2009-10 IFA Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lisburn Distillery

4.27 points above expected

39 points · 34.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Glenavon

5.48 points below expected

43 points · 48.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	19	7	7	64	73	35	+38	62.55	+1.45
2	Glentoran	33	17	8	8	59	53	38	+15	58.78	+0.22
3	Cliftonville	33	17	6	10	57	59	39	+20	53.43	+3.57
4	Crusaders	33	16	7	10	55	51	45	+6	50.67	+4.33
5	Portadown	33	14	9	10	51	65	47	+18	51.58	-0.58
6	Dungannon Swifts	33	14	9	10	51	50	49	+1	38.37	+12.63
7	Coleraine	33	14	7	12	49	67	55	+12	45.25	+3.75
8	Glenavon	33	12	6	15	42	42	57	-15	38.20	+3.80
9	Ballymena United	33	10	6	17	36	39	48	-9	38.68	-2.68
10	Newry City	33	7	10	16	31	28	56	-28	37.54	-6.54
11	Lisburn Distillery	33	8	4	21	28	35	70	-35	37.28	-9.28
12	Institute Drumahoe	33	5	11	17	26	31	54	-23	36.64	-10.64

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	22	8	8	74	78	37	+41	73.31	+0.69
2	Cliftonville	38	21	6	11	69	69	42	+27	66.20	+2.80
3	Glentoran	38	19	8	11	65	58	46	+12	64.37	+0.63
4	Crusaders	38	17	9	12	60	57	52	+5	61.01	-1.01
5	Dungannon Swifts	38	16	9	13	57	56	58	-2	55.71	+1.29
6	Portadown	38	15	10	13	55	70	55	+15	57.94	-2.94

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Coleraine	38	16	9	13	57	76	62	+14	58.19	-1.19
2	Glenavon	38	12	7	19	43	47	67	-20	48.48	-5.48
3	Newry City	38	10	12	16	42	38	63	-25	41.89	+0.11
4	Ballymena United	38	11	7	20	40	46	56	-10	38.16	+1.84
5	Lisburn Distillery	38	11	6	21	39	45	76	-31	34.73	+4.27
6	Institute Drumahoe	38	6	13	19	31	36	62	-26	32.05	-1.05

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lisburn Distillery	39	34.73	+4.27
2	Cliftonville	69	66.20	+2.80
3	Ballymena United	40	38.16	+1.84
4	Dungannon Swifts	57	55.71	+1.29
5	Linfield	74	73.31	+0.69

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glenavon	43	48.48	-5.48
2	Portadown	55	57.94	-2.94
3	Coleraine	57	58.19	-1.19
4	Institute Drumahoe	31	32.05	-1.05
5	Crusaders	60	61.01	-1.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	9	Oct 27 – Feb 2	1 in 845
2	Lisburn Distillery	3	Mar 6 – Mar 16	1 in 114
3	Coleraine	4	Oct 24 – Nov 16	1 in 89
4	Dungannon Swifts	4	Aug 8 – Aug 22	1 in 69
5	Newry City	3	Apr 13 – Apr 24	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	8	Aug 28 – Oct 10	1 in 335
2	Institute Drumahoe	6	Mar 9 – Mar 26	1 in 80
3	Glenavon	5	Feb 16 – Mar 13	1 in 33
4	Coleraine	4	Aug 22 – Sep 5	1 in 29
5	Ballymena United	4	Aug 8 – Aug 22	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	11	Mar 6 – May 1	1 in 826
2	Institute Drumahoe	5	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 47
3	Cliftonville	10	Oct 27 – Feb 6	1 in 29
4	Newry City	5	Apr 13 – May 1	1 in 19
5	Coleraine	6	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	13	Aug 8 – Oct 10	1 in 244
2	Glenavon	11	Oct 17 – Jan 23	1 in 64
3	Coleraine	6	Mar 2 – Apr 3	1 in 57
4	Linfield	5	Nov 21 – Jan 26	1 in 48
5	Crusaders	6	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 37

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1197	74	+5	10	9.4	+0.6
Cliftonville	1127	69	+28	12	7.4	+4.6
Glentoran	1092	65	-15	6	7.5	-1.5
Crusaders	1045	60	-3	5	6.1	-1.1
Coleraine	1052	57	+1	8	9.2	-1.2
Dungannon Swifts	984	57	-1	6	4.3	+1.7
Portadown	1076	55	-14	4	6.8	-2.8
Glenavon	912	43	-22	1	6.3	-5.3
Newry City	922	42	+18	11	6.1	+4.9
Ballymena United	957	40	-6	4	7.2	-3.2
Lisburn Distillery	961	39	+19	11	6.7	+4.3
Institute Drumahoe	905	31	-10	5	5.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	ID	LIN	LD	NC	POR
Ballymena United	—	2-0-1 2.87	1-0-3 4.59	1-1-1 3.11	0-0-3 4.04	1-2-1 5.69	1-0-2 2.50	2-2-0 5.86	1-0-2 2.06	1-1-2 5.78	0-1-3 5.98	1-0-2 3.04
Cliftonville	1-0-2 5.45	—	0-1-2 4.98	3-0-1 5.88	3-1-0 7.20	2-0-1 5.24	1-0-3 5.04	2-1-0 5.69	2-1-1 4.09	3-0-0 5.85	2-1-0 5.47	2-1-1 5.79
Coleraine	3-0-1 6.47	2-1-0 3.32	—	2-0-1 3.52	1-1-1 4.44	2-0-2 6.72	2-0-1 3.11	1-3-0 7.12	1-1-1 2.82	1-1-2 7.18	1-1-2 7.09	0-1-2 3.67
Crusaders	1-1-1 5.19	1-0-3 5.16	1-0-2 4.76	—	1-1-2 6.63	2-1-0 5.14	2-2-0 4.61	1-0-2 5.35	1-1-2 3.90	2-1-0 5.41	2-1-0 5.36	3-1-0 5.31
Dungannon Swifts	3-0-0 4.24	0-1-3 3.89	1-1-1 3.84	2-1-1 4.42	—	2-0-1 4.31	1-2-1 3.61	2-0-1 4.26	0-1-3 2.87	2-1-0 4.25	1-1-1 4.28	2-1-1 4.11
Glenavon	1-2-1 5.34	1-0-2 3.06	2-0-2 4.35	0-1-2 3.17	1-0-2 3.96	—	0-1-2 2.69	2-0-2 5.70	1-0-2 2.10	2-1-1 5.54	2-1-1 5.52	0-1-2 3.22
Glentoran	2-0-1 5.86	3-0-1 6.01	1-0-2 5.20	0-2-2 6.44	1-2-1 7.50	2-1-0 5.65	—	2-1-0 5.90	0-2-2 4.86	3-0-0 5.80	2-0-1 5.85	3-0-1 6.29
Institute Drumahoe	0-2-2 5.19	0-1-2 2.66	0-3-1 3.97	2-0-1 2.96	1-0-2 4.02	2-0-2 5.34	0-1-2 2.46	—	0-1-2 2.04	1-0-3 5.40	0-3-1 5.41	0-2-1 2.83
Linfield	2-0-1 6.35	1-1-2 6.98	1-1-1 5.50	2-1-1 7.20	3-1-0 8.32	2-0-1 6.31	2-2-0 6.19	2-1-0 6.38	—	3-0-0 6.37	3-0-0 6.26	1-1-2 7.19
Lisburn Distillery	2-1-1 5.26	0-0-3 2.53	2-1-1 3.92	0-1-2 2.90	0-1-2 4.04	1-1-2 5.51	0-0-3 2.57	3-0-1 5.64	0-0-3 2.04	—	2-1-1 5.77	1-0-2 2.90
Newry City	3-1-0 5.06	0-1-2 2.86	2-1-1 4.01	0-1-2 2.96	1-1-1 4.00	1-1-2 5.51	1-0-2 2.51	1-3-0 5.62	0-0-3 2.14	1-1-2 5.27	—	0-2-1 3.23
Portadown	2-0-1 5.27	1-1-2 5.24	2-1-0 4.62	0-1-3 5.73	1-1-2 6.96	2-1-0 5.09	1-0-3 4.76	1-2-0 5.50	2-1-1 3.90	2-0-1 5.43	1-2-0 5.07	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+8.0
Allowed	0.68	-10.2
Differential	0.87	+5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.70%	8.55%	3.73%	3.73%	1.32%	1.32%	24.34%
1	8.55%	8.77%	9.43%	3.07%	1.54%	0.44%	31.80%
2	3.73%	9.43%	7.02%	3.95%	0.66%	0.66%	25.44%
3	3.73%	3.07%	3.95%	0.88%	0.22%	—	11.84%
4	1.32%	1.54%	0.66%	0.22%	0.44%	—	4.17%
5+	1.32%	0.44%	0.66%	—	—	—	2.41%
Total	24.34%	31.80%	25.44%	11.84%	4.17%	2.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.48	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.89
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	8	8	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	39.47%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	31.58%	28.95%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.47	-0.26
SD	0.93	1.08	1.41
CV	0.77	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
1	10.53%	10.53%	13.16%	—	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	7.89%	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	36.84%	28.95%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.11	+0.71
SD	1.27	0.89	1.68
CV	0.70	0.81	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
1	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
2	—	5.26%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	18.42%	31.58%	21.05%	26.32%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.63	+0.37
SD	1.47	1.15	1.85
CV	0.74	0.70	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	34.21%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	36.84%	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.37	+0.13
SD	1.03	1.26	1.63
CV	0.69	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	39.47%	21.05%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.53	-0.05
SD	1.33	1.61	1.93
CV	0.90	1.05	—
Max	5	8	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	—	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	—	10.53%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	28.95%	31.58%	21.05%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.76	-0.53
SD	1.08	1.10	1.66
CV	0.87	0.62	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	31.58%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	31.58%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.21	+0.32
SD	1.06	1.30	1.85
CV	0.69	1.07	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	—	10.53%	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	18.42%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	—	52.63%
2	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	34.21%	23.68%	23.68%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.63	-0.68
SD	0.70	1.10	1.30
CV	0.73	0.67	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	39.47%	34.21%	21.05%	—	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	0.97	+1.08
SD	1.58	1.05	2.16
CV	0.77	1.08	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	36.84%
1	5.26%	2.63%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	23.68%
2	—	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	26.32%	36.84%	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	2.00	-0.82
SD	1.11	1.51	2.01
CV	0.94	0.75	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	10.53%	—	13.16%	—	5.26%	47.37%
1	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	28.95%	18.42%	15.79%	2.63%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.66	-0.66
SD	1.23	1.56	2.03
CV	1.23	0.94	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	15.79%
1	10.53%	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
2	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	31.58%	21.05%	28.95%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.45	+0.39
SD	1.73	1.33	2.18
CV	0.94	0.92	—
Max	8	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1197	74	62.55	+11.45	57.0%	48	50	57	62	68	74	76
Cliftonville	1127	69	53.43	+15.57	71.0%	35	42	47	54	59	69	72
Glentoran	1092	65	58.78	+6.22	51.0%	42	46	54	59	64	70	80
Portadown	1076	55	51.58	+3.42	49.0%	34	37	46	52	58	65	71
Coleraine	1052	57	45.25	+11.75	78.0%	25	33	42	45	49	57	73
Crusaders	1045	60	50.67	+9.33	76.0%	38	40	45	49	55	62	69
Dungannon Swifts	984	57	38.37	+18.63	94.0%	24	27	32	38	43	52	56
Lisburn Distillery	961	39	37.28	+1.72	9.0%	17	23	32	37	43	50	58
Ballymena United	957	40	38.68	+1.32	38.0%	21	25	33	40	44	50	54
Newry City	922	42	37.54	+4.46	28.0%	24	26	31	37	43	51	57
Glenavon	912	43	38.20	+4.80	75.0%	25	28	33	39	42	49	59
Institute Drumahoe	905	31	36.64	-5.64	12.0%	18	23	31	37	42	49	56

