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1983 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valerenga

31 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1981

Relegated

Hamarkameratene

10 pts

Mjondalen · 17 pts

Brann · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

5.23 points above expected

31 points · 25.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

7.47 points below expected

10 points · 17.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valerenga Champion 22 12 7 3 31 38 17 +21 25.77 +5.23
2 Lillestrom 22 10 8 4 28 40 28 +12 24.49 +3.51
3 Start 22 10 7 5 27 47 27 +20 23.65 +3.35
4 Moss 22 8 8 6 24 31 34 -3 21.73 +2.27
5 Eik Tonsberg 22 9 5 8 23 34 32 +2 24.21 -1.21
6 Viking 22 8 6 8 22 31 34 -3 22.75 -0.75
7 Rosenborg 22 7 7 8 21 41 38 +3 21.52 -0.52
8 Bryne 22 7 7 8 21 31 32 -1 22.15 -1.15
9 Kongsvinger 22 7 6 9 20 44 42 +2 21.75 -1.75
10 Brann Relegated 22 7 6 9 20 31 32 -1 19.12 +0.88
11 Mjondalen Relegated 22 5 7 10 17 17 34 -17 19.39 -2.39
12 Hamarkameratene Relegated 22 3 4 15 10 15 50 -35 17.47 -7.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valerenga 31 25.77 +5.23
2 Lillestrom 28 24.49 +3.51
3 Start 27 23.65 +3.35
4 Moss 24 21.73 +2.27
5 Brann 20 19.12 +0.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamarkameratene 10 17.47 -7.47
2 Mjondalen 17 19.39 -2.39
3 Kongsvinger 20 21.75 -1.75
4 Eik Tonsberg 23 24.21 -1.21
5 Bryne 21 22.15 -1.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 5 Jun 12 – Aug 3 1 in 70
2 Rosenborg 3 Sep 25 – Oct 9 1 in 41
3 Start 4 Sep 4 – Oct 2 1 in 36
4 Bryne 3 Jun 19 – Aug 1 1 in 31
5 Lillestrom 3 Aug 3 – Aug 14 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bryne 3 Aug 7 – Aug 21 1 in 56
2 Hamarkameratene 5 Sep 4 – Oct 9 1 in 55
3 Valerenga 2 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 25
4 Lillestrom 2 Aug 29 – Sep 4 1 in 16
5 Kongsvinger 2 May 16 – May 23 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 12 May 29 – Sep 4 1 in 29
2 Moss 8 Aug 3 – Sep 25 1 in 23
3 Start 7 Aug 21 – Oct 9 1 in 12
4 Bryne 6 Jun 5 – Aug 3 1 in 11
5 Kongsvinger 5 Aug 1 – Aug 21 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bryne 10 Aug 3 – Oct 9 1 in 121
2 Rosenborg 10 Jun 5 – Aug 29 1 in 73
3 Mjondalen 9 Jun 5 – Aug 21 1 in 29
4 Valerenga 5 Sep 4 – Oct 9 1 in 22
5 Brann 9 May 12 – Jul 31 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valerenga 1311 31 -25 3 6.0 -3.0
Lillestrom 1266 28 +9 6 5.7 +0.3
Start 1296 27 +60 9 5.7 +3.3
Moss 1209 24 -20 5 5.3 -0.3
Eik Tonsberg 1235 23 +18 8 5.4 +2.6
Viking 1215 22 -19 5 5.5 -0.5
Rosenborg 1243 21 +48 8 4.9 +3.1
Bryne 1191 21 -30 3 4.7 -1.7
Brann 1219 20 +30 6 4.6 +1.4
Kongsvinger 1211 20 +8 4 4.3 -0.3
Mjondalen 1126 17 -20 3 4.0 -1.0
Hamarkameratene 1073 10 -59 0 3.9 -3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA BRY ET HAM KON LIL MJO MOS ROS STA VAL VIK
Brann —
1-1-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
1.87
1-0-1
2.28
Bryne
0-1-1
3.14
—
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.51
Eik Tonsberg
0-2-0
3.32
2-0-0
2.55
—
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.76
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.12
—
2-0-0
2.06
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
2.07
Kongsvinger
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
3.34
—
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.64
Lillestrom
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.68
0-2-0
2.79
—
1-1-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.88
Mjondalen
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
2.02
—
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
2.21
Moss
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.04
—
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.46
Rosenborg
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.61
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.77
—
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
2.53
Start
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.60
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
2.46
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.70
—
0-2-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.61
Valerenga
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.08
0-2-0
3.10
—
1-1-0
2.94
Viking
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.74
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.45
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.53 +4.1
Allowed 0.80 -6.0
Differential 0.89 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%4.17%6.06%4.17%2.27%1.52%29.55%
14.17%9.09%5.68%3.79%0.76%1.52%25.00%
26.06%5.68%8.33%2.65%1.52%1.14%25.38%
34.17%3.79%2.65%0.76%——11.36%
42.27%0.76%1.52%———4.55%
5+1.52%1.52%1.14%———4.17%
