1956-57 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

7.10 points above expected

23 points · 15.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rapid Moss

8.93 points below expected

4 points · 12.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	14	11	1	2	23	60	25	+35	15.9	+7.10
2	IF Odd	14	7	6	1	20	23	14	+9	13.7	+6.26
3	Strommen	14	8	2	4	18	39	22	+17	15.1	+2.91
4	Larvik Turn	14	7	3	4	17	25	16	+9	15.7	+1.28
5	Sandefjord	14	8	1	5	17	23	14	+9	14.5	+2.52
6	Lillestrom	14	7	2	5	16	21	22	-1	13.8	+2.23
7	Skeid	14	5	5	4	15	25	19	+6	14.8	+0.24
8	Viking	14	5	5	4	15	19	15	+4	13.6	+1.40
9	Asker	14	5	4	5	14	34	35	-1	14.9	-0.86
10	Steinkjer	14	5	4	5	14	26	41	-15	12.8	+1.16
11	Frigg Oslo	14	5	2	7	12	25	26	-1	13.3	-1.32
12	Valerenga	14	5	1	8	11	20	29	-9	13.3	-2.28
13	Sarpsborg 08	14	2	6	6	10	17	28	-11	13.5	-3.53
14	Arstad	14	3	3	8	9	21	32	-11	12.9	-3.95
15	Sarpsborg	14	3	3	8	9	14	29	-15	13.2	-4.22
16	Rapid Moss	14	2	0	12	4	15	40	-25	12.9	-8.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6

IF Odd 1

Sim: 230.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Fredrikstad	1436	23	15.90	+7.10	99.6%	6	11	14	16	18	21	26
Larvik Turn	1398	17	15.72	+1.28	72.7%	6	11	14	16	18	21	26
Strommen	1386	18	15.09	+2.91	87.8%	4	10	13	15	17	20	25
Skeid	1372	15	14.76	+0.24	59.0%	4	10	13	15	17	19	26
Sandefjord	1370	17	14.48	+2.52	85.2%	3	10	13	15	16	19	25
Asker	1350	14	14.86	-0.86	44.8%	1	10	13	15	17	20	26
IF Odd	1342	20	13.74	+6.26	99.1%	4	9	12	14	16	19	25
Viking	1334	15	13.60	+1.40	74.2%	4	9	12	14	16	18	24
Lillestrom	1322	16	13.77	+2.23	82.7%	2	9	12	14	16	19	25
Sarpsborg 08	1312	10	13.53	-3.53	15.2%	4	9	12	14	15	18	26
Arstad	1300	9	12.95	-3.95	12.2%	1	8	11	13	15	18	24
Frigg Oslo	1299	12	13.32	-1.32	39.0%	3	9	11	13	15	18	24
Sarpsborg	1296	9	13.22	-4.22	9.9%	3	8	11	13	15	18	24
Valerenga	1293	11	13.28	-2.28	27.3%	3	8	11	13	15	18	25
Steinkjer	1275	14	12.84	+1.16	71.4%	1	8	11	13	15	18	24
Rapid Moss	1248	4	12.93	-8.93	0.1%	3	8	11	13	15	18	24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARS	ASK	FRE	FO	IO	LT	LIL	RM	SAN	SAR	S0	SKE	STE	STR	VAL	VIK
Arstad	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.32	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.49	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.70
Asker	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.13	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.16	0-0-0 0.00
Fredrikstad	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.06	—	2-0-0 3.30	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.31	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.22	0-0-0 0.00
Frigg Oslo	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.32	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.70	2-0-0 2.80	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.92	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.84	0-0-0 0.00
IF Odd	0-2-0 2.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.64	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.57	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.83
Larvik Turn	2-0-0 3.31	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.16	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 3.24	0-1-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.22
Lillestrom	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	2-0-0 3.03	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.56	2-0-0 2.90	0-0-0 0.00
Rapid Moss	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.59	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.77	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-0 0.00
Sandefjord	2-0-0 3.10	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.98	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.00	0-1-1 2.77	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.97
Sarpsborg	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.66	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.66	—	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.49	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.76
Sarpsborg 08	1-0-1 2.92	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.36	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.91	—	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.72
Skeid	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 3.05	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.98	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.06
