2013-14 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Cliftonville

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cliftonville

3.97 points above expected

85 points · 81.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ballymena United

5.14 points below expected

47 points · 52.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	22	6	5	72	71	36	+35	59.62	+12.38
2	Cliftonville	33	21	7	5	70	73	36	+37	64.17	+5.83
3	Crusaders	33	16	12	5	60	57	31	+26	64.22	-4.22
4	Portadown	33	17	7	9	58	71	45	+26	52.63	+5.37
5	Glentoran	33	13	11	9	50	47	35	+12	53.33	-3.33
6	Glenavon	33	14	6	13	48	68	63	+5	44.80	+3.20
7	Ballymena United	33	13	5	15	44	45	54	-9	38.24	+5.76
8	Dungannon Swifts	33	10	6	17	36	43	59	-16	35.64	+0.36
9	Coleraine	33	8	10	15	34	47	58	-11	39.85	-5.85
10	Ballinamallard United	33	8	6	19	30	28	67	-39	35.01	-5.01
11	Warrenpoint Town	33	8	5	20	29	36	66	-30	35.96	-6.96
12	Ards	33	6	3	24	21	41	77	-36	27.20	-6.20

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	38	26	7	5	85	88	39	+49	81.03	+3.97
2	Linfield	38	24	7	7	79	81	46	+35	77.92	+1.08
3	Crusaders	38	18	12	8	66	67	42	+25	68.05	-2.05
4	Portadown	38	18	8	12	62	77	53	+24	64.37	-2.37
5	Glentoran	38	16	11	11	59	54	42	+12	55.84	+3.16
6	Glenavon	38	15	6	17	51	75	79	-4	52.47	-1.47

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ballymena United	38	13	8	17	47	48	59	-11	52.14	-5.14
2	Dungannon Swifts	38	12	8	18	44	49	66	-17	43.14	+0.86
3	Coleraine	38	10	12	16	42	51	61	-10	42.33	-0.33
4	Ballinamallard United	38	10	9	19	39	35	70	-35	36.18	+2.82
5	Warrenpoint Town	38	10	6	22	36	43	72	-29	35.43	+0.57
6	Ards	38	6	6	26	24	44	83	-39	26.38	-2.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	85	81.03	+3.97
2	Glentoran	59	55.84	+3.16
3	Ballinamallard United	39	36.18	+2.82
4	Linfield	79	77.92	+1.08
5	Dungannon Swifts	44	43.14	+0.86

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ballymena United	47	52.14	-5.14
2	Ards	24	26.38	-2.38
3	Portadown	62	64.37	-2.37
4	Crusaders	66	68.05	-2.05
5	Glenavon	51	52.47	-1.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Linfield	7	Sep 3 – Oct 12	1 in 71
2	Dungannon Swifts	3	Nov 16 – Nov 29	1 in 59
3	Glenavon	4	Sep 3 – Sep 21	1 in 41
4	Cliftonville	6	Feb 1 – Mar 15	1 in 24
5	Portadown	4	Jan 14 – Feb 1	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	9	Nov 9 – Jan 1	1 in 1,010
2	Glentoran	3	Feb 1 – Feb 21	1 in 84
3	Warrenpoint Town	5	Feb 15 – Mar 15	1 in 54
4	Crusaders	2	Aug 10 – Aug 17	1 in 29
5	Cliftonville	2	Aug 30 – Sep 2	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Crusaders	18	Aug 24 – Dec 14	1 in 71
2	Cliftonville	15	Oct 12 – Jan 14	1 in 40
3	Linfield	12	Aug 31 – Nov 9	1 in 33
4	Ballinamallard United	6	Mar 22 – Apr 26	1 in 31
5	Ballymena United	6	Dec 14 – Jan 14	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	9	Nov 9 – Jan 1	1 in 28
2	Crusaders	4	Dec 14 – Jan 1	1 in 27
3	Ards	13	Nov 16 – Feb 3	1 in 27
4	Glenavon	7	Nov 2 – Dec 14	1 in 20
5	Ballinamallard United	10	Dec 14 – Feb 15	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Cliftonville	1445	85	+43	15	9.4	+5.6
Linfield	1338	79	-12	7	7.8	-0.8
Crusaders	1336	66	-21	6	8.1	-2.1
Portadown	1275	62	-8	4	6.2	-2.2
Glentoran	1272	59	+13	9	5.5	+3.5
Glenavon	1180	51	-15	3	4.7	-1.7
Ballymena United	1117	47	-17	3	7.9	-4.9
Dungannon Swifts	1082	44	-10	8	6.9	+1.1
Coleraine	1142	42	+2	8	8.2	-0.2
Ballinamallard United	1080	39	+30	9	6.3	+2.7
Warrenpoint Town	1069	36	+8	7	6.8	+0.2
Ards	1005	24	-14	3	5.5	-2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	BU	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	POR	WT
Ards	—	1-1-2 4.57	1-2-1 4.26	0-0-3 1.54	1-0-3 3.88	0-0-3 1.35	0-0-4 4.44	0-0-3 2.45	1-1-1 2.00	0-1-2 1.76	1-0-2 2.25	1-1-2 4.52
Ballinamallard United	2-1-1 6.51	—	1-1-2 5.10	0-0-3 1.77	2-2-0 4.59	1-0-2 1.99	0-3-1 5.46	1-0-2 3.60	0-1-2 2.78	0-0-3 2.22	1-0-2 2.99	2-1-1 5.57
Ballymena United	1-2-1 6.84	2-1-1 5.98	—	0-0-3 2.10	1-3-0 5.35	2-0-1 1.86	3-0-1 5.73	1-1-1 3.49	0-1-2 2.69	0-0-3 2.43	1-0-2 2.78	2-0-2 5.90
Cliftonville	3-0-0 6.94	3-0-0 6.68	3-0-0 6.30	—	2-0-1 6.20	2-1-1 5.62	1-2-0 6.46	3-0-1 7.91	2-2-0 7.26	4-0-0 6.18	1-1-2 7.29	2-1-0 6.48
Coleraine	3-0-1 7.23	0-2-2 6.50	0-3-1 5.72	1-0-2 2.20	—	1-1-1 2.18	1-1-2 6.12	1-1-1 3.65	0-2-1 3.01	0-1-2 2.52	0-1-2 3.17	3-0-1 6.18
Crusaders	3-0-0 7.17	2-0-1 6.43	1-0-2 6.57	1-1-2 5.45	1-1-1 6.22	—	2-1-0 6.63	2-2-0 7.75	2-1-1 7.12	1-2-1 6.45	2-2-0 7.05	1-2-0 6.65
Dungannon Swifts	4-0-0 6.64	1-3-0 5.61	1-0-3 5.35	0-2-1 1.95	2-1-1 4.96	0-1-2 1.81	—	1-1-1 3.16	0-0-3 2.77	1-0-2 2.02	0-0-3 2.64	2-0-2 5.72
Glenavon	3-0-0 5.91	2-0-1 4.72	1-1-1 4.82	1-0-3 3.25	1-1-1 4.66	0-2-2 3.39	1-1-1 5.17	—	1-1-2 4.46	0-0-4 3.83	3-0-1 4.30	2-0-1 5.37
Glentoran	1-1-1 6.41	2-1-0 5.56	2-1-0 5.65	0-2-2 3.86	1-2-0 5.32	1-1-2 3.98	3-0-0 5.57	2-1-1 6.63	—	1-1-2 4.66	1-1-2 5.44	2-0-1 5.87
Linfield	2-1-0 6.69	3-0-0 6.17	3-0-0 5.93	0-0-4 4.90	2-1-0 5.84	1-2-1 4.63	2-0-1 6.39	4-0-0 7.28	2-1-1 6.43	—	2-2-0 6.49	3-0-0 5.94
Portadown	2-0-1 6.13	2-0-1 5.35	2-0-1 5.56	2-1-1 3.83	2-1-0 5.17	0-2-2 4.05	3-0-0 5.71	1-0-3 6.79	2-1-1 5.63	0-2-2 4.60	—	2-1-0 5.97
Warrenpoint Town	2-1-1 6.56	1-1-2 5.51	2-0-2 5.17	0-1-2 1.95	1-0-3 4.89	0-2-1 1.79	2-0-2 5.36	1-0-2 2.96	1-0-2 2.49	0-0-3 2.43	0-1-2 2.40	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+9.0
Allowed	0.73	-10.2
Differential	0.95	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.14%	6.80%	5.48%	3.07%	1.10%	1.32%	23.90%
1	6.80%	8.33%	8.11%	3.29%	1.75%	0.44%	28.73%
2	5.48%	8.11%	6.14%	4.61%	1.75%	0.66%	26.75%
3	3.07%	3.29%	4.61%	1.32%	0.44%	0.22%	12.94%
4	1.10%	1.75%	1.75%	0.44%	—	—	5.04%
5+	1.32%	0.44%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.90%	28.73%	26.75%	12.94%	5.04%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.56	+0.00
SD	1.35	1.35	1.97
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	11	11	+11
Min	0	0	-11

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
1	—	2.63%	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	26.32%
3	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	23.68%	23.68%	15.79%	18.42%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	2.18	-1.03
SD	1.08	1.47	1.75
CV	0.93	0.67	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	7.89%	39.47%
1	10.53%	10.53%	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	28.95%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.84	-0.92
SD	0.94	2.10	2.51
CV	1.02	1.14	—
Max	3	11	+3
Min	0	0	-11

