1958-59 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Eik Tonsberg

4.93 points above expected

18 points · 13.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kapp

4.93 points below expected

6 points · 10.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	14	8	6	0	22	34	14	+20	17.7	+4.33
2	Lillestrom	14	9	1	4	19	36	25	+11	14.3	+4.74
3	Eik Tonsberg	14	7	4	3	18	26	15	+11	13.1	+4.93
4	Viking	14	7	3	4	17	25	17	+8	15.6	+1.45
5	Larvik Turn	14	5	6	3	16	38	25	+13	14.9	+1.05
6	Strommen	14	5	6	3	16	27	20	+7	15.2	+0.80
7	Skeid	14	6	3	5	15	28	18	+10	16.2	-1.17
8	Raufoss	14	5	5	4	15	24	19	+5	12.1	+2.90
9	IF Odd	14	5	3	6	13	23	29	-6	12.7	+0.27
10	Sandefjord	14	4	4	6	12	19	21	-2	12.9	-0.86
11	Freidig	14	5	2	7	12	34	38	-4	15.7	-3.66
12	Brann	14	5	2	7	12	21	27	-6	13.0	-1.00
13	Greaker	14	4	4	6	12	19	25	-6	13.2	-1.17
14	Asker	14	3	5	6	11	18	19	-1	13.8	-2.77
15	Arstad	14	3	2	9	8	12	36	-24	12.9	-4.92
16	Kapp	14	2	2	10	6	19	55	-36	10.9	-4.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Lillestrom 6

Fredrikstad 3

Leg 1: Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad

Leg 2: Lillestrom 4-1 Fredrikstad

Sim: 192.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Fredrikstad	1281	22	17.67	+4.33	95.4%	5	13	16	18	20	22	28
Skeid	1223	15	16.17	-1.17	40.6%	5	11	14	16	18	21	27
Strommen	1218	16	15.20	+0.80	66.6%	4	10	13	15	17	20	26
Larvik Turn	1213	16	14.95	+1.05	69.5%	5	10	13	15	17	20	27
Viking	1204	17	15.55	+1.45	74.1%	5	11	14	16	18	20	25
Freidig	1202	12	15.66	-3.66	14.9%	5	11	14	16	18	21	25
Lillestrom	1191	19	14.26	+4.74	96.1%	3	9	12	14	16	19	25
Eik Tonsberg	1176	18	13.07	+4.93	96.5%	4	8	11	13	15	18	24
Raufoss	1175	15	12.10	+2.90	87.3%	2	7	10	12	14	17	24
Asker	1165	11	13.77	-2.77	23.0%	2	9	12	14	16	19	24
IF Odd	1152	13	12.73	+0.27	60.3%	2	8	11	13	15	18	24
Brann	1136	12	13.00	-1.00	43.7%	3	8	11	13	15	18	23
Sandefjord	1132	12	12.86	-0.86	45.0%	3	8	11	13	15	18	25
Greaker	1118	12	13.17	-1.17	41.4%	3	8	11	13	15	18	24
Arstad	1071	8	12.92	-4.92	6.8%	1	8	11	13	15	18	24
Kapp	1044	6	10.93	-4.93	6.1%	1	6	9	11	13	16	21

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARS	ASK	BRA	ET	FRE	FRE	GRE	IO	KAP	LT	LIL	RAU	SAN	SKE	STR	VIK
Arstad	—	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.02	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.18
Asker	1-1-0 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.85	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.33
Brann	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.62	—	0-0-2 2.64	0-0-2 1.82	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.55	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.25
Eik Tonsberg	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 2.76	—	0-1-1 1.86	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.21
Fredrikstad	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.59	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 3.65	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.67	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.24
Freidig	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 3.45	0-2-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.96	1-0-1 3.25	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-0 0.00
Greaker	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.87	0-1-1 2.70	0-2-0 1.80	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.28
IF Odd	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-0 0.00	—	2-0-0 3.11	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.48	1-1-0 2.79	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 1.99	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-0 0.00
Kapp	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.29	—	0-0-2 2.01	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 1.73	0-2-0 2.07	0-0-0 0.00
Larvik Turn	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.60	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.45	—	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 3.23	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.51	0-0-0 0.00
Lillestrom	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.46	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.73	1-0-1 2.55	—	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.22	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-0 0.00
Raufoss	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.18	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.19	1-0-1 2.32	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 1.85	0-2-0 2.17	0-0-0 0.00
Sandefjord	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.50	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 1.81	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.17
Skeid	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.59	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.46	2-0-0 3.73	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 3.21	0-1-1 3.59	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-2 2.92	0-0-0 0.00
Strommen	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.18	0-2-0 3.39	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.00	0-2-0 3.25	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.50	—	0-0-0 0.00
Viking	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.09	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-1 3.23	0-1-1 2.18	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.15	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.25	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	4.02%	4.46%	3.57%	2.68%	2.23%	23.21%
1	4.02%	12.50%	4.91%	4.46%	1.34%	3.57%	30.80%
2	4.46%	4.91%	4.46%	1.34%	2.23%	1.34%	18.75%
3	3.57%	4.46%	1.34%	2.68%	—	0.89%	12.95%
4	2.68%	1.34%	2.23%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	2.23%	3.57%	1.34%	0.89%	—	—	8.04%
Total	23.21%	30.80%	18.75%	12.95%	6.25%	8.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.146
Sample size (games)	112

