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1974 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Viking

31 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1973

Relegated

Raufoss

6 pts

Sarpsborg · 11 pts

Hamarkameratene · 15 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

6.86 points above expected

28 points · 21.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Raufoss

8.51 points below expected

6 points · 14.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viking Champion 22 11 9 2 31 31 10 +21 27.77 +3.23
2 Molde 22 12 6 4 30 40 18 +22 24.20 +5.80
3 Valerenga 22 12 4 6 28 33 25 +8 21.14 +6.86
4 Brann 22 9 9 4 27 36 20 +16 25.25 +1.75
5 Stromsgodset 22 11 5 6 27 38 28 +10 25.28 +1.72
6 Skeid 22 11 3 8 25 30 26 +4 21.41 +3.59
7 Start 22 9 6 7 24 37 31 +6 23.91 +0.09
8 Rosenborg 22 9 5 8 23 39 31 +8 24.29 -1.29
9 Mjondalen 22 7 3 12 17 29 37 -8 18.43 -1.43
10 Hamarkameratene Relegated 22 5 5 12 15 21 47 -26 20.36 -5.36
11 Sarpsborg Relegated 22 4 3 15 11 21 47 -26 17.45 -6.45
12 Raufoss Relegated 22 1 4 17 6 16 51 -35 14.51 -8.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valerenga 28 21.14 +6.86
2 Molde 30 24.20 +5.80
3 Skeid 25 21.41 +3.59
4 Viking 31 27.77 +3.23
5 Brann 27 25.25 +1.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Raufoss 6 14.51 -8.51
2 Sarpsborg 11 17.45 -6.45
3 Hamarkameratene 15 20.36 -5.36
4 Mjondalen 17 18.43 -1.43
5 Rosenborg 23 24.29 -1.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Molde 7 Jun 23 – Sep 1 1 in 127
2 Viking 4 May 5 – May 19 1 in 26
3 Valerenga 3 Jun 24 – Aug 5 1 in 24
4 Mjondalen 3 Jun 17 – Jul 29 1 in 20
5 Brann 3 May 26 – Jun 9 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rosenborg 4 Jun 9 – Jun 24 1 in 118
2 Mjondalen 5 Aug 5 – Sep 1 1 in 83
3 Sarpsborg 6 Jun 12 – Aug 12 1 in 78
4 Raufoss 7 Jun 9 – Aug 11 1 in 34
5 Hamarkameratene 3 May 12 – May 19 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 10 Jun 3 – Aug 25 1 in 233
2 Molde 13 May 26 – Sep 15 1 in 224
3 Brann 10 May 12 – Jul 29 1 in 65
4 Sarpsborg 5 May 16 – Jun 9 1 in 26
5 Viking 10 Aug 5 – Oct 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raufoss 19 Apr 28 – Sep 22 1 in 90
2 Viking 5 May 26 – Jun 16 1 in 29
3 Hamarkameratene 7 May 5 – Jun 9 1 in 24
4 Rosenborg 5 Jun 3 – Jun 24 1 in 21
5 Sarpsborg 8 Jun 9 – Aug 22 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Viking 1473 31 +43 8 5.8 +2.2
Molde 1398 30 -39 4 6.0 -2.0
Valerenga 1323 28 +52 8 5.2 +2.8
Stromsgodset 1349 27 +7 6 5.7 +0.3
Brann 1408 27 -12 5 6.9 -1.9
Skeid 1318 25 +3 6 4.6 +1.4
Start 1281 24 -44 5 6.1 -1.1
Rosenborg 1391 23 +16 6 6.3 -0.3
Mjondalen 1209 17 +44 6 3.4 +2.6
Hamarkameratene 1126 15 -71 3 3.8 -0.8
Sarpsborg 1128 11 -46 0 3.1 -3.1
Raufoss 1091 6 +47 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA HAM MJO MOL RAU ROS SAR SKE STA STR VAL VIK
Brann —
0-2-0
4.17
1-1-0
4.00
0-0-2
3.30
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.39
0-1-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.98
0-2-0
2.57
Hamarkameratene
0-2-0
1.35
—
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.70
Mjondalen
0-1-1
1.51
1-0-1
2.69
—
0-0-2
2.37
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
1.78
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
1.80
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
1.81
Molde
2-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.13
—
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.04
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
2.49
Raufoss
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
2.04
—
0-2-0
1.27
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.38
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
1.67
Rosenborg
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
4.27
—
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
1.94
Sarpsborg
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.08
—
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.49
Skeid
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
3.39
—
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.04
0-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
2.17
Start
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
3.71
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.97
—
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.24
0-2-0
2.05
Stromsgodset
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.78
0-2-0
2.78
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
2.62
—
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
2.15
Valerenga
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
3.86
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.29
—
0-1-1
1.78
Viking
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.57
1-0-1
4.04
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.73