Total29.55%25.00%25.38%11.36%4.55%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.45 1.45 2.18
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%18.18%4.55%——40.91%
14.55%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3———————
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total31.82%18.18%31.82%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.45 -0.05
SD 2.09 1.34 2.48
CV 1.48 0.92 —
Max 9 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
1—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
29.09%4.55%18.18%———31.82%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%40.91%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.45 -0.05
SD 1.37 1.18 1.86
CV 0.97 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%——13.64%4.55%—31.82%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total36.36%13.64%22.73%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.45 +0.09
SD 1.63 1.34 2.33
CV 1.05 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%—9.09%13.64%54.55%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%18.18%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.27 -1.59
SD 0.89 1.80 2.28
CV 1.31 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%9.09%——27.27%
1—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
2—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total9.09%22.73%40.91%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.91 +0.09
SD 1.88 1.02 2.16
CV 0.94 0.53 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
14.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
39.09%13.64%————22.73%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.27 +0.55
SD 1.22 1.28 2.18
CV 0.67 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%59.09%
1—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.55 -0.77
SD 1.07 1.63 2.09
CV 1.38 1.05 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
29.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%27.27%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.55 -0.14
SD 0.91 1.60 1.86
CV 0.64 1.03 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%13.64%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.73 +0.14
SD 1.25 1.49 2.03
CV 0.67 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total36.36%22.73%36.36%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.23 +0.91
SD 1.58 1.38 2.37
CV 0.74 1.12 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—4.55%———27.27%
113.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
313.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total59.09%13.64%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.77 +0.95
SD 1.49 1.11 1.70
CV 0.86 1.44 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%———31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.55 -0.14
SD 1.10 1.84 1.96
CV 0.78 1.19 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valerenga 1311 31 25.77 +5.23 97.0% 17 19 23 26 28 31 37
Start 1296 27 23.65 +3.35 88.0% 16 18 21 24 26 30 32
Lillestrom 1266 28 24.49 +3.51 89.0% 15 18 22 24 27 30 32
Rosenborg 1243 21 21.52 -0.52 48.0% 9 15 19 22 24 27 30
Eik Tonsberg 1235 23 24.21 -1.21 42.0% 17 19 22 24 26 30 36
Brann 1219 20 19.12 +0.88 60.0% 9 13 16 19 22 26 30
Viking 1215 22 22.75 -0.75 47.0% 15 18 21 23 25 28 30
Kongsvinger 1211 20 21.75 -1.75 36.0% 11 16 20 22 24 28 31
Moss 1209 24 21.73 +2.27 77.0% 11 16 19 22 24 28 31
Bryne 1191 21 22.15 -1.15 39.0% 13 16 20 22 24 28 35
Mjondalen 1126 17 19.39 -2.39 35.0% 9 13 17 20 22 26 29
Hamarkameratene 1073 10 17.47 -7.47 0.0% 11 12 15 17 19 24 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.39%
No Edge
42.42%29.55%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
050.36400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Valerenga, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.89 * Some Luck: 2.89 to 4.33 * Lucky: 4.33 to 5.78 * Wild Swing: 5.78 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.06 * Close: 2.06 to 3.1 * Off: 3.1 to 4.13 * Way Off: 4.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 3 * A Surprise: 3 to 4.8 * Several Surprises: 4.8 to 6.6 * Many Surprises: 6.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.23 points
Some Luck
03.619
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.586
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Valerenga
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Hamarkameratene
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected 3.0
3 of 3
A Surprise
03

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 66.35
1.38
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.81
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.075
Well Within Noise
00.1480.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Valerenga32.00%23.00%11.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%—
