2014-15 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Crusaders

82 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glenavon

3.99 points above expected

66 points · 62.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Institute Drumahoe

4.78 points below expected

21 points · 25.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Crusaders	33	22	7	4	73	85	39	+46	61.34	+11.66
2	Linfield	33	19	7	7	64	59	39	+20	60.79	+3.21
3	Cliftonville	33	15	12	6	57	65	38	+27	66.94	-9.94
4	Portadown	33	16	9	8	57	61	48	+13	56.54	+0.46
5	Glentoran	33	15	9	9	54	65	43	+22	54.47	-0.47
6	Glenavon	33	16	6	11	54	68	59	+9	45.28	+8.72
7	Coleraine	33	11	7	15	40	42	46	-4	41.48	-1.48
8	Ballymena United	33	10	6	17	36	54	72	-18	37.89	-1.89
9	Dungannon Swifts	33	7	11	15	32	35	52	-17	32.72	-0.72
10	Ballinamallard United	33	7	8	18	29	31	65	-34	34.18	-5.18
11	Warrenpoint Town	33	5	10	18	25	39	67	-28	29.62	-4.62
12	Institute Drumahoe	33	4	8	21	20	32	68	-36	26.73	-6.73

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Crusaders	38	25	7	6	82	93	43	+50	81.90	+0.10
2	Linfield	38	21	9	8	72	67	46	+21	70.96	+1.04
3	Glenavon	38	20	6	12	66	82	65	+17	62.01	+3.99
4	Portadown	38	17	11	10	62	65	56	+9	62.92	-0.92
5	Cliftonville	38	16	13	9	61	71	47	+24	62.21	-1.21
6	Glentoran	38	16	10	12	58	67	51	+16	60.26	-2.26

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ballymena United	38	15	6	17	51	62	75	-13	48.55	+2.45
2	Coleraine	38	13	7	18	46	48	52	-4	45.18	+0.82
3	Ballinamallard United	38	10	9	19	39	40	71	-31	37.88	+1.12
4	Dungannon Swifts	38	8	13	17	37	38	56	-18	36.28	+0.72
5	Warrenpoint Town	38	6	12	20	30	50	76	-26	31.58	-1.58
6	Institute Drumahoe	38	4	9	25	21	36	81	-45	25.78	-4.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glenavon	66	62.01	+3.99
2	Ballymena United	51	48.55	+2.45
3	Ballinamallard United	39	37.88	+1.12
4	Linfield	72	70.96	+1.04
5	Coleraine	46	45.18	+0.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Institute Drumahoe	21	25.78	-4.78
2	Glentoran	58	60.26	-2.26
3	Warrenpoint Town	30	31.58	-1.58
4	Cliftonville	61	62.21	-1.21
5	Portadown	62	62.92	-0.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glenavon	7	Mar 7 – Apr 18	1 in 3,695
2	Ballymena United	6	Mar 28 – Apr 25	1 in 182
3	Crusaders	7	Dec 13 – Jan 23	1 in 134
4	Portadown	6	Nov 1 – Dec 6	1 in 63
5	Linfield	6	Nov 22 – Dec 26	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	4	Mar 28 – Apr 11	1 in 118
2	Warrenpoint Town	5	Aug 9 – Aug 30	1 in 54
3	Ballinamallard United	4	Sep 13 – Oct 3	1 in 30
4	Dungannon Swifts	4	Aug 23 – Sep 6	1 in 26
5	Institute Drumahoe	6	Jan 1 – Feb 14	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Warrenpoint Town	5	Dec 6 – Jan 1	1 in 27
2	Ballinamallard United	4	Jan 27 – Feb 21	1 in 22
3	Crusaders	13	Dec 13 – Mar 28	1 in 22
4	Glenavon	7	Dec 26 – Feb 14	1 in 18
5	Ballymena United	6	Mar 28 – Apr 25	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	7	Dec 20 – Feb 10	1 in 588
2	Institute Drumahoe	25	Oct 25 – Apr 25	1 in 233
3	Glenavon	7	Nov 15 – Dec 26	1 in 48
4	Dungannon Swifts	13	Aug 23 – Nov 8	1 in 47
5	Coleraine	6	Dec 20 – Jan 27	1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Crusaders	1454	82	+6	9	8.7	+0.3
Linfield	1365	72	+3	8	6.8	+1.2
Glenavon	1334	66	+57	12	5.9	+6.1
Portadown	1308	62	-9	5	5.4	-0.4
Cliftonville	1387	61	-32	4	8.3	-4.3
Glentoran	1308	58	-26	4	6.2	-2.2
Ballymena United	1178	51	+24	15	7.9	+7.1
Coleraine	1215	46	-14	6	9.3	-3.3
Ballinamallard United	1101	39	+17	10	6.3	+3.7
Dungannon Swifts	1137	37	-6	5	7.4	-2.4
Warrenpoint Town	1119	30	+4	5	6.3	-1.3
Institute Drumahoe	1005	21	-25	1	4.2	-3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	ID	LIN	POR	WT
Ballinamallard United	—	1-0-3 4.63	0-1-2 1.65	3-1-0 4.12	0-1-2 1.90	2-1-1 5.54	1-0-2 2.89	0-1-2 2.27	2-1-1 6.61	0-1-2 2.07	0-1-2 2.26	1-1-2 5.66
Ballymena United	3-0-1 6.35	—	0-1-2 1.77	3-0-1 4.84	0-1-2 2.11	2-1-1 6.03	0-0-3 3.63	0-1-2 2.84	4-0-0 7.31	0-0-3 2.28	1-1-1 2.49	2-1-1 6.25
Cliftonville	2-1-0 6.82	2-1-0 6.68	—	0-1-2 6.41	1-0-3 6.09	1-2-0 6.87	1-1-2 7.84	0-2-2 7.18	3-0-0 7.47	1-3-0 6.59	4-0-0 6.95	1-2-0 7.18
Coleraine	0-1-3 6.88	1-0-3 6.13	2-1-0 1.99	—	0-0-3 2.48	1-0-3 6.75	2-1-0 3.67	1-1-1 3.03	2-1-1 7.81	0-1-2 2.54	1-1-1 2.85	3-1-0 6.82
Crusaders	2-1-0 6.51	2-1-0 6.26	3-0-1 4.88	3-0-0 5.84	—	1-2-0 6.52	2-1-1 7.37	4-0-0 6.64	2-1-0 7.26	2-1-1 6.13	1-0-3 6.55	3-0-0 6.69
Dungannon Swifts	1-1-2 5.42	1-1-2 4.94	0-2-1 1.61	3-0-1 4.26	0-2-1 1.89	—	2-0-1 2.74	0-0-3 2.28	1-3-0 6.87	0-0-3 2.07	0-1-2 2.14	0-3-1 5.85
Glenavon	2-0-1 5.38	3-0-0 4.60	2-1-1 3.26	0-1-2 4.55	1-1-2 3.67	1-0-2 5.54	—	3-0-1 4.57	2-1-0 6.15	3-0-1 4.36	1-1-2 4.76	2-1-0 5.41
Glentoran	2-1-0 6.09	2-1-0 5.43	2-2-0 3.85	1-1-1 5.22	0-0-4 4.37	3-0-0 6.07	1-0-3 6.41	—	2-1-0 6.58	0-1-3 4.83	0-3-1 5.23	3-0-0 5.88
Institute Drumahoe	1-1-2 4.38	0-0-4 3.73	0-0-3 1.14	1-1-2 3.29	0-1-2 1.31	0-3-1 4.15	0-1-2 2.21	0-1-2 1.85	—	0-1-2 1.52	0-0-3 1.66	2-1-1 4.60
Linfield	2-1-0 6.31	3-0-0 6.07	0-3-1 4.40	2-1-0 5.77	1-1-2 4.84	3-0-0 6.31	1-0-3 6.63	3-1-0 6.14	2-1-0 6.98	—	1-1-2 6.43	3-0-0 6.50
Portadown	2-1-0 6.09	1-1-1 5.84	0-0-4 4.06	1-1-1 5.42	3-0-1 4.44	2-1-0 6.23	2-1-1 6.24	1-3-0 5.74	3-0-0 6.81	2-1-1 4.55	—	0-2-1 6.35
Warrenpoint Town	2-1-1 5.30	1-1-2 4.72	0-2-1 1.37	0-1-3 4.19	0-0-3 1.76	1-3-0 5.11	0-1-2 2.87	0-0-3 2.44	1-1-2 6.38	0-0-3 1.91	1-2-0 2.03	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+9.2
Allowed	0.58	-10.4
Differential	0.92	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.51%	6.36%	5.04%	2.85%	1.97%	1.32%	21.05%
1	6.36%	11.84%	7.68%	4.61%	1.54%	0.66%	32.68%
2	5.04%	7.68%	7.02%	3.95%	0.66%	0.44%	24.78%
3	2.85%	4.61%	3.95%	1.75%	0.22%	0.22%	13.60%
4	1.97%	1.54%	0.66%	0.22%	—	—	4.39%
5+	1.32%	0.66%	0.44%	0.22%	—	0.88%	3.51%
Total	21.05%	32.68%	24.78%	13.60%	4.39%	3.51%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.57	+0.00
SD	1.32	1.32	1.98
CV	0.84	0.84	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	-1	-1	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	31.58%
1	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	13.16%	—	—	39.47%
2	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	26.32%	13.16%	31.58%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.87	-0.82
SD	0.93	1.53	2.06
CV	0.88	0.82	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	21.05%
1	5.26%	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
2	2.63%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
Total	15.79%	23.68%	31.58%	15.79%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.97	-0.34
SD	1.20	1.52	2.04
CV	0.73	0.77	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	21.05%
1	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	—	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	31.58%	34.21%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.87	1.24	+0.63
SD	1.60	1.22	2.15
CV	0.85	0.98	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
1	5.26%	10.53%	18.42%	—	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	2.63%	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
Total	26.32%	31.58%	28.95%	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.34	-0.11
SD	1.22	1.42	1.77
CV	0.98	1.06	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
1	10.53%	7.89%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
Total	31.58%	39.47%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.45	1.13	+1.32
SD	1.62	1.07	1.95
CV	0.66	0.95	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	34.21%
1	5.26%	23.68%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	52.63%	18.42%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.47	-0.47
SD	0.87	0.98	1.33
CV	0.87	0.66	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
1	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	—	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	18.42%
4	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	28.95%	31.58%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.16	1.71	+0.45
SD	1.28	1.41	1.95
CV	0.60	0.83	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	23.68%	36.84%	26.32%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.34	+0.42
SD	1.36	1.10	1.90
CV	0.77	0.82	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	18.42%
1	5.26%	21.05%	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	65.79%
2	2.63%	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
Total	7.89%	23.68%	31.58%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	2.11	-1.18
SD	0.71	1.41	1.54
CV	0.77	0.67	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
1	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	—	18.42%	10.53%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	—	—	—	26.32%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	31.58%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.21	+0.55
SD	1.08	0.84	1.46
CV	0.61	0.70	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	26.32%
1	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
Total	28.95%	28.95%	23.68%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.47	+0.24
SD	1.41	1.45	1.91
CV	0.83	0.98	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	5.26%	31.58%
1	—	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	2.63%	26.32%
3	—	—	—	5.26%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	15.79%	23.68%	23.68%	26.32%	2.63%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.00	-0.68
SD	1.45	1.41	2.24
CV	1.10	0.71	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Crusaders	1454	82	61.34	+20.66	97.0%	45	50	57	62	67	71	77
Cliftonville	1387	61	66.94	-5.94	8.0%	51	56	62	66	72	76	84
Linfield	1365	72	60.79	+11.21	69.0%	42	49	56	60	66	73	78
Glenavon	1334	66	45.28	+20.72	90.0%	25	34	40	45	51	57	68
Portadown	1308	62	56.54	+5.46	55.0%	36	41	50	56	63	69	80
Glentoran	1308	58	54.47	+3.53	48.0%	37	44	49	55	60	68	73
Coleraine	1215	46	41.48	+4.52	46.0%	25	30	36	41	47	54	57
Ballymena United	1178	51	37.89	+13.11	47.0%	19	25	33	37	42	51	56
Dungannon Swifts	1137	37	32.72	+4.28	51.0%	17	20	27	32	38	45	48
Warrenpoint Town	1119	30	29.62	+0.38	24.0%	12	20	26	29	33	40	49
Ballinamallard United	1101	39	34.18	+4.82	25.0%	21	23	29	34	39	46	48
Institute Drumahoe	1005	21	26.73	-5.73	17.0%	15	18	22	26	30	38	44

