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1960-61 Main League Season

112 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

22 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 1959-60

Relegated

Rapid Moss

8 pts

Strommen · 11 pts

Stavanger · 11 pts

Lillestrom · 11 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

5.10 points above expected

22 points · 16.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stavanger

4.89 points below expected

11 points · 15.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad Champion 14 10 2 2 22 43 21 +22 16.90 +5.10
2 Valerenga 14 6 2 6 14 24 17 +7 12.85 +1.15
3 Viking 14 5 4 5 14 24 24 0 13.89 +0.11
4 Larvik Turn 14 4 6 4 14 24 30 -6 14.59 -0.59
5 IF Odd 14 4 5 5 13 26 29 -3 11.95 +1.05
6 Lisleby 14 5 3 6 13 20 26 -6 14.72 -1.72
7 Strommen Relegated 14 3 5 6 11 16 22 -6 11.21 -0.21
8 Stavanger Relegated 14 3 5 6 11 15 23 -8 15.89 -4.89
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Eik Tonsberg 14 8 2 4 18 35 21 +14 15.24 +2.76
2 Lyn Oslo 14 7 3 4 17 41 27 +14 18.03 -1.03
3 Rosenborg 14 6 4 4 16 28 28 0 17.00 -1.00
4 Greaker 14 8 0 6 16 22 26 -4 12.93 +3.07
5 Sandefjord 14 6 2 6 14 34 32 +2 11.87 +2.13
6 Skeid 14 3 6 5 12 21 20 +1 13.15 -1.15
7 Lillestrom Relegated 14 4 3 7 11 29 33 -4 13.22 -2.22
8 Rapid Moss Relegated 14 3 2 9 8 19 42 -23 10.56 -2.56

Notes

  • Fredrikstad defeated Elk 2-0 in the championship final to win the league title.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 22 16.90 +5.10
2 Greaker 16 12.93 +3.07
3 Eik Tonsberg 18 15.24 +2.76
4 Sandefjord 14 11.87 +2.13
5 Valerenga 14 12.85 +1.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stavanger 11 15.89 -4.89
2 Rapid Moss 8 10.56 -2.56
3 Lillestrom 11 13.22 -2.22
4 Lisleby 13 14.72 -1.72
5 Skeid 12 13.15 -1.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greaker 4 Aug 18 – Oct 2 1 in 54
2 Larvik Turn 3 Oct 9 – Apr 30 1 in 34
3 Valerenga 3 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 31
4 Viking 3 Aug 17 – Sep 11 1 in 21
5 Eik Tonsberg 4 May 11 – May 28 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 4 Oct 16 – May 14 1 in 72
2 Greaker 4 Oct 9 – May 7 1 in 56
3 Sandefjord 4 May 7 – May 22 1 in 35
4 Rosenborg 3 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 33
5 Lillestrom 3 May 28 – Jun 11 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Strommen 4 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 19
2 Valerenga 5 Aug 17 – Oct 9 1 in 15
3 Sandefjord 4 Jul 31 – Aug 21 1 in 12
4 Larvik Turn 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 10
5 Viking 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisleby 6 Aug 17 – Oct 16 1 in 24
2 Stavanger 5 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 22
3 Skeid 6 Aug 17 – Apr 30 1 in 21
4 Valerenga 6 Oct 16 – Jun 4 1 in 14
5 IF Odd 7 Jul 31 – Apr 23 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fredrikstad 1499 22 +24 9 6.3 +2.7
Eik Tonsberg 1421 18 +15 8 5.8 +2.2
Lyn Oslo 1495 17 -5 5 6.4 -1.4
Greaker 1368 16 +6 6 4.3 +1.7
Rosenborg 1464 16 +1 6 6.1 -0.1
Viking 1389 14 +1 4 4.9 -0.9
Sandefjord 1360 14 +6 4 4.4 -0.4
Valerenga 1387 14 +10 3 4.8 -1.8
Larvik Turn 1367 14 -42 2 5.2 -3.2
Lisleby 1411 13 +7 6 4.9 +1.1
IF Odd 1362 13 -3 5 4.6 +0.4
Skeid 1384 12 +4 4 4.1 -0.1
Stavanger 1429 11 -10 5 5.2 -0.2
Strommen 1334 11 -1 4 4.5 -0.5
Lillestrom 1352 11 -25 2 5.0 -3.0
Rapid Moss 1283 8 -2 5 3.8 +1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Group A

Team FRE IO LT LIS STA STR VAL VIK
Fredrikstad —
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.33
IF Odd
0-0-2
1.86
—
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.37
Larvik Turn
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
3.07
—
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.40
0-2-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
2.75
Lisleby
0-0-2
2.43
0-2-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.84
—
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.81
Stavanger
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
3.54
0-2-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.91
—
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
3.22
Strommen
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
1.99
—
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.40
Valerenga
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.09
—
1-1-0
2.51
Viking
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.99
—

Group B

Team ET GRE LIL LO RM ROS SAN SKE
Eik Tonsberg —
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
1.92
2-0-0
3.52
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-0
3.27
0-2-0
2.93
Greaker
2-0-0
2.45
—
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
2.09
0-0-2
3.03
2-0-0
2.76
Lillestrom
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.64
—
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.71
Lyn Oslo
0-0-2
3.59
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.67
—
2-0-0
4.08
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.91
0-2-0
3.68
Rapid Moss
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.46
—
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.24
Rosenborg
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
3.42
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.98
—
0-1-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.46
Sandefjord
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.62
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
1.85
—
1-0-1
2.63
Skeid
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
1.84
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.87
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +3.2
Allowed 0.21 -2.5
Differential 0.78 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.68%4.46%2.68%5.36%1.79%—16.96%
14.46%9.82%8.93%2.23%2.23%2.23%29.91%
22.68%8.93%8.93%1.79%1.79%2.23%26.34%
35.36%2.23%1.79%0.89%1.34%0.89%12.50%
41.79%2.23%1.79%1.34%0.89%—8.04%
5+—2.23%2.23%0.89%—0.89%6.25%
Total16.96%29.91%26.34%12.50%8.04%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.88 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 2.21
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 112

