1984 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valerenga

32 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1983

Relegated

Strindheim

15 pts

Fredrikstad · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

4.61 points above expected

32 points · 27.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Strindheim

6.27 points below expected

15 points · 21.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valerenga Champion	22	13	6	3	32	40	14	+26	27.39	+4.61
2	Viking	22	9	7	6	25	33	23	+10	22.14	+2.86
3	Start	22	10	5	7	25	33	29	+4	24.50	+0.50
4	Bryne	22	7	10	5	24	37	36	+1	21.03	+2.97
5	Lillestrom	22	8	7	7	23	39	30	+9	24.39	-1.39
6	Rosenborg	22	8	7	7	23	36	37	-1	22.17	+0.83
7	Kongsvinger	22	9	5	8	23	29	32	-3	21.36	+1.64
8	Molde	22	7	7	8	21	36	41	-5	18.45	+2.55
9	Eik Tonsberg	22	8	3	11	19	30	36	-6	21.62	-2.62
10	Moss	22	4	9	9	17	26	30	-4	20.95	-3.95
11	Fredrikstad Relegated	22	5	7	10	17	23	35	-12	18.73	-1.73
12	Strindheim Relegated	22	5	5	12	15	18	37	-19	21.27	-6.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valerenga	32	27.39	+4.61
2	Bryne	24	21.03	+2.97
3	Viking	25	22.14	+2.86
4	Molde	21	18.45	+2.55
5	Kongsvinger	23	21.36	+1.64

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Strindheim	15	21.27	-6.27
2	Moss	17	20.95	-3.95
3	Eik Tonsberg	19	21.62	-2.62
4	Fredrikstad	17	18.73	-1.73
5	Lillestrom	23	24.39	-1.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Start	6	Jul 1 – Aug 26	1 in 168
2	Viking	4	Aug 26 – Sep 16	1 in 65
3	Kongsvinger	4	Jul 1 – Aug 15	1 in 53
4	Bryne	3	May 13 – May 20	1 in 34
5	Valerenga	4	Apr 29 – May 16	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Strindheim	8	Aug 12 – Sep 30	1 in 3,278
2	Lillestrom	4	Aug 15 – Sep 2	1 in 106
3	Eik Tonsberg	4	Jun 3 – Jun 24	1 in 96
4	Start	3	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 38
5	Moss	3	Jul 1 – Aug 12	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bryne	9	May 13 – Jul 1	1 in 58
2	Valerenga	14	May 28 – Sep 16	1 in 33
3	Fredrikstad	5	Sep 2 – Oct 7	1 in 18
4	Rosenborg	7	Apr 29 – Jun 3	1 in 16
5	Start	8	Jul 1 – Sep 9	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Strindheim	10	Aug 12 – Oct 14	1 in 46
2	Rosenborg	8	May 28 – Aug 12	1 in 41
3	Fredrikstad	11	May 16 – Aug 15	1 in 27
4	Lillestrom	6	Aug 12 – Sep 9	1 in 22
5	Start	6	May 20 – Jun 25	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Valerenga	1347	32	-13	5	6.4	-1.4
Viking	1242	25	+12	8	5.0	+3.0
Start	1268	25	-3	4	5.3	-1.3
Bryne	1207	24	-3	5	5.0	-0.0
Lillestrom	1252	23	-3	5	5.8	-0.8
Rosenborg	1225	23	-2	4	4.9	-0.9
Kongsvinger	1209	23	-8	4	4.6	-0.6
Molde	1176	21	+9	6	4.6	+1.4
Eik Tonsberg	1205	19	+10	6	5.1	+0.9
Fredrikstad	1162	17	+8	6	4.3	+1.7
Moss	1200	17	+10	5	4.5	+0.5
Strindheim	1165	15	-16	2	4.5	-2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRY	ET	FRE	KON	LIL	MOL	MOS	ROS	STA	STR	VAL	VIK
Bryne	—	2-0-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.45	0-2-0 2.28	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 1.89	0-1-1 2.62
Eik Tonsberg	0-0-2 2.65	—	0-1-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.19	2-0-0 2.61
Fredrikstad	0-1-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.27	—	1-1-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 1.76	1-1-0 2.32
Kongsvinger	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 3.06	—	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.30	2-0-0 2.48	1-1-0 1.81	1-0-1 2.68
Lillestrom	1-1-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.09	—	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 3.09
Molde	1-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 2.30	2-0-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.01	—	1-1-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.05	0-2-0 2.46	0-0-2 1.74	1-0-1 2.33
Moss	0-1-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.75	0-1-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.25	0-1-1 2.98	—	2-0-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 1.81	1-1-0 2.55
Rosenborg	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 3.09	0-0-2 3.02	—	1-1-0 2.40	2-0-0 2.74	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 2.81
Start	0-2-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.07	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.19	0-1-1 2.98	—	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 3.03
Strindheim	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.90	1-1-0 2.15	0-2-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.64	0-0-2 2.41	—	0-0-2 1.82	0-1-1 2.53
Valerenga	0-1-1 3.52	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.64	0-1-1 3.59	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.68	0-2-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.58	—	0-1-1 3.56
Viking	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 2.35	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 1.84	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.67	+5.6
Allowed	0.51	-4.5
Differential	0.87	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	7.20%	5.30%	4.17%	1.14%	0.38%	24.24%
1	7.20%	12.88%	9.09%	3.03%	0.38%	1.14%	33.71%
2	5.30%	9.09%	9.85%	0.76%	1.14%	0.38%	26.52%
3	4.17%	3.03%	0.76%	—	0.38%	0.38%	8.71%
4	1.14%	0.38%	1.14%	0.38%	0.76%	0.38%	4.17%
5+	0.38%	1.14%	0.38%	0.38%	0.38%	—	2.65%
Total	24.24%	33.71%	26.52%	8.71%	4.17%	2.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.44	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.79
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	45.45%	27.27%	—	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.64	+0.05
SD	1.13	1.40	1.17
CV	0.67	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	27.27%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.64	-0.27
SD	1.00	1.14	1.58
CV	0.73	0.69	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	22.73%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	59.09%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.59	-0.55
SD	0.90	0.85	1.26
CV	0.86	0.54	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	1	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	50.00%	18.18%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.45	-0.14
SD	0.89	1.34	1.64
CV	0.68	0.92	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	40.91%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.36	+0.41
SD	1.63	0.95	2.04
CV	0.92	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.86	-0.23
SD	1.40	1.49	1.90
CV	0.85	0.80	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	22.73%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.36	-0.18
SD	1.05	1.22	1.59
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	22.73%	—	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.68	-0.05
SD	1.33	1.96	2.50
CV	0.81	1.17	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	22.73%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.32	+0.18
SD	1.14	1.17	1.56
CV	0.76	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	50.00%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	27.27%	31.82%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.68	-0.86
SD	1.10	1.21	1.61
CV	1.34	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	68.18%	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	0.64	+1.18
SD	1.40	1.00	1.84
CV	0.77	1.57	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	54.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.05	+0.45
SD	1.74	0.79	1.97
CV	1.16	0.75	—
Max	8	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valerenga	1347	32	27.39	+4.61	93.0%	20	21	25	28	30	33	35
Start	1268	25	24.50	+0.50	59.0%	16	18	21	25	27	30	33
Lillestrom	1252	23	24.39	-1.39	46.0%	16	18	22	24	27	31	32
Viking	1242	25	22.14	+2.86	84.0%	14	15	20	22	25	27	33
Rosenborg	1225	23	22.17	+0.83	63.0%	14	16	20	22	24	27	34
Kongsvinger	1209	23	21.36	+1.64	77.0%	12	16	19	21	23	26	33
Bryne	1207	24	21.03	+2.97	90.0%	12	14	19	21	23	28	31
Eik Tonsberg	1205	19	21.62	-2.62	28.0%	13	16	19	21	24	27	30
Moss	1200	17	20.95	-3.95	19.0%	11	15	18	21	24	26	32
Molde	1176	21	18.45	+2.55	82.0%	10	12	16	18	21	25	30
Strindheim	1165	15	21.27	-6.27	4.0%	14	16	18	21	24	27	34
Fredrikstad	1162	17	18.73	-1.73	37.0%	9	12	16	18	22	25	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.88%