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+9.21%

Slight Edge

42.11%25.00%32.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 32.09 Elo pts.

175 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.9

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

23%

Crusaders, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.26/gm

Comfortable

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.69 * Some Luck: 5.69 to 8.53 * Lucky: 8.53 to 11.38 * Wild Swing: 11.38 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1 * Close: 1 to 1.5 * Off: 1.5 to 2 * Way Off: 2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.90 points

Some Luck

07.1118

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.253

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.00%

Crusaders

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

Cliftonville

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Balanced

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 137.13

2.22

Strong Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

76%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

92%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.77

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.89

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.01

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.19

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.110

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Crusaders	23.00%	23.00%	29.00%	14.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	17.00%	21.00%	22.00%	30.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	15.00%	27.00%	23.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%
Portadown	5.00%	21.00%	14.00%	21.00%	21.00%	12.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	51.00%	26.00%	15.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	4.00%	8.00%	16.00%	16.00%	35.00%	11.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	16.00%	12.00%	19.00%	26.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Coleraine	—	—	—	4.00%	10.00%	18.00%	23.00%	18.00%	15.00%	5.00%	7.00%	—
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	13.00%	17.00%	18.00%	19.00%	22.00%	5.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	17.00%	14.00%	22.00%	16.00%	15.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	9.00%	14.00%	27.00%	21.00%	27.00%
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	17.00%	25.00%	46.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Crusaders	99.37%	0.63%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	0.63%	92.54%	5.94%	0.85%	0.04%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	1.93%	25.65%	27.90%	26.93%	17.59%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	3.02%	33.66%	26.98%	23.46%	12.88%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	1.41%	25.02%	27.70%	26.29%	19.58%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	0.47%	9.73%	16.57%	23.28%	49.95%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	78.58%	20.71%	0.71%	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.94%	72.05%	6.21%	0.79%	0.01%	—
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.45%	5.20%	58.21%	31.39%	4.70%	0.05%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.03%	1.96%	31.67%	52.92%	13.01%	0.41%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.08%	3.18%	14.29%	73.31%	9.14%
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	0.61%	8.97%	90.40%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	97.00%	3.00%	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Ballymena United	83.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Ballinamallard United	72.00%	21.00%	7.00%
Dungannon Swifts	70.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Warrenpoint Town	54.00%	22.00%	24.00%
Institute Drumahoe	24.00%	25.00%	51.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	99.99%	0.01%	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Portadown	100%	—	—
Ballinamallard United	95.25%	4.70%	0.05%
Dungannon Swifts	86.58%	13.01%	0.41%
Warrenpoint Town	17.55%	73.31%	9.14%
Institute Drumahoe	0.63%	8.97%	90.40%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-08-09	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	51.7	1211	1160	48.77%	25.09%	26.14%	+0.48	-0.7	1
2014-08-09	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	51.7	1160	1211	26.14%	25.09%	48.77%	-0.48	+0.7	1
2014-08-09	Crusaders	D 2-2	57.8	1235	1347	26.97%	25.27%	47.76%	-0.46	+0.5	1
2014-08-09	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	57.8	1347	1235	47.76%	25.27%	26.97%	+0.46	-0.5	1
2014-08-09	Glentoran	D 0-0	50.4	1420	1300	57.41%	22.88%	19.71%	+0.87	-1.4	1
2014-08-09	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	50.4	1300	1420	19.71%	22.88%	57.41%	-0.87	+1.4	1
2014-08-09	Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	57.5	1167	1075	53.99%	23.90%	22.11%	+0.71	-0.8	1
2014-08-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	57.5	1075	1167	22.11%	23.90%	53.99%	-0.71	+0.8	1
2014-08-09	Portadown	L 0-3	39.7	1344	1302	47.53%	25.31%	27.16%	+0.42	-18.8	0
2014-08-09	@ Linfield	W 3-0	39.7	1302	1344	27.16%	25.31%	47.53%	-0.42	+18.8	3
2014-08-09	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	34.8	1191	1158	46.31%	25.50%	28.20%	+0.37	+8.6	3
2014-08-09	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	34.8	1158	1191	28.20%	25.50%	46.31%	-0.37	-8.6	0
2014-08-13	Ballymena United	D 2-2	58.7	1346	1200	60.46%	21.81%	17.73%	+1.02	-1.0	2
2014-08-13	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.7	1200	1346	17.73%	21.81%	60.46%	-1.02	+1.0	4
2014-08-13	Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.6	1321	1418	28.55%	25.55%	45.90%	-0.38	-4.6	3
2014-08-13	@ Portadown	W 1-0	40.6	1418	1321	45.90%	25.55%	28.55%	+0.38	+4.6	4
2014-08-13	Coleraine	W 2-0	41.3	1075	1211	24.49%	24.67%	50.84%	-0.59	+13.6	4
2014-08-13	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	41.3	1211	1075	50.84%	24.67%	24.49%	+0.59	-13.6	1
2014-08-13	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	51.3	1161	1166	40.98%	26.04%	32.98%	+0.15	-0.2	2
2014-08-13	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	51.3	1166	1161	32.98%	26.04%	40.98%	-0.15	+0.2	2
2014-08-13	Glenavon	L 0-2	35.5	1150	1236	29.99%	25.76%	44.25%	-0.31	-9.0	0
2014-08-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	35.5	1236	1150	44.25%	25.76%	29.99%	+0.31	+9.0	4
2014-08-13	Linfield	L 2-3	52.7	1301	1325	38.30%	26.15%	35.55%	+0.04	-5.2	1
2014-08-13	@ Glentoran	W 3-2	52.7	1325	1301	35.55%	26.15%	38.30%	-0.04	+5.2	3
2014-08-16	Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	35.2	1345	1160	64.74%	20.08%	15.18%	+1.24	+4.1	5
2014-08-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	35.2	1160	1345	15.18%	20.08%	64.74%	-1.24	-4.1	2
2014-08-16	Cliftonville	L 2-3	40.8	1089	1423	10.95%	16.19%	72.86%	-1.73	-1.5	4
2014-08-16	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	40.8	1423	1089	72.86%	16.19%	10.95%	+1.73	+1.5	7
2014-08-16	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	41.8	1245	1166	52.26%	24.35%	23.39%	+0.63	-13.9	4
2014-08-16	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	41.8	1166	1245	23.39%	24.35%	52.26%	-0.63	+14.0	5
2014-08-16	Linfield	L 1-2	42.2	1197	1330	24.66%	24.72%	50.62%	-0.58	-3.8	1
2014-08-16	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	42.2	1330	1197	50.62%	24.72%	24.66%	+0.58	+3.8	6
2014-08-16	Portadown	W 3-2	54.7	1201	1316	26.61%	25.19%	48.20%	-0.47	+6.2	7
2014-08-16	@ Ballymena United	L 2-3	54.7	1316	1201	48.20%	25.19%	26.61%	+0.47	-6.2	3
2014-08-16	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	36.0	1296	1141	61.44%	21.43%	17.12%	+1.07	+4.6	4
2014-08-16	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	36.0	1141	1296	17.12%	21.43%	61.44%	-1.07	-4.6	0
2014-08-23	Ballymena United	L 0-3	36.0	1180	1207	37.92%	26.15%	35.93%	+0.03	-15.7	5
2014-08-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	36.0	1207	1180	35.93%	26.15%	37.92%	-0.03	+15.7	10
2014-08-23	Coleraine	L 1-3	42.2	1136	1193	33.69%	26.08%	40.23%	-0.14	-8.6	0
2014-08-23	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	42.2	1193	1136	40.23%	26.08%	33.69%	+0.14	+8.6	4
2014-08-23	Crusaders	W 3-1	44.8	1310	1349	36.11%	26.16%	37.73%	-0.04	+9.3	6
2014-08-23	@ Portadown	L 1-3	44.8	1349	1310	37.73%	26.16%	36.11%	+0.04	-9.4	5
2014-08-23	Glenavon	D 3-3	64.5	1425	1231	65.69%	19.66%	14.65%	+1.29	-1.0	8
2014-08-23	@ Cliftonville	D 3-3	64.5	1231	1425	14.65%	19.66%	65.69%	-1.29	+1.0	5
2014-08-23	Glentoran	D 2-2	57.6	1156	1300	23.60%	24.41%	51.99%	-0.64	+0.7	3
2014-08-23	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	57.6	1300	1156	51.99%	24.41%	23.60%	+0.64	-0.7	5
