Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1949-50

1949-50 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Larvik

6.29 points above expected

20 points · 13.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mjondalen

9.44 points below expected

4 points · 13.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 8 5 1 21 38 11 +27 15.4 +5.62
2 Sarpsborg 08 14 9 3 2 21 26 9 +17 14.8 +6.25
3 Fram Larvik 14 7 6 1 20 22 13 +9 13.7 +6.29
4 Orn-Horten 14 8 1 5 17 32 24 +8 14.3 +2.73
5 Sarpsborg 14 5 7 2 17 24 17 +7 14.6 +2.37
6 Viking 14 5 6 3 16 28 20 +8 14.3 +1.68
7 Skeid 14 6 4 4 16 19 18 +1 14.2 +1.78
8 Valerenga 14 5 6 3 16 23 24 -1 14.3 +1.73
9 Lyn Oslo 14 5 3 6 13 21 21 0 14.0 -1.01
10 Selbak 14 3 7 4 13 17 21 -4 13.4 -0.38
11 Strommen 14 5 3 6 13 19 25 -6 13.1 -0.10
12 Sandefjord 14 4 3 7 11 15 25 -10 13.8 -2.82
13 Algard 14 1 7 6 9 8 18 -10 13.9 -4.86
14 Ranheim 14 3 3 8 9 10 29 -19 13.0 -4.01
15 Storm 14 2 4 8 8 18 27 -9 13.8 -5.82
16 Mjondalen 14 1 2 11 4 9 27 -18 13.4 -9.44

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fram Larvik 2
Fredrikstad 1

Leg 1: Fredrikstad 1-1 Fram Larvik

Leg 2: Fram Larvik 1-0 Fredrikstad

Sim: 145.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1393 21 15.38 +5.62 98.6% 4 11 13 15 17 20 25
Sarpsborg 08 1380 21 14.75 +6.25 99.3% 5 10 13 15 17 19 24
Sarpsborg 1368 17 14.63 +2.37 84.3% 5 10 13 15 17 19 24
Viking 1366 16 14.32 +1.68 77.6% 4 10 12 14 16 19 25
Orn-Horten 1362 17 14.27 +2.73 87.5% 4 10 12 14 16 19 24
Skeid 1358 16 14.22 +1.78 78.6% 5 10 12 14 16 19 24
Lyn Oslo 1355 13 14.01 -1.01 42.3% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Valerenga 1353 16 14.27 +1.73 78.2% 2 10 12 14 16 19 25
Fram Larvik 1350 20 13.71 +6.29 99.3% 4 9 12 14 16 18 27
Sandefjord 1345 11 13.82 -2.82 21.1% 4 9 12 14 16 18 25
Algard 1340 9 13.86 -4.86 6.4% 4 9 12 14 16 18 25
Storm 1337 8 13.82 -5.82 2.9% 4 9 12 14 16 18 23
Selbak 1332 13 13.38 -0.38 51.8% 4 9 11 13 15 18 25
Strommen 1331 13 13.10 -0.10 55.7% 4 8 11 13 15 18 23
Mjondalen 1323 4 13.44 -9.44 0.0% 4 9 11 13 15 18 24
Ranheim 1316 9 13.01 -4.01 11.2% 4 8 11 13 15 18 23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALG FL FRE LO MJO ORN RAN SAN SAR S0 SEL SKE STO STR VAL VIK
Algard
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.52
Fram Larvik
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.45
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lyn Oslo
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.50
Mjondalen
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Orn-Horten
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ranheim
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandefjord
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg
0-2-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.67
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Selbak
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.40
Skeid
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Storm
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.45
Strommen
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.56
Viking
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%7.59%6.70%2.23%2.23%1.34%26.34%
17.59%16.07%3.57%2.68%1.34%0.89%32.14%
26.70%3.57%8.04%2.23%2.68%0.45%23.66%
32.23%2.68%2.23%0.89%0.45%8.48%
42.23%1.34%2.68%6.25%
5+1.34%0.89%0.45%0.45%3.12%
Total26.34%32.14%23.66%8.48%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.47
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.36
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.092
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%21.43%50.00%
17.14%21.43%14.29%42.86%
27.14%7.14%
3
4
5+
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%100%

Algard — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.57
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored0.65
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game1.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.302
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%21.43%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total35.71%35.71%28.57%100%

Fram Larvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored1.02
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.144
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
5+14.29%7.14%21.43%
Total42.86%35.71%21.43%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.71
Mean allowed0.79
StdDev scored2.40
StdDev allowed0.80
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.034
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%42.86%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.301
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%14.29%57.14%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
3
4
5+
Total7.14%21.43%50.00%14.29%7.14%100%

Mjondalen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.64
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.242
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
1
221.43%14.29%35.71%
3
414.29%7.14%21.43%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total42.86%7.14%21.43%21.43%7.14%100%

