2012-13 IFA Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Cliftonville

91 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dungannon Swifts

2.80 points above expected

40 points · 37.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

4.84 points below expected

19 points · 23.84 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	33	25	4	4	79	85	31	+54	64.36	+14.64
2	Crusaders	33	22	5	6	71	71	33	+38	55.50	+15.50
3	Linfield	33	16	10	7	58	64	41	+23	58.81	-0.81
4	Glentoran	33	14	10	9	52	57	39	+18	52.89	-0.89
5	Coleraine	33	13	11	9	50	46	50	-4	51.19	-1.19
6	Ballinamallard United	33	14	6	13	48	45	37	+8	50.30	-2.30
7	Portadown	33	12	9	12	45	47	46	+1	47.27	-2.27
8	Ballymena United	33	8	13	12	37	41	62	-21	40.90	-3.90
9	Dungannon Swifts	33	7	12	14	33	35	51	-16	36.11	-3.11
10	Glenavon	33	8	6	19	30	48	56	-8	38.92	-8.92
11	Donegal Celtic	33	4	9	20	21	26	70	-44	24.44	-3.44
12	Lisburn Distillery	33	4	7	22	19	29	78	-49	26.20	-7.20

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	38	29	4	5	91	95	38	+57	88.47	+2.53
2	Crusaders	38	26	5	7	83	82	41	+41	80.34	+2.66
3	Linfield	38	17	11	10	62	69	48	+21	65.54	-3.54
4	Glentoran	38	15	12	11	57	63	44	+19	58.01	-1.01
5	Ballinamallard United	38	15	8	15	53	49	43	+6	54.71	-1.71
6	Coleraine	38	13	14	11	53	50	57	-7	52.30	+0.70

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Portadown	38	15	10	13	55	55	55	0	54.98	+0.02
2	Ballymena United	38	11	13	14	46	54	68	-14	43.79	+2.21
3	Glenavon	38	12	6	20	42	64	62	+2	41.25	+0.75
4	Dungannon Swifts	38	9	13	16	40	42	58	-16	37.20	+2.80
5	Donegal Celtic	38	6	9	23	27	32	80	-48	25.27	+1.73
6	Lisburn Distillery	38	4	7	27	19	29	90	-61	23.84	-4.84

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dungannon Swifts	40	37.20	+2.80
2	Crusaders	83	80.34	+2.66
3	Cliftonville	91	88.47	+2.53
4	Ballymena United	46	43.79	+2.21
5	Donegal Celtic	27	25.27	+1.73

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lisburn Distillery	19	23.84	-4.84
2	Linfield	62	65.54	-3.54
3	Ballinamallard United	53	54.71	-1.71
4	Glentoran	57	58.01	-1.01
5	Portadown	55	54.98	+0.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballinamallard United	6	Sep 8 – Oct 13	1 in 333
2	Cliftonville	11	Jan 7 – Apr 13	1 in 78
3	Linfield	5	Dec 26 – Jan 29	1 in 35
4	Glenavon	3	Dec 1 – Dec 15	1 in 25
5	Crusaders	5	Dec 29 – Feb 2	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	6	Nov 17 – Dec 26	1 in 286
2	Glenavon	6	Dec 26 – Jan 19	1 in 150
3	Glentoran	3	Mar 19 – Apr 2	1 in 35
4	Ballinamallard United	3	Dec 1 – Dec 15	1 in 14
5	Linfield	2	Apr 20 – Apr 27	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Linfield	16	Nov 17 – Mar 9	1 in 64
2	Glentoran	9	Aug 11 – Sep 28	1 in 30
3	Ballymena United	7	Sep 28 – Nov 10	1 in 23
4	Donegal Celtic	3	Feb 16 – Mar 2	1 in 19
5	Ballinamallard United	6	Sep 8 – Oct 13	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portadown	7	Aug 18 – Sep 22	1 in 30
2	Dungannon Swifts	10	Sep 29 – Dec 1	1 in 25
3	Ballymena United	9	Jan 19 – Mar 30	1 in 18
4	Lisburn Distillery	15	Oct 20 – Feb 2	1 in 17
5	Donegal Celtic	12	Aug 11 – Oct 20	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Cliftonville	1417	91	-55	9	9.7	-0.7
Crusaders	1433	83	+55	15	9.2	+5.8
Linfield	1309	62	-24	4	7.6	-3.6
Glentoran	1285	57	+28	5	5.9	-0.9
Portadown	1184	55	-25	10	9.2	+0.8
Ballinamallard United	1198	53	+4	5	4.9	+0.1
Coleraine	1165	53	-8	3	4.0	-1.0
Ballymena United	1099	46	+44	9	8.0	+1.0
Glenavon	1170	42	+45	12	8.6	+3.4
Dungannon Swifts	1074	40	+1	7	6.7	+0.3
Donegal Celtic	929	27	-2	6	4.3	+1.7
Lisburn Distillery	898	19	-63	0	4.6	-4.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DC	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	LD	POR
Ballinamallard United	—	0-2-1 4.75	1-0-3 3.04	2-2-0 5.62	0-0-4 4.67	1-1-1 6.40	2-1-0 5.33	3-0-0 5.59	0-1-3 5.16	2-1-1 4.18	3-0-0 5.79	1-0-2 4.64
Ballymena United	1-2-0 3.48	—	0-0-3 2.43	0-0-3 3.56	1-1-1 2.96	1-2-1 7.73	1-2-1 6.50	1-0-3 5.67	1-2-0 2.75	1-1-1 2.41	3-1-0 7.68	1-2-1 4.19
Cliftonville	3-0-1 8.02	3-0-0 5.91	—	4-0-0 7.58	2-0-2 6.54	3-0-0 7.46	2-1-0 6.14	3-0-0 5.88	1-2-1 7.17	3-0-1 6.30	3-0-0 7.29	2-1-0 5.75
Coleraine	0-2-2 5.35	3-0-0 4.67	0-0-4 3.50	—	1-1-2 4.13	2-1-0 6.37	2-1-0 5.32	0-2-1 5.15	1-3-0 4.88	1-2-1 4.24	2-1-0 6.41	1-1-1 4.39
Crusaders	4-0-0 6.33	1-1-1 5.30	2-0-2 4.44	2-1-1 6.89	—	3-0-0 6.82	1-1-1 6.23	2-0-1 5.73	3-1-0 6.33	3-1-0 5.80	3-0-0 6.66	2-0-1 5.07
Donegal Celtic	1-1-1 1.94	1-2-1 3.30	0-0-3 1.05	0-1-2 1.97	0-0-3 1.57	—	1-2-1 3.62	1-1-2 3.40	1-0-2 1.83	0-0-3 1.61	1-1-2 5.30	0-1-3 2.67
Dungannon Swifts	0-1-2 2.91	1-2-1 4.48	0-1-2 2.19	0-1-2 2.93	1-1-1 2.10	1-2-1 7.39	—	2-0-2 5.17	1-0-2 2.37	0-1-2 2.26	2-1-1 7.20	1-3-0 3.91
Glenavon	0-0-3 2.67	3-0-1 5.30	0-0-3 2.41	1-2-0 3.10	1-0-2 2.54	2-1-1 7.64	2-0-2 5.80	—	0-1-2 2.93	0-1-2 2.74	3-0-1 7.54	0-1-3 4.96
Glentoran	3-1-0 5.81	0-2-1 5.51	1-2-1 3.84	0-3-1 6.11	0-1-3 4.64	2-0-1 6.52	2-0-1 5.92	2-1-0 5.33	—	0-2-2 4.33	3-0-0 6.37	2-0-1 4.33
Linfield	1-1-2 6.82	1-1-1 5.87	1-0-3 4.69	1-2-1 6.75	0-1-3 5.18	3-0-0 6.77	2-1-0 6.03	2-1-0 5.52	2-2-0 6.65	—	1-2-0 7.01	3-0-0 5.35
Lisburn Distillery	0-0-3 2.51	0-1-3 3.35	0-0-3 1.20	0-1-2 1.91	0-0-3 1.74	2-1-1 5.67	1-1-2 3.80	1-0-3 3.49	0-0-3 1.95	0-2-1 1.42	—	0-1-3 2.79
Portadown	2-0-1 3.59	1-2-1 6.80	0-1-2 2.52	1-1-1 3.83	1-0-2 3.17	3-1-0 8.43	0-3-1 7.09	3-1-0 6.01	1-0-2 3.90	0-0-3 2.91	3-1-0 8.30	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+10.0
Allowed	0.79	-11.3
Differential	0.93	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.70%	6.36%	5.26%	3.29%	1.32%	1.75%	23.68%
1	6.36%	14.47%	7.24%	5.92%	1.97%	1.10%	37.06%
2	5.26%	7.24%	2.63%	1.75%	0.88%	0.44%	18.20%
3	3.29%	5.92%	1.75%	1.75%	0.22%	—	12.94%
4	1.32%	1.97%	0.88%	0.22%	—	0.22%	4.61%
5+	1.75%	1.10%	0.44%	—	0.22%	—	3.51%
Total	23.68%	37.06%	18.20%	12.94%	4.61%	3.51%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	2.09
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	5.26%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	42.11%	23.68%	15.79%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.13	+0.16
SD	1.33	1.21	1.98
CV	1.03	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	7.89%	31.58%
1	—	7.89%	10.53%	—	5.26%	2.63%	26.32%
2	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	28.95%	23.68%	5.26%	5.26%	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.79	-0.37
SD	1.41	1.93	2.64
CV	0.99	1.08	—
Max	6	8	+5
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
2	7.89%	15.79%	—	—	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
4	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	31.58%	50.00%	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.00	+1.50
SD	1.64	0.96	2.19
CV	0.66	0.96	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	23.68%
1	5.26%	26.32%	2.63%	5.26%	—	5.26%	44.74%
2	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	2.63%	13.16%
3	—	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	47.37%	13.16%	7.89%	—	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.50	-0.18
SD	1.14	1.47	1.84
CV	0.87	0.98	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
1	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
2	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
Total	26.32%	50.00%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.16	1.08	+1.08
SD	1.41	0.94	1.58
CV	0.65	0.87	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	39.47%
1	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	42.11%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	13.16%
3	—	—	—	5.26%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	21.05%	13.16%	31.58%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.84	2.11	-1.26
SD	0.86	1.48	1.62
CV	1.02	0.71	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	7.89%	26.32%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	63.16%
2	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	23.68%	13.16%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.53	-0.42
SD	0.73	1.20	1.48
CV	0.66	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	13.16%	18.42%	10.53%	—	2.63%	50.00%
2	5.26%	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	15.79%	31.58%	31.58%	18.42%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.63	+0.05
SD	1.68	1.13	2.32
CV	1.00	0.69	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	2.63%	23.68%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
3	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	50.00%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.16	+0.50
SD	1.32	1.13	1.67
CV	0.80	0.97	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	39.47%	23.68%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.26	+0.55
SD	1.37	0.98	1.80
CV	0.76	0.77	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	15.79%	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	52.63%
1	—	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	—	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
3	5.26%	—	—	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.26%	31.58%	21.05%	18.42%	15.79%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	2.37	-1.61
SD	1.00	1.55	2.07
CV	1.31	0.65	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	21.05%
1	15.79%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	26.32%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	36.84%	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.18	1.41	1.74
CV	0.81	0.97	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Crusaders	1433	83	55.50	+27.50	98.0%	37	40	52	56	59	66	80
Cliftonville	1417	91	64.36	+26.64	99.0%	45	54	60	64	68	76	84
Linfield	1309	62	58.81	+3.19	48.0%	42	47	55	59	64	68	77
Glentoran	1285	57	52.89	+4.11	46.0%	33	39	48	53	58	63	72
Ballinamallard United	1198	53	50.30	+2.70	34.0%	32	38	46	51	54	61	64
Portadown	1184	55	47.27	+7.73	39.0%	25	33	42	47	51	63	66
Glenavon	1170	42	38.92	+3.08	13.0%	24	28	34	40	43	50	54
Coleraine	1165	53	51.19	+1.81	43.0%	30	35	46	53	57	63	67
Ballymena United	1099	46	40.90	+5.10	26.0%	26	28	36	41	45	53	58
Dungannon Swifts	1074	40	36.11	+3.89	32.0%	20	27	31	36	39	47	56
Donegal Celtic	929	27	24.44	+2.56	39.0%	11	14	20	25	29	35	62
Lisburn Distillery	898	19	26.20	-7.20	15.0%	13	15	21	26	30	38	44

