Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1960-61

1960-61 Main League Season

112 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

5.57 points above expected

22 points · 16.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stavanger

4.73 points below expected

11 points · 15.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 10 2 2 22 43 21 +22 16.4 +5.57
2 Eik Tonsberg 14 8 2 4 18 35 21 +14 14.5 +3.48
3 Lyn Oslo 14 7 3 4 17 41 27 +14 18.5 -1.47
4 Rosenborg 14 6 4 4 16 28 28 0 16.9 -0.88
5 Greaker 14 8 0 6 16 22 26 -4 13.2 +2.78
6 Valerenga 14 6 2 6 14 24 17 +7 13.1 +0.95
7 Sandefjord 14 6 2 6 14 34 32 +2 12.3 +1.65
8 Viking 14 5 4 5 14 24 24 0 13.8 +0.20
9 Larvik Turn 14 4 6 4 14 24 30 -6 14.1 -0.05
10 IF Odd 14 4 5 5 13 26 29 -3 12.0 +1.03
11 Lisleby 14 5 3 6 13 20 26 -6 15.4 -2.45
12 Skeid 14 3 6 5 12 21 20 +1 13.0 -1.02
13 Lillestrom 14 4 3 7 11 29 33 -4 13.0 -1.97
14 Strommen 14 3 5 6 11 16 22 -6 11.5 -0.52
15 Stavanger 14 3 5 6 11 15 23 -8 15.7 -4.73
16 Rapid Moss 14 3 2 9 8 19 42 -23 10.6 -2.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Valerenga 6
Lyn Oslo 4

Sim: 104.0%

Fredrikstad 2
Eik Tonsberg 0

Sim: 252.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1507 22 16.43 +5.57 98.1% 4 11 14 16 19 21 26
Lyn Oslo 1499 17 18.47 -1.47 35.9% 7 13 17 19 21 23 28
Rosenborg 1469 16 16.88 -0.88 43.9% 6 12 15 17 19 22 27
Lisleby 1427 13 15.45 -2.45 25.5% 4 10 13 15 18 20 25
Stavanger 1426 11 15.73 -4.73 8.2% 5 11 14 16 18 21 26
Eik Tonsberg 1422 18 14.52 +3.48 90.8% 4 10 13 14 17 19 25
Valerenga 1408 14 13.05 +0.95 68.2% 1 8 11 13 15 18 25
Viking 1390 14 13.80 +0.20 59.3% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Skeid 1383 12 13.02 -1.02 43.3% 2 8 11 13 15 18 23
Sandefjord 1368 14 12.35 +1.65 76.2% 1 7 10 12 14 17 24
Greaker 1367 16 13.22 +2.78 86.1% 1 8 11 13 15 18 24
Larvik Turn 1364 14 14.05 -0.05 55.8% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
IF Odd 1363 13 11.97 +1.03 69.6% 1 7 10 12 14 17 24
Lillestrom 1350 11 12.97 -1.97 31.2% 4 8 11 13 15 18 24
Strommen 1335 11 11.52 -0.52 50.5% 2 7 9 11 14 17 23
Rapid Moss 1284 8 10.56 -2.56 24.7% 1 6 9 10 12 16 23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ET FRE GRE IO LT LIL LIS LO RM ROS SAN SKE STA STR VAL VIK
Eik Tonsberg
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
3.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
1.77
2-0-0
3.44
0-0-2
2.25
2-0-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fredrikstad
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.19
Greaker
2-0-0
2.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
1.99
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
IF Odd
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.07
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
1.90
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.28
Larvik Turn
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.36
0-2-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.81
1-1-0
2.69
Lillestrom
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lisleby
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.88
Lyn Oslo
0-0-2
3.65
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.73
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.93
0-2-0
3.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Rapid Moss
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Rosenborg
2-0-0
3.13
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
3.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.93
0-1-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.44
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandefjord
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.53
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Skeid
0-2-0
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
1.68
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Stavanger
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.49
0-2-0
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
3.17
Strommen
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
1.95
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.35
Valerenga
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.49
Viking
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.18
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.87

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.68%4.46%2.68%5.36%1.79%16.96%
14.46%9.82%8.93%2.23%2.23%2.23%29.91%
22.68%8.93%8.93%1.79%1.79%2.23%26.34%
35.36%2.23%1.79%0.89%1.34%0.89%12.50%
41.79%2.23%1.79%1.34%0.89%8.04%
5+2.23%2.23%0.89%0.89%6.25%
Total16.96%29.91%26.34%12.50%8.04%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.88
Mean allowed1.88
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.76
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.016
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%
221.43%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total64.29%28.57%7.14%100%

Eik Tonsberg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored2.18
StdDev allowed0.85
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.062
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
421.43%7.14%28.57%
5+7.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.07
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.77
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game4.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.301
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%21.43%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%21.43%21.43%21.43%14.29%100%

Greaker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.173
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game3.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.335
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
214.29%21.43%35.71%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total7.14%35.71%42.86%14.29%100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed2.03
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.085
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%
114.29%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total14.29%14.29%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed2.36
StdDev scored1.73
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.218
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
114.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%7.14%64.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total21.43%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Lisleby — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored0.65
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.067
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%21.43%7.14%100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.98
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game4.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.383
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%35.71%
221.43%7.14%14.29%7.14%50.00%
3
4
5+
Total35.71%14.29%28.57%21.43%100%