Orn-Horten — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.29
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.86
StdDev allowed2.20
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.280
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
121.43%7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%57.14%
27.14%7.14%
3
4
5+
Total28.57%7.14%21.43%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Ranheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.71
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored0.61
StdDev allowed1.69
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.053
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%35.71%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
2
314.29%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total28.57%28.57%14.29%21.43%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.76
Mean total goals/game2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.413
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
135.71%35.71%
214.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%64.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.248
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
414.29%14.29%
5+
Total50.00%35.71%14.29%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed0.64
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed0.74
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.131
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%28.57%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
3
4
5+
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Selbak — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.80
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.196
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
214.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+
Total28.57%50.00%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.170
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%28.57%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%35.71%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total7.14%42.86%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Storm — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.44
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.389
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
214.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.72
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.418
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%35.71%7.14%50.00%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
414.29%14.29%
5+
Total7.14%50.00%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.062
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
228.57%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%21.43%50.00%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.57
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.052
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Larvik 20 13.7 +6.29
2 Sarpsborg 08 21 14.8 +6.25
3 Fredrikstad 21 15.4 +5.62
4 Orn-Horten 17 14.3 +2.73
5 Sarpsborg 17 14.6 +2.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mjondalen 4 13.4 -9.44
2 Storm 8 13.8 -5.82
3 Algard 9 13.9 -4.86
4 Ranheim 9 13.0 -4.01
5 Sandefjord 11 13.8 -2.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 4 Aug 7 – Sep 4 1 in 105
2 Fredrikstad 4 Aug 7 – Sep 4 1 in 74
3 Ranheim 3 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 57
4 Fram Larvik 3 Aug 7 – Aug 21 1 in 46
5 Lyn Oslo 3 Oct 9 – Oct 23 1 in 45

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Storm 6 Apr 30 – May 28 1 in 1,392
2 Mjondalen 6 Aug 7 – Oct 9 1 in 1,097
3 Ranheim 5 May 7 – May 28 1 in 214
4 Orn-Horten 3 May 7 – May 21 1 in 40
5 Lyn Oslo 3 Sep 4 – Sep 25 1 in 39

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Larvik 10 Aug 7 – Apr 30 1 in 34
2 Sarpsborg 08 11 Aug 7 – May 11 1 in 31
3 Sarpsborg 11 Aug 14 – May 14 1 in 31
4 Fredrikstad 8 Aug 7 – Apr 23 1 in 10
5 Viking 6 Oct 30 – May 28 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 12 Aug 7 – May 14 1 in 45
2 Algard 8 Aug 7 – Oct 16 1 in 15
3 Ranheim 9 Oct 9 – May 28 1 in 15
4 Storm 8 Oct 16 – May 28 1 in 14
5 Lyn Oslo 6 Aug 7 – Sep 25 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad27.48%18.70%14.13%12.45%9.83%7.04%6.22%4.15%
Sarpsborg 0818.90%16.65%15.44%13.65%11.13%9.71%8.25%6.27%
Fram Larvik11.95%12.58%13.06%12.66%12.40%12.85%12.65%11.85%
Orn-Horten13.80%13.95%14.41%13.73%12.79%12.32%10.30%8.70%
Sarpsborg19.35%15.06%14.18%12.72%11.49%10.68%8.91%7.61%
Viking16.35%14.82%13.56%12.74%12.00%11.21%10.30%9.02%
Skeid12.53%14.11%13.66%12.99%13.48%12.67%10.96%9.60%
Valerenga13.54%14.02%13.36%12.52%12.73%11.58%11.65%10.60%
Lyn Oslo12.10%12.30%12.66%13.31%12.91%12.61%11.82%12.29%
Selbak7.80%9.90%10.70%11.09%12.85%14.08%16.00%17.58%
Strommen6.48%8.40%10.00%11.63%13.82%15.11%17.04%17.52%
Sandefjord8.89%11.44%12.28%12.83%13.80%13.58%13.69%13.49%
Algard9.57%10.71%11.45%12.52%12.70%13.12%14.34%15.59%
Ranheim5.20%7.23%9.50%10.74%12.34%15.33%17.35%22.31%
Storm9.34%10.61%11.03%12.44%12.92%13.87%14.33%15.46%
Mjondalen6.72%9.52%10.58%11.98%12.81%14.24%16.19%17.96%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fram Larvik 2
Fredrikstad 1

