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1975 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Viking

30 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1974

Relegated

Os TF

5 pts

Valerenga · 16 pts

Skeid · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Mjondalen

5.40 points above expected

24 points · 18.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Os TF

9.06 points below expected

5 points · 14.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viking Champion 22 12 6 4 30 38 20 +18 28.27 +1.73
2 Brann 22 10 7 5 27 36 27 +9 24.71 +2.29
3 Start 22 11 5 6 27 29 20 +9 22.49 +4.51
4 Rosenborg 22 11 5 6 27 36 28 +8 24.93 +2.07
5 Stromsgodset 22 10 4 8 24 39 27 +12 25.91 -1.91
6 Mjondalen 22 9 6 7 24 21 21 0 18.60 +5.40
7 Lillestrom 22 10 3 9 23 27 20 +7 23.47 -0.47
8 Molde 22 7 8 7 22 27 29 -2 24.37 -2.37
9 Fredrikstad 22 8 6 8 22 31 35 -4 19.54 +2.46
10 Skeid Relegated 22 5 7 10 17 18 23 -5 21.29 -4.29
11 Valerenga Relegated 22 3 10 9 16 19 36 -17 16.36 -0.36
12 Os TF Relegated 22 0 5 17 5 15 50 -35 14.06 -9.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mjondalen 24 18.60 +5.40
2 Start 27 22.49 +4.51
3 Fredrikstad 22 19.54 +2.46
4 Brann 27 24.71 +2.29
5 Rosenborg 27 24.93 +2.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Os TF 5 14.06 -9.06
2 Skeid 17 21.29 -4.29
3 Molde 22 24.37 -2.37
4 Stromsgodset 24 25.91 -1.91
5 Lillestrom 23 23.47 -0.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 6 Jul 27 – Sep 15 1 in 2,099
2 Start 5 Jun 14 – Aug 10 1 in 149
3 Molde 4 May 7 – May 22 1 in 57
4 Lillestrom 3 May 3 – May 11 1 in 16
5 Valerenga 2 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os TF 10 Jun 1 – Sep 14 1 in 388
2 Stromsgodset 4 Sep 28 – Oct 19 1 in 321
3 Lillestrom 4 Jun 22 – Aug 10 1 in 195
4 Skeid 5 May 5 – May 22 1 in 120
5 Molde 3 Jun 14 – Jul 27 1 in 86

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 8 Jul 27 – Sep 28 1 in 109
2 Brann 9 Jun 1 – Aug 31 1 in 33
3 Molde 6 Sep 13 – Oct 19 1 in 20
4 Lillestrom 8 Apr 27 – Jun 1 1 in 17
5 Stromsgodset 8 Apr 27 – Jun 1 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os TF 22 Apr 27 – Oct 19 1 in 112
2 Valerenga 15 Apr 28 – Aug 25 1 in 99
3 Stromsgodset 5 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 25
4 Skeid 7 May 5 – Jun 1 1 in 21
5 Molde 5 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Viking 1370 30 +20 6 6.6 -0.6
Brann 1300 27 +26 8 5.9 +2.1
Start 1268 27 +27 8 6.1 +1.9
Rosenborg 1278 27 -10 6 5.8 +0.2
Mjondalen 1214 24 -7 5 4.7 +0.3
Stromsgodset 1248 24 -58 1 6.1 -5.1
Lillestrom 1228 23 +28 5 4.4 +0.6
Fredrikstad 1187 22 +27 6 4.5 +1.5
Molde 1201 22 -2 5 5.2 -0.2
Skeid 1166 17 -49 3 5.3 -2.3
Valerenga 1104 16 +9 5 2.9 +2.1
Os TF 981 5 -12 2 2.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA FRE LIL MJO MOL OT ROS SKE STA STR VAL VIK
Brann —
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.24
Fredrikstad
0-2-0
1.98
—
1-0-1
2.02
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
1.99
2-0-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
1.70
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
1.70
Lillestrom
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.41
—
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
3.85
1-1-0
2.14
Mjondalen
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.01
—
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
1.81
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
1.61
Molde
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
3.58
—
1-1-0
4.06
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.27
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
1.98
Os TF
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.39
—
0-0-2
1.32
0-2-0
1.59
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.48
Rosenborg
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
4.14
—
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.79
0-1-1
2.31
Skeid
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
3.86
0-0-2
2.34
—
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
1.80
Start
1-1-0
2.34
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.92
—
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
1.94
Stromsgodset
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.73
0-2-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.84
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.23
—
1-0-1
4.01
1-0-1
2.14
Valerenga
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.60
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
1.66
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.44
—
0-1-1
1.16
Viking
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.84
0-0-2
3.46
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
4.31
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +6.5
Allowed 0.65 -6.1
Differential 0.92 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%10.98%6.82%3.79%0.76%0.38%29.55%
110.98%12.88%6.44%3.03%0.76%0.76%34.85%
26.82%6.44%6.06%1.14%0.38%0.76%21.59%
33.79%3.03%1.14%1.52%0.38%—9.85%
40.76%0.76%0.38%0.38%——2.27%
5+0.38%0.76%0.76%———1.89%
Total29.55%34.85%21.59%9.85%2.27%1.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.74
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%18.18%———4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%40.91%22.73%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.23 +0.41
SD 1.40 1.19 1.76
CV 0.85 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
29.09%13.64%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%54.55%18.18%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.59 -0.18
SD 1.01 1.59 2.11
CV 0.72 1.00 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
118.18%9.09%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.91 +0.32
SD 1.19 0.97 1.78
CV 0.97 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—40.91%
118.18%9.09%—4.55%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.95 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.13 1.69
CV 1.05 1.19 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
29.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.32 -0.09
SD 0.75 0.99 1.23
CV 0.61 0.75 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%45.45%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%9.09%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.27 -1.59
SD 0.78 1.55 1.37
CV 1.14 0.68 —
Max 3 6 +0
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
213.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
3——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.27 +0.36
SD 1.53 1.03 1.53
CV 0.93 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%——45.45%
113.64%9.09%13.64%———36.36%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.05 -0.23
SD 0.96 1.00 1.31
CV 1.17 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 0.91 +0.41
SD 1.21 0.87 1.37
CV 0.92 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
113.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
29.09%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
313.64%—————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.23 +0.55
SD 1.38 1.31 2.04
CV 0.78 1.06 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%22.73%——45.45%
14.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
2——13.64%———13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.64 -0.77
SD 0.99 1.05 1.60
CV 1.15 0.64 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
118.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total45.45%27.27%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.91 +0.82
SD 1.52 1.02 1.87
CV 0.88 1.12 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Viking 1370 30 28.27 +1.73 76.0% 18 23 26 28 30 35 38
Brann 1300 27 24.71 +2.29 74.0% 15 17 22 25 28 31 34
Rosenborg 1278 27 24.93 +2.07 78.0% 15 18 23 25 27 31 36
Start 1268 27 22.49 +4.51 95.0% 11 17 20 22 25 27 30
Stromsgodset 1248 24 25.91 -1.91 37.0% 18 21 24 26 28 31 34
Lillestrom 1228 23 23.47 -0.47 52.0% 17 18 21 23 25 29 32
Mjondalen 1214 24 18.60 +5.40 96.0% 10 13 16 18 21 24 29
Molde 1201 22 24.37 -2.37 28.0% 15 17 22 24 27 31 35
Fredrikstad 1187 22 19.54 +2.46 82.0% 11 14 17 20 22 25 27
Skeid 1166 17 21.29 -4.29 17.0% 13 15 19 21 24 26 31
Valerenga 1104 16 16.36 -0.36 49.0% 7 11 14 17 18 21 23
Os TF 981 5 14.06 -9.06 0.0% 6 9 11 14 17 20 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.03%
No Edge
37.88%27.27%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 10.53 Elo pts.