No Edge

41.67%29.55%28.79%

Elo Value

Home Edge

157 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

045.00400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.38 goals

Neutral

-2+0.29+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.6

Top-Heavy

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

48%

Valerenga, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.32/gm

Runaway

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.13 * Close: 2.13 to 3.2 * Off: 3.2 to 4.26 * Way Off: 4.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.17 * A Surprise: 1.17 to 1.87 * Several Surprises: 1.87 to 2.57 * Many Surprises: 2.57 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.10 points

Some Luck

03.699

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Pinpoint

02.666

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Valerenga

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Strindheim

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.11

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 51.43

1.17

Coin-Flip Parity

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

74%

Even

50%74%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Very Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.65

Hard to Predict

00.642

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Very Even

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.70

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.34

Some Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.52

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.84

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.041

Well Within Noise

00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Valerenga	48.00%	24.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Viking	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Start	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Bryne	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	13.00%
Lillestrom	14.00%	19.00%	18.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Rosenborg	4.00%	4.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Kongsvinger	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	5.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Molde	1.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	18.00%	20.00%	23.00%
Eik Tonsberg	2.00%	4.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	11.00%	14.00%	5.00%
Moss	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	17.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%
Fredrikstad	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	17.00%	17.00%	23.00%
Strindheim	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Valerenga	100%	—	—
Lillestrom	91.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Start	92.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Viking	85.00%	6.00%	9.00%
Rosenborg	84.00%	5.00%	11.00%
Kongsvinger	81.00%	5.00%	14.00%
Bryne	76.00%	7.00%	17.00%
Eik Tonsberg	70.00%	11.00%	19.00%
Strindheim	65.00%	15.00%	20.00%
Moss	74.00%	5.00%	21.00%
Fredrikstad	43.00%	17.00%	40.00%
Molde	39.00%	18.00%	43.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1984-04-29	Valerenga	L 0-1	42.9	1223	1270	37.16%	31.34%	31.50%	-0.02	-5.5	0
1984-04-29	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 1-0	42.9	1270	1223	31.50%	31.34%	37.16%	+0.02	+5.5	2
1984-04-29	Rosenborg	L 0-2	39.9	1199	1229	39.56%	31.32%	29.12%	+0.10	-10.9	0
1984-04-29	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	39.9	1229	1199	29.12%	31.32%	39.56%	-0.10	+10.9	2
1984-04-29	Moss	D 2-2	56.3	1242	1206	47.80%	30.69%	21.52%	+0.51	-0.6	1
1984-04-29	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	56.3	1206	1242	21.52%	30.69%	47.80%	-0.51	+0.6	1
1984-04-29	Start	L 0-3	35.2	1169	1262	30.88%	31.11%	38.01%	-0.30	-13.2	0
1984-04-29	@ Molde	W 3-0	35.2	1262	1169	38.01%	31.11%	30.88%	+0.30	+13.2	2
1984-04-29	Bryne	D 1-1	50.9	1243	1195	49.17%	30.48%	20.34%	+0.59	-0.9	1
1984-04-29	@ Strindheim	D 1-1	50.9	1195	1243	20.34%	30.48%	49.17%	-0.59	+0.9	1
1984-04-29	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	39.0	1210	1208	43.74%	31.11%	25.15%	+0.30	+4.2	2
1984-04-29	@ Viking	L 0-1	39.0	1208	1210	25.15%	31.11%	43.74%	-0.30	-4.2	0
1984-05-06	Lillestrom	L 2-5	45.2	1196	1241	37.51%	31.34%	31.15%	+0.00	-11.1	1
1984-05-06	@ Bryne	W 5-2	45.2	1241	1196	31.15%	31.34%	37.51%	+0.00	+11.1	3
1984-05-06	Strindheim	W 3-0	35.2	1204	1242	38.42%	31.33%	30.25%	+0.04	+13.1	2
1984-05-06	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-3	35.2	1242	1204	30.25%	31.33%	38.42%	-0.04	-13.1	1
1984-05-06	Molde	D 2-2	56.3	1207	1156	49.56%	30.42%	20.02%	+0.61	-0.7	2
1984-05-06	@ Moss	D 2-2	56.3	1156	1207	20.02%	30.42%	49.56%	-0.61	+0.7	1