Leg 1: Fredrikstad 1-1 Fram Larvik

Leg 2: Fram Larvik 1-0 Fredrikstad

Sim: 145.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fredrikstad 62.2% 10.4%
Sarpsborg 08 66.6% 14.5%
Sarpsborg 64.1% 16.5%
Orn-Horten 67.2% 19.0%
Viking 64.3% 19.3%
Skeid 66.9% 20.6%
Valerenga 64.2% 22.2%
Lyn Oslo 63.8% 24.1%
Fram Larvik 63.5% 24.5%
Sandefjord 63.9% 27.2%
Storm 60.9% 29.8%
Algard 60.5% 29.9%
Selbak 58.6% 33.6%
Mjondalen 59.1% 34.2%
Strommen 59.0% 34.6%
Ranheim 55.1% 39.7%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AlgardFram LarvikFredrikstadLyn OsloMjondalenOrn-HortenRanheimSandefjordSarpsborgSarpsborg 08SelbakSkeidStormStrommenValerengaViking
Algard111.00%36.00%60.00%29.00%29.00%73.00%55.00%22.00%
Fram Larvik145.00%37.00%63.00%34.00%57.00%103.00%77.00%36.00%
Fredrikstad160.00%201.00%183.00%277.00%129.00%174.00%205.00%260.00%
Lyn Oslo133.00%50.00%87.00%34.00%70.00%106.00%69.00%50.00%
Mjondalen33.00%35.00%34.00%55.00%25.00%34.00%45.00%37.00%
Orn-Horten86.00%85.00%93.00%120.00%52.00%60.00%107.00%115.00%
Ranheim28.00%34.00%20.00%34.00%12.00%21.00%32.00%35.00%
Sandefjord45.00%47.00%50.00%80.00%29.00%42.00%66.00%61.00%
Sarpsborg233.00%82.00%147.00%65.00%95.00%174.00%130.00%66.00%
Sarpsborg 0885.00%117.00%124.00%219.00%86.00%99.00%150.00%152.00%
Selbak91.00%26.00%56.00%20.00%34.00%53.00%57.00%21.00%
Skeid62.00%82.00%72.00%106.00%51.00%61.00%80.00%100.00%
Storm100.00%34.00%41.00%41.00%36.00%75.00%52.00%31.00%
Strommen43.00%42.00%35.00%52.00%38.00%33.00%30.00%45.00%
Valerenga149.00%50.00%92.00%33.00%59.00%115.00%97.00%44.00%
Viking197.00%59.00%116.00%48.00%89.00%159.00%102.00%60.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 82.0%
Fram Larvik 18.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Fram LarvikFredrikstad
Fram Larvik18.00%
Fredrikstad82.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1949-08-07 Viking L 1-3 1352 1357 29.9% 42.6% 27.4% -2.4 0
1949-08-07 @ Algard W 3-1 1357 1352 27.4% 42.6% 29.9% +2.4 3
1949-08-07 Sarpsborg W 3-2 1336 1361 27.3% 42.2% 30.4% +1.3 3
1949-08-07 @ Fram Larvik L 2-3 1361 1336 30.4% 42.2% 27.3% -1.3 0
1949-08-07 Strommen W 5-0 1367 1336 36.2% 39.8% 24.0% +5.5 3
1949-08-07 @ Fredrikstad L 0-5 1336 1367 24.0% 39.8% 36.2% -5.6 0
1949-08-07 Orn-Horten L 0-2 1336 1354 28.2% 42.5% 29.3% -2.7 0
1949-08-07 @ Ranheim W 2-0 1354 1336 29.3% 42.5% 28.2% +2.7 3
1949-08-07 Sandefjord W 4-0 1359 1356 31.2% 42.4% 26.4% +4.9 3
1949-08-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1356 1359 26.4% 42.4% 31.2% -4.9 0
1949-08-07 Mjondalen W 2-1 1357 1345 32.6% 41.9% 25.5% +1.3 3
1949-08-07 @ Skeid L 1-2 1345 1357 25.5% 41.9% 32.6% -1.3 0
1949-08-07 Lyn Oslo W 4-2 1347 1355 29.5% 42.7% 27.8% +2.1 3
1949-08-07 @ Storm L 2-4 1355 1347 27.8% 42.7% 29.5% -2.1 0
1949-08-07 Selbak D 1-1 1355 1336 34.0% 41.2% 24.8% -0.1 1
1949-08-07 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1336 1355 24.8% 41.2% 34.0% +0.1 1
1949-08-14 Fram Larvik L 1-3 1353 1337 33.3% 41.5% 25.1% -2.6 0
1949-08-14 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-1 1337 1353 25.1% 41.5% 33.3% +2.6 6
1949-08-14 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1344 1364 27.9% 42.5% 29.6% -1.4 0
1949-08-14 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1364 1344 29.6% 42.5% 27.9% +1.4 6
1949-08-14 Skeid W 5-3 1356 1358 30.4% 42.6% 27.0% +1.9 6
1949-08-14 @ Orn-Horten L 3-5 1358 1356 27.0% 42.6% 30.4% -1.9 3
1949-08-14 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1351 1372 27.8% 42.4% 29.8% -3.3 0
1949-08-14 @ Sandefjord W 4-1 1372 1351 29.8% 42.4% 27.8% +3.3 6