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.15 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Viking, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.68 * Wild Swing: 5.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.24 * Off: 2.24 to 2.99 * Way Off: 2.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.85 * A Surprise: 0.85 to 1.36 * Several Surprises: 1.36 to 1.87 * Many Surprises: 1.87 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.85 points
Some Luck
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.874
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Mjondalen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Os TF
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
A Surprise
00.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 99.91
1.68
Strong Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Slight Separation
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.055
Well Within Noise
00.1520.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Viking39.00%25.00%21.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Brann10.00%14.00%21.00%14.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Start2.00%9.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Rosenborg13.00%10.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%——
Stromsgodset16.00%18.00%20.00%12.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Mjondalen2.00%2.00%—1.00%—10.00%9.00%9.00%20.00%19.00%15.00%13.00%
Lillestrom6.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%21.00%4.00%9.00%2.00%——
Molde10.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%—
Fredrikstad—2.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%
Skeid2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%12.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%
Valerenga————1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%22.00%37.00%20.00%
Os TF——————2.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%23.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Stromsgodset 99.00% 1.00%
Viking 99.00% 1.00%
Lillestrom 98.00% 2.00%
Rosenborg 96.00% 4.00%
Molde 94.00% 6.00%
Brann 93.00% 7.00%
Start 91.00% 9.00%
Skeid 78.00% 22.00%
Fredrikstad 67.00% 33.00%
Mjondalen 53.00% 47.00%
Valerenga 21.00% 79.00%
Os TF 11.00% 89.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1975-04-27 Stromsgodset D 1-152.6 1251 1217 43.01% 28.83% 28.16%+0.21 -1.0 1
1975-04-27 @ Brann D 1-152.6 1217 1251 28.16% 28.83% 43.01%-0.21 +1.0 1
1975-04-27 Start D 0-047.6 1207 1186 41.20% 28.88% 29.92%+0.14 -0.8 1
1975-04-27 @ Lillestrom D 0-047.6 1186 1207 29.92% 28.88% 41.20%-0.14 +0.8 1
1975-04-27 Molde D 1-152.5 1152 1245 25.95% 28.66% 45.39%-0.38 +1.3 1
1975-04-27 @ Mjondalen D 1-152.5 1245 1152 45.39% 28.66% 25.95%+0.38 -1.3 1
1975-04-27 Fredrikstad W 2-143.9 1242 1163 48.55% 28.56% 22.88%+0.41 +8.1 2
1975-04-27 @ Rosenborg L 1-243.9 1163 1242 22.88% 28.56% 48.55%-0.41 -8.1 0
1975-04-27 Os TF W 2-034.1 1287 1189 50.68% 28.40% 20.91%+0.50 +15.2 2
1975-04-27 @ Viking L 0-234.1 1189 1287 20.91% 28.40% 50.68%-0.50 -15.2 0
1975-04-28 Skeid L 0-337.5 1203 1202 38.45% 28.92% 32.63%+0.05 -34.7 0
1975-04-28 @ Valerenga W 3-037.5 1202 1203 32.63% 28.92% 38.45%-0.05 +34.7 2
1975-05-03 Lillestrom L 1-250.2 1243 1207 43.30% 28.82% 27.88%+0.22 -13.1 1
1975-05-03 @ Molde W 2-150.2 1207 1243 27.88% 28.82% 43.30%-0.22 +13.1 3
1975-05-04 Brann D 1-152.5 1155 1250 25.60% 28.64% 45.76%-0.39 +1.3 1
1975-05-04 @ Fredrikstad D 1-152.5 1250 1155 45.76% 28.64% 25.60%+0.39 -1.3 2
1975-05-04 Mjondalen D 0-047.5 1174 1153 41.15% 28.88% 29.97%+0.14 -0.8 1
1975-05-04 @ Os TF D 0-047.5 1153 1174 29.97% 28.88% 41.15%-0.14 +0.8 2
1975-05-04 Valerenga D 1-152.4 1187 1168 40.98% 28.88% 30.13%+0.14 -0.7 2
1975-05-04 @ Start D 1-152.4 1168 1187 30.13% 28.88% 40.98%-0.14 +0.7 1
1975-05-04 Viking W 3-039.5 1218 1302 26.89% 28.71% 44.40%-0.34 +38.9 3
1975-05-04 @ Stromsgodset L 0-339.5 1302 1218 44.40% 28.71% 26.89%+0.34 -38.8 2
1975-05-05 Rosenborg L 0-142.5 1237 1250 36.44% 28.93% 34.63%-0.01 -12.2 2
1975-05-05 @ Skeid W 1-042.5 1250 1237 34.63% 28.93% 36.44%+0.01 +12.2 4
1975-05-07 Molde L 0-236.8 1169 1230 29.84% 28.83% 41.33%-0.23 -19.9 1