Lillestrom19.00%19.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
Start17.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%
Moss2.00%4.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%
Eik Tonsberg10.00%12.00%18.00%11.00%16.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%—
Viking5.00%11.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%2.00%—
Rosenborg6.00%5.00%3.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%7.00%
Bryne5.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%10.00%12.00%3.00%9.00%2.00%
Kongsvinger3.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%—
Brann1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%17.00%
Mjondalen—1.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%3.00%15.00%21.00%19.00%
Hamarkameratene—2.00%3.00%—2.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%18.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Brann 100%
Bryne 100%
Eik Tonsberg 100%
Hamarkameratene 100%
Kongsvinger 100%
Lillestrom 100%
Mjondalen 100%
Moss 100%
Rosenborg 100%
Start 100%
Valerenga 100%
Viking 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1983-04-24 Start L 0-243.4 1206 1199 45.32% 31.03% 23.65%+0.39 -16.1 0
1983-04-24 @ Brann W 2-043.4 1199 1206 23.65% 31.03% 45.32%-0.39 +16.1 2
1983-04-24 Mjondalen W 5-137.8 1208 1193 46.26% 30.94% 22.80%+0.44 +15.3 2
1983-04-24 @ Bryne L 1-537.8 1193 1208 22.80% 30.94% 46.26%-0.44 -15.4 0
1983-04-24 Hamarkameratene D 0-046.7 1238 1205 48.38% 30.69% 20.93%+0.56 -1.2 1
1983-04-24 @ Eik Tonsberg D 0-046.7 1205 1238 20.93% 30.69% 48.38%-0.56 +1.2 1
1983-04-24 Lillestrom D 2-255.7 1233 1223 45.58% 31.01% 23.41%+0.40 -0.6 1
1983-04-24 @ Kongsvinger D 2-255.7 1223 1233 23.41% 31.01% 45.58%-0.40 +0.6 1
1983-04-24 Viking W 2-038.4 1206 1236 40.56% 31.30% 28.14%+0.14 +11.3 2
1983-04-24 @ Moss L 0-238.4 1236 1206 28.14% 31.30% 40.56%-0.14 -11.3 0
1983-05-01 Bryne L 0-242.6 1206 1223 42.28% 31.23% 26.49%+0.22 -15.2 1
1983-05-01 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-042.6 1223 1206 26.49% 31.23% 42.28%-0.22 +15.2 4
1983-05-01 Eik Tonsberg W 3-142.8 1224 1236 42.90% 31.20% 25.90%+0.26 +9.2 3
1983-05-01 @ Lillestrom L 1-342.8 1236 1224 25.90% 31.20% 42.90%-0.26 -9.2 1
1983-05-01 Brann W 3-035.6 1177 1190 42.86% 31.20% 25.93%+0.26 +15.5 2
1983-05-01 @ Mjondalen L 0-335.6 1190 1177 25.93% 31.20% 42.86%-0.26 -15.5 0
1983-05-01 Kongsvinger D 3-359.7 1216 1232 42.40% 31.23% 26.37%+0.23 -0.4 1
1983-05-01 @ Rosenborg D 3-359.7 1232 1216 26.37% 31.23% 42.40%-0.23 +0.4 2
1983-05-01 Moss D 2-255.7 1215 1217 44.13% 31.12% 24.75%+0.32 -0.5 3
1983-05-01 @ Start D 2-255.7 1217 1215 24.75% 31.12% 44.13%-0.32 +0.5 3
1983-05-01 Valerenga D 0-046.6 1225 1234 43.25% 31.18% 25.57%+0.28 -0.8 1
1983-05-01 @ Viking D 0-046.6 1234 1225 25.57% 31.18% 43.25%-0.28 +0.8 1
1983-05-06 Rosenborg W 3-034.6 1235 1216 46.82% 30.88% 22.30%+0.47 +13.9 3
1983-05-06 @ Valerenga L 0-334.6 1216 1235 22.30% 30.88% 46.82%-0.47 -13.9 1
1983-05-09 Hamarkameratene W 2-145.2 1174 1191 42.39% 31.23% 26.38%+0.23 +5.4 2
1983-05-09 @ Brann L 1-245.2 1191 1174 26.38% 31.23% 42.39%-0.23 -5.4 1
1983-05-09 Eik Tonsberg L 0-146.4 1238 1227 45.78% 30.99% 23.23%+0.41 -8.6 4
1983-05-09 @ Bryne W 1-046.4 1227 1238 23.23% 30.99% 45.78%-0.41 +8.6 3
1983-05-09 Viking L 1-251.0 1232 1224 45.46% 31.02% 23.52%+0.40 -8.1 2
1983-05-09 @ Kongsvinger W 2-151.0 1224 1232 23.52% 31.02% 45.46%-0.40 +8.1 3
1983-05-09 Mjondalen W 1-039.0 1218 1193 47.46% 30.81% 21.73%+0.51 +5.0 5
1983-05-09 @ Moss L 0-139.0 1193 1218 21.73% 30.81% 47.46%-0.51 -5.0 2
1983-05-09 Lillestrom W 3-036.5 1202 1233 40.38% 31.31% 28.31%+0.13 +16.5 3
1983-05-09 @ Rosenborg L 0-336.5 1233 1202 28.31% 31.31% 40.38%-0.13 -16.5 3
1983-05-09 Start D 0-046.8 1249 1214 48.59% 30.67% 20.75%+0.58 -1.2 4
1983-05-09 @ Valerenga D 0-046.8 1214 1249 20.75% 30.67% 48.59%-0.58 +1.2 4
1983-05-12 Brann D 2-255.9 1236 1180 50.94% 30.30% 18.76%+0.72 -1.0 4
1983-05-12 @ Eik Tonsberg D 2-255.9 1180 1236 18.76% 30.30% 50.94%-0.72 +1.0 3
1983-05-12 Moss L 0-144.5 1185 1223 39.58% 31.32% 29.09%+0.09 -7.7 1
1983-05-12 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-044.5 1223 1185 29.09% 31.32% 39.58%-0.09 +7.7 7
1983-05-12 Bryne W 2-037.7 1217 1229 42.85% 31.21% 25.95%+0.25 +10.7 5
1983-05-12 @ Lillestrom L 0-237.7 1229 1217 25.95% 31.21% 42.85%-0.25 -10.7 4
1983-05-12 Valerenga L 0-240.9 1188 1248 36.54% 31.33% 32.13%-0.07 -13.6 2
1983-05-12 @ Mjondalen W 2-040.9 1248 1188 32.13% 31.33% 36.54%+0.07 +13.6 6
1983-05-12 Kongsvinger L 2-646.2 1215 1224 43.32% 31.18% 25.51%+0.28 -20.8 4
1983-05-12 @ Start W 6-246.2 1224 1215 25.51% 31.18% 43.32%-0.28 +20.8 4
1983-05-12 Rosenborg L 1-251.2 1232 1218 46.15% 30.95% 22.90%+0.43 -8.2 3
1983-05-12 @ Viking W 2-151.2 1218 1232 22.90% 30.95% 46.15%-0.43 +8.1 5
1983-05-16 Bryne D 0-046.5 1181 1219 39.52% 31.32% 29.15%+0.08 -0.4 4