1949-08-14 Algard D 2-2 1359 1350 32.3% 42.0% 25.7% -0.0 1
1949-08-14 @ Sarpsborg D 2-2 1350 1359 25.7% 42.0% 32.3% +0.0 1
1949-08-14 Storm D 1-1 1336 1349 28.8% 42.6% 28.6% -0.0 2
1949-08-14 @ Selbak D 1-1 1349 1336 28.6% 42.6% 28.8% +0.0 4
1949-08-14 Ranheim W 4-1 1330 1333 30.3% 42.6% 27.1% +3.2 3
1949-08-14 @ Strommen L 1-4 1333 1330 27.1% 42.6% 30.3% -3.2 0
1949-08-14 Valerenga L 0-1 1360 1355 31.5% 42.3% 26.2% -1.5 3
1949-08-14 @ Viking W 1-0 1355 1360 26.2% 42.3% 31.5% +1.5 4
1949-08-21 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1350 1350 30.7% 42.5% 26.8% -0.0 2
1949-08-21 @ Algard D 1-1 1350 1350 26.8% 42.5% 30.7% +0.0 1
1949-08-21 Selbak W 3-0 1340 1336 31.3% 42.4% 26.3% +3.8 9
1949-08-21 @ Fram Larvik L 0-3 1336 1340 26.3% 42.4% 31.3% -3.8 2
1949-08-21 Mjondalen W 4-2 1376 1343 36.6% 39.5% 23.9% +1.8 9
1949-08-21 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1343 1376 23.9% 39.5% 36.6% -1.8 0
1949-08-21 Sandefjord W 1-0 1330 1348 28.1% 42.5% 29.3% +1.5 3
1949-08-21 @ Ranheim L 0-1 1348 1330 29.3% 42.5% 28.1% -1.5 0
1949-08-21 Orn-Horten W 3-2 1366 1358 31.9% 42.2% 25.9% +1.2 9
1949-08-21 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1358 1366 25.9% 42.2% 31.9% -1.2 6
1949-08-21 Strommen W 3-1 1356 1333 34.6% 40.8% 24.6% +2.1 6
1949-08-21 @ Skeid L 1-3 1333 1356 24.6% 40.8% 34.6% -2.1 3
1949-08-21 Viking D 2-2 1349 1358 29.3% 42.7% 28.0% -0.0 5
1949-08-21 @ Storm D 2-2 1358 1349 28.0% 42.7% 29.3% +0.0 4
1949-08-21 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1356 1359 30.2% 42.6% 27.2% -0.0 5
1949-08-21 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1359 1356 27.2% 42.6% 30.2% +0.0 2
1949-09-04 Orn-Horten W 8-0 1377 1357 34.2% 41.1% 24.7% +9.0 12
1949-09-04 @ Fredrikstad L 0-8 1357 1377 24.7% 41.1% 34.2% -9.0 6
1949-09-04 Valerenga L 2-3 1350 1356 29.8% 42.6% 27.5% -1.3 1
1949-09-04 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-2 1356 1350 27.5% 42.6% 29.8% +1.3 8
1949-09-04 Ranheim L 0-1 1341 1331 32.3% 42.0% 25.7% -1.5 0
1949-09-04 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1331 1341 25.7% 42.0% 32.3% +1.5 6
1949-09-04 Skeid D 0-0 1346 1358 29.0% 42.7% 28.4% -0.0 1
1949-09-04 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1358 1346 28.4% 42.7% 29.0% +0.0 7
1949-09-04 Storm W 2-0 1359 1349 32.4% 42.0% 25.6% +2.5 5
1949-09-04 @ Sarpsborg L 0-2 1349 1359 25.6% 42.0% 32.4% -2.5 5
1949-09-04 Algard W 2-0 1332 1350 28.2% 42.5% 29.3% +2.8 5
1949-09-04 @ Selbak L 0-2 1350 1332 29.3% 42.5% 28.2% -2.8 2
1949-09-04 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1331 1367 26.3% 41.4% 32.3% -1.4 3
1949-09-04 @ Strommen W 1-0 1367 1331 32.3% 41.4% 26.3% +1.3 12
1949-09-04 Fram Larvik D 2-2 1358 1343 33.2% 41.6% 25.2% -0.0 5
1949-09-04 @ Viking D 2-2 1343 1358 25.2% 41.6% 33.2% +0.0 10
1949-09-11 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1335 1362 27.1% 42.1% 30.8% +0.0 6
1949-09-11 @ Selbak D 1-1 1362 1335 30.8% 42.1% 27.1% -0.0 6
1949-09-17 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1368 1386 28.1% 42.5% 29.3% +0.0 13
1949-09-17 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1386 1368 29.3% 42.5% 28.1% -0.0 13
1949-09-17 Selbak D 2-2 1358 1335 34.8% 40.7% 24.5% -0.1 6
1949-09-17 @ Viking D 2-2 1335 1358 24.5% 40.7% 34.8% +0.1 7
1949-09-18 Valerenga D 1-1 1347 1358 29.2% 42.7% 28.2% -0.0 3
1949-09-18 @ Algard D 1-1 1358 1347 28.2% 42.7% 29.2% +0.0 9
1949-09-18 Storm D 1-1 1343 1346 30.3% 42.6% 27.1% -0.0 11
1949-09-18 @ Fram Larvik D 1-1 1346 1343 27.1% 42.6% 30.3% +0.0 6