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.14%

No Edge

41.67%22.81%35.53%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.36 Elo pts.

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.11 goals

Neutral

-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.0

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

46%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.13/gm

Tight Race

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.03 * Some Luck: 6.03 to 9.04 * Lucky: 9.04 to 12.06 * Wild Swing: 12.06 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.04 * Way Off: 3.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.27 points

Some Luck

07.5419

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.904

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Dungannon Swifts

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

9.00%

Lisburn Distillery

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 91.61

1.64

Coin-Flip Parity

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

71%

Slight Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.67

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.59

Some Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.65

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.87

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.025

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	46.00%	31.00%	14.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	8.00%	18.00%	20.00%	20.00%	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Glentoran	32.00%	25.00%	17.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Crusaders	5.00%	11.00%	15.00%	14.00%	18.00%	18.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%	18.00%	14.00%
Portadown	8.00%	12.00%	18.00%	17.00%	16.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Coleraine	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	15.00%	20.00%	14.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Glenavon	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	2.00%	16.00%	10.00%	19.00%	17.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Newry City	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	17.00%	20.00%	18.00%
Ballymena United	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	10.00%	14.00%	12.00%	18.00%	16.00%	15.00%	7.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%	22.00%
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%	26.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	92.43%	6.79%	0.72%	0.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	5.32%	57.52%	27.92%	7.91%	1.23%	0.10%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	2.02%	28.49%	46.12%	18.30%	4.61%	0.46%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	0.23%	6.21%	18.98%	47.21%	22.45%	4.92%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	0.22%	1.34%	8.01%	28.58%	61.85%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	0.77%	4.92%	18.51%	43.13%	32.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	—	—	—	98.27%	1.73%	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.72%	90.77%	7.21%	0.30%	—	—
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	6.83%	70.36%	19.97%	2.79%	0.04%
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.65%	18.76%	56.08%	20.00%	4.51%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	3.17%	18.42%	53.87%	24.52%
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.50%	5.23%	23.34%	70.93%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round
Ballymena United	92.00%	8.00%
Cliftonville	100%	—
Coleraine	97.00%	3.00%
Crusaders	100%	—
Dungannon Swifts	91.00%	9.00%
Glenavon	87.00%	13.00%
Glentoran	100%	—
Institute Drumahoe	74.00%	26.00%
Linfield	100%	—
Lisburn Distillery	78.00%	22.00%
Newry City	81.00%	19.00%
Portadown	100%	—