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
1—7.14%————7.14%
2—21.43%7.14%———28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total—64.29%28.57%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.50 +1.00
SD 2.18 0.85 2.29
CV 0.87 0.57 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
17.14%—7.14%———14.29%
2—7.14%7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
37.14%—————7.14%
4—21.43%—7.14%——28.57%
5+—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.07 1.50 +1.57
SD 1.77 1.22 1.83
CV 0.58 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———14.29%7.14%—21.43%
114.29%—7.14%7.14%——28.57%
27.14%21.43%————28.57%
3——7.14%—7.14%—14.29%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%21.43%21.43%21.43%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.86 -0.29
SD 1.22 1.41 2.02
CV 0.78 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
1—14.29%7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%——7.14%35.71%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.07 -0.21
SD 1.41 1.49 1.67
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
1—14.29%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
2—14.29%21.43%———35.71%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%42.86%——14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 2.14 -0.43
SD 1.14 2.03 2.24
CV 0.66 0.95 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———21.43%——21.43%
1——14.29%—7.14%—21.43%
2—7.14%7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
37.14%——7.14%——14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
Total14.29%14.29%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 2.36 -0.29
SD 1.73 1.50 2.52
CV 0.84 0.64 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%7.14%—64.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.86 -0.43
SD 0.65 1.51 1.60
CV 0.45 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
1——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
2——14.29%——7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.93 1.93 +1.00
SD 1.98 1.33 2.77
CV 0.68 0.69 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%—14.29%35.71%
2—21.43%7.14%14.29%—7.14%50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—35.71%14.29%28.57%—21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 3.00 -1.64
SD 0.74 2.42 2.53
CV 0.55 0.81 —
Max 2 8 +1
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.29%7.14%7.14%——7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%—7.14%42.86%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———7.14%7.14%—14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%21.43%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.80 1.84
CV 0.52 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————14.29%—14.29%
1——21.43%—7.14%—28.57%
2———————
328.57%—————28.57%
4———7.14%7.14%—14.29%
5+——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%—28.57%7.14%28.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 2.29 +0.14
SD 1.74 1.77 2.63
CV 0.72 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
1—21.43%14.29%———35.71%
2——21.43%———21.43%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%42.86%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.43 +0.07
SD 1.22 0.85 1.86
CV 0.82 0.60 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
1—14.29%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
2—14.29%7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.64 -0.57
SD 1.00 1.50 1.79
CV 0.93 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
17.14%28.57%————35.71%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total14.29%42.86%21.43%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.57 -0.43
SD 1.35 1.16 1.83
CV 1.18 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%—7.14%——28.57%
17.14%7.14%21.43%———35.71%
2—14.29%————14.29%
37.14%—————7.14%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total21.43%42.86%28.57%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.21 +0.50
SD 2.16 0.89 2.41
CV 1.26 0.74 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
17.14%21.43%——7.14%—35.71%
27.14%—7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
37.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.86 2.25
CV 0.70 1.08 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1505 22 16.90 +5.10 99.0% 7 11 15 17 19 22 23
Lyn Oslo 1487 17 18.03 -1.03 49.0% 10 13 16 18 20 22 25
Rosenborg 1464 16 17.00 -1.00 43.0% 11 12 15 17 19 22 27
Stavanger 1429 11 15.89 -4.89 11.0% 10 10 13 15 19 22 23
Eik Tonsberg 1415 18 15.24 +2.76 85.0% 7 10 14 15 17 20 22
Lisleby 1411 13 14.72 -1.72 40.0% 7 10 12 15 17 20 23
Valerenga 1394 14 12.85 +1.15 77.0% 5 8 11 13 14 18 23
Viking 1389 14 13.89 +0.11 56.0% 8 8 12 14 16 19 21
Skeid 1384 12 13.15 -1.15 40.0% 6 8 11 13 15 19 22
Greaker 1368 16 12.93 +3.07 89.0% 5 8 11 13 15 18 22
Larvik Turn 1367 14 14.59 -0.59 51.0% 7 9 12 14 17 20 21
IF Odd 1362 13 11.95 +1.05 69.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 19
Sandefjord 1360 14 11.87 +2.13 83.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 20
Lillestrom 1352 11 13.22 -2.22 33.0% 3 7 11 13 16 19 20
Strommen 1334 11 11.21 -0.21 54.0% 5 7 9 11 13 16 19
Rapid Moss 1283 8 10.56 -2.56 26.0% 3 6 8 11 13 15 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.46%
No Edge
40.18%24.11%35.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.52 Elo pts.
190 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
8.3
Wide Open
134611
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Fredrikstad, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.5 * Some Luck: 2.5 to 3.75 * Lucky: 3.75 to 4.99 * Wild Swing: 4.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.69 * Close: 2.69 to 4.03 * Off: 4.03 to 5.37 * Way Off: 5.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 2.05 * A Surprise: 2.05 to 3.28 * Several Surprises: 3.28 to 4.51 * Many Surprises: 4.51 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.40 points
As Expected
03.128
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.50
Close
03.368
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.00%
Fredrikstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
11.00%
Stavanger
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 4
As Expected
02.04

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 57.60
1.02
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.57
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.61
Overconfident
0.4906531.001.50935
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1510.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Valerenga 6
Lyn Oslo 4
Fredrikstad 2
Eik Tonsberg 0

