1977 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Lillestrom

36 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1976

Relegated

Rosenborg

7 pts

Hamarkameratene · 18 pts

Mjondalen · 18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Lillestrom

6.07 points above expected

36 points · 29.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rosenborg

9.13 points below expected

7 points · 16.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Lillestrom Champion	22	16	4	2	36	42	11	+31	29.93	+6.07
2	Bodo Glimt	22	10	8	4	28	33	24	+9	24.16	+3.84
3	Molde	22	12	3	7	27	31	28	+3	23.80	+3.20
4	Start	22	9	7	6	25	37	30	+7	21.08	+3.92
5	Viking	22	9	5	8	23	41	34	+7	23.35	-0.35
6	Brann	22	8	6	8	22	40	35	+5	22.89	-0.89
7	Valerenga	22	8	4	10	20	37	37	0	19.42	+0.58
8	Bryne	22	6	8	8	20	36	36	0	21.40	-1.40
9	Moss	22	7	6	9	20	28	39	-11	21.53	-1.53
10	Hamarkameratene Relegated	22	6	6	10	18	37	42	-5	19.34	-1.34
11	Mjondalen Relegated	22	7	4	11	18	17	32	-15	20.97	-2.97
12	Rosenborg Relegated	22	1	5	16	7	17	48	-31	16.13	-9.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lillestrom	36	29.93	+6.07
2	Start	25	21.08	+3.92
3	Bodo Glimt	28	24.16	+3.84
4	Molde	27	23.80	+3.20
5	Valerenga	20	19.42	+0.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	7	16.13	-9.13
2	Mjondalen	18	20.97	-2.97
3	Moss	20	21.53	-1.53
4	Bryne	20	21.40	-1.40
5	Hamarkameratene	18	19.34	-1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	6	Apr 24 – May 22	1 in 100
2	Bodo Glimt	4	Aug 21 – Sep 18	1 in 20
3	Valerenga	3	Aug 22 – Sep 11	1 in 17
4	Start	3	Apr 24 – May 8	1 in 15
5	Molde	3	May 1 – May 16	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mjondalen	5	Jul 30 – Aug 28	1 in 52
2	Valerenga	5	May 19 – Jun 13	1 in 50
3	Rosenborg	5	Aug 28 – Oct 2	1 in 24
4	Moss	3	May 22 – Jun 5	1 in 12
5	Start	3	Aug 28 – Sep 18	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	17	Apr 24 – Sep 10	1 in 61
2	Bodo Glimt	9	Jun 19 – Sep 18	1 in 34
3	Hamarkameratene	5	May 15 – Jun 5	1 in 16
4	Start	5	Jun 26 – Aug 21	1 in 15
5	Valerenga	5	Aug 8 – Sep 11	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	17	May 22 – Oct 16	1 in 88
2	Hamarkameratene	10	Jun 12 – Sep 18	1 in 53
3	Start	7	May 15 – Jun 19	1 in 26
4	Bodo Glimt	5	May 9 – May 30	1 in 18
5	Valerenga	9	Apr 24 – Jun 13	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Lillestrom	1275	36	-17	6	7.2	-1.2
Bodo Glimt	1150	28	+14	6	5.3	+0.7
Molde	1098	27	-14	5	5.1	-0.1
Start	1122	25	+82	7	4.9	+2.1
Viking	1135	23	+60	9	6.0	+3.0
Brann	1102	22	-11	4	5.2	-1.2
Valerenga	1093	20	-9	5	5.4	-0.4
Moss	1042	20	-16	4	4.6	-0.6
Bryne	1055	20	+2	4	4.2	-0.2
Mjondalen	1003	18	-21	5	4.6	+0.4
Hamarkameratene	1012	18	+0	4	4.3	-0.3
Rosenborg	863	7	-71	1	3.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRA	BRY	HAM	LIL	MJO	MOL	MOS	ROS	STA	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	1-1-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 3.26	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 2.73	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 3.71	1-1-0 3.11	0-2-0 3.53	1-1-0 2.85
Brann	0-1-1 2.64	—	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 1.64	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.79	0-1-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.72
Bryne	1-0-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.57	—	0-2-0 3.20	1-1-0 1.43	0-0-2 3.08	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.63	2-0-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.41
Hamarkameratene	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.42	0-2-0 2.28	—	0-0-2 1.48	1-1-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.59	2-0-0 3.25	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.33
Lillestrom	1-1-0 3.64	1-0-1 3.85	0-1-1 4.07	2-0-0 4.03	—	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.68	2-0-0 3.78	1-1-0 4.32	2-0-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.68	2-0-0 3.45
Mjondalen	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 2.40	0-1-1 3.01	0-0-2 1.88	—	0-0-2 2.59	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 3.39	0-1-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.25
Molde	0-0-2 2.75	2-0-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.25	0-1-1 1.81	2-0-0 2.88	—	2-0-0 2.95	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 2.79
Moss	1-0-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 1.70	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.52	—	1-1-0 3.36	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.20	0-0-2 3.01
Rosenborg	0-1-1 1.77	0-0-2 2.04	0-0-2 2.39	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 1.20	0-1-1 2.09	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.12	—	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.03	0-1-1 1.58
Start	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.70	2-0-0 2.76	0-0-2 1.86	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.53	0-2-0 2.67	2-0-0 3.14	—	0-1-1 3.26	2-0-0 2.47
Valerenga	0-2-0 1.94	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 1.81	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.27	2-0-0 3.45	1-1-0 2.22	—	0-0-2 2.15
Viking	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-2 2.04	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 2.46	1-1-0 3.91	0-0-2 3.00	2-0-0 3.32	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.42	+5.3
Allowed	0.88	-7.0
Differential	0.90	+4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	5.30%	0.76%	3.41%	0.38%	25.00%
1	9.09%	10.61%	4.92%	5.68%	1.89%	0.76%	32.95%
2	5.30%	4.92%	7.58%	2.27%	1.14%	0.76%	21.97%
3	0.76%	5.68%	2.27%	0.76%	0.76%	0.38%	10.61%
4	3.41%	1.89%	1.14%	0.76%	—	—	7.20%
5+	0.38%	0.76%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	2.27%
Total	25.00%	32.95%	21.97%	10.61%	7.20%	2.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.33	1.91
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.09	+0.41
SD	1.14	0.92	1.26
CV	0.76	0.84	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.59	+0.23
SD	1.56	1.37	1.85
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.18	1.05	1.60
CV	0.72	0.64	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	—	13.64%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	31.82%	45.45%	4.55%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.91	-0.23
SD	1.67	1.51	2.02
CV	0.99	0.79	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	59.09%	31.82%	9.09%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	0.50	+1.41
SD	1.38	0.67	1.65
CV	0.72	1.35	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	18.18%	—	9.09%	4.55%	54.55%
1	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	22.73%	31.82%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	1.45	-0.68
SD	1.02	1.44	1.99
CV	1.32	0.99	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.27	+0.14
SD	1.26	1.24	1.86
CV	0.89	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	9.09%	18.18%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.77	-0.50
SD	0.83	1.48	1.87
CV	0.65	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
1	—	—	4.55%	27.27%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	9.09%	18.18%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	2.18	-1.41
SD	0.81	1.59	1.40
CV	1.05	0.73	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.36	+0.32
SD	1.64	1.18	2.10
CV	0.98	0.86	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	18.18%	—	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.68	+0.00
SD	1.55	1.55	2.43
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.55	+0.32
SD	1.21	1.14	1.64
CV	0.65	0.74	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Lillestrom	1275	36	29.93	+6.07	96.0%	19	24	27	30	32	36	39
Bodo Glimt	1150	28	24.16	+3.84	89.0%	17	18	21	24	26	30	37
Viking	1135	23	23.35	-0.35	50.0%	12	18	21	23	25	30	34
Start	1122	25	21.08	+3.92	86.0%	11	15	18	21	23	28	31
Brann	1102	22	22.89	-0.89	53.0%	16	17	20	22	26	29	32
Molde	1098	27	23.80	+3.20	83.0%	14	18	21	23	26	30	34
Valerenga	1093	20	19.42	+0.58	60.0%	10	12	16	19	22	25	28
Bryne	1055	20	21.40	-1.40	41.0%	11	15	19	21	24	28	31
Moss	1042	20	21.53	-1.53	41.0%	12	16	19	21	24	26	30
Hamarkameratene	1012	18	19.34	-1.34	42.0%	8	14	17	19	22	26	30
Mjondalen	1003	18	20.97	-2.97	30.0%	8	16	18	20	24	27	31
Rosenborg	863	7	16.13	-9.13	1.0%	7	10	14	16	19	22	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.88%

