2010-11 IFA Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

5.03 points above expected

85 points · 79.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newry City

5.59 points below expected

26 points · 31.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	21	7	5	70	70	27	+43	65.12	+4.88
2	Crusaders	33	21	4	8	67	69	51	+18	50.83	+16.17
3	Glentoran	33	18	5	10	59	55	32	+23	58.36	+0.64
4	Cliftonville	33	15	7	11	52	52	49	+3	55.94	-3.94
5	Lisburn Distillery	33	13	6	14	45	44	52	-8	39.79	+5.21
6	Portadown	33	13	5	15	44	45	53	-8	45.33	-1.33
7	Coleraine	33	13	4	16	43	40	46	-6	44.03	-1.03
8	Ballymena United	33	10	11	12	41	42	50	-8	43.08	-2.08
9	Glenavon	33	10	9	14	39	51	53	-2	39.68	-0.68
10	Dungannon Swifts	33	10	9	14	39	42	49	-7	38.86	+0.14
11	Donegal Celtic	33	7	7	19	28	49	78	-29	38.99	-10.99
12	Newry City	33	6	8	19	26	37	56	-19	34.40	-8.40

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	26	7	5	85	80	29	+51	79.97	+5.03
2	Crusaders	38	23	5	10	74	78	59	+19	75.17	-1.17
3	Glentoran	38	20	6	12	66	63	41	+22	66.58	-0.58
4	Cliftonville	38	17	7	14	58	60	56	+4	58.25	-0.25
5	Portadown	38	15	5	18	50	49	58	-9	50.49	-0.49
6	Lisburn Distillery	38	14	6	18	48	50	66	-16	48.59	-0.59

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Coleraine	38	17	5	16	56	51	50	+1	51.21	+4.79
2	Dungannon Swifts	38	14	9	15	51	50	53	-3	48.83	+2.17
3	Ballymena United	38	12	13	13	49	48	56	-8	45.83	+3.17
4	Glenavon	38	12	9	17	45	60	59	+1	46.31	-1.31
5	Donegal Celtic	38	8	8	22	32	55	89	-34	34.20	-2.20
6	Newry City	38	6	8	24	26	37	65	-28	31.59	-5.59

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Linfield	85	79.97	+5.03
2	Coleraine	56	51.21	+4.79
3	Ballymena United	49	45.83	+3.17
4	Dungannon Swifts	51	48.83	+2.17
5	Cliftonville	58	58.25	-0.25

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Newry City	26	31.59	-5.59
2	Donegal Celtic	32	34.20	-2.20
3	Glenavon	45	46.31	-1.31
4	Crusaders	74	75.17	-1.17
5	Lisburn Distillery	48	48.59	-0.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Crusaders	10	Jan 10 – Mar 26	1 in 980
2	Linfield	8	Mar 19 – Apr 30	1 in 60
3	Lisburn Distillery	4	Feb 4 – Feb 26	1 in 57
4	Coleraine	4	Sep 11 – Oct 1	1 in 49
5	Glenavon	3	Aug 7 – Aug 21	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	6	Aug 7 – Sep 4	1 in 184
2	Lisburn Distillery	5	Dec 31 – Jan 29	1 in 70
3	Cliftonville	3	Oct 30 – Nov 9	1 in 69
4	Linfield	2	Dec 10 – Dec 31	1 in 31
5	Newry City	5	Apr 8 – Apr 30	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glenavon	9	Nov 6 – Jan 4	1 in 206
2	Coleraine	7	Feb 8 – Mar 19	1 in 56
3	Linfield	14	Aug 21 – Nov 9	1 in 39
4	Crusaders	10	Jan 10 – Mar 26	1 in 34
5	Dungannon Swifts	5	Sep 21 – Oct 9	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newry City	18	Jan 4 – Apr 30	1 in 277
2	Glenavon	12	Jan 10 – Apr 16	1 in 102
3	Linfield	3	Feb 19 – Mar 12	1 in 35
4	Ballymena United	7	Jan 29 – Mar 1	1 in 24
5	Cliftonville	5	Aug 31 – Sep 25	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1369	85	+25	15	10.2	+4.8
Crusaders	1245	74	-14	7	8.3	-1.3
Glentoran	1222	66	-22	4	7.2	-3.2
Cliftonville	1186	58	+18	7	7.0	+0.0
Coleraine	1161	56	+30	13	8.8	+4.2
Dungannon Swifts	1136	51	+23	12	7.7	+4.3
Portadown	1145	50	+6	6	5.6	+0.4
Ballymena United	1075	49	+1	8	6.8	+1.2
Lisburn Distillery	1076	48	-19	3	4.2	-1.2
Glenavon	1106	45	+14	6	7.3	-1.3
Donegal Celtic	1028	32	-23	4	6.1	-2.1
Newry City	974	26	-45	0	5.3	-5.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DC	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	LD	NC	POR
Ballymena United	—	0-2-1 3.16	0-2-2 5.45	0-1-2 3.42	1-1-2 5.83	1-1-2 5.61	2-1-1 5.75	1-0-2 2.85	0-3-0 2.24	1-1-1 3.98	3-1-0 6.26	3-0-0 3.89
Cliftonville	1-2-0 5.24	—	0-0-3 5.25	3-0-1 5.37	1-2-0 5.69	3-0-0 5.39	2-0-1 5.47	1-1-2 5.15	1-1-2 3.87	1-1-2 7.20	3-0-0 5.69	1-0-3 6.69
Coleraine	2-2-0 5.74	3-0-0 3.15	—	0-0-3 3.56	2-1-1 6.52	1-0-3 6.26	3-0-1 6.49	1-0-2 3.22	1-0-2 2.37	1-0-2 4.48	3-1-0 7.19	0-1-2 3.99
Crusaders	2-1-0 4.98	1-0-3 5.82	3-0-0 4.83	—	2-0-1 5.11	1-2-0 5.34	2-0-1 5.21	2-1-1 5.11	1-0-3 3.85	3-0-1 7.31	2-1-0 5.63	4-0-0 6.49
Donegal Celtic	2-1-1 5.36	0-2-1 2.72	1-1-2 4.67	1-0-2 3.29	—	0-1-3 5.16	0-1-3 5.48	0-0-3 2.74	1-0-2 1.96	2-0-1 3.69	1-1-2 6.30	0-1-2 3.74
Dungannon Swifts	2-1-1 5.57	0-0-3 3.01	3-0-1 4.93	0-2-1 3.07	3-1-0 6.02	—	2-1-1 5.83	1-1-1 2.56	1-0-2 2.32	0-1-2 4.25	2-1-1 6.82	0-1-2 3.56
Glenavon	1-1-2 5.44	1-0-2 2.94	1-0-3 4.70	1-0-2 3.19	3-1-0 5.70	1-1-2 5.36	—	0-1-2 2.55	0-1-2 2.20	0-2-1 4.17	3-0-1 6.20	1-2-0 3.45
Glentoran	2-0-1 5.56	2-1-1 6.04	2-0-1 5.17	1-1-2 6.07	3-0-0 5.69	1-1-1 5.86	2-1-0 5.87	—	0-1-3 4.38	3-0-1 7.45	2-1-0 5.98	2-0-2 7.27
Linfield	0-3-0 6.20	2-1-1 7.35	2-0-1 6.06	3-0-1 7.36	2-0-1 6.51	2-0-1 6.12	2-1-0 6.24	3-1-0 6.82	—	4-0-0 8.56	2-1-0 6.56	4-0-0 8.09
Lisburn Distillery	1-1-1 4.41	2-1-1 4.01	2-0-1 3.91	1-0-3 3.91	1-0-2 4.70	2-1-0 4.14	1-2-0 4.22	1-0-3 3.77	0-0-4 2.72	—	1-1-1 4.59	2-0-2 4.74
Newry City	0-1-3 4.92	0-0-3 2.72	0-1-3 4.02	0-1-2 2.78	2-1-1 4.88	1-1-2 4.38	1-0-3 4.99	0-1-2 2.46	0-1-2 1.91	1-1-1 3.80	—	1-0-2 3.34
Portadown	0-0-3 4.51	3-0-1 4.51	2-1-0 4.40	0-0-4 4.70	2-1-0 4.65	2-1-0 4.84	0-2-1 4.94	2-0-2 3.94	0-0-4 3.16	2-0-2 6.45	2-0-1 5.05	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+11.3
Allowed	0.61	-8.9
Differential	0.91	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.39%	8.77%	5.48%	2.63%	2.41%	0.44%	24.12%
1	8.77%	7.46%	9.21%	5.92%	0.88%	0.44%	32.68%
2	5.48%	9.21%	5.26%	1.75%	1.10%	0.22%	23.03%
3	2.63%	5.92%	1.75%	1.75%	0.66%	—	12.72%
4	2.41%	0.88%	1.10%	0.66%	0.44%	0.44%	5.92%
5+	0.44%	0.44%	0.22%	—	0.44%	—	1.54%
Total	24.12%	32.68%	23.03%	12.72%	5.92%	1.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.49	1.49	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.86
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	13.16%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.47	-0.21
SD	1.18	1.25	1.76
CV	0.93	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	28.95%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.47	+0.11
SD	1.22	1.29	1.84
CV	0.77	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	39.47%	26.32%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.32	+0.03
SD	1.17	0.96	1.84
CV	0.87	0.73	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
1	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
Total	23.68%	36.84%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.55	+0.50
SD	1.27	1.61	2.06
CV	0.62	1.03	—
Max	5	8	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	26.32%
1	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	18.42%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
Total	15.79%	15.79%	13.16%	34.21%	18.42%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	2.34	-0.89
SD	1.31	1.49	1.93
CV	0.90	0.64	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
1	10.53%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	26.32%	26.32%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.39	-0.08
SD	1.02	1.20	1.57
CV	0.77	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
1	2.63%	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	39.47%	34.21%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.55	+0.03
SD	1.20	1.08	1.55
CV	0.76	0.70	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
1	10.53%	—	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
2	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	23.68%	26.32%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.08	+0.58
SD	1.38	1.05	1.70
CV	0.83	0.97	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	21.05%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	52.63%	23.68%	18.42%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.76	+1.34
SD	1.80	0.94	1.92
CV	0.85	1.24	—
Max	8	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	26.32%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
2	2.63%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	47.37%	18.42%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.74	-0.42
SD	1.12	1.35	1.85
CV	0.85	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	10.53%	—	7.89%	—	42.11%
1	—	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	34.21%	34.21%	5.26%	13.16%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.71	-0.74
SD	1.08	1.18	1.57
CV	1.11	0.69	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.79%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	26.32%
1	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	36.84%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	34.21%	18.42%	13.16%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.53	-0.24
SD	1.11	1.29	1.73
CV	0.86	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1369	85	65.12	+19.88	76.0%	46	52	60	65	70	76	83
Crusaders	1245	74	50.83	+23.17	99.0%	32	37	45	51	56	63	72
Glentoran	1222	66	58.36	+7.64	57.0%	42	45	53	58	63	69	75
Cliftonville	1186	58	55.94	+2.06	36.0%	38	42	50	54	61	70	76
Coleraine	1161	56	44.03	+11.97	53.0%	28	32	38	43	49	56	65
Portadown	1145	50	45.33	+4.67	51.0%	32	34	40	44	50	56	62
Dungannon Swifts	1136	51	38.86	+12.14	55.0%	23	27	34	39	43	51	56
Glenavon	1106	45	39.68	+5.32	47.0%	20	27	35	40	44	51	55
Lisburn Distillery	1076	48	39.79	+8.21	80.0%	25	28	34	39	45	52	58
Ballymena United	1075	49	43.08	+5.92	44.0%	25	32	38	42	49	54	57
Donegal Celtic	1028	32	38.99	-6.99	10.0%	21	26	34	39	44	51	57
Newry City	974	26	34.40	-8.40	18.0%	19	21	28	34	40	48	53