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
1	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	15.79%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	28.95%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.55	-0.29
SD	1.18	1.35	1.41
CV	0.93	0.87	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
2	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
5+	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	36.84%	31.58%	23.68%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.03	+1.29
SD	1.49	0.97	1.69
CV	0.64	0.95	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	23.68%	34.21%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.61	-0.26
SD	0.97	1.15	1.41
CV	0.72	0.72	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	44.74%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.11	+0.66
SD	1.32	1.01	1.74
CV	0.75	0.91	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	21.05%
1	13.16%	10.53%	15.79%	—	—	2.63%	42.11%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	23.68%	31.58%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.74	-0.45
SD	0.96	1.37	1.69
CV	0.74	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	13.16%
1	2.63%	—	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	23.68%
2	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	—	5.26%	34.21%
3	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	18.42%	31.58%	28.95%	—	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	2.08	-0.11
SD	1.35	1.32	1.98
CV	0.68	0.64	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	5.26%	7.89%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	26.32%	23.68%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.11	+0.32
SD	1.37	1.16	1.88
CV	0.96	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
1	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
2	5.26%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
4	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	26.32%	39.47%	23.68%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.13	1.21	+0.92
SD	1.63	1.02	1.87
CV	0.76	0.84	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	10.53%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	42.11%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	31.58%	21.05%	28.95%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	1.39	+0.63
SD	1.79	1.22	2.35
CV	0.88	0.87	—
Max	11	4	+11
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	36.84%
1	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	36.84%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	28.95%	28.95%	26.32%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.89	-0.76
SD	1.04	1.16	1.70
CV	0.92	0.61	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cliftonville	1445	85	64.17	+20.83	85.0%	49	53	60	64	68	77	81
Linfield	1338	79	59.62	+19.38	95.0%	39	47	54	60	64	72	80
Crusaders	1336	66	64.22	+1.78	29.0%	45	49	59	65	70	76	84
Portadown	1275	62	52.63	+9.37	79.0%	34	41	48	52	57	66	72
Glentoran	1272	59	53.33	+5.67	36.0%	40	43	49	52	57	64	70
Glenavon	1180	51	44.80	+6.20	71.0%	24	34	40	44	50	56	62
Coleraine	1142	42	39.85	+2.15	23.0%	21	29	35	40	45	51	55
Ballymena United	1117	47	38.24	+8.76	83.0%	17	26	33	38	42	50	58
Dungannon Swifts	1082	44	35.64	+8.36	59.0%	21	24	30	35	41	49	59
Ballinamallard United	1080	39	35.01	+3.99	23.0%	16	21	31	35	41	46	51
Warrenpoint Town	1069	36	35.96	+0.04	24.0%	17	24	30	36	41	49	54
Ards	1005	24	27.20	-3.20	20.0%	14	18	22	26	32	37	53

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.39%

No Edge

41.23%21.93%36.84%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.25 Elo pts.

156 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.8

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

32%

Cliftonville, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.16/gm

Tight Race

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.69 * Off: 1.69 to 2.25 * Way Off: 2.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.02 points