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.16%

Clear Edge

44.30%24.56%31.14%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 45.98 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.28 goals

Neutral

-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

57%

Cliftonville, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Comfortable

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.61 * Off: 1.61 to 2.15 * Way Off: 2.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.27 points

Some Luck

07.0318

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.50

Pinpoint

01.343

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Cliftonville

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

13.00%

Glenavon

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Even

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 160.89

2.52

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

77%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Frequent

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Occasional

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.13

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.93

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.85

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.25

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.078

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cliftonville	57.00%	25.00%	9.00%	7.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	14.00%	14.00%	21.00%	22.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Linfield	20.00%	29.00%	18.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Glentoran	2.00%	14.00%	18.00%	13.00%	22.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Ballinamallard United	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	20.00%	23.00%	14.00%	13.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—
Coleraine	3.00%	7.00%	19.00%	13.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	—	—
Portadown	1.00%	7.00%	2.00%	8.00%	12.00%	26.00%	18.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Ballymena United	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	13.00%	27.00%	18.00%	16.00%	6.00%	—
Glenavon	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	7.00%	16.00%	24.00%	22.00%	18.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	3.00%	—	2.00%	4.00%	13.00%	27.00%	30.00%	16.00%	5.00%
Donegal Celtic	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	12.00%	34.00%	49.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	34.00%	45.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cliftonville	97.06%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	2.94%	97.05%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	—	0.01%	94.91%	4.88%	0.20%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	4.33%	69.93%	21.06%	4.68%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballinamallard United	—	—	0.64%	19.26%	54.67%	25.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	0.11%	5.93%	24.07%	69.89%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	99.36%	0.64%	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.61%	69.13%	26.40%	3.86%	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.03%	26.50%	56.89%	16.56%	0.02%	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.73%	16.71%	79.23%	0.33%	—
Donegal Celtic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.30%	64.47%	35.23%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.05%	35.18%	64.77%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballinamallard United	100%	—	—
Ballymena United	95.00%	5.00%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	93.00%	7.00%	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	79.00%	18.00%	3.00%
Lisburn Distillery	20.00%	33.00%	47.00%
Donegal Celtic	13.00%	37.00%	50.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballinamallard United	100%	—	—
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	99.67%	0.33%	—
Glenavon	99.98%	0.02%	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Donegal Celtic	0.30%	64.47%	35.23%
Lisburn Distillery	0.05%	35.18%	64.77%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-08-11	Crusaders	W 3-1	43.1	1222	1233	42.00%	25.96%	32.04%	+0.22	+15.8	3
2012-08-11	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	43.1	1233	1222	32.04%	25.96%	42.00%	-0.22	-15.8	0
2012-08-11	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	37.5	1203	1064	59.82%	23.55%	16.62%	+1.13	+9.0	3
2012-08-11	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	37.5	1064	1203	16.62%	23.55%	59.82%	-1.13	-9.0	0
2012-08-11	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	57.9	1181	1111	52.27%	25.04%	22.69%	+0.71	-1.3	1
2012-08-11	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	57.9	1111	1181	22.69%	25.04%	52.27%	-0.71	+1.3	1
2012-08-11	Glenavon	W 2-1	42.1	1223	1146	53.00%	24.93%	22.07%	+0.74	+6.7	3
2012-08-11	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	42.1	1146	1223	22.07%	24.93%	53.00%	-0.74	-6.7	0
2012-08-11	Linfield	W 2-0	42.8	1154	1300	24.33%	25.29%	50.37%	-0.61	+26.0	3
2012-08-11	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	42.8	1300	1154	50.37%	25.29%	24.33%	+0.61	-26.0	0
2012-08-11	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-2	42.8	1215	1108	56.52%	24.30%	19.18%	+0.93	+9.2	3
2012-08-11	@ Portadown	L 2-4	42.8	1108	1215	19.18%	24.30%	56.52%	-0.93	-9.2	0
2012-08-18	Ballinamallard United	L 0-5	35.1	1098	1180	32.06%	25.96%	41.98%	-0.22	-42.7	0
2012-08-18	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-0	35.1	1180	1098	41.98%	25.96%	32.06%	+0.22	+42.7	4
2012-08-18	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.1	1217	1180	48.19%	25.54%	26.28%	+0.50	-1.4	1
2012-08-18	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	48.1	1180	1217	26.28%	25.54%	48.19%	-0.50	+1.4	4
2012-08-18	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.1	1113	1229	27.63%	25.67%	46.70%	-0.43	+1.1	2
2012-08-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.1	1229	1113	46.70%	25.67%	27.63%	+0.43	-1.1	4
2012-08-18	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.4	1274	1238	48.15%	25.54%	26.31%	+0.50	-1.4	1
2012-08-18	@ Linfield	D 0-0	48.4	1238	1274	26.31%	25.54%	48.15%	-0.50	+1.4	4
2012-08-18	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.1	1140	1212	33.24%	26.00%	40.76%	-0.16	+0.4	1
2012-08-18	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.1	1212	1140	40.76%	26.00%	33.24%	+0.16	-0.4	4
2012-08-18	Portadown	D 1-1	52.3	1055	1224	21.95%	24.91%	53.14%	-0.75	+1.9	1
2012-08-18	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	52.3	1224	1055	53.14%	24.91%	21.95%	+0.75	-1.9	4
2012-08-24	Coleraine	L 3-4	56.5	1222	1240	41.05%	25.99%	32.96%	+0.18	-10.2	4
2012-08-24	@ Portadown	W 4-3	56.5	1240	1222	32.96%	25.99%	41.05%	-0.18	+10.2	7
2012-08-24	Donegal Celtic	W 4-0	27.3	1273	1057	66.85%	21.36%	11.78%	+1.59	+14.0	4
2012-08-24	@ Linfield	L 0-4	27.3	1057	1273	11.78%	21.36%	66.85%	-1.59	-14.0	1
2012-08-24	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	44.5	1140	1114	46.91%	25.65%	27.44%	+0.44	-13.0	1
2012-08-24	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	44.5	1114	1140	27.44%	25.65%	46.91%	-0.44	+13.0	5
2012-08-25	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.1	1223	1182	48.71%	25.48%	25.80%	+0.53	-1.5	5
2012-08-25	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.1	1182	1223	25.80%	25.48%	48.71%	-0.53	+1.5	5
2012-08-25	Crusaders	L 1-3	39.9	1056	1215	22.90%	25.07%	52.03%	-0.69	-12.0	0
2012-08-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	39.9	1215	1056	52.03%	25.07%	22.90%	+0.69	+12.0	4
2012-08-25	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.3	1228	1212	45.57%	25.76%	28.67%	+0.38	-1.0	5
2012-08-25	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.3	1212	1228	28.67%	25.76%	45.57%	-0.38	+1.0	5
2012-08-31	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.0	1043	1127	31.70%	25.94%	42.35%	-0.23	+0.6	2
2012-08-31	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	52.0	1127	1043	42.35%	25.94%	31.70%	+0.23	-0.6	2
2012-08-31	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	31.9	1183	1044	59.87%	23.54%	16.59%	+1.13	+10.4	8
2012-08-31	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.9	1044	1183	16.59%	23.54%	59.87%	-1.13	-10.4	0