1984-05-06	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	51.7	1275	1218	50.34%	30.29%	19.38%	+0.65	-6.6	2
1984-05-06	@ Start	W 2-1	51.7	1218	1275	19.38%	30.29%	50.34%	-0.65	+6.6	2
1984-05-07	Viking	D 0-0	46.5	1240	1214	46.57%	30.84%	22.59%	+0.45	-0.8	3
1984-05-07	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	46.5	1214	1240	22.59%	30.84%	46.57%	-0.45	+0.8	3
1984-05-07	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	32.7	1276	1188	53.57%	29.61%	16.82%	+0.85	+5.7	4
1984-05-07	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	32.7	1188	1276	16.82%	29.61%	53.57%	-0.85	-5.7	0
1984-05-13	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	36.8	1185	1217	39.31%	31.32%	29.37%	+0.08	+8.8	3
1984-05-13	@ Bryne	L 0-2	36.8	1217	1185	29.37%	31.32%	39.31%	-0.08	-8.8	2
1984-05-13	Rosenborg	D 1-1	50.7	1224	1239	41.56%	31.25%	27.20%	+0.19	-0.4	3
1984-05-13	@ Eik Tonsberg	D 1-1	50.7	1239	1224	27.20%	31.25%	41.56%	-0.19	+0.4	4
1984-05-13	Viking	W 2-1	45.5	1182	1215	39.15%	31.32%	29.53%	+0.08	+4.4	2
1984-05-13	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	45.5	1215	1182	29.53%	31.32%	39.15%	-0.08	-4.4	3
1984-05-13	Start	W 4-0	34.2	1252	1269	41.35%	31.26%	27.40%	+0.18	+15.9	5
1984-05-13	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	34.2	1269	1252	27.40%	31.26%	41.35%	-0.18	-15.9	2
1984-05-13	Valerenga	L 0-1	39.4	1157	1282	26.86%	30.70%	42.45%	-0.51	-4.4	1
1984-05-13	@ Molde	W 1-0	39.4	1282	1157	42.45%	30.70%	26.86%	+0.51	+4.3	6
1984-05-13	Moss	W 1-0	38.3	1229	1206	46.28%	30.87%	22.84%	+0.43	+3.9	3
1984-05-13	@ Strindheim	L 0-1	38.3	1206	1229	22.84%	30.87%	46.28%	-0.43	-3.9	2
1984-05-16	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	50.7	1208	1187	46.10%	30.90%	23.01%	+0.42	-0.7	3
1984-05-16	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	50.7	1187	1208	23.01%	30.90%	46.10%	-0.42	+0.7	3
1984-05-16	Bryne	L 1-2	50.0	1202	1194	44.49%	31.05%	24.46%	+0.34	-6.0	2
1984-05-16	@ Moss	W 2-1	50.0	1194	1202	24.46%	31.05%	44.49%	-0.34	+6.0	5
1984-05-16	Molde	W 3-1	38.0	1239	1152	53.48%	29.63%	16.89%	+0.84	+5.0	6
1984-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	38.0	1152	1239	16.89%	29.63%	53.48%	-0.84	-5.0	1
1984-05-16	Strindheim	W 2-0	35.0	1253	1233	45.92%	30.91%	23.16%	+0.41	+7.4	4
1984-05-16	@ Start	L 0-2	35.0	1233	1253	23.16%	30.91%	45.92%	-0.41	-7.4	3
1984-05-16	Lillestrom	W 3-0	33.4	1286	1268	45.66%	30.94%	23.40%	+0.40	+10.8	8
1984-05-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	33.4	1268	1286	23.40%	30.94%	45.66%	-0.40	-10.8	5
1984-05-16	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	49.3	1211	1224	41.79%	31.23%	26.97%	+0.20	-5.7	3
1984-05-16	@ Viking	W 2-1	49.3	1224	1211	26.97%	31.23%	41.79%	-0.20	+5.7	5
1984-05-20	Valerenga	W 3-1	45.2	1200	1297	30.36%	31.07%	38.57%	-0.33	+9.2	7
1984-05-20	@ Bryne	L 1-3	45.2	1297	1200	38.57%	31.07%	30.36%	+0.33	-9.2	8
1984-05-20	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	38.3	1229	1207	46.18%	30.89%	22.94%	+0.43	+3.9	7
1984-05-20	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-1	38.3	1207	1229	22.94%	30.89%	46.18%	-0.43	-3.9	3
1984-05-20	Viking	D 1-1	51.0	1257	1205	49.72%	30.39%	19.88%	+0.62	-0.9	6
1984-05-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	51.0	1205	1257	19.88%	30.39%	49.72%	-0.62	+0.9	4
1984-05-20	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	35.1	1147	1187	38.17%	31.34%	30.50%	+0.03	+13.2	3
1984-05-20	@ Molde	L 0-3	35.1	1187	1147	30.50%	31.34%	38.17%	-0.03	-13.2	3
1984-05-20	Start	D 0-0	46.4	1196	1260	34.87%	31.30%	33.83%	-0.12	-0.0	3
1984-05-20	@ Moss	D 0-0	46.4	1260	1196	33.83%	31.30%	34.87%	+0.12	+0.0	5
1984-05-21	Rosenborg	L 0-2	40.4	1226	1244	41.04%	31.27%	27.70%	+0.17	-11.2	3
1984-05-21	@ Strindheim	W 2-0	40.4	1244	1226	27.70%	31.27%	41.04%	-0.17	+11.2	8
1984-05-27	Eik Tonsberg	D 2-2	56.0	1174	1233	35.55%	31.32%	33.13%	-0.09	-0.0	4
1984-05-27	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	56.0	1233	1174	33.13%	31.32%	35.55%	+0.09	+0.0	8
1984-05-27	Moss	W 1-0	38.8	1204	1196	44.36%	31.06%	24.57%	+0.33	+4.1	5
1984-05-27	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	38.8	1196	1204	24.57%	31.06%	44.36%	-0.33	-4.1	3
1984-05-27	Bryne	D 2-2	56.5	1260	1209	49.57%	30.42%	20.01%	+0.61	-0.7	6
1984-05-27	@ Start	D 2-2	56.5	1209	1260	20.01%	30.42%	49.57%	-0.61	+0.7	8
1984-05-28	Lillestrom	D 2-2	56.4	1255	1257	43.31%	31.14%	25.55%	+0.28	-0.4	9
1984-05-28	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	56.4	1257	1255	25.55%	31.14%	43.31%	-0.28	+0.4	7
1984-05-28	Strindheim	W 3-0	31.2	1288	1214	52.03%	29.96%	18.01%	+0.75	+8.8	10
1984-05-28	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	31.2	1214	1288	18.01%	29.96%	52.03%	-0.75	-8.8	3
1984-06-03	Rosenborg	D 1-1	50.7	1210	1255	37.48%	31.34%	31.18%	+0.00	-0.2	9
1984-06-03	@ Bryne	D 1-1	50.7	1255	1210	31.18%	31.34%	37.48%	+0.00	+0.2	10
