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1976 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Lillestrom

31 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1958-59

Relegated

Vard

13 pts

Fredrikstad · 15 pts

Stromsgodset · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Mjondalen

5.87 points above expected

30 points · 24.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vard

7.02 points below expected

13 points · 20.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lillestrom Champion 22 13 5 4 31 39 19 +20 25.52 +5.48
2 Mjondalen 22 13 4 5 30 40 23 +17 24.13 +5.87
3 Brann 22 11 6 5 28 38 29 +9 24.65 +3.35
4 Start 22 8 8 6 24 23 19 +4 21.68 +2.32
5 Viking 22 6 10 6 22 24 21 +3 25.41 -3.41
6 Molde 22 9 3 10 21 34 29 +5 20.43 +0.57
7 Hamarkameratene 22 7 7 8 21 31 29 +2 21.50 -0.50
8 Rosenborg 22 7 7 8 21 24 29 -5 21.24 -0.24
9 Bryne 22 6 7 9 19 30 35 -5 20.22 -1.22
10 Stromsgodset Relegated 22 6 7 9 19 31 43 -12 20.20 -1.20
11 Fredrikstad Relegated 22 5 5 12 15 27 50 -23 19.00 -4.00
12 Vard Relegated 22 2 9 11 13 21 36 -15 20.02 -7.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mjondalen 30 24.13 +5.87
2 Lillestrom 31 25.52 +5.48
3 Brann 28 24.65 +3.35
4 Start 24 21.68 +2.32
5 Molde 21 20.43 +0.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vard 13 20.02 -7.02
2 Fredrikstad 15 19.00 -4.00
3 Viking 22 25.41 -3.41
4 Bryne 19 20.22 -1.22
5 Stromsgodset 19 20.20 -1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 6 Aug 9 – Sep 26 1 in 580
2 Lillestrom 5 May 24 – Jun 10 1 in 190
3 Molde 4 Sep 26 – Oct 17 1 in 154
4 Hamarkameratene 3 Jun 7 – Jun 20 1 in 63
5 Start 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamarkameratene 5 Sep 19 – Oct 17 1 in 320
2 Fredrikstad 5 May 27 – Jun 21 1 in 135
3 Molde 4 Apr 25 – May 15 1 in 66
4 Viking 2 Oct 3 – Oct 10 1 in 27
5 Lillestrom 2 Sep 19 – Sep 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 12 Jun 10 – Oct 3 1 in 120
2 Lillestrom 10 Apr 25 – Jun 20 1 in 44
3 Stromsgodset 6 May 30 – Jul 26 1 in 24
4 Mjondalen 9 May 27 – Aug 8 1 in 23
5 Hamarkameratene 6 Jun 7 – Aug 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vard 16 Apr 25 – Aug 30 1 in 212
2 Hamarkameratene 10 Aug 1 – Oct 17 1 in 101
3 Fredrikstad 12 May 27 – Sep 12 1 in 68
4 Rosenborg 6 Aug 2 – Sep 19 1 in 16
5 Start 6 May 30 – Jul 26 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lillestrom 1270 31 -10 5 6.2 -1.2
Mjondalen 1275 30 +37 8 6.0 +2.0
Brann 1225 28 -19 5 6.0 -1.0
Start 1208 24 +42 8 4.8 +3.2
Viking 1190 22 -23 4 6.3 -2.3
Molde 1219 21 +69 8 4.8 +3.2
Rosenborg 1159 21 +48 7 3.7 +3.3
Hamarkameratene 1099 21 -101 0 5.0 -5.0
Bryne 1145 19 +14 4 4.1 -0.1
Stromsgodset 1093 19 -54 2 4.7 -2.7
Fredrikstad 1048 15 +14 6 3.3 +2.7
Vard 1093 13 -16 3 5.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA BRY FRE HAM LIL MJO MOL ROS STA STR VAR VIK
Brann —
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.63
Bryne
0-2-0
2.35
—
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.64
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.29
Fredrikstad
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.48
—
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
1.72
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.94
—
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.39
Lillestrom
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.03
—
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.26
0-2-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.83
Mjondalen
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-2
2.49
—
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.26
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.57
Molde
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.12
—
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.18
Rosenborg
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
2.74
0-2-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.01
—
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.26
Start
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.59
—
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.47
Stromsgodset
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.43
—
0-1-1
2.94
0-2-0
2.30
Vard
0-1-1
2.10
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.44
—
0-0-2
2.10
Viking
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.82
0-0-2
3.21
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.29
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +6.2
Allowed 0.54 -4.3
Differential 0.88 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.58%7.58%1.89%1.14%0.76%27.27%
17.58%15.91%4.55%5.30%1.52%1.14%35.98%
27.58%4.55%4.55%1.89%0.76%0.38%19.70%
31.89%5.30%1.89%0.76%0.38%0.38%10.61%
41.14%1.52%0.76%0.38%——3.79%