No Edge

43.94%25.00%31.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 45.00 Elo pts.

163 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.38 goals

Neutral

-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.4

One-Team Race

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

62%

Lillestrom, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.36/gm

Runaway

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.05 * Some Luck: 3.05 to 4.57 * Lucky: 4.57 to 6.09 * Wild Swing: 6.09 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.91 * Close: 1.91 to 2.86 * Off: 2.86 to 3.82 * Way Off: 3.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.31 * A Surprise: 1.31 to 2.1 * Several Surprises: 2.1 to 2.88 * Many Surprises: 2.88 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.84 points

Some Luck

03.8110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.395

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Lillestrom

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Rosenborg

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 3

As Expected

01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Top-Heavy

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 99.15

1.72

Strong Separation

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

63%

Slight Edge

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Strong Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Very Even

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.02

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.38

Some Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Solid Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.55

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.29

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.090

Well Within Noise

00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Lillestrom	62.00%	20.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—
Bodo Glimt	9.00%	16.00%	13.00%	17.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Molde	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Start	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	15.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Viking	2.00%	11.00%	14.00%	20.00%	8.00%	15.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	—	1.00%
Brann	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Valerenga	—	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	20.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Bryne	2.00%	4.00%	14.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	16.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Moss	1.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Hamarkameratene	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	21.00%	10.00%
Mjondalen	4.00%	4.00%	13.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Rosenborg	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	16.00%	52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Lillestrom	99.00%	1.00%
Bodo Glimt	95.00%	5.00%
Molde	93.00%	7.00%
Viking	91.00%	9.00%
Brann	90.00%	10.00%
Bryne	81.00%	19.00%
Start	78.00%	22.00%
Moss	74.00%	26.00%
Mjondalen	68.00%	32.00%
Valerenga	54.00%	46.00%
Hamarkameratene	53.00%	47.00%
Rosenborg	24.00%	76.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1977-04-24	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	43.9	1086	1099	44.15%	26.47%	29.38%	+0.19	-13.0	0
1977-04-24	@ Brann	W 1-0	43.9	1099	1086	29.38%	26.47%	44.15%	-0.19	+13.0	2
1977-04-24	Molde	W 1-0	41.4	1030	1092	37.58%	26.50%	35.92%	-0.10	+11.1	2
1977-04-24	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	41.4	1092	1030	35.92%	26.50%	37.58%	+0.10	-11.1	0
1977-04-24	Moss	L 1-2	49.0	1112	1121	44.68%	26.46%	28.86%	+0.22	-12.4	0
1977-04-24	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	49.0	1121	1112	28.86%	26.46%	44.68%	-0.22	+12.4	2
1977-04-24	Lillestrom	L 0-4	34.6	1033	1111	35.26%	26.47%	38.27%	-0.20	-39.1	0
1977-04-24	@ Valerenga	W 4-0	34.6	1111	1033	38.27%	26.47%	35.26%	+0.20	+39.0	2
1977-04-24	Start	L 2-3	54.0	1075	1082	44.99%	26.46%	28.55%	+0.23	-11.8	0
1977-04-24	@ Viking	W 3-2	54.0	1082	1075	28.55%	26.46%	44.99%	-0.23	+11.8	2
1977-05-01	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	32.9	1112	1041	54.08%	26.04%	19.88%	+0.71	+13.2	4
1977-05-01	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	32.9	1041	1112	19.88%	26.04%	54.08%	-0.71	-13.2	2
1977-05-01	Brann	W 4-2	45.5	1052	1073	43.22%	26.49%	30.29%	+0.15	+14.2	2
1977-05-01	@ Bryne	L 2-4	45.5	1073	1052	30.29%	26.49%	43.22%	-0.15	-14.2	0
1977-05-01	Mjondalen	W 4-0	30.6	1150	1099	51.92%	26.19%	21.89%	+0.59	+27.0	4
1977-05-01	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	30.6	1099	1150	21.89%	26.19%	51.92%	-0.59	-27.0	0