Rapid Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed3.00
StdDev scored0.74
StdDev allowed2.42
Mean total goals/game4.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total28.57%14.29%21.43%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.80
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.247
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
2
328.57%28.57%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%28.57%7.14%28.57%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed2.29
StdDev scored1.74
StdDev allowed1.77
Mean total goals/game4.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.117
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
121.43%14.29%35.71%
221.43%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%35.71%42.86%7.14%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed0.85
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.590
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Stavanger — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.018
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%28.57%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
3
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total14.29%42.86%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.056
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
17.14%7.14%21.43%35.71%
214.29%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total21.43%42.86%28.57%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored2.16
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.085
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%21.43%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.86
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.039
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 22 16.4 +5.57
2 Eik Tonsberg 18 14.5 +3.48
3 Greaker 16 13.2 +2.78
4 Sandefjord 14 12.3 +1.65
5 IF Odd 13 12.0 +1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stavanger 11 15.7 -4.73
2 Rapid Moss 8 10.6 -2.56
3 Lisleby 13 15.4 -2.45
4 Lillestrom 11 13.0 -1.97
5 Lyn Oslo 17 18.5 -1.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greaker 4 Aug 18 – Oct 2 1 in 82
2 Larvik Turn 3 Oct 9 – Apr 30 1 in 45
3 Valerenga 3 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 39
4 Viking 3 Aug 17 – Sep 11 1 in 32
5 Eik Tonsberg 4 May 11 – May 28 1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 4 Oct 16 – May 14 1 in 108
2 Greaker 4 Oct 9 – May 7 1 in 76
3 Sandefjord 4 May 7 – May 22 1 in 51
4 Rosenborg 3 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 47
5 Lillestrom 3 May 28 – Jun 11 1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Strommen 4 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 15
2 Valerenga 5 Aug 17 – Oct 9 1 in 10
3 Sandefjord 4 Jul 31 – Aug 21 1 in 9
4 Viking 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 8
5 Larvik Turn 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisleby 6 Aug 17 – Oct 16 1 in 23
2 Stavanger 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 17
3 Skeid 6 Aug 17 – Apr 30 1 in 13
4 Valerenga 6 Oct 16 – Jun 4 1 in 11
5 Lyn Oslo 3 Aug 7 – Aug 21 1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad34.54%21.43%15.09%10.79%7.62%5.34%3.36%1.83%
Eik Tonsberg10.21%16.14%19.63%17.32%14.25%10.41%7.88%4.16%
Lyn Oslo52.48%24.36%11.19%5.96%3.12%1.87%0.78%0.24%
Rosenborg24.39%28.36%18.41%11.80%7.94%5.14%2.85%1.11%
Greaker3.61%8.08%12.54%14.78%16.82%17.10%15.85%11.22%
Valerenga6.25%9.15%11.68%14.30%14.88%14.84%15.74%13.16%
Sandefjord2.30%6.17%10.28%13.18%16.06%17.83%18.30%15.88%
Viking8.52%12.28%13.09%14.29%14.85%14.29%12.56%10.12%
Larvik Turn9.01%11.58%13.81%14.20%14.64%14.55%12.51%9.70%
IF Odd2.78%5.36%6.87%10.01%12.60%16.60%21.36%24.42%
Lisleby17.17%18.15%16.92%14.08%12.46%9.52%7.12%4.58%
Skeid3.58%8.04%12.56%16.02%16.07%16.44%15.61%11.68%
Lillestrom2.91%7.09%11.81%14.89%16.44%17.51%17.07%12.28%
Strommen2.17%3.82%6.01%8.22%11.24%15.80%20.87%31.87%
Stavanger19.56%18.23%16.53%14.11%11.71%9.06%6.48%4.32%
Rapid Moss0.52%1.76%3.58%6.05%9.30%13.70%21.66%43.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Valerenga 6
Lyn Oslo 4