5+0.76%1.14%0.38%0.38%——2.65%
Total27.27%35.98%19.70%10.61%3.79%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.87
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%—9.09%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.32 +0.41
SD 1.28 0.95 1.62
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%——4.55%31.82%
14.55%27.27%—9.09%——40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%31.82%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.59 -0.23
SD 1.56 1.30 2.33
CV 1.14 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%9.09%——27.27%
14.55%13.64%—9.09%9.09%4.55%40.91%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.27 -1.05
SD 1.11 1.61 1.99
CV 0.90 0.71 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%27.27%—13.64%——50.00%
29.09%—————9.09%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.32 +0.09
SD 1.74 1.17 2.35
CV 1.23 0.89 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
113.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.86 +0.91
SD 1.23 0.99 1.57
CV 0.69 1.15 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
227.27%9.09%9.09%———45.45%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.05 +0.77
SD 1.22 1.05 1.48
CV 0.67 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.32 +0.23
SD 1.50 1.21 2.05
CV 0.97 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
19.09%22.73%—4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%59.09%4.55%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.32 -0.23
SD 1.11 1.21 1.51
CV 1.02 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%22.73%9.09%———40.91%
218.18%—————18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 0.86 +0.18
SD 0.95 0.89 1.37
CV 0.91 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
113.64%9.09%——4.55%4.55%31.82%
2——13.64%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.95 -0.55
SD 1.40 1.76 2.34
CV 1.00 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%4.55%———36.36%
1—18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
24.55%—————4.55%
34.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.64 -0.68
SD 1.00 1.62 1.62
CV 1.05 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
19.09%27.27%4.55%———40.91%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%54.55%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.95 +0.14
SD 1.06 0.79 1.17
CV 0.98 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Mjondalen 1275 30 24.13 +5.87 100.0% 16 18 22 24 27 29 30
Lillestrom 1270 31 25.52 +5.48 95.0% 15 19 23 25 28 31 36
Brann 1225 28 24.65 +3.35 83.0% 17 19 22 25 27 30 31
Molde 1219 21 20.43 +0.57 63.0% 11 14 18 20 23 27 31
Start 1208 24 21.68 +2.32 78.0% 12 16 19 22 24 28 35
Viking 1190 22 25.41 -3.41 20.0% 15 19 23 25 28 31 33
Rosenborg 1159 21 21.24 -0.24 53.0% 10 15 18 21 24 27 32
Bryne 1145 19 20.22 -1.22 44.0% 12 15 18 20 23 26 27
Hamarkameratene 1099 21 21.50 -0.50 49.0% 10 15 19 22 24 27 32
Vard 1093 13 20.02 -7.02 5.0% 10 13 17 20 23 26 28
Stromsgodset 1093 19 20.20 -1.20 43.0% 10 13 18 20 23 27 28
Fredrikstad 1048 15 19.00 -4.00 12.0% 12 13 17 18 21 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.97%
Clear Edge
46.21%29.55%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
077.60500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Lillestrom, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.93 * Some Luck: 2.93 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.15 * Close: 2.15 to 3.23 * Off: 3.23 to 4.3 * Way Off: 4.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.62 * A Surprise: 1.62 to 2.59 * Several Surprises: 2.59 to 3.56 * Many Surprises: 3.56 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.67 points
Some Luck
03.669
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.696
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Mjondalen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Vard
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 74.37
1.40
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.09
Weak Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.63
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.070
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Lillestrom32.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
Mjondalen11.00%24.00%7.00%19.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Brann19.00%17.00%10.00%17.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Start5.00%1.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%
Viking19.00%21.00%19.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%
Molde4.00%3.00%9.00%—11.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%
Hamarkameratene4.00%4.00%14.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%
Rosenborg3.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%
