Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1948-49

1948-49 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

7.77 points above expected

22 points · 14.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brann

9.65 points below expected

4 points · 13.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 10 2 2 22 29 10 +19 14.2 +7.77
2 Valerenga 14 9 2 3 20 23 13 +10 14.3 +5.65
3 Sarpsborg 08 14 9 1 4 19 30 18 +12 14.3 +4.69
4 Sarpsborg 14 7 4 3 18 26 14 +12 14.3 +3.72
5 Viking 14 7 4 3 18 25 18 +7 14.0 +3.97
6 Algard 14 7 3 4 17 18 17 +1 14.1 +2.95
7 Lyn Oslo 14 5 6 3 16 19 17 +2 14.1 +1.87
8 Sandefjord 14 5 5 4 15 25 20 +5 14.0 +0.96
9 Skeid 14 7 0 7 14 34 25 +9 14.1 -0.09
10 Orn-Horten 14 6 2 6 14 25 23 +2 13.9 +0.13
11 Mjondalen 14 6 0 8 12 18 26 -8 13.8 -1.84
12 Storm 14 3 6 5 12 15 24 -9 13.7 -1.72
13 Freidig 14 3 3 8 9 15 27 -12 13.8 -4.83
14 Sandaker 14 3 2 9 8 22 31 -9 13.9 -5.92
15 Pors Grenland 14 1 4 9 6 11 34 -23 13.7 -7.65
16 Brann 14 1 2 11 4 25 43 -18 13.7 -9.65

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6
Valerenga 1

Leg 1: Fredrikstad 3-0 Valerenga

Leg 2: Valerenga 1-3 Fredrikstad

Sim: 125.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1407 22 14.23 +7.77 99.6% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sarpsborg 1395 18 14.28 +3.72 91.0% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Sarpsborg 08 1395 19 14.31 +4.69 95.3% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Viking 1393 18 14.03 +3.97 91.7% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Lyn Oslo 1388 16 14.13 +1.87 77.0% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Valerenga 1388 20 14.35 +5.65 97.5% 2 9 12 14 16 20 27
Sandefjord 1387 15 14.04 +0.96 67.7% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Skeid 1387 14 14.09 -0.09 55.1% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Algard 1385 17 14.05 +2.95 85.9% 4 9 12 14 16 19 27
Orn-Horten 1383 14 13.87 +0.13 58.1% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sandaker 1376 8 13.92 -5.92 4.2% 1 9 12 14 16 19 25
Storm 1374 12 13.72 -1.72 34.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 27
Mjondalen 1370 12 13.84 -1.84 33.2% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Freidig 1368 9 13.83 -4.83 8.4% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
Brann 1365 4 13.65 -9.65 0.1% 2 8 11 14 16 19 25
Pors Grenland 1360 6 13.65 -7.65 0.9% 3 9 11 14 16 19 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALG BRA FRE FRE LO MJO ORN PG SAN SAN SAR S0 SKE STO VAL VIK
Algard
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.80
Brann
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.73
0-2-0
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.73
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Freidig
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.70
0-2-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lyn Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Mjondalen
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Orn-Horten
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.78
Pors Grenland
0-1-1
2.75
0-2-0
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.67
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.69
0-1-1
2.60
Sandaker
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandefjord
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.82
0-2-0
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.79
2-0-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.92
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.86
Skeid
0-0-2
2.82
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.88
Storm
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.86
Viking
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.72

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.46%6.70%7.59%3.12%0.45%0.89%23.21%
16.70%9.82%5.36%4.91%2.68%1.79%31.25%
27.59%5.36%5.36%3.12%1.34%0.45%23.21%
33.12%4.91%3.12%0.89%0.89%12.95%
40.45%2.68%1.34%0.89%0.45%5.80%
5+0.89%1.79%0.45%0.45%3.57%
Total23.21%31.25%23.21%12.95%5.80%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.43
StdDev allowed1.43
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.051
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%35.71%
114.29%7.14%21.43%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total21.43%42.86%28.57%7.14%100%

Algard — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.061
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
27.14%21.43%14.29%42.86%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
4
5+
Total7.14%7.14%14.29%35.71%28.57%7.14%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed3.07
StdDev scored0.89
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game4.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.041
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
121.43%7.14%14.29%42.86%
214.29%14.29%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total50.00%28.57%21.43%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed0.71
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.143
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%28.57%42.86%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
3
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%14.29%14.29%100%

Freidig — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.485
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total50.00%21.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.67
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.083
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%28.57%7.14%7.14%50.00%
1
27.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Mjondalen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored1.44
StdDev allowed1.75
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.503
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
214.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%42.86%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total14.29%28.57%42.86%7.14%7.14%100%

Orn-Horten — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.31
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.058
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
121.43%7.14%7.14%14.29%50.00%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
3
4
5+
Total7.14%35.71%21.43%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Pors Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.79
Mean allowed2.43
StdDev scored0.70
StdDev allowed2.10
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.015
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%21.43%7.14%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total7.14%21.43%35.71%14.29%21.43%100%