Some Luck

07.2218

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

01.413

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Linfield

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

20.00%

Ards

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 132.09

2.17

Strong Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

78%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

90%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Rare

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.68

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.79

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.86

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.21

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.090

Well Within Noise

00.1100.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cliftonville	32.00%	35.00%	15.00%	14.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	17.00%	23.00%	30.00%	14.00%	10.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	48.00%	23.00%	16.00%	5.00%	7.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Portadown	2.00%	8.00%	15.00%	26.00%	22.00%	15.00%	9.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
Glentoran	1.00%	10.00%	16.00%	29.00%	19.00%	16.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	18.00%	22.00%	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Ballymena United	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	16.00%	23.00%	13.00%	18.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	11.00%	21.00%	18.00%	21.00%	10.00%
Coleraine	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	13.00%	21.00%	12.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	14.00%	21.00%	18.00%	14.00%	17.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	11.00%	16.00%	19.00%	11.00%
Ards	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	24.00%	55.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cliftonville	76.43%	23.44%	0.13%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	23.57%	75.20%	1.23%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	1.29%	78.73%	19.75%	0.23%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	0.07%	19.80%	77.35%	2.76%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	0.11%	2.67%	76.79%	20.43%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	0.23%	20.22%	79.55%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	96.38%	3.43%	0.19%	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.52%	54.24%	35.12%	7.29%	0.83%	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.10%	38.60%	47.95%	10.28%	2.07%	—
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.19%	9.93%	47.93%	38.74%	1.21%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.54%	6.81%	34.21%	55.38%	2.06%
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.29%	2.98%	96.73%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—
Crusaders	100%	—
Glenavon	100%	—
Glentoran	100%	—
Linfield	100%	—
Portadown	100%	—
Coleraine	98.00%	2.00%
Dungannon Swifts	93.00%	7.00%
Ballymena United	92.00%	8.00%
Warrenpoint Town	91.00%	9.00%
Ballinamallard United	83.00%	17.00%
Ards	43.00%	57.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—
Coleraine	100%	—
Crusaders	100%	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—
Glenavon	100%	—
Glentoran	100%	—
Linfield	100%	—
Portadown	100%	—
Ballinamallard United	98.79%	1.21%
Warrenpoint Town	97.94%	2.06%
Ards	3.27%	96.73%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-08-10	Ards	W 4-2	37.7	1321	1071	69.30%	18.14%	12.56%	+1.70	+3.6	3
2013-08-10	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	37.7	1071	1321	12.56%	18.14%	69.30%	-1.70	-3.6	0
2013-08-10	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.8	1247	1167	51.38%	22.49%	26.13%	+0.61	-1.0	1
2013-08-10	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.8	1167	1247	26.13%	22.49%	51.38%	-0.61	+1.0	1
2013-08-10	Crusaders	W 1-0	45.9	1188	1333	22.66%	21.88%	55.46%	-0.83	+9.4	3
2013-08-10	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	45.9	1333	1188	55.46%	21.88%	22.66%	+0.83	-9.4	0
2013-08-10	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	53.1	1161	1113	47.18%	22.92%	29.90%	+0.41	-7.3	0
2013-08-10	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	53.1	1113	1161	29.90%	22.92%	47.18%	-0.41	+7.3	3
2013-08-10	Glenavon	L 3-6	43.6	1127	1172	34.23%	23.19%	42.58%	-0.19	-11.8	0
2013-08-10	@ Ballymena United	W 6-3	43.6	1172	1127	42.58%	23.19%	34.23%	+0.19	+11.8	3
2013-08-10	Linfield	D 1-1	52.7	1179	1261	29.53%	22.89%	47.59%	-0.43	+0.7	1
2013-08-10	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.7	1261	1179	47.59%	22.89%	29.53%	+0.43	-0.7	1
2013-08-16	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	42.5	1068	1154	28.95%	22.83%	48.22%	-0.46	-5.2	0
2013-08-16	@ Ards	W 2-1	42.5	1154	1068	48.22%	22.83%	28.95%	+0.46	+5.2	3
2013-08-17	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	43.2	1121	1198	30.08%	22.94%	46.98%	-0.40	+8.2	6
2013-08-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	43.2	1198	1121	46.98%	22.94%	30.08%	+0.40	-8.2	3
2013-08-17	Ballymena United	L 1-2	52.7	1323	1115	65.48%	19.45%	15.07%	+1.43	-10.3	0
2013-08-17	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	52.7	1115	1323	15.07%	19.45%	65.48%	-1.43	+10.2	3
2013-08-17	Cliftonville	L 2-4	45.6	1260	1324	31.72%	23.06%	45.22%	-0.31	-8.7	1
2013-08-17	@ Linfield	W 4-2	45.6	1324	1260	45.22%	23.06%	31.72%	+0.31	+8.7	6
2013-08-17	Glentoran	L 1-2	43.7	1184	1246	31.91%	23.07%	45.02%	-0.30	-5.7	3
2013-08-17	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	43.7	1246	1184	45.02%	23.07%	31.91%	+0.30	+5.7	4
2013-08-17	Portadown	D 2-2	57.7	1168	1180	38.81%	23.26%	37.93%	+0.02	-0.0	2
2013-08-17	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	57.7	1180	1168	37.93%	23.26%	38.81%	-0.02	+0.0	2
2013-08-23	Coleraine	D 2-2	57.7	1178	1168	42.01%	23.21%	34.79%	+0.16	-0.2	4
2013-08-23	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	57.7	1168	1178	34.79%	23.21%	42.01%	-0.16	+0.2	3
2013-08-24	Ards	W 2-0	32.1	1180	1062	55.90%	21.80%	22.30%	+0.85	+8.3	5
2013-08-24	@ Portadown	L 0-2	32.1	1062	1180	22.30%	21.80%	55.90%	-0.85	-8.3	0
2013-08-24	Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.9	1252	1189	49.09%	22.75%	28.16%	+0.50	-0.9	5
2013-08-24	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.9	1189	1252	28.16%	22.75%	49.09%	-0.50	+0.9	4
2013-08-24	Cliftonville	L 2-4	41.1	1159	1333	19.96%	21.22%	58.81%	-1.02	-5.8	3
2013-08-24	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	41.1	1333	1159	58.81%	21.22%	19.96%	+1.02	+5.8	9
2013-08-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	45.0	1126	1129	40.11%	23.25%	36.64%	+0.08	+6.3	6
2013-08-24	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	45.0	1129	1126	36.64%	23.25%	40.11%	-0.08	-6.3	6
2013-08-24	Linfield	W 2-0	34.8	1313	1252	48.94%	22.76%	28.29%	+0.49	+10.2	3
2013-08-24	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	34.8	1252	1313	28.29%	22.76%	48.94%	-0.49	-10.2	1
2013-08-30	Ballymena United	W 2-0	39.8	1054	1132	29.98%	22.93%	47.09%	-0.40	+15.4	3
2013-08-30	@ Ards	L 0-2	39.8	1132	1054	47.09%	22.93%	29.98%	+0.40	-15.4	6
2013-08-30	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.5	1168	1323	21.63%	21.65%	56.71%	-0.90	+1.0	4
2013-08-30	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	58.5	1323	1168	56.71%	21.65%	21.63%	+0.90	-1.0	4
2013-08-30	Glenavon	D 3-3	62.0	1122	1178	32.82%	23.12%	44.06%	-0.26	+0.3	7
2013-08-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 3-3	62.0	1178	1122	44.06%	23.12%	32.82%	+0.26	-0.3	5
2013-08-30	Portadown	L 1-2	51.7	1339	1188	59.59%	21.05%	19.36%	+1.06	-9.4	9
2013-08-30	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	51.7	1188	1339	19.36%	21.05%	59.59%	-1.06	+9.5	8
2013-08-30	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	33.1	1190	1153	45.69%	23.03%	31.28%	+0.34	+16.2	7
2013-08-30	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-3	33.1	1153	1190	31.28%	23.03%	45.69%	-0.34	-16.2	3
2013-08-31	Glentoran	D 0-0	48.9	1241	1251	39.14%	23.26%	37.60%	+0.03	-0.1	2
2013-08-31	@ Linfield	D 0-0	48.9	1251	1241	37.60%	23.26%	39.14%	-0.03	+0.1	6
2013-09-02	Coleraine	L 1-3	48.9	1329	1169	60.66%	20.80%	18.55%	+1.13	-16.6	9
2013-09-02	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	48.9	1169	1329	18.55%	20.80%	60.66%	-1.13	+16.6	7