2014-08-23	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	54.1	1334	1088	71.02%	17.13%	11.85%	+1.60	-1.9	7
2014-08-23	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.1	1088	1334	11.85%	17.13%	71.02%	-1.60	+1.9	5
2014-08-29	Ballymena United	W 2-1	44.3	1232	1223	42.98%	25.89%	31.13%	+0.23	+4.7	8
2014-08-29	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	44.3	1223	1232	31.13%	25.89%	42.98%	-0.23	-4.7	10
2014-08-29	Portadown	D 0-0	48.1	1202	1319	26.34%	25.14%	48.52%	-0.49	+0.8	5
2014-08-29	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	48.1	1319	1202	48.52%	25.14%	26.34%	+0.49	-0.8	7
2014-08-30	Cliftonville	L 0-4	27.1	1157	1424	14.37%	19.43%	66.20%	-1.34	-8.4	3
2014-08-30	@ Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	27.1	1424	1157	66.20%	19.43%	14.37%	+1.34	+8.4	11
2014-08-30	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.4	1332	1165	62.87%	20.87%	16.27%	+1.14	+2.7	10
2014-08-30	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.4	1165	1332	16.27%	20.87%	62.87%	-1.14	-2.7	5
2014-08-30	Glentoran	W 1-0	38.9	1340	1300	47.29%	25.35%	27.37%	+0.41	+4.5	8
2014-08-30	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	38.9	1300	1340	27.37%	25.35%	47.29%	-0.41	-4.5	5
2014-08-30	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	41.0	1090	1128	36.34%	26.16%	37.50%	-0.03	+5.7	8
2014-08-30	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	41.0	1128	1090	37.50%	26.16%	36.34%	+0.03	-5.7	0
2014-09-02	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	36.0	1236	1149	53.46%	24.04%	22.50%	+0.69	+3.7	11
2014-09-02	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	36.0	1149	1236	22.50%	24.04%	53.46%	-0.69	-3.7	3
2014-09-02	Crusaders	L 2-6	37.8	1203	1344	23.81%	24.47%	51.72%	-0.63	-10.0	5
2014-09-02	@ Coleraine	W 6-2	37.8	1344	1203	51.72%	24.47%	23.81%	+0.63	+10.0	11
2014-09-02	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	39.6	1218	1095	57.75%	22.77%	19.49%	+0.89	+3.1	13
2014-09-02	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	39.6	1095	1218	19.49%	22.77%	57.75%	-0.89	-3.1	8
2014-09-02	Linfield	D 0-0	51.0	1432	1335	54.59%	23.74%	21.68%	+0.74	-1.2	12
2014-09-02	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	51.0	1335	1432	21.68%	23.74%	54.59%	-0.74	+1.2	11
2014-09-02	Portadown	D 1-1	52.2	1295	1318	38.47%	26.14%	35.38%	+0.05	-0.1	6
2014-09-02	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	52.2	1318	1295	35.38%	26.14%	38.47%	-0.05	+0.1	8
2014-09-02	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	40.5	1162	1122	47.25%	25.35%	27.40%	+0.41	-12.8	5
2014-09-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	40.5	1122	1162	27.40%	25.35%	47.25%	-0.41	+12.9	3
2014-09-06	Ballymena United	W 3-0	37.4	1145	1221	31.15%	25.89%	42.96%	-0.25	+17.3	6
2014-09-06	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-3	37.4	1221	1145	42.96%	25.89%	31.15%	+0.25	-17.3	13
2014-09-06	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	1135	1431	12.76%	18.02%	69.22%	-1.51	+1.9	4
2014-09-06	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.3	1431	1135	69.22%	18.02%	12.76%	+1.51	-1.8	13
2014-09-06	Coleraine	W 2-0	32.4	1295	1193	55.29%	23.53%	21.18%	+0.77	+6.6	9
2014-09-06	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	32.4	1193	1295	21.18%	23.53%	55.29%	-0.77	-6.6	5
2014-09-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.3	1318	1149	63.06%	20.79%	16.16%	+1.15	+2.7	11
2014-09-06	@ Portadown	L 0-1	33.3	1149	1318	16.16%	20.79%	63.06%	-1.15	-2.7	5
2014-09-06	Glenavon	L 1-4	36.3	1092	1240	23.23%	24.29%	52.48%	-0.66	-8.9	8
2014-09-06	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	36.3	1240	1092	52.48%	24.29%	23.23%	+0.66	+8.9	14
2014-09-13	Coleraine	L 2-3	59.6	1429	1186	70.67%	17.30%	12.02%	+1.57	-8.4	13
2014-09-13	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	59.6	1186	1429	12.02%	17.30%	70.67%	-1.57	+8.4	8
2014-09-13	Crusaders	D 2-2	58.4	1146	1354	18.17%	22.07%	59.76%	-1.01	+1.0	6
2014-09-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	58.4	1354	1146	59.76%	22.07%	18.17%	+1.01	-1.0	12
2014-09-13	Glentoran	D 2-2	57.4	1204	1302	28.56%	25.55%	45.89%	-0.38	+0.4	14
2014-09-13	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.4	1302	1204	45.89%	25.55%	28.56%	+0.38	-0.4	10
2014-09-13	Institute Drumahoe	L 2-3	55.3	1162	1083	52.32%	24.33%	23.35%	+0.64	-6.6	6
2014-09-13	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-2	55.3	1083	1162	23.35%	24.33%	52.32%	-0.64	+6.6	11
2014-09-13	Portadown	L 2-4	46.7	1249	1321	31.71%	25.94%	42.34%	-0.23	-7.3	14
2014-09-13	@ Glenavon	W 4-2	46.7	1321	1249	42.34%	25.94%	31.71%	+0.23	+7.3	14
2014-09-13	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	32.3	1336	1137	66.29%	19.39%	14.32%	+1.33	+2.3	14
2014-09-13	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.3	1137	1336	14.32%	19.39%	66.29%	-1.33	-2.3	4
2014-09-20	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	27.9	1328	1156	63.43%	20.63%	15.93%	+1.17	+7.2	17
2014-09-20	@ Portadown	L 0-3	27.9	1156	1328	15.93%	20.63%	63.43%	-1.17	-7.2	6
2014-09-20	Ballymena United	L 1-2	47.0	1194	1204	40.32%	26.08%	33.61%	+0.13	-5.7	8
2014-09-20	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	47.0	1204	1194	33.61%	26.08%	40.32%	-0.13	+5.7	17
2014-09-20	Crusaders	L 0-3	28.7	1134	1353	17.38%	21.59%	61.03%	-1.07	-7.9	4
2014-09-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	28.7	1353	1134	61.03%	21.59%	17.38%	+1.07	+7.9	15
2014-09-20	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	55.0	1421	1147	73.52%	15.85%	10.63%	+1.75	-2.1	14
2014-09-20	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	55.0	1147	1421	10.63%	15.85%	73.52%	-1.75	+2.1	7
2014-09-20	Glenavon	L 0-1	46.2	1338	1242	54.56%	23.74%	21.69%	+0.74	-7.7	14
2014-09-20	@ Linfield	W 1-0	46.2	1242	1338	21.69%	23.74%	54.56%	-0.74	+7.7	17
2014-09-20	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.6	1090	1301	17.92%	21.92%	60.15%	-1.03	+1.4	12
2014-09-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.6	1301	1090	60.15%	21.92%	17.92%	+1.03	-1.4	11
2014-09-26	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	40.5	1361	1091	73.23%	16.00%	10.77%	+1.73	+1.5	18
2014-09-26	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	40.5	1091	1361	10.77%	16.00%	73.23%	-1.73	-1.5	12
2014-09-27	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.1	1210	1418	18.16%	22.06%	59.78%	-1.01	+1.0	18
2014-09-27	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.1	1418	1210	59.78%	22.06%	18.16%	+1.01	-1.0	15
2014-09-27	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.9	1300	1149	60.96%	21.62%	17.42%	+1.05	+2.9	14
2014-09-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	33.9	1149	1300	17.42%	21.62%	60.96%	-1.05	-2.9	7
2014-09-27	Glenavon	W 2-1	47.2	1189	1249	33.20%	26.05%	40.75%	-0.16	+5.7	11
2014-09-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	47.2	1249	1189	40.75%	26.05%	33.20%	+0.16	-5.7	17
2014-09-27	Linfield	L 1-3	37.5	1148	1331	20.17%	23.09%	56.74%	-0.86	-5.5	6
2014-09-27	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	37.5	1331	1148	56.74%	23.09%	20.17%	+0.86	+5.5	17
2014-09-27	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	59.3	1336	1126	67.31%	18.93%	13.77%	+1.38	-1.3	18
2014-09-27	@ Portadown	D 2-2	59.3	1126	1336	13.77%	18.93%	67.31%	-1.38	+1.3	5
2014-09-29	Linfield	D 2-2	58.8	1363	1336	45.42%	25.62%	28.96%	+0.34	-0.4	19
2014-09-29	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	58.8	1336	1363	28.96%	25.62%	45.42%	-0.34	+0.4	18
2014-10-03	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	36.8	1128	1143	39.59%	26.11%	34.30%	+0.10	+10.1	8
2014-10-03	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	36.8	1143	1128	34.30%	26.11%	39.59%	-0.10	-10.0	6
2014-10-04	Ballymena United	W 3-2	45.4	1337	1211	58.04%	22.67%	19.29%	+0.90	+2.9	21
2014-10-04	@ Linfield	L 2-3	45.4	1211	1337	19.29%	22.67%	58.04%	-0.90	-2.9	18
2014-10-04	Cliftonville	L 0-1	43.1	1362	1417	33.97%	26.09%	39.93%	-0.13	-5.3	19
2014-10-04	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	43.1	1417	1362	39.93%	26.09%	33.97%	+0.13	+5.3	18
2014-10-04	Coleraine	L 0-1	40.3	1146	1194	34.95%	26.13%	38.92%	-0.09	-5.4	7
2014-10-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	40.3	1194	1146	38.92%	26.13%	34.95%	+0.09	+5.4	14
2014-10-04	Glentoran	L 1-2	45.3	1244	1303	33.39%	26.06%	40.55%	-0.16	-4.9	17
2014-10-04	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.3	1303	1244	40.55%	26.06%	33.39%	+0.16	+4.9	17
2014-10-04	Portadown	L 0-4	27.2	1090	1334	15.69%	20.46%	63.85%	-1.22	-9.2	12
2014-10-04	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-0	27.2	1334	1090	63.85%	20.46%	15.69%	+1.22	+9.2	21
2014-10-10	Coleraine	W 1-0	42.3	1133	1200	32.38%	26.00%	41.62%	-0.20	+6.2	9