Sandaker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed2.21
StdDev scored1.79
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.507
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
114.29%14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total21.43%50.00%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.309
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%28.57%7.14%7.14%50.00%
214.29%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total28.57%50.00%14.29%7.14%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed0.88
Mean total goals/game2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.125
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%21.43%28.57%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total21.43%57.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.14
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.221
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%21.43%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%
314.29%14.29%
4
5+14.29%7.14%21.43%
Total14.29%14.29%50.00%21.43%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored2.53
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game4.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.271
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Storm — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.59
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.062
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
214.29%14.29%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total42.86%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.326
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%21.43%14.29%42.86%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%35.71%14.29%21.43%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.12
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.112
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 22 14.2 +7.77
2 Valerenga 20 14.3 +5.65
3 Sarpsborg 08 19 14.3 +4.69
4 Viking 18 14.0 +3.97
5 Sarpsborg 18 14.3 +3.72

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brann 4 13.7 -9.65
2 Pors Grenland 6 13.7 -7.65
3 Sandaker 8 13.9 -5.92
4 Freidig 9 13.8 -4.83
5 Mjondalen 12 13.8 -1.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 8 Oct 10 – May 22 1 in 1,077
2 Valerenga 4 Aug 22 – Oct 10 1 in 51
3 Viking 3 May 8 – May 22 1 in 29
4 Mjondalen 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 29
5 Sarpsborg 3 Sep 26 – Oct 24 1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 5 Oct 3 – Nov 5 1 in 204
2 Orn-Horten 5 Aug 1 – Sep 26 1 in 95
3 Brann 5 Aug 22 – Oct 17 1 in 95
4 Freidig 5 Nov 5 – May 22 1 in 87
5 Sandaker 3 Apr 28 – May 22 1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 11 Oct 3 – May 29 1 in 354
2 Valerenga 9 Aug 22 – May 8 1 in 122
3 Viking 8 Oct 31 – May 29 1 in 67
4 Sarpsborg 8 Aug 1 – Nov 5 1 in 64
5 Lyn Oslo 5 Oct 31 – May 15 1 in 17

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 13 Aug 1 – May 26 1 in 614
2 Pors Grenland 11 Sep 12 – May 29 1 in 199
3 Storm 10 Aug 1 – May 8 1 in 110
4 Freidig 7 Oct 31 – May 29 1 in 28
5 Sandaker 5 Apr 28 – May 29 1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad17.14%14.67%13.76%12.53%11.44%11.11%10.01%9.34%
Valerenga15.87%15.08%13.84%13.28%11.64%11.18%10.27%8.84%
Sarpsborg 0816.41%14.81%13.72%12.84%11.70%11.24%10.61%8.67%
Sarpsborg15.92%15.19%13.91%12.14%11.91%10.54%10.82%9.57%
Viking13.33%13.16%12.91%12.26%12.80%12.36%11.87%11.31%
Algard11.96%11.96%12.33%12.88%12.95%12.93%12.75%12.24%
Lyn Oslo13.32%13.54%13.17%12.99%12.43%11.80%11.81%10.94%
Sandefjord13.44%12.79%12.95%13.28%12.54%12.46%11.28%11.26%
Skeid13.64%13.74%13.19%13.07%12.84%11.66%11.59%10.27%
Orn-Horten11.38%11.48%12.19%12.36%12.75%13.09%13.07%13.68%
Mjondalen10.30%11.05%11.46%12.70%13.25%12.92%13.70%14.62%
Storm9.25%10.75%11.34%12.23%12.87%13.88%14.67%15.01%
Freidig10.02%10.74%11.19%11.73%12.46%14.17%14.27%15.42%
Sandaker10.61%11.27%12.22%12.40%13.10%13.12%13.44%13.84%
Pors Grenland8.69%9.85%10.28%12.11%12.26%13.58%15.62%17.61%
Brann8.72%9.92%11.54%11.20%13.06%13.96%14.22%17.38%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6
Valerenga 1