Sim: 104.0%

Fredrikstad 2
Eik Tonsberg 0

Sim: 252.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Lyn Oslo 46.5% 1.0%
Rosenborg 71.7% 4.0%
Fredrikstad 60.3% 5.2%
Stavanger 69.6% 10.8%
Lisleby 71.1% 11.7%
Eik Tonsberg 77.8% 12.0%
Larvik Turn 68.8% 22.2%
Viking 68.8% 22.7%
Greaker 69.3% 27.1%
Skeid 69.1% 27.3%
Valerenga 64.8% 28.9%
Lillestrom 67.7% 29.3%
Sandefjord 63.5% 34.2%
IF Odd 51.4% 45.8%
Strommen 45.1% 52.7%
Rapid Moss 34.4% 65.1%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Eik TonsbergFredrikstadGreakerIF OddLarvik TurnLillestromLislebyLyn OsloRapid MossRosenborgSandefjordSkeidStavangerStrommenValerengaViking
Eik Tonsberg108.00%16.00%61.00%94.00%86.00%8.00%37.00%34.00%
Fredrikstad252.00%87.00%85.00%842.00%13.00%485.00%58.00%74.00%
Greaker44.00%4.00%22.00%31.00%25.00%4.00%5.00%15.00%
IF Odd12.00%4.00%3.00%42.00%25.00%3.00%3.00%
Larvik Turn35.00%27.00%11.00%123.00%1.00%74.00%10.00%11.00%
Lillestrom25.00%4.00%10.00%21.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%13.00%
Lisleby89.00%28.00%31.00%341.00%10.00%163.00%24.00%32.00%
Lyn Oslo940.00%112.00%344.00%543.00%666.00%88.00%228.00%312.00%
Rapid Moss3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Rosenborg378.00%40.00%140.00%248.00%264.00%38.00%89.00%127.00%
Sandefjord23.00%1.00%12.00%18.00%18.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%
Skeid37.00%9.00%17.00%44.00%30.00%7.00%13.00%10.00%
Stavanger108.00%31.00%34.00%372.00%13.00%223.00%30.00%39.00%
Strommen10.00%2.00%1.00%25.00%1.00%18.00%1.00%3.00%
Valerenga36.00%15.00%15.00%104.00%3.00%51.00%2.00%14.00%
Viking35.00%17.00%9.00%166.00%3.00%76.00%9.00%15.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 64.0%
Eik Tonsberg 36.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Eik TonsbergFredrikstad
Eik Tonsberg36.00%
Fredrikstad64.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1960-07-31 Lillestrom W 4-2 1375 1365 38.6% 32.0% 29.4% +7.7 3
1960-07-31 @ Greaker L 2-4 1365 1375 29.4% 32.0% 38.6% -7.7 0
1960-07-31 Fredrikstad D 2-2 1388 1425 32.1% 32.1% 35.8% +0.1 1
1960-07-31 @ Larvik Turn D 2-2 1425 1388 35.8% 32.1% 32.1% -0.1 1
1960-07-31 IF Odd D 2-2 1456 1362 49.8% 29.9% 20.4% -0.7 1
1960-07-31 @ Lisleby D 2-2 1362 1456 20.4% 29.9% 49.8% +0.7 1
1960-07-31 Rapid Moss W 8-2 1502 1345 57.5% 26.8% 15.8% +10.8 3
1960-07-31 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-8 1345 1502 15.8% 26.8% 57.5% -10.8 0
1960-07-31 Sandefjord D 4-4 1476 1341 54.9% 28.0% 17.2% -0.7 1
1960-07-31 @ Rosenborg D 4-4 1341 1476 17.2% 28.0% 54.9% +0.7 1
1960-07-31 Valerenga L 1-2 1476 1367 51.7% 29.2% 19.1% -7.5 0
1960-07-31 @ Stavanger W 2-1 1367 1476 19.1% 29.2% 51.7% +7.5 3
1960-07-31 Viking L 0-4 1353 1376 33.9% 32.1% 34.0% -20.7 0
1960-07-31 @ Strommen W 4-0 1376 1353 34.0% 32.1% 33.9% +20.7 3
1960-08-02 Eik Tonsberg D 1-1 1376 1379 36.8% 32.1% 31.1% -0.2 1
1960-08-02 @ Skeid D 1-1 1379 1376 31.1% 32.1% 36.8% +0.2 1
1960-08-07 Lyn Oslo W 5-2 1379 1513 21.2% 29.5% 49.3% +15.2 4
1960-08-07 @ Eik Tonsberg L 2-5 1513 1379 49.3% 29.5% 21.2% -15.2 3
1960-08-07 Strommen W 3-0 1425 1332 49.6% 29.9% 20.5% +10.8 4
1960-08-07 @ Fredrikstad L 0-3 1332 1425 20.5% 29.9% 49.6% -10.8 0
1960-08-07 Rosenborg D 2-2 1358 1476 22.7% 30.2% 47.1% +0.6 1
1960-08-07 @ Lillestrom D 2-2 1476 1358 47.1% 30.2% 22.7% -0.6 2
1960-08-07 Stavanger D 1-1 1362 1469 23.8% 30.6% 45.6% +0.7 2
1960-08-07 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1469 1362 45.6% 30.6% 23.8% -0.7 1
