Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1955-56

1955-56 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

27 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

10.14 points above expected

27 points · 16.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ranheim

9.08 points below expected

3 points · 12.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 13 1 0 27 54 17 +37 16.9 +10.14
2 Asker 14 11 1 2 23 41 16 +25 16.1 +6.89
3 Larvik Turn 14 10 1 3 21 40 15 +25 17.8 +3.22
4 Skeid 14 7 3 4 17 34 18 +16 16.2 +0.75
5 Sandefjord 14 7 2 5 16 26 19 +7 14.7 +1.33
6 Viking 14 5 5 4 15 25 26 -1 14.2 +0.84
7 Valerenga 14 5 4 5 14 23 28 -5 13.1 +0.91
8 Lillestrom 14 6 1 7 13 19 25 -6 14.0 -1.02
9 Rapid Moss 14 4 4 6 12 23 26 -3 12.2 -0.21
10 IF Odd 14 4 4 6 12 18 24 -6 13.7 -1.67
11 Frigg Oslo 14 6 0 8 12 27 37 -10 12.3 -0.27
12 Brann 14 4 3 7 11 27 27 0 13.3 -2.31
13 Sarpsborg 14 3 5 6 11 27 30 -3 14.3 -3.27
14 Varegg 14 3 5 6 11 15 32 -17 13.1 -2.12
15 Kvik Trondheim 14 2 2 10 6 12 44 -32 10.1 -4.14
16 Ranheim 14 1 1 12 3 12 39 -27 12.1 -9.08

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Larvik Turn 3
Fredrikstad 2

Sim: 903.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Larvik Turn 1549 21 17.78 +3.22 88.8% 2 13 16 18 20 23 27
Fredrikstad 1547 27 16.86 +10.14 100.0% 5 12 15 17 19 22 27
Asker 1513 23 16.11 +6.89 99.3% 5 11 14 16 18 21 27
Skeid 1491 17 16.25 +0.75 64.7% 4 11 14 16 18 21 27
Sandefjord 1457 16 14.67 +1.33 71.1% 3 9 12 15 17 20 26
Viking 1441 15 14.16 +0.84 66.1% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
Lillestrom 1427 13 14.02 -1.02 43.1% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
Brann 1423 11 13.31 -2.31 28.4% 2 8 11 13 15 19 24
Sarpsborg 1422 11 14.27 -3.27 19.5% 3 9 12 14 16 20 27
IF Odd 1422 12 13.67 -1.67 35.9% 1 8 11 14 16 19 26
Valerenga 1412 14 13.09 +0.91 66.9% 2 8 11 13 15 19 25
Rapid Moss 1396 12 12.21 -0.21 54.3% 1 7 10 12 14 17 24
Varegg 1391 11 13.12 -2.12 31.2% 1 8 11 13 15 18 24
Frigg Oslo 1387 12 12.27 -0.27 53.3% 2 7 10 12 14 18 23
Ranheim 1342 3 12.08 -9.08 0.2% 0 7 10 12 14 17 23
Kvik Trondheim 1301 6 10.14 -4.14 11.3% 0 5 8 10 12 15 23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASK BRA FRE FO IO KT LT LIL RAN RM SAN SAR SKE VAL VAR VIK
Asker
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Brann
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.90
1-1-0
2.55
Fredrikstad
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.51
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.08
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Frigg Oslo
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
IF Odd
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.69
Kvik Trondheim
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
2.32
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Larvik Turn
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.50
Lillestrom
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.66
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ranheim
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
2.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.25
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Rapid Moss
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.39
Sandefjord
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.87
Sarpsborg
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.85
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Skeid
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.86
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.59
Varegg
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.63
Viking
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.93

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.12%2.68%2.23%1.34%16.52%
13.57%8.93%9.82%4.46%4.91%2.23%33.93%
23.12%9.82%4.46%3.12%0.89%1.79%23.21%
32.68%4.46%3.12%0.89%0.45%11.61%
42.23%4.91%0.89%0.89%8.93%
