Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1954-55

1954-55 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Larvik Turn

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Larvik Turn

5.54 points above expected

21 points · 15.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Strommen

7.01 points below expected

7 points · 14.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Larvik Turn 14 10 1 3 21 40 16 +24 15.5 +5.54
2 Fredrikstad 14 7 5 2 19 43 24 +19 15.6 +3.44
3 Skeid 14 9 1 4 19 34 22 +12 15.0 +4.04
4 Sandefjord 14 8 3 3 19 26 23 +3 14.1 +4.93
5 Asker 14 7 2 5 16 27 20 +7 14.4 +1.58
6 Viking 14 6 3 5 15 23 24 -1 14.3 +0.67
7 IF Odd 14 6 3 5 15 20 25 -5 14.2 +0.82
8 Valerenga 14 4 6 4 14 22 21 +1 12.9 +1.14
9 Brann 14 5 4 5 14 23 24 -1 13.4 +0.59
10 Lillestrom 14 6 2 6 14 27 30 -3 14.9 -0.95
11 Sarpsborg 14 5 4 5 14 27 33 -6 13.9 +0.09
12 Fram Larvik 14 6 1 7 13 21 24 -3 12.8 +0.21
13 Ranheim 14 4 2 8 10 20 29 -9 12.8 -2.77
14 Sarpsborg 08 14 1 6 7 8 21 28 -7 13.9 -5.92
15 Strommen 14 2 3 9 7 22 27 -5 14.0 -7.01
16 Freidig 14 2 2 10 6 13 39 -26 12.4 -6.41

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Larvik Turn 4
Fredrikstad 2

Sim: 396.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Larvik Turn 1563 21 15.46 +5.54 97.7% 3 10 13 15 18 20 27
Fredrikstad 1542 19 15.56 +3.44 89.9% 3 10 14 16 18 21 26
Skeid 1538 19 14.96 +4.04 93.0% 4 10 13 15 17 20 26
Asker 1517 16 14.42 +1.58 75.4% 4 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sandefjord 1501 19 14.07 +4.93 96.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Lillestrom 1498 14 14.95 -0.95 44.2% 4 10 13 15 17 20 25
Viking 1492 15 14.33 +0.67 64.7% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
IF Odd 1489 15 14.18 +0.82 66.6% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Strommen 1486 7 14.01 -7.01 1.6% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sarpsborg 1483 14 13.91 +0.09 57.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 28
Sarpsborg 08 1478 8 13.92 -5.92 4.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Brann 1475 14 13.41 +0.59 63.4% 2 8 11 13 16 18 24
Valerenga 1459 14 12.86 +1.14 70.2% 2 8 11 13 15 18 24
Ranheim 1453 10 12.77 -2.77 22.8% 2 8 11 13 15 18 24
Fram Larvik 1444 13 12.79 +0.21 58.6% 3 8 11 13 15 18 25
Freidig 1420 6 12.41 -6.41 2.8% 2 7 10 12 15 17 23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASK BRA FL FRE FRE IO LT LIL RAN SAN SAR S0 SKE STR VAL VIK
Asker
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Brann
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.64
Fram Larvik
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.50
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.13
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.97
Freidig
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
IF Odd
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.74
Larvik Turn
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lillestrom
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.18
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.85
Ranheim
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.40
2-0-0
2.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandefjord
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
3.06
0-2-0
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.75
Skeid
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Strommen
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.24
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.57
Viking
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.00

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.46%6.25%3.12%1.34%1.34%1.79%18.30%
16.25%11.61%5.36%5.80%1.34%2.68%33.04%
23.12%5.36%3.57%4.46%2.23%1.34%20.09%
31.34%5.80%4.46%1.79%1.34%0.89%15.62%
41.34%1.34%2.23%1.34%6.25%
5+1.79%2.68%1.34%0.89%6.70%