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +8.6
Allowed 0.91 -6.0
Differential 0.95 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%8.33%6.82%4.55%1.14%2.27%32.20%
18.33%10.61%4.92%3.41%1.14%2.65%31.06%
26.82%4.92%3.79%0.76%1.14%0.76%18.18%
34.55%3.41%0.76%—0.38%—9.09%
41.14%1.14%1.14%0.38%——3.79%
5+2.27%2.65%0.76%———5.68%
Total32.20%31.06%18.18%9.09%3.79%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.27
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%——4.55%—31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
29.09%—13.64%———22.73%
313.64%4.55%————18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.91 +0.73
SD 1.56 1.06 1.86
CV 0.95 1.17 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
19.09%18.18%9.09%18.18%—13.64%68.18%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%13.64%18.18%—18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.14 -1.18
SD 0.58 2.05 2.24
CV 0.60 0.96 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%27.27%18.18%——50.00%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
2——4.55%———4.55%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total9.09%31.82%40.91%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.68 -0.36
SD 1.86 0.89 2.38
CV 1.41 0.53 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total50.00%27.27%18.18%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.82 +1.00
SD 1.47 1.05 1.80
CV 0.81 1.29 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—27.27%9.09%4.55%—13.64%54.55%
1—18.18%9.09%4.55%—9.09%40.91%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total—50.00%18.18%9.09%—22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.32 -1.59
SD 1.49 1.73 2.46
CV 2.04 0.75 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%18.18%9.09%—4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%————4.55%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
Total27.27%27.27%31.82%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.41 +0.36
SD 2.00 1.22 2.66
CV 1.13 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%—13.64%—4.55%40.91%
14.55%9.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%—27.27%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.14 -1.18
SD 1.00 1.78 2.13
CV 1.05 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.18 +0.18
SD 1.09 1.05 1.79
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.62 1.65 2.47
CV 0.96 1.17 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%22.73%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.27 +0.45
SD 1.35 1.55 2.11
CV 0.78 1.22 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.14 +0.36
SD 1.41 1.28 2.11
CV 0.94 1.13 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
036.36%4.55%————40.91%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
218.18%4.55%—4.55%——27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total68.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.45 +0.95
SD 1.59 0.80 1.53
CV 1.13 1.76 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Viking 1473 31 27.77 +3.23 84.0% 17 22 25 28 30 34 37
Brann 1408 27 25.25 +1.75 73.0% 16 20 23 25 28 31 34
Molde 1398 30 24.20 +5.80 96.0% 15 18 22 24 26 29 34
Rosenborg 1391 23 24.29 -1.29 45.0% 14 18 22 24 27 31 34
Stromsgodset 1349 27 25.28 +1.72 74.0% 16 18 23 25 28 32 33
Valerenga 1323 28 21.14 +6.86 100.0% 14 15 18 21 24 27 28
Skeid 1318 25 21.41 +3.59 79.0% 11 14 18 22 25 28 30
Start 1281 24 23.91 +0.09 54.0% 14 18 21 24 26 30 32
Mjondalen 1209 17 18.43 -1.43 40.0% 9 12 16 19 21 24 26
Sarpsborg 1128 11 17.45 -6.45 5.0% 10 11 15 18 20 23 26
Hamarkameratene 1126 15 20.36 -5.36 9.0% 9 14 18 20 22 26 30
Raufoss 1091 6 14.51 -8.51 1.0% 6 8 11 14 17 22 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Slight Edge
46.97%23.48%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
061.16500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Viking, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.04 * Wild Swing: 6.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.48 * Off: 2.48 to 3.31 * Way Off: 3.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.09 * A Surprise: 1.09 to 1.74 * Several Surprises: 1.74 to 2.4 * Many Surprises: 2.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.62 points
Lucky
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Valerenga
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Raufoss
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.13

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.67
1.94
Wide Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Few
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.50
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.13
Weak Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Viking38.00%22.00%11.00%13.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%——1.00%—
