0.98	-9.7	42
2008-12-20	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	53.4	1038	1232	15.13%	21.76%	63.12%	-0.98	+9.7	20
2008-12-20	Coleraine	W 3-0	31.9	1128	1052	49.28%	26.16%	24.56%	+0.43	+13.4	25
2008-12-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	31.9	1052	1128	24.56%	26.16%	49.28%	-0.43	-13.4	28
2008-12-20	Crusaders	L 3-6	40.1	1013	1136	23.56%	25.89%	50.54%	-0.50	-8.8	17
2008-12-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 6-3	40.1	1136	1013	50.54%	25.89%	23.56%	+0.50	+8.7	35
2008-12-20	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-3	43.0	982	1012	34.64%	27.42%	37.94%	-0.06	-10.5	18
2008-12-20	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	43.0	1012	982	37.94%	27.42%	34.64%	+0.06	+10.5	28
2008-12-20	Linfield	D 0-0	48.3	1171	1260	27.16%	26.72%	46.13%	-0.34	+0.8	36
2008-12-20	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.3	1260	1171	46.13%	26.72%	27.16%	+0.34	-0.8	37
2008-12-20	Newry City	W 4-2	46.5	1037	1036	39.05%	27.38%	33.57%	+0.08	+9.2	28
2008-12-20	@ Bangor	L 2-4	46.5	1036	1037	33.57%	27.38%	39.05%	-0.08	-9.2	24
2008-12-26	Coleraine	W 2-0	36.6	1048	1038	40.32%	27.32%	32.36%	+0.12	+11.5	23
2008-12-26	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	36.6	1038	1048	32.36%	27.32%	40.32%	-0.12	-11.6	28
2008-12-26	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	1141	1144	38.45%	27.40%	34.15%	+0.06	-0.1	26
2008-12-26	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	1144	1141	34.15%	27.40%	38.45%	-0.06	+0.2	36
2008-12-26	Glenavon	L 0-2	40.7	1027	972	46.56%	26.65%	26.79%	+0.34	-15.2	24
2008-12-26	@ Newry City	W 2-0	40.7	972	1027	26.79%	26.65%	46.56%	-0.34	+15.2	21
2008-12-26	Glentoran	W 3-0	33.8	1259	1222	44.02%	27.00%	28.98%	+0.25	+15.4	40
2008-12-26	@ Linfield	L 0-3	33.8	1222	1259	28.98%	27.00%	44.02%	-0.25	-15.4	42
2008-12-26	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.4	1004	1023	36.24%	27.44%	36.32%	-0.01	+0.0	18
2008-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1023	1004	36.32%	27.44%	36.24%	+0.01	+0.0	29
2008-12-27	Bangor	W 1-0	35.9	1172	1047	55.34%	24.62%	20.04%	+0.66	+4.1	39
2008-12-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	35.9	1047	1172	20.04%	24.62%	55.34%	-0.66	-4.1	28
2009-01-01	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.9	1274	1060	65.33%	20.77%	13.89%	+1.08	+2.8	43
2009-01-01	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.9	1060	1274	13.89%	20.77%	65.33%	-1.08	-2.8	23
2009-01-01	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.7	1042	1141	26.10%	26.52%	47.39%	-0.38	+0.8	29
2009-01-01	@ Bangor	D 1-1	52.7	1141	1042	47.39%	26.52%	26.10%	+0.38	-0.8	27
2009-01-01	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.1	987	1004	36.45%	27.44%	36.11%	+0.00	-0.0	22
2009-01-01	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.1	1004	987	36.11%	27.44%	36.45%	+0.00	+0.0	19
2009-01-01	Newry City	W 2-1	41.1	1145	1012	56.24%	24.34%	19.42%	+0.70	+3.7	39
2009-01-01	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	41.1	1012	1145	19.42%	24.34%	56.24%	-0.70	-3.7	24
2009-01-03	Bangor	W 3-2	52.9	1004	1043	33.37%	27.37%	39.26%	-0.10	+6.3	22
2009-01-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	52.9	1043	1004	39.26%	27.37%	33.37%	+0.10	-6.3	29
2009-01-03	Coleraine	L 0-4	35.5	1008	1027	36.29%	27.44%	36.27%	-0.01	-23.9	24
2009-01-03	@ Newry City	W 4-0	35.5	1027	1008	36.27%	27.44%	36.29%	+0.01	+23.9	31
2009-01-03	Glenavon	W 2-0	29.0	1207	987	65.87%	20.52%	13.60%	+1.11	+5.1	45
2009-01-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.0	987	1207	13.60%	20.52%	65.87%	-1.11	-5.1	22
2009-01-03	Linfield	L 1-2	42.4	1140	1277	22.21%	25.47%	52.32%	-0.56	-4.2	27
2009-01-03	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	42.4	1277	1140	52.32%	25.47%	22.21%	+0.56	+4.2	46