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round
Ballymena United	95.49%	4.51%
Cliftonville	100%	—
Coleraine	100%	—
Crusaders	100%	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—
Glenavon	100%	—
Glentoran	100%	—
Institute Drumahoe	29.07%	70.93%
Linfield	100%	—
Lisburn Distillery	75.48%	24.52%
Newry City	99.96%	0.04%
Portadown	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-08-08	Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.4	967	1047	30.00%	23.76%	46.24%	-0.35	-4.5	0
2009-08-08	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	38.4	1047	967	46.24%	23.76%	30.00%	+0.35	+4.5	3
2009-08-08	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	42.8	973	949	44.37%	23.93%	31.70%	+0.27	-6.1	0
2009-08-08	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	42.8	949	973	31.70%	23.93%	44.37%	-0.27	+6.1	3
2009-08-08	Glentoran	L 0-4	33.4	1036	1102	31.84%	23.95%	44.21%	-0.26	-16.8	0
2009-08-08	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	33.4	1102	1036	44.21%	23.95%	31.84%	+0.26	+16.8	3
2009-08-08	Linfield	D 2-2	58.6	995	1142	22.86%	22.32%	54.81%	-0.74	+0.7	1
2009-08-08	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	58.6	1142	995	54.81%	22.32%	22.86%	+0.74	-0.7	1
2009-08-08	Newry City	D 1-1	52.4	961	970	39.57%	24.18%	36.26%	+0.07	-0.1	1
2009-08-08	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.4	970	961	36.26%	24.18%	39.57%	-0.07	+0.1	1
2009-08-08	Portadown	W 3-1	42.7	1040	1048	39.90%	24.17%	35.93%	+0.08	+8.4	3
2009-08-08	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	42.7	1048	1040	35.93%	24.17%	39.90%	-0.08	-8.4	0
2009-08-15	Ballymena United	W 2-1	45.5	955	962	39.90%	24.17%	35.94%	+0.08	+4.9	6
2009-08-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.5	962	955	35.94%	24.17%	39.90%	-0.08	-4.9	0
2009-08-15	Coleraine	L 0-1	44.0	1052	996	48.71%	23.45%	27.84%	+0.46	-6.6	3
2009-08-15	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	44.0	996	1052	27.84%	23.45%	48.71%	-0.46	+6.6	4
2009-08-15	Crusaders	L 0-1	45.1	1141	1049	53.35%	22.64%	24.00%	+0.67	-7.1	1
2009-08-15	@ Linfield	W 1-0	45.1	1049	1141	24.00%	22.64%	53.35%	-0.67	+7.1	6
2009-08-15	Glenavon	L 2-3	54.4	1020	960	49.09%	23.40%	27.52%	+0.47	-5.9	0
2009-08-15	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	54.4	960	1020	27.52%	23.40%	49.09%	-0.47	+5.9	4
2009-08-15	Glentoran	L 1-2	43.7	1039	1119	30.10%	23.77%	46.13%	-0.35	-4.2	0
2009-08-15	@ Portadown	W 2-1	43.7	1119	1039	46.13%	23.77%	30.10%	+0.35	+4.2	6
2009-08-15	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	42.3	970	967	41.43%	24.12%	34.46%	+0.15	+8.2	4
2009-08-15	@ Newry City	L 1-3	42.3	967	970	34.46%	24.12%	41.43%	-0.15	-8.2	0
2009-08-18	Ballymena United	W 3-2	48.5	1002	957	47.15%	23.66%	29.20%	+0.39	+3.9	7
2009-08-18	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	48.5	957	1002	29.20%	23.66%	47.15%	-0.39	-3.9	0
2009-08-18	Cliftonville	L 2-3	52.6	1056	1045	42.41%	24.07%	33.52%	+0.19	-5.2	6
2009-08-18	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	52.6	1045	1056	33.52%	24.07%	42.41%	-0.19	+5.2	6
2009-08-18	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	42.6	979	960	43.60%	23.99%	32.41%	+0.24	-6.0	4
2009-08-18	@ Newry City	W 1-0	42.6	960	979	32.41%	23.99%	43.60%	-0.24	+6.0	9
2009-08-18	Linfield	D 2-2	58.1	1123	1134	39.45%	24.18%	36.37%	+0.06	-0.1	7
2009-08-18	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	58.1	1134	1123	36.37%	24.18%	39.45%	-0.06	+0.1	2
2009-08-18	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	47.5	959	1014	33.28%	24.05%	42.66%	-0.20	+5.6	3
2009-08-18	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	47.5	1014	959	42.66%	24.05%	33.28%	+0.20	-5.6	0
2009-08-18	Portadown	D 2-2	58.1	966	1035	31.50%	23.92%	44.59%	-0.28	+0.3	5
2009-08-18	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.1	1035	966	44.59%	23.92%	31.50%	+0.28	-0.3	1
2009-08-22	Coleraine	W 1-0	41.7	966	1006	35.24%	24.15%	40.62%	-0.11	+5.7	12
2009-08-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	41.7	1006	966	40.62%	24.15%	35.24%	+0.11	-5.7	7
2009-08-22	Crusaders	L 1-2	43.0	954	1050	28.09%	23.49%	48.42%	-0.45	-4.0	0
2009-08-22	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	43.0	1050	954	48.42%	23.49%	28.09%	+0.45	+4.0	9
2009-08-22	Glenavon	W 4-1	33.6	1134	967	62.17%	20.23%	17.60%	+1.11	+6.3	5
2009-08-22	@ Linfield	L 1-4	33.6	967	1134	17.60%	20.23%	62.17%	-1.11	-6.3	5
2009-08-22	Glentoran	L 1-2	44.0	1051	1123	30.99%	23.87%	45.14%	-0.30	-4.3	6
2009-08-22	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	44.0	1123	1051	45.14%	23.87%	30.99%	+0.30	+4.3	10
2009-08-22	Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	48.5	1035	964	50.53%	23.17%	26.30%	+0.54	-0.8	2
2009-08-22	@ Portadown	D 0-0	48.5	964	1035	26.30%	23.17%	50.53%	-0.54	+0.8	4
2009-08-22	Newry City	L 2-4	49.8	1008	973	45.92%	23.79%	30.29%	+0.34	-9.1	0
2009-08-22	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-2	49.8	973	1008	30.29%	23.79%	45.92%	-0.34	+9.1	7
2009-08-25	Cliftonville	W 3-2	53.9	960	1046	29.37%	23.68%	46.95%	-0.38	+5.7	8
2009-08-25	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	53.9	1046	960	46.95%	23.68%	29.37%	+0.38	-5.7	6
2009-08-25	Coleraine	W 1-0	37.8	1054	1000	48.40%	23.49%	28.10%	+0.44	+4.2	12
2009-08-25	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	37.8	1000	1054	28.10%	23.49%	48.40%	-0.44	-4.2	7
2009-08-25	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	48.3	999	971	44.83%	23.89%	31.28%	+0.29	-0.4	1
2009-08-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.3	971	999	31.28%	23.89%	44.83%	-0.29	+0.4	13
2009-08-25	Linfield	L 1-2	40.0	965	1140	20.35%	21.46%	58.19%	-0.91	-3.0	4
2009-08-25	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	40.0	1140	965	58.19%	21.46%	20.35%	+0.91	+3.0	8
2009-08-25	Portadown	D 0-0	48.3	982	1034	33.63%	24.07%	42.30%	-0.18	+0.3	8
2009-08-25	@ Newry City	D 0-0	48.3	1034	982	42.30%	24.07%	33.63%	+0.18	-0.3	3
2009-08-26	Ballymena United	L 1-2	52.5	1128	950	63.34%	19.83%	16.83%	+1.17	-7.7	10
2009-08-26	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	52.5	950	1128	16.83%	19.83%	63.34%	-1.17	+7.7	3
2009-08-28	Lisburn Distillery	W 6-1	36.3	1034	999	45.84%	23.80%	30.36%	+0.33	+16.5	6
2009-08-28	@ Portadown	L 1-6	36.3	999	1034	30.36%	23.80%	45.84%	-0.33	-16.5	1
2009-08-29	Crusaders	L 1-2	43.4	972	1059	29.26%	23.66%	47.07%	-0.39	-4.1	13
2009-08-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	43.4	1059	972	47.07%	23.66%	29.26%	+0.39	+4.1	15
2009-08-29	Newry City	W 3-0	28.6	1143	982	61.50%	20.46%	18.05%	+1.08	+7.6	11
2009-08-29	@ Linfield	L 0-3	28.6	982	1143	18.05%	20.46%	61.50%	-1.08	-7.6	8
2009-09-01	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.5	962	1041	30.29%	23.79%	45.92%	-0.34	+0.5	5
2009-09-01	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.5	1041	962	45.92%	23.79%	30.29%	+0.34	-0.4	7
2009-09-01	Glenavon	L 0-3	36.2	957	966	39.71%	24.17%	36.12%	+0.07	-15.2	3
2009-09-01	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	36.2	966	957	36.12%	24.17%	39.71%	-0.07	+15.3	11
2009-09-01	Glentoran	L 0-1	36.7	996	1120	25.15%	22.93%	51.92%	-0.60	-3.8	7
2009-09-01	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	36.7	1120	996	51.92%	22.93%	25.15%	+0.60	+3.8	13
2009-09-05	Ballymena United	L 0-1	42.7	963	942	43.87%	23.97%	32.16%	+0.25	-6.0	5
2009-09-05	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	42.7	942	963	32.16%	23.97%	43.87%	-0.25	+6.0	6
2009-09-05	Coleraine	W 3-2	50.9	981	992	39.39%	24.18%	36.43%	+0.06	+4.7	14
2009-09-05	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	50.9	992	981	36.43%	24.18%	39.39%	-0.06	-4.7	7
2009-09-05	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-4	44.8	1050	968	52.09%	22.89%	25.01%	+0.61	-16.0	6
2009-09-05	@ Portadown	W 4-1	44.8	968	1050	25.01%	22.89%	52.09%	-0.61	+16.0	16
2009-09-06	Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.2	974	1040	31.85%	23.95%	44.20%	-0.26	-4.4	8
2009-09-06	@ Newry City	W 2-1	44.2	1040	974	44.20%	23.95%	31.85%	+0.26	+4.4	10
2009-09-12	Cliftonville	L 0-5	34.0	982	1045	32.29%	23.98%	43.73%	-0.24	-20.9	1
2009-09-12	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-0	34.0	1045	982	43.73%	23.98%	32.29%	+0.24	+20.9	13
2009-09-12	Glenavon	W 3-0	31.7	1063	986	51.38%	23.03%	25.59%	+0.58	+10.7	18
2009-09-12	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	31.7	986	1063	25.59%	23.03%	51.38%	-0.58	-10.7	14
2009-09-12	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.9	984	1124	23.51%	22.51%	53.97%	-0.70	+0.9	17
2009-09-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.9	1124	984	53.97%	22.51%	23.51%	+0.70	-0.9	14
2009-09-12	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	41.1	988	957	45.27%	23.85%	30.87%	+0.31	+7.5	10
2009-09-12	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	41.1	957	988	30.87%	23.85%	45.27%	-0.31	-7.5	5
2009-09-12	Newry City	L 1-2	46.1	948	970	37.83%	24.19%	37.98%	+0.00	-5.1	6
2009-09-12	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	46.1	970	948	37.98%	24.19%	37.83%	+0.00	+5.1	11
2009-09-12	Portadown	D 1-1	53.1	1151	1034	56.35%	21.96%	21.70%	+0.81	-1.0	12
2009-09-12	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.1	1034	1151	21.70%	21.96%	56.35%	-0.81	+1.1	7
2009-09-15	Ballymena United	L 0-2	39.4	961	943	43.52%	24.00%	32.48%	+0.23	-11.3	1
2009-09-15	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	39.4	943	961	32.48%	24.00%	43.52%	-0.23	+11.3	9
2009-09-15	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.0	1035	1066	36.62%	24.18%	39.20%	-0.05	+0.0	8
2009-09-15	@ Portadown	D 2-2	58.0	1066	1035	39.20%	24.18%	36.62%	+0.05	-0.0	14
2009-09-15	Coleraine	W 2-1	46.1	975	995	38.08%	24.19%	37.73%	+0.01	+5.0	14