1984-06-03	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	36.3	1257	1174	53.03%	29.74%	17.24%	+0.81	+3.1	9
1984-06-03	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	36.3	1174	1257	17.24%	29.74%	53.03%	-0.81	-3.1	4
1984-06-03	Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	47.2	1160	1233	33.60%	31.26%	35.14%	-0.18	+5.0	5
1984-06-03	@ Molde	L 1-2	47.2	1233	1160	35.14%	31.26%	33.60%	+0.18	-5.0	8
1984-06-03	Valerenga	D 0-0	46.6	1192	1296	29.41%	30.98%	39.60%	-0.38	+0.3	4
1984-06-03	@ Moss	D 0-0	46.6	1296	1192	39.60%	30.98%	29.41%	+0.38	-0.3	11
1984-06-03	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	51.5	1260	1208	49.68%	30.40%	19.92%	+0.62	-6.5	6
1984-06-03	@ Start	W 2-1	51.5	1208	1260	19.92%	30.40%	49.68%	-0.62	+6.5	7
1984-06-04	Viking	D 0-0	46.4	1206	1206	43.39%	31.14%	25.47%	+0.28	-0.6	4
1984-06-04	@ Strindheim	D 0-0	46.4	1206	1206	25.47%	31.14%	43.39%	-0.28	+0.6	5
1984-06-11	Lillestrom	L 0-1	43.5	1228	1260	39.31%	31.32%	29.37%	+0.08	-5.8	8
1984-06-11	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 1-0	43.5	1260	1228	29.37%	31.32%	39.31%	-0.08	+5.8	11
1984-06-11	Strindheim	L 0-1	43.2	1171	1205	39.02%	31.33%	29.65%	+0.07	-5.7	4
1984-06-11	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	43.2	1205	1171	29.65%	31.33%	39.02%	-0.07	+5.7	6
1984-06-11	Molde	D 1-1	50.8	1214	1165	49.31%	30.46%	20.23%	+0.60	-0.9	8
1984-06-11	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	50.8	1165	1214	20.23%	30.46%	49.31%	-0.60	+0.9	6
1984-06-11	Moss	L 0-2	43.0	1255	1193	50.88%	30.19%	18.93%	+0.68	-13.3	10
1984-06-11	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	43.0	1193	1255	18.93%	30.19%	50.88%	-0.68	+13.3	6
1984-06-11	Start	D 0-0	46.9	1296	1253	48.67%	30.56%	20.77%	+0.56	-0.9	12
1984-06-11	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	46.9	1253	1296	20.77%	30.56%	48.67%	-0.56	+0.9	7
1984-06-11	Bryne	D 1-1	50.6	1207	1210	43.05%	31.16%	25.79%	+0.27	-0.5	6
1984-06-11	@ Viking	D 1-1	50.6	1210	1207	25.79%	31.16%	43.05%	-0.27	+0.5	10
1984-06-17	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	37.4	1210	1165	48.86%	30.53%	20.60%	+0.57	+3.6	12
1984-06-17	@ Bryne	L 0-1	37.4	1165	1210	20.60%	30.53%	48.86%	-0.57	-3.6	4
1984-06-17	Molde	W 5-1	33.9	1266	1166	54.75%	29.31%	15.94%	+0.92	+8.6	13
1984-06-17	@ Lillestrom	L 1-5	33.9	1166	1266	15.94%	29.31%	54.75%	-0.92	-8.6	6
1984-06-17	Viking	D 1-1	50.6	1206	1206	43.42%	31.14%	25.44%	+0.28	-0.5	7
1984-06-17	@ Moss	D 1-1	50.6	1206	1206	25.44%	31.14%	43.42%	-0.28	+0.5	7
1984-06-17	Rosenborg	D 1-1	50.9	1254	1242	44.97%	31.01%	24.02%	+0.36	-0.6	8
1984-06-17	@ Start	D 1-1	50.9	1242	1254	24.02%	31.01%	44.97%	-0.36	+0.6	11
1984-06-18	Eik Tonsberg	W 3-1	41.6	1211	1223	41.92%	31.23%	26.85%	+0.21	+7.2	8
1984-06-18	@ Strindheim	L 1-3	41.6	1223	1211	26.85%	31.23%	41.92%	-0.21	-7.2	8
1984-06-18	Kongsvinger	D 2-2	56.8	1295	1213	52.94%	29.76%	17.30%	+0.81	-0.8	13
1984-06-18	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	56.8	1213	1295	17.30%	29.76%	52.94%	-0.81	+0.8	9
1984-06-24	Bryne	L 1-2	49.8	1215	1214	43.66%	31.12%	25.22%	+0.30	-5.9	8
1984-06-24	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	49.8	1214	1215	25.22%	31.12%	43.66%	-0.30	+5.9	14
1984-06-24	Kongsvinger	W 5-1	35.3	1274	1214	50.61%	30.24%	19.15%	+0.67	+10.1	15
1984-06-24	@ Lillestrom	L 1-5	35.3	1214	1274	19.15%	30.24%	50.61%	-0.67	-10.1	9
1984-06-24	Strindheim	D 4-4	61.9	1158	1218	35.40%	31.32%	33.29%	-0.10	-0.0	7
1984-06-24	@ Molde	D 4-4	61.9	1218	1158	33.29%	31.32%	35.40%	+0.10	+0.0	9
1984-06-25	Moss	D 2-2	56.0	1162	1205	37.71%	31.34%	30.95%	+0.01	-0.1	5
1984-06-25	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	56.0	1205	1162	30.95%	31.34%	37.71%	-0.01	+0.1	8
1984-06-25	Valerenga	L 0-5	37.7	1242	1294	36.55%	31.33%	32.12%	-0.04	-24.0	11
1984-06-25	@ Rosenborg	W 5-0	37.7	1294	1242	32.12%	31.33%	36.55%	+0.04	+24.0	15
1984-06-25	Start	W 3-1	43.0	1207	1253	37.26%	31.34%	31.41%	-0.01	+8.0	9
1984-06-25	@ Viking	L 1-3	43.0	1253	1207	31.41%	31.34%	37.26%	+0.01	-8.0	8
1984-06-28	Molde	L 0-1	46.2	1215	1158	50.24%	30.31%	19.46%	+0.65	-7.0	9
1984-06-28	@ Viking	W 1-0	46.2	1158	1215	19.46%	30.31%	50.24%	-0.65	+7.0	9
1984-07-01	Molde	D 1-1	50.8	1220	1165	50.02%	30.34%	19.64%	+0.64	-0.9	15
1984-07-01	@ Bryne	D 1-1	50.8	1165	1220	19.64%	30.34%	50.02%	-0.64	+0.9	10
1984-07-01	Rosenborg	W 2-1	44.9	1204	1218	41.60%	31.24%	27.16%	+0.19	+4.2	11
1984-07-01	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-2	44.9	1218	1204	27.16%	31.24%	41.60%	-0.19	-4.2	11
1984-07-01	Eik Tonsberg	L 3-4	57.4	1205	1210	42.93%	31.17%	25.90%	+0.26	-5.4	8
1984-07-01	@ Moss	W 4-3	57.4	1210	1205	25.90%	31.17%	42.93%	-0.26	+5.4	10
1984-07-01	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	36.2	1245	1162	53.13%	29.71%	17.16%	+0.82	+3.1	10
1984-07-01	@ Start	L 0-1	36.2	1162	1245	17.16%	29.71%	53.13%	-0.82	-3.1	5