2009-01-03	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	45.3	1057	1176	23.97%	26.01%	50.02%	-0.48	+8.5	26
2009-01-03	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	45.3	1176	1057	50.02%	26.01%	23.97%	+0.48	-8.5	39
2009-01-10	Cliftonville	L 1-3	41.3	1065	1136	29.32%	27.04%	43.64%	-0.25	-9.3	26
2009-01-10	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	41.3	1136	1065	43.64%	27.04%	29.32%	+0.25	+9.3	30
2009-01-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.6	1050	1010	44.48%	26.94%	28.58%	+0.27	+5.2	34
2009-01-10	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	44.6	1010	1050	28.58%	26.94%	44.48%	-0.27	-5.2	22
2009-01-10	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.4	1148	982	60.14%	22.97%	16.89%	+0.86	-1.2	40
2009-01-10	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	59.4	982	1148	16.89%	22.97%	60.14%	-0.86	+1.2	23
2009-01-10	Glentoran	L 0-3	34.8	1167	1212	32.60%	27.33%	40.07%	-0.13	-16.9	39
2009-01-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	34.8	1212	1167	40.07%	27.33%	32.60%	+0.13	+16.9	48
2009-01-10	Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	58.1	1037	1023	40.92%	27.28%	31.80%	+0.15	-0.2	30
2009-01-10	@ Bangor	D 2-2	58.1	1023	1037	31.80%	27.28%	40.92%	-0.15	+0.2	30
2009-01-10	Newry City	D 1-1	55.7	1281	984	73.26%	16.78%	9.96%	+1.47	-2.5	47
2009-01-10	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.7	984	1281	9.96%	16.78%	73.26%	-1.47	+2.5	25
2009-01-13	Cliftonville	W 2-1	41.2	1279	1145	56.37%	24.30%	19.33%	+0.70	+3.7	50
2009-01-13	@ Linfield	L 1-2	41.2	1145	1279	19.33%	24.30%	56.37%	-0.70	-3.7	30
2009-01-13	Glentoran	L 0-2	30.6	1023	1229	16.71%	22.85%	60.44%	-0.88	-6.4	30
2009-01-13	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	30.6	1229	1023	60.44%	22.85%	16.71%	+0.88	+6.4	51
2009-01-24	Ballymena United	L 0-1	39.4	987	1056	29.49%	27.06%	43.45%	-0.25	-5.7	25
2009-01-24	@ Newry City	W 1-0	39.4	1056	987	43.45%	27.06%	29.49%	+0.25	+5.7	29
2009-01-24	Bangor	L 2-3	50.5	983	1037	31.45%	27.26%	41.29%	-0.17	-5.4	23
2009-01-24	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	50.5	1037	983	41.29%	27.26%	31.45%	+0.17	+5.4	33
2009-01-24	Coleraine	W 1-0	42.4	1017	1056	33.38%	27.37%	39.24%	-0.10	+7.1	33
2009-01-24	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	42.4	1056	1017	39.24%	27.37%	33.38%	+0.10	-7.1	34
2009-01-24	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.1	1235	1147	50.82%	25.83%	23.35%	+0.49	-1.0	52
2009-01-24	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.1	1147	1235	23.35%	25.83%	50.82%	-0.49	+1.0	41
2009-01-24	Linfield	L 0-1	32.1	1005	1283	12.52%	19.53%	67.95%	-1.22	-2.5	22
2009-01-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.1	1283	1005	67.95%	19.53%	12.52%	+1.22	+2.5	53
2009-01-24	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	35.4	1142	1150	37.68%	27.42%	34.90%	+0.04	+17.8	33
2009-01-24	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	35.4	1150	1142	34.90%	27.42%	37.68%	-0.04	-17.8	39
2009-01-27	Crusaders	L 1-4	37.1	1042	1148	25.29%	26.34%	48.37%	-0.42	-11.6	33
2009-01-27	@ Bangor	W 4-1	37.1	1148	1042	48.37%	26.34%	25.29%	+0.42	+11.6	44
2009-01-27	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.0	1062	1003	47.04%	26.57%	26.38%	+0.35	-7.7	29
2009-01-27	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	50.0	1003	1062	26.38%	26.57%	47.04%	-0.35	+7.7	25
2009-01-27	Glenavon	W 2-1	43.3	1049	978	48.59%	26.30%	25.11%	+0.41	+4.7	37
2009-01-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	43.3	978	1049	25.11%	26.30%	48.59%	-0.41	-4.7	23
2009-01-27	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	31.5	1285	1024	69.97%	18.52%	11.51%	+1.30	+2.2	56
2009-01-27	@ Linfield	L 0-1	31.5	1024	1285	11.51%	18.52%	69.97%	-1.30	-2.2	33
