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1959-60 Main League Season

112 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

23 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 1956-57

Relegated

Start

5 pts

Brage · 6 pts

Raufoss · 8 pts

Brann · 11 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

6.11 points above expected

23 points · 16.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

7.42 points below expected

5 points · 12.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lillestrom 14 8 3 3 19 28 21 +7 13.72 +5.28
2 Valerenga 14 8 2 4 18 27 21 +6 16.22 +1.78
3 Viking 14 6 4 4 16 25 18 +7 15.57 +0.43
4 Larvik Turn 14 7 1 6 15 32 22 +10 16.40 -1.40
5 Greaker 14 5 4 5 14 25 20 +5 12.44 +1.56
6 Sandefjord 14 5 4 5 14 16 18 -2 13.75 +0.25
7 Brann Relegated 14 4 3 7 11 19 29 -10 11.48 -0.48
8 Start Relegated 14 1 3 10 5 15 38 -23 12.42 -7.42
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad Champion 14 10 3 1 23 41 16 +25 16.89 +6.11
2 Eik Tonsberg 14 8 1 5 17 30 21 +9 15.34 +1.66
3 Skeid 14 7 3 4 17 30 23 +7 15.02 +1.98
4 Rapid Moss 14 6 3 5 15 21 26 -5 11.78 +3.22
5 IF Odd 14 5 3 6 13 25 25 0 14.23 -1.23
6 Strommen 14 5 3 6 13 23 27 -4 14.30 -1.30
7 Raufoss Relegated 14 2 4 8 8 20 36 -16 11.70 -3.70
8 Brage Relegated 14 1 4 9 6 14 30 -16 12.74 -6.74

Notes

  • Fredrikstad defeated Lillestrom 6-2 in the championship final to win the league title.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 23 16.89 +6.11
2 Lillestrom 19 13.72 +5.28
3 Rapid Moss 15 11.78 +3.22
4 Skeid 17 15.02 +1.98
5 Valerenga 18 16.22 +1.78

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Start 5 12.42 -7.42
2 Brage 6 12.74 -6.74
3 Raufoss 8 11.70 -3.70
4 Larvik Turn 15 16.40 -1.40
5 Strommen 13 14.30 -1.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Moss 3 Oct 4 – May 1 1 in 46
2 Fredrikstad 5 Jul 26 – Sep 6 1 in 39
3 Lillestrom 3 Sep 6 – Oct 11 1 in 32
4 Valerenga 4 Aug 16 – Sep 27 1 in 29
5 Eik Tonsberg 4 Oct 4 – May 8 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Eik Tonsberg 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 122
2 Raufoss 6 Sep 6 – May 8 1 in 63
3 Brann 4 Aug 23 – Oct 11 1 in 51
4 Start 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 16
5 Strommen 3 Oct 11 – May 1 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raufoss 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 33
2 Lillestrom 6 Sep 6 – May 8 1 in 20
3 Rapid Moss 4 Sep 27 – May 1 1 in 14
4 Greaker 4 Oct 11 – May 8 1 in 14
5 IF Odd 5 Aug 23 – Oct 25 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brage 11 Aug 23 – Jun 12 1 in 90
2 Start 9 Sep 27 – Jun 12 1 in 25
3 Raufoss 9 Sep 6 – May 29 1 in 13
4 Eik Tonsberg 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 13
5 Fredrikstad 3 Sep 27 – Oct 11 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fredrikstad 1293 23 +67 9 6.4 +2.6
Lillestrom 1182 19 +49 7 5.3 +1.7
Valerenga 1152 18 -28 5 5.9 -0.9
Skeid 1174 17 -18 6 6.0 -0.0
Eik Tonsberg 1161 17 -26 2 5.8 -3.8
Viking 1158 16 +5 7 6.0 +1.0
Rapid Moss 1104 15 +27 7 4.1 +2.9
Larvik Turn 1167 15 +0 6 6.2 -0.2
Greaker 1146 14 +86 7 4.6 +2.4
Sandefjord 1090 14 -14 4 4.4 -0.4
Strommen 1113 13 +17 7 5.0 +2.0
IF Odd 1121 13 -32 3 5.0 -2.0
Brann 1045 11 -43 3 3.8 -0.8
Raufoss 1028 8 +8 5 3.5 +1.5
Brage 1022 6 -43 1 4.3 -3.3
Start 991 5 -56 1 3.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Group A

Team BRA GRE LT LIL SAN STA VAL VIK
Brann —
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.34
0-2-0
1.66
Greaker
1-0-1
2.62
—
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.16
Larvik Turn
1-0-1
3.75
0-1-1
3.39
—
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.84
Lillestrom
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.47
—
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
2.39
Sandefjord
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.80
—
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.26
Start
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.12
0-2-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.58
—
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.53
Valerenga
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.69
—
1-0-1
2.82
Viking
0-2-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-2
3.16
0-1-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.74
—

Group B

Team BRA ET FRE IO RM RAU SKE STR
Brage —
0-0-2
2.23
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.77
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.35
Eik Tonsberg
2-0-0
3.33
—
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.61
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.75
Fredrikstad
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.21
—
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.37
IF Odd
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.00
—
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.98
Rapid Moss
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
1.95
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.35
—
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.23
Raufoss
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.62
—
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.36
Skeid
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
3.74
—
0-2-0
3.21
Strommen
1-1-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.20
0-2-0
2.34
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +5.7
Allowed 0.75 -6.5
Differential 0.90 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%5.80%1.79%3.57%3.12%1.34%19.20%
15.80%12.50%8.04%2.68%4.46%2.68%36.16%
21.79%8.04%3.57%2.68%0.89%1.34%18.30%
33.57%2.68%2.68%0.89%0.45%0.45%10.71%
43.12%4.46%0.89%0.45%0.89%—9.82%
5+1.34%2.68%1.34%0.45%——5.80%
Total19.20%36.16%18.30%10.71%9.82%5.80%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.48 1.48 2.31
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 112