Bryne1.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%
Stromsgodset—5.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%13.00%
Fredrikstad—2.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%25.00%20.00%
Vard2.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Lillestrom 98.00% 2.00%
Viking 96.00% 4.00%
Brann 95.00% 5.00%
Mjondalen 93.00% 7.00%
Hamarkameratene 75.00% 25.00%
Start 75.00% 25.00%
Rosenborg 72.00% 28.00%
Bryne 67.00% 33.00%
Molde 67.00% 33.00%
Stromsgodset 60.00% 40.00%
Vard 58.00% 42.00%
Fredrikstad 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-04-25 Rosenborg L 0-146.7 1178 1179 49.03% 30.95% 20.02%+0.47 -13.2 0
1976-04-25 @ Bryne W 1-046.7 1179 1178 20.02% 30.95% 49.03%-0.47 +13.2 2
1976-04-25 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.1 1144 1123 51.36% 30.71% 17.94%+0.61 -1.9 1
1976-04-25 @ Fredrikstad D 1-151.1 1123 1144 17.94% 30.71% 51.36%-0.61 +2.0 1
1976-04-25 Lillestrom L 1-251.6 1150 1163 47.61% 31.07% 21.32%+0.39 -12.2 0
1976-04-25 @ Molde W 2-151.6 1163 1150 21.32% 31.07% 47.61%-0.39 +12.2 2
1976-04-25 Brann W 2-035.1 1177 1188 47.87% 31.05% 21.08%+0.41 +13.3 2
1976-04-25 @ Start L 0-235.1 1188 1177 21.08% 31.05% 47.87%-0.41 -13.3 0
1976-04-25 Viking D 2-256.6 1172 1218 43.70% 31.28% 25.03%+0.19 -0.8 1
1976-04-25 @ Stromsgodset D 2-256.6 1218 1172 25.03% 31.28% 43.70%-0.19 +0.8 1
1976-04-25 Mjondalen L 0-244.1 1178 1155 51.57% 30.68% 17.75%+0.62 -26.1 0
1976-04-25 @ Vard W 2-044.1 1155 1178 17.75% 30.68% 51.57%-0.62 +26.1 2
1976-05-02 Molde W 4-244.4 1124 1138 47.57% 31.07% 21.36%+0.39 +10.4 3
1976-05-02 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-444.4 1138 1124 21.36% 31.07% 47.57%-0.39 -10.4 0
1976-05-02 Stromsgodset W 4-032.1 1175 1171 49.55% 30.90% 19.54%+0.50 +23.8 4
1976-05-02 @ Lillestrom L 0-432.1 1171 1175 19.54% 30.90% 49.55%-0.50 -23.8 1
1976-05-02 Bryne L 1-252.4 1181 1165 50.70% 30.78% 18.52%+0.57 -12.9 2
1976-05-02 @ Mjondalen W 2-152.4 1165 1181 18.52% 30.78% 50.70%-0.57 +12.9 2
1976-05-02 Start D 0-046.8 1192 1190 49.24% 30.94% 19.83%+0.48 -1.9 3
1976-05-02 @ Rosenborg D 0-046.8 1190 1192 19.83% 30.94% 49.24%-0.48 +1.9 3
1976-05-03 Fredrikstad W 2-033.7 1175 1142 52.39% 30.57% 17.04%+0.67 +11.3 2
1976-05-03 @ Brann L 0-233.7 1142 1175 17.04% 30.57% 52.39%-0.67 -11.3 1
1976-05-03 Vard W 1-036.1 1219 1152 55.60% 30.03% 14.36%+0.88 +5.2 3
1976-05-03 @ Viking L 0-136.1 1152 1219 14.36% 30.03% 55.60%-0.88 -5.2 0
1976-05-09 Rosenborg D 1-151.0 1131 1190 42.11% 31.32% 26.57%+0.11 -0.8 2
1976-05-09 @ Fredrikstad D 1-151.0 1190 1131 26.57% 31.32% 42.11%-0.11 +0.9 4
1976-05-09 Brann L 2-354.9 1128 1186 42.20% 31.31% 26.48%+0.12 -10.5 0
1976-05-09 @ Molde W 3-254.9 1186 1128 26.48% 31.31% 42.20%-0.12 +10.5 4
1976-05-09 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.1 1147 1135 50.35% 30.82% 18.83%+0.55 -1.8 2
1976-05-09 @ Stromsgodset D 1-151.1 1135 1147 18.83% 30.82% 50.35%-0.55 +1.8 4
1976-05-09 Lillestrom D 0-046.6 1147 1199 42.98% 31.30% 25.73%+0.16 -1.1 1
1976-05-09 @ Vard D 0-046.6 1199 1147 25.73% 31.30% 42.98%-0.16 +1.1 5
1976-05-10 Bryne D 1-151.2 1192 1178 50.57% 30.80% 18.63%+0.56 -1.9 4
1976-05-10 @ Start D 1-151.2 1178 1192 18.63% 30.80% 50.57%-0.56 +1.9 3
1976-05-10 Mjondalen D 0-047.0 1224 1168 54.67% 30.21% 15.12%+0.82 -2.7 4
1976-05-10 @ Viking D 0-047.0 1168 1224 15.12% 30.21% 54.67%-0.82 +2.7 3
1976-05-13 Stromsgodset W 4-136.0 1196 1145 54.21% 30.29% 15.50%+0.79 +12.8 6
1976-05-13 @ Brann L 1-436.0 1145 1196 15.50% 30.29% 54.21%-0.79 -12.8 2
1976-05-15 Molde W 1-035.8 1191 1117 56.27% 29.90% 13.83%+0.93 +5.0 6
1976-05-15 @ Rosenborg L 0-135.8 1117 1191 13.83% 29.90% 56.27%-0.93 -5.0 0
1976-05-16 Fredrikstad L 0-244.7 1180 1130 54.08% 30.31% 15.61%+0.78 -27.3 3
1976-05-16 @ Bryne W 2-044.7 1130 1180 15.61% 30.31% 54.08%-0.78 +27.3 4
1976-05-16 Vard W 6-135.7 1137 1146 48.03% 31.04% 20.93%+0.42 +25.7 6
1976-05-16 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-635.7 1146 1137 20.93% 31.04% 48.03%-0.42 -25.6 1
1976-05-16 Viking D 1-151.2 1200 1221 46.73% 31.13% 22.14%+0.35 -1.4 6
1976-05-16 @ Lillestrom D 1-151.2 1221 1200 22.14% 31.13% 46.73%-0.35 +1.4 5
1976-05-16 Start W 2-144.0 1170 1190 46.83% 31.12% 22.04%+0.35 +6.9 5
1976-05-16 @ Mjondalen L 1-244.0 1190 1170 22.04% 31.12% 46.83%-0.35 -6.9 4
1976-05-23 Start W 3-033.5 1158 1184 46.14% 31.17% 22.70%+0.32 +20.5 6
1976-05-23 @ Fredrikstad L 0-333.5 1184 1158 22.70% 31.17% 46.14%-0.32 -20.5 4
1976-05-23 Bryne W 2-036.0 1112 1153 44.39% 31.25% 24.36%+0.23 +14.8 2
1976-05-23 @ Molde L 0-236.0 1153 1112 24.36% 31.25% 44.39%-0.23 -14.8 3
1976-05-23 Rosenborg W 1-040.2 1132 1196 41.52% 31.33% 27.15%+0.09 +8.5 4
1976-05-23 @ Stromsgodset L 0-140.2 1196 1132 27.15% 31.33% 41.52%-0.09 -8.5 6
1976-05-23 Brann D 0-046.6 1120 1209 38.23% 31.33% 30.44%-0.07 -0.5 2