Leg 1: Fredrikstad 3-0 Valerenga

Leg 2: Valerenga 1-3 Fredrikstad

Sim: 125.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Valerenga 65.0% 19.1%
Sarpsborg 08 64.3% 19.3%
Fredrikstad 63.5% 19.4%
Sarpsborg 63.7% 20.4%
Skeid 64.5% 21.9%
Sandefjord 64.0% 22.5%
Lyn Oslo 63.9% 22.8%
Viking 63.5% 23.2%
Algard 63.0% 25.0%
Orn-Horten 61.9% 26.8%
Sandaker 62.1% 27.3%
Mjondalen 61.4% 28.3%
Storm 61.1% 29.7%
Freidig 60.3% 29.7%
Brann 59.7% 31.6%
Pors Grenland 58.1% 33.2%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AlgardBrannFredrikstadFreidigLyn OsloMjondalenOrn-HortenPors GrenlandSandakerSandefjordSarpsborgSarpsborg 08SkeidStormValerengaViking
Algard92.00%68.00%92.00%57.00%76.00%83.00%90.00%51.00%
Brann68.00%48.00%49.00%36.00%39.00%46.00%71.00%54.00%
Fredrikstad111.00%77.00%100.00%75.00%154.00%112.00%125.00%112.00%
Freidig58.00%47.00%37.00%42.00%69.00%62.00%70.00%55.00%
Lyn Oslo84.00%72.00%76.00%68.00%95.00%97.00%116.00%78.00%
Mjondalen55.00%40.00%63.00%45.00%75.00%80.00%80.00%65.00%
Orn-Horten87.00%63.00%83.00%57.00%65.00%65.00%74.00%57.00%
Pors Grenland59.00%47.00%40.00%39.00%42.00%65.00%82.00%34.00%
Sandaker65.00%46.00%68.00%55.00%74.00%68.00%79.00%70.00%
Sandefjord79.00%69.00%91.00%59.00%109.00%115.00%89.00%78.00%
Sarpsborg80.00%71.00%99.00%76.00%109.00%118.00%132.00%110.00%
Sarpsborg 08136.00%92.00%112.00%101.00%93.00%109.00%165.00%70.00%
Skeid113.00%80.00%84.00%68.00%68.00%80.00%104.00%55.00%
Storm55.00%39.00%53.00%41.00%78.00%60.00%70.00%65.00%
Valerenga155.00%87.00%104.00%93.00%88.00%111.00%104.00%84.00%
Viking138.00%77.00%82.00%76.00%65.00%96.00%107.00%59.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 61.0%
Valerenga 39.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadValerenga
Fredrikstad61.00%
Valerenga39.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1948-08-01 Storm W 5-0 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +4.2 3
1948-08-01 @ Fredrikstad L 0-5 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -4.2 0
1948-08-01 Mjondalen L 0-2 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -3.3 0
1948-08-01 @ Freidig W 2-0 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +3.3 3
1948-08-01 Sandaker W 4-0 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +3.4 3
1948-08-01 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-4 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -3.4 0
1948-08-01 Skeid L 0-1 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -1.8 0
1948-08-01 @ Pors Grenland W 1-0 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +1.8 3
1948-08-01 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -0.2 1
1948-08-01 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +0.2 1
1948-08-01 Orn-Horten W 4-1 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +2.2 3
1948-08-01 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-4 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -2.2 0
1948-08-01 Brann W 4-3 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +0.8 3
1948-08-01 @ Valerenga L 3-4 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -0.8 0
1948-08-01 Algard L 1-3 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -2.9 0
1948-08-01 @ Viking W 3-1 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +2.9 3
1948-08-08 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1385 1385 53.8% 21.0% 25.3% -3.3 3
1948-08-08 @ Algard W 2-0 1385 1385 25.3% 21.0% 53.8% +3.3 6
1948-08-08 Pors Grenland D 2-2 1382 1381 53.8% 21.0% 25.2% -0.2 1
1948-08-08 @ Brann D 2-2 1381 1382 25.2% 21.0% 53.8% +0.2 1
1948-08-08 Sandefjord W 3-0 1386 1382 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% +2.5 6
1948-08-08 @ Mjondalen L 0-3 1382 1386 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% -2.5 1
1948-08-08 Viking L 0-1 1380 1380 53.8% 21.0% 25.3% -1.8 0