1975-05-07 @ Valerenga W 2-036.8 1230 1169 41.33% 28.83% 29.84%+0.23 +19.9 3
1975-05-08 Skeid W 2-146.1 1249 1225 41.65% 28.87% 29.48%+0.16 +9.9 4
1975-05-08 @ Brann L 1-246.1 1225 1249 29.48% 28.87% 41.65%-0.16 -9.9 2
1975-05-08 Mjondalen W 4-032.9 1220 1154 46.91% 28.67% 24.43%+0.35 +32.5 5
1975-05-08 @ Lillestrom L 0-432.9 1154 1220 24.43% 28.67% 46.91%-0.35 -32.5 2
1975-05-08 Start W 2-034.8 1263 1187 48.13% 28.59% 23.28%+0.40 +16.5 6
1975-05-08 @ Rosenborg L 0-234.8 1187 1263 23.28% 28.59% 48.13%-0.40 -16.5 2
1975-05-08 Os TF W 6-135.5 1256 1173 49.01% 28.53% 22.46%+0.43 +31.1 5
1975-05-08 @ Stromsgodset L 1-635.5 1173 1256 22.46% 28.53% 49.01%-0.43 -31.1 1
1975-05-08 Fredrikstad W 6-033.1 1264 1156 51.68% 28.31% 20.00%+0.54 +40.6 4
1975-05-08 @ Viking L 0-633.1 1156 1264 20.00% 28.31% 51.68%-0.54 -40.6 1
1975-05-11 Valerenga D 2-258.0 1121 1149 34.46% 28.92% 36.62%-0.08 +0.1 3
1975-05-11 @ Mjondalen D 2-258.0 1149 1121 36.62% 28.92% 34.46%+0.08 -0.1 2
1975-05-11 Lillestrom L 0-432.8 1142 1252 23.93% 28.53% 47.54%-0.46 -31.9 1
1975-05-11 @ Os TF W 4-032.8 1252 1142 47.54% 28.53% 23.93%+0.46 +31.9 7
1975-05-11 Brann W 2-041.3 1170 1259 26.44% 28.69% 44.87%-0.36 +27.0 4
1975-05-11 @ Start L 0-241.3 1259 1170 44.87% 28.69% 26.44%+0.36 -27.0 4
1975-05-12 Stromsgodset D 1-152.7 1115 1287 17.81% 27.88% 54.31%-0.74 +2.5 2
1975-05-12 @ Fredrikstad D 1-152.7 1287 1115 54.31% 27.88% 17.81%+0.74 -2.5 6
1975-05-12 Rosenborg W 1-042.8 1250 1279 34.24% 28.92% 36.84%-0.08 +12.3 5
1975-05-12 @ Molde L 0-142.8 1279 1250 36.84% 28.92% 34.24%+0.08 -12.3 6
1975-05-12 Viking L 0-139.5 1215 1304 26.34% 28.68% 44.98%-0.36 -9.6 2
1975-05-12 @ Skeid W 1-039.5 1304 1215 44.98% 28.68% 26.34%+0.36 +9.6 6
1975-05-19 Molde L 0-238.3 1232 1262 34.01% 28.92% 37.07%-0.09 -21.9 4
1975-05-19 @ Brann W 2-038.3 1262 1232 37.07% 28.92% 34.01%+0.09 +21.9 7
1975-05-19 Os TF W 3-035.2 1118 1110 39.45% 28.91% 31.64%+0.08 +30.2 4
1975-05-19 @ Fredrikstad L 0-335.2 1110 1118 31.64% 28.91% 39.45%-0.08 -30.2 1
1975-05-19 Mjondalen D 1-152.7 1267 1122 55.46% 27.88% 16.66%+0.72 -2.7 7
1975-05-19 @ Rosenborg D 1-152.7 1122 1267 16.66% 27.88% 55.46%-0.72 +2.7 4
1975-05-19 Skeid W 1-038.3 1285 1205 48.56% 28.56% 22.87%+0.41 +8.6 8
1975-05-19 @ Stromsgodset L 0-138.3 1205 1285 22.87% 28.56% 48.56%-0.41 -8.6 2
1975-05-19 Lillestrom D 1-152.7 1149 1284 21.28% 28.30% 50.41%-0.57 +2.0 3
1975-05-19 @ Valerenga D 1-152.7 1284 1149 50.41% 28.30% 21.28%+0.57 -2.0 8
1975-05-19 Start W 2-142.9 1314 1197 52.63% 28.22% 19.15%+0.58 +7.1 8
1975-05-19 @ Viking L 1-242.9 1197 1314 19.15% 28.22% 52.63%-0.58 -7.1 4
1975-05-22 Rosenborg W 1-040.9 1282 1264 40.82% 28.89% 30.30%+0.13 +10.7 10
1975-05-22 @ Lillestrom L 0-140.9 1264 1282 30.30% 28.89% 40.82%-0.13 -10.7 7
1975-05-22 Brann L 0-139.3 1124 1210 26.80% 28.71% 44.49%-0.34 -9.7 4
1975-05-22 @ Mjondalen W 1-039.3 1210 1124 44.49% 28.71% 26.80%+0.34 +9.7 6
1975-05-22 Viking W 2-149.2 1284 1321 33.17% 28.91% 37.93%-0.12 +11.8 9
1975-05-22 @ Molde L 1-249.2 1321 1284 37.93% 28.91% 33.17%+0.12 -11.8 8
1975-05-22 Valerenga D 1-152.3 1080 1151 28.60% 28.79% 42.62%-0.28 +0.9 2
1975-05-22 @ Os TF D 1-152.3 1151 1080 42.62% 28.79% 28.60%+0.28 -0.9 4
1975-05-22 Fredrikstad L 1-250.4 1197 1148 44.81% 28.77% 26.42%+0.27 -13.5 2
1975-05-22 @ Skeid W 2-150.4 1148 1197 26.42% 28.77% 44.81%-0.27 +13.5 6
1975-05-22 Stromsgodset L 0-138.9 1190 1294 24.70% 28.58% 46.72%-0.43 -9.1 4
1975-05-22 @ Start W 1-038.9 1294 1190 46.72% 28.58% 24.70%+0.43 +9.1 10
1975-05-25 Start L 1-247.7 1161 1181 35.60% 28.93% 35.47%-0.04 -11.3 6
1975-05-25 @ Fredrikstad W 2-147.7 1181 1161 35.47% 28.93% 35.60%+0.04 +11.3 6
1975-05-25 Molde D 1-153.1 1303 1296 39.27% 28.91% 31.82%+0.08 -0.5 11
1975-05-25 @ Stromsgodset D 1-153.1 1296 1303 31.82% 28.91% 39.27%-0.08 +0.5 10
1975-05-26 Lillestrom L 0-140.1 1220 1293 28.34% 28.78% 42.88%-0.29 -10.1 6
1975-05-26 @ Brann W 1-040.1 1293 1220 42.88% 28.78% 28.34%+0.29 +10.2 12
1975-05-26 Valerenga D 1-152.6 1253 1150 51.23% 28.35% 20.42%+0.52 -2.1 8
1975-05-26 @ Rosenborg D 1-152.6 1150 1253 20.42% 28.35% 51.23%-0.52 +2.1 5
1975-05-26 Os TF D 0-047.6 1183 1081 51.12% 28.36% 20.52%+0.52 -2.3 3