1949-09-18 Mjondalen W 2-0 1348 1339 32.1% 42.1% 25.8% +2.5 9
1949-09-18 @ Orn-Horten L 0-2 1339 1348 25.8% 42.1% 32.1% -2.5 0
1949-09-18 Strommen L 1-2 1346 1330 33.5% 41.5% 25.1% -1.5 1
1949-09-18 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1330 1346 25.1% 41.5% 33.5% +1.5 6
1949-09-18 Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1362 1349 32.9% 41.8% 25.4% +1.3 9
1949-09-18 @ Sarpsborg L 1-2 1349 1362 25.4% 41.8% 32.9% -1.2 1
1949-09-18 Ranheim L 0-1 1358 1333 35.1% 40.5% 24.4% -1.6 7
1949-09-18 @ Skeid W 1-0 1333 1358 24.4% 40.5% 35.1% +1.6 9
1949-09-25 Algard D 0-0 1343 1347 30.2% 42.6% 27.2% -0.0 12
1949-09-25 @ Fram Larvik D 0-0 1347 1343 27.2% 42.6% 30.2% +0.0 4
1949-09-25 Viking L 0-1 1348 1358 29.1% 42.7% 28.2% -1.5 1
1949-09-25 @ Lyn Oslo W 1-0 1358 1348 28.2% 42.7% 29.1% +1.5 9
1949-09-25 Sandefjord W 4-0 1351 1345 31.6% 42.3% 26.1% +4.9 12
1949-09-25 @ Orn-Horten L 0-4 1345 1351 26.1% 42.3% 31.6% -4.9 1
1949-10-09 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1334 1368 26.4% 41.6% 32.0% -2.2 9
1949-10-09 @ Ranheim W 3-1 1368 1334 32.0% 41.6% 26.4% +2.2 16
1949-10-09 Mjondalen W 3-0 1340 1337 31.2% 42.4% 26.4% +3.8 4
1949-10-09 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1337 1340 26.4% 42.4% 31.2% -3.8 0
1949-10-09 Lyn Oslo L 2-3 1335 1346 29.0% 42.7% 28.3% -1.3 7
1949-10-09 @ Selbak W 3-2 1346 1335 28.3% 42.7% 29.0% +1.3 4
1949-10-09 Algard W 2-0 1346 1347 30.6% 42.5% 26.9% +2.6 9
1949-10-09 @ Storm L 0-2 1347 1346 26.9% 42.5% 30.6% -2.6 4
1949-10-09 Orn-Horten L 2-4 1331 1355 27.4% 42.3% 30.3% -2.0 6
1949-10-09 @ Strommen W 4-2 1355 1331 30.3% 42.3% 27.4% +2.0 15
1949-10-16 Selbak D 0-0 1345 1334 32.5% 41.9% 25.6% -0.1 5
1949-10-16 @ Algard D 0-0 1334 1345 25.6% 41.9% 32.5% +0.1 8
1949-10-16 Viking W 2-1 1343 1360 28.4% 42.6% 29.0% +1.4 15
1949-10-16 @ Fram Larvik L 1-2 1360 1343 29.0% 42.6% 28.4% -1.4 9
1949-10-16 Storm W 4-2 1348 1349 30.5% 42.6% 27.0% +2.0 7
1949-10-16 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-4 1349 1348 27.0% 42.6% 30.5% -2.0 9
1949-10-16 Ranheim D 0-0 1357 1332 35.1% 40.5% 24.4% -0.1 16
1949-10-16 @ Orn-Horten D 0-0 1332 1357 24.4% 40.5% 35.1% +0.1 10
1949-10-16 Valerenga W 4-1 1363 1358 31.6% 42.3% 26.1% +3.1 12
1949-10-16 @ Sarpsborg L 1-4 1358 1363 26.1% 42.3% 31.6% -3.1 9
1949-10-16 Strommen W 3-0 1370 1329 38.2% 38.3% 23.5% +3.3 19
1949-10-16 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-3 1329 1370 23.5% 38.3% 38.2% -3.3 6
1949-10-23 Valerenga D 1-1 1347 1354 29.6% 42.7% 27.7% -0.0 10
1949-10-23 @ Storm D 1-1 1354 1347 27.7% 42.7% 29.6% +0.0 10
1949-10-23 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1386 1374 32.8% 41.8% 25.4% -0.1 14
1949-10-23 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1374 1386 25.4% 41.8% 32.8% +0.1 20
1949-10-23 Mjondalen D 2-2 1332 1333 30.6% 42.5% 26.9% -0.0 11
1949-10-23 @ Ranheim D 2-2 1333 1332 26.9% 42.5% 30.6% +0.0 1
1949-10-23 Orn-Horten L 1-5 1344 1357 28.7% 42.6% 28.6% -4.3 4
1949-10-23 @ Sandefjord W 5-1 1357 1344 28.6% 42.6% 28.7% +4.3 19
1949-10-23 Fram Larvik D 1-1 1334 1345 29.1% 42.7% 28.3% -0.0 9
1949-10-23 @ Selbak D 1-1 1345 1334 28.3% 42.7% 29.1% +0.0 16
1949-10-23 Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1358 1350 32.1% 42.1% 25.8% -2.9 9
1949-10-23 @ Viking W 2-0 1350 1358 25.8% 42.1% 32.1% +2.9 10
1949-10-30 Strommen D 2-2 1333 1326 31.8% 42.2% 26.0% -0.0 2
1949-10-30 @ Mjondalen D 2-2 1326 1333 26.0% 42.2% 31.8% +0.0 7
1949-10-30 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1355 1366 29.1% 42.7% 28.2% +0.0 10