1983-05-16 @ Brann D 0-046.5 1219 1181 29.15% 31.32% 39.52%-0.08 +0.4 5
1983-05-16 Mjondalen L 0-245.3 1245 1174 52.54% 29.99% 17.46%+0.82 -18.2 4
1983-05-16 @ Kongsvinger W 2-045.3 1174 1245 17.46% 29.99% 52.54%-0.82 +18.2 4
1983-05-16 Eik Tonsberg D 1-150.6 1230 1235 43.91% 31.14% 24.95%+0.31 -0.7 8
1983-05-16 @ Moss D 1-150.6 1235 1230 24.95% 31.14% 43.91%-0.31 +0.7 5
1983-05-16 Start L 2-356.5 1226 1195 48.23% 30.71% 21.06%+0.55 -8.0 5
1983-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 3-256.5 1195 1226 21.06% 30.71% 48.23%-0.55 +8.0 6
1983-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 5-031.6 1261 1177 53.88% 29.70% 16.42%+0.91 +17.4 8
1983-05-16 @ Valerenga L 0-531.6 1177 1261 16.42% 29.70% 53.88%-0.91 -17.4 1
1983-05-16 Lillestrom D 2-255.7 1224 1227 44.01% 31.13% 24.85%+0.32 -0.5 4
1983-05-16 @ Viking D 2-255.7 1227 1224 24.85% 31.13% 44.01%-0.32 +0.5 6
1983-05-23 Moss W 3-250.0 1219 1230 43.12% 31.19% 25.69%+0.27 +5.0 7
1983-05-23 @ Bryne L 2-350.0 1230 1219 25.69% 31.19% 43.12%-0.27 -5.0 8
1983-05-23 Valerenga W 2-039.1 1235 1279 38.82% 31.33% 29.85%+0.05 +11.8 7
1983-05-23 @ Eik Tonsberg L 0-239.1 1279 1235 29.85% 31.33% 38.82%-0.05 -11.8 8
1983-05-23 Kongsvinger W 2-147.3 1160 1227 35.58% 31.31% 33.11%-0.11 +6.4 3
1983-05-23 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-247.3 1227 1160 33.11% 31.31% 35.58%+0.11 -6.3 4
1983-05-23 Brann W 3-140.6 1228 1180 50.04% 30.45% 19.51%+0.66 +7.4 8
1983-05-23 @ Lillestrom L 1-340.6 1180 1228 19.51% 30.45% 50.04%-0.66 -7.4 4
1983-05-23 Rosenborg D 0-046.5 1192 1218 41.14% 31.28% 27.58%+0.17 -0.6 5
1983-05-23 @ Mjondalen D 0-046.5 1218 1192 27.58% 31.28% 41.14%-0.17 +0.6 6
1983-05-23 Viking L 1-250.0 1203 1224 41.80% 31.26% 26.94%+0.20 -7.5 6
1983-05-23 @ Start W 2-150.0 1224 1203 26.94% 31.26% 41.80%-0.20 +7.5 6
1983-05-29 Eik Tonsberg W 2-145.8 1221 1247 41.05% 31.29% 27.67%+0.16 +5.6 6
1983-05-29 @ Kongsvinger L 1-245.8 1247 1221 27.67% 31.29% 41.05%-0.16 -5.6 7
1983-05-29 Brann D 1-150.7 1225 1173 50.50% 30.38% 19.13%+0.69 -1.2 9
1983-05-29 @ Moss D 1-150.7 1173 1225 19.13% 30.38% 50.50%-0.69 +1.3 5
1983-05-29 Hamarkameratene W 4-032.5 1219 1166 50.56% 30.37% 19.08%+0.69 +16.0 8
1983-05-29 @ Rosenborg L 0-432.5 1166 1219 19.08% 30.37% 50.56%-0.69 -16.0 3
1983-05-29 Lillestrom D 1-150.5 1195 1235 39.23% 31.33% 29.44%+0.07 -0.4 7
1983-05-29 @ Start D 1-150.5 1235 1195 29.44% 31.33% 39.23%-0.07 +0.4 9
1983-05-29 Bryne W 1-038.6 1267 1224 49.48% 30.54% 19.98%+0.63 +4.6 10
1983-05-29 @ Valerenga L 0-138.6 1224 1267 19.98% 30.54% 49.48%-0.63 -4.6 7
1983-05-29 Mjondalen L 1-251.9 1231 1192 49.08% 30.60% 20.32%+0.60 -8.6 6
1983-05-29 @ Viking W 2-151.9 1192 1231 20.32% 30.60% 49.08%-0.60 +8.6 7
1983-06-05 Valerenga D 1-150.6 1174 1272 31.33% 31.13% 37.54%-0.32 +0.2 6
1983-06-05 @ Brann D 1-150.6 1272 1174 37.54% 31.13% 31.33%+0.32 -0.2 11
1983-06-05 Kongsvinger W 3-249.8 1220 1226 43.61% 31.16% 25.23%+0.30 +5.0 9
1983-06-05 @ Bryne L 2-349.8 1226 1220 25.23% 31.16% 43.61%-0.30 -5.0 6
1983-06-05 Rosenborg W 3-142.2 1242 1235 45.27% 31.03% 23.70%+0.39 +8.7 9
1983-06-05 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-342.2 1235 1242 23.70% 31.03% 45.27%-0.39 -8.7 8
1983-06-05 Viking L 2-352.6 1150 1222 34.86% 31.29% 33.85%-0.15 -6.2 3
1983-06-05 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-252.6 1222 1150 33.85% 31.29% 34.86%+0.15 +6.2 8
1983-06-05 Moss W 4-034.0 1236 1223 45.95% 30.97% 23.08%+0.42 +18.6 11
1983-06-05 @ Lillestrom L 0-434.0 1223 1236 23.08% 30.97% 45.95%-0.42 -18.6 9
1983-06-05 Start L 0-540.6 1200 1195 45.14% 31.05% 23.82%+0.38 -37.5 7
1983-06-05 @ Mjondalen W 5-040.6 1195 1200 23.82% 31.05% 45.14%-0.38 +37.5 9
1983-06-12 Brann W 5-136.7 1221 1174 49.96% 30.46% 19.58%+0.66 +13.6 8
1983-06-12 @ Kongsvinger L 1-536.7 1174 1221 19.58% 30.46% 49.96%-0.66 -13.6 6
1983-06-12 Lillestrom D 2-255.6 1163 1254 32.16% 31.18% 36.66%-0.28 +0.1 8
1983-06-12 @ Mjondalen D 2-255.6 1254 1163 36.66% 31.18% 32.16%+0.28 -0.1 12
1983-06-12 Bryne D 2-255.7 1226 1225 44.65% 31.09% 24.27%+0.35 -0.6 9
1983-06-12 @ Rosenborg D 2-255.7 1225 1226 24.27% 31.09% 44.65%-0.35 +0.6 10
1983-06-12 Hamarkameratene W 6-031.9 1232 1144 54.29% 29.60% 16.11%+0.93 +20.3 11
1983-06-12 @ Start L 0-631.9 1144 1232 16.11% 29.60% 54.29%-0.93 -20.3 3
1983-06-12 Moss W 4-244.2 1271 1205 52.07% 30.09% 17.84%+0.79 +6.2 13
1983-06-12 @ Valerenga L 2-444.2 1205 1271 17.84% 30.09% 52.07%-0.79 -6.2 9
1983-06-12 Eik Tonsberg W 3-143.3 1229 1250 41.70% 31.26% 27.04%+0.19 +9.5 10
1983-06-12 @ Viking L 1-343.3 1250 1229 27.04% 31.26% 41.70%-0.19 -9.5 9
1983-06-19 Rosenborg D 0-046.4 1161 1226 35.84% 31.32% 32.84%-0.10 -0.1 7
1983-06-19 @ Brann D 0-046.4 1226 1161 32.84% 31.32% 35.84%+0.10 +0.1 10
1983-06-19 Viking W 2-145.3 1225 1238 42.79% 31.21% 26.00%+0.25 +5.3 12