2009-09-15	@ Newry City	L 1-2	46.1	995	975	37.73%	24.19%	38.08%	-0.01	-5.1	10
2009-09-15	Crusaders	W 1-0	44.8	949	1073	25.11%	22.92%	51.98%	-0.61	+6.9	8
2009-09-15	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	44.8	1073	949	51.98%	22.92%	25.11%	+0.61	-6.9	18
2009-09-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.7	1150	985	61.93%	20.31%	17.76%	+1.10	+2.7	15
2009-09-15	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.7	985	1150	17.76%	20.31%	61.93%	-1.10	-2.7	17
2009-09-15	Glentoran	D 2-2	58.6	975	1123	22.79%	22.30%	54.90%	-0.74	+0.7	15
2009-09-15	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.6	1123	975	54.90%	22.30%	22.79%	+0.74	-0.7	15
2009-09-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	50.6	976	982	40.12%	24.16%	35.72%	+0.09	+4.6	18
2009-09-19	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	50.6	982	976	35.72%	24.16%	40.12%	-0.09	-4.6	17
2009-09-19	Newry City	D 1-1	52.8	1067	980	52.62%	22.79%	24.59%	+0.64	-0.8	19
2009-09-19	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.8	980	1067	24.59%	22.79%	52.62%	-0.64	+0.8	15
2009-09-19	Portadown	W 2-1	48.5	954	1035	29.97%	23.75%	46.27%	-0.35	+5.9	12
2009-09-19	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.5	1035	954	46.27%	23.75%	29.97%	+0.35	-5.9	8
2009-09-21	Linfield	W 4-0	37.9	1065	1153	29.24%	23.66%	47.10%	-0.39	+22.8	17
2009-09-21	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	37.9	1153	1065	47.10%	23.66%	29.24%	+0.39	-22.8	15
2009-09-22	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.6	1122	956	62.02%	20.28%	17.70%	+1.10	-1.4	16
2009-09-22	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.6	956	1122	17.70%	20.28%	62.02%	-1.10	+1.4	9
2009-09-22	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	43.5	990	950	46.53%	23.73%	29.74%	+0.36	+4.2	13
2009-09-22	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	43.5	950	990	29.74%	23.73%	46.53%	-0.36	-4.2	1
2009-09-26	Ballymena United	W 1-0	33.6	1130	960	62.41%	20.15%	17.44%	+1.12	+2.7	18
2009-09-26	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.6	960	1130	17.44%	20.15%	62.41%	-1.12	-2.7	12
2009-09-26	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.7	977	1088	26.51%	23.22%	50.27%	-0.53	+0.7	18
2009-09-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.7	1088	977	50.27%	23.22%	26.51%	+0.53	-0.7	18
2009-09-26	Coleraine	W 4-0	32.9	1029	994	45.84%	23.80%	30.36%	+0.33	+16.1	11
2009-09-26	@ Portadown	L 0-4	32.9	994	1029	30.36%	23.80%	45.84%	-0.33	-16.1	13
2009-09-26	Crusaders	L 0-1	36.9	946	1066	25.55%	23.02%	51.43%	-0.58	-3.9	1
2009-09-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	36.9	1066	946	51.43%	23.02%	25.55%	+0.58	+3.9	22
2009-09-26	Glenavon	L 0-1	40.9	958	981	37.66%	24.19%	38.15%	-0.01	-5.3	9
2009-09-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	40.9	981	958	38.15%	24.19%	37.66%	+0.01	+5.4	21
2009-09-26	Glentoran	L 1-2	41.3	981	1121	23.53%	22.52%	53.96%	-0.70	-3.4	15
2009-09-26	@ Newry City	W 2-1	41.3	1121	981	53.96%	22.52%	23.53%	+0.70	+3.4	19
2009-10-02	Glenavon	L 0-3	36.3	977	986	39.74%	24.17%	36.08%	+0.08	-15.3	15
2009-10-02	@ Newry City	W 3-0	36.3	986	977	36.08%	24.17%	39.74%	-0.08	+15.3	24
2009-10-03	Crusaders	L 1-2	46.0	1045	1070	37.50%	24.19%	38.31%	-0.02	-5.0	11
2009-10-03	@ Portadown	W 2-1	46.0	1070	1045	38.31%	24.19%	37.50%	+0.02	+5.0	25
2009-10-03	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	44.1	978	952	44.57%	23.92%	31.51%	+0.28	+4.4	21
2009-10-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	44.1	952	978	31.51%	23.92%	44.57%	-0.28	-4.4	9
2009-10-03	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	33.2	1124	942	63.79%	19.66%	16.54%	+1.20	+2.5	22
2009-10-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	33.2	942	1124	16.54%	19.66%	63.79%	-1.20	-2.6	1
2009-10-06	Ballymena United	L 0-2	42.9	1088	957	57.93%	21.54%	20.53%	+0.89	-14.3	18
2009-10-06	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	42.9	957	1088	20.53%	21.54%	57.93%	-0.89	+14.3	15
2009-10-06	Crusaders	L 0-1	43.8	1127	1075	48.14%	23.53%	28.33%	+0.43	-6.5	22
2009-10-06	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	43.8	1075	1127	28.33%	23.53%	48.14%	-0.43	+6.5	28
2009-10-06	Linfield	L 1-2	39.4	939	1132	18.88%	20.85%	60.27%	-1.01	-2.8	1
2009-10-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	39.4	1132	939	60.27%	20.85%	18.88%	+1.01	+2.8	21
2009-10-10	Cliftonville	D 3-3	62.4	978	1073	28.29%	23.52%	48.19%	-0.43	+0.4	14
2009-10-10	@ Coleraine	D 3-3	62.4	1073	978	48.19%	23.52%	28.29%	+0.43	-0.4	19
2009-10-10	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	41.4	972	982	39.45%	24.18%	36.37%	+0.06	-5.5	15
2009-10-10	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	41.4	982	972	36.37%	24.18%	39.45%	-0.06	+5.5	24
2009-10-10	Linfield	L 0-4	33.9	1081	1135	33.39%	24.06%	42.55%	-0.19	-17.4	28
2009-10-10	@ Crusaders	W 4-0	33.9	1135	1081	42.55%	24.06%	33.39%	+0.19	+17.4	24
2009-10-10	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.5	1001	937	49.80%	23.29%	26.91%	+0.51	+3.8	27
2009-10-10	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	42.5	937	1001	26.91%	23.29%	49.80%	-0.51	-3.8	1
2009-10-10	Newry City	D 0-0	48.2	948	962	38.91%	24.19%	36.90%	+0.04	-0.1	10
2009-10-10	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	48.2	962	948	36.90%	24.19%	38.91%	-0.04	+0.1	16
2009-10-10	Portadown	W 1-0	36.8	1120	1040	51.77%	22.96%	25.28%	+0.60	+3.8	25
2009-10-10	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	36.8	1040	1120	25.28%	22.96%	51.77%	-0.60	-3.8	11
2009-10-17	Coleraine	W 3-2	50.9	966	978	39.22%	24.18%	36.60%	+0.05	+4.7	18
2009-10-17	@ Ballymena United	L 2-3	50.9	978	966	36.60%	24.18%	39.22%	-0.05	-4.7	14
2009-10-17	Crusaders	L 1-2	47.4	1073	1064	42.26%	24.08%	33.66%	+0.18	-5.5	19
2009-10-17	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.4	1064	1073	33.66%	24.08%	42.26%	-0.18	+5.5	31
2009-10-17	Glenavon	W 2-0	35.5	1037	1005	45.35%	23.85%	30.80%	+0.31	+8.6	14
2009-10-17	@ Portadown	L 0-2	35.5	1005	1037	30.80%	23.85%	45.35%	-0.31	-8.6	27
2009-10-17	Glentoran	W 2-1	44.1	1153	1124	44.94%	23.88%	31.17%	+0.29	+4.3	27
2009-10-17	@ Linfield	L 1-2	44.1	1124	1153	31.17%	23.88%	44.94%	-0.29	-4.3	25
2009-10-17	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	45.8	933	948	38.81%	24.19%	37.00%	+0.04	+5.0	4
2009-10-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	45.8	948	933	37.00%	24.19%	38.81%	-0.04	-5.0	10
2009-10-17	Newry City	D 0-0	48.3	988	962	44.55%	23.92%	31.53%	+0.28	-0.4	25
2009-10-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	48.3	962	988	31.53%	23.92%	44.55%	-0.28	+0.4	17
2009-10-24	Cliftonville	W 2-1	43.1	1120	1067	48.17%	23.53%	28.30%	+0.43	+4.0	28
2009-10-24	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	43.1	1067	1120	28.30%	23.53%	48.17%	-0.43	-4.0	19
2009-10-24	Crusaders	W 2-0	40.7	971	1069	27.93%	23.47%	48.60%	-0.45	+12.3	21
2009-10-24	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	40.7	1069	971	48.60%	23.47%	27.93%	+0.45	-12.4	31
2009-10-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	45.8	974	988	39.00%	24.19%	36.82%	+0.04	+5.0	17
2009-10-24	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	45.8	988	974	36.82%	24.19%	39.00%	-0.04	-5.0	25
2009-10-24	Linfield	L 1-2	40.6	996	1157	21.61%	21.93%	56.47%	-0.82	-3.1	27
2009-10-24	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	40.6	1157	996	56.47%	21.93%	21.61%	+0.82	+3.1	30
2009-10-24	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	42.8	963	938	44.45%	23.93%	31.62%	+0.27	-6.1	17
2009-10-24	@ Newry City	W 1-0	42.8	938	963	31.62%	23.93%	44.45%	-0.27	+6.1	7
2009-10-24	Portadown	D 1-1	52.7	943	1045	27.47%	23.39%	49.14%	-0.48	+0.6	11
2009-10-24	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.7	1045	943	49.14%	23.39%	27.47%	+0.48	-0.6	15
2009-10-27	Crusaders	W 4-1	43.2	979	1057	30.32%	23.79%	45.89%	-0.33	+14.4	20
2009-10-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	43.2	1057	979	45.89%	23.79%	30.32%	+0.33	-14.4	31
2009-10-27	Glenavon	W 3-2	47.5	1063	993	50.51%	23.18%	26.31%	+0.54	+3.6	22
2009-10-27	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	47.5	993	1063	26.31%	23.18%	50.51%	-0.54	-3.6	27
2009-10-27	Glentoran	L 2-3	46.5	983	1124	23.48%	22.50%	54.02%	-0.70	-3.2	21
2009-10-27	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	46.5	1124	983	54.02%	22.50%	23.48%	+0.70	+3.2	31
2009-10-27	Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	59.8	1160	943	67.36%	18.29%	14.35%	+1.40	-1.2	31
2009-10-27	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.8	943	1160	14.35%	18.29%	67.36%	-1.40	+1.2	12
2009-10-27	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	43.6	983	944	46.34%	23.75%	29.91%	+0.35	+4.2	28
2009-10-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.6	944	983	29.91%	23.75%	46.34%	-0.35	-4.2	7
2009-10-27	Newry City	D 0-0	48.7	1044	957	52.79%	22.76%	24.45%	+0.64	-0.9	16
2009-10-27	@ Portadown	D 0-0	48.7	957	1044	24.45%	22.76%	52.79%	-0.64	+1.0	18
2009-11-03	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	28.8	1159	940	67.62%	18.18%	14.20%	+1.42	+4.1	34
2009-11-03	@ Linfield	L 0-2	28.8	940	1159	14.20%	18.18%	67.62%	-1.42	-4.1	7
2009-11-07	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.0	990	980	42.32%	24.07%	33.60%	+0.18	-0.2	28
2009-11-07	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.0	980	990	33.60%	24.07%	42.32%	-0.18	+0.2	22
2009-11-07	Coleraine	L 0-6	41.9	1127	993	58.37%	21.41%	20.22%	+0.91	-40.0	31
2009-11-07	@ Glentoran	W 6-0	41.9	993	1127	20.22%	21.41%	58.37%	-0.91	+40.0	23
2009-11-07	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	987	1042	33.17%	24.05%	42.78%	-0.20	+0.3	29