Total18.30%33.04%20.09%15.62%6.25%6.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.65
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.032
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%14.29%35.71%
214.29%14.29%28.57%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%21.43%28.57%21.43%100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.64
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.347
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
121.43%21.43%
214.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%50.00%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+
Total21.43%50.00%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored0.93
StdDev allowed1.82
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.391
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%14.29%21.43%28.57%7.14%100%

Fram Larvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
121.43%21.43%
27.14%7.14%
314.29%14.29%28.57%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+14.29%7.14%21.43%
Total64.29%7.14%21.43%7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.07
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored2.02
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game4.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.117
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%42.86%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%21.43%14.29%14.29%7.14%28.57%100%

Freidig — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed2.79
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed2.15
Mean total goals/game3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.147
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
114.29%21.43%14.29%14.29%64.29%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total28.57%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.72
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.464
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%14.29%21.43%
Total35.71%42.86%14.29%7.14%100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.86
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.88
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.054
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%28.57%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%50.00%14.29%100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored1.86
StdDev allowed1.99
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.044
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%28.57%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total7.14%50.00%14.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Ranheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed1.86
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.016
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%21.43%7.14%35.71%
214.29%14.29%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total7.14%50.00%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.268
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
4
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total7.14%35.71%21.43%14.29%21.43%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed2.36
StdDev scored1.69
StdDev allowed1.82
Mean total goals/game4.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.009
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
114.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%21.43%21.43%35.71%7.14%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.810
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
121.43%21.43%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
314.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total28.57%28.57%21.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.87
StdDev allowed1.55
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.015
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%57.14%
27.14%21.43%28.57%
3