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	50.00%
1	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
2	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Arstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.86
Mean allowed	2.57
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.692
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
1	—	21.43%	—	21.43%	—	—	42.86%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.101
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%
1	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	21.43%	35.71%	—	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.413
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
2	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	42.86%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Eik Tonsberg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.86
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.543
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	14.29%	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	42.86%
4	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.71%	42.86%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.068
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%	—	21.43%
1	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
2	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	7.14%	100%

Freidig — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	2.71
StdDev scored	2.21
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	5.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
1	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
2	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
3	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Greaker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.148
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	28.57%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	—	7.14%	21.43%	100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	2.09
Mean total goals/game	3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.204
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%	50.00%
2	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	—	42.86%	100%

Kapp — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	3.93
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	3.05
Mean total goals/game	5.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.120
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%
2	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.71
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	2.84
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.079
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%	28.57%
3	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	21.43%	42.86%	14.29%	—	—	21.43%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.57
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	2.03
StdDev allowed	1.85
Mean total goals/game	4.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.088
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	28.57%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	50.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	21.43%	—	—	7.14%	100%

Raufoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.111
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
1	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
2	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	42.86%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.341
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	—	42.86%
1	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	2.18
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.433
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
Total	21.43%	35.71%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.140
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	57.14%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.21
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.033
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Eik Tonsberg	18	13.1	+4.93
2	Lillestrom	19	14.3	+4.74
3	Fredrikstad	22	17.7	+4.33
4	Raufoss	15	12.1	+2.90
5	Viking	17	15.6	+1.45

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kapp	6	10.9	-4.93
2	Arstad	8	12.9	-4.92
3	Freidig	12	15.7	-3.66
4	Asker	11	13.8	-2.77
5	Skeid	15	16.2	-1.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	4	Aug 3 – Aug 24	1 in 44
2	Lillestrom	3	Jul 30 – Aug 17	1 in 27
3	Skeid	3	Jul 30 – Aug 17	1 in 24
4	IF Odd	2	May 3 – May 6	1 in 16
5	Brann	2	Jul 30 – Aug 3	1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapp	6	Aug 24 – May 3	1 in 118
2	Asker	4	Aug 17 – Sep 7	1 in 60
3	Brann	4	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 26
4	Skeid	2	Sep 7 – Sep 28	1 in 20
5	Freidig	3	Oct 5 – May 3	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fredrikstad	14	Jul 30 – Jun 7	1 in 42
2	Eik Tonsberg	7	Aug 24 – May 6	1 in 33
3	Lillestrom	6	Jul 30 – Sep 28	1 in 24
4	Asker	6	Oct 12 – May 31	1 in 23
5	Sandefjord	5	May 6 – Jun 7	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapp	12	Aug 3 – May 31	1 in 26
2	Skeid	5	May 6 – Jun 7	1 in 21
3	Asker	6	Aug 17 – Oct 5	1 in 18
4	Greaker	6	Oct 12 – May 31	1 in 11
5	Larvik Turn	5	Jul 30 – Sep 7	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Fredrikstad	52.14%	20.51%	11.06%	6.95%	4.43%	2.86%	1.38%	0.67%
Lillestrom	11.88%	13.57%	15.62%	14.61%	14.23%	12.79%	10.72%	6.58%
Eik Tonsberg	5.65%	10.57%	13.17%	14.00%	14.42%	14.61%	14.28%	13.30%
Viking	18.73%	23.19%	18.31%	13.10%	10.35%	7.50%	5.41%	3.41%
Larvik Turn	16.86%	16.98%	15.73%	14.67%	13.10%	10.88%	7.26%	4.52%
Strommen	16.97%	17.30%	16.49%	14.90%	12.88%	10.66%	6.74%	4.06%
Skeid	26.92%	21.44%	15.91%	13.04%	10.00%	6.68%	3.90%	2.11%
Raufoss	3.26%	5.31%	7.65%	10.59%	13.77%	17.39%	21.53%	20.50%
IF Odd	3.95%	6.44%	8.79%	11.47%	14.85%	17.66%	20.03%	16.81%
Sandefjord	4.12%	8.53%	10.62%	13.41%	14.61%	15.02%	16.00%	17.69%
Freidig	19.06%	17.07%	16.48%	15.05%	12.29%	9.64%	6.79%	3.62%
Brann	4.41%	8.75%	10.86%	13.06%	13.67%	15.67%	15.93%	17.65%
Greaker	4.37%	8.74%	11.63%	13.58%	14.30%	15.64%	16.40%	15.34%
Asker	6.96%	12.32%	14.47%	14.63%	14.05%	13.73%	12.81%	11.03%
Arstad	3.62%	7.39%	9.88%	11.27%	14.17%	14.97%	17.79%	20.91%
Kapp	1.10%	1.89%	3.33%	5.67%	8.88%	14.30%	23.03%	41.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Lillestrom 6