2012-08-31	Portadown	D 1-1	52.1	1127	1212	31.53%	25.94%	42.53%	-0.24	+0.6	6
2012-08-31	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.1	1212	1127	42.53%	25.94%	31.53%	+0.24	-0.6	5
2012-09-01	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	44.9	1227	1221	44.28%	25.84%	29.88%	+0.32	+8.6	7
2012-09-01	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	44.9	1221	1227	29.88%	25.84%	44.28%	-0.32	-8.6	5
2012-09-01	Cliftonville	L 1-5	43.5	1250	1227	46.40%	25.69%	27.90%	+0.42	-38.4	7
2012-09-01	@ Coleraine	W 5-1	43.5	1227	1250	27.90%	25.69%	46.40%	-0.42	+38.4	8
2012-09-01	Linfield	D 1-1	52.4	1213	1287	33.08%	26.00%	40.93%	-0.17	+0.5	6
2012-09-01	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.4	1287	1213	40.93%	26.00%	33.08%	+0.17	-0.5	5
2012-09-03	Portadown	D 2-2	57.7	1127	1212	31.59%	25.94%	42.47%	-0.24	+0.5	3
2012-09-03	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	57.7	1212	1127	42.47%	25.94%	31.59%	+0.24	-0.5	6
2012-09-04	Ballymena United	W 2-1	42.5	1266	1194	52.51%	25.00%	22.49%	+0.72	+6.8	11
2012-09-04	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	42.5	1194	1266	22.49%	25.00%	52.51%	-0.72	-6.8	8
2012-09-04	Coleraine	L 1-3	39.6	1044	1211	22.10%	24.93%	52.97%	-0.74	-11.7	2
2012-09-04	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	39.6	1211	1044	52.97%	24.93%	22.10%	+0.74	+11.7	10
2012-09-04	Crusaders	L 1-2	51.0	1286	1236	49.92%	25.35%	24.73%	+0.59	-12.9	5
2012-09-04	@ Linfield	W 2-1	51.0	1236	1286	24.73%	25.35%	49.92%	-0.59	+12.9	10
2012-09-04	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	48.8	1033	1127	30.42%	25.88%	43.71%	-0.29	+11.6	3
2012-09-04	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	48.8	1127	1033	43.71%	25.88%	30.42%	+0.29	-11.6	6
2012-09-04	Glentoran	L 1-4	44.1	1212	1213	43.26%	25.90%	30.84%	+0.27	-28.1	5
2012-09-04	@ Ballinamallard United	W 4-1	44.1	1213	1212	30.84%	25.90%	43.26%	-0.27	+28.1	9
2012-09-08	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	46.7	1273	1184	54.39%	24.70%	20.91%	+0.82	-14.8	11
2012-09-08	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	46.7	1184	1273	20.91%	24.70%	54.39%	-0.82	+14.8	8
2012-09-08	Crusaders	W 1-0	44.7	1127	1249	27.02%	25.61%	47.37%	-0.46	+13.1	6
2012-09-08	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	44.7	1249	1127	47.37%	25.61%	27.02%	+0.46	-13.1	10
2012-09-08	Donegal Celtic	D 3-3	62.6	1187	1032	61.36%	23.15%	15.49%	+1.22	-1.8	9
2012-09-08	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	62.6	1032	1187	15.49%	23.15%	61.36%	-1.22	+1.8	3
2012-09-08	Glentoran	L 1-3	41.2	1116	1242	26.58%	25.57%	47.85%	-0.49	-13.6	6
2012-09-08	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	41.2	1242	1116	47.85%	25.57%	26.58%	+0.49	+13.6	12
2012-09-08	Linfield	L 2-4	48.2	1211	1274	34.65%	26.04%	39.31%	-0.10	-15.0	6
2012-09-08	@ Portadown	W 4-2	48.2	1274	1211	39.31%	26.04%	34.65%	+0.10	+15.0	8
2012-09-08	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	38.9	1223	1045	63.55%	22.50%	13.95%	+1.37	+4.4	13
2012-09-08	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	38.9	1045	1223	13.95%	22.50%	63.55%	-1.37	-4.4	3
2012-09-15	Cliftonville	L 1-2	50.4	1289	1258	47.46%	25.60%	26.93%	+0.47	-12.4	8
2012-09-15	@ Linfield	W 2-1	50.4	1258	1289	26.93%	25.60%	47.46%	-0.47	+12.4	14
2012-09-15	Coleraine	D 0-0	48.2	1255	1227	47.07%	25.64%	27.29%	+0.45	-1.3	13
2012-09-15	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.2	1227	1255	27.29%	25.64%	47.07%	-0.45	+1.3	14
2012-09-15	Donegal Celtic	W 2-0	30.2	1236	1034	65.68%	21.79%	12.53%	+1.51	+7.9	13
2012-09-15	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	30.2	1034	1236	12.53%	21.79%	65.68%	-1.51	-7.9	3
2012-09-15	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1185	1102	53.79%	24.80%	21.41%	+0.78	-2.0	10
2012-09-15	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.4	1102	1185	21.41%	24.80%	53.79%	-0.78	+2.0	7
2012-09-15	Glenavon	L 0-1	39.4	1040	1140	29.71%	25.83%	44.46%	-0.33	-9.1	3
2012-09-15	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	39.4	1140	1040	44.46%	25.83%	29.71%	+0.33	+9.1	9
2012-09-15	Portadown	W 2-0	36.9	1199	1196	43.79%	25.87%	30.33%	+0.30	+17.5	11
2012-09-15	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	36.9	1196	1199	30.33%	25.87%	43.79%	-0.30	-17.5	6
2012-09-22	Ballinamallard United	L 0-3	31.3	1026	1217	19.96%	24.49%	55.55%	-0.88	-17.9	3
2012-09-22	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	31.3	1217	1026	55.55%	24.49%	19.96%	+0.88	+17.9	14
2012-09-22	Ballymena United	W 4-1	38.5	1229	1183	49.34%	25.41%	25.25%	+0.56	+18.5	17
2012-09-22	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	38.5	1183	1229	25.25%	25.41%	49.34%	-0.56	-18.5	10
2012-09-22	Crusaders	W 2-0	42.4	1104	1244	25.02%	25.39%	49.59%	-0.57	+25.7	10
2012-09-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	42.4	1244	1104	49.59%	25.39%	25.02%	+0.57	-25.7	13
2012-09-22	Linfield	L 2-3	48.9	1149	1276	26.45%	25.55%	48.00%	-0.49	-7.4	9
2012-09-22	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	48.9	1276	1149	48.00%	25.55%	26.45%	+0.49	+7.4	11
2012-09-22	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	27.7	1254	1031	67.41%	21.15%	11.43%	+1.63	+10.4	16
2012-09-22	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	27.7	1031	1254	11.43%	21.15%	67.41%	-1.63	-10.4	3
2012-09-22	Portadown	W 3-2	47.0	1270	1179	54.75%	24.64%	20.61%	+0.84	+6.0	17
2012-09-22	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	47.0	1179	1270	20.61%	24.64%	54.75%	-0.84	-6.0	6
2012-09-28	Crusaders	W 1-0	41.8	1173	1218	37.05%	26.06%	36.89%	+0.00	+10.8	9
2012-09-28	@ Portadown	L 0-1	41.8	1218	1173	36.89%	26.06%	37.05%	+0.00	-10.8	13
2012-09-28	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	34.2	1276	1008	71.02%	19.66%	9.32%	+1.91	+5.0	20
2012-09-28	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	34.2	1008	1276	9.32%	19.66%	71.02%	-1.91	-5.0	3
2012-09-28	Glenavon	W 2-1	41.6	1234	1142	54.87%	24.62%	20.51%	+0.84	+6.3	17
2012-09-28	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	41.6	1142	1234	20.51%	24.62%	54.87%	-0.84	-6.3	9
2012-09-28	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.2	1165	1264	29.73%	25.83%	44.44%	-0.33	+0.8	11
2012-09-28	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.2	1264	1165	44.44%	25.83%	29.73%	+0.33	-0.9	17
2012-09-28	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	26.2	1284	1021	70.60%	19.84%	9.55%	+1.88	+11.2	14
2012-09-28	@ Linfield	L 0-4	26.2	1021	1284	9.55%	19.84%	70.60%	-1.88	-11.2	3
2012-09-29	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	32.7	1247	1130	57.57%	24.08%	18.35%	+0.99	+11.4	20
2012-09-29	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	32.7	1130	1247	18.35%	24.08%	57.57%	-0.99	-11.4	10
2012-10-06	Ballinamallard United	L 1-3	48.7	1295	1241	50.37%	25.29%	24.34%	+0.61	-22.5	14
2012-10-06	@ Linfield	W 3-1	48.7	1241	1295	24.34%	25.29%	50.37%	-0.61	+22.5	20
2012-10-06	Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.7	1183	1166	45.79%	25.74%	28.46%	+0.39	-0.8	10
2012-10-06	@ Portadown	D 2-2	57.7	1166	1183	28.46%	25.74%	45.79%	-0.39	+0.8	12
2012-10-06	Cliftonville	L 1-2	38.9	1010	1281	13.88%	22.47%	63.65%	-1.37	-4.4	3
2012-10-06	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	38.9	1281	1010	63.65%	22.47%	13.88%	+1.37	+4.4	23
2012-10-06	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.2	1136	1259	26.88%	25.60%	47.52%	-0.47	+1.2	10
2012-10-06	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.2	1259	1136	47.52%	25.60%	26.88%	+0.47	-1.2	21
2012-10-06	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.0	1003	1118	27.80%	25.69%	46.52%	-0.42	+1.1	4
2012-10-06	@ Donegal Celtic	D 1-1	52.0	1118	1003	46.52%	25.69%	27.80%	+0.42	-1.1	11
2012-10-06	Glentoran	W 2-0	39.5	1207	1263	35.53%	26.05%	38.42%	-0.06	+20.9	16
2012-10-06	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	39.5	1263	1207	38.42%	26.05%	35.53%	+0.06	-20.9	17
2012-10-13	Cliftonville	W 3-1	45.3	1228	1285	35.37%	26.05%	38.58%	-0.07	+18.2	19
2012-10-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	45.3	1285	1228	38.58%	26.05%	35.37%	+0.07	-18.2	23
2012-10-13	Coleraine	W 1-0	39.9	1263	1257	44.19%	25.85%	29.96%	+0.32	+9.2	23
2012-10-13	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	39.9	1257	1263	29.96%	25.85%	44.19%	-0.32	-9.2	21
2012-10-13	Glenavon	W 2-1	43.8	1166	1137	47.31%	25.62%	27.08%	+0.46	+8.0	15