1984-07-04	Lillestrom	W 2-1	47.2	1218	1284	34.49%	31.29%	34.22%	-0.14	+4.9	11
1984-07-04	@ Strindheim	L 1-2	47.2	1284	1218	34.22%	31.29%	34.49%	+0.14	-4.9	15
1984-07-04	Viking	D 2-2	57.1	1318	1208	55.89%	28.99%	15.12%	+0.99	-1.0	16
1984-07-04	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	57.1	1208	1318	15.12%	28.99%	55.89%	-0.99	+1.0	10
1984-07-08	Strindheim	L 0-1	44.4	1219	1223	42.95%	31.17%	25.89%	+0.26	-6.2	15
1984-07-08	@ Bryne	W 1-0	44.4	1223	1219	25.89%	31.17%	42.95%	-0.26	+6.2	13
1984-07-08	Viking	W 1-0	39.1	1208	1209	43.41%	31.14%	25.45%	+0.28	+4.2	13
1984-07-08	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	39.1	1209	1208	25.45%	31.14%	43.41%	-0.28	-4.2	10
1984-07-08	Molde	W 4-2	42.2	1248	1166	53.04%	29.73%	17.22%	+0.81	+4.5	12
1984-07-08	@ Start	L 2-4	42.2	1166	1248	17.22%	29.73%	53.04%	-0.81	-4.5	10
1984-07-18	Lillestrom	L 1-3	43.4	1200	1280	32.69%	31.22%	36.09%	-0.22	-8.2	8
1984-07-18	@ Moss	W 3-1	43.4	1280	1200	36.09%	31.22%	32.69%	+0.22	+8.2	17
1984-07-18	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	50.8	1214	1159	50.10%	30.33%	19.57%	+0.64	-0.9	12
1984-07-18	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	50.8	1159	1214	19.57%	30.33%	50.10%	-0.64	+0.9	6
1984-07-18	Eik Tonsberg	W 4-0	30.1	1317	1215	55.06%	29.23%	15.71%	+0.94	+10.2	18
1984-07-18	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	30.1	1215	1317	15.71%	29.23%	55.06%	-0.94	-10.2	10
1984-08-12	Start	L 1-2	47.9	1205	1253	37.06%	31.34%	31.60%	-0.02	-5.2	10
1984-08-12	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	47.9	1253	1205	31.60%	31.34%	37.06%	+0.02	+5.2	14
1984-08-12	Valerenga	L 0-3	32.4	1160	1328	22.18%	29.85%	47.97%	-0.78	-10.3	6
1984-08-12	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-0	32.4	1328	1160	47.97%	29.85%	22.18%	+0.78	+10.2	20
1984-08-12	Bryne	D 1-1	51.2	1288	1213	52.23%	29.92%	17.86%	+0.76	-1.0	18
1984-08-12	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	51.2	1213	1288	17.86%	29.92%	52.23%	-0.76	+1.0	16
1984-08-12	Moss	W 3-0	34.7	1161	1192	39.43%	31.32%	29.25%	+0.09	+12.8	12
1984-08-12	@ Molde	L 0-3	34.7	1192	1161	29.25%	31.32%	39.43%	-0.09	-12.8	8
1984-08-12	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	50.3	1229	1212	45.51%	30.96%	23.53%	+0.39	-6.1	13
1984-08-12	@ Strindheim	W 2-1	50.3	1212	1229	23.53%	30.96%	45.51%	-0.39	+6.1	15
1984-08-12	Rosenborg	W 8-1	37.2	1204	1213	42.30%	31.21%	26.50%	+0.23	+21.7	12
1984-08-12	@ Viking	L 1-8	37.2	1213	1204	26.50%	31.21%	42.30%	-0.23	-21.7	12
1984-08-15	Bryne	W 2-1	44.1	1219	1214	44.06%	31.09%	24.85%	+0.32	+3.9	17
1984-08-15	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-2	44.1	1214	1219	24.85%	31.09%	44.06%	-0.32	-3.9	16
1984-08-15	Strindheim	W 3-0	35.3	1179	1223	37.67%	31.34%	30.99%	+0.01	+13.3	10
1984-08-15	@ Moss	L 0-3	35.3	1223	1179	30.99%	31.34%	37.67%	-0.01	-13.3	13
1984-08-15	Eik Tonsberg	W 3-1	41.3	1192	1200	42.45%	31.20%	26.35%	+0.24	+7.1	14
1984-08-15	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	41.3	1200	1192	26.35%	31.20%	42.45%	-0.24	-7.1	10
1984-08-15	Lillestrom	W 2-1	45.8	1258	1287	39.73%	31.31%	28.96%	+0.10	+4.4	16
1984-08-15	@ Start	L 1-2	45.8	1287	1258	28.96%	31.31%	39.73%	-0.10	-4.4	18
1984-08-15	Molde	W 3-0	28.6	1338	1174	60.86%	27.28%	11.86%	+1.33	+6.0	22
1984-08-15	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	28.6	1174	1338	11.86%	27.28%	60.86%	-1.33	-6.0	12
1984-08-15	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	50.9	1226	1149	52.39%	29.88%	17.73%	+0.77	-1.1	13
1984-08-15	@ Viking	D 1-1	50.9	1149	1226	17.73%	29.88%	52.39%	-0.77	+1.1	7
1984-08-19	Moss	D 1-1	50.7	1210	1192	45.61%	30.95%	23.44%	+0.40	-0.6	17
1984-08-19	@ Bryne	D 1-1	50.7	1192	1210	23.44%	30.95%	45.61%	-0.40	+0.6	11
1984-08-19	Viking	W 2-0	36.9	1193	1225	39.21%	31.32%	29.47%	+0.08	+8.8	12
1984-08-19	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-2	36.9	1225	1193	29.47%	31.32%	39.21%	-0.08	-8.8	13
1984-08-19	Kongsvinger	W 2-1	47.1	1150	1222	33.72%	31.26%	35.02%	-0.17	+5.0	9
1984-08-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	47.1	1222	1150	35.02%	31.26%	33.72%	+0.17	-5.0	17
1984-08-19	Valerenga	L 0-2	39.5	1282	1344	35.20%	31.31%	33.48%	-0.10	-10.0	18
1984-08-19	@ Lillestrom	W 2-0	39.5	1344	1282	33.48%	31.31%	35.20%	+0.10	+10.0	24
1984-08-19	Rosenborg	D 2-2	56.0	1168	1199	39.42%	31.32%	29.26%	+0.09	-0.2	13
1984-08-19	@ Molde	D 2-2	56.0	1199	1168	29.26%	31.32%	39.42%	-0.09	+0.2	15
1984-08-19	Start	L 0-1	42.6	1210	1263	36.40%	31.33%	32.27%	-0.05	-5.4	13
1984-08-19	@ Strindheim	W 1-0	42.6	1263	1210	32.27%	31.33%	36.40%	+0.05	+5.4	18
1984-08-26	Molde	L 2-4	49.9	1155	1168	41.87%	31.23%	26.90%	+0.21	-8.8	9
1984-08-26	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-2	49.9	1168	1155	26.90%	31.23%	41.87%	-0.21	+8.8	15