Fredrikstad 3

Leg 1: Lillestrom 2-2 Fredrikstad

Leg 2: Lillestrom 4-1 Fredrikstad

Sim: 192.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fredrikstad	45.8%	2.1%
Skeid	67.1%	6.0%
Viking	72.5%	8.8%
Freidig	70.5%	10.4%
Strommen	72.2%	10.8%
Larvik Turn	71.4%	11.8%
Lillestrom	70.8%	17.3%
Asker	69.2%	23.8%
Eik Tonsberg	66.8%	27.6%
Greaker	63.9%	31.7%
Brann	62.0%	33.6%
Sandefjord	62.2%	33.7%
IF Odd	59.2%	36.8%
Arstad	57.7%	38.7%
Raufoss	54.7%	42.0%
Kapp	34.1%	64.8%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arstad	Asker	Brann	Eik Tonsberg	Fredrikstad	Freidig	Greaker	IF Odd	Kapp	Larvik Turn	Lillestrom	Raufoss	Sandefjord	Skeid	Strommen	Viking
Arstad						21.00%		5.00%	1.00%	17.00%	18.00%	4.00%		27.00%	20.00%
Asker						65.00%		12.00%	6.00%	51.00%	45.00%	8.00%		72.00%	55.00%
Brann						35.00%		12.00%	2.00%	36.00%	18.00%	3.00%		36.00%	33.00%
Eik Tonsberg						62.00%		7.00%	7.00%	40.00%	28.00%	10.00%		74.00%	40.00%
Fredrikstad						610.00%		153.00%	46.00%	562.00%	444.00%	104.00%		864.00%	544.00%
Freidig	48.00%	74.00%	63.00%	52.00%	359.00%		55.00%						49.00%			185.00%
Greaker						28.00%		6.00%	5.00%	29.00%	19.00%	7.00%		36.00%	24.00%
IF Odd	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	61.00%		10.00%						14.00%			31.00%
Kapp	2.00%	2.00%		1.00%	10.00%		4.00%						3.00%			6.00%
Larvik Turn	53.00%	57.00%	45.00%	53.00%	317.00%		56.00%						40.00%			141.00%
Lillestrom	23.00%	43.00%	16.00%	38.00%	192.00%		32.00%						21.00%			100.00%
Raufoss	9.00%	16.00%	5.00%	9.00%	66.00%		7.00%						3.00%			26.00%
Sandefjord						34.00%		5.00%		24.00%	24.00%	8.00%		38.00%	22.00%
Skeid	67.00%	121.00%	80.00%	83.00%	530.00%		80.00%						74.00%			275.00%
Strommen	37.00%	62.00%	47.00%	52.00%	352.00%		39.00%						53.00%			174.00%
Viking						166.00%		43.00%	15.00%	165.00%	127.00%	41.00%		235.00%	143.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Finals
Fredrikstad	82.0%
Lillestrom	18.0%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Fredrikstad	Lillestrom
Fredrikstad		82.00%
Lillestrom	18.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1958-07-30	Brann	L 2-3	1175	1146	49.2%	29.1%	21.6%	-7.0	0
1958-07-30	@ Arstad	W 3-2	1146	1175	21.6%	29.1%	49.2%	+7.0	3
1958-07-30	Greaker	D 3-3	1225	1150	54.7%	27.7%	17.6%	-0.8	1
1958-07-30	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1150	1225	17.6%	27.7%	54.7%	+0.8	1
1958-07-30	Skeid	L 1-4	1249	1211	50.3%	28.9%	20.8%	-18.3	0
1958-07-30	@ Freidig	W 4-1	1211	1249	20.8%	28.9%	50.3%	+18.3	3
1958-07-30	Raufoss	W 1-0	1150	1131	48.0%	29.4%	22.6%	+4.3	3
1958-07-30	@ Kapp	L 0-1	1131	1150	22.6%	29.4%	48.0%	-4.3	0
1958-07-30	Strommen	W 2-0	1131	1192	37.6%	30.2%	32.3%	+10.7	3
1958-07-30	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1192	1131	32.3%	30.2%	37.6%	-10.7	0
1958-07-30	Larvik Turn	D 0-0	1155	1184	41.9%	30.1%	28.1%	-0.5	1
1958-07-30	@ IF Odd	D 0-0	1184	1155	28.1%	30.1%	41.9%	+0.5	1
1958-07-30	Eik Tonsberg	L 0-2	1145	1116	49.2%	29.1%	21.7%	-14.7	0
1958-07-30	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1116	1145	21.7%	29.1%	49.2%	+14.7	3
1958-08-03	Greaker	W 2-1	1153	1150	46.0%	29.7%	24.3%	+4.3	6
1958-08-03	@ Brann	L 1-2	1150	1153	24.3%	29.7%	46.0%	-4.3	1
1958-08-03	Asker	L 0-3	1131	1159	42.0%	30.1%	27.9%	-18.8	3
1958-08-03	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 3-0	1159	1131	27.9%	30.1%	42.0%	+18.8	3
1958-08-03	Arstad	W 3-1	1224	1168	52.4%	28.4%	19.2%	+6.1	4
1958-08-03	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1168	1224	19.2%	28.4%	52.4%	-6.1	0