1960-08-07 Skeid L 1-3 1334 1375 31.4% 32.0% 36.5% -9.0 0
1960-08-07 @ Rapid Moss W 3-1 1375 1334 36.5% 32.0% 31.4% +9.0 4
1960-08-07 Greaker W 4-3 1341 1383 31.4% 32.0% 36.6% +5.3 4
1960-08-07 @ Sandefjord L 3-4 1383 1341 36.6% 32.0% 31.4% -5.3 3
1960-08-07 Lisleby L 1-2 1374 1455 26.6% 31.3% 42.1% -4.6 3
1960-08-07 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1455 1374 42.1% 31.3% 26.6% +4.6 4
1960-08-07 Larvik Turn D 1-1 1397 1389 38.4% 32.0% 29.6% -0.3 4
1960-08-07 @ Viking D 1-1 1389 1397 29.6% 32.0% 38.4% +0.3 2
1960-08-17 IF Odd W 2-1 1389 1363 40.8% 31.8% 27.4% +4.7 5
1960-08-17 @ Larvik Turn L 1-2 1363 1389 27.4% 31.8% 40.8% -4.7 2
1960-08-17 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1460 1435 40.6% 31.8% 27.6% -15.2 4
1960-08-17 @ Lisleby W 4-1 1435 1460 27.6% 31.8% 40.6% +15.2 7
1960-08-17 Eik Tonsberg W 4-3 1475 1394 48.1% 30.4% 21.5% +3.6 5
1960-08-17 @ Rosenborg L 3-4 1394 1475 21.5% 30.4% 48.1% -3.6 4
1960-08-17 Sandefjord L 0-3 1384 1347 42.4% 31.6% 26.0% -18.7 4
1960-08-17 @ Skeid W 3-0 1347 1384 26.0% 31.6% 42.4% +18.6 7
1960-08-17 Viking L 0-1 1468 1397 46.9% 30.7% 22.4% -7.4 1
1960-08-17 @ Stavanger W 1-0 1397 1468 22.4% 30.7% 46.9% +7.3 7
1960-08-17 Valerenga L 0-1 1321 1370 30.5% 31.9% 37.6% -5.4 0
1960-08-17 @ Strommen W 1-0 1370 1321 37.6% 31.9% 30.5% +5.4 6
1960-08-18 Rapid Moss W 2-1 1377 1325 44.4% 31.3% 24.4% +4.3 6
1960-08-18 @ Greaker L 1-2 1325 1377 24.4% 31.3% 44.4% -4.3 0
1960-08-18 Lillestrom D 3-3 1498 1358 55.4% 27.8% 16.9% -0.8 4
1960-08-18 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-3 1358 1498 16.9% 27.8% 55.4% +0.8 2
1960-08-21 Greaker L 0-1 1390 1382 38.4% 32.0% 29.5% -6.3 4
1960-08-21 @ Eik Tonsberg W 1-0 1382 1390 29.5% 32.0% 38.4% +6.3 9
1960-08-21 Stavanger W 5-1 1450 1461 35.8% 32.1% 32.1% +16.7 10
1960-08-21 @ Fredrikstad L 1-5 1461 1450 32.1% 32.1% 35.8% -16.6 1
1960-08-21 Skeid D 2-2 1497 1366 54.4% 28.2% 17.5% -0.9 5
1960-08-21 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1366 1497 17.5% 28.2% 54.4% +0.9 5
1960-08-21 Valerenga D 0-0 1358 1375 34.9% 32.1% 33.0% -0.1 3
1960-08-21 @ IF Odd D 0-0 1375 1358 33.0% 32.1% 34.9% +0.1 7
1960-08-21 Rosenborg L 0-1 1321 1479 19.3% 28.4% 52.3% -3.7 0
1960-08-21 @ Rapid Moss W 1-0 1479 1321 52.3% 28.4% 19.3% +3.7 8
1960-08-21 Lillestrom D 5-5 1365 1359 38.1% 32.1% 29.9% -0.1 8
1960-08-21 @ Sandefjord D 5-5 1359 1365 29.9% 32.1% 38.1% +0.1 3
1960-08-21 Larvik Turn D 2-2 1316 1393 26.9% 31.4% 41.7% +0.3 1
1960-08-21 @ Strommen D 2-2 1393 1316 41.7% 31.4% 26.9% -0.3 6
1960-08-21 Lisleby W 3-1 1404 1444 31.6% 32.0% 36.4% +9.9 10
1960-08-21 @ Viking L 1-3 1444 1404 36.4% 32.0% 31.6% -9.9 4
1960-09-04 Greaker L 1-2 1367 1388 34.2% 32.1% 33.7% -5.5 5
1960-09-04 @ Skeid W 2-1 1388 1367 33.7% 32.1% 34.2% +5.5 12
1960-09-11 Stavanger D 0-0 1393 1444 30.2% 31.9% 37.9% +0.3 7
1960-09-11 @ Larvik Turn D 0-0 1444 1393 37.9% 31.9% 30.2% -0.3 2
1960-09-11 Eik Tonsberg L 1-2 1359 1384 33.7% 32.1% 34.2% -5.4 3
1960-09-11 @ Lillestrom W 2-1 1384 1359 34.2% 32.1% 33.7% +5.4 7
1960-09-11 Strommen D 1-1 1434 1316 52.8% 28.8% 18.4% -1.2 5
1960-09-11 @ Lisleby D 1-1 1316 1434 18.4% 28.8% 52.8% +1.2 2
1960-09-11 Sandefjord W 2-1 1317 1365 30.6% 31.9% 37.5% +5.8 3
1960-09-11 @ Rapid Moss L 1-2 1365 1317 37.5% 31.9% 30.6% -5.9 8
1960-09-11 Lyn Oslo L 1-5 1482 1496 35.2% 32.1% 32.6% -17.8 8
1960-09-11 @ Rosenborg W 5-1 1496 1482 32.6% 32.1% 35.2% +17.8 8
1960-09-11 Fredrikstad W 4-2 1375 1467 25.3% 31.0% 43.6% +10.1 10