Sim: 4.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad34.00%27.00%16.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Valerenga5.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%16.00%21.00%9.00%
Viking11.00%8.00%20.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%
Larvik Turn13.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%
IF Odd3.00%8.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%14.00%26.00%
Lisleby11.00%16.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%5.00%
Strommen1.00%1.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%39.00%
Stavanger22.00%19.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%3.00%
Team12345678
Eik Tonsberg18.00%17.00%21.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%
Lyn Oslo39.00%28.00%18.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Rosenborg29.00%23.00%23.00%14.00%5.00%—6.00%—
Greaker4.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%20.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%
Sandefjord3.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%22.00%20.00%17.00%19.00%
Skeid4.00%7.00%10.00%20.00%18.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%
Lillestrom3.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%19.00%11.00%
Rapid Moss—2.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%18.00%21.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Eik Tonsberg — —
Fredrikstad — —
Lyn Oslo 60.00% 1.00%
Rosenborg 65.00% 6.00%
Stavanger 61.00% 17.00%
Larvik Turn 69.00% 18.00%
Lisleby 71.00% 18.00%
Viking 70.00% 19.00%
Skeid 71.00% 25.00%
Greaker 68.00% 28.00%
Lillestrom 67.00% 30.00%
Valerenga 65.00% 30.00%
Sandefjord 61.00% 36.00%
IF Odd 57.00% 40.00%
Strommen 45.00% 54.00%
Rapid Moss 35.00% 65.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Eik TonsbergFredrikstadGreakerIF OddLarvik TurnLillestromLislebyLyn OsloRosenborgSandefjordSkeidStavangerStrommenValerengaViking
Eik Tonsberg33.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad66.7%6.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%47.8%23.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Greaker33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
IF Odd100.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%
Larvik Turn100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%
Lillestrom0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lisleby0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Lyn Oslo52.2%23.00%100.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%71.4%7.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%5.00%
Rosenborg40.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
Sandefjord0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Skeid100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Stavanger0.0%2.00%28.6%7.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Strommen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Valerenga100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Viking100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 69.00%
Eik Tonsberg 31.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Eik TonsbergFredrikstad
Eik Tonsberg31.0%100.00%
Fredrikstad69.0%100.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1960-07-31 Fredrikstad D 2-259.9 1388 1441 35.18% 25.07% 39.75%-0.20 +0.1 1
1960-07-31 @ Larvik Turn D 2-259.9 1441 1388 39.75% 25.07% 35.18%+0.20 -0.1 1
1960-07-31 IF Odd D 2-259.2 1430 1361 51.49% 24.54% 23.98%+0.45 -0.6 1
1960-07-31 @ Lisleby D 2-259.2 1361 1430 23.98% 24.54% 51.49%-0.45 +0.6 1
1960-07-31 Valerenga L 1-254.9 1471 1359 56.37% 23.89% 19.73%+0.67 -6.6 0
1960-07-31 @ Stavanger W 2-154.9 1359 1471 19.73% 23.89% 56.37%-0.67 +6.6 2
1960-07-31 Viking L 0-437.0 1349 1378 38.62% 25.12% 36.26%-0.07 -18.1 0
1960-07-31 @ Strommen W 4-037.0 1378 1349 36.26% 25.12% 38.62%+0.07 +18.2 2
1960-07-31 Lillestrom W 4-247.4 1377 1368 43.91% 25.04% 31.04%+0.13 +6.3 2
1960-07-31 @ Greaker L 2-447.4 1368 1377 31.04% 25.04% 43.91%-0.13 -6.3 0
1960-07-31 Rapid Moss W 8-236.4 1484 1332 60.40% 23.12% 16.47%+0.88 +8.9 2
1960-07-31 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-836.4 1332 1484 16.47% 23.12% 60.40%-0.88 -8.9 0
1960-07-31 Sandefjord D 4-466.9 1471 1335 58.87% 23.44% 17.69%+0.80 -0.6 1
1960-07-31 @ Rosenborg D 4-466.9 1335 1471 17.69% 23.44% 58.87%-0.80 +0.6 1
1960-08-02 Eik Tonsberg D 1-153.9 1379 1380 42.54% 25.08% 32.37%+0.08 -0.3 1
1960-08-02 @ Skeid D 1-153.9 1380 1379 32.37% 25.08% 42.54%-0.08 +0.3 1
1960-08-07 Strommen W 3-033.0 1441 1331 56.06% 23.94% 20.00%+0.66 +8.2 3
1960-08-07 @ Fredrikstad L 0-333.0 1331 1441 20.00% 23.94% 56.06%-0.66 -8.2 0
1960-08-07 Stavanger D 1-155.5 1361 1465 28.61% 24.71% 46.69%-0.46 +0.5 2
1960-08-07 @ IF Odd D 1-155.5 1465 1361 46.69% 24.71% 28.61%+0.46 -0.5 1
1960-08-07 Lisleby L 1-247.6 1365 1429 33.68% 25.02% 41.30%-0.25 -4.3 2
1960-08-07 @ Valerenga W 2-147.6 1429 1365 41.30% 25.02% 33.68%+0.25 +4.3 3
1960-08-07 Larvik Turn D 1-154.4 1396 1388 43.73% 25.05% 31.22%+0.12 -0.3 3
1960-08-07 @ Viking D 1-154.4 1388 1396 31.22% 25.05% 43.73%-0.12 +0.3 2
1960-08-07 Lyn Oslo W 5-252.3 1380 1493 27.46% 24.60% 47.94%-0.51 +12.1 3