5+1.34%2.23%1.79%0.45%5.80%
Total16.52%33.93%23.21%11.61%8.93%5.80%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.89
Mean allowed1.89
StdDev scored1.69
StdDev allowed1.69
Mean total goals/game3.78
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.226
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
17.14%7.14%14.29%
235.71%7.14%42.86%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%14.29%21.43%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%71.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored2.02
StdDev allowed0.95
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.476
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
214.29%14.29%14.29%42.86%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total35.71%35.71%28.57%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.067
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
1
214.29%7.14%21.43%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
47.14%21.43%7.14%7.14%42.86%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%35.71%28.57%7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.86
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game5.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.252
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
214.29%14.29%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
5+
Total7.14%28.57%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed2.64
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed2.17
Mean total goals/game4.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.342
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%21.43%14.29%7.14%57.14%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
314.29%14.29%
4
5+
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.68
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.207
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%14.29%42.86%
17.14%14.29%7.14%14.29%42.86%
2
314.29%14.29%
4
5+
Total7.14%35.71%14.29%14.29%28.57%100%

Kvik Trondheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.86
Mean allowed3.14
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed2.80
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.260
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%7.14%
27.14%35.71%7.14%7.14%57.14%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%57.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.86
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored2.68
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game3.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.410
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
114.29%14.29%14.29%42.86%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%21.43%14.29%14.29%21.43%100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.378
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%14.29%42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%21.43%7.14%100%

Ranheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.86
Mean allowed2.79
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.329
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%28.57%21.43%28.57%7.14%100%

Rapid Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.247
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%
114.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%
3
414.29%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%50.00%21.43%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.83
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.020
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
128.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%64.29%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%28.57%14.29%14.29%28.57%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored1.73
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.004
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
414.29%14.29%
5+7.14%14.29%21.43%