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%—7.14%7.14%—28.57%
17.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%—50.00%
2——14.29%———14.29%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%28.57%14.29%21.43%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.14 -1.14
SD 0.88 1.29 1.41
CV 0.88 0.60 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%—14.29%—7.14%35.71%
17.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3—————7.14%7.14%
4—14.29%————14.29%
5+———————
Total7.14%50.00%14.29%14.29%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.07 -0.71
SD 1.45 1.90 2.58
CV 1.07 0.92 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
17.14%—14.29%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
2—21.43%7.14%———28.57%
3———————
4—21.43%————21.43%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total7.14%57.14%21.43%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.50 +0.64
SD 1.51 1.02 2.10
CV 0.71 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
17.14%21.43%———7.14%35.71%
2———————
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
421.43%14.29%————35.71%
5+——14.29%———14.29%
Total35.71%35.71%21.43%——7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.93 1.14 +1.79
SD 1.59 1.35 2.26
CV 0.54 1.18 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
1—21.43%—14.29%——35.71%
2—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%7.14%————14.29%
Total21.43%42.86%14.29%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.43 +0.36
SD 1.67 1.22 2.27
CV 0.94 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
17.14%21.43%7.14%——7.14%42.86%
2—7.14%—7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%42.86%7.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.79 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.76 2.35
CV 0.70 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—28.57%
27.14%7.14%—14.29%——28.57%
314.29%—————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 1.57 +0.71
SD 1.54 1.34 2.43
CV 0.67 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%——14.29%——21.43%
17.14%14.29%————21.43%
27.14%14.29%———7.14%28.57%
3———————
47.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.50 +0.50
SD 1.66 1.51 2.21
CV 0.83 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————7.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%7.14%—7.14%—35.71%
2—21.43%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%14.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.86 -0.36
SD 0.94 1.56 2.27
CV 0.63 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%7.14%—21.43%
1—14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
2—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3———————
4—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
5+———————
Total—35.71%14.29%21.43%21.43%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 2.57 -1.14
SD 1.28 1.55 2.11
CV 0.90 0.60 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%7.14%——28.57%
114.29%7.14%14.29%—7.14%—42.86%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total35.71%21.43%28.57%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.29 -0.14
SD 1.10 1.27 1.75
CV 0.96 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
2—14.29%————14.29%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4——7.14%—7.14%—14.29%
5+—14.29%————14.29%
Total14.29%50.00%14.29%—21.43%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.64 +0.50
SD 1.96 1.39 2.41
CV 0.91 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
1—7.14%14.29%—14.29%14.29%50.00%
2———7.14%——7.14%
3—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%21.43%21.43%14.29%14.29%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.71 -1.64
SD 1.00 1.68 1.95
CV 0.93 0.62 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
17.14%7.14%14.29%—7.14%—35.71%
2——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
3——14.29%———14.29%
47.14%——7.14%——14.29%
5+———————
Total21.43%14.29%35.71%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.93 -0.29
SD 1.39 1.49 1.94
CV 0.85 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————14.29%—14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%——7.14%35.71%
27.14%14.29%————21.43%
314.29%——7.14%——21.43%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total42.86%21.43%7.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.50 +0.43
SD 1.77 1.79 3.06
CV 0.92 1.19 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
1—21.43%7.14%———28.57%
2———————
3—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%57.14%21.43%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.29 +0.50
SD 1.67 0.99 2.10
CV 0.94 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1306 23 16.89 +6.11 98.0% 10 11 15 17 19 22 25
Skeid 1174 17 15.02 +1.98 74.0% 5 10 13 15 18 20 23
Eik Tonsberg 1172 17 15.34 +1.66 73.0% 7 10 13 15 18 20 22
Lillestrom 1169 19 13.72 +5.28 96.0% 7 9 11 14 16 19 21
Larvik Turn 1167 15 16.40 -1.40 44.0% 8 11 14 16 19 21 25
Viking 1158 16 15.57 +0.43 60.0% 5 10 13 15 18 21 22
Greaker 1146 14 12.44 +1.56 82.0% 3 7 11 12 14 18 21
Valerenga 1141 18 16.22 +1.78 73.0% 8 10 14 16 19 21 22
IF Odd 1121 13 14.23 -1.23 47.0% 8 9 12 14 16 20 22
Strommen 1113 13 14.30 -1.30 42.0% 5 9 12 14 16 19 21
Rapid Moss 1104 15 11.78 +3.22 88.0% 4 6 9 12 14 17 21
Sandefjord 1090 14 13.75 +0.25 56.0% 2 9 11 14 16 19 19
Brann 1045 11 11.48 -0.48 53.0% 3 6 9 11 14 17 19
Raufoss 1028 8 11.70 -3.70 12.0% 3 8 10 11 14 17 20
Brage 1022 6 12.74 -6.74 2.0% 6 7 11 13 15 18 21
Start 991 5 12.42 -7.42 2.0% 5 6 10 12 14 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.93%
No Edge
43.75%21.43%34.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.10 Elo pts.
121 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
8.7
Wide Open
134612
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
Fredrikstad, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.54 * Some Luck: 2.54 to 3.82 * Lucky: 3.82 to 5.09 * Wild Swing: 5.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.94 * Close: 2.94 to 4.41 * Off: 4.41 to 5.89 * Way Off: 5.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 2.09 * A Surprise: 2.09 to 3.34 * Several Surprises: 3.34 to 4.6 * Many Surprises: 4.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.60 points
Some Luck
03.188
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.88
Pinpoint
03.688
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.00%
Fredrikstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
2.00%
Brage
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 4
As Expected
02.14

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 75.35
1.43
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.28
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.14
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1500.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6
Lillestrom 2