1960-08-07 @ Eik Tonsberg L 2-552.3 1493 1380 47.94% 24.60% 27.46%+0.51 -12.1 2
1960-08-07 Rosenborg D 2-260.1 1361 1471 27.90% 24.64% 47.45%-0.49 +0.4 1
1960-08-07 @ Lillestrom D 2-260.1 1471 1361 47.45% 24.64% 27.90%+0.49 -0.4 2
1960-08-07 Skeid L 1-343.6 1323 1379 34.83% 25.06% 40.12%-0.21 -7.7 0
1960-08-07 @ Rapid Moss W 3-143.6 1379 1323 40.12% 25.06% 34.83%+0.21 +7.7 3
1960-08-07 Greaker W 4-355.9 1336 1383 35.90% 25.09% 39.02%-0.17 +4.5 3
1960-08-07 @ Sandefjord L 3-455.9 1383 1336 39.02% 25.09% 35.90%+0.17 -4.5 2
1960-08-17 IF Odd W 2-145.2 1388 1362 46.15% 24.95% 28.90%+0.22 +3.8 4
1960-08-17 @ Larvik Turn L 1-245.2 1362 1388 28.90% 24.95% 46.15%-0.22 -3.8 2
1960-08-17 Fredrikstad L 1-446.9 1434 1449 40.53% 25.12% 34.36%+0.00 -12.2 3
1960-08-17 @ Lisleby W 4-146.9 1449 1434 34.36% 25.12% 40.53%+0.00 +12.2 5
1960-08-17 Viking L 0-150.5 1464 1396 51.41% 24.54% 24.05%+0.44 -6.4 1
1960-08-17 @ Stavanger W 1-050.5 1396 1464 24.05% 24.54% 51.41%-0.44 +6.4 5
1960-08-17 Valerenga L 0-142.9 1323 1361 37.27% 25.11% 37.62%-0.12 -4.9 0
1960-08-17 @ Strommen W 1-042.9 1361 1323 37.62% 25.11% 37.27%+0.12 +4.9 4
1960-08-17 Eik Tonsberg W 4-354.0 1470 1392 52.57% 24.42% 23.01%+0.49 +2.9 4
1960-08-17 @ Rosenborg L 3-454.0 1392 1470 23.01% 24.42% 52.57%-0.49 -2.9 3
1960-08-17 Sandefjord L 0-341.1 1386 1340 48.70% 24.78% 26.52%+0.33 -16.8 3
1960-08-17 @ Skeid W 3-041.1 1340 1386 26.52% 24.78% 48.70%-0.33 +16.8 5
1960-08-18 Rapid Moss W 2-143.0 1379 1316 50.78% 24.61% 24.61%+0.41 +3.3 4
1960-08-18 @ Greaker L 1-243.0 1316 1379 24.61% 24.61% 50.78%-0.41 -3.4 0
1960-08-18 Lillestrom D 3-364.9 1481 1362 57.10% 23.77% 19.13%+0.71 -0.7 3
1960-08-18 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-364.9 1362 1481 19.13% 23.77% 57.10%-0.71 +0.7 2
1960-08-21 Stavanger W 5-144.0 1461 1458 43.03% 25.07% 31.89%+0.10 +13.1 7
1960-08-21 @ Fredrikstad L 1-544.0 1458 1461 31.89% 25.07% 43.03%-0.10 -13.1 1
1960-08-21 Valerenga D 0-050.2 1358 1366 41.50% 25.10% 33.40%+0.04 -0.2 3
1960-08-21 @ IF Odd D 0-050.2 1366 1358 33.40% 25.10% 41.50%-0.04 +0.2 5
1960-08-21 Larvik Turn D 2-257.6 1318 1392 32.34% 24.96% 42.70%-0.31 +0.2 1
1960-08-21 @ Strommen D 2-257.6 1392 1318 42.70% 24.96% 32.34%+0.31 -0.2 5
1960-08-21 Lisleby W 3-146.0 1402 1422 39.93% 25.12% 34.95%-0.02 +7.7 7
1960-08-21 @ Viking L 1-346.0 1422 1402 34.95% 25.12% 39.93%+0.02 -7.7 3
1960-08-21 Greaker L 0-146.1 1389 1382 43.52% 25.06% 31.42%+0.12 -5.6 3
1960-08-21 @ Eik Tonsberg W 1-046.1 1382 1389 31.42% 25.06% 43.52%-0.12 +5.6 6
1960-08-21 Skeid D 2-260.8 1480 1370 56.18% 23.92% 19.90%+0.66 -0.8 4
1960-08-21 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-260.8 1370 1480 19.90% 23.92% 56.18%-0.66 +0.8 4
1960-08-21 Rosenborg L 0-139.7 1312 1473 22.30% 23.90% 53.80%-0.77 -3.2 0
1960-08-21 @ Rapid Moss W 1-039.7 1473 1312 53.80% 23.90% 22.30%+0.77 +3.2 6
1960-08-21 Lillestrom D 5-566.1 1357 1362 41.85% 25.10% 33.05%+0.05 -0.1 6
1960-08-21 @ Sandefjord D 5-566.1 1362 1357 33.05% 25.10% 41.85%-0.05 +0.1 3
1960-09-04 Greaker L 1-248.8 1370 1388 40.21% 25.12% 34.67%-0.01 -4.9 4
1960-09-04 @ Skeid W 2-148.8 1388 1370 34.67% 25.12% 40.21%+0.01 +4.9 8
1960-09-11 Stavanger D 0-052.5 1392 1445 35.18% 25.07% 39.75%-0.20 +0.1 6
1960-09-11 @ Larvik Turn D 0-052.5 1445 1392 39.75% 25.07% 35.18%+0.20 -0.1 2
1960-09-11 Strommen D 1-153.7 1414 1318 54.52% 24.17% 21.31%+0.58 -0.9 4
1960-09-11 @ Lisleby D 1-153.7 1318 1414 21.31% 24.17% 54.52%-0.58 +0.9 2
1960-09-11 Fredrikstad W 4-254.2 1366 1474 28.11% 24.66% 47.23%-0.48 +8.7 7
1960-09-11 @ Valerenga L 2-454.2 1474 1366 47.23% 24.66% 28.11%+0.48 -8.7 7
1960-09-11 IF Odd W 2-037.4 1410 1358 49.41% 24.73% 25.86%+0.36 +7.0 9
1960-09-11 @ Viking L 0-237.4 1358 1410 25.86% 24.73% 49.41%-0.36 -7.0 3
1960-09-11 Eik Tonsberg L 1-248.4 1362 1383 39.72% 25.12% 35.16%-0.03 -4.9 3
1960-09-11 @ Lillestrom W 2-148.4 1383 1362 35.16% 25.12% 39.72%+0.03 +4.9 5
1960-09-11 Sandefjord W 2-147.1 1309 1357 35.92% 25.09% 38.99%-0.17 +4.8 2
1960-09-11 @ Rapid Moss L 1-247.1 1357 1309 38.99% 25.09% 35.92%+0.17 -4.8 6
1960-09-11 Lyn Oslo L 1-548.4 1477 1480 42.20% 25.09% 32.71%+0.07 -16.2 6
1960-09-11 @ Rosenborg W 5-148.4 1480 1477 32.71% 25.09% 42.20%-0.07 +16.2 6
1960-10-02 Viking W 4-142.5 1465 1417 48.96% 24.76% 26.27%+0.34 +8.7 9
1960-10-02 @ Fredrikstad L 1-442.5 1417 1465 26.27% 24.76% 48.96%-0.34 -8.7 9
1960-10-02 Valerenga L 1-250.3 1392 1375 44.91% 25.01% 30.09%+0.17 -5.4 6
1960-10-02 @ Larvik Turn W 2-150.3 1375 1392 30.09% 25.01% 44.91%-0.17 +5.4 9
1960-10-02 Lisleby W 2-147.5 1445 1413 46.84% 24.91% 28.25%+0.25 +3.8 4
1960-10-02 @ Stavanger L 1-247.5 1413 1445 28.25% 24.91% 46.84%-0.25 -3.8 4
1960-10-02 Rapid Moss W 8-135.5 1388 1314 52.11% 24.47% 23.42%+0.47 +17.0 7
1960-10-02 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-835.5 1314 1388 23.42% 24.47% 52.11%-0.47 -17.0 2
1960-10-02 Rosenborg W 3-256.0 1393 1460 33.20% 25.00% 41.81%-0.27 +4.8 10
1960-10-02 @ Greaker L 2-356.0 1460 1393 41.81% 25.00% 33.20%+0.27 -4.8 6
1960-10-02 Sandefjord W 4-138.3 1496 1352 59.61% 23.29% 17.09%+0.84 +6.0 8