Total21.43%50.00%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored2.03
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.390
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
214.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
4
5+
Total14.29%21.43%42.86%7.14%14.29%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed1.52
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.050
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%42.86%
114.29%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+
Total14.29%28.57%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Varegg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed2.29
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed2.70
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.232
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%21.43%28.57%
37.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
4
5+
Total21.43%14.29%42.86%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.46
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.031
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 27 16.9 +10.14
2 Asker 23 16.1 +6.89
3 Larvik Turn 21 17.8 +3.22
4 Sandefjord 16 14.7 +1.33
5 Valerenga 14 13.1 +0.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ranheim 3 12.1 -9.08
2 Kvik Trondheim 6 10.1 -4.14
3 Sarpsborg 11 14.3 -3.27
4 Brann 11 13.3 -2.31
5 Varegg 11 13.1 -2.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 11 Aug 28 – May 27 1 in 2,194
2 Asker 6 Aug 17 – Oct 23 1 in 193
3 Larvik Turn 6 Aug 28 – Oct 23 1 in 45
4 Sandefjord 4 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 42
5 Frigg Oslo 3 May 13 – May 27 1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ranheim 8 Oct 16 – May 27 1 in 584
2 Rapid Moss 4 Oct 9 – Oct 31 1 in 20
3 Sarpsborg 3 Oct 16 – May 6 1 in 17
4 Kvik Trondheim 5 Sep 4 – Apr 29 1 in 17
5 Varegg 3 Oct 9 – Oct 23 1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 14 Jul 31 – May 27 1 in 151
2 Asker 8 Jul 31 – Oct 23 1 in 30
3 Rapid Moss 5 May 6 – May 27 1 in 21
4 Varegg 5 Aug 7 – Oct 2 1 in 16
5 Viking 5 Oct 16 – May 6 1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ranheim 8 Oct 16 – May 27 1 in 25
2 Sarpsborg 6 Oct 9 – May 13 1 in 22
3 Viking 6 Jul 31 – Oct 9 1 in 16
4 IF Odd 5 Aug 28 – Oct 9 1 in 11
5 Rapid Moss 5 Oct 9 – May 6 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad34.58%21.97%15.86%11.09%7.54%5.11%2.74%1.11%
Asker22.84%21.56%18.53%14.05%10.21%7.31%3.87%1.63%
Larvik Turn51.18%19.99%11.46%7.29%4.69%2.88%1.78%0.73%
Skeid22.76%21.97%18.73%13.69%10.52%6.61%3.99%1.73%
Sandefjord13.31%18.91%16.84%13.71%12.18%10.56%7.76%6.73%
Viking9.12%14.50%15.19%14.79%14.13%13.12%10.77%8.38%
Valerenga5.51%9.27%10.88%12.50%13.95%14.81%16.67%16.41%
Lillestrom6.50%11.57%14.00%17.10%16.91%15.28%11.90%6.74%
Rapid Moss3.29%6.23%8.69%11.38%13.34%15.85%18.17%23.05%
IF Odd6.98%11.62%13.04%13.91%13.62%13.62%14.18%13.03%
Frigg Oslo2.56%5.38%7.87%11.21%15.39%19.93%21.27%16.39%
Brann5.90%11.01%12.95%13.90%14.70%14.67%13.69%13.18%
Sarpsborg8.24%11.86%15.31%17.79%16.86%13.70%10.69%5.55%
Varegg4.71%8.47%10.95%12.52%13.39%14.49%16.98%18.49%
Kvik Trondheim0.49%1.43%2.86%4.82%8.26%13.50%22.07%46.57%
Ranheim2.03%4.26%6.84%10.25%14.31%18.56%23.47%20.28%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Larvik Turn 3
Fredrikstad 2

Sim: 903.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Larvik Turn 46.3% 2.5%
Fredrikstad 61.6% 3.9%
Asker 71.7% 5.5%
Skeid 71.5% 5.7%
Sandefjord 72.2% 14.5%
Sarpsborg 75.5% 16.2%
Lillestrom 74.9% 18.6%
Viking 71.7% 19.1%
Brann 67.2% 26.9%
IF Odd 65.8% 27.2%
Valerenga 61.4% 33.1%
Varegg 59.8% 35.5%
Frigg Oslo 59.8% 37.7%
Rapid Moss 55.5% 41.2%
Ranheim 54.2% 43.8%
Kvik Trondheim 30.9% 68.6%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AskerBrannFredrikstadFrigg OsloIF OddKvik TrondheimLarvik TurnLillestromRanheimRapid MossSandefjordSarpsborgSkeidValerengaVareggViking