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.14%

No Edge

43.42%19.30%37.28%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.36 Elo pts.

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.09 goals

Neutral

-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

58%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.29/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.94 * Some Luck: 5.94 to 8.91 * Lucky: 8.91 to 11.88 * Wild Swing: 11.88 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.63 points

Some Luck

07.4219

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.884

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Crusaders

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

10.00%

Donegal Celtic

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 95.67

1.95

Moderate Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

64%

Even

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Even

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%29%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.81

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.038

Well Within Noise

00.1100.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	58.00%	25.00%	11.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	6.00%	14.00%	19.00%	14.00%	18.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Glentoran	23.00%	27.00%	22.00%	16.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	10.00%	27.00%	21.00%	20.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Portadown	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	16.00%	16.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	4.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Coleraine	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Dungannon Swifts	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	18.00%	13.00%	14.00%
Ballymena United	—	—	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	16.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Glenavon	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	14.00%	9.00%	19.00%	9.00%
Donegal Celtic	—	—	—	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	15.00%	12.00%	18.00%
Newry City	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	38.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	86.52%	13.39%	0.09%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	13.43%	83.61%	2.96%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	0.05%	3.00%	93.49%	3.46%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	—	3.45%	91.12%	5.09%	0.34%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	—	0.01%	4.00%	65.79%	30.20%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	1.42%	29.12%	69.46%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	—	—	—	61.55%	24.35%	10.74%	3.36%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.74%	39.03%	23.63%	12.56%	0.04%	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.27%	17.61%	33.18%	42.40%	0.54%	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.44%	19.01%	32.39%	40.79%	0.37%	—
Donegal Celtic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.06%	0.77%	72.17%	27.00%
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.12%	26.88%	73.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—
Crusaders	100%	—
Glentoran	100%	—
Linfield	100%	—
Portadown	98.00%	2.00%
Coleraine	97.00%	3.00%
Ballymena United	95.00%	5.00%
Lisburn Distillery	94.00%	6.00%
Dungannon Swifts	88.00%	12.00%
Donegal Celtic	86.00%	14.00%
Glenavon	86.00%	14.00%
Newry City	56.00%	44.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—
Coleraine	100%	—
Crusaders	100%	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—
Glenavon	100%	—
Glentoran	100%	—
Linfield	100%	—
Lisburn Distillery	100%	—
Portadown	100%	—
Donegal Celtic	73.00%	27.00%
Newry City	27.00%	73.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-08-07	Ballymena United	D 0-0	50.6	1249	1103	61.21%	18.91%	19.88%	+0.99	-1.8	1
2010-08-07	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.6	1103	1249	19.88%	18.91%	61.21%	-0.99	+1.8	1
2010-08-07	Crusaders	L 1-3	43.7	1159	1150	44.26%	20.41%	35.33%	+0.18	-12.7	0
2010-08-07	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	43.7	1150	1159	35.33%	20.41%	44.26%	-0.18	+12.7	3
2010-08-07	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	35.1	1071	1111	37.46%	20.45%	42.09%	-0.11	+20.4	3
2010-08-07	@ Newry City	L 0-3	35.1	1111	1071	42.09%	20.45%	37.46%	+0.11	-20.4	0
2010-08-07	Glenavon	L 0-2	41.1	1157	1069	54.70%	19.77%	25.53%	+0.65	-17.6	0
2010-08-07	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	41.1	1069	1157	25.53%	19.77%	54.70%	-0.65	+17.6	3
2010-08-07	Glentoran	L 1-6	35.2	1098	1180	31.77%	20.27%	47.96%	-0.36	-21.6	0
2010-08-07	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 6-1	35.2	1180	1098	47.96%	20.27%	31.77%	+0.36	+21.6	3
2010-08-13	Portadown	W 1-0	43.2	1086	1173	31.11%	20.24%	48.66%	-0.39	+8.4	6
2010-08-13	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	43.2	1173	1086	48.66%	20.24%	31.11%	+0.39	-8.4	0
2010-08-14	Cliftonville	L 0-1	37.1	1092	1203	28.20%	20.03%	51.77%	-0.53	-5.3	3
2010-08-14	@ Newry City	W 1-0	37.1	1203	1092	51.77%	20.03%	28.20%	+0.53	+5.3	3
2010-08-14	Coleraine	W 2-0	33.4	1202	1140	51.39%	20.06%	28.55%	+0.49	+10.2	6
2010-08-14	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	33.4	1140	1202	28.55%	20.06%	51.39%	-0.49	-10.2	0
2010-08-14	Donegal Celtic	L 0-4	33.2	1105	1146	37.11%	20.45%	42.44%	-0.12	-24.0	1
2010-08-14	@ Ballymena United	W 4-0	33.2	1146	1105	42.44%	20.45%	37.11%	+0.12	+24.0	3
2010-08-14	Linfield	W 2-1	50.8	1090	1247	23.22%	19.48%	57.31%	-0.80	+9.2	3
2010-08-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.8	1247	1090	57.31%	19.48%	23.22%	+0.80	-9.2	1
2010-08-14	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	49.9	1163	1077	54.39%	19.80%	25.81%	+0.63	-8.7	3
2010-08-14	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	49.9	1077	1163	25.81%	19.80%	54.39%	-0.63	+8.7	3
2010-08-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.7	1208	1100	57.06%	19.51%	23.43%	+0.77	+8.5	6
2010-08-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.7	1100	1208	23.43%	19.51%	57.06%	-0.77	-8.5	3
2010-08-21	Ballymena United	L 1-3	46.4	1165	1081	54.16%	19.82%	26.02%	+0.62	-15.1	0
2010-08-21	@ Portadown	W 3-1	46.4	1081	1165	26.02%	19.82%	54.16%	-0.62	+15.1	4
2010-08-21	Crusaders	L 0-3	34.4	1130	1154	39.53%	20.47%	40.00%	-0.02	-19.4	0
2010-08-21	@ Coleraine	W 3-0	34.4	1154	1130	40.00%	20.47%	39.53%	+0.02	+19.4	6
2010-08-21	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	44.5	1095	1170	32.53%	20.31%	47.16%	-0.32	+13.4	9
2010-08-21	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	44.5	1170	1095	47.16%	20.31%	32.53%	+0.32	-13.4	3
2010-08-21	Glentoran	D 0-0	50.2	1087	1212	26.55%	19.88%	53.58%	-0.61	+1.2	4
2010-08-21	@ Newry City	D 0-0	50.2	1212	1087	53.58%	19.88%	26.55%	+0.61	-1.2	7
2010-08-21	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	34.1	1238	1086	61.86%	18.80%	19.34%	+1.02	+3.8	4
2010-08-21	@ Linfield	L 0-1	34.1	1086	1238	19.34%	18.80%	61.86%	-1.02	-3.8	3
2010-08-27	Ballymena United	L 0-2	38.3	1108	1096	44.76%	20.40%	34.85%	+0.20	-14.8	9
2010-08-27	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	38.3	1096	1108	34.85%	20.40%	44.76%	-0.20	+14.8	7
2010-08-27	Cliftonville	L 1-3	41.6	1174	1217	36.91%	20.45%	42.65%	-0.13	-10.9	6
2010-08-27	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	41.6	1217	1174	42.65%	20.45%	36.91%	+0.13	+10.9	9
2010-08-27	Coleraine	W 1-0	34.8	1242	1110	59.63%	19.16%	21.21%	+0.90	+4.1	7
2010-08-27	@ Linfield	L 0-1	34.8	1110	1242	21.21%	19.16%	59.63%	-0.90	-4.1	0
2010-08-27	Portadown	L 0-1	39.1	1091	1150	34.78%	20.40%	44.83%	-0.22	-6.4	3
2010-08-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	39.1	1150	1091	44.83%	20.40%	34.78%	+0.22	+6.4	3
2010-08-28	Glentoran	L 0-3	33.2	1157	1211	35.46%	20.41%	44.13%	-0.19	-17.7	3
2010-08-28	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	33.2	1211	1157	44.13%	20.41%	35.46%	+0.19	+17.7	10
2010-08-28	Newry City	W 2-1	45.0	1082	1088	42.20%	20.45%	37.34%	+0.09	+6.4	6
2010-08-28	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	45.0	1088	1082	37.34%	20.45%	42.20%	-0.09	-6.4	4
2010-08-31	Ballymena United	W 2-1	42.7	1163	1110	50.13%	20.15%	29.72%	+0.43	+5.3	9
2010-08-31	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	42.7	1110	1163	29.72%	20.15%	50.13%	-0.43	-5.3	7
2010-08-31	Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.1	1229	1228	43.16%	20.44%	36.40%	+0.13	+12.5	13