1948-08-08 @ Orn-Horten W 1-0 1380 1380 25.3% 21.0% 53.8% +1.8 3
1948-08-08 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1379 1387 52.6% 21.3% 26.1% +0.9 3
1948-08-08 @ Sandaker L 1-2 1387 1379 26.1% 21.3% 52.6% -0.9 3
1948-08-08 Freidig W 1-0 1383 1379 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% +0.9 4
1948-08-08 @ Sarpsborg L 0-1 1379 1383 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% -0.9 0
1948-08-08 Valerenga W 1-0 1384 1383 53.8% 21.0% 25.2% +0.9 6
1948-08-08 @ Skeid L 0-1 1383 1384 25.2% 21.0% 53.8% -0.9 3
1948-08-08 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1378 1386 52.6% 21.3% 26.1% -0.2 1
1948-08-08 @ Storm D 0-0 1386 1378 26.1% 21.3% 52.6% +0.2 4
1948-08-22 Mjondalen L 1-2 1386 1388 53.3% 21.1% 25.6% -1.7 3
1948-08-22 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1388 1386 25.6% 21.1% 53.3% +1.7 9
1948-08-22 Storm D 1-1 1378 1378 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -0.2 1
1948-08-22 @ Freidig D 1-1 1378 1378 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +0.2 2
1948-08-22 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1386 1384 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% -0.2 5
1948-08-22 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1384 1386 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% +0.2 5
1948-08-22 Orn-Horten W 2-0 1381 1378 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% +1.8 4
1948-08-22 @ Pors Grenland L 0-2 1378 1381 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% -1.8 0
1948-08-22 Sandaker W 4-1 1380 1380 53.6% 21.0% 25.4% +2.2 4
1948-08-22 @ Sandefjord L 1-4 1380 1380 25.4% 21.0% 53.6% -2.2 3
1948-08-22 Skeid W 3-1 1388 1385 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% +1.5 9
1948-08-22 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1385 1388 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% -1.5 6
1948-08-22 Algard W 3-0 1382 1382 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +2.6 6
1948-08-22 @ Valerenga L 0-3 1382 1382 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -2.6 3
1948-08-22 Brann W 4-3 1381 1381 53.6% 21.0% 25.3% +0.8 6
1948-08-22 @ Viking L 3-4 1381 1381 25.3% 21.0% 53.6% -0.8 1
1948-09-12 Pors Grenland W 1-0 1379 1383 53.2% 21.1% 25.6% +1.0 6
1948-09-12 @ Algard L 0-1 1383 1379 25.6% 21.1% 53.2% -1.0 4
1948-09-12 Valerenga L 0-1 1377 1385 52.6% 21.3% 26.1% -1.7 0
1948-09-12 @ Orn-Horten W 1-0 1385 1377 26.1% 21.3% 52.6% +1.7 9
1948-09-12 Sandefjord D 3-3 1378 1382 53.2% 21.1% 25.7% -0.1 3
1948-09-12 @ Storm D 3-3 1382 1378 25.7% 21.1% 53.2% +0.1 5
1948-09-26 Sarpsborg L 0-3 1378 1384 52.9% 21.2% 25.9% -4.8 3
1948-09-26 @ Sandaker W 3-0 1384 1378 25.9% 21.2% 52.9% +4.8 8
1948-09-26 Algard L 1-3 1381 1380 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -2.9 1
1948-09-26 @ Brann W 3-1 1380 1381 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +2.9 9
1948-09-26 Pors Grenland W 5-1 1389 1382 54.7% 20.7% 24.6% +2.7 12
1948-09-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-5 1382 1389 24.6% 20.7% 54.7% -2.7 4
1948-09-26 Orn-Horten W 3-2 1384 1375 54.8% 20.6% 24.5% +0.8 9
1948-09-26 @ Skeid L 2-3 1375 1384 24.5% 20.6% 54.8% -0.8 0
1948-09-26 Lyn Oslo W 3-1 1382 1386 53.1% 21.1% 25.7% +1.6 8
1948-09-26 @ Sandefjord L 1-3 1386 1382 25.7% 21.1% 53.1% -1.6 5
1948-10-03 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1384 1384 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -0.2 6
1948-10-03 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1384 1384 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +0.2 4
1948-10-03 Sandaker L 0-7 1390 1373 56.0% 20.3% 23.8% -11.0 9
1948-10-03 @ Mjondalen W 7-0 1373 1390 23.8% 20.3% 56.0% +11.0 6
1948-10-03 Freidig L 4-5 1384 1378 54.4% 20.8% 24.8% -1.5 8
1948-10-03 @ Sandefjord W 5-4 1378 1384 24.8% 20.8% 54.4% +1.5 4