Asker72.00%111.00%512.00%35.00%195.00%93.00%79.00%135.00%
Brann43.00%62.00%13.00%2.00%14.00%7.00%29.00%53.00%
Fredrikstad160.00%162.00%815.00%86.00%287.00%134.00%133.00%221.00%
Frigg Oslo6.00%1.00%37.00%5.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%
IF Odd57.00%71.00%5.00%4.00%18.00%16.00%30.00%65.00%
Kvik Trondheim1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Larvik Turn644.00%903.00%113.00%18.00%237.00%88.00%293.00%701.00%
Lillestrom20.00%22.00%120.00%15.00%36.00%23.00%18.00%22.00%
Ranheim5.00%5.00%23.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%6.00%
Rapid Moss24.00%33.00%3.00%13.00%4.00%10.00%24.00%
Sandefjord130.00%177.00%16.00%8.00%41.00%15.00%61.00%129.00%
Sarpsborg19.00%24.00%126.00%14.00%52.00%25.00%18.00%41.00%
Skeid84.00%106.00%483.00%60.00%164.00%75.00%62.00%113.00%
Valerenga46.00%60.00%6.00%1.00%14.00%4.00%21.00%38.00%
Varegg25.00%53.00%6.00%1.00%11.00%2.00%20.00%36.00%
Viking83.00%101.00%12.00%3.00%26.00%14.00%41.00%83.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 61.0%
Larvik Turn 39.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadLarvik Turn
Fredrikstad61.00%
Larvik Turn39.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1955-07-31 Fredrikstad L 2-7 1396 1475 37.7% 22.2% 40.1% -10.7 0
1955-07-31 @ Frigg Oslo W 7-2 1475 1396 40.1% 22.2% 37.7% +10.6 3
1955-07-31 Asker L 1-2 1347 1458 33.4% 21.9% 44.7% -3.0 0
1955-07-31 @ Kvik Trondheim W 2-1 1458 1347 44.7% 21.9% 33.4% +3.0 3
1955-07-31 Ranheim W 2-1 1443 1412 52.4% 21.7% 25.9% +2.4 3
1955-07-31 @ Lillestrom L 1-2 1412 1443 25.9% 21.7% 52.4% -2.4 0
1955-07-31 Brann W 3-1 1434 1427 49.5% 22.0% 28.5% +4.5 3
1955-07-31 @ IF Odd L 1-3 1427 1434 28.5% 22.0% 49.5% -4.5 0
1955-07-31 Rapid Moss W 4-1 1441 1396 54.1% 21.5% 24.4% +5.6 3
1955-07-31 @ Sandefjord L 1-4 1396 1441 24.4% 21.5% 54.1% -5.6 0
1955-07-31 Skeid D 1-1 1431 1470 43.3% 22.3% 34.4% -0.2 1
1955-07-31 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1470 1431 34.4% 22.3% 43.3% +0.2 1
1955-07-31 Viking D 2-2 1417 1438 45.6% 22.3% 32.1% -0.2 1
1955-07-31 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1438 1417 32.1% 22.3% 45.6% +0.2 1
1955-07-31 Larvik Turn L 0-11 1445 1492 42.2% 22.3% 35.5% -35.6 0
1955-07-31 @ Varegg W 11-0 1492 1445 35.5% 22.3% 42.2% +35.6 3
1955-08-07 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1461 1431 52.3% 21.7% 26.0% -0.5 4
1955-08-07 @ Asker D 1-1 1431 1461 26.0% 21.7% 52.3% +0.5 2
1955-08-07 Sandefjord W 2-1 1422 1447 45.3% 22.3% 32.5% +2.9 3
1955-08-07 @ Brann L 1-2 1447 1422 32.5% 22.3% 45.3% -2.9 3
1955-08-07 Lillestrom W 4-1 1486 1445 53.6% 21.5% 24.8% +5.7 6
1955-08-07 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1445 1486 24.8% 21.5% 53.6% -5.7 3
1955-08-07 Valerenga W 3-1 1527 1416 61.7% 19.8% 18.4% +3.0 6
1955-08-07 @ Larvik Turn L 1-3 1416 1527 18.4% 19.8% 61.7% -3.0 1
1955-08-07 Frigg Oslo L 0-4 1410 1386 51.6% 21.8% 26.6% -16.1 0
1955-08-07 @ Ranheim W 4-0 1386 1410 26.6% 21.8% 51.6% +16.2 3
1955-08-07 IF Odd W 2-0 1391 1439 42.0% 22.3% 35.7% +6.3 3
1955-08-07 @ Rapid Moss L 0-2 1439 1391 35.7% 22.3% 42.0% -6.3 3
1955-08-07 Kvik Trondheim W 5-1 1470 1344 63.4% 19.4% 17.3% +5.2 4
1955-08-07 @ Skeid L 1-5 1344 1470 17.3% 19.4% 63.4% -5.2 0
1955-08-07 Varegg D 2-2 1438 1409 52.2% 21.7% 26.1% -0.4 2
1955-08-07 @ Viking D 2-2 1409 1438 26.1% 21.7% 52.2% +0.4 1
1955-08-15 Brann W 3-2 1410 1425 46.4% 22.2% 31.4% +2.7 4
1955-08-15 @ Varegg L 2-3 1425 1410 31.4% 22.2% 46.4% -2.7 3
1955-08-16 Rapid Moss W 3-2 1413 1397 50.6% 21.9% 27.5% +2.4 4
1955-08-16 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1397 1413 27.5% 21.9% 50.6% -2.4 3
1955-08-17 Skeid L 1-2 1402 1475 38.4% 22.3% 39.3% -3.3 3
1955-08-17 @ Frigg Oslo W 2-1 1475 1402 39.3% 22.3% 38.4% +3.3 7
1955-08-17 Asker L 1-4 1439 1461 45.7% 22.3% 32.1% -9.4 3
1955-08-17 @ Lillestrom W 4-1 1461 1439 32.1% 22.3% 45.7% +9.4 7
1955-08-17 Larvik Turn W 1-0 1433 1530 35.1% 22.1% 42.8% +3.8 6