1949-10-30 @ Viking D 1-1 1366 1355 28.2% 42.7% 29.1% +0.0 13
1949-11-04 Skeid D 2-2 1386 1357 35.9% 40.0% 24.1% -0.1 15
1949-11-04 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1357 1386 24.1% 40.0% 35.9% +0.1 8
1949-11-04 Fram Larvik D 2-2 1354 1345 32.3% 42.0% 25.7% -0.0 11
1949-11-04 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1345 1354 25.7% 42.0% 32.3% +0.0 17
1950-04-23 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1333 1386 25.0% 39.3% 35.7% -1.3 2
1950-04-23 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1386 1333 35.7% 39.3% 25.0% +1.3 18
1950-04-23 Sandefjord D 1-1 1357 1340 33.6% 41.4% 25.0% -0.1 9
1950-04-23 @ Skeid D 1-1 1340 1357 25.0% 41.4% 33.6% +0.1 5
1950-04-30 Storm W 1-0 1344 1347 30.3% 42.6% 27.1% +1.4 8
1950-04-30 @ Algard L 0-1 1347 1344 27.1% 42.6% 30.3% -1.4 10
1950-04-30 Valerenga D 1-1 1345 1354 29.3% 42.7% 28.0% -0.0 18
1950-04-30 @ Fram Larvik D 1-1 1354 1345 28.0% 42.7% 29.3% +0.0 12
1950-04-30 Selbak L 1-2 1352 1334 33.9% 41.2% 24.9% -1.5 10
1950-04-30 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1334 1352 24.9% 41.2% 33.9% +1.5 12
1950-04-30 Sandefjord L 0-3 1332 1340 29.5% 42.7% 27.8% -4.0 2
1950-04-30 @ Mjondalen W 3-0 1340 1332 27.8% 42.7% 29.5% +4.0 8
1950-04-30 Strommen W 4-0 1362 1326 37.1% 39.1% 23.8% +4.4 22
1950-04-30 @ Orn-Horten L 0-4 1326 1362 23.8% 39.1% 37.1% -4.4 7
1950-04-30 Viking D 3-3 1366 1355 32.5% 41.9% 25.6% -0.0 14
1950-04-30 @ Sarpsborg D 3-3 1355 1366 25.6% 41.9% 32.5% +0.0 11
1950-04-30 Ranheim D 1-1 1374 1332 38.3% 38.2% 23.5% -0.1 21
1950-04-30 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1332 1374 23.5% 38.2% 38.3% +0.1 12
1950-04-30 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1357 1387 26.7% 41.8% 31.5% +1.5 12
1950-04-30 @ Skeid L 0-1 1387 1357 31.5% 41.8% 26.7% -1.5 18
1950-05-07 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1346 1366 27.9% 42.4% 29.7% +0.0 9
1950-05-07 @ Algard D 1-1 1366 1346 29.7% 42.4% 27.9% -0.0 15
1950-05-07 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1366 1386 27.9% 42.5% 29.6% -1.3 22
1950-05-07 @ Orn-Horten W 3-2 1386 1366 29.6% 42.5% 27.9% +1.3 21
1950-05-07 Skeid L 0-2 1332 1358 27.3% 42.2% 30.6% -2.6 12
1950-05-07 @ Ranheim W 2-0 1358 1332 30.6% 42.2% 27.3% +2.6 15
1950-05-07 Mjondalen W 2-1 1374 1328 39.3% 37.4% 23.3% +1.1 24
1950-05-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1328 1374 23.3% 37.4% 39.3% -1.1 2
1950-05-07 Viking D 2-2 1335 1355 27.9% 42.4% 29.7% +0.0 13
1950-05-07 @ Selbak D 2-2 1355 1335 29.7% 42.4% 27.9% -0.0 12
1950-05-07 Sandefjord W 2-0 1322 1344 27.7% 42.4% 29.9% +2.8 10
1950-05-07 @ Strommen L 0-2 1344 1322 29.9% 42.4% 27.7% -2.8 8
1950-05-07 Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1345 1351 29.8% 42.6% 27.6% -2.8 18
1950-05-07 @ Fram Larvik W 2-0 1351 1345 27.6% 42.6% 29.8% +2.8 13
1950-05-07 Storm W 4-2 1354 1346 32.1% 42.1% 25.8% +2.0 15
1950-05-07 @ Valerenga L 2-4 1346 1354 25.8% 42.1% 32.1% -2.0 10
1950-05-10 Fram Larvik L 0-1 1344 1342 31.0% 42.4% 26.6% -1.5 10
1950-05-10 @ Storm W 1-0 1342 1344 26.6% 42.4% 31.0% +1.5 21
1950-05-10 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1356 1354 31.1% 42.4% 26.5% -1.5 15
1950-05-10 @ Valerenga W 1-0 1354 1356 26.5% 42.4% 31.1% +1.5 16
1950-05-10 Selbak W 2-0 1366 1335 36.2% 39.8% 24.0% +2.4 18
1950-05-10 @ Sarpsborg L 0-2 1335 1366 24.0% 39.8% 36.2% -2.4 13
1950-05-10 Algard W 1-0 1355 1346 32.3% 42.0% 25.7% +1.3 15
1950-05-10 @ Viking L 0-1 1346 1355 25.7% 42.0% 32.3% -1.3 9