Sim: 2.0%

Eik Tonsberg 4
Valerenga 2

Sim: 2.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Lillestrom5.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%17.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%
Valerenga31.00%17.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%
Viking20.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%17.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%
Larvik Turn32.00%15.00%18.00%17.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%
Greaker3.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%19.00%19.00%13.00%20.00%
Sandefjord3.00%22.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%16.00%15.00%10.00%
Brann3.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%18.00%19.00%32.00%
Start3.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%10.00%18.00%21.00%23.00%
Team12345678
Fredrikstad37.00%22.00%17.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Eik Tonsberg14.00%24.00%20.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%
Skeid16.00%21.00%11.00%18.00%7.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%
Rapid Moss2.00%3.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%20.00%17.00%25.00%
IF Odd11.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%32.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%
Strommen14.00%7.00%20.00%16.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%
Raufoss3.00%2.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%23.00%31.00%
Brage3.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fredrikstad — —
Lillestrom — —
Larvik Turn 61.00% 7.00%
Valerenga 61.00% 8.00%
Eik Tonsberg 76.00% 10.00%
Viking 70.00% 10.00%
Skeid 70.00% 14.00%
IF Odd 72.00% 17.00%
Strommen 68.00% 18.00%
Sandefjord 72.00% 25.00%
Greaker 64.00% 33.00%
Brage 57.00% 40.00%
Rapid Moss 56.00% 42.00%
Start 53.00% 44.00%
Brann 46.00% 51.00%
Raufoss 43.00% 54.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BrageBrannEik TonsbergFredrikstadGreakerIF OddLarvik TurnLillestromRapid MossRaufossSandefjordSkeidStartStrommenValerengaViking
Brage0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Brann0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Eik Tonsberg100.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%4.00%
Fredrikstad100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%75.0%12.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%68.8%16.00%
Greaker25.0%4.00%
IF Odd100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Larvik Turn100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%25.0%12.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%
Lillestrom0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Rapid Moss100.0%1.00%
Raufoss33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sandefjord50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Skeid0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%
Start0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Strommen0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Valerenga33.3%3.00%50.0%12.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%
Viking100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%31.2%16.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 67.00%
Lillestrom 33.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadLillestrom
Fredrikstad67.0%100.00%
Lillestrom33.0%100.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-07-26 Larvik Turn W 3-250.6 1088 1135 40.07% 22.32% 37.61%-0.13 +8.2 2
1959-07-26 @ Greaker L 2-350.6 1135 1088 37.61% 22.32% 40.07%+0.13 -8.2 0
1959-07-26 Brann D 2-257.7 1097 1088 47.60% 22.27% 30.13%+0.33 -0.6 1
1959-07-26 @ Sandefjord D 2-257.7 1088 1097 30.13% 22.27% 47.60%-0.33 +0.7 1
1959-07-26 Viking L 2-353.2 1135 1138 45.95% 22.30% 31.75%+0.23 -9.6 0
1959-07-26 @ Start W 3-253.2 1138 1135 31.75% 22.30% 45.95%-0.23 +9.6 2
1959-07-26 Lillestrom W 3-032.7 1141 1110 50.38% 22.21% 27.41%+0.51 +19.4 2
1959-07-26 @ Valerenga L 0-332.7 1110 1141 27.41% 22.21% 50.38%-0.51 -19.4 0
1959-07-26 Fredrikstad L 0-436.6 1135 1159 43.20% 22.32% 34.48%+0.06 -36.4 0
1959-07-26 @ Brage W 4-036.6 1159 1135 34.48% 22.32% 43.20%-0.06 +36.4 2
1959-07-26 Raufoss W 3-033.7 1114 1108 47.20% 22.28% 30.52%+0.30 +21.2 2
1959-07-26 @ IF Odd L 0-333.7 1108 1114 30.52% 22.28% 47.20%-0.30 -21.2 0
1959-07-26 Skeid L 1-246.5 1105 1144 41.16% 22.32% 36.51%-0.06 -9.2 0
1959-07-26 @ Rapid Moss W 2-146.5 1144 1105 36.51% 22.32% 41.16%+0.06 +9.2 2
1959-07-26 Eik Tonsberg L 1-248.9 1137 1116 49.25% 22.24% 28.51%+0.44 -10.7 0
1959-07-26 @ Strommen W 2-148.9 1116 1137 28.51% 22.24% 49.25%-0.44 +10.7 2
1959-08-02 Start W 2-145.0 1089 1125 41.52% 22.32% 36.16%-0.04 +8.3 3
1959-08-02 @ Brann L 1-245.0 1125 1089 36.16% 22.32% 41.52%+0.04 -8.3 0
1959-08-02 Valerenga W 4-034.3 1127 1160 41.90% 22.32% 35.78%-0.02 +31.4 2
1959-08-02 @ Larvik Turn L 0-434.3 1160 1127 35.78% 22.32% 41.90%+0.02 -31.4 2
1959-08-02 Greaker W 4-246.0 1090 1097 45.63% 22.30% 32.07%+0.21 +11.7 2
1959-08-02 @ Lillestrom L 2-446.0 1097 1090 32.07% 22.30% 45.63%-0.21 -11.7 2
1959-08-02 Sandefjord D 0-049.0 1148 1096 52.82% 22.13% 25.05%+0.68 -1.6 3