2010-08-31	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	36.1	1228	1229	36.40%	20.44%	43.16%	-0.13	-12.5	9
2010-08-31	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.4	1093	1085	44.24%	20.41%	35.35%	+0.18	+6.1	12
2010-08-31	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	44.4	1085	1093	35.35%	20.41%	44.24%	-0.18	-6.1	3
2010-08-31	Linfield	L 1-2	40.3	1081	1246	22.44%	19.36%	58.19%	-0.84	-4.1	4
2010-08-31	@ Newry City	W 2-1	40.3	1246	1081	58.19%	19.36%	22.44%	+0.84	+4.1	10
2010-08-31	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	42.3	1106	1088	45.54%	20.37%	34.09%	+0.23	-7.9	0
2010-08-31	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	42.3	1088	1106	34.09%	20.37%	45.54%	-0.23	+7.9	9
2010-08-31	Portadown	D 4-4	65.8	1139	1156	40.65%	20.47%	38.88%	+0.03	-0.0	4
2010-08-31	@ Donegal Celtic	D 4-4	65.8	1156	1139	38.88%	20.47%	40.65%	-0.03	+0.0	4
2010-09-04	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.4	1105	1215	28.31%	20.04%	51.65%	-0.52	+0.9	8
2010-09-04	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.4	1215	1105	51.65%	20.04%	28.31%	+0.52	-0.9	10
2010-09-04	Coleraine	W 2-0	33.5	1156	1098	50.88%	20.10%	29.03%	+0.47	+10.3	7
2010-09-04	@ Portadown	L 0-2	33.5	1098	1156	29.03%	20.10%	50.88%	-0.47	-10.3	0
2010-09-04	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	47.4	1077	1139	34.34%	20.38%	45.28%	-0.24	+7.5	7
2010-09-04	@ Newry City	L 1-2	47.4	1139	1077	45.28%	20.38%	34.34%	+0.24	-7.5	4
2010-09-04	Glentoran	L 0-1	36.0	1099	1241	24.77%	19.68%	55.55%	-0.71	-4.8	12
2010-09-04	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	36.0	1241	1099	55.55%	19.68%	24.77%	+0.71	+4.8	16
2010-09-04	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	59.6	1078	1096	40.54%	20.47%	38.99%	+0.02	-0.0	4
2010-09-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.6	1096	1078	38.99%	20.47%	40.54%	-0.02	+0.0	10
2010-09-11	Cliftonville	D 0-0	50.4	1250	1214	47.95%	20.27%	31.78%	+0.34	-0.7	11
2010-09-11	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.4	1214	1250	31.78%	20.27%	47.95%	-0.34	+0.7	11
2010-09-11	Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	34.9	1088	1132	36.79%	20.44%	42.76%	-0.13	+27.0	3
2010-09-11	@ Coleraine	L 0-4	34.9	1132	1088	42.76%	20.44%	36.79%	+0.13	-27.0	4
2010-09-11	Glenavon	W 5-4	51.2	1168	1094	52.82%	19.95%	27.23%	+0.56	+4.5	12
2010-09-11	@ Crusaders	L 4-5	51.2	1094	1168	27.23%	19.95%	52.82%	-0.56	-4.5	12
2010-09-11	Glentoran	L 1-3	36.7	1078	1246	22.18%	19.32%	58.50%	-0.86	-7.0	4
2010-09-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	36.7	1246	1078	58.50%	19.32%	22.18%	+0.86	+7.0	19
2010-09-11	Newry City	W 1-0	38.7	1106	1085	46.01%	20.36%	33.64%	+0.25	+6.2	11
2010-09-11	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	38.7	1085	1106	33.64%	20.36%	46.01%	-0.25	-6.2	7
2010-09-11	Portadown	W 2-0	38.8	1096	1166	33.24%	20.34%	46.42%	-0.29	+15.2	13
2010-09-11	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	38.8	1166	1096	46.42%	20.34%	33.24%	+0.29	-15.2	7
2010-09-21	Ballymena United	L 1-2	51.7	1253	1112	60.61%	19.01%	20.38%	+0.95	-9.6	19
2010-09-21	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	51.7	1112	1253	20.38%	19.01%	60.61%	-0.95	+9.6	14
2010-09-21	Coleraine	L 0-2	41.5	1215	1115	56.08%	19.62%	24.30%	+0.72	-18.0	11
2010-09-21	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	41.5	1115	1215	24.30%	19.62%	56.08%	-0.72	+18.0	6
2010-09-21	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.4	1172	1071	56.16%	19.61%	24.23%	+0.72	-1.3	13
2010-09-21	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	54.4	1071	1172	24.23%	19.61%	56.16%	-0.72	+1.3	5
2010-09-21	Linfield	L 0-1	35.4	1090	1249	22.97%	19.44%	57.59%	-0.81	-4.5	12
2010-09-21	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	35.4	1249	1090	57.59%	19.44%	22.97%	+0.81	+4.5	14
2010-09-21	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	45.0	1105	1111	42.13%	20.45%	37.42%	+0.09	+6.4	7
2010-09-21	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	45.0	1111	1105	37.42%	20.45%	42.13%	-0.09	-6.4	13
2010-09-21	Newry City	W 4-2	42.6	1151	1078	52.75%	19.95%	27.30%	+0.55	+7.6	10
2010-09-21	@ Portadown	L 2-4	42.6	1078	1151	27.30%	19.95%	52.75%	-0.55	-7.6	7
2010-09-24	Glenavon	W 2-1	45.4	1071	1086	40.95%	20.47%	38.58%	+0.04	+6.5	10
2010-09-24	@ Newry City	L 1-2	45.4	1086	1071	38.58%	20.47%	40.95%	-0.04	-6.5	12
2010-09-25	Ballymena United	W 1-0	39.2	1133	1122	44.56%	20.40%	35.04%	+0.19	+6.4	9
2010-09-25	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	39.2	1122	1133	35.04%	20.40%	44.56%	-0.19	-6.4	14
2010-09-25	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	1105	1197	30.48%	20.20%	49.33%	-0.42	+0.7	14
2010-09-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	54.3	1197	1105	49.33%	20.20%	30.48%	+0.42	-0.7	12
2010-09-25	Crusaders	L 0-2	37.3	1159	1171	41.30%	20.46%	38.23%	+0.05	-13.8	10
2010-09-25	@ Portadown	W 2-0	37.3	1171	1159	38.23%	20.46%	41.30%	-0.05	+13.8	16
2010-09-25	Donegal Celtic	D 0-0	50.0	1073	1111	37.55%	20.46%	41.99%	-0.10	+0.2	6
2010-09-25	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.0	1111	1073	41.99%	20.46%	37.55%	+0.10	-0.2	8
2010-09-27	Linfield	D 0-0	50.4	1243	1254	41.54%	20.46%	38.00%	+0.06	-0.2	20
2010-09-27	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.4	1254	1243	38.00%	20.46%	41.54%	-0.06	+0.2	15
2010-10-01	Newry City	W 2-0	33.3	1139	1077	51.35%	20.06%	28.59%	+0.49	+10.2	12
2010-10-01	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	33.3	1077	1139	28.59%	20.06%	51.35%	-0.49	-10.2	10
2010-10-02	Donegal Celtic	W 4-2	42.2	1196	1111	54.28%	19.81%	25.91%	+0.63	+7.2	15
2010-10-02	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	42.2	1111	1196	25.91%	19.81%	54.28%	-0.63	-7.2	8
2010-10-02	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.2	1115	1073	48.86%	20.22%	30.91%	+0.38	-0.7	15
2010-10-02	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.2	1073	1115	30.91%	20.22%	48.86%	-0.38	+0.7	7
2010-10-02	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.7	1106	1079	46.72%	20.33%	32.95%	+0.28	-0.4	15
2010-10-02	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	59.7	1079	1106	32.95%	20.33%	46.72%	-0.28	+0.4	13
2010-10-02	Glentoran	W 1-0	42.3	1185	1243	34.87%	20.40%	44.73%	-0.22	+7.8	19
2010-10-02	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	42.3	1243	1185	44.73%	20.40%	34.87%	+0.22	-7.8	20
2010-10-02	Portadown	W 4-0	28.9	1254	1145	57.09%	19.50%	23.41%	+0.77	+16.2	18
2010-10-02	@ Linfield	L 0-4	28.9	1145	1254	23.41%	19.50%	57.09%	-0.77	-16.2	10
2010-10-05	Cliftonville	L 1-2	41.7	1079	1204	26.70%	19.89%	53.41%	-0.61	-4.8	13
2010-10-05	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	41.7	1204	1079	53.41%	19.89%	26.70%	+0.61	+4.8	18
2010-10-05	Coleraine	W 3-0	36.6	1074	1149	32.54%	20.31%	47.15%	-0.32	+22.4	10
2010-10-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-3	36.6	1149	1074	47.15%	20.31%	32.54%	+0.32	-22.4	12
2010-10-05	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.4	1067	1193	26.54%	19.88%	53.58%	-0.61	+1.1	11
2010-10-05	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.4	1193	1067	53.58%	19.88%	26.54%	+0.61	-1.0	20
2010-10-05	Linfield	L 1-3	36.8	1104	1270	22.28%	19.33%	58.39%	-0.85	-7.1	8
2010-10-05	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	36.8	1270	1104	58.39%	19.33%	22.28%	+0.85	+7.1	21
2010-10-05	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	42.0	1115	1105	44.37%	20.41%	35.22%	+0.18	-7.8	15
2010-10-05	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.0	1105	1115	35.22%	20.41%	44.37%	-0.18	+7.8	18
2010-10-05	Portadown	W 1-0	35.6	1235	1129	56.79%	19.54%	23.67%	+0.75	+4.6	23
2010-10-05	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.6	1129	1235	23.67%	19.54%	56.79%	-0.75	-4.6	10
2010-10-09	Ballymena United	L 2-3	51.4	1097	1107	41.59%	20.46%	37.95%	+0.07	-6.6	8
2010-10-09	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-2	51.4	1107	1097	37.95%	20.46%	41.59%	-0.07	+6.6	18
2010-10-09	Crusaders	L 2-4	44.2	1113	1192	32.17%	20.29%	47.54%	-0.34	-8.7	18
2010-10-09	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-2	44.2	1192	1113	47.54%	20.29%	32.17%	+0.34	+8.7	23
2010-10-09	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.7	1124	1096	46.96%	20.32%	32.73%	+0.29	-0.4	11
2010-10-09	@ Portadown	D 2-2	59.7	1096	1124	32.73%	20.32%	46.96%	-0.29	+0.4	11
2010-10-09	Glenavon	W 4-1	32.6	1240	1075	63.16%	18.57%	18.28%	+1.10	+8.3	26