1976-05-23 @ Vard D 0-046.6 1209 1120 30.44% 31.33% 38.23%+0.07 +0.5 7
1976-05-24 Mjondalen W 3-139.5 1199 1177 51.33% 30.71% 17.96%+0.61 +10.2 8
1976-05-24 @ Lillestrom L 1-339.5 1177 1199 17.96% 30.71% 51.33%-0.61 -10.2 5
1976-05-24 Hamarkameratene L 0-148.3 1223 1162 55.05% 30.14% 14.81%+0.84 -14.7 5
1976-05-24 @ Viking W 1-048.3 1162 1223 14.81% 30.14% 55.05%-0.84 +14.7 8
1976-05-26 Stromsgodset W 5-032.7 1138 1141 48.73% 30.98% 20.29%+0.46 +30.3 5
1976-05-26 @ Bryne L 0-532.7 1141 1138 20.29% 30.98% 48.73%-0.46 -30.2 4
1976-05-27 Viking D 1-151.2 1209 1208 49.23% 30.94% 19.83%+0.48 -1.7 8
1976-05-27 @ Brann D 1-151.2 1208 1209 19.83% 30.94% 49.23%-0.48 +1.7 6
1976-05-27 Lillestrom L 0-145.8 1177 1209 45.42% 31.20% 23.37%+0.28 -12.4 8
1976-05-27 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-045.8 1209 1177 23.37% 31.20% 45.42%-0.28 +12.4 10
1976-05-27 Fredrikstad W 3-140.5 1167 1178 47.86% 31.05% 21.08%+0.41 +11.5 7
1976-05-27 @ Mjondalen L 1-340.5 1178 1167 21.08% 31.05% 47.86%-0.41 -11.5 6
1976-05-27 Vard W 2-141.2 1187 1120 55.71% 30.01% 14.28%+0.89 +4.9 8
1976-05-27 @ Rosenborg L 1-241.2 1120 1187 14.28% 30.01% 55.71%-0.89 -4.9 2
1976-05-27 Molde W 1-036.8 1163 1127 52.79% 30.51% 16.70%+0.70 +5.9 6
1976-05-27 @ Start L 0-136.8 1127 1163 16.70% 30.51% 52.79%-0.70 -5.9 2
1976-05-30 Mjondalen L 0-243.0 1165 1179 47.51% 31.08% 21.41%+0.39 -24.3 8
1976-05-30 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-043.0 1179 1165 21.41% 31.08% 47.51%-0.39 +24.3 9
1976-05-30 Fredrikstad W 3-034.2 1121 1166 43.80% 31.27% 24.93%+0.20 +21.9 4
1976-05-30 @ Molde L 0-334.2 1166 1121 24.93% 31.27% 43.80%-0.20 -21.9 6
1976-05-30 Start W 1-040.0 1111 1169 42.20% 31.31% 26.49%+0.12 +8.3 6
1976-05-30 @ Stromsgodset L 0-140.0 1169 1111 26.49% 31.31% 42.20%-0.12 -8.4 6
1976-05-30 Bryne D 1-151.0 1115 1168 42.87% 31.30% 25.83%+0.15 -0.9 3
1976-05-30 @ Vard D 1-151.0 1168 1115 25.83% 31.30% 42.87%-0.15 +0.9 6
1976-05-31 Brann W 3-139.9 1222 1208 50.52% 30.80% 18.67%+0.56 +10.5 12
1976-05-31 @ Lillestrom L 1-339.9 1208 1222 18.67% 30.80% 50.52%-0.56 -10.5 8
1976-05-31 Rosenborg W 2-034.2 1210 1192 50.88% 30.76% 18.35%+0.58 +12.0 8
1976-05-31 @ Viking L 0-234.2 1192 1210 18.35% 30.76% 50.88%-0.58 -12.0 8
1976-06-07 Hamarkameratene L 0-244.9 1197 1140 54.75% 30.19% 15.06%+0.82 -27.6 8
1976-06-07 @ Brann W 2-044.9 1140 1197 15.06% 30.19% 54.75%-0.82 +27.6 10
1976-06-07 Viking D 1-151.1 1169 1222 42.93% 31.30% 25.77%+0.15 -0.9 7
1976-06-07 @ Bryne D 1-151.1 1222 1169 25.77% 31.30% 42.93%-0.15 +0.9 9
1976-06-07 Stromsgodset L 0-147.4 1145 1119 51.74% 30.66% 17.61%+0.63 -13.9 6
1976-06-07 @ Fredrikstad W 1-047.4 1119 1145 17.61% 30.66% 51.74%-0.63 +13.9 8
1976-06-07 Molde W 2-032.9 1203 1143 55.04% 30.14% 14.82%+0.84 +10.0 11
1976-06-07 @ Mjondalen L 0-232.9 1143 1203 14.82% 30.14% 55.04%-0.84 -10.1 4
1976-06-07 Lillestrom L 0-145.1 1180 1232 43.03% 31.30% 25.67%+0.16 -11.9 8
1976-06-07 @ Rosenborg W 1-045.1 1232 1180 25.67% 31.30% 43.03%-0.16 +11.9 14
1976-06-07 Vard D 1-151.3 1161 1114 53.77% 30.36% 15.87%+0.76 -2.3 7
1976-06-07 @ Start D 1-151.3 1114 1161 15.87% 30.36% 53.77%-0.76 +2.3 4
1976-06-10 Brann D 1-151.1 1168 1170 48.89% 30.97% 20.14%+0.46 -1.6 8
1976-06-10 @ Bryne D 1-151.1 1170 1168 20.14% 30.97% 48.89%-0.46 +1.6 9
1976-06-10 Lillestrom L 0-337.2 1131 1244 34.83% 31.26% 33.91%-0.22 -27.7 6
1976-06-10 @ Fredrikstad W 3-037.2 1244 1131 33.91% 31.26% 34.83%+0.22 +27.7 16
1976-06-10 Mjondalen D 0-046.7 1169 1213 43.91% 31.27% 24.82%+0.20 -1.2 9
1976-06-10 @ Rosenborg D 0-046.7 1213 1169 24.82% 31.27% 43.91%-0.20 +1.2 12
1976-06-10 Hamarkameratene L 0-146.4 1158 1168 48.00% 31.04% 20.96%+0.42 -13.0 7
1976-06-10 @ Start W 1-046.4 1168 1158 20.96% 31.04% 48.00%-0.42 +13.0 12
1976-06-10 Vard D 0-046.7 1133 1116 50.81% 30.77% 18.42%+0.57 -2.1 9
1976-06-10 @ Stromsgodset D 0-046.7 1116 1133 18.42% 30.77% 50.81%-0.57 +2.1 5
1976-06-11 Viking W 3-251.5 1133 1222 38.09% 31.33% 30.58%-0.07 +8.3 6
1976-06-11 @ Molde L 2-351.5 1222 1133 30.58% 31.33% 38.09%+0.07 -8.3 9
1976-06-20 Bryne W 6-033.0 1181 1166 50.61% 30.79% 18.60%+0.56 +33.6 14
1976-06-20 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-633.0 1166 1181 18.60% 30.79% 50.61%-0.56 -33.6 8
1976-06-20 Start D 1-151.9 1272 1145 60.53% 28.79% 10.68%+1.25 -3.1 17
1976-06-20 @ Lillestrom D 1-151.9 1145 1272 10.68% 28.79% 60.53%-1.25 +3.1 8
1976-06-20 Mjondalen D 2-256.5 1131 1214 38.92% 31.34% 29.74%-0.04 -0.4 10
1976-06-20 @ Stromsgodset D 2-256.5 1214 1131 29.74% 31.34% 38.92%+0.04 +0.4 13
1976-06-20 Molde D 0-046.6 1119 1141 46.53% 31.14% 22.33%+0.34 -1.5 6
1976-06-20 @ Vard D 0-046.6 1141 1119 22.33% 31.14% 46.53%-0.34 +1.5 7
1976-06-21 Rosenborg W 1-037.9 1171 1167 49.49% 30.91% 19.60%+0.50 +6.7 11