1960-10-02 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-438.3 1352 1496 17.09% 23.29% 59.61%-0.84 -6.0 6
1960-10-02 Lillestrom L 1-249.3 1366 1358 43.69% 25.05% 31.26%+0.12 -5.3 4
1960-10-02 @ Skeid W 2-149.3 1358 1366 31.26% 25.05% 43.69%-0.12 +5.3 5
1960-10-09 Larvik Turn L 1-348.5 1409 1387 45.64% 24.97% 29.38%+0.20 -9.5 4
1960-10-09 @ Lisleby W 3-148.5 1387 1409 29.38% 24.97% 45.64%-0.20 +9.5 8
1960-10-09 Strommen L 0-246.8 1449 1319 58.13% 23.58% 18.28%+0.76 -13.5 4
1960-10-09 @ Stavanger W 2-046.8 1319 1449 18.28% 23.58% 58.13%-0.76 +13.5 4
1960-10-09 Viking W 3-038.6 1380 1408 38.75% 25.12% 36.13%-0.06 +13.2 11
1960-10-09 @ Valerenga L 0-338.6 1408 1380 36.13% 25.12% 38.75%+0.06 -13.2 9
1960-10-09 Lyn Oslo L 1-346.1 1398 1502 28.54% 24.70% 46.76%-0.47 -6.5 10
1960-10-09 @ Greaker W 3-146.1 1502 1398 46.76% 24.70% 28.54%+0.47 +6.5 10
1960-10-09 Rapid Moss W 5-136.0 1363 1297 51.11% 24.57% 24.31%+0.43 +10.5 7
1960-10-09 @ Lillestrom L 1-536.0 1297 1363 24.31% 24.57% 51.11%-0.43 -10.5 2
1960-10-16 Larvik Turn L 1-255.0 1474 1396 52.52% 24.42% 23.06%+0.49 -6.2 9
1960-10-16 @ Fredrikstad W 2-155.0 1396 1474 23.06% 24.42% 52.52%-0.49 +6.2 10
1960-10-16 Lisleby D 1-153.8 1351 1400 35.73% 25.08% 39.19%-0.18 +0.1 4
1960-10-16 @ IF Odd D 1-153.8 1400 1351 39.19% 25.08% 35.73%+0.18 -0.1 5
1960-10-16 Stavanger L 0-339.7 1394 1435 36.80% 25.10% 38.09%-0.14 -13.4 11
1960-10-16 @ Valerenga W 3-039.7 1435 1394 38.09% 25.10% 36.80%+0.14 +13.4 6
1960-10-16 Strommen D 1-153.5 1395 1333 50.65% 24.62% 24.73%+0.41 -0.7 10
1960-10-16 @ Viking D 1-153.5 1333 1395 24.73% 24.62% 50.65%-0.41 +0.7 5
1960-10-16 Skeid D 2-258.6 1405 1360 48.53% 24.80% 26.68%+0.32 -0.4 8
1960-10-16 @ Eik Tonsberg D 2-258.6 1360 1405 26.68% 24.80% 48.53%-0.32 +0.4 5
1960-10-16 Greaker W 3-037.7 1373 1391 40.17% 25.12% 34.71%-0.01 +12.8 9
1960-10-16 @ Lillestrom L 0-337.7 1391 1373 34.71% 25.12% 40.17%+0.01 -12.8 10
1960-10-16 Lyn Oslo L 2-346.4 1286 1508 16.97% 22.66% 60.37%-1.09 -2.3 2
1960-10-16 @ Rapid Moss W 3-246.4 1508 1286 60.37% 22.66% 16.97%+1.09 +2.3 12
1960-10-16 Rosenborg W 5-250.2 1346 1456 27.88% 24.64% 47.48%-0.49 +12.0 8
1960-10-16 @ Sandefjord L 2-550.2 1456 1346 47.48% 24.64% 27.88%+0.49 -11.9 6
1961-04-23 Fredrikstad L 3-454.1 1351 1468 27.01% 24.55% 48.44%-0.53 -3.3 4
1961-04-23 @ IF Odd W 4-354.1 1468 1351 48.44% 24.55% 27.01%+0.53 +3.3 11
1961-04-30 Viking W 4-248.4 1402 1394 43.70% 25.05% 31.25%+0.12 +6.3 12
1961-04-30 @ Larvik Turn L 2-448.4 1394 1402 31.25% 25.05% 43.70%-0.12 -6.3 10
1961-04-30 Valerenga W 1-042.1 1400 1380 45.23% 24.99% 29.78%+0.18 +4.2 7
1961-04-30 @ Lisleby L 0-142.1 1380 1400 29.78% 24.99% 45.23%-0.18 -4.2 11
1961-04-30 IF Odd L 2-455.3 1448 1347 55.12% 24.08% 20.80%+0.61 -10.0 6
1961-04-30 @ Stavanger W 4-255.3 1347 1448 20.80% 24.08% 55.12%-0.61 +10.0 6
1961-04-30 Fredrikstad L 0-140.9 1333 1471 24.70% 24.27% 51.03%-0.64 -3.6 5
1961-04-30 @ Strommen W 1-040.9 1471 1333 51.03% 24.27% 24.70%+0.64 +3.6 13
1961-04-30 Sandefjord L 0-340.3 1378 1358 45.36% 24.99% 29.65%+0.19 -15.8 10
1961-04-30 @ Greaker W 3-040.3 1358 1378 29.65% 24.99% 45.36%-0.19 +15.8 10
1961-04-30 Eik Tonsberg L 1-354.5 1511 1405 55.64% 24.01% 20.35%+0.64 -11.2 12
1961-04-30 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-154.5 1405 1511 20.35% 24.01% 55.64%-0.64 +11.2 10
1961-04-30 Lillestrom W 3-036.1 1444 1386 50.06% 24.67% 25.27%+0.38 +10.0 8
1961-04-30 @ Rosenborg L 0-336.1 1386 1444 25.27% 24.67% 50.06%-0.38 -10.0 9
1961-04-30 Rapid Moss D 1-152.6 1361 1284 52.37% 24.44% 23.19%+0.48 -0.8 6
1961-04-30 @ Skeid D 1-152.6 1284 1361 23.19% 24.44% 52.37%-0.48 +0.8 3
1961-05-07 Lisleby W 5-245.2 1475 1404 51.69% 24.51% 23.79%+0.45 +6.9 15
1961-05-07 @ Fredrikstad L 2-545.2 1404 1475 23.79% 24.51% 51.69%-0.45 -6.9 7
1961-05-07 Larvik Turn W 5-353.0 1357 1409 35.44% 25.07% 39.48%-0.19 +7.1 8
1961-05-07 @ IF Odd L 3-553.0 1409 1357 39.48% 25.07% 35.44%+0.19 -7.1 12
1961-05-07 Strommen L 0-146.5 1376 1330 48.67% 24.79% 26.54%+0.32 -6.1 11
1961-05-07 @ Valerenga W 1-046.5 1330 1376 26.54% 24.79% 48.67%-0.32 +6.1 7
1961-05-07 Stavanger W 3-040.4 1388 1438 35.53% 25.08% 39.39%-0.18 +14.1 12
1961-05-07 @ Viking L 0-340.4 1438 1388 39.39% 25.08% 35.53%+0.18 -14.1 6
1961-05-07 Rosenborg L 0-243.5 1416 1454 37.36% 25.11% 37.52%-0.12 -9.3 10
1961-05-07 @ Eik Tonsberg W 2-043.5 1454 1416 37.52% 25.11% 37.36%+0.12 +9.3 10
1961-05-07 Lyn Oslo L 0-337.7 1376 1499 26.32% 24.48% 49.20%-0.57 -10.3 9
1961-05-07 @ Lillestrom W 3-037.7 1499 1376 49.20% 24.48% 26.32%+0.57 +10.3 14
1961-05-07 Greaker W 2-148.2 1285 1362 31.86% 24.93% 43.21%-0.33 +5.2 5
1961-05-07 @ Rapid Moss L 1-248.2 1362 1285 43.21% 24.93% 31.86%+0.33 -5.2 10
1961-05-07 Skeid L 0-438.8 1374 1360 44.47% 25.02% 30.51%+0.15 -20.3 10
1961-05-07 @ Sandefjord W 4-038.8 1360 1374 30.51% 25.02% 44.47%-0.15 +20.3 8
1961-05-11 IF Odd W 5-245.2 1336 1365 38.64% 25.12% 36.24%-0.07 +9.7 9
1961-05-11 @ Strommen L 2-545.2 1365 1336 36.24% 25.12% 38.64%+0.07 -9.7 8
1961-05-11 Skeid W 1-041.3 1463 1380 53.06% 24.36% 22.58%+0.52 +3.3 12
1961-05-11 @ Rosenborg L 0-141.3 1380 1463 22.58% 24.36% 53.06%-0.52 -3.3 8