2009-11-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.5	1042	987	42.78%	24.05%	33.17%	+0.20	-0.3	32
2009-11-07	Linfield	L 0-6	29.4	958	1163	17.94%	20.41%	61.65%	-1.08	-14.5	18
2009-11-07	@ Newry City	W 6-0	29.4	1163	958	61.65%	20.41%	17.94%	+1.08	+14.5	37
2009-11-07	Portadown	L 0-3	32.1	936	1044	26.84%	23.28%	49.89%	-0.51	-11.1	7
2009-11-07	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	32.1	1044	936	49.89%	23.28%	26.84%	+0.51	+11.1	19
2009-11-14	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.5	1042	1087	34.62%	24.12%	41.26%	-0.14	+0.2	33
2009-11-14	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	1087	1042	41.26%	24.12%	34.62%	+0.14	-0.2	32
2009-11-14	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.5	980	945	45.91%	23.79%	30.29%	+0.34	-0.5	23
2009-11-14	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.5	945	980	30.29%	23.79%	45.91%	-0.34	+0.5	13
2009-11-14	Portadown	L 2-8	37.3	987	1055	31.62%	23.93%	44.45%	-0.27	-16.7	29
2009-11-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 8-2	37.3	1055	987	44.45%	23.93%	31.62%	+0.27	+16.7	22
2009-11-15	Newry City	W 3-2	45.5	1067	943	57.21%	21.73%	21.06%	+0.86	+2.9	25
2009-11-15	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	45.5	943	1067	21.06%	21.73%	57.21%	-0.86	-2.9	18
2009-11-16	Glenavon	W 3-0	33.0	1033	990	47.00%	23.67%	29.33%	+0.38	+12.0	26
2009-11-16	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	33.0	990	1033	29.33%	23.67%	47.00%	-0.38	-12.0	28
2009-11-21	Coleraine	D 2-2	58.2	945	1045	27.73%	23.43%	48.83%	-0.46	+0.5	14
2009-11-21	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	58.2	1045	945	48.83%	23.43%	27.73%	+0.46	-0.5	27
2009-11-21	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	978	1042	31.99%	23.96%	44.05%	-0.26	+0.3	29
2009-11-21	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.5	1042	978	44.05%	23.96%	31.99%	+0.26	-0.3	34
2009-11-21	Linfield	W 1-0	44.2	1071	1177	27.06%	23.32%	49.62%	-0.50	+6.7	25
2009-11-21	@ Portadown	L 0-1	44.2	1177	1071	49.62%	23.32%	27.06%	+0.50	-6.7	37
2009-11-28	Glenavon	W 2-0	32.5	1087	978	55.40%	22.19%	22.41%	+0.77	+6.5	35
2009-11-28	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	32.5	978	1087	22.41%	22.19%	55.40%	-0.77	-6.5	29
2009-11-28	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	50.4	1042	946	53.86%	22.54%	23.60%	+0.69	-6.7	34
2009-11-28	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	50.4	946	1042	23.60%	22.54%	53.86%	-0.69	+6.7	17
2009-11-28	Linfield	D 2-2	59.1	970	1171	18.32%	20.59%	61.10%	-1.05	+1.0	30
2009-11-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.1	1171	970	61.10%	20.59%	18.32%	+1.05	-1.0	38
2009-11-28	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	43.9	980	924	48.58%	23.47%	27.95%	+0.45	-6.5	23
2009-11-28	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	43.9	924	980	27.95%	23.47%	48.58%	-0.45	+6.6	10
2009-11-28	Newry City	W 3-0	30.6	1045	940	54.87%	22.31%	22.82%	+0.74	+9.6	30
2009-11-28	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	30.6	940	1045	22.82%	22.31%	54.87%	-0.74	-9.6	18
2009-11-28	Portadown	W 2-1	45.6	1070	1078	39.80%	24.17%	36.03%	+0.08	+4.9	28
2009-11-28	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	45.6	1078	1070	36.03%	24.17%	39.80%	-0.08	-4.9	25
2009-12-03	Ballymena United	W 3-2	52.2	930	973	34.90%	24.14%	40.96%	-0.13	+5.1	21
2009-12-03	@ Newry City	L 2-3	52.2	973	930	40.96%	24.14%	34.90%	+0.13	-5.1	23
2009-12-08	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.0	1093	971	56.97%	21.79%	21.23%	+0.84	-1.2	36
2009-12-08	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	49.0	971	1093	21.23%	21.79%	56.97%	-0.84	+1.2	31
2009-12-12	Ballymena United	W 2-0	32.6	1073	968	54.92%	22.30%	22.78%	+0.74	+6.6	28
2009-12-12	@ Portadown	L 0-2	32.6	968	1073	22.78%	22.30%	54.92%	-0.74	-6.6	23
2009-12-12	Cliftonville	L 1-2	50.4	1170	1075	53.68%	22.58%	23.74%	+0.69	-6.7	38
2009-12-12	@ Linfield	W 2-1	50.4	1075	1170	23.74%	22.58%	53.68%	-0.69	+6.7	31
2009-12-12	Coleraine	W 3-2	55.1	931	1054	25.20%	22.94%	51.86%	-0.60	+6.2	13
2009-12-12	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 2-3	55.1	1054	931	51.86%	22.94%	25.20%	+0.60	-6.2	30
2009-12-12	Crusaders	L 0-1	37.7	936	1035	27.77%	23.44%	48.79%	-0.46	-4.2	21
2009-12-12	@ Newry City	W 1-0	37.7	1035	936	48.79%	23.44%	27.77%	+0.46	+4.2	37
2009-12-12	Glenavon	W 4-0	34.3	973	971	41.12%	24.13%	34.75%	+0.13	+18.0	34
2009-12-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-4	34.3	971	973	34.75%	24.13%	41.12%	-0.13	-18.0	29
2009-12-12	Glentoran	L 0-3	30.9	952	1092	23.54%	22.52%	53.94%	-0.70	-9.9	17
2009-12-12	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	30.9	1092	952	53.94%	22.52%	23.54%	+0.70	+9.9	39
2009-12-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	36.4	1081	991	53.17%	22.68%	24.14%	+0.66	+3.7	34
2009-12-19	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	36.4	991	1081	24.14%	22.68%	53.17%	-0.66	-3.7	34
2009-12-19	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	42.3	953	942	42.51%	24.06%	33.43%	+0.19	-5.9	29
2009-12-19	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	42.3	942	953	33.43%	24.06%	42.51%	-0.19	+5.9	20
2009-12-19	Linfield	W 2-0	43.6	962	1163	18.23%	20.55%	61.22%	-1.06	+15.0	26
2009-12-19	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	43.6	1163	962	61.22%	20.55%	18.23%	+1.06	-15.0	38
2009-12-19	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.7	1039	937	54.59%	22.38%	23.03%	+0.73	+6.7	40
2009-12-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	32.7	937	1039	23.03%	22.38%	54.59%	-0.73	-6.7	13
2009-12-19	Newry City	L 0-1	47.1	1102	931	62.52%	20.11%	17.36%	+1.13	-8.1	39
2009-12-19	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	47.1	931	1102	17.36%	20.11%	62.52%	-1.13	+8.1	24
2009-12-26	Cliftonville	L 1-2	45.4	1046	1085	35.41%	24.15%	40.43%	-0.10	-4.8	40
2009-12-26	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	45.4	1085	1046	40.43%	24.15%	35.41%	+0.10	+4.8	37
2010-01-02	Portadown	W 3-2	52.0	1041	1080	35.50%	24.16%	40.35%	-0.10	+5.0	43
2010-01-02	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	52.0	1080	1041	40.35%	24.16%	35.50%	+0.10	-5.0	28
2010-01-19	Glenavon	D 0-0	48.2	930	948	38.52%	24.19%	37.29%	+0.03	-0.0	14
2010-01-19	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	48.2	948	930	37.29%	24.19%	38.52%	-0.03	+0.0	30
2010-01-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	36.3	939	987	34.28%	24.11%	41.61%	-0.15	+20.7	27
2010-01-20	@ Newry City	L 0-4	36.3	987	939	41.61%	24.11%	34.28%	+0.15	-20.7	34
2010-01-23	Ballymena United	W 3-0	30.2	1094	976	56.43%	21.94%	21.64%	+0.82	+9.1	42
2010-01-23	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	30.2	976	1094	21.64%	21.94%	56.43%	-0.82	-9.1	26
2010-01-23	Cliftonville	L 0-2	32.8	948	1090	23.29%	22.45%	54.26%	-0.71	-6.7	30
2010-01-23	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	32.8	1090	948	54.26%	22.45%	23.29%	+0.71	+6.8	40
2010-01-23	Coleraine	L 2-5	44.7	1046	1048	40.71%	24.14%	35.14%	+0.12	-11.4	43
2010-01-23	@ Crusaders	W 5-2	44.7	1048	1046	35.14%	24.14%	40.71%	-0.12	+11.4	33
2010-01-23	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-5	43.2	930	966	35.87%	24.17%	39.96%	-0.08	-10.3	14
2010-01-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-2	43.2	966	930	39.96%	24.17%	35.87%	+0.08	+10.3	37
2010-01-23	Portadown	L 1-5	35.6	960	1075	26.13%	23.14%	50.74%	-0.55	-11.8	27
2010-01-23	@ Newry City	W 5-1	35.6	1075	960	50.74%	23.14%	26.13%	+0.55	+11.8	31
2010-01-26	Ballymena United	W 3-1	38.7	1059	967	53.32%	22.65%	24.03%	+0.67	+6.0	36
2010-01-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	38.7	967	1059	24.03%	22.65%	53.32%	-0.67	-6.0	26
2010-01-26	Linfield	D 2-2	58.1	1103	1148	34.60%	24.12%	41.28%	-0.14	+0.1	43
2010-01-26	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	58.1	1148	1103	41.28%	24.12%	34.60%	+0.14	-0.1	39
2010-01-30	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	54.4	1035	976	49.00%	23.41%	27.59%	+0.47	-5.9	43
2010-01-30	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	54.4	976	1035	27.59%	23.41%	49.00%	-0.47	+5.9	40
2010-01-30	Glentoran	W 4-3	55.0	1065	1103	35.59%	24.16%	40.25%	-0.10	+4.9	39
2010-01-30	@ Coleraine	L 3-4	55.0	1103	1065	40.25%	24.16%	35.59%	+0.10	-4.9	43
2010-01-30	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	29.1	1097	948	60.06%	20.92%	19.03%	+1.00	+8.0	43
2010-01-30	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	29.1	948	1097	19.03%	20.92%	60.06%	-1.00	-8.0	20
2010-01-30	Newry City	W 5-0	27.4	1148	948	65.62%	18.98%	15.40%	+1.30	+10.4	42
2010-01-30	@ Linfield	L 0-5	27.4	948	1148	15.40%	18.98%	65.62%	-1.30	-10.4	27
2010-02-02	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	33.7	1105	940	61.86%	20.34%	17.80%	+1.10	+6.3	46
2010-02-02	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	33.7	940	1105	17.80%	20.34%	61.86%	-1.10	-6.3	20
2010-02-02	Newry City	W 1-0	39.9	941	938	41.36%	24.12%	34.52%	+0.14	+5.0	33
2010-02-02	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	39.9	938	941	34.52%	24.12%	41.36%	-0.14	-5.0	27
2010-02-06	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.0	934	961	37.03%	24.19%	38.78%	-0.04	+0.0	21
2010-02-06	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	58.0	961	934	38.78%	24.19%	37.03%	+0.04	-0.0	27
2010-02-06	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.3	933	1111	20.08%	21.36%	58.56%	-0.92	+1.2	28
2010-02-06	@ Newry City	D 1-1	53.3	1111	933	58.56%	21.36%	20.08%	+0.92	-1.2	47
2010-02-06	Coleraine	W 2-1	50.0	946	1070	25.07%	22.91%	52.02%	-0.61	+6.5	36
2010-02-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	50.0	1070	946	52.02%	22.91%	25.07%	+0.61	-6.5	39