1983-06-19 @ Bryne L 1-245.3 1238 1225 26.00% 31.21% 42.79%-0.25 -5.4 10
1983-06-19 Start L 1-250.5 1241 1253 42.96% 31.20% 25.84%+0.26 -7.7 9
1983-06-19 @ Eik Tonsberg W 2-150.5 1253 1241 25.84% 31.20% 42.96%-0.26 +7.7 13
1983-06-19 Mjondalen D 1-150.3 1124 1163 39.38% 31.33% 29.30%+0.08 -0.4 4
1983-06-19 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-150.3 1163 1124 29.30% 31.33% 39.38%-0.08 +0.4 9
1983-06-19 Kongsvinger W 3-250.9 1199 1235 39.78% 31.32% 28.90%+0.10 +5.5 11
1983-06-19 @ Moss L 2-350.9 1235 1199 28.90% 31.32% 39.78%-0.10 -5.5 8
1983-06-19 Lillestrom W 3-141.8 1278 1254 47.25% 30.83% 21.91%+0.50 +8.2 15
1983-06-19 @ Valerenga L 1-341.8 1254 1278 21.91% 30.83% 47.25%-0.50 -8.1 12
1983-06-27 Valerenga L 0-339.3 1229 1286 37.05% 31.34% 31.62%-0.04 -20.0 8
1983-06-27 @ Kongsvinger W 3-039.3 1286 1229 31.62% 31.34% 37.05%+0.04 +20.0 17
1983-06-27 Hamarkameratene W 1-035.9 1246 1124 57.62% 28.69% 13.69%+1.17 +3.3 14
1983-06-27 @ Lillestrom L 0-135.9 1124 1246 13.69% 28.69% 57.62%-1.17 -3.3 4
1983-06-27 Eik Tonsberg D 0-046.5 1164 1233 35.20% 31.30% 33.49%-0.13 -0.1 10
1983-06-27 @ Mjondalen D 0-046.5 1233 1164 33.49% 31.30% 35.20%+0.13 +0.1 10
1983-06-27 Moss D 2-255.7 1226 1204 47.05% 30.86% 22.09%+0.49 -0.7 11
1983-06-27 @ Rosenborg D 2-255.7 1204 1226 22.09% 30.86% 47.05%-0.49 +0.7 12
1983-06-27 Bryne L 0-244.3 1260 1230 48.00% 30.74% 21.25%+0.54 -16.8 13
1983-06-27 @ Start W 2-044.3 1230 1260 21.25% 30.74% 48.00%-0.54 +16.9 14
1983-06-27 Brann W 2-034.7 1233 1161 52.68% 29.96% 17.35%+0.83 +7.8 12
1983-06-27 @ Viking L 0-234.7 1161 1233 17.35% 29.96% 52.68%-0.83 -7.8 7
1983-07-31 Eik Tonsberg L 0-535.7 1120 1233 29.33% 30.97% 39.70%-0.42 -27.2 4
1983-07-31 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-035.7 1233 1120 39.70% 30.97% 29.33%+0.42 +27.2 12
1983-07-31 Brann W 1-036.8 1243 1153 54.55% 29.54% 15.91%+0.95 +3.8 15
1983-07-31 @ Start L 0-136.8 1153 1243 15.91% 29.54% 54.55%-0.95 -3.8 7
1983-08-01 Kongsvinger D 1-150.8 1249 1209 49.18% 30.58% 20.24%+0.61 -1.2 15
1983-08-01 @ Lillestrom D 1-150.8 1209 1249 20.24% 30.58% 49.18%-0.61 +1.1 9
1983-08-01 Bryne L 0-337.8 1163 1247 33.19% 31.23% 35.58%-0.23 -18.5 10
1983-08-01 @ Mjondalen W 3-037.8 1247 1163 35.58% 31.23% 33.19%+0.23 +18.5 16
1983-08-01 Valerenga L 2-352.6 1225 1306 33.64% 31.25% 35.10%-0.20 -6.1 11
1983-08-01 @ Rosenborg W 3-252.6 1306 1225 35.10% 31.25% 33.64%+0.20 +6.1 19
1983-08-01 Moss W 2-143.5 1241 1205 48.70% 30.65% 20.65%+0.58 +4.5 14
1983-08-01 @ Viking L 1-243.5 1205 1241 20.65% 30.65% 48.70%-0.58 -4.5 12
1983-08-03 Mjondalen W 1-039.6 1149 1145 44.93% 31.06% 24.01%+0.37 +5.3 9
1983-08-03 @ Brann L 0-139.6 1145 1149 24.01% 31.06% 44.93%-0.37 -5.4 10
1983-08-03 Hamarkameratene D 1-151.6 1266 1093 62.04% 27.08% 10.87%+1.51 -2.2 17
1983-08-03 @ Bryne D 1-151.6 1093 1266 10.87% 27.08% 62.04%-1.51 +2.2 5
1983-08-03 Lillestrom L 0-341.8 1260 1248 45.91% 30.98% 23.12%+0.42 -23.6 12
1983-08-03 @ Eik Tonsberg W 3-041.8 1248 1260 23.12% 30.98% 45.91%-0.42 +23.6 17
1983-08-03 Rosenborg W 4-246.6 1211 1219 43.39% 31.17% 25.44%+0.28 +8.2 11
1983-08-03 @ Kongsvinger L 2-446.6 1219 1211 25.44% 31.17% 43.39%-0.28 -8.2 11
1983-08-03 Start W 2-146.6 1200 1247 38.35% 31.34% 30.31%+0.02 +6.0 14
1983-08-03 @ Moss L 1-246.6 1247 1200 30.31% 31.34% 38.35%-0.02 -6.0 15
1983-08-03 Viking W 1-038.1 1312 1245 52.08% 30.09% 17.83%+0.79 +4.2 21
1983-08-03 @ Valerenga L 0-138.1 1245 1312 17.83% 30.09% 52.08%-0.79 -4.2 14
1983-08-07 Bryne W 3-036.4 1237 1264 41.01% 31.29% 27.70%+0.16 +16.3 14
1983-08-07 @ Eik Tonsberg L 0-336.4 1264 1237 27.70% 31.29% 41.01%-0.16 -16.3 17
1983-08-07 Brann W 2-039.3 1095 1154 36.67% 31.33% 32.00%-0.06 +12.4 7
1983-08-07 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-239.3 1154 1095 32.00% 31.33% 36.67%+0.06 -12.4 9
1983-08-07 Rosenborg W 3-140.3 1272 1211 51.50% 30.20% 18.31%+0.75 +7.1 19
1983-08-07 @ Lillestrom L 1-340.3 1211 1272 18.31% 30.20% 51.50%-0.75 -7.1 11
1983-08-07 Moss D 0-046.4 1140 1206 35.60% 31.31% 33.09%-0.11 -0.1 11
1983-08-07 @ Mjondalen D 0-046.4 1206 1140 33.09% 31.31% 35.60%+0.11 +0.1 15
1983-08-07 Valerenga D 2-256.0 1241 1316 34.47% 31.28% 34.25%-0.16 -0.0 16
1983-08-07 @ Start D 2-256.0 1316 1241 34.25% 31.28% 34.47%+0.16 +0.0 22
1983-08-08 Kongsvinger L 2-356.3 1241 1219 47.12% 30.85% 22.03%+0.49 -7.9 14
1983-08-08 @ Viking W 3-256.3 1219 1241 22.03% 30.85% 47.12%-0.49 +7.9 13
1983-08-14 Eik Tonsberg D 0-046.6 1142 1253 29.56% 30.99% 39.45%-0.41 +0.4 10
1983-08-14 @ Brann D 0-046.6 1253 1142 39.45% 30.99% 29.56%+0.41 -0.4 15
1983-08-14 Lillestrom L 1-249.8 1247 1279 40.38% 31.31% 28.31%+0.13 -7.3 17
1983-08-14 @ Bryne W 2-149.8 1279 1247 28.31% 31.31% 40.38%-0.13 +7.3 21
1983-08-14 Start W 2-145.4 1227 1241 42.60% 31.22% 26.18%+0.24 +5.4 15