2009-01-27	Newry City	W 3-1	36.8	1132	981	58.42%	23.60%	17.98%	+0.79	+6.0	42
2009-01-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	36.8	981	1132	17.98%	23.60%	58.42%	-0.79	-6.0	25
2009-01-31	Ballymena United	D 0-0	47.9	1021	1054	34.26%	27.41%	38.34%	-0.07	+0.2	34
2009-01-31	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	47.9	1054	1021	38.34%	27.41%	34.26%	+0.07	-0.2	30
2009-01-31	Coleraine	W 2-1	42.0	1160	1053	53.08%	25.27%	21.65%	+0.58	+4.1	47
2009-01-31	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	42.0	1053	1160	21.65%	25.27%	53.08%	-0.58	-4.1	37
2009-01-31	Linfield	L 1-4	30.2	973	1287	10.78%	17.73%	71.49%	-1.39	-4.8	23
2009-01-31	@ Glenavon	W 4-1	30.2	1287	973	71.49%	17.73%	10.78%	+1.39	+4.7	59
2009-02-03	Dungannon Swifts	D 3-3	63.1	1164	1010	58.66%	23.52%	17.82%	+0.80	-1.0	48
2009-02-03	@ Crusaders	D 3-3	63.1	1010	1164	17.82%	23.52%	58.66%	-0.80	+1.0	26
2009-02-03	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.7	1049	1138	27.13%	26.71%	46.16%	-0.34	+0.7	38
2009-02-03	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.7	1138	1049	46.16%	26.71%	27.13%	+0.34	-0.7	43
2009-02-07	Bangor	W 3-1	41.9	1050	1030	41.64%	27.23%	31.13%	+0.17	+9.7	41
2009-02-07	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	41.9	1030	1050	31.13%	27.23%	41.64%	-0.17	-9.7	33
2009-02-10	Bangor	W 3-1	34.9	1234	1021	65.20%	20.83%	13.97%	+1.08	+4.5	55
2009-02-10	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	34.9	1021	1234	13.97%	20.83%	65.20%	-1.08	-4.5	33
2009-02-17	Crusaders	D 0-0	49.1	1292	1163	55.85%	24.47%	19.69%	+0.68	-1.5	60
2009-02-17	@ Linfield	D 0-0	49.1	1163	1292	19.69%	24.47%	55.85%	-0.68	+1.5	49
2009-02-17	Glentoran	L 1-3	41.1	1159	1239	28.26%	26.90%	44.85%	-0.29	-9.0	33
2009-02-17	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	41.1	1239	1159	44.85%	26.90%	28.26%	+0.29	+9.0	58
2009-02-17	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	51.7	1138	1022	54.28%	24.94%	20.78%	+0.62	-8.6	43
2009-02-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	51.7	1022	1138	20.78%	24.94%	54.28%	-0.62	+8.6	37
2009-02-20	Cliftonville	L 0-2	33.7	1030	1150	23.83%	25.97%	50.20%	-0.48	-9.0	37
2009-02-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	33.7	1150	1030	50.20%	25.97%	23.83%	+0.48	+9.0	36
2009-02-21	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.6	1164	1054	53.57%	25.14%	21.29%	+0.59	-1.4	50
2009-02-21	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	48.6	1054	1164	21.29%	25.14%	53.57%	-0.59	+1.4	31
2009-02-21	Coleraine	L 1-3	49.8	1248	1060	62.52%	22.01%	15.47%	+0.96	-16.7	58
2009-02-21	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	49.8	1060	1248	15.47%	22.01%	62.52%	-0.96	+16.7	44
2009-02-21	Linfield	L 0-1	32.2	1016	1290	12.68%	19.68%	67.64%	-1.20	-2.5	33
2009-02-21	@ Bangor	W 1-0	32.2	1290	1016	67.64%	19.68%	12.68%	+1.20	+2.5	63
2009-02-21	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	46.4	968	1129	20.11%	24.66%	55.24%	-0.67	+9.3	26
2009-02-21	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	46.4	1129	968	55.24%	24.66%	20.11%	+0.67	-9.3	43
2009-02-21	Newry City	L 1-2	49.2	1011	975	43.95%	27.00%	29.04%	+0.25	-7.3	26
2009-02-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	49.2	975	1011	29.04%	27.00%	43.95%	-0.25	+7.3	28
2009-02-24	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.7	1159	1004	58.87%	23.44%	17.69%	+0.80	-1.6	37
2009-02-24	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.7	1004	1159	17.69%	23.44%	58.87%	-0.80	+1.6	27
2009-02-25	Crusaders	W 2-0	38.9	1120	1163	32.84%	27.35%	39.81%	-0.12	+13.5	46
2009-02-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	38.9	1163	1120	39.81%	27.35%	32.84%	+0.12	-13.5	50
2009-02-27	Bangor	W 2-0	35.3	1055	1014	44.70%	26.91%	28.39%	+0.27	+10.4	34