1977-05-01	Valerenga	W 4-1	35.0	1081	994	55.61%	25.91%	18.48%	+0.80	+15.2	2
1977-05-01	@ Molde	L 1-4	35.0	994	1081	18.48%	25.91%	55.61%	-0.80	-15.2	0
1977-05-01	Viking	L 0-4	40.1	1133	1064	53.94%	26.05%	20.01%	+0.70	-55.4	2
1977-05-01	@ Moss	W 4-0	40.1	1064	1133	20.01%	26.05%	53.94%	-0.70	+55.4	2
1977-05-01	Rosenborg	W 2-1	42.5	1094	1057	50.40%	26.27%	23.33%	+0.50	+7.5	4
1977-05-01	@ Start	L 1-2	42.5	1057	1094	23.33%	26.27%	50.40%	-0.50	-7.5	0
1977-05-04	Bryne	L 0-2	40.1	1049	1066	43.69%	26.48%	29.83%	+0.17	-24.3	0
1977-05-04	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	40.1	1066	1049	29.83%	26.48%	43.69%	-0.17	+24.3	4
1977-05-08	Molde	L 0-1	43.5	1072	1096	42.84%	26.49%	30.67%	+0.13	-12.7	0
1977-05-08	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	43.5	1096	1072	30.67%	26.49%	42.84%	-0.13	+12.7	4
1977-05-08	Bryne	W 1-0	38.5	1102	1091	47.27%	26.40%	26.33%	+0.34	+8.8	6
1977-05-08	@ Start	L 0-1	38.5	1091	1102	26.33%	26.40%	47.27%	-0.34	-8.8	4
1977-05-09	Brann	L 0-2	39.6	1028	1059	41.88%	26.50%	31.62%	+0.09	-23.5	2
1977-05-09	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	39.6	1059	1028	31.62%	26.50%	41.88%	-0.09	+23.5	2
1977-05-09	Moss	L 1-3	44.0	1025	1078	38.80%	26.51%	34.70%	-0.05	-19.1	0
1977-05-09	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	44.0	1078	1025	34.70%	26.51%	38.80%	+0.05	+19.1	4
1977-05-09	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	52.3	979	1125	26.40%	26.15%	47.45%	-0.62	+1.3	1
1977-05-09	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	52.3	1125	979	47.45%	26.15%	26.40%	+0.62	-1.3	5
1977-05-09	Lillestrom	L 1-2	47.1	1119	1177	38.05%	26.50%	35.44%	-0.08	-10.9	2
1977-05-09	@ Viking	W 2-1	47.1	1177	1119	35.44%	26.50%	38.05%	+0.08	+10.9	6
1977-05-15	Mjondalen	L 0-1	46.5	1124	1060	53.39%	26.09%	20.52%	+0.67	-15.4	5
1977-05-15	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	46.5	1060	1124	20.52%	26.09%	53.39%	-0.67	+15.3	2
1977-05-15	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	52.4	1082	1004	54.72%	25.99%	19.29%	+0.75	-2.3	5
1977-05-15	@ Bryne	D 1-1	52.4	1004	1082	19.29%	25.99%	54.72%	-0.75	+2.3	3
1977-05-15	Rosenborg	W 1-0	33.6	1188	1006	63.72%	24.78%	11.50%	+1.39	+4.3	8
1977-05-15	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	33.6	1006	1188	11.50%	24.78%	63.72%	-1.39	-4.3	0
1977-05-15	Start	D 1-1	52.3	1097	1110	44.19%	26.47%	29.34%	+0.19	-0.9	5
1977-05-15	@ Moss	D 1-1	52.3	1110	1097	29.34%	26.47%	44.19%	-0.19	+0.9	7
1977-05-16	Valerenga	D 1-1	52.4	1082	980	57.08%	25.77%	17.15%	+0.90	-2.6	3
1977-05-16	@ Brann	D 1-1	52.4	980	1082	17.15%	25.77%	57.08%	-0.90	+2.6	2
1977-05-16	Viking	W 3-2	48.8	1108	1108	45.93%	26.44%	27.63%	+0.28	+8.1	6
1977-05-16	@ Molde	L 2-3	48.8	1108	1108	27.63%	26.44%	45.93%	-0.28	-8.1	2
1977-05-19	Brann	D 0-0	48.2	1075	1079	45.32%	26.45%	28.23%	+0.25	-1.2	3
1977-05-19	@ Mjondalen	D 0-0	48.2	1079	1075	28.23%	26.45%	45.32%	-0.25	+1.2	4
1977-05-19	Bryne	W 1-0	38.3	1096	1080	47.95%	26.38%	25.67%	+0.38	+8.6	7
1977-05-19	@ Moss	L 0-1	38.3	1080	1096	25.67%	26.38%	47.95%	-0.38	-8.6	5
1977-05-19	Molde	W 2-0	40.0	1002	1117	30.28%	26.34%	43.38%	-0.43	+24.1	2
1977-05-19	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	40.0	1117	1002	43.38%	26.34%	30.28%	+0.43	-24.1	6
1977-05-19	Lillestrom	L 0-2	37.5	1111	1193	34.83%	26.46%	38.71%	-0.22	-20.4	7
1977-05-19	@ Start	W 2-0	37.5	1193	1111	38.71%	26.46%	34.83%	+0.22	+20.4	10
1977-05-19	Hamarkameratene	L 3-4	56.4	983	1007	42.81%	26.49%	30.70%	+0.13	-11.1	2
1977-05-19	@ Valerenga	W 4-3	56.4	1007	983	30.70%	26.49%	42.81%	-0.13	+11.1	5
1977-05-19	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	57.6	1100	1109	44.75%	26.46%	28.79%	+0.22	-0.7	3
1977-05-19	@ Viking	D 2-2	57.6	1109	1100	28.79%	26.46%	44.75%	-0.22	+0.7	6
1977-05-22	Rosenborg	D 0-0	48.3	1110	1026	55.36%	25.94%	18.70%	+0.79	-2.7	7
1977-05-22	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	48.3	1026	1110	18.70%	25.94%	55.36%	-0.79	+2.7	3
1977-05-22	Valerenga	W 4-1	34.6	1071	972	56.84%	25.79%	17.37%	+0.88	+14.4	7
1977-05-22	@ Bryne	L 1-4	34.6	972	1071	17.37%	25.79%	56.84%	-0.88	-14.4	2
1977-05-22	Mjondalen	W 4-0	34.6	1018	1074	38.39%	26.50%	35.11%	-0.07	+38.9	7
1977-05-22	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-4	34.6	1074	1018	35.11%	26.50%	38.39%	+0.07	-38.9	3
1977-05-22	Moss	W 4-0	28.9	1213	1105	57.66%	25.71%	16.63%	+0.94	+21.5	12
1977-05-22	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	28.9	1105	1213	16.63%	25.71%	57.66%	-0.94	-21.5	7
1977-05-22	Start	D 0-0	48.2	1092	1091	46.07%	26.43%	27.50%	+0.28	-1.3	7
1977-05-22	@ Molde	D 0-0	48.2	1091	1092	27.50%	26.43%	46.07%	-0.28	+1.3	8
1977-05-23	Viking	D 1-1	52.2	1081	1099	43.48%	26.48%	30.03%	+0.16	-0.8	5
1977-05-23	@ Brann	D 1-1	52.2	1099	1081	30.03%	26.48%	43.48%	-0.16	+0.8	4
