2011-12 IFA Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Carrick Rangers

2.44 points above expected

31 points · 28.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Donegal Celtic

3.02 points below expected

41 points · 44.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	25	2	6	77	74	24	+50	68.05	+8.95
2	Portadown	33	20	5	8	65	66	38	+28	55.93	+9.07
3	Cliftonville	33	20	5	8	65	76	55	+21	53.43	+11.57
4	Coleraine	33	16	10	7	58	54	34	+20	52.51	+5.49
5	Crusaders	33	16	8	9	56	55	43	+12	54.50	+1.50
6	Glentoran	33	14	8	11	50	63	44	+19	57.48	-7.48
7	Donegal Celtic	33	12	5	16	41	40	63	-23	34.47	+6.53
8	Ballymena United	33	10	7	16	37	51	65	-14	37.61	-0.61
9	Lisburn Distillery	33	7	7	19	28	45	73	-28	32.24	-4.24
10	Glenavon	33	7	6	20	27	45	60	-15	36.55	-9.55
11	Dungannon Swifts	33	6	9	18	27	33	62	-29	36.51	-9.51
12	Carrick Rangers	33	5	8	20	23	39	80	-41	32.79	-9.79

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	27	4	7	85	79	29	+50	86.83	-1.83
2	Portadown	38	22	5	11	71	72	47	+25	71.64	-0.64
3	Cliftonville	38	21	6	11	69	83	62	+21	71.61	-2.61
4	Coleraine	38	18	12	8	66	61	38	+23	64.08	+1.92
5	Crusaders	38	18	10	10	64	63	47	+16	62.42	+1.58
6	Glentoran	38	16	9	13	57	67	52	+15	56.12	+0.88

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ballymena United	38	14	8	16	50	66	71	-5	48.80	+1.20
2	Donegal Celtic	38	12	5	21	41	44	80	-36	44.02	-3.02
3	Dungannon Swifts	38	8	11	19	35	42	71	-29	34.87	+0.13
4	Glenavon	38	8	10	20	34	60	71	-11	34.71	-0.71
5	Lisburn Distillery	38	8	8	22	32	56	84	-28	33.68	-1.68
6	Carrick Rangers	38	7	10	21	31	50	91	-41	28.56	+2.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Carrick Rangers	31	28.56	+2.44
2	Coleraine	66	64.08	+1.92
3	Crusaders	64	62.42	+1.58
4	Ballymena United	50	48.80	+1.20
5	Glentoran	57	56.12	+0.88

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Donegal Celtic	41	44.02	-3.02
2	Cliftonville	69	71.61	-2.61
3	Linfield	85	86.83	-1.83
4	Lisburn Distillery	32	33.68	-1.68
5	Glenavon	34	34.71	-0.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	10	Oct 8 – Dec 10	1 in 5,037
2	Portadown	5	Sep 10 – Oct 8	1 in 112
3	Ballymena United	4	Mar 24 – Apr 14	1 in 47
4	Linfield	6	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 15
5	Dungannon Swifts	2	Feb 18 – Feb 25	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	4	Mar 10 – Apr 7	1 in 217
2	Lisburn Distillery	7	Oct 1 – Nov 12	1 in 175
3	Donegal Celtic	6	Mar 24 – Apr 28	1 in 123
4	Glenavon	5	Aug 20 – Sep 10	1 in 100
5	Coleraine	2	Mar 17 – Mar 24	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	10	Feb 17 – Apr 28	1 in 92
2	Coleraine	11	Nov 18 – Jan 31	1 in 72
3	Cliftonville	10	Oct 8 – Dec 10	1 in 71
4	Portadown	6	Sep 10 – Oct 15	1 in 16
5	Glenavon	6	Mar 24 – Apr 28	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lisburn Distillery	14	Oct 1 – Dec 26	1 in 64
2	Dungannon Swifts	8	Sep 17 – Nov 5	1 in 43
3	Glenavon	8	Aug 6 – Sep 17	1 in 31
4	Glentoran	5	Mar 10 – Apr 10	1 in 29
5	Portadown	4	Feb 18 – Mar 16	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1350	85	-15	8	9.8	-1.8
Portadown	1211	71	-14	6	6.5	-0.5
Cliftonville	1225	69	+0	4	6.6	-2.6
Coleraine	1222	66	+19	8	6.4	+1.6
Crusaders	1240	64	+24	8	6.6	+1.4
Glentoran	1191	57	-14	7	5.8	+1.2
Ballymena United	1107	50	+43	13	8.1	+4.9
Donegal Celtic	965	41	-71	0	6.4	-6.4
Dungannon Swifts	1033	35	+3	8	6.9	+1.1
Glenavon	1084	34	+19	7	7.9	-0.9
Lisburn Distillery	1018	32	+0	4	6.8	-2.8
Carrick Rangers	980	31	+6	8	5.6	+2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DC	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	LD	POR
Ballymena United	—	3-0-1 6.44	1-0-2 2.70	0-0-3 2.97	0-1-2 2.74	3-1-0 5.98	1-3-0 5.73	1-2-1 5.70	2-0-1 2.44	0-0-3 1.81	3-1-0 6.31	0-0-3 2.50
Carrick Rangers	1-0-3 4.67	—	0-1-2 2.66	0-0-3 2.64	0-0-3 2.43	2-0-2 5.03	0-3-1 4.85	1-2-1 4.62	0-2-1 2.11	0-0-3 1.45	2-1-1 5.47	1-1-1 1.97
Cliftonville	2-0-1 5.66	2-1-0 5.72	—	0-2-2 5.92	1-2-1 5.27	2-0-1 5.90	3-0-0 5.54	3-0-0 5.54	3-0-1 5.27	1-0-3 3.43	3-0-0 6.03	1-1-2 5.51
Coleraine	3-0-0 5.37	3-0-0 5.74	2-2-0 5.17	—	1-2-1 5.26	2-0-1 5.88	2-1-0 5.35	1-1-1 5.63	0-4-0 5.20	1-1-2 3.66	1-0-2 5.82	2-1-1 5.19
Crusaders	2-1-0 5.62	3-0-0 5.95	1-2-1 5.82	1-2-1 5.83	—	1-1-1 5.95	3-0-0 5.75	2-0-1 5.71	2-1-1 5.30	0-1-3 3.84	1-2-0 5.99	2-0-2 5.42
Donegal Celtic	0-1-3 5.11	2-0-2 6.06	1-0-2 2.48	1-0-2 2.50	1-1-1 2.43	—	1-1-2 4.93	2-1-1 5.01	1-0-2 2.36	0-0-3 1.70	2-1-1 5.76	1-0-2 2.47
Dungannon Swifts	0-3-1 5.36	1-3-0 6.24	0-0-3 2.81	0-1-2 3.00	0-0-3 2.62	2-1-1 6.16	—	0-3-1 5.60	1-0-2 2.72	0-0-3 1.85	3-0-1 6.01	1-0-2 2.77
Glenavon	1-2-1 5.39	1-2-1 6.48	0-0-3 2.82	1-1-1 2.72	1-0-2 2.65	1-1-2 6.08	1-3-0 5.50	—	1-0-2 2.37	0-0-3 1.93	1-1-2 6.15	0-0-3 2.84
Glentoran	1-0-2 5.94	1-2-0 6.31	1-0-3 5.82	0-4-0 5.89	1-1-2 5.79	2-0-1 6.03	2-0-1 5.65	2-0-1 6.01	—	4-0-0 3.78	1-1-1 6.31	1-1-2 5.62
Linfield	3-0-0 6.63	3-0-0 7.06	3-0-1 7.72	2-1-1 7.48	3-1-0 7.29	3-0-0 6.76	3-0-0 6.59	3-0-0 6.50	0-0-4 7.36	—	2-1-0 7.04	2-1-1 7.40
Lisburn Distillery	0-1-3 4.79	1-1-2 5.62	0-0-3 2.36	2-0-1 2.55	0-2-1 2.40	1-1-2 5.33	1-0-3 5.08	2-1-1 4.95	1-1-1 2.11	0-1-2 1.46	—	0-0-3 2.48
Portadown	3-0-0 5.87	1-1-1 6.46	2-1-1 5.58	1-1-2 5.91	2-0-2 5.67	2-0-1 5.91	2-0-1 5.59	3-0-0 5.51	2-1-1 5.47	1-1-2 3.73	3-0-0 5.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.66	+11.6
Allowed	0.82	-8.6
Differential	0.91	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.92%	7.02%	2.85%	1.54%	0.88%	20.83%
1	5.92%	9.21%	8.55%	3.73%	1.54%	1.32%	30.26%
2	7.02%	8.55%	6.14%	3.29%	0.88%	0.44%	26.32%
3	2.85%	3.73%	3.29%	3.07%	0.66%	0.66%	14.25%
4	1.54%	1.54%	0.88%	0.66%	0.44%	—	5.04%
5+	0.88%	1.32%	0.44%	0.66%	—	—	3.29%
Total	20.83%	30.26%	26.32%	14.25%	5.04%	3.29%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.63	+0.00
SD	1.30	1.30	1.92
CV	0.80	0.80	—
Max	7	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	21.05%
1	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	2.63%	23.68%
2	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	23.68%	36.84%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.87	-0.13
SD	1.29	1.44	1.91
CV	0.74	0.77	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	—	31.58%
1	—	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	28.95%
2	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	10.53%	15.79%	23.68%	31.58%	13.16%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.39	-1.08
SD	1.25	1.41	1.85
CV	0.95	0.59	—
Max	5	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	2.63%	18.42%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	7.89%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	18.42%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	5.26%	—	—	5.26%
Total	13.16%	44.74%	13.16%	23.68%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.63	+0.55
SD	1.45	1.15	1.57
CV	0.66	0.70	—
Max	7	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	21.05%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
2	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	44.74%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.00	+0.61
SD	1.35	0.99	1.55
CV	0.84	0.99	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	13.16%	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
3	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	42.11%	26.32%	5.26%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.24	+0.42
SD	1.17	1.05	1.76
CV	0.71	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	34.21%
1	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	26.32%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	28.95%
3	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	26.32%	34.21%	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	2.11	-0.95
SD	1.03	1.45	1.90
CV	0.89	0.69	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	26.32%
1	—	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	42.11%
2	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	28.95%	28.95%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.87	-0.76
SD	0.86	1.40	1.73
CV	0.78	0.75	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.53%	15.79%	—	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	—	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	18.42%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	10.53%	23.68%	44.74%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.87	-0.29
SD	1.46	1.12	1.63
CV	0.93	0.60	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	13.16%	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	36.84%
2	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	7.89%	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	31.58%	23.68%	26.32%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.37	+0.39
SD	1.46	1.22	2.11
CV	0.83	0.89	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
2	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	42.11%	44.74%	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.76	+1.32
SD	1.55	0.85	1.92
CV	0.75	1.12	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	—	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.89%	18.42%	36.84%	26.32%	2.63%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	2.21	-0.74
SD	1.06	1.26	1.75
CV	0.72	0.57	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	21.05%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	39.47%
3	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	15.79%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	34.21%	26.32%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.24	+0.66
SD	1.20	1.17	1.73
CV	0.64	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1350	85	68.05	+16.95	92.0%	50	56	63	68	73	78	84
Crusaders	1240	64	54.50	+9.50	59.0%	37	42	49	54	60	65	71
Cliftonville	1225	69	53.43	+15.57	94.0%	38	42	48	54	58	66	68
Coleraine	1222	66	52.51	+13.49	81.0%	33	37	48	53	57	64	72
Portadown	1211	71	55.93	+15.07	86.0%	38	43	50	56	61	68	72
Glentoran	1191	57	57.48	-0.48	16.0%	41	44	53	58	62	71	75
Ballymena United	1107	50	37.61	+12.39	47.0%	23	27	33	38	41	49	57
Glenavon	1084	34	36.55	-2.55	10.0%	19	24	32	37	40	52	56
Dungannon Swifts	1033	35	36.51	-1.51	13.0%	16	26	32	36	41	48	55
Lisburn Distillery	1018	32	32.24	-0.24	30.0%	18	21	28	32	37	42	47
Carrick Rangers	980	31	32.79	-1.79	5.0%	16	23	29	32	37	42	51
Donegal Celtic	965	41	34.47	+6.53	84.0%	18	22	30	35	39	45	55