2013-09-03	Ards	W 5-0	27.8	1251	1069	62.89%	20.22%	16.89%	+1.26	+14.9	9
2013-09-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-5	27.8	1069	1251	16.89%	20.22%	62.89%	-1.26	-14.9	3
2013-09-03	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.7	1322	1123	64.67%	19.70%	15.63%	+1.38	-2.0	5
2013-09-03	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	53.7	1123	1322	15.63%	19.70%	64.67%	-1.38	+2.0	8
2013-09-03	Glenavon	L 0-2	39.3	1207	1178	44.58%	23.10%	32.33%	+0.28	-14.8	7
2013-09-03	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	39.3	1178	1207	32.33%	23.10%	44.58%	-0.28	+14.8	8
2013-09-03	Linfield	L 0-2	33.8	1137	1241	26.90%	22.60%	50.50%	-0.57	-9.8	3
2013-09-03	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	33.8	1241	1137	50.50%	22.60%	26.90%	+0.57	+9.8	5
2013-09-03	Portadown	W 2-1	48.2	1116	1198	29.56%	22.89%	47.55%	-0.42	+7.8	9
2013-09-03	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.2	1198	1116	47.55%	22.89%	29.56%	+0.42	-7.8	8
2013-09-07	Ballinamallard United	W 11-0	37.8	1190	1192	40.30%	23.25%	36.45%	+0.09	+62.4	11
2013-09-07	@ Portadown	L 0-11	37.8	1192	1190	36.45%	23.25%	40.30%	-0.09	-62.4	7
2013-09-07	Cliftonville	L 0-1	34.3	1124	1313	18.74%	20.86%	60.40%	-1.11	-3.8	9
2013-09-07	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	34.3	1313	1124	60.40%	20.86%	18.74%	+1.11	+3.8	12
2013-09-07	Coleraine	W 1-0	42.6	1125	1186	32.10%	23.08%	44.81%	-0.29	+7.9	11
2013-09-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	42.6	1186	1125	44.81%	23.08%	32.10%	+0.29	-7.9	7
2013-09-07	Crusaders	L 0-3	34.3	1266	1320	33.01%	23.13%	43.86%	-0.25	-16.9	9
2013-09-07	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	34.3	1320	1266	43.86%	23.13%	33.01%	+0.25	+16.9	8
2013-09-07	Linfield	L 1-3	35.8	1055	1251	18.09%	20.65%	61.26%	-1.16	-5.9	3
2013-09-07	@ Ards	W 3-1	35.8	1251	1055	61.26%	20.65%	18.09%	+1.16	+5.9	8
2013-09-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	39.4	1192	1127	49.41%	22.72%	27.87%	+0.52	+8.8	11
2013-09-07	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	39.4	1127	1192	27.87%	22.72%	49.41%	-0.52	-8.8	3
2013-09-14	Ards	W 4-1	33.8	1201	1049	59.82%	21.00%	19.18%	+1.08	+8.8	14
2013-09-14	@ Glenavon	L 1-4	33.8	1049	1201	19.18%	21.00%	59.82%	-1.08	-8.8	3
2013-09-14	Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	48.1	1178	1129	47.23%	22.92%	29.86%	+0.41	-7.7	7
2013-09-14	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	48.1	1129	1178	29.86%	22.92%	47.23%	-0.41	+7.7	10
2013-09-14	Ballymena United	W 4-1	34.4	1257	1121	58.04%	21.39%	20.57%	+0.97	+9.5	11
2013-09-14	@ Linfield	L 1-4	34.4	1121	1257	20.57%	21.39%	58.04%	-0.97	-9.4	9
2013-09-14	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.6	1119	1337	16.44%	20.04%	63.53%	-1.30	+1.9	4
2013-09-14	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	53.6	1337	1119	63.53%	20.04%	16.44%	+1.30	-1.9	9
2013-09-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	40.3	1252	1132	56.16%	21.76%	22.08%	+0.87	+4.1	14
2013-09-14	@ Portadown	L 1-2	40.3	1132	1252	22.08%	21.76%	56.16%	-0.87	-4.1	11
2013-09-14	Glentoran	W 4-1	37.5	1316	1249	49.70%	22.69%	27.62%	+0.53	+12.3	15
2013-09-14	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	37.5	1249	1316	27.62%	22.69%	49.70%	-0.53	-12.3	9
2013-09-21	Ards	W 1-0	36.5	1128	1040	52.39%	22.36%	25.25%	+0.67	+4.9	14
2013-09-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	36.5	1040	1128	25.25%	22.36%	52.39%	-0.67	-4.9	3
2013-09-21	Ballymena United	D 0-0	49.1	1237	1111	56.84%	21.63%	21.53%	+0.91	-1.5	10
2013-09-21	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	49.1	1111	1237	21.53%	21.63%	56.84%	-0.91	+1.5	10
2013-09-21	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.2	1210	1329	25.29%	22.36%	52.35%	-0.66	+9.0	17
2013-09-21	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	45.2	1329	1210	52.35%	22.36%	25.29%	+0.66	-9.0	15
2013-09-21	Linfield	L 1-2	41.1	1137	1266	24.18%	22.18%	53.65%	-0.73	-4.5	10
2013-09-21	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	41.1	1266	1137	53.65%	22.18%	24.18%	+0.73	+4.5	14
2013-09-21	Portadown	D 2-2	58.7	1335	1257	51.16%	22.52%	26.32%	+0.60	-0.7	10
2013-09-21	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.7	1257	1335	26.32%	22.52%	51.16%	-0.60	+0.7	15
2013-09-21	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	47.9	1170	1120	47.38%	22.90%	29.71%	+0.42	+5.1	10
2013-09-21	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	47.9	1120	1170	29.71%	22.90%	47.38%	-0.42	-5.1	4
2013-09-28	Ballinamallard United	W 4-1	43.4	1035	1133	27.62%	22.69%	49.70%	-0.53	+19.8	6
2013-09-28	@ Ards	L 1-4	43.4	1133	1035	49.70%	22.69%	27.62%	+0.53	-19.8	10
2013-09-28	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.3	1133	1320	18.89%	20.91%	60.20%	-1.10	+1.6	15
2013-09-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.3	1320	1133	60.20%	20.91%	18.89%	+1.10	-1.6	16
2013-09-28	Coleraine	W 1-0	36.5	1271	1175	53.27%	22.23%	24.49%	+0.71	+4.8	17
2013-09-28	@ Linfield	L 0-1	36.5	1175	1271	24.49%	22.23%	53.27%	-0.71	-4.8	10
2013-09-28	Glenavon	W 3-0	30.6	1335	1219	55.65%	21.85%	22.50%	+0.84	+12.2	13
2013-09-28	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	30.6	1219	1335	22.50%	21.85%	55.65%	-0.84	-12.2	17
2013-09-28	Glentoran	W 2-1	44.3	1257	1235	43.62%	23.14%	33.24%	+0.24	+5.8	18
2013-09-28	@ Portadown	L 1-2	44.3	1235	1257	33.24%	23.14%	43.62%	-0.24	-5.9	10
2013-09-28	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	41.2	1113	1115	40.15%	23.25%	36.60%	+0.08	-7.2	10
2013-09-28	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	41.2	1115	1113	36.60%	23.25%	40.15%	-0.08	+7.2	7
2013-10-04	Ballymena United	W 1-0	39.7	1113	1105	41.60%	23.22%	35.18%	+0.15	+6.5	13
2013-10-04	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	39.7	1105	1113	35.18%	23.22%	41.60%	-0.15	-6.5	10
2013-10-05	Ards	W 2-1	40.3	1170	1055	55.66%	21.85%	22.49%	+0.84	+4.2	13
2013-10-05	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	40.3	1055	1170	22.49%	21.85%	55.66%	-0.84	-4.2	6
2013-10-05	Crusaders	L 0-2	38.2	1318	1347	36.48%	23.25%	40.27%	-0.09	-12.6	16
2013-10-05	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	38.2	1347	1318	40.27%	23.25%	36.48%	+0.09	+12.6	16
2013-10-05	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	41.2	1230	1135	53.14%	22.25%	24.61%	+0.71	+4.5	13
2013-10-05	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.2	1135	1230	24.61%	22.25%	53.14%	-0.71	-4.5	15
2013-10-05	Linfield	L 1-3	40.7	1207	1276	31.10%	23.02%	45.88%	-0.34	-9.6	17
2013-10-05	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	40.7	1276	1207	45.88%	23.02%	31.10%	+0.34	+9.6	20
2013-10-05	Portadown	D 2-2	58.2	1123	1263	23.05%	21.96%	54.99%	-0.80	+0.9	8
2013-10-05	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	58.2	1263	1123	54.99%	21.96%	23.05%	+0.80	-0.9	19
2013-10-12	Ards	W 4-2	36.3	1359	1050	74.21%	16.13%	9.66%	+2.08	+2.7	19
2013-10-12	@ Crusaders	L 2-4	36.3	1050	1359	9.66%	16.13%	74.21%	-2.08	-2.7	6
2013-10-12	Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.0	1119	1306	18.92%	20.92%	60.17%	-1.10	-7.1	13
2013-10-12	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	31.0	1306	1119	60.17%	20.92%	18.92%	+1.10	+7.1	19
2013-10-12	Coleraine	D 2-2	57.8	1099	1175	30.27%	22.95%	46.78%	-0.39	+0.5	11
2013-10-12	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.8	1175	1099	46.78%	22.95%	30.27%	+0.39	-0.5	14
2013-10-12	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.0	1285	1130	60.08%	20.94%	18.99%	+1.09	+7.2	23
2013-10-12	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.0	1130	1285	18.99%	20.94%	60.08%	-1.09	-7.1	15
2013-10-12	Glentoran	L 0-1	36.9	1124	1234	26.18%	22.50%	51.33%	-0.61	-5.1	8
2013-10-12	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	36.9	1234	1124	51.33%	22.50%	26.18%	+0.61	+5.1	16
2013-10-14	Glenavon	L 2-4	50.3	1262	1197	49.40%	22.72%	27.88%	+0.51	-12.5	19
2013-10-14	@ Portadown	W 4-2	50.3	1197	1262	27.88%	22.72%	49.40%	-0.51	+12.4	20
2013-10-18	Ballinamallard United	L 2-3	54.8	1210	1112	53.48%	22.20%	24.32%	+0.72	-8.2	20
2013-10-18	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	54.8	1112	1210	24.32%	22.20%	53.48%	-0.72	+8.2	16
2013-10-19	Ballymena United	L 2-3	52.1	1123	1099	43.89%	23.13%	32.98%	+0.25	-6.9	15
2013-10-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	52.1	1099	1123	32.98%	23.13%	43.89%	-0.25	+6.9	14
2013-10-19	Crusaders	D 0-0	49.9	1292	1362	31.01%	23.01%	45.98%	-0.35	+0.6	24