1955-08-17 @ IF Odd L 0-1 1530 1433 42.8% 22.1% 35.1% -3.9 6
1955-08-17 Viking D 1-1 1444 1438 49.3% 22.0% 28.7% -0.4 4
1955-08-17 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1438 1444 28.7% 22.0% 49.3% +0.4 3
1955-08-17 Fredrikstad D 4-4 1432 1491 40.4% 22.3% 37.3% -0.0 3
1955-08-17 @ Sarpsborg D 4-4 1491 1432 37.3% 22.3% 40.4% +0.0 7
1955-08-18 Ranheim D 0-0 1339 1394 41.0% 22.3% 36.6% -0.1 1
1955-08-18 @ Kvik Trondheim D 0-0 1394 1339 36.6% 22.3% 41.0% +0.1 1
1955-08-27 Frigg Oslo W 2-1 1470 1399 57.3% 20.9% 21.8% +2.1 10
1955-08-27 @ Asker L 1-2 1399 1470 21.8% 20.9% 57.3% -2.1 3
1955-08-28 Valerenga D 2-2 1423 1416 49.4% 22.0% 28.6% -0.3 4
1955-08-28 @ Brann D 2-2 1416 1423 28.6% 22.0% 49.4% +0.3 5
1955-08-28 Ranheim W 3-2 1491 1394 60.3% 20.2% 19.5% +1.8 10
1955-08-28 @ Fredrikstad L 2-3 1394 1491 19.5% 20.2% 60.3% -1.8 1
1955-08-28 Sarpsborg W 3-1 1339 1432 35.8% 22.1% 42.1% +6.2 4
1955-08-28 @ Kvik Trondheim L 1-3 1432 1339 42.1% 22.1% 35.8% -6.2 3
1955-08-28 Viking W 3-0 1526 1438 59.2% 20.5% 20.3% +5.6 9
1955-08-28 @ Larvik Turn L 0-3 1438 1526 20.3% 20.5% 59.2% -5.6 3
1955-08-28 Varegg D 3-3 1395 1412 46.2% 22.2% 31.6% -0.2 4
1955-08-28 @ Rapid Moss D 3-3 1412 1395 31.6% 22.2% 46.2% +0.2 5
1955-08-28 IF Odd W 4-1 1443 1436 49.4% 22.0% 28.6% +6.5 7
1955-08-28 @ Sandefjord L 1-4 1436 1443 28.6% 22.0% 49.4% -6.5 6
1955-08-28 Lillestrom W 3-0 1479 1430 54.6% 21.4% 24.0% +6.6 10
1955-08-28 @ Skeid L 0-3 1430 1479 24.0% 21.4% 54.6% -6.6 3
1955-09-04 Kvik Trondheim W 4-1 1397 1345 55.0% 21.3% 23.7% +5.5 6
1955-09-04 @ Frigg Oslo L 1-4 1345 1397 23.7% 21.3% 55.0% -5.5 4
1955-09-04 Valerenga L 1-2 1430 1416 50.3% 21.9% 27.8% -4.2 6
1955-09-04 @ IF Odd W 2-1 1416 1430 27.8% 21.9% 50.3% +4.2 8
1955-09-18 Rapid Moss L 1-3 1422 1395 52.0% 21.8% 26.2% -7.4 4
1955-09-18 @ Brann W 3-1 1395 1422 26.2% 21.8% 52.0% +7.4 7
1955-09-18 Fredrikstad L 0-4 1340 1493 28.2% 21.1% 50.6% -9.8 4
1955-09-18 @ Kvik Trondheim W 4-0 1493 1340 50.6% 21.1% 28.2% +9.8 13
1955-09-18 Frigg Oslo W 4-0 1424 1402 51.2% 21.8% 26.9% +9.5 6
1955-09-18 @ Lillestrom L 0-4 1402 1424 26.9% 21.8% 51.2% -9.5 6
1955-09-18 Viking D 1-1 1426 1432 47.6% 22.2% 30.2% -0.3 7
1955-09-18 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1432 1426 30.2% 22.2% 47.6% +0.3 4
1955-09-18 Larvik Turn L 1-2 1450 1532 37.2% 22.2% 40.6% -3.2 7
1955-09-18 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1532 1450 40.6% 22.2% 37.2% +3.2 12
1955-09-18 Ranheim W 2-0 1425 1392 52.8% 21.7% 25.6% +4.8 6
1955-09-18 @ Sarpsborg L 0-2 1392 1425 25.6% 21.7% 52.8% -4.8 1
1955-09-18 Asker L 1-2 1485 1472 50.2% 22.0% 27.9% -4.2 10
1955-09-18 @ Skeid W 2-1 1472 1485 27.9% 22.0% 50.2% +4.2 13
1955-09-18 Varegg L 0-2 1420 1412 49.5% 22.0% 28.5% -8.2 8
1955-09-18 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1412 1420 28.5% 22.0% 49.5% +8.2 8
1955-10-02 Brann W 2-1 1535 1415 62.7% 19.6% 17.7% +1.7 15
1955-10-02 @ Larvik Turn L 1-2 1415 1535 17.7% 19.6% 62.7% -1.7 4
1955-10-02 Sandefjord L 2-5 1412 1446 43.9% 22.3% 33.8% -7.9 8
1955-10-02 @ Valerenga W 5-2 1446 1412 33.8% 22.3% 43.9% +7.9 10
1955-10-02 IF Odd D 1-1 1421 1426 47.8% 22.1% 30.0% -0.3 9
1955-10-02 @ Varegg D 1-1 1426 1421 30.0% 22.1% 47.8% +0.3 8
1955-10-02 Sarpsborg L 2-7 1393 1430 43.4% 22.3% 34.3% -11.9 6
1955-10-02 @ Frigg Oslo W 7-2 1430 1393 34.3% 22.3% 43.4% +11.9 9
1955-10-09 Kvik Trondheim W 9-0 1476 1330 65.5% 18.7% 15.8% +12.3 16
1955-10-09 @ Asker L 0-9 1330 1476 15.8% 18.7% 65.5% -12.3 4
1955-10-09 Frigg Oslo W 2-0 1503 1381 63.0% 19.5% 17.5% +3.3 16
1955-10-09 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1381 1503 17.5% 19.5% 63.0% -3.3 6
1955-10-09 Lillestrom W 4-0 1387 1433 42.3% 22.3% 35.4% +11.9 4
1955-10-09 @ Ranheim L 0-4 1433 1387 35.4% 22.3% 42.3% -11.9 6
1955-10-09 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1481 1442 53.4% 21.6% 25.0% -0.6 11
1955-10-09 @ Skeid D 1-1 1442 1481 25.0% 21.6% 53.4% +0.6 10