Steinkjer	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.12	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.64	2-0-0 2.86	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-0 0.00
Strommen	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 3.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.23	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.19	—	1-0-1 3.19	0-0-0 0.00
Valerenga	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.41	1-1-0 2.78	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.44	—	0-0-0 0.00
Viking	1-0-1 2.92	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.90	1-1-0 2.56	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.46%	5.36%	5.80%	0.89%	3.12%	0.89%	20.54%
1	5.36%	10.71%	7.14%	4.46%	2.68%	0.89%	31.25%
2	5.80%	7.14%	3.57%	2.68%	0.45%	2.23%	21.88%
3	0.89%	4.46%	2.68%	2.68%	0.89%	1.79%	13.39%
4	3.12%	2.68%	0.45%	0.89%	—	—	7.14%
5+	0.89%	0.89%	2.23%	1.79%	—	—	5.80%
Total	20.54%	31.25%	21.88%	13.39%	7.14%	5.80%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	1.82
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	1.69
Mean total goals/game	3.63
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.061
Sample size (games)	112

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	35.71%
2	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	35.71%
3	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	28.57%	—	14.29%	100%

Arstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.29
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.98
Mean total goals/game	3.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.455
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
1	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
2	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	2.07
Mean total goals/game	4.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.096
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
1	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	42.86%
Total	7.14%	28.57%	42.86%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	4.29
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	2.64
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	6.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.289
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	28.57%	28.57%	—	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.75
Mean total goals/game	3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
2	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	35.71%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.460
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
1	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	50.00%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.14
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.092
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
1	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	42.86%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.378
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
1	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	14.29%	42.86%
2	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
3	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	50.00%	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Rapid Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	2.86
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	3.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.71%	42.86%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.513
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	35.71%
1	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	50.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	—	100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.345
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.43%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
1	—	21.43%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.21
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.85
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.300
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	7.14%	28.57%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	57.14%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