1984-08-26	Eik Tonsberg	D 2-2	56.2	1217	1201	45.46%	30.96%	23.58%	+0.39	-0.5	18
1984-08-26	@ Kongsvinger	D 2-2	56.2	1201	1217	23.58%	30.96%	45.46%	-0.39	+0.5	13
1984-08-26	Moss	W 2-1	41.8	1268	1193	52.20%	29.92%	17.88%	+0.76	+3.0	20
1984-08-26	@ Start	L 1-2	41.8	1193	1268	17.88%	29.92%	52.20%	-0.76	-3.0	11
1984-08-26	Bryne	D 2-2	57.6	1354	1209	59.12%	27.94%	12.94%	+1.21	-1.1	25
1984-08-26	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	57.6	1209	1354	12.94%	27.94%	59.12%	-1.21	+1.1	18
1984-08-26	Lillestrom	W 2-1	46.7	1216	1272	35.94%	31.33%	32.73%	-0.07	+4.8	15
1984-08-26	@ Viking	L 1-2	46.7	1272	1216	32.73%	31.33%	35.94%	+0.07	-4.8	18
1984-08-27	Strindheim	W 4-0	33.5	1199	1204	42.80%	31.18%	26.02%	+0.25	+15.3	17
1984-08-27	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	33.5	1204	1199	26.02%	31.18%	42.80%	-0.25	-15.3	13
1984-09-02	Start	D 0-0	46.5	1210	1271	35.31%	31.31%	33.37%	-0.10	-0.1	19
1984-09-02	@ Bryne	D 0-0	46.5	1271	1210	33.37%	31.31%	35.31%	+0.10	+0.1	21
1984-09-02	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	51.3	1202	1147	50.05%	30.34%	19.61%	+0.64	-6.6	13
1984-09-02	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	51.3	1147	1202	19.61%	30.34%	50.05%	-0.64	+6.6	11
1984-09-02	Rosenborg	L 0-2	42.8	1268	1214	49.83%	30.38%	19.80%	+0.62	-13.1	18
1984-09-02	@ Lillestrom	W 2-0	42.8	1214	1268	19.80%	30.38%	49.83%	-0.62	+13.1	19
1984-09-02	Viking	L 1-3	44.8	1177	1221	37.59%	31.34%	31.07%	+0.00	-9.1	15
1984-09-02	@ Molde	W 3-1	44.8	1221	1177	31.07%	31.34%	37.59%	+0.00	+9.1	17
1984-09-02	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	50.6	1190	1217	39.95%	31.31%	28.74%	+0.11	-0.3	12
1984-09-02	@ Moss	D 1-1	50.6	1217	1190	28.74%	31.31%	39.95%	-0.11	+0.3	19
1984-09-03	Valerenga	L 0-2	34.8	1189	1353	22.59%	29.94%	47.47%	-0.76	-7.2	13
1984-09-03	@ Strindheim	W 2-0	34.8	1353	1189	47.47%	29.94%	22.59%	+0.76	+7.2	27
1984-09-09	Molde	W 2-1	43.2	1195	1167	46.87%	30.81%	22.32%	+0.46	+3.6	15
1984-09-09	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	43.2	1167	1195	22.32%	30.81%	46.87%	-0.46	-3.6	15
1984-09-09	Lillestrom	D 1-1	50.7	1153	1254	29.78%	31.02%	39.20%	-0.36	+0.3	12
1984-09-09	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	50.7	1254	1153	39.20%	31.02%	29.78%	+0.36	-0.3	19
1984-09-09	Start	L 2-4	48.6	1217	1271	36.29%	31.33%	32.38%	-0.06	-7.9	19
1984-09-09	@ Kongsvinger	W 4-2	48.6	1271	1217	32.38%	31.33%	36.29%	+0.06	+7.9	23
1984-09-09	Bryne	L 4-5	59.4	1227	1210	45.61%	30.95%	23.45%	+0.40	-5.6	19
1984-09-09	@ Rosenborg	W 5-4	59.4	1210	1227	23.45%	30.95%	45.61%	-0.40	+5.6	21
1984-09-09	Moss	D 0-0	48.0	1360	1190	61.40%	27.06%	11.54%	+1.37	-1.8	28
1984-09-09	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	48.0	1190	1360	11.54%	27.06%	61.40%	-1.37	+1.8	13
1984-09-09	Strindheim	W 2-0	33.8	1230	1182	49.27%	30.47%	20.26%	+0.59	+6.7	19
1984-09-09	@ Viking	L 0-2	33.8	1182	1230	20.26%	30.47%	49.27%	-0.59	-6.7	13
1984-09-16	Viking	L 1-2	49.0	1216	1237	40.75%	31.28%	27.97%	+0.15	-5.6	21
1984-09-16	@ Bryne	W 2-1	49.0	1237	1216	27.97%	31.28%	40.75%	-0.15	+5.6	21
1984-09-16	Eik Tonsberg	W 2-0	33.7	1254	1199	50.06%	30.34%	19.60%	+0.64	+6.5	21
1984-09-16	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	33.7	1199	1254	19.60%	30.34%	50.06%	-0.64	-6.5	15
1984-09-16	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	40.8	1164	1209	37.43%	31.34%	31.23%	+0.00	+4.9	17
1984-09-16	@ Molde	L 0-1	40.8	1209	1164	31.23%	31.34%	37.43%	+0.00	-4.9	19
1984-09-16	Rosenborg	W 2-0	36.8	1192	1222	39.49%	31.32%	29.19%	+0.09	+8.8	15
1984-09-16	@ Moss	L 0-2	36.8	1222	1192	29.19%	31.32%	39.49%	-0.09	-8.8	19
1984-09-16	Valerenga	L 2-3	52.5	1279	1358	32.72%	31.22%	36.06%	-0.22	-4.5	23
1984-09-16	@ Start	W 3-2	52.5	1358	1279	36.06%	31.22%	32.72%	+0.22	+4.5	30
1984-09-16	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	50.3	1175	1153	46.13%	30.89%	22.98%	+0.42	-6.2	13
1984-09-16	@ Strindheim	W 2-1	50.3	1153	1175	22.98%	30.89%	46.13%	-0.42	+6.1	14
1984-09-30	Strindheim	W 1-0	38.1	1192	1169	46.36%	30.87%	22.77%	+0.44	+3.9	17
1984-09-30	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-1	38.1	1169	1192	22.77%	30.87%	46.36%	-0.44	-3.9	13
1984-09-30	Bryne	D 2-2	56.0	1160	1210	36.72%	31.34%	31.94%	-0.04	-0.1	15
1984-09-30	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	56.0	1210	1160	31.94%	31.34%	36.72%	+0.04	+0.1	22
1984-09-30	Valerenga	W 1-0	45.7	1204	1363	23.19%	30.07%	46.74%	-0.72	+6.5	21
1984-09-30	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	45.7	1363	1204	46.74%	30.07%	23.19%	+0.72	-6.5	30
1984-09-30	Lillestrom	D 0-0	46.4	1169	1261	31.00%	31.12%	37.88%	-0.30	+0.2	18
1984-09-30	@ Molde	D 0-0	46.4	1261	1169	37.88%	31.12%	31.00%	+0.30	-0.2	22
1984-09-30	Start	W 2-1	46.9	1213	1274	35.23%	31.31%	33.46%	-0.10	+4.8	21
1984-09-30	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	46.9	1274	1213	33.46%	31.31%	35.23%	+0.10	-4.8	23