2014-10-10	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	42.3	1200	1133	41.62%	26.00%	32.38%	+0.20	-6.2	14
2014-10-10	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	45.8	1239	1138	55.10%	23.59%	21.31%	+0.76	+3.2	20
2014-10-10	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	45.8	1138	1239	21.31%	23.59%	55.10%	-0.76	-3.2	8
2014-10-11	Crusaders	L 1-3	43.9	1308	1357	34.76%	26.12%	39.12%	-0.10	-8.8	17
2014-10-11	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	43.9	1357	1308	39.12%	26.12%	34.76%	+0.10	+8.8	22
2014-10-11	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	57.3	1208	1141	50.83%	24.68%	24.50%	+0.57	-0.6	19
2014-10-11	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	57.3	1141	1208	24.50%	24.68%	50.83%	-0.57	+0.6	8
2014-10-11	Portadown	W 2-0	35.8	1423	1344	52.36%	24.32%	23.32%	+0.64	+7.3	21
2014-10-11	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	35.8	1344	1423	23.32%	24.32%	52.36%	-0.64	-7.3	21
2014-10-13	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	32.8	1340	1081	72.20%	16.53%	11.27%	+1.67	+2.9	24
2014-10-13	@ Linfield	L 1-3	32.8	1081	1340	11.27%	16.53%	72.20%	-1.67	-2.9	12
2014-10-17	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	44.2	1134	1078	49.48%	24.96%	25.57%	+0.51	-7.1	8
2014-10-17	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	44.2	1078	1134	25.57%	24.96%	49.48%	-0.51	+7.1	15
2014-10-18	Ballymena United	W 2-1	40.0	1336	1208	58.41%	22.54%	19.05%	+0.92	+3.0	24
2014-10-18	@ Portadown	L 1-2	40.0	1208	1336	19.05%	22.54%	58.41%	-0.92	-3.0	19
2014-10-18	Cliftonville	L 1-3	43.9	1342	1430	29.78%	25.73%	44.49%	-0.32	-7.8	24
2014-10-18	@ Linfield	W 3-1	43.9	1430	1342	44.49%	25.73%	29.78%	+0.32	+7.8	24
2014-10-18	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	36.3	1139	1142	41.37%	26.01%	32.62%	+0.17	+9.7	12
2014-10-18	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	36.3	1142	1139	32.62%	26.01%	41.37%	-0.17	-9.7	8
2014-10-18	Glenavon	L 1-4	47.1	1366	1242	57.86%	22.73%	19.41%	+0.89	-18.5	22
2014-10-18	@ Crusaders	W 4-1	47.1	1242	1366	19.41%	22.73%	57.86%	-0.89	+18.5	23
2014-10-18	Glentoran	W 1-0	44.0	1194	1299	27.66%	25.40%	46.94%	-0.42	+6.8	17
2014-10-18	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	44.0	1299	1194	46.94%	25.40%	27.66%	+0.42	-6.8	17
2014-10-25	Ballinamallard United	W 3-2	40.6	1438	1149	74.96%	15.09%	9.95%	+1.84	+1.4	27
2014-10-25	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	40.6	1149	1438	9.95%	15.09%	74.96%	-1.84	-1.4	12
2014-10-25	Coleraine	L 0-2	43.7	1339	1200	59.61%	22.12%	18.27%	+0.98	-15.5	24
2014-10-25	@ Portadown	W 2-0	43.7	1200	1339	18.27%	22.12%	59.61%	-0.98	+15.5	20
2014-10-25	Crusaders	L 1-2	48.3	1335	1347	39.95%	26.09%	33.96%	+0.11	-5.6	24
2014-10-25	@ Linfield	W 2-1	48.3	1347	1335	33.96%	26.09%	39.95%	-0.11	+5.6	25
2014-10-25	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	51.2	1085	1132	35.03%	26.13%	38.83%	-0.09	+0.1	16
2014-10-25	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	51.2	1132	1085	38.83%	26.13%	35.03%	+0.09	-0.1	9
2014-10-25	Glenavon	L 1-4	40.2	1205	1260	33.86%	26.09%	40.05%	-0.14	-12.2	19
2014-10-25	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	40.2	1260	1205	40.05%	26.09%	33.86%	+0.14	+12.2	26
2014-10-25	Glentoran	L 2-5	39.0	1127	1292	21.67%	23.73%	54.60%	-0.76	-7.2	8
2014-10-25	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-2	39.0	1292	1127	54.60%	23.73%	21.67%	+0.76	+7.2	20
2014-11-01	Institute Drumahoe	FL	46.7	1216	1085	58.68%	22.45%	18.87%	+0.93	+0.0	20
2014-11-01	@ Coleraine	FL	46.7	1085	1216	18.87%	22.45%	58.68%	-0.93	+0.0	16
2014-11-01	Ballymena United	W 4-0	29.8	1300	1192	55.83%	23.37%	20.80%	+0.80	+12.4	23
2014-11-01	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	29.8	1192	1300	20.80%	23.37%	55.83%	-0.80	-12.4	19
2014-11-01	Cliftonville	L 1-3	33.8	1132	1439	12.20%	17.48%	70.32%	-1.58	-3.2	9
2014-11-01	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	33.8	1439	1132	70.32%	17.48%	12.20%	+1.58	+3.2	30
2014-11-01	Linfield	L 1-2	45.8	1273	1329	33.79%	26.08%	40.13%	-0.14	-5.0	26
2014-11-01	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.8	1329	1273	40.13%	26.08%	33.79%	+0.14	+5.0	27
2014-11-01	Portadown	L 0-2	32.2	1147	1324	20.66%	23.32%	56.02%	-0.83	-6.5	12
2014-11-01	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	32.2	1324	1147	56.02%	23.32%	20.66%	+0.83	+6.5	27
2014-11-01	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	26.0	1353	1120	69.68%	17.80%	12.53%	+1.52	+5.5	28
2014-11-01	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	26.0	1120	1353	12.53%	17.80%	69.68%	-1.52	-5.5	8
2014-11-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	31.4	1442	1115	78.21%	13.32%	8.47%	+2.06	+2.0	33
2014-11-07	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	31.4	1115	1442	8.47%	13.32%	78.21%	-2.06	-2.0	8
2014-11-08	Coleraine	L 0-2	37.6	1180	1216	36.65%	26.16%	37.19%	-0.02	-10.6	19
2014-11-08	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	37.6	1216	1180	37.19%	26.16%	36.65%	+0.02	+10.6	23
2014-11-08	Crusaders	D 1-1	53.0	1141	1359	17.48%	21.66%	60.86%	-1.06	+1.4	13
2014-11-08	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	53.0	1359	1141	60.86%	21.66%	17.48%	+1.06	-1.4	29
2014-11-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	26.4	1334	1129	66.88%	19.12%	14.00%	+1.36	+8.1	30
2014-11-08	@ Linfield	L 0-4	26.4	1129	1334	14.00%	19.12%	66.88%	-1.36	-8.1	9
2014-11-08	Glenavon	L 2-4	51.3	1312	1268	47.82%	25.26%	26.92%	+0.44	-10.0	23
2014-11-08	@ Glentoran	W 4-2	51.3	1268	1312	26.92%	25.26%	47.82%	-0.44	+10.0	29
2014-11-08	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	30.9	1330	1085	70.91%	17.19%	11.91%	+1.59	+4.3	30
2014-11-08	@ Portadown	L 1-4	30.9	1085	1330	11.91%	17.19%	70.91%	-1.59	-4.3	16
2014-11-15	Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	36.4	1081	1142	33.07%	26.04%	40.88%	-0.17	-9.8	16
2014-11-15	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	36.4	1142	1081	40.88%	26.04%	33.07%	+0.17	+9.8	16
2014-11-15	Ballymena United	D 2-2	56.9	1113	1170	33.73%	26.08%	40.19%	-0.14	+0.1	9
2014-11-15	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	56.9	1170	1113	40.19%	26.08%	33.73%	+0.14	-0.1	20
2014-11-15	Cliftonville	W 4-1	46.6	1357	1444	29.81%	25.74%	44.45%	-0.32	+15.0	32
2014-11-15	@ Crusaders	L 1-4	46.6	1444	1357	44.45%	25.74%	29.81%	+0.32	-15.0	33
2014-11-15	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.7	1226	1121	55.67%	23.42%	20.91%	+0.79	-7.3	23
2014-11-15	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	50.7	1121	1226	20.91%	23.42%	55.67%	-0.79	+7.3	12
2014-11-15	Glenavon	W 3-2	48.4	1335	1278	49.49%	24.95%	25.56%	+0.51	+3.8	33
2014-11-15	@ Portadown	L 2-3	48.4	1278	1335	25.56%	24.95%	49.49%	-0.51	-3.8	29
2014-11-15	Glentoran	D 2-2	58.3	1342	1302	47.28%	25.35%	27.37%	+0.41	-0.5	31
2014-11-15	@ Linfield	D 2-2	58.3	1302	1342	27.37%	25.35%	47.28%	-0.41	+0.4	24
2014-11-21	Coleraine	W 3-0	29.1	1372	1219	61.21%	21.52%	17.26%	+1.06	+7.8	35
2014-11-21	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	29.1	1219	1372	17.26%	21.52%	61.21%	-1.06	-7.8	23
2014-11-22	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	33.4	1169	1152	44.17%	25.77%	30.06%	+0.28	+13.2	23
2014-11-22	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	33.4	1152	1169	30.06%	25.77%	44.17%	-0.28	-13.2	16
2014-11-22	Cliftonville	L 1-3	40.1	1274	1429	22.53%	24.05%	53.42%	-0.71	-6.1	29
2014-11-22	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	40.1	1429	1274	53.42%	24.05%	22.53%	+0.71	+6.1	36
2014-11-22	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	36.2	1302	1071	69.55%	17.86%	12.59%	+1.51	+1.9	27
2014-11-22	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	36.2	1071	1302	12.59%	17.86%	69.55%	-1.51	-1.9	16
2014-11-22	Linfield	L 1-2	38.5	1113	1342	16.72%	21.17%	62.11%	-1.13	-2.6	9
2014-11-22	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	38.5	1342	1113	62.11%	21.17%	16.72%	+1.13	+2.6	34
2014-11-22	Portadown	L 2-3	44.5	1128	1338	18.01%	21.97%	60.02%	-1.02	-2.7	12
2014-11-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	44.5	1338	1128	60.02%	21.97%	18.01%	+1.02	+2.7	36
2014-11-28	Glenavon	W 2-1	49.9	1125	1268	23.75%	24.46%	51.80%	-0.63	+6.9	15
2014-11-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	49.9	1268	1125	51.80%	24.46%	23.75%	+0.63	-6.9	29
2014-11-28	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	40.5	1139	1110	45.71%	25.58%	28.71%	+0.35	+7.6	19
2014-11-28	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-3	40.5	1110	1139	28.71%	25.58%	45.71%	-0.35	-7.6	9
2014-11-29	Ballymena United	W 7-0	28.0	1436	1183	71.63%	16.82%	11.55%	+1.63	+11.0	39