Molde9.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%—
Valerenga3.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%
Brann19.00%12.00%19.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Stromsgodset15.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Skeid1.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%3.00%
Start6.00%18.00%3.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%19.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%—
Rosenborg8.00%10.00%17.00%14.00%6.00%8.00%18.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%—
Mjondalen—1.00%—1.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%11.00%20.00%12.00%17.00%
Hamarkameratene1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%20.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%
Sarpsborg——1.00%—2.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%21.00%15.00%27.00%15.00%
Raufoss——1.00%1.00%1.00%—3.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%16.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Brann 99.00% 1.00%
Viking 99.00% 1.00%
Stromsgodset 96.00% 4.00%
Molde 94.00% 6.00%
Start 94.00% 6.00%
Rosenborg 93.00% 7.00%
Valerenga 76.00% 24.00%
Skeid 72.00% 28.00%
Hamarkameratene 68.00% 32.00%
Mjondalen 51.00% 49.00%
Sarpsborg 43.00% 57.00%
Raufoss 15.00% 85.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1974-04-28 Mjondalen W 2-036.3 1310 1279 53.19% 24.70% 22.11%+0.55 +16.9 2
1974-04-28 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-236.3 1279 1310 22.11% 24.70% 53.19%-0.55 -16.9 0
1974-04-28 Raufoss W 2-146.7 1203 1263 42.01% 24.90% 33.09%+0.01 +11.6 2
1974-04-28 @ Molde L 1-246.7 1263 1203 33.09% 24.90% 42.01%-0.01 -11.7 0
1974-04-28 Brann L 2-548.9 1278 1314 45.24% 24.89% 29.87%+0.15 -31.6 0
1974-04-28 @ Sarpsborg W 5-248.9 1314 1278 29.87% 24.89% 45.24%-0.15 +31.5 2
1974-04-28 Start W 1-040.7 1292 1310 47.49% 24.86% 27.66%+0.26 +10.8 2
1974-04-28 @ Skeid L 0-140.7 1310 1292 27.66% 24.86% 47.49%-0.26 -10.8 0
1974-04-28 Valerenga W 2-035.0 1303 1239 56.60% 24.53% 18.87%+0.75 +14.8 2
1974-04-28 @ Stromsgodset L 0-235.0 1239 1303 18.87% 24.53% 56.60%-0.75 -14.8 0
1974-04-28 Rosenborg D 0-051.0 1365 1341 52.37% 24.73% 22.90%+0.51 -2.5 1
1974-04-28 @ Viking D 0-051.0 1341 1365 22.90% 24.73% 52.37%-0.51 +2.5 1
1974-05-05 Skeid W 3-143.9 1262 1303 44.57% 24.89% 30.54%+0.12 +19.0 2
1974-05-05 @ Mjondalen L 1-343.9 1303 1262 30.54% 24.89% 44.57%-0.12 -19.0 2
1974-05-05 Viking L 0-143.0 1252 1362 34.89% 24.84% 40.27%-0.30 -12.8 0
1974-05-05 @ Raufoss W 1-043.0 1362 1252 40.27% 24.84% 34.89%+0.30 +12.9 3
1974-05-05 Hamarkameratene D 1-154.8 1344 1327 51.66% 24.76% 23.59%+0.47 -2.1 2
1974-05-05 @ Rosenborg D 1-154.8 1327 1344 23.59% 24.76% 51.66%-0.47 +2.1 3
1974-05-05 Stromsgodset D 1-154.2 1299 1318 47.41% 24.86% 27.73%+0.26 -1.5 1
1974-05-05 @ Start D 1-154.2 1318 1299 27.73% 24.86% 47.41%-0.26 +1.5 3
1974-05-06 Molde L 0-445.0 1346 1215 62.39% 24.04% 13.57%+1.15 -76.1 2
1974-05-06 @ Brann W 4-045.0 1215 1346 13.57% 24.04% 62.39%-1.15 +76.1 4
1974-05-06 Sarpsborg W 3-035.7 1224 1247 46.85% 24.87% 28.28%+0.23 +30.0 2
1974-05-06 @ Valerenga L 0-335.7 1247 1224 28.28% 24.87% 46.85%-0.23 -30.0 0
1974-05-12 Start L 0-148.5 1329 1298 53.22% 24.70% 22.08%+0.56 -18.2 3
1974-05-12 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-048.5 1298 1329 22.08% 24.70% 53.22%-0.56 +18.2 3
1974-05-12 Mjondalen W 2-036.9 1291 1281 50.87% 24.78% 24.34%+0.43 +18.3 6
1974-05-12 @ Molde L 0-236.9 1281 1291 24.34% 24.78% 50.87%-0.43 -18.3 2
1974-05-12 Rosenborg L 0-337.4 1217 1342 32.96% 24.81% 42.23%-0.38 -33.7 0
1974-05-12 @ Sarpsborg W 3-037.4 1342 1217 42.23% 24.81% 32.96%+0.38 +33.7 4
1974-05-12 Viking L 0-144.2 1284 1375 37.59% 24.88% 37.53%-0.18 -13.6 2
1974-05-12 @ Skeid W 1-044.2 1375 1284 37.53% 24.88% 37.59%+0.18 +13.6 5
1974-05-12 Raufoss W 5-031.5 1319 1239 58.14% 24.43% 17.43%+0.85 +32.5 5
1974-05-12 @ Stromsgodset L 0-531.5 1239 1319 17.43% 24.43% 58.14%-0.85 -32.5 0
1974-05-12 Brann L 0-341.7 1254 1269 47.77% 24.85% 27.38%+0.27 -45.2 2
1974-05-12 @ Valerenga W 3-041.7 1269 1254 27.38% 24.85% 47.77%-0.27 +45.2 4
1974-05-15 Stromsgodset D 0-050.5 1315 1352 45.09% 24.89% 30.02%+0.15 -1.2 5
1974-05-15 @ Brann D 0-050.5 1352 1315 30.02% 24.89% 45.09%-0.15 +1.2 6
1974-05-15 Viking L 0-240.0 1262 1389 32.76% 24.80% 42.44%-0.39 -23.1 2
1974-05-15 @ Mjondalen W 2-040.0 1389 1262 42.44% 24.80% 32.76%+0.39 +23.1 7
1974-05-15 Molde W 2-143.7 1375 1309 56.79% 24.52% 18.69%+0.77 +7.4 6
1974-05-15 @ Rosenborg L 1-243.7 1309 1375 18.69% 24.52% 56.79%-0.77 -7.4 6
1974-05-16 Sarpsborg L 0-244.7 1206 1183 52.32% 24.73% 22.95%+0.51 -33.8 0
1974-05-16 @ Raufoss W 2-044.7 1183 1206 22.95% 24.73% 52.32%-0.51 +33.8 2
1974-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 2-146.4 1270 1311 44.60% 24.89% 30.51%+0.12 +11.0 4