1984-09-30	Moss	L 0-3	40.4	1242	1200	48.53%	30.58%	20.89%	+0.55	-18.6	21
1984-09-30	@ Viking	W 3-0	40.4	1200	1242	20.89%	30.58%	48.53%	-0.55	+18.6	17
1984-10-07	Eik Tonsberg	W 3-2	48.8	1210	1196	45.21%	30.99%	23.81%	+0.38	+3.6	24
1984-10-07	@ Bryne	L 2-3	48.8	1196	1210	23.81%	30.99%	45.21%	-0.38	-3.6	17
1984-10-07	Lillestrom	W 3-1	43.2	1211	1261	36.88%	31.34%	31.78%	-0.03	+8.1	23
1984-10-07	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-3	43.2	1261	1211	31.78%	31.34%	36.88%	+0.03	-8.1	22
1984-10-07	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	51.5	1219	1159	50.52%	30.25%	19.22%	+0.66	-6.6	17
1984-10-07	@ Moss	W 2-1	51.5	1159	1219	19.22%	30.25%	50.52%	-0.66	+6.6	17
1984-10-07	Viking	L 1-2	51.4	1270	1224	49.00%	30.51%	20.48%	+0.58	-6.5	23
1984-10-07	@ Start	W 2-1	51.4	1224	1270	20.48%	30.51%	49.00%	-0.58	+6.5	23
1984-10-07	Molde	D 1-1	50.5	1165	1169	42.94%	31.17%	25.89%	+0.26	-0.5	14
1984-10-07	@ Strindheim	D 1-1	50.5	1169	1165	25.89%	31.17%	42.94%	-0.26	+0.5	19
1984-10-07	Rosenborg	W 1-0	35.1	1356	1218	58.51%	28.16%	13.33%	+1.16	+2.4	32
1984-10-07	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	35.1	1218	1356	13.33%	28.16%	58.51%	-1.16	-2.4	21
1984-10-14	Moss	W 3-0	34.3	1193	1212	40.91%	31.27%	27.81%	+0.16	+12.3	19
1984-10-14	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 0-3	34.3	1212	1193	27.81%	31.27%	40.91%	-0.16	-12.3	17
1984-10-14	Start	L 1-2	45.8	1166	1263	30.34%	31.06%	38.60%	-0.33	-4.5	17
1984-10-14	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	45.8	1263	1166	38.60%	31.06%	30.34%	+0.33	+4.5	25
1984-10-14	Strindheim	D 2-2	56.6	1252	1164	53.58%	29.61%	16.81%	+0.85	-0.8	23
1984-10-14	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	56.6	1164	1252	16.81%	29.61%	53.58%	-0.85	+0.8	15
1984-10-14	Bryne	W 5-3	48.7	1169	1214	37.58%	31.34%	31.08%	+0.00	+6.7	21
1984-10-14	@ Molde	L 3-5	48.7	1214	1169	31.08%	31.34%	37.58%	+0.00	-6.7	24
1984-10-14	Kongsvinger	W 4-1	38.8	1216	1219	43.00%	31.17%	25.84%	+0.26	+9.8	23
1984-10-14	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	38.8	1219	1216	25.84%	31.17%	43.00%	-0.26	-9.8	23
1984-10-14	Valerenga	W 2-0	41.3	1230	1359	26.45%	30.64%	42.91%	-0.53	+11.5	25
1984-10-14	@ Viking	L 0-2	41.3	1359	1230	42.91%	30.64%	26.45%	+0.53	-11.5	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1984-06-11	18.93%	Moss	1193	2	@ Rosenborg	1255	0
2	1984-10-07	19.22%	Fredrikstad	1159	2	@ Moss	1219	1
3	1984-05-06	19.38%	Eik Tonsberg	1218	2	@ Start	1275	1
4	1984-06-28	19.46%	Molde	1158	1	@ Viking	1215	0
5	1984-09-02	19.61%	Fredrikstad	1147	2	@ Eik Tonsberg	1202	1
6	1984-09-02	19.80%	Rosenborg	1214	2	@ Lillestrom	1268	0
7	1984-06-03	19.92%	Kongsvinger	1208	2	@ Start	1260	1
8	1984-10-07	20.48%	Viking	1224	2	@ Start	1270	1
9	1984-09-30	20.89%	Moss	1200	3	@ Viking	1242	0
10	1984-09-16	22.98%	Fredrikstad	1153	2	@ Strindheim	1175	1
11	1984-09-30	23.19%	@ Kongsvinger	1204	1	Valerenga	1363	0
12	1984-09-09	23.45%	Bryne	1210	5	@ Rosenborg	1227	4
13	1984-08-12	23.53%	Kongsvinger	1212	2	@ Strindheim	1229	1
14	1984-05-16	24.46%	Bryne	1194	2	@ Moss	1202	1
15	1984-06-24	25.22%	Bryne	1214	2	@ Eik Tonsberg	1215	1
16	1984-07-08	25.89%	Strindheim	1223	1	@ Bryne	1219	0
17	1984-07-01	25.90%	Eik Tonsberg	1210	4	@ Moss	1205	3
18	1984-10-14	26.45%	@ Viking	1230	2	Valerenga	1359	0
19	1984-08-26	26.90%	Molde	1168	4	@ Fredrikstad	1155	2
20	1984-05-16	26.97%	Eik Tonsberg	1224	2	@ Viking	1211	1
21	1984-05-21	27.70%	Rosenborg	1244	2	@ Strindheim	1226	0
22	1984-09-16	27.97%	Viking	1237	2	@ Bryne	1216	1
23	1984-04-29	29.12%	Rosenborg	1229	2	@ Fredrikstad	1199	0
24	1984-06-11	29.37%	Lillestrom	1260	1	@ Eik Tonsberg	1228	0
25	1984-06-11	29.65%	Strindheim	1205	1	@ Fredrikstad	1171	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1984-06-25	24.01	Valerenga	5	1294	32.12%	@ Rosenborg	0	1242	36.55%	31.33%
2	1984-08-12	21.67	@ Viking	8	1204	42.30%	Rosenborg	1	1213	26.50%	31.21%
3	1984-09-30	18.62	Moss	3	1200	20.89%	@ Viking	0	1242	48.53%	30.58%
4	1984-05-13	15.92	@ Lillestrom	4	1252	41.35%	Start	0	1269	27.40%	31.26%
5	1984-08-27	15.34	@ Rosenborg	4	1199	42.80%	Strindheim	0	1204	26.02%	31.18%
6	1984-06-11	13.34	Moss	2	1193	18.93%	@ Rosenborg	0	1255	50.88%	30.19%
7	1984-08-15	13.30	@ Moss	3	1179	37.67%	Strindheim	0	1223	30.99%	31.34%
8	1984-04-29	13.23	Start	3	1262	38.01%	@ Molde	0	1169	30.88%	31.11%
9	1984-05-20	13.15	@ Molde	3	1147	38.17%	Fredrikstad	0	1187	30.50%	31.34%
10	1984-09-02	13.11	Rosenborg	2	1214	19.80%	@ Lillestrom	0	1268	49.83%	30.38%
11	1984-05-06	13.08	@ Kongsvinger	3	1204	38.42%	Strindheim	0	1242	30.25%	31.33%
12	1984-08-12	12.77	@ Molde	3	1161	39.43%	Moss	0	1192	29.25%	31.32%
13	1984-10-14	12.32	@ Eik Tonsberg	3	1193	40.91%	Moss	0	1212	27.81%	31.27%
14	1984-10-14	11.54	@ Viking	2	1230	26.45%	Valerenga	0	1359	42.91%	30.64%