1961-05-11 Eik Tonsberg L 1-247.3 1353 1407 35.12% 25.07% 39.82%-0.20 -4.5 10
1961-05-11 @ Sandefjord W 2-147.3 1407 1353 39.82% 25.07% 35.12%+0.20 +4.5 12
1961-05-14 Strommen D 1-153.8 1401 1346 49.86% 24.69% 25.45%+0.37 -0.7 13
1961-05-14 @ Larvik Turn D 1-153.8 1346 1401 25.45% 24.69% 49.86%-0.37 +0.7 10
1961-05-14 Viking W 1-043.5 1397 1402 41.91% 25.10% 32.99%+0.05 +4.5 9
1961-05-14 @ Lisleby L 0-143.5 1402 1397 32.99% 25.10% 41.91%-0.05 -4.5 12
1961-05-14 Fredrikstad D 0-054.6 1424 1482 34.58% 25.05% 40.37%-0.22 +0.2 7
1961-05-14 @ Stavanger D 0-054.6 1482 1424 40.37% 25.05% 34.58%+0.22 -0.2 16
1961-05-14 IF Odd L 1-249.6 1370 1355 44.65% 25.02% 30.33%+0.16 -5.4 11
1961-05-14 @ Valerenga W 2-149.6 1355 1370 30.33% 25.02% 44.65%-0.16 +5.4 10
1961-05-14 Sandefjord W 4-034.2 1366 1349 44.92% 25.00% 30.08%+0.17 +15.0 11
1961-05-14 @ Lillestrom L 0-434.2 1349 1366 30.08% 25.00% 44.92%-0.17 -15.0 10
1961-05-14 Eik Tonsberg L 2-348.2 1290 1411 26.54% 24.50% 48.96%-0.56 -3.4 5
1961-05-14 @ Rapid Moss W 3-248.2 1411 1290 48.96% 24.50% 26.54%+0.56 +3.4 14
1961-05-14 Greaker L 1-254.6 1466 1357 55.99% 23.95% 20.06%+0.65 -6.5 12
1961-05-14 @ Rosenborg W 2-154.6 1357 1466 20.06% 23.95% 55.99%-0.65 +6.5 12
1961-05-19 Lyn Oslo D 2-261.8 1377 1510 25.25% 24.35% 50.40%-0.62 +0.5 9
1961-05-19 @ Skeid D 2-261.8 1510 1377 50.40% 24.35% 25.25%+0.62 -0.5 15
1961-05-22 Sandefjord W 2-143.2 1415 1334 52.83% 24.39% 22.79%+0.51 +3.1 16
1961-05-22 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-243.2 1334 1415 22.79% 24.39% 52.83%-0.51 -3.1 10
1961-05-28 IF Odd W 4-138.8 1482 1360 57.31% 23.73% 18.96%+0.72 +6.6 18
1961-05-28 @ Fredrikstad L 1-438.8 1360 1482 18.96% 23.73% 57.31%-0.72 -6.6 10
1961-05-28 Lisleby L 0-243.3 1401 1401 42.53% 25.08% 32.39%+0.08 -10.3 13
1961-05-28 @ Larvik Turn W 2-043.3 1401 1401 32.39% 25.08% 42.53%-0.08 +10.3 11
1961-05-28 Stavanger D 1-154.2 1346 1425 31.79% 24.93% 43.28%-0.33 +0.3 11
1961-05-28 @ Strommen D 1-154.2 1425 1346 43.28% 24.93% 31.79%+0.33 -0.3 8
1961-05-28 Valerenga D 1-154.0 1398 1365 46.99% 24.90% 28.11%+0.25 -0.5 13
1961-05-28 @ Viking D 1-154.0 1365 1398 28.11% 24.90% 46.99%-0.25 +0.5 12
1961-05-28 Lillestrom W 4-140.7 1418 1381 47.48% 24.87% 27.65%+0.27 +9.0 18
1961-05-28 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-440.7 1381 1418 27.65% 24.87% 47.48%-0.27 -9.0 11
1961-05-28 Skeid W 2-039.6 1364 1377 40.75% 25.11% 34.14%+0.01 +8.7 14
1961-05-28 @ Greaker L 0-239.6 1377 1364 34.14% 25.11% 40.75%-0.01 -8.7 9
1961-05-28 Rosenborg L 1-257.4 1509 1460 49.07% 24.76% 26.17%+0.34 -5.8 15
1961-05-28 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-157.4 1460 1509 26.17% 24.76% 49.07%-0.34 +5.8 14
1961-05-28 Rapid Moss W 3-033.3 1331 1287 48.41% 24.81% 26.78%+0.31 +10.5 12
1961-05-28 @ Sandefjord L 0-333.3 1287 1331 26.78% 24.81% 48.41%-0.31 -10.5 5
1961-06-04 Valerenga W 2-144.2 1488 1365 57.48% 23.70% 18.81%+0.73 +2.7 20
1961-06-04 @ Fredrikstad L 1-244.2 1365 1488 18.81% 23.70% 57.48%-0.73 -2.7 12
1961-06-04 Viking D 2-258.2 1354 1397 36.53% 25.10% 38.37%-0.15 +0.0 11
1961-06-04 @ IF Odd D 2-258.2 1397 1354 38.37% 25.10% 36.53%+0.15 -0.0 14
1961-06-04 Larvik Turn D 2-259.6 1424 1390 47.10% 24.89% 28.01%+0.26 -0.4 9
1961-06-04 @ Stavanger D 2-259.6 1390 1424 28.01% 24.89% 47.10%-0.26 +0.4 14
1961-06-04 Lisleby L 2-351.3 1347 1412 33.53% 25.01% 41.46%-0.26 -4.1 11
1961-06-04 @ Strommen W 3-251.3 1412 1347 41.46% 25.01% 33.53%+0.26 +4.1 13
1961-06-04 Greaker W 4-033.8 1503 1372 58.28% 23.56% 18.16%+0.77 +9.8 17
1961-06-04 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-433.8 1372 1503 18.16% 23.56% 58.28%-0.77 -9.8 14
1961-06-04 Lillestrom W 2-148.9 1276 1372 29.57% 24.78% 45.65%-0.42 +5.5 7
1961-06-04 @ Rapid Moss L 1-248.9 1372 1276 45.65% 24.78% 29.57%+0.42 -5.5 11
1961-06-04 Rosenborg D 1-155.7 1369 1466 29.43% 24.77% 45.79%-0.43 +0.4 10
1961-06-04 @ Skeid D 1-155.7 1466 1369 45.79% 24.77% 29.43%+0.43 -0.4 15
1961-06-11 Stavanger L 1-251.0 1416 1424 41.51% 25.10% 33.39%+0.04 -5.0 13
1961-06-11 @ Lisleby W 2-151.0 1424 1416 33.39% 25.10% 41.51%-0.04 +5.1 11
1961-06-11 Strommen W 2-037.9 1354 1343 44.13% 25.04% 30.84%+0.14 +8.0 13
1961-06-11 @ IF Odd L 0-237.9 1343 1354 30.84% 25.04% 44.13%-0.14 -8.1 11
1961-06-11 Larvik Turn W 8-140.3 1362 1391 38.66% 25.12% 36.22%-0.07 +24.1 14
1961-06-11 @ Valerenga L 1-840.3 1391 1362 36.22% 25.12% 38.66%+0.07 -24.1 14
1961-06-11 Fredrikstad L 3-649.4 1397 1491 29.81% 24.80% 45.38%-0.41 -7.7 14
1961-06-11 @ Viking W 6-349.4 1491 1397 45.38% 24.80% 29.81%+0.41 +7.7 22
1961-06-11 Eik Tonsberg W 1-045.8 1363 1427 33.67% 25.02% 41.31%-0.25 +5.3 16
1961-06-11 @ Greaker L 0-145.8 1427 1363 41.31% 25.02% 33.67%+0.25 -5.3 18
1961-06-11 Skeid L 0-339.4 1366 1369 42.26% 25.09% 32.66%+0.07 -14.9 11
1961-06-11 @ Lillestrom W 3-039.4 1369 1366 32.66% 25.09% 42.26%-0.07 +14.9 12
1961-06-11 Rapid Moss D 2-259.0 1465 1282 63.33% 22.41% 14.26%+1.05 -1.1 16
1961-06-11 @ Rosenborg D 2-259.0 1282 1465 14.26% 22.41% 63.33%-1.05 +1.1 8
1961-06-11 Lyn Oslo W 3-045.4 1341 1513 21.26% 23.71% 55.03%-0.82 +18.6 14
1961-06-11 @ Sandefjord L 0-345.4 1513 1341 55.03% 23.71% 21.26%+0.82 -18.6 17