1974-05-16 @ Skeid L 1-246.4 1311 1270 30.51% 24.89% 44.60%-0.12 -10.9 3
1974-05-16 Valerenga W 2-033.8 1316 1209 60.51% 24.23% 15.25%+1.01 +12.4 5
1974-05-16 @ Start L 0-233.8 1209 1316 15.25% 24.23% 60.51%-1.01 -12.4 2
1974-05-19 Start D 2-259.6 1314 1328 47.89% 24.85% 27.25%+0.28 -1.1 6
1974-05-19 @ Brann D 2-259.6 1328 1314 27.25% 24.85% 47.89%-0.28 +1.1 6
1974-05-19 Skeid L 0-147.9 1302 1281 52.10% 24.74% 23.16%+0.49 -17.9 6
1974-05-19 @ Molde W 1-047.9 1281 1302 23.16% 24.74% 52.10%-0.49 +17.9 6
1974-05-19 Mjondalen W 3-035.6 1217 1239 46.94% 24.87% 28.19%+0.23 +29.9 4
1974-05-19 @ Sarpsborg L 0-335.6 1239 1217 28.19% 24.87% 46.94%-0.23 -29.9 2
1974-05-19 Rosenborg W 2-147.6 1353 1383 45.97% 24.88% 29.15%+0.19 +10.6 8
1974-05-19 @ Stromsgodset L 1-247.6 1383 1353 29.15% 24.88% 45.97%-0.19 -10.6 6
1974-05-19 Raufoss D 1-153.4 1196 1172 52.39% 24.73% 22.88%+0.51 -2.2 3
1974-05-19 @ Valerenga D 1-153.4 1172 1196 22.88% 24.73% 52.39%-0.51 +2.2 1
1974-05-19 Hamarkameratene W 2-035.2 1412 1300 60.92% 24.20% 14.89%+1.04 +12.1 9
1974-05-19 @ Viking L 0-235.2 1300 1412 14.89% 24.20% 60.92%-1.04 -12.1 3
1974-05-26 Molde D 1-154.0 1288 1284 50.07% 24.80% 25.12%+0.39 -1.9 4
1974-05-26 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-154.0 1284 1288 25.12% 24.80% 50.07%-0.39 +1.9 7
1974-05-26 Stromsgodset W 1-046.0 1209 1363 29.19% 24.70% 46.11%-0.56 +16.0 4
1974-05-26 @ Mjondalen L 0-146.0 1363 1209 46.11% 24.70% 29.19%+0.56 -16.0 8
1974-05-26 Brann L 0-141.2 1175 1312 31.26% 24.76% 43.97%-0.46 -11.8 1
1974-05-26 @ Raufoss W 1-041.2 1312 1175 43.97% 24.76% 31.26%+0.46 +11.8 8
1974-05-26 Viking D 0-051.7 1329 1424 37.14% 24.88% 37.98%-0.20 +0.1 7
1974-05-26 @ Start D 0-051.7 1424 1329 37.98% 24.88% 37.14%+0.20 -0.1 10
1974-05-27 Valerenga W 1-035.0 1372 1194 65.77% 23.58% 10.65%+1.44 +4.7 8
1974-05-27 @ Rosenborg L 0-135.0 1194 1372 10.65% 23.58% 65.77%-1.44 -4.7 3
1974-05-27 Sarpsborg D 1-153.9 1299 1247 55.39% 24.60% 20.01%+0.68 -2.8 7
1974-05-27 @ Skeid D 1-153.9 1247 1299 20.01% 24.60% 55.39%-0.68 +2.8 5
1974-06-03 Start W 3-037.2 1286 1329 44.23% 24.90% 30.87%+0.11 +32.1 9
1974-06-03 @ Molde L 0-337.2 1329 1286 30.87% 24.90% 44.23%-0.11 -32.1 7
1974-06-03 Rosenborg D 1-153.9 1163 1377 22.31% 24.35% 53.34%-0.92 +2.4 2
1974-06-03 @ Raufoss D 1-153.9 1377 1163 53.34% 24.35% 22.31%+0.92 -2.4 9
1974-06-03 Viking W 1-047.6 1250 1424 26.71% 24.60% 48.69%-0.68 +16.8 7
1974-06-03 @ Sarpsborg L 0-147.6 1424 1250 48.69% 24.60% 26.71%+0.68 -16.8 10
1974-06-03 Hamarkameratene W 3-140.9 1347 1286 56.36% 24.54% 19.10%+0.74 +13.0 10
1974-06-03 @ Stromsgodset L 1-340.9 1286 1347 19.10% 24.54% 56.36%-0.74 -13.0 4
1974-06-03 Skeid W 4-038.2 1189 1296 35.41% 24.85% 39.73%-0.28 +50.8 5
1974-06-03 @ Valerenga L 0-438.2 1296 1189 39.73% 24.85% 35.41%+0.28 -50.8 7
1974-06-04 Mjondalen W 2-034.1 1324 1225 59.78% 24.30% 15.92%+0.96 +12.8 10
1974-06-04 @ Brann L 0-234.1 1225 1324 15.92% 24.30% 59.78%-0.96 -12.8 4
1974-06-09 Sarpsborg D 0-049.6 1273 1266 50.41% 24.79% 24.80%+0.41 -2.2 5
1974-06-09 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-049.6 1266 1273 24.80% 24.79% 50.41%-0.41 +2.2 8
1974-06-09 Valerenga L 1-250.7 1213 1240 46.31% 24.88% 28.81%+0.20 -15.2 4
1974-06-09 @ Mjondalen W 2-150.7 1240 1213 28.81% 24.88% 46.31%-0.20 +15.2 7
1974-06-09 Brann L 0-345.0 1375 1337 53.90% 24.67% 21.43%+0.59 -50.5 9
1974-06-09 @ Rosenborg W 3-045.0 1337 1375 21.43% 24.67% 53.90%-0.59 +50.5 12
1974-06-09 Stromsgodset W 2-042.1 1245 1360 34.29% 24.83% 40.87%-0.32 +27.4 9
1974-06-09 @ Skeid L 0-242.1 1360 1245 40.87% 24.83% 34.29%+0.32 -27.3 10
1974-06-09 Raufoss W 5-029.8 1297 1165 62.50% 24.03% 13.47%+1.16 +25.9 9
1974-06-09 @ Start L 0-529.8 1165 1297 13.47% 24.03% 62.50%-1.16 -25.9 2
1974-06-09 Molde D 0-051.4 1407 1318 58.93% 24.37% 16.70%+0.90 -3.8 11
1974-06-09 @ Viking D 0-051.4 1318 1407 16.70% 24.37% 58.93%-0.90 +3.8 10
1974-06-12 Raufoss W 1-035.5 1271 1139 62.43% 24.04% 13.53%+1.16 +5.9 7
1974-06-12 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-135.5 1139 1271 13.53% 24.04% 62.43%-1.16 -5.9 2
1974-06-12 Start D 1-153.7 1197 1323 32.84% 24.80% 42.36%-0.39 +0.7 5
1974-06-12 @ Mjondalen D 1-153.7 1323 1197 42.36% 24.80% 32.84%+0.39 -0.7 10
1974-06-12 Valerenga D 1-154.1 1322 1255 56.86% 24.51% 18.63%+0.77 -3.0 11
1974-06-12 @ Molde D 1-154.1 1255 1322 18.63% 24.51% 56.86%-0.77 +3.0 8
1974-06-12 Stromsgodset L 0-340.2 1269 1333 41.40% 24.90% 33.70%-0.02 -40.1 8
1974-06-12 @ Sarpsborg W 3-040.2 1333 1269 33.70% 24.90% 41.40%+0.02 +40.2 12
1974-06-12 Rosenborg W 2-039.4 1273 1324 43.16% 24.90% 31.94%+0.06 +22.7 11
1974-06-12 @ Skeid L 0-239.4 1324 1273 31.94% 24.90% 43.16%-0.06 -22.7 9
1974-06-12 Brann D 0-052.4 1403 1387 51.52% 24.76% 23.72%+0.46 -2.4 12
1974-06-12 @ Viking D 0-052.4 1387 1403 23.72% 24.76% 51.52%-0.46 +2.3 13