1955-10-09 IF Odd W 6-2 1413 1426 46.8% 22.2% 31.0% +7.5 7
1955-10-09 @ Brann L 2-6 1426 1413 31.0% 22.2% 46.8% -7.6 8
1955-10-09 Varegg W 2-0 1537 1420 62.4% 19.7% 18.0% +3.4 18
1955-10-09 @ Larvik Turn L 0-2 1420 1537 18.0% 19.7% 62.4% -3.4 9
1955-10-09 Sandefjord L 0-1 1402 1454 41.4% 22.3% 36.3% -3.8 7
1955-10-09 @ Rapid Moss W 1-0 1454 1402 36.3% 22.3% 41.4% +3.8 13
1955-10-09 Valerenga L 1-2 1433 1404 52.2% 21.7% 26.1% -4.3 4
1955-10-09 @ Viking W 2-1 1404 1433 26.1% 21.7% 52.2% +4.3 11
1955-10-16 Ranheim W 3-1 1377 1399 45.6% 22.3% 32.2% +5.0 9
1955-10-16 @ Frigg Oslo L 1-3 1399 1377 32.2% 22.3% 45.6% -5.0 4
1955-10-16 Skeid L 0-5 1318 1481 27.2% 20.9% 51.9% -11.6 4
1955-10-16 @ Kvik Trondheim W 5-0 1481 1318 51.9% 20.9% 27.2% +11.6 14
1955-10-16 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1421 1506 36.8% 22.2% 41.0% -3.0 6
1955-10-16 @ Lillestrom W 3-2 1506 1421 41.0% 22.2% 36.8% +3.0 19
1955-10-16 Asker L 1-4 1443 1488 42.3% 22.3% 35.4% -8.8 10
1955-10-16 @ Sarpsborg W 4-1 1488 1443 35.4% 22.3% 42.3% +8.8 19
1955-10-16 Rapid Moss W 3-1 1418 1398 51.1% 21.9% 27.1% +4.4 11
1955-10-16 @ IF Odd L 1-3 1398 1418 27.1% 21.9% 51.1% -4.3 7
1955-10-16 Brann W 1-0 1458 1421 53.2% 21.6% 25.2% +2.5 16
1955-10-16 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1421 1458 25.2% 21.6% 53.2% -2.5 7
1955-10-16 Larvik Turn L 1-2 1408 1540 30.8% 21.6% 47.7% -2.8 11
1955-10-16 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1540 1408 47.7% 21.6% 30.8% +2.8 21
1955-10-16 Viking L 0-3 1417 1428 46.9% 22.2% 30.9% -11.4 9
1955-10-16 @ Varegg W 3-0 1428 1417 30.9% 22.2% 46.9% +11.4 7
1955-10-23 Asker L 0-4 1394 1497 34.4% 22.0% 43.6% -11.6 4
1955-10-23 @ Ranheim W 4-0 1497 1394 43.6% 22.0% 34.4% +11.6 22
1955-10-23 Larvik Turn L 1-2 1394 1543 28.7% 21.2% 50.0% -2.6 7
1955-10-23 @ Rapid Moss W 2-1 1543 1394 50.0% 21.2% 28.7% +2.6 24
1955-10-23 Sandefjord L 1-2 1405 1461 41.0% 22.3% 36.7% -3.5 9
1955-10-23 @ Varegg W 2-1 1461 1405 36.7% 22.3% 41.0% +3.5 19
1955-10-23 Brann D 2-2 1440 1418 51.3% 21.8% 26.9% -0.4 8
1955-10-23 @ Viking D 2-2 1418 1440 26.9% 21.8% 51.3% +0.4 8
1955-10-30 Fredrikstad L 2-4 1509 1509 48.4% 22.1% 29.5% -6.2 22
1955-10-30 @ Asker W 4-2 1509 1509 29.5% 22.1% 48.4% +6.2 22
1955-10-30 Lillestrom L 1-2 1434 1418 50.5% 21.9% 27.6% -4.2 10
1955-10-30 @ Sarpsborg W 2-1 1418 1434 27.6% 21.9% 50.5% +4.2 9
1955-10-31 Rapid Moss W 2-0 1440 1391 54.6% 21.4% 24.0% +4.5 11
1955-10-31 @ Viking L 0-2 1391 1440 24.0% 21.4% 54.6% -4.5 7
1956-04-29 Ranheim W 6-1 1492 1383 61.6% 19.9% 18.5% +6.8 17
1956-04-29 @ Skeid L 1-6 1383 1492 18.5% 19.9% 61.6% -6.8 4
1956-04-29 Kvik Trondheim W 1-0 1422 1306 62.3% 19.7% 18.0% +1.8 12
1956-04-29 @ Lillestrom L 0-1 1306 1422 18.0% 19.7% 62.3% -1.8 4
1956-04-29 Larvik Turn W 3-2 1444 1546 34.6% 22.0% 43.4% +3.5 14
1956-04-29 @ Viking L 2-3 1546 1444 43.4% 22.0% 34.6% -3.5 24
1956-05-06 Lillestrom W 2-1 1503 1424 58.1% 20.7% 21.1% +2.0 25
1956-05-06 @ Asker L 1-2 1424 1503 21.1% 20.7% 58.1% -2.0 12
1956-05-06 Varegg L 1-2 1419 1402 50.6% 21.9% 27.5% -4.2 8
1956-05-06 @ Brann W 2-1 1402 1419 27.5% 21.9% 50.6% +4.2 12
1956-05-06 Sarpsborg W 4-1 1516 1430 59.0% 20.5% 20.5% +4.8 25
1956-05-06 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1430 1516 20.5% 20.5% 59.0% -4.8 10
1956-05-06 IF Odd W 2-1 1542 1423 62.7% 19.6% 17.8% +1.7 27
1956-05-06 @ Larvik Turn L 1-2 1423 1542 17.8% 19.6% 62.7% -1.7 11
1956-05-06 Kvik Trondheim L 1-3 1376 1304 57.3% 20.9% 21.8% -8.1 4
1956-05-06 @ Ranheim W 3-1 1304 1376 21.8% 20.9% 57.3% +8.1 7
1956-05-06 Valerenga D 1-1 1387 1406 46.0% 22.2% 31.8% -0.3 8
1956-05-06 @ Rapid Moss D 1-1 1406 1387 31.8% 22.2% 46.0% +0.3 12
1956-05-06 Frigg Oslo W 4-1 1499 1382 62.4% 19.7% 18.0% +4.2 20
1956-05-06 @ Skeid L 1-4 1382 1499 18.0% 19.7% 62.4% -4.2 9
1956-05-06 Sandefjord W 1-0 1448 1464 46.3% 22.2% 31.5% +3.0 17
1956-05-06 @ Viking L 0-1 1464 1448 31.5% 22.2% 46.3% -3.0 19