1977-05-30	Bryne	D 1-1	52.7	1234	1085	61.19%	25.24%	13.58%	+1.19	-3.2	13
1977-05-30	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	52.7	1085	1234	13.58%	25.24%	61.19%	-1.19	+3.2	8
1977-05-30	Valerenga	W 1-0	36.3	1035	957	54.70%	25.99%	19.31%	+0.75	+6.8	5
1977-05-30	@ Mjondalen	L 0-1	36.3	957	1035	19.31%	25.99%	54.70%	-0.75	-6.8	2
1977-05-30	Molde	L 2-3	54.0	1083	1091	44.90%	26.46%	28.64%	+0.23	-11.8	7
1977-05-30	@ Moss	W 3-2	54.0	1091	1083	28.64%	26.46%	44.90%	-0.23	+11.8	9
1977-05-30	Brann	L 1-3	44.0	1028	1080	39.03%	26.51%	34.47%	-0.04	-19.2	3
1977-05-30	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	44.0	1080	1028	34.47%	26.51%	39.03%	+0.04	+19.2	7
1977-05-30	Bodo Glimt	D 3-3	61.6	1092	1107	44.01%	26.48%	29.52%	+0.19	-0.5	9
1977-05-30	@ Start	D 3-3	61.6	1107	1092	29.52%	26.48%	44.01%	-0.19	+0.5	8
1977-05-30	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	52.3	1100	1057	51.07%	26.24%	22.70%	+0.54	-1.8	5
1977-05-30	@ Viking	D 1-1	52.3	1057	1100	22.70%	26.24%	51.07%	-0.54	+1.8	8
1977-06-05	Moss	W 3-1	39.3	1107	1072	50.21%	26.28%	23.51%	+0.49	+13.1	10
1977-06-05	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	39.3	1072	1107	23.51%	26.28%	50.21%	-0.49	-13.1	7
1977-06-05	Mjondalen	L 1-3	47.7	1089	1042	51.48%	26.21%	22.31%	+0.56	-24.2	8
1977-06-05	@ Bryne	W 3-1	47.7	1042	1089	22.31%	26.21%	51.48%	-0.56	+24.2	7
1977-06-05	Rosenborg	W 3-2	47.1	1058	1009	51.74%	26.20%	22.06%	+0.58	+6.8	10
1977-06-05	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	47.1	1009	1058	22.06%	26.20%	51.74%	-0.58	-6.8	3
1977-06-05	Lillestrom	D 0-0	48.3	1103	1231	28.60%	26.27%	45.13%	-0.51	+1.1	10
1977-06-05	@ Molde	D 0-0	48.3	1231	1103	45.13%	26.27%	28.60%	+0.51	-1.1	14
1977-06-06	Start	W 4-1	37.7	1099	1092	46.80%	26.41%	26.79%	+0.32	+20.5	9
1977-06-06	@ Brann	L 1-4	37.7	1092	1099	26.79%	26.41%	46.80%	-0.32	-20.5	9
1977-06-06	Viking	L 0-1	38.4	951	1098	26.27%	26.14%	47.59%	-0.63	-8.7	2
1977-06-06	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	38.4	1098	951	47.59%	26.14%	26.27%	+0.63	+8.7	7
1977-06-12	Bryne	L 0-2	42.7	1121	1064	52.48%	26.15%	21.37%	+0.62	-28.5	10
1977-06-12	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	42.7	1064	1121	21.37%	26.15%	52.48%	-0.62	+28.5	10
1977-06-12	Lillestrom	L 0-1	37.9	1065	1230	24.31%	26.01%	49.67%	-0.73	-8.2	10
1977-06-12	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	37.9	1230	1065	49.67%	26.01%	24.31%	+0.73	+8.2	16
1977-06-12	Start	D 0-0	48.2	1066	1071	45.20%	26.45%	28.34%	+0.24	-1.1	8
1977-06-12	@ Mjondalen	D 0-0	48.2	1071	1066	28.34%	26.45%	45.20%	-0.24	+1.1	10
1977-06-13	Molde	L 1-2	49.9	1119	1104	47.79%	26.38%	25.83%	+0.37	-13.1	9
1977-06-13	@ Brann	W 2-1	49.9	1104	1119	25.83%	26.38%	47.79%	-0.37	+13.1	12
1977-06-13	Moss	L 0-2	36.0	942	1059	30.07%	26.33%	43.60%	-0.44	-18.2	2
1977-06-13	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	36.0	1059	942	43.60%	26.33%	30.07%	+0.44	+18.2	9
1977-06-13	Rosenborg	D 0-0	48.4	1107	1002	57.35%	25.74%	16.91%	+0.92	-3.0	8
1977-06-13	@ Viking	D 0-0	48.4	1002	1107	16.91%	25.74%	57.35%	-0.92	+3.0	4
1977-06-18	Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	57.6	1077	1057	48.31%	26.36%	25.32%	+0.40	-1.1	10
1977-06-18	@ Moss	D 2-2	57.6	1057	1077	25.32%	26.36%	48.31%	-0.40	+1.1	11
1977-06-19	Brann	W 3-1	36.6	1238	1106	59.77%	25.44%	14.78%	+1.08	+8.8	18
1977-06-19	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	36.6	1106	1238	14.78%	25.44%	59.77%	-1.08	-8.9	9
1977-06-19	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	45.3	1117	1092	48.96%	26.34%	24.71%	+0.43	-14.2	12
1977-06-19	@ Molde	W 1-0	45.3	1092	1117	24.71%	26.34%	48.96%	-0.43	+14.2	12
1977-06-19	Valerenga	L 0-4	42.0	1072	924	61.16%	25.24%	13.60%	+1.19	-62.5	10
1977-06-19	@ Start	W 4-0	42.0	924	1072	13.60%	25.24%	61.16%	-1.19	+62.5	4
1977-06-20	Mjondalen	L 0-1	42.0	1005	1065	37.90%	26.50%	35.60%	-0.09	-11.5	4
1977-06-20	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	42.0	1065	1005	35.60%	26.50%	37.90%	+0.09	+11.5	10
1977-06-20	Bryne	W 2-1	43.5	1104	1093	47.27%	26.40%	26.33%	+0.34	+8.3	10
1977-06-20	@ Viking	L 1-2	43.5	1093	1104	26.33%	26.40%	47.27%	-0.34	-8.2	10
1977-06-22	Lillestrom	D 1-1	52.4	1106	1247	27.07%	26.19%	46.74%	-0.59	+1.2	13
1977-06-22	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	52.4	1247	1106	46.74%	26.19%	27.07%	+0.59	-1.2	19
1977-06-26	Molde	L 1-3	45.4	1085	1103	43.52%	26.48%	29.99%	+0.16	-21.0	10
1977-06-26	@ Bryne	W 3-1	45.4	1103	1085	29.99%	26.48%	43.52%	-0.16	+21.0	14
1977-06-26	Start	L 0-1	46.0	1058	1010	51.62%	26.21%	22.18%	+0.57	-14.9	11
1977-06-26	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	46.0	1010	1058	22.18%	26.21%	51.62%	-0.57	+14.9	12
1977-06-26	Viking	W 3-1	42.0	1076	1112	41.16%	26.50%	32.34%	+0.05	+16.7	12