15	1984-05-21	11.20	Rosenborg	2	1244	27.70%	@ Strindheim	0	1226	41.04%	31.27%
16	1984-05-06	11.10	Lillestrom	5	1241	31.15%	@ Bryne	2	1196	37.51%	31.34%
17	1984-04-29	10.88	Rosenborg	2	1229	29.12%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1199	39.56%	31.32%
18	1984-05-16	10.84	@ Valerenga	3	1286	45.66%	Lillestrom	0	1268	23.40%	30.94%
19	1984-08-12	10.26	Valerenga	3	1328	47.97%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1160	22.18%	29.85%
20	1984-07-18	10.19	@ Valerenga	4	1317	55.06%	Eik Tonsberg	0	1215	15.71%	29.23%
21	1984-06-24	10.07	@ Lillestrom	5	1274	50.61%	Kongsvinger	1	1214	19.15%	30.24%
22	1984-08-19	10.00	Valerenga	2	1344	33.48%	@ Lillestrom	0	1282	35.20%	31.31%
23	1984-10-14	9.85	@ Rosenborg	4	1216	43.00%	Kongsvinger	1	1219	25.84%	31.17%
24	1984-05-20	9.23	@ Bryne	3	1200	30.36%	Valerenga	1	1297	38.57%	31.07%
25	1984-09-02	9.08	Viking	3	1221	31.07%	@ Molde	1	1177	37.59%	31.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1984-06-24	61.9	@ Molde	4	1158	35.40%	Strindheim	4	1218	33.29%	31.32%
2	1984-09-09	59.4	Bryne	5	1210	23.45%	@ Rosenborg	4	1227	45.61%	30.95%
3	1984-08-26	57.6	@ Valerenga	2	1354	59.12%	Bryne	2	1209	12.94%	27.94%
4	1984-07-01	57.4	Eik Tonsberg	4	1210	25.90%	@ Moss	3	1205	42.93%	31.17%
5	1984-07-04	57.1	@ Valerenga	2	1318	55.89%	Viking	2	1208	15.12%	28.99%
6	1984-06-18	56.8	@ Valerenga	2	1295	52.94%	Kongsvinger	2	1213	17.30%	29.76%
7	1984-10-14	56.6	@ Lillestrom	2	1252	53.58%	Strindheim	2	1164	16.81%	29.61%
8	1984-05-27	56.5	@ Start	2	1260	49.57%	Bryne	2	1209	20.01%	30.42%
9	1984-05-28	56.4	@ Rosenborg	2	1255	43.31%	Lillestrom	2	1257	25.55%	31.14%
10	1984-04-29	56.3	@ Lillestrom	2	1242	47.80%	Moss	2	1206	21.52%	30.69%
11	1984-05-06	56.3	@ Moss	2	1207	49.56%	Molde	2	1156	20.02%	30.42%
12	1984-08-26	56.2	@ Kongsvinger	2	1217	45.46%	Eik Tonsberg	2	1201	23.58%	30.96%
13	1984-05-27	56.0	@ Fredrikstad	2	1174	35.55%	Eik Tonsberg	2	1233	33.13%	31.32%
14	1984-06-25	56.0	@ Fredrikstad	2	1162	37.71%	Moss	2	1205	30.95%	31.34%
15	1984-08-19	56.0	@ Molde	2	1168	39.42%	Rosenborg	2	1199	29.26%	31.32%
16	1984-09-30	56.0	@ Fredrikstad	2	1160	36.72%	Bryne	2	1210	31.94%	31.34%
17	1984-09-16	52.5	Valerenga	3	1358	36.06%	@ Start	2	1279	32.72%	31.22%
18	1984-05-06	51.7	Eik Tonsberg	2	1218	19.38%	@ Start	1	1275	50.34%	30.29%
19	1984-06-03	51.5	Kongsvinger	2	1208	19.92%	@ Start	1	1260	49.68%	30.40%
20	1984-10-07	51.5	Fredrikstad	2	1159	19.22%	@ Moss	1	1219	50.52%	30.25%
21	1984-10-07	51.4	Viking	2	1224	20.48%	@ Start	1	1270	49.00%	30.51%
22	1984-09-02	51.3	Fredrikstad	2	1147	19.61%	@ Eik Tonsberg	1	1202	50.05%	30.34%
23	1984-08-12	51.2	@ Lillestrom	1	1288	52.23%	Bryne	1	1213	17.86%	29.92%
24	1984-05-20	51.0	@ Lillestrom	1	1257	49.72%	Viking	1	1205	19.88%	30.39%
25	1984-04-29	50.9	@ Strindheim	1	1243	49.17%	Bryne	1	1195	20.34%	30.48%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1984-08-15	28.6	@ Valerenga	3	1338	60.86%	Molde	0	1174	11.86%	27.28%
2	1984-07-18	30.1	@ Valerenga	4	1317	55.06%	Eik Tonsberg	0	1215	15.71%	29.23%
3	1984-05-28	31.2	@ Valerenga	3	1288	52.03%	Strindheim	0	1214	18.01%	29.96%
4	1984-08-12	32.4	Valerenga	3	1328	47.97%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1160	22.18%	29.85%
5	1984-05-07	32.7	@ Valerenga	2	1276	53.57%	Fredrikstad	0	1188	16.82%	29.61%
6	1984-05-16	33.4	@ Valerenga	3	1286	45.66%	Lillestrom	0	1268	23.40%	30.94%
7	1984-08-27	33.5	@ Rosenborg	4	1199	42.80%	Strindheim	0	1204	26.02%	31.18%
8	1984-09-16	33.7	@ Lillestrom	2	1254	50.06%	Eik Tonsberg	0	1199	19.60%	30.34%
9	1984-09-09	33.8	@ Viking	2	1230	49.27%	Strindheim	0	1182	20.26%	30.47%
10	1984-06-17	33.9	@ Lillestrom	5	1266	54.75%	Molde	1	1166	15.94%	29.31%
11	1984-05-13	34.2	@ Lillestrom	4	1252	41.35%	Start	0	1269	27.40%	31.26%
12	1984-10-14	34.3	@ Eik Tonsberg	3	1193	40.91%	Moss	0	1212	27.81%	31.27%
13	1984-08-12	34.7	@ Molde	3	1161	39.43%	Moss	0	1192	29.25%	31.32%
14	1984-09-03	34.8	Valerenga	2	1353	47.47%	@ Strindheim	0	1189	22.59%	29.94%
15	1984-05-16	35.0	@ Start	2	1253	45.92%	Strindheim	0	1233	23.16%	30.91%
16	1984-05-20	35.1	@ Molde	3	1147	38.17%	Fredrikstad	0	1187	30.50%	31.34%
17	1984-10-07	35.1	@ Valerenga	1	1356	58.51%	Rosenborg	0	1218	13.33%	28.16%
18	1984-04-29	35.2	Start	3	1262	38.01%	@ Molde	0	1169	30.88%	31.11%
19	1984-05-06	35.2	@ Kongsvinger	3	1204	38.42%	Strindheim	0	1242	30.25%	31.33%
20	1984-06-24	35.3	@ Lillestrom	5	1274	50.61%	Kongsvinger	1	1214	19.15%	30.24%
21	1984-08-15	35.3	@ Moss	3	1179	37.67%	Strindheim	0	1223	30.99%	31.34%
22	1984-07-01	36.2	@ Start	1	1245	53.13%	Fredrikstad	0	1162	17.16%	29.71%
23	1984-06-03	36.3	@ Lillestrom	1	1257	53.03%	Fredrikstad	0	1174	17.24%	29.74%
24	1984-05-13	36.8	@ Bryne	2	1185	39.31%	Kongsvinger	0	1217	29.37%	31.32%
25	1984-09-16	36.8	@ Moss	2	1192	39.49%	Rosenborg	0	1222	29.19%	31.32%