2010-10-09	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	32.6	1075	1240	18.28%	18.57%	63.16%	-1.10	-8.3	13
2010-10-09	Linfield	L 0-2	31.9	1127	1277	23.88%	19.57%	56.55%	-0.76	-8.7	12
2010-10-09	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	31.9	1277	1127	56.55%	19.57%	23.88%	+0.76	+8.7	24
2010-10-09	Newry City	W 2-1	39.5	1208	1068	60.55%	19.02%	20.43%	+0.95	+3.8	21
2010-10-09	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.5	1068	1208	20.43%	19.02%	60.55%	-0.95	-3.8	11
2010-10-15	Donegal Celtic	L 4-5	60.1	1200	1090	57.24%	19.48%	23.27%	+0.78	-8.4	23
2010-10-15	@ Crusaders	W 5-4	60.1	1090	1200	23.27%	19.48%	57.24%	-0.78	+8.3	11
2010-10-15	Newry City	W 4-0	25.5	1286	1064	68.43%	17.39%	14.18%	+1.43	+10.0	27
2010-10-15	@ Linfield	L 0-4	25.5	1064	1286	14.18%	17.39%	68.43%	-1.43	-10.0	11
2010-10-16	Coleraine	L 1-2	44.5	1066	1118	35.71%	20.42%	43.87%	-0.18	-6.1	13
2010-10-16	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	44.5	1118	1066	43.87%	20.42%	35.71%	+0.18	+6.1	15
2010-10-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	38.2	1104	1096	44.16%	20.41%	35.43%	+0.17	+15.0	21
2010-10-16	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	38.2	1096	1104	35.43%	20.41%	44.16%	-0.17	-14.9	11
2010-10-16	Glentoran	W 2-1	46.6	1212	1248	37.92%	20.46%	41.62%	-0.09	+7.0	24
2010-10-16	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	46.6	1248	1212	41.62%	20.46%	37.92%	+0.09	-6.9	26
2010-10-16	Portadown	W 3-1	41.8	1114	1124	41.58%	20.46%	37.96%	+0.07	+11.2	21
2010-10-16	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	41.8	1124	1114	37.96%	20.46%	41.58%	-0.07	-11.2	11
2010-10-18	Crusaders	W 8-1	33.1	1296	1192	56.50%	19.57%	23.93%	+0.74	+23.0	30
2010-10-18	@ Linfield	L 1-8	33.1	1192	1296	23.93%	19.57%	56.50%	-0.74	-23.0	23
2010-10-30	Coleraine	W 2-0	34.0	1169	1124	49.13%	20.21%	30.66%	+0.39	+10.8	26
2010-10-30	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	34.0	1124	1169	30.66%	20.21%	49.13%	-0.39	-10.8	15
2010-10-30	Glenavon	W 2-1	43.8	1081	1060	45.98%	20.36%	33.66%	+0.25	+5.8	14
2010-10-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.8	1060	1081	33.66%	20.36%	45.98%	-0.25	-5.9	13
2010-10-30	Linfield	D 3-3	64.5	1125	1319	19.71%	18.88%	61.42%	-1.02	+1.0	22
2010-10-30	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	64.5	1319	1125	61.42%	18.88%	19.71%	+1.02	-1.0	31
2010-10-30	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	47.7	1241	1119	58.56%	19.31%	22.13%	+0.84	-16.2	26
2010-10-30	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	47.7	1119	1241	22.13%	19.31%	58.56%	-0.84	+16.2	24
2010-10-30	Portadown	L 0-1	45.5	1219	1113	56.79%	19.54%	23.67%	+0.75	-9.6	24
2010-10-30	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.5	1113	1219	23.67%	19.54%	56.79%	-0.75	+9.6	14
2010-10-31	Newry City	L 0-3	37.1	1099	1054	49.05%	20.21%	30.74%	+0.39	-23.2	11
2010-10-31	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	37.1	1054	1099	30.74%	20.21%	49.05%	-0.39	+23.2	14
2010-11-05	Linfield	L 1-2	39.4	1122	1318	19.59%	18.85%	61.56%	-1.03	-3.6	14
2010-11-05	@ Portadown	W 2-1	39.4	1318	1122	61.56%	18.85%	19.59%	+1.03	+3.6	34
2010-11-05	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	54.2	1078	1135	34.91%	20.40%	44.69%	-0.21	+0.4	15
2010-11-05	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.2	1135	1078	44.69%	20.40%	34.91%	+0.21	-0.4	25
2010-11-06	Cliftonville	W 3-1	45.3	1114	1209	30.01%	20.17%	49.82%	-0.44	+14.0	18
2010-11-06	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	45.3	1209	1114	49.82%	20.17%	30.01%	+0.44	-14.0	24
2010-11-06	Crusaders	W 3-1	39.6	1225	1180	49.20%	20.21%	30.60%	+0.39	+9.4	29
2010-11-06	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	39.6	1180	1225	30.60%	20.21%	49.20%	-0.39	-9.4	26
2010-11-06	Dungannon Swifts	L 3-4	54.3	1075	1087	41.36%	20.46%	38.18%	+0.06	-6.4	11
2010-11-06	@ Donegal Celtic	W 4-3	54.3	1087	1075	38.18%	20.46%	41.36%	-0.06	+6.4	17
2010-11-06	Glenavon	D 3-3	63.9	1126	1054	52.58%	19.97%	27.45%	+0.55	-0.6	23
2010-11-06	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	63.9	1054	1126	27.45%	19.97%	52.58%	-0.55	+0.6	14
2010-11-08	Portadown	W 4-2	47.2	1078	1119	37.26%	20.45%	42.29%	-0.11	+10.9	18
2010-11-08	@ Newry City	L 2-4	47.2	1119	1078	42.29%	20.45%	37.26%	+0.11	-10.9	14
2010-11-09	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.2	1135	1125	44.42%	20.41%	35.17%	+0.18	-0.3	26
2010-11-09	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	54.2	1125	1135	35.17%	20.41%	44.42%	-0.18	+0.3	24
2010-11-09	Crusaders	L 2-3	48.6	1094	1170	32.40%	20.30%	47.30%	-0.33	-5.4	17
2010-11-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	48.6	1170	1094	47.30%	20.30%	32.40%	+0.33	+5.4	29
2010-11-09	Donegal Celtic	W 6-2	30.9	1322	1069	71.05%	16.66%	12.29%	+1.61	+6.1	37
2010-11-09	@ Linfield	L 2-6	30.9	1069	1322	12.29%	16.66%	71.05%	-1.61	-6.1	11
2010-11-09	Glenavon	L 0-2	42.6	1195	1055	60.60%	19.01%	20.39%	+0.95	-19.3	24
2010-11-09	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	42.6	1055	1195	20.39%	19.01%	60.60%	-0.95	+19.3	17
2010-11-09	Glentoran	L 1-2	42.4	1128	1234	28.70%	20.07%	51.23%	-0.50	-5.1	18
2010-11-09	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	42.4	1234	1128	51.23%	20.07%	28.70%	+0.50	+5.1	32
2010-11-12	Newry City	W 2-1	45.4	1074	1089	40.95%	20.47%	38.58%	+0.04	+6.5	20
2010-11-12	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	45.4	1089	1074	38.58%	20.47%	40.95%	-0.04	-6.5	18
2010-11-13	Ballymena United	W 5-0	31.7	1176	1126	49.92%	20.16%	29.92%	+0.42	+24.8	27
2010-11-13	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	31.7	1126	1176	29.92%	20.16%	49.92%	-0.42	-24.8	24
2010-11-13	Coleraine	L 0-3	35.9	1135	1122	44.76%	20.40%	34.85%	+0.20	-21.4	26
2010-11-13	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	35.9	1122	1135	34.85%	20.40%	44.76%	-0.20	+21.4	21
2010-11-13	Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	31.6	1108	1063	49.17%	20.21%	30.62%	+0.39	+15.7	17
2010-11-13	@ Portadown	L 0-3	31.6	1063	1108	30.62%	20.21%	49.17%	-0.39	-15.7	11
2010-11-13	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	43.0	1239	1088	61.73%	18.82%	19.45%	+1.02	-19.6	32
2010-11-13	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	43.0	1088	1239	19.45%	18.82%	61.73%	-1.02	+19.6	20
2010-11-13	Linfield	W 2-1	51.0	1176	1328	23.73%	19.55%	56.73%	-0.77	+9.1	32
2010-11-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	51.0	1328	1176	56.73%	19.55%	23.73%	+0.77	-9.1	37
2010-11-19	Ballymena United	L 0-4	34.1	1082	1101	40.43%	20.47%	39.10%	+0.02	-25.8	18
2010-11-19	@ Newry City	W 4-0	34.1	1101	1082	39.10%	20.47%	40.43%	-0.02	+25.8	27
2010-11-20	Coleraine	W 2-1	48.7	1047	1144	29.91%	20.16%	49.93%	-0.44	+8.1	14
2010-11-20	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	48.7	1144	1047	49.93%	20.16%	29.91%	+0.44	-8.1	21
2010-11-20	Crusaders	W 2-1	49.0	1081	1185	29.01%	20.10%	50.90%	-0.49	+8.2	23
2010-11-20	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	49.0	1185	1081	50.90%	20.10%	29.01%	+0.49	-8.2	32
2010-11-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.5	1319	1108	67.49%	17.63%	14.88%	+1.37	+2.9	40
2010-11-20	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.5	1108	1319	14.88%	17.63%	67.49%	-1.37	-2.9	20
2010-11-20	Glentoran	L 0-1	37.7	1123	1220	29.95%	20.16%	49.88%	-0.44	-5.6	17
2010-11-20	@ Portadown	W 1-0	37.7	1220	1123	49.88%	20.16%	29.95%	+0.44	+5.6	35
2010-11-20	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	46.6	1201	1113	54.57%	19.78%	25.64%	+0.64	-15.2	27
2010-11-20	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	46.6	1113	1201	25.64%	19.78%	54.57%	-0.64	+15.2	29
2010-11-27	Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.3	1105	1186	31.89%	20.28%	47.84%	-0.35	-5.9	20
2010-11-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	38.3	1186	1105	47.84%	20.28%	31.89%	+0.35	+5.9	30
2010-11-27	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.2	1126	1177	35.94%	20.43%	43.63%	-0.17	+0.3	28
2010-11-27	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.2	1177	1126	43.63%	20.43%	35.94%	+0.17	-0.3	33
2010-11-27	Linfield	L 0-4	27.8	1128	1322	19.81%	18.90%	61.29%	-1.01	-13.9	29
2010-11-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	27.8	1322	1128	61.29%	18.90%	19.81%	+1.01	+13.9	43
2010-11-27	Newry City	W 2-0	29.7	1225	1057	63.52%	18.50%	17.98%	+1.12	+6.7	38
2010-11-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.7	1057	1225	17.98%	18.50%	63.52%	-1.12	-6.7	18
2010-11-27	Portadown	L 1-3	44.0	1136	1118	45.53%	20.37%	34.10%	+0.23	-13.0	21