1977-06-26	@ Mjondalen	L 1-3	42.0	1112	1076	32.34%	26.50%	41.16%	-0.05	-16.7	10
1977-06-26	Rosenborg	W 3-1	40.9	986	994	44.93%	26.46%	28.61%	+0.23	+15.2	6
1977-06-26	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	40.9	994	986	28.61%	26.46%	44.93%	-0.23	-15.2	4
1977-06-27	Moss	D 1-1	52.3	1097	1076	48.56%	26.35%	25.08%	+0.41	-1.5	10
1977-06-27	@ Brann	D 1-1	52.3	1076	1097	25.08%	26.35%	48.56%	-0.41	+1.5	11
1977-07-30	Mjondalen	W 2-0	35.9	1077	1093	43.87%	26.48%	29.66%	+0.18	+18.1	13
1977-07-30	@ Moss	L 0-2	35.9	1093	1077	29.66%	26.48%	43.87%	-0.18	-18.1	12
1977-07-31	Brann	D 2-2	57.6	1107	1096	47.31%	26.40%	26.29%	+0.35	-1.0	14
1977-07-31	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	57.6	1096	1107	26.29%	26.40%	47.31%	-0.35	+1.0	11
1977-07-31	Rosenborg	W 4-2	41.8	1064	978	55.48%	25.92%	18.59%	+0.80	+9.6	12
1977-07-31	@ Bryne	L 2-4	41.8	978	1064	18.59%	25.92%	55.48%	-0.80	-9.6	4
1977-07-31	Viking	W 2-1	46.7	1025	1095	36.29%	26.48%	37.23%	-0.16	+10.7	14
1977-07-31	@ Start	L 1-2	46.7	1095	1025	37.23%	26.48%	36.29%	+0.16	-10.7	10
1977-08-01	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	36.2	1124	1043	55.03%	25.96%	19.00%	+0.77	+6.7	16
1977-08-01	@ Molde	L 0-1	36.2	1043	1124	19.00%	25.96%	55.03%	-0.77	-6.7	11
1977-08-03	Valerenga	W 1-0	32.4	1246	1001	67.79%	23.78%	8.43%	+1.77	+3.2	21
1977-08-03	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	32.4	1001	1246	8.43%	23.78%	67.79%	-1.77	-3.2	6
1977-08-07	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	52.2	1037	1106	36.41%	26.49%	37.11%	-0.15	+0.0	12
1977-08-07	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	52.2	1106	1037	37.11%	26.49%	36.41%	+0.15	-0.0	15
1977-08-07	Lillestrom	L 0-1	37.5	1075	1249	23.29%	25.93%	50.78%	-0.79	-7.9	12
1977-08-07	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	37.5	1249	1075	50.78%	25.93%	23.29%	+0.79	+7.9	23
1977-08-08	Bryne	D 1-1	52.3	1097	1073	48.79%	26.34%	24.86%	+0.42	-1.5	12
1977-08-08	@ Brann	D 1-1	52.3	1073	1097	24.86%	26.34%	48.79%	-0.42	+1.5	13
1977-08-08	Start	L 1-3	43.4	969	1035	36.88%	26.49%	36.63%	-0.13	-18.4	4
1977-08-08	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	43.4	1035	969	36.63%	26.49%	36.88%	+0.13	+18.4	16
1977-08-08	Molde	W 4-0	37.7	998	1131	28.09%	26.24%	45.67%	-0.53	+47.7	8
1977-08-08	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	37.7	1131	998	45.67%	26.24%	28.09%	+0.53	-47.7	16
1977-08-08	Moss	W 3-2	49.2	1085	1095	44.55%	26.47%	28.98%	+0.21	+8.4	12
1977-08-08	@ Viking	L 2-3	49.2	1095	1085	28.98%	26.47%	44.55%	-0.21	-8.4	13
1977-08-13	Rosenborg	D 2-2	57.8	1087	950	60.15%	25.39%	14.46%	+1.11	-2.3	14
1977-08-13	@ Moss	D 2-2	57.8	950	1087	14.46%	25.39%	60.15%	-1.11	+2.3	5
1977-08-14	Valerenga	D 1-1	52.3	1106	1046	52.95%	26.12%	20.93%	+0.65	-2.0	16
1977-08-14	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	52.3	1046	1106	20.93%	26.12%	52.95%	-0.65	+2.0	9
1977-08-14	Start	D 2-2	57.6	1075	1054	48.46%	26.36%	25.18%	+0.40	-1.1	14
1977-08-14	@ Bryne	D 2-2	57.6	1054	1075	25.18%	26.36%	48.46%	-0.40	+1.1	17
1977-08-14	Viking	W 3-1	35.8	1257	1093	62.34%	25.04%	12.61%	+1.28	+7.7	25
1977-08-14	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	35.8	1093	1257	12.61%	25.04%	62.34%	-1.28	-7.7	12
1977-08-14	Mjondalen	W 2-0	34.7	1083	1067	47.87%	26.38%	25.75%	+0.37	+16.2	18
1977-08-14	@ Molde	L 0-2	34.7	1067	1083	25.75%	26.38%	47.87%	-0.37	-16.2	12
1977-08-15	Hamarkameratene	W 6-3	40.1	1096	1037	52.78%	26.13%	21.09%	+0.64	+13.6	14
1977-08-15	@ Brann	L 3-6	40.1	1037	1096	21.09%	26.13%	52.78%	-0.64	-13.6	12
1977-08-21	Bryne	D 2-2	57.5	1023	1074	39.13%	26.51%	34.36%	-0.03	-0.2	13
1977-08-21	@ Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	57.5	1074	1023	34.36%	26.51%	39.13%	+0.03	+0.2	15
1977-08-21	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	47.2	1051	1104	38.71%	26.51%	34.78%	-0.05	-11.0	12
1977-08-21	@ Mjondalen	W 2-1	47.2	1104	1051	34.78%	26.51%	38.71%	+0.05	+11.0	18
1977-08-21	Moss	D 1-1	52.2	1055	1085	42.03%	26.50%	31.47%	+0.09	-0.6	18
1977-08-21	@ Start	D 1-1	52.2	1085	1055	31.47%	26.50%	42.03%	-0.09	+0.6	15
1977-08-22	Lillestrom	D 0-0	48.9	953	1265	12.03%	24.17%	63.81%	-1.63	+3.9	6
1977-08-22	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	48.9	1265	953	63.81%	24.17%	12.03%	+1.63	-3.9	26
1977-08-22	Brann	W 5-2	43.4	1048	1109	37.67%	26.50%	35.83%	-0.10	+22.1	11
1977-08-22	@ Valerenga	L 2-5	43.4	1109	1048	35.83%	26.50%	37.67%	+0.10	-22.1	14
1977-08-22	Molde	W 2-1	44.4	1086	1099	44.14%	26.47%	29.39%	+0.19	+9.0	14
1977-08-22	@ Viking	L 1-2	44.4	1099	1086	29.39%	26.47%	44.14%	-0.19	-9.0	18
1977-08-28	Viking	W 1-0	38.2	1115	1094	48.46%	26.36%	25.18%	+0.40	+8.4	20
1977-08-28	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	38.2	1094	1115	25.18%	26.36%	48.46%	-0.40	-8.5	14