1974-06-16 Skeid L 0-335.5 1133 1295 28.20% 24.66% 47.14%-0.61 -29.8 2
1974-06-16 @ Raufoss W 3-035.5 1295 1133 47.14% 24.66% 28.20%+0.61 +29.8 13
1974-06-16 Start L 1-345.9 1228 1323 37.22% 24.88% 37.90%-0.20 -22.1 8
1974-06-16 @ Sarpsborg W 3-145.9 1323 1228 37.90% 24.88% 37.22%+0.20 +22.0 12
1974-06-16 Molde D 2-260.2 1373 1319 55.63% 24.59% 19.79%+0.69 -2.1 13
1974-06-16 @ Stromsgodset D 2-260.2 1319 1373 19.79% 24.59% 55.63%-0.69 +2.1 12
1974-06-16 Viking D 0-050.4 1258 1401 30.58% 24.74% 44.68%-0.49 +1.2 9
1974-06-16 @ Valerenga D 0-050.4 1401 1258 44.68% 24.74% 30.58%+0.49 -1.1 13
1974-06-17 Hamarkameratene D 1-154.9 1390 1276 61.02% 24.19% 14.80%+1.05 -3.7 14
1974-06-17 @ Brann D 1-154.9 1276 1390 14.80% 24.19% 61.02%-1.05 +3.7 8
1974-06-17 Mjondalen L 1-449.9 1301 1198 60.17% 24.27% 15.56%+0.99 -47.4 9
1974-06-17 @ Rosenborg W 4-149.9 1198 1301 15.56% 24.27% 60.17%-0.99 +47.4 7
1974-06-23 Raufoss W 5-133.4 1246 1104 63.24% 23.94% 12.82%+1.22 +16.8 9
1974-06-23 @ Mjondalen L 1-533.4 1104 1246 12.82% 23.94% 63.24%-1.22 -16.8 2
1974-06-23 Sarpsborg W 5-134.4 1321 1206 61.11% 24.18% 14.71%+1.06 +18.9 14
1974-06-23 @ Molde L 1-534.4 1206 1321 14.71% 24.18% 61.11%-1.06 -18.9 8
1974-06-24 Valerenga L 1-350.2 1280 1259 52.08% 24.74% 23.17%+0.49 -29.2 8
1974-06-24 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-150.2 1259 1280 23.17% 24.74% 52.08%-0.49 +29.2 11
1974-06-24 Rosenborg W 4-031.6 1345 1254 59.06% 24.36% 16.58%+0.91 +25.2 14
1974-06-24 @ Start L 0-431.6 1254 1345 16.58% 24.36% 59.06%-0.91 -25.2 9
1974-06-24 Stromsgodset W 3-143.7 1400 1371 52.96% 24.71% 22.33%+0.54 +14.8 15
1974-06-24 @ Viking L 1-343.7 1371 1400 22.33% 24.71% 52.96%-0.54 -14.8 13
1974-06-25 Brann D 2-260.4 1325 1386 41.87% 24.90% 33.23%+0.00 -0.5 14
1974-06-25 @ Skeid D 2-260.4 1386 1325 33.23% 24.90% 41.87%+0.00 +0.5 15
1974-07-29 Sarpsborg W 3-137.2 1387 1187 67.08% 23.35% 9.58%+1.57 +7.0 17
1974-07-29 @ Brann L 1-337.2 1187 1387 9.58% 23.35% 67.08%-1.57 -7.0 8
1974-07-29 Hamarkameratene W 6-136.2 1262 1251 50.99% 24.78% 24.23%+0.44 +35.3 11
1974-07-29 @ Mjondalen L 1-636.2 1251 1262 24.23% 24.78% 50.99%-0.44 -35.3 8
1974-07-29 Molde L 0-137.1 1087 1340 18.57% 24.04% 57.39%-1.15 -7.7 2
1974-07-29 @ Raufoss W 1-037.1 1340 1087 57.39% 24.04% 18.57%+1.15 +7.7 16
1974-07-29 Viking W 3-257.4 1229 1415 25.37% 24.53% 50.10%-0.75 +15.4 11
1974-07-29 @ Rosenborg L 2-357.4 1415 1229 50.10% 24.53% 25.37%+0.75 -15.4 15
1974-07-29 Skeid W 1-039.4 1370 1325 54.69% 24.63% 20.67%+0.64 +8.5 16
1974-07-29 @ Start L 0-139.4 1325 1370 20.67% 24.63% 54.69%-0.64 -8.5 14
1974-07-29 Stromsgodset W 4-143.1 1288 1356 40.92% 24.90% 34.18%-0.04 +29.2 13
1974-07-29 @ Valerenga L 1-443.1 1356 1288 34.18% 24.90% 40.92%+0.04 -29.2 13
1974-08-04 Rosenborg W 2-037.9 1216 1244 46.16% 24.88% 28.97%+0.20 +21.0 10
1974-08-04 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-237.9 1244 1216 28.97% 24.88% 46.16%-0.20 -21.0 11
1974-08-04 Brann W 1-043.3 1348 1394 43.88% 24.90% 31.22%+0.09 +11.8 18
1974-08-04 @ Molde L 0-143.3 1394 1348 31.22% 24.90% 43.88%-0.09 -11.8 17
1974-08-04 Start W 4-249.4 1327 1378 43.18% 24.90% 31.92%+0.06 +17.6 15
1974-08-04 @ Stromsgodset L 2-449.4 1378 1327 31.92% 24.90% 43.18%-0.06 -17.6 16
1974-08-05 Valerenga L 0-141.3 1180 1318 31.32% 24.76% 43.91%-0.46 -11.8 8
1974-08-05 @ Sarpsborg W 1-041.3 1318 1180 43.91% 24.76% 31.32%+0.46 +11.8 15
1974-08-05 Mjondalen W 3-034.9 1316 1298 51.82% 24.75% 23.43%+0.48 +25.8 16
1974-08-05 @ Skeid L 0-334.9 1298 1316 23.43% 24.75% 51.82%-0.48 -25.8 11
1974-08-05 Raufoss W 6-026.9 1399 1079 73.13% 21.72% 5.15%+2.29 +12.2 17
1974-08-05 @ Viking L 0-626.9 1079 1399 5.15% 21.72% 73.13%-2.29 -12.2 2
1974-08-11 Molde L 0-241.5 1272 1359 38.16% 24.89% 36.96%-0.16 -25.9 11
1974-08-11 @ Mjondalen W 2-041.5 1359 1272 36.96% 24.89% 38.16%+0.16 +25.9 20
1974-08-11 Stromsgodset L 0-136.3 1067 1345 16.49% 23.81% 59.70%-1.30 -7.0 2
1974-08-11 @ Raufoss W 1-036.3 1345 1067 59.70% 23.81% 16.49%+1.30 +6.9 17
1974-08-11 Hamarkameratene W 5-134.6 1361 1237 61.88% 24.10% 14.02%+1.11 +18.2 18
1974-08-11 @ Start L 1-534.6 1237 1361 14.02% 24.10% 61.88%-1.11 -18.2 10
1974-08-11 Skeid D 1-156.0 1411 1342 57.12% 24.50% 18.38%+0.79 -3.0 18
1974-08-11 @ Viking D 1-156.0 1342 1411 18.38% 24.50% 57.12%-0.79 +3.0 17
1974-08-12 Valerenga D 0-051.1 1382 1329 55.43% 24.60% 19.97%+0.68 -3.1 18
1974-08-12 @ Brann D 0-051.1 1329 1382 19.97% 24.60% 55.43%-0.68 +3.1 16
1974-08-12 Sarpsborg W 5-031.7 1223 1169 55.66% 24.58% 19.76%+0.70 +36.1 13
1974-08-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-531.7 1169 1223 19.76% 24.58% 55.66%-0.70 -36.1 8
1974-08-22 Skeid W 2-149.9 1219 1345 32.74% 24.80% 42.46%-0.39 +14.1 12
1974-08-22 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-249.9 1345 1219 42.46% 24.80% 32.74%+0.39 -14.1 17