1983-08-14 @ Kongsvinger L 1-245.4 1241 1227 26.18% 31.22% 42.60%-0.24 -5.4 16
1983-08-14 Hamarkameratene D 0-047.0 1206 1108 55.36% 29.33% 15.30%+1.01 -1.8 16
1983-08-14 @ Moss D 0-047.0 1108 1206 15.30% 29.33% 55.36%-1.01 +1.8 8
1983-08-14 Viking D 1-150.5 1204 1233 40.69% 31.30% 28.01%+0.14 -0.5 12
1983-08-14 @ Rosenborg D 1-150.5 1233 1204 28.01% 31.30% 40.69%-0.14 +0.5 15
1983-08-14 Mjondalen W 1-034.6 1316 1140 62.35% 26.96% 10.69%+1.53 +2.6 24
1983-08-14 @ Valerenga L 0-134.6 1140 1316 10.69% 26.96% 62.35%-1.53 -2.6 11
1983-08-21 Brann L 0-245.8 1240 1142 55.25% 29.36% 15.38%+1.00 -19.0 17
1983-08-21 @ Bryne W 2-045.8 1142 1240 15.38% 29.36% 55.25%-1.00 +19.0 12
1983-08-21 Moss L 0-342.8 1253 1205 50.07% 30.45% 19.49%+0.66 -25.4 15
1983-08-21 @ Eik Tonsberg W 3-042.8 1205 1253 19.49% 30.45% 50.07%-0.66 +25.4 18
1983-08-21 Valerenga L 1-340.1 1109 1319 19.08% 29.08% 51.84%-1.07 -7.1 8
1983-08-21 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-140.1 1319 1109 51.84% 29.08% 19.08%+1.07 +7.1 26
1983-08-21 Viking D 1-151.0 1286 1234 50.59% 30.36% 19.05%+0.70 -1.3 22
1983-08-21 @ Lillestrom D 1-151.0 1234 1286 19.05% 30.36% 50.59%-0.70 +1.3 16
1983-08-21 Kongsvinger D 0-046.5 1137 1232 31.66% 31.15% 37.19%-0.30 +0.2 12
1983-08-21 @ Mjondalen D 0-046.5 1232 1137 37.19% 31.15% 31.66%+0.30 -0.2 16
1983-08-21 Rosenborg D 1-150.7 1236 1203 48.33% 30.70% 20.97%+0.56 -1.1 17
1983-08-21 @ Start D 1-150.7 1203 1236 20.97% 30.70% 48.33%-0.56 +1.1 13
1983-08-28 Hamarkameratene L 0-344.4 1232 1102 58.26% 28.48% 13.26%+1.21 -28.9 16
1983-08-28 @ Kongsvinger W 3-044.4 1102 1232 13.26% 28.48% 58.26%-1.21 +28.9 10
1983-08-28 Bryne D 2-255.7 1230 1221 45.55% 31.01% 23.44%+0.40 -0.6 19
1983-08-28 @ Moss D 2-255.7 1221 1230 23.44% 31.01% 45.55%-0.40 +0.6 18
1983-08-28 Start D 1-150.6 1235 1235 44.44% 31.10% 24.46%+0.34 -0.8 17
1983-08-28 @ Viking D 1-150.6 1235 1235 24.46% 31.10% 44.44%-0.34 +0.8 18
1983-08-29 Lillestrom W 4-039.4 1161 1285 27.98% 30.84% 41.18%-0.50 +28.1 14
1983-08-29 @ Brann L 0-439.4 1285 1161 41.18% 30.84% 27.98%+0.50 -28.1 22
1983-08-29 Mjondalen L 1-252.6 1204 1137 52.15% 30.07% 17.78%+0.79 -9.0 13
1983-08-29 @ Rosenborg W 2-152.6 1137 1204 17.78% 30.07% 52.15%-0.79 +9.1 14
1983-08-29 Eik Tonsberg W 3-032.4 1326 1227 55.33% 29.34% 15.33%+1.01 +10.2 28
1983-08-29 @ Valerenga L 0-332.4 1227 1326 15.33% 29.34% 55.33%-1.01 -10.2 15
1983-09-04 Moss L 0-241.7 1189 1229 39.28% 31.33% 29.39%+0.07 -14.4 14
1983-09-04 @ Brann W 2-041.7 1229 1189 29.39% 31.33% 39.28%-0.07 +14.4 21
1983-09-04 Valerenga D 0-047.1 1222 1336 29.15% 30.96% 39.89%-0.43 +0.4 19
1983-09-04 @ Bryne D 0-047.1 1336 1222 39.89% 30.96% 29.15%+0.43 -0.4 29
1983-09-04 Kongsvinger W 4-245.8 1217 1203 46.18% 30.95% 22.87%+0.44 +7.5 17
1983-09-04 @ Eik Tonsberg L 2-445.8 1203 1217 22.87% 30.95% 46.18%-0.44 -7.5 16
1983-09-04 Rosenborg L 0-240.6 1131 1195 35.97% 31.32% 32.71%-0.09 -13.5 10
1983-09-04 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-040.6 1195 1131 32.71% 31.32% 35.97%+0.09 +13.5 15
1983-09-04 Start L 1-446.9 1257 1236 47.03% 30.86% 22.11%+0.48 -20.3 22
1983-09-04 @ Lillestrom W 4-146.9 1236 1257 22.11% 30.86% 47.03%-0.48 +20.3 20
1983-09-04 Viking D 0-046.5 1146 1234 32.64% 31.21% 36.15%-0.25 +0.1 15
1983-09-04 @ Mjondalen D 0-046.5 1234 1146 36.15% 31.21% 32.64%+0.25 -0.1 18
1983-09-11 Bryne D 2-255.6 1195 1222 41.03% 31.29% 27.69%+0.16 -0.4 17
1983-09-11 @ Kongsvinger D 2-255.6 1222 1195 27.69% 31.29% 41.03%-0.16 +0.4 20
1983-09-11 Lillestrom D 1-150.7 1244 1237 45.31% 31.03% 23.66%+0.39 -0.8 22
1983-09-11 @ Moss D 1-150.7 1237 1244 23.66% 31.03% 45.31%-0.39 +0.8 23
1983-09-11 Eik Tonsberg L 2-548.5 1209 1225 42.44% 31.23% 26.33%+0.23 -16.2 15
1983-09-11 @ Rosenborg W 5-248.5 1225 1209 26.33% 31.23% 42.44%-0.23 +16.2 19
1983-09-11 Mjondalen W 4-030.7 1256 1146 56.40% 29.05% 14.55%+1.08 +12.7 22
1983-09-11 @ Start L 0-430.7 1146 1256 14.55% 29.05% 56.40%-1.08 -12.7 15
1983-09-11 Brann L 2-456.4 1336 1175 60.99% 27.50% 11.50%+1.42 -16.0 29
1983-09-11 @ Valerenga W 4-256.4 1175 1336 11.50% 27.50% 60.99%-1.42 +16.1 16
1983-09-11 Hamarkameratene W 4-136.1 1234 1118 57.02% 28.87% 14.11%+1.12 +7.9 20
1983-09-11 @ Viking L 1-436.1 1118 1234 14.11% 28.87% 57.02%-1.12 -8.0 10
1983-09-25 Kongsvinger W 2-037.3 1191 1195 43.96% 31.14% 24.90%+0.31 +10.4 18
1983-09-25 @ Brann L 0-237.3 1195 1191 24.90% 31.14% 43.96%-0.31 -10.4 17
1983-09-25 Rosenborg L 1-545.3 1222 1193 48.01% 30.74% 21.25%+0.54 -26.7 20
1983-09-25 @ Bryne W 5-145.3 1193 1222 21.25% 30.74% 48.01%-0.54 +26.7 17
1983-09-25 Viking W 1-040.1 1241 1242 44.31% 31.11% 24.58%+0.33 +5.5 21
1983-09-25 @ Eik Tonsberg L 0-140.1 1242 1241 24.58% 31.11% 44.31%-0.33 -5.4 20
1983-09-25 Start L 0-236.7 1110 1269 23.96% 30.26% 45.77%-0.73 -10.0 10
1983-09-25 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-036.7 1269 1110 45.77% 30.26% 23.96%+0.73 +10.0 24