2012-10-13	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	43.8	1137	1166	27.08%	25.62%	47.31%	-0.46	-8.0	10
2012-10-13	Linfield	D 1-1	52.4	1117	1272	23.40%	25.15%	51.45%	-0.66	+1.7	12
2012-10-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1272	1117	51.45%	25.15%	23.40%	+0.66	-1.7	15
2012-10-13	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-3	38.6	1004	1005	43.24%	25.90%	30.86%	+0.27	-33.3	4
2012-10-13	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	38.6	1005	1004	30.86%	25.90%	43.24%	-0.27	+33.3	6
2012-10-13	Portadown	L 0-1	45.8	1242	1183	51.07%	25.20%	23.72%	+0.64	-14.0	17
2012-10-13	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	45.8	1183	1242	23.72%	25.20%	51.07%	-0.64	+14.0	13
2012-10-20	Ballymena United	L 0-4	32.6	1039	1174	25.47%	25.44%	49.09%	-0.55	-28.9	6
2012-10-20	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	32.6	1174	1039	49.09%	25.44%	25.47%	+0.55	+28.8	18
2012-10-20	Crusaders	L 0-2	42.1	1272	1246	46.85%	25.66%	27.49%	+0.44	-24.5	23
2012-10-20	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	42.1	1246	1272	27.49%	25.66%	46.85%	-0.44	+24.5	22
2012-10-20	Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	32.4	1197	971	67.68%	21.05%	11.27%	+1.65	+3.7	16
2012-10-20	@ Portadown	L 0-1	32.4	971	1197	11.27%	21.05%	67.68%	-1.65	-3.7	4
2012-10-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	35.1	1267	1119	60.71%	23.32%	15.97%	+1.18	+12.3	26
2012-10-20	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	35.1	1119	1267	15.97%	23.32%	60.71%	-1.18	-12.3	12
2012-10-20	Glenavon	W 2-1	41.3	1229	1129	55.67%	24.47%	19.86%	+0.89	+6.1	20
2012-10-20	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.3	1129	1229	19.86%	24.47%	55.67%	-0.89	-6.1	10
2012-10-22	Linfield	W 3-2	51.5	1248	1271	40.34%	26.01%	33.64%	+0.14	+9.0	24
2012-10-22	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	51.5	1271	1248	33.64%	26.01%	40.34%	-0.14	-9.0	15
2012-10-27	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.2	1203	1248	37.13%	26.06%	36.81%	+0.01	-0.0	19
2012-10-27	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.2	1248	1203	36.81%	26.06%	37.13%	-0.01	+0.0	24
2012-10-27	Cliftonville	L 0-2	34.5	1123	1280	23.19%	25.12%	51.69%	-0.68	-14.0	10
2012-10-27	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	34.5	1280	1123	51.69%	25.12%	23.19%	+0.68	+14.1	29
2012-10-27	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.5	1271	1257	45.23%	25.78%	28.98%	+0.36	-1.0	23
2012-10-27	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	1257	1271	28.98%	25.78%	45.23%	-0.36	+1.0	25
2012-10-27	Glentoran	W 2-1	53.7	967	1235	14.12%	22.57%	63.30%	-1.35	+15.9	7
2012-10-27	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	53.7	1235	967	63.30%	22.57%	14.12%	+1.35	-15.9	20
2012-10-27	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.4	1107	1010	55.35%	24.53%	20.12%	+0.87	-2.2	13
2012-10-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1010	1107	20.12%	24.53%	55.35%	-0.87	+2.2	7
2012-10-27	Portadown	W 1-0	37.6	1262	1200	51.24%	25.18%	23.58%	+0.65	+7.6	18
2012-10-27	@ Linfield	L 0-1	37.6	1200	1262	23.58%	25.18%	51.24%	-0.65	-7.6	16
2012-11-02	Ballymena United	L 1-3	42.2	1105	1203	29.86%	25.84%	44.29%	-0.32	-15.0	13
2012-11-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	42.2	1203	1105	44.29%	25.84%	29.86%	+0.32	+15.0	22
2012-11-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	29.3	1248	1012	68.50%	20.73%	10.77%	+1.72	+6.7	27
2012-11-02	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	29.3	1012	1248	10.77%	20.73%	68.50%	-1.72	-6.7	7
2012-11-03	Cliftonville	D 1-1	52.4	1219	1294	32.95%	25.99%	41.06%	-0.18	+0.5	21
2012-11-03	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.4	1294	1219	41.06%	25.99%	32.95%	+0.18	-0.5	30
2012-11-03	Glenavon	W 5-1	33.0	1270	1109	61.97%	22.97%	15.06%	+1.26	+15.0	26
2012-11-03	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	33.0	1109	1270	15.06%	22.97%	61.97%	-1.26	-15.0	10
2012-11-03	Linfield	L 0-3	28.4	983	1269	12.99%	22.03%	64.98%	-1.46	-11.8	7
2012-11-03	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	28.4	1269	983	64.98%	22.03%	12.99%	+1.46	+11.9	21
2012-11-03	Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	1258	1193	51.74%	25.11%	23.15%	+0.68	-1.7	26
2012-11-03	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.5	1193	1258	23.15%	25.11%	51.74%	-0.68	+1.7	17
2012-11-10	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	47.7	1195	1255	34.96%	26.04%	39.00%	-0.09	+10.6	20
2012-11-10	@ Portadown	L 1-2	47.7	1255	1195	39.00%	26.04%	34.96%	+0.09	-10.6	27
2012-11-10	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.9	1005	1256	15.20%	23.03%	61.76%	-1.25	+3.0	8
2012-11-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.9	1256	1005	61.76%	23.03%	15.20%	+1.25	-3.0	27
2012-11-10	Crusaders	W 2-1	48.1	1218	1285	34.03%	26.02%	39.94%	-0.13	+10.8	25
2012-11-10	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.1	1285	1218	39.94%	26.02%	34.03%	+0.13	-10.8	26
2012-11-10	Donegal Celtic	W 4-2	42.2	1094	971	58.10%	23.96%	17.94%	+1.03	+8.7	13
2012-11-10	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	42.2	971	1094	17.94%	23.96%	58.10%	-1.03	-8.7	7
2012-11-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	40.3	1219	1090	58.84%	23.79%	17.37%	+1.07	+5.4	24
2012-11-10	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	40.3	1090	1219	17.37%	23.79%	58.84%	-1.07	-5.4	13
2012-11-10	Linfield	W 3-0	35.1	1293	1281	45.04%	25.80%	29.16%	+0.35	+24.6	33
2012-11-10	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	35.1	1281	1293	29.16%	25.80%	45.04%	-0.35	-24.6	21
2012-11-16	Donegal Celtic	D 0-0	49.8	1244	962	72.02%	19.20%	8.78%	+1.99	-4.6	28
2012-11-16	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	49.8	962	1244	8.78%	19.20%	72.02%	-1.99	+4.6	8
2012-11-17	Cliftonville	L 0-8	37.0	1229	1318	31.08%	25.91%	43.00%	-0.26	-65.1	25
2012-11-17	@ Ballymena United	W 8-0	37.0	1318	1229	43.00%	25.91%	31.08%	+0.26	+65.1	36
2012-11-17	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.4	1084	1254	21.95%	24.91%	53.15%	-0.75	+1.9	14
2012-11-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1254	1084	53.15%	24.91%	21.95%	+0.75	-1.9	28
2012-11-17	Glenavon	D 1-1	52.9	1256	1102	61.27%	23.17%	15.56%	+1.22	-2.9	22
2012-11-17	@ Linfield	D 1-1	52.9	1102	1256	15.56%	23.17%	61.27%	-1.22	+2.9	14
2012-11-17	Glentoran	L 0-2	32.4	1008	1225	17.78%	23.92%	58.30%	-1.04	-11.1	8
2012-11-17	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.4	1225	1008	58.30%	23.92%	17.78%	+1.04	+11.1	27
2012-11-17	Portadown	W 2-0	34.5	1274	1205	52.17%	25.05%	22.78%	+0.70	+13.8	29
2012-11-17	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	34.5	1205	1274	22.78%	25.05%	52.17%	-0.70	-13.8	20
2012-11-24	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	38.1	1105	1240	25.61%	25.46%	48.93%	-0.54	-8.1	14
2012-11-24	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	38.1	1240	1105	48.93%	25.46%	25.61%	+0.54	+8.1	31
2012-11-24	Ballymena United	W 2-1	41.8	1253	1164	54.55%	24.67%	20.78%	+0.83	+6.4	25
2012-11-24	@ Linfield	L 1-2	41.8	1164	1253	20.78%	24.67%	54.55%	-0.83	-6.4	25
2012-11-24	Crusaders	L 2-5	35.8	967	1288	11.11%	20.95%	67.93%	-1.67	-7.4	8
2012-11-24	@ Donegal Celtic	W 5-2	35.8	1288	967	67.93%	20.95%	11.11%	+1.67	+7.3	32
2012-11-24	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.5	1191	1086	56.26%	24.35%	19.38%	+0.92	-2.3	21
2012-11-24	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	1086	1191	19.38%	24.35%	56.26%	-0.92	+2.3	15
2012-11-24	Glentoran	W 1-0	39.4	1252	1236	45.53%	25.76%	28.71%	+0.38	+8.9	31
2012-11-24	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	39.4	1236	1252	28.71%	25.76%	45.53%	-0.38	-8.9	27
2012-11-26	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	23.8	1383	997	78.92%	15.61%	5.47%	+2.63	+5.9	39
2012-11-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	23.8	997	1383	5.47%	15.61%	78.92%	-2.63	-5.9	8
2012-12-01	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	46.1	1227	1248	40.55%	26.01%	33.44%	+0.15	+9.4	30
2012-12-01	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	46.1	1248	1227	33.44%	26.01%	40.55%	-0.15	-9.4	31
2012-12-01	Ballymena United	W 1-0	46.9	960	1157	19.34%	24.34%	56.32%	-0.92	+15.2	11
2012-12-01	@ Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	46.9	1157	960	56.32%	24.34%	19.34%	+0.92	-15.2	25