1960-09-11 @ Valerenga L 2-4 1467 1375 43.6% 31.0% 25.3% -10.1 10
1960-09-11 IF Odd W 2-0 1414 1358 44.8% 31.2% 24.0% +8.5 13
1960-09-11 @ Viking L 0-2 1358 1414 24.0% 31.2% 44.8% -8.5 3
1960-10-02 Rapid Moss W 8-1 1390 1323 46.2% 30.9% 22.9% +21.6 10
1960-10-02 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-8 1323 1390 22.9% 30.9% 46.2% -21.6 3
1960-10-02 Viking W 4-1 1457 1422 42.0% 31.7% 26.3% +11.2 13
1960-10-02 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1422 1457 26.3% 31.7% 42.0% -11.2 13
1960-10-02 Rosenborg W 3-2 1394 1465 27.7% 31.6% 40.8% +5.9 15
1960-10-02 @ Greaker L 2-3 1465 1394 40.8% 31.6% 27.7% -5.9 8
1960-10-02 Valerenga L 1-2 1393 1385 38.4% 32.0% 29.6% -6.0 7
1960-10-02 @ Larvik Turn W 2-1 1385 1393 29.6% 32.0% 38.4% +6.0 13
1960-10-02 Sandefjord W 4-1 1514 1359 57.1% 26.9% 15.9% +7.1 11
1960-10-02 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-4 1359 1514 15.9% 26.9% 57.1% -7.1 8
1960-10-02 Lillestrom L 1-2 1361 1354 38.3% 32.0% 29.7% -6.0 5
1960-10-02 @ Skeid W 2-1 1354 1361 29.7% 32.0% 38.3% +6.0 6
1960-10-02 Lisleby W 2-1 1444 1433 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% +4.9 5
1960-10-02 @ Stavanger L 1-2 1433 1444 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% -4.9 5
1960-10-09 Lyn Oslo L 1-3 1399 1521 22.3% 30.0% 47.6% -6.9 15
1960-10-09 @ Greaker W 3-1 1521 1399 47.6% 30.0% 22.3% +6.8 14
1960-10-09 Rapid Moss W 5-1 1360 1301 45.2% 31.1% 23.7% +13.3 9
1960-10-09 @ Lillestrom L 1-5 1301 1360 23.7% 31.1% 45.2% -13.3 3
1960-10-09 Larvik Turn L 1-3 1428 1387 42.9% 31.5% 25.6% -11.2 5
1960-10-09 @ Lisleby W 3-1 1387 1428 25.6% 31.5% 42.9% +11.2 10
1960-10-09 Strommen L 0-2 1449 1317 54.4% 28.2% 17.4% -15.5 5
1960-10-09 @ Stavanger W 2-0 1317 1449 17.4% 28.2% 54.4% +15.5 5
1960-10-09 Viking W 3-0 1391 1411 34.4% 32.1% 33.4% +15.7 16
1960-10-09 @ Valerenga L 0-3 1411 1391 33.4% 32.1% 34.4% -15.7 13
1960-10-16 Skeid D 2-2 1411 1355 44.9% 31.2% 24.0% -0.5 11
1960-10-16 @ Eik Tonsberg D 2-2 1355 1411 24.0% 31.2% 44.9% +0.5 6
1960-10-16 Larvik Turn L 1-2 1468 1399 46.6% 30.8% 22.6% -6.9 13
1960-10-16 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1399 1468 22.6% 30.8% 46.6% +6.9 13
1960-10-16 Greaker W 3-0 1373 1393 34.5% 32.1% 33.4% +15.7 12
1960-10-16 @ Lillestrom L 0-3 1393 1373 33.4% 32.1% 34.5% -15.7 15
1960-10-16 Lisleby D 1-1 1350 1417 28.1% 31.6% 40.2% +0.4 4
1960-10-16 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1417 1350 40.2% 31.6% 28.1% -0.4 6
1960-10-16 Lyn Oslo L 2-3 1288 1528 14.1% 23.6% 62.2% -2.3 3
1960-10-16 @ Rapid Moss W 3-2 1528 1288 62.2% 23.6% 14.1% +2.3 17
1960-10-16 Rosenborg W 5-2 1352 1459 23.8% 30.6% 45.6% +14.3 11
1960-10-16 @ Sandefjord L 2-5 1459 1352 45.6% 30.6% 23.8% -14.3 8
1960-10-16 Stavanger L 0-3 1407 1433 33.5% 32.1% 34.4% -15.7 16
1960-10-16 @ Valerenga W 3-0 1433 1407 34.4% 32.1% 33.5% +15.8 8
1960-10-16 Strommen D 1-1 1395 1333 45.7% 31.0% 23.3% -0.7 14
1960-10-16 @ Viking D 1-1 1333 1395 23.3% 31.0% 45.7% +0.7 6
1961-04-23 Fredrikstad L 3-4 1350 1461 23.4% 30.4% 46.2% -3.8 4
1961-04-23 @ IF Odd W 4-3 1461 1350 46.2% 30.4% 23.4% +3.8 16
1961-04-30 Sandefjord L 0-3 1377 1367 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% -17.4 15
1961-04-30 @ Greaker W 3-0 1367 1377 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% +17.4 14
1961-04-30 Viking W 4-2 1406 1395 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% +7.6 16