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%28.57%28.57%7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.247
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total35.71%7.14%35.71%14.29%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
221.43%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total7.14%50.00%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.392
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Larvik Turn 21 15.5 +5.54
2 Sandefjord 19 14.1 +4.93
3 Skeid 19 15.0 +4.04
4 Fredrikstad 19 15.6 +3.44
5 Asker 16 14.4 +1.58

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Strommen 7 14.0 -7.01
2 Freidig 6 12.4 -6.41
3 Sarpsborg 08 8 13.9 -5.92
4 Ranheim 10 12.8 -2.77
5 Lillestrom 14 14.9 -0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 3 May 1 – May 11 1 in 65
2 Skeid 4 Aug 12 – Sep 12 1 in 46
3 Larvik Turn 4 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 44
4 Sandefjord 4 Oct 3 – May 1 1 in 43
5 IF Odd 3 Oct 17 – May 4 1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Strommen 5 Jul 25 – Aug 22 1 in 280
2 Lillestrom 4 Oct 17 – May 15 1 in 36
3 Sarpsborg 08 3 Aug 22 – Oct 3 1 in 31
4 Ranheim 3 Aug 18 – Sep 12 1 in 11
5 Freidig 3 Jul 25 – Aug 15 1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 9 Aug 1 – May 4 1 in 43
2 Valerenga 6 Aug 1 – Oct 3 1 in 22
3 Sandefjord 6 Aug 22 – May 1 1 in 20
4 Larvik Turn 5 Jul 25 – Aug 22 1 in 9
5 Asker 4 Oct 3 – May 11 1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 13 Jul 25 – May 22 1 in 784
2 Freidig 9 Sep 12 – May 30 1 in 55
3 Valerenga 6 Aug 11 – Oct 17 1 in 26
4 Strommen 6 Jul 25 – Sep 12 1 in 25
5 Lillestrom 5 Oct 10 – May 15 1 in 15

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Larvik Turn26.65%18.98%14.40%12.40%9.37%8.37%5.97%3.86%
Fredrikstad27.89%18.36%14.92%12.61%9.19%7.31%5.91%3.81%
Skeid19.21%17.32%15.25%13.29%11.26%9.98%8.27%5.42%
Sandefjord11.55%13.24%13.66%12.88%13.73%13.54%11.56%9.84%
Asker14.23%14.68%14.97%14.19%12.55%11.35%10.34%7.69%
Viking13.43%13.85%13.30%13.99%13.01%12.12%11.30%9.00%
IF Odd11.55%12.75%12.98%12.90%13.23%13.08%12.32%11.19%
Valerenga6.35%8.83%11.24%11.08%13.41%14.25%16.42%18.42%
Brann8.31%10.77%11.61%12.59%13.41%14.05%14.35%14.91%
Lillestrom17.29%16.14%14.49%13.01%12.02%10.76%8.83%7.46%
Sarpsborg9.90%11.17%12.48%12.85%13.92%13.48%13.71%12.49%
Fram Larvik5.79%7.83%9.71%11.50%12.75%14.49%16.95%20.98%
Ranheim4.71%7.41%8.75%10.63%13.18%15.43%18.95%20.94%
Sarpsborg 089.39%11.47%11.75%12.32%12.98%13.94%13.92%14.23%
Strommen10.01%11.49%12.91%13.88%14.36%13.68%12.66%11.01%
Freidig3.74%5.71%7.58%9.88%11.63%14.17%18.54%28.75%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Larvik Turn 4
Fredrikstad 2

Sim: 396.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fredrikstad 62.4% 9.7%
Larvik Turn 63.5% 9.8%
Skeid 67.1% 13.7%
Lillestrom 66.4% 16.3%
Asker 67.7% 18.0%
Viking 66.3% 20.3%
Sandefjord 67.0% 21.4%
IF Odd 64.9% 23.5%
Strommen 66.3% 23.7%
Sarpsborg 63.9% 26.2%
Sarpsborg 08 62.5% 28.1%
Brann 62.4% 29.3%
Valerenga 58.8% 34.8%
Fram Larvik 56.3% 37.9%
Ranheim 55.4% 39.9%
Freidig 49.0% 47.3%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AskerBrannFram LarvikFredrikstadFreidigIF OddLarvik TurnLillestromRanheimSandefjordSarpsborgSarpsborg 08SkeidStrommenValerengaViking
Asker70.00%44.00%182.00%84.00%120.00%71.00%56.00%108.00%
Brann44.00%22.00%89.00%22.00%41.00%42.00%61.00%43.00%
Fram Larvik40.00%11.00%49.00%10.00%29.00%23.00%42.00%22.00%
Fredrikstad207.00%67.00%339.00%83.00%192.00%149.00%290.00%163.00%
Freidig11.00%12.00%36.00%17.00%26.00%12.00%11.00%22.00%
IF Odd75.00%25.00%130.00%30.00%53.00%62.00%110.00%60.00%
Larvik Turn128.00%109.00%396.00%169.00%285.00%160.00%115.00%197.00%
Lillestrom131.00%34.00%209.00%28.00%84.00%95.00%143.00%85.00%
Ranheim12.00%15.00%58.00%25.00%44.00%15.00%24.00%36.00%
Sandefjord57.00%31.00%138.00%77.00%105.00%67.00%54.00%70.00%
Sarpsborg43.00%34.00%99.00%54.00%78.00%53.00%40.00%73.00%