2014-11-29	@ Cliftonville	L 0-7	28.0	1183	1436	11.55%	16.82%	71.63%	-1.63	-11.0	23
2014-11-29	Coleraine	W 2-1	39.9	1344	1211	58.92%	22.37%	18.71%	+0.95	+2.9	37
2014-11-29	@ Linfield	L 1-2	39.9	1211	1344	18.71%	22.37%	58.92%	-0.95	-2.9	23
2014-11-29	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.1	1069	1380	12.01%	17.29%	70.69%	-1.60	+1.9	17
2014-11-29	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	54.1	1380	1069	70.69%	17.29%	12.01%	+1.60	-1.9	36
2014-11-29	Glentoran	W 3-1	41.4	1341	1304	46.82%	25.42%	27.76%	+0.39	+7.4	39
2014-11-29	@ Portadown	L 1-3	41.4	1304	1341	27.76%	25.42%	46.82%	-0.39	-7.4	27
2014-12-05	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	53.2	1261	1071	65.30%	19.83%	14.87%	+1.27	-1.7	30
2014-12-05	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.2	1071	1261	14.87%	19.83%	65.30%	-1.27	+1.7	18
2014-12-06	Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	36.2	1297	1146	60.93%	21.63%	17.44%	+1.05	+4.7	30
2014-12-06	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	36.2	1146	1297	17.44%	21.63%	60.93%	-1.05	-4.7	19
2014-12-06	Cliftonville	W 2-0	45.2	1208	1446	16.10%	20.75%	63.15%	-1.18	+16.2	26
2014-12-06	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	45.2	1446	1208	63.15%	20.75%	16.10%	+1.18	-16.2	39
2014-12-06	Dungannon Swifts	D 3-3	61.2	1103	1132	37.55%	26.16%	36.29%	+0.01	-0.0	10
2014-12-06	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	61.2	1132	1103	36.29%	26.16%	37.55%	-0.01	+0.0	16
2014-12-06	Linfield	L 2-3	45.9	1172	1347	20.74%	23.35%	55.92%	-0.82	-3.1	23
2014-12-06	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	45.9	1347	1172	55.92%	23.35%	20.74%	+0.82	+3.1	40
2014-12-06	Portadown	L 2-3	55.9	1378	1348	45.84%	25.56%	28.60%	+0.35	-6.0	36
2014-12-06	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	55.9	1348	1378	28.60%	25.56%	45.84%	-0.35	+5.9	42
2014-12-12	Portadown	W 2-1	52.6	1103	1354	15.25%	20.13%	64.62%	-1.26	+8.3	13
2014-12-12	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	52.6	1354	1103	64.62%	20.13%	15.25%	+1.26	-8.3	42
2014-12-13	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	26.8	1350	1142	67.23%	18.96%	13.81%	+1.38	+6.1	43
2014-12-13	@ Linfield	L 0-3	26.8	1142	1350	13.81%	18.96%	67.23%	-1.38	-6.1	19
2014-12-13	Coleraine	L 2-3	54.2	1259	1225	46.54%	25.46%	28.00%	+0.38	-6.0	30
2014-12-13	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	54.2	1225	1259	28.00%	25.46%	46.54%	-0.38	+6.0	29
2014-12-13	Crusaders	L 0-2	31.4	1168	1372	18.51%	22.25%	59.24%	-0.98	-5.8	23
2014-12-13	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	31.4	1372	1168	59.24%	22.25%	18.51%	+0.98	+5.8	39
2014-12-13	Glentoran	L 2-3	45.9	1132	1302	21.27%	23.57%	55.15%	-0.79	-3.2	16
2014-12-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	45.9	1302	1132	55.15%	23.57%	21.27%	+0.79	+3.2	33
2014-12-13	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-0	22.4	1430	1072	80.57%	12.00%	7.43%	+2.23	+3.8	42
2014-12-13	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	22.4	1072	1430	7.43%	12.00%	80.57%	-2.23	-3.8	18
2014-12-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	31.0	1378	1129	71.23%	17.02%	11.74%	+1.61	+1.8	42
2014-12-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	31.0	1129	1378	11.74%	17.02%	71.23%	-1.61	-1.8	16
2014-12-20	Ballymena United	L 1-2	43.3	1069	1163	29.00%	25.62%	45.38%	-0.35	-4.4	18
2014-12-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	43.3	1163	1069	45.38%	25.62%	29.00%	+0.35	+4.4	26
2014-12-20	Cliftonville	W 2-1	51.8	1305	1434	25.08%	24.83%	50.08%	-0.56	+6.7	36
2014-12-20	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	51.8	1434	1305	50.08%	24.83%	25.08%	+0.56	-6.7	42
2014-12-20	Glenavon	W 1-0	44.2	1136	1253	26.30%	25.13%	48.57%	-0.49	+7.0	22
2014-12-20	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	44.2	1253	1136	48.57%	25.13%	26.30%	+0.49	-7.0	30
2014-12-20	Portadown	W 3-2	51.2	1356	1346	43.19%	25.87%	30.94%	+0.24	+4.4	46
2014-12-20	@ Linfield	L 2-3	51.2	1346	1356	30.94%	25.87%	43.19%	-0.24	-4.4	42
2014-12-20	Warrenpoint Town	D 0-0	48.4	1231	1111	57.34%	22.90%	19.76%	+0.87	-1.3	30
2014-12-20	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	48.4	1111	1231	19.76%	22.90%	57.34%	-0.87	+1.3	14
2014-12-26	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	36.8	1127	1142	39.59%	26.11%	34.30%	+0.10	+10.1	19
2014-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	36.8	1142	1127	34.30%	26.11%	39.59%	-0.10	-10.1	22
2014-12-26	Coleraine	W 4-3	55.8	1167	1229	33.01%	26.04%	40.95%	-0.17	+5.3	29
2014-12-26	@ Ballymena United	L 3-4	55.8	1229	1167	40.95%	26.04%	33.01%	+0.17	-5.3	30
2014-12-26	Crusaders	L 0-1	47.7	1427	1380	48.27%	25.18%	26.55%	+0.46	-6.9	42
2014-12-26	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	47.7	1380	1427	26.55%	25.18%	48.27%	-0.46	+6.9	45
2014-12-26	Glenavon	D 3-3	62.8	1342	1246	54.39%	23.79%	21.82%	+0.73	-0.7	43
2014-12-26	@ Portadown	D 3-3	62.8	1246	1342	21.82%	23.79%	54.39%	-0.73	+0.6	31
2014-12-26	Glentoran	W 2-1	43.9	1361	1312	48.49%	25.14%	26.37%	+0.47	+4.1	49
2014-12-26	@ Linfield	L 1-2	43.9	1312	1361	26.37%	25.14%	48.49%	-0.47	-4.1	36
2014-12-26	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	51.2	1064	1112	34.92%	26.13%	38.95%	-0.09	+0.1	19
2014-12-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	51.2	1112	1064	38.95%	26.13%	34.92%	+0.09	-0.1	15
2014-12-30	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.2	1132	1420	13.19%	18.41%	68.40%	-1.46	+1.8	23
2014-12-30	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	54.2	1420	1132	68.40%	18.41%	13.19%	+1.46	-1.8	43
2015-01-01	Ballymena United	W 2-0	38.7	1112	1172	33.27%	26.06%	40.67%	-0.16	+11.4	18
2015-01-01	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	38.7	1172	1112	40.67%	26.06%	33.27%	+0.16	-11.4	29
2015-01-01	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	30.9	1307	1064	70.68%	17.30%	12.02%	+1.58	+4.4	39
2015-01-01	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	30.9	1064	1307	12.02%	17.30%	70.68%	-1.58	-4.4	19
2015-01-01	Linfield	W 2-1	46.1	1387	1365	44.77%	25.70%	29.53%	+0.31	+4.5	48
2015-01-01	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	46.1	1365	1387	29.53%	25.70%	44.77%	-0.31	-4.5	49
2015-01-01	Portadown	L 0-1	38.0	1224	1341	26.37%	25.14%	48.49%	-0.49	-4.3	30
2015-01-01	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	38.0	1341	1224	48.49%	25.14%	26.37%	+0.49	+4.3	46
2015-01-03	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	25.5	1391	1134	72.00%	16.63%	11.37%	+1.65	+4.9	51
2015-01-03	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	25.5	1134	1391	11.37%	16.63%	72.00%	-1.65	-4.9	23
2015-01-03	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.1	1137	1419	13.54%	18.73%	67.73%	-1.43	+1.8	20
2015-01-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.1	1419	1137	67.73%	18.73%	13.54%	+1.43	-1.8	44
2015-01-03	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.2	1360	1220	59.82%	22.04%	18.13%	+0.99	-1.4	50
2015-01-03	@ Linfield	D 1-1	53.2	1220	1360	18.13%	22.04%	59.82%	-0.99	+1.4	31
2015-01-03	Glenavon	L 2-4	45.5	1161	1247	29.97%	25.75%	44.28%	-0.31	-7.0	29
2015-01-03	@ Ballymena United	W 4-2	45.5	1247	1161	44.28%	25.75%	29.97%	+0.31	+7.0	34
2015-01-03	Glentoran	L 0-5	29.7	1124	1312	19.70%	22.87%	57.43%	-0.89	-14.5	18
2015-01-03	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	29.7	1312	1124	57.43%	22.87%	19.70%	+0.89	+14.5	42
2015-01-05	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	34.7	1345	1060	74.62%	15.27%	10.11%	+1.82	+1.5	49
2015-01-05	@ Portadown	L 1-2	34.7	1060	1345	10.11%	15.27%	74.62%	-1.82	-1.5	19
2015-01-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	40.0	1254	1139	56.78%	23.08%	20.14%	+0.84	+3.2	37
2015-01-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	40.0	1139	1254	20.14%	23.08%	56.78%	-0.84	-3.2	20
2015-01-17	Ballymena United	D 5-5	66.6	1347	1154	65.59%	19.71%	14.71%	+1.29	-0.8	50
2015-01-17	@ Portadown	D 5-5	66.6	1154	1347	14.71%	19.71%	65.59%	-1.29	+0.8	30
2015-01-17	Crusaders	L 1-2	46.5	1326	1396	32.03%	25.97%	42.00%	-0.22	-4.8	42
2015-01-17	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	46.5	1396	1326	42.00%	25.97%	32.03%	+0.22	+4.8	54
2015-01-17	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	60.9	1417	1109	76.56%	14.22%	9.21%	+1.95	-1.6	45
2015-01-17	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	60.9	1109	1417	9.21%	14.22%	76.56%	-1.95	+1.6	19
2015-01-23	Ballinamallard United	W 7-0	36.8	1111	1129	39.11%	26.12%	34.77%	+0.08	+32.7	22
2015-01-23	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-7	36.8	1129	1111	34.77%	26.12%	39.11%	-0.08	-32.7	23
2015-01-23	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.2	1221	1136	53.11%	24.13%	22.76%	+0.67	-7.1	31