1975-05-26 @ Skeid D 0-047.6 1081 1183 20.52% 28.36% 51.12%-0.52 +2.3 3
1975-05-26 Mjondalen W 2-031.3 1309 1115 59.78% 27.16% 13.05%+0.94 +10.2 10
1975-05-26 @ Viking L 0-231.3 1115 1309 13.05% 27.16% 59.78%-0.94 -10.2 4
1975-06-01 Viking W 1-042.8 1303 1319 36.04% 28.93% 35.03%-0.03 +11.8 14
1975-06-01 @ Lillestrom L 0-142.8 1319 1303 35.03% 28.93% 36.04%+0.03 -11.8 10
1975-06-01 Stromsgodset L 0-232.1 1104 1302 15.72% 27.52% 56.76%-0.86 -11.9 4
1975-06-01 @ Mjondalen W 2-032.1 1302 1104 56.76% 27.52% 15.72%+0.86 +11.9 13
1975-06-01 Fredrikstad L 0-244.3 1297 1150 55.57% 27.87% 16.56%+0.72 -32.6 10
1975-06-01 @ Molde W 2-044.3 1150 1297 16.56% 27.87% 55.57%-0.72 +32.6 8
1975-06-01 Rosenborg L 3-449.5 1083 1251 18.15% 27.93% 53.93%-0.73 -6.2 3
1975-06-01 @ Os TF W 4-349.5 1251 1083 53.93% 27.93% 18.15%+0.73 +6.2 10
1975-06-01 Skeid W 3-251.3 1192 1181 39.93% 28.90% 31.17%+0.10 +9.8 8
1975-06-01 @ Start L 2-351.3 1181 1192 31.17% 28.90% 39.93%-0.10 -9.8 3
1975-06-01 Brann L 0-334.9 1152 1209 30.36% 28.85% 40.80%-0.22 -29.3 5
1975-06-01 @ Valerenga W 3-034.9 1209 1152 40.80% 28.85% 30.36%+0.22 +29.2 8
1975-06-04 Viking D 0-048.0 1239 1307 28.90% 28.80% 42.30%-0.27 +1.0 9
1975-06-04 @ Brann D 0-048.0 1307 1239 42.30% 28.80% 28.90%+0.27 -1.0 11
1975-06-04 Skeid L 0-147.8 1315 1171 55.31% 27.90% 16.79%+0.71 -17.2 14
1975-06-04 @ Lillestrom W 1-047.8 1171 1315 16.79% 27.90% 55.31%-0.71 +17.2 5
1975-06-04 Start W 1-045.4 1092 1202 24.03% 28.54% 47.44%-0.45 +15.0 6
1975-06-04 @ Mjondalen L 0-145.4 1202 1092 47.44% 28.54% 24.03%+0.45 -15.0 8
1975-06-04 Os TF W 1-034.9 1264 1077 59.19% 27.28% 13.54%+0.91 +5.6 12
1975-06-04 @ Molde L 0-134.9 1077 1264 13.54% 27.28% 59.19%-0.91 -5.6 3
1975-06-04 Stromsgodset W 2-040.6 1258 1314 30.47% 28.85% 40.68%-0.21 +25.0 12
1975-06-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-240.6 1314 1258 40.68% 28.85% 30.47%+0.21 -25.0 13
1975-06-05 Fredrikstad L 1-342.5 1123 1183 30.03% 28.84% 41.14%-0.23 -17.3 5
1975-06-05 @ Valerenga W 3-142.5 1183 1123 41.14% 28.84% 30.03%+0.23 +17.3 10
1975-06-14 Molde W 3-146.9 1187 1270 27.17% 28.73% 44.10%-0.33 +23.0 10
1975-06-14 @ Start L 1-346.9 1270 1187 44.10% 28.73% 27.17%+0.33 -23.0 12
1975-06-14 Rosenborg W 3-035.4 1306 1282 41.62% 28.87% 29.51%+0.16 +28.7 13
1975-06-14 @ Viking L 0-335.4 1282 1306 29.51% 28.87% 41.62%-0.16 -28.7 12
1975-06-15 Os TF W 2-141.0 1240 1071 57.59% 27.56% 14.85%+0.82 +5.7 11
1975-06-15 @ Brann L 1-241.0 1071 1240 14.85% 27.56% 57.59%-0.82 -5.7 3
1975-06-15 Lillestrom L 0-139.1 1200 1298 25.39% 28.63% 45.98%-0.40 -9.3 10
1975-06-15 @ Fredrikstad W 1-039.1 1298 1200 45.98% 28.63% 25.39%+0.40 +9.3 16
1975-06-15 Mjondalen D 0-047.6 1188 1107 48.69% 28.56% 22.76%+0.42 -2.0 6
1975-06-15 @ Skeid D 0-047.6 1107 1188 22.76% 28.56% 48.69%-0.42 +2.0 7
1975-06-15 Valerenga W 3-029.6 1289 1105 58.90% 27.33% 13.77%+0.89 +15.5 15
1975-06-15 @ Stromsgodset L 0-329.6 1105 1289 13.77% 27.33% 58.90%-0.89 -15.5 5
1975-06-22 Stromsgodset L 0-143.8 1307 1305 38.65% 28.92% 32.43%+0.06 -12.7 16
1975-06-22 @ Lillestrom W 1-043.8 1305 1307 32.43% 28.92% 38.65%-0.06 +12.7 17
1975-06-22 Fredrikstad L 0-235.9 1109 1191 27.33% 28.73% 43.94%-0.33 -18.6 7
1975-06-22 @ Mjondalen W 2-035.9 1191 1109 43.94% 28.73% 27.33%+0.33 +18.6 12
1975-06-22 Skeid L 0-145.2 1246 1186 46.24% 28.70% 25.06%+0.32 -14.7 12
1975-06-22 @ Molde W 1-045.2 1186 1246 25.06% 28.70% 46.24%-0.32 +14.7 8
1975-06-22 Start L 1-242.9 1065 1210 20.36% 28.21% 51.44%-0.62 -7.4 3
1975-06-22 @ Os TF W 2-142.9 1210 1065 51.44% 28.21% 20.36%+0.62 +7.4 12
1975-06-22 Brann D 2-258.4 1254 1245 39.52% 28.91% 31.57%+0.09 -0.4 13
1975-06-22 @ Rosenborg D 2-258.4 1245 1254 31.57% 28.91% 39.52%-0.09 +0.4 12
1975-06-23 Viking L 0-134.5 1090 1335 12.45% 26.75% 60.80%-1.08 -5.1 5
1975-06-23 @ Valerenga W 1-034.5 1335 1090 60.80% 26.75% 12.45%+1.08 +5.1 15
1975-07-27 Mjondalen L 0-244.0 1232 1091 55.05% 27.94% 17.01%+0.70 -32.3 12
1975-07-27 @ Molde W 2-044.0 1091 1232 17.01% 27.94% 55.05%-0.70 +32.3 9
1975-07-27 Viking L 0-133.6 1058 1340 10.37% 26.05% 63.58%-1.25 -4.3 3
1975-07-27 @ Os TF W 1-033.6 1340 1058 63.58% 26.05% 10.37%+1.25 +4.3 17