4	21.43%	—	—	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	42.86%	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.375
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
1	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
2	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%	50.00%
3	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
4	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	—	28.57%	100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.86
Mean allowed	2.93
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	3.25
Mean total goals/game	4.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.149
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	14.29%	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	42.86%
3	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.79
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	2.42
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	4.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
2	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	42.86%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.079
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	42.86%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	57.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.362
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	23	15.9	+7.10
2	IF Odd	20	13.7	+6.26
3	Strommen	18	15.1	+2.91
4	Sandefjord	17	14.5	+2.52
5	Lillestrom	16	13.8	+2.23

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rapid Moss	4	12.9	-8.93
2	Sarpsborg	9	13.2	-4.22
3	Arstad	9	12.9	-3.95
4	Sarpsborg 08	10	13.5	-3.53
5	Valerenga	11	13.3	-2.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fredrikstad	6	Jul 29 – Oct 14	1 in 71
2	IF Odd	3	Sep 30 – Oct 14	1 in 64
3	Sandefjord	3	Aug 19 – Sep 23	1 in 35
4	Lillestrom	3	Oct 14 – May 5	1 in 16
5	Steinkjer	2	Sep 9 – Sep 23	1 in 9

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rapid Moss	7	Oct 14 – Jun 2	1 in 387
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	Aug 5 – Sep 9	1 in 83
3	Arstad	5	Aug 8 – Sep 30	1 in 68
4	Larvik Turn	2	May 5 – May 8	1 in 12
5	Frigg Oslo	2	Oct 7 – Oct 14	1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IF Odd	9	Jul 29 – May 5	1 in 188
2	Asker	6	Sep 9 – May 12	1 in 29
3	Sandefjord	5	Aug 5 – Sep 23	1 in 23
4	Strommen	6	May 5 – Jun 2	1 in 21
5	Larvik Turn	6	Jul 29 – Apr 28	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg 08	8	Aug 5 – May 12	1 in 49
2	Arstad	7	Jul 29 – Sep 30	1 in 30
3	Sarpsborg	6	May 5 – Jun 2	1 in 24
4	Rapid Moss	7	Oct 14 – Jun 2	1 in 24
5	Skeid	4	Oct 14 – May 8	1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Fredrikstad	32.23%	20.58%	14.73%	11.09%	8.01%	6.19%	4.44%	2.73%
IF Odd	10.98%	12.71%	13.05%	13.35%	13.86%	13.14%	11.92%	10.99%
Strommen	20.36%	18.26%	16.61%	13.38%	10.38%	8.98%	7.02%	5.01%
Larvik Turn	28.83%	19.02%	14.81%	11.47%	9.30%	7.30%	5.57%	3.70%
Sandefjord	15.85%	16.03%	14.42%	13.53%	12.02%	11.16%	9.50%	7.49%
Lillestrom	9.16%	11.38%	13.24%	13.97%	14.26%	13.91%	12.73%	11.35%
Skeid	17.65%	16.07%	14.84%	13.61%	11.60%	10.68%	8.71%	6.84%
Viking	8.69%	11.35%	12.02%	13.38%	13.32%	13.83%	14.52%	12.89%
Asker	15.85%	16.77%	15.32%	15.06%	11.91%	9.94%	9.08%	6.07%
Steinkjer	4.36%	7.29%	9.10%	10.83%	13.31%	15.29%	18.05%	21.77%
Frigg Oslo	7.11%	9.63%	11.92%	13.10%	14.78%	14.85%	15.18%	13.43%
Valerenga	6.26%	9.06%	10.03%	12.23%	14.16%	15.35%	16.14%	16.77%
Sarpsborg 08	7.16%	9.45%	11.25%	12.30%	13.39%	14.73%	16.01%	15.71%
Arstad	5.18%	7.45%	9.62%	10.87%	13.08%	14.91%	16.99%	21.90%
Sarpsborg	5.66%	7.92%	9.99%	11.49%	13.43%	14.25%	16.78%	20.48%
Rapid Moss	4.67%	7.03%	9.05%	10.34%	13.19%	15.49%	17.36%	22.87%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6

IF Odd 1

Sim: 230.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fredrikstad	60.6%	7.2%
Larvik Turn	61.9%	9.3%
Strommen	67.6%	12.0%
Asker	69.0%	15.2%
Skeid	66.8%	15.6%
Sandefjord	67.2%	17.0%
IF Odd	66.1%	22.9%
Lillestrom	66.8%	24.1%
Viking	63.9%	27.4%
Frigg Oslo	64.3%	28.6%
Sarpsborg 08	61.1%	31.7%
Valerenga	60.8%	32.9%
Sarpsborg	57.1%	37.3%
Arstad	55.9%	38.9%
Steinkjer	55.8%	39.8%
Rapid Moss	55.1%	40.2%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arstad	Asker	Fredrikstad	Frigg Oslo	IF Odd	Larvik Turn	Lillestrom	Rapid Moss	Sandefjord	Sarpsborg	Sarpsborg 08	Skeid	Steinkjer	Strommen	Valerenga	Viking