1959-08-02 @ Viking D 0-049.0 1096 1148 25.05% 22.13% 52.82%-0.68 +1.6 2
1959-08-02 Brage W 2-142.5 1126 1098 50.03% 22.22% 27.76%+0.49 +6.7 4
1959-08-02 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-242.5 1098 1126 27.76% 22.22% 50.03%-0.49 -6.7 0
1959-08-02 Strommen W 5-240.2 1195 1127 54.74% 22.05% 23.21%+0.82 +12.3 4
1959-08-02 @ Fredrikstad L 2-540.2 1127 1195 23.21% 22.05% 54.74%-0.82 -12.3 0
1959-08-02 Rapid Moss D 1-152.5 1087 1096 45.32% 22.30% 32.38%+0.19 -0.6 1
1959-08-02 @ Raufoss D 1-152.5 1096 1087 32.38% 22.30% 45.32%-0.19 +0.6 1
1959-08-02 IF Odd W 4-245.2 1153 1135 48.69% 22.25% 29.05%+0.40 +10.8 4
1959-08-02 @ Skeid L 2-445.2 1135 1153 29.05% 22.25% 48.69%-0.40 -10.8 2
1959-08-16 Brann L 0-143.1 1085 1097 44.81% 22.31% 32.89%+0.16 -10.5 2
1959-08-16 @ Greaker W 1-043.1 1097 1085 32.89% 22.31% 44.81%-0.16 +10.5 5
1959-08-16 Larvik Turn W 2-038.6 1098 1158 38.12% 22.31% 39.57%-0.24 +17.9 4
1959-08-16 @ Sandefjord L 0-238.6 1158 1098 39.57% 22.31% 38.12%+0.24 -17.9 2
1959-08-16 Lillestrom D 0-049.0 1117 1102 48.31% 22.26% 29.43%+0.38 -1.1 1
1959-08-16 @ Start D 0-049.0 1102 1117 29.43% 22.26% 48.31%-0.38 +1.1 3
1959-08-16 Viking W 2-144.3 1129 1146 44.12% 22.32% 33.57%+0.11 +7.9 4
1959-08-16 @ Valerenga L 1-244.3 1146 1129 33.57% 22.32% 44.12%-0.11 -7.9 3
1959-08-16 Skeid W 1-042.0 1091 1164 36.40% 22.29% 41.30%-0.34 +9.8 2
1959-08-16 @ Brage L 0-142.0 1164 1091 41.30% 22.29% 36.40%+0.34 -9.8 4
1959-08-16 Eik Tonsberg L 0-143.2 1125 1133 45.32% 22.30% 32.38%+0.19 -10.6 2
1959-08-16 @ IF Odd W 1-043.2 1133 1125 32.38% 22.30% 45.32%-0.19 +10.6 6
1959-08-16 Fredrikstad L 1-439.1 1096 1207 31.20% 22.19% 46.61%-0.66 -18.1 1
1959-08-16 @ Rapid Moss W 4-139.1 1207 1096 46.61% 22.19% 31.20%+0.66 +18.1 6
1959-08-16 Raufoss W 4-031.9 1114 1087 49.98% 22.22% 27.80%+0.49 +25.6 2
1959-08-16 @ Strommen L 0-431.9 1087 1114 27.80% 22.22% 49.98%-0.49 -25.6 1
1959-08-23 Valerenga L 0-142.4 1108 1137 42.50% 22.32% 35.17%+0.02 -10.0 5
1959-08-23 @ Brann W 1-042.4 1137 1108 35.17% 22.32% 42.50%-0.02 +10.0 6
1959-08-23 Larvik Turn L 2-545.7 1103 1140 41.41% 22.32% 36.27%-0.05 -19.7 3
1959-08-23 @ Lillestrom W 5-245.7 1140 1103 36.27% 22.32% 41.41%+0.05 +19.7 4
1959-08-23 Start W 4-139.1 1116 1116 46.48% 22.29% 31.23%+0.26 +18.2 6
1959-08-23 @ Sandefjord L 1-439.1 1116 1116 31.23% 22.29% 46.48%-0.26 -18.2 1
1959-08-23 Greaker D 1-152.6 1138 1074 54.26% 22.07% 23.67%+0.79 -1.6 4
1959-08-23 @ Viking D 1-152.6 1074 1138 23.67% 22.07% 54.26%-0.79 +1.6 3
1959-08-23 Eik Tonsberg W 4-136.3 1226 1144 56.22% 21.97% 21.81%+0.93 +13.5 8
1959-08-23 @ Fredrikstad L 1-436.3 1144 1226 21.81% 21.97% 56.22%-0.93 -13.5 6
1959-08-23 Rapid Moss W 5-031.7 1114 1078 50.96% 22.19% 26.85%+0.55 +30.7 4
1959-08-23 @ IF Odd L 0-531.7 1078 1114 26.85% 22.19% 50.96%-0.55 -30.7 1
1959-08-23 Brage W 4-140.7 1061 1101 40.95% 22.32% 36.72%-0.08 +20.7 3
1959-08-23 @ Raufoss L 1-440.7 1101 1061 36.72% 22.32% 40.95%+0.08 -20.7 2
1959-08-23 Strommen D 1-152.6 1154 1140 48.24% 22.26% 29.50%+0.37 -0.9 5
1959-08-23 @ Skeid D 1-152.6 1140 1154 29.50% 22.26% 48.24%-0.37 +1.0 3
1959-09-06 Lillestrom L 1-248.6 1098 1084 48.25% 22.26% 29.49%+0.37 -10.5 5
1959-09-06 @ Brann W 2-148.6 1084 1098 29.49% 22.26% 48.25%-0.37 +10.5 5
1959-09-06 Viking L 1-346.7 1160 1137 49.40% 22.24% 28.36%+0.45 -18.6 4
1959-09-06 @ Larvik Turn W 3-146.7 1137 1160 28.36% 22.24% 49.40%-0.45 +18.6 6
1959-09-06 Greaker W 3-140.4 1097 1076 49.20% 22.24% 28.56%+0.43 +11.9 3
1959-09-06 @ Start L 1-340.4 1076 1097 28.56% 22.24% 49.20%-0.43 -12.0 3
1959-09-06 Sandefjord W 3-033.4 1147 1134 48.09% 22.26% 29.65%+0.36 +20.7 8
1959-09-06 @ Valerenga L 0-333.4 1134 1147 29.65% 22.26% 48.09%-0.36 -20.7 6
1959-09-06 IF Odd D 1-152.5 1081 1145 37.56% 22.31% 40.14%-0.27 +0.1 3
1959-09-06 @ Brage D 1-152.5 1145 1081 40.14% 22.31% 37.56%+0.27 -0.1 5
1959-09-06 Skeid W 4-140.0 1130 1153 43.37% 22.32% 34.31%+0.07 +19.6 8
1959-09-06 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-440.0 1153 1130 34.31% 22.32% 43.37%-0.07 -19.6 5
1959-09-06 Strommen L 2-349.4 1048 1141 33.52% 22.24% 44.24%-0.51 -7.4 1
1959-09-06 @ Rapid Moss W 3-249.4 1141 1048 44.24% 22.24% 33.52%+0.51 +7.4 5
1959-09-06 Fredrikstad L 2-347.0 1082 1239 25.61% 21.96% 52.43%-1.04 -6.0 3
1959-09-06 @ Raufoss W 3-247.0 1239 1082 52.43% 21.96% 25.61%+1.04 +6.0 10
1959-09-27 Valerenga L 0-236.4 1064 1167 32.19% 22.21% 45.60%-0.60 -15.2 3
1959-09-27 @ Greaker W 2-036.4 1167 1064 45.60% 22.21% 32.19%+0.60 +15.2 10
1959-09-27 Lillestrom L 0-241.4 1113 1094 48.92% 22.25% 28.83%+0.42 -21.3 6
1959-09-27 @ Sandefjord W 2-041.4 1094 1113 28.83% 22.25% 48.92%-0.42 +21.3 7
1959-09-27 Larvik Turn L 0-239.4 1109 1141 42.12% 22.32% 35.56%-0.01 -18.8 3
1959-09-27 @ Start W 2-039.4 1141 1109 35.56% 22.32% 42.12%+0.01 +18.8 6
1959-09-27 Fredrikstad D 1-152.7 1145 1245 32.58% 22.22% 45.20%-0.57 +0.6 6
1959-09-27 @ IF Odd D 1-152.7 1245 1145 45.20% 22.22% 32.58%+0.57 -0.6 11
1959-09-27 Eik Tonsberg D 2-257.7 1040 1150 31.39% 22.19% 46.42%-0.65 +0.6 2
1959-09-27 @ Rapid Moss D 2-257.7 1150 1040 46.42% 22.19% 31.39%+0.65 -0.6 9