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-1.32%

No Edge

38.60%21.49%39.91%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -4.57 Elo pts.

155 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.03 goals

Neutral

-2-0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

69%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.37/gm

Runaway

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.42 * Wild Swing: 11.42 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.76 points

Some Luck

07.1418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.564

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Cliftonville

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

5.00%

Carrick Rangers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 118.99

2.20

Strong Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

74%

Slight Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Even

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.19

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.73

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.54

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.11

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1100.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	69.00%	19.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	8.00%	19.00%	23.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Cliftonville	3.00%	16.00%	16.00%	22.00%	17.00%	15.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Coleraine	1.00%	6.00%	21.00%	21.00%	22.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	3.00%	—	—
Crusaders	7.00%	20.00%	9.00%	17.00%	16.00%	26.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Glentoran	12.00%	20.00%	25.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	18.00%	20.00%	20.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%
Donegal Celtic	—	—	—	1.00%	—	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	18.00%	25.00%	11.00%	18.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	16.00%	20.00%	16.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%
Glenavon	—	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	16.00%	15.00%	20.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	14.00%	17.00%	22.00%	29.00%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	15.00%	8.00%	23.00%	27.00%	20.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	99.94%	0.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	0.03%	53.65%	40.90%	5.12%	0.30%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	0.03%	44.81%	49.23%	5.50%	0.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	1.23%	7.14%	56.82%	32.16%	2.65%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	0.25%	2.73%	31.02%	58.40%	7.60%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	1.54%	8.71%	89.75%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	85.27%	14.71%	0.02%	—	—	—
Donegal Celtic	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.73%	80.73%	4.25%	0.28%	0.01%	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.87%	40.09%	30.35%	22.50%	5.19%
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.67%	34.23%	33.37%	25.10%	5.63%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.01%	19.79%	30.67%	38.15%	10.38%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	1.62%	5.33%	14.24%	78.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Glenavon	78.00%	16.00%	6.00%
Ballymena United	84.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Dungannon Swifts	75.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Donegal Celtic	66.00%	14.00%	20.00%
Carrick Rangers	48.00%	25.00%	27.00%
Lisburn Distillery	49.00%	22.00%	29.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Donegal Celtic	99.99%	0.01%	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	72.31%	22.50%	5.19%
Glenavon	69.27%	25.10%	5.63%
Lisburn Distillery	51.47%	38.15%	10.38%
Carrick Rangers	6.96%	14.24%	78.80%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-08-06	Ballymena United	L 1-4	39.9	1085	1085	38.48%	22.80%	38.72%	-0.03	-15.8	0
2011-08-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	39.9	1085	1085	38.72%	22.80%	38.48%	+0.03	+15.8	3
2011-08-06	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	38.1	1156	1090	47.70%	22.45%	29.85%	+0.39	+5.6	3
2011-08-06	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.1	1090	1156	29.85%	22.45%	47.70%	-0.39	-5.6	0
2011-08-06	Coleraine	D 0-0	49.2	1124	1140	36.32%	22.78%	40.90%	-0.13	+0.2	1
2011-08-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.2	1140	1124	40.90%	22.78%	36.32%	+0.13	-0.2	1
2011-08-06	Glentoran	L 1-2	46.3	1190	1182	39.84%	22.79%	37.37%	+0.03	-6.6	0
2011-08-06	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	46.3	1182	1190	37.37%	22.79%	39.84%	-0.03	+6.6	3
2011-08-06	Linfield	L 1-2	39.4	1106	1280	18.82%	20.48%	60.70%	-1.15	-3.5	0
2011-08-06	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	39.4	1280	1106	60.70%	20.48%	18.82%	+1.15	+3.5	3
2011-08-06	Portadown	W 1-0	43.6	1058	1129	29.14%	22.38%	48.47%	-0.49	+8.2	3
2011-08-06	@ Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	43.6	1129	1058	48.47%	22.38%	29.14%	+0.49	-8.2	0
2011-08-13	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.1	1140	1161	35.55%	22.76%	41.69%	-0.17	+0.2	2
2011-08-13	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.1	1161	1140	41.69%	22.76%	35.55%	+0.17	-0.2	4
2011-08-13	Crusaders	L 1-2	41.8	1085	1184	25.98%	22.01%	52.01%	-0.67	-4.7	0
2011-08-13	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	41.8	1184	1085	52.01%	22.01%	25.98%	+0.67	+4.7	3
2011-08-13	Donegal Celtic	W 5-0	26.9	1283	1066	65.11%	19.32%	15.57%	+1.37	+13.5	6
2011-08-13	@ Linfield	L 0-5	26.9	1066	1283	15.57%	19.32%	65.11%	-1.37	-13.5	3
2011-08-13	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	43.2	1188	1124	47.54%	22.46%	30.00%	+0.38	+5.3	6
2011-08-13	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	43.2	1124	1188	30.00%	22.46%	47.54%	-0.38	-5.3	1
2011-08-13	Glenavon	D 3-3	63.1	1101	1102	38.44%	22.80%	38.77%	-0.04	+0.0	4
2011-08-13	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	63.1	1102	1101	38.77%	22.80%	38.44%	+0.04	-0.0	1
2011-08-13	Lisburn Distillery	W 5-1	36.3	1121	1069	45.89%	22.58%	31.53%	+0.31	+17.4	3
2011-08-13	@ Portadown	L 1-5	36.3	1069	1121	31.53%	22.58%	45.89%	-0.31	-17.4	0
2011-08-20	Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	46.8	1102	1080	41.78%	22.76%	35.47%	+0.11	-6.9	1
2011-08-20	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	46.8	1080	1102	35.47%	22.76%	41.78%	-0.11	+6.9	3
2011-08-20	Crusaders	L 0-3	31.0	1101	1188	27.30%	22.18%	50.52%	-0.59	-14.2	4
2011-08-20	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	31.0	1188	1101	50.52%	22.18%	27.30%	+0.59	+14.2	6
2011-08-20	Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	50.9	1194	1052	57.06%	21.24%	21.71%	+0.88	-9.0	6
2011-08-20	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	50.9	1052	1194	21.71%	21.24%	57.06%	-0.88	+8.9	6
2011-08-20	Linfield	L 1-4	33.3	1119	1297	18.49%	20.38%	61.13%	-1.17	-8.4	1
2011-08-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	33.3	1297	1119	61.13%	20.38%	18.49%	+1.17	+8.4	9
2011-08-20	Lisburn Distillery	L 2-3	54.7	1140	1051	50.70%	22.16%	27.13%	+0.54	-7.7	2
2011-08-20	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	54.7	1051	1140	27.13%	22.16%	50.70%	-0.54	+7.7	3
2011-08-20	Portadown	L 0-2	38.0	1161	1138	41.87%	22.75%	35.38%	+0.12	-13.8	4
2011-08-20	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	38.0	1138	1161	35.38%	22.75%	41.87%	-0.12	+13.8	6
2011-08-26	Ballymena United	L 2-3	50.1	1061	1087	35.01%	22.74%	42.24%	-0.19	-5.7	6
2011-08-26	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-2	50.1	1087	1061	42.24%	22.74%	35.01%	+0.19	+5.7	7
2011-08-26	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	41.6	1110	1087	41.94%	22.75%	35.31%	+0.12	+10.4	4
2011-08-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	41.6	1087	1110	35.31%	22.75%	41.94%	-0.12	-10.4	3
2011-08-26	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	1202	1132	48.32%	22.40%	29.28%	+0.42	-0.7	7
2011-08-26	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.2	1132	1202	29.28%	22.40%	48.32%	-0.42	+0.7	3
2011-08-26	Glenavon	W 1-0	38.5	1152	1095	46.50%	22.54%	30.96%	+0.33	+5.8	9
2011-08-26	@ Portadown	L 0-1	38.5	1095	1152	30.96%	22.54%	46.50%	-0.33	-5.8	1
2011-08-27	Cliftonville	L 1-2	42.2	1059	1147	27.16%	22.17%	50.67%	-0.60	-4.8	3
2011-08-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	42.2	1147	1059	50.67%	22.17%	27.16%	+0.60	+4.9	7