1958-08-03	Lillestrom	L 2-4	1185	1141	51.0%	28.7%	20.3%	-11.7	1
1958-08-03	@ Larvik Turn	W 4-2	1141	1185	20.3%	28.7%	51.0%	+11.7	6
1958-08-03	IF Odd	D 1-1	1126	1154	42.0%	30.1%	27.9%	-0.5	1
1958-08-03	@ Raufoss	D 1-1	1154	1126	27.9%	30.1%	42.0%	+0.5	2
1958-08-03	Kapp	W 6-1	1229	1154	54.7%	27.7%	17.6%	+12.7	6
1958-08-03	@ Skeid	L 1-6	1154	1229	17.6%	27.7%	54.7%	-12.7	3
1958-08-03	Freidig	W 6-3	1181	1231	39.1%	30.2%	30.7%	+10.1	3
1958-08-03	@ Strommen	L 3-6	1231	1181	30.7%	30.2%	39.1%	-10.1	0
1958-08-03	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1184	1130	52.2%	28.4%	19.3%	+6.2	3
1958-08-03	@ Viking	L 1-3	1130	1184	19.3%	28.4%	52.2%	-6.2	0
1958-08-17	Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	1162	1112	51.8%	28.5%	19.7%	+3.6	3
1958-08-17	@ Arstad	L 1-2	1112	1162	19.7%	28.5%	51.8%	-3.6	3
1958-08-17	Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1178	1230	38.7%	30.2%	31.1%	-10.5	3
1958-08-17	@ Asker	W 3-1	1230	1178	31.1%	30.2%	38.7%	+10.5	7
1958-08-17	Larvik Turn	D 3-3	1221	1173	51.5%	28.6%	19.9%	-0.7	1
1958-08-17	@ Freidig	D 3-3	1173	1221	19.9%	28.6%	51.5%	+0.7	2
1958-08-17	Viking	L 2-4	1146	1190	39.9%	30.2%	30.0%	-9.6	1
1958-08-17	@ Greaker	W 4-2	1190	1146	30.0%	30.2%	39.9%	+9.6	6
1958-08-17	Strommen	D 1-1	1141	1191	39.1%	30.2%	30.8%	-0.3	4
1958-08-17	@ Kapp	D 1-1	1191	1141	30.8%	30.2%	39.1%	+0.3	4
1958-08-17	Raufoss	W 7-1	1153	1126	49.0%	29.2%	21.8%	+18.1	9
1958-08-17	@ Lillestrom	L 1-7	1126	1153	21.8%	29.2%	49.0%	-18.2	1
1958-08-17	Skeid	L 0-5	1155	1242	33.9%	30.0%	36.1%	-25.8	2
1958-08-17	@ IF Odd	W 5-0	1242	1155	36.1%	30.0%	33.9%	+25.8	9
1958-08-17	Brann	W 4-1	1124	1158	41.2%	30.1%	28.6%	+12.0	3
1958-08-17	@ Sandefjord	L 1-4	1158	1124	28.6%	30.1%	41.2%	-12.0	6
1958-08-20	Viking	L 0-1	1167	1200	41.4%	30.1%	28.5%	-6.8	3
1958-08-20	@ Asker	W 1-0	1200	1167	28.5%	30.1%	41.4%	+6.8	9
1958-08-24	Asker	W 4-2	1146	1161	43.7%	29.9%	26.3%	+7.1	9
1958-08-24	@ Brann	L 2-4	1161	1146	26.3%	29.9%	43.7%	-7.1	3
1958-08-24	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1108	1241	28.2%	29.2%	42.6%	+0.3	4
1958-08-24	@ Eik Tonsberg	D 2-2	1241	1108	42.6%	29.2%	28.2%	-0.3	8
1958-08-24	Sandefjord	W 3-2	1136	1136	45.7%	29.7%	24.5%	+4.1	4
1958-08-24	@ Greaker	L 2-3	1136	1136	24.5%	29.7%	45.7%	-4.1	3
1958-08-24	Freidig	L 1-5	1141	1220	35.1%	30.1%	34.8%	-17.9	4
1958-08-24	@ Kapp	W 5-1	1220	1141	34.8%	30.1%	35.1%	+17.9	4
1958-08-24	Raufoss	D 1-1	1174	1108	53.6%	28.0%	18.4%	-1.2	3
1958-08-24	@ Larvik Turn	D 1-1	1108	1174	18.4%	28.0%	53.6%	+1.2	2
1958-08-24	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1268	1171	57.1%	26.8%	16.1%	-1.6	10
1958-08-24	@ Skeid	D 0-0	1171	1268	16.1%	26.8%	57.1%	+1.6	10
1958-08-24	IF Odd	W 2-0	1191	1129	53.2%	28.1%	18.7%	+6.9	7
1958-08-24	@ Strommen	L 0-2	1129	1191	18.7%	28.1%	53.2%	-6.9	2
1958-08-24	Arstad	W 5-0	1207	1166	50.7%	28.8%	20.5%	+17.6	12
1958-08-24	@ Viking	L 0-5	1166	1207	20.5%	28.8%	50.7%	-17.6	3
1958-09-07	Greaker	L 0-3	1148	1141	46.6%	29.6%	23.8%	-20.4	3
1958-09-07	@ Arstad	W 3-0	1141	1148	23.8%	29.6%	46.6%	+20.4	7
1958-09-07	Brann	W 4-0	1240	1153	56.0%	27.2%	16.7%	+11.8	11
1958-09-07	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1153	1240	16.7%	27.2%	56.0%	-11.8	9
1958-09-07	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1238	1173	53.5%	28.1%	18.4%	-13.6	4
1958-09-07	@ Freidig	W 3-1	1173	1238	18.4%	28.1%	53.5%	+13.6	13
1958-09-07	Kapp	W 6-1	1122	1123	45.6%	29.8%	24.7%	+17.0	5
1958-09-07	@ IF Odd	L 1-6	1123	1122	24.7%	29.8%	45.6%	-17.0	4
1958-09-07	Skeid	W 3-0	1109	1266	25.4%	28.5%	46.0%	+20.0	5