1976-06-21 @ Brann L 0-137.9 1167 1171 19.60% 30.91% 49.49%-0.50 -6.7 9
1976-06-21 Fredrikstad W 4-134.4 1214 1103 59.37% 29.14% 11.50%+1.15 +9.8 11
1976-06-21 @ Viking L 1-434.4 1103 1214 11.50% 29.14% 59.37%-1.15 -9.8 6
1976-06-27 Brann D 2-256.8 1215 1178 52.83% 30.51% 16.66%+0.70 -1.6 14
1976-06-27 @ Mjondalen D 2-256.8 1178 1215 16.66% 30.51% 52.83%-0.70 +1.6 12
1976-06-27 Stromsgodset D 2-256.6 1143 1130 50.37% 30.82% 18.81%+0.55 -1.4 8
1976-06-27 @ Molde D 2-256.6 1130 1143 18.81% 30.82% 50.37%-0.55 +1.4 11
1976-06-27 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.1 1161 1215 42.75% 31.30% 25.95%+0.14 -0.9 10
1976-06-27 @ Rosenborg D 1-151.1 1215 1161 25.95% 31.30% 42.75%-0.14 +0.9 15
1976-06-28 Vard D 3-360.3 1093 1117 46.38% 31.15% 22.47%+0.33 -0.8 7
1976-06-28 @ Fredrikstad D 3-360.3 1117 1093 22.47% 31.15% 46.38%-0.33 +0.8 7
1976-06-28 Viking D 1-151.0 1148 1224 39.97% 31.34% 28.70%+0.01 -0.6 9
1976-06-28 @ Start D 1-151.0 1224 1148 28.70% 31.34% 39.97%-0.01 +0.6 12
1976-06-30 Lillestrom W 3-253.5 1133 1268 31.73% 31.12% 37.15%-0.35 +9.5 10
1976-06-30 @ Bryne L 2-353.5 1268 1133 37.15% 31.12% 31.73%+0.35 -9.5 17
1976-07-25 Fredrikstad W 2-031.3 1216 1092 60.30% 28.86% 10.84%+1.23 +7.6 17
1976-07-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-231.3 1092 1216 10.84% 28.86% 60.30%-1.23 -7.6 7
1976-07-25 Vard W 3-137.4 1213 1118 58.07% 29.48% 12.45%+1.06 +7.5 16
1976-07-25 @ Mjondalen L 1-337.4 1118 1213 12.45% 29.48% 58.07%-1.06 -7.5 7
1976-07-26 Start W 2-142.3 1180 1148 52.35% 30.58% 17.07%+0.67 +5.7 14
1976-07-26 @ Brann L 1-242.3 1148 1180 17.07% 30.58% 52.35%-0.67 -5.6 9
1976-07-26 Molde W 4-029.0 1259 1141 59.88% 28.99% 11.13%+1.19 +14.8 19
1976-07-26 @ Lillestrom L 0-429.0 1141 1259 11.13% 28.99% 59.88%-1.19 -14.8 8
1976-07-26 Bryne W 3-139.6 1160 1142 50.91% 30.76% 18.33%+0.58 +10.4 12
1976-07-26 @ Rosenborg L 1-339.6 1142 1160 18.33% 30.76% 50.91%-0.58 -10.3 10
1976-07-26 Stromsgodset D 0-047.1 1225 1132 57.88% 29.53% 12.59%+1.04 -3.1 13
1976-07-26 @ Viking D 0-047.1 1132 1225 12.59% 29.53% 57.88%-1.04 +3.1 12
1976-08-01 Mjondalen L 0-240.3 1132 1220 38.24% 31.33% 30.43%-0.07 -20.4 10
1976-08-01 @ Bryne W 2-040.3 1220 1132 30.43% 31.33% 38.24%+0.07 +20.4 18
1976-08-01 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.0 1127 1223 37.14% 31.32% 31.54%-0.12 -0.3 9
1976-08-01 @ Molde D 1-151.0 1223 1127 31.54% 31.32% 37.14%+0.12 +0.3 18
1976-08-01 Viking L 1-247.9 1110 1222 35.12% 31.27% 33.61%-0.20 -9.6 7
1976-08-01 @ Vard W 2-147.9 1222 1110 33.61% 31.27% 35.12%+0.20 +9.6 15
1976-08-02 Brann D 2-256.4 1085 1185 36.60% 31.30% 32.10%-0.14 -0.2 8
1976-08-02 @ Fredrikstad D 2-256.4 1185 1085 32.10% 31.30% 36.60%+0.14 +0.2 15
1976-08-02 Rosenborg W 3-141.1 1142 1170 45.91% 31.18% 22.91%+0.30 +12.3 11
1976-08-02 @ Start L 1-341.1 1170 1142 22.91% 31.18% 45.91%-0.30 -12.3 12
1976-08-04 Lillestrom L 2-351.7 1135 1274 31.29% 31.10% 37.62%-0.37 -8.4 12
1976-08-04 @ Stromsgodset W 3-251.7 1274 1135 37.62% 31.10% 31.29%+0.37 +8.4 21
1976-08-08 Start D 1-151.0 1112 1154 44.11% 31.26% 24.63%+0.21 -1.1 11
1976-08-08 @ Bryne D 1-151.0 1154 1112 24.63% 31.26% 44.11%-0.21 +1.1 12
1976-08-08 Stromsgodset L 1-351.2 1223 1127 58.22% 29.44% 12.34%+1.07 -25.3 18
1976-08-08 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-151.2 1127 1223 12.34% 29.44% 58.22%-1.07 +25.3 14
1976-08-08 Viking W 2-143.2 1241 1231 50.11% 30.85% 19.04%+0.53 +6.2 20
1976-08-08 @ Mjondalen L 1-243.2 1231 1241 19.04% 30.85% 50.11%-0.53 -6.2 15
1976-08-09 Molde W 1-036.2 1185 1126 54.96% 30.16% 14.88%+0.84 +5.3 17
1976-08-09 @ Brann L 0-136.2 1126 1185 14.88% 30.16% 54.96%-0.84 -5.3 9
1976-08-09 Vard W 1-033.4 1282 1101 64.45% 27.36% 8.19%+1.58 +3.1 23
1976-08-09 @ Lillestrom L 0-133.4 1101 1282 8.19% 27.36% 64.45%-1.58 -3.1 7
1976-08-09 Fredrikstad D 1-151.4 1158 1085 56.22% 29.91% 13.87%+0.92 -2.6 13
1976-08-09 @ Rosenborg D 1-151.4 1085 1158 13.87% 29.91% 56.22%-0.92 +2.6 9
1976-08-22 Bryne L 2-548.2 1087 1110 46.44% 31.15% 22.41%+0.33 -25.3 9
1976-08-22 @ Fredrikstad W 5-248.2 1110 1087 22.41% 31.15% 46.44%-0.33 +25.3 13
1976-08-22 Rosenborg W 3-033.8 1121 1155 45.14% 31.22% 23.64%+0.26 +21.1 11
1976-08-22 @ Molde L 0-333.8 1155 1121 23.64% 31.22% 45.14%-0.26 -21.1 13
1976-08-22 Mjondalen W 2-038.1 1156 1247 37.84% 31.33% 30.84%-0.08 +17.5 14
1976-08-22 @ Start L 0-238.1 1247 1156 30.84% 31.33% 37.84%+0.08 -17.5 20
1976-08-22 Brann L 2-451.5 1152 1191 44.60% 31.24% 24.16%+0.24 -17.8 14
1976-08-22 @ Stromsgodset W 4-251.5 1191 1152 24.16% 31.24% 44.60%-0.24 +17.8 19
1976-08-22 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.0 1098 1198 36.62% 31.31% 32.07%-0.14 -0.2 8
1976-08-22 @ Vard D 1-151.0 1198 1098 32.07% 31.31% 36.62%+0.14 +0.2 19
1976-08-23 Lillestrom W 3-142.6 1225 1285 41.95% 31.32% 26.73%+0.11 +13.7 17