1975-07-27 Brann L 2-548.0 1317 1246 47.62% 28.62% 23.75%+0.38 -30.1 17
1975-07-27 @ Stromsgodset W 5-248.0 1246 1317 23.75% 28.62% 47.62%-0.38 +30.1 14
1975-07-28 Rosenborg L 2-640.6 1209 1253 32.14% 28.89% 38.97%-0.15 -28.2 12
1975-07-28 @ Fredrikstad W 6-240.6 1253 1209 38.97% 28.89% 32.14%+0.15 +28.2 15
1975-07-28 Lillestrom W 2-041.1 1217 1294 27.89% 28.76% 43.35%-0.30 +26.2 14
1975-07-28 @ Start L 0-241.1 1294 1217 43.35% 28.76% 27.89%+0.30 -26.2 16
1975-07-29 Valerenga D 0-047.7 1201 1085 52.57% 28.23% 19.21%+0.58 -2.6 9
1975-07-29 @ Skeid D 0-047.7 1085 1201 19.21% 28.23% 52.57%-0.58 +2.6 6
1975-08-03 Molde L 1-251.3 1268 1199 47.24% 28.65% 24.12%+0.36 -14.1 16
1975-08-03 @ Lillestrom W 2-151.3 1199 1268 24.12% 28.65% 47.24%-0.36 +14.1 14
1975-08-03 Os TF W 2-034.8 1123 1054 47.36% 28.64% 24.00%+0.37 +16.9 11
1975-08-03 @ Mjondalen L 0-234.8 1054 1123 24.00% 28.64% 47.36%-0.37 -16.9 3
1975-08-04 Fredrikstad D 1-152.7 1276 1181 50.26% 28.44% 21.30%+0.48 -2.0 15
1975-08-04 @ Brann D 1-152.7 1181 1276 21.30% 28.44% 50.26%-0.48 +2.0 13
1975-08-04 Skeid W 2-034.6 1282 1198 48.97% 28.54% 22.50%+0.43 +16.1 17
1975-08-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-234.6 1198 1282 22.50% 28.54% 48.97%-0.43 -16.1 9
1975-08-04 Start L 0-233.3 1087 1244 19.25% 28.07% 52.68%-0.67 -14.1 6
1975-08-04 @ Valerenga W 2-033.3 1244 1087 52.68% 28.07% 19.25%+0.67 +14.1 16
1975-08-04 Stromsgodset W 2-145.6 1345 1287 45.88% 28.72% 25.40%+0.31 +8.8 19
1975-08-04 @ Viking L 1-245.6 1287 1345 25.40% 28.72% 45.88%-0.31 -8.8 17
1975-08-07 Brann D 1-152.6 1182 1274 26.09% 28.67% 45.24%-0.37 +1.2 10
1975-08-07 @ Skeid D 1-152.6 1274 1182 45.24% 28.67% 26.09%+0.37 -1.3 16
1975-08-10 Viking D 2-258.9 1183 1353 17.98% 27.90% 54.12%-0.73 +1.9 14
1975-08-10 @ Fredrikstad D 2-258.9 1353 1183 54.12% 27.90% 17.98%+0.73 -1.9 20
1975-08-10 Lillestrom W 3-147.9 1140 1254 23.55% 28.50% 47.95%-0.47 +24.7 13
1975-08-10 @ Mjondalen L 1-347.9 1254 1140 47.95% 28.50% 23.55%+0.47 -24.7 16
1975-08-10 Valerenga D 0-047.7 1214 1073 54.98% 27.95% 17.07%+0.69 -3.0 15
1975-08-10 @ Molde D 0-047.7 1073 1214 17.07% 27.95% 54.98%-0.69 +3.0 7
1975-08-10 Stromsgodset L 1-433.9 1037 1279 12.66% 26.81% 60.53%-1.06 -12.1 3
1975-08-10 @ Os TF W 4-133.9 1279 1037 60.53% 26.81% 12.66%+1.06 +12.0 19
1975-08-10 Rosenborg W 1-043.3 1258 1298 32.72% 28.90% 38.38%-0.14 +12.7 18
1975-08-10 @ Start L 0-143.3 1298 1258 38.38% 28.90% 32.72%+0.14 -12.7 17
1975-08-24 Os TF W 2-030.8 1229 1025 60.57% 27.00% 12.43%+0.99 +9.7 18
1975-08-24 @ Lillestrom L 0-230.8 1025 1229 12.43% 27.00% 60.57%-0.99 -9.7 3
1975-08-24 Fredrikstad W 3-032.0 1291 1185 51.45% 28.34% 20.22%+0.53 +21.4 21
1975-08-24 @ Stromsgodset L 0-332.0 1185 1291 20.22% 28.34% 51.45%-0.53 -21.4 14
1975-08-25 Start D 3-362.3 1273 1270 38.66% 28.92% 32.42%+0.06 -0.2 17
1975-08-25 @ Brann D 3-362.3 1270 1273 32.42% 28.92% 38.66%-0.06 +0.2 19
1975-08-25 Molde W 3-249.2 1285 1211 47.95% 28.60% 23.45%+0.39 +7.9 19
1975-08-25 @ Rosenborg L 2-349.2 1211 1285 23.45% 28.60% 47.95%-0.39 -7.9 15
1975-08-25 Mjondalen L 0-333.6 1076 1165 26.45% 28.69% 44.86%-0.36 -26.4 7
1975-08-25 @ Valerenga W 3-033.6 1165 1076 44.86% 28.69% 26.45%+0.36 +26.4 15
1975-08-25 Skeid W 2-141.5 1352 1184 57.53% 27.57% 14.90%+0.82 +5.7 22
1975-08-25 @ Viking L 1-241.5 1184 1352 14.90% 27.57% 57.53%-0.82 -5.7 10
1975-08-31 Valerenga L 1-350.8 1239 1050 59.33% 27.25% 13.42%+0.92 -30.1 18
1975-08-31 @ Lillestrom W 3-150.8 1050 1239 13.42% 27.25% 59.33%-0.92 +30.1 9
1975-08-31 Rosenborg W 1-045.4 1191 1293 24.89% 28.60% 46.51%-0.42 +14.7 17
1975-08-31 @ Mjondalen L 0-145.4 1293 1191 46.51% 28.60% 24.89%+0.42 -14.7 19
1975-08-31 Brann L 1-342.4 1203 1272 28.78% 28.79% 42.43%-0.27 -16.8 15
1975-08-31 @ Molde W 3-142.4 1272 1203 42.43% 28.79% 28.78%+0.27 +16.8 19
1975-08-31 Fredrikstad L 1-242.7 1015 1164 19.97% 28.16% 51.87%-0.63 -7.3 3
1975-08-31 @ Os TF W 2-142.7 1164 1015 51.87% 28.16% 19.97%+0.63 +7.3 16
1975-08-31 Viking L 0-140.2 1271 1357 26.68% 28.70% 44.62%-0.35 -9.7 19
1975-08-31 @ Start W 1-040.2 1357 1271 44.62% 28.70% 26.68%+0.35 +9.7 24
1975-09-02 Stromsgodset W 3-148.7 1178 1312 21.40% 28.31% 50.29%-0.57 +25.8 12