Sarpsborg 0855.00%25.00%109.00%25.00%46.00%43.00%78.00%46.00%
Skeid106.00%70.00%279.00%118.00%180.00%93.00%63.00%126.00%
Strommen40.00%38.00%111.00%66.00%82.00%41.00%33.00%76.00%
Valerenga36.00%9.00%59.00%15.00%22.00%17.00%51.00%30.00%
Viking100.00%34.00%122.00%29.00%89.00%85.00%111.00%65.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 51.0%
Larvik Turn 49.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadLarvik Turn
Fredrikstad51.00%
Larvik Turn49.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1954-07-25 Sandefjord L 1-2 1503 1491 56.4% 21.5% 22.1% -3.8 0
1954-07-25 @ Asker W 2-1 1491 1503 22.1% 21.5% 56.4% +3.8 3
1954-07-25 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1516 1491 57.9% 21.2% 21.0% -0.6 1
1954-07-25 @ Larvik Turn D 1-1 1491 1516 21.0% 21.2% 57.9% +0.6 1
1954-07-25 Brann W 6-2 1515 1471 60.0% 20.6% 19.4% +4.1 3
1954-07-25 @ Lillestrom L 2-6 1471 1515 19.4% 20.6% 60.0% -4.1 0
1954-07-25 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1495 1512 52.9% 22.1% 25.0% +2.0 3
1954-07-25 @ IF Odd L 0-1 1512 1495 25.0% 22.1% 52.9% -2.0 0
1954-07-25 Strommen W 3-2 1470 1503 50.9% 22.4% 26.7% +1.9 3
1954-07-25 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1503 1470 26.7% 22.4% 50.9% -1.9 0
1954-07-25 Fram Larvik L 3-4 1498 1444 61.1% 20.3% 18.6% -3.7 0
1954-07-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 4-3 1444 1498 18.6% 20.3% 61.1% +3.7 3
1954-07-25 Freidig W 1-0 1512 1472 59.5% 20.8% 19.8% +1.7 3
1954-07-25 @ Skeid L 0-1 1472 1512 19.8% 20.8% 59.5% -1.7 0
1954-07-25 Valerenga W 4-0 1494 1451 59.9% 20.6% 19.4% +5.8 3
1954-07-25 @ Viking L 0-4 1451 1494 19.4% 20.6% 59.9% -5.8 0
1954-08-01 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1467 1494 51.6% 22.3% 26.1% +2.0 3
1954-08-01 @ Brann L 1-2 1494 1467 26.1% 22.3% 51.6% -2.0 0
1954-08-01 Lillestrom L 2-4 1448 1519 45.8% 22.7% 31.5% -4.9 3
1954-08-01 @ Fram Larvik W 4-2 1519 1448 31.5% 22.7% 45.8% +4.9 6
1954-08-01 Viking W 5-1 1510 1500 56.0% 21.6% 22.4% +5.5 3
1954-08-01 @ Fredrikstad L 1-5 1500 1510 22.4% 21.6% 56.0% -5.5 3
1954-08-01 Asker L 0-4 1471 1499 51.3% 22.3% 26.4% -13.2 0
1954-08-01 @ Freidig W 4-0 1499 1471 26.4% 22.3% 51.3% +13.2 3
1954-08-01 Skeid W 4-2 1494 1513 52.6% 22.1% 25.3% +3.0 6
1954-08-01 @ Sandefjord L 2-4 1513 1494 25.3% 22.1% 52.6% -3.0 3
1954-08-01 Ranheim W 3-2 1492 1472 57.1% 21.3% 21.5% +1.6 4
1954-08-01 @ Sarpsborg L 2-3 1472 1492 21.5% 21.3% 57.1% -1.6 3
1954-08-01 Larvik Turn L 1-2 1501 1516 53.0% 22.1% 24.9% -3.6 0
1954-08-01 @ Strommen W 2-1 1516 1501 24.9% 22.1% 53.0% +3.6 4
1954-08-01 IF Odd W 5-0 1445 1497 48.4% 22.6% 29.1% +10.3 3
1954-08-01 @ Valerenga L 0-5 1497 1445 29.1% 22.6% 48.4% -10.3 3
1954-08-11 Lillestrom D 2-2 1455 1524 46.2% 22.7% 31.1% -0.2 4
1954-08-11 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1524 1455 31.1% 22.7% 46.2% +0.2 7
1954-08-12 Skeid L 0-1 1497 1510 53.3% 22.1% 24.7% -3.8 0
1954-08-12 @ Strommen W 1-0 1510 1497 24.7% 22.1% 53.3% +3.8 6
1954-08-15 Strommen W 2-1 1513 1493 57.2% 21.3% 21.5% +1.7 6
1954-08-15 @ Asker L 1-2 1493 1513 21.5% 21.3% 57.2% -1.7 0
1954-08-15 Freidig W 5-1 1519 1458 62.0% 20.0% 18.0% +4.5 7
1954-08-15 @ Larvik Turn L 1-5 1458 1519 18.0% 20.0% 62.0% -4.5 0
1954-08-15 Fredrikstad L 1-7 1524 1515 56.0% 21.6% 22.5% -17.2 7
1954-08-15 @ Lillestrom W 7-1 1515 1524 22.5% 21.6% 56.0% +17.2 6
1954-08-15 Brann D 1-1 1487 1469 57.0% 21.4% 21.7% -0.6 4
1954-08-15 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1469 1487 21.7% 21.4% 57.0% +0.6 4
1954-08-15 Sandefjord D 1-1 1471 1497 51.6% 22.3% 26.1% -0.4 4
1954-08-15 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1497 1471 26.1% 22.3% 51.6% +0.4 7
1954-08-15 Valerenga D 0-0 1492 1455 59.2% 20.8% 20.0% -0.7 1
1954-08-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1455 1492 20.0% 20.8% 59.2% +0.7 5
1954-08-15 Sarpsborg W 1-0 1514 1493 57.4% 21.3% 21.4% +1.8 9