1977-08-28	Mjondalen	W 2-0	33.6	1087	1040	51.51%	26.21%	22.28%	+0.56	+14.5	16
1977-08-28	@ Brann	L 0-2	33.6	1040	1087	22.28%	26.21%	51.51%	-0.56	-14.5	12
1977-08-28	Moss	D 1-1	52.2	1074	1085	44.45%	26.47%	29.08%	+0.21	-0.9	16
1977-08-28	@ Bryne	D 1-1	52.2	1085	1074	29.08%	26.47%	44.45%	-0.21	+0.9	16
1977-08-28	Valerenga	L 0-1	42.5	1023	1070	39.61%	26.51%	33.89%	-0.01	-11.9	13
1977-08-28	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	42.5	1070	1023	33.89%	26.51%	39.61%	+0.01	+11.9	13
1977-08-28	Start	W 1-0	33.2	1261	1054	65.39%	24.42%	10.19%	+1.54	+3.8	28
1977-08-28	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	33.2	1054	1261	10.19%	24.42%	65.39%	-1.54	-3.9	18
1977-08-28	Rosenborg	W 2-0	31.1	1090	957	59.91%	25.42%	14.66%	+1.09	+10.2	20
1977-08-28	@ Molde	L 0-2	31.1	957	1090	14.66%	25.42%	59.91%	-1.09	-10.1	6
1977-09-10	Lillestrom	L 0-4	30.9	1086	1265	22.84%	25.89%	51.27%	-0.82	-27.8	16
1977-09-10	@ Moss	W 4-0	30.9	1265	1086	51.27%	25.89%	22.84%	+0.82	+27.8	30
1977-09-11	Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	57.5	1025	1011	47.67%	26.39%	25.95%	+0.36	-1.0	13
1977-09-11	@ Mjondalen	D 2-2	57.5	1011	1025	25.95%	26.39%	47.67%	-0.36	+1.0	14
1977-09-11	Molde	L 1-2	47.4	1050	1100	39.25%	26.51%	34.25%	-0.03	-11.2	18
1977-09-11	@ Start	W 2-1	47.4	1100	1050	34.25%	26.51%	39.25%	+0.03	+11.1	22
1977-09-11	Bryne	W 4-1	37.6	1082	1073	47.01%	26.41%	26.58%	+0.33	+20.4	15
1977-09-11	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	37.6	1073	1082	26.58%	26.41%	47.01%	-0.33	-20.4	16
1977-09-11	Brann	L 3-4	56.7	1086	1101	43.91%	26.48%	29.61%	+0.18	-11.3	14
1977-09-11	@ Viking	W 4-3	56.7	1101	1086	29.61%	26.48%	43.91%	-0.18	+11.3	18
1977-09-12	Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	39.0	946	1124	22.95%	25.90%	51.14%	-0.81	-12.8	6
1977-09-12	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	39.0	1124	946	51.14%	25.90%	22.95%	+0.81	+12.8	22
1977-09-18	Start	W 1-0	35.7	1137	1039	56.66%	25.81%	17.52%	+0.87	+6.3	24
1977-09-18	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	35.7	1039	1137	17.52%	25.81%	56.66%	-0.87	-6.3	18
1977-09-18	Lillestrom	W 2-0	44.1	1053	1292	17.10%	25.23%	57.68%	-1.19	+31.0	18
1977-09-18	@ Bryne	L 0-2	44.1	1292	1053	57.68%	25.23%	17.10%	+1.19	-31.0	30
1977-09-18	Viking	L 1-2	46.8	1012	1075	37.41%	26.50%	36.09%	-0.11	-10.8	14
1977-09-18	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	46.8	1075	1012	36.09%	26.50%	37.41%	+0.11	+10.8	16
1977-09-18	Moss	W 3-1	38.7	1111	1058	52.16%	26.17%	21.67%	+0.60	+12.2	24
1977-09-18	@ Molde	L 1-3	38.7	1058	1111	21.67%	26.17%	52.16%	-0.60	-12.2	16
1977-09-19	Rosenborg	W 4-0	27.1	1113	934	63.48%	24.83%	11.69%	+1.37	+15.7	20
1977-09-19	@ Brann	L 0-4	27.1	934	1113	11.69%	24.83%	63.48%	-1.37	-15.7	6
1977-09-19	Mjondalen	L 1-2	51.9	1102	1024	54.78%	25.99%	19.24%	+0.75	-14.8	15
1977-09-19	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	51.9	1024	1102	19.24%	25.99%	54.78%	-0.75	+14.8	15
1977-09-24	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	42.9	1046	1143	32.67%	26.41%	40.92%	-0.32	+12.2	18
1977-09-24	@ Moss	L 0-1	42.9	1143	1046	40.92%	26.41%	32.67%	+0.32	-12.2	24
1977-09-25	Molde	W 3-0	28.8	1261	1124	60.26%	25.37%	14.36%	+1.12	+14.5	32
1977-09-25	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	28.8	1124	1261	14.36%	25.37%	60.26%	-1.12	-14.5	24
1977-09-25	Bryne	W 2-0	37.1	1039	1084	39.99%	26.51%	33.51%	+0.00	+19.8	17
1977-09-25	@ Mjondalen	L 0-2	37.1	1084	1039	33.51%	26.51%	39.99%	+0.00	-19.8	18
1977-09-25	Brann	W 3-1	44.5	1033	1128	32.87%	26.42%	40.71%	-0.31	+19.8	20
1977-09-25	@ Start	L 1-3	44.5	1128	1033	40.71%	26.42%	32.87%	+0.31	-19.9	20
1977-09-26	Hamarkameratene	L 2-6	40.5	918	1001	34.56%	26.46%	38.99%	-0.23	-27.2	6
1977-09-26	@ Rosenborg	W 6-2	40.5	1001	918	38.99%	26.46%	34.56%	+0.23	+27.2	16
1977-09-26	Valerenga	W 5-1	36.5	1086	1088	45.63%	26.44%	27.92%	+0.26	+27.3	18
1977-09-26	@ Viking	L 1-5	36.5	1088	1086	27.92%	26.44%	45.63%	-0.26	-27.3	15
1977-10-02	Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	51.6	1064	1131	36.83%	26.49%	36.67%	-0.13	-10.1	18
1977-10-02	@ Bryne	W 3-2	51.6	1131	1064	36.67%	26.49%	36.83%	+0.13	+10.1	26
1977-10-02	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	37.3	1276	1028	67.97%	23.73%	8.30%	+1.79	+3.0	34
1977-10-02	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	37.3	1028	1276	8.30%	23.73%	67.97%	-1.79	-3.0	16
1977-10-02	Brann	W 1-0	38.9	1109	1109	45.97%	26.44%	27.59%	+0.28	+9.1	26
1977-10-02	@ Molde	L 0-1	38.9	1109	1109	27.59%	26.44%	45.97%	-0.28	-9.1	20
1977-10-02	Valerenga	L 0-1	44.3	1058	1060	45.64%	26.44%	27.92%	+0.26	-13.3	18
1977-10-02	@ Moss	W 1-0	44.3	1060	1058	27.92%	26.44%	45.64%	-0.26	+13.3	17
1977-10-02	Viking	L 1-3	37.6	891	1113	18.62%	25.44%	55.94%	-1.08	-10.7	6