2012-12-01	Cliftonville	D 3-3	63.0	1189	1389	19.15%	24.30%	56.55%	-0.94	+1.4	22
2012-12-01	@ Portadown	D 3-3	63.0	1389	1189	56.55%	24.30%	19.15%	+0.94	-1.4	40
2012-12-01	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	38.2	1295	1088	66.09%	21.64%	12.27%	+1.54	+3.9	35
2012-12-01	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	38.2	1088	1295	12.27%	21.64%	66.09%	-1.54	-3.8	15
2012-12-01	Glenavon	L 0-2	45.5	1261	1097	62.17%	22.92%	14.92%	+1.27	-31.3	31
2012-12-01	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	45.5	1097	1261	14.92%	22.92%	62.17%	-1.27	+31.3	17
2012-12-01	Linfield	D 1-1	53.0	991	1260	14.06%	22.55%	63.39%	-1.35	+3.1	9
2012-12-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	53.0	1260	991	63.39%	22.55%	14.06%	+1.35	-3.1	26
2012-12-08	Coleraine	W 3-1	38.0	1387	1229	61.66%	23.06%	15.28%	+1.24	+8.3	43
2012-12-08	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	38.0	1229	1387	15.28%	23.06%	61.66%	-1.24	-8.3	31
2012-12-08	Crusaders	D 1-1	52.5	1236	1299	34.58%	26.04%	39.38%	-0.10	+0.3	31
2012-12-08	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.5	1299	1236	39.38%	26.04%	34.58%	+0.10	-0.3	36
2012-12-08	Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	30.9	1084	975	56.74%	24.26%	19.01%	+0.95	+17.1	18
2012-12-08	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-3	30.9	975	1084	19.01%	24.26%	56.74%	-0.95	-17.1	11
2012-12-08	Linfield	L 1-3	45.9	1238	1257	40.87%	26.00%	33.13%	+0.17	-19.0	31
2012-12-08	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	45.9	1257	1238	33.13%	26.00%	40.87%	-0.17	+19.0	29
2012-12-08	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	35.3	1128	994	59.28%	23.69%	17.03%	+1.10	+13.1	20
2012-12-08	@ Glenavon	L 1-4	35.3	994	1128	17.03%	23.69%	59.28%	-1.10	-13.0	9
2012-12-08	Portadown	L 1-2	46.8	1142	1190	36.64%	26.06%	37.30%	-0.01	-10.1	25
2012-12-08	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	46.8	1190	1142	37.30%	26.06%	36.64%	+0.01	+10.1	25
2012-12-15	Ballymena United	W 4-1	39.8	1141	1132	44.67%	25.82%	29.51%	+0.34	+21.0	23
2012-12-15	@ Glenavon	L 1-4	39.8	1132	1141	29.51%	25.82%	44.67%	-0.34	-21.0	25
2012-12-15	Cliftonville	L 1-3	40.3	1219	1396	21.26%	24.77%	53.97%	-0.79	-11.3	31
2012-12-15	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	40.3	1396	1219	53.97%	24.77%	21.26%	+0.79	+11.3	46
2012-12-15	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	36.7	1221	958	70.63%	19.83%	9.54%	+1.88	+2.9	34
2012-12-15	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	36.7	958	1221	9.54%	19.83%	70.63%	-1.88	-2.9	11
2012-12-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	39.1	1276	1102	63.15%	22.62%	14.22%	+1.34	+4.5	32
2012-12-15	@ Linfield	L 1-2	39.1	1102	1276	14.22%	22.62%	63.15%	-1.34	-4.5	18
2012-12-15	Glentoran	L 2-4	49.2	1201	1237	38.40%	26.05%	35.55%	+0.06	-16.2	25
2012-12-15	@ Portadown	W 4-2	49.2	1237	1201	35.55%	26.05%	38.40%	-0.06	+16.2	34
2012-12-15	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	33.1	1299	981	74.57%	17.97%	7.47%	+2.21	+3.9	39
2012-12-15	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	33.1	981	1299	7.47%	17.97%	74.57%	-2.21	-3.9	9
2012-12-22	Linfield	D 2-2	58.4	1303	1280	46.41%	25.69%	27.89%	+0.42	-0.8	40
2012-12-22	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.4	1280	1303	27.89%	25.69%	46.41%	-0.42	+0.8	33
2012-12-26	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	39.0	1097	1208	28.36%	25.73%	45.91%	-0.39	-8.8	18
2012-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	39.0	1208	1097	45.91%	25.73%	28.36%	+0.39	+8.8	34
2012-12-26	Coleraine	L 0-2	36.1	1111	1224	28.11%	25.71%	46.18%	-0.41	-16.5	25
2012-12-26	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	36.1	1224	1111	46.18%	25.71%	28.11%	+0.41	+16.5	37
2012-12-26	Crusaders	W 1-0	37.8	1407	1302	56.24%	24.36%	19.40%	+0.92	+6.4	49
2012-12-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	37.8	1302	1407	19.40%	24.36%	56.24%	-0.92	-6.4	40
2012-12-26	Donegal Celtic	D 3-3	61.8	977	955	46.41%	25.69%	27.89%	+0.42	-0.7	10
2012-12-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 3-3	61.8	955	977	27.89%	25.69%	46.41%	-0.42	+0.7	12
2012-12-26	Glenavon	W 2-0	36.0	1184	1162	46.33%	25.70%	27.97%	+0.41	+16.4	28
2012-12-26	@ Portadown	L 0-2	36.0	1162	1184	27.97%	25.70%	46.33%	-0.41	-16.4	23
2012-12-26	Glentoran	W 2-1	44.3	1281	1253	47.13%	25.63%	27.24%	+0.45	+8.0	36
2012-12-26	@ Linfield	L 1-2	44.3	1253	1281	27.24%	25.63%	47.13%	-0.45	-8.0	34
2012-12-29	Coleraine	W 2-0	38.7	1201	1240	37.89%	26.05%	36.06%	+0.04	+20.0	31
2012-12-29	@ Portadown	L 0-2	38.7	1240	1201	36.06%	26.05%	37.89%	-0.04	-20.0	37
2012-12-29	Crusaders	L 1-3	43.4	1217	1296	32.41%	25.97%	41.62%	-0.20	-16.0	34
2012-12-29	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	43.4	1296	1217	41.62%	25.97%	32.41%	+0.20	+16.0	43
2012-12-29	Donegal Celtic	W 5-0	25.9	1245	955	72.57%	18.94%	8.48%	+2.04	+12.1	37
2012-12-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-5	25.9	955	1245	8.48%	18.94%	72.57%	-2.04	-12.1	12
2012-12-29	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	27.7	1413	1088	75.07%	17.71%	7.22%	+2.26	+4.3	52
2012-12-29	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	27.7	1088	1413	7.22%	17.71%	75.07%	-2.26	-4.3	18
2012-12-29	Linfield	L 0-3	33.1	1146	1289	24.66%	25.34%	50.01%	-0.59	-21.5	23
2012-12-29	@ Glenavon	W 3-0	33.1	1289	1146	50.01%	25.34%	24.66%	+0.59	+21.5	39
2012-12-29	Lisburn Distillery	D 3-3	62.3	1095	977	57.61%	24.07%	18.32%	+1.00	-1.5	26
2012-12-29	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	62.3	977	1095	18.32%	24.07%	57.61%	-1.00	+1.5	11
2013-01-01	Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	32.2	978	1201	17.30%	23.77%	58.92%	-1.07	-10.8	11
2013-01-01	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.2	1201	978	58.92%	23.77%	17.30%	+1.07	+10.8	37
2013-01-01	Cliftonville	W 3-1	49.1	1310	1418	28.79%	25.77%	45.44%	-0.37	+20.7	42
2013-01-01	@ Linfield	L 1-3	49.1	1418	1310	45.44%	25.77%	28.79%	+0.37	-20.7	52
2013-01-01	Glenavon	W 1-0	46.4	943	1124	20.84%	24.69%	54.48%	-0.82	+14.8	15
2013-01-01	@ Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	46.4	1124	943	54.48%	24.69%	20.84%	+0.82	-14.8	23
2013-01-01	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.3	1220	1257	38.34%	26.05%	35.61%	+0.06	-0.1	38
2013-01-01	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.3	1257	1220	35.61%	26.05%	38.34%	-0.06	+0.2	38
2013-01-01	Portadown	W 1-0	36.8	1312	1221	54.68%	24.65%	20.67%	+0.83	+6.7	46
2013-01-01	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	36.8	1221	1312	20.67%	24.65%	54.68%	-0.83	-6.7	31
2013-01-04	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	39.7	1093	1212	27.43%	25.65%	46.92%	-0.44	+35.6	29
2013-01-04	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	39.7	1212	1093	46.92%	25.65%	27.43%	+0.44	-35.6	37
2013-01-05	Coleraine	W 5-2	39.7	1331	1220	56.88%	24.23%	18.89%	+0.96	+12.4	45
2013-01-05	@ Linfield	L 2-5	39.7	1220	1331	18.89%	24.23%	56.88%	-0.96	-12.4	38
2013-01-05	Crusaders	L 2-3	46.1	1110	1318	18.42%	24.10%	57.48%	-0.99	-5.4	23
2013-01-05	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	46.1	1318	1110	57.48%	24.10%	18.42%	+0.99	+5.4	49
2013-01-05	Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	31.7	1214	958	70.06%	20.08%	9.86%	+1.84	+3.2	34
2013-01-05	@ Portadown	L 0-1	31.7	958	1214	9.86%	20.08%	70.06%	-1.84	-3.2	15
2013-01-05	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	35.4	1084	967	57.48%	24.10%	18.42%	+0.99	+6.1	21
2013-01-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	35.4	967	1084	18.42%	24.10%	57.48%	-0.99	-6.1	11
2013-01-07	Glentoran	W 4-1	36.5	1397	1257	59.89%	23.54%	16.58%	+1.13	+12.7	55
2013-01-07	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	36.5	1257	1397	16.58%	23.54%	59.89%	-1.13	-12.7	38
2013-01-15	Ballinamallard United	L 1-5	43.6	1208	1176	47.60%	25.59%	26.81%	+0.47	-39.2	38
2013-01-15	@ Coleraine	W 5-1	43.6	1176	1208	26.81%	25.59%	47.60%	-0.47	+39.2	40
2013-01-15	Ballymena United	L 1-2	52.5	1244	1129	57.37%	24.13%	18.51%	+0.98	-14.6	38
2013-01-15	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	52.5	1129	1244	18.51%	24.13%	57.37%	-0.98	+14.6	32
2013-01-15	Cliftonville	L 0-1	29.6	955	1410	6.08%	16.40%	77.52%	-2.49	-1.9	15
2013-01-15	@ Donegal Celtic	W 1-0	29.6	1410	955	77.52%	16.40%	6.08%	+2.49	+1.9	58