1961-04-30 @ Larvik Turn L 2-4 1395 1406 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% -7.6 14
1961-04-30 Valerenga W 1-0 1417 1391 40.8% 31.8% 27.4% +5.0 9
1961-04-30 @ Lisleby L 0-1 1391 1417 27.4% 31.8% 40.8% -5.0 16
1961-04-30 Eik Tonsberg L 1-3 1530 1411 52.9% 28.8% 18.3% -13.2 17
1961-04-30 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-1 1411 1530 18.3% 28.8% 52.9% +13.2 14
1961-04-30 Lillestrom W 3-0 1444 1389 44.8% 31.2% 24.0% +12.3 11
1961-04-30 @ Rosenborg L 0-3 1389 1444 24.0% 31.2% 44.8% -12.3 12
1961-04-30 Rapid Moss D 1-1 1356 1286 46.7% 30.8% 22.6% -0.8 7
1961-04-30 @ Skeid D 1-1 1286 1356 22.6% 30.8% 46.7% +0.8 4
1961-04-30 IF Odd L 2-4 1449 1346 50.8% 29.5% 19.7% -11.4 8
1961-04-30 @ Stavanger W 4-2 1346 1449 19.7% 29.5% 50.8% +11.4 7
1961-04-30 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1333 1465 21.4% 29.6% 49.0% -4.1 6
1961-04-30 @ Strommen W 1-0 1465 1333 49.0% 29.6% 21.4% +4.1 19
1961-05-07 Rosenborg L 0-2 1424 1457 32.6% 32.1% 35.3% -10.6 14
1961-05-07 @ Eik Tonsberg W 2-0 1457 1424 35.3% 32.1% 32.6% +10.6 14
1961-05-07 Lisleby W 5-2 1469 1422 43.7% 31.4% 24.9% +9.3 22
1961-05-07 @ Fredrikstad L 2-5 1422 1469 24.9% 31.4% 43.7% -9.3 9
1961-05-07 Lyn Oslo L 0-3 1376 1517 20.6% 29.2% 50.1% -10.7 12
1961-05-07 @ Lillestrom W 3-0 1517 1376 50.1% 29.2% 20.6% +10.7 20
1961-05-07 Larvik Turn W 5-3 1358 1413 29.6% 31.8% 38.5% +8.7 10
1961-05-07 @ IF Odd L 3-5 1413 1358 38.5% 31.8% 29.6% -8.7 16
1961-05-07 Greaker W 2-1 1287 1359 27.5% 31.5% 41.0% +6.2 7
1961-05-07 @ Rapid Moss L 1-2 1359 1287 41.0% 31.5% 27.5% -6.2 15
1961-05-07 Skeid L 0-4 1384 1355 41.2% 31.8% 27.0% -23.8 14
1961-05-07 @ Sandefjord W 4-0 1355 1384 27.0% 31.8% 41.2% +23.8 10
1961-05-07 Strommen L 0-1 1386 1329 45.0% 31.1% 23.9% -7.1 16
1961-05-07 @ Valerenga W 1-0 1329 1386 23.9% 31.1% 45.0% +7.1 9
1961-05-07 Stavanger W 3-0 1387 1438 30.2% 31.9% 37.9% +17.1 17
1961-05-07 @ Viking L 0-3 1438 1387 37.9% 31.9% 30.2% -17.1 8
1961-05-11 IF Odd W 5-2 1336 1367 33.0% 32.1% 34.9% +11.8 12
1961-05-11 @ Strommen L 2-5 1367 1336 34.9% 32.1% 33.0% -11.8 10
1961-05-11 Skeid W 1-0 1467 1379 49.0% 30.1% 20.8% +4.0 17
1961-05-11 @ Rosenborg L 0-1 1379 1467 20.8% 30.1% 49.0% -4.0 10
1961-05-11 Eik Tonsberg L 1-2 1360 1413 29.9% 31.9% 38.2% -5.0 14
1961-05-11 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1413 1360 38.2% 31.9% 29.9% +5.0 17
1961-05-14 Strommen D 1-1 1404 1348 44.9% 31.2% 24.0% -0.7 17
1961-05-14 @ Larvik Turn D 1-1 1348 1404 24.0% 31.2% 44.9% +0.7 13
1961-05-14 Sandefjord W 4-0 1366 1355 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% +18.7 15
1961-05-14 @ Lillestrom L 0-4 1355 1366 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% -18.7 14
1961-05-14 Viking W 1-0 1413 1404 38.4% 32.0% 29.6% +5.3 12
1961-05-14 @ Lisleby L 0-1 1404 1413 29.6% 32.0% 38.4% -5.3 17
1961-05-14 Eik Tonsberg L 2-3 1293 1418 22.0% 29.9% 48.1% -3.7 7
1961-05-14 @ Rapid Moss W 3-2 1418 1293 48.1% 29.9% 22.0% +3.7 20
1961-05-14 Greaker L 1-2 1471 1353 52.7% 28.8% 18.4% -7.6 17
1961-05-14 @ Rosenborg W 2-1 1353 1471 18.4% 28.8% 52.7% +7.6 18
1961-05-14 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1421 1478 29.3% 31.8% 38.9% +0.3 9
1961-05-14 @ Stavanger D 0-0 1478 1421 38.9% 31.8% 29.3% -0.3 23
1961-05-14 IF Odd L 1-2 1379 1355 40.6% 31.8% 27.6% -6.2 16
1961-05-14 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1355 1379 27.6% 31.8% 40.6% +6.2 13
1961-05-19 Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1375 1528 19.7% 28.6% 51.7% +0.8 11