1974-08-22 Rosenborg W 2-141.7 1385 1259 62.03% 24.08% 13.88%+1.13 +5.7 22
1974-08-22 @ Molde L 1-241.7 1259 1385 13.88% 24.08% 62.03%-1.13 -5.7 13
1974-08-22 Raufoss D 1-153.3 1132 1060 57.40% 24.48% 18.12%+0.80 -3.1 9
1974-08-22 @ Sarpsborg D 1-153.3 1060 1132 18.12% 24.48% 57.40%-0.80 +3.1 3
1974-08-22 Brann W 1-042.4 1352 1379 46.33% 24.88% 28.80%+0.20 +11.1 19
1974-08-22 @ Stromsgodset L 0-142.4 1379 1352 28.80% 24.88% 46.33%-0.20 -11.1 18
1974-08-22 Start W 2-147.9 1333 1379 43.83% 24.90% 31.27%+0.09 +11.2 18
1974-08-22 @ Valerenga L 1-247.9 1379 1333 31.27% 24.90% 43.83%-0.09 -11.2 18
1974-08-22 Mjondalen W 2-033.4 1408 1246 64.72% 23.74% 11.54%+1.35 +9.6 20
1974-08-22 @ Viking L 0-233.4 1246 1408 11.54% 23.74% 64.72%-1.35 -9.6 11
1974-08-25 Viking L 1-342.9 1233 1418 25.42% 24.54% 50.05%-0.75 -16.4 12
1974-08-25 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-142.9 1418 1233 50.05% 24.54% 25.42%+0.75 +16.4 22
1974-08-25 Sarpsborg L 0-345.0 1236 1129 60.47% 24.24% 15.29%+1.01 -56.5 11
1974-08-25 @ Mjondalen W 3-045.0 1129 1236 15.29% 24.24% 60.47%-1.01 +56.5 11
1974-08-25 Valerenga L 0-233.6 1063 1344 16.25% 23.78% 59.96%-1.32 -12.9 3
1974-08-25 @ Raufoss W 2-033.6 1344 1063 59.96% 23.78% 16.25%+1.32 +12.9 20
1974-08-25 Brann L 0-344.1 1368 1368 49.69% 24.81% 25.50%+0.37 -46.9 18
1974-08-25 @ Start W 3-044.1 1368 1368 25.50% 24.81% 49.69%-0.37 +46.9 20
1974-08-26 Stromsgodset W 6-244.6 1254 1363 35.12% 24.85% 40.03%-0.29 +36.1 15
1974-08-26 @ Rosenborg L 2-644.6 1363 1254 40.03% 24.85% 35.12%+0.29 -36.1 19
1974-08-27 Molde L 0-243.7 1331 1391 41.99% 24.90% 33.11%+0.01 -28.0 17
1974-08-27 @ Skeid W 2-043.7 1391 1331 33.11% 24.90% 41.99%-0.01 +28.0 24
1974-09-01 Hamarkameratene W 5-029.2 1419 1216 67.29% 23.30% 9.40%+1.59 +18.6 26
1974-09-01 @ Molde L 0-529.2 1216 1419 9.40% 23.30% 67.29%-1.59 -18.6 12
1974-09-01 Skeid L 2-351.8 1186 1303 34.01% 24.83% 41.16%-0.34 -11.3 11
1974-09-01 @ Sarpsborg W 3-251.8 1303 1186 41.16% 24.83% 34.01%+0.34 +11.3 19
1974-09-01 Mjondalen W 3-030.8 1327 1180 63.60% 23.89% 12.51%+1.25 +15.1 21
1974-09-01 @ Stromsgodset L 0-330.8 1180 1327 12.51% 23.89% 63.60%-1.25 -15.1 11
1974-09-02 Raufoss W 5-130.1 1414 1050 74.87% 21.02% 4.11%+2.56 +5.5 22
1974-09-02 @ Brann L 1-530.1 1050 1414 4.11% 21.02% 74.87%-2.56 -5.5 3
1974-09-02 Rosenborg L 0-543.9 1357 1290 56.87% 24.51% 18.61%+0.77 -85.6 20
1974-09-02 @ Valerenga W 5-043.9 1290 1357 18.61% 24.51% 56.87%-0.77 +85.6 17
1974-09-02 Start D 0-051.9 1434 1321 61.03% 24.19% 14.79%+1.05 -4.2 23
1974-09-02 @ Viking D 0-051.9 1321 1434 14.79% 24.19% 61.03%-1.05 +4.2 19
1974-09-15 Stromsgodset L 1-343.8 1198 1342 30.45% 24.74% 44.81%-0.50 -18.9 12
1974-09-15 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-143.8 1342 1198 44.81% 24.74% 30.45%+0.50 +18.9 23
1974-09-15 Brann D 2-259.5 1165 1420 18.37% 24.02% 57.61%-1.17 +2.3 12
1974-09-15 @ Mjondalen D 2-259.5 1420 1165 57.61% 24.02% 18.37%+1.17 -2.3 23
1974-09-15 Raufoss D 1-154.4 1375 1045 73.56% 21.56% 4.88%+2.36 -5.9 18
1974-09-15 @ Rosenborg D 1-154.4 1045 1375 4.88% 21.56% 73.56%-2.36 +5.9 4
1974-09-15 Molde D 0-051.8 1325 1438 34.64% 24.84% 40.52%-0.31 +0.5 20
1974-09-15 @ Start D 0-051.8 1438 1325 40.52% 24.84% 34.64%+0.31 -0.5 27
1974-09-15 Sarpsborg W 4-240.3 1430 1175 70.19% 22.64% 7.17%+1.91 +4.7 25
1974-09-15 @ Viking L 2-440.3 1175 1430 7.17% 22.64% 70.19%-1.91 -4.7 11
1974-09-17 Valerenga L 0-246.0 1314 1271 54.49% 24.64% 20.87%+0.63 -35.1 19
1974-09-17 @ Skeid W 2-046.0 1271 1314 20.87% 24.64% 54.49%-0.63 +35.1 22
1974-09-22 Rosenborg W 2-038.3 1418 1369 55.02% 24.62% 20.37%+0.66 +15.8 25
1974-09-22 @ Brann L 0-238.3 1369 1418 20.37% 24.62% 55.02%-0.66 -15.8 18
1974-09-22 Viking L 0-249.4 1437 1435 49.92% 24.81% 25.27%+0.38 -32.4 27
1974-09-22 @ Molde W 2-049.4 1435 1437 25.27% 24.81% 49.92%-0.38 +32.4 27
1974-09-22 Start L 1-241.3 1051 1326 16.70% 23.84% 59.46%-1.29 -6.6 4
1974-09-22 @ Raufoss W 2-141.3 1326 1051 59.46% 23.84% 16.70%+1.29 +6.6 22
1974-09-22 Hamarkameratene L 0-146.2 1170 1179 48.60% 24.84% 26.56%+0.31 -16.8 11
1974-09-22 @ Sarpsborg W 1-046.2 1179 1170 26.56% 24.84% 48.60%-0.31 +16.8 14
1974-09-22 Skeid L 1-255.0 1360 1279 58.23% 24.42% 17.35%+0.86 -18.7 23
1974-09-22 @ Stromsgodset W 2-155.0 1279 1360 17.35% 24.42% 58.23%-0.86 +18.7 21
1974-09-22 Mjondalen W 1-035.5 1306 1167 63.04% 23.96% 13.00%+1.20 +5.7 24
1974-09-22 @ Valerenga L 0-135.5 1167 1306 13.00% 23.96% 63.04%-1.20 -5.7 12
1974-09-29 Viking D 0-055.4 1433 1467 45.47% 24.88% 29.65%+0.16 -1.3 26
1974-09-29 @ Brann D 0-055.4 1467 1433 29.65% 24.88% 45.47%-0.16 +1.3 28
1974-09-29 Hamarkameratene W 7-141.6 1044 1196 29.48% 24.71% 45.81%-0.54 +68.7 6
1974-09-29 @ Raufoss L 1-741.6 1196 1044 45.81% 24.71% 29.48%+0.54 -68.8 14
1974-09-29 Skeid W 1-038.6 1354 1298 55.77% 24.58% 19.65%+0.70 +8.2 20