1983-09-25 Mjondalen W 3-031.7 1237 1134 55.85% 29.20% 14.95%+1.04 +9.9 25
1983-09-25 @ Lillestrom L 0-331.7 1134 1237 14.95% 29.20% 55.85%-1.04 -9.9 15
1983-09-25 Valerenga W 2-148.2 1243 1319 34.22% 31.27% 34.51%-0.18 +6.5 24
1983-09-25 @ Moss L 1-248.2 1319 1243 34.51% 31.27% 34.22%+0.18 -6.5 29
1983-10-02 Moss W 6-140.1 1185 1249 35.86% 31.32% 32.82%-0.10 +24.5 19
1983-10-02 @ Kongsvinger L 1-640.1 1249 1185 32.82% 31.32% 35.86%+0.10 -24.5 24
1983-10-02 Valerenga D 0-047.0 1247 1313 35.77% 31.32% 32.91%-0.10 -0.1 26
1983-10-02 @ Lillestrom D 0-047.0 1313 1247 32.91% 31.32% 35.77%+0.10 +0.1 30
1983-10-02 Hamarkameratene W 3-141.2 1124 1100 47.31% 30.83% 21.86%+0.50 +8.1 17
1983-10-02 @ Mjondalen L 1-341.2 1100 1124 21.86% 30.83% 47.31%-0.50 -8.1 10
1983-10-02 Brann W 3-141.6 1219 1202 46.60% 30.91% 22.50%+0.46 +8.3 19
1983-10-02 @ Rosenborg L 1-341.6 1202 1219 22.50% 30.91% 46.60%-0.46 -8.3 18
1983-10-02 Eik Tonsberg W 4-033.5 1278 1246 48.29% 30.71% 21.00%+0.56 +17.3 26
1983-10-02 @ Start L 0-433.5 1246 1278 21.00% 30.71% 48.29%-0.56 -17.3 21
1983-10-02 Bryne W 1-038.5 1236 1196 49.25% 30.57% 20.18%+0.61 +4.7 22
1983-10-02 @ Viking L 0-138.5 1196 1236 20.18% 30.57% 49.25%-0.61 -4.7 20
1983-10-09 Viking W 9-239.3 1193 1241 38.20% 31.34% 30.46%+0.02 +26.1 20
1983-10-09 @ Brann L 2-939.3 1241 1193 30.46% 31.34% 38.20%-0.02 -26.1 22
1983-10-09 Start D 2-255.8 1191 1296 30.39% 31.06% 38.54%-0.37 +0.2 21
1983-10-09 @ Bryne D 2-255.8 1296 1191 38.54% 31.06% 30.39%+0.37 -0.2 27
1983-10-09 Mjondalen W 3-139.0 1229 1132 55.19% 29.38% 15.43%+1.00 +6.1 23
1983-10-09 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-339.0 1132 1229 15.43% 29.38% 55.19%-1.00 -6.1 17
1983-10-09 Lillestrom L 0-434.0 1092 1247 24.30% 30.32% 45.38%-0.71 -19.1 10
1983-10-09 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-034.0 1247 1092 45.38% 30.32% 24.30%+0.71 +19.1 28
1983-10-09 Rosenborg L 0-243.2 1225 1228 44.12% 31.13% 24.76%+0.32 -15.7 24
1983-10-09 @ Moss W 2-043.2 1228 1225 24.76% 31.13% 44.12%-0.32 +15.7 21
1983-10-09 Kongsvinger D 0-047.4 1313 1209 55.87% 29.20% 14.94%+1.04 -1.9 31
1983-10-09 @ Valerenga D 0-047.4 1209 1313 14.94% 29.20% 55.87%-1.04 +1.9 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-09-11 11.50% Brann 1175 4 @ Valerenga 1336 2
2 1983-08-28 13.26% Hamarkameratene 1102 3 @ Kongsvinger 1232 0
3 1983-08-21 15.38% Brann 1142 2 @ Bryne 1240 0
4 1983-05-16 17.46% Mjondalen 1174 2 @ Kongsvinger 1245 0
5 1983-08-29 17.78% Mjondalen 1137 2 @ Rosenborg 1204 1
6 1983-08-21 19.49% Moss 1205 3 @ Eik Tonsberg 1253 0
7 1983-05-29 20.32% Mjondalen 1192 2 @ Viking 1231 1
8 1983-05-16 21.06% Start 1195 3 @ Rosenborg 1226 2
9 1983-06-27 21.25% Bryne 1230 2 @ Start 1260 0
10 1983-09-25 21.25% Rosenborg 1193 5 @ Bryne 1222 1
11 1983-08-08 22.03% Kongsvinger 1219 3 @ Viking 1241 2
12 1983-09-04 22.11% Start 1236 4 @ Lillestrom 1257 1
13 1983-05-12 22.90% Rosenborg 1218 2 @ Viking 1232 1
14 1983-08-03 23.12% Lillestrom 1248 3 @ Eik Tonsberg 1260 0
15 1983-05-09 23.23% Eik Tonsberg 1227 1 @ Bryne 1238 0
16 1983-05-09 23.52% Viking 1224 2 @ Kongsvinger 1232 1
17 1983-04-24 23.65% Start 1199 2 @ Brann 1206 0
18 1983-06-05 23.82% Start 1195 5 @ Mjondalen 1200 0
19 1983-10-09 24.76% Rosenborg 1228 2 @ Moss 1225 0
20 1983-05-12 25.51% Kongsvinger 1224 6 @ Start 1215 2
21 1983-06-19 25.84% Start 1253 2 @ Eik Tonsberg 1241 1
22 1983-09-11 26.33% Eik Tonsberg 1225 5 @ Rosenborg 1209 2
23 1983-05-01 26.49% Bryne 1223 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1206 0
24 1983-05-23 26.94% Viking 1224 2 @ Start 1203 1
25 1983-08-29 27.98% @ Brann 1161 4 Lillestrom 1285 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-06-05 37.45 Start 5 1195 23.82% @ Mjondalen 0 1200 45.14% 31.05%
2 1983-08-28 28.94 Hamarkameratene 3 1102 13.26% @ Kongsvinger 0 1232 58.26% 28.48%
3 1983-08-29 28.12 @ Brann 4 1161 27.98% Lillestrom 0 1285 41.18% 30.84%
4 1983-07-31 27.19 Eik Tonsberg 5 1233 39.70% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1120 29.33% 30.97%
5 1983-09-25 26.65 Rosenborg 5 1193 21.25% @ Bryne 1 1222 48.01% 30.74%
6 1983-10-09 26.07 @ Brann 9 1193 38.20% Viking 2 1241 30.46% 31.34%
7 1983-08-21 25.38 Moss 3 1205 19.49% @ Eik Tonsberg 0 1253 50.07% 30.45%
8 1983-10-02 24.45 @ Kongsvinger 6 1185 35.86% Moss 1 1249 32.82% 31.32%
9 1983-08-03 23.59 Lillestrom 3 1248 23.12% @ Eik Tonsberg 0 1260 45.91% 30.98%
10 1983-05-12 20.79 Kongsvinger 6 1224 25.51% @ Start 2 1215 43.32% 31.18%
11 1983-06-12 20.30 @ Start 6 1232 54.29% Hamarkameratene 0 1144 16.11% 29.60%
12 1983-09-04 20.29 Start 4 1236 22.11% @ Lillestrom 1 1257 47.03% 30.86%
13 1983-06-27 19.96 Valerenga 3 1286 31.62% @ Kongsvinger 0 1229 37.05% 31.34%