1950-05-11 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1361 1375 28.7% 42.6% 28.7% -5.2 15
1950-05-11 @ Skeid W 4-0 1375 1361 28.7% 42.6% 28.7% +5.2 27
1950-05-14 Fredrikstad L 1-5 1330 1387 24.8% 38.6% 36.6% -3.8 12
1950-05-14 @ Ranheim W 5-1 1387 1330 36.6% 38.6% 24.8% +3.8 24
1950-05-14 Sarpsborg L 1-2 1342 1369 27.2% 42.1% 30.7% -1.3 10
1950-05-14 @ Storm W 2-1 1369 1342 30.7% 42.1% 27.2% +1.3 21
1950-05-14 Algard W 3-1 1355 1345 32.4% 42.0% 25.6% +2.2 18
1950-05-14 @ Valerenga L 1-3 1345 1355 25.6% 42.0% 32.4% -2.2 9
1950-05-14 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1341 1380 26.0% 41.1% 33.0% +1.5 11
1950-05-14 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1380 1341 33.0% 41.1% 26.0% -1.5 27
1950-05-14 Orn-Horten W 2-0 1356 1365 29.3% 42.7% 28.0% +2.7 18
1950-05-14 @ Skeid L 0-2 1365 1356 28.0% 42.7% 29.3% -2.7 22
1950-05-14 Mjondalen W 2-0 1324 1327 30.4% 42.6% 27.0% +2.6 13
1950-05-14 @ Strommen L 0-2 1327 1324 27.0% 42.6% 30.4% -2.6 2
1950-05-16 Skeid D 1-1 1327 1358 26.7% 41.8% 31.5% +0.0 14
1950-05-16 @ Strommen D 1-1 1358 1327 31.5% 41.8% 26.7% -0.0 19
1950-05-17 Ranheim W 4-0 1391 1326 43.5% 33.6% 22.9% +4.0 27
1950-05-17 @ Fredrikstad L 0-4 1326 1391 22.9% 33.6% 43.5% -4.0 12
1950-05-21 Sandefjord D 1-1 1395 1342 40.7% 36.2% 23.1% -0.1 28
1950-05-21 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1342 1395 23.1% 36.2% 40.7% +0.1 12
1950-05-21 Algard D 0-0 1355 1342 32.9% 41.8% 25.4% -0.1 17
1950-05-21 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1342 1355 25.4% 41.8% 32.9% +0.1 10
1950-05-21 Skeid W 1-0 1324 1358 26.4% 41.5% 32.1% +1.5 5
1950-05-21 @ Mjondalen L 0-1 1358 1324 32.1% 41.5% 26.4% -1.5 19
1950-05-21 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1362 1378 28.4% 42.6% 29.0% -2.7 22
1950-05-21 @ Orn-Horten W 2-0 1378 1362 29.0% 42.6% 28.4% +2.7 30
1950-05-21 Strommen L 0-3 1322 1327 29.9% 42.6% 27.4% -4.1 12
1950-05-21 @ Ranheim W 3-0 1327 1322 27.4% 42.6% 29.9% +4.1 17
1950-05-21 Fram Larvik L 0-1 1370 1344 35.3% 40.4% 24.3% -1.6 21
1950-05-21 @ Sarpsborg W 1-0 1344 1370 24.3% 40.4% 35.3% +1.6 24
1950-05-21 Selbak L 0-1 1341 1333 32.0% 42.1% 25.9% -1.5 10
1950-05-21 @ Storm W 1-0 1333 1341 25.9% 42.1% 32.0% +1.5 16
1950-05-21 Viking L 0-5 1357 1357 30.8% 42.5% 26.7% -6.6 18
1950-05-21 @ Valerenga W 5-0 1357 1357 26.7% 42.5% 30.8% +6.6 18
1950-05-28 Fram Larvik L 0-2 1342 1345 30.3% 42.6% 27.1% -2.8 10
1950-05-28 @ Algard W 2-0 1345 1342 27.1% 42.6% 30.3% +2.8 27
1950-05-28 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1355 1368 28.8% 42.6% 28.6% +0.0 18
1950-05-28 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1368 1355 28.6% 42.6% 28.8% +0.0 22
1950-05-28 Orn-Horten L 0-2 1325 1359 26.4% 41.6% 32.0% -2.6 5
1950-05-28 @ Mjondalen W 2-0 1359 1325 32.0% 41.6% 26.4% +2.6 25
1950-05-28 Ranheim W 3-1 1342 1318 35.0% 40.6% 24.4% +2.1 15
1950-05-28 @ Sandefjord L 1-3 1318 1342 24.4% 40.6% 35.0% -2.1 12
1950-05-28 Skeid L 1-2 1381 1357 34.9% 40.6% 24.4% -1.5 30
1950-05-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1357 1381 24.4% 40.6% 34.9% +1.5 22
1950-05-28 Valerenga L 2-4 1334 1350 28.4% 42.6% 29.0% -2.1 16
1950-05-28 @ Selbak W 4-2 1350 1334 29.0% 42.6% 28.4% +2.1 21
1950-05-28 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1331 1395 24.5% 37.6% 38.0% +0.1 18
1950-05-28 @ Strommen D 0-0 1395 1331 38.0% 37.6% 24.5% -0.1 29
1950-05-28 Storm W 5-2 1363 1339 34.9% 40.7% 24.4% +2.6 21
1950-05-28 @ Viking L 2-5 1339 1363 24.4% 40.7% 34.9% -2.6 10