2009-02-27	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	35.3	1014	1055	28.39%	26.91%	44.70%	-0.27	-10.4	33
2009-02-27	Coleraine	L 0-1	48.4	1293	1076	65.53%	20.68%	13.79%	+1.09	-10.6	63
2009-02-27	@ Linfield	W 1-0	48.4	1076	1293	13.79%	20.68%	65.53%	-1.09	+10.6	47
2009-02-27	Glenavon	W 2-1	39.4	1158	977	61.66%	22.37%	15.98%	+0.92	+3.0	40
2009-02-27	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.4	977	1158	15.98%	22.37%	61.66%	-0.92	-3.0	26
2009-02-27	Glentoran	L 0-2	30.0	1006	1231	15.44%	21.99%	62.57%	-0.98	-5.9	27
2009-02-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	30.0	1231	1006	62.57%	21.99%	15.44%	+0.98	+5.9	61
2009-03-03	Cliftonville	L 0-1	35.3	982	1161	18.71%	24.00%	57.29%	-0.75	-3.8	28
2009-03-03	@ Newry City	W 1-0	35.3	1161	982	57.29%	24.00%	18.71%	+0.75	+3.8	43
2009-03-03	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.6	1021	1149	23.03%	25.73%	51.24%	-0.52	+0.8	38
2009-03-03	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	58.6	1149	1021	51.24%	25.73%	23.03%	+0.52	-0.8	51
2009-03-03	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	36.0	1000	1133	22.54%	25.58%	51.89%	-0.55	-10.5	27
2009-03-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	36.0	1133	1000	51.89%	25.58%	22.54%	+0.55	+10.5	49
2009-03-04	Linfield	W 2-0	39.5	1237	1282	32.53%	27.33%	40.14%	-0.13	+13.5	64
2009-03-04	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	39.5	1282	1237	40.14%	27.33%	32.53%	+0.13	-13.5	63
2009-03-07	Glenavon	L 1-2	51.0	1066	974	51.21%	25.74%	23.05%	+0.51	-8.2	34
2009-03-07	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	51.0	974	1066	23.05%	25.74%	51.21%	-0.51	+8.2	29
2009-03-10	Glentoran	L 0-1	32.3	979	1250	12.81%	19.80%	67.39%	-1.19	-2.5	28
2009-03-10	@ Newry City	W 1-0	32.3	1250	979	67.39%	19.80%	12.81%	+1.19	+2.5	67
2009-03-14	Ballymena United	L 0-1	43.5	1087	1058	43.02%	27.11%	29.88%	+0.22	-7.6	47
2009-03-14	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	43.5	1058	1087	29.88%	27.11%	43.02%	-0.22	+7.6	37
2009-03-14	Cliftonville	W 4-2	47.3	1149	1165	36.65%	27.44%	35.92%	+0.00	+9.7	54
2009-03-14	@ Crusaders	L 2-4	47.3	1165	1149	35.92%	27.44%	36.65%	+0.00	-9.7	43
2009-03-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	33.6	1022	989	43.47%	27.06%	29.47%	+0.23	+15.6	41
2009-03-14	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-3	33.6	989	1022	29.47%	27.06%	43.47%	-0.23	-15.6	27
2009-03-14	Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.5	1003	1144	21.89%	25.36%	52.75%	-0.58	+1.3	34
2009-03-14	@ Bangor	D 0-0	48.5	1144	1003	52.75%	25.36%	21.89%	+0.58	-1.3	50
2009-03-14	Newry City	W 2-0	36.7	983	976	39.83%	27.35%	32.82%	+0.11	+11.7	32
2009-03-14	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	36.7	976	983	32.82%	27.35%	39.83%	-0.11	-11.7	28
2009-03-16	Glentoran	W 1-0	40.6	1269	1253	41.14%	27.27%	31.60%	+0.15	+6.0	66
2009-03-16	@ Linfield	L 0-1	40.6	1253	1269	31.60%	27.27%	41.14%	-0.15	-6.0	67
2009-03-17	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	49.2	964	1038	29.02%	27.00%	43.98%	-0.26	+7.3	31
2009-03-17	@ Newry City	L 1-2	49.2	1038	964	43.98%	27.00%	29.02%	+0.26	-7.3	41
2009-03-21	Bangor	W 2-1	40.4	1155	1005	58.30%	23.65%	18.05%	+0.78	+3.5	46
2009-03-21	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	40.4	1005	1155	18.05%	23.65%	58.30%	-0.78	-3.5	34
2009-03-21	Coleraine	W 2-0	34.5	1142	1079	47.58%	26.48%	25.94%	+0.37	+9.7	53
2009-03-21	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	34.5	1079	1142	25.94%	26.48%	47.58%	-0.37	-9.7	47
2009-03-21	Crusaders	L 0-1	35.0	972	1158	18.08%	23.66%	58.26%	-0.79	-3.7	31
2009-03-21	@ Newry City	W 1-0	35.0	1158	972	58.26%	23.66%	18.08%	+0.79	+3.7	57
2009-03-21	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.4	974	994	35.96%	27.44%	36.60%	-0.02	+0.0	28