1976-08-23 @ Viking L 1-342.6 1285 1225 26.73% 31.32% 41.95%-0.11 -13.7 23
1976-08-29 Molde W 1-038.1 1136 1142 48.38% 31.01% 20.61%+0.44 +7.0 15
1976-08-29 @ Bryne L 0-138.1 1142 1136 20.61% 31.01% 48.38%-0.44 -6.9 11
1976-08-29 Viking D 1-151.2 1198 1239 44.42% 31.25% 24.33%+0.23 -1.1 20
1976-08-29 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-151.2 1239 1198 24.33% 31.25% 44.42%-0.23 +1.1 18
1976-08-29 Lillestrom L 1-251.0 1230 1271 44.22% 31.26% 24.52%+0.22 -11.4 20
1976-08-29 @ Mjondalen W 2-151.0 1271 1230 24.52% 31.26% 44.22%-0.22 +11.4 25
1976-08-29 Fredrikstad W 2-031.5 1173 1062 59.37% 29.13% 11.49%+1.15 +8.0 16
1976-08-29 @ Start L 0-231.5 1062 1173 11.49% 29.13% 59.37%-1.15 -8.0 9
1976-08-30 Vard W 4-134.4 1209 1098 59.36% 29.14% 11.50%+1.15 +9.8 21
1976-08-30 @ Brann L 1-434.4 1098 1209 11.50% 29.14% 59.36%-1.15 -9.8 8
1976-08-30 Stromsgodset D 1-151.1 1134 1134 49.08% 30.95% 19.97%+0.48 -1.7 14
1976-08-30 @ Rosenborg D 1-151.1 1134 1134 19.97% 30.95% 49.08%-0.48 +1.7 15
1976-09-12 Mjondalen L 1-439.9 1054 1218 28.02% 30.86% 41.13%-0.53 -20.0 9
1976-09-12 @ Fredrikstad W 4-139.9 1218 1054 41.13% 30.86% 28.02%+0.53 +20.0 22
1976-09-12 Hamarkameratene D 0-047.3 1283 1197 57.29% 29.67% 13.04%+1.00 -3.0 26
1976-09-12 @ Lillestrom D 0-047.3 1197 1283 13.04% 29.67% 57.29%-1.00 +3.0 21
1976-09-12 Start W 2-036.3 1135 1181 43.72% 31.27% 25.01%+0.19 +15.1 13
1976-09-12 @ Molde L 0-236.3 1181 1135 25.01% 31.27% 43.72%-0.19 -15.1 16
1976-09-12 Bryne W 3-140.3 1136 1143 48.29% 31.02% 20.69%+0.43 +11.4 17
1976-09-12 @ Stromsgodset L 1-340.3 1143 1136 20.69% 31.02% 48.29%-0.43 -11.4 15
1976-09-12 Rosenborg W 3-034.1 1088 1132 43.88% 31.27% 24.85%+0.20 +21.9 10
1976-09-12 @ Vard L 0-334.1 1132 1088 24.85% 31.27% 43.88%-0.20 -21.9 14
1976-09-12 Brann L 0-244.2 1240 1218 51.31% 30.71% 17.98%+0.60 -26.0 18
1976-09-12 @ Viking W 2-044.2 1218 1240 17.98% 30.71% 51.31%-0.60 +26.0 23
1976-09-19 Lillestrom W 2-144.9 1244 1280 45.02% 31.22% 23.76%+0.26 +7.3 25
1976-09-19 @ Brann L 1-244.9 1280 1244 23.76% 31.22% 45.02%-0.26 -7.3 26
1976-09-19 Vard D 1-151.1 1131 1110 51.35% 30.71% 17.94%+0.61 -2.0 16
1976-09-19 @ Bryne D 1-151.1 1110 1131 17.94% 30.71% 51.35%-0.61 +2.0 11
1976-09-19 Molde W 2-147.6 1034 1150 34.40% 31.24% 34.36%-0.24 +9.4 11
1976-09-19 @ Fredrikstad L 1-247.6 1150 1034 34.36% 31.24% 34.40%+0.24 -9.4 13
1976-09-19 Hamarkameratene W 2-033.7 1238 1200 52.95% 30.49% 16.56%+0.71 +11.0 24
1976-09-19 @ Mjondalen L 0-233.7 1200 1238 16.56% 30.49% 52.95%-0.71 -11.0 21
1976-09-19 Viking D 1-151.0 1111 1214 36.23% 31.30% 32.47%-0.16 -0.2 15
1976-09-19 @ Rosenborg D 1-151.0 1214 1111 32.47% 31.30% 36.23%+0.16 +0.2 19
1976-09-19 Stromsgodset W 3-247.5 1166 1147 51.06% 30.74% 18.19%+0.59 +5.6 18
1976-09-19 @ Start L 2-347.5 1147 1166 18.19% 30.74% 51.06%-0.59 -5.6 17
1976-09-25 Bryne W 1-035.6 1214 1129 57.20% 29.69% 13.11%+0.99 +4.8 21
1976-09-25 @ Viking L 0-135.6 1129 1214 13.11% 29.69% 57.20%-0.99 -4.8 16
1976-09-26 Brann L 1-346.9 1189 1252 41.66% 31.32% 27.02%+0.09 -18.9 21
1976-09-26 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-146.9 1252 1189 27.02% 31.32% 41.66%-0.09 +18.9 27
1976-09-26 Rosenborg L 1-255.4 1273 1110 63.14% 27.89% 8.97%+1.47 -15.7 26
1976-09-26 @ Lillestrom W 2-155.4 1110 1273 8.97% 27.89% 63.14%-1.47 +15.7 17
1976-09-26 Mjondalen W 2-147.4 1141 1249 35.51% 31.28% 33.21%-0.19 +9.2 15
1976-09-26 @ Molde L 1-247.4 1249 1141 33.21% 31.28% 35.51%+0.19 -9.2 24
1976-09-26 Fredrikstad W 6-132.5 1141 1043 58.32% 29.42% 12.26%+1.07 +16.5 19
1976-09-26 @ Stromsgodset L 1-632.5 1043 1141 12.26% 29.42% 58.32%-1.07 -16.5 11
1976-09-26 Start L 0-144.6 1111 1172 41.96% 31.32% 26.72%+0.11 -11.6 11
1976-09-26 @ Vard W 1-044.6 1172 1111 26.72% 31.32% 41.96%-0.11 +11.6 20
1976-10-03 Bryne D 2-257.5 1271 1125 62.00% 28.31% 9.70%+1.37 -2.5 28
1976-10-03 @ Brann D 2-257.5 1125 1271 9.70% 28.31% 62.00%-1.37 +2.5 17
1976-10-03 Start L 0-243.0 1170 1183 47.63% 31.07% 21.30%+0.40 -24.3 21
1976-10-03 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-043.0 1183 1170 21.30% 31.07% 47.63%-0.40 +24.4 22
1976-10-03 Fredrikstad W 3-134.6 1257 1027 67.57% 25.92% 6.51%+1.88 +3.9 28
1976-10-03 @ Lillestrom L 1-334.6 1027 1257 6.51% 25.92% 67.57%-1.88 -3.9 11
1976-10-03 Rosenborg W 5-342.7 1240 1126 59.56% 29.08% 11.36%+1.17 +5.8 26
1976-10-03 @ Mjondalen L 3-542.7 1126 1240 11.36% 29.08% 59.56%-1.17 -5.8 17
1976-10-03 Stromsgodset W 2-036.7 1100 1158 42.23% 31.31% 26.45%+0.12 +15.8 13
1976-10-03 @ Vard L 0-236.7 1158 1100 26.45% 31.31% 42.23%-0.12 -15.8 19
1976-10-03 Molde L 0-148.5 1219 1150 55.83% 29.99% 14.18%+0.90 -14.9 21
1976-10-03 @ Viking W 1-048.5 1150 1219 14.18% 29.99% 55.83%-0.90 +14.9 17
1976-10-10 Hamarkameratene W 4-032.8 1127 1146 46.95% 31.12% 21.94%+0.36 +26.0 19