1948-10-03 Skeid W 2-1 1383 1384 53.5% 21.1% 25.4% +0.9 12
1948-10-03 @ Algard L 1-2 1384 1383 25.4% 21.1% 53.5% -0.9 9
1948-10-03 Brann W 4-2 1374 1378 53.2% 21.1% 25.7% +1.4 3
1948-10-03 @ Orn-Horten L 2-4 1378 1374 25.7% 21.1% 53.2% -1.4 1
1948-10-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1387 1392 52.9% 21.2% 25.9% +1.0 12
1948-10-03 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1392 1387 25.9% 21.2% 52.9% -1.0 12
1948-10-10 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1379 1384 53.0% 21.2% 25.8% -2.9 4
1948-10-10 @ Freidig W 3-1 1384 1379 25.8% 21.2% 53.0% +2.9 7
1948-10-10 Sarpsborg L 2-3 1379 1389 52.4% 21.3% 26.3% -1.5 9
1948-10-10 @ Mjondalen W 3-2 1389 1379 26.3% 21.3% 52.4% +1.5 11
1948-10-10 Storm D 2-2 1384 1378 54.5% 20.8% 24.8% -0.2 7
1948-10-10 @ Sandaker D 2-2 1378 1384 24.8% 20.8% 54.5% +0.2 4
1948-10-10 Skeid L 2-3 1376 1384 52.7% 21.3% 26.0% -1.6 1
1948-10-10 @ Brann W 3-2 1384 1376 26.0% 21.3% 52.7% +1.6 12
1948-10-10 Algard W 2-0 1376 1384 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% +1.8 6
1948-10-10 @ Orn-Horten L 0-2 1384 1376 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% -1.8 12
1948-10-10 Valerenga L 0-2 1379 1388 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% -3.3 4
1948-10-10 @ Pors Grenland W 2-0 1388 1379 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% +3.3 15
1948-10-10 Viking W 3-1 1391 1382 54.9% 20.6% 24.5% +1.5 15
1948-10-10 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1382 1391 24.5% 20.6% 54.9% -1.5 6
1948-10-16 Mjondalen W 2-0 1384 1377 54.6% 20.7% 24.7% +1.7 9
1948-10-16 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1377 1384 24.7% 20.7% 54.6% -1.7 9
1948-10-17 Valerenga D 0-0 1382 1391 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% -0.2 13
1948-10-17 @ Algard D 0-0 1391 1382 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% +0.2 16
1948-10-17 Brann W 3-1 1393 1375 56.1% 20.2% 23.7% +1.4 18
1948-10-17 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1375 1393 23.7% 20.2% 56.1% -1.4 1
1948-10-17 Pors Grenland W 8-1 1385 1376 54.9% 20.6% 24.4% +4.5 15
1948-10-17 @ Skeid L 1-8 1376 1385 24.4% 20.6% 54.9% -4.5 4
1948-10-17 Orn-Horten D 2-2 1381 1377 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% -0.2 7
1948-10-17 @ Viking D 2-2 1377 1381 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% +0.2 7
1948-10-17 Freidig L 0-1 1378 1377 53.9% 20.9% 25.2% -1.8 4
1948-10-17 @ Storm W 1-0 1377 1378 25.2% 20.9% 53.9% +1.8 7
1948-10-24 Sandaker W 2-1 1378 1384 52.9% 21.2% 25.9% +0.9 10
1948-10-24 @ Freidig L 1-2 1384 1378 25.9% 21.2% 52.9% -0.9 7
1948-10-24 Fredrikstad L 0-2 1376 1387 52.2% 21.4% 26.4% -3.2 4
1948-10-24 @ Storm W 2-0 1387 1376 26.4% 21.4% 52.2% +3.2 10
1948-10-24 Viking W 1-0 1382 1380 53.9% 20.9% 25.2% +0.9 16
1948-10-24 @ Algard L 0-1 1380 1382 25.2% 20.9% 53.9% -0.9 7
1948-10-24 Brann D 1-1 1371 1373 53.4% 21.1% 25.6% -0.2 5
1948-10-24 @ Pors Grenland D 1-1 1373 1371 25.6% 21.1% 53.4% +0.2 2
1948-10-24 Mjondalen W 3-0 1382 1376 54.5% 20.7% 24.7% +2.5 11
1948-10-24 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1376 1382 24.7% 20.7% 54.5% -2.5 9
1948-10-24 Sarpsborg 08 W 5-2 1390 1394 53.1% 21.2% 25.8% +1.9 18
1948-10-24 @ Skeid L 2-5 1394 1390 25.8% 21.2% 53.1% -1.9 18
1948-10-24 Orn-Horten W 2-1 1391 1378 55.5% 20.4% 24.1% +0.8 19
1948-10-24 @ Valerenga L 1-2 1378 1391 24.1% 20.4% 55.5% -0.8 7
1948-10-24 Lyn Oslo W 5-1 1390 1386 54.3% 20.8% 24.9% +2.8 14
1948-10-24 @ Sarpsborg L 1-5 1386 1390 24.9% 20.8% 54.3% -2.8 9
1948-10-31 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1379 1383 53.2% 21.1% 25.7% -0.2 11
1948-10-31 @ Freidig D 0-0 1383 1379 25.7% 21.1% 53.2% +0.2 10
1948-10-31 Viking L 2-3 1392 1380 55.3% 20.5% 24.2% -1.6 18