1958-09-07	@ Raufoss	L 0-3	1266	1109	46.0%	28.5%	25.4%	-20.0	10
1958-09-07	Asker	W 3-1	1132	1153	42.8%	30.0%	27.2%	+8.2	6
1958-09-07	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1153	1132	27.2%	30.0%	42.8%	-8.2	3
1958-09-07	Larvik Turn	D 2-2	1198	1172	48.9%	29.2%	21.9%	-0.7	8
1958-09-07	@ Strommen	D 2-2	1172	1198	21.9%	29.2%	48.9%	+0.7	4
1958-09-07	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-3	1224	1109	59.1%	26.0%	14.9%	-14.8	12
1958-09-07	@ Viking	W 3-1	1109	1224	14.9%	26.0%	59.1%	+14.8	7
1958-09-26	Arstad	D 1-1	1145	1128	47.9%	29.4%	22.8%	-0.8	4
1958-09-26	@ Asker	D 1-1	1128	1145	22.8%	29.4%	47.9%	+0.8	4
1958-09-26	Viking	L 1-2	1141	1209	36.5%	30.1%	33.3%	-5.8	9
1958-09-26	@ Brann	W 2-1	1209	1141	33.3%	30.1%	36.5%	+5.8	15
1958-09-26	Eik Tonsberg	D 1-1	1161	1123	50.3%	28.9%	20.8%	-1.0	8
1958-09-26	@ Greaker	D 1-1	1123	1161	20.8%	28.9%	50.3%	+1.0	8
1958-09-26	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1140	1252	30.6%	29.6%	39.8%	-14.8	6
1958-09-26	@ Sandefjord	W 3-0	1252	1140	39.8%	29.6%	30.6%	+14.8	14
1958-09-28	Raufoss	W 2-0	1224	1129	56.9%	26.9%	16.2%	+6.0	7
1958-09-28	@ Freidig	L 0-2	1129	1224	16.2%	26.9%	56.9%	-6.0	5
1958-09-28	Larvik Turn	L 0-7	1106	1173	36.7%	30.1%	33.1%	-37.6	4
1958-09-28	@ Kapp	W 7-0	1173	1106	33.1%	30.1%	36.7%	+37.6	7
1958-09-28	IF Odd	W 6-1	1186	1139	51.4%	28.6%	19.9%	+14.2	16
1958-09-28	@ Lillestrom	L 1-6	1139	1186	19.9%	28.6%	51.4%	-14.2	5
1958-09-28	Strommen	L 0-3	1246	1198	51.6%	28.6%	19.8%	-22.2	10
1958-09-28	@ Skeid	W 3-0	1198	1246	19.8%	28.6%	51.6%	+22.2	11
1958-10-05	Sandefjord	D 2-2	1129	1125	46.1%	29.7%	24.2%	-0.5	5
1958-10-05	@ Arstad	D 2-2	1125	1129	24.2%	29.7%	46.1%	+0.5	7
1958-10-05	Greaker	L 1-3	1144	1160	43.7%	30.0%	26.4%	-11.6	4
1958-10-05	@ Asker	W 3-1	1160	1144	26.4%	30.0%	43.7%	+11.6	11
1958-10-05	Brann	W 6-0	1124	1135	44.3%	29.9%	25.8%	+25.2	11
1958-10-05	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-6	1135	1124	25.8%	29.9%	44.3%	-25.2	9
1958-10-05	Freidig	W 4-2	1125	1230	31.5%	29.8%	38.7%	+9.4	8
1958-10-05	@ IF Odd	L 2-4	1230	1125	38.7%	29.8%	31.5%	-9.4	7
1958-10-05	Strommen	D 1-1	1123	1220	32.6%	29.9%	37.5%	+0.2	6
1958-10-05	@ Raufoss	D 1-1	1220	1123	37.5%	29.9%	32.6%	-0.1	12
1958-10-12	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1110	1267	25.5%	28.5%	46.0%	-4.4	9
1958-10-12	@ Brann	W 2-1	1267	1110	46.0%	28.5%	25.5%	+4.4	17
1958-10-12	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1150	1125	48.7%	29.2%	22.1%	+8.0	14
1958-10-12	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-2	1125	1150	22.1%	29.2%	48.7%	-8.0	7
1958-10-12	Arstad	L 0-2	1172	1128	51.0%	28.7%	20.3%	-15.1	11
1958-10-12	@ Greaker	W 2-0	1128	1172	20.3%	28.7%	51.0%	+15.1	8
1958-10-12	IF Odd	W 5-1	1211	1134	54.8%	27.7%	17.6%	+10.3	10
1958-10-12	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-5	1134	1211	17.6%	27.7%	54.8%	-10.3	8
1958-10-12	Kapp	W 1-0	1123	1068	52.3%	28.4%	19.3%	+3.8	9
1958-10-12	@ Raufoss	L 0-1	1068	1123	19.3%	28.4%	52.3%	-3.8	4
1958-10-12	Freidig	W 4-0	1224	1221	46.1%	29.7%	24.2%	+16.4	13
1958-10-12	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1221	1224	24.2%	29.7%	46.1%	-16.4	7
1958-10-12	Lillestrom	W 5-1	1220	1201	48.0%	29.4%	22.6%	+12.9	15
1958-10-12	@ Strommen	L 1-5	1201	1220	22.6%	29.4%	48.0%	-12.9	16
1958-10-12	Asker	L 1-2	1215	1133	55.5%	27.4%	17.1%	-8.1	15
1958-10-12	@ Viking	W 2-1	1133	1215	17.1%	27.4%	55.5%	+8.1	7
1958-10-19	Viking	D 3-3	1272	1207	53.4%	28.1%	18.5%	-0.8	18
1958-10-19	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1207	1272	18.5%	28.1%	53.4%	+0.8	16