2010-02-06	Crusaders	D 0-0	48.5	1098	1029	50.39%	23.20%	26.41%	+0.53	-0.8	44
2010-02-06	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.5	1029	1098	26.41%	23.20%	50.39%	-0.53	+0.8	44
2010-02-06	Linfield	L 0-5	27.6	920	1158	15.67%	19.15%	65.19%	-1.28	-10.6	14
2010-02-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-0	27.6	1158	920	65.19%	19.15%	15.67%	+1.28	+10.6	45
2010-02-06	Portadown	D 4-4	64.4	982	1087	27.26%	23.35%	49.38%	-0.49	+0.4	41
2010-02-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 4-4	64.4	1087	982	49.38%	23.35%	27.26%	+0.49	-0.3	32
2010-02-09	Cliftonville	W 2-1	50.7	961	1110	22.70%	22.27%	55.03%	-0.75	+6.8	30
2010-02-09	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	50.7	1110	961	55.03%	22.27%	22.70%	+0.75	-6.8	47
2010-02-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	38.9	934	983	34.08%	24.10%	41.82%	-0.16	+10.9	24
2010-02-09	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	38.9	983	934	41.82%	24.10%	34.08%	+0.16	-10.9	41
2010-02-09	Linfield	L 1-3	39.9	1064	1169	27.17%	23.34%	49.49%	-0.49	-6.7	39
2010-02-09	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	39.9	1169	1064	49.49%	23.34%	27.17%	+0.49	+6.7	48
2010-02-09	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	29.8	1097	910	64.39%	19.44%	16.16%	+1.23	+4.7	47
2010-02-09	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.8	910	1097	16.16%	19.44%	64.39%	-1.23	-4.7	14
2010-02-16	Coleraine	L 2-4	52.4	1176	1057	56.55%	21.90%	21.55%	+0.82	-10.9	48
2010-02-16	@ Linfield	W 4-2	52.4	1057	1176	21.55%	21.90%	56.55%	-0.82	+10.8	42
2010-02-16	Glenavon	W 1-0	39.3	968	952	43.18%	24.02%	32.80%	+0.22	+4.8	33
2010-02-16	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	39.3	952	968	32.80%	24.02%	43.18%	-0.22	-4.8	36
2010-02-16	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	27.4	1103	905	65.47%	19.04%	15.49%	+1.29	+6.5	50
2010-02-16	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	27.4	905	1103	15.49%	19.04%	65.47%	-1.29	-6.5	14
2010-02-20	Cliftonville	W 2-0	37.9	1086	1110	37.61%	24.19%	38.20%	-0.01	+10.2	35
2010-02-20	@ Portadown	L 0-2	37.9	1110	1086	38.20%	24.19%	37.61%	+0.01	-10.2	50
2010-02-20	Glentoran	L 1-3	38.0	948	1102	22.14%	22.10%	55.76%	-0.79	-5.6	36
2010-02-20	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	38.0	1102	948	55.76%	22.10%	22.14%	+0.79	+5.6	50
2010-02-23	Ballymena United	W 2-1	45.3	972	973	40.79%	24.14%	35.07%	+0.12	+4.8	44
2010-02-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.3	973	972	35.07%	24.14%	40.79%	-0.12	-4.8	33
2010-02-23	Coleraine	L 0-1	43.1	1099	1068	45.34%	23.85%	30.81%	+0.31	-6.2	50
2010-02-23	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	43.1	1068	1099	30.81%	23.85%	45.34%	-0.31	+6.2	45
2010-02-23	Crusaders	W 2-0	31.6	1165	1030	58.49%	21.38%	20.13%	+0.92	+5.9	51
2010-02-23	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.6	1030	1165	20.13%	21.38%	58.49%	-0.92	-5.9	44
2010-02-23	Glentoran	W 2-1	45.7	1096	1108	39.34%	24.18%	36.48%	+0.06	+4.9	38
2010-02-23	@ Portadown	L 1-2	45.7	1108	1096	36.48%	24.18%	39.34%	-0.06	-4.9	50
2010-02-23	Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	48.2	934	945	39.43%	24.18%	36.39%	+0.06	-0.1	29
2010-02-23	@ Newry City	D 0-0	48.2	945	934	36.39%	24.18%	39.43%	-0.06	+0.1	25
2010-02-26	Portadown	L 0-1	35.4	942	1101	21.71%	21.96%	56.33%	-0.81	-3.4	36
2010-02-26	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	35.4	1101	942	56.33%	21.96%	21.71%	+0.81	+3.3	41
2010-02-27	Glentoran	W 2-0	41.6	977	1103	24.89%	22.87%	52.24%	-0.62	+13.1	47
2010-02-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	41.6	1103	977	52.24%	22.87%	24.89%	+0.62	-13.1	50
2010-02-27	Newry City	D 0-0	48.3	968	934	45.72%	23.81%	30.47%	+0.33	-0.5	34
2010-02-27	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.3	934	968	30.47%	23.81%	45.72%	-0.33	+0.5	30
2010-03-01	Glenavon	W 3-0	31.3	1024	939	52.47%	22.82%	24.70%	+0.63	+10.3	47
2010-03-01	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	31.3	939	1024	24.70%	22.82%	52.47%	-0.63	-10.3	36
2010-03-02	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.2	1074	945	57.83%	21.56%	20.60%	+0.89	-1.1	46
2010-03-02	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	945	1074	20.60%	21.56%	57.83%	-0.89	+1.1	26
2010-03-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	32.8	1093	898	65.12%	19.17%	15.71%	+1.27	+2.4	53
2010-03-02	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	32.8	898	1093	15.71%	19.17%	65.12%	-1.27	-2.4	14
2010-03-02	Portadown	W 5-0	32.2	1171	1105	49.97%	23.26%	26.77%	+0.51	+17.9	54
2010-03-02	@ Linfield	L 0-5	32.2	1105	1171	26.77%	23.26%	49.97%	-0.51	-17.9	41
2010-03-06	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	49.6	1073	896	63.23%	19.87%	16.90%	+1.17	-13.3	46
2010-03-06	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	49.6	896	1073	16.90%	19.87%	63.23%	-1.17	+13.3	17
2010-03-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	32.6	1188	990	65.53%	19.01%	15.45%	+1.30	+5.5	57
2010-03-09	@ Linfield	L 1-4	32.6	990	1188	15.45%	19.01%	65.53%	-1.30	-5.5	47
2010-03-09	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	39.6	1090	946	59.50%	21.08%	19.41%	+0.97	+2.8	53
2010-03-09	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	39.6	946	1090	19.41%	21.08%	59.50%	-0.97	-2.8	26
2010-03-13	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	41.8	928	984	33.14%	24.04%	42.81%	-0.20	-7.9	36
2010-03-13	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	41.8	984	928	42.81%	24.04%	33.14%	+0.20	+7.9	50
2010-03-13	Lisburn Distillery	L 2-3	53.5	943	909	45.69%	23.81%	30.49%	+0.33	-5.6	26
2010-03-13	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	53.5	909	943	30.49%	23.81%	45.69%	-0.33	+5.6	20
2010-03-13	Newry City	W 4-1	36.0	1034	935	54.28%	22.44%	23.27%	+0.71	+8.2	50
2010-03-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-4	36.0	935	1034	23.27%	22.44%	54.28%	-0.71	-8.3	30
2010-03-13	Portadown	L 0-1	36.9	968	1087	25.64%	23.04%	51.32%	-0.58	-3.9	34
2010-03-13	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	36.9	1087	968	51.32%	23.04%	25.64%	+0.58	+3.9	44
2010-03-16	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.7	926	1060	24.16%	22.69%	53.15%	-0.66	+1.0	31
2010-03-16	@ Newry City	D 0-0	48.7	1060	926	53.15%	22.69%	24.16%	+0.66	-1.0	47
2010-03-16	Crusaders	L 1-3	39.8	938	1043	27.18%	23.34%	49.48%	-0.49	-6.7	26
2010-03-16	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	39.8	1043	938	49.48%	23.34%	27.18%	+0.49	+6.7	53
2010-03-16	Linfield	D 1-1	52.7	1096	1194	27.92%	23.47%	48.61%	-0.45	+0.6	54
2010-03-16	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.7	1194	1096	48.61%	23.47%	27.92%	+0.45	-0.6	58
2010-03-16	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	49.6	1091	915	63.10%	19.91%	16.99%	+1.16	-13.3	44
2010-03-16	@ Portadown	W 3-1	49.6	915	1091	16.99%	19.91%	63.10%	-1.16	+13.3	23
2010-03-19	Coleraine	W 3-1	41.6	1077	1059	43.58%	23.99%	32.43%	+0.24	+7.8	47
2010-03-19	@ Portadown	L 1-3	41.6	1059	1077	32.43%	23.99%	43.58%	-0.24	-7.8	47
2010-03-20	Ballymena United	W 1-0	31.7	1193	964	68.64%	17.76%	13.60%	+1.48	+2.0	61
2010-03-20	@ Linfield	L 0-1	31.7	964	1193	13.60%	17.76%	68.64%	-1.48	-2.1	34
2010-03-20	Cliftonville	L 0-2	34.3	992	1096	27.27%	23.36%	49.37%	-0.49	-7.8	50
2010-03-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	34.3	1096	992	49.37%	23.36%	27.27%	+0.49	+7.8	57
2010-03-20	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.4	928	1049	25.42%	22.99%	51.59%	-0.59	+0.6	24
2010-03-20	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.4	1049	928	51.59%	22.99%	25.42%	+0.59	-0.6	54
2010-03-20	Glenavon	L 1-2	47.4	931	920	42.45%	24.07%	33.48%	+0.19	-5.5	26
2010-03-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	47.4	920	931	33.48%	24.07%	42.45%	-0.19	+5.5	39
2010-03-20	Glentoran	L 0-3	30.0	927	1093	21.18%	21.78%	57.04%	-0.85	-9.0	31
2010-03-20	@ Newry City	W 3-0	30.0	1093	927	57.04%	21.78%	21.18%	+0.85	+9.0	56
2010-03-23	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.5	984	1051	31.75%	23.94%	44.31%	-0.27	+0.4	51
2010-03-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.5	1051	984	44.31%	23.94%	31.75%	+0.27	-0.4	48
2010-03-23	Glenavon	L 1-2	54.1	1195	926	72.41%	16.08%	11.51%	+1.71	-8.5	61
2010-03-23	@ Linfield	W 2-1	54.1	926	1195	11.51%	16.08%	72.41%	-1.71	+8.5	42
2010-03-23	Glentoran	L 1-2	47.2	1104	1101	41.31%	24.12%	34.57%	+0.14	-5.4	57
2010-03-23	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.2	1101	1104	34.57%	24.12%	41.31%	-0.14	+5.4	59
2010-03-23	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	36.3	1085	925	61.33%	20.51%	18.16%	+1.07	+4.6	50
2010-03-23	@ Portadown	L 1-3	36.3	925	1085	18.16%	20.51%	61.33%	-1.07	-4.6	26
2010-03-23	Newry City	W 3-0	34.3	929	918	42.43%	24.07%	33.50%	+0.19	+13.4	27
2010-03-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-3	34.3	918	929	33.50%	24.07%	42.43%	-0.19	-13.4	31
2010-03-25	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.4	1049	962	52.68%	22.78%	24.54%	+0.64	-0.6	55
2010-03-25	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.4	962	1049	24.54%	22.78%	52.68%	-0.64	+0.6	35
2010-03-26	Linfield	L 0-3	26.7	921	1187	13.96%	18.02%	68.02%	-1.44	-5.8	26
2010-03-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	26.7	1187	921	68.02%	18.02%	13.96%	+1.44	+5.8	64
2010-04-03	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.0	942	962	38.06%	24.19%	37.75%	+0.01	-0.0	28
2010-04-03	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.0	962	942	37.75%	24.19%	38.06%	-0.01	+0.0	36
2010-04-03	Portadown	D 3-3	62.2	1051	1090	35.40%	24.15%	40.44%	-0.10	+0.1	49
2010-04-03	@ Coleraine	D 3-3	62.2	1090	1051	40.44%	24.15%	35.40%	+0.10	-0.1	51