2011-08-27	Glentoran	L 0-1	45.7	1305	1185	54.65%	21.65%	23.71%	+0.75	-9.1	9
2011-08-27	@ Linfield	W 1-0	45.7	1185	1305	23.71%	21.65%	54.65%	-0.75	+9.1	9
2011-08-29	Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	51.1	1202	1056	57.62%	21.13%	21.25%	+0.91	-9.0	7
2011-08-29	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	51.1	1056	1202	21.25%	21.13%	57.62%	-0.91	+9.0	9
2011-08-30	Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	37.6	1093	1076	40.92%	22.78%	36.30%	+0.07	-13.5	7
2011-08-30	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	37.6	1076	1093	36.30%	22.78%	40.92%	-0.07	+13.5	6
2011-08-30	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	1194	1133	47.07%	22.50%	30.44%	+0.36	-0.6	10
2011-08-30	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.2	1133	1194	30.44%	22.50%	47.07%	-0.36	+0.6	4
2011-08-30	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.3	1158	1121	43.83%	22.68%	33.49%	+0.21	+5.8	12
2011-08-30	@ Portadown	L 1-2	44.3	1121	1158	33.49%	22.68%	43.83%	-0.21	-5.8	4
2011-08-30	Glenavon	W 5-3	46.6	1152	1090	47.30%	22.48%	30.22%	+0.37	+7.8	10
2011-08-30	@ Cliftonville	L 3-5	46.6	1090	1152	30.22%	22.48%	47.30%	-0.37	-7.8	1
2011-08-30	Linfield	L 2-3	42.7	1054	1296	13.99%	18.60%	67.41%	-1.58	-2.4	3
2011-08-30	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	42.7	1296	1054	67.41%	18.60%	13.99%	+1.58	+2.4	12
2011-09-03	Cliftonville	L 0-1	42.3	1193	1160	43.29%	22.71%	34.00%	+0.18	-7.5	10
2011-09-03	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	42.3	1160	1193	34.00%	22.71%	43.29%	-0.18	+7.5	13
2011-09-03	Crusaders	L 0-2	33.8	1115	1193	28.38%	22.31%	49.31%	-0.53	-10.1	4
2011-09-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	33.8	1193	1115	49.31%	22.31%	28.38%	+0.53	+10.1	10
2011-09-03	Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	41.5	1082	1065	41.05%	22.77%	36.18%	+0.08	-7.2	1
2011-09-03	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	41.5	1065	1082	36.18%	22.77%	41.05%	-0.08	+7.2	12
2011-09-03	Linfield	L 1-2	38.0	1079	1298	15.44%	19.27%	65.29%	-1.44	-2.9	7
2011-09-03	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	38.0	1298	1079	65.29%	19.27%	15.44%	+1.44	+2.9	15
2011-09-03	Lisburn Distillery	D 0-0	49.1	1090	1052	44.01%	22.68%	33.31%	+0.22	-0.4	7
2011-09-03	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	49.1	1052	1090	33.31%	22.68%	44.01%	-0.22	+0.4	4
2011-09-03	Portadown	W 4-3	55.8	1134	1164	34.43%	22.72%	42.85%	-0.22	+6.5	7
2011-09-03	@ Coleraine	L 3-4	55.8	1164	1134	42.85%	22.72%	34.43%	+0.22	-6.5	12
2011-09-10	Ballymena United	L 3-4	58.0	1167	1076	51.03%	22.13%	26.84%	+0.56	-7.5	13
2011-09-10	@ Cliftonville	W 4-3	58.0	1076	1167	26.84%	22.13%	51.03%	-0.56	+7.5	10
2011-09-10	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	31.9	1140	1090	45.69%	22.59%	31.72%	+0.30	+21.0	10
2011-09-10	@ Coleraine	L 0-4	31.9	1090	1140	31.72%	22.59%	45.69%	-0.30	-21.0	7
2011-09-10	Crusaders	W 2-0	33.4	1301	1203	51.95%	22.02%	26.03%	+0.60	+9.4	18
2011-09-10	@ Linfield	L 0-2	33.4	1203	1301	26.03%	22.02%	51.95%	-0.60	-9.4	10
2011-09-10	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	35.6	1072	1105	34.02%	22.71%	43.27%	-0.24	-11.7	12
2011-09-10	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	35.6	1105	1072	43.27%	22.71%	34.02%	+0.24	+11.7	7
2011-09-10	Glenavon	W 2-1	46.8	1052	1075	35.43%	22.75%	41.82%	-0.17	+6.9	7
2011-09-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	46.8	1075	1052	41.82%	22.75%	35.43%	+0.17	-6.9	1
2011-09-10	Glentoran	W 2-1	47.1	1157	1186	34.61%	22.73%	42.66%	-0.21	+7.0	15
2011-09-10	@ Portadown	L 1-2	47.1	1186	1157	42.66%	22.73%	34.61%	+0.21	-7.0	10
2011-09-17	Carrick Rangers	W 6-1	33.6	1179	1069	53.38%	21.83%	24.79%	+0.68	+17.4	13
2011-09-17	@ Glentoran	L 1-6	33.6	1069	1179	24.79%	21.83%	53.38%	-0.68	-17.3	7
2011-09-17	Cliftonville	D 2-2	58.8	1193	1160	43.34%	22.70%	33.95%	+0.19	-0.2	11
2011-09-17	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.8	1160	1193	33.95%	22.70%	43.34%	-0.19	+0.2	14
2011-09-17	Coleraine	L 1-5	35.3	1084	1161	28.44%	22.31%	49.24%	-0.53	-16.0	10
2011-09-17	@ Ballymena United	W 5-1	35.3	1161	1084	49.24%	22.31%	28.44%	+0.53	+16.0	13
2011-09-17	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.1	1117	1068	45.45%	22.60%	31.95%	+0.28	-0.5	8
2011-09-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.1	1068	1117	31.95%	22.60%	45.45%	-0.28	+0.5	2
2011-09-17	Linfield	W 2-0	42.5	1164	1311	21.19%	21.12%	57.69%	-0.97	+18.1	18
2011-09-17	@ Portadown	L 0-2	42.5	1311	1164	57.69%	21.12%	21.19%	+0.97	-18.1	18
2011-09-17	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.6	1060	1059	38.78%	22.80%	38.43%	-0.02	-0.0	13
2011-09-17	@ Donegal Celtic	D 2-2	58.6	1059	1060	38.43%	22.80%	38.78%	+0.02	+0.0	8
2011-09-24	Ballymena United	L 2-4	51.8	1196	1068	55.55%	21.50%	22.95%	+0.79	-13.5	13
2011-09-24	@ Glentoran	W 4-2	51.8	1068	1196	22.95%	21.50%	55.55%	-0.79	+13.5	13
2011-09-24	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	26.0	1292	1051	67.37%	18.61%	14.01%	+1.52	+7.5	21
2011-09-24	@ Linfield	L 0-3	26.0	1051	1292	14.01%	18.61%	67.37%	-1.52	-7.5	7
2011-09-24	Coleraine	W 1-0	44.9	1068	1177	24.93%	21.85%	53.22%	-0.73	+8.9	5
2011-09-24	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	44.9	1177	1068	53.22%	21.85%	24.93%	+0.73	-8.9	13
2011-09-24	Donegal Celtic	L 2-3	55.1	1160	1060	52.14%	22.00%	25.86%	+0.61	-7.8	14
2011-09-24	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	55.1	1060	1160	25.86%	22.00%	52.14%	-0.61	+7.8	16
2011-09-24	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-2	39.3	1116	1059	46.57%	22.53%	30.90%	+0.34	-15.0	8
2011-09-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	39.3	1059	1116	30.90%	22.53%	46.57%	-0.34	+15.0	11
2011-09-24	Portadown	L 0-3	35.1	1193	1182	40.20%	22.79%	37.02%	+0.04	-19.4	11
2011-09-24	@ Crusaders	W 3-0	35.1	1182	1193	37.02%	22.79%	40.20%	-0.04	+19.4	21
2011-10-01	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	28.4	1201	1044	58.93%	20.87%	20.20%	+0.99	+10.8	24
2011-10-01	@ Portadown	L 0-3	28.4	1044	1201	20.20%	20.87%	58.93%	-0.99	-10.8	7
2011-10-01	Cliftonville	W 4-1	34.4	1300	1152	57.80%	21.10%	21.10%	+0.92	+9.5	24
2011-10-01	@ Linfield	L 1-4	34.4	1152	1300	21.10%	21.10%	57.80%	-0.92	-9.5	14
2011-10-01	Crusaders	L 1-2	41.8	1074	1174	25.89%	22.00%	52.11%	-0.67	-4.6	11
2011-10-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	41.8	1174	1074	52.11%	22.00%	25.89%	+0.67	+4.7	14
2011-10-01	Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	32.9	1168	1068	52.14%	21.99%	25.86%	+0.61	+9.3	16
2011-10-01	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	32.9	1068	1168	25.86%	21.99%	52.14%	-0.61	-9.3	16
2011-10-01	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.0	1081	1101	35.83%	22.76%	41.41%	-0.16	+0.2	14
2011-10-01	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.0	1101	1081	41.41%	22.76%	35.83%	+0.16	-0.2	9
2011-10-01	Glentoran	L 1-3	38.4	1077	1182	25.31%	21.91%	52.78%	-0.71	-7.9	5
2011-10-01	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	38.4	1182	1077	52.78%	21.91%	25.31%	+0.71	+7.9	16
2011-10-08	Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	46.9	1059	1033	42.28%	22.74%	34.98%	+0.14	-6.9	16
2011-10-08	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	46.9	1033	1059	34.98%	22.74%	42.28%	-0.14	+6.9	10
2011-10-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	38.2	1143	1101	44.53%	22.65%	32.82%	+0.24	+13.9	17
2011-10-08	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	38.2	1101	1143	32.82%	22.65%	44.53%	-0.24	-13.9	9
2011-10-08	Glenavon	W 2-0	32.6	1178	1069	53.27%	21.85%	24.88%	+0.67	+9.0	17
2011-10-08	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	32.6	1069	1178	24.88%	21.85%	53.27%	-0.67	-9.0	5
2011-10-08	Glentoran	L 0-5	30.0	1069	1190	23.67%	21.64%	54.70%	-0.81	-20.1	11
2011-10-08	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-0	30.0	1190	1069	54.70%	21.64%	23.67%	+0.81	+20.1	19
2011-10-08	Linfield	L 1-3	37.7	1177	1309	22.56%	21.42%	56.02%	-0.88	-7.1	16
2011-10-08	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	37.7	1309	1177	56.02%	21.42%	22.56%	+0.88	+7.1	27
2011-10-08	Portadown	L 2-4	41.9	1082	1212	22.70%	21.45%	55.85%	-0.87	-6.4	14
2011-10-08	@ Ballymena United	W 4-2	41.9	1212	1082	55.85%	21.45%	22.70%	+0.87	+6.4	27
2011-10-15	Ballymena United	W 3-2	46.7	1187	1075	53.66%	21.79%	24.55%	+0.69	+4.2	20
2011-10-15	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	46.7	1075	1187	24.55%	21.79%	53.66%	-0.69	-4.2	14
2011-10-15	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	41.2	1157	1040	54.22%	21.71%	24.07%	+0.72	+4.4	20