1961-05-19 @ Skeid D 2-2 1528 1375 51.7% 28.6% 19.7% -0.8 21
1961-05-22 Sandefjord W 2-1 1422 1336 48.7% 30.2% 21.1% +3.8 23
1961-05-22 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-2 1336 1422 21.1% 30.2% 48.7% -3.8 14
1961-05-28 Lillestrom W 4-1 1426 1384 42.9% 31.5% 25.6% +10.9 26
1961-05-28 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-4 1384 1426 25.6% 31.5% 42.9% -10.9 15
1961-05-28 IF Odd W 4-1 1478 1361 52.6% 28.9% 18.5% +8.3 26
1961-05-28 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1361 1478 18.5% 28.9% 52.6% -8.2 13
1961-05-28 Skeid W 2-0 1361 1376 35.1% 32.1% 32.7% +10.7 21
1961-05-28 @ Greaker L 0-2 1376 1361 32.7% 32.1% 35.1% -10.7 11
1961-05-28 Lisleby L 0-2 1404 1418 35.2% 32.1% 32.6% -11.2 17
1961-05-28 @ Larvik Turn W 2-0 1418 1404 32.6% 32.1% 35.2% +11.2 15
1961-05-28 Rosenborg L 1-2 1527 1464 45.8% 30.9% 23.2% -6.8 21
1961-05-28 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1464 1527 23.2% 30.9% 45.8% +6.8 20
1961-05-28 Rapid Moss W 3-0 1333 1289 43.2% 31.5% 25.3% +12.9 17
1961-05-28 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1289 1333 25.3% 31.5% 43.2% -12.9 7
1961-05-28 Stavanger D 1-1 1349 1421 27.6% 31.5% 40.9% +0.4 14
1961-05-28 @ Strommen D 1-1 1421 1349 40.9% 31.5% 27.6% -0.4 10
1961-05-28 Valerenga D 1-1 1399 1373 40.8% 31.8% 27.4% -0.4 18
1961-05-28 @ Viking D 1-1 1373 1399 27.4% 31.8% 40.8% +0.4 17
1961-06-04 Valerenga W 2-1 1486 1373 52.1% 29.1% 18.8% +3.4 29
1961-06-04 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1373 1486 18.8% 29.1% 52.1% -3.4 17
1961-06-04 Greaker W 4-0 1520 1371 56.4% 27.3% 16.3% +11.2 24
1961-06-04 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-4 1371 1520 16.3% 27.3% 56.4% -11.2 21
1961-06-04 Viking D 2-2 1353 1399 30.9% 32.0% 37.2% +0.1 14
1961-06-04 @ IF Odd D 2-2 1399 1353 37.2% 32.0% 30.9% -0.1 19
1961-06-04 Lillestrom W 2-1 1276 1374 24.8% 30.9% 44.4% +6.6 10
1961-06-04 @ Rapid Moss L 1-2 1374 1276 44.4% 30.9% 24.8% -6.6 15
1961-06-04 Rosenborg D 1-1 1365 1471 23.9% 30.6% 45.5% +0.7 12
1961-06-04 @ Skeid D 1-1 1471 1365 45.5% 30.6% 23.9% -0.7 21
1961-06-04 Larvik Turn D 2-2 1420 1393 41.1% 31.8% 27.1% -0.3 11
1961-06-04 @ Stavanger D 2-2 1393 1420 27.1% 31.8% 41.1% +0.3 18
1961-06-04 Lisleby L 2-3 1349 1429 26.7% 31.4% 42.0% -4.4 14
1961-06-04 @ Strommen W 3-2 1429 1349 42.0% 31.4% 26.7% +4.4 18
1961-06-11 Eik Tonsberg W 1-0 1360 1437 27.1% 31.4% 41.5% +6.7 24
1961-06-11 @ Greaker L 0-1 1437 1360 41.5% 31.4% 27.1% -6.7 26
1961-06-11 Skeid L 0-3 1367 1366 37.4% 32.1% 30.5% -17.0 15
1961-06-11 @ Lillestrom W 3-0 1366 1367 30.5% 32.1% 37.4% +17.0 15
1961-06-11 Stavanger L 1-2 1433 1420 39.1% 32.0% 28.9% -6.0 18
1961-06-11 @ Lisleby W 2-1 1420 1433 28.9% 32.0% 39.1% +6.0 14
1961-06-11 Strommen W 2-0 1353 1345 38.3% 32.0% 29.6% +10.0 17
1961-06-11 @ IF Odd L 0-2 1345 1353 29.6% 32.0% 38.3% -10.0 14
1961-06-11 Rapid Moss D 2-2 1470 1283 60.9% 25.0% 14.1% -1.2 22
1961-06-11 @ Rosenborg D 2-2 1283 1470 14.1% 25.0% 60.9% +1.2 11
1961-06-11 Lyn Oslo W 3-0 1345 1532 17.3% 26.9% 55.8% +22.8 20
1961-06-11 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1532 1345 55.8% 26.9% 17.3% -22.8 24
1961-06-11 Larvik Turn W 8-1 1370 1393 34.0% 32.1% 33.9% +28.9 20
1961-06-11 @ Valerenga L 1-8 1393 1370 33.9% 32.1% 34.0% -28.9 18
1961-06-11 Fredrikstad L 3-6 1398 1490 25.4% 31.0% 43.6% -8.7 19
1961-06-11 @ Viking W 6-3 1490 1398 43.6% 31.0% 25.4% +8.7 32