1959-04-26	Skeid	L 1-4	1221	1241	43.1%	30.0%	26.9%	-16.2	10
1959-04-26	@ Larvik Turn	W 4-1	1241	1221	26.9%	30.0%	43.1%	+16.2	16
1959-04-26	Kapp	W 3-1	1188	1065	59.9%	25.7%	14.4%	+4.6	19
1959-04-26	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1065	1188	14.4%	25.7%	59.9%	-4.6	4
1959-05-03	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1143	1271	28.8%	29.3%	41.9%	-14.1	8
1959-05-03	@ Arstad	W 3-0	1271	1143	41.9%	29.3%	28.8%	+14.1	21
1959-05-03	Eik Tonsberg	D 0-0	1141	1158	43.5%	30.0%	26.5%	-0.6	8
1959-05-03	@ Asker	D 0-0	1158	1141	26.5%	30.0%	43.5%	+0.6	15
1959-05-03	Brann	L 0-4	1156	1106	51.8%	28.5%	19.6%	-29.1	11
1959-05-03	@ Greaker	W 4-0	1106	1156	19.6%	28.5%	51.8%	+29.1	12
1959-05-03	Skeid	L 1-2	1060	1257	21.6%	27.1%	51.2%	-3.8	4
1959-05-03	@ Kapp	W 2-1	1257	1060	51.2%	27.1%	21.6%	+3.8	19
1959-05-03	Strommen	W 3-1	1205	1233	42.1%	30.1%	27.9%	+8.3	13
1959-05-03	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-3	1233	1205	27.9%	30.1%	42.1%	-8.3	15
1959-05-03	Freidig	W 3-2	1192	1204	44.1%	29.9%	26.0%	+4.3	22
1959-05-03	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1204	1192	26.0%	29.9%	44.1%	-4.3	7
1959-05-03	Raufoss	W 2-1	1124	1127	45.3%	29.8%	24.9%	+4.4	11
1959-05-03	@ IF Odd	L 1-2	1127	1124	24.9%	29.8%	45.3%	-4.4	9
1959-05-03	Viking	L 0-1	1117	1208	33.5%	30.0%	36.5%	-5.8	7
1959-05-03	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1208	1117	36.5%	30.0%	33.5%	+5.8	19
1959-05-06	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1135	1112	48.5%	29.3%	22.2%	-0.9	13
1959-05-06	@ Brann	D 1-1	1112	1135	22.2%	29.3%	48.5%	+0.9	8
1959-05-06	Arstad	W 4-0	1158	1129	49.3%	29.1%	21.6%	+14.9	18
1959-05-06	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-4	1129	1158	21.6%	29.1%	49.3%	-14.9	8
1959-05-06	Asker	D 1-1	1285	1140	62.1%	24.6%	13.2%	-1.8	22
1959-05-06	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1140	1285	13.2%	24.6%	62.1%	+1.8	9
1959-05-06	Freidig	D 0-0	1213	1200	47.3%	29.5%	23.2%	-0.9	14
1959-05-06	@ Larvik Turn	D 0-0	1200	1213	23.2%	29.5%	47.3%	+0.9	8
1959-05-06	Lillestrom	W 5-2	1122	1197	35.7%	30.1%	34.2%	+11.8	12
1959-05-06	@ Raufoss	L 2-5	1197	1122	34.2%	30.1%	35.7%	-11.8	22
1959-05-06	IF Odd	L 0-3	1261	1128	60.8%	25.2%	13.9%	-25.3	19
1959-05-06	@ Skeid	W 3-0	1128	1261	13.9%	25.2%	60.8%	+25.3	14
1959-05-06	Kapp	D 2-2	1224	1056	64.5%	23.4%	12.1%	-1.4	16
1959-05-06	@ Strommen	D 2-2	1056	1224	12.1%	23.4%	64.5%	+1.4	5
1959-05-06	Greaker	D 1-1	1214	1127	55.9%	27.3%	16.8%	-1.4	20
1959-05-06	@ Viking	D 1-1	1127	1214	16.8%	27.3%	55.9%	+1.4	12
1959-05-10	Viking	W 2-1	1114	1212	32.5%	29.9%	37.7%	+5.9	11
1959-05-10	@ Arstad	L 1-2	1212	1114	37.7%	29.9%	32.5%	-5.9	20
1959-05-10	Brann	D 0-0	1142	1134	46.7%	29.6%	23.7%	-0.9	10
1959-05-10	@ Asker	D 0-0	1134	1142	23.7%	29.6%	46.7%	+0.9	14
1959-05-10	Eik Tonsberg	W 4-0	1283	1173	58.5%	26.3%	15.2%	+10.8	25
1959-05-10	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1173	1283	15.2%	26.3%	58.5%	-10.8	18
1959-05-10	Kapp	W 8-3	1201	1058	62.0%	24.7%	13.3%	+7.2	11
1959-05-10	@ Freidig	L 3-8	1058	1201	13.3%	24.7%	62.0%	-7.2	5
1959-05-10	Skeid	W 1-0	1185	1235	39.0%	30.2%	30.8%	+5.5	25
1959-05-10	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1235	1185	30.8%	30.2%	39.0%	-5.5	19
1959-05-10	Strommen	D 0-0	1154	1223	36.4%	30.1%	33.4%	-0.1	15
1959-05-10	@ IF Odd	D 0-0	1223	1154	33.4%	30.1%	36.4%	+0.1	17
1959-05-10	Larvik Turn	W 5-1	1134	1212	35.2%	30.1%	34.7%	+17.8	15
1959-05-10	@ Raufoss	L 1-5	1212	1134	34.7%	30.1%	35.2%	-17.8	14