Arstad		32.00%	60.00%	18.00%			27.00%	12.00%					10.00%	43.00%	24.00%
Asker	40.00%				93.00%	213.00%			127.00%	58.00%	57.00%	123.00%				76.00%
Fredrikstad	91.00%				230.00%	467.00%			299.00%	105.00%	148.00%	346.00%				156.00%
Frigg Oslo	21.00%				41.00%	87.00%			55.00%	21.00%	22.00%	49.00%				31.00%
IF Odd		91.00%	136.00%	29.00%			45.00%	22.00%					24.00%	105.00%	45.00%
Larvik Turn		245.00%	442.00%	116.00%			153.00%	91.00%					70.00%	298.00%	127.00%
Lillestrom	30.00%				50.00%	128.00%			52.00%	22.00%	31.00%	60.00%				38.00%
Rapid Moss	9.00%				25.00%	49.00%			29.00%	9.00%	19.00%	22.00%				20.00%
Sandefjord		137.00%	217.00%	58.00%			88.00%	42.00%					54.00%	140.00%	41.00%
Sarpsborg		42.00%	72.00%	22.00%			21.00%	17.00%					16.00%	50.00%	16.00%
Sarpsborg 08		59.00%	80.00%	26.00%			41.00%	17.00%					15.00%	57.00%	19.00%
Skeid		137.00%	264.00%	80.00%			87.00%	53.00%					49.00%	163.00%	71.00%
Steinkjer	9.00%				24.00%	43.00%			27.00%	7.00%	16.00%	28.00%				18.00%
Strommen	79.00%				105.00%	292.00%			180.00%	70.00%	89.00%	188.00%				97.00%
Valerenga	13.00%				33.00%	62.00%			39.00%	18.00%	20.00%	45.00%				28.00%
Viking		55.00%	110.00%	35.00%			43.00%	31.00%					26.00%	80.00%	25.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Finals
Fredrikstad	61.0%
IF Odd	39.0%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Fredrikstad	IF Odd
Fredrikstad		61.00%
IF Odd	39.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1956-07-29	Skeid	W 4-1	1317	1363	57.7%	19.7%	22.6%	+5.8	3
1956-07-29	@ IF Odd	L 1-4	1363	1317	22.6%	19.7%	57.7%	-5.8	0
1956-07-29	Asker	W 3-2	1305	1363	56.3%	19.8%	23.9%	+2.3	3
1956-07-29	@ Rapid Moss	L 2-3	1363	1305	23.9%	19.8%	56.3%	-2.4	0
1956-07-29	Larvik Turn	L 0-1	1339	1391	57.0%	19.7%	23.3%	-5.5	0
1956-07-29	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1391	1339	23.3%	19.7%	57.0%	+5.5	3
1956-07-29	Arstad	W 7-3	1348	1325	64.8%	18.6%	16.6%	+4.3	3
1956-07-29	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 3-7	1325	1348	16.6%	18.6%	64.8%	-4.3	0
1956-07-29	Frigg Oslo	W 4-3	1287	1298	61.4%	19.2%	19.4%	+1.9	3
1956-07-29	@ Steinkjer	L 3-4	1298	1287	19.4%	19.2%	61.4%	-1.9	0
1956-07-29	Lillestrom	W 4-0	1352	1318	65.7%	18.5%	15.8%	+6.4	3
1956-07-29	@ Strommen	L 0-4	1318	1352	15.8%	18.5%	65.7%	-6.4	0
1956-07-29	Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1310	1371	56.0%	19.8%	24.2%	-4.8	0
1956-07-29	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	1371	1310	24.2%	19.8%	56.0%	+4.8	3
1956-07-29	Sarpsborg	W 4-1	1326	1321	62.9%	19.0%	18.1%	+4.7	3
1956-07-29	@ Viking	L 1-4	1321	1326	18.1%	19.0%	62.9%	-4.7	0
1956-08-05	IF Odd	D 0-0	1320	1323	62.2%	19.1%	18.7%	-1.1	1
1956-08-05	@ Arstad	D 0-0	1323	1320	18.7%	19.1%	62.2%	+1.1	4
1956-08-05	Steinkjer	D 3-3	1361	1289	69.1%	17.6%	13.3%	-0.8	1
1956-08-05	@ Asker	D 3-3	1289	1361	13.3%	17.6%	69.1%	+0.8	4
1956-08-05	Strommen	W 7-3	1375	1358	64.2%	18.8%	17.1%	+4.4	6
1956-08-05	@ Fredrikstad	L 3-7	1358	1375	17.1%	18.8%	64.2%	-4.4	3
1956-08-05	Rapid Moss	W 2-0	1296	1307	61.4%	19.2%	19.4%	+4.1	3
1956-08-05	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-2	1307	1296	19.4%	19.2%	61.4%	-4.1	3
1956-08-05	Viking	W 1-0	1396	1330	68.6%	17.8%	13.7%	+1.5	6
1956-08-05	@ Larvik Turn	L 0-1	1330	1396	13.7%	17.8%	68.6%	-1.5	3
1956-08-05	Valerenga	W 2-0	1312	1305	63.1%	18.9%	17.9%	+3.8	3
1956-08-05	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1305	1312	17.9%	18.9%	63.1%	-3.8	0
1956-08-05	Sandefjord	L 1-3	1317	1334	60.8%	19.3%	19.9%	-9.5	0
1956-08-05	@ Sarpsborg	W 3-1	1334	1317	19.9%	19.3%	60.8%	+9.5	3
1956-08-05	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-0	1357	1352	63.0%	19.0%	18.1%	+7.2	3
1956-08-05	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1352	1357	18.1%	19.0%	63.0%	-7.2	3
1956-08-08	Larvik Turn	D 1-1	1324	1398	54.5%	19.9%	25.6%	-0.6	5
1956-08-08	@ IF Odd	D 1-1	1398	1324	25.6%	19.9%	54.5%	+0.6	7
1956-08-08	Skeid	D 1-1	1343	1364	60.3%	19.4%	20.3%	-0.9	4
1956-08-08	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1364	1343	20.3%	19.4%	60.3%	+0.9	4
1956-08-08	Sarpsborg	L 1-4	1345	1307	66.1%	18.4%	15.6%	-14.5	3
1956-08-08	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 4-1	1307	1345	15.6%	18.4%	66.1%	+14.5	3
1956-08-08	Frigg Oslo	W 2-0	1354	1300	67.5%	18.0%	14.4%	+3.1	6
1956-08-08	@ Strommen	L 0-2	1300	1354	14.4%	18.0%	67.5%	-3.1	3