2010-11-27	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	44.0	1118	1136	34.10%	20.37%	45.53%	-0.23	+13.0	20
2010-12-10	Linfield	W 3-1	47.4	1192	1335	24.57%	19.66%	55.78%	-0.72	+15.5	33
2010-12-10	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	47.4	1335	1192	55.78%	19.66%	24.57%	+0.72	-15.5	43
2010-12-11	Ballymena United	L 1-2	45.5	1099	1127	39.07%	20.47%	40.46%	-0.04	-6.6	20
2010-12-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	45.5	1127	1099	40.46%	20.47%	39.07%	+0.04	+6.6	31
2010-12-11	Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	33.3	1232	1055	64.32%	18.34%	17.34%	+1.17	+3.4	41
2010-12-11	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	33.3	1055	1232	17.34%	18.34%	64.32%	-1.17	-3.4	14
2010-12-11	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	54.2	1089	1115	39.39%	20.47%	40.14%	-0.02	+0.0	24
2010-12-11	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.2	1115	1089	40.14%	20.47%	39.39%	+0.02	-0.0	30
2010-12-11	Portadown	W 3-1	39.5	1176	1131	49.26%	20.20%	30.54%	+0.39	+9.3	36
2010-12-11	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	39.5	1131	1176	30.54%	20.20%	49.26%	-0.39	-9.3	20
2010-12-14	Glenavon	L 1-4	38.9	1052	1089	37.75%	20.46%	41.80%	-0.09	-15.7	14
2010-12-14	@ Donegal Celtic	W 4-1	38.9	1089	1052	41.80%	20.46%	37.75%	+0.09	+15.7	27
2010-12-27	Crusaders	W 2-1	44.0	1207	1186	46.02%	20.36%	33.63%	+0.25	+5.8	36
2010-12-27	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.0	1186	1207	33.63%	20.36%	46.02%	-0.25	-5.8	36
2010-12-27	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.7	1121	1105	45.37%	20.38%	34.25%	+0.22	-0.3	21
2010-12-27	@ Portadown	D 2-2	59.7	1105	1121	34.25%	20.38%	45.37%	-0.22	+0.3	28
2010-12-31	Linfield	W 2-0	44.9	1036	1320	13.15%	17.01%	69.83%	-1.55	+21.9	17
2010-12-31	@ Donegal Celtic	L 0-2	44.9	1320	1036	69.83%	17.01%	13.15%	+1.55	-21.9	43
2010-12-31	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	47.4	1050	1115	34.00%	20.37%	45.63%	-0.25	+7.5	21
2010-12-31	@ Newry City	L 1-2	47.4	1115	1050	45.63%	20.37%	34.00%	+0.25	-7.5	30
2011-01-01	Ballymena United	W 3-1	42.5	1105	1133	39.00%	20.47%	40.53%	-0.04	+11.8	31
2011-01-01	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	42.5	1133	1105	40.53%	20.47%	39.00%	+0.04	-11.8	31
2011-01-01	Cliftonville	W 3-2	53.7	1123	1213	30.71%	20.21%	49.08%	-0.41	+7.6	24
2011-01-01	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	53.7	1213	1123	49.08%	20.21%	30.71%	+0.41	-7.6	36
2011-01-01	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.9	1180	1092	54.56%	19.78%	25.66%	+0.64	-0.9	37
2011-01-01	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	59.9	1092	1180	25.66%	19.78%	54.56%	-0.64	+0.8	21
2011-01-01	Portadown	L 0-1	45.8	1236	1121	57.71%	19.42%	22.86%	+0.80	-9.8	41
2011-01-01	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	45.8	1121	1236	22.86%	19.42%	57.71%	-0.80	+9.8	24
2011-01-04	Crusaders	W 3-1	37.1	1298	1179	58.23%	19.36%	22.41%	+0.83	+7.1	46
2011-01-04	@ Linfield	L 1-3	37.1	1179	1298	22.41%	19.36%	58.23%	-0.83	-7.1	37
2011-01-04	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	39.8	1093	1058	47.88%	20.28%	31.84%	+0.33	+9.7	24
2011-01-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	39.8	1058	1093	31.84%	20.28%	47.88%	-0.33	-9.7	17
2011-01-04	Glentoran	W 3-1	45.3	1130	1226	30.07%	20.17%	49.76%	-0.44	+14.0	27
2011-01-04	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	45.3	1226	1130	49.76%	20.17%	30.07%	+0.44	-14.0	41
2011-01-04	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	46.1	1205	1107	55.86%	19.65%	24.49%	+0.71	+4.2	39
2011-01-04	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	46.1	1107	1205	24.49%	19.65%	55.86%	-0.71	-4.2	30
2011-01-04	Newry City	W 2-1	42.3	1117	1057	51.05%	20.08%	28.87%	+0.48	+5.1	34
2011-01-04	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	42.3	1057	1117	28.87%	20.08%	51.05%	-0.48	-5.1	21
2011-01-04	Portadown	W 3-1	41.7	1122	1131	41.72%	20.46%	37.82%	+0.07	+11.1	34
2011-01-04	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	41.7	1131	1122	37.82%	20.46%	41.72%	-0.07	-11.2	24
2011-01-10	Glenavon	W 1-0	37.7	1172	1122	49.83%	20.17%	30.00%	+0.42	+5.6	40
2011-01-10	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	37.7	1122	1172	30.00%	20.17%	49.83%	-0.42	-5.6	34
2011-01-11	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.5	1048	1210	22.76%	19.41%	57.83%	-0.82	+1.4	18
2011-01-11	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	54.5	1210	1048	57.83%	19.41%	22.76%	+0.82	-1.4	40
2011-01-18	Coleraine	D 2-2	59.7	1052	1144	30.48%	20.20%	49.32%	-0.42	+0.5	22
2011-01-18	@ Newry City	D 2-2	59.7	1144	1052	49.32%	20.20%	30.48%	+0.42	-0.5	28
2011-01-18	Donegal Celtic	L 1-3	45.3	1103	1050	50.24%	20.14%	29.62%	+0.44	-14.1	30
2011-01-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	45.3	1050	1103	29.62%	20.14%	50.24%	-0.44	+14.1	21
2011-01-18	Glentoran	W 2-1	41.6	1305	1212	55.26%	19.71%	25.03%	+0.68	+4.5	49
2011-01-18	@ Linfield	L 1-2	41.6	1212	1305	25.03%	19.71%	55.26%	-0.68	-4.5	41
2011-01-22	Linfield	L 2-4	43.7	1208	1310	29.34%	20.12%	50.54%	-0.47	-8.1	40
2011-01-22	@ Cliftonville	W 4-2	43.7	1310	1208	50.54%	20.12%	29.34%	+0.47	+8.1	52
2011-01-25	Glenavon	W 1-0	32.8	1318	1116	66.64%	17.83%	15.53%	+1.31	+3.1	55
2011-01-25	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.8	1116	1318	15.53%	17.83%	66.64%	-1.31	-3.1	34
2011-01-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	38.4	1120	1089	47.32%	20.30%	32.37%	+0.31	+6.0	27
2011-01-25	@ Portadown	L 0-1	38.4	1089	1120	32.37%	20.30%	47.32%	-0.31	-6.0	30
2011-01-25	Newry City	W 2-1	40.0	1178	1053	58.88%	19.27%	21.85%	+0.86	+4.0	43
2011-01-25	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	40.0	1053	1178	21.85%	19.27%	58.88%	-0.86	-4.0	22
2011-01-29	Ballymena United	D 0-0	51.0	1321	1133	65.39%	18.11%	16.49%	+1.23	-2.2	56
2011-01-29	@ Linfield	D 0-0	51.0	1133	1321	16.49%	18.11%	65.39%	-1.23	+2.2	35
2011-01-29	Coleraine	W 1-0	41.4	1103	1144	37.22%	20.45%	42.33%	-0.12	+7.5	27
2011-01-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	41.4	1144	1103	42.33%	20.45%	37.22%	+0.12	-7.5	28
2011-01-29	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	40.2	1182	1064	58.10%	19.37%	22.53%	+0.82	+4.1	46
2011-01-29	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	40.2	1064	1182	22.53%	19.37%	58.10%	-0.82	-4.1	21
2011-01-29	Glentoran	L 0-2	32.7	1083	1207	26.65%	19.89%	53.46%	-0.61	-9.6	30
2011-01-29	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.7	1207	1083	53.46%	19.89%	26.65%	+0.61	+9.6	44
2011-01-29	Newry City	W 2-1	41.7	1126	1049	53.27%	19.91%	26.83%	+0.58	+4.8	30
2011-01-29	@ Portadown	L 1-2	41.7	1049	1126	26.83%	19.91%	53.27%	-0.58	-4.8	22
2011-01-31	Cliftonville	L 0-2	34.2	1113	1200	31.12%	20.24%	48.65%	-0.39	-11.0	34
2011-01-31	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	34.2	1200	1113	48.65%	20.24%	31.12%	+0.39	+11.0	43
2011-02-01	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-3	36.5	1136	1110	46.64%	20.33%	33.03%	+0.28	-22.2	28
2011-02-01	@ Coleraine	W 3-0	36.5	1110	1136	33.03%	20.33%	46.64%	-0.28	+22.2	30
2011-02-04	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	48.3	1114	1073	48.66%	20.24%	31.11%	+0.37	-7.9	28
2011-02-04	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	48.3	1073	1114	31.11%	20.24%	48.66%	-0.37	+7.9	33
2011-02-05	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.9	1211	1135	53.17%	19.92%	26.91%	+0.57	-0.8	44
2011-02-05	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.9	1135	1211	26.91%	19.92%	53.17%	-0.57	+0.8	36
2011-02-05	Crusaders	L 2-3	46.1	1044	1186	24.78%	19.68%	55.54%	-0.71	-4.3	22
2011-02-05	@ Newry City	W 3-2	46.1	1186	1044	55.54%	19.68%	24.78%	+0.71	+4.3	49
2011-02-05	Glenavon	D 2-2	60.0	1217	1102	57.73%	19.42%	22.85%	+0.80	-1.0	45
2011-02-05	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	60.0	1102	1217	22.85%	19.42%	57.73%	-0.80	+1.0	35
2011-02-05	Linfield	L 0-4	28.0	1133	1319	20.43%	19.02%	60.55%	-0.97	-14.3	30
2011-02-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	28.0	1319	1133	60.55%	19.02%	20.43%	+0.97	+14.3	59
2011-02-05	Portadown	L 0-2	34.8	1060	1131	33.17%	20.34%	46.50%	-0.29	-11.5	21
2011-02-05	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	34.8	1131	1060	46.50%	20.34%	33.17%	+0.29	+11.6	33
2011-02-08	Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.7	1142	1210	33.52%	20.35%	46.13%	-0.28	+7.6	36
2011-02-08	@ Portadown	L 1-2	47.7	1210	1142	46.13%	20.35%	33.52%	+0.28	-7.6	44