1959-05-10	Greaker	W 2-0	1112	1129	43.6%	30.0%	26.5%	+9.2	11
1959-05-10	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1129	1112	26.5%	30.0%	43.6%	-9.2	12
1959-05-24	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1141	1122	48.1%	29.4%	22.6%	-0.9	11
1959-05-24	@ Asker	D 1-1	1122	1141	22.6%	29.4%	48.1%	+0.9	12
1959-05-24	Arstad	W 3-0	1135	1120	47.5%	29.5%	23.1%	+12.0	17
1959-05-24	@ Brann	L 0-3	1120	1135	23.1%	29.5%	47.5%	-12.0	11
1959-05-24	Viking	D 1-1	1162	1206	39.9%	30.2%	29.9%	-0.3	19
1959-05-24	@ Eik Tonsberg	D 1-1	1206	1162	29.9%	30.2%	39.9%	+0.3	21
1959-05-24	Strommen	W 3-1	1208	1223	43.8%	29.9%	26.3%	+8.0	14
1959-05-24	@ Freidig	L 1-3	1223	1208	26.3%	29.9%	43.8%	-8.0	17
1959-05-24	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1119	1294	23.7%	28.0%	48.3%	+0.8	13
1959-05-24	@ Greaker	D 1-1	1294	1119	48.3%	28.0%	23.7%	-0.8	26
1959-05-24	IF Odd	L 0-2	1051	1154	31.8%	29.8%	38.4%	-10.5	5
1959-05-24	@ Kapp	W 2-0	1154	1051	38.4%	29.8%	31.8%	+10.5	18
1959-05-24	Larvik Turn	L 0-1	1190	1195	45.1%	29.8%	25.1%	-7.3	25
1959-05-24	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1195	1190	25.1%	29.8%	45.1%	+7.3	17
1959-05-24	Raufoss	D 0-0	1230	1152	54.9%	27.6%	17.5%	-1.5	20
1959-05-24	@ Skeid	D 0-0	1152	1230	17.5%	27.6%	54.9%	+1.5	16
1959-05-31	Asker	L 0-5	1108	1140	41.4%	30.1%	28.4%	-30.0	11
1959-05-31	@ Arstad	W 5-0	1140	1108	28.4%	30.1%	41.4%	+30.0	14
1959-05-31	Greaker	W 2-0	1162	1120	50.8%	28.8%	20.4%	+7.5	22
1959-05-31	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-2	1120	1162	20.4%	28.8%	50.8%	-7.5	13
1959-05-31	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1293	1123	64.8%	23.3%	11.9%	-1.9	27
1959-05-31	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1123	1293	11.9%	23.3%	64.8%	+1.9	13
1959-05-31	Kapp	W 10-2	1202	1040	63.9%	23.7%	12.4%	+11.0	20
1959-05-31	@ Larvik Turn	L 2-10	1040	1202	12.4%	23.7%	63.9%	-11.0	5
1959-05-31	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1164	1183	43.2%	30.0%	26.8%	-6.6	18
1959-05-31	@ IF Odd	W 2-1	1183	1164	26.8%	30.0%	43.2%	+6.6	28
1959-05-31	Freidig	W 4-0	1153	1216	37.3%	30.2%	32.5%	+20.3	19
1959-05-31	@ Raufoss	L 0-4	1216	1153	32.5%	30.2%	37.3%	-20.4	14
1959-05-31	Skeid	W 2-1	1215	1228	43.9%	29.9%	26.1%	+4.6	20
1959-05-31	@ Strommen	L 1-2	1228	1215	26.1%	29.9%	43.9%	-4.6	20
1959-05-31	Brann	W 1-0	1207	1147	52.9%	28.2%	18.9%	+3.7	24
1959-05-31	@ Viking	L 0-1	1147	1207	18.9%	28.2%	52.9%	-3.7	17
1959-06-07	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	1143	1170	42.2%	30.1%	27.7%	-6.5	17
1959-06-07	@ Brann	W 2-1	1170	1143	27.7%	30.1%	42.2%	+6.5	25
1959-06-07	IF Odd	W 4-2	1196	1158	50.4%	28.9%	20.8%	+5.9	17
1959-06-07	@ Freidig	L 2-4	1158	1196	20.8%	28.9%	50.4%	-5.9	18
1959-06-07	Asker	W 1-0	1113	1170	38.0%	30.2%	31.8%	+5.6	16
1959-06-07	@ Greaker	L 0-1	1170	1113	31.8%	30.2%	38.0%	-5.6	14
1959-06-07	Lillestrom	W 5-2	1029	1190	25.1%	28.4%	46.5%	+14.7	8
1959-06-07	@ Kapp	L 2-5	1190	1029	46.5%	28.4%	25.1%	-14.7	28
1959-06-07	Arstad	W 2-0	1124	1078	51.3%	28.7%	20.0%	+7.3	16
1959-06-07	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1078	1124	20.0%	28.7%	51.3%	-7.4	11
1959-06-07	Larvik Turn	D 2-2	1224	1213	47.0%	29.5%	23.4%	-0.6	21
1959-06-07	@ Skeid	D 2-2	1213	1224	23.4%	29.5%	47.0%	+0.6	21
1959-06-07	Raufoss	D 1-1	1220	1174	51.2%	28.7%	20.1%	-1.1	21
1959-06-07	@ Strommen	D 1-1	1174	1220	20.1%	28.7%	51.2%	+1.1	20
1959-06-07	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1210	1291	34.8%	30.1%	35.1%	-6.0	24
1959-06-07	@ Viking	W 1-0	1291	1210	35.1%	30.1%	34.8%	+6.0	30