1956-08-08	Asker	W 4-3	1302	1360	56.2%	19.8%	24.0%	+2.3	3
1956-08-08	@ Valerenga	L 3-4	1360	1302	24.0%	19.8%	56.2%	-2.3	1
1956-08-08	Arstad	W 1-0	1329	1319	63.5%	18.9%	17.6%	+2.0	6
1956-08-08	@ Viking	L 0-1	1319	1329	17.6%	18.9%	63.5%	-2.0	1
1956-08-09	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1303	1380	54.1%	19.9%	26.0%	-4.9	3
1956-08-09	@ Rapid Moss	W 2-1	1380	1303	26.0%	19.9%	54.1%	+4.9	9
1956-08-12	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1289	1316	59.8%	19.4%	20.8%	-0.6	5
1956-08-12	@ Steinkjer	D 2-2	1316	1289	20.8%	19.4%	59.8%	+0.7	4
1956-08-19	Skeid	L 1-2	1317	1365	57.4%	19.7%	22.9%	-5.2	1
1956-08-19	@ Arstad	W 2-1	1365	1317	22.9%	19.7%	57.4%	+5.2	7
1956-08-19	Steinkjer	W 9-2	1385	1289	71.1%	17.0%	11.9%	+5.5	12
1956-08-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-9	1289	1385	11.9%	17.0%	71.1%	-5.5	5
1956-08-19	Asker	W 6-0	1297	1358	56.0%	19.8%	24.2%	+13.9	6
1956-08-19	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-6	1358	1297	24.2%	19.8%	56.0%	-13.9	1
1956-08-19	Rapid Moss	W 2-0	1316	1298	64.3%	18.8%	17.0%	+3.6	7
1956-08-19	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1298	1316	17.0%	18.8%	64.3%	-3.6	3
1956-08-19	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-2	1323	1330	61.8%	19.2%	19.1%	+4.3	8
1956-08-19	@ IF Odd	L 2-5	1330	1323	19.1%	19.2%	61.8%	-4.3	3
1956-08-19	Viking	W 1-0	1342	1331	63.6%	18.9%	17.5%	+2.0	7
1956-08-19	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1331	1342	17.5%	18.9%	63.6%	-2.0	6
1956-08-19	Larvik Turn	D 1-1	1322	1398	54.1%	19.9%	25.9%	-0.6	4
1956-08-19	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1398	1322	25.9%	19.9%	54.1%	+0.6	8
1956-08-19	Strommen	W 3-2	1304	1357	56.9%	19.7%	23.4%	+2.3	6
1956-08-19	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1357	1304	23.4%	19.7%	56.9%	-2.3	6
1956-09-09	Lillestrom	W 4-1	1344	1320	64.8%	18.6%	16.6%	+4.3	4
1956-09-09	@ Asker	L 1-4	1320	1344	16.6%	18.6%	64.8%	-4.3	7
1956-09-09	Frigg Oslo	W 6-3	1390	1311	69.7%	17.4%	12.8%	+2.7	15
1956-09-09	@ Fredrikstad	L 3-6	1311	1390	12.8%	17.4%	69.7%	-2.7	6
1956-09-09	Arstad	W 5-2	1399	1312	70.3%	17.2%	12.4%	+2.8	11
1956-09-09	@ Larvik Turn	L 2-5	1312	1399	12.4%	17.2%	70.3%	-2.8	1
1956-09-09	Sandefjord	L 0-2	1326	1344	60.7%	19.3%	20.0%	-10.9	3
1956-09-09	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1344	1326	20.0%	19.3%	60.7%	+10.9	10
1956-09-09	Sarpsborg	W 4-0	1370	1321	67.1%	18.1%	14.8%	+6.0	10
1956-09-09	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1321	1370	14.8%	18.1%	67.1%	-6.0	4
1956-09-09	Valerenga	W 2-1	1283	1306	60.1%	19.4%	20.5%	+2.1	8
1956-09-09	@ Steinkjer	L 1-2	1306	1283	20.5%	19.4%	60.1%	-2.1	6
1956-09-09	Rapid Moss	W 1-0	1354	1295	68.1%	17.9%	14.0%	+1.6	9
1956-09-09	@ Strommen	L 0-1	1295	1354	14.0%	17.9%	68.1%	-1.6	3
1956-09-09	IF Odd	D 1-1	1329	1328	62.6%	19.0%	18.3%	-1.0	7
1956-09-09	@ Viking	D 1-1	1328	1329	18.3%	19.0%	62.6%	+1.0	9
1956-09-23	Sandefjord	L 1-3	1309	1355	57.7%	19.7%	22.7%	-9.0	1
1956-09-23	@ Arstad	W 3-1	1355	1309	22.7%	19.7%	57.7%	+9.0	13
1956-09-23	Steinkjer	L 1-2	1293	1285	63.2%	18.9%	17.8%	-5.7	3
1956-09-23	@ Rapid Moss	W 2-1	1285	1293	17.8%	18.9%	63.2%	+5.7	11
1956-09-30	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1308	1316	61.8%	19.2%	19.1%	+2.0	9
1956-09-30	@ Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1316	1308	19.1%	19.2%	61.8%	-2.0	7
1956-09-30	Valerenga	W 4-1	1287	1304	60.8%	19.3%	19.9%	+5.1	6
1956-09-30	@ Rapid Moss	L 1-4	1304	1287	19.9%	19.3%	60.8%	-5.1	6
1956-09-30	IF Odd	L 1-2	1364	1329	65.9%	18.4%	15.7%	-5.9	13
1956-09-30	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1329	1364	15.7%	18.4%	65.9%	+5.9	12
1956-09-30	Arstad	W 3-2	1315	1300	64.0%	18.8%	17.2%	+1.7	7
1956-09-30	@ Sarpsborg	L 2-3	1300	1315	17.2%	18.8%	64.0%	-1.7	1
1956-09-30	Strommen	L 2-5	1291	1356	55.5%	19.8%	24.7%	-10.7	11
1956-09-30	@ Steinkjer	W 5-2	1356	1291	24.7%	19.8%	55.5%	+10.7	12
1956-09-30	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1328	1315	63.7%	18.8%	17.4%	-1.2	8
1956-09-30	@ Viking	D 0-0	1315	1328	17.4%	18.8%	63.7%	+1.2	4
1956-10-07	Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1334	1317	64.2%	18.8%	17.0%	+1.8	15
1956-10-07	@ IF Odd	L 1-2	1317	1334	17.0%	18.8%	64.2%	-1.8	7
1956-10-07	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1299	1310	61.4%	19.2%	19.4%	+2.1	9