1974-09-29 @ Rosenborg L 0-138.6 1298 1354 19.65% 24.58% 55.77%-0.70 -8.1 21
1974-09-29 Mjondalen L 2-457.5 1332 1161 65.28% 23.66% 11.07%+1.40 -32.5 22
1974-09-29 @ Start W 4-257.5 1161 1332 11.07% 23.66% 65.28%-1.40 +32.5 14
1974-09-29 Sarpsborg W 1-034.5 1342 1153 66.43% 23.46% 10.10%+1.50 +4.5 25
1974-09-29 @ Stromsgodset L 0-134.5 1153 1342 10.10% 23.46% 66.43%-1.50 -4.5 11
1974-09-29 Molde W 4-357.4 1312 1405 37.40% 24.88% 37.72%-0.19 +11.9 26
1974-09-29 @ Valerenga L 3-457.4 1405 1312 37.72% 24.88% 37.40%+0.19 -11.9 27
1974-10-06 Brann D 1-154.3 1127 1432 14.39% 23.53% 62.09%-1.47 +3.9 15
1974-10-06 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-154.3 1432 1127 62.09% 23.53% 14.39%+1.47 -3.8 27
1974-10-06 Rosenborg D 1-153.9 1194 1362 27.48% 24.63% 47.89%-0.64 +1.5 15
1974-10-06 @ Mjondalen D 1-153.9 1362 1194 47.89% 24.63% 27.48%+0.64 -1.5 21
1974-10-06 Stromsgodset D 2-260.9 1393 1346 54.84% 24.63% 20.53%+0.65 -2.0 28
1974-10-06 @ Molde D 2-260.9 1346 1393 20.53% 24.63% 54.84%-0.65 +2.0 26
1974-10-06 Raufoss W 3-137.1 1290 1113 65.68% 23.59% 10.73%+1.43 +7.8 23
1974-10-06 @ Skeid L 1-337.1 1113 1290 10.73% 23.59% 65.68%-1.43 -7.8 6
1974-10-06 Sarpsborg W 4-135.3 1300 1149 63.91% 23.85% 12.24%+1.28 +12.4 24
1974-10-06 @ Start L 1-435.3 1149 1300 12.24% 23.85% 63.91%-1.28 -12.4 11
1974-10-06 Valerenga W 2-143.4 1469 1324 63.46% 23.91% 12.63%+1.24 +5.2 30
1974-10-06 @ Viking L 1-243.4 1324 1469 12.63% 23.91% 63.46%-1.24 -5.2 26
1974-10-13 Skeid L 1-257.2 1428 1297 62.41% 24.04% 13.56%+1.15 -20.1 27
1974-10-13 @ Brann W 2-157.2 1297 1428 13.56% 24.04% 62.41%-1.15 +20.1 25
1974-10-13 Mjondalen L 0-142.9 1105 1195 37.75% 24.88% 37.37%-0.18 -13.7 6
1974-10-13 @ Raufoss W 1-042.9 1195 1105 37.37% 24.88% 37.75%+0.18 +13.6 17
1974-10-13 Start W 6-136.1 1360 1312 55.00% 24.62% 20.38%+0.66 +30.7 23
1974-10-13 @ Rosenborg L 1-636.1 1312 1360 20.38% 24.62% 55.00%-0.66 -30.7 24
1974-10-13 Molde L 0-137.3 1136 1391 18.41% 24.03% 57.56%-1.16 -7.7 11
1974-10-13 @ Sarpsborg W 1-037.3 1391 1136 57.56% 24.03% 18.41%+1.16 +7.6 30
1974-10-13 Viking D 0-053.1 1348 1474 32.85% 24.80% 42.35%-0.39 +0.8 27
1974-10-13 @ Stromsgodset D 0-053.1 1474 1348 42.35% 24.80% 32.85%+0.39 -0.8 31
1974-10-13 Hamarkameratene W 2-139.4 1319 1131 66.38% 23.47% 10.14%+1.50 +4.3 28
1974-10-13 @ Valerenga L 1-239.4 1131 1319 10.14% 23.47% 66.38%-1.50 -4.3 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-09-29 11.07% Mjondalen 1161 4 @ Start 1332 2
2 1974-10-13 13.56% Skeid 1297 2 @ Brann 1428 1
3 1974-05-06 13.57% Molde 1215 4 @ Brann 1346 0
4 1974-08-25 15.29% Sarpsborg 1129 3 @ Mjondalen 1236 0
5 1974-06-17 15.56% Mjondalen 1198 4 @ Rosenborg 1301 1
6 1974-09-22 17.35% Skeid 1279 2 @ Stromsgodset 1360 1
7 1974-09-02 18.61% Rosenborg 1290 5 @ Valerenga 1357 0
8 1974-09-17 20.87% Valerenga 1271 2 @ Skeid 1314 0
9 1974-06-09 21.43% Brann 1337 3 @ Rosenborg 1375 0
10 1974-05-12 22.08% Start 1298 1 @ Hamarkameratene 1329 0
11 1974-05-16 22.95% Sarpsborg 1183 2 @ Raufoss 1206 0
12 1974-05-19 23.16% Skeid 1281 1 @ Molde 1302 0
13 1974-06-24 23.17% Valerenga 1259 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1280 1
14 1974-09-22 25.27% Viking 1435 2 @ Molde 1437 0
15 1974-07-29 25.37% @ Rosenborg 1229 3 Viking 1415 2
16 1974-08-25 25.50% Brann 1368 3 @ Start 1368 0
17 1974-09-22 26.56% Hamarkameratene 1179 1 @ Sarpsborg 1170 0
18 1974-06-03 26.71% @ Sarpsborg 1250 1 Viking 1424 0
19 1974-05-12 27.38% Brann 1269 3 @ Valerenga 1254 0
20 1974-06-09 28.81% Valerenga 1240 2 @ Mjondalen 1213 1
21 1974-05-26 29.19% @ Mjondalen 1209 1 Stromsgodset 1363 0
22 1974-09-29 29.48% @ Raufoss 1044 7 Hamarkameratene 1196 1
23 1974-04-28 29.87% Brann 1314 5 @ Sarpsborg 1278 2
24 1974-08-22 32.74% @ Hamarkameratene 1219 2 Skeid 1345 1
25 1974-08-27 33.11% Molde 1391 2 @ Skeid 1331 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-09-02 85.57 Rosenborg 5 1290 18.61% @ Valerenga 0 1357 56.87% 24.51%
2 1974-05-06 76.12 Molde 4 1215 13.57% @ Brann 0 1346 62.39% 24.04%
3 1974-09-29 68.75 @ Raufoss 7 1044 29.48% Hamarkameratene 1 1196 45.81% 24.71%
4 1974-08-25 56.46 Sarpsborg 3 1129 15.29% @ Mjondalen 0 1236 60.47% 24.24%
5 1974-06-03 50.76 @ Valerenga 4 1189 35.41% Skeid 0 1296 39.73% 24.85%
6 1974-06-09 50.49 Brann 3 1337 21.43% @ Rosenborg 0 1375 53.90% 24.67%
7 1974-06-17 47.38 Mjondalen 4 1198 15.56% @ Rosenborg 1 1301 60.17% 24.27%
8 1974-08-25 46.86 Brann 3 1368 25.50% @ Start 0 1368 49.69% 24.81%
9 1974-05-12 45.25 Brann 3 1269 27.38% @ Valerenga 0 1254 47.77% 24.85%
10 1974-06-12 40.15 Stromsgodset 3 1333 33.70% @ Sarpsborg 0 1269 41.40% 24.90%
11 1974-08-26 36.11 @ Rosenborg 6 1254 35.12% Stromsgodset 2 1363 40.03% 24.85%
12 1974-08-12 36.10 @ Rosenborg 5 1223 55.66% Sarpsborg 0 1169 19.76% 24.58%