2011-10-15	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	41.2	1040	1157	24.07%	21.71%	54.22%	-0.72	-4.4	10
2011-10-15	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	1219	1170	45.40%	22.61%	32.00%	+0.28	-0.5	28
2011-10-15	@ Portadown	D 1-1	53.2	1170	1219	32.00%	22.61%	45.40%	-0.28	+0.5	17
2011-10-15	Donegal Celtic	D 2-2	58.7	1087	1052	43.57%	22.70%	33.73%	+0.20	-0.3	10
2011-10-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.7	1052	1087	33.73%	22.70%	43.57%	-0.20	+0.3	17
2011-10-15	Lisburn Distillery	W 5-2	42.7	1060	1049	40.19%	22.79%	37.03%	+0.04	+13.3	8
2011-10-15	@ Glenavon	L 2-5	42.7	1049	1060	37.03%	22.79%	40.19%	-0.04	-13.3	11
2011-10-22	Ballymena United	L 0-2	35.4	1036	1071	33.69%	22.69%	43.62%	-0.26	-11.6	10
2011-10-22	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	35.4	1071	1036	43.62%	22.69%	33.69%	+0.26	+11.6	17
2011-10-22	Coleraine	L 1-3	37.3	1036	1171	22.30%	21.37%	56.33%	-0.90	-7.1	11
2011-10-22	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	37.3	1171	1036	56.33%	21.37%	22.30%	+0.90	+7.1	20
2011-10-22	Crusaders	W 2-1	47.2	1161	1192	34.35%	22.72%	42.93%	-0.23	+7.0	23
2011-10-22	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	47.2	1192	1161	42.93%	22.72%	34.35%	+0.23	-7.0	20
2011-10-22	Glenavon	W 2-1	46.7	1052	1074	35.57%	22.76%	41.67%	-0.17	+6.9	20
2011-10-22	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	46.7	1074	1052	41.67%	22.76%	35.57%	+0.17	-6.9	8
2011-10-22	Glentoran	L 0-5	29.9	1087	1210	23.38%	21.58%	55.03%	-0.83	-19.9	10
2011-10-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	29.9	1210	1087	55.03%	21.58%	23.38%	+0.83	+19.9	22
2011-10-22	Portadown	W 2-0	33.5	1317	1218	51.95%	22.02%	26.03%	+0.60	+9.4	30
2011-10-22	@ Linfield	L 0-2	33.5	1218	1317	26.03%	22.02%	51.95%	-0.60	-9.4	28
2011-10-29	Carrick Rangers	W 5-1	32.3	1185	1024	59.27%	20.80%	19.93%	+1.00	+11.6	23
2011-10-29	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	32.3	1024	1185	19.93%	20.80%	59.27%	-1.00	-11.6	10
2011-10-29	Cliftonville	L 1-2	47.7	1209	1168	44.33%	22.66%	33.01%	+0.23	-7.2	28
2011-10-29	@ Portadown	W 2-1	47.7	1168	1209	33.01%	22.66%	44.33%	-0.23	+7.2	26
2011-10-29	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	31.9	1326	1067	68.98%	18.06%	12.95%	+1.64	+2.5	33
2011-10-29	@ Linfield	L 0-1	31.9	1067	1326	12.95%	18.06%	68.98%	-1.64	-2.5	10
2011-10-29	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.4	1178	1067	53.51%	21.81%	24.68%	+0.68	-1.1	21
2011-10-29	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.4	1067	1178	24.68%	21.81%	53.51%	-0.68	+1.1	9
2011-10-29	Glentoran	L 0-4	27.5	1059	1230	19.04%	20.55%	60.42%	-1.13	-13.3	20
2011-10-29	@ Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	27.5	1230	1059	60.42%	20.55%	19.04%	+1.13	+13.3	25
2011-10-29	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	38.5	1083	1029	46.11%	22.56%	31.33%	+0.32	+5.8	20
2011-10-29	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	38.5	1029	1083	31.33%	22.56%	46.11%	-0.32	-5.8	11
2011-11-05	Ballymena United	W 1-0	37.2	1177	1088	50.67%	22.17%	27.16%	+0.54	+5.2	24
2011-11-05	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	37.2	1088	1177	27.16%	22.17%	50.67%	-0.54	-5.2	20
2011-11-05	Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.1	1064	1012	45.89%	22.58%	31.54%	+0.30	-0.5	11
2011-11-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.1	1012	1064	31.54%	22.58%	45.89%	-0.30	+0.5	11
2011-11-05	Crusaders	D 2-2	59.0	1244	1196	45.26%	22.61%	32.12%	+0.28	-0.4	26
2011-11-05	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	59.0	1196	1244	32.12%	22.61%	45.26%	-0.28	+0.4	24
2011-11-05	Donegal Celtic	L 0-2	36.0	1023	1046	35.44%	22.76%	41.80%	-0.17	-12.1	11
2011-11-05	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	36.0	1046	1023	41.80%	22.76%	35.44%	+0.17	+12.1	23
2011-11-05	Linfield	W 4-2	52.9	1175	1328	20.61%	20.98%	58.41%	-1.01	+14.1	29
2011-11-05	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	52.9	1328	1175	58.41%	20.98%	20.61%	+1.01	-14.2	33
2011-11-05	Portadown	L 0-2	31.7	1068	1202	22.40%	21.39%	56.21%	-0.89	-8.2	9
2011-11-05	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	31.7	1202	1068	56.21%	21.39%	22.40%	+0.89	+8.2	31
2011-11-09	Linfield	W 2-0	40.4	1243	1314	29.18%	22.39%	48.43%	-0.49	+15.5	29
2011-11-09	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	40.4	1314	1243	48.43%	22.39%	29.18%	+0.49	-15.5	33
2011-11-12	Ballymena United	W 2-1	40.9	1210	1083	55.36%	21.53%	23.10%	+0.78	+4.2	34
2011-11-12	@ Portadown	L 1-2	40.9	1083	1210	23.10%	21.53%	55.36%	-0.78	-4.2	20
2011-11-12	Cliftonville	L 1-2	40.7	1060	1190	22.77%	21.47%	55.76%	-0.86	-4.2	9
2011-11-12	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	40.7	1190	1060	55.76%	21.47%	22.77%	+0.86	+4.2	32
2011-11-12	Coleraine	W 1-0	36.5	1299	1182	54.22%	21.71%	24.07%	+0.72	+4.6	36
2011-11-12	@ Linfield	L 0-1	36.5	1182	1299	24.07%	21.71%	54.22%	-0.72	-4.6	24
2011-11-12	Crusaders	L 0-2	31.5	1058	1197	21.91%	21.28%	56.81%	-0.92	-8.0	23
2011-11-12	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	31.5	1197	1058	56.81%	21.28%	21.91%	+0.92	+8.0	27
2011-11-12	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.6	1011	1064	31.45%	22.57%	45.98%	-0.37	-5.5	11
2011-11-12	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	43.6	1064	1011	45.98%	22.57%	31.45%	+0.37	+5.5	14
2011-11-12	Glentoran	D 3-3	64.5	1013	1259	13.73%	18.47%	67.80%	-1.61	+1.3	12
2011-11-12	@ Carrick Rangers	D 3-3	64.5	1259	1013	67.80%	18.47%	13.73%	+1.61	-1.3	30
2011-11-18	Coleraine	L 0-2	30.7	1014	1177	19.73%	20.75%	59.52%	-1.08	-7.3	12
2011-11-18	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	30.7	1177	1014	59.52%	20.75%	19.73%	+1.08	+7.3	27
2011-11-19	Cliftonville	L 3-7	36.9	1079	1194	24.30%	21.75%	53.95%	-0.77	-10.8	20
2011-11-19	@ Ballymena United	W 7-3	36.9	1194	1079	53.95%	21.75%	24.30%	+0.77	+10.8	35
2011-11-19	Glenavon	W 2-0	29.5	1257	1056	63.59%	19.75%	16.66%	+1.27	+6.2	33
2011-11-19	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.5	1056	1257	16.66%	19.75%	63.59%	-1.27	-6.2	9
2011-11-19	Linfield	L 1-5	29.6	1050	1303	13.27%	18.23%	68.50%	-1.66	-7.7	23
2011-11-19	@ Donegal Celtic	W 5-1	29.6	1303	1050	68.50%	18.23%	13.27%	+1.66	+7.7	39
2011-11-19	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.9	1205	1006	63.30%	19.83%	16.87%	+1.25	-1.8	28
2011-11-19	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.9	1006	1205	16.87%	19.83%	63.30%	-1.25	+1.8	12
2011-11-19	Portadown	L 0-3	28.9	1069	1214	21.36%	21.16%	57.48%	-0.96	-11.4	14
2011-11-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	28.9	1214	1069	57.48%	21.16%	21.36%	+0.96	+11.4	37
2011-11-26	Crusaders	D 0-0	49.3	1185	1203	36.02%	22.77%	41.21%	-0.15	+0.2	28
2011-11-26	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.3	1203	1185	41.21%	22.77%	36.02%	+0.15	-0.2	29
2011-11-26	Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	35.8	1068	1042	42.33%	22.74%	34.93%	+0.14	+12.0	23
2011-11-26	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	35.8	1042	1068	34.93%	22.74%	42.33%	-0.14	-11.9	23
2011-11-26	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.0	1049	1058	37.39%	22.79%	39.82%	-0.08	+0.1	10
2011-11-26	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.0	1058	1049	39.82%	22.79%	37.39%	+0.08	-0.1	15
2011-11-26	Glentoran	W 2-1	48.5	1205	1264	30.64%	22.51%	46.85%	-0.41	+7.5	38
2011-11-26	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	48.5	1264	1205	46.85%	22.51%	30.64%	+0.41	-7.6	33
2011-11-26	Linfield	L 0-4	23.8	1007	1311	10.60%	16.62%	72.78%	-1.99	-7.3	12
2011-11-26	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	23.8	1311	1007	72.78%	16.62%	10.60%	+1.99	+7.2	42
2011-11-26	Portadown	L 0-2	29.0	1007	1225	15.53%	19.30%	65.17%	-1.43	-5.7	12
2011-11-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	29.0	1225	1007	65.17%	19.30%	15.53%	+1.43	+5.7	40
2011-12-03	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.4	1318	1080	67.09%	18.71%	14.21%	+1.50	+2.8	45
2011-12-03	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.4	1080	1318	14.21%	18.71%	67.09%	-1.50	-2.8	23
2011-12-03	Cliftonville	L 1-4	34.0	1058	1212	20.50%	20.95%	58.55%	-1.02	-9.2	15
2011-12-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	34.0	1212	1058	58.55%	20.95%	20.50%	+1.02	+9.2	41
2011-12-03	Coleraine	L 0-1	34.8	1030	1185	20.47%	20.94%	58.59%	-1.02	-4.0	23
2011-12-03	@ Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	34.8	1185	1030	58.59%	20.94%	20.47%	+1.02	+4.0	31
2011-12-03	Crusaders	L 1-3	44.0	1231	1203	42.65%	22.73%	34.62%	+0.15	-12.1	40