1954-08-15 @ Skeid L 0-1 1493 1514 21.4% 21.3% 57.4% -1.8 4
1954-08-15 Fram Larvik L 1-3 1495 1443 60.9% 20.4% 18.8% -7.0 3
1954-08-15 @ Viking W 3-1 1443 1495 18.8% 20.4% 60.9% +7.0 6
1954-08-18 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1532 1491 59.7% 20.7% 19.6% -0.7 7
1954-08-18 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1491 1532 19.6% 20.7% 59.7% +0.7 2
1954-08-18 Ranheim W 1-0 1453 1470 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% +2.1 3
1954-08-18 @ Freidig L 0-1 1470 1453 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% -2.1 4
1954-08-18 Larvik Turn L 0-2 1498 1524 51.7% 22.3% 26.1% -7.0 7
1954-08-18 @ Sandefjord W 2-0 1524 1498 26.1% 22.3% 51.7% +7.0 10
1954-08-19 IF Odd W 3-1 1450 1486 50.3% 22.4% 27.3% +3.6 9
1954-08-19 @ Fram Larvik L 1-3 1486 1450 27.3% 22.4% 50.3% -3.6 4
1954-08-19 Asker W 3-1 1491 1514 52.0% 22.2% 25.7% +3.4 7
1954-08-19 @ Sarpsborg L 1-3 1514 1491 25.7% 22.2% 52.0% -3.4 6
1954-08-22 Fram Larvik W 3-1 1532 1453 63.8% 19.4% 16.8% +2.3 10
1954-08-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1453 1532 16.8% 19.4% 63.8% -2.3 9
1954-08-22 Asker W 3-0 1531 1511 57.2% 21.3% 21.5% +4.9 13
1954-08-22 @ Larvik Turn L 0-3 1511 1531 21.5% 21.3% 57.2% -4.9 6
1954-08-22 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1483 1492 53.8% 22.0% 24.2% +1.8 7
1954-08-22 @ IF Odd L 2-3 1492 1483 24.2% 22.0% 53.8% -1.8 2
1954-08-22 Skeid L 1-7 1468 1516 49.0% 22.5% 28.5% -15.3 4
1954-08-22 @ Ranheim W 7-1 1516 1468 28.5% 22.5% 49.0% +15.3 12
1954-08-22 Sandefjord D 1-1 1495 1491 55.4% 21.7% 22.9% -0.5 8
1954-08-22 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1491 1495 22.9% 21.7% 55.4% +0.5 8
1954-08-22 Freidig L 2-3 1492 1455 59.1% 20.8% 20.0% -3.7 0
1954-08-22 @ Strommen W 3-2 1455 1492 20.0% 20.8% 59.1% +3.7 6
1954-08-22 Brann D 0-0 1456 1470 53.2% 22.1% 24.8% -0.5 6
1954-08-22 @ Valerenga D 0-0 1470 1456 24.8% 22.1% 53.2% +0.5 5
1954-08-22 Lillestrom W 2-1 1488 1507 52.5% 22.2% 25.3% +2.0 6
1954-08-22 @ Viking L 1-2 1507 1488 25.3% 22.2% 52.5% -2.0 7
1954-09-12 Ranheim W 2-1 1506 1453 61.0% 20.3% 18.7% +1.5 9
1954-09-12 @ Asker L 1-2 1453 1506 18.7% 20.3% 61.0% -1.5 4
1954-09-12 Fredrikstad L 2-4 1470 1534 46.9% 22.6% 30.5% -5.0 5
1954-09-12 @ Brann W 4-2 1534 1470 30.5% 22.6% 46.9% +5.0 13
1954-09-12 Valerenga D 0-0 1451 1456 54.3% 21.9% 23.8% -0.6 10
1954-09-12 @ Fram Larvik D 0-0 1456 1451 23.8% 21.9% 54.3% +0.5 7
1954-09-12 Sarpsborg L 2-5 1459 1494 50.5% 22.4% 27.1% -7.3 6
1954-09-12 @ Freidig W 5-2 1494 1459 27.1% 22.4% 50.5% +7.3 11
1954-09-12 IF Odd W 4-1 1505 1485 57.3% 21.3% 21.4% +4.1 10
1954-09-12 @ Lillestrom L 1-4 1485 1505 21.4% 21.3% 57.3% -4.1 7
1954-09-12 Strommen D 1-1 1491 1488 55.3% 21.7% 23.0% -0.5 9
1954-09-12 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1488 1491 23.0% 21.7% 55.3% +0.5 1
1954-09-12 Viking L 1-2 1490 1490 54.9% 21.8% 23.3% -3.7 2
1954-09-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1490 1490 23.3% 21.8% 54.9% +3.7 9
1954-09-12 Larvik Turn W 4-2 1531 1536 54.3% 21.9% 23.8% +2.9 15
1954-09-12 @ Skeid L 2-4 1536 1531 23.8% 21.9% 54.3% -2.9 13
1954-09-26 Asker W 1-0 1452 1508 47.9% 22.6% 29.5% +2.4 7
1954-09-26 @ Ranheim L 0-1 1508 1452 29.5% 22.6% 47.9% -2.4 9
1954-10-03 Skeid W 1-0 1505 1534 51.3% 22.3% 26.4% +2.1 12
1954-10-03 @ Asker L 0-1 1534 1505 26.4% 22.3% 51.3% -2.2 15
1954-10-03 Larvik Turn L 3-4 1454 1533 44.8% 22.7% 32.5% -2.9 7
1954-10-03 @ Ranheim W 4-3 1533 1454 32.5% 22.7% 44.8% +2.9 16
1954-10-03 Freidig W 2-1 1491 1452 59.5% 20.8% 19.8% +1.5 12
1954-10-03 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1452 1491 19.8% 20.8% 59.5% -1.5 6
1954-10-03 Lillestrom L 1-3 1486 1509 52.1% 22.2% 25.7% -6.1 2
1954-10-03 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1509 1486 25.7% 22.2% 52.1% +6.1 13
1954-10-03 Sarpsborg W 6-0 1488 1502 53.3% 22.1% 24.7% +10.6 4