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-04-03	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	35.2	1107	985	57.00%	21.79%	21.21%	+0.85	+3.3	3
2010-04-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.2	985	1107	21.21%	21.79%	57.00%	-0.85	-3.3	0
2010-04-06	Coleraine	L 2-4	44.7	962	1051	29.09%	23.64%	47.27%	-0.39	-6.4	0
2010-04-06	@ Ballymena United	W 4-2	44.7	1051	962	47.27%	23.64%	29.09%	+0.39	+6.4	3
2010-04-06	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.8	1090	981	55.31%	22.21%	22.48%	+0.76	-6.9	0
2010-04-06	@ Portadown	W 2-1	50.8	981	1090	22.48%	22.21%	55.31%	-0.76	+6.9	3
2010-04-06	Glentoran	W 3-1	39.2	1193	1110	52.10%	22.89%	25.01%	+0.61	+6.2	3
2010-04-06	@ Linfield	L 1-3	39.2	1110	1193	25.01%	22.89%	52.10%	-0.61	-6.2	3
2010-04-06	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	47.8	934	915	43.68%	23.99%	32.33%	+0.24	-5.7	0
2010-04-06	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	47.8	915	934	32.33%	23.99%	43.68%	-0.24	+5.7	3
2010-04-08	Crusaders	W 1-0	38.0	1099	1048	47.92%	23.56%	28.52%	+0.42	+4.3	3
2010-04-08	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.0	1048	1099	28.52%	23.56%	47.92%	-0.42	-4.3	0
2010-04-10	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	44.3	942	921	43.95%	23.97%	32.08%	+0.25	+4.4	3
2010-04-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	44.3	921	942	32.08%	23.97%	43.95%	-0.25	-4.5	3
2010-04-10	Linfield	L 0-1	33.7	988	1199	17.56%	20.21%	62.22%	-1.11	-2.7	3
2010-04-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.7	1199	988	62.22%	20.21%	17.56%	+1.11	+2.7	6
2010-04-13	Newry City	L 2-3	57.0	1057	905	60.48%	20.78%	18.74%	+1.02	-7.0	3
2010-04-13	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	57.0	905	1057	18.74%	20.78%	60.48%	-1.02	+7.0	3
2010-04-17	Glentoran	W 2-1	47.7	1044	1104	32.59%	24.01%	43.40%	-0.23	+5.6	3
2010-04-17	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	47.7	1104	1044	43.40%	24.01%	32.59%	+0.23	-5.6	3
2010-04-17	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	33.1	956	916	46.48%	23.73%	29.79%	+0.36	+12.2	3
2010-04-17	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	33.1	916	956	29.79%	23.73%	46.48%	-0.36	-12.2	3
2010-04-17	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	43.5	929	947	38.42%	24.19%	37.39%	+0.02	-8.9	0
2010-04-17	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	43.5	947	929	37.39%	24.19%	38.42%	-0.02	+8.9	6
2010-04-17	Portadown	W 2-1	44.4	1103	1083	43.77%	23.98%	32.25%	+0.24	+4.5	6
2010-04-17	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.4	1083	1103	32.25%	23.98%	43.77%	-0.24	-4.5	0
2010-04-20	Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.4	912	968	33.10%	24.04%	42.86%	-0.21	+5.9	6
2010-04-20	@ Newry City	L 0-1	42.4	968	912	42.86%	24.04%	33.10%	+0.21	-5.9	3
2010-04-20	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.1	1078	1049	44.99%	23.88%	31.13%	+0.30	-0.3	1
2010-04-20	@ Portadown	D 2-2	58.1	1049	1078	31.13%	23.88%	44.99%	-0.30	+0.3	4
2010-04-20	Glenavon	W 1-0	34.9	1050	920	57.94%	21.53%	20.53%	+0.89	+3.2	6
2010-04-20	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	34.9	920	1050	20.53%	21.53%	57.94%	-0.89	-3.2	0
2010-04-23	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.0	904	1053	22.65%	22.26%	55.09%	-0.75	+1.0	4
2010-04-23	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.0	1053	904	55.09%	22.26%	22.65%	+0.75	-1.0	7
2010-04-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	35.2	1107	986	56.94%	21.80%	21.26%	+0.84	+7.6	9
2010-04-24	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	35.2	986	1107	21.26%	21.80%	56.94%	-0.84	-7.6	3
2010-04-24	Glenavon	W 3-2	50.3	918	917	41.11%	24.13%	34.76%	+0.13	+4.5	9
2010-04-24	@ Newry City	L 2-3	50.3	917	918	34.76%	24.13%	41.11%	-0.13	-4.5	0
2010-04-24	Linfield	D 0-0	48.9	1050	1202	22.40%	22.18%	55.42%	-0.77	+1.1	5
2010-04-24	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	48.9	1202	1050	55.42%	22.18%	22.40%	+0.77	-1.1	7
2010-04-24	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	47.3	962	955	41.93%	24.09%	33.98%	+0.17	-5.5	3
2010-04-24	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.3	955	962	33.98%	24.09%	41.93%	-0.17	+5.5	9
2010-04-24	Portadown	W 2-0	36.0	1098	1078	43.81%	23.98%	32.22%	+0.25	+8.9	6
2010-04-24	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	36.0	1078	1098	32.22%	23.98%	43.81%	-0.25	-8.9	1
2010-04-27	Cliftonville	W 1-0	36.7	1200	1115	52.50%	22.82%	24.69%	+0.63	+3.8	10
2010-04-27	@ Linfield	L 0-1	36.7	1115	1200	24.69%	22.82%	52.50%	-0.63	-3.8	9
2010-04-27	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.0	922	961	35.48%	24.16%	40.36%	-0.10	+0.1	10
2010-04-27	@ Newry City	D 2-2	58.0	961	922	40.36%	24.16%	35.48%	+0.10	-0.1	10
2010-05-01	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.4	912	957	34.66%	24.13%	41.21%	-0.14	+0.2	1
2010-05-01	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.4	957	912	41.21%	24.13%	34.66%	+0.14	-0.2	4
2010-05-01	Cliftonville	L 0-3	36.5	1107	1111	40.41%	24.15%	35.44%	+0.10	-15.5	6
2010-05-01	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	36.5	1111	1107	35.44%	24.15%	40.41%	-0.10	+15.5	12
2010-05-01	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.6	961	1052	28.72%	23.59%	47.69%	-0.41	+0.6	11
2010-05-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.6	1052	961	47.69%	23.59%	28.72%	+0.41	-0.5	8
2010-05-01	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	54.9	1051	978	50.87%	23.12%	26.02%	+0.56	-6.1	5
2010-05-01	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	54.9	978	1051	26.02%	23.12%	50.87%	-0.56	+6.1	6
2010-05-01	Linfield	W 1-0	45.2	1069	1204	24.00%	22.64%	53.36%	-0.67	+7.1	4
2010-05-01	@ Portadown	L 0-1	45.2	1204	1069	53.36%	22.64%	24.00%	+0.67	-7.1	10
2010-05-01	Newry City	D 1-1	52.4	905	922	38.48%	24.19%	37.33%	+0.02	-0.0	5
2010-05-01	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.4	922	905	37.33%	24.19%	38.48%	-0.02	+0.0	11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-03-23	11.51%	Glenavon	926	2	@ Linfield	1195	1
2	2009-08-26	16.83%	Ballymena United	950	2	@ Glentoran	1128	1
3	2010-03-06	16.90%	Lisburn Distillery	896	3	@ Coleraine	1073	1
4	2010-03-16	16.99%	Lisburn Distillery	915	3	@ Portadown	1091	1
5	2009-12-19	17.36%	Newry City	931	1	@ Glentoran	1102	0
6	2009-12-19	18.23%	@ Ballymena United	962	2	Linfield	1163	0
7	2010-04-13	18.74%	Newry City	905	3	@ Coleraine	1057	2
8	2009-11-07	20.22%	Coleraine	993	6	@ Glentoran	1127	0
9	2009-10-06	20.53%	Ballymena United	957	2	@ Cliftonville	1088	0
10	2010-02-16	21.55%	Coleraine	1057	4	@ Linfield	1176	2
11	2010-04-06	22.48%	Dungannon Swifts	981	2	@ Portadown	1090	1
12	2010-02-09	22.70%	@ Ballymena United	961	2	Cliftonville	1110	1
13	2009-11-28	23.60%	Institute Drumahoe	946	2	@ Crusaders	1042	1
14	2009-12-12	23.74%	Cliftonville	1075	2	@ Linfield	1170	1
15	2009-08-15	24.00%	Crusaders	1049	1	@ Linfield	1141	0
16	2010-05-01	24.00%	@ Portadown	1069	1	Linfield	1204	0
17	2010-02-27	24.89%	@ Dungannon Swifts	977	2	Glentoran	1103	0
18	2009-09-05	25.01%	Dungannon Swifts	968	4	@ Portadown	1050	1