2013-10-19	@ Linfield	D 0-0	49.9	1362	1292	45.98%	23.01%	31.01%	+0.35	-0.6	20
2013-10-19	Glentoran	L 1-3	40.7	1174	1239	31.58%	23.05%	45.37%	-0.32	-9.7	14
2013-10-19	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	40.7	1239	1174	45.37%	23.05%	31.58%	+0.32	+9.7	19
2013-10-19	Portadown	W 3-1	48.9	1048	1250	17.67%	20.50%	61.83%	-1.20	+16.9	9
2013-10-19	@ Ards	L 1-3	48.9	1250	1048	61.83%	20.50%	17.67%	+1.20	-16.9	19
2013-10-19	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	53.6	1313	1118	64.15%	19.86%	16.00%	+1.34	-1.9	20
2013-10-19	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.6	1118	1313	16.00%	19.86%	64.15%	-1.34	+1.9	9
2013-10-25	Glenavon	L 1-2	40.7	1065	1202	23.41%	22.03%	54.56%	-0.78	-4.3	9
2013-10-25	@ Ards	W 2-1	40.7	1202	1065	54.56%	22.03%	23.41%	+0.78	+4.3	23
2013-10-26	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.1	1249	1311	31.99%	23.08%	44.93%	-0.30	+0.5	20
2013-10-26	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.1	1311	1249	44.93%	23.08%	31.99%	+0.30	-0.5	21
2013-10-26	Coleraine	D 1-1	52.4	1120	1164	34.36%	23.19%	42.45%	-0.18	+0.3	17
2013-10-26	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.4	1164	1120	42.45%	23.19%	34.36%	+0.18	-0.3	15
2013-10-26	Linfield	L 1-4	33.8	1106	1293	18.88%	20.90%	60.22%	-1.10	-8.7	14
2013-10-26	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	33.8	1293	1106	60.22%	20.90%	18.88%	+1.10	+8.7	27
2013-10-26	Portadown	L 0-5	31.0	1116	1233	25.53%	22.40%	52.07%	-0.65	-21.9	15
2013-10-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	31.0	1233	1116	52.07%	22.40%	25.53%	+0.65	+21.9	22
2013-10-26	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	28.6	1361	1120	68.55%	18.41%	13.04%	+1.64	+4.9	23
2013-10-26	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	28.6	1120	1361	13.04%	18.41%	68.55%	-1.64	-4.9	9
2013-11-02	Ards	W 5-2	34.4	1302	1060	68.59%	18.40%	13.01%	+1.65	+5.2	30
2013-11-02	@ Linfield	L 2-5	34.4	1060	1302	13.01%	18.40%	68.59%	-1.65	-5.2	9
2013-11-02	Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	57.6	1116	1121	39.81%	23.25%	36.93%	+0.06	-0.1	10
2013-11-02	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	57.6	1121	1116	36.93%	23.25%	39.81%	-0.06	+0.1	18
2013-11-02	Crusaders	L 0-1	37.8	1255	1366	26.07%	22.48%	51.45%	-0.62	-5.1	22
2013-11-02	@ Portadown	W 1-0	37.8	1366	1255	51.45%	22.48%	26.07%	+0.62	+5.1	26
2013-11-02	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.0	1310	1094	66.24%	19.20%	14.55%	+1.48	-1.5	22
2013-11-02	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.0	1094	1310	14.55%	19.20%	66.24%	-1.48	+1.5	16
2013-11-02	Glenavon	W 3-2	51.8	1164	1206	34.65%	23.20%	42.14%	-0.17	+6.7	18
2013-11-02	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	51.8	1206	1164	42.14%	23.20%	34.65%	+0.17	-6.7	23
2013-11-02	Glentoran	L 3-4	48.4	1098	1249	21.96%	21.73%	56.31%	-0.88	-3.8	14
2013-11-02	@ Ballymena United	W 4-3	48.4	1249	1098	56.31%	21.73%	21.96%	+0.88	+3.8	23
2013-11-09	Ballymena United	W 2-1	37.3	1309	1094	66.15%	19.24%	14.61%	+1.48	+2.8	25
2013-11-09	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	37.3	1094	1309	14.61%	19.24%	66.15%	-1.48	-2.8	14
2013-11-09	Coleraine	W 3-1	46.4	1055	1171	25.62%	22.42%	51.96%	-0.64	+14.5	12
2013-11-09	@ Ards	L 1-3	46.4	1171	1055	51.96%	22.42%	25.62%	+0.64	-14.5	18
2013-11-09	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.9	1199	1371	20.11%	21.26%	58.63%	-1.01	+1.1	24
2013-11-09	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	58.9	1371	1199	58.63%	21.26%	20.11%	+1.01	-1.1	27
2013-11-09	Glentoran	L 1-2	40.0	1096	1253	21.45%	21.61%	56.94%	-0.91	-4.0	16
2013-11-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	40.0	1253	1096	56.94%	21.61%	21.45%	+0.91	+4.0	26
2013-11-09	Portadown	W 2-1	49.9	1121	1250	24.22%	22.18%	53.60%	-0.73	+8.6	21
2013-11-09	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	49.9	1250	1121	53.60%	22.18%	24.22%	+0.73	-8.6	22
2013-11-09	Warrenpoint Town	W 5-1	31.4	1307	1115	63.87%	19.94%	16.19%	+1.33	+9.7	33
2013-11-09	@ Linfield	L 1-5	31.4	1115	1307	16.19%	19.94%	63.87%	-1.33	-9.7	10
2013-11-16	Ards	W 4-2	45.3	1091	1070	43.55%	23.15%	33.30%	+0.24	+9.1	17
2013-11-16	@ Ballymena United	L 2-4	45.3	1070	1091	33.30%	23.15%	43.55%	-0.24	-9.1	12
2013-11-16	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	36.8	1370	1129	68.54%	18.42%	13.05%	+1.64	+2.4	30
2013-11-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	36.8	1129	1370	13.05%	18.42%	68.54%	-1.64	-2.4	21
2013-11-16	Cliftonville	L 3-4	48.5	1156	1312	21.63%	21.65%	56.72%	-0.90	-3.7	18
2013-11-16	@ Coleraine	W 4-3	48.5	1312	1156	56.72%	21.65%	21.63%	+0.90	+3.7	28
2013-11-16	Glenavon	D 0-0	48.9	1257	1200	48.35%	22.82%	28.83%	+0.46	-0.8	27
2013-11-16	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.9	1200	1257	28.83%	22.82%	48.35%	-0.46	+0.8	25
2013-11-16	Linfield	W 1-0	47.6	1092	1317	16.00%	19.86%	64.14%	-1.34	+10.7	19
2013-11-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	47.6	1317	1092	64.14%	19.86%	16.00%	+1.34	-10.7	33
2013-11-16	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	31.6	1241	1106	57.91%	21.41%	20.67%	+0.97	+7.8	25
2013-11-16	@ Portadown	L 0-2	31.6	1106	1241	20.67%	21.41%	57.91%	-0.97	-7.8	10
2013-11-23	Ballymena United	L 0-2	37.9	1098	1100	40.25%	23.25%	36.50%	+0.08	-13.6	10
2013-11-23	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	37.9	1100	1098	36.50%	23.25%	40.25%	-0.08	+13.6	20
2013-11-23	Cliftonville	D 3-3	62.6	1249	1315	31.42%	23.04%	45.55%	-0.33	+0.3	26
2013-11-23	@ Portadown	D 3-3	62.6	1315	1249	45.55%	23.04%	31.42%	+0.33	-0.3	29
2013-11-23	Coleraine	W 4-0	26.6	1373	1152	66.65%	19.07%	14.28%	+1.51	+10.2	33
2013-11-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	26.6	1152	1373	14.28%	19.07%	66.65%	-1.51	-10.2	18
2013-11-23	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	49.4	1061	1103	34.62%	23.20%	42.18%	-0.17	-5.7	12
2013-11-23	@ Ards	W 3-2	49.4	1103	1061	42.18%	23.20%	34.62%	+0.17	+5.7	22
2013-11-23	Glenavon	W 3-2	46.1	1306	1201	54.37%	22.06%	23.57%	+0.77	+4.1	36
2013-11-23	@ Linfield	L 2-3	46.1	1201	1306	23.57%	22.06%	54.37%	-0.77	-4.1	25
2013-11-23	Glentoran	L 1-4	35.7	1127	1256	24.17%	22.17%	53.66%	-0.73	-11.0	21
2013-11-23	@ Ballinamallard United	W 4-1	35.7	1256	1127	53.66%	22.17%	24.17%	+0.73	+11.0	30
2013-11-29	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	46.6	1197	1108	52.40%	22.36%	25.24%	+0.67	-14.6	25
2013-11-29	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	46.6	1108	1197	25.24%	22.36%	52.40%	-0.67	+14.6	25
2013-11-30	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	36.8	1114	1116	40.23%	23.25%	36.53%	+0.08	+12.6	23
2013-11-30	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	36.8	1116	1114	36.53%	23.25%	40.23%	-0.08	-12.6	21
2013-11-30	Coleraine	W 2-1	47.2	1084	1142	32.52%	23.11%	44.37%	-0.27	+7.3	13
2013-11-30	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	47.2	1142	1084	44.37%	23.11%	32.52%	+0.27	-7.3	18
2013-11-30	Crusaders	L 1-4	29.9	1055	1383	10.16%	16.52%	73.32%	-2.01	-4.5	12
2013-11-30	@ Ards	W 4-1	29.9	1383	1055	73.32%	16.52%	10.16%	+2.01	+4.6	36
2013-11-30	Linfield	W 3-0	35.4	1315	1310	41.24%	23.23%	35.53%	+0.13	+17.9	32
2013-11-30	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	35.4	1310	1315	35.53%	23.23%	41.24%	-0.13	-17.9	36
2013-12-02	Portadown	L 0-2	39.2	1267	1249	43.10%	23.17%	33.73%	+0.21	-14.3	30
2013-12-02	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	39.2	1249	1267	33.73%	23.17%	43.10%	-0.21	+14.3	29
2013-12-07	Ards	W 1-0	37.8	1103	1050	47.85%	22.86%	29.29%	+0.44	+5.6	24
2013-12-07	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	37.8	1050	1103	29.29%	22.86%	47.85%	-0.44	-5.6	12
2013-12-07	Ballymena United	W 1-0	34.9	1264	1126	58.13%	21.37%	20.50%	+0.98	+4.1	32
2013-12-07	@ Portadown	L 0-1	34.9	1126	1264	20.50%	21.37%	58.13%	-0.98	-4.1	23
2013-12-07	Crusaders	L 0-1	32.3	1123	1387	13.45%	18.64%	67.91%	-1.60	-2.7	25
2013-12-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.3	1387	1123	67.91%	18.64%	13.45%	+1.60	+2.7	39
2013-12-07	Glenavon	W 2-1	39.6	1333	1182	59.60%	21.05%	19.35%	+1.06	+3.6	35
2013-12-07	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.6	1182	1333	19.35%	21.05%	59.60%	-1.06	-3.6	25
2013-12-07	Linfield	L 2-3	45.2	1135	1292	21.45%	21.61%	56.94%	-0.91	-3.8	18