1954-10-03 @ Strommen L 0-6 1502 1488 24.7% 22.1% 53.3% -10.6 11
1954-10-03 Fredrikstad D 3-3 1456 1539 44.3% 22.7% 33.0% -0.1 8
1954-10-03 @ Valerenga D 3-3 1539 1456 33.0% 22.7% 44.3% +0.1 14
1954-10-03 IF Odd L 1-3 1493 1481 56.4% 21.5% 22.1% -6.5 9
1954-10-03 @ Viking W 3-1 1481 1493 22.1% 21.5% 56.4% +6.5 10
1954-10-10 Fram Larvik W 2-1 1465 1451 56.6% 21.4% 21.9% +1.7 8
1954-10-10 @ Brann L 1-2 1451 1465 21.9% 21.4% 56.6% -1.7 10
1954-10-10 Sandefjord L 2-3 1450 1492 49.6% 22.5% 27.9% -3.2 6
1954-10-10 @ Freidig W 3-2 1492 1450 27.9% 22.5% 49.6% +3.2 15
1954-10-10 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1515 1480 59.0% 20.9% 20.1% -0.7 14
1954-10-10 @ Lillestrom D 0-0 1480 1515 20.1% 20.9% 59.0% +0.7 3
1954-10-10 Viking L 1-3 1487 1487 54.9% 21.8% 23.3% -6.4 10
1954-10-10 @ IF Odd W 3-1 1487 1487 23.3% 21.8% 54.9% +6.4 12
1954-10-17 Brann D 1-1 1539 1467 63.1% 19.7% 17.3% -0.8 15
1954-10-17 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1467 1539 17.3% 19.7% 63.1% +0.8 9
1954-10-17 Lillestrom W 2-0 1481 1514 50.7% 22.4% 26.9% +4.1 13
1954-10-17 @ IF Odd L 0-2 1514 1481 26.9% 22.4% 50.7% -4.1 14
1954-10-17 Freidig D 0-0 1491 1447 60.0% 20.6% 19.4% -0.8 12
1954-10-17 @ Sarpsborg D 0-0 1447 1491 19.4% 20.6% 60.0% +0.8 7
1954-10-17 Sandefjord L 1-4 1499 1496 55.3% 21.7% 23.0% -9.1 4
1954-10-17 @ Strommen W 4-1 1496 1499 23.0% 21.7% 55.3% +9.1 18
1954-10-17 Fram Larvik L 0-2 1456 1449 55.7% 21.6% 22.7% -7.5 8
1954-10-17 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1449 1456 22.7% 21.6% 55.7% +7.5 13
1954-10-17 Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1493 1481 56.3% 21.5% 22.2% -0.4 13
1954-10-17 @ Viking D 2-2 1481 1493 22.2% 21.5% 56.3% +0.4 4
1954-10-24 Viking D 1-1 1468 1493 51.8% 22.2% 25.9% -0.4 10
1954-10-24 @ Brann D 1-1 1493 1468 25.9% 22.2% 51.8% +0.4 14
1954-10-24 Ranheim W 1-0 1536 1451 64.4% 19.2% 16.4% +1.4 19
1954-10-24 @ Larvik Turn L 0-1 1451 1536 16.4% 19.2% 64.4% -1.4 7
1955-05-01 IF Odd L 0-1 1468 1485 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% -3.8 10
1955-05-01 @ Brann W 1-0 1485 1468 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% +3.8 16
1955-05-01 Viking W 2-0 1456 1493 50.3% 22.4% 27.3% +4.2 16
1955-05-01 @ Fram Larvik L 0-2 1493 1456 27.3% 22.4% 50.3% -4.2 14
1955-05-01 Lillestrom W 6-3 1538 1510 58.1% 21.1% 20.8% +3.2 18
1955-05-01 @ Fredrikstad L 3-6 1510 1538 20.8% 21.1% 58.1% -3.2 14
1955-05-01 Ranheim W 1-0 1505 1450 61.2% 20.3% 18.5% +1.5 21
1955-05-01 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1450 1505 18.5% 20.3% 61.2% -1.5 7
1955-05-01 Skeid W 5-3 1490 1532 49.7% 22.5% 27.8% +3.1 15
1955-05-01 @ Sarpsborg L 3-5 1532 1490 27.8% 22.5% 49.7% -3.1 15
1955-05-01 Asker D 2-2 1490 1507 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% -0.3 5
1955-05-01 @ Strommen D 2-2 1507 1490 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% +0.3 13
1955-05-01 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1448 1481 50.8% 22.4% 26.8% +1.9 11
1955-05-01 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1481 1448 26.8% 22.4% 50.8% -1.9 4
1955-05-04 Sarpsborg W 5-2 1508 1493 56.6% 21.4% 22.0% +3.6 16
1955-05-04 @ Asker L 2-5 1493 1508 22.0% 21.4% 56.6% -3.6 15
1955-05-04 Sandefjord W 5-0 1537 1506 58.5% 21.0% 20.5% +7.5 22
1955-05-04 @ Larvik Turn L 0-5 1506 1537 20.5% 21.0% 58.5% -7.5 21
1955-05-04 Valerenga L 0-2 1507 1450 61.4% 20.2% 18.4% -8.1 14
1955-05-04 @ Lillestrom W 2-0 1450 1507 18.4% 20.2% 61.4% +8.1 14
1955-05-04 Fram Larvik W 3-0 1489 1460 58.2% 21.1% 20.7% +4.7 19
1955-05-04 @ IF Odd L 0-3 1460 1489 20.7% 21.1% 58.2% -4.7 16
1955-05-04 Fredrikstad D 3-3 1479 1541 47.1% 22.6% 30.3% -0.2 5
1955-05-04 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 3-3 1541 1479 30.3% 22.6% 47.1% +0.2 19
1955-05-08 Brann L 0-2 1456 1464 53.9% 21.9% 24.1% -7.3 16
1955-05-08 @ Fram Larvik W 2-0 1464 1456 24.1% 21.9% 53.9% +7.2 13