1959-09-27 Raufoss W 6-134.4 1133 1076 53.54% 22.10% 24.36%+0.73 +23.4 7
1959-09-27 @ Skeid L 1-634.4 1076 1133 24.36% 22.10% 53.54%-0.73 -23.4 3
1959-09-27 Brage D 2-257.8 1148 1081 54.67% 22.05% 23.28%+0.82 -1.2 6
1959-09-27 @ Strommen D 2-257.8 1081 1148 23.28% 22.05% 54.67%-0.82 +1.2 4
1959-10-04 Brann W 3-031.3 1160 1087 55.26% 22.02% 22.72%+0.86 +16.6 8
1959-10-04 @ Larvik Turn L 0-331.3 1087 1160 22.72% 22.02% 55.26%-0.86 -16.6 5
1959-10-04 Start D 3-362.4 1183 1091 57.28% 21.91% 20.80%+1.02 -1.2 11
1959-10-04 @ Valerenga D 3-362.4 1091 1183 20.80% 21.91% 57.28%-1.02 +1.2 4
1959-10-04 Rapid Moss L 0-145.0 1082 1041 51.62% 22.17% 26.21%+0.60 -11.9 4
1959-10-04 @ Brage W 1-045.0 1041 1082 26.21% 22.17% 51.62%-0.60 +11.9 4
1959-10-04 Raufoss W 4-135.7 1149 1052 57.78% 21.88% 20.34%+1.06 +12.7 11
1959-10-04 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-435.7 1052 1149 20.34% 21.88% 57.78%-1.06 -12.7 3
1959-10-04 Skeid L 1-545.2 1244 1157 56.81% 21.94% 21.25%+0.98 -38.7 11
1959-10-04 @ Fredrikstad W 5-145.2 1157 1244 21.25% 21.94% 56.81%-0.98 +38.7 9
1959-10-11 Sandefjord L 0-142.7 1070 1092 43.54% 22.32% 34.14%+0.08 -10.2 5
1959-10-11 @ Brann W 1-042.7 1092 1070 34.14% 22.32% 43.54%-0.08 +10.2 8
1959-10-11 Greaker D 1-152.7 1177 1049 60.78% 21.66% 17.56%+1.31 -2.3 9
1959-10-11 @ Larvik Turn D 1-152.7 1049 1177 17.56% 21.66% 60.78%-1.31 +2.3 4
1959-10-11 Valerenga W 2-146.3 1115 1181 37.29% 22.30% 40.40%-0.29 +9.1 9
1959-10-11 @ Lillestrom L 1-246.3 1181 1115 40.40% 22.30% 37.29%+0.29 -9.1 11
1959-10-11 Start W 5-135.1 1155 1092 54.22% 22.07% 23.71%+0.78 +18.7 8
1959-10-11 @ Viking L 1-535.1 1092 1155 23.71% 22.07% 54.22%-0.78 -18.7 4
1959-10-11 Strommen W 4-138.6 1162 1147 48.34% 22.26% 29.40%+0.38 +17.3 13
1959-10-11 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-438.6 1147 1162 29.40% 22.26% 48.34%-0.38 -17.3 6
1959-10-11 Brage D 1-152.8 1206 1070 61.49% 21.59% 16.92%+1.38 -2.4 12
1959-10-11 @ Fredrikstad D 1-152.8 1070 1206 16.92% 21.59% 61.49%-1.38 +2.4 5
1959-10-11 IF Odd L 1-243.7 1040 1145 31.91% 22.21% 45.88%-0.61 -7.5 3
1959-10-11 @ Raufoss W 2-143.7 1145 1040 45.88% 22.21% 31.91%+0.61 +7.5 8
1959-10-11 Rapid Moss L 1-252.6 1196 1053 62.14% 21.53% 16.33%+1.44 -13.3 9
1959-10-11 @ Skeid W 2-152.6 1053 1196 16.33% 21.53% 62.14%-1.44 +13.4 6
1959-10-25 IF Odd L 0-142.7 1130 1153 43.37% 22.32% 34.31%+0.07 -10.2 6
1959-10-25 @ Strommen W 1-042.7 1153 1130 34.31% 22.32% 43.37%-0.07 +10.2 10
1960-04-24 Brann D 1-152.7 1174 1060 59.47% 21.76% 18.77%+1.20 -2.2 9
1960-04-24 @ Viking D 1-152.7 1060 1174 18.77% 21.76% 59.47%-1.20 +2.2 6
1960-04-26 Sandefjord W 2-145.6 1051 1102 39.40% 22.32% 38.28%-0.17 +8.7 6
1960-04-26 @ Greaker L 1-245.6 1102 1051 38.28% 22.32% 39.40%+0.17 -8.7 8
1960-04-30 Lillestrom D 1-152.5 1060 1125 37.47% 22.31% 40.23%-0.28 +0.1 7
1960-04-30 @ Greaker D 1-152.5 1125 1060 40.23% 22.31% 37.47%+0.28 -0.1 10
1960-04-30 Viking W 1-042.3 1094 1172 35.56% 22.28% 42.16%-0.39 +10.0 10
1960-04-30 @ Sandefjord L 0-142.3 1172 1094 42.16% 22.28% 35.56%+0.39 -10.0 9
1960-04-30 Larvik Turn W 2-143.7 1172 1174 46.18% 22.29% 31.52%+0.24 +7.5 13
1960-04-30 @ Valerenga L 1-243.7 1174 1172 31.52% 22.29% 46.18%-0.24 -7.5 9
1960-05-01 Brann L 1-444.0 1073 1062 47.83% 22.27% 29.91%+0.34 -25.6 4
1960-05-01 @ Start W 4-144.0 1062 1073 29.91% 22.27% 47.83%-0.34 +25.6 8
1960-05-01 Eik Tonsberg L 1-243.7 1072 1179 31.76% 22.20% 46.03%-0.62 -7.5 5
1960-05-01 @ Brage W 2-143.7 1179 1072 46.03% 22.20% 31.76%+0.62 +7.5 15
1960-05-01 Skeid L 1-247.4 1163 1182 43.86% 22.32% 33.82%+0.10 -9.7 10
1960-05-01 @ IF Odd W 2-147.4 1182 1163 33.82% 22.32% 43.86%-0.10 +9.7 11
1960-05-01 Raufoss W 3-140.0 1066 1032 50.73% 22.20% 27.07%+0.54 +11.4 8
1960-05-01 @ Rapid Moss L 1-340.0 1032 1066 27.07% 22.20% 50.73%-0.54 -11.4 3
1960-05-01 Fredrikstad L 0-335.0 1120 1203 34.84% 22.27% 42.89%-0.43 -23.5 6
1960-05-01 @ Strommen W 3-035.0 1203 1120 42.89% 22.27% 34.84%+0.43 +23.5 14
1960-05-04 Viking W 1-040.6 1124 1162 41.33% 22.32% 36.35%-0.05 +8.9 12
1960-05-04 @ Lillestrom L 0-140.6 1162 1124 36.35% 22.32% 41.33%+0.05 -8.9 9
1960-05-08 Greaker L 0-339.5 1088 1060 50.01% 22.22% 27.77%+0.49 -31.6 8
1960-05-08 @ Brann W 3-039.5 1060 1088 27.77% 22.22% 50.01%-0.49 +31.6 9
1960-05-08 Sandefjord W 2-141.3 1167 1104 54.17% 22.08% 23.75%+0.78 +5.9 11
1960-05-08 @ Larvik Turn L 1-241.3 1104 1167 23.75% 22.08% 54.17%-0.78 -5.9 10
1960-05-08 Start D 1-152.6 1133 1047 56.63% 21.95% 21.41%+0.96 -1.9 13
1960-05-08 @ Lillestrom D 1-152.6 1047 1133 21.41% 21.95% 56.63%-0.96 +1.9 5
1960-05-08 Valerenga W 4-034.1 1153 1180 42.84% 22.32% 34.84%+0.04 +30.7 11
1960-05-08 @ Viking L 0-434.1 1180 1153 34.84% 22.32% 42.84%-0.04 -30.7 13
1960-05-08 IF Odd W 5-136.3 1187 1153 50.68% 22.20% 27.12%+0.53 +20.9 17
1960-05-08 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-536.3 1153 1187 27.12% 22.20% 50.68%-0.53 -20.9 10
1960-05-08 Rapid Moss W 4-028.1 1227 1077 62.70% 21.48% 15.82%+1.49 +15.8 16
1960-05-08 @ Fredrikstad L 0-428.1 1077 1227 15.82% 21.48% 62.70%-1.49 -15.8 8