2015-01-23	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	50.2	1136	1221	22.76%	24.13%	53.11%	-0.67	+7.1	23
2015-01-23	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	37.1	1257	1058	66.19%	19.44%	14.37%	+1.32	+2.2	40
2015-01-23	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	37.1	1058	1257	14.37%	19.44%	66.19%	-1.32	-2.2	19
2015-01-23	Portadown	W 6-0	35.4	1401	1346	49.21%	25.01%	25.78%	+0.50	+22.1	57
2015-01-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-6	35.4	1346	1401	25.78%	25.01%	49.21%	-0.50	-22.1	50
2015-01-27	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.6	1056	1143	29.89%	25.74%	44.37%	-0.31	-4.5	19
2015-01-27	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	43.6	1143	1056	44.37%	25.74%	29.89%	+0.31	+4.5	26
2015-01-27	Glenavon	D 1-1	51.6	1214	1259	35.29%	26.14%	38.57%	-0.08	+0.1	32
2015-01-27	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	51.6	1259	1214	38.57%	26.14%	35.29%	+0.08	-0.1	41
2015-01-27	Linfield	D 1-1	53.5	1097	1359	14.62%	19.63%	65.75%	-1.32	+1.7	24
2015-01-27	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	53.5	1359	1097	65.75%	19.63%	14.62%	+1.32	-1.7	51
2015-01-31	Ballymena United	W 2-1	37.4	1357	1155	66.61%	19.25%	14.14%	+1.34	+2.2	54
2015-01-31	@ Linfield	L 1-2	37.4	1155	1357	14.14%	19.25%	66.61%	-1.34	-2.2	30
2015-01-31	Coleraine	L 0-2	32.4	1052	1214	21.91%	23.82%	54.27%	-0.74	-6.9	19
2015-01-31	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	32.4	1214	1052	54.27%	23.82%	21.91%	+0.74	+6.9	35
2015-01-31	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.1	1147	1423	13.87%	19.01%	67.12%	-1.39	+1.7	27
2015-01-31	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.1	1423	1147	67.12%	19.01%	13.87%	+1.39	-1.8	58
2015-01-31	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.3	1415	1322	54.18%	23.85%	21.97%	+0.72	-1.0	46
2015-01-31	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	1322	1415	21.97%	23.85%	54.18%	-0.72	+1.0	43
2015-01-31	Portadown	D 0-0	49.0	1098	1324	16.95%	21.32%	61.73%	-1.11	+1.6	25
2015-01-31	@ Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	49.0	1324	1098	61.73%	21.32%	16.95%	+1.11	-1.6	51
2015-01-31	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	57.9	1259	1143	56.89%	23.05%	20.07%	+0.85	-0.9	42
2015-01-31	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	57.9	1143	1259	20.07%	23.05%	56.89%	-0.85	+0.9	23
2015-02-10	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.9	1360	1414	34.03%	26.10%	39.88%	-0.13	+0.1	55
2015-02-10	@ Linfield	D 2-2	59.9	1414	1360	39.88%	26.10%	34.03%	+0.13	-0.1	47
2015-02-10	Glentoran	L 1-3	38.0	1153	1323	21.22%	23.55%	55.23%	-0.79	-5.8	30
2015-02-10	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	38.0	1323	1153	55.23%	23.55%	21.22%	+0.79	+5.8	46
2015-02-14	Cliftonville	L 0-2	37.5	1322	1414	29.27%	25.66%	45.07%	-0.34	-8.9	51
2015-02-14	@ Portadown	W 2-0	37.5	1414	1322	45.07%	25.66%	29.27%	+0.34	+8.9	50
2015-02-14	Coleraine	W 2-1	49.2	1100	1221	25.98%	25.05%	48.97%	-0.51	+6.6	28
2015-02-14	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	49.2	1221	1100	48.97%	25.05%	25.98%	+0.51	-6.6	35
2015-02-14	Glenavon	L 1-2	50.4	1328	1258	51.19%	24.60%	24.21%	+0.58	-6.9	46
2015-02-14	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	50.4	1258	1328	24.21%	24.60%	51.19%	-0.58	+6.9	45
2015-02-14	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	30.0	1147	1045	55.20%	23.56%	21.24%	+0.77	+9.7	33
2015-02-14	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	30.0	1045	1147	21.24%	23.56%	55.20%	-0.77	-9.7	19
2015-02-14	Linfield	L 0-3	29.0	1149	1360	18.00%	21.97%	60.03%	-1.02	-8.2	27
2015-02-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	29.0	1360	1149	60.03%	21.97%	18.00%	+1.02	+8.2	58
2015-02-14	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-1	30.5	1421	1144	73.86%	15.67%	10.47%	+1.77	+3.7	61
2015-02-14	@ Crusaders	L 1-4	30.5	1144	1421	10.47%	15.67%	73.86%	-1.77	-3.7	23
2015-02-20	Portadown	L 1-2	50.8	1368	1313	49.18%	25.01%	25.81%	+0.50	-6.6	58
2015-02-20	@ Linfield	W 2-1	50.8	1313	1368	25.81%	25.01%	49.18%	-0.50	+6.6	54
2015-02-21	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	51.3	1035	1107	31.80%	25.95%	42.25%	-0.23	+0.3	20
2015-02-21	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	51.3	1107	1035	42.25%	25.95%	31.80%	+0.23	-0.3	29
2015-02-21	Ballymena United	W 1-0	30.8	1423	1156	72.89%	16.17%	10.93%	+1.71	+1.7	53
2015-02-21	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	30.8	1156	1423	10.93%	16.17%	72.89%	-1.71	-1.7	33
2015-02-21	Crusaders	L 3-7	39.1	1265	1425	22.14%	23.91%	53.95%	-0.73	-8.5	45
2015-02-21	@ Glenavon	W 7-3	39.1	1425	1265	53.95%	23.91%	22.14%	+0.73	+8.5	64
2015-02-21	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	51.3	1141	1141	41.68%	25.99%	32.32%	+0.18	-0.3	24
2015-02-21	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	51.3	1141	1141	32.32%	25.99%	41.68%	-0.18	+0.3	28
2015-02-21	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.0	1214	1322	27.47%	25.36%	47.17%	-0.43	+0.6	36
2015-02-21	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	52.0	1322	1214	47.17%	25.36%	27.47%	+0.43	-0.6	47
2015-03-06	Ballymena United	W 1-0	40.0	1141	1155	39.84%	26.10%	34.06%	+0.11	+5.3	31
2015-03-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	40.0	1155	1141	34.06%	26.10%	39.84%	-0.11	-5.3	33
2015-03-07	Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.8	1215	1425	18.05%	22.00%	59.95%	-1.02	+1.5	37
2015-03-07	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	49.8	1425	1215	59.95%	22.00%	18.05%	+1.02	-1.5	54
2015-03-07	Glenavon	L 1-3	38.5	1106	1257	23.00%	24.22%	52.79%	-0.68	-6.2	29
2015-03-07	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	38.5	1257	1106	52.79%	24.22%	23.00%	+0.68	+6.2	48
2015-03-07	Glentoran	D 1-1	52.5	1320	1321	41.63%	26.00%	32.38%	+0.18	-0.3	55
2015-03-07	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.5	1321	1320	32.38%	26.00%	41.63%	-0.18	+0.3	48
2015-03-07	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	29.5	1433	1036	83.41%	10.38%	6.21%	+2.46	+1.4	67
2015-03-07	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	29.5	1036	1433	6.21%	10.38%	83.41%	-2.46	-1.4	20
2015-03-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	26.5	1361	1140	68.49%	18.37%	13.14%	+1.45	+5.8	61
2015-03-07	@ Linfield	L 0-3	26.5	1140	1361	13.14%	18.37%	68.49%	-1.45	-5.8	24
2015-03-13	Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	25.8	1321	1100	68.50%	18.36%	13.14%	+1.45	+7.5	51
2015-03-13	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	25.8	1100	1321	13.14%	18.36%	68.50%	-1.45	-7.5	29
2015-03-14	Coleraine	L 0-5	33.7	1134	1216	30.48%	25.82%	43.71%	-0.29	-21.4	24
2015-03-14	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	33.7	1216	1134	43.71%	25.82%	30.48%	+0.29	+21.4	40
2015-03-14	Crusaders	L 1-3	34.6	1149	1435	13.33%	18.54%	68.13%	-1.45	-3.5	33
2015-03-14	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	34.6	1435	1149	68.13%	18.54%	13.33%	+1.45	+3.5	70
2015-03-14	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.2	1320	1147	63.46%	20.62%	15.92%	+1.18	-1.5	56
2015-03-14	@ Portadown	D 1-1	53.2	1147	1320	15.92%	20.62%	63.46%	-1.18	+1.6	32
2015-03-14	Glenavon	L 2-3	58.9	1423	1263	62.02%	21.21%	16.78%	+1.10	-7.6	54
2015-03-14	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	58.9	1263	1423	16.78%	21.21%	62.02%	-1.10	+7.6	51
2015-03-14	Linfield	L 0-1	30.2	1034	1367	10.99%	16.24%	72.77%	-1.72	-1.7	20
2015-03-14	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	30.2	1367	1034	72.77%	16.24%	10.99%	+1.72	+1.7	64
2015-03-28	Ballymena United	L 1-3	42.3	1093	1146	34.19%	26.10%	39.71%	-0.12	-8.7	29
2015-03-28	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	42.3	1146	1093	39.71%	26.10%	34.19%	+0.12	+8.7	36
2015-03-28	Crusaders	L 1-5	34.5	1238	1438	18.74%	22.38%	58.87%	-0.96	-9.3	40
2015-03-28	@ Coleraine	W 5-1	34.5	1438	1238	58.87%	22.38%	18.74%	+0.96	+9.3	73
2015-03-28	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.7	1329	1148	64.27%	20.28%	15.45%	+1.22	+4.8	54
2015-03-28	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	29.7	1148	1329	15.45%	20.28%	64.27%	-1.22	-4.8	32
2015-03-28	Institute Drumahoe	W 5-1	26.1	1415	1032	82.40%	10.96%	6.64%	+2.38	+2.8	57
2015-03-28	@ Cliftonville	L 1-5	26.1	1032	1415	6.64%	10.96%	82.40%	-2.38	-2.8	20
2015-03-28	Linfield	W 1-0	44.6	1271	1369	28.51%	25.55%	45.94%	-0.38	+6.7	54
2015-03-28	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	44.6	1369	1271	45.94%	25.55%	28.51%	+0.38	-6.7	64
2015-03-28	Portadown	D 0-0	48.7	1113	1318	18.39%	22.19%	59.42%	-0.99	+1.5	25
2015-03-28	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 0-0	48.7	1318	1113	59.42%	22.19%	18.39%	+0.99	-1.5	57