1956-05-10 Asker L 1-3 1378 1505 31.4% 21.7% 46.9% -4.9 9
1956-05-10 @ Frigg Oslo W 3-1 1505 1378 46.9% 21.7% 31.4% +4.9 28
1956-05-10 Skeid D 0-0 1422 1503 37.3% 22.2% 40.5% +0.1 13
1956-05-10 @ Lillestrom D 0-0 1503 1422 40.5% 22.2% 37.3% -0.1 21
1956-05-10 Sandefjord W 1-0 1421 1461 43.1% 22.3% 34.6% +3.3 14
1956-05-10 @ IF Odd L 0-1 1461 1421 34.6% 22.3% 43.1% -3.3 19
1956-05-10 Fredrikstad L 0-3 1368 1520 28.3% 21.2% 50.5% -7.5 4
1956-05-10 @ Ranheim W 3-0 1520 1368 50.5% 21.2% 28.3% +7.5 28
1956-05-10 Kvik Trondheim D 1-1 1425 1312 62.0% 19.8% 18.3% -0.9 11
1956-05-10 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1312 1425 18.3% 19.8% 62.0% +0.9 8
1956-05-10 Brann W 3-2 1406 1414 47.3% 22.2% 30.5% +2.6 15
1956-05-10 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1414 1406 30.5% 22.2% 47.3% -2.6 8
1956-05-10 Rapid Moss L 0-1 1406 1386 51.0% 21.9% 27.1% -4.5 12
1956-05-10 @ Varegg W 1-0 1386 1406 27.1% 21.9% 51.0% +4.5 11
1956-05-13 Viking W 4-1 1412 1451 43.3% 22.3% 34.4% +7.5 11
1956-05-13 @ Brann L 1-4 1451 1412 34.4% 22.3% 43.3% -7.5 17
1956-05-13 Asker W 2-1 1528 1510 50.8% 21.9% 27.3% +2.5 31
1956-05-13 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1510 1528 27.3% 21.9% 50.8% -2.5 28
1956-05-13 Frigg Oslo L 1-2 1313 1373 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% -3.5 8
1956-05-13 @ Kvik Trondheim W 2-1 1373 1313 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% +3.5 12
1956-05-13 Rapid Moss D 2-2 1544 1391 66.1% 18.5% 15.4% -0.8 28
1956-05-13 @ Larvik Turn D 2-2 1391 1544 15.4% 18.5% 66.1% +0.8 12
1956-05-13 Sarpsborg W 3-1 1422 1424 48.2% 22.1% 29.6% +4.7 16
1956-05-13 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1424 1422 29.6% 22.1% 48.2% -4.7 11
1956-05-13 Skeid L 1-4 1360 1503 29.4% 21.4% 49.2% -6.5 4
1956-05-13 @ Ranheim W 4-1 1503 1360 49.2% 21.4% 29.4% +6.5 24
1956-05-13 Varegg D 0-0 1458 1402 55.5% 21.2% 23.2% -0.7 20
1956-05-13 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1402 1458 23.2% 21.2% 55.5% +0.7 13
1956-05-13 IF Odd D 0-0 1409 1424 46.4% 22.2% 31.4% -0.3 16
1956-05-13 @ Valerenga D 0-0 1424 1409 31.4% 22.2% 46.4% +0.3 15
1956-05-16 Skeid W 2-0 1530 1510 51.1% 21.9% 27.0% +5.0 34
1956-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1510 1530 27.0% 21.9% 51.1% -5.0 24
1956-05-21 Skeid W 3-1 1507 1505 48.8% 22.1% 29.1% +4.6 31
1956-05-21 @ Asker L 1-3 1505 1507 29.1% 22.1% 48.8% -4.6 24
1956-05-21 Kvik Trondheim W 8-1 1535 1310 73.0% 15.7% 11.3% +5.5 37
1956-05-21 @ Fredrikstad L 1-8 1310 1535 11.3% 15.7% 73.0% -5.5 8
1956-05-21 Lillestrom W 2-1 1377 1427 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% +3.2 15
1956-05-21 @ Frigg Oslo L 1-2 1427 1377 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% -3.2 16
1956-05-21 Sandefjord W 6-1 1543 1457 59.0% 20.5% 20.5% +7.5 31
1956-05-21 @ Larvik Turn L 1-6 1457 1543 20.5% 20.5% 59.0% -7.5 20
1956-05-21 Sarpsborg L 0-3 1354 1419 39.5% 22.3% 38.2% -9.9 4
1956-05-21 @ Ranheim W 3-0 1419 1354 38.2% 22.3% 39.5% +9.9 14
1956-05-21 Brann D 1-1 1392 1419 44.8% 22.3% 32.9% -0.2 13
1956-05-21 @ Rapid Moss D 1-1 1419 1392 32.9% 22.3% 44.8% +0.2 12
1956-05-21 Valerenga L 0-3 1402 1408 47.7% 22.2% 30.1% -11.6 13
1956-05-21 @ Varegg W 3-0 1408 1402 30.1% 22.2% 47.7% +11.6 19
1956-05-21 IF Odd W 3-2 1443 1425 50.9% 21.9% 27.2% +2.4 20
1956-05-21 @ Viking L 2-3 1425 1443 27.2% 21.9% 50.9% -2.4 15
1956-05-27 Ranheim W 2-1 1512 1344 67.6% 17.9% 14.5% +1.4 34
1956-05-27 @ Asker L 1-2 1344 1512 14.5% 17.9% 67.6% -1.4 4
1956-05-27 Larvik Turn W 2-1 1420 1551 30.9% 21.6% 47.6% +4.0 15
1956-05-27 @ Brann L 1-2 1551 1420 47.6% 21.6% 30.9% -4.0 31
1956-05-27 Lillestrom L 0-1 1304 1424 32.3% 21.8% 45.9% -3.1 8
1956-05-27 @ Kvik Trondheim W 1-0 1424 1304 45.9% 21.8% 32.3% +3.1 19
1956-05-27 Varegg D 1-1 1422 1391 52.5% 21.7% 25.8% -0.5 16
1956-05-27 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1391 1422 25.8% 21.7% 52.5% +0.5 14