2009-03-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	994	974	36.60%	27.44%	35.96%	+0.02	-0.0	33
2009-03-21	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-2	38.6	1247	1030	65.53%	20.68%	13.79%	+1.09	+4.0	70
2009-03-21	@ Glentoran	L 2-4	38.6	1030	1247	13.79%	20.68%	65.53%	-1.09	-4.0	41
2009-03-21	Linfield	L 0-3	28.5	1065	1275	16.46%	22.69%	60.85%	-0.90	-9.1	37
2009-03-21	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	28.5	1275	1065	60.85%	22.69%	16.46%	+0.90	+9.1	69

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-04-10	Linfield	D 1-1	53.0	1251	1284	34.23%	27.41%	38.37%	-0.08	+0.1	1
2009-04-10	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.0	1284	1251	38.37%	27.41%	34.23%	+0.08	-0.1	1
2009-04-11	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.4	1158	1070	50.88%	25.82%	23.30%	+0.49	-1.1	1
2009-04-11	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.4	1070	1158	23.30%	25.82%	50.88%	-0.49	+1.2	1
2009-04-11	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.1	968	974	38.10%	27.41%	34.48%	+0.05	-0.1	1
2009-04-11	@ Newry City	D 2-2	58.1	974	968	34.48%	27.41%	38.10%	-0.05	+0.1	1
2009-04-11	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.5	1001	994	39.88%	27.34%	32.78%	+0.11	-0.2	1
2009-04-11	@ Bangor	D 1-1	52.5	994	1001	32.78%	27.34%	39.88%	-0.11	+0.2	1
2009-04-11	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	39.5	1056	1026	43.07%	27.10%	29.83%	+0.22	+5.8	3
2009-04-11	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	39.5	1026	1056	29.83%	27.10%	43.07%	-0.22	-5.8	0
2009-04-11	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.6	1162	1152	40.31%	27.32%	32.37%	+0.12	-0.3	1
2009-04-11	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.6	1152	1162	32.37%	27.32%	40.31%	-0.12	+0.3	1
2009-04-14	Bangor	W 4-0	33.9	1021	1001	41.67%	27.23%	31.10%	+0.17	+21.3	3
2009-04-14	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-4	33.9	1001	1021	31.10%	27.23%	41.67%	-0.17	-21.3	1
2009-04-14	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	1152	1157	38.24%	27.41%	34.35%	+0.06	-0.1	2
2009-04-14	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.5	1157	1152	34.35%	27.41%	38.24%	-0.06	+0.1	2
2009-04-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	41.8	995	974	41.82%	27.21%	30.96%	+0.18	+9.7	4
2009-04-14	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	41.8	974	995	30.96%	27.21%	41.82%	-0.18	-9.7	1
2009-04-14	Glentoran	L 0-1	38.8	1162	1251	27.11%	26.71%	46.18%	-0.34	-5.3	1
2009-04-14	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	38.8	1251	1162	46.18%	26.71%	27.11%	+0.34	+5.3	4
2009-04-14	Linfield	L 1-2	39.7	1071	1284	16.24%	22.54%	61.22%	-0.92	-3.1	1
2009-04-14	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	39.7	1284	1071	61.22%	22.54%	16.24%	+0.92	+3.1	4
2009-04-14	Newry City	L 0-4	39.5	1062	968	51.52%	25.67%	22.81%	+0.52	-31.3	3
2009-04-14	@ Ballymena United	W 4-0	39.5	968	1062	22.81%	25.67%	51.52%	-0.52	+31.3	4
2009-04-18	Ballymena United	W 4-3	56.6	964	1030	29.85%	27.10%	43.05%	-0.23	+6.6	4
2009-04-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 3-4	56.6	1030	964	43.05%	27.10%	29.85%	+0.23	-6.6	3
2009-04-18	Bangor	W 2-1	45.4	999	980	41.68%	27.23%	31.10%	+0.17	+5.6	7
2009-04-18	@ Newry City	L 1-2	45.4	980	999	31.10%	27.23%	41.68%	-0.17	-5.6	1
2009-04-18	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.3	1287	1157	55.89%	24.45%	19.66%	+0.68	-1.0	5
2009-04-18	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.3	1157	1287	19.66%	24.45%	55.89%	-0.68	+1.0	3
2009-04-18	Crusaders	L 0-1	38.6	1068	1156	27.18%	26.72%	46.10%	-0.34	-5.3	1
2009-04-18	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	38.6	1156	1068	46.10%	26.72%	27.18%	+0.34	+5.3	4