2011-02-08	Coleraine	L 0-1	42.8	1136	1106	47.11%	20.31%	32.58%	+0.30	-8.2	36
2011-02-08	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.8	1106	1136	32.58%	20.31%	47.11%	-0.30	+8.2	31
2011-02-08	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.3	1216	1118	55.76%	19.66%	24.58%	+0.70	-1.4	46
2011-02-08	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.3	1118	1216	24.58%	19.66%	55.76%	-0.70	+1.4	31
2011-02-08	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-1	42.5	1103	1081	46.13%	20.35%	33.52%	+0.26	-8.0	35
2011-02-08	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	42.5	1081	1103	33.52%	20.35%	46.13%	-0.26	+8.0	36
2011-02-12	Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.3	1040	1203	22.59%	19.38%	58.02%	-0.83	-8.3	22
2011-02-12	@ Newry City	W 2-0	31.3	1203	1040	58.02%	19.38%	22.59%	+0.83	+8.3	47
2011-02-14	Glentoran	L 0-2	34.2	1128	1214	31.13%	20.24%	48.64%	-0.39	-11.0	36
2011-02-14	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	34.2	1214	1128	48.64%	20.24%	31.13%	+0.39	+11.0	49
2011-02-14	Portadown	D 1-1	54.2	1114	1150	38.01%	20.46%	41.53%	-0.08	+0.1	32
2011-02-14	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.2	1150	1114	41.53%	20.46%	38.01%	+0.08	-0.1	37
2011-02-19	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.2	1117	1115	43.33%	20.43%	36.24%	+0.14	-0.3	37
2011-02-19	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.2	1115	1117	36.24%	20.43%	43.33%	-0.14	+0.3	33
2011-02-19	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	39.6	1089	1048	48.65%	20.24%	31.12%	+0.37	+9.5	39
2011-02-19	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	39.6	1048	1089	31.12%	20.24%	48.65%	-0.37	-9.5	21
2011-02-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	46.3	1211	1120	55.04%	19.74%	25.23%	+0.66	+4.3	50
2011-02-19	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	46.3	1120	1211	25.23%	19.74%	55.04%	-0.66	-4.3	31
2011-02-19	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.3	1150	1095	50.39%	20.13%	29.47%	+0.45	-0.8	38
2011-02-19	@ Portadown	D 1-1	54.3	1095	1150	29.47%	20.13%	50.39%	-0.45	+0.8	36
2011-02-19	Newry City	D 1-1	55.8	1333	1032	74.75%	15.45%	9.81%	+1.90	-2.7	60
2011-02-19	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.8	1032	1333	9.81%	15.45%	74.75%	-1.90	+2.7	23
2011-02-21	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.2	1039	1115	32.49%	20.31%	47.21%	-0.32	+0.5	22
2011-02-21	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	54.2	1115	1039	47.21%	20.31%	32.49%	+0.32	-0.6	34
2011-02-21	Glentoran	W 2-1	46.5	1190	1225	38.00%	20.46%	41.54%	-0.08	+6.9	52
2011-02-21	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	46.5	1225	1190	41.54%	20.46%	38.00%	+0.08	-6.9	49
2011-02-21	Newry City	D 0-0	50.2	1115	1034	53.78%	19.86%	26.36%	+0.60	-1.2	32
2011-02-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.2	1034	1115	26.36%	19.86%	53.78%	-0.60	+1.2	24
2011-02-26	Cliftonville	D 0-0	50.3	1218	1215	43.46%	20.43%	36.11%	+0.14	-0.3	50
2011-02-26	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.3	1215	1218	36.11%	20.43%	43.46%	-0.14	+0.3	51
2011-02-26	Crusaders	L 0-1	39.6	1149	1197	36.23%	20.43%	43.34%	-0.16	-6.6	38
2011-02-26	@ Portadown	W 1-0	39.6	1197	1149	43.34%	20.43%	36.23%	+0.16	+6.6	55
2011-02-26	Donegal Celtic	L 0-3	38.3	1116	1039	53.29%	19.90%	26.81%	+0.58	-24.9	37
2011-02-26	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	38.3	1039	1116	26.81%	19.90%	53.29%	-0.58	+24.9	25
2011-02-26	Linfield	D 2-2	60.6	1096	1330	16.49%	18.11%	65.40%	-1.25	+1.5	37
2011-02-26	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	60.6	1330	1096	65.40%	18.11%	16.49%	+1.25	-1.5	61
2011-02-26	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	47.3	1114	1099	45.20%	20.38%	34.41%	+0.22	-7.4	32
2011-02-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	47.3	1099	1114	34.41%	20.38%	45.20%	-0.22	+7.4	42
2011-02-26	Newry City	W 3-1	38.2	1114	1035	53.50%	19.89%	26.61%	+0.59	+8.3	37
2011-02-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	38.2	1035	1114	26.61%	19.89%	53.50%	-0.59	-8.3	24
2011-03-01	Crusaders	L 0-3	30.8	1091	1204	28.07%	20.02%	51.90%	-0.53	-14.6	37
2011-03-01	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	30.8	1204	1091	51.90%	20.02%	28.07%	+0.53	+14.6	58
2011-03-01	Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	27.3	1218	1064	62.02%	18.77%	19.21%	+1.03	+13.5	53
2011-03-01	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	27.3	1064	1218	19.21%	18.77%	62.02%	-1.03	-13.5	25
2011-03-01	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	38.2	1027	1107	32.05%	20.29%	47.66%	-0.34	-5.9	24
2011-03-01	@ Newry City	W 1-0	38.2	1107	1027	47.66%	20.29%	32.05%	+0.34	+6.0	35
2011-03-05	Ballymena United	L 0-1	42.8	1106	1077	47.07%	20.31%	32.62%	+0.30	-8.2	42
2011-03-05	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	42.8	1077	1106	32.62%	20.31%	47.07%	-0.30	+8.2	40
2011-03-12	Coleraine	L 0-1	48.3	1329	1123	67.07%	17.73%	15.20%	+1.34	-11.2	61
2011-03-12	@ Linfield	W 1-0	48.3	1123	1329	15.20%	17.73%	67.07%	-1.34	+11.2	40
2011-03-12	Crusaders	L 0-1	36.7	1098	1218	27.13%	19.94%	52.93%	-0.58	-5.2	42
2011-03-12	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	36.7	1218	1098	52.93%	19.94%	27.13%	+0.58	+5.2	61
2011-03-12	Glenavon	D 3-3	63.8	1051	1098	36.38%	20.44%	43.18%	-0.15	+0.2	26
2011-03-12	@ Donegal Celtic	D 3-3	63.8	1098	1051	43.18%	20.44%	36.38%	+0.15	-0.2	38
2011-03-12	Glentoran	L 3-4	46.9	1021	1232	18.33%	18.58%	63.09%	-1.11	-3.1	24
2011-03-12	@ Newry City	W 4-3	46.9	1232	1021	63.09%	18.58%	18.33%	+1.11	+3.1	56
2011-03-12	Portadown	L 1-3	46.2	1216	1142	52.84%	19.94%	27.22%	+0.56	-14.7	51
2011-03-12	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	46.2	1142	1216	27.22%	19.94%	52.84%	-0.56	+14.7	41
2011-03-19	Cliftonville	W 5-0	32.9	1223	1201	46.12%	20.35%	33.52%	+0.26	+27.3	64
2011-03-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-5	32.9	1201	1223	33.52%	20.35%	46.12%	-0.26	-27.3	51
2011-03-19	Coleraine	L 1-2	45.2	1097	1134	37.87%	20.46%	41.67%	-0.09	-6.4	38
2011-03-19	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.2	1134	1097	41.67%	20.46%	37.87%	+0.09	+6.4	43
2011-03-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	43.0	1157	1113	49.10%	20.21%	30.69%	+0.39	+5.4	44
2011-03-19	@ Portadown	L 1-2	43.0	1113	1157	30.69%	20.21%	49.10%	-0.39	-5.4	35
2011-03-19	Glentoran	L 2-3	45.9	1085	1235	23.93%	19.57%	56.49%	-0.76	-4.1	40
2011-03-19	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	45.9	1235	1085	56.49%	19.57%	23.93%	+0.76	+4.1	59
2011-03-19	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	28.3	1317	1093	68.72%	17.32%	13.96%	+1.45	+5.2	64
2011-03-19	@ Linfield	L 0-2	28.3	1093	1317	13.96%	17.32%	68.72%	-1.45	-5.2	42
2011-03-19	Newry City	D 0-0	50.0	1051	1018	47.56%	20.29%	32.15%	+0.32	-0.6	27
2011-03-19	@ Donegal Celtic	D 0-0	50.0	1018	1051	32.15%	20.29%	47.56%	-0.32	+0.6	25
2011-03-22	Ballymena United	W 1-0	38.5	1107	1081	46.68%	20.33%	32.99%	+0.28	+6.1	38
2011-03-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	38.5	1081	1107	32.99%	20.33%	46.68%	-0.28	-6.1	40
2011-03-22	Linfield	L 0-4	28.9	1162	1323	22.87%	19.43%	57.70%	-0.82	-15.9	44
2011-03-22	@ Portadown	W 4-0	28.9	1323	1162	57.70%	19.43%	22.87%	+0.82	+15.9	67
2011-03-26	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.1	1019	1075	35.13%	20.41%	44.46%	-0.21	+0.4	26
2011-03-26	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.1	1075	1019	44.46%	20.41%	35.13%	+0.21	-0.3	41
2011-03-26	Crusaders	L 1-3	38.9	1140	1251	28.28%	20.04%	51.68%	-0.52	-8.7	43
2011-03-26	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	38.9	1251	1140	51.68%	20.04%	28.28%	+0.52	+8.8	67
2011-03-26	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.7	1113	1091	46.13%	20.35%	33.52%	+0.26	-0.4	39
2011-03-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.7	1091	1113	33.52%	20.35%	46.13%	-0.26	+0.3	39
2011-03-26	Portadown	W 2-1	47.3	1088	1147	34.74%	20.39%	44.86%	-0.22	+7.4	45
2011-03-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	47.3	1147	1088	44.86%	20.39%	34.74%	+0.22	-7.4	44
2011-04-01	Donegal Celtic	D 2-2	60.0	1168	1050	58.09%	19.37%	22.53%	+0.82	-1.0	52
2011-04-01	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	60.0	1050	1168	22.53%	19.37%	58.09%	-0.82	+1.0	28
2011-04-16	Linfield	L 1-2	43.4	1245	1344	29.55%	20.14%	50.32%	-0.46	-5.2	59
2011-04-16	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	43.4	1344	1245	50.32%	20.14%	29.55%	+0.46	+5.2	70