1977-10-02	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	37.6	1113	891	55.94%	25.44%	18.62%	+1.08	+10.7	20
1977-10-02	Mjondalen	W 5-0	33.1	1053	1059	45.13%	26.45%	28.42%	+0.24	+40.9	22
1977-10-02	@ Start	L 0-5	33.1	1059	1053	28.42%	26.45%	45.13%	-0.24	-40.9	17
1977-10-08	Molde	W 4-1	37.1	1141	1118	48.65%	26.35%	25.01%	+0.41	+19.4	28
1977-10-08	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-4	37.1	1118	1141	25.01%	26.35%	48.65%	-0.41	-19.4	26
1977-10-09	Lillestrom	W 2-1	51.0	1099	1279	22.74%	25.89%	51.37%	-0.82	+13.9	22
1977-10-09	@ Brann	L 1-2	51.0	1279	1099	51.37%	25.89%	22.74%	+0.82	-13.9	34
1977-10-09	Viking	D 2-2	57.5	1054	1124	36.42%	26.49%	37.09%	-0.15	+0.0	19
1977-10-09	@ Bryne	D 2-2	57.5	1124	1054	37.09%	26.49%	36.42%	+0.15	-0.0	21
1977-10-09	Moss	W 4-2	45.4	1025	1045	43.37%	26.49%	30.15%	+0.16	+14.2	18
1977-10-09	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-4	45.4	1045	1025	30.15%	26.49%	43.37%	-0.16	-14.2	18
1977-10-09	Rosenborg	D 0-0	48.5	1018	880	60.27%	25.37%	14.36%	+1.12	-3.4	18
1977-10-09	@ Mjondalen	D 0-0	48.5	880	1018	14.36%	25.37%	60.27%	-1.12	+3.5	7
1977-10-09	Start	D 2-2	57.5	1074	1094	43.28%	26.49%	30.24%	+0.15	-0.6	18
1977-10-09	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	57.5	1094	1074	30.24%	26.49%	43.28%	-0.15	+0.6	23
1977-10-16	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	37.4	1265	1160	57.36%	25.74%	16.90%	+0.92	+9.9	36
1977-10-16	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	37.4	1160	1265	16.90%	25.74%	57.36%	-0.92	-10.0	28
1977-10-16	Bryne	D 2-2	57.6	1099	1054	51.27%	26.23%	22.50%	+0.55	-1.4	27
1977-10-16	@ Molde	D 2-2	57.6	1054	1099	22.50%	26.23%	51.27%	-0.55	+1.4	20
1977-10-16	Brann	W 1-0	42.3	1031	1113	34.61%	26.46%	38.93%	-0.23	+11.7	20
1977-10-16	@ Moss	L 0-1	42.3	1113	1031	38.93%	26.46%	34.61%	+0.23	-11.8	22
1977-10-16	Valerenga	L 0-3	31.0	884	1073	21.71%	25.79%	52.50%	-0.88	-20.4	7
1977-10-16	@ Rosenborg	W 3-0	31.0	1073	884	52.50%	25.79%	21.71%	+0.88	+20.4	20
1977-10-16	Hamarkameratene	W 6-1	33.9	1094	1040	52.34%	26.16%	21.50%	+0.61	+27.2	25
1977-10-16	@ Start	L 1-6	33.9	1040	1094	21.50%	26.16%	52.34%	-0.61	-27.2	18
1977-10-16	Mjondalen	W 2-0	31.7	1123	1014	57.76%	25.70%	16.55%	+0.94	+11.3	23
1977-10-16	@ Viking	L 0-2	31.7	1014	1123	16.55%	25.70%	57.76%	-0.94	-11.3	18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1977-06-19	13.60%	Valerenga	924	4	@ Start	1072	0
2	1977-09-18	17.10%	@ Bryne	1053	2	Lillestrom	1292	0
3	1977-09-19	19.24%	Mjondalen	1024	2	@ Valerenga	1102	1
4	1977-05-01	20.01%	Viking	1064	4	@ Moss	1133	0
5	1977-05-15	20.52%	Mjondalen	1060	1	@ Bodo Glimt	1124	0
6	1977-06-12	21.37%	Bryne	1064	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1121	0
7	1977-06-26	22.18%	Start	1010	1	@ Hamarkameratene	1058	0
8	1977-06-05	22.31%	Mjondalen	1042	3	@ Bryne	1089	1
9	1977-10-09	22.74%	@ Brann	1099	2	Lillestrom	1279	1
10	1977-06-19	24.71%	Bodo Glimt	1092	1	@ Molde	1117	0
11	1977-06-13	25.83%	Molde	1104	2	@ Brann	1119	1
12	1977-10-02	27.92%	Valerenga	1060	1	@ Moss	1058	0
13	1977-08-08	28.09%	@ Valerenga	998	4	Molde	1131	0
14	1977-04-24	28.55%	Start	1082	3	@ Viking	1075	2
15	1977-05-30	28.64%	Molde	1091	3	@ Moss	1083	2
16	1977-04-24	28.86%	Moss	1121	2	@ Mjondalen	1112	1
17	1977-04-24	29.38%	Bodo Glimt	1099	1	@ Brann	1086	0
18	1977-09-11	29.61%	Brann	1101	4	@ Viking	1086	3
19	1977-05-04	29.83%	Bryne	1066	2	@ Rosenborg	1049	0
20	1977-06-26	29.99%	Molde	1103	3	@ Bryne	1085	1
21	1977-05-19	30.28%	@ Rosenborg	1002	2	Molde	1117	0
22	1977-05-08	30.67%	Molde	1096	1	@ Mjondalen	1072	0
23	1977-05-19	30.70%	Hamarkameratene	1007	4	@ Valerenga	983	3
24	1977-05-09	31.62%	Brann	1059	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1028	0
25	1977-09-24	32.67%	@ Moss	1046	1	Bodo Glimt	1143	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-06-19	62.53	Valerenga	4	924	13.60%	@ Start	0	1072	61.16%	25.24%
2	1977-05-01	55.42	Viking	4	1064	20.01%	@ Moss	0	1133	53.94%	26.05%
3	1977-08-08	47.71	@ Valerenga	4	998	28.09%	Molde	0	1131	45.67%	26.24%
4	1977-10-02	40.94	@ Start	5	1053	45.13%	Mjondalen	0	1059	28.42%	26.45%
5	1977-04-24	39.05	Lillestrom	4	1111	38.27%	@ Valerenga	0	1033	35.26%	26.47%
6	1977-05-22	38.94	@ Hamarkameratene	4	1018	38.39%	Mjondalen	0	1074	35.11%	26.50%
7	1977-09-18	30.97	@ Bryne	2	1053	17.10%	Lillestrom	0	1292	57.68%	25.23%
8	1977-06-12	28.47	Bryne	2	1064	21.37%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1121	52.48%	26.15%
9	1977-09-10	27.83	Lillestrom	4	1265	51.27%	@ Moss	0	1086	22.84%	25.89%
10	1977-09-26	27.30	@ Viking	5	1086	45.63%	Valerenga	1	1088	27.92%	26.44%
11	1977-09-26	27.20	Hamarkameratene	6	1001	38.99%	@ Rosenborg	2	918	34.56%	26.46%
12	1977-10-16	27.20	@ Start	6	1094	52.34%	Hamarkameratene	1	1040	21.50%	26.16%