1976-10-10 @ Bryne L 0-432.8 1146 1127 21.94% 31.12% 46.95%-0.36 -26.0 21
1976-10-10 Viking W 1-044.8 1023 1204 26.00% 30.66% 43.34%-0.63 +11.9 13
1976-10-10 @ Fredrikstad L 0-144.8 1204 1023 43.34% 30.66% 26.00%+0.63 -11.9 21
1976-10-10 Stromsgodset W 1-035.1 1246 1142 58.75% 29.30% 11.94%+1.11 +4.4 28
1976-10-10 @ Mjondalen L 0-135.1 1142 1246 11.94% 29.30% 58.75%-1.11 -4.4 19
1976-10-10 Vard W 3-138.6 1165 1116 54.04% 30.32% 15.65%+0.78 +9.1 19
1976-10-10 @ Molde L 1-338.6 1116 1165 15.65% 30.32% 54.04%-0.78 -9.1 13
1976-10-10 Brann W 3-145.9 1120 1268 30.11% 31.02% 38.87%-0.43 +17.8 19
1976-10-10 @ Rosenborg L 1-345.9 1268 1120 38.87% 31.02% 30.11%+0.43 -17.8 28
1976-10-10 Lillestrom D 0-046.8 1208 1261 42.84% 31.30% 25.86%+0.15 -1.0 23
1976-10-10 @ Start D 0-046.8 1261 1208 25.86% 31.30% 42.84%-0.15 +1.0 29
1976-10-17 Mjondalen L 0-243.7 1250 1250 49.09% 30.95% 19.96%+0.48 -25.0 28
1976-10-17 @ Brann W 2-043.7 1250 1250 19.96% 30.95% 49.09%-0.48 +25.0 30
1976-10-17 Rosenborg L 1-348.3 1120 1138 47.03% 31.11% 21.86%+0.36 -20.9 21
1976-10-17 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-148.3 1138 1120 21.86% 31.11% 47.03%-0.36 +20.9 21
1976-10-17 Bryne W 2-031.8 1262 1153 59.18% 29.19% 11.64%+1.14 +8.1 31
1976-10-17 @ Lillestrom L 0-231.8 1153 1262 11.64% 29.19% 59.18%-1.14 -8.1 19
1976-10-17 Molde L 1-642.9 1138 1174 44.93% 31.23% 23.85%+0.25 -44.9 19
1976-10-17 @ Stromsgodset W 6-142.9 1174 1138 23.85% 31.23% 44.93%-0.25 +44.9 21
1976-10-17 Fredrikstad L 3-461.3 1107 1035 56.09% 29.94% 13.98%+0.91 -13.1 13
1976-10-17 @ Vard W 4-361.3 1035 1107 13.98% 29.94% 56.09%-0.91 +13.1 15
1976-10-17 Start D 0-046.7 1192 1207 47.45% 31.08% 21.47%+0.39 -1.7 22
1976-10-17 @ Viking D 0-046.7 1207 1192 21.47% 31.08% 47.45%-0.39 +1.7 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-09-26 8.97% Rosenborg 1110 2 @ Lillestrom 1273 1
2 1976-08-08 12.34% Stromsgodset 1127 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1223 1
3 1976-10-17 13.98% Fredrikstad 1035 4 @ Vard 1107 3
4 1976-10-03 14.18% Molde 1150 1 @ Viking 1219 0
5 1976-05-24 14.81% Hamarkameratene 1162 1 @ Viking 1223 0
6 1976-06-07 15.06% Hamarkameratene 1140 2 @ Brann 1197 0
7 1976-05-16 15.61% Fredrikstad 1130 2 @ Bryne 1180 0
8 1976-06-07 17.61% Stromsgodset 1119 1 @ Fredrikstad 1145 0
9 1976-04-25 17.75% Mjondalen 1155 2 @ Vard 1178 0
10 1976-09-12 17.98% Brann 1218 2 @ Viking 1240 0
11 1976-05-02 18.52% Bryne 1165 2 @ Mjondalen 1181 1
12 1976-10-17 19.96% Mjondalen 1250 2 @ Brann 1250 0
13 1976-04-25 20.02% Rosenborg 1179 1 @ Bryne 1178 0
14 1976-06-10 20.96% Hamarkameratene 1168 1 @ Start 1158 0
15 1976-10-03 21.30% Start 1183 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1170 0
16 1976-04-25 21.32% Lillestrom 1163 2 @ Molde 1150 1
17 1976-05-30 21.41% Mjondalen 1179 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1165 0
18 1976-10-17 21.86% Rosenborg 1138 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1120 1
19 1976-08-22 22.41% Bryne 1110 5 @ Fredrikstad 1087 2
20 1976-05-27 23.37% Lillestrom 1209 1 @ Hamarkameratene 1177 0
21 1976-10-17 23.85% Molde 1174 6 @ Stromsgodset 1138 1
22 1976-08-22 24.16% Brann 1191 4 @ Stromsgodset 1152 2
23 1976-08-29 24.52% Lillestrom 1271 2 @ Mjondalen 1230 1
24 1976-06-07 25.67% Lillestrom 1232 1 @ Rosenborg 1180 0
25 1976-10-10 26.00% @ Fredrikstad 1023 1 Viking 1204 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-10-17 44.88 Molde 6 1174 23.85% @ Stromsgodset 1 1138 44.93% 31.23%
2 1976-06-20 33.57 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1181 50.61% Bryne 0 1166 18.60% 30.79%
3 1976-05-26 30.26 @ Bryne 5 1138 48.73% Stromsgodset 0 1141 20.29% 30.98%
4 1976-06-10 27.69 Lillestrom 3 1244 33.91% @ Fredrikstad 0 1131 34.83% 31.26%
5 1976-06-07 27.60 Hamarkameratene 2 1140 15.06% @ Brann 0 1197 54.75% 30.19%
6 1976-05-16 27.30 Fredrikstad 2 1130 15.61% @ Bryne 0 1180 54.08% 30.31%
7 1976-04-25 26.14 Mjondalen 2 1155 17.75% @ Vard 0 1178 51.57% 30.68%
8 1976-10-10 26.05 @ Bryne 4 1127 46.95% Hamarkameratene 0 1146 21.94% 31.12%
9 1976-09-12 26.01 Brann 2 1218 17.98% @ Viking 0 1240 51.31% 30.71%
10 1976-05-16 25.66 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1137 48.03% Vard 1 1146 20.93% 31.04%
11 1976-08-08 25.31 Stromsgodset 3 1127 12.34% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1223 58.22% 29.44%
12 1976-08-22 25.27 Bryne 5 1110 22.41% @ Fredrikstad 2 1087 46.44% 31.15%
13 1976-10-17 25.01 Mjondalen 2 1250 19.96% @ Brann 0 1250 49.09% 30.95%
14 1976-10-03 24.36 Start 2 1183 21.30% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1170 47.63% 31.07%
15 1976-05-30 24.30 Mjondalen 2 1179 21.41% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1165 47.51% 31.08%