2013-12-07	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	45.2	1292	1135	56.94%	21.61%	21.45%	+0.91	+3.8	39
2013-12-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	28.5	1253	1092	60.75%	20.78%	18.48%	+1.13	+10.1	33
2013-12-07	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	28.5	1092	1253	18.48%	20.78%	60.75%	-1.13	-10.1	13
2013-12-13	Cliftonville	L 0-4	25.1	1045	1336	11.93%	17.75%	70.33%	-1.77	-8.4	12
2013-12-13	@ Ards	W 4-0	25.1	1336	1045	70.33%	17.75%	11.93%	+1.77	+8.4	38
2013-12-14	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	27.8	1296	1109	63.42%	20.07%	16.52%	+1.30	+9.0	42
2013-12-14	@ Linfield	L 0-3	27.8	1109	1296	16.52%	20.07%	63.42%	-1.30	-9.0	24
2013-12-14	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.7	1179	1122	48.29%	22.82%	28.89%	+0.46	-0.8	26
2013-12-14	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	48.7	1122	1179	28.89%	22.82%	48.29%	-0.46	+0.8	24
2013-12-14	Coleraine	W 2-0	31.6	1268	1131	58.04%	21.39%	20.57%	+0.97	+7.7	35
2013-12-14	@ Portadown	L 0-2	31.6	1131	1268	20.57%	21.39%	58.04%	-0.97	-7.7	18
2013-12-14	Glentoran	D 0-0	50.3	1390	1263	56.97%	21.60%	21.42%	+0.91	-1.5	40
2013-12-14	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	50.3	1263	1390	21.42%	21.60%	56.97%	-0.91	+1.6	34
2013-12-14	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	47.7	1120	1082	45.91%	23.01%	31.07%	+0.35	-7.5	25
2013-12-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	47.7	1082	1120	31.07%	23.01%	45.91%	-0.35	+7.5	16
2013-12-21	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	31.8	1345	1100	68.90%	18.28%	12.81%	+1.67	+2.5	41
2013-12-21	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.8	1100	1345	12.81%	18.28%	68.90%	-1.67	-2.5	24
2013-12-21	Crusaders	W 1-0	48.6	1123	1389	13.39%	18.61%	68.01%	-1.61	+11.2	27
2013-12-21	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	48.6	1389	1123	68.01%	18.61%	13.39%	+1.61	-11.2	40
2013-12-21	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	38.4	1123	1113	42.06%	23.20%	34.74%	+0.17	-14.1	18
2013-12-21	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	38.4	1113	1123	34.74%	23.20%	42.06%	-0.17	+14.1	28
2013-12-21	Glentoran	D 0-0	49.6	1036	1265	15.75%	19.75%	64.50%	-1.37	+2.2	13
2013-12-21	@ Ards	D 0-0	49.6	1265	1036	64.50%	19.75%	15.75%	+1.37	-2.2	35
2013-12-21	Portadown	W 3-2	49.4	1305	1275	44.70%	23.09%	32.22%	+0.29	+5.4	45
2013-12-21	@ Linfield	L 2-3	49.4	1275	1305	32.22%	23.09%	44.70%	-0.29	-5.4	35
2013-12-26	Ards	W 2-0	34.6	1089	1038	47.53%	22.89%	29.57%	+0.42	+10.6	19
2013-12-26	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	34.6	1038	1089	29.57%	22.89%	47.53%	-0.42	-10.6	13
2013-12-26	Ballymena United	L 2-3	50.1	1109	1134	36.99%	23.25%	39.76%	-0.06	-6.0	18
2013-12-26	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	50.1	1134	1109	39.76%	23.25%	36.99%	+0.06	+6.0	30
2013-12-26	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.6	1377	1347	44.72%	23.09%	32.19%	+0.29	-0.5	41
2013-12-26	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	54.6	1347	1377	32.19%	23.09%	44.72%	-0.29	+0.5	42
2013-12-26	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1097	1127	36.36%	23.24%	40.40%	-0.09	+0.1	25
2013-12-26	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.4	1127	1097	40.40%	23.24%	36.36%	+0.09	-0.1	29
2013-12-26	Linfield	L 1-2	44.8	1262	1310	33.82%	23.17%	43.01%	-0.21	-5.9	35
2013-12-26	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	44.8	1310	1262	43.01%	23.17%	33.82%	+0.21	+5.9	48
2013-12-26	Portadown	W 3-2	53.8	1178	1270	28.29%	22.76%	48.95%	-0.49	+7.6	29
2013-12-26	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	53.8	1270	1178	48.95%	22.76%	28.29%	+0.49	-7.6	35
2014-01-01	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.7	1028	1140	25.96%	22.47%	51.57%	-0.62	+1.1	14
2014-01-01	@ Ards	D 0-0	48.7	1140	1028	51.57%	22.47%	25.96%	+0.62	-1.1	31
2014-01-01	Coleraine	W 2-0	28.5	1348	1103	68.87%	18.30%	12.83%	+1.67	+4.8	45
2014-01-01	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	28.5	1103	1348	12.83%	18.30%	68.87%	-1.67	-4.8	18
2014-01-01	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.8	1262	1377	25.74%	22.43%	51.82%	-0.64	+1.0	36
2014-01-01	@ Portadown	D 1-1	53.8	1377	1262	51.82%	22.43%	25.74%	+0.64	-1.0	42
2014-01-01	Glentoran	L 0-1	36.2	1127	1257	24.12%	22.17%	53.71%	-0.74	-4.7	29
2014-01-01	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	36.2	1257	1127	53.71%	22.17%	24.12%	+0.74	+4.7	38
2014-01-01	Warrenpoint Town	L 2-3	51.1	1098	1100	40.22%	23.25%	36.53%	+0.08	-6.5	25
2014-01-01	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-2	51.1	1100	1098	36.53%	23.25%	40.22%	-0.08	+6.4	22
2014-01-04	Ards	W 2-0	33.8	1099	1029	49.99%	22.65%	27.35%	+0.54	+10.0	21
2014-01-04	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	33.8	1029	1099	27.35%	22.65%	49.99%	-0.54	-10.0	14
2014-01-04	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	38.0	1139	1091	47.19%	22.92%	29.89%	+0.41	+5.7	34
2014-01-04	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	38.0	1091	1139	29.89%	22.92%	47.19%	-0.41	-5.7	25
2014-01-04	Linfield	L 2-3	43.4	1106	1316	17.06%	20.28%	62.66%	-1.25	-3.0	22
2014-01-04	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	43.4	1316	1106	62.66%	20.28%	17.06%	+1.25	+3.1	51
2014-01-04	Portadown	D 2-2	58.1	1261	1263	40.25%	23.25%	36.50%	+0.08	-0.1	39
2014-01-04	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	58.1	1263	1261	36.50%	23.25%	40.25%	-0.08	+0.1	37
2014-01-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	29.8	1376	1122	69.69%	17.99%	12.32%	+1.73	+7.2	45
2014-01-06	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	29.8	1122	1376	12.32%	17.99%	69.69%	-1.73	-7.3	29
2014-01-07	Cliftonville	L 2-5	38.0	1185	1353	20.54%	21.38%	58.08%	-0.98	-8.2	29
2014-01-07	@ Glenavon	W 5-2	38.0	1353	1185	58.08%	21.38%	20.54%	+0.98	+8.2	48
2014-01-14	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	33.5	1263	1085	62.51%	20.32%	17.17%	+1.24	+3.4	40
2014-01-14	@ Portadown	L 0-1	33.5	1085	1263	17.17%	20.32%	62.51%	-1.24	-3.4	25
2014-01-14	Ballymena United	L 2-3	49.9	1115	1145	36.24%	23.24%	40.51%	-0.10	-5.9	29
2014-01-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	49.9	1145	1115	40.51%	23.24%	36.24%	+0.10	+6.0	37
2014-01-14	Cliftonville	L 2-3	39.8	1019	1361	9.55%	16.05%	74.40%	-2.10	-1.6	14
2014-01-14	@ Ards	W 3-2	39.8	1361	1019	74.40%	16.05%	9.55%	+2.10	+1.7	51
2014-01-14	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.3	1319	1383	31.76%	23.06%	45.18%	-0.31	+0.5	52
2014-01-14	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.3	1383	1319	45.18%	23.06%	31.76%	+0.31	-0.5	46
2014-01-14	Glentoran	L 2-3	47.9	1177	1261	29.26%	22.86%	47.88%	-0.44	-5.0	29
2014-01-14	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	47.9	1261	1177	47.88%	22.86%	29.26%	+0.44	+5.0	42
2014-01-14	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	34.3	1108	1103	41.29%	23.23%	35.48%	+0.13	+17.9	24
2014-01-14	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	34.3	1103	1108	35.48%	23.23%	41.29%	-0.13	-17.9	22
2014-01-18	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.1	1266	1126	58.41%	21.31%	20.28%	+0.99	-1.5	43
2014-01-18	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.1	1126	1266	20.28%	21.31%	58.41%	-0.99	+1.5	25
2014-01-18	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.4	1085	1383	11.64%	17.56%	70.79%	-1.81	+2.4	23
2014-01-18	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.4	1383	1085	70.79%	17.56%	11.64%	+1.81	-2.4	47
2014-01-18	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	39.4	1017	1109	28.36%	22.77%	48.87%	-0.49	-8.9	14
2014-01-18	@ Ards	W 3-1	39.4	1109	1017	48.87%	22.77%	28.36%	+0.49	+8.9	32
2014-01-18	Glenavon	L 1-2	42.4	1082	1172	28.49%	22.78%	48.73%	-0.48	-5.2	25
2014-01-18	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	42.4	1172	1082	48.73%	22.78%	28.49%	+0.48	+5.2	32
2014-01-18	Linfield	L 1-2	39.8	1151	1320	20.39%	21.34%	58.27%	-0.99	-3.8	37
2014-01-18	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	39.8	1320	1151	58.27%	21.34%	20.39%	+0.99	+3.8	55
2014-01-18	Portadown	L 0-1	45.9	1363	1267	53.26%	22.23%	24.51%	+0.71	-9.1	51
2014-01-18	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.9	1267	1363	24.51%	22.23%	53.26%	-0.71	+9.1	43
2014-01-24	Ards	D 3-3	64.1	1324	1008	74.70%	15.91%	9.39%	+2.12	-1.6	56
2014-01-24	@ Linfield	D 3-3	64.1	1008	1324	9.39%	15.91%	74.70%	-2.12	+1.6	15