1960-05-08 Strommen L 0-140.4 1021 1096 35.95% 22.29% 41.76%-0.37 -8.8 3
1960-05-08 @ Raufoss W 1-040.4 1096 1021 41.76% 22.29% 35.95%+0.37 +8.8 8
1960-05-08 Brage W 1-034.8 1192 1065 60.70% 21.66% 17.64%+1.30 +4.9 13
1960-05-08 @ Skeid L 0-134.8 1065 1192 17.64% 21.66% 60.70%-1.30 -4.9 5
1960-05-15 Viking L 1-342.0 1092 1184 33.67% 22.25% 44.08%-0.50 -13.6 9
1960-05-15 @ Greaker W 3-142.0 1184 1092 44.08% 22.25% 33.67%+0.50 +13.6 13
1960-05-15 Lillestrom W 3-032.4 1173 1131 51.63% 22.17% 26.20%+0.60 +18.7 13
1960-05-15 @ Larvik Turn L 0-332.4 1131 1173 26.20% 22.17% 51.63%-0.60 -18.7 13
1960-05-15 Sandefjord L 1-246.1 1049 1098 39.80% 22.32% 37.87%-0.14 -9.0 5
1960-05-15 @ Start W 2-146.1 1098 1049 37.87% 22.32% 39.80%+0.14 +9.0 12
1960-05-15 Brann W 7-031.1 1149 1056 57.35% 21.91% 20.74%+1.02 +33.9 15
1960-05-15 @ Valerenga L 0-731.1 1056 1149 20.74% 21.91% 57.35%-1.02 -33.9 8
1960-05-15 Raufoss D 2-257.7 1060 1012 52.45% 22.14% 25.40%+0.66 -1.0 6
1960-05-15 @ Brage D 2-257.7 1012 1060 25.40% 22.14% 52.45%-0.66 +1.0 4
1960-05-15 Fredrikstad L 0-142.4 1208 1242 41.70% 22.32% 35.98%-0.03 -9.9 17
1960-05-15 @ Eik Tonsberg W 1-042.4 1242 1208 35.98% 22.32% 41.70%+0.03 +9.9 18
1960-05-15 IF Odd D 1-152.5 1062 1132 36.63% 22.30% 41.08%-0.33 +0.2 9
1960-05-15 @ Rapid Moss D 1-152.5 1132 1062 41.08% 22.30% 36.63%+0.33 -0.2 11
1960-05-15 Skeid D 0-049.0 1105 1197 33.74% 22.25% 44.01%-0.50 +0.6 9
1960-05-15 @ Strommen D 0-049.0 1197 1105 44.01% 22.25% 33.74%+0.50 -0.6 14
1960-05-22 Start W 5-031.6 1078 1040 51.18% 22.19% 26.63%+0.57 +30.5 11
1960-05-22 @ Greaker L 0-531.6 1040 1078 26.63% 22.19% 51.18%-0.57 -30.5 5
1960-05-22 Brann W 5-345.1 1113 1022 57.10% 21.92% 20.98%+1.00 +7.8 15
1960-05-22 @ Lillestrom L 3-545.1 1022 1113 20.98% 21.92% 57.10%-1.00 -7.8 8
1960-05-22 Valerenga D 1-152.5 1107 1183 35.83% 22.29% 41.88%-0.37 +0.3 13
1960-05-22 @ Sandefjord D 1-152.5 1183 1107 41.88% 22.29% 35.83%+0.37 -0.3 16
1960-05-22 Larvik Turn W 3-248.6 1197 1191 47.23% 22.28% 30.49%+0.31 +6.9 15
1960-05-22 @ Viking L 2-348.6 1191 1197 30.49% 22.28% 47.23%-0.31 -6.9 13
1960-05-22 Raufoss D 1-153.1 1252 1013 69.36% 20.51% 10.13%+2.23 -3.3 19
1960-05-22 @ Fredrikstad D 1-153.1 1013 1252 10.13% 20.51% 69.36%-2.23 +3.3 5
1960-05-22 Brage W 3-138.6 1132 1059 55.26% 22.02% 22.72%+0.86 +9.9 13
1960-05-22 @ IF Odd L 1-338.6 1059 1132 22.72% 22.02% 55.26%-0.86 -9.9 6
1960-05-22 Eik Tonsberg W 3-141.5 1196 1198 46.23% 22.29% 31.47%+0.24 +12.9 16
1960-05-22 @ Skeid L 1-341.5 1198 1196 31.47% 22.29% 46.23%-0.24 -12.9 17
1960-05-22 Rapid Moss L 1-249.7 1106 1062 51.92% 22.16% 25.92%+0.62 -11.2 9
1960-05-22 @ Strommen W 2-149.7 1062 1106 25.92% 22.16% 51.92%-0.62 +11.2 11
1960-05-28 Viking D 1-152.7 1015 1204 22.15% 21.75% 56.10%-1.31 +1.8 9
1960-05-28 @ Brann D 1-152.7 1204 1015 56.10% 21.75% 22.15%+1.31 -1.8 16
1960-05-28 Start W 5-132.0 1184 1010 64.78% 21.24% 13.99%+1.70 +11.7 15
1960-05-28 @ Larvik Turn L 1-532.0 1010 1184 13.99% 21.24% 64.78%-1.70 -11.7 5
1960-05-28 Sandefjord W 4-138.5 1121 1107 48.21% 22.26% 29.53%+0.37 +17.4 17
1960-05-28 @ Lillestrom L 1-438.5 1107 1121 29.53% 22.26% 48.21%-0.37 -17.4 13
1960-05-28 Greaker L 1-544.7 1183 1108 55.40% 22.02% 22.58%+0.87 -37.8 16
1960-05-28 @ Valerenga W 5-144.7 1108 1183 22.58% 22.02% 55.40%-0.87 +37.8 13
1960-05-29 Strommen L 3-454.9 1049 1094 40.26% 22.32% 37.41%-0.12 -8.4 6
1960-05-29 @ Brage W 4-354.9 1094 1049 37.41% 22.32% 40.26%+0.12 +8.4 11
1960-05-29 Rapid Moss L 1-251.8 1185 1073 59.26% 21.78% 18.96%+1.18 -12.7 17
1960-05-29 @ Eik Tonsberg W 2-151.8 1073 1185 18.96% 21.78% 59.26%-1.18 +12.7 13
1960-05-29 IF Odd W 5-239.0 1249 1142 58.80% 21.81% 19.38%+1.14 +10.5 21
1960-05-29 @ Fredrikstad L 2-539.0 1142 1249 19.38% 21.81% 58.80%-1.14 -10.5 13
1960-05-29 Skeid D 4-464.9 1016 1209 21.83% 21.72% 56.45%-1.34 +1.0 6
1960-05-29 @ Raufoss D 4-464.9 1209 1016 56.45% 21.72% 21.83%+1.34 -1.0 17
1960-06-12 Larvik Turn W 4-146.0 1016 1196 23.17% 21.82% 55.01%-1.23 +29.0 11
1960-06-12 @ Brann L 1-446.0 1196 1016 55.01% 21.82% 23.17%+1.23 -29.0 15
1960-06-12 Greaker D 0-049.0 1090 1146 38.62% 22.31% 39.07%-0.21 +0.0 14
1960-06-12 @ Sandefjord D 0-049.0 1146 1090 39.07% 22.31% 38.62%+0.21 -0.0 14
1960-06-12 Valerenga L 0-137.6 998 1145 26.82% 22.02% 51.16%-0.95 -6.9 5
1960-06-12 @ Start W 1-037.6 1145 998 51.16% 22.02% 26.82%+0.95 +6.9 18
1960-06-12 Lillestrom L 0-439.9 1203 1138 54.33% 22.07% 23.60%+0.79 -44.5 16
1960-06-12 @ Viking W 4-039.9 1138 1203 23.60% 22.07% 54.33%-0.79 +44.5 19
1960-06-12 Strommen L 2-354.4 1131 1103 50.10% 22.22% 27.68%+0.49 -10.3 13
1960-06-12 @ IF Odd W 3-254.4 1103 1131 27.68% 22.22% 50.10%-0.49 +10.3 13
1960-06-12 Brage W 3-032.2 1086 1041 52.07% 22.16% 25.78%+0.63 +18.4 15
1960-06-12 @ Rapid Moss L 0-332.2 1041 1086 25.78% 22.16% 52.07%-0.63 -18.4 6
1960-06-12 Eik Tonsberg W 2-149.7 1017 1172 25.89% 21.98% 52.13%-1.02 +11.3 8
1960-06-12 @ Raufoss L 1-249.7 1172 1017 52.13% 21.98% 25.89%+1.02 -11.3 17
1960-06-12 Fredrikstad L 0-435.7 1208 1260 39.35% 22.32% 38.33%-0.17 -33.8 17
1960-06-12 @ Skeid W 4-035.7 1260 1208 38.33% 22.32% 39.35%+0.17 +33.8 23