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1950-06-11 Fram Larvik D 1-1 1395 1348 39.5% 37.3% 23.3% -0.1 0-0-1
1950-06-11 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1348 1395 23.3% 37.3% 39.5% +0.1 0-0-1
1950-06-18 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1348 1395 25.4% 40.2% 34.4% +1.6 1-0-1
1950-06-18 @ Fram Larvik L 0-1 1395 1348 34.4% 40.2% 25.4% -1.6 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-05-21 24.29% Fram Larvik 1344 1 @ Sarpsborg 1370 0
2 1949-09-18 24.36% Ranheim 1333 1 @ Skeid 1358 0
3 1950-05-28 24.43% Skeid 1357 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1381 1
4 1950-04-30 24.86% Selbak 1334 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1352 1
5 1949-09-18 25.06% Strommen 1330 2 @ Sandefjord 1346 1
6 1949-08-14 25.13% Fram Larvik 1337 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1353 1
7 1950-06-18 * 25.41% @ Fram Larvik 1348 1 Fredrikstad 1395 0
8 1949-09-04 25.71% Ranheim 1331 1 @ Mjondalen 1341 0
9 1949-10-23 25.78% Lyn Oslo 1350 2 @ Viking 1358 0
10 1950-05-21 25.87% Selbak 1333 1 @ Storm 1341 0
11 1950-05-14 25.96% @ Sandefjord 1341 1 Sarpsborg 08 1380 0
12 1949-08-14 26.17% Valerenga 1355 1 @ Viking 1360 0
13 1950-05-21 26.38% @ Mjondalen 1324 1 Skeid 1358 0
14 1950-05-10 26.46% Lyn Oslo 1354 1 @ Valerenga 1356 0
15 1950-05-10 26.58% Fram Larvik 1342 1 @ Storm 1344 0
16 1950-04-30 26.71% @ Skeid 1357 1 Fredrikstad 1387 0
17 1950-05-21 26.74% Viking 1357 5 @ Valerenga 1357 0
18 1950-05-28 27.12% Fram Larvik 1345 2 @ Algard 1342 0
19 1949-08-07 27.33% @ Fram Larvik 1336 3 Sarpsborg 1361 2
20 1950-05-21 27.42% Strommen 1327 3 @ Ranheim 1322 0
21 1949-08-07 27.43% Viking 1357 3 @ Algard 1352 1
22 1949-09-04 27.54% Valerenga 1356 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1350 2
23 1950-05-07 27.56% Lyn Oslo 1351 2 @ Fram Larvik 1345 0
24 1950-05-07 27.68% @ Strommen 1322 2 Sandefjord 1344 0
25 1950-04-30 27.80% Sandefjord 1340 3 @ Mjondalen 1332 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-09-04 8.97 @ Fredrikstad 8 1377 34.20% Orn-Horten 0 1357 24.73%
2 1950-05-21 6.64 Viking 5 1357 26.74% @ Valerenga 0 1357 30.76%
3 1949-08-07 5.56 @ Fredrikstad 5 1367 36.20% Strommen 0 1336 24.01%
4 1950-05-11 5.17 Sarpsborg 08 4 1375 28.69% @ Skeid 0 1361 28.68%
5 1949-08-07 4.92 @ Sarpsborg 08 4 1359 31.22% Sandefjord 0 1356 26.40%
6 1949-09-25 4.88 @ Orn-Horten 4 1351 31.61% Sandefjord 0 1345 26.12%
7 1950-04-30 4.44 @ Orn-Horten 4 1362 37.13% Strommen 0 1326 23.75%
8 1949-10-23 4.31 Orn-Horten 5 1357 28.62% @ Sandefjord 1 1344 28.74%
9 1950-05-21 4.06 Strommen 3 1327 27.42% @ Ranheim 0 1322 29.94%
10 1950-04-30 4.03 Sandefjord 3 1340 27.80% @ Mjondalen 0 1332 29.54%
11 1950-05-17 4.02 @ Fredrikstad 4 1391 43.51% Ranheim 0 1326 22.85%
12 1950-05-14 3.77 Fredrikstad 5 1387 36.62% @ Ranheim 1 1330 24.77%
13 1949-08-21 3.76 @ Fram Larvik 3 1340 31.33% Selbak 0 1336 26.32%
14 1949-10-09 3.76 @ Sandefjord 3 1340 31.24% Mjondalen 0 1337 26.38%
15 1949-10-16 3.34 @ Sarpsborg 08 3 1370 38.23% Strommen 0 1329 23.50%
16 1949-08-14 3.27 Fredrikstad 4 1372 29.81% @ Sandefjord 1 1351 27.77%
17 1949-08-14 3.23 @ Strommen 4 1330 30.28% Ranheim 1 1333 27.13%
18 1949-10-16 3.15 @ Sarpsborg 4 1363 31.61% Valerenga 1 1358 26.13%
19 1949-10-23 2.91 Lyn Oslo 2 1350 25.78% @ Viking 0 1358 32.15%
20 1950-05-28 2.81 Fram Larvik 2 1345 27.12% @ Algard 0 1342 30.29%
21 1950-05-07 2.79 @ Strommen 2 1322 27.68% Sandefjord 0 1344 29.95%
22 1950-05-07 2.79 Lyn Oslo 2 1351 27.56% @ Fram Larvik 0 1345 29.79%
23 1949-09-04 2.76 @ Selbak 2 1332 28.18% Algard 0 1350 29.28%
24 1950-05-21 2.71 Sarpsborg 08 2 1378 29.03% @ Orn-Horten 0 1362 28.39%
25 1949-08-07 2.70 Orn-Horten 2 1354 29.28% @ Ranheim 0 1336 28.19%