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-04-04	Ballymena United	L 0-1	44.9	1228	1155	51.68%	24.48%	23.84%	+0.61	-7.3	0
2015-04-04	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	44.9	1155	1228	23.84%	24.48%	51.68%	-0.61	+7.3	3
2015-04-04	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	41.9	1084	1143	33.37%	26.06%	40.57%	-0.16	+6.0	3
2015-04-04	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	41.9	1143	1084	40.57%	26.06%	33.37%	+0.16	-6.0	0
2015-04-04	Glentoran	W 4-0	37.0	1277	1334	33.80%	26.08%	40.12%	-0.14	+21.5	3
2015-04-04	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	37.0	1334	1277	40.12%	26.08%	33.80%	+0.14	-21.5	0
2015-04-04	Institute Drumahoe	W 5-1	34.6	1115	1030	53.09%	24.14%	22.77%	+0.67	+11.3	3
2015-04-04	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-5	34.6	1030	1115	22.77%	24.14%	53.09%	-0.67	-11.3	0
2015-04-04	Portadown	W 4-0	32.0	1418	1317	55.16%	23.57%	21.27%	+0.77	+12.7	3
2015-04-04	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	32.0	1317	1418	21.27%	23.57%	55.16%	-0.77	-12.7	0
2015-04-07	Cliftonville	W 5-0	41.6	1299	1431	24.78%	24.75%	50.47%	-0.57	+31.7	6
2015-04-07	@ Glenavon	L 0-5	41.6	1431	1299	50.47%	24.75%	24.78%	+0.57	-31.7	3
2015-04-07	Coleraine	W 1-0	42.9	1137	1221	30.23%	25.79%	43.98%	-0.30	+6.4	3
2015-04-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	42.9	1221	1137	43.98%	25.79%	30.23%	+0.30	-6.4	0
2015-04-07	Crusaders	W 1-0	47.4	1304	1448	23.65%	24.43%	51.92%	-0.64	+7.4	3
2015-04-07	@ Portadown	L 0-1	47.4	1448	1304	51.92%	24.43%	23.65%	+0.64	-7.3	0
2015-04-07	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	33.2	1090	1018	51.40%	24.55%	24.06%	+0.59	+7.5	6
2015-04-07	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	33.2	1018	1090	24.06%	24.55%	51.40%	-0.59	-7.5	0
2015-04-07	Linfield	L 1-2	46.7	1312	1362	34.65%	26.12%	39.23%	-0.10	-5.1	0
2015-04-07	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	46.7	1362	1312	39.23%	26.12%	34.65%	+0.10	+5.1	3
2015-04-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	42.9	1162	1126	46.74%	25.43%	27.83%	+0.39	+4.3	6
2015-04-07	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	42.9	1126	1162	27.83%	25.43%	46.74%	-0.39	-4.3	3
2015-04-11	Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	51.0	1215	1097	57.06%	22.99%	19.95%	+0.86	-7.5	0
2015-04-11	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	51.0	1097	1215	19.95%	22.99%	57.06%	-0.86	+7.5	9
2015-04-11	Ballymena United	L 1-2	40.9	1011	1166	22.53%	24.05%	53.42%	-0.71	-3.5	0
2015-04-11	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	40.9	1166	1011	53.42%	24.05%	22.53%	+0.71	+3.5	9
2015-04-11	Crusaders	L 0-1	45.1	1399	1440	35.91%	26.15%	37.93%	-0.05	-5.5	3
2015-04-11	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.1	1440	1399	37.93%	26.15%	35.91%	+0.05	+5.5	3
2015-04-11	Glenavon	L 0-2	42.1	1367	1330	46.82%	25.42%	27.76%	+0.39	-12.8	3
2015-04-11	@ Linfield	W 2-0	42.1	1330	1367	27.76%	25.42%	46.82%	-0.39	+12.8	9
2015-04-11	Portadown	D 0-0	48.4	1307	1311	41.13%	26.03%	32.84%	+0.16	-0.3	1
2015-04-11	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	48.4	1311	1307	32.84%	26.03%	41.13%	-0.16	+0.3	4
2015-04-11	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	51.4	1144	1122	44.83%	25.69%	29.47%	+0.31	-0.5	4
2015-04-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	51.4	1122	1144	29.47%	25.69%	44.83%	-0.31	+0.5	4
2015-04-18	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	41.8	1170	1105	50.53%	24.74%	24.73%	+0.56	+3.8	12
2015-04-18	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	41.8	1105	1170	24.73%	24.74%	50.53%	-0.56	-3.8	9
2015-04-18	Glentoran	W 2-0	33.4	1446	1307	59.62%	22.12%	18.26%	+0.98	+5.7	6
2015-04-18	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	33.4	1307	1446	18.26%	22.12%	59.62%	-0.98	-5.7	1
2015-04-18	Institute Drumahoe	D 1-1	52.4	1143	1007	59.26%	22.24%	18.49%	+0.96	-1.3	5
2015-04-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	52.4	1007	1143	18.49%	22.24%	59.26%	-0.96	+1.3	1
2015-04-18	Linfield	D 2-2	59.6	1394	1354	47.16%	25.37%	27.47%	+0.41	-0.5	4
2015-04-18	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.6	1354	1394	27.47%	25.37%	47.16%	-0.41	+0.4	4
2015-04-18	Portadown	W 3-2	49.8	1343	1312	46.09%	25.53%	28.38%	+0.36	+4.1	12
2015-04-18	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	49.8	1312	1343	28.38%	25.53%	46.09%	-0.36	-4.1	4
2015-04-18	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	41.0	1207	1122	53.13%	24.13%	22.74%	+0.67	+3.6	3
2015-04-18	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	41.0	1122	1207	22.74%	24.13%	53.13%	-0.67	-3.6	4
2015-04-21	Crusaders	W 3-1	49.3	1355	1452	28.69%	25.58%	45.74%	-0.37	+10.8	7
2015-04-21	@ Linfield	L 1-3	49.3	1452	1355	45.74%	25.58%	28.69%	+0.37	-10.8	6
2015-04-25	Cliftonville	W 1-0	44.9	1301	1393	29.21%	25.65%	45.14%	-0.34	+6.6	4
2015-04-25	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	44.9	1393	1301	45.14%	25.65%	29.21%	+0.34	-6.6	4
2015-04-25	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	38.1	1174	1142	46.12%	25.52%	28.36%	+0.36	+4.6	15
2015-04-25	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	38.1	1142	1174	28.36%	25.52%	46.12%	-0.36	-4.6	5
2015-04-25	Glenavon	W 4-0	33.2	1441	1347	54.15%	23.86%	21.99%	+0.72	+13.1	9
2015-04-25	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	33.2	1347	1441	21.99%	23.86%	54.15%	-0.72	-13.1	12
2015-04-25	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	34.2	1211	1009	66.56%	19.27%	14.17%	+1.34	+3.8	6
2015-04-25	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	34.2	1009	1211	14.17%	19.27%	66.56%	-1.34	-3.8	1
2015-04-25	Linfield	D 1-1	52.8	1308	1366	33.55%	26.07%	40.38%	-0.15	+0.2	5
2015-04-25	@ Portadown	D 1-1	52.8	1366	1308	40.38%	26.07%	33.55%	+0.15	-0.2	8
2015-04-25	Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	61.2	1101	1118	39.29%	26.12%	34.59%	+0.08	-0.1	10
2015-04-25	@ Ballinamallard United	D 3-3	61.2	1118	1101	34.59%	26.12%	39.29%	-0.08	+0.1	5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-09-13	12.02%	Coleraine	1186	3	@ Cliftonville	1429	2
2	2014-12-12	15.25%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1103	2	Portadown	1354	1
3	2014-12-06	16.10%	@ Coleraine	1208	2	Cliftonville	1446	0
4	2015-03-14	16.78%	Glenavon	1263	3	@ Cliftonville	1423	2
5	2014-10-25	18.27%	Coleraine	1200	2	@ Portadown	1339	0
6	2014-10-18	19.41%	Glenavon	1242	4	@ Crusaders	1366	1
7	2015-04-11	19.95%	Ballinamallard United	1097	2	@ Coleraine	1215	1
8	2014-11-15	20.91%	Dungannon Swifts	1121	2	@ Coleraine	1226	1
9	2014-09-20	21.69%	Glenavon	1242	1	@ Linfield	1338	0
10	2015-01-23	22.76%	Dungannon Swifts	1136	2	@ Coleraine	1221	1
11	2014-09-13	23.35%	Institute Drumahoe	1083	3	@ Ballinamallard United	1162	2
12	2014-08-16	23.39%	Dungannon Swifts	1166	2	@ Glenavon	1245	0
13	2015-04-07	23.65%	@ Portadown	1304	1	Crusaders	1448	0
14	2014-11-28	23.75%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1125	2	Glenavon	1268	1
15	2015-04-04	23.84%	Ballymena United	1155	1	@ Coleraine	1228	0
16	2015-02-14	24.21%	Glenavon	1258	2	@ Glentoran	1328	1
17	2014-08-13	24.49%	@ Institute Drumahoe	1075	2	Coleraine	1211	0
18	2015-04-07	24.78%	@ Glenavon	1299	5	Cliftonville	1431	0
19	2014-12-20	25.08%	@ Glentoran	1305	2	Cliftonville	1434	1
20	2014-10-17	25.57%	Institute Drumahoe	1078	1	@ Warrenpoint Town	1134	0
21	2015-02-20	25.81%	Portadown	1313	2	@ Linfield	1368	1
22	2015-02-14	25.98%	@ Ballinamallard United	1100	2	Coleraine	1221	1