2011-12-03	@ Portadown	W 3-1	44.0	1203	1231	34.62%	22.73%	42.65%	-0.15	+12.1	32
2011-12-03	Glenavon	D 2-2	58.7	1000	1050	31.81%	22.59%	45.59%	-0.35	+0.4	13
2011-12-03	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	58.7	1050	1000	45.59%	22.59%	31.81%	+0.35	-0.4	11
2011-12-03	Lisburn Distillery	D 3-3	64.5	1256	1002	68.56%	18.21%	13.23%	+1.61	-1.4	34
2011-12-03	@ Glentoran	D 3-3	64.5	1002	1256	13.23%	18.21%	68.56%	-1.61	+1.4	13
2011-12-09	Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	44.7	1000	1026	34.95%	22.74%	42.31%	-0.20	-6.0	13
2011-12-09	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	44.7	1026	1000	42.31%	22.74%	34.95%	+0.20	+6.0	26
2011-12-10	Ballymena United	W 3-0	35.7	1049	1077	34.64%	22.73%	42.63%	-0.21	+20.3	14
2011-12-10	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	35.7	1077	1049	42.63%	22.73%	34.64%	+0.21	-20.3	23
2011-12-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	45.7	1189	1049	56.95%	21.26%	21.79%	+0.87	+3.8	34
2011-12-10	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	45.7	1049	1189	21.79%	21.26%	56.95%	-0.87	-3.8	15
2011-12-10	Linfield	L 0-1	37.1	1215	1321	25.17%	21.89%	52.94%	-0.71	-4.8	32
2011-12-10	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	37.1	1321	1215	52.94%	21.89%	25.17%	+0.71	+4.8	48
2011-12-10	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	34.6	1221	1003	65.20%	19.29%	15.51%	+1.37	+5.0	44
2011-12-10	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	34.6	1003	1221	15.51%	19.29%	65.20%	-1.37	-5.0	13
2011-12-10	Portadown	L 0-2	38.8	1255	1219	43.66%	22.69%	33.65%	+0.20	-14.2	34
2011-12-10	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	38.8	1219	1255	33.65%	22.69%	43.66%	-0.20	+14.2	43
2011-12-16	Donegal Celtic	W 5-2	35.7	1233	1032	63.51%	19.77%	16.71%	+1.26	+6.5	46
2011-12-16	@ Portadown	L 2-5	35.7	1032	1233	16.71%	19.77%	63.51%	-1.26	-6.5	26
2011-12-17	Carrick Rangers	L 2-3	51.4	998	994	39.18%	22.80%	38.02%	+0.00	-6.2	13
2011-12-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	51.4	994	998	38.02%	22.80%	39.18%	+0.00	+6.2	16
2011-12-17	Coleraine	L 1-2	47.4	1226	1192	43.39%	22.70%	33.91%	+0.19	-7.1	44
2011-12-17	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	47.4	1192	1226	33.91%	22.70%	43.39%	-0.19	+7.1	37
2011-12-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	30.7	1210	1045	59.74%	20.70%	19.56%	+1.03	+7.2	35
2011-12-17	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	30.7	1045	1210	19.56%	20.70%	59.74%	-1.03	-7.2	15
2011-12-17	Glenavon	W 1-0	31.9	1326	1069	68.76%	18.14%	13.10%	+1.62	+2.5	51
2011-12-17	@ Linfield	L 0-1	31.9	1069	1326	13.10%	18.14%	68.76%	-1.62	-2.5	14
2011-12-20	Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.0	1038	1057	35.84%	22.77%	41.39%	-0.16	+0.2	16
2011-12-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.0	1057	1038	41.39%	22.77%	35.84%	+0.16	-0.2	24
2011-12-20	Crusaders	W 3-2	56.6	1067	1217	20.86%	21.04%	58.10%	-1.00	+8.6	17
2011-12-20	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	56.6	1217	1067	58.10%	21.04%	20.86%	+1.00	-8.6	35
2011-12-20	Glentoran	D 1-1	53.3	1200	1240	32.97%	22.66%	44.37%	-0.29	+0.4	38
2011-12-20	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.3	1240	1200	44.37%	22.66%	32.97%	+0.29	-0.4	35
2011-12-20	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	55.3	1328	992	75.29%	15.54%	9.17%	+2.14	-2.7	52
2011-12-20	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.3	992	1328	9.17%	15.54%	75.29%	-2.14	+2.6	14
2011-12-20	Portadown	D 2-2	59.9	1000	1240	14.12%	18.67%	67.21%	-1.57	+1.6	17
2011-12-20	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	59.9	1240	1000	67.21%	18.67%	14.12%	+1.57	-1.6	47
2011-12-21	Cliftonville	L 1-3	35.4	1026	1219	17.27%	19.98%	62.75%	-1.28	-5.5	26
2011-12-21	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	35.4	1219	1026	62.75%	19.98%	17.27%	+1.28	+5.5	47
2011-12-26	Ballymena United	W 2-0	31.4	1200	1057	57.29%	21.20%	21.52%	+0.89	+7.9	41
2011-12-26	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	31.4	1057	1200	21.52%	21.20%	57.29%	-0.89	-7.9	24
2011-12-26	Cliftonville	W 3-2	52.2	1208	1225	36.30%	22.78%	40.92%	-0.13	+6.4	38
2011-12-26	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	52.2	1225	1208	40.92%	22.78%	36.30%	+0.13	-6.4	47
2011-12-26	Linfield	W 1-0	44.9	1240	1326	27.45%	22.20%	50.35%	-0.58	+8.5	38
2011-12-26	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	44.9	1326	1240	50.35%	22.20%	27.45%	+0.58	-8.5	52
2011-12-26	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	44.7	1020	995	42.22%	22.74%	35.04%	+0.13	+6.0	29
2011-12-26	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	44.7	995	1020	35.04%	22.74%	42.22%	-0.13	-6.0	14
2011-12-26	Portadown	L 0-2	30.8	1075	1238	19.76%	20.75%	59.48%	-1.08	-7.3	17
2011-12-26	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	30.8	1238	1075	59.48%	20.75%	19.76%	+1.08	+7.3	50
2011-12-27	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.1	1002	1038	33.62%	22.69%	43.69%	-0.26	+0.4	18
2011-12-27	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	49.1	1038	1002	43.69%	22.69%	33.62%	+0.26	-0.4	17
2011-12-31	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	43.1	989	1002	36.66%	22.78%	40.56%	-0.12	+11.6	17
2011-12-31	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	43.1	1002	989	40.56%	22.78%	36.66%	+0.12	-11.6	18
2011-12-31	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.3	1218	1208	40.09%	22.79%	37.12%	+0.04	-0.1	48
2011-12-31	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.3	1208	1218	37.12%	22.79%	40.09%	-0.04	+0.1	42
2011-12-31	Donegal Celtic	D 2-2	58.6	1049	1026	41.89%	22.75%	35.36%	+0.12	-0.2	25
2011-12-31	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.6	1026	1049	35.36%	22.75%	41.89%	-0.12	+0.2	30
2011-12-31	Glenavon	W 2-0	28.3	1317	1068	68.09%	18.37%	13.54%	+1.57	+5.0	55
2011-12-31	@ Linfield	L 0-2	28.3	1068	1317	13.54%	18.37%	68.09%	-1.57	-5.0	17
2011-12-31	Glentoran	W 2-1	52.7	1037	1249	15.99%	19.49%	64.51%	-1.39	+10.0	20
2011-12-31	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	52.7	1249	1037	64.51%	19.49%	15.99%	+1.39	-10.0	38
2012-01-02	Crusaders	L 1-2	47.4	1245	1215	42.94%	22.72%	34.34%	+0.17	-7.0	50
2012-01-02	@ Portadown	W 2-1	47.4	1215	1245	34.34%	22.72%	42.94%	-0.17	+7.0	41
2012-01-06	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.9	1026	1222	17.11%	19.92%	62.97%	-1.29	+1.8	31
2012-01-06	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	53.9	1222	1026	62.97%	19.92%	17.11%	+1.29	-1.8	42
2012-01-07	Coleraine	L 0-4	26.1	991	1208	15.57%	19.32%	65.12%	-1.43	-10.9	18
2012-01-07	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	26.1	1208	991	65.12%	19.32%	15.57%	+1.43	+10.9	45
2012-01-07	Linfield	L 1-2	36.5	1049	1322	12.16%	17.61%	70.23%	-1.79	-2.2	25
2012-01-07	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	36.5	1322	1049	70.23%	17.61%	12.16%	+1.79	+2.2	58
2012-01-07	Lisburn Distillery	L 2-3	53.7	1063	1000	47.37%	22.47%	30.15%	+0.38	-7.2	17
2012-01-07	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	53.7	1000	1063	30.15%	22.47%	47.37%	-0.38	+7.2	20
2012-01-07	Portadown	D 2-2	59.0	1239	1238	38.62%	22.80%	38.58%	-0.03	+0.0	39
2012-01-07	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	59.0	1238	1239	38.58%	22.80%	38.62%	+0.03	+0.0	51
2012-01-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	39.3	1218	1047	60.36%	20.56%	19.08%	+1.07	+3.5	51
2012-01-09	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.3	1047	1218	19.08%	20.56%	60.36%	-1.07	-3.5	20
2012-01-17	Glentoran	L 0-3	27.4	1047	1239	17.40%	20.02%	62.58%	-1.26	-9.3	25
2012-01-17	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	27.4	1239	1047	62.58%	20.02%	17.40%	+1.26	+9.3	42
2012-01-20	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.4	1220	1037	61.63%	20.26%	18.11%	+1.15	-1.3	43
2012-01-20	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	59.4	1037	1220	18.11%	20.26%	61.63%	-1.15	+1.3	26
2012-01-20	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	38.1	1238	1028	64.44%	19.51%	16.04%	+1.32	+3.0	54
2012-01-20	@ Portadown	L 1-2	38.1	1028	1238	16.04%	19.51%	64.44%	-1.32	-3.0	31
2012-01-21	Cliftonville	L 1-3	34.7	1007	1222	15.78%	19.41%	64.81%	-1.41	-5.0	20
2012-01-21	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	34.7	1222	1007	64.81%	19.41%	15.78%	+1.41	+5.0	54
2012-01-21	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	25.0	1325	1044	70.85%	17.38%	11.77%	+1.78	+6.2	61
2012-01-21	@ Linfield	L 0-3	25.0	1044	1325	11.77%	17.38%	70.85%	-1.78	-6.2	20
2012-01-21	Glenavon	W 3-1	36.4	1219	1056	59.50%	20.75%	19.75%	+1.02	+6.3	48