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1961-06-14 Lyn Oslo W 6-4 1399 1509 23.5% 30.4% 46.1% +9.6 1-0
1961-06-14 @ Valerenga L 4-6 1509 1399 46.1% 30.4% 23.5% -9.6 0-1
1961-06-16 Eik Tonsberg W 2-0 1498 1430 46.5% 30.8% 22.7% +8.1 1-0
1961-06-16 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1430 1498 22.7% 30.8% 46.5% -8.1 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-06-11 17.26% @ Sandefjord 1345 3 Lyn Oslo 1532 0
2 1960-10-09 17.45% Strommen 1317 2 @ Stavanger 1449 0
3 1961-04-30 18.32% Eik Tonsberg 1411 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1530 1
4 1961-05-14 18.44% Greaker 1353 2 @ Rosenborg 1471 1
5 1960-07-31 19.10% Valerenga 1367 2 @ Stavanger 1476 1
6 1961-04-30 19.65% IF Odd 1346 4 @ Stavanger 1449 2
7 1960-08-07 21.20% @ Eik Tonsberg 1379 5 Lyn Oslo 1513 2
8 1960-08-17 22.42% Viking 1397 1 @ Stavanger 1468 0
9 1960-10-16 22.62% Larvik Turn 1399 2 @ Fredrikstad 1468 1
10 1961-05-28 23.23% Rosenborg 1464 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1527 1
11 1961-06-14 * 23.48% @ Valerenga 1399 6 Lyn Oslo 1509 4
12 1960-10-16 23.81% @ Sandefjord 1352 5 Rosenborg 1459 2
13 1961-05-07 23.89% Strommen 1329 1 @ Valerenga 1386 0
14 1961-06-04 24.76% @ Rapid Moss 1276 2 Lillestrom 1374 1
15 1960-09-11 25.33% @ Valerenga 1375 4 Fredrikstad 1467 2
16 1960-10-09 25.62% Larvik Turn 1387 3 @ Lisleby 1428 1
17 1960-08-17 25.98% Sandefjord 1347 3 @ Skeid 1384 0
18 1961-05-07 27.01% Skeid 1355 4 @ Sandefjord 1384 0
19 1961-06-11 27.06% @ Greaker 1360 1 Eik Tonsberg 1437 0
20 1961-05-07 27.47% @ Rapid Moss 1287 2 Greaker 1359 1
21 1960-08-17 27.56% Fredrikstad 1435 4 @ Lisleby 1460 1
22 1961-05-14 27.56% IF Odd 1355 2 @ Valerenga 1379 1
23 1960-10-02 27.69% @ Greaker 1394 3 Rosenborg 1465 2
24 1961-06-11 28.95% Stavanger 1420 2 @ Lisleby 1433 1
25 1961-04-30 29.31% Sandefjord 1367 3 @ Greaker 1377 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-06-11 28.90 @ Valerenga 8 1370 33.99% Larvik Turn 1 1393 33.88%
2 1961-05-07 23.84 Skeid 4 1355 27.01% @ Sandefjord 0 1384 41.23%
3 1961-06-11 22.82 @ Sandefjord 3 1345 17.26% Lyn Oslo 0 1532 55.82%
4 1960-10-02 21.61 @ Eik Tonsberg 8 1390 46.24% Rapid Moss 1 1323 22.91%
5 1960-07-31 20.73 Viking 4 1376 33.98% @ Strommen 0 1353 33.89%
6 1961-05-14 18.73 @ Lillestrom 4 1366 38.71% Sandefjord 0 1355 29.28%
7 1960-08-17 18.65 Sandefjord 3 1347 25.98% @ Skeid 0 1384 42.42%
8 1960-09-11 17.75 Lyn Oslo 5 1496 32.61% @ Rosenborg 1 1482 35.25%
9 1961-04-30 17.41 Sandefjord 3 1367 29.31% @ Greaker 0 1377 38.67%
10 1961-05-07 17.13 @ Viking 3 1387 30.22% Stavanger 0 1438 37.87%
11 1961-06-11 17.01 Skeid 3 1366 30.51% @ Lillestrom 0 1367 37.40%
12 1960-08-21 16.65 @ Fredrikstad 5 1450 35.77% Stavanger 1 1461 32.09%
13 1960-10-16 15.75 Stavanger 3 1433 34.37% @ Valerenga 0 1407 33.50%
14 1960-10-09 15.73 @ Valerenga 3 1391 34.42% Viking 0 1411 33.44%
15 1960-10-16 15.71 @ Lillestrom 3 1373 34.46% Greaker 0 1393 33.39%
16 1960-10-09 15.52 Strommen 2 1317 17.45% @ Stavanger 0 1449 54.38%
17 1960-08-17 15.22 Fredrikstad 4 1435 27.56% @ Lisleby 1 1460 40.60%
18 1960-08-07 15.19 @ Eik Tonsberg 5 1379 21.20% Lyn Oslo 2 1513 49.31%
19 1960-10-16 14.33 @ Sandefjord 5 1352 23.81% Rosenborg 2 1459 45.62%
20 1960-10-09 13.30 @ Lillestrom 5 1360 45.16% Rapid Moss 1 1301 23.74%
21 1961-04-30 13.16 Eik Tonsberg 3 1411 18.32% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1530 52.92%
22 1961-05-28 12.87 @ Sandefjord 3 1333 43.18% Rapid Moss 0 1289 25.34%
23 1961-04-30 12.34 @ Rosenborg 3 1444 44.80% Lillestrom 0 1389 24.03%
24 1961-05-11 11.83 @ Strommen 5 1336 32.97% IF Odd 2 1367 34.93%
25 1961-04-30 11.42 IF Odd 4 1346 19.65% @ Stavanger 2 1449 50.83%