23	2014-12-20	26.30%	@ Ballinamallard United	1136	1	Glenavon	1253	0
24	2014-12-26	26.55%	Crusaders	1380	1	@ Cliftonville	1427	0
25	2014-08-16	26.61%	@ Ballymena United	1201	3	Portadown	1316	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-01-23	32.66	@ Warrenpoint Town	7	1111	39.11%	Ballinamallard United	0	1129	34.77%	26.12%
2	2015-04-07	31.69	@ Glenavon	5	1299	24.78%	Cliftonville	0	1431	50.47%	24.75%
3	2015-01-23	22.14	@ Crusaders	6	1401	49.21%	Portadown	0	1346	25.78%	25.01%
4	2015-04-04	21.46	@ Glenavon	4	1277	33.80%	Glentoran	0	1334	40.12%	26.08%
5	2015-03-14	21.43	Coleraine	5	1216	43.71%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1134	30.48%	25.82%
6	2014-08-09	18.76	Portadown	3	1302	27.16%	@ Linfield	0	1344	47.53%	25.31%
7	2014-10-18	18.55	Glenavon	4	1242	19.41%	@ Crusaders	1	1366	57.86%	22.73%
8	2014-09-06	17.31	@ Ballinamallard United	3	1145	31.15%	Ballymena United	0	1221	42.96%	25.89%
9	2014-12-06	16.24	@ Coleraine	2	1208	16.10%	Cliftonville	0	1446	63.15%	20.75%
10	2014-08-23	15.74	Ballymena United	3	1207	35.93%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1180	37.92%	26.15%
11	2014-10-25	15.52	Coleraine	2	1200	18.27%	@ Portadown	0	1339	59.61%	22.12%
12	2014-11-15	15.00	@ Crusaders	4	1357	29.81%	Cliftonville	1	1444	44.45%	25.74%
13	2015-01-03	14.48	Glentoran	5	1312	57.43%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1124	19.70%	22.87%
14	2014-08-16	13.95	Dungannon Swifts	2	1166	23.39%	@ Glenavon	0	1245	52.26%	24.35%
15	2014-08-13	13.63	@ Institute Drumahoe	2	1075	24.49%	Coleraine	0	1211	50.84%	24.67%
16	2014-11-22	13.17	@ Ballymena United	3	1169	44.17%	Ballinamallard United	0	1152	30.06%	25.77%
17	2015-04-25	13.08	@ Crusaders	4	1441	54.15%	Glenavon	0	1347	21.99%	23.86%
18	2014-09-02	12.85	Warrenpoint Town	2	1122	27.40%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1162	47.25%	25.35%
19	2015-04-11	12.76	Glenavon	2	1330	27.76%	@ Linfield	0	1367	46.82%	25.42%
20	2015-04-04	12.67	@ Cliftonville	4	1418	55.16%	Portadown	0	1317	21.27%	23.57%
21	2014-11-01	12.40	@ Glentoran	4	1300	55.83%	Ballymena United	0	1192	20.80%	23.37%
22	2014-10-25	12.19	Glenavon	4	1260	40.05%	@ Ballymena United	1	1205	33.86%	26.09%
23	2015-01-01	11.43	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1112	33.27%	Ballymena United	0	1172	40.67%	26.06%
24	2015-04-04	11.27	@ Warrenpoint Town	5	1115	53.09%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1030	22.77%	24.14%
25	2014-11-29	10.99	@ Cliftonville	7	1436	71.63%	Ballymena United	0	1183	11.55%	16.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-01-17	66.6	@ Portadown	5	1347	65.59%	Ballymena United	5	1154	14.71%	19.71%
2	2014-08-23	64.5	@ Cliftonville	3	1425	65.69%	Glenavon	3	1231	14.65%	19.66%
3	2014-12-26	62.8	@ Portadown	3	1342	54.39%	Glenavon	3	1246	21.82%	23.79%
4	2014-12-06	61.2	@ Warrenpoint Town	3	1103	37.55%	Dungannon Swifts	3	1132	36.29%	26.16%
5	2015-04-25	61.2	@ Ballinamallard United	3	1101	39.29%	Warrenpoint Town	3	1118	34.59%	26.12%
6	2015-01-17	60.9	@ Cliftonville	2	1417	76.56%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1109	9.21%	14.22%
7	2015-02-10	59.9	@ Linfield	2	1360	34.03%	Cliftonville	2	1414	39.88%	26.10%
8	2014-09-13	59.6	Coleraine	3	1186	12.02%	@ Cliftonville	2	1429	70.67%	17.30%
9	2015-04-18	59.6	@ Cliftonville	2	1394	47.16%	Linfield	2	1354	27.47%	25.37%
10	2014-09-27	59.3	@ Portadown	2	1336	67.31%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1126	13.77%	18.93%
11	2014-09-27	59.1	@ Ballymena United	2	1210	18.16%	Cliftonville	2	1418	59.78%	22.06%
12	2015-03-14	58.9	Glenavon	3	1263	16.78%	@ Cliftonville	2	1423	62.02%	21.21%
13	2014-09-29	58.8	@ Crusaders	2	1363	45.42%	Linfield	2	1336	28.96%	25.62%
14	2014-08-13	58.7	@ Crusaders	2	1346	60.46%	Ballymena United	2	1200	17.73%	21.81%
15	2014-09-13	58.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1146	18.17%	Crusaders	2	1354	59.76%	22.07%
16	2014-11-15	58.3	@ Linfield	2	1342	47.28%	Glentoran	2	1302	27.37%	25.35%
17	2015-01-31	57.9	@ Glenavon	2	1259	56.89%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1143	20.07%	23.05%
18	2014-08-09	57.8	@ Glenavon	2	1235	26.97%	Crusaders	2	1347	47.76%	25.27%
19	2014-08-23	57.6	@ Ballinamallard United	2	1156	23.60%	Glentoran	2	1300	51.99%	24.41%
20	2014-08-09	57.5	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1167	53.99%	Institute Drumahoe	2	1075	22.11%	23.90%
21	2014-09-13	57.4	@ Ballymena United	2	1204	28.56%	Glentoran	2	1302	45.89%	25.55%
22	2014-10-11	57.3	@ Ballymena United	2	1208	50.83%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1141	24.50%	24.68%
23	2014-11-15	56.9	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1113	33.73%	Ballymena United	2	1170	40.19%	26.08%
24	2014-12-06	55.9	Portadown	3	1348	28.60%	@ Crusaders	2	1378	45.84%	25.56%
25	2014-12-26	55.8	@ Ballymena United	4	1167	33.01%	Coleraine	3	1229	40.95%	26.04%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-12-13	22.4	@ Cliftonville	4	1430	80.57%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1072	7.43%	12.00%
2	2015-01-03	25.5	@ Crusaders	3	1391	72.00%	Ballinamallard United	0	1134	11.37%	16.63%
3	2015-03-13	25.8	@ Glentoran	4	1321	68.50%	Ballinamallard United	0	1100	13.14%	18.36%
4	2014-11-01	26.0	@ Crusaders	3	1353	69.68%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1120	12.53%	17.80%
5	2015-03-28	26.1	@ Cliftonville	5	1415	82.40%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1032	6.64%	10.96%
6	2014-11-08	26.4	@ Linfield	4	1334	66.88%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1129	14.00%	19.12%
7	2015-03-07	26.5	@ Linfield	3	1361	68.49%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1140	13.14%	18.37%
8	2014-12-13	26.8	@ Linfield	3	1350	67.23%	Ballinamallard United	0	1142	13.81%	18.96%
9	2014-08-30	27.1	Cliftonville	4	1424	66.20%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1157	14.37%	19.43%
10	2014-10-04	27.2	Portadown	4	1334	63.85%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	1090	15.69%	20.46%
11	2014-09-20	27.9	@ Portadown	3	1328	63.43%	Ballinamallard United	0	1156	15.93%	20.63%
12	2014-11-29	28.0	@ Cliftonville	7	1436	71.63%	Ballymena United	0	1183	11.55%	16.82%
13	2014-09-20	28.7	Crusaders	3	1353	61.03%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1134	17.38%	21.59%
14	2015-02-14	29.0	Linfield	3	1360	60.03%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1149	18.00%	21.97%
15	2014-11-21	29.1	@ Crusaders	3	1372	61.21%	Coleraine	0	1219	17.26%	21.52%
16	2015-03-07	29.5	@ Crusaders	3	1433	83.41%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1036	6.21%	10.38%
17	2015-01-03	29.7	Glentoran	5	1312	57.43%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1124	19.70%	22.87%
18	2015-03-28	29.7	@ Glentoran	2	1329	64.27%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1148	15.45%	20.28%
19	2014-11-01	29.8	@ Glentoran	4	1300	55.83%	Ballymena United	0	1192	20.80%	23.37%
20	2015-02-14	30.0	@ Ballymena United	3	1147	55.20%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1045	21.24%	23.56%
21	2015-03-14	30.2	Linfield	1	1367	72.77%	@ Institute Drumahoe	0	1034	10.99%	16.24%
22	2015-02-14	30.5	@ Crusaders	4	1421	73.86%	Warrenpoint Town	1	1144	10.47%	15.67%
23	2015-02-21	30.8	@ Cliftonville	1	1423	72.89%	Ballymena United	0	1156	10.93%	16.17%
24	2014-11-08	30.9	@ Portadown	4	1330	70.91%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1085	11.91%	17.19%
25	2015-01-01	30.9	@ Glentoran	4	1307	70.68%	Institute Drumahoe	1	1064	12.02%	17.30%