16 1976-05-02 23.85 @ Lillestrom 4 1175 49.55% Stromsgodset 0 1171 19.54% 30.90%
17 1976-05-30 21.91 @ Molde 3 1121 43.80% Fredrikstad 0 1166 24.93% 31.27%
18 1976-09-12 21.86 @ Vard 3 1088 43.88% Rosenborg 0 1132 24.85% 31.27%
19 1976-08-22 21.07 @ Molde 3 1121 45.14% Rosenborg 0 1155 23.64% 31.22%
20 1976-10-17 20.86 Rosenborg 3 1138 21.86% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1120 47.03% 31.11%
21 1976-05-23 20.46 @ Fredrikstad 3 1158 46.14% Start 0 1184 22.70% 31.17%
22 1976-08-01 20.41 Mjondalen 2 1220 30.43% @ Bryne 0 1132 38.24% 31.33%
23 1976-09-12 19.97 Mjondalen 4 1218 41.13% @ Fredrikstad 1 1054 28.02% 30.86%
24 1976-09-26 18.88 Brann 3 1252 27.02% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1189 41.66% 31.32%
25 1976-10-10 17.84 @ Rosenborg 3 1120 30.11% Brann 1 1268 38.87% 31.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-10-17 61.3 Fredrikstad 4 1035 13.98% @ Vard 3 1107 56.09% 29.94%
2 1976-06-28 60.3 @ Fredrikstad 3 1093 46.38% Vard 3 1117 22.47% 31.15%
3 1976-10-03 57.5 @ Brann 2 1271 62.00% Bryne 2 1125 9.70% 28.31%
4 1976-06-27 56.8 @ Mjondalen 2 1215 52.83% Brann 2 1178 16.66% 30.51%
5 1976-04-25 56.6 @ Stromsgodset 2 1172 43.70% Viking 2 1218 25.03% 31.28%
6 1976-06-27 56.6 @ Molde 2 1143 50.37% Stromsgodset 2 1130 18.81% 30.82%
7 1976-06-20 56.5 @ Stromsgodset 2 1131 38.92% Mjondalen 2 1214 29.74% 31.34%
8 1976-08-02 56.4 @ Fredrikstad 2 1085 36.60% Brann 2 1185 32.10% 31.30%
9 1976-09-26 55.4 Rosenborg 2 1110 8.97% @ Lillestrom 1 1273 63.14% 27.89%
10 1976-05-09 54.9 Brann 3 1186 26.48% @ Molde 2 1128 42.20% 31.31%
11 1976-06-30 53.5 @ Bryne 3 1133 31.73% Lillestrom 2 1268 37.15% 31.12%
12 1976-05-02 52.4 Bryne 2 1165 18.52% @ Mjondalen 1 1181 50.70% 30.78%
13 1976-06-20 51.9 @ Lillestrom 1 1272 60.53% Start 1 1145 10.68% 28.79%
14 1976-08-04 51.7 Lillestrom 3 1274 37.62% @ Stromsgodset 2 1135 31.29% 31.10%
15 1976-04-25 51.6 Lillestrom 2 1163 21.32% @ Molde 1 1150 47.61% 31.07%
16 1976-06-11 51.5 @ Molde 3 1133 38.09% Viking 2 1222 30.58% 31.33%
17 1976-08-22 51.5 Brann 4 1191 24.16% @ Stromsgodset 2 1152 44.60% 31.24%
18 1976-08-09 51.4 @ Rosenborg 1 1158 56.22% Fredrikstad 1 1085 13.87% 29.91%
19 1976-06-07 51.3 @ Start 1 1161 53.77% Vard 1 1114 15.87% 30.36%
20 1976-05-10 51.2 @ Start 1 1192 50.57% Bryne 1 1178 18.63% 30.80%
21 1976-05-16 51.2 @ Lillestrom 1 1200 46.73% Viking 1 1221 22.14% 31.13%
22 1976-05-27 51.2 @ Brann 1 1209 49.23% Viking 1 1208 19.83% 30.94%
23 1976-08-08 51.2 Stromsgodset 3 1127 12.34% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1223 58.22% 29.44%
24 1976-08-29 51.2 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1198 44.42% Viking 1 1239 24.33% 31.25%
25 1976-04-25 51.1 @ Fredrikstad 1 1144 51.36% Hamarkameratene 1 1123 17.94% 30.71%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-07-26 29.0 @ Lillestrom 4 1259 59.88% Molde 0 1141 11.13% 28.99%
2 1976-07-25 31.3 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1216 60.30% Fredrikstad 0 1092 10.84% 28.86%
3 1976-08-29 31.5 @ Start 2 1173 59.37% Fredrikstad 0 1062 11.49% 29.13%
4 1976-10-17 31.8 @ Lillestrom 2 1262 59.18% Bryne 0 1153 11.64% 29.19%
5 1976-05-02 32.1 @ Lillestrom 4 1175 49.55% Stromsgodset 0 1171 19.54% 30.90%
6 1976-09-26 32.5 @ Stromsgodset 6 1141 58.32% Fredrikstad 1 1043 12.26% 29.42%
7 1976-05-26 32.7 @ Bryne 5 1138 48.73% Stromsgodset 0 1141 20.29% 30.98%
8 1976-10-10 32.8 @ Bryne 4 1127 46.95% Hamarkameratene 0 1146 21.94% 31.12%
9 1976-06-07 32.9 @ Mjondalen 2 1203 55.04% Molde 0 1143 14.82% 30.14%
10 1976-06-20 33.0 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1181 50.61% Bryne 0 1166 18.60% 30.79%
11 1976-08-09 33.4 @ Lillestrom 1 1282 64.45% Vard 0 1101 8.19% 27.36%
12 1976-05-23 33.5 @ Fredrikstad 3 1158 46.14% Start 0 1184 22.70% 31.17%
13 1976-05-03 33.7 @ Brann 2 1175 52.39% Fredrikstad 0 1142 17.04% 30.57%
14 1976-09-19 33.7 @ Mjondalen 2 1238 52.95% Hamarkameratene 0 1200 16.56% 30.49%
15 1976-08-22 33.8 @ Molde 3 1121 45.14% Rosenborg 0 1155 23.64% 31.22%
16 1976-09-12 34.1 @ Vard 3 1088 43.88% Rosenborg 0 1132 24.85% 31.27%
17 1976-05-30 34.2 @ Molde 3 1121 43.80% Fredrikstad 0 1166 24.93% 31.27%
18 1976-05-31 34.2 @ Viking 2 1210 50.88% Rosenborg 0 1192 18.35% 30.76%
19 1976-06-21 34.4 @ Viking 4 1214 59.37% Fredrikstad 1 1103 11.50% 29.14%
20 1976-08-30 34.4 @ Brann 4 1209 59.36% Vard 1 1098 11.50% 29.14%
21 1976-10-03 34.6 @ Lillestrom 3 1257 67.57% Fredrikstad 1 1027 6.51% 25.92%
22 1976-04-25 35.1 @ Start 2 1177 47.87% Brann 0 1188 21.08% 31.05%
23 1976-10-10 35.1 @ Mjondalen 1 1246 58.75% Stromsgodset 0 1142 11.94% 29.30%
24 1976-09-25 35.6 @ Viking 1 1214 57.20% Bryne 0 1129 13.11% 29.69%
25 1976-05-16 35.7 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1137 48.03% Vard 1 1146 20.93% 31.04%