2009-04-18	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.6	1042	1004	44.15%	26.98%	28.87%	+0.25	-0.5	4
2009-04-18	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.6	1004	1042	28.87%	26.98%	44.15%	-0.25	+0.5	5
2009-04-18	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-3	49.9	1256	1152	52.81%	25.34%	21.85%	+0.57	+3.8	7
2009-04-18	@ Glentoran	L 3-4	49.9	1152	1256	21.85%	25.34%	52.81%	-0.57	-3.8	2
2009-04-25	Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.0	1005	1024	36.18%	27.44%	36.38%	-0.01	+6.3	8
2009-04-25	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	47.0	1024	1005	36.38%	27.44%	36.18%	+0.01	-6.3	3
2009-04-25	Crusaders	D 0-0	48.0	1158	1162	38.42%	27.40%	34.17%	+0.06	-0.2	4
2009-04-25	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	48.0	1162	1158	34.17%	27.40%	38.42%	-0.06	+0.2	5
2009-04-25	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	44.4	974	971	39.37%	27.37%	33.26%	+0.09	-11.6	1
2009-04-25	@ Bangor	W 3-1	44.4	971	974	33.26%	27.37%	39.37%	-0.09	+11.6	7
2009-04-25	Glentoran	L 1-2	40.1	1062	1260	17.26%	23.19%	59.55%	-0.85	-3.3	1
2009-04-25	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	40.1	1260	1062	59.55%	23.19%	17.26%	+0.85	+3.3	10
2009-04-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	31.9	1286	1148	56.81%	24.16%	19.03%	+0.72	+7.3	8
2009-04-25	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.9	1148	1286	19.03%	24.16%	56.81%	-0.72	-7.3	2
2009-04-25	Newry City	L 1-3	45.6	1041	1005	43.98%	27.00%	29.02%	+0.25	-12.6	4
2009-04-25	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	45.6	1005	1041	29.02%	27.00%	43.98%	-0.25	+12.6	10
2009-05-02	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.5	962	1018	31.27%	27.24%	41.49%	-0.18	+0.4	2
2009-05-02	@ Bangor	D 1-1	52.5	1018	962	41.49%	27.24%	31.27%	+0.18	-0.4	4
2009-05-02	Cliftonville	W 3-1	38.7	1264	1158	52.97%	25.30%	21.73%	+0.57	+7.2	13
2009-05-02	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	38.7	1158	1264	21.73%	25.30%	52.97%	-0.57	-7.2	4
2009-05-02	Glenavon	W 2-1	46.0	1017	1011	39.82%	27.35%	32.84%	+0.11	+5.8	13
2009-05-02	@ Newry City	L 1-2	46.0	1011	1017	32.84%	27.35%	39.82%	-0.11	-5.8	8
2009-05-02	Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	47.9	982	1029	32.42%	27.32%	40.26%	-0.14	+0.3	8
2009-05-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	47.9	1029	982	40.26%	27.32%	32.42%	+0.14	-0.3	5
2009-05-02	Linfield	L 0-5	31.9	1162	1293	22.75%	25.65%	51.60%	-0.53	-20.2	5
2009-05-02	@ Crusaders	W 5-0	31.9	1293	1162	51.60%	25.65%	22.75%	+0.53	+20.2	11
2009-05-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	44.1	1059	1141	27.95%	26.85%	45.20%	-0.31	+7.9	4
2009-05-02	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	44.1	1141	1059	45.20%	26.85%	27.95%	+0.31	-7.9	2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-11-22	10.53%	Glenavon	993	4	@ Linfield	1277	2
2	2008-10-11	11.42%	@ Ballymena United	995	2	Linfield	1295	0
3	2008-12-09	12.60%	@ Glenavon	986	1	Linfield	1262	0
4	2009-02-27	13.79%	Coleraine	1076	1	@ Linfield	1293	0
5	2008-12-20	15.13%	Ballymena United	1038	2	@ Glentoran	1232	1
6	2009-02-21	15.47%	Coleraine	1060	3	@ Glentoran	1248	1
7	2008-10-18	18.44%	Lisburn Distillery	1129	2	@ Linfield	1274	0
8	2008-11-22	19.39%	Dungannon Swifts	1022	1	@ Lisburn Distillery	1155	0
9	2009-02-21	20.11%	@ Glenavon	968	1	Lisburn Distillery	1129	0
10	2009-02-17	20.78%	Institute Drumahoe	1022	2	@ Lisburn Distillery	1138	1
11	2008-12-09	21.64%	@ Ballymena United	1008	1	Crusaders	1151	0
12	2008-09-27	22.06%	@ Glenavon	1003	1	Cliftonville	1141	0
13	2009-04-14	22.81%	Newry City	968	4	@ Ballymena United	1062	0
14	2009-03-07	23.05%	Glenavon	974	2	@ Ballymena United	1066	1
15	2009-01-03	23.97%	@ Ballymena United	1057	1	Lisburn Distillery	1176	0
16	2008-11-08	24.39%	@ Crusaders	1121	3	Glentoran	1236	0