1955-05-08 Strommen D 1-1 1490 1490 54.9% 21.8% 23.3% -0.5 16
1955-05-08 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1490 1490 23.3% 21.8% 54.9% +0.5 6
1955-05-11 Valerenga L 2-4 1542 1459 64.3% 19.2% 16.5% -6.5 19
1955-05-11 @ Fredrikstad W 4-2 1459 1542 16.5% 19.2% 64.3% +6.5 17
1955-05-11 Asker D 2-2 1529 1511 56.9% 21.4% 21.7% -0.4 16
1955-05-11 @ Skeid D 2-2 1511 1529 21.7% 21.4% 56.9% +0.4 17
1955-05-15 Lillestrom W 2-0 1471 1499 51.4% 22.3% 26.3% +4.0 16
1955-05-15 @ Brann L 0-2 1499 1471 26.3% 22.3% 51.4% -4.0 14
1955-05-15 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1448 1479 51.1% 22.3% 26.6% +2.2 19
1955-05-15 @ Fram Larvik L 0-1 1479 1448 26.6% 22.3% 51.1% -2.2 5
1955-05-15 IF Odd W 4-1 1535 1493 59.7% 20.7% 19.6% +3.8 22
1955-05-15 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1493 1535 19.6% 20.7% 59.7% -3.8 19
1955-05-15 Skeid L 1-3 1448 1528 44.6% 22.7% 32.7% -5.3 7
1955-05-15 @ Freidig W 3-1 1528 1448 32.7% 22.7% 44.6% +5.3 19
1955-05-15 Asker W 3-1 1499 1512 53.3% 22.1% 24.7% +3.3 24
1955-05-15 @ Sandefjord L 1-3 1512 1499 24.7% 22.1% 53.3% -3.3 17
1955-05-15 Larvik Turn W 3-2 1489 1544 47.9% 22.6% 29.5% +2.1 19
1955-05-15 @ Sarpsborg L 2-3 1544 1489 29.5% 22.6% 47.9% -2.1 22
1955-05-15 Ranheim L 1-2 1490 1448 59.8% 20.7% 19.6% -4.0 6
1955-05-15 @ Strommen W 2-1 1448 1490 19.6% 20.7% 59.8% +4.0 10
1955-05-15 Viking L 1-2 1465 1489 51.9% 22.2% 25.8% -3.5 17
1955-05-15 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1489 1465 25.8% 22.2% 51.9% +3.5 17
1955-05-19 Larvik Turn L 1-7 1442 1542 41.9% 22.7% 35.4% -13.4 7
1955-05-19 @ Freidig W 7-1 1542 1442 35.4% 22.7% 41.9% +13.4 25
1955-05-19 Strommen W 3-2 1534 1486 60.4% 20.5% 19.1% +1.4 22
1955-05-19 @ Skeid L 2-3 1486 1534 19.1% 20.5% 60.4% -1.4 6
1955-05-19 Brann W 3-2 1493 1475 57.0% 21.4% 21.7% +1.6 20
1955-05-19 @ Viking L 2-3 1475 1493 21.7% 21.4% 57.0% -1.6 16
1955-05-22 Freidig W 5-0 1508 1429 63.9% 19.4% 16.7% +6.1 20
1955-05-22 @ Asker L 0-5 1429 1508 16.7% 19.4% 63.9% -6.1 7
1955-05-22 Valerenga W 3-1 1473 1462 56.3% 21.5% 22.2% +3.0 19
1955-05-22 @ Brann L 1-3 1462 1473 22.2% 21.5% 56.3% -3.0 17
1955-05-22 Strommen W 3-1 1556 1485 63.0% 19.7% 17.3% +2.3 28
1955-05-22 @ Larvik Turn L 1-3 1485 1556 17.3% 19.7% 63.0% -2.4 6
1955-05-22 Fram Larvik W 2-1 1495 1451 60.0% 20.6% 19.4% +1.5 17
1955-05-22 @ Lillestrom L 1-2 1451 1495 19.4% 20.6% 60.0% -1.5 19
1955-05-22 Sarpsborg W 5-1 1452 1491 50.0% 22.4% 27.5% +6.6 13
1955-05-22 @ Ranheim L 1-5 1491 1452 27.5% 22.4% 50.0% -6.6 19
1955-05-22 IF Odd D 1-1 1477 1490 53.3% 22.0% 24.6% -0.5 6
1955-05-22 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1490 1477 24.6% 22.0% 53.3% +0.5 20
1955-05-22 Sandefjord W 3-1 1535 1502 58.8% 20.9% 20.3% +2.8 25
1955-05-22 @ Skeid L 1-3 1502 1535 20.3% 20.9% 58.8% -2.8 24
1955-05-22 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1494 1539 49.3% 22.5% 28.2% -0.3 21
1955-05-22 @ Viking D 1-1 1539 1494 28.2% 22.5% 49.3% +0.3 23
1955-05-25 Skeid W 3-0 1558 1538 57.3% 21.3% 21.4% +4.9 31
1955-05-25 @ Larvik Turn L 0-3 1538 1558 21.4% 21.3% 57.3% -4.9 25
1955-05-25 Freidig D 1-1 1459 1423 59.1% 20.9% 20.1% -0.6 14
1955-05-25 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1423 1459 20.1% 20.9% 59.1% +0.6 8
1955-05-30 Larvik Turn W 1-0 1514 1563 48.8% 22.5% 28.6% +2.3 23
1955-05-30 @ Asker L 0-1 1563 1514 28.6% 22.5% 48.8% -2.3 31
1955-05-30 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1449 1539 43.3% 22.7% 34.0% -5.2 19
1955-05-30 @ Fram Larvik W 3-1 1539 1449 34.0% 22.7% 43.3% +5.2 26
1955-05-30 Strommen L 0-1 1423 1482 47.4% 22.6% 29.9% -3.4 8
1955-05-30 @ Freidig W 1-0 1482 1423 29.9% 22.6% 47.4% +3.5 9
1955-05-30 Viking W 1-0 1497 1494 55.2% 21.7% 23.1% +1.9 20
1955-05-30 @ Lillestrom L 0-1 1494 1497 23.1% 21.7% 55.2% -1.9 21
1955-05-30 Valerenga D 1-1 1490 1459 58.6% 21.0% 20.4% -0.6 21