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-03-26	Glentoran	L 1-2	44.1	1174	1239	33.92%	20.37%	45.71%	-0.26	-5.9	0
2011-03-26	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	44.1	1239	1174	45.71%	20.37%	33.92%	+0.26	+5.9	3
2011-03-31	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.8	1091	1113	39.97%	20.47%	39.56%	+0.00	-6.7	0
2011-03-31	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.8	1113	1091	39.56%	20.47%	39.97%	+0.00	+6.7	3
2011-04-01	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.3	1131	1074	50.75%	20.11%	29.15%	+0.46	-0.8	1
2011-04-01	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.3	1074	1131	29.15%	20.11%	50.75%	-0.46	+0.8	1
2011-04-01	Linfield	L 0-1	39.2	1259	1339	32.09%	20.29%	47.62%	-0.34	-6.0	0
2011-04-01	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	39.2	1339	1259	47.62%	20.29%	32.09%	+0.34	+6.0	3
2011-04-08	Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	40.2	1019	1051	38.45%	20.46%	41.09%	-0.06	-6.9	0
2011-04-08	@ Newry City	W 1-0	40.2	1051	1019	41.09%	20.46%	38.45%	+0.06	+6.9	3
2011-04-16	Ballymena United	D 3-3	63.8	1058	1075	40.60%	20.47%	38.93%	+0.02	-0.0	4
2011-04-16	@ Donegal Celtic	D 3-3	63.8	1075	1058	38.93%	20.47%	40.60%	-0.02	+0.0	2
2011-04-16	Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.5	1139	1167	39.09%	20.47%	40.44%	-0.04	-7.0	0
2011-04-16	@ Portadown	W 1-0	40.5	1167	1139	40.44%	20.47%	39.09%	+0.04	+7.0	3
2011-04-16	Glenavon	W 3-1	39.4	1131	1085	49.31%	20.20%	30.49%	+0.40	+9.3	4
2011-04-16	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	39.4	1085	1131	30.49%	20.20%	49.31%	-0.40	-9.3	0
2011-04-16	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	32.8	1253	1095	62.47%	18.69%	18.84%	+1.06	+8.5	3
2011-04-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-4	32.8	1095	1253	18.84%	18.69%	62.47%	-1.06	-8.5	0
2011-04-16	Newry City	W 1-0	35.5	1120	1012	56.94%	19.52%	23.54%	+0.76	+4.5	6
2011-04-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	35.5	1012	1120	23.54%	19.52%	56.94%	-0.76	-4.6	0
2011-04-19	Glentoran	W 3-2	46.4	1350	1240	57.23%	19.48%	23.28%	+0.77	+4.0	6
2011-04-19	@ Linfield	L 2-3	46.4	1240	1350	23.28%	19.48%	57.23%	-0.77	-4.0	3
2011-04-19	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	37.8	1132	1086	49.28%	20.20%	30.52%	+0.40	+5.7	3
2011-04-19	@ Portadown	L 0-1	37.8	1086	1132	30.52%	20.20%	49.28%	-0.40	-5.7	0
2011-04-23	Cliftonville	W 1-0	33.7	1354	1174	64.62%	18.28%	17.10%	+1.19	+3.4	9
2011-04-23	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.7	1174	1354	17.10%	18.28%	64.62%	-1.19	-3.4	3
2011-04-23	Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	32.7	1075	1058	45.44%	20.38%	34.18%	+0.23	+17.2	3
2011-04-23	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	32.7	1058	1075	34.18%	20.38%	45.44%	-0.23	-17.2	4
2011-04-23	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.1	1140	1124	45.23%	20.38%	34.38%	+0.22	+6.0	7
2011-04-23	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	44.1	1124	1140	34.38%	20.38%	45.23%	-0.22	-6.0	6
2011-04-23	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	39.1	1236	1081	62.11%	18.76%	19.13%	+1.04	+3.5	6
2011-04-23	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	39.1	1081	1236	19.13%	18.76%	62.11%	-1.04	-3.5	0
2011-04-23	Newry City	W 1-0	36.9	1075	1008	52.12%	20.00%	27.88%	+0.53	+5.3	5
2011-04-23	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	36.9	1008	1075	27.88%	20.00%	52.12%	-0.53	-5.3	0
2011-04-23	Portadown	W 3-1	36.8	1262	1138	58.80%	19.28%	21.92%	+0.86	+7.0	6
2011-04-23	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	36.8	1138	1262	21.92%	19.28%	58.80%	-0.86	-7.0	3
2011-04-26	Crusaders	W 3-0	37.7	1170	1269	29.71%	20.15%	50.15%	-0.45	+23.6	6
2011-04-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	37.7	1269	1170	50.15%	20.15%	29.71%	+0.45	-23.6	6
2011-04-26	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	37.2	1146	1041	56.64%	19.56%	23.80%	+0.74	+7.5	10
2011-04-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	37.2	1041	1146	23.80%	19.56%	56.64%	-0.74	-7.5	4
2011-04-26	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	36.2	1081	1118	37.68%	20.46%	41.86%	-0.10	-12.8	5
2011-04-26	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	36.2	1118	1081	41.86%	20.46%	37.68%	+0.10	+12.8	9
2011-04-26	Glenavon	L 0-4	31.1	1002	1093	30.70%	20.21%	49.09%	-0.41	-20.6	0
2011-04-26	@ Newry City	W 4-0	31.1	1093	1002	49.09%	20.21%	30.70%	+0.41	+20.5	6
2011-04-26	Glentoran	W 2-0	40.3	1131	1239	28.53%	20.06%	51.41%	-0.51	+16.6	6
2011-04-26	@ Portadown	L 0-2	40.3	1239	1131	51.41%	20.06%	28.53%	+0.51	-16.6	6
2011-04-26	Linfield	L 0-4	25.3	1077	1357	13.38%	17.10%	69.52%	-1.52	-9.4	0
2011-04-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	25.3	1357	1077	69.52%	17.10%	13.38%	+1.52	+9.4	12
2011-04-30	Cliftonville	W 4-3	57.9	1068	1194	26.44%	19.87%	53.69%	-0.62	+8.0	3
2011-04-30	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 3-4	57.9	1194	1068	53.69%	19.87%	26.44%	+0.62	-8.0	6
2011-04-30	Coleraine	L 0-2	31.0	982	1153	21.76%	19.25%	58.99%	-0.89	-8.0	0
2011-04-30	@ Newry City	W 2-0	31.0	1153	982	58.99%	19.25%	21.76%	+0.89	+8.0	13
2011-04-30	Crusaders	D 2-2	60.0	1222	1245	39.80%	20.47%	39.73%	-0.01	+0.0	7
2011-04-30	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	60.0	1245	1222	39.73%	20.47%	39.80%	+0.01	+0.0	7
2011-04-30	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	42.6	1033	1131	29.78%	20.15%	50.07%	-0.45	-5.3	4
2011-04-30	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	42.6	1131	1033	50.07%	20.15%	29.78%	+0.45	+5.3	12
2011-04-30	Glenavon	W 1-0	41.6	1068	1113	36.61%	20.44%	42.95%	-0.14	+7.6	8
2011-04-30	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	41.6	1113	1068	42.95%	20.44%	36.61%	+0.14	-7.6	6
2011-04-30	Portadown	W 1-0	32.5	1367	1147	68.23%	17.45%	14.33%	+1.42	+2.8	15
2011-04-30	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.5	1147	1367	14.33%	17.45%	68.23%	-1.42	-2.8	6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-12-31	13.15%	@ Donegal Celtic	1036	2	Linfield	1320	0
2	2011-03-12	15.20%	Coleraine	1123	1	@ Linfield	1329	0
3	2010-11-13	19.45%	Dungannon Swifts	1088	2	@ Glentoran	1239	0
4	2010-09-21	20.38%	Ballymena United	1112	2	@ Glentoran	1253	1
5	2010-11-09	20.39%	Glenavon	1055	2	@ Cliftonville	1195	0
6	2010-10-30	22.13%	Lisburn Distillery	1119	3	@ Glentoran	1241	1
7	2011-01-01	22.86%	Portadown	1121	1	@ Glentoran	1236	0
8	2010-08-14	23.22%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1090	2	Linfield	1247	1
9	2010-10-15	23.27%	Donegal Celtic	1090	5	@ Crusaders	1200	4
10	2010-10-30	23.67%	Portadown	1113	1	@ Cliftonville	1219	0
11	2010-11-13	23.73%	@ Crusaders	1176	2	Linfield	1328	1
12	2010-09-21	24.30%	Coleraine	1115	2	@ Cliftonville	1215	0
13	2010-12-10	24.57%	@ Cliftonville	1192	3	Linfield	1335	1
14	2010-08-07	25.53%	Glenavon	1069	2	@ Coleraine	1157	0
15	2010-11-20	25.64%	Lisburn Distillery	1113	3	@ Cliftonville	1201	1
16	2010-08-14	25.81%	Lisburn Distillery	1077	2	@ Crusaders	1163	1
17	2010-08-21	26.02%	Ballymena United	1081	3	@ Portadown	1165	1
18	2011-04-30	26.44%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1068	4	Cliftonville	1194	3
19	2011-02-26	26.81%	Donegal Celtic	1039	3	@ Ballymena United	1116	0