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1961-06-14 Lyn Oslo W 6-459.5 1387 1495 28.09% 24.66% 47.25%-0.49 +7.9 1-0
1961-06-14 @ Valerenga L 4-659.5 1495 1387 47.25% 24.66% 28.09%+0.49 -7.9 0-1
1961-06-16 Eik Tonsberg W 2-040.6 1499 1421 52.40% 24.44% 23.16%+0.49 +6.4 1-0
1961-06-16 @ Fredrikstad L 0-240.6 1421 1499 23.16% 24.44% 52.40%-0.49 -6.4 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-10-09 18.28% Strommen 1319 2 @ Stavanger 1449 0
2 1960-07-31 19.73% Valerenga 1359 2 @ Stavanger 1471 1
3 1961-05-14 20.06% Greaker 1357 2 @ Rosenborg 1466 1
4 1961-04-30 20.35% Eik Tonsberg 1405 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1511 1
5 1961-04-30 20.80% IF Odd 1347 4 @ Stavanger 1448 2
6 1961-06-11 21.26% @ Sandefjord 1341 3 Lyn Oslo 1513 0
7 1960-10-16 23.06% Larvik Turn 1396 2 @ Fredrikstad 1474 1
8 1960-08-17 24.05% Viking 1396 1 @ Stavanger 1464 0
9 1961-05-28 26.17% Rosenborg 1460 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1509 1
10 1960-08-17 26.52% Sandefjord 1340 3 @ Skeid 1386 0
11 1961-05-07 26.54% Strommen 1330 1 @ Valerenga 1376 0
12 1960-08-07 27.46% @ Eik Tonsberg 1380 5 Lyn Oslo 1493 2
13 1960-10-16 27.88% @ Sandefjord 1346 5 Rosenborg 1456 2
14 1961-06-14 * 28.09% @ Valerenga 1387 6 Lyn Oslo 1495 4
15 1960-09-11 28.11% @ Valerenga 1366 4 Fredrikstad 1474 2
16 1960-10-09 29.38% Larvik Turn 1387 3 @ Lisleby 1409 1
17 1961-06-04 29.57% @ Rapid Moss 1276 2 Lillestrom 1372 1
18 1961-04-30 29.65% Sandefjord 1358 3 @ Greaker 1378 0
19 1960-10-02 30.09% Valerenga 1375 2 @ Larvik Turn 1392 1
20 1961-05-14 30.33% IF Odd 1355 2 @ Valerenga 1370 1
21 1961-05-07 30.51% Skeid 1360 4 @ Sandefjord 1374 0
22 1960-10-02 31.26% Lillestrom 1358 2 @ Skeid 1366 1
23 1960-08-21 31.42% Greaker 1382 1 @ Eik Tonsberg 1389 0
24 1961-05-07 31.86% @ Rapid Moss 1285 2 Greaker 1362 1
25 1961-05-28 32.39% Lisleby 1401 2 @ Larvik Turn 1401 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-06-11 24.11 @ Valerenga 8 1362 38.66% Larvik Turn 1 1391 36.22% 25.12%
2 1961-05-07 20.29 Skeid 4 1360 30.51% @ Sandefjord 0 1374 44.47% 25.02%
3 1961-06-11 18.59 @ Sandefjord 3 1341 21.26% Lyn Oslo 0 1513 55.03% 23.71%
4 1960-07-31 18.15 Viking 4 1378 36.26% @ Strommen 0 1349 38.62% 25.12%
5 1960-10-02 17.04 @ Eik Tonsberg 8 1388 52.11% Rapid Moss 1 1314 23.42% 24.47%
6 1960-08-17 16.76 Sandefjord 3 1340 26.52% @ Skeid 0 1386 48.70% 24.78%
7 1960-09-11 16.21 Lyn Oslo 5 1480 32.71% @ Rosenborg 1 1477 42.20% 25.09%
8 1961-04-30 15.79 Sandefjord 3 1358 29.65% @ Greaker 0 1378 45.36% 24.99%
9 1961-05-14 14.99 @ Lillestrom 4 1366 44.92% Sandefjord 0 1349 30.08% 25.00%
10 1961-06-11 14.91 Skeid 3 1369 32.66% @ Lillestrom 0 1366 42.26% 25.09%
11 1961-05-07 14.10 @ Viking 3 1388 35.53% Stavanger 0 1438 39.39% 25.08%
12 1960-10-09 13.50 Strommen 2 1319 18.28% @ Stavanger 0 1449 58.13% 23.58%
13 1960-10-16 13.40 Stavanger 3 1435 38.09% @ Valerenga 0 1394 36.80% 25.10%
14 1960-10-09 13.21 @ Valerenga 3 1380 38.75% Viking 0 1408 36.13% 25.12%
15 1960-08-21 13.08 @ Fredrikstad 5 1461 43.03% Stavanger 1 1458 31.89% 25.07%
16 1960-10-16 12.82 @ Lillestrom 3 1373 40.17% Greaker 0 1391 34.71% 25.12%
17 1960-08-17 12.16 Fredrikstad 4 1449 34.36% @ Lisleby 1 1434 40.53% 25.12%
18 1960-08-07 12.05 @ Eik Tonsberg 5 1380 27.46% Lyn Oslo 2 1493 47.94% 24.60%
19 1960-10-16 11.95 @ Sandefjord 5 1346 27.88% Rosenborg 2 1456 47.48% 24.64%
20 1961-04-30 11.24 Eik Tonsberg 3 1405 20.35% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1511 55.64% 24.01%
21 1960-10-09 10.51 @ Lillestrom 5 1363 51.11% Rapid Moss 1 1297 24.31% 24.57%
22 1961-05-28 10.46 @ Sandefjord 3 1331 48.41% Rapid Moss 0 1287 26.78% 24.81%
23 1961-05-28 10.32 Lisleby 2 1401 32.39% @ Larvik Turn 0 1401 42.53% 25.08%
24 1961-05-07 10.27 Lyn Oslo 3 1499 49.20% @ Lillestrom 0 1376 26.32% 24.48%
25 1961-04-30 9.97 IF Odd 4 1347 20.80% @ Stavanger 2 1448 55.12% 24.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-07-31 66.9 @ Rosenborg 4 1471 58.87% Sandefjord 4 1335 17.69% 23.44%