2012-01-21	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	36.4	1056	1219	19.75%	20.75%	59.50%	-1.02	-6.3	17
2012-01-21	Glentoran	D 2-2	60.2	980	1248	12.44%	17.78%	69.78%	-1.75	+1.7	19
2012-01-21	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	60.2	1248	980	69.78%	17.78%	12.44%	+1.75	-1.7	43
2012-01-27	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	50.0	1246	1002	67.61%	18.54%	13.86%	+1.54	-18.0	43
2012-01-27	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	50.0	1002	1246	13.86%	18.54%	67.61%	-1.54	+18.0	23
2012-01-28	Cliftonville	D 3-3	64.4	981	1227	13.77%	18.49%	67.74%	-1.61	+1.3	20
2012-01-28	@ Carrick Rangers	D 3-3	64.4	1227	981	67.74%	18.49%	13.77%	+1.61	-1.3	55
2012-01-28	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.0	1025	1050	35.14%	22.75%	42.12%	-0.19	+0.2	32
2012-01-28	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	53.0	1050	1025	42.12%	22.75%	35.14%	+0.19	-0.3	18
2012-01-31	Crusaders	L 1-2	39.0	1038	1219	18.23%	20.30%	61.47%	-1.20	-3.4	20
2012-01-31	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	39.0	1219	1038	61.47%	20.30%	18.23%	+1.20	+3.4	46
2012-01-31	Linfield	W 1-0	45.5	1225	1331	25.26%	21.91%	52.84%	-0.71	+8.9	51
2012-01-31	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	45.5	1331	1225	52.84%	21.91%	25.26%	+0.71	-8.9	61
2012-01-31	Portadown	L 1-2	38.4	1039	1241	16.59%	19.73%	63.68%	-1.33	-3.1	26
2012-01-31	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	38.4	1241	1039	63.68%	19.73%	16.59%	+1.33	+3.1	57
2012-02-04	Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	48.4	1049	983	47.86%	22.44%	29.70%	+0.40	+5.0	21
2012-02-04	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	48.4	983	1049	29.70%	22.44%	47.86%	-0.40	-5.0	20
2012-02-04	Cliftonville	L 0-1	33.7	1036	1225	17.56%	20.07%	62.37%	-1.25	-3.4	26
2012-02-04	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	33.7	1225	1036	62.37%	20.07%	17.56%	+1.25	+3.4	58
2012-02-04	Crusaders	W 5-0	31.3	1322	1222	52.11%	22.00%	25.89%	+0.61	+21.8	64
2012-02-04	@ Linfield	L 0-5	31.3	1222	1322	25.89%	22.00%	52.11%	-0.61	-21.8	46
2012-02-04	Portadown	L 0-2	28.8	1020	1244	15.11%	19.12%	65.77%	-1.47	-5.6	23
2012-02-04	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	28.8	1244	1020	65.77%	19.12%	15.11%	+1.47	+5.6	60
2012-02-17	Ballymena United	L 1-3	40.3	978	1032	31.24%	22.56%	46.20%	-0.38	-9.4	20
2012-02-17	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	40.3	1032	978	46.20%	22.56%	31.24%	+0.38	+9.5	29
2012-02-18	Cliftonville	W 1-0	41.1	1228	1229	38.52%	22.80%	38.69%	-0.03	+6.9	46
2012-02-18	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	41.1	1229	1228	38.69%	22.80%	38.52%	+0.03	-6.9	58
2012-02-18	Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	47.6	1234	1025	64.28%	19.56%	16.16%	+1.31	-10.5	51
2012-02-18	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	47.6	1025	1234	16.16%	19.56%	64.28%	-1.31	+10.5	35
2012-02-18	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	36.1	1015	1034	35.86%	22.77%	41.38%	-0.15	-12.2	23
2012-02-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	36.1	1034	1015	41.38%	22.77%	35.86%	+0.15	+12.2	23
2012-02-18	Glenavon	W 1-0	35.1	1200	1054	57.62%	21.13%	21.25%	+0.91	+4.1	49
2012-02-18	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	35.1	1054	1200	21.25%	21.13%	57.62%	-0.91	-4.1	21
2012-02-18	Linfield	D 1-1	54.1	1250	1344	26.56%	22.09%	51.34%	-0.63	+0.9	61
2012-02-18	@ Portadown	D 1-1	54.1	1344	1250	51.34%	22.09%	26.56%	+0.63	-0.9	65
2012-02-24	Donegal Celtic	L 2-3	48.4	968	1036	29.61%	22.43%	47.96%	-0.46	-5.0	20
2012-02-24	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	48.4	1036	968	47.96%	22.43%	29.61%	+0.46	+5.0	38
2012-02-25	Ballymena United	L 0-2	37.3	1050	1042	39.85%	22.79%	37.35%	+0.03	-13.2	21
2012-02-25	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	37.3	1042	1050	37.35%	22.79%	39.85%	-0.03	+13.2	32
2012-02-25	Coleraine	D 3-3	63.4	1235	1224	40.26%	22.79%	36.95%	+0.05	-0.1	47
2012-02-25	@ Glentoran	D 3-3	63.4	1224	1235	36.95%	22.79%	40.26%	-0.05	+0.1	52
2012-02-25	Linfield	L 1-3	38.5	1222	1343	23.68%	21.64%	54.68%	-0.81	-7.5	58
2012-02-25	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	38.5	1343	1222	54.68%	21.64%	23.68%	+0.81	+7.5	68
2012-02-25	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	59.6	1205	1003	63.60%	19.75%	16.65%	+1.27	-1.4	50
2012-02-25	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	59.6	1003	1205	16.65%	19.75%	63.60%	-1.27	+1.4	24
2012-02-25	Portadown	W 2-0	43.7	1046	1251	16.47%	19.68%	63.86%	-1.35	+19.8	26
2012-02-25	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	43.7	1251	1046	63.86%	19.68%	16.47%	+1.35	-19.8	61
2012-02-28	Coleraine	L 1-2	39.8	1066	1224	20.22%	20.88%	58.90%	-1.04	-3.7	26
2012-02-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	39.8	1224	1066	58.90%	20.88%	20.22%	+1.04	+3.7	55
2012-02-28	Glentoran	L 0-1	33.6	1041	1235	17.22%	19.96%	62.82%	-1.28	-3.4	38
2012-02-28	@ Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	33.6	1235	1041	62.82%	19.96%	17.22%	+1.28	+3.4	50
2012-03-10	Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	27.9	1350	963	78.82%	13.88%	7.30%	+2.46	+3.1	71
2012-03-10	@ Linfield	L 1-4	27.9	963	1350	7.30%	13.88%	78.82%	-2.46	-3.1	20
2012-03-10	Cliftonville	D 3-3	63.4	1231	1215	40.99%	22.77%	36.24%	+0.08	-0.1	62
2012-03-10	@ Portadown	D 3-3	63.4	1215	1231	36.24%	22.77%	40.99%	-0.08	+0.1	59
2012-03-10	Crusaders	W 1-0	40.0	1227	1203	42.04%	22.75%	35.21%	+0.13	+6.4	58
2012-03-10	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	40.0	1203	1227	35.21%	22.75%	42.04%	-0.13	-6.4	50
2012-03-10	Glentoran	W 1-0	47.4	1037	1238	16.70%	19.77%	63.54%	-1.33	+10.4	24
2012-03-10	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	47.4	1238	1037	63.54%	19.77%	16.70%	+1.33	-10.4	50
2012-03-10	Lisburn Distillery	D 2-2	58.7	1055	1004	45.73%	22.59%	31.68%	+0.30	-0.4	33
2012-03-10	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.7	1004	1055	31.68%	22.59%	45.73%	-0.30	+0.4	25
2012-03-16	Portadown	W 3-1	50.5	960	1231	12.30%	17.69%	70.01%	-1.77	+18.5	23
2012-03-16	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-3	50.5	1231	960	70.01%	17.69%	12.30%	+1.77	-18.5	62
2012-03-17	Coleraine	W 3-1	49.8	1004	1234	14.77%	18.97%	66.26%	-1.50	+17.7	28
2012-03-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	49.8	1234	1004	66.26%	18.97%	14.77%	+1.50	-17.7	58
2012-03-17	Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	23.6	1353	1037	73.71%	16.23%	10.06%	+2.00	+6.8	74
2012-03-17	@ Linfield	L 0-4	23.6	1037	1353	10.06%	16.23%	73.71%	-2.00	-6.8	38
2012-03-17	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.0	1054	1062	37.45%	22.79%	39.76%	-0.08	+0.1	34
2012-03-17	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.0	1062	1054	39.76%	22.79%	37.45%	+0.08	-0.1	27
2012-03-17	Glenavon	W 4-3	48.1	1215	1047	59.97%	20.65%	19.38%	+1.05	+3.3	62
2012-03-17	@ Cliftonville	L 3-4	48.1	1047	1215	19.38%	20.65%	59.97%	-1.05	-3.3	24
2012-03-17	Glentoran	W 2-0	38.5	1197	1228	34.25%	22.72%	43.03%	-0.23	+14.1	53
2012-03-17	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	38.5	1228	1197	43.03%	22.72%	34.25%	+0.23	-14.1	50
2012-03-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	43.9	1031	1062	34.17%	22.71%	43.12%	-0.23	+12.2	41
2012-03-20	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-3	43.9	1062	1031	43.12%	22.71%	34.17%	+0.23	-12.2	27
2012-03-24	Ballymena United	L 1-2	51.4	1214	1055	59.12%	20.83%	20.05%	+1.00	-9.2	50
2012-03-24	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	51.4	1055	1214	20.05%	20.83%	59.12%	-1.00	+9.2	37
2012-03-24	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	34.2	1211	979	66.52%	18.89%	14.59%	+1.46	+4.7	56
2012-03-24	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	34.2	979	1211	14.59%	18.89%	66.52%	-1.46	-4.7	23
2012-03-24	Cliftonville	L 0-2	30.3	1043	1218	18.72%	20.45%	60.83%	-1.16	-6.9	41
2012-03-24	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	30.3	1218	1043	60.83%	20.45%	18.72%	+1.16	+6.9	65
2012-03-24	Coleraine	W 2-0	37.3	1213	1216	38.11%	22.80%	39.09%	-0.05	+13.0	65
2012-03-24	@ Portadown	L 0-2	37.3	1216	1213	39.09%	22.80%	38.11%	+0.05	-13.0	58
2012-03-24	Glenavon	L 1-5	38.7	1050	1044	39.46%	22.79%	37.74%	+0.01	-20.8	27
2012-03-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	38.7	1044	1050	37.74%	22.79%	39.46%	-0.01	+20.8	27
2012-03-24	Linfield	L 0-3	23.6	1022	1360	9.11%	15.49%	75.40%	-2.20	-4.7	28
2012-03-24	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	23.6	1360	1022	75.40%	15.49%	9.11%	+2.20	+4.7	77