1956-10-07	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1310	1299	19.4%	19.2%	61.4%	-2.0	9
1956-10-14	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-2	1298	1316	60.7%	19.3%	20.0%	+2.0	4
1956-10-14	@ Arstad	L 2-3	1316	1298	20.0%	19.3%	60.7%	-2.0	4
1956-10-14	Rapid Moss	W 6-1	1348	1292	67.7%	18.0%	14.3%	+5.9	7
1956-10-14	@ Asker	L 1-6	1292	1348	14.3%	18.0%	67.7%	-5.9	6
1956-10-14	Valerenga	W 4-0	1393	1301	70.7%	17.1%	12.1%	+4.9	18
1956-10-14	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1301	1393	12.1%	17.1%	70.7%	-4.9	9
1956-10-14	Steinkjer	L 0-2	1308	1280	65.2%	18.6%	16.3%	-11.7	9
1956-10-14	@ Frigg Oslo	W 2-0	1280	1308	16.3%	18.6%	65.2%	+11.7	14
1956-10-14	Strommen	W 1-0	1314	1367	56.9%	19.7%	23.4%	+2.6	10
1956-10-14	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1367	1314	23.4%	19.7%	56.9%	-2.6	12
1956-10-14	IF Odd	L 0-1	1376	1336	66.3%	18.3%	15.4%	-6.3	10
1956-10-14	@ Skeid	W 1-0	1336	1376	15.4%	18.3%	66.3%	+6.3	18
1956-10-21	Asker	D 2-2	1398	1354	66.6%	18.2%	15.1%	-0.9	19
1956-10-21	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1354	1398	15.1%	18.2%	66.6%	+0.9	8
1957-04-28	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1316	1397	53.6%	20.0%	26.4%	+5.4	13
1957-04-28	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1397	1316	26.4%	20.0%	53.6%	-5.4	19
1957-04-28	Skeid	W 3-1	1402	1370	65.6%	18.5%	16.0%	+2.9	14
1957-04-28	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-3	1370	1402	16.0%	18.5%	65.6%	-2.9	10
1957-04-28	Viking	W 1-0	1315	1327	61.3%	19.2%	19.4%	+2.2	10
1957-04-28	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1327	1315	19.4%	19.2%	61.3%	-2.2	8
1957-05-01	Asker	L 2-3	1364	1355	63.4%	18.9%	17.7%	-5.4	12
1957-05-01	@ Strommen	W 3-2	1355	1364	17.7%	18.9%	63.4%	+5.4	11
1957-05-05	Arstad	D 2-2	1343	1300	66.5%	18.3%	15.2%	-0.9	19
1957-05-05	@ IF Odd	D 2-2	1300	1343	15.2%	18.3%	66.5%	+0.9	5
1957-05-05	Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1287	1296	61.5%	19.2%	19.3%	-5.5	6
1957-05-05	@ Rapid Moss	W 2-1	1296	1287	19.3%	19.2%	61.5%	+5.5	12
1957-05-05	Sarpsborg	W 3-0	1358	1317	66.4%	18.3%	15.3%	+4.7	16
1957-05-05	@ Sandefjord	L 0-3	1317	1358	15.3%	18.3%	66.4%	-4.7	10
1957-05-05	Skeid	D 1-1	1314	1367	56.9%	19.7%	23.4%	-0.8	5
1957-05-05	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1367	1314	23.4%	19.7%	56.9%	+0.8	11
1957-05-05	Asker	D 0-0	1292	1360	55.1%	19.9%	25.0%	-0.7	15
1957-05-05	@ Steinkjer	D 0-0	1360	1292	25.0%	19.9%	55.1%	+0.7	12
1957-05-05	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1359	1392	59.1%	19.5%	21.4%	+2.2	15
1957-05-05	@ Strommen	L 1-2	1392	1359	21.4%	19.5%	59.1%	-2.2	19
1957-05-05	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1296	1322	59.9%	19.4%	20.7%	-5.4	9
1957-05-05	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1322	1296	20.7%	19.4%	59.9%	+5.4	16
1957-05-05	Larvik Turn	W 3-1	1325	1405	53.7%	19.9%	26.4%	+4.7	11
1957-05-05	@ Viking	L 1-3	1405	1325	26.4%	19.9%	53.7%	-4.7	14
1957-05-08	Viking	D 3-3	1368	1329	66.2%	18.4%	15.5%	-0.7	12
1957-05-08	@ Skeid	D 3-3	1329	1368	15.5%	18.4%	66.2%	+0.7	12
1957-05-08	Sandefjord	L 0-2	1400	1363	66.0%	18.4%	15.6%	-11.8	14
1957-05-08	@ Larvik Turn	W 2-0	1363	1400	15.6%	18.4%	66.0%	+11.8	19
1957-05-12	Viking	W 2-0	1301	1330	59.5%	19.5%	21.0%	+4.4	8
1957-05-12	@ Arstad	L 0-2	1330	1301	21.0%	19.5%	59.5%	-4.4	12
1957-05-12	Valerenga	W 2-0	1361	1291	69.0%	17.7%	13.4%	+2.9	15
1957-05-12	@ Asker	L 0-2	1291	1361	13.4%	17.7%	69.0%	-2.8	9
1957-05-12	Rapid Moss	W 7-1	1389	1281	72.0%	16.7%	11.2%	+5.4	22
1957-05-12	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-7	1281	1389	11.2%	16.7%	72.0%	-5.4	6
1957-05-12	Strommen	D 1-1	1302	1361	56.2%	19.8%	24.0%	-0.7	13
1957-05-12	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1361	1302	24.0%	19.8%	56.2%	+0.7	16
1957-05-12	IF Odd	W 3-1	1388	1342	66.9%	18.2%	14.9%	+2.8	17
1957-05-12	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-3	1342	1388	14.9%	18.2%	66.9%	-2.7	19
1957-05-12	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1327	1291	65.9%	18.4%	15.7%	-1.2	17
1957-05-12	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1291	1327	15.7%	18.4%	65.9%	+1.2	16
1957-05-12	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1313	1314	62.4%	19.1%	18.5%	-1.0	11
1957-05-12	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1314	1313	18.5%	19.1%	62.4%	+1.0	6