13	1977-05-01	27.04	@ Lillestrom	4	1150	51.92%	Mjondalen	0	1099	21.89%	26.19%
14	1977-05-04	24.28	Bryne	2	1066	29.83%	@ Rosenborg	0	1049	43.69%	26.48%
15	1977-06-05	24.23	Mjondalen	3	1042	22.31%	@ Bryne	1	1089	51.48%	26.21%
16	1977-05-19	24.11	@ Rosenborg	2	1002	30.28%	Molde	0	1117	43.38%	26.34%
17	1977-05-09	23.46	Brann	2	1059	31.62%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1028	41.88%	26.50%
18	1977-08-22	22.09	@ Valerenga	5	1048	37.67%	Brann	2	1109	35.83%	26.50%
19	1977-05-22	21.50	@ Lillestrom	4	1213	57.66%	Moss	0	1105	16.63%	25.71%
20	1977-06-26	20.97	Molde	3	1103	29.99%	@ Bryne	1	1085	43.52%	26.48%
21	1977-06-06	20.49	@ Brann	4	1099	46.80%	Start	1	1092	26.79%	26.41%
22	1977-10-16	20.43	Valerenga	3	1073	52.50%	@ Rosenborg	0	884	21.71%	25.79%
23	1977-05-19	20.39	Lillestrom	2	1193	38.71%	@ Start	0	1111	34.83%	26.46%
24	1977-09-11	20.36	@ Valerenga	4	1082	47.01%	Bryne	1	1073	26.58%	26.41%
25	1977-09-25	19.85	@ Start	3	1033	32.87%	Brann	1	1128	40.71%	26.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-05-30	61.6	@ Start	3	1092	44.01%	Bodo Glimt	3	1107	29.52%	26.48%
2	1977-08-13	57.8	@ Moss	2	1087	60.15%	Rosenborg	2	950	14.46%	25.39%
3	1977-05-19	57.6	@ Viking	2	1100	44.75%	Bodo Glimt	2	1109	28.79%	26.46%
4	1977-06-18	57.6	@ Moss	2	1077	48.31%	Hamarkameratene	2	1057	25.32%	26.36%
5	1977-07-31	57.6	@ Bodo Glimt	2	1107	47.31%	Brann	2	1096	26.29%	26.40%
6	1977-08-14	57.6	@ Bryne	2	1075	48.46%	Start	2	1054	25.18%	26.36%
7	1977-10-16	57.6	@ Molde	2	1099	51.27%	Bryne	2	1054	22.50%	26.23%
8	1977-08-21	57.5	@ Hamarkameratene	2	1023	39.13%	Bryne	2	1074	34.36%	26.51%
9	1977-09-11	57.5	@ Mjondalen	2	1025	47.67%	Hamarkameratene	2	1011	25.95%	26.39%
10	1977-10-09	57.5	@ Bryne	2	1054	36.42%	Viking	2	1124	37.09%	26.49%
11	1977-10-09	57.5	@ Valerenga	2	1074	43.28%	Start	2	1094	30.24%	26.49%
12	1977-09-11	56.7	Brann	4	1101	29.61%	@ Viking	3	1086	43.91%	26.48%
13	1977-05-19	56.4	Hamarkameratene	4	1007	30.70%	@ Valerenga	3	983	42.81%	26.49%
14	1977-04-24	54.0	Start	3	1082	28.55%	@ Viking	2	1075	44.99%	26.46%
15	1977-05-30	54.0	Molde	3	1091	28.64%	@ Moss	2	1083	44.90%	26.46%
16	1977-05-30	52.7	@ Lillestrom	1	1234	61.19%	Bryne	1	1085	13.58%	25.24%
17	1977-05-15	52.4	@ Bryne	1	1082	54.72%	Hamarkameratene	1	1004	19.29%	25.99%
18	1977-05-16	52.4	@ Brann	1	1082	57.08%	Valerenga	1	980	17.15%	25.77%
19	1977-06-22	52.4	@ Bodo Glimt	1	1106	27.07%	Lillestrom	1	1247	46.74%	26.19%
20	1977-05-09	52.3	@ Valerenga	1	979	26.40%	Bodo Glimt	1	1125	47.45%	26.15%
21	1977-05-15	52.3	@ Moss	1	1097	44.19%	Start	1	1110	29.34%	26.47%
22	1977-05-30	52.3	@ Viking	1	1100	51.07%	Hamarkameratene	1	1057	22.70%	26.24%
23	1977-06-27	52.3	@ Brann	1	1097	48.56%	Moss	1	1076	25.08%	26.35%
24	1977-08-08	52.3	@ Brann	1	1097	48.79%	Bryne	1	1073	24.86%	26.34%
25	1977-08-14	52.3	@ Bodo Glimt	1	1106	52.95%	Valerenga	1	1046	20.93%	26.12%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-09-19	27.1	@ Brann	4	1113	63.48%	Rosenborg	0	934	11.69%	24.83%
2	1977-09-25	28.8	@ Lillestrom	3	1261	60.26%	Molde	0	1124	14.36%	25.37%
3	1977-05-22	28.9	@ Lillestrom	4	1213	57.66%	Moss	0	1105	16.63%	25.71%
4	1977-05-01	30.6	@ Lillestrom	4	1150	51.92%	Mjondalen	0	1099	21.89%	26.19%
5	1977-09-10	30.9	Lillestrom	4	1265	51.27%	@ Moss	0	1086	22.84%	25.89%
6	1977-10-16	31.0	Valerenga	3	1073	52.50%	@ Rosenborg	0	884	21.71%	25.79%
7	1977-08-28	31.1	@ Molde	2	1090	59.91%	Rosenborg	0	957	14.66%	25.42%
8	1977-10-16	31.7	@ Viking	2	1123	57.76%	Mjondalen	0	1014	16.55%	25.70%
9	1977-08-03	32.4	@ Lillestrom	1	1246	67.79%	Valerenga	0	1001	8.43%	23.78%
10	1977-05-01	32.9	@ Bodo Glimt	2	1112	54.08%	Hamarkameratene	0	1041	19.88%	26.04%
11	1977-10-02	33.1	@ Start	5	1053	45.13%	Mjondalen	0	1059	28.42%	26.45%
12	1977-08-28	33.2	@ Lillestrom	1	1261	65.39%	Start	0	1054	10.19%	24.42%
13	1977-05-15	33.6	@ Lillestrom	1	1188	63.72%	Rosenborg	0	1006	11.50%	24.78%
14	1977-08-28	33.6	@ Brann	2	1087	51.51%	Mjondalen	0	1040	22.28%	26.21%
15	1977-10-16	33.9	@ Start	6	1094	52.34%	Hamarkameratene	1	1040	21.50%	26.16%
16	1977-04-24	34.6	Lillestrom	4	1111	38.27%	@ Valerenga	0	1033	35.26%	26.47%
17	1977-05-22	34.6	@ Bryne	4	1071	56.84%	Valerenga	1	972	17.37%	25.79%
18	1977-05-22	34.6	@ Hamarkameratene	4	1018	38.39%	Mjondalen	0	1074	35.11%	26.50%
19	1977-08-14	34.7	@ Molde	2	1083	47.87%	Mjondalen	0	1067	25.75%	26.38%
20	1977-05-01	35.0	@ Molde	4	1081	55.61%	Valerenga	1	994	18.48%	25.91%
21	1977-09-18	35.7	@ Bodo Glimt	1	1137	56.66%	Start	0	1039	17.52%	25.81%
22	1977-08-14	35.8	@ Lillestrom	3	1257	62.34%	Viking	1	1093	12.61%	25.04%
23	1977-07-30	35.9	@ Moss	2	1077	43.87%	Mjondalen	0	1093	29.66%	26.48%
24	1977-06-13	36.0	Moss	2	1059	43.60%	@ Valerenga	0	942	30.07%	26.33%
25	1977-08-01	36.2	@ Molde	1	1124	55.03%	Hamarkameratene	0	1043	19.00%	25.96%