1955-05-30 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1459 1490 20.4% 21.0% 58.6% +0.6 18
1955-05-30 Sarpsborg W 3-2 1499 1485 56.6% 21.4% 21.9% +1.6 27
1955-05-30 @ Sandefjord L 2-3 1485 1499 21.9% 21.4% 56.6% -1.6 19
1955-05-30 Brann W 4-3 1477 1476 54.9% 21.8% 23.3% +1.7 9
1955-05-30 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 3-4 1476 1477 23.3% 21.8% 54.9% -1.7 19
1955-05-30 Ranheim W 4-0 1533 1458 63.4% 19.6% 17.1% +5.1 28
1955-05-30 @ Skeid L 0-4 1458 1533 17.1% 19.6% 63.4% -5.1 14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1955-06-05 Fredrikstad W 4-2 1561 1544 56.8% 21.4% 21.8% +2.6 1-0
1955-06-05 @ Larvik Turn L 2-4 1544 1561 21.8% 21.4% 56.8% -2.6 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1955-05-11 16.48% Valerenga 1459 4 @ Fredrikstad 1542 2
2 1955-05-04 18.38% Valerenga 1450 2 @ Lillestrom 1507 0
3 1954-07-25 18.63% Fram Larvik 1444 4 @ Sarpsborg 08 1498 3
4 1954-08-15 18.76% Fram Larvik 1443 3 @ Viking 1495 1
5 1955-05-15 19.56% Ranheim 1448 2 @ Strommen 1490 1
6 1954-08-22 20.01% Freidig 1455 3 @ Strommen 1492 2
7 1954-07-25 22.12% Sandefjord 1491 2 @ Asker 1503 1
8 1954-10-03 22.12% IF Odd 1481 3 @ Viking 1493 1
9 1954-08-15 22.47% Fredrikstad 1515 7 @ Lillestrom 1524 1
10 1954-10-17 22.65% Fram Larvik 1449 2 @ Valerenga 1456 0
11 1954-10-17 23.00% Sandefjord 1496 4 @ Strommen 1499 1
12 1954-09-12 23.31% Viking 1490 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1490 1
13 1954-10-10 23.31% Viking 1487 3 @ IF Odd 1487 1
14 1955-05-08 24.15% Brann 1464 2 @ Fram Larvik 1456 0
15 1954-08-12 24.68% Skeid 1510 1 @ Strommen 1497 0
16 1954-08-01 24.88% Larvik Turn 1516 2 @ Strommen 1501 1
17 1955-05-01 25.12% IF Odd 1485 1 @ Brann 1468 0
18 1954-10-03 25.71% Lillestrom 1509 3 @ Sarpsborg 08 1486 1
19 1955-05-15 25.83% Viking 1489 2 @ Valerenga 1465 1
20 1954-08-18 26.05% Larvik Turn 1524 2 @ Sandefjord 1498 0
21 1954-08-01 26.36% Asker 1499 4 @ Freidig 1471 0
22 1954-09-12 27.11% Sarpsborg 1494 5 @ Freidig 1459 2
23 1954-10-10 27.91% Sandefjord 1492 3 @ Freidig 1450 2
24 1954-08-22 28.51% Skeid 1516 7 @ Ranheim 1468 1
25 1955-05-30 29.93% Strommen 1482 1 @ Freidig 1423 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-08-15 17.17 Fredrikstad 7 1515 22.47% @ Lillestrom 1 1524 55.95%
2 1954-08-22 15.30 Skeid 7 1516 28.51% @ Ranheim 1 1468 48.96%
3 1955-05-19 13.43 Larvik Turn 7 1542 35.40% @ Freidig 1 1442 41.95%
4 1954-08-01 13.20 Asker 4 1499 26.36% @ Freidig 0 1471 51.33%
5 1954-10-03 10.59 @ Strommen 6 1488 53.28% Sarpsborg 0 1502 24.68%
6 1954-08-01 10.26 @ Valerenga 5 1445 48.35% IF Odd 0 1497 29.08%
7 1954-10-17 9.09 Sandefjord 4 1496 23.00% @ Strommen 1 1499 55.29%
8 1955-05-04 8.12 Valerenga 2 1450 18.38% @ Lillestrom 0 1507 61.42%
9 1955-05-04 7.50 @ Larvik Turn 5 1537 58.49% Sandefjord 0 1506 20.50%
10 1954-10-17 7.47 Fram Larvik 2 1449 22.65% @ Valerenga 0 1456 55.72%
11 1954-09-12 7.27 Sarpsborg 5 1494 27.11% @ Freidig 2 1459 50.50%
12 1955-05-08 7.26 Brann 2 1464 24.15% @ Fram Larvik 0 1456 53.90%
13 1954-08-18 7.00 Larvik Turn 2 1524 26.05% @ Sandefjord 0 1498 51.68%
14 1954-08-15 6.98 Fram Larvik 3 1443 18.76% @ Viking 1 1495 60.88%
15 1955-05-22 6.63 @ Ranheim 5 1452 50.03% Sarpsborg 1 1491 27.53%
16 1954-10-03 6.54 IF Odd 3 1481 22.12% @ Viking 1 1493 56.39%
17 1955-05-11 6.53 Valerenga 4 1459 16.48% @ Fredrikstad 2 1542 64.27%
18 1954-10-10 6.39 Viking 3 1487 23.31% @ IF Odd 1 1487 54.91%
19 1954-10-03 6.10 Lillestrom 3 1509 25.71% @ Sarpsborg 08 1 1486 52.08%
20 1955-05-22 6.10 @ Asker 5 1508 63.91% Freidig 0 1429 16.72%
21 1954-07-25 5.78 @ Viking 4 1494 59.93% Valerenga 0 1451 19.44%
22 1954-08-01 5.53 @ Fredrikstad 5 1510 55.99% Viking 1 1500 22.44%
23 1955-05-15 5.34 Skeid 3 1528 32.73% @ Freidig 1 1448 44.58%
24 1955-05-30 5.22 Fredrikstad 3 1539 33.99% @ Fram Larvik 1 1449 43.33%
25 1955-05-30 5.06 @ Skeid 4 1533 63.39% Ranheim 0 1458 17.05%