1957-05-12	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1367	1375	61.7%	19.2%	19.1%	+7.7	15
1957-05-12	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1375	1367	19.1%	19.2%	61.7%	-7.6	19
1957-05-16	Larvik Turn	W 2-1	1315	1391	54.2%	19.9%	25.9%	+2.7	9
1957-05-16	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1391	1315	25.9%	19.9%	54.2%	-2.6	17
1957-05-19	Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1301	1395	52.1%	20.0%	27.9%	-11.6	13
1957-05-19	@ Frigg Oslo	W 4-1	1395	1301	27.9%	20.0%	52.1%	+11.6	25
1957-05-19	Sarpsborg	W 4-0	1388	1312	69.5%	17.5%	13.0%	+5.2	20
1957-05-19	@ Larvik Turn	L 0-4	1312	1388	13.0%	17.5%	69.5%	-5.2	11
1957-05-19	Asker	W 2-1	1326	1364	58.5%	19.6%	21.9%	+2.3	20
1957-05-19	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1364	1326	21.9%	19.6%	58.5%	-2.3	15
1957-05-19	Strommen	L 0-2	1276	1362	53.0%	20.0%	27.0%	-9.7	6
1957-05-19	@ Rapid Moss	W 2-0	1362	1276	27.0%	20.0%	53.0%	+9.7	19
1957-05-19	Arstad	W 3-1	1367	1306	68.2%	17.9%	13.9%	+2.6	22
1957-05-19	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1306	1367	13.9%	17.9%	68.2%	-2.6	8
1957-05-19	IF Odd	D 0-0	1317	1339	60.3%	19.4%	20.3%	-1.0	10
1957-05-19	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1339	1317	20.3%	19.4%	60.3%	+1.0	20
1957-05-19	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1288	1292	62.0%	19.1%	18.8%	+2.1	12
1957-05-19	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1292	1288	18.8%	19.1%	62.0%	-2.1	16
1957-05-19	Skeid	W 3-1	1326	1375	57.3%	19.7%	23.0%	+4.1	15
1957-05-19	@ Viking	L 1-3	1375	1326	23.0%	19.7%	57.3%	-4.1	15
1957-05-26	Larvik Turn	L 1-3	1303	1394	52.5%	20.0%	27.6%	-8.3	8
1957-05-26	@ Arstad	W 3-1	1394	1303	27.6%	20.0%	52.5%	+8.3	23
1957-05-26	Strommen	D 3-3	1362	1371	61.5%	19.2%	19.3%	-0.6	16
1957-05-26	@ Asker	D 3-3	1371	1362	19.3%	19.2%	61.5%	+0.6	20
1957-05-26	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1406	1328	69.6%	17.5%	12.9%	+2.4	28
1957-05-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1328	1406	12.9%	17.5%	69.6%	-2.4	20
1957-05-26	Valerenga	D 1-1	1290	1290	62.5%	19.1%	18.5%	-1.0	14
1957-05-26	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1290	1290	18.5%	19.1%	62.5%	+1.0	13
1957-05-26	Viking	D 2-2	1340	1330	63.5%	18.9%	17.6%	-0.8	21
1957-05-26	@ IF Odd	D 2-2	1330	1340	17.6%	18.9%	63.5%	+0.8	16
1957-05-26	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-0	1370	1316	67.5%	18.0%	14.5%	+4.5	25
1957-05-26	@ Sandefjord	L 0-3	1316	1370	14.5%	18.0%	67.5%	-4.5	10
1957-05-26	Skeid	D 1-1	1306	1370	55.6%	19.8%	24.6%	-0.7	12
1957-05-26	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1370	1306	24.6%	19.8%	55.6%	+0.7	16
1957-05-26	Rapid Moss	W 4-0	1290	1266	64.9%	18.6%	16.5%	+6.7	19
1957-05-26	@ Steinkjer	L 0-4	1266	1290	16.5%	18.6%	64.9%	-6.7	6
1957-05-30	Fredrikstad	L 3-7	1361	1409	57.5%	19.7%	22.9%	-12.8	16
1957-05-30	@ Asker	W 7-3	1409	1361	22.9%	19.7%	57.5%	+12.7	31
1957-05-30	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1402	1312	70.6%	17.2%	12.2%	-1.4	24
1957-05-30	@ Larvik Turn	D 1-1	1312	1402	12.2%	17.2%	70.6%	+1.4	11
1957-05-30	Frigg Oslo	L 0-2	1326	1289	66.0%	18.4%	15.6%	-11.8	20
1957-05-30	@ Lillestrom	W 2-0	1289	1326	15.6%	18.4%	66.0%	+11.8	17
1957-05-30	IF Odd	L 0-1	1306	1339	59.0%	19.5%	21.4%	-5.7	12
1957-05-30	@ Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1339	1306	21.4%	19.5%	59.0%	+5.7	24
1957-05-30	Arstad	D 1-1	1371	1295	69.5%	17.5%	13.0%	-1.3	17
1957-05-30	@ Skeid	D 1-1	1295	1371	13.0%	17.5%	69.5%	+1.3	9
1957-05-30	Steinkjer	W 10-0	1372	1297	69.3%	17.5%	13.1%	+12.6	23
1957-05-30	@ Strommen	L 0-10	1297	1372	13.1%	17.5%	69.3%	-12.6	19
1957-05-30	Rapid Moss	W 3-1	1291	1259	65.5%	18.5%	16.0%	+2.9	16
1957-05-30	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1259	1291	16.0%	18.5%	65.5%	-2.9	6
1957-05-30	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1330	1374	57.9%	19.6%	22.4%	+2.3	19
1957-05-30	@ Viking	L 1-2	1374	1330	22.4%	19.6%	57.9%	-2.3	25
1957-06-02	Sarpsborg	W 2-0	1296	1300	62.1%	19.1%	18.8%	+4.0	12
1957-06-02	@ Arstad	L 0-2	1300	1296	18.8%	19.1%	62.1%	-4.0	12
1957-06-02	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1348	1300	67.0%	18.2%	14.8%	+1.6	19
1957-06-02	@ Asker	L 1-2	1300	1348	14.8%	18.2%	67.0%	-1.6	17
1957-06-02	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1345	1372	59.7%	19.4%	20.8%	+2.3	27