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1960-06-15 Lillestrom W 6-236.5 1293 1182 59.18% 21.79% 19.04%+1.17 +13.1 1-0
1960-06-15 @ Fredrikstad L 2-636.5 1182 1293 19.04% 21.79% 59.18%-1.17 -13.1 0-1
1960-06-16 Valerenga W 4-245.5 1161 1152 47.59% 22.27% 30.13%+0.33 +11.2 1-0
1960-06-16 @ Eik Tonsberg L 2-445.5 1152 1161 30.13% 22.27% 47.59%-0.33 -11.2 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-10-11 16.33% Rapid Moss 1053 2 @ Skeid 1196 1
2 1960-05-29 18.96% Rapid Moss 1073 2 @ Eik Tonsberg 1185 1
3 1959-10-04 21.25% Skeid 1157 5 @ Fredrikstad 1244 1
4 1960-05-28 22.58% Greaker 1108 5 @ Valerenga 1183 1
5 1960-06-12 23.17% @ Brann 1016 4 Larvik Turn 1196 1
6 1960-06-12 23.60% Lillestrom 1138 4 @ Viking 1203 0
7 1960-06-12 25.89% @ Raufoss 1017 2 Eik Tonsberg 1172 1
8 1960-05-22 25.92% Rapid Moss 1062 2 @ Strommen 1106 1
9 1959-10-04 26.21% Rapid Moss 1041 1 @ Brage 1082 0
10 1960-06-12 27.68% Strommen 1103 3 @ IF Odd 1131 2
11 1960-05-08 27.77% Greaker 1060 3 @ Brann 1088 0
12 1959-09-06 28.36% Viking 1137 3 @ Larvik Turn 1160 1
13 1959-07-26 28.51% Eik Tonsberg 1116 2 @ Strommen 1137 1
14 1959-09-27 28.83% Lillestrom 1094 2 @ Sandefjord 1113 0
15 1959-09-06 29.49% Lillestrom 1084 2 @ Brann 1098 1
16 1960-05-01 29.91% Brann 1062 4 @ Start 1073 1
17 1959-07-26 31.75% Viking 1138 3 @ Start 1135 2
18 1959-08-16 32.38% Eik Tonsberg 1133 1 @ IF Odd 1125 0
19 1959-08-16 32.89% Brann 1097 1 @ Greaker 1085 0
20 1960-05-01 33.82% Skeid 1182 2 @ IF Odd 1163 1
21 1959-10-11 34.14% Sandefjord 1092 1 @ Brann 1070 0
22 1959-10-25 34.31% IF Odd 1153 1 @ Strommen 1130 0
23 1959-07-26 34.48% Fredrikstad 1159 4 @ Brage 1135 0
24 1959-08-23 35.17% Valerenga 1137 1 @ Brann 1108 0
25 1959-09-27 35.56% Larvik Turn 1141 2 @ Start 1109 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-06-12 44.52 Lillestrom 4 1138 23.60% @ Viking 0 1203 54.33% 22.07%
2 1959-10-04 38.70 Skeid 5 1157 21.25% @ Fredrikstad 1 1244 56.81% 21.94%
3 1960-05-28 37.78 Greaker 5 1108 22.58% @ Valerenga 1 1183 55.40% 22.02%
4 1959-07-26 36.41 Fredrikstad 4 1159 34.48% @ Brage 0 1135 43.20% 22.32%
5 1960-05-15 33.92 @ Valerenga 7 1149 57.35% Brann 0 1056 20.74% 21.91%
6 1960-06-12 33.78 Fredrikstad 4 1260 38.33% @ Skeid 0 1208 39.35% 22.32%
7 1960-05-08 31.60 Greaker 3 1060 27.77% @ Brann 0 1088 50.01% 22.22%
8 1959-08-02 31.36 @ Larvik Turn 4 1127 41.90% Valerenga 0 1160 35.78% 22.32%
9 1960-05-08 30.71 @ Viking 4 1153 42.84% Valerenga 0 1180 34.84% 22.32%
10 1959-08-23 30.68 @ IF Odd 5 1114 50.96% Rapid Moss 0 1078 26.85% 22.19%
11 1960-05-22 30.47 @ Greaker 5 1078 51.18% Start 0 1040 26.63% 22.19%
12 1960-06-12 29.01 @ Brann 4 1016 23.17% Larvik Turn 1 1196 55.01% 21.82%
13 1960-05-01 25.62 Brann 4 1062 29.91% @ Start 1 1073 47.83% 22.27%
14 1959-08-16 25.61 @ Strommen 4 1114 49.98% Raufoss 0 1087 27.80% 22.22%
15 1960-05-01 23.49 Fredrikstad 3 1203 42.89% @ Strommen 0 1120 34.84% 22.27%
16 1959-09-27 23.42 @ Skeid 6 1133 53.54% Raufoss 1 1076 24.36% 22.10%
17 1959-09-27 21.33 Lillestrom 2 1094 28.83% @ Sandefjord 0 1113 48.92% 22.25%
18 1959-07-26 21.15 @ IF Odd 3 1114 47.20% Raufoss 0 1108 30.52% 22.28%
19 1960-05-08 20.91 @ Eik Tonsberg 5 1187 50.68% IF Odd 1 1153 27.12% 22.20%
20 1959-08-23 20.66 @ Raufoss 4 1061 40.95% Brage 1 1101 36.72% 22.32%
21 1959-09-06 20.66 @ Valerenga 3 1147 48.09% Sandefjord 0 1134 29.65% 22.26%
22 1959-08-23 19.66 Larvik Turn 5 1140 36.27% @ Lillestrom 2 1103 41.41% 22.32%
23 1959-09-06 19.59 @ Eik Tonsberg 4 1130 43.37% Skeid 1 1153 34.31% 22.32%
24 1959-07-26 19.38 @ Valerenga 3 1141 50.38% Lillestrom 0 1110 27.41% 22.21%
25 1959-09-27 18.80 Larvik Turn 2 1141 35.56% @ Start 0 1109 42.12% 22.32%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-05-29 64.9 @ Raufoss 4 1016 21.83% Skeid 4 1209 56.45% 21.72%