1948-10-31 @ Skeid W 3-2 1380 1392 24.2% 20.5% 55.3% +1.6 10
1948-10-31 Sandefjord D 1-1 1393 1384 54.8% 20.7% 24.5% -0.2 15
1948-10-31 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1384 1393 24.5% 20.7% 54.8% +0.2 12
1948-10-31 Sandaker W 4-2 1390 1383 54.7% 20.7% 24.6% +1.3 13
1948-10-31 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1383 1390 24.6% 20.7% 54.7% -1.3 7
1948-11-05 Sandefjord W 1-0 1392 1385 54.6% 20.7% 24.7% +0.9 16
1948-11-05 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1385 1392 24.7% 20.7% 54.6% -0.9 12
1948-11-05 Storm W 4-1 1393 1373 56.3% 20.2% 23.5% +2.0 18
1948-11-05 @ Sarpsborg L 1-4 1373 1393 23.5% 20.2% 56.3% -2.0 4
1948-11-05 Valerenga D 1-1 1381 1392 52.2% 21.4% 26.4% -0.2 11
1948-11-05 @ Viking D 1-1 1392 1381 26.4% 21.4% 52.2% +0.2 20
1948-11-05 Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1373 1383 52.3% 21.4% 26.3% -3.3 9
1948-11-05 @ Mjondalen W 2-0 1383 1373 26.3% 21.4% 52.3% +3.3 13
1948-11-05 Freidig W 3-2 1382 1379 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% +0.8 10
1948-11-05 @ Sandaker L 2-3 1379 1382 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% -0.8 11
1949-04-28 Lyn Oslo L 1-3 1382 1386 53.1% 21.1% 25.7% -2.9 10
1949-04-28 @ Sandaker W 3-1 1386 1382 25.7% 21.1% 53.1% +2.8 16
1949-04-30 Orn-Horten D 2-2 1383 1377 54.5% 20.8% 24.7% -0.2 17
1949-04-30 @ Algard D 2-2 1377 1383 24.7% 20.8% 54.5% +0.2 8
1949-04-30 Sarpsborg W 3-1 1393 1395 53.4% 21.1% 25.5% +1.5 19
1949-04-30 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1395 1393 25.5% 21.1% 53.4% -1.6 18
1949-05-01 Freidig W 4-1 1370 1378 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% +2.2 12
1949-05-01 @ Mjondalen L 1-4 1378 1370 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% -2.2 11
1949-05-01 Brann W 7-1 1390 1374 55.9% 20.3% 23.8% +3.8 21
1949-05-01 @ Skeid L 1-7 1374 1390 23.8% 20.3% 55.9% -3.8 2
1949-05-01 Pors Grenland W 2-0 1392 1371 56.5% 20.1% 23.4% +1.6 23
1949-05-01 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1371 1392 23.4% 20.1% 56.5% -1.6 5
1949-05-01 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1381 1392 52.1% 21.4% 26.5% -0.2 12
1949-05-01 @ Viking D 1-1 1392 1381 26.5% 21.4% 52.1% +0.2 19
1949-05-01 Storm D 2-2 1384 1371 55.4% 20.5% 24.1% -0.2 13
1949-05-01 @ Sandefjord D 2-2 1371 1384 24.1% 20.5% 55.4% +0.2 5
1949-05-08 Sarpsborg L 0-2 1376 1393 51.3% 21.6% 27.1% -3.2 11
1949-05-08 @ Freidig W 2-0 1393 1376 27.1% 21.6% 51.3% +3.2 21
1949-05-08 Storm D 0-0 1389 1371 56.1% 20.2% 23.7% -0.3 17
1949-05-08 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1371 1389 23.7% 20.2% 56.1% +0.3 6
1949-05-08 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1372 1394 50.7% 21.7% 27.6% -1.7 12
1949-05-08 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1394 1372 27.6% 21.7% 50.7% +1.7 22
1949-05-08 Valerenga L 2-4 1370 1394 50.4% 21.8% 27.8% -2.5 2
1949-05-08 @ Brann W 4-2 1394 1370 27.8% 21.8% 50.4% +2.5 26
1949-05-08 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1377 1392 51.6% 21.6% 26.9% +0.9 11
1949-05-08 @ Orn-Horten L 1-2 1392 1377 26.9% 21.6% 51.6% -0.9 19
1949-05-08 Algard D 1-1 1369 1383 51.8% 21.5% 26.7% -0.2 6
1949-05-08 @ Pors Grenland D 1-1 1383 1369 26.7% 21.5% 51.8% +0.2 18
1949-05-08 Skeid W 3-0 1381 1394 51.9% 21.5% 26.6% +2.7 15
1949-05-08 @ Viking L 0-3 1394 1381 26.6% 21.5% 51.9% -2.7 21
1949-05-15 Freidig W 2-0 1396 1373 56.8% 20.0% 23.2% +1.6 25
1949-05-15 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1373 1396 23.2% 20.0% 56.8% -1.6 11
1949-05-15 Sandefjord W 1-0 1389 1384 54.4% 20.8% 24.8% +0.9 20
1949-05-15 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1384 1389 24.8% 20.8% 54.4% -0.9 13
1949-05-15 Mjondalen W 2-0 1396 1370 57.2% 19.9% 23.0% +1.6 24
1949-05-15 @ Sarpsborg L 0-2 1370 1396 23.0% 19.9% 57.2% -1.6 12