1957-06-02	@ IF Odd	L 0-1	1372	1345	20.8%	19.4%	59.7%	-2.3	25
1957-06-02	Lillestrom	L 2-4	1256	1314	56.4%	19.8%	23.9%	-7.9	6
1957-06-02	@ Rapid Moss	W 4-2	1314	1256	23.9%	19.8%	56.4%	+7.9	23
1957-06-02	Viking	D 0-0	1313	1333	60.5%	19.4%	20.2%	-1.0	12
1957-06-02	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1333	1313	20.2%	19.4%	60.5%	+1.0	20
1957-06-02	Larvik Turn	W 1-0	1370	1401	59.3%	19.5%	21.2%	+2.4	20
1957-06-02	@ Skeid	L 0-1	1401	1370	21.2%	19.5%	59.3%	-2.3	24
1957-06-02	Fredrikstad	L 2-5	1284	1421	46.5%	20.1%	33.4%	-9.1	19
1957-06-02	@ Steinkjer	W 5-2	1421	1284	33.4%	20.1%	46.5%	+9.1	34
1957-06-02	Valerenga	W 2-1	1385	1294	70.6%	17.2%	12.2%	+1.3	26
1957-06-02	@ Strommen	L 1-2	1294	1385	12.2%	17.2%	70.6%	-1.3	16

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1957-06-16	IF Odd	W 6-1	1431	1347	70.0%	17.3%	12.6%	+5.2	1-0
1957-06-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-6	1347	1431	12.6%	17.3%	70.0%	-5.2	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1956-10-14	15.39%	IF Odd	1336	1	@ Skeid	1376	0
2	1956-08-08	15.55%	Sarpsborg	1307	4	@ Sarpsborg 08	1345	1
3	1957-05-08	15.58%	Sandefjord	1363	2	@ Larvik Turn	1400	0
4	1957-05-30	15.59%	Frigg Oslo	1289	2	@ Lillestrom	1326	0
5	1956-09-30	15.70%	IF Odd	1329	2	@ Sandefjord	1364	1
6	1956-10-14	16.26%	Steinkjer	1280	2	@ Frigg Oslo	1308	0
7	1957-05-01	17.69%	Asker	1355	3	@ Strommen	1364	2
8	1956-09-23	17.82%	Steinkjer	1285	2	@ Rapid Moss	1293	1
9	1957-05-05	19.30%	Frigg Oslo	1296	2	@ Rapid Moss	1287	1
10	1956-08-05	19.90%	Sandefjord	1334	3	@ Sarpsborg	1317	1
11	1956-09-09	20.01%	Sandefjord	1344	2	@ Sarpsborg 08	1326	0
12	1957-05-05	20.70%	Lillestrom	1322	2	@ Valerenga	1296	1
13	1957-05-30	21.45%	IF Odd	1339	1	@ Sarpsborg	1306	0
14	1956-09-23	22.67%	Sandefjord	1355	3	@ Arstad	1309	1
15	1957-05-30	22.85%	Fredrikstad	1409	7	@ Asker	1361	3
16	1956-08-19	22.87%	Skeid	1365	2	@ Arstad	1317	1
17	1956-07-29	23.27%	Larvik Turn	1391	1	@ Sandefjord	1339	0
18	1957-06-02	23.87%	Lillestrom	1314	4	@ Rapid Moss	1256	2
19	1956-07-29	24.17%	Fredrikstad	1371	3	@ Valerenga	1310	2
20	1956-09-30	24.66%	Strommen	1356	5	@ Steinkjer	1291	2
21	1956-08-09	25.96%	Fredrikstad	1380	2	@ Rapid Moss	1303	1
22	1957-05-19	27.03%	Strommen	1362	2	@ Rapid Moss	1276	0
23	1957-05-26	27.55%	Larvik Turn	1394	3	@ Arstad	1303	1
24	1957-05-19	27.88%	Fredrikstad	1395	4	@ Frigg Oslo	1301	1
25	1957-06-02	33.43%	Fredrikstad	1421	5	@ Steinkjer	1284	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-08-08	14.50	Sarpsborg	4	1307	15.55%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1	1345	66.07%
2	1956-08-19	13.87	@ Frigg Oslo	6	1297	56.00%	Asker	0	1358	24.20%
3	1957-05-30	12.75	Fredrikstad	7	1409	22.85%	@ Asker	3	1361	57.47%
4	1957-05-30	12.59	@ Strommen	10	1372	69.34%	Steinkjer	0	1297	13.11%
5	1957-05-08	11.84	Sandefjord	2	1363	15.58%	@ Larvik Turn	0	1400	66.04%
6	1957-05-30	11.84	Frigg Oslo	2	1289	15.59%	@ Lillestrom	0	1326	66.03%
7	1956-10-14	11.70	Steinkjer	2	1280	16.26%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1308	65.18%
8	1957-05-19	11.65	Fredrikstad	4	1395	27.88%	@ Frigg Oslo	1	1301	52.11%
9	1956-09-09	10.95	Sandefjord	2	1344	20.01%	@ Sarpsborg 08	0	1326	60.66%
10	1956-09-30	10.69	Strommen	5	1356	24.66%	@ Steinkjer	2	1291	55.50%
11	1957-05-19	9.66	Strommen	2	1362	27.03%	@ Rapid Moss	0	1276	52.99%
12	1956-08-05	9.49	Sandefjord	3	1334	19.90%	@ Sarpsborg	1	1317	60.79%
13	1957-06-02	9.12	Fredrikstad	5	1421	33.43%	@ Steinkjer	2	1284	46.52%
14	1956-09-23	9.04	Sandefjord	3	1355	22.67%	@ Arstad	1	1309	57.66%
15	1957-05-26	8.29	Larvik Turn	3	1394	27.55%	@ Arstad	1	1303	52.46%
16	1957-06-02	7.91	Lillestrom	4	1314	23.87%	@ Rapid Moss	2	1256	56.35%
17	1957-05-12	7.65	@ Skeid	4	1367	61.71%	Sandefjord	0	1375	19.11%
18	1956-08-05	7.25	@ Skeid	4	1357	62.96%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1352	18.06%
19	1957-05-26	6.65	@ Steinkjer	4	1290	64.86%	Rapid Moss	0	1266	16.51%
20	1956-07-29	6.39	@ Strommen	4	1352	65.69%	Lillestrom	0	1318	15.85%
21	1956-10-14	6.30	IF Odd	1	1336	15.39%	@ Skeid	0	1376	66.29%
22	1956-09-09	5.96	@ Skeid	4	1370	67.11%	Sarpsborg	0	1321	14.76%
23	1956-09-30	5.91	IF Odd	2	1329	15.70%	@ Sandefjord	1	1364	65.89%
24	1956-10-14	5.90	@ Asker	6	1348	67.69%	Rapid Moss	1	1292	14.31%
25	1956-07-29	5.77	@ IF Odd	4	1317	57.70%	Skeid	1	1363	22.64%