2013-01-15	Glenavon	W 2-1	45.5	1090	1104	41.47%	25.98%	32.55%	+0.19	+9.2	24
2013-01-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.5	1104	1090	32.55%	25.98%	41.47%	-0.19	-9.2	23
2013-01-19	Ballymena United	W 5-1	32.7	1324	1143	63.74%	22.44%	13.82%	+1.38	+13.7	52
2013-01-19	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	32.7	1143	1324	13.82%	22.44%	63.74%	-1.38	-13.7	32
2013-01-19	Cliftonville	L 1-3	39.8	1217	1412	19.63%	24.41%	55.96%	-0.90	-10.5	34
2013-01-19	@ Portadown	W 3-1	39.8	1412	1217	55.96%	24.41%	19.63%	+0.90	+10.5	61
2013-01-19	Glenavon	W 3-1	38.2	1215	1095	57.85%	24.02%	18.13%	+1.01	+9.8	43
2013-01-19	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-3	38.2	1095	1215	18.13%	24.02%	57.85%	-1.01	-9.8	23
2013-01-19	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	35.6	1169	961	66.10%	21.64%	12.26%	+1.54	+6.7	41
2013-01-19	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	35.6	961	1169	12.26%	21.64%	66.10%	-1.54	-6.7	11
2013-01-25	Portadown	L 0-1	44.4	1225	1207	45.85%	25.74%	28.42%	+0.39	-12.8	43
2013-01-25	@ Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	44.4	1207	1225	28.42%	25.74%	45.85%	-0.39	+12.8	37
2013-01-29	Ballymena United	D 0-0	47.8	1099	1130	39.23%	26.04%	34.73%	+0.10	-0.3	25
2013-01-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	47.8	1130	1099	34.73%	26.04%	39.23%	-0.10	+0.3	33
2013-01-29	Linfield	L 1-4	31.2	953	1344	8.14%	18.63%	73.24%	-2.10	-6.0	15
2013-01-29	@ Donegal Celtic	W 4-1	31.2	1344	953	73.24%	18.63%	8.14%	+2.10	+6.0	48
2013-02-02	Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	47.9	1175	1212	38.26%	26.05%	35.69%	+0.05	-0.2	42
2013-02-02	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	47.9	1212	1175	35.69%	26.05%	38.26%	-0.05	+0.2	44
2013-02-02	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.3	1350	1130	67.17%	21.24%	11.58%	+1.62	-2.7	49
2013-02-02	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.3	1130	1350	11.58%	21.24%	67.17%	-1.62	+2.7	34
2013-02-02	Crusaders	L 0-3	26.0	947	1337	8.14%	18.63%	73.23%	-2.10	-7.2	15
2013-02-02	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	26.0	1337	947	73.23%	18.63%	8.14%	+2.10	+7.1	55
2013-02-02	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	43.0	1085	1099	41.51%	25.98%	32.51%	+0.20	+16.0	26
2013-02-02	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	43.0	1099	1085	32.51%	25.98%	41.51%	-0.20	-16.0	25
2013-02-02	Glentoran	L 0-1	43.4	1219	1230	42.01%	25.96%	32.03%	+0.22	-11.9	37
2013-02-02	@ Portadown	W 1-0	43.4	1230	1219	32.03%	25.96%	42.01%	-0.22	+11.9	41
2013-02-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	22.4	1422	955	83.35%	12.91%	3.74%	+3.12	+3.8	64
2013-02-02	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	22.4	955	1422	3.74%	12.91%	83.35%	-3.12	-3.8	11
2013-02-05	Coleraine	W 5-0	27.6	1426	1175	69.68%	20.24%	10.08%	+1.81	+14.6	67
2013-02-05	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	27.6	1175	1426	10.08%	20.24%	69.68%	-1.81	-14.6	42
2013-02-09	Linfield	L 1-4	34.5	1083	1347	14.36%	22.68%	62.95%	-1.33	-11.1	25
2013-02-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	34.5	1347	1083	62.95%	22.68%	14.36%	+1.33	+11.1	52
2013-02-16	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	48.6	940	1212	13.82%	22.44%	63.74%	-1.38	+17.0	18
2013-02-16	@ Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	48.6	1212	940	63.74%	22.44%	13.82%	+1.38	-17.0	44
2013-02-16	Coleraine	L 0-1	42.4	1132	1160	39.54%	26.03%	34.43%	+0.11	-11.3	34
2013-02-16	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	42.4	1160	1132	34.43%	26.03%	39.54%	-0.11	+11.3	45
2013-02-16	Glenavon	W 2-1	50.7	951	1101	23.88%	25.23%	50.89%	-0.63	+13.1	14
2013-02-16	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-2	50.7	1101	951	50.89%	25.23%	23.88%	+0.63	-13.1	26
2013-02-16	Linfield	D 1-1	52.9	1242	1358	27.67%	25.67%	46.66%	-0.43	+1.1	42
2013-02-16	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.9	1358	1242	46.66%	25.67%	27.67%	+0.43	-1.1	53
2013-02-16	Portadown	W 2-0	42.2	1072	1208	25.48%	25.44%	49.07%	-0.54	+25.5	28
2013-02-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	42.2	1208	1072	49.07%	25.44%	25.48%	+0.54	-25.5	37
2013-02-23	Ballymena United	W 7-0	37.2	1088	1121	38.82%	26.04%	35.14%	+0.08	+62.9	29
2013-02-23	@ Glenavon	L 0-7	37.2	1121	1088	35.14%	26.04%	38.82%	-0.08	-63.0	34
2013-02-23	Cliftonville	L 0-1	35.5	1195	1440	15.63%	23.20%	61.18%	-1.21	-5.2	44
2013-02-23	@ Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	35.5	1440	1195	61.18%	23.20%	15.63%	+1.21	+5.2	70
2013-02-23	Donegal Celtic	D 0-0	49.1	1172	957	66.76%	21.40%	11.84%	+1.59	-4.0	46
2013-02-23	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.1	957	1172	11.84%	21.40%	66.76%	-1.59	+4.0	19
2013-02-23	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.9	1345	1098	69.39%	20.36%	10.25%	+1.78	-3.8	56
2013-02-23	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.9	1098	1345	10.25%	20.36%	69.39%	-1.78	+3.8	29
2013-02-23	Glentoran	L 0-3	28.6	964	1243	13.44%	22.26%	64.30%	-1.42	-12.3	14
2013-02-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-0	28.6	1243	964	64.30%	22.26%	13.44%	+1.42	+12.3	45
2013-02-23	Portadown	W 2-0	31.4	1357	1182	63.23%	22.60%	14.18%	+1.34	+8.9	56
2013-02-23	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.4	1182	1357	14.18%	22.60%	63.23%	-1.34	-8.9	37
2013-02-26	Glenavon	W 2-1	41.3	1255	1151	56.12%	24.38%	19.50%	+0.91	+6.0	48
2013-02-26	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.3	1151	1255	19.50%	24.38%	56.12%	-0.91	-6.0	29
2013-03-02	Donegal Celtic	D 2-2	58.0	1058	961	55.40%	24.52%	20.08%	+0.87	-1.6	35
2013-03-02	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.0	961	1058	20.08%	24.52%	55.40%	-0.87	+1.6	20
2013-03-09	Crusaders	L 1-3	39.8	1168	1341	21.60%	24.84%	53.56%	-0.77	-11.4	46
2013-03-09	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	39.8	1341	1168	53.56%	24.84%	21.60%	+0.77	+11.5	59
2013-03-09	Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	32.9	1446	962	84.12%	12.41%	3.46%	+3.22	+0.9	73
2013-03-09	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	32.9	962	1446	3.46%	12.41%	84.12%	-3.22	-0.9	20
2013-03-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	31.0	1190	1101	54.45%	24.69%	20.86%	+0.82	+24.3	47
2013-03-09	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-4	31.0	1101	1190	20.86%	24.69%	54.45%	-0.82	-24.3	29
2013-03-09	Glenavon	W 3-1	41.4	1173	1145	47.13%	25.63%	27.24%	+0.45	+13.9	40
2013-03-09	@ Portadown	L 1-3	41.4	1145	1173	27.24%	25.63%	47.13%	-0.45	-13.9	29
2013-03-09	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.4	1057	1261	18.77%	24.20%	57.04%	-0.96	+2.7	36
2013-03-09	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.4	1261	1057	57.04%	24.20%	18.77%	+0.96	-2.7	49
2013-03-09	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	55.4	1366	952	80.54%	14.65%	4.80%	+2.80	-4.8	57
2013-03-09	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.4	952	1366	4.80%	14.65%	80.54%	-2.80	+4.8	15
2013-03-16	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	33.5	1258	1215	49.11%	25.44%	25.45%	+0.55	+22.1	52
2013-03-16	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	33.5	1215	1258	25.45%	25.44%	49.11%	-0.55	-22.1	47
2013-03-16	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.4	1187	1059	58.65%	23.84%	17.51%	+1.06	-2.9	41
2013-03-16	@ Portadown	D 0-0	48.4	1059	1187	17.51%	23.84%	58.65%	-1.06	+2.9	37
2013-03-16	Cliftonville	L 1-3	36.0	1131	1447	11.39%	21.12%	67.49%	-1.64	-6.2	29
2013-03-16	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	36.0	1447	1131	67.49%	21.12%	11.39%	+1.64	+6.2	76
2013-03-16	Coleraine	L 1-3	43.0	1077	1156	32.34%	25.97%	41.69%	-0.20	-15.9	29
2013-03-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	43.0	1156	1077	41.69%	25.97%	32.34%	+0.20	+15.9	49
2013-03-16	Lisburn Distillery	L 0-3	38.8	962	957	44.07%	25.86%	30.07%	+0.31	-33.8	20
2013-03-16	@ Donegal Celtic	W 3-0	38.8	957	962	30.07%	25.86%	44.07%	-0.31	+33.8	18
2013-03-18	Linfield	W 3-0	37.3	1352	1361	42.22%	25.95%	31.83%	+0.23	+26.4	62
2013-03-18	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	37.3	1361	1352	31.83%	25.95%	42.22%	-0.23	-26.4	57
2013-03-19	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	59.7	1280	1061	67.13%	21.26%	11.61%	+1.61	-15.8	52
2013-03-19	@ Glentoran	W 3-2	59.7	1061	1280	11.61%	21.26%	67.13%	-1.61	+15.9	32