17	2008-10-04	24.60%	@ Bangor	1032	1	Lisburn Distillery	1145	0
18	2008-09-06	24.75%	@ Newry City	1035	1	Cliftonville	1146	0
19	2008-09-13	25.97%	Glenavon	979	3	@ Ballymena United	1042	0
20	2008-10-22	26.06%	@ Newry City	1033	3	Crusaders	1132	1
21	2009-01-27	26.38%	Dungannon Swifts	1003	2	@ Ballymena United	1062	1
22	2008-10-11	26.73%	Coleraine	1080	2	@ Lisburn Distillery	1136	1
23	2008-12-26	26.79%	Glenavon	972	2	@ Newry City	1027	0
24	2008-11-08	26.86%	Glenavon	985	2	@ Bangor	1039	1
25	2009-05-02	27.95%	@ Coleraine	1059	1	Lisburn Distillery	1141	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-04-14	31.31	Newry City	4	968	22.81%	@ Ballymena United	0	1062	51.52%	25.67%
2	2008-08-30	30.28	Crusaders	5	1074	34.82%	@ Bangor	0	1066	37.76%	27.42%
3	2008-11-29	26.74	@ Bangor	4	1030	30.58%	Coleraine	0	1090	42.24%	27.18%
4	2009-01-03	23.87	Coleraine	4	1027	36.27%	@ Newry City	0	1008	36.29%	27.44%
5	2008-11-08	23.19	@ Crusaders	3	1121	24.39%	Glentoran	0	1236	49.48%	26.12%
6	2008-09-13	22.46	Glenavon	3	979	25.97%	@ Ballymena United	0	1042	47.55%	26.49%
7	2008-12-13	21.40	Ballymena United	3	1017	28.36%	@ Bangor	0	1059	44.73%	26.91%
8	2009-04-14	21.26	@ Institute Drumahoe	4	1021	41.67%	Bangor	0	1001	31.10%	27.23%
9	2008-10-11	21.00	@ Ballymena United	2	995	11.42%	Linfield	0	1295	70.15%	18.42%
10	2009-05-02	20.18	Linfield	5	1293	51.60%	@ Crusaders	0	1162	22.75%	25.65%
11	2008-08-30	20.01	Dungannon Swifts	3	1048	31.72%	@ Ballymena United	0	1062	41.01%	27.28%
12	2008-09-09	18.31	Coleraine	3	1061	36.16%	@ Newry City	0	1043	36.40%	27.44%
13	2008-10-18	18.09	Lisburn Distillery	2	1129	18.44%	@ Linfield	0	1274	57.70%	23.86%
14	2009-01-24	17.75	@ Cliftonville	3	1142	37.68%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1150	34.90%	27.42%
15	2008-08-23	17.14	Cliftonville	5	1146	43.10%	@ Ballymena United	1	1080	29.80%	27.10%
16	2009-01-10	16.87	Glentoran	3	1212	40.07%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1167	32.60%	27.33%
17	2009-02-21	16.69	Coleraine	3	1060	15.47%	@ Glentoran	1	1248	62.52%	22.01%
18	2008-11-22	16.57	Glenavon	4	993	10.53%	@ Linfield	2	1277	72.02%	17.44%
19	2008-10-27	16.45	Linfield	4	1256	51.46%	@ Cliftonville	0	1126	22.86%	25.68%
20	2008-11-29	15.75	Cliftonville	3	1098	43.06%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1032	29.84%	27.10%
21	2009-03-14	15.61	@ Institute Drumahoe	3	1022	43.47%	Dungannon Swifts	0	989	29.47%	27.06%
22	2008-12-26	15.39	@ Linfield	3	1259	44.02%	Glentoran	0	1222	28.98%	27.00%
23	2008-12-26	15.21	Glenavon	2	972	26.79%	@ Newry City	0	1027	46.56%	26.65%
24	2008-12-13	15.11	@ Cliftonville	4	1113	54.17%	Glenavon	0	997	20.86%	24.97%
25	2008-09-30	14.70	Bangor	2	1018	28.48%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1058	44.59%	26.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-02-03	63.1	@ Crusaders	3	1164	58.66%	Dungannon Swifts	3	1010	17.82%	23.52%
2	2009-01-10	59.4	@ Crusaders	2	1148	60.14%	Glenavon	2	982	16.89%	22.97%
3	2009-04-18	59.3	@ Linfield	2	1287	55.89%	Cliftonville	2	1157	19.66%	24.45%
4	2008-09-20	58.9	@ Glenavon	2	1002	20.53%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1157	54.63%	24.84%
5	2008-10-18	58.7	@ Crusaders	2	1132	51.92%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1036	22.51%	25.57%
6	2009-03-03	58.6	@ Institute Drumahoe	2	1021	23.03%	Crusaders	2	1149	51.24%	25.73%
7	2008-09-13	58.5	@ Cliftonville	2	1138	49.22%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1062	24.61%	26.17%
8	2008-09-19	58.2	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1063	43.90%	Newry City	2	1027	29.09%	27.01%
9	2008-08-26	58.1	@ Newry City	2	1034	34.80%	Ballymena United	2	1062	37.78%	27.42%
10	2008-11-25	58.1	@ Coleraine	2	1090	37.82%	Cliftonville	2	1098	34.76%	27.42%