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1959-06-21	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1175	1297	29.4%	29.4%	41.1%	+0.3	0-0-1
1959-06-21	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1297	1175	41.1%	29.4%	29.4%	-0.3	0-0-1
1959-08-05	Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1175	1297	29.5%	29.4%	41.0%	+15.5	1-0-1
1959-08-05	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1297	1175	41.0%	29.4%	29.5%	-15.5	0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1959-05-06	13.92%	IF Odd	1128	3	@ Skeid	1261	0
2	1958-09-07	14.90%	Eik Tonsberg	1109	3	@ Viking	1224	1
3	1958-10-12	17.12%	Asker	1133	2	@ Viking	1215	1
4	1958-09-07	18.45%	Lillestrom	1173	3	@ Freidig	1238	1
5	1959-05-03	19.62%	Brann	1106	4	@ Greaker	1156	0
6	1958-09-28	19.81%	Strommen	1198	3	@ Skeid	1246	0
7	1958-08-03	20.27%	Lillestrom	1141	4	@ Larvik Turn	1185	2
8	1958-10-12	20.27%	Arstad	1128	2	@ Greaker	1172	0
9	1958-07-30	20.78%	Skeid	1211	4	@ Freidig	1249	1
10	1958-07-30	21.63%	Brann	1146	3	@ Arstad	1175	2
11	1958-07-30	21.67%	Eik Tonsberg	1116	2	@ Sandefjord	1145	0
12	1958-09-07	23.79%	Greaker	1141	3	@ Arstad	1148	0
13	1959-05-24	25.08%	Larvik Turn	1195	1	@ Lillestrom	1190	0
14	1959-06-07	25.08%	@ Kapp	1029	5	Lillestrom	1190	2
15	1958-09-07	25.44%	@ Raufoss	1109	3	Skeid	1266	0
16	1958-10-05	26.39%	Greaker	1160	3	@ Asker	1144	1
17	1959-05-31	26.79%	Lillestrom	1183	2	@ IF Odd	1164	1
18	1959-04-26	26.86%	Skeid	1241	4	@ Larvik Turn	1221	1
19	1959-06-07	27.73%	Eik Tonsberg	1170	2	@ Brann	1143	1
20	1958-08-03	27.94%	Asker	1159	3	@ Eik Tonsberg	1131	0
21	1959-05-31	28.45%	Asker	1140	5	@ Arstad	1108	0
22	1958-08-20	28.46%	Viking	1200	1	@ Asker	1167	0
23	1959-08-05 *	29.49%	@ Lillestrom	1175	4	Fredrikstad	1297	1
24	1958-08-17	29.97%	Viking	1190	4	@ Greaker	1146	2
25	1958-08-17	31.08%	Fredrikstad	1230	3	@ Asker	1178	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1958-09-28	37.59	Larvik Turn	7	1173	33.13%	@ Kapp	0	1106	36.72%
2	1959-05-31	29.96	Asker	5	1140	28.45%	@ Arstad	0	1108	41.44%
3	1959-05-03	29.09	Brann	4	1106	19.62%	@ Greaker	0	1156	51.85%
4	1958-08-17	25.81	Skeid	5	1242	36.07%	@ IF Odd	0	1155	33.93%
5	1959-05-06	25.30	IF Odd	3	1128	13.92%	@ Skeid	0	1261	60.84%
6	1958-10-05	25.19	@ Eik Tonsberg	6	1124	44.29%	Brann	0	1135	25.82%
7	1958-09-28	22.18	Strommen	3	1198	19.81%	@ Skeid	0	1246	51.60%
8	1958-09-07	20.42	Greaker	3	1141	23.79%	@ Arstad	0	1148	46.61%
9	1959-05-31	20.35	@ Raufoss	4	1153	37.34%	Freidig	0	1216	32.50%
10	1958-09-07	19.98	@ Raufoss	3	1109	25.44%	Skeid	0	1266	46.04%
11	1958-08-03	18.80	Asker	3	1159	27.94%	@ Eik Tonsberg	0	1131	41.98%
12	1958-07-30	18.32	Skeid	4	1211	20.78%	@ Freidig	1	1249	50.31%
13	1958-08-17	18.15	@ Lillestrom	7	1153	49.02%	Raufoss	1	1126	21.80%
14	1958-08-24	17.87	Freidig	5	1220	34.85%	@ Kapp	1	1141	35.07%
15	1959-05-10	17.75	@ Raufoss	5	1134	35.20%	Larvik Turn	1	1212	34.72%
16	1958-08-24	17.58	@ Viking	5	1207	50.68%	Arstad	0	1166	20.50%
17	1958-09-07	16.97	@ IF Odd	6	1122	45.55%	Kapp	1	1123	24.70%
18	1958-10-12	16.38	@ Skeid	4	1224	46.08%	Freidig	0	1221	24.24%
19	1959-04-26	16.19	Skeid	4	1241	26.86%	@ Larvik Turn	1	1221	43.14%
20	1959-08-05 *	15.48	@ Lillestrom	4	1175	29.49%	Fredrikstad	1	1297	41.05%
21	1958-10-12	15.12	Arstad	2	1128	20.27%	@ Greaker	0	1172	50.99%
22	1959-05-06	14.90	@ Eik Tonsberg	4	1158	49.29%	Arstad	0	1129	21.59%
23	1958-09-26	14.84	Fredrikstad	3	1252	39.77%	@ Sandefjord	0	1140	30.60%
24	1958-09-07	14.75	Eik Tonsberg	3	1109	14.90%	@ Viking	1	1224	59.07%
25	1959-06-07	14.71	@ Kapp	5	1029	25.08%	Lillestrom	2	1190	46.50%