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-04-06	Cliftonville	W 1-0	42.0	1203	1225	35.52%	22.76%	41.72%	-0.17	+7.3	3
2012-04-06	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	42.0	1225	1203	41.72%	22.76%	35.52%	+0.17	-7.3	0
2012-04-07	Ballymena United	L 0-3	33.3	1036	1064	34.70%	22.73%	42.57%	-0.21	-17.3	0
2012-04-07	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	33.3	1064	1036	42.57%	22.73%	34.70%	+0.21	+17.3	3
2012-04-07	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	49.2	1029	974	46.33%	22.55%	31.12%	+0.33	-0.6	1
2012-04-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.2	974	1029	31.12%	22.55%	46.33%	-0.33	+0.6	1
2012-04-07	Crusaders	L 0-4	33.8	1205	1216	37.06%	22.79%	40.16%	-0.10	-23.8	0
2012-04-07	@ Glentoran	W 4-0	33.8	1216	1205	40.16%	22.79%	37.06%	+0.10	+23.8	3
2012-04-07	Glenavon	D 3-3	63.2	1017	1065	32.09%	22.61%	45.30%	-0.34	+0.3	1
2012-04-07	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 3-3	63.2	1065	1017	45.30%	22.61%	32.09%	+0.34	-0.3	1
2012-04-07	Portadown	W 2-1	41.2	1365	1226	56.84%	21.28%	21.88%	+0.87	+4.0	3
2012-04-07	@ Linfield	L 1-2	41.2	1226	1365	21.88%	21.28%	56.84%	-0.87	-4.0	0
2012-04-10	Ballymena United	L 2-4	44.8	1029	1081	31.50%	22.57%	45.92%	-0.37	-8.5	1
2012-04-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	44.8	1081	1029	45.92%	22.57%	31.50%	+0.37	+8.5	6
2012-04-10	Cliftonville	W 2-1	40.8	1369	1218	58.21%	21.02%	20.77%	+0.94	+3.8	6
2012-04-10	@ Linfield	L 1-2	40.8	1218	1369	20.77%	21.02%	58.21%	-0.94	-3.8	0
2012-04-10	Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	34.5	1018	1019	38.46%	22.80%	38.74%	-0.04	+18.8	4
2012-04-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-3	34.5	1019	1018	38.74%	22.80%	38.46%	+0.04	-18.8	0
2012-04-10	Glenavon	D 4-4	65.5	975	1065	26.98%	22.15%	50.87%	-0.61	+0.5	2
2012-04-10	@ Carrick Rangers	D 4-4	65.5	1065	975	50.87%	22.15%	26.98%	+0.61	-0.5	2
2012-04-10	Glentoran	D 1-1	53.2	1210	1181	42.77%	22.73%	34.51%	+0.16	-0.3	4
2012-04-10	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	1181	1210	34.51%	22.73%	42.77%	-0.16	+0.3	1
2012-04-10	Portadown	L 0-1	41.9	1239	1222	41.12%	22.77%	36.11%	+0.08	-7.2	3
2012-04-10	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	41.9	1222	1239	36.11%	22.77%	41.12%	-0.08	+7.2	3
2012-04-14	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	29.9	1090	975	53.90%	21.76%	24.34%	+0.71	+12.8	9
2012-04-14	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	29.9	975	1090	24.34%	21.76%	53.90%	-0.71	-12.8	2
2012-04-14	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.3	1214	1232	36.01%	22.77%	41.22%	-0.15	+0.2	1
2012-04-14	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.3	1232	1214	41.22%	22.77%	36.01%	+0.15	-0.2	4
2012-04-14	Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	31.3	1064	1000	47.56%	22.46%	29.98%	+0.39	+20.0	5
2012-04-14	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	31.3	1000	1064	29.98%	22.46%	47.56%	-0.39	-20.0	0
2012-04-14	Glentoran	L 0-1	43.0	1229	1181	45.30%	22.61%	32.09%	+0.28	-7.8	3
2012-04-14	@ Portadown	W 1-0	43.0	1181	1229	32.09%	22.61%	45.30%	-0.28	+7.8	4
2012-04-14	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	51.9	1020	1036	36.31%	22.78%	40.91%	-0.13	+6.4	4
2012-04-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	51.9	1036	1020	40.91%	22.78%	36.31%	+0.13	-6.4	4
2012-04-20	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	48.5	962	1030	29.60%	22.43%	47.98%	-0.46	+7.7	5
2012-04-20	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	48.5	1030	962	47.98%	22.43%	29.60%	+0.46	-7.7	4
2012-04-21	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	43.8	1027	980	45.20%	22.62%	32.18%	+0.27	+5.6	7
2012-04-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.8	980	1027	32.18%	22.62%	45.20%	-0.27	-5.6	0
2012-04-21	Glenavon	D 2-2	58.7	1102	1084	41.19%	22.77%	36.04%	+0.09	-0.1	10
2012-04-21	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.7	1084	1102	36.04%	22.77%	41.19%	-0.09	+0.1	6
2012-04-21	Glentoran	W 3-0	33.6	1214	1189	42.15%	22.75%	35.10%	+0.13	+17.4	4
2012-04-21	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	33.6	1189	1214	35.10%	22.75%	42.15%	-0.13	-17.4	4
2012-04-21	Linfield	D 1-1	54.4	1232	1373	21.73%	21.24%	57.02%	-0.93	+1.4	5
2012-04-21	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	54.4	1373	1232	57.02%	21.24%	21.73%	+0.93	-1.4	7
2012-04-21	Portadown	W 4-1	40.6	1210	1221	37.02%	22.79%	40.20%	-0.10	+16.3	7
2012-04-21	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	40.6	1221	1210	40.20%	22.79%	37.02%	+0.10	-16.3	3
2012-04-23	Coleraine	D 0-0	50.5	1371	1226	57.51%	21.15%	21.34%	+0.90	-1.6	8
2012-04-23	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.5	1226	1371	21.34%	21.15%	57.51%	-0.90	+1.6	8
2012-04-28	Ballymena United	L 2-3	47.9	1022	1102	28.13%	22.28%	49.59%	-0.54	-4.7	4
2012-04-28	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	47.9	1102	1022	49.59%	22.28%	28.13%	+0.54	+4.7	13
2012-04-28	Carrick Rangers	L 3-5	49.4	974	970	39.18%	22.80%	38.03%	+0.00	-9.6	0
2012-04-28	@ Donegal Celtic	W 5-3	49.4	970	974	38.03%	22.80%	39.18%	+0.00	+9.6	8
2012-04-28	Coleraine	W 2-1	45.9	1233	1228	39.38%	22.79%	37.83%	+0.01	+6.4	8
2012-04-28	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	45.9	1228	1233	37.83%	22.79%	39.38%	-0.01	-6.4	8
2012-04-28	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.7	1084	1032	45.90%	22.58%	31.52%	+0.31	-0.4	7
2012-04-28	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.7	1032	1084	31.52%	22.58%	45.90%	-0.31	+0.4	8
2012-04-28	Glentoran	L 0-2	44.0	1370	1172	63.21%	19.85%	16.94%	+1.25	-19.6	8
2012-04-28	@ Linfield	W 2-0	44.0	1172	1370	16.94%	19.85%	63.21%	-1.25	+19.6	7
2012-04-28	Portadown	L 2-3	52.6	1231	1205	42.39%	22.74%	34.88%	+0.14	-6.6	4
2012-04-28	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	52.6	1205	1231	34.88%	22.74%	42.39%	-0.14	+6.6	6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-03-16	12.30%	@ Carrick Rangers	960	3	Portadown	1231	1
2	2012-01-27	13.86%	Lisburn Distillery	1002	3	@ Glentoran	1246	1
3	2012-03-17	14.77%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1004	3	Coleraine	1234	1
4	2011-12-31	15.99%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1037	2	Glentoran	1249	1
5	2012-02-18	16.16%	Donegal Celtic	1025	1	@ Coleraine	1234	0
6	2012-02-25	16.47%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1046	2	Portadown	1251	0
7	2012-03-10	16.70%	@ Glenavon	1037	1	Glentoran	1238	0
8	2012-04-28	16.94%	Glentoran	1172	2	@ Linfield	1370	0
9	2012-03-24	20.05%	Ballymena United	1055	2	@ Glentoran	1214	1
10	2011-11-05	20.61%	@ Cliftonville	1175	4	Linfield	1328	2
11	2011-12-20	20.86%	@ Glenavon	1067	3	Crusaders	1217	2
12	2011-09-17	21.19%	@ Portadown	1164	2	Linfield	1311	0
13	2011-08-29	21.25%	Donegal Celtic	1056	2	@ Crusaders	1202	1
14	2011-08-20	21.71%	Donegal Celtic	1052	2	@ Glentoran	1194	1
15	2011-09-24	22.95%	Ballymena United	1068	4	@ Glentoran	1196	2
16	2011-08-27	23.71%	Glentoran	1185	1	@ Linfield	1305	0
17	2011-09-24	24.93%	@ Glenavon	1068	1	Coleraine	1177	0
18	2012-01-31	25.26%	@ Coleraine	1225	1	Linfield	1331	0
19	2011-09-24	25.86%	Donegal Celtic	1060	3	@ Cliftonville	1160	2
20	2011-09-10	26.84%	Ballymena United	1076	4	@ Cliftonville	1167	3
21	2011-08-20	27.13%	Lisburn Distillery	1051	3	@ Coleraine	1140	2
22	2011-12-26	27.45%	@ Glentoran	1240	1	Linfield	1326	0