11	2009-01-01	58.1	@ Glenavon	2	987	36.45%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1004	36.11%	27.44%
12	2009-01-10	58.1	@ Bangor	2	1037	40.92%	Institute Drumahoe	2	1023	31.80%	27.28%
13	2009-04-11	58.1	@ Newry City	2	968	38.10%	Dungannon Swifts	2	974	34.48%	27.41%
14	2009-04-18	56.6	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	964	29.85%	Ballymena United	3	1030	43.05%	27.10%
15	2009-01-10	55.7	@ Linfield	1	1281	73.26%	Newry City	1	984	9.96%	16.78%
16	2008-11-22	55.1	Glenavon	4	993	10.53%	@ Linfield	2	1277	72.02%	17.44%
17	2008-12-13	54.6	@ Glentoran	1	1234	66.21%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1011	13.42%	20.36%
18	2008-11-01	54.3	@ Newry City	1	1041	15.06%	Linfield	1	1272	63.23%	21.71%
19	2008-08-26	54.0	@ Dungannon Swifts	1	1046	16.17%	Linfield	1	1260	61.33%	22.50%
20	2008-10-18	54.0	@ Ballymena United	1	1016	15.82%	Glentoran	1	1235	61.91%	22.26%
21	2009-02-24	53.7	@ Cliftonville	1	1159	58.87%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1004	17.69%	23.44%
22	2008-08-26	53.5	@ Glentoran	1	1214	57.31%	Crusaders	1	1072	18.70%	23.99%
23	2008-12-20	53.4	Ballymena United	2	1038	15.13%	@ Glentoran	1	1232	63.12%	21.76%
24	2008-12-05	53.2	@ Cliftonville	1	1114	53.95%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1000	21.02%	25.03%
25	2008-08-30	53.1	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1142	53.26%	Newry City	1	1034	21.52%	25.22%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-09-20	27.6	Linfield	5	1276	65.41%	@ Bangor	0	1023	13.85%	20.74%
2	2008-08-29	28.1	@ Linfield	7	1258	69.12%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1005	11.93%	18.95%
3	2009-03-21	28.5	Linfield	3	1275	60.85%	@ Ballymena United	0	1065	16.46%	22.69%
4	2009-01-03	29.0	@ Glentoran	2	1207	65.87%	Glenavon	0	987	13.60%	20.52%
5	2009-02-27	30.0	Glentoran	2	1231	62.57%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1006	15.44%	21.99%
6	2008-12-13	30.1	@ Cliftonville	4	1113	54.17%	Glenavon	0	997	20.86%	24.97%
7	2009-01-31	30.2	Linfield	4	1287	71.49%	@ Glenavon	1	973	10.78%	17.73%
8	2009-01-13	30.6	Glentoran	2	1229	60.44%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	1023	16.71%	22.85%
9	2008-10-27	31.1	Linfield	4	1256	51.46%	@ Cliftonville	0	1126	22.86%	25.68%
10	2009-01-27	31.5	@ Linfield	1	1285	69.97%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1024	11.51%	18.52%
11	2008-12-20	31.9	@ Cliftonville	3	1128	49.28%	Coleraine	0	1052	24.56%	26.16%
12	2009-04-25	31.9	@ Linfield	2	1286	56.81%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1148	19.03%	24.16%
13	2009-05-02	31.9	Linfield	5	1293	51.60%	@ Crusaders	0	1162	22.75%	25.65%
14	2008-09-23	32.0	@ Glentoran	4	1222	65.45%	Ballymena United	1	1007	13.83%	20.72%
15	2009-01-24	32.1	Linfield	1	1283	67.95%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1005	12.52%	19.53%
16	2009-02-21	32.2	Linfield	1	1290	67.64%	@ Bangor	0	1016	12.68%	19.68%
17	2009-03-10	32.3	Glentoran	1	1250	67.39%	@ Newry City	0	979	12.81%	19.80%
18	2008-10-11	32.4	@ Glentoran	1	1233	66.90%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1002	13.06%	20.04%
19	2008-08-23	32.7	@ Linfield	1	1257	65.95%	Newry City	0	1036	13.56%	20.49%
20	2009-01-01	32.9	@ Linfield	1	1274	65.33%	Ballymena United	0	1060	13.89%	20.77%
21	2008-11-29	33.0	Lisburn Distillery	2	1146	52.31%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	1009	22.22%	25.47%
22	2008-09-27	33.2	@ Linfield	1	1292	64.60%	Coleraine	0	1084	14.30%	21.11%
23	2008-09-20	33.4	@ Crusaders	2	1106	51.10%	Ballymena United	0	1015	23.13%	25.77%
24	2009-03-14	33.6	@ Institute Drumahoe	3	1022	43.47%	Dungannon Swifts	0	989	29.47%	27.06%
25	2008-11-29	33.7	Cliftonville	3	1098	43.06%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1032	29.84%	27.10%