2013-03-20	Portadown	L 0-5	30.8	990	1184	19.69%	24.43%	55.89%	-0.90	-28.5	18
2013-03-20	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 5-0	30.8	1184	990	55.89%	24.43%	19.69%	+0.90	+28.5	44
2013-03-27	Crusaders	L 0-2	27.4	962	1379	7.23%	17.72%	75.05%	-2.26	-4.3	18
2013-03-27	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	27.4	1379	962	75.05%	17.72%	7.23%	+2.26	+4.3	65
2013-03-30	Ballymena United	W 5-0	24.3	1453	1062	79.21%	15.44%	5.35%	+2.66	+7.1	79
2013-03-30	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	24.3	1062	1453	5.35%	15.44%	79.21%	-2.66	-7.1	37
2013-03-30	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.0	1125	1172	36.77%	26.06%	37.17%	-0.01	+0.0	30
2013-03-30	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	52.0	1172	1125	37.17%	26.06%	36.77%	+0.01	-0.0	50
2013-03-30	Crusaders	L 4-5	54.5	1265	1383	27.44%	25.65%	46.90%	-0.44	-7.4	52
2013-03-30	@ Glentoran	W 5-4	54.5	1383	1265	46.90%	25.65%	27.44%	+0.44	+7.4	68
2013-03-30	Donegal Celtic	D 0-0	48.5	1077	928	60.79%	23.30%	15.91%	+1.19	-3.2	33
2013-03-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	48.5	928	1077	15.91%	23.30%	60.79%	-1.19	+3.2	21
2013-03-30	Linfield	D 0-0	48.5	1192	1335	24.75%	25.35%	49.90%	-0.59	+1.7	48
2013-03-30	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.5	1335	1192	49.90%	25.35%	24.75%	+0.59	-1.7	58
2013-03-30	Portadown	D 1-1	52.9	958	1213	14.95%	22.93%	62.12%	-1.27	+3.0	19
2013-03-30	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	52.9	1213	958	62.12%	22.93%	14.95%	+1.27	-3.0	45
2013-04-22	Cliftonville	W 3-0	41.4	1395	1442	36.82%	26.06%	37.12%	-0.01	+29.6	71
2013-04-22	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	41.4	1442	1395	37.12%	26.06%	36.82%	+0.01	-29.6	79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-04-02	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.2	1194	1172	46.31%	25.70%	27.99%	+0.41	-1.1	1
2013-04-02	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.2	1172	1194	27.99%	25.70%	46.31%	-0.41	+1.1	1
2013-04-02	Crusaders	W 3-1	44.6	1460	1390	52.24%	25.04%	22.72%	+0.70	+12.0	3
2013-04-02	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	44.6	1390	1460	22.72%	25.04%	52.24%	-0.70	-12.0	0
2013-04-02	Donegal Celtic	L 0-1	44.6	961	931	47.34%	25.62%	27.05%	+0.46	-13.1	0
2013-04-02	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	44.6	931	961	27.05%	25.62%	47.34%	-0.46	+13.1	3
2013-04-02	Glenavon	L 2-3	51.8	1074	1125	36.23%	26.06%	37.72%	-0.03	-9.5	0
2013-04-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	51.8	1125	1074	37.72%	26.06%	36.23%	+0.03	+9.5	3
2013-04-02	Glentoran	W 1-0	37.7	1333	1257	52.96%	24.94%	22.11%	+0.74	+7.2	3
2013-04-02	@ Linfield	L 0-1	37.7	1257	1333	22.11%	24.94%	52.96%	-0.74	-7.2	0
2013-04-02	Portadown	W 6-1	43.6	1055	1210	23.42%	25.16%	51.42%	-0.66	+51.3	3
2013-04-02	@ Ballymena United	L 1-6	43.6	1210	1055	51.42%	25.16%	23.42%	+0.66	-51.3	0
2013-04-13	Ballymena United	L 1-4	37.4	944	1106	22.65%	25.03%	52.32%	-0.71	-16.9	3
2013-04-13	@ Donegal Celtic	W 4-1	37.4	1106	944	52.32%	25.03%	22.65%	+0.71	+16.9	6
2013-04-13	Coleraine	W 2-1	38.8	1378	1173	65.91%	21.71%	12.38%	+1.53	+3.9	3
2013-04-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	38.8	1173	1378	12.38%	21.71%	65.91%	-1.53	-3.9	1
2013-04-13	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1158	1064	55.04%	24.59%	20.38%	+0.85	-2.1	1
2013-04-13	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.4	1064	1158	20.38%	24.59%	55.04%	-0.85	+2.1	1
2013-04-13	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.0	1193	1250	35.41%	26.05%	38.54%	-0.07	+0.2	2
2013-04-13	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.0	1250	1193	38.54%	26.05%	35.41%	+0.07	-0.2	1
2013-04-13	Linfield	W 3-2	49.3	1472	1340	59.06%	23.74%	17.20%	+1.08	+5.1	6
2013-04-13	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	49.3	1340	1472	17.20%	23.74%	59.06%	-1.08	-5.1	3
2013-04-13	Lisburn Distillery	W 7-0	29.5	1134	948	64.32%	22.25%	13.43%	+1.42	+27.1	6
2013-04-13	@ Glenavon	L 0-7	29.5	948	1134	13.43%	22.25%	64.32%	-1.42	-27.1	0
2013-04-16	Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	36.8	1382	1193	64.51%	22.19%	13.30%	+1.43	+7.2	6
2013-04-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	36.8	1193	1382	13.30%	22.19%	64.51%	-1.43	-7.2	2
2013-04-16	Ballymena United	L 0-2	32.7	920	1123	18.91%	24.23%	56.86%	-0.95	-11.7	0
2013-04-16	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-0	32.7	1123	920	56.86%	24.23%	18.91%	+0.95	+11.7	9
2013-04-16	Cliftonville	W 3-0	45.1	1250	1477	16.94%	23.66%	59.40%	-1.10	+43.7	4
2013-04-16	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	45.1	1477	1250	59.40%	23.66%	16.94%	+1.10	-43.7	6
2013-04-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	50.4	927	1066	25.06%	25.39%	49.54%	-0.57	+12.8	6
2013-04-16	@ Donegal Celtic	L 1-2	50.4	1066	927	49.54%	25.39%	25.06%	+0.57	-12.8	1
2013-04-16	Linfield	D 1-1	52.7	1169	1335	22.33%	24.98%	52.69%	-0.73	+1.8	2
2013-04-16	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.7	1335	1169	52.69%	24.98%	22.33%	+0.73	-1.9	4
2013-04-16	Portadown	L 1-3	46.5	1162	1156	44.13%	25.85%	30.02%	+0.31	-20.2	6
2013-04-16	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	46.5	1156	1162	30.02%	25.85%	44.13%	-0.31	+20.2	4
2013-04-20	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	48.4	1333	1186	60.59%	23.36%	16.06%	+1.18	-16.2	4
2013-04-20	@ Linfield	W 1-0	48.4	1186	1333	16.06%	23.36%	60.59%	-1.18	+16.2	5
2013-04-20	Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.9	1171	1433	14.49%	22.74%	62.78%	-1.31	-9.1	2
2013-04-20	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	31.9	1433	1171	62.78%	22.74%	14.49%	+1.31	+9.1	9
2013-04-20	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	37.6	909	1054	24.46%	25.31%	50.23%	-0.60	-7.8	0
2013-04-20	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	37.6	1054	909	50.23%	25.31%	24.46%	+0.60	+7.8	4
2013-04-20	Glenavon	L 0-2	40.4	1135	1141	42.52%	25.94%	31.54%	+0.24	-22.6	9
2013-04-20	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	40.4	1141	1135	31.54%	25.94%	42.52%	-0.24	+22.6	9
2013-04-20	Glentoran	W 3-2	48.2	1389	1293	55.25%	24.55%	20.20%	+0.86	+5.9	9
2013-04-20	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	48.2	1293	1389	20.20%	24.55%	55.25%	-0.86	-5.9	4
2013-04-20	Portadown	L 1-2	39.8	940	1176	16.25%	23.42%	60.33%	-1.16	-5.1	6
2013-04-20	@ Donegal Celtic	W 2-1	39.8	1176	940	60.33%	23.42%	16.25%	+1.16	+5.1	7
2013-04-27	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	39.0	1413	1202	66.39%	21.53%	12.08%	+1.56	+3.8	12
2013-04-27	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.0	1202	1413	12.08%	21.53%	66.39%	-1.56	-3.8	5
2013-04-27	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.8	1288	1162	58.39%	23.90%	17.71%	+1.04	-2.5	5
2013-04-27	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.8	1162	1288	17.71%	23.90%	58.39%	-1.04	+2.5	3
2013-04-27	Crusaders	L 1-2	46.7	1317	1425	28.68%	25.76%	45.56%	-0.38	-8.4	4
2013-04-27	@ Linfield	W 2-1	46.7	1425	1317	45.56%	25.76%	28.68%	+0.38	+8.4	12
2013-04-27	Donegal Celtic	W 3-1	35.0	1164	935	67.95%	20.95%	11.11%	+1.67	+6.0	12
2013-04-27	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	35.0	935	1164	11.11%	20.95%	67.95%	-1.67	-6.0	6
2013-04-27	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.5	1112	1061	49.99%	25.34%	24.67%	+0.59	-12.9	9
2013-04-27	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	50.5	1061	1112	24.67%	25.34%	49.99%	-0.59	+12.9	7
2013-04-27	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	31.1	1182	901	71.94%	19.24%	8.82%	+1.99	+2.9	10
2013-04-27	@ Portadown	L 0-1	31.1	901	1182	8.82%	19.24%	71.94%	-1.99	-2.8	0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-03-19	11.61%	Dungannon Swifts	1061	3	@ Glentoran	1280	2
2	2013-02-16	13.82%	@ Donegal Celtic	940	1	Ballinamallard United	1212	0
3	2012-10-27	14.12%	@ Donegal Celtic	967	2	Glentoran	1235	1
4	2012-12-01	14.92%	Glenavon	1097	2	@ Coleraine	1261	0
5	2013-04-20	16.06%	Ballinamallard United	1186	1	@ Linfield	1333	0
6	2013-04-16	16.94%	@ Glentoran	1250	3	Cliftonville	1477	0
7	2013-01-15	18.51%	Ballymena United	1129	2	@ Glentoran	1244	1
8	2012-12-01	19.34%	@ Donegal Celtic	960	1	Ballymena United	1157	0
9	2013-01-01	20.84%	@ Donegal Celtic	943	1	Glenavon	1124	0