20	2011-03-12	27.22%	Portadown	1142	3	@ Cliftonville	1216	1
21	2011-04-26	28.53%	@ Portadown	1131	2	Glentoran	1239	0
22	2010-11-20	29.01%	@ Glenavon	1081	2	Crusaders	1185	1
23	2011-01-18	29.62%	Donegal Celtic	1050	3	@ Lisburn Distillery	1103	1
24	2011-04-26	29.71%	@ Cliftonville	1170	3	Crusaders	1269	0
25	2010-11-20	29.91%	@ Donegal Celtic	1047	2	Coleraine	1144	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-03-19	27.27	@ Crusaders	5	1223	46.12%	Cliftonville	0	1201	33.52%	20.35%
2	2010-09-11	26.95	@ Coleraine	4	1088	36.79%	Donegal Celtic	0	1132	42.76%	20.44%
3	2010-11-19	25.75	Ballymena United	4	1101	39.10%	@ Newry City	0	1082	40.43%	20.47%
4	2011-02-26	24.92	Donegal Celtic	3	1039	26.81%	@ Ballymena United	0	1116	53.29%	19.90%
5	2010-11-13	24.78	@ Cliftonville	5	1176	49.92%	Ballymena United	0	1126	29.92%	20.16%
6	2010-08-14	24.05	Donegal Celtic	4	1146	42.44%	@ Ballymena United	0	1105	37.11%	20.45%
7	2011-04-26	23.61	@ Cliftonville	3	1170	29.71%	Crusaders	0	1269	50.15%	20.15%
8	2010-10-31	23.16	Newry City	3	1054	30.74%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1099	49.05%	20.21%
9	2010-10-18	23.05	@ Linfield	8	1296	56.50%	Crusaders	1	1192	23.93%	19.57%
10	2010-10-05	22.38	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1074	32.54%	Coleraine	0	1149	47.15%	20.31%
11	2011-02-01	22.18	Dungannon Swifts	3	1110	33.03%	@ Coleraine	0	1136	46.64%	20.33%
12	2010-12-31	21.91	@ Donegal Celtic	2	1036	13.15%	Linfield	0	1320	69.83%	17.01%
13	2010-08-07	21.59	Glentoran	6	1180	47.96%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1098	31.77%	20.27%
14	2010-11-13	21.42	Coleraine	3	1122	34.85%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1135	44.76%	20.40%
15	2011-04-26	20.55	Glenavon	4	1093	49.09%	@ Newry City	0	1002	30.70%	20.21%
16	2010-08-07	20.37	@ Newry City	3	1071	37.46%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1111	42.09%	20.45%
17	2010-11-13	19.60	Dungannon Swifts	2	1088	19.45%	@ Glentoran	0	1239	61.73%	18.82%
18	2010-08-21	19.36	Crusaders	3	1154	40.00%	@ Coleraine	0	1130	39.53%	20.47%
19	2010-11-09	19.27	Glenavon	2	1055	20.39%	@ Cliftonville	0	1195	60.60%	19.01%
20	2010-09-21	17.96	Coleraine	2	1115	24.30%	@ Cliftonville	0	1215	56.08%	19.62%
21	2010-08-28	17.74	Glentoran	3	1211	44.13%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1157	35.46%	20.41%
22	2010-08-07	17.56	Glenavon	2	1069	25.53%	@ Coleraine	0	1157	54.70%	19.77%
23	2011-04-23	17.21	@ Glenavon	3	1075	45.44%	Donegal Celtic	0	1058	34.18%	20.38%
24	2011-04-26	16.61	@ Portadown	2	1131	28.53%	Glentoran	0	1239	51.41%	20.06%
25	2010-10-02	16.21	@ Linfield	4	1254	57.09%	Portadown	0	1145	23.41%	19.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-08-31	65.8	@ Donegal Celtic	4	1139	40.65%	Portadown	4	1156	38.88%	20.47%
2	2010-10-30	64.5	@ Ballymena United	3	1125	19.71%	Linfield	3	1319	61.42%	18.88%
3	2010-11-06	63.9	@ Ballymena United	3	1126	52.58%	Glenavon	3	1054	27.45%	19.97%
4	2011-03-12	63.8	@ Donegal Celtic	3	1051	36.38%	Glenavon	3	1098	43.18%	20.44%
5	2011-04-16	63.8	@ Donegal Celtic	3	1058	40.60%	Ballymena United	3	1075	38.93%	20.47%
6	2011-02-26	60.6	@ Glenavon	2	1096	16.49%	Linfield	2	1330	65.40%	18.11%
7	2010-10-15	60.1	Donegal Celtic	5	1090	23.27%	@ Crusaders	4	1200	57.24%	19.48%
8	2011-02-05	60.0	@ Glentoran	2	1217	57.73%	Glenavon	2	1102	22.85%	19.42%
9	2011-04-01	60.0	@ Cliftonville	2	1168	58.09%	Donegal Celtic	2	1050	22.53%	19.37%
10	2011-04-30	60.0	@ Glentoran	2	1222	39.80%	Crusaders	2	1245	39.73%	20.47%
11	2011-01-01	59.9	@ Crusaders	2	1180	54.56%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1092	25.66%	19.78%
12	2011-02-05	59.9	@ Cliftonville	2	1211	53.17%	Ballymena United	2	1135	26.91%	19.92%
13	2010-10-02	59.7	@ Lisburn Distillery	2	1106	46.72%	Glenavon	2	1079	32.95%	20.33%
14	2010-10-09	59.7	@ Portadown	2	1124	46.96%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1096	32.73%	20.32%
15	2010-12-27	59.7	@ Portadown	2	1121	45.37%	Glenavon	2	1105	34.25%	20.38%
16	2011-01-18	59.7	@ Newry City	2	1052	30.48%	Coleraine	2	1144	49.32%	20.20%
17	2011-03-26	59.7	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1113	46.13%	Glenavon	2	1091	33.52%	20.35%
18	2010-09-04	59.6	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1078	40.54%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1096	38.99%	20.47%
19	2011-04-30	57.9	@ Lisburn Distillery	4	1068	26.44%	Cliftonville	3	1194	53.69%	19.87%
20	2011-02-19	55.8	@ Linfield	1	1333	74.75%	Newry City	1	1032	9.81%	15.45%
21	2011-01-11	54.5	@ Donegal Celtic	1	1048	22.76%	Cliftonville	1	1210	57.83%	19.41%
22	2010-09-04	54.4	@ Ballymena United	1	1105	28.31%	Cliftonville	1	1215	51.65%	20.04%
23	2010-09-21	54.4	@ Crusaders	1	1172	56.16%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1071	24.23%	19.61%
24	2010-10-05	54.4	@ Newry City	1	1067	26.54%	Crusaders	1	1193	53.58%	19.88%
25	2010-09-25	54.3	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1105	30.48%	Cliftonville	1	1197	49.33%	20.20%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-04-26	25.3	Linfield	4	1357	69.52%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1077	13.38%	17.10%
2	2010-10-15	25.5	@ Linfield	4	1286	68.43%	Newry City	0	1064	14.18%	17.39%
3	2011-03-01	27.3	@ Glentoran	4	1218	62.02%	Donegal Celtic	0	1064	19.21%	18.77%
4	2010-11-27	27.8	Linfield	4	1322	61.29%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1128	19.81%	18.90%
5	2011-02-05	28.0	Linfield	4	1319	60.55%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1133	20.43%	19.02%
6	2011-03-19	28.3	@ Linfield	2	1317	68.72%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1093	13.96%	17.32%
7	2010-10-02	28.9	@ Linfield	4	1254	57.09%	Portadown	0	1145	23.41%	19.50%
8	2011-03-22	28.9	Linfield	4	1323	57.70%	@ Portadown	0	1162	22.87%	19.43%
9	2010-11-27	29.7	@ Glentoran	2	1225	63.52%	Newry City	0	1057	17.98%	18.50%
10	2011-03-01	30.8	Crusaders	3	1204	51.90%	@ Ballymena United	0	1091	28.07%	20.02%
11	2010-11-09	30.9	@ Linfield	6	1322	71.05%	Donegal Celtic	2	1069	12.29%	16.66%
12	2011-04-30	31.0	Coleraine	2	1153	58.99%	@ Newry City	0	982	21.76%	19.25%
13	2011-04-26	31.1	Glenavon	4	1093	49.09%	@ Newry City	0	1002	30.70%	20.21%
14	2011-02-12	31.3	Cliftonville	2	1203	58.02%	@ Newry City	0	1040	22.59%	19.38%
15	2010-11-13	31.6	@ Portadown	3	1108	49.17%	Donegal Celtic	0	1063	30.62%	20.21%
16	2010-08-20	31.7	@ Cliftonville	2	1208	57.06%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1100	23.43%	19.51%
17	2010-11-13	31.7	@ Cliftonville	5	1176	49.92%	Ballymena United	0	1126	29.92%	20.16%
18	2010-10-09	31.9	Linfield	2	1277	56.55%	@ Coleraine	0	1127	23.88%	19.57%
19	2010-11-20	32.5	@ Linfield	1	1319	67.49%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1108	14.88%	17.63%
20	2011-04-30	32.5	@ Linfield	1	1367	68.23%	Portadown	0	1147	14.33%	17.45%
21	2010-10-09	32.6	@ Glentoran	4	1240	63.16%	Glenavon	1	1075	18.28%	18.57%
22	2011-01-29	32.7	Glentoran	2	1207	53.46%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1083	26.65%	19.89%
23	2011-04-23	32.7	@ Glenavon	3	1075	45.44%	Donegal Celtic	0	1058	34.18%	20.38%
24	2011-01-25	32.8	@ Linfield	1	1318	66.64%	Glenavon	0	1116	15.53%	17.83%
25	2011-04-16	32.8	@ Crusaders	4	1253	62.47%	Lisburn Distillery	1	1095	18.84%	18.69%