2014-01-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	40.4	1276	1118	60.44%	20.85%	18.71%	+1.11	+5.5	46
2014-01-24	@ Portadown	L 2-4	40.4	1118	1276	18.71%	20.85%	60.44%	-1.11	-5.5	32
2014-02-01	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.1	1281	1147	57.81%	21.44%	20.76%	+0.96	+4.1	49
2014-02-01	@ Portadown	L 0-1	35.1	1147	1281	20.76%	21.44%	57.81%	-0.96	-4.1	37
2014-02-01	Linfield	W 1-0	40.3	1353	1322	44.92%	23.08%	32.00%	+0.30	+6.0	54
2014-02-01	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.3	1322	1353	32.00%	23.08%	44.92%	-0.30	-6.0	56
2014-02-01	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	51.9	1265	1088	62.39%	20.35%	17.26%	+1.23	-9.8	43
2014-02-01	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	51.9	1088	1265	17.26%	20.35%	62.39%	-1.23	+9.8	26
2014-02-03	Ards	W 3-1	35.7	1177	1010	61.40%	20.61%	17.99%	+1.17	+5.9	35
2014-02-03	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	35.7	1010	1177	17.99%	20.61%	61.40%	-1.17	-5.9	15
2014-02-04	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.5	1128	1077	47.58%	22.89%	29.54%	+0.43	-0.7	26
2014-02-04	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.5	1077	1128	29.54%	22.89%	47.58%	-0.43	+0.7	26
2014-02-04	Cliftonville	L 1-3	35.5	1143	1359	16.58%	20.10%	63.32%	-1.29	-5.4	37
2014-02-04	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	35.5	1359	1143	63.32%	20.10%	16.58%	+1.29	+5.4	57
2014-02-11	Crusaders	L 1-2	35.9	1078	1380	11.36%	17.38%	71.25%	-1.84	-2.1	26
2014-02-11	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	35.9	1380	1078	71.25%	17.38%	11.36%	+1.84	+2.1	50
2014-02-15	Ballinamallard United	W 6-0	27.0	1316	1075	68.52%	18.42%	13.06%	+1.64	+13.6	59
2014-02-15	@ Linfield	L 0-6	27.0	1075	1316	13.06%	18.42%	68.52%	-1.64	-13.6	26
2014-02-15	Coleraine	D 2-2	57.7	1138	1127	42.01%	23.21%	34.79%	+0.16	-0.2	38
2014-02-15	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.7	1127	1138	34.79%	23.21%	42.01%	-0.16	+0.2	27
2014-02-15	Crusaders	W 4-0	37.2	1365	1382	38.05%	23.26%	38.68%	-0.01	+25.0	60
2014-02-15	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	37.2	1382	1365	38.68%	23.26%	38.05%	+0.01	-25.0	50
2014-02-15	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	40.7	1098	1112	38.47%	23.26%	38.27%	+0.00	-6.9	26
2014-02-15	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	40.7	1112	1098	38.27%	23.26%	38.47%	+0.00	+7.0	35
2014-02-15	Glentoran	W 2-1	52.7	1004	1255	14.29%	19.08%	66.63%	-1.51	+10.4	18
2014-02-15	@ Ards	L 1-2	52.7	1255	1004	66.63%	19.08%	14.29%	+1.51	-10.4	43
2014-02-15	Portadown	W 4-2	50.5	1183	1286	27.11%	22.62%	50.27%	-0.56	+12.6	38
2014-02-15	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	50.5	1286	1183	50.27%	22.62%	27.11%	+0.56	-12.6	49
2014-02-17	Coleraine	L 0-2	37.7	1119	1127	39.37%	23.26%	37.37%	+0.04	-13.4	35
2014-02-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	37.7	1127	1119	37.37%	23.26%	39.37%	-0.04	+13.4	30
2014-02-21	Ards	W 1-0	38.0	1062	1015	47.06%	22.93%	30.01%	+0.40	+5.7	29
2014-02-21	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	38.0	1015	1062	30.01%	22.93%	47.06%	-0.40	-5.7	18
2014-02-21	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.0	1357	1196	60.77%	20.77%	18.46%	+1.13	-1.2	51
2014-02-21	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	59.0	1196	1357	18.46%	20.77%	60.77%	-1.13	+1.2	39
2014-02-21	Linfield	L 0-1	38.5	1244	1330	29.09%	22.85%	48.06%	-0.45	-5.6	43
2014-02-21	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	38.5	1330	1244	48.06%	22.85%	29.09%	+0.45	+5.6	62
2014-02-22	Cliftonville	L 1-2	36.5	1106	1390	12.34%	18.00%	69.66%	-1.73	-2.3	35
2014-02-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	36.5	1390	1106	69.66%	18.00%	12.34%	+1.73	+2.3	63
2014-02-22	Portadown	L 2-3	46.0	1141	1273	23.89%	22.12%	53.99%	-0.75	-4.2	30
2014-02-22	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	46.0	1273	1141	53.99%	22.12%	23.89%	+0.75	+4.2	52
2014-02-22	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	47.9	1137	1091	46.99%	22.93%	30.07%	+0.40	+5.1	41
2014-02-22	@ Ballymena United	L 2-3	47.9	1091	1137	30.07%	22.93%	46.99%	-0.40	-5.1	26
2014-02-24	Glenavon	W 2-1	40.1	1335	1197	58.22%	21.35%	20.43%	+0.98	+3.8	65
2014-02-24	@ Linfield	L 1-2	40.1	1197	1335	20.43%	21.35%	58.22%	-0.98	-3.8	39
2014-03-04	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.7	1086	1193	26.48%	22.54%	50.98%	-0.59	-4.8	26
2014-03-04	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	41.7	1193	1086	50.98%	22.54%	26.48%	+0.59	+4.8	42
2014-03-07	Ballymena United	W 3-0	30.8	1239	1142	53.35%	22.22%	24.43%	+0.72	+13.1	46
2014-03-07	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	30.8	1142	1239	24.43%	22.22%	53.35%	-0.72	-13.1	41
2014-03-07	Crusaders	W 1-0	47.7	1137	1356	16.37%	20.01%	63.62%	-1.31	+10.6	33
2014-03-07	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	47.7	1356	1137	63.62%	20.01%	16.37%	+1.31	-10.6	51
2014-03-08	Ards	L 0-2	40.7	1081	1009	50.27%	22.62%	27.10%	+0.56	-16.3	26
2014-03-08	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	40.7	1009	1081	27.10%	22.62%	50.27%	-0.56	+16.3	21
2014-03-08	Ballinamallard United	W 5-0	24.2	1392	1068	75.41%	15.59%	9.00%	+2.18	+7.6	66
2014-03-08	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	24.2	1068	1392	9.00%	15.59%	75.41%	-2.18	-7.6	29
2014-03-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	46.1	1198	1103	53.15%	22.25%	24.60%	+0.71	+4.3	45
2014-03-08	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	46.1	1103	1198	24.60%	22.25%	53.15%	-0.71	-4.3	35
2014-03-08	Linfield	L 1-2	44.5	1277	1339	31.99%	23.08%	44.93%	-0.30	-5.7	52
2014-03-08	@ Portadown	W 2-1	44.5	1339	1277	44.93%	23.08%	31.99%	+0.30	+5.7	68
2014-03-15	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.6	1345	1129	66.26%	19.20%	14.54%	+1.48	+2.9	54
2014-03-15	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	32.6	1129	1345	14.54%	19.20%	66.26%	-1.48	-2.9	41
2014-03-15	Cliftonville	L 0-2	27.0	1064	1400	9.83%	16.27%	73.90%	-2.05	-3.6	26
2014-03-15	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	27.0	1400	1064	73.90%	16.27%	9.83%	+2.05	+3.6	69
2014-03-15	Coleraine	W 3-1	39.8	1202	1147	48.14%	22.84%	29.02%	+0.45	+9.1	48
2014-03-15	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	39.8	1147	1202	29.02%	22.84%	48.14%	-0.45	-9.1	33
2014-03-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	26.2	1345	1099	68.95%	18.27%	12.78%	+1.67	+6.9	71
2014-03-15	@ Linfield	L 0-3	26.2	1099	1345	12.78%	18.27%	68.95%	-1.67	-6.9	35
2014-03-15	Glentoran	L 0-3	28.5	1060	1252	18.45%	20.77%	60.78%	-1.13	-10.1	29
2014-03-15	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	28.5	1252	1060	60.78%	20.77%	18.45%	+1.13	+10.1	49
2014-03-15	Portadown	L 1-2	37.2	1025	1271	14.57%	19.21%	66.22%	-1.48	-2.7	21
2014-03-15	@ Ards	W 2-1	37.2	1271	1025	66.22%	19.21%	14.57%	+1.48	+2.7	55
2014-03-18	Glenavon	W 2-1	50.4	1061	1212	22.06%	21.75%	56.20%	-0.87	+9.0	29
2014-03-18	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	50.4	1212	1061	56.20%	21.75%	22.06%	+0.87	-9.0	48
2014-03-22	Ards	W 4-1	29.2	1348	1022	75.50%	15.55%	8.95%	+2.19	+4.0	57
2014-03-22	@ Crusaders	L 1-4	29.2	1022	1348	8.95%	15.55%	75.50%	-2.19	-3.9	21
2014-03-22	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	52.4	1092	1050	46.42%	22.98%	30.60%	+0.37	-0.6	36
2014-03-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1050	1092	30.60%	22.98%	46.42%	-0.37	+0.6	30
2014-03-22	Cliftonville	D 0-0	50.3	1262	1403	22.97%	21.95%	55.08%	-0.81	+1.4	50
2014-03-22	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.3	1403	1262	55.08%	21.95%	22.97%	+0.81	-1.4	70
2014-03-22	Glenavon	W 2-1	48.0	1126	1203	30.19%	22.95%	46.86%	-0.39	+7.7	44
2014-03-22	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.0	1203	1126	46.86%	22.95%	30.19%	+0.39	-7.7	48
2014-03-22	Linfield	D 0-0	49.8	1138	1352	16.80%	20.18%	63.02%	-1.27	+2.1	34
2014-03-22	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.8	1352	1138	63.02%	20.18%	16.80%	+1.27	-2.1	72
2014-03-22	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	27.2	1274	1070	65.14%	19.56%	15.31%	+1.41	+8.4	58
2014-03-22	@ Portadown	L 0-3	27.2	1070	1274	15.31%	19.56%	65.14%	-1.41	-8.4	29
2014-03-25	Glentoran	W 2-1	42.3	1352	1263	52.43%	22.35%	25.22%	+0.67	+4.7	60
2014-03-25	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	42.3	1263	1352	25.22%	22.35%	52.43%	-0.67	-4.6	50