10	2012-09-08	20.91%	Ballinamallard United	1184	1	@ Cliftonville	1273	0
11	2013-04-02	23.42%	@ Ballymena United	1055	6	Portadown	1210	1
12	2012-10-13	23.72%	Portadown	1183	1	@ Glentoran	1242	0
13	2013-02-16	23.88%	@ Lisburn Distillery	951	2	Glenavon	1101	1
14	2012-08-11	24.33%	@ Ballymena United	1154	2	Linfield	1300	0
15	2012-10-06	24.34%	Ballinamallard United	1241	3	@ Linfield	1295	1
16	2013-04-27	24.67%	Dungannon Swifts	1061	2	@ Ballymena United	1112	1
17	2012-09-04	24.73%	Crusaders	1236	2	@ Linfield	1286	1
18	2012-09-22	25.02%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1104	2	Crusaders	1244	0
19	2013-04-16	25.06%	@ Donegal Celtic	927	2	Dungannon Swifts	1066	1
20	2013-02-16	25.48%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1072	2	Portadown	1208	0
21	2013-01-15	26.81%	Ballinamallard United	1176	5	@ Coleraine	1208	1
22	2012-09-15	26.93%	Cliftonville	1258	2	@ Linfield	1289	1
23	2012-09-08	27.02%	@ Glenavon	1127	1	Crusaders	1249	0
24	2013-04-02	27.05%	Donegal Celtic	931	1	@ Lisburn Distillery	961	0
25	2013-01-04	27.43%	@ Ballymena United	1093	3	Ballinamallard United	1212	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-11-17	65.12	Cliftonville	8	1318	43.00%	@ Ballymena United	0	1229	31.08%	25.91%
2	2013-02-23	62.95	@ Glenavon	7	1088	38.82%	Ballymena United	0	1121	35.14%	26.04%
3	2013-04-02	51.31	@ Ballymena United	6	1055	23.42%	Portadown	1	1210	51.42%	25.16%
4	2013-04-16	43.68	@ Glentoran	3	1250	16.94%	Cliftonville	0	1477	59.40%	23.66%
5	2012-08-18	42.71	Ballinamallard United	5	1180	41.98%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1098	32.06%	25.96%
6	2013-01-15	39.23	Ballinamallard United	5	1176	26.81%	@ Coleraine	1	1208	47.60%	25.59%
7	2012-09-01	38.41	Cliftonville	5	1227	27.90%	@ Coleraine	1	1250	46.40%	25.69%
8	2013-01-04	35.60	@ Ballymena United	3	1093	27.43%	Ballinamallard United	0	1212	46.92%	25.65%
9	2013-03-16	33.83	Lisburn Distillery	3	957	30.07%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	962	44.07%	25.86%
10	2012-10-13	33.32	Lisburn Distillery	3	1005	30.86%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1004	43.24%	25.90%
11	2012-12-01	31.29	Glenavon	2	1097	14.92%	@ Coleraine	0	1261	62.17%	22.92%
12	2013-04-22	29.63	@ Crusaders	3	1395	36.82%	Cliftonville	0	1442	37.12%	26.06%
13	2012-10-20	28.85	Ballymena United	4	1174	49.09%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	1039	25.47%	25.44%
14	2013-03-20	28.47	Portadown	5	1184	55.89%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	990	19.69%	24.43%
15	2012-09-04	28.10	Glentoran	4	1213	30.84%	@ Ballinamallard United	1	1212	43.26%	25.90%
16	2013-04-13	27.13	@ Glenavon	7	1134	64.32%	Lisburn Distillery	0	948	13.43%	22.25%
17	2013-03-18	26.38	@ Crusaders	3	1352	42.22%	Linfield	0	1361	31.83%	25.95%
18	2012-08-11	26.04	@ Ballymena United	2	1154	24.33%	Linfield	0	1300	50.37%	25.29%
19	2012-09-22	25.69	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1104	25.02%	Crusaders	0	1244	49.59%	25.39%
20	2013-02-16	25.46	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1072	25.48%	Portadown	0	1208	49.07%	25.44%
21	2012-11-10	24.63	@ Cliftonville	3	1293	45.04%	Linfield	0	1281	29.16%	25.80%
22	2012-10-20	24.49	Crusaders	2	1246	27.49%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1272	46.85%	25.66%
23	2013-03-09	24.32	@ Ballinamallard United	4	1190	54.45%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1101	20.86%	24.69%
24	2013-04-20	22.64	Glenavon	2	1141	31.54%	@ Ballymena United	0	1135	42.52%	25.94%
25	2012-10-06	22.55	Ballinamallard United	3	1241	24.34%	@ Linfield	1	1295	50.37%	25.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-12-01	63.0	@ Portadown	3	1189	19.15%	Cliftonville	3	1389	56.55%	24.30%
2	2012-09-08	62.6	@ Ballymena United	3	1187	61.36%	Donegal Celtic	3	1032	15.49%	23.15%
3	2012-12-29	62.3	@ Ballymena United	3	1095	57.61%	Lisburn Distillery	3	977	18.32%	24.07%
4	2012-12-26	61.8	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	977	46.41%	Donegal Celtic	3	955	27.89%	25.69%
5	2013-03-19	59.7	Dungannon Swifts	3	1061	11.61%	@ Glentoran	2	1280	67.13%	21.26%
6	2013-02-02	59.3	@ Linfield	2	1350	67.17%	Ballymena United	2	1130	11.58%	21.24%
7	2012-12-22	58.4	@ Crusaders	2	1303	46.41%	Linfield	2	1280	27.89%	25.69%
8	2013-03-02	58.0	@ Ballymena United	2	1058	55.40%	Donegal Celtic	2	961	20.08%	24.52%
9	2012-08-11	57.9	@ Ballinamallard United	2	1181	52.27%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1111	22.69%	25.04%
10	2012-09-03	57.7	@ Glenavon	2	1127	31.59%	Portadown	2	1212	42.47%	25.94%
11	2012-10-06	57.7	@ Portadown	2	1183	45.79%	Ballymena United	2	1166	28.46%	25.74%
12	2012-08-24	56.5	Coleraine	4	1240	32.96%	@ Portadown	3	1222	41.05%	25.99%
13	2013-03-09	55.4	@ Linfield	1	1366	80.54%	Lisburn Distillery	1	952	4.80%	14.65%
14	2013-03-30	54.5	Crusaders	5	1383	46.90%	@ Glentoran	4	1265	27.44%	25.65%
15	2013-02-23	53.9	@ Crusaders	1	1345	69.39%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1098	10.25%	20.36%
16	2012-10-27	53.7	@ Donegal Celtic	2	967	14.12%	Glentoran	1	1235	63.30%	22.57%
17	2012-12-01	53.0	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	991	14.06%	Linfield	1	1260	63.39%	22.55%
18	2012-11-10	52.9	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1005	15.20%	Coleraine	1	1256	61.76%	23.03%
19	2012-11-17	52.9	@ Linfield	1	1256	61.27%	Glenavon	1	1102	15.56%	23.17%
20	2013-02-16	52.9	@ Glentoran	1	1242	27.67%	Linfield	1	1358	46.66%	25.67%
21	2013-03-30	52.9	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	958	14.95%	Portadown	1	1213	62.12%	22.93%
22	2013-04-27	52.8	@ Glentoran	1	1288	58.39%	Coleraine	1	1162	17.71%	23.90%
23	2013-04-16	52.7	@ Coleraine	1	1169	22.33%	Linfield	1	1335	52.69%	24.98%
24	2012-10-27	52.5	@ Crusaders	1	1271	45.23%	Coleraine	1	1257	28.98%	25.78%
25	2012-11-03	52.5	@ Coleraine	1	1258	51.74%	Portadown	1	1193	23.15%	25.11%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-02-02	22.4	@ Cliftonville	4	1422	83.35%	Lisburn Distillery	0	955	3.74%	12.91%
2	2012-11-26	23.8	@ Cliftonville	4	1383	78.92%	Lisburn Distillery	0	997	5.47%	15.61%
3	2013-03-30	24.3	@ Cliftonville	5	1453	79.21%	Ballymena United	0	1062	5.35%	15.44%
4	2012-12-29	25.9	@ Glentoran	5	1245	72.57%	Donegal Celtic	0	955	8.48%	18.94%
5	2013-02-02	26.0	Crusaders	3	1337	73.23%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	947	8.14%	18.63%
6	2012-09-28	26.2	@ Linfield	4	1284	70.60%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1021	9.55%	19.84%
7	2012-08-24	27.3	@ Linfield	4	1273	66.85%	Donegal Celtic	0	1057	11.78%	21.36%
8	2013-03-27	27.4	Crusaders	2	1379	75.05%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	962	7.23%	17.72%
9	2013-02-05	27.6	@ Cliftonville	5	1426	69.68%	Coleraine	0	1175	10.08%	20.24%
10	2012-09-22	27.7	@ Glentoran	3	1254	67.41%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1031	11.43%	21.15%
11	2012-12-29	27.7	@ Cliftonville	2	1413	75.07%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1088	7.22%	17.71%
12	2012-11-03	28.4	Linfield	3	1269	64.98%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	983	12.99%	22.03%
13	2013-02-23	28.6	Glentoran	3	1243	64.30%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	964	13.44%	22.26%
14	2012-11-02	29.3	@ Ballinamallard United	2	1248	68.50%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1012	10.77%	20.73%
15	2013-04-13	29.5	@ Glenavon	7	1134	64.32%	Lisburn Distillery	0	948	13.43%	22.25%
16	2013-01-15	29.6	Cliftonville	1	1410	77.52%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	955	6.08%	16.40%
17	2012-09-15	30.2	@ Crusaders	2	1236	65.68%	Donegal Celtic	0	1034	12.53%	21.79%
18	2013-03-20	30.8	Portadown	5	1184	55.89%	@ Lisburn Distillery	0	990	19.69%	24.43%
19	2012-12-08	30.9	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1084	56.74%	Donegal Celtic	0	975	19.01%	24.26%
20	2013-03-09	31.0	@ Ballinamallard United	4	1190	54.45%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1101	20.86%	24.69%
21	2013-04-27	31.1	@ Portadown	1	1182	71.94%	Lisburn Distillery	0	901	8.82%	19.24%
22	2013-01-29	31.2	Linfield	4	1344	73.24%	@ Donegal Celtic	1	953	8.14%	18.63%
23	2012-09-22	31.3	Ballinamallard United	3	1217	55.55%	@ Donegal Celtic	0	1026	19.96%	24.49%
24	2013-02-23	31.4	@ Linfield	2	1357	63.23%	Portadown	0	1182	14.18%	22.60%
25	2013-01-05	31.7	@ Portadown	1	1214	70.06%	Donegal Celtic	0	958	9.86%	20.08%