13 1974-07-29 35.34 @ Mjondalen 6 1262 50.99% Hamarkameratene 1 1251 24.23% 24.78%
14 1974-09-17 35.12 Valerenga 2 1271 20.87% @ Skeid 0 1314 54.49% 24.64%
15 1974-05-16 33.81 Sarpsborg 2 1183 22.95% @ Raufoss 0 1206 52.32% 24.73%
16 1974-05-12 33.70 Rosenborg 3 1342 42.23% @ Sarpsborg 0 1217 32.96% 24.81%
17 1974-09-29 32.54 Mjondalen 4 1161 11.07% @ Start 2 1332 65.28% 23.66%
18 1974-05-12 32.47 @ Stromsgodset 5 1319 58.14% Raufoss 0 1239 17.43% 24.43%
19 1974-09-22 32.40 Viking 2 1435 25.27% @ Molde 0 1437 49.92% 24.81%
20 1974-06-03 32.08 @ Molde 3 1286 44.23% Start 0 1329 30.87% 24.90%
21 1974-04-28 31.55 Brann 5 1314 29.87% @ Sarpsborg 2 1278 45.24% 24.89%
22 1974-10-13 30.68 @ Rosenborg 6 1360 55.00% Start 1 1312 20.38% 24.62%
23 1974-05-06 29.96 @ Valerenga 3 1224 46.85% Sarpsborg 0 1247 28.28% 24.87%
24 1974-05-19 29.90 @ Sarpsborg 3 1217 46.94% Mjondalen 0 1239 28.19% 24.87%
25 1974-06-16 29.82 Skeid 3 1295 47.14% @ Raufoss 0 1133 28.20% 24.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-10-06 60.9 @ Molde 2 1393 54.84% Stromsgodset 2 1346 20.53% 24.63%
2 1974-06-25 60.4 @ Skeid 2 1325 41.87% Brann 2 1386 33.23% 24.90%
3 1974-06-16 60.2 @ Stromsgodset 2 1373 55.63% Molde 2 1319 19.79% 24.59%
4 1974-05-19 59.6 @ Brann 2 1314 47.89% Start 2 1328 27.25% 24.85%
5 1974-09-15 59.5 @ Mjondalen 2 1165 18.37% Brann 2 1420 57.61% 24.02%
6 1974-09-29 57.5 Mjondalen 4 1161 11.07% @ Start 2 1332 65.28% 23.66%
7 1974-07-29 57.4 @ Rosenborg 3 1229 25.37% Viking 2 1415 50.10% 24.53%
8 1974-09-29 57.4 @ Valerenga 4 1312 37.40% Molde 3 1405 37.72% 24.88%
9 1974-10-13 57.2 Skeid 2 1297 13.56% @ Brann 1 1428 62.41% 24.04%
10 1974-08-11 56.0 @ Viking 1 1411 57.12% Skeid 1 1342 18.38% 24.50%
11 1974-09-29 55.4 @ Brann 0 1433 45.47% Viking 0 1467 29.65% 24.88%
12 1974-09-22 55.0 Skeid 2 1279 17.35% @ Stromsgodset 1 1360 58.23% 24.42%
13 1974-06-17 54.9 @ Brann 1 1390 61.02% Hamarkameratene 1 1276 14.80% 24.19%
14 1974-05-05 54.8 @ Rosenborg 1 1344 51.66% Hamarkameratene 1 1327 23.59% 24.76%
15 1974-09-15 54.4 @ Rosenborg 1 1375 73.56% Raufoss 1 1045 4.88% 21.56%
16 1974-10-06 54.3 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1127 14.39% Brann 1 1432 62.09% 23.53%
17 1974-05-05 54.2 @ Start 1 1299 47.41% Stromsgodset 1 1318 27.73% 24.86%
18 1974-06-12 54.1 @ Molde 1 1322 56.86% Valerenga 1 1255 18.63% 24.51%
19 1974-05-26 54.0 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1288 50.07% Molde 1 1284 25.12% 24.80%
20 1974-05-27 53.9 @ Skeid 1 1299 55.39% Sarpsborg 1 1247 20.01% 24.60%
21 1974-06-03 53.9 @ Raufoss 1 1163 22.31% Rosenborg 1 1377 53.34% 24.35%
22 1974-10-06 53.9 @ Mjondalen 1 1194 27.48% Rosenborg 1 1362 47.89% 24.63%
23 1974-06-12 53.7 @ Mjondalen 1 1197 32.84% Start 1 1323 42.36% 24.80%
24 1974-05-19 53.4 @ Valerenga 1 1196 52.39% Raufoss 1 1172 22.88% 24.73%
25 1974-08-22 53.3 @ Sarpsborg 1 1132 57.40% Raufoss 1 1060 18.12% 24.48%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-08-05 26.9 @ Viking 6 1399 73.13% Raufoss 0 1079 5.15% 21.72%
2 1974-09-01 29.2 @ Molde 5 1419 67.29% Hamarkameratene 0 1216 9.40% 23.30%
3 1974-06-09 29.8 @ Start 5 1297 62.50% Raufoss 0 1165 13.47% 24.03%
4 1974-09-02 30.1 @ Brann 5 1414 74.87% Raufoss 1 1050 4.11% 21.02%
5 1974-09-01 30.8 @ Stromsgodset 3 1327 63.60% Mjondalen 0 1180 12.51% 23.89%
6 1974-05-12 31.5 @ Stromsgodset 5 1319 58.14% Raufoss 0 1239 17.43% 24.43%
7 1974-06-24 31.6 @ Start 4 1345 59.06% Rosenborg 0 1254 16.58% 24.36%
8 1974-08-12 31.7 @ Rosenborg 5 1223 55.66% Sarpsborg 0 1169 19.76% 24.58%
9 1974-06-23 33.4 @ Mjondalen 5 1246 63.24% Raufoss 1 1104 12.82% 23.94%
10 1974-08-22 33.4 @ Viking 2 1408 64.72% Mjondalen 0 1246 11.54% 23.74%
11 1974-08-25 33.6 Valerenga 2 1344 59.96% @ Raufoss 0 1063 16.25% 23.78%
12 1974-05-16 33.8 @ Start 2 1316 60.51% Valerenga 0 1209 15.25% 24.23%
13 1974-06-04 34.1 @ Brann 2 1324 59.78% Mjondalen 0 1225 15.92% 24.30%
14 1974-06-23 34.4 @ Molde 5 1321 61.11% Sarpsborg 1 1206 14.71% 24.18%
15 1974-09-29 34.5 @ Stromsgodset 1 1342 66.43% Sarpsborg 0 1153 10.10% 23.46%
16 1974-08-11 34.6 @ Start 5 1361 61.88% Hamarkameratene 1 1237 14.02% 24.10%
17 1974-08-05 34.9 @ Skeid 3 1316 51.82% Mjondalen 0 1298 23.43% 24.75%
18 1974-04-28 35.0 @ Stromsgodset 2 1303 56.60% Valerenga 0 1239 18.87% 24.53%
19 1974-05-27 35.0 @ Rosenborg 1 1372 65.77% Valerenga 0 1194 10.65% 23.58%
20 1974-05-19 35.2 @ Viking 2 1412 60.92% Hamarkameratene 0 1300 14.89% 24.20%
21 1974-10-06 35.3 @ Start 4 1300 63.91% Sarpsborg 1 1149 12.24% 23.85%
22 1974-06-12 35.5 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1271 62.43% Raufoss 0 1139 13.53% 24.04%
23 1974-06-16 35.5 Skeid 3 1295 47.14% @ Raufoss 0 1133 28.20% 24.66%
24 1974-09-22 35.5 @ Valerenga 1 1306 63.04% Mjondalen 0 1167 13.00% 23.96%
25 1974-05-19 35.6 @ Sarpsborg 3 1217 46.94% Mjondalen 0 1239 28.19% 24.87%