1949-05-15 Sandaker W 1-0 1372 1380 52.6% 21.3% 26.1% +1.0 9
1949-05-15 @ Storm L 0-1 1380 1372 26.1% 21.3% 52.6% -1.0 10
1949-05-15 Viking L 0-2 1367 1383 51.5% 21.6% 27.0% -3.2 2
1949-05-15 @ Brann W 2-0 1383 1367 27.0% 21.6% 51.5% +3.2 18
1949-05-15 Pors Grenland W 4-1 1378 1369 54.9% 20.6% 24.5% +2.1 14
1949-05-15 @ Orn-Horten L 1-4 1369 1378 24.5% 20.6% 54.9% -2.1 6
1949-05-15 Algard W 1-0 1391 1383 54.8% 20.7% 24.5% +0.9 22
1949-05-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1383 1391 24.5% 20.7% 54.8% -0.9 18
1949-05-22 Lyn Oslo W 4-1 1397 1390 54.7% 20.7% 24.6% +2.1 28
1949-05-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1390 1397 24.6% 20.7% 54.7% -2.1 20
1949-05-22 Sandefjord L 0-2 1371 1383 52.1% 21.4% 26.5% -3.2 11
1949-05-22 @ Freidig W 2-0 1383 1371 26.5% 21.4% 52.1% +3.2 16
1949-05-22 Mjondalen L 1-2 1379 1369 55.0% 20.6% 24.4% -1.7 10
1949-05-22 @ Sandaker W 2-1 1369 1379 24.4% 20.6% 55.0% +1.7 15
1949-05-22 Sarpsborg W 2-1 1373 1398 50.2% 21.8% 27.9% +1.0 12
1949-05-22 @ Storm L 1-2 1398 1373 27.9% 21.8% 50.2% -1.0 24
1949-05-22 Brann W 3-2 1382 1364 56.1% 20.2% 23.7% +0.8 21
1949-05-22 @ Algard L 2-3 1364 1382 23.7% 20.2% 56.1% -0.8 2
1949-05-22 Skeid W 2-0 1380 1391 52.2% 21.4% 26.4% +1.8 17
1949-05-22 @ Orn-Horten L 0-2 1391 1380 26.4% 21.4% 52.2% -1.8 21
1949-05-22 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-3 1367 1392 50.2% 21.8% 28.0% -4.6 6
1949-05-22 @ Pors Grenland W 3-0 1392 1367 28.0% 21.8% 50.2% +4.6 25
1949-05-22 Viking L 0-2 1396 1387 54.9% 20.6% 24.4% -3.4 26
1949-05-22 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1387 1396 24.4% 20.6% 54.9% +3.4 21
1949-05-26 Storm W 3-1 1370 1374 53.2% 21.1% 25.6% +1.6 18
1949-05-26 @ Mjondalen L 1-3 1374 1370 25.6% 21.1% 53.2% -1.6 12
1949-05-26 Orn-Horten L 2-3 1363 1382 51.2% 21.6% 27.2% -1.5 2
1949-05-26 @ Brann W 3-2 1382 1363 27.2% 21.6% 51.2% +1.5 20
1949-05-26 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1386 1400 51.8% 21.5% 26.7% -0.2 17
1949-05-26 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1400 1386 26.7% 21.5% 51.8% +0.2 29
1949-05-26 Sandaker D 1-1 1397 1377 56.4% 20.1% 23.5% -0.2 25
1949-05-26 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1377 1397 23.5% 20.1% 56.4% +0.2 11
1949-05-26 Valerenga W 2-1 1397 1393 54.2% 20.8% 24.9% +0.9 28
1949-05-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1393 1397 24.9% 20.8% 54.2% -0.9 26
1949-05-26 Algard L 1-2 1389 1383 54.5% 20.8% 24.7% -1.7 21
1949-05-26 @ Skeid W 2-1 1383 1389 24.7% 20.8% 54.5% +1.7 24
1949-05-26 Pors Grenland D 1-1 1390 1362 57.4% 19.8% 22.8% -0.3 22
1949-05-26 @ Viking D 1-1 1362 1390 22.8% 19.8% 57.4% +0.3 7
1949-05-29 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1362 1398 48.8% 22.1% 29.1% +3.0 5
1949-05-29 @ Brann L 0-3 1398 1362 29.1% 22.1% 48.8% -2.9 28
1949-05-29 Viking L 1-3 1363 1390 50.0% 21.9% 28.1% -2.7 7
1949-05-29 @ Pors Grenland W 3-1 1390 1363 28.1% 21.9% 50.0% +2.7 25
1949-05-29 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1397 1400 53.3% 21.1% 25.6% -1.8 25
1949-05-29 @ Sarpsborg W 1-0 1400 1397 25.6% 21.1% 53.3% +1.8 32
1949-05-29 Sandefjord L 1-2 1377 1386 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% -1.6 11
1949-05-29 @ Sandaker W 2-1 1386 1377 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% +1.6 20
1949-05-29 Freidig D 2-2 1388 1368 56.4% 20.1% 23.5% -0.2 21
1949-05-29 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1368 1388 23.5% 20.1% 56.4% +0.2 12
1949-05-29 Mjondalen W 2-0 1372 1372 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% +1.8 15
1949-05-29 @ Storm L 0-2 1372 1372 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% -1.8 18
1949-05-30 Skeid W 2-1 1392 1387 54.3% 20.8% 24.9% +0.9 29
1949-05-30 @ Valerenga L 1-2 1387 1392 24.9% 20.8% 54.3% -0.9 21