1975-09-02 @ Skeid L 1-348.7 1312 1178 50.29% 28.31% 21.40%+0.57 -25.8 21
1975-09-13 Molde L 1-254.7 1367 1186 58.66% 27.38% 13.96%+0.88 -17.2 24
1975-09-13 @ Viking W 2-154.7 1186 1367 13.96% 27.38% 58.66%-0.88 +17.2 17
1975-09-14 Skeid L 0-141.4 1171 1204 33.71% 28.91% 37.38%-0.10 -11.5 16
1975-09-14 @ Fredrikstad W 1-041.4 1204 1171 37.38% 28.91% 33.71%+0.10 +11.5 14
1975-09-14 Start W 2-037.1 1286 1261 41.79% 28.87% 29.34%+0.16 +19.7 23
1975-09-14 @ Stromsgodset L 0-237.1 1261 1286 29.34% 28.87% 41.79%-0.16 -19.7 19
1975-09-14 Os TF W 3-140.4 1080 1008 47.68% 28.62% 23.70%+0.38 +14.5 11
1975-09-14 @ Valerenga L 1-340.4 1008 1080 23.70% 28.62% 47.68%-0.38 -14.5 3
1975-09-15 Mjondalen L 0-146.2 1289 1206 48.98% 28.54% 22.49%+0.43 -15.4 19
1975-09-15 @ Brann W 1-046.2 1206 1289 22.49% 28.54% 48.98%-0.43 +15.4 19
1975-09-15 Lillestrom W 1-038.7 1278 1209 47.35% 28.64% 24.01%+0.37 +9.0 21
1975-09-15 @ Rosenborg L 0-138.7 1209 1278 24.01% 28.64% 47.35%-0.37 -9.0 18
1975-09-20 Fredrikstad W 1-038.0 1241 1159 48.82% 28.55% 22.63%+0.43 +8.6 21
1975-09-20 @ Start L 0-138.0 1159 1241 22.63% 28.55% 48.82%-0.43 -8.6 16
1975-09-21 Brann L 0-140.0 1200 1274 28.24% 28.77% 42.99%-0.29 -10.1 18
1975-09-21 @ Lillestrom W 1-040.0 1274 1200 42.99% 28.77% 28.24%+0.29 +10.1 21
1975-09-21 Viking D 0-048.3 1221 1350 21.97% 28.37% 49.66%-0.54 +2.1 20
1975-09-21 @ Mjondalen D 0-048.3 1350 1221 49.66% 28.37% 21.97%+0.54 -2.1 25
1975-09-21 Stromsgodset D 2-258.6 1203 1306 24.78% 28.59% 46.63%-0.42 +1.1 18
1975-09-21 @ Molde D 2-258.6 1306 1203 46.63% 28.59% 24.78%+0.42 -1.1 24
1975-09-21 Skeid D 1-152.8 993 1215 13.96% 27.15% 58.89%-0.97 +3.2 4
1975-09-21 @ Os TF D 1-152.8 1215 993 58.89% 27.15% 13.96%+0.97 -3.2 15
1975-09-21 Rosenborg D 2-258.6 1094 1287 16.11% 27.60% 56.29%-0.84 +2.1 12
1975-09-21 @ Valerenga D 2-258.6 1287 1094 56.29% 27.60% 16.11%+0.84 -2.1 22
1975-09-28 Valerenga W 3-029.4 1284 1096 59.20% 27.28% 13.53%+0.91 +15.3 23
1975-09-28 @ Brann L 0-329.4 1096 1284 13.53% 27.28% 59.20%-0.91 -15.3 12
1975-09-28 Molde D 2-258.1 1151 1204 30.89% 28.86% 40.24%-0.20 +0.5 17
1975-09-28 @ Fredrikstad D 2-258.1 1204 1151 40.24% 28.86% 30.89%+0.20 -0.5 19
1975-09-28 Os TF W 1-032.6 1285 996 66.44% 25.36% 8.20%+1.37 +3.5 24
1975-09-28 @ Rosenborg L 0-132.6 996 1285 8.20% 25.36% 66.44%-1.37 -3.5 4
1975-09-28 Start D 0-047.7 1212 1250 32.99% 28.90% 38.10%-0.13 +0.4 16
1975-09-28 @ Skeid D 0-047.7 1250 1212 38.10% 28.90% 32.99%+0.13 -0.4 22
1975-09-28 Mjondalen L 1-252.0 1305 1223 48.76% 28.55% 22.69%+0.42 -14.5 24
1975-09-28 @ Stromsgodset W 2-152.0 1223 1305 22.69% 28.55% 48.76%-0.42 +14.5 22
1975-10-05 Valerenga D 1-152.3 1151 1081 47.42% 28.64% 23.94%+0.37 -1.6 18
1975-10-05 @ Fredrikstad D 1-152.3 1081 1151 23.94% 28.64% 47.42%-0.37 +1.6 13
1975-10-05 Molde D 1-152.7 993 1204 14.75% 27.33% 57.92%-0.92 +3.1 5
1975-10-05 @ Os TF D 1-152.7 1204 993 57.92% 27.33% 14.75%+0.92 -3.1 20
1975-10-05 Lillestrom L 0-338.3 1212 1190 41.44% 28.87% 29.69%+0.15 -36.8 16
1975-10-05 @ Skeid W 3-038.3 1190 1212 29.69% 28.87% 41.44%-0.15 +36.8 20
1975-10-05 Mjondalen W 1-040.9 1250 1238 39.96% 28.90% 31.14%+0.10 +10.9 24
1975-10-05 @ Start L 0-140.9 1238 1250 31.14% 28.90% 39.96%-0.10 -10.9 22
1975-10-05 Rosenborg L 2-354.2 1290 1288 38.61% 28.92% 32.47%+0.06 -11.4 24
1975-10-05 @ Stromsgodset W 3-254.2 1288 1290 32.47% 28.92% 38.61%-0.06 +11.4 26
1975-10-05 Brann W 5-138.4 1348 1299 44.80% 28.77% 26.43%+0.27 +28.8 27
1975-10-05 @ Viking L 1-538.4 1299 1348 26.43% 28.77% 44.80%-0.27 -28.8 23
1975-10-08 Lillestrom D 1-153.5 1376 1226 55.90% 27.82% 16.28%+0.74 -2.8 28
1975-10-08 @ Viking D 1-153.5 1226 1376 16.28% 27.82% 55.90%-0.74 +2.8 21
1975-10-12 Fredrikstad L 1-251.5 1229 1150 48.55% 28.56% 22.89%+0.41 -14.4 21
1975-10-12 @ Lillestrom W 2-151.5 1150 1229 22.89% 28.56% 48.55%-0.41 +14.4 20
1975-10-12 Skeid W 1-039.1 1227 1176 45.16% 28.75% 26.08%+0.28 +9.5 24
1975-10-12 @ Mjondalen L 0-139.1 1176 1227 26.08% 28.75% 45.16%-0.28 -9.5 16
1975-10-12 Start D 1-152.6 1201 1260 30.06% 28.84% 41.10%-0.23 +0.7 21
1975-10-12 @ Molde D 1-152.6 1260 1201 41.10% 28.84% 30.06%+0.23 -0.7 25
1975-10-12 Brann L 2-439.6 996 1270 10.78% 26.20% 63.01%-1.21 -6.6 5