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-03-28	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	57.6	1019	1061	34.51%	23.20%	42.29%	-0.18	+0.2	1
2014-03-28	@ Ards	D 2-2	57.6	1061	1019	42.29%	23.20%	34.51%	+0.18	-0.2	1
2014-03-29	Cliftonville	L 1-3	43.7	1350	1402	33.24%	23.14%	43.62%	-0.24	-10.1	0
2014-03-29	@ Linfield	W 3-1	43.7	1402	1350	43.62%	23.14%	33.24%	+0.24	+10.1	3
2014-03-29	Coleraine	W 2-1	48.4	1050	1140	28.56%	22.79%	48.65%	-0.48	+7.9	3
2014-03-29	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	48.4	1140	1050	48.65%	22.79%	28.56%	+0.48	-7.9	0
2014-03-29	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	47.8	1134	1092	46.43%	22.98%	30.59%	+0.37	-7.6	0
2014-03-29	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.8	1092	1134	30.59%	22.98%	46.43%	-0.37	+7.6	3
2014-03-29	Glenavon	L 0-4	37.9	1259	1195	49.26%	22.73%	28.01%	+0.51	-30.4	0
2014-03-29	@ Glentoran	W 4-0	37.9	1195	1259	28.01%	22.73%	49.26%	-0.51	+30.4	3
2014-03-29	Portadown	W 3-1	40.1	1357	1283	50.61%	22.58%	26.81%	+0.58	+8.5	3
2014-03-29	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	40.1	1283	1357	26.81%	22.58%	50.61%	-0.58	-8.5	0
2014-04-11	Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.5	1019	1058	34.95%	23.21%	41.84%	-0.16	+0.3	2
2014-04-11	@ Ards	D 0-0	48.5	1058	1019	41.84%	23.21%	34.95%	+0.16	-0.3	4
2014-04-12	Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.4	1132	1126	41.37%	23.22%	35.41%	+0.13	-0.2	1
2014-04-12	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.4	1126	1132	35.41%	23.22%	41.37%	-0.13	+0.2	1
2014-04-12	Glenavon	W 3-0	32.9	1274	1225	47.27%	22.91%	29.81%	+0.41	+15.6	3
2014-04-12	@ Portadown	L 0-3	32.9	1225	1274	29.81%	22.91%	47.27%	-0.41	-15.5	3
2014-04-12	Glentoran	W 2-0	31.1	1412	1228	63.08%	20.16%	16.75%	+1.28	+6.3	6
2014-04-12	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.1	1228	1412	16.75%	20.16%	63.08%	-1.28	-6.3	0
2014-04-12	Linfield	L 2-3	54.1	1365	1339	44.19%	23.12%	32.70%	+0.26	-6.9	3
2014-04-12	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	54.1	1339	1365	32.70%	23.12%	44.19%	-0.26	+6.9	3
2014-04-12	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-4	36.7	1099	1061	45.84%	23.02%	31.14%	+0.34	-28.6	3
2014-04-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	36.7	1061	1099	31.14%	23.02%	45.84%	-0.34	+28.6	4
2014-04-19	Ards	W 2-0	34.5	1071	1019	47.65%	22.88%	29.47%	+0.43	+10.6	6
2014-04-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	34.5	1019	1071	29.47%	22.88%	47.65%	-0.43	-10.6	2
2014-04-19	Ballymena United	D 0-0	48.5	1058	1127	31.14%	23.02%	45.84%	-0.34	+0.6	5
2014-04-19	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	48.5	1127	1058	45.84%	23.02%	31.14%	+0.34	-0.6	2
2014-04-19	Coleraine	L 0-1	39.5	1090	1132	34.60%	23.20%	42.20%	-0.17	-6.4	4
2014-04-19	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	39.5	1132	1090	42.20%	23.20%	34.60%	+0.17	+6.4	4
2014-04-19	Crusaders	W 3-0	40.4	1222	1358	23.46%	22.04%	54.50%	-0.78	+25.4	3
2014-04-19	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	40.4	1358	1222	54.50%	22.04%	23.46%	+0.78	-25.4	3
2014-04-19	Glenavon	W 5-0	28.0	1418	1210	65.55%	19.43%	15.03%	+1.44	+13.2	9
2014-04-19	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	28.0	1210	1418	15.03%	19.43%	65.55%	-1.44	-13.2	3
2014-04-19	Portadown	D 1-1	53.7	1346	1290	48.33%	22.82%	28.85%	+0.46	-0.7	4
2014-04-19	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.7	1290	1346	28.85%	22.82%	48.33%	-0.46	+0.7	4
2014-04-22	Ballymena United	W 1-0	41.8	1083	1126	34.54%	23.20%	42.27%	-0.18	+7.5	7
2014-04-22	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	41.8	1126	1083	42.27%	23.20%	34.54%	+0.18	-7.5	2
2014-04-22	Cliftonville	L 0-2	34.5	1290	1432	22.97%	21.95%	55.08%	-0.81	-8.5	4
2014-04-22	@ Portadown	W 2-0	34.5	1432	1290	55.08%	21.95%	22.97%	+0.81	+8.6	12
2014-04-22	Coleraine	L 0-1	36.0	1008	1138	24.11%	22.16%	53.73%	-0.74	-4.7	2
2014-04-22	@ Ards	W 1-0	36.0	1138	1008	53.73%	22.16%	24.11%	+0.74	+4.7	7
2014-04-22	Crusaders	L 1-3	38.3	1197	1333	23.44%	22.04%	54.52%	-0.78	-7.5	3
2014-04-22	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	38.3	1333	1197	54.52%	22.04%	23.44%	+0.78	+7.5	6
2014-04-22	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	57.6	1059	1081	37.33%	23.26%	39.42%	-0.05	+0.0	6
2014-04-22	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	57.6	1081	1059	39.42%	23.26%	37.33%	+0.05	-0.1	7
2014-04-22	Glentoran	L 0-2	42.4	1346	1247	53.57%	22.19%	24.24%	+0.73	-17.2	4
2014-04-22	@ Linfield	W 2-0	42.4	1247	1346	24.24%	22.19%	53.57%	-0.73	+17.2	6
2014-04-26	Ards	D 1-1	52.8	1119	1004	55.57%	21.86%	22.57%	+0.84	-1.3	3
2014-04-26	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	52.8	1004	1119	22.57%	21.86%	55.57%	-0.84	+1.3	3
2014-04-26	Ballinamallard United	L 0-3	37.1	1091	1059	45.03%	23.07%	31.90%	+0.30	-21.6	7
2014-04-26	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	37.1	1059	1091	31.90%	23.07%	45.03%	-0.30	+21.6	9
2014-04-26	Cliftonville	L 2-3	50.2	1341	1440	27.41%	22.66%	49.93%	-0.54	-4.7	6
2014-04-26	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	50.2	1440	1341	49.93%	22.66%	27.41%	+0.54	+4.7	15
2014-04-26	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	48.6	1143	1081	49.01%	22.76%	28.23%	+0.50	-0.9	8
2014-04-26	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	48.6	1081	1143	28.23%	22.76%	49.01%	-0.50	+0.9	8
2014-04-26	Glentoran	L 1-2	47.4	1282	1265	42.96%	23.17%	33.87%	+0.21	-7.2	4
2014-04-26	@ Portadown	W 2-1	47.4	1265	1282	33.87%	23.17%	42.96%	-0.21	+7.2	9
2014-04-26	Linfield	L 2-5	38.9	1189	1328	23.16%	21.98%	54.86%	-0.80	-9.1	3
2014-04-26	@ Glenavon	W 5-2	38.9	1328	1189	54.86%	21.98%	23.16%	+0.80	+9.1	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-12-21	13.39%	@ Ballymena United	1123	1	Crusaders	1389	0
2	2014-02-15	14.29%	@ Ards	1004	2	Glentoran	1255	1
3	2013-08-17	15.07%	Ballymena United	1115	2	@ Crusaders	1323	1
4	2013-11-16	16.00%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1092	1	Linfield	1317	0
5	2014-03-07	16.37%	@ Coleraine	1137	1	Crusaders	1356	0
6	2014-02-01	17.26%	Warrenpoint Town	1088	2	@ Glentoran	1265	1
7	2013-10-19	17.67%	@ Ards	1048	3	Portadown	1250	1
8	2013-09-02	18.55%	Coleraine	1169	3	@ Cliftonville	1329	1
9	2013-08-30	19.36%	Portadown	1188	2	@ Cliftonville	1339	1
10	2014-03-18	22.06%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1061	2	Glenavon	1212	1
11	2013-08-10	22.66%	@ Ballinamallard United	1188	1	Crusaders	1333	0
12	2014-04-19	23.46%	@ Glentoran	1222	3	Crusaders	1358	0
13	2013-11-09	24.22%	@ Ballinamallard United	1121	2	Portadown	1250	1
14	2014-04-22	24.24%	Glentoran	1247	2	@ Linfield	1346	0
15	2013-10-18	24.32%	Ballinamallard United	1112	3	@ Glenavon	1210	2
16	2014-01-18	24.51%	Portadown	1267	1	@ Cliftonville	1363	0
17	2013-11-29	25.24%	Dungannon Swifts	1108	3	@ Glenavon	1197	1
18	2013-09-21	25.29%	@ Glenavon	1210	1	Cliftonville	1329	0
19	2013-11-09	25.62%	@ Ards	1055	3	Coleraine	1171	1
20	2014-03-08	27.10%	Ards	1009	2	@ Warrenpoint Town	1081	0
21	2014-02-15	27.11%	@ Glenavon	1183	4	Portadown	1286	2
22	2013-09-28	27.62%	@ Ards	1035	4	Ballinamallard United	1133	1
23	2013-10-14	27.88%	Glenavon	1197	4	@ Portadown	1262	2
24	2014-03-29	28.01%	Glenavon	1195	4	@ Glentoran	1259	0
25	2013-12-26	28.29%	@ Glenavon	1178	3	Portadown	1270	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-09-07	62.39	@ Portadown	11	1190	40.30%	Ballinamallard United	0	1192	36.45%	23.25%
2	2014-03-29	30.41	Glenavon	4	1195	28.01%	@ Glentoran	0	1259	49.26%	22.73%
3	2014-04-12	28.63	Warrenpoint Town	4	1061	31.14%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1099	45.84%	23.02%
4	2014-04-19	25.39	@ Glentoran	3	1222	23.46%	Crusaders	0	1358	54.50%	22.04%
5	2014-02-15	25.00	@ Cliftonville	4	1365	38.05%	Crusaders	0	1382	38.68%	23.26%
6	2013-10-26	21.94	Portadown	5	1233	52.07%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1116	25.53%	22.40%
7	2014-04-26	21.60	Ballinamallard United	3	1059	31.90%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1091	45.03%	23.07%
8	2013-09-28	19.78	@ Ards	4	1035	27.62%	Ballinamallard United	1	1133	49.70%	22.69%
9	2013-11-30	17.92	@ Cliftonville	3	1315	41.24%	Linfield	0	1310	35.53%	23.23%
10	2014-01-14	17.90	@ Coleraine	3	1108	41.29%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1103	35.48%	23.23%
11	2014-04-22	17.23	Glentoran	2	1247	24.24%	@ Linfield	0	1346	53.57%	22.19%
12	2013-10-19	16.91	@ Ards	3	1048	17.67%	Portadown	1	1250	61.83%	20.50%
13	2013-09-07	16.90	Crusaders	3	1320	43.86%	@ Glentoran	0	1266	33.01%	23.13%
14	2013-09-02	16.63	Coleraine	3	1169	18.55%	@ Cliftonville	1	1329	60.66%	20.80%
15	2014-03-08	16.31	Ards	2	1009	27.10%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1081	50.27%	22.62%
16	2013-08-30	16.18	@ Ballinamallard United	3	1190	45.69%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1153	31.28%	23.03%
17	2014-04-12	15.56	@ Portadown	3	1274	47.27%	Glenavon	0	1225	29.81%	22.91%
18	2013-08-30	15.43	@ Ards	2	1054	29.98%	Ballymena United	0	1132	47.09%	22.93%
19	2013-09-03	14.90	@ Glentoran	5	1251	62.89%	Ards	0	1069	16.89%	20.22%
20	2013-09-03	14.75	Glenavon	2	1178	32.33%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1207	44.58%	23.10%
21	2013-11-29	14.63	Dungannon Swifts	3	1108	25.24%	@ Glenavon	1	1197	52.40%	22.36%
22	2013-11-09	14.53	@ Ards	3	1055	25.62%	Coleraine	1	1171	51.96%	22.42%
23	2013-12-02	14.35	Portadown	2	1249	33.73%	@ Glentoran	0	1267	43.10%	23.17%
24	2013-12-21	14.07	Dungannon Swifts	2	1113	34.74%	@ Coleraine	0	1123	42.06%	23.20%
25	2013-11-23	13.59	Ballymena United	2	1100	36.50%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1098	40.25%	23.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-01-24	64.1	@ Linfield	3	1324	74.70%	Ards	3	1008	9.39%	15.91%
2	2013-11-23	62.6	@ Portadown	3	1249	31.42%	Cliftonville	3	1315	45.55%	23.04%
3	2013-08-30	62.0	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1122	32.82%	Glenavon	3	1178	44.06%	23.12%
4	2013-11-02	59.0	@ Cliftonville	2	1310	66.24%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1094	14.55%	19.20%
5	2014-02-21	59.0	@ Crusaders	2	1357	60.77%	Glenavon	2	1196	18.46%	20.77%
6	2013-11-09	58.9	@ Glenavon	2	1199	20.11%	Crusaders	2	1371	58.63%	21.26%
7	2013-09-21	58.7	@ Crusaders	2	1335	51.16%	Portadown	2	1257	26.32%	22.52%
8	2013-08-30	58.5	@ Coleraine	2	1168	21.63%	Crusaders	2	1323	56.71%	21.65%
9	2013-10-05	58.2	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1123	23.05%	Portadown	2	1263	54.99%	21.96%
10	2014-01-04	58.1	@ Glentoran	2	1261	40.25%	Portadown	2	1263	36.50%	23.25%
11	2013-10-12	57.8	@ Ballymena United	2	1099	30.27%	Coleraine	2	1175	46.78%	22.95%
12	2013-08-17	57.7	@ Coleraine	2	1168	38.81%	Portadown	2	1180	37.93%	23.26%
13	2013-08-23	57.7	@ Glenavon	2	1178	42.01%	Coleraine	2	1168	34.79%	23.21%
14	2014-02-15	57.7	@ Ballymena United	2	1138	42.01%	Coleraine	2	1127	34.79%	23.21%
15	2013-11-02	57.6	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1116	39.81%	Ballinamallard United	2	1121	36.93%	23.25%
16	2014-03-28	57.6	@ Ards	2	1019	34.51%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1061	42.29%	23.20%
17	2014-04-22	57.6	@ Ballinamallard United	2	1059	37.33%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1081	39.42%	23.26%
18	2013-10-18	54.8	Ballinamallard United	3	1112	24.32%	@ Glenavon	2	1210	53.48%	22.20%
19	2013-12-26	54.6	@ Crusaders	1	1377	44.72%	Cliftonville	1	1347	32.19%	23.09%
20	2014-01-18	54.4	@ Warrenpoint Town	1	1085	11.64%	Crusaders	1	1383	70.79%	17.56%
21	2014-01-14	54.3	@ Linfield	1	1319	31.76%	Crusaders	1	1383	45.18%	23.06%
22	2014-04-12	54.1	Linfield	3	1339	32.70%	@ Crusaders	2	1365	44.19%	23.12%
23	2013-12-26	53.8	@ Glenavon	3	1178	28.29%	Portadown	2	1270	48.95%	22.76%
24	2014-01-01	53.8	@ Portadown	1	1262	25.74%	Crusaders	1	1377	51.82%	22.43%
25	2013-09-03	53.7	@ Crusaders	1	1322	64.67%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1123	15.63%	19.70%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-03-08	24.2	@ Cliftonville	5	1392	75.41%	Ballinamallard United	0	1068	9.00%	15.59%
2	2013-12-13	25.1	Cliftonville	4	1336	70.33%	@ Ards	0	1045	11.93%	17.75%
3	2014-03-15	26.2	@ Linfield	3	1345	68.95%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1099	12.78%	18.27%
4	2013-11-23	26.6	@ Crusaders	4	1373	66.65%	Coleraine	0	1152	14.28%	19.07%
5	2014-02-15	27.0	@ Linfield	6	1316	68.52%	Ballinamallard United	0	1075	13.06%	18.42%
6	2014-03-15	27.0	Cliftonville	2	1400	73.90%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1064	9.83%	16.27%
7	2014-03-22	27.2	@ Portadown	3	1274	65.14%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1070	15.31%	19.56%
8	2013-09-03	27.8	@ Glentoran	5	1251	62.89%	Ards	0	1069	16.89%	20.22%
9	2013-12-14	27.8	@ Linfield	3	1296	63.42%	Ballinamallard United	0	1109	16.52%	20.07%
10	2014-04-19	28.0	@ Cliftonville	5	1418	65.55%	Glenavon	0	1210	15.03%	19.43%
11	2013-12-07	28.5	@ Glentoran	3	1253	60.75%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1092	18.48%	20.78%
12	2014-01-01	28.5	@ Cliftonville	2	1348	68.87%	Coleraine	0	1103	12.83%	18.30%
13	2014-03-15	28.5	Glentoran	3	1252	60.78%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1060	18.45%	20.77%
14	2013-10-26	28.6	@ Crusaders	2	1361	68.55%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1120	13.04%	18.41%
15	2014-03-22	29.2	@ Crusaders	4	1348	75.50%	Ards	1	1022	8.95%	15.55%
16	2014-01-06	29.8	@ Crusaders	5	1376	69.69%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1122	12.32%	17.99%
17	2013-11-30	29.9	Crusaders	4	1383	73.32%	@ Ards	1	1055	10.16%	16.52%
18	2013-09-28	30.6	@ Crusaders	3	1335	55.65%	Glenavon	0	1219	22.50%	21.85%
19	2014-03-07	30.8	@ Glentoran	3	1239	53.35%	Ballymena United	0	1142	24.43%	22.22%
20	2013-10-12	31.0	Cliftonville	2	1306	60.17%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1119	18.92%	20.92%
21	2013-10-12	31.0	@ Linfield	2	1285	60.08%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1130	18.99%	20.94%
22	2013-10-26	31.0	Portadown	5	1233	52.07%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1116	25.53%	22.40%
23	2014-04-12	31.1	@ Cliftonville	2	1412	63.08%	Glentoran	0	1228	16.75%	20.16%
24	2013-11-09	31.4	@ Linfield	5	1307	63.87%	Warrenpoint Town	1	1115	16.19%	19.94%
25	2013-11-16	31.6	@ Portadown	2	1241	57.91%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1106	20.67%	21.41%