14 1983-10-09 19.12 Lillestrom 4 1247 45.38% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1092 24.30% 30.32%
15 1983-08-21 19.03 Brann 2 1142 15.38% @ Bryne 0 1240 55.25% 29.36%
16 1983-06-05 18.59 @ Lillestrom 4 1236 45.95% Moss 0 1223 23.08% 30.97%
17 1983-08-01 18.46 Bryne 3 1247 35.58% @ Mjondalen 0 1163 33.19% 31.23%
18 1983-05-16 18.22 Mjondalen 2 1174 17.46% @ Kongsvinger 0 1245 52.54% 29.99%
19 1983-05-16 17.38 @ Valerenga 5 1261 53.88% Hamarkameratene 0 1177 16.42% 29.70%
20 1983-10-02 17.29 @ Start 4 1278 48.29% Eik Tonsberg 0 1246 21.00% 30.71%
21 1983-06-27 16.86 Bryne 2 1230 21.25% @ Start 0 1260 48.00% 30.74%
22 1983-05-09 16.54 @ Rosenborg 3 1202 40.38% Lillestrom 0 1233 28.31% 31.31%
23 1983-08-07 16.29 @ Eik Tonsberg 3 1237 41.01% Bryne 0 1264 27.70% 31.29%
24 1983-09-11 16.16 Eik Tonsberg 5 1225 26.33% @ Rosenborg 2 1209 42.44% 31.23%
25 1983-04-24 16.07 Start 2 1199 23.65% @ Brann 0 1206 45.32% 31.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-05-01 59.7 @ Rosenborg 3 1216 42.40% Kongsvinger 3 1232 26.37% 31.23%
2 1983-05-16 56.5 Start 3 1195 21.06% @ Rosenborg 2 1226 48.23% 30.71%
3 1983-09-11 56.4 Brann 4 1175 11.50% @ Valerenga 2 1336 60.99% 27.50%
4 1983-08-08 56.3 Kongsvinger 3 1219 22.03% @ Viking 2 1241 47.12% 30.85%
5 1983-08-07 56.0 @ Start 2 1241 34.47% Valerenga 2 1316 34.25% 31.28%
6 1983-05-12 55.9 @ Eik Tonsberg 2 1236 50.94% Brann 2 1180 18.76% 30.30%
7 1983-10-09 55.8 @ Bryne 2 1191 30.39% Start 2 1296 38.54% 31.06%
8 1983-04-24 55.7 @ Kongsvinger 2 1233 45.58% Lillestrom 2 1223 23.41% 31.01%
9 1983-05-01 55.7 @ Start 2 1215 44.13% Moss 2 1217 24.75% 31.12%
10 1983-05-16 55.7 @ Viking 2 1224 44.01% Lillestrom 2 1227 24.85% 31.13%
11 1983-06-12 55.7 @ Rosenborg 2 1226 44.65% Bryne 2 1225 24.27% 31.09%
12 1983-06-27 55.7 @ Rosenborg 2 1226 47.05% Moss 2 1204 22.09% 30.86%
13 1983-08-28 55.7 @ Moss 2 1230 45.55% Bryne 2 1221 23.44% 31.01%
14 1983-06-12 55.6 @ Mjondalen 2 1163 32.16% Lillestrom 2 1254 36.66% 31.18%
15 1983-09-11 55.6 @ Kongsvinger 2 1195 41.03% Bryne 2 1222 27.69% 31.29%
16 1983-06-05 52.6 Viking 3 1222 33.85% @ Hamarkameratene 2 1150 34.86% 31.29%
17 1983-08-01 52.6 Valerenga 3 1306 35.10% @ Rosenborg 2 1225 33.64% 31.25%
18 1983-08-29 52.6 Mjondalen 2 1137 17.78% @ Rosenborg 1 1204 52.15% 30.07%
19 1983-05-29 51.9 Mjondalen 2 1192 20.32% @ Viking 1 1231 49.08% 30.60%
20 1983-08-03 51.6 @ Bryne 1 1266 62.04% Hamarkameratene 1 1093 10.87% 27.08%
21 1983-05-12 51.2 Rosenborg 2 1218 22.90% @ Viking 1 1232 46.15% 30.95%
22 1983-05-09 51.0 Viking 2 1224 23.52% @ Kongsvinger 1 1232 45.46% 31.02%
23 1983-08-21 51.0 @ Lillestrom 1 1286 50.59% Viking 1 1234 19.05% 30.36%
24 1983-06-19 50.9 @ Moss 3 1199 39.78% Kongsvinger 2 1235 28.90% 31.32%
25 1983-08-01 50.8 @ Lillestrom 1 1249 49.18% Kongsvinger 1 1209 20.24% 30.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-09-11 30.7 @ Start 4 1256 56.40% Mjondalen 0 1146 14.55% 29.05%
2 1983-05-16 31.6 @ Valerenga 5 1261 53.88% Hamarkameratene 0 1177 16.42% 29.70%
3 1983-09-25 31.7 @ Lillestrom 3 1237 55.85% Mjondalen 0 1134 14.95% 29.20%
4 1983-06-12 31.9 @ Start 6 1232 54.29% Hamarkameratene 0 1144 16.11% 29.60%
5 1983-08-29 32.4 @ Valerenga 3 1326 55.33% Eik Tonsberg 0 1227 15.33% 29.34%
6 1983-05-29 32.5 @ Rosenborg 4 1219 50.56% Hamarkameratene 0 1166 19.08% 30.37%
7 1983-10-02 33.5 @ Start 4 1278 48.29% Eik Tonsberg 0 1246 21.00% 30.71%
8 1983-06-05 34.0 @ Lillestrom 4 1236 45.95% Moss 0 1223 23.08% 30.97%
9 1983-10-09 34.0 Lillestrom 4 1247 45.38% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1092 24.30% 30.32%
10 1983-05-06 34.6 @ Valerenga 3 1235 46.82% Rosenborg 0 1216 22.30% 30.88%
11 1983-08-14 34.6 @ Valerenga 1 1316 62.35% Mjondalen 0 1140 10.69% 26.96%
12 1983-06-27 34.7 @ Viking 2 1233 52.68% Brann 0 1161 17.35% 29.96%
13 1983-05-01 35.6 @ Mjondalen 3 1177 42.86% Brann 0 1190 25.93% 31.20%
14 1983-07-31 35.7 Eik Tonsberg 5 1233 39.70% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1120 29.33% 30.97%
15 1983-06-27 35.9 @ Lillestrom 1 1246 57.62% Hamarkameratene 0 1124 13.69% 28.69%
16 1983-09-11 36.1 @ Viking 4 1234 57.02% Hamarkameratene 1 1118 14.11% 28.87%
17 1983-08-07 36.4 @ Eik Tonsberg 3 1237 41.01% Bryne 0 1264 27.70% 31.29%
18 1983-05-09 36.5 @ Rosenborg 3 1202 40.38% Lillestrom 0 1233 28.31% 31.31%
19 1983-06-12 36.7 @ Kongsvinger 5 1221 49.96% Brann 1 1174 19.58% 30.46%
20 1983-09-25 36.7 Start 2 1269 45.77% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1110 23.96% 30.26%
21 1983-07-31 36.8 @ Start 1 1243 54.55% Brann 0 1153 15.91% 29.54%
22 1983-09-25 37.3 @ Brann 2 1191 43.96% Kongsvinger 0 1195 24.90% 31.14%
23 1983-05-12 37.7 @ Lillestrom 2 1217 42.85% Bryne 0 1229 25.95% 31.21%
24 1983-04-24 37.8 @ Bryne 5 1208 46.26% Mjondalen 1 1193 22.80% 30.94%
25 1983-08-01 37.8 Bryne 3 1247 35.58% @ Mjondalen 0 1163 33.19% 31.23%