23	2011-08-06	29.14%	@ Donegal Celtic	1058	1	Portadown	1129	0
24	2011-11-09	29.18%	@ Glentoran	1243	2	Linfield	1314	0
25	2012-04-20	29.60%	@ Carrick Rangers	962	2	Lisburn Distillery	1030	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-04-07	23.75	Crusaders	4	1216	40.16%	@ Glentoran	0	1205	37.06%	22.79%
2	2012-02-04	21.78	@ Linfield	5	1322	52.11%	Crusaders	0	1222	25.89%	22.00%
3	2011-09-10	20.98	@ Coleraine	4	1140	45.69%	Carrick Rangers	0	1090	31.72%	22.59%
4	2012-03-24	20.78	Glenavon	5	1044	37.74%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1	1050	39.46%	22.79%
5	2011-12-10	20.29	@ Glenavon	3	1049	34.64%	Ballymena United	0	1077	42.63%	22.73%
6	2011-10-08	20.11	Glentoran	5	1190	54.70%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1069	23.67%	21.64%
7	2012-04-14	20.02	@ Glenavon	4	1064	47.56%	Donegal Celtic	0	1000	29.98%	22.46%
8	2011-10-22	19.89	Glentoran	5	1210	55.03%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1087	23.38%	21.58%
9	2012-02-25	19.76	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1046	16.47%	Portadown	0	1251	63.86%	19.68%
10	2012-04-28	19.59	Glentoran	2	1172	16.94%	@ Linfield	0	1370	63.21%	19.85%
11	2011-09-24	19.37	Portadown	3	1182	37.02%	@ Crusaders	0	1193	40.20%	22.79%
12	2012-04-10	18.82	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	1018	38.46%	Donegal Celtic	0	1019	38.74%	22.80%
13	2012-03-16	18.49	@ Carrick Rangers	3	960	12.30%	Portadown	1	1231	70.01%	17.69%
14	2011-09-17	18.07	@ Portadown	2	1164	21.19%	Linfield	0	1311	57.69%	21.12%
15	2012-01-27	17.96	Lisburn Distillery	3	1002	13.86%	@ Glentoran	1	1246	67.61%	18.54%
16	2012-03-17	17.66	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	1004	14.77%	Coleraine	1	1234	66.26%	18.97%
17	2012-04-21	17.43	@ Cliftonville	3	1214	42.15%	Glentoran	0	1189	35.10%	22.75%
18	2011-08-13	17.40	@ Portadown	5	1121	45.89%	Lisburn Distillery	1	1069	31.53%	22.58%
19	2011-09-17	17.36	@ Glentoran	6	1179	53.38%	Carrick Rangers	1	1069	24.79%	21.83%
20	2012-04-07	17.26	Ballymena United	3	1064	42.57%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1036	34.70%	22.73%
21	2012-04-21	16.33	@ Coleraine	4	1210	37.02%	Portadown	1	1221	40.20%	22.79%
22	2011-09-17	15.96	Coleraine	5	1161	49.24%	@ Ballymena United	1	1084	28.44%	22.31%
23	2011-08-06	15.78	Ballymena United	4	1085	38.72%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1085	38.48%	22.80%
24	2011-11-09	15.53	@ Glentoran	2	1243	29.18%	Linfield	0	1314	48.43%	22.39%
25	2011-09-24	15.03	Lisburn Distillery	2	1059	30.90%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1116	46.57%	22.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-04-10	65.5	@ Carrick Rangers	4	975	26.98%	Glenavon	4	1065	50.87%	22.15%
2	2011-11-12	64.5	@ Carrick Rangers	3	1013	13.73%	Glentoran	3	1259	67.80%	18.47%
3	2011-12-03	64.5	@ Glentoran	3	1256	68.56%	Lisburn Distillery	3	1002	13.23%	18.21%
4	2012-01-28	64.4	@ Carrick Rangers	3	981	13.77%	Cliftonville	3	1227	67.74%	18.49%
5	2012-02-25	63.4	@ Glentoran	3	1235	40.26%	Coleraine	3	1224	36.95%	22.79%
6	2012-03-10	63.4	@ Portadown	3	1231	40.99%	Cliftonville	3	1215	36.24%	22.77%
7	2012-04-07	63.2	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	1017	32.09%	Glenavon	3	1065	45.30%	22.61%
8	2011-08-13	63.1	@ Ballymena United	3	1101	38.44%	Glenavon	3	1102	38.77%	22.80%
9	2012-01-21	60.2	@ Carrick Rangers	2	980	12.44%	Glentoran	2	1248	69.78%	17.78%
10	2011-12-20	59.9	@ Carrick Rangers	2	1000	14.12%	Portadown	2	1240	67.21%	18.67%
11	2012-02-25	59.6	@ Crusaders	2	1205	63.60%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1003	16.65%	19.75%
12	2012-01-20	59.4	@ Crusaders	2	1220	61.63%	Ballymena United	2	1037	18.11%	20.26%
13	2011-11-05	59.0	@ Glentoran	2	1244	45.26%	Crusaders	2	1196	32.12%	22.61%
14	2012-01-07	59.0	@ Glentoran	2	1239	38.62%	Portadown	2	1238	38.58%	22.80%
15	2011-09-17	58.8	@ Crusaders	2	1193	43.34%	Cliftonville	2	1160	33.95%	22.70%
16	2011-10-15	58.7	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1087	43.57%	Donegal Celtic	2	1052	33.73%	22.70%
17	2011-12-03	58.7	@ Carrick Rangers	2	1000	31.81%	Glenavon	2	1050	45.59%	22.59%
18	2012-03-10	58.7	@ Ballymena United	2	1055	45.73%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1004	31.68%	22.59%
19	2012-04-21	58.7	@ Ballymena United	2	1102	41.19%	Glenavon	2	1084	36.04%	22.77%
20	2012-04-28	58.7	@ Glenavon	2	1084	45.90%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1032	31.52%	22.58%
21	2011-09-17	58.6	@ Donegal Celtic	2	1060	38.78%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1059	38.43%	22.80%
22	2011-12-31	58.6	@ Ballymena United	2	1049	41.89%	Donegal Celtic	2	1026	35.36%	22.75%
23	2011-09-10	58.0	Ballymena United	4	1076	26.84%	@ Cliftonville	3	1167	51.03%	22.13%
24	2011-12-20	56.6	@ Glenavon	3	1067	20.86%	Crusaders	2	1217	58.10%	21.04%
25	2011-09-03	55.8	@ Coleraine	4	1134	34.43%	Portadown	3	1164	42.85%	22.72%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-03-17	23.6	@ Linfield	4	1353	73.71%	Donegal Celtic	0	1037	10.06%	16.23%
2	2012-03-24	23.6	Linfield	3	1360	75.40%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1022	9.11%	15.49%
3	2011-11-26	23.8	Linfield	4	1311	72.78%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1007	10.60%	16.62%
4	2012-01-21	25.0	@ Linfield	3	1325	70.85%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1044	11.77%	17.38%
5	2011-09-24	26.0	@ Linfield	3	1292	67.37%	Carrick Rangers	0	1051	14.01%	18.61%
6	2012-01-07	26.1	Coleraine	4	1208	65.12%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	991	15.57%	19.32%
7	2011-08-13	26.9	@ Linfield	5	1283	65.11%	Donegal Celtic	0	1066	15.57%	19.32%
8	2012-01-17	27.4	Glentoran	3	1239	62.58%	@ Ballymena United	0	1047	17.40%	20.02%
9	2011-10-29	27.5	Glentoran	4	1230	60.42%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1059	19.04%	20.55%
10	2012-03-10	27.9	@ Linfield	4	1350	78.82%	Carrick Rangers	1	963	7.30%	13.88%
11	2011-12-31	28.3	@ Linfield	2	1317	68.09%	Glenavon	0	1068	13.54%	18.37%
12	2011-10-01	28.4	@ Portadown	3	1201	58.93%	Carrick Rangers	0	1044	20.20%	20.87%
13	2012-02-04	28.8	Portadown	2	1244	65.77%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1020	15.11%	19.12%
14	2011-11-19	28.9	Portadown	3	1214	57.48%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1069	21.36%	21.16%
15	2011-11-26	29.0	Portadown	2	1225	65.17%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1007	15.53%	19.30%
16	2011-11-19	29.5	@ Glentoran	2	1257	63.59%	Glenavon	0	1056	16.66%	19.75%
17	2011-11-19	29.6	Linfield	5	1303	68.50%	@ Donegal Celtic	1	1050	13.27%	18.23%
18	2011-10-22	29.9	Glentoran	5	1210	55.03%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1087	23.38%	21.58%
19	2012-04-14	29.9	@ Ballymena United	3	1090	53.90%	Carrick Rangers	0	975	24.34%	21.76%
20	2011-10-08	30.0	Glentoran	5	1190	54.70%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1069	23.67%	21.64%
21	2012-03-24	30.3	Cliftonville	2	1218	60.83%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1043	18.72%	20.45%
22	2011-11-18	30.7	Coleraine	2	1177	59.52%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1014	19.73%	20.75%
23	2011-12-17	30.7	@ Crusaders	2	1210	59.74%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1045	19.56%	20.70%
24	2011-12-26	30.8	Portadown	2	1238	59.48%	@ Glenavon	0	1075	19.76%	20.75%
25	2011-08-20	31.0	Crusaders	3	1188	50.52%	@ Ballymena United	0	1101	27.30%	22.18%