19	2010-02-06	25.07%	@ Glenavon	946	2	Coleraine	1070	1
20	2009-09-15	25.11%	@ Institute Drumahoe	949	1	Crusaders	1073	0
21	2009-12-12	25.20%	@ Lisburn Distillery	931	3	Coleraine	1054	2
22	2010-05-01	26.02%	Dungannon Swifts	978	3	@ Crusaders	1051	2
23	2009-11-21	27.06%	@ Portadown	1071	1	Linfield	1177	0
24	2009-08-15	27.52%	Glenavon	960	3	@ Lisburn Distillery	1020	2
25	2010-01-30	27.59%	Dungannon Swifts	976	3	@ Crusaders	1035	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-11-07	39.96	Coleraine	6	993	20.22%	@ Glentoran	0	1127	58.37%	21.41%
2	2009-09-21	22.83	@ Cliftonville	4	1065	29.24%	Linfield	0	1153	47.10%	23.66%
3	2009-09-12	20.92	Cliftonville	5	1045	43.73%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	982	32.29%	23.98%
4	2010-01-20	20.67	@ Newry City	4	939	34.28%	Dungannon Swifts	0	987	41.61%	24.11%
5	2009-12-12	17.99	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	973	41.12%	Glenavon	0	971	34.75%	24.13%
6	2010-03-02	17.87	@ Linfield	5	1171	49.97%	Portadown	0	1105	26.77%	23.26%
7	2009-10-10	17.44	Linfield	4	1135	42.55%	@ Crusaders	0	1081	33.39%	24.06%
8	2009-08-08	16.78	Glentoran	4	1102	44.21%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1036	31.84%	23.95%
9	2009-11-14	16.69	Portadown	8	1055	44.45%	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	987	31.62%	23.93%
10	2009-08-28	16.48	@ Portadown	6	1034	45.84%	Lisburn Distillery	1	999	30.36%	23.80%
11	2009-09-26	16.14	@ Portadown	4	1029	45.84%	Coleraine	0	994	30.36%	23.80%
12	2009-09-05	16.02	Dungannon Swifts	4	968	25.01%	@ Portadown	1	1050	52.09%	22.89%
13	2010-05-01	15.47	Cliftonville	3	1111	35.44%	@ Glentoran	0	1107	40.41%	24.15%
14	2009-10-02	15.27	Glenavon	3	986	36.08%	@ Newry City	0	977	39.74%	24.17%
15	2009-09-01	15.26	Glenavon	3	966	36.12%	@ Ballymena United	0	957	39.71%	24.17%
16	2009-12-19	14.97	@ Ballymena United	2	962	18.23%	Linfield	0	1163	61.22%	20.55%
17	2009-11-07	14.50	Linfield	6	1163	61.65%	@ Newry City	0	958	17.94%	20.41%
18	2009-10-27	14.43	@ Coleraine	4	979	30.32%	Crusaders	1	1057	45.89%	23.79%
19	2009-10-06	14.30	Ballymena United	2	957	20.53%	@ Cliftonville	0	1088	57.93%	21.54%
20	2010-03-23	13.38	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	929	42.43%	Newry City	0	918	33.50%	24.07%
21	2010-03-06	13.31	Lisburn Distillery	3	896	16.90%	@ Coleraine	1	1073	63.23%	19.87%
22	2010-03-16	13.29	Lisburn Distillery	3	915	16.99%	@ Portadown	1	1091	63.10%	19.91%
23	2010-02-27	13.11	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	977	24.89%	Glentoran	0	1103	52.24%	22.87%
24	2009-10-24	12.35	@ Ballymena United	2	971	27.93%	Crusaders	0	1069	48.60%	23.47%
25	2010-04-17	12.16	@ Ballymena United	3	956	46.48%	Institute Drumahoe	0	916	29.79%	23.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-02-06	64.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	982	27.26%	Portadown	4	1087	49.38%	23.35%
2	2009-10-10	62.4	@ Coleraine	3	978	28.29%	Cliftonville	3	1073	48.19%	23.52%
3	2010-04-03	62.2	@ Coleraine	3	1051	35.40%	Portadown	3	1090	40.44%	24.15%
4	2009-10-27	59.8	@ Linfield	2	1160	67.36%	Institute Drumahoe	2	943	14.35%	18.29%
5	2009-11-28	59.1	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	970	18.32%	Linfield	2	1171	61.10%	20.59%
6	2009-08-08	58.6	@ Coleraine	2	995	22.86%	Linfield	2	1142	54.81%	22.32%
7	2009-09-15	58.6	@ Glenavon	2	975	22.79%	Glentoran	2	1123	54.90%	22.30%
8	2010-03-20	58.4	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	928	25.42%	Crusaders	2	1049	51.59%	22.99%
9	2010-03-25	58.4	@ Crusaders	2	1049	52.68%	Ballymena United	2	962	24.54%	22.78%
10	2009-11-21	58.2	@ Institute Drumahoe	2	945	27.73%	Coleraine	2	1045	48.83%	23.43%
11	2009-08-18	58.1	@ Glentoran	2	1123	39.45%	Linfield	2	1134	36.37%	24.18%
12	2009-08-18	58.1	@ Glenavon	2	966	31.50%	Portadown	2	1035	44.59%	23.92%
13	2010-01-26	58.1	@ Glentoran	2	1103	34.60%	Linfield	2	1148	41.28%	24.12%
14	2010-04-20	58.1	@ Portadown	2	1078	44.99%	Crusaders	2	1049	31.13%	23.88%
15	2009-09-15	58.0	@ Portadown	2	1035	36.62%	Cliftonville	2	1066	39.20%	24.18%
16	2009-11-07	58.0	@ Glenavon	2	990	42.32%	Ballymena United	2	980	33.60%	24.07%
17	2010-02-06	58.0	@ Institute Drumahoe	2	934	37.03%	Ballymena United	2	961	38.78%	24.19%
18	2010-04-03	58.0	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	942	38.06%	Ballymena United	2	962	37.75%	24.19%
19	2010-04-27	58.0	@ Newry City	2	922	35.48%	Lisburn Distillery	2	961	40.36%	24.16%
20	2010-04-13	57.0	Newry City	3	905	18.74%	@ Coleraine	2	1057	60.48%	20.78%
21	2009-12-12	55.1	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	931	25.20%	Coleraine	2	1054	51.86%	22.94%
22	2010-01-30	55.0	@ Coleraine	4	1065	35.59%	Glentoran	3	1103	40.25%	24.16%
23	2010-05-01	54.9	Dungannon Swifts	3	978	26.02%	@ Crusaders	2	1051	50.87%	23.12%
24	2009-08-15	54.4	Glenavon	3	960	27.52%	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	1020	49.09%	23.40%
25	2010-01-30	54.4	Dungannon Swifts	3	976	27.59%	@ Crusaders	2	1035	49.00%	23.41%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-03-26	26.7	Linfield	3	1187	68.02%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	921	13.96%	18.02%
2	2010-01-30	27.4	@ Linfield	5	1148	65.62%	Newry City	0	948	15.40%	18.98%
3	2010-02-16	27.4	@ Cliftonville	3	1103	65.47%	Lisburn Distillery	0	905	15.49%	19.04%
4	2010-02-06	27.6	Linfield	5	1158	65.19%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	920	15.67%	19.15%
5	2009-08-29	28.6	@ Linfield	3	1143	61.50%	Newry City	0	982	18.05%	20.46%
6	2009-11-03	28.8	@ Linfield	2	1159	67.62%	Lisburn Distillery	0	940	14.20%	18.18%
7	2010-01-30	29.1	@ Cliftonville	3	1097	60.06%	Institute Drumahoe	0	948	19.03%	20.92%
8	2009-11-07	29.4	Linfield	6	1163	61.65%	@ Newry City	0	958	17.94%	20.41%
9	2010-02-09	29.8	@ Glentoran	2	1097	64.39%	Lisburn Distillery	0	910	16.16%	19.44%
10	2010-03-20	30.0	Glentoran	3	1093	57.04%	@ Newry City	0	927	21.18%	21.78%
11	2010-01-23	30.2	@ Glentoran	3	1094	56.43%	Ballymena United	0	976	21.64%	21.94%
12	2009-11-28	30.6	@ Coleraine	3	1045	54.87%	Newry City	0	940	22.82%	22.31%
13	2009-12-12	30.9	Glentoran	3	1092	53.94%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	952	23.54%	22.52%
14	2010-03-01	31.3	@ Crusaders	3	1024	52.47%	Glenavon	0	939	24.70%	22.82%
15	2010-02-23	31.6	@ Linfield	2	1165	58.49%	Crusaders	0	1030	20.13%	21.38%
16	2009-09-12	31.7	@ Crusaders	3	1063	51.38%	Glenavon	0	986	25.59%	23.03%
17	2010-03-20	31.7	@ Linfield	1	1193	68.64%	Ballymena United	0	964	13.60%	17.76%
18	2009-11-07	32.1	Portadown	3	1044	49.89%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	936	26.84%	23.28%
19	2010-03-02	32.2	@ Linfield	5	1171	49.97%	Portadown	0	1105	26.77%	23.26%
20	2009-11-28	32.5	@ Glentoran	2	1087	55.40%	Glenavon	0	978	22.41%	22.19%
21	2009-12-12	32.6	@ Portadown	2	1073	54.92%	Ballymena United	0	968	22.78%	22.30%
22	2010-03-09	32.6	@ Linfield	4	1188	65.53%	Dungannon Swifts	1	990	15.45%	19.01%
23	2009-12-19	32.7	@ Crusaders	2	1039	54.59%	Lisburn Distillery	0	937	23.03%	22.38%
24	2010-01-23	32.8	Cliftonville	2	1090	54.26%	@ Glenavon	0	948	23.29%	22.45%
25	2010-03-02	32.8	@ Cliftonville	1	1093	65.12%	Lisburn Distillery	0	898	15.71%	19.17%