1975-10-12 @ Os TF W 4-239.6 1270 996 63.01% 26.20% 10.78%+1.21 +6.6 25
1975-10-12 Viking D 3-363.3 1300 1374 28.26% 28.77% 42.97%-0.29 +0.6 27
1975-10-12 @ Rosenborg D 3-363.3 1374 1300 42.97% 28.77% 28.26%+0.29 -0.6 29
1975-10-12 Stromsgodset W 1-047.9 1083 1279 15.85% 27.55% 56.60%-0.85 +17.6 15
1975-10-12 @ Valerenga L 0-147.9 1279 1083 56.60% 27.55% 15.85%+0.85 -17.6 24
1975-10-19 Rosenborg W 2-039.2 1277 1300 35.02% 28.93% 36.05%-0.06 +22.8 27
1975-10-19 @ Brann L 0-239.2 1300 1277 36.05% 28.93% 35.02%+0.06 -22.8 27
1975-10-19 Mjondalen W 3-146.4 1164 1237 28.43% 28.78% 42.79%-0.28 +22.5 22
1975-10-19 @ Fredrikstad L 1-346.4 1237 1164 42.79% 28.78% 28.43%+0.28 -22.5 24
1975-10-19 Molde D 2-258.1 1166 1201 33.35% 28.91% 37.75%-0.11 +0.2 17
1975-10-19 @ Skeid D 2-258.1 1201 1166 37.75% 28.91% 33.35%+0.11 -0.2 22
1975-10-19 Os TF W 4-132.4 1260 989 65.27% 25.75% 8.98%+1.29 +8.8 27
1975-10-19 @ Start L 1-432.4 989 1260 8.98% 25.75% 65.27%-1.29 -8.8 5
1975-10-19 Lillestrom L 1-250.6 1261 1215 44.55% 28.78% 26.67%+0.26 -13.4 24
1975-10-19 @ Stromsgodset W 2-150.6 1215 1261 26.67% 28.78% 44.55%-0.26 +13.4 23
1975-10-19 Valerenga D 2-259.3 1373 1100 65.43% 25.70% 8.87%+1.30 -3.2 30
1975-10-19 @ Viking D 2-259.3 1100 1373 8.87% 25.70% 65.43%-1.30 +3.2 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1975-08-31 13.42% Valerenga 1050 3 @ Lillestrom 1239 1
2 1975-09-13 13.96% Molde 1186 2 @ Viking 1367 1
3 1975-10-12 15.85% @ Valerenga 1083 1 Stromsgodset 1279 0
4 1975-06-01 16.56% Fredrikstad 1150 2 @ Molde 1297 0
5 1975-06-04 16.79% Skeid 1171 1 @ Lillestrom 1315 0
6 1975-07-27 17.01% Mjondalen 1091 2 @ Molde 1232 0
7 1975-09-02 21.40% @ Skeid 1178 3 Stromsgodset 1312 1
8 1975-09-15 22.49% Mjondalen 1206 1 @ Brann 1289 0
9 1975-09-28 22.69% Mjondalen 1223 2 @ Stromsgodset 1305 1
10 1975-10-12 22.89% Fredrikstad 1150 2 @ Lillestrom 1229 1
11 1975-08-10 23.55% @ Mjondalen 1140 3 Lillestrom 1254 1
12 1975-07-27 23.75% Brann 1246 5 @ Stromsgodset 1317 2
13 1975-06-04 24.03% @ Mjondalen 1092 1 Start 1202 0
14 1975-08-03 24.12% Molde 1199 2 @ Lillestrom 1268 1
15 1975-08-31 24.89% @ Mjondalen 1191 1 Rosenborg 1293 0
16 1975-06-22 25.06% Skeid 1186 1 @ Molde 1246 0
17 1975-05-22 26.42% Fredrikstad 1148 2 @ Skeid 1197 1
18 1975-05-11 26.44% @ Start 1170 2 Brann 1259 0
19 1975-10-19 26.67% Lillestrom 1215 2 @ Stromsgodset 1261 1
20 1975-05-04 26.89% @ Stromsgodset 1218 3 Viking 1302 0
21 1975-06-14 27.17% @ Start 1187 3 Molde 1270 1
22 1975-05-03 27.88% Lillestrom 1207 2 @ Molde 1243 1
23 1975-07-28 27.89% @ Start 1217 2 Lillestrom 1294 0
24 1975-10-19 28.43% @ Fredrikstad 1164 3 Mjondalen 1237 1
25 1975-10-05 29.69% Lillestrom 1190 3 @ Skeid 1212 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-05-08 40.64 @ Viking 6 1264 51.68% Fredrikstad 0 1156 20.00% 28.31%
2 1975-05-04 38.85 @ Stromsgodset 3 1218 26.89% Viking 0 1302 44.40% 28.71%
3 1975-10-05 36.78 Lillestrom 3 1190 29.69% @ Skeid 0 1212 41.44% 28.87%
4 1975-04-28 34.72 Skeid 3 1202 32.63% @ Valerenga 0 1203 38.45% 28.92%
5 1975-06-01 32.63 Fredrikstad 2 1150 16.56% @ Molde 0 1297 55.57% 27.87%
6 1975-05-08 32.49 @ Lillestrom 4 1220 46.91% Mjondalen 0 1154 24.43% 28.67%
7 1975-07-27 32.35 Mjondalen 2 1091 17.01% @ Molde 0 1232 55.05% 27.94%
8 1975-05-11 31.92 Lillestrom 4 1252 47.54% @ Os TF 0 1142 23.93% 28.53%
9 1975-05-08 31.07 @ Stromsgodset 6 1256 49.01% Os TF 1 1173 22.46% 28.53%
10 1975-05-19 30.17 @ Fredrikstad 3 1118 39.45% Os TF 0 1110 31.64% 28.91%
11 1975-07-27 30.12 Brann 5 1246 23.75% @ Stromsgodset 2 1317 47.62% 28.62%
12 1975-08-31 30.07 Valerenga 3 1050 13.42% @ Lillestrom 1 1239 59.33% 27.25%
13 1975-06-01 29.26 Brann 3 1209 40.80% @ Valerenga 0 1152 30.36% 28.85%
14 1975-10-05 28.75 @ Viking 5 1348 44.80% Brann 1 1299 26.43% 28.77%
15 1975-06-14 28.66 @ Viking 3 1306 41.62% Rosenborg 0 1282 29.51% 28.87%
16 1975-07-28 28.18 Rosenborg 6 1253 38.97% @ Fredrikstad 2 1209 32.14% 28.89%
17 1975-05-11 26.99 @ Start 2 1170 26.44% Brann 0 1259 44.87% 28.69%
18 1975-08-25 26.40 Mjondalen 3 1165 44.86% @ Valerenga 0 1076 26.45% 28.69%
19 1975-07-28 26.24 @ Start 2 1217 27.89% Lillestrom 0 1294 43.35% 28.76%