2 1960-08-21 66.1 @ Sandefjord 5 1357 41.85% Lillestrom 5 1362 33.05% 25.10%
3 1960-08-18 64.9 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1481 57.10% Lillestrom 3 1362 19.13% 23.77%
4 1961-05-19 61.8 @ Skeid 2 1377 25.25% Lyn Oslo 2 1510 50.40% 24.35%
5 1960-08-21 60.8 @ Lyn Oslo 2 1480 56.18% Skeid 2 1370 19.90% 23.92%
6 1960-08-07 60.1 @ Lillestrom 2 1361 27.90% Rosenborg 2 1471 47.45% 24.64%
7 1960-07-31 59.9 @ Larvik Turn 2 1388 35.18% Fredrikstad 2 1441 39.75% 25.07%
8 1961-06-04 59.6 @ Stavanger 2 1424 47.10% Larvik Turn 2 1390 28.01% 24.89%
9 1961-06-14 * 59.5 @ Valerenga 6 1387 28.09% Lyn Oslo 4 1495 47.25% 24.66%
10 1960-07-31 59.2 @ Lisleby 2 1430 51.49% IF Odd 2 1361 23.98% 24.54%
11 1961-06-11 59.0 @ Rosenborg 2 1465 63.33% Rapid Moss 2 1282 14.26% 22.41%
12 1960-10-16 58.6 @ Eik Tonsberg 2 1405 48.53% Skeid 2 1360 26.68% 24.80%
13 1961-06-04 58.2 @ IF Odd 2 1354 36.53% Viking 2 1397 38.37% 25.10%
14 1960-08-21 57.6 @ Strommen 2 1318 32.34% Larvik Turn 2 1392 42.70% 24.96%
15 1961-05-28 57.4 Rosenborg 2 1460 26.17% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1509 49.07% 24.76%
16 1960-10-02 56.0 @ Greaker 3 1393 33.20% Rosenborg 2 1460 41.81% 25.00%
17 1960-08-07 55.9 @ Sandefjord 4 1336 35.90% Greaker 3 1383 39.02% 25.09%
18 1961-06-04 55.7 @ Skeid 1 1369 29.43% Rosenborg 1 1466 45.79% 24.77%
19 1960-08-07 55.5 @ IF Odd 1 1361 28.61% Stavanger 1 1465 46.69% 24.71%
20 1961-04-30 55.3 IF Odd 4 1347 20.80% @ Stavanger 2 1448 55.12% 24.08%
21 1960-10-16 55.0 Larvik Turn 2 1396 23.06% @ Fredrikstad 1 1474 52.52% 24.42%
22 1960-07-31 54.9 Valerenga 2 1359 19.73% @ Stavanger 1 1471 56.37% 23.89%
23 1961-05-14 54.6 @ Stavanger 0 1424 34.58% Fredrikstad 0 1482 40.37% 25.05%
24 1961-05-14 54.6 Greaker 2 1357 20.06% @ Rosenborg 1 1466 55.99% 23.95%
25 1961-04-30 54.5 Eik Tonsberg 3 1405 20.35% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1511 55.64% 24.01%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-08-07 33.0 @ Fredrikstad 3 1441 56.06% Strommen 0 1331 20.00% 23.94%
2 1961-05-28 33.3 @ Sandefjord 3 1331 48.41% Rapid Moss 0 1287 26.78% 24.81%
3 1961-06-04 33.8 @ Lyn Oslo 4 1503 58.28% Greaker 0 1372 18.16% 23.56%
4 1961-05-14 34.2 @ Lillestrom 4 1366 44.92% Sandefjord 0 1349 30.08% 25.00%
5 1960-10-02 35.5 @ Eik Tonsberg 8 1388 52.11% Rapid Moss 1 1314 23.42% 24.47%
6 1960-10-09 36.0 @ Lillestrom 5 1363 51.11% Rapid Moss 1 1297 24.31% 24.57%
7 1961-04-30 36.1 @ Rosenborg 3 1444 50.06% Lillestrom 0 1386 25.27% 24.67%
8 1960-07-31 36.4 @ Lyn Oslo 8 1484 60.40% Rapid Moss 2 1332 16.47% 23.12%
9 1960-07-31 37.0 Viking 4 1378 36.26% @ Strommen 0 1349 38.62% 25.12%
10 1960-09-11 37.4 @ Viking 2 1410 49.41% IF Odd 0 1358 25.86% 24.73%
11 1960-10-16 37.7 @ Lillestrom 3 1373 40.17% Greaker 0 1391 34.71% 25.12%
12 1961-05-07 37.7 Lyn Oslo 3 1499 49.20% @ Lillestrom 0 1376 26.32% 24.48%
13 1961-06-11 37.9 @ IF Odd 2 1354 44.13% Strommen 0 1343 30.84% 25.04%
14 1960-10-02 38.3 @ Lyn Oslo 4 1496 59.61% Sandefjord 1 1352 17.09% 23.29%
15 1960-10-09 38.6 @ Valerenga 3 1380 38.75% Viking 0 1408 36.13% 25.12%
16 1961-05-07 38.8 Skeid 4 1360 30.51% @ Sandefjord 0 1374 44.47% 25.02%
17 1961-05-28 38.8 @ Fredrikstad 4 1482 57.31% IF Odd 1 1360 18.96% 23.73%
18 1961-06-11 39.4 Skeid 3 1369 32.66% @ Lillestrom 0 1366 42.26% 25.09%
19 1961-05-28 39.6 @ Greaker 2 1364 40.75% Skeid 0 1377 34.14% 25.11%
20 1960-08-21 39.7 Rosenborg 1 1473 53.80% @ Rapid Moss 0 1312 22.30% 23.90%
21 1960-10-16 39.7 Stavanger 3 1435 38.09% @ Valerenga 0 1394 36.80% 25.10%
22 1961-04-30 40.3 Sandefjord 3 1358 29.65% @ Greaker 0 1378 45.36% 24.99%
23 1961-06-11 40.3 @ Valerenga 8 1362 38.66% Larvik Turn 1 1391 36.22% 25.12%
24 1961-05-07 40.4 @ Viking 3 1388 35.53% Stavanger 0 1438 39.39% 25.08%
25 1961-06-16 * 40.6 @ Fredrikstad 2 1499 52.40% Eik Tonsberg 0 1421 23.16% 24.44%