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1949-06-06 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1393 1402 52.5% 21.3% 26.2% -2.8 0-1
1949-06-06 @ Valerenga W 3-1 1402 1393 26.2% 21.3% 52.5% +2.8 1-0
1949-06-12 Valerenga W 3-0 1404 1390 55.6% 20.4% 24.0% +2.5 2-0
1949-06-12 @ Fredrikstad L 0-3 1390 1404 24.0% 20.4% 55.6% -2.5 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1948-10-03 23.76% Sandaker 1373 7 @ Mjondalen 1390 0
2 1948-10-31 24.20% Viking 1380 3 @ Skeid 1392 2
3 1949-05-22 24.40% Mjondalen 1369 2 @ Sandaker 1379 1
4 1949-05-22 24.43% Viking 1387 2 @ Valerenga 1396 0
5 1949-05-26 24.73% Algard 1383 2 @ Skeid 1389 1
6 1948-10-03 24.80% Freidig 1378 5 @ Sandefjord 1384 4
7 1948-10-17 25.17% Freidig 1377 1 @ Storm 1378 0
8 1948-08-08 25.26% Sarpsborg 08 1385 2 @ Algard 1385 0
9 1948-08-08 25.26% Viking 1380 1 @ Orn-Horten 1380 0
10 1948-09-26 25.30% Algard 1380 3 @ Brann 1381 1
11 1948-08-01 25.33% Mjondalen 1382 2 @ Freidig 1382 0
12 1948-08-01 25.33% Skeid 1382 1 @ Pors Grenland 1382 0
13 1948-08-01 25.33% Algard 1382 3 @ Viking 1382 1
14 1948-08-22 25.58% Mjondalen 1388 2 @ Fredrikstad 1386 1
15 1949-05-29 25.63% Fredrikstad 1400 1 @ Sarpsborg 1397 0
16 1949-04-28 25.72% Lyn Oslo 1386 3 @ Sandaker 1382 1
17 1948-10-10 25.79% Fredrikstad 1384 3 @ Freidig 1379 1
18 1948-09-26 25.91% Sarpsborg 1384 3 @ Sandaker 1378 0
19 1948-10-10 26.03% Skeid 1384 3 @ Brann 1376 2
20 1948-09-12 26.13% Valerenga 1385 1 @ Orn-Horten 1377 0
21 1949-05-29 26.17% Sandefjord 1386 2 @ Sandaker 1377 1
22 1948-10-10 26.18% Valerenga 1388 2 @ Pors Grenland 1379 0
23 1949-06-06 * 26.19% Fredrikstad 1402 3 @ Valerenga 1393 1
24 1948-10-10 26.28% Sarpsborg 1389 3 @ Mjondalen 1379 2
25 1948-11-05 26.33% Lyn Oslo 1383 2 @ Mjondalen 1373 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-10-03 11.05 Sandaker 7 1373 23.76% @ Mjondalen 0 1390 55.96%
2 1948-09-26 4.77 Sarpsborg 3 1384 25.91% @ Sandaker 0 1378 52.86%
3 1949-05-22 4.58 Sarpsborg 08 3 1392 27.95% @ Pors Grenland 0 1367 50.22%
4 1948-10-17 4.55 @ Skeid 8 1385 54.95% Pors Grenland 1 1376 24.44%
5 1948-08-01 4.16 @ Fredrikstad 5 1382 53.67% Storm 0 1382 25.33%
6 1949-05-01 3.83 @ Skeid 7 1390 55.88% Brann 1 1374 23.81%
7 1949-05-22 3.39 Viking 2 1387 24.43% @ Valerenga 0 1396 54.95%
8 1948-08-01 3.38 @ Lyn Oslo 4 1382 53.67% Sandaker 0 1382 25.33%
9 1948-08-08 3.33 Sarpsborg 08 2 1385 25.26% @ Algard 0 1385 53.77%
10 1948-08-01 3.32 Mjondalen 2 1382 25.33% @ Freidig 0 1382 53.67%
11 1948-10-10 3.27 Valerenga 2 1388 26.18% @ Pors Grenland 0 1379 52.50%
12 1948-11-05 3.26 Lyn Oslo 2 1383 26.33% @ Mjondalen 0 1373 52.30%
13 1948-10-24 3.25 Fredrikstad 2 1387 26.37% @ Storm 0 1376 52.24%
14 1949-05-22 3.25 Sandefjord 2 1383 26.48% @ Freidig 0 1371 52.11%
15 1949-05-08 3.21 Sarpsborg 2 1393 27.05% @ Freidig 0 1376 51.35%
16 1949-05-15 3.21 Viking 2 1383 26.96% @ Brann 0 1367 51.48%
17 1949-05-29 2.95 @ Brann 3 1362 48.78% Sarpsborg 08 0 1398 29.15%
18 1948-08-01 2.88 Algard 3 1382 25.33% @ Viking 1 1382 53.67%
19 1948-09-26 2.88 Algard 3 1380 25.30% @ Brann 1 1381 53.71%
20 1948-10-10 2.86 Fredrikstad 3 1384 25.79% @ Freidig 1 1379 53.03%
21 1949-04-28 2.85 Lyn Oslo 3 1386 25.72% @ Sandaker 1 1382 53.13%
22 1949-06-06 * 2.83 Fredrikstad 3 1402 26.19% @ Valerenga 1 1393 52.49%
23 1948-10-24 2.77 @ Sarpsborg 5 1390 54.26% Lyn Oslo 1 1386 24.91%
24 1948-09-26 2.73 @ Sarpsborg 08 5 1389 54.73% Pors Grenland 1 1382 24.59%
25 1949-05-08 2.72 @ Viking 3 1381 51.91% Skeid 0 1394 26.62%