2 1959-10-04 62.4 @ Valerenga 3 1183 57.28% Start 3 1091 20.80% 21.91%
3 1959-09-27 57.8 @ Strommen 2 1148 54.67% Brage 2 1081 23.28% 22.05%
4 1959-07-26 57.7 @ Sandefjord 2 1097 47.60% Brann 2 1088 30.13% 22.27%
5 1959-09-27 57.7 @ Rapid Moss 2 1040 31.39% Eik Tonsberg 2 1150 46.42% 22.19%
6 1960-05-15 57.7 @ Brage 2 1060 52.45% Raufoss 2 1012 25.40% 22.14%
7 1960-05-29 54.9 Strommen 4 1094 37.41% @ Brage 3 1049 40.26% 22.32%
8 1960-06-12 54.4 Strommen 3 1103 27.68% @ IF Odd 2 1131 50.10% 22.22%
9 1959-07-26 53.2 Viking 3 1138 31.75% @ Start 2 1135 45.95% 22.30%
10 1960-05-22 53.1 @ Fredrikstad 1 1252 69.36% Raufoss 1 1013 10.13% 20.51%
11 1959-10-11 52.8 @ Fredrikstad 1 1206 61.49% Brage 1 1070 16.92% 21.59%
12 1959-09-27 52.7 @ IF Odd 1 1145 32.58% Fredrikstad 1 1245 45.20% 22.22%
13 1959-10-11 52.7 @ Larvik Turn 1 1177 60.78% Greaker 1 1049 17.56% 21.66%
14 1960-04-24 52.7 @ Viking 1 1174 59.47% Brann 1 1060 18.77% 21.76%
15 1960-05-28 52.7 @ Brann 1 1015 22.15% Viking 1 1204 56.10% 21.75%
16 1959-08-23 52.6 @ Viking 1 1138 54.26% Greaker 1 1074 23.67% 22.07%
17 1959-08-23 52.6 @ Skeid 1 1154 48.24% Strommen 1 1140 29.50% 22.26%
18 1959-10-11 52.6 Rapid Moss 2 1053 16.33% @ Skeid 1 1196 62.14% 21.53%
19 1960-05-08 52.6 @ Lillestrom 1 1133 56.63% Start 1 1047 21.41% 21.95%
20 1959-08-02 52.5 @ Raufoss 1 1087 45.32% Rapid Moss 1 1096 32.38% 22.30%
21 1959-09-06 52.5 @ Brage 1 1081 37.56% IF Odd 1 1145 40.14% 22.31%
22 1960-04-30 52.5 @ Greaker 1 1060 37.47% Lillestrom 1 1125 40.23% 22.31%
23 1960-05-15 52.5 @ Rapid Moss 1 1062 36.63% IF Odd 1 1132 41.08% 22.30%
24 1960-05-22 52.5 @ Sandefjord 1 1107 35.83% Valerenga 1 1183 41.88% 22.29%
25 1960-05-29 51.8 Rapid Moss 2 1073 18.96% @ Eik Tonsberg 1 1185 59.26% 21.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-05-08 28.1 @ Fredrikstad 4 1227 62.70% Rapid Moss 0 1077 15.82% 21.48%
2 1960-05-15 31.1 @ Valerenga 7 1149 57.35% Brann 0 1056 20.74% 21.91%
3 1959-10-04 31.3 @ Larvik Turn 3 1160 55.26% Brann 0 1087 22.72% 22.02%
4 1960-05-22 31.6 @ Greaker 5 1078 51.18% Start 0 1040 26.63% 22.19%
5 1959-08-23 31.7 @ IF Odd 5 1114 50.96% Rapid Moss 0 1078 26.85% 22.19%
6 1959-08-16 31.9 @ Strommen 4 1114 49.98% Raufoss 0 1087 27.80% 22.22%
7 1960-05-28 32.0 @ Larvik Turn 5 1184 64.78% Start 1 1010 13.99% 21.24%
8 1960-06-12 32.2 @ Rapid Moss 3 1086 52.07% Brage 0 1041 25.78% 22.16%
9 1960-05-15 32.4 @ Larvik Turn 3 1173 51.63% Lillestrom 0 1131 26.20% 22.17%
10 1959-07-26 32.7 @ Valerenga 3 1141 50.38% Lillestrom 0 1110 27.41% 22.21%
11 1959-09-06 33.4 @ Valerenga 3 1147 48.09% Sandefjord 0 1134 29.65% 22.26%
12 1959-07-26 33.7 @ IF Odd 3 1114 47.20% Raufoss 0 1108 30.52% 22.28%
13 1960-05-08 34.1 @ Viking 4 1153 42.84% Valerenga 0 1180 34.84% 22.32%
14 1959-08-02 34.3 @ Larvik Turn 4 1127 41.90% Valerenga 0 1160 35.78% 22.32%
15 1959-09-27 34.4 @ Skeid 6 1133 53.54% Raufoss 1 1076 24.36% 22.10%
16 1960-05-08 34.8 @ Skeid 1 1192 60.70% Brage 0 1065 17.64% 21.66%
17 1960-05-01 35.0 Fredrikstad 3 1203 42.89% @ Strommen 0 1120 34.84% 22.27%
18 1959-10-11 35.1 @ Viking 5 1155 54.22% Start 1 1092 23.71% 22.07%
19 1959-10-04 35.7 @ Eik Tonsberg 4 1149 57.78% Raufoss 1 1052 20.34% 21.88%
20 1960-06-12 35.7 Fredrikstad 4 1260 38.33% @ Skeid 0 1208 39.35% 22.32%
21 1959-08-23 36.3 @ Fredrikstad 4 1226 56.22% Eik Tonsberg 1 1144 21.81% 21.97%
22 1960-05-08 36.3 @ Eik Tonsberg 5 1187 50.68% IF Odd 1 1153 27.12% 22.20%
23 1959-09-27 36.4 Valerenga 2 1167 45.60% @ Greaker 0 1064 32.19% 22.21%
24 1960-06-15 * 36.5 @ Fredrikstad 6 1293 59.18% Lillestrom 2 1182 19.04% 21.79%
25 1959-07-26 36.6 Fredrikstad 4 1159 34.48% @ Brage 0 1135 43.20% 22.32%