20 1975-09-02 25.76 @ Skeid 3 1178 21.40% Stromsgodset 1 1312 50.29% 28.31%
21 1975-06-04 24.95 @ Rosenborg 2 1258 30.47% Stromsgodset 0 1314 40.68% 28.85%
22 1975-08-10 24.71 @ Mjondalen 3 1140 23.55% Lillestrom 1 1254 47.95% 28.50%
23 1975-06-14 23.04 @ Start 3 1187 27.17% Molde 1 1270 44.10% 28.73%
24 1975-10-19 22.81 @ Brann 2 1277 35.02% Rosenborg 0 1300 36.05% 28.93%
25 1975-10-19 22.49 @ Fredrikstad 3 1164 28.43% Mjondalen 1 1237 42.79% 28.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-10-12 63.3 @ Rosenborg 3 1300 28.26% Viking 3 1374 42.97% 28.77%
2 1975-08-25 62.3 @ Brann 3 1273 38.66% Start 3 1270 32.42% 28.92%
3 1975-10-19 59.3 @ Viking 2 1373 65.43% Valerenga 2 1100 8.87% 25.70%
4 1975-08-10 58.9 @ Fredrikstad 2 1183 17.98% Viking 2 1353 54.12% 27.90%
5 1975-09-21 58.6 @ Molde 2 1203 24.78% Stromsgodset 2 1306 46.63% 28.59%
6 1975-09-21 58.6 @ Valerenga 2 1094 16.11% Rosenborg 2 1287 56.29% 27.60%
7 1975-06-22 58.4 @ Rosenborg 2 1254 39.52% Brann 2 1245 31.57% 28.91%
8 1975-09-28 58.1 @ Fredrikstad 2 1151 30.89% Molde 2 1204 40.24% 28.86%
9 1975-10-19 58.1 @ Skeid 2 1166 33.35% Molde 2 1201 37.75% 28.91%
10 1975-05-11 58.0 @ Mjondalen 2 1121 34.46% Valerenga 2 1149 36.62% 28.92%
11 1975-09-13 54.7 Molde 2 1186 13.96% @ Viking 1 1367 58.66% 27.38%
12 1975-10-05 54.2 Rosenborg 3 1288 32.47% @ Stromsgodset 2 1290 38.61% 28.92%
13 1975-10-08 53.5 @ Viking 1 1376 55.90% Lillestrom 1 1226 16.28% 27.82%
14 1975-05-25 53.1 @ Stromsgodset 1 1303 39.27% Molde 1 1296 31.82% 28.91%
15 1975-09-21 52.8 @ Os TF 1 993 13.96% Skeid 1 1215 58.89% 27.15%
16 1975-05-12 52.7 @ Fredrikstad 1 1115 17.81% Stromsgodset 1 1287 54.31% 27.88%
17 1975-05-19 52.7 @ Rosenborg 1 1267 55.46% Mjondalen 1 1122 16.66% 27.88%
18 1975-05-19 52.7 @ Valerenga 1 1149 21.28% Lillestrom 1 1284 50.41% 28.30%
19 1975-08-04 52.7 @ Brann 1 1276 50.26% Fredrikstad 1 1181 21.30% 28.44%
20 1975-10-05 52.7 @ Os TF 1 993 14.75% Molde 1 1204 57.92% 27.33%
21 1975-04-27 52.6 @ Brann 1 1251 43.01% Stromsgodset 1 1217 28.16% 28.83%
22 1975-05-26 52.6 @ Rosenborg 1 1253 51.23% Valerenga 1 1150 20.42% 28.35%
23 1975-08-07 52.6 @ Skeid 1 1182 26.09% Brann 1 1274 45.24% 28.67%
24 1975-10-12 52.6 @ Molde 1 1201 30.06% Start 1 1260 41.10% 28.84%
25 1975-04-27 52.5 @ Mjondalen 1 1152 25.95% Molde 1 1245 45.39% 28.66%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-09-28 29.4 @ Brann 3 1284 59.20% Valerenga 0 1096 13.53% 27.28%
2 1975-06-15 29.6 @ Stromsgodset 3 1289 58.90% Valerenga 0 1105 13.77% 27.33%
3 1975-08-24 30.8 @ Lillestrom 2 1229 60.57% Os TF 0 1025 12.43% 27.00%
4 1975-05-26 31.3 @ Viking 2 1309 59.78% Mjondalen 0 1115 13.05% 27.16%
5 1975-08-24 32.0 @ Stromsgodset 3 1291 51.45% Fredrikstad 0 1185 20.22% 28.34%
6 1975-06-01 32.1 Stromsgodset 2 1302 56.76% @ Mjondalen 0 1104 15.72% 27.52%
7 1975-10-19 32.4 @ Start 4 1260 65.27% Os TF 1 989 8.98% 25.75%
8 1975-09-28 32.6 @ Rosenborg 1 1285 66.44% Os TF 0 996 8.20% 25.36%
9 1975-05-11 32.8 Lillestrom 4 1252 47.54% @ Os TF 0 1142 23.93% 28.53%
10 1975-05-08 32.9 @ Lillestrom 4 1220 46.91% Mjondalen 0 1154 24.43% 28.67%
11 1975-05-08 33.1 @ Viking 6 1264 51.68% Fredrikstad 0 1156 20.00% 28.31%
12 1975-08-04 33.3 Start 2 1244 52.68% @ Valerenga 0 1087 19.25% 28.07%
13 1975-07-27 33.6 Viking 1 1340 63.58% @ Os TF 0 1058 10.37% 26.05%
14 1975-08-25 33.6 Mjondalen 3 1165 44.86% @ Valerenga 0 1076 26.45% 28.69%
15 1975-08-10 33.9 Stromsgodset 4 1279 60.53% @ Os TF 1 1037 12.66% 26.81%
16 1975-04-27 34.1 @ Viking 2 1287 50.68% Os TF 0 1189 20.91% 28.40%
17 1975-06-23 34.5 Viking 1 1335 60.80% @ Valerenga 0 1090 12.45% 26.75%
18 1975-08-04 34.6 @ Rosenborg 2 1282 48.97% Skeid 0 1198 22.50% 28.54%
19 1975-05-08 34.8 @ Rosenborg 2 1263 48.13% Start 0 1187 23.28% 28.59%
20 1975-08-03 34.8 @ Mjondalen 2 1123 47.36% Os TF 0 1054 24.00% 28.64%
21 1975-06-01 34.9 Brann 3 1209 40.80% @ Valerenga 0 1152 30.36% 28.85%
22 1975-06-04 34.9 @ Molde 1 1264 59.19% Os TF 0 1077 13.54% 27.28%
23 1975-05-19 35.2 @ Fredrikstad 3 1118 39.45% Os TF 0 1110 31.64% 28.91%
24 1975-06-14 35.4 @ Viking 3 1306 41.62% Rosenborg 0 1282 29.51% 28.87%
25 1975-05-08 35.5 @ Stromsgodset 6 1256 49.01% Os TF 1 1173 22.46% 28.53%