1956-05-27 Viking W 5-3 1392 1445 41.1% 22.3% 36.5% +4.7 16
1956-05-27 @ Rapid Moss L 3-5 1445 1392 36.5% 22.3% 41.1% -4.7 20
1956-05-27 Valerenga W 5-1 1450 1420 52.3% 21.7% 26.0% +7.7 23
1956-05-27 @ Sandefjord L 1-5 1420 1450 26.0% 21.7% 52.3% -7.7 19
1956-05-27 Frigg Oslo L 2-4 1429 1380 54.7% 21.4% 23.9% -6.9 14
1956-05-27 @ Sarpsborg W 4-2 1380 1429 23.9% 21.4% 54.7% +6.9 18
1956-05-27 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1500 1541 43.0% 22.3% 34.7% -8.9 24
1956-05-27 @ Skeid W 4-1 1541 1500 34.7% 22.3% 43.0% +8.9 40

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1956-06-03 Fredrikstad W 3-2 1547 1550 48.1% 22.1% 29.8% +2.6 1-0
1956-06-03 @ Larvik Turn L 2-3 1550 1547 29.8% 22.1% 48.1% -2.6 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1956-05-06 21.77% Kvik Trondheim 1304 3 @ Ranheim 1376 1
2 1956-05-27 23.92% Frigg Oslo 1380 4 @ Sarpsborg 1429 2
3 1955-10-09 26.11% Valerenga 1404 2 @ Viking 1433 1
4 1955-09-18 26.20% Rapid Moss 1395 3 @ Brann 1422 1
5 1955-08-07 26.62% Frigg Oslo 1386 4 @ Ranheim 1410 0
6 1956-05-10 27.11% Rapid Moss 1386 1 @ Varegg 1406 0
7 1956-05-06 27.45% Varegg 1402 2 @ Brann 1419 1
8 1955-10-30 27.55% Lillestrom 1418 2 @ Sarpsborg 1434 1
9 1955-09-04 27.76% Valerenga 1416 2 @ IF Odd 1430 1
10 1955-09-18 27.85% Asker 1472 2 @ Skeid 1485 1
11 1955-09-18 28.49% Varegg 1412 2 @ Valerenga 1420 0
12 1955-10-30 29.47% Fredrikstad 1509 4 @ Asker 1509 2
13 1956-05-21 30.13% Valerenga 1408 3 @ Varegg 1402 0
14 1955-10-16 30.85% Viking 1428 3 @ Varegg 1417 0
15 1956-05-27 30.85% @ Brann 1420 2 Larvik Turn 1551 1
16 1955-08-17 32.07% Asker 1461 4 @ Lillestrom 1439 1
17 1955-10-02 33.83% Sandefjord 1446 5 @ Valerenga 1412 2
18 1955-10-02 34.26% Sarpsborg 1430 7 @ Frigg Oslo 1393 2
19 1956-04-29 34.57% @ Viking 1444 3 Larvik Turn 1546 2
20 1956-05-27 34.69% Fredrikstad 1541 4 @ Skeid 1500 1
21 1955-08-17 35.11% @ IF Odd 1433 1 Larvik Turn 1530 0
22 1955-10-16 35.38% Asker 1488 4 @ Sarpsborg 1443 1
23 1955-07-31 35.50% Larvik Turn 1492 11 @ Varegg 1445 0
24 1955-08-28 35.75% @ Kvik Trondheim 1339 3 Sarpsborg 1432 1
25 1955-10-09 36.29% Sandefjord 1454 1 @ Rapid Moss 1402 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-07-31 35.64 Larvik Turn 11 1492 35.50% @ Varegg 0 1445 42.16%
2 1955-08-07 16.16 Frigg Oslo 4 1386 26.62% @ Ranheim 0 1410 51.57%
3 1955-10-09 12.29 @ Asker 9 1476 65.47% Kvik Trondheim 0 1330 15.84%
4 1955-10-02 11.93 Sarpsborg 7 1430 34.26% @ Frigg Oslo 2 1393 43.41%
5 1955-10-09 11.88 @ Ranheim 4 1387 42.29% Lillestrom 0 1433 35.37%
6 1955-10-16 11.64 Skeid 5 1481 51.86% @ Kvik Trondheim 0 1318 27.20%
7 1956-05-21 11.57 Valerenga 3 1408 30.13% @ Varegg 0 1402 47.71%
8 1955-10-23 11.56 Asker 4 1497 43.64% @ Ranheim 0 1394 34.36%
9 1955-10-16 11.41 Viking 3 1428 30.85% @ Varegg 0 1417 46.95%
10 1955-07-31 10.65 Fredrikstad 7 1475 40.08% @ Frigg Oslo 2 1396 37.69%
11 1956-05-21 9.90 Sarpsborg 3 1419 38.22% @ Ranheim 0 1354 39.49%
12 1955-09-18 9.77 Fredrikstad 4 1493 50.61% @ Kvik Trondheim 0 1340 28.24%
13 1955-09-18 9.48 @ Lillestrom 4 1424 51.25% Frigg Oslo 0 1402 26.91%
14 1955-08-17 9.40 Asker 4 1461 32.07% @ Lillestrom 1 1439 45.67%
15 1956-05-27 8.94 Fredrikstad 4 1541 34.69% @ Skeid 1 1500 42.98%
16 1955-10-16 8.83 Asker 4 1488 35.38% @ Sarpsborg 1 1443 42.29%
17 1955-09-18 8.22 Varegg 2 1412 28.49% @ Valerenga 0 1420 49.49%
18 1956-05-06 8.09 Kvik Trondheim 3 1304 21.77% @ Ranheim 1 1376 57.34%
19 1955-10-02 7.88 Sandefjord 5 1446 33.83% @ Valerenga 2 1412 43.85%
20 1956-05-27 7.66 @ Sandefjord 5 1450 52.29% Valerenga 1 1420 25.99%
21 1955-10-09 7.55 @ Brann 6 1413 46.80% IF Odd 2 1426 30.98%
22 1956-05-21 7.54 @ Larvik Turn 6 1543 58.99% Sandefjord 1 1457 20.48%
23 1956-05-10 7.50 Fredrikstad 3 1520 50.50% @ Ranheim 0 1368 28.33%
24 1956-05-13 7.50 @ Brann 4 1412 43.26% Viking 1 1451 34.41%
25 1955-09-18 7.43 Rapid Moss 3 1